npm - polly-gamba - Versions diffs - 1.0.40 → 1.0.41 - Mend

polly-gamba 1.0.40 → 1.0.41

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.

Files changed (4) hide show

package/dist/claude-trader.js CHANGED Viewed

@@ -317,7 +317,7 @@ CLOSE RULES — apply ALL that match, no thesis override allowed:
 6. Position is UP >25% from entry AND has been held >48h — CLOSE to lock in profits. The market has moved significantly in your favor; gains are now vulnerable to reversion. Use take_profit reason. Exception: if the resolution event is within 7 days AND the position is still clearly on the right side, you may hold until resolution.
 7. STALE POSITION: Position held >7 days AND price has moved <5% from entry AND resolution event is >30 days away — CLOSE to redeploy capital. A position that doesn't move over 7 days means the mispricing wasn't as large as estimated. Cut it, accept the small loss/gain, and redeploy to markets with active price movement.
 8. CONCENTRATION VIOLATION: Count open positions by underlying theme (the single real-world event that resolves all of them). Examples: "Will Jesus return before GTA VI", "Will BTC hit $1M before GTA VI", "Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI" all share the theme "GTA VI release date". Similarly "Will Spurs win NBA Finals", "Will OKC win NBA Finals", "Will Celtics win NBA Finals" all share the theme "2026 NBA Finals". IMPORTANT: All positions tied to the 2028 US election cycle share one theme — "2028 US election". This includes: 2028 Dem primary nominees (Newsom, etc.), 2028 Rep primary nominees (Vance, Rubio, etc.), and the 2028 general election winner — regardless of which stage of the race resolves each market. If you have 3+ positions in the same theme: close positions one by one (starting with the one whose current price is closest to 50/50) until you have ≤2 in that theme. If you have 4, you must close 2. If you have 5, close 3. Do NOT stop after closing just one if the theme still has 3+ positions. Apply this BEFORE checking other rules. This check requires the FULL position list — which is why Step 0 mandates calling get_positions first.
-9. SPORTSBOOK THESIS DECAY: If the original reasoning cited a sportsbook cross-reference (e.g. "sportsbooks imply X%, Polymarket shows Y%") AND the position is currently down >20%: estimate current sportsbook consensus from your world knowledge. If the original sportsbook-Polymarket gap has narrowed by >60% (e.g. original 15pp gap is now ≤6pp), the arbitrage thesis is exhausted — CLOSE with reason "thesis_decayed". Do not continue holding through hard stops when the original edge is structurally gone.
+9. SPORTSBOOK THESIS DECAY: If the original reasoning cited a sportsbook cross-reference (e.g. "sportsbooks imply X%, Polymarket shows Y%") AND the position is currently down >20%: CLOSE immediately with reason "thesis_decayed". This is a mechanical rule — a -20% drawdown on a sportsbook arb trade is itself the signal that the cross-market gap has closed or the thesis was wrong. Do NOT attempt to re-estimate current sportsbook consensus or override based on "the sportsbook line is still there." The drawdown is the verdict. No exceptions.
 HOLD RULES: If NONE of the close rules apply and exit trigger NOT triggered, do nothing (no output needed).

package/package.json CHANGED Viewed

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "polly-gamba",
-  "version": "1.0.40",
+  "version": "1.0.41",
   "description": "Coinbase price signal → Claude brain → Polymarket CLOB execution",
   "main": "dist/index.js",
   "bin": {

