polly-gamba 1.0.27 → 1.0.31

package/dist/claude-trader.js

@@ -103,7 +103,7 @@ class ClaudeTrader {
                     role: 'user',
                     content: `You are a Polymarket ${PAPER_MODE ? 'PAPER TRADING (no real money)' : 'paper'} trader running a high-volume moneyball strategy. Your job is to place paper trades on EVERY market where you have ANY opinion on fair value — even slight.
 ${PAPER_MODE ? '\n⚠️ PAPER MODE: This is a test environment. Be AGGRESSIVE — trade more, skip less. Lower your threshold to 3% edge for any market resolving within 6 months.\n' : ''}
-TOOLS: place_order, skip_all, get_budget_status
+TOOLS: place_order, skip_all, get_budget_status, get_positions
 RULES:
 - Output ONLY tool calls. Zero prose.
 - For EVERY market in the list: if current price differs from your estimated fair probability by more than ${PAPER_MODE ? '3%' : '5%'}, place a trade.
@@ -117,7 +117,7 @@ RULES:
 - Max $100 per market (20% of $500 budget). The MCP enforces this — don't fight it.
 - To add to an existing position with the SAME outcome: (1) you MUST cite a specific new catalyst (news published in last 24h, not price movement), AND (2) the current price must be ≥20% below your last entry price (e.g. if you bought YES at 0.15, new entry only valid at ≤0.12). The MCP enforces this — attempts at a smaller discount will be rejected. Price dipping alone is NOT a catalyst. New information is a catalyst.
 - exit_trigger is required on every trade. Be specific: "Exit when price hits 0.X" or "Exit when [specific news event]" — not "when narrative converges."
-- Call get_budget_status at the start of each scan to know available capital.`
+- Call get_budget_status AND get_positions at the start of each scan to know available capital and your current open positions. get_positions returns {"positions": [...], "closed_markets": [...]}. You MUST review BOTH before trading to apply concentration AND closed-market discipline correctly.`
                 }
             }));
             this.ready = true;
@@ -213,7 +213,21 @@ ${m.description ? `- Description: ${m.description.slice(0, 200)}` : ''}`).join('
 - Similarly: "Will Orbán be PM" and "Will Magyar be PM" are both the Hungary 2026 election — treat as same theme (you may hold both as a hedge pair, but do not add a third Hungary position).
 - If you're uncertain whether a market correlates to an existing theme, assume it does and skip.
 
-For EVERY market above: apply horizon discipline AND concentration discipline first, then if price differs from your fair probability by the required edge, place a trade ($10 USDC). Call skip_all only if you have zero opinion on all markets.`;
+## CLOSED MARKET DISCIPLINE (absolute rule — never override):
+- get_positions returns a JSON object with two keys: "positions" (open) and "closed_markets" (previously exited).
+- NEVER place a new order for any market_id+outcome combination that appears in closed_markets. This is enforced server-side and will be rejected anyway.
+- The reason: re-entering a market you already exited is a sign of anchoring bias. If the thesis was wrong once, sportsbook odds movement is not sufficient justification. Accept the loss and redeploy capital elsewhere.
+
+## SPORTSBOOK CROSS-CHECK DISCIPLINE (apply when estimating fair value):
+- Sportsbooks measure betting DEMAND, not calibrated probability. Polymarket is often better calibrated on liquid markets (>$50k volume).
+- When fair value is primarily derived from sportsbook lines (e.g. "DraftKings has X at +225 implying 30%"), apply a 50% haircut to the apparent cross-market edge. Example: sportsbooks imply 30%, Polymarket shows 15% → effective edge = (30%×0.8 − 15%) = 9pp, not 15pp.
+- Sportsbook-derived estimates MUST exceed the horizon threshold AFTER the 50% haircut. Do not enter based purely on sportsbook arbitrage at small gaps.
+- Anchor fair value on base rates and world knowledge first; use sportsbooks to adjust by ±5pp only. If you cannot defend the estimate without the sportsbook line, the edge is too speculative.
+- Exception: if both Polymarket AND sportsbooks agree with your base-rate analysis, the convergence strengthens the thesis.
+
+STEP 1: Call get_positions to see your current open positions AND closed_markets — required before evaluating any market.
+STEP 2: For each market, apply horizon discipline, concentration discipline, AND closed market discipline (using the data from step 1).
+STEP 3: If price differs from your fair probability by the required edge (accounting for sportsbook haircut if applicable), place a trade ($10 USDC). Call skip_all only if you have zero opinion on all markets.`;
         const msg = JSON.stringify({
             type: 'user',
             message: { role: 'user', content: prompt }
@@ -295,6 +309,7 @@ CLOSE RULES — apply ALL that match, no thesis override allowed:
 4. Position is down >50% — HARD CLOSE regardless of thesis. Cut losses. No exceptions.
 5. You have 2+ open positions in the SAME market with the SAME outcome — close the NEWER entry (higher ts value) regardless of P&L. Duplicate same-outcome positions double exposure without incremental edge. Keep the original entry.
 6. Position is UP >25% from entry AND has been held >48h — CLOSE to lock in profits. The market has moved significantly in your favor; gains are now vulnerable to reversion. Use take_profit reason. Exception: if the resolution event is within 7 days AND the position is still clearly on the right side, you may hold until resolution.
+7. STALE POSITION: Position held >7 days AND price has moved <5% from entry AND resolution event is >30 days away — CLOSE to redeploy capital. A position that doesn't move over 7 days means the mispricing wasn't as large as estimated. Cut it, accept the small loss/gain, and redeploy to markets with active price movement.
 
