polymarket-risk-manager 3.1.0

package/README.md

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+# polymarket-risk-manager
+
+Kelly-criterion stake sizing for Polymarket-style binary markets.
+
+## Install
+
+```bash
+npm install polymarket-risk-manager
+```
+
+## API (3.1.0)
+
+```javascript
+const { computeKellyStake } = require('polymarket-risk-manager');
+
+computeKellyStake({
+  probability: 0.58,
+  allInPrice: 0.52,
+  bankroll: 500,
+  maxStake: 25,
+  minStake: 5,
+  kellyFraction: 0.5,
+});
+```
+
+## Licence
+
+MIT

package/index.js

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+'use strict';
+
+/** @deprecated use computeKellyStake from 3.2+ for formatted output */
+function computeKellyStake({
+  probability,
+  allInPrice,
+  bankroll,
+  maxStake,
+  minStake = 0,
+  kellyFraction = 0.5,
+}) {
+  if (
+    !Number.isFinite(probability) ||
+    !Number.isFinite(allInPrice) ||
+    !Number.isFinite(bankroll) ||
+    allInPrice <= 0 ||
+    allInPrice >= 1
+  ) {
+    return minStake;
+  }
+
+  const rawKelly = (probability - allInPrice) / (1 - allInPrice);
+  if (rawKelly <= 0) return minStake;
+
+  const stake = bankroll * rawKelly * kellyFraction;
+  return Math.min(maxStake, Math.max(minStake, stake));
+}
+
+module.exports = { computeKellyStake };

package/package.json

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+{
+  "name": "polymarket-risk-manager",
+  "version": "3.1.0",
+  "description": "Polymarket Kelly stake sizing and decimal-safe rounding for binary markets",
+  "main": "index.js",
+  "files": ["index.js", "README.md"],
+  "keywords": ["polymarket", "kelly", "prediction-markets", "stake"],
+  "license": "MIT",
+  "type": "commonjs"
+}