package/service.log CHANGED Viewed

@@ -3961,3 +3961,765 @@ npm warn deprecated prebuild-install@7.1.3: No longer maintained. Please contact
 [gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
 [expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
 [expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,128.7 over 61s
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,128.7
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561974 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561974 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559652 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 560317 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561974 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=1 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559652 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561974 YES — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=1 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559652 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[signal] ETH down -0.50% @ $2,110.72 over 55s
+[signal] ETH down 0.50% @ $2,110.72
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=3 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 560317 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=3 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[signal] ETH down -0.50% @ $2,077.9 over 59s
+[signal] ETH down 0.50% @ $2,077.9
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.9h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 3.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 3.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.6h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=0 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 3.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 3.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.6h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.6h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=2 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 3.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 3.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 560317 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — missing 0.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — missing 0.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — missing 0.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=3 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=2 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[coinbase-ws] Disconnected — reconnecting in 5s
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[coinbase-ws] Error: write EPIPE
+[coinbase-ws] Disconnected — reconnecting in 5s
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 560317 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=1 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.7h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=4 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 1.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=4 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,089.97 over 60s
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,089.97
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[signal] ETH down -0.50% @ $2,079.52 over 3s
+[signal] ETH down 0.50% @ $2,079.52
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 1.2h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[signal] BTC up 0.51% @ $68,534.41 over 60s
+[signal] BTC up 0.51% @ $68,534.41
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[signal] BTC up 0.50% @ $68,900 over 41s
+[signal] BTC up 0.50% @ $68,900
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 1 markets for BTC signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[signal] BTC down -0.74% @ $68,480 over 51s
+[signal] BTC down 0.74% @ $68,480
+[match] 1 markets for BTC signal
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 1.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 1.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 1 markets for BTC signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.1h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 560317 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=3 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.4h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553862 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562828 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566188 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 559651 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567621 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561975 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=1 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — missing 2.5h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 2.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 2.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 2.8h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558936 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,100.48 over 59s
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,100.48
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[signal] BTC up 0.50% @ $68,853.35 over 60s
+[signal] BTC up 0.50% @ $68,853.35
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,111 over 0s
+[signal] ETH up 0.50% @ $2,111
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[match] 1 markets for BTC signal
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — missing 3.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — missing 3.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — missing 3.0h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 568629 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553866 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567689 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566142 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540844 NO — missing 0.3h (closes after 24h continuous)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561230 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 498 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 553830 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 558934 YES — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 566140 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 540819 NO — first miss recorded, watching (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=22 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed

package/src/claude-trader.ts CHANGED Viewed

@@ -369,7 +369,7 @@ CLOSE RULES — apply ALL that match, no thesis override allowed:
 6. Position is UP >25% from entry AND has been held >48h — CLOSE to lock in profits. The market has moved significantly in your favor; gains are now vulnerable to reversion. Use take_profit reason. Exception: if the resolution event is within 7 days AND the position is still clearly on the right side, you may hold until resolution.
 7. STALE POSITION: Position held >7 days AND price has moved <5% from entry AND resolution event is >30 days away — CLOSE to redeploy capital. A position that doesn't move over 7 days means the mispricing wasn't as large as estimated. Cut it, accept the small loss/gain, and redeploy to markets with active price movement.
 8. CONCENTRATION VIOLATION: Count open positions by underlying theme (the single real-world event that resolves all of them). Examples: "Will Jesus return before GTA VI", "Will BTC hit $1M before GTA VI", "Will China invade Taiwan before GTA VI" all share the theme "GTA VI release date". Similarly "Will Spurs win NBA Finals", "Will OKC win NBA Finals", "Will Celtics win NBA Finals" all share the theme "2026 NBA Finals". IMPORTANT: All positions tied to the 2028 US election cycle share one theme — "2028 US election". This includes: 2028 Dem primary nominees (Newsom, etc.), 2028 Rep primary nominees (Vance, Rubio, etc.), and the 2028 general election winner — regardless of which stage of the race resolves each market. If you have 3+ positions in the same theme: close positions one by one (starting with the one whose current price is closest to 50/50) until you have ≤2 in that theme. If you have 4, you must close 2. If you have 5, close 3. Do NOT stop after closing just one if the theme still has 3+ positions. Apply this BEFORE checking other rules. This check requires the FULL position list — which is why Step 0 mandates calling get_positions first.
-9. SPORTSBOOK THESIS DECAY: If the original reasoning cited a sportsbook cross-reference (e.g. "sportsbooks imply X%, Polymarket shows Y%") AND the position is currently down >20%: estimate current sportsbook consensus from your world knowledge. If the original sportsbook-Polymarket gap has narrowed by >60% (e.g. original 15pp gap is now ≤6pp), the arbitrage thesis is exhausted — CLOSE with reason "thesis_decayed". Do not continue holding through hard stops when the original edge is structurally gone.
+9. SPORTSBOOK THESIS DECAY: If the original reasoning cited a sportsbook cross-reference (e.g. "sportsbooks imply X%, Polymarket shows Y%") AND the position is currently down >20%: CLOSE immediately with reason "thesis_decayed". This is a mechanical rule — a -20% drawdown on a sportsbook arb trade is itself the signal that the cross-market gap has closed or the thesis was wrong. Do NOT attempt to re-estimate current sportsbook consensus or override based on "the sportsbook line is still there." The drawdown is the verdict. No exceptions.
 HOLD RULES: If NONE of the close rules apply and exit trigger NOT triggered, do nothing (no output needed).