 HOLD RULES: If NONE of the close rules apply and exit trigger NOT triggered, do nothing (no output needed).`;
         const msg = JSON.stringify({

package/dist/mcp-server.js

@@ -126,6 +126,12 @@ server.setRequestHandler(types_js_1.CallToolRequestSchema, async (req) => {
                 return false;
             return !closedIds.has(`${p.market_id}_${p.outcome}_${p.ts}`);
         });
+        // Block re-entry into previously closed market+outcome combos
+        const marketOutcomePrefix = `${a.market_id}_${a.outcome}_`;
+        const wasClosedBefore = Array.from(closedIds).some(id => id.startsWith(marketOutcomePrefix));
+        if (wasClosedBefore) {
+            return { content: [{ type: 'text', text: `Error: Re-entry blocked. This market+outcome (${a.market_id} ${a.outcome}) was previously closed. Polly-gamba does not re-enter previously exited positions to prevent repeated losses on the same bet.` }] };
+        }
         // Validate using extracted business logic (includes input validation + budget checks)
         const validationError = (0, paper_trade_1.validatePlaceOrder)({ market_id: a.market_id, outcome: a.outcome, size_usdc: a.size_usdc, price: a.price, new_catalyst: a.new_catalyst }, openPositions);
         if (validationError) {
@@ -191,8 +197,22 @@ server.setRequestHandler(types_js_1.CallToolRequestSchema, async (req) => {
             const key = `${p.market_id}_${p.outcome}_${p.ts}`;
             return !closedIds.has(key);
         });
+        // Expose previously-closed market+outcome combos so Claude can avoid re-entry
+        const closedMarkets = Array.from(closedIds).map(key => {
+            const parts = key.split('_');
+            return { market_id: parts[0], outcome: parts[1] };
+        });
+        // Deduplicate
+        const seen = new Set();
+        const uniqueClosedMarkets = closedMarkets.filter(m => {
+            const k = `${m.market_id}_${m.outcome}`;
+            if (seen.has(k))
+                return false;
+            seen.add(k);
+            return true;
+        });
         return {
-            content: [{ type: 'text', text: JSON.stringify(positions, null, 2) }]
+            content: [{ type: 'text', text: JSON.stringify({ positions, closed_markets: uniqueClosedMarkets }, null, 2) }]
         };
     }
     if (name === 'close_position') {

package/dist/position-monitor.js

@@ -52,15 +52,23 @@ class PositionMonitor {
             return;
         }
         // Deduplicate market fetches keyed by marketId_outcome
+        // Throttle to 5 concurrent fetches to avoid Gamma API rate limiting
         const marketPriceCache = new Map();
         const uniqueKeys = [...new Set(toCheck.map(p => `${p.market_id}|${p.outcome}`))];
-        await Promise.all(uniqueKeys.map(async (key) => {
-            const sep = key.indexOf('|');
-            const marketId = key.slice(0, sep);
-            const outcome = key.slice(sep + 1);
-            const result = await this.fetchCurrentPrice(marketId, outcome).catch(() => null);
-            marketPriceCache.set(key, result);
-        }));
+        const BATCH_SIZE = 5;
+        for (let i = 0; i < uniqueKeys.length; i += BATCH_SIZE) {
+            const batch = uniqueKeys.slice(i, i + BATCH_SIZE);
+            await Promise.all(batch.map(async (key) => {
+                const sep = key.indexOf('|');
+                const marketId = key.slice(0, sep);
+                const outcome = key.slice(sep + 1);
+                const result = await this.fetchCurrentPrice(marketId, outcome).catch(() => null);
+                marketPriceCache.set(key, result);
+            }));
+            if (i + BATCH_SIZE < uniqueKeys.length) {
+                await new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, 200));
+            }
+        }
         // Build review candidates with current price data for Claude
         const reviewCandidates = [];
         for (const pos of toCheck) {
@@ -72,8 +80,10 @@ class PositionMonitor {
             const entryPrice = pos.price;
             const gain = (currentPrice.price - entryPrice) / entryPrice;
             const hoursToEnd = (new Date(currentPrice.endDate).getTime() - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60);
-            // Only send to Claude if something notable: moved >5% either way, or <72h to expiry
-            if (Math.abs(gain) >= 0.05 || hoursToEnd <= 72) {
+            const hoursHeld = (Date.now() - pos.ts) / (1000 * 60 * 60);
+            const isStale = hoursHeld >= 168 && Math.abs(gain) < 0.05; // held >7d with <5% movement
+            // Send to Claude if: moved >5% either way, <72h to expiry, or stale (>7d no movement)
+            if (Math.abs(gain) >= 0.05 || hoursToEnd <= 72 || isStale) {
                 reviewCandidates.push({
                     market_id: pos.market_id,
                     market_question: pos.market_question,
@@ -147,7 +157,9 @@ class PositionMonitor {
     }
     async fetchCurrentPrice(marketId, outcome) {
         try {
-            const res = await fetch(`https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/${marketId}`);
+            const res = await fetch(`https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/${marketId}`, {
+                headers: { 'User-Agent': 'Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; polly-gamba/1.0)' }
+            });
             if (!res.ok)
                 return null;
             const data = await res.json();

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "polly-gamba",
-  "version": "1.0.27",
+  "version": "1.0.31",
   "description": "Coinbase price signal → Claude brain → Polymarket CLOB execution",
   "main": "dist/index.js",
   "bin": {

package/service.log

@@ -0,0 +1,802 @@
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+npm warn deprecated prebuild-install@7.1.3: No longer maintained. Please contact the author of the relevant native addon; alternatives are available.
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 1: use strict: command not found
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: syntax error near unexpected token `('
+/Users/feral/.npm/_npx/fe561c72834ff84d/node_modules/.bin/polly-gamba: line 2: `var __createBinding = (this && this.__createBinding) || (Object.create ? (function(o, m, k, k2) {'
+npm warn deprecated prebuild-install@7.1.3: No longer maintained. Please contact the author of the relevant native addon; alternatives are available.
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=8 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=24 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 14 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[signal] ETH down -0.51% @ $2,072.35 over 61s
+[signal] ETH down 0.51% @ $2,072.35
+[match] 20 markets for ETH signal
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 14 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 14 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 14 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 15 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[polly-gamba] Starting paper trading service
+[polly-gamba] Claude cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba
+[polly-gamba] Expiring trader cwd: /Users/feral/polly-gamba-expiring
+[coinbase-ws] Connecting to wss://ws-feed.exchange.coinbase.com
+[polly-gamba] Listening for BTC/ETH price signals (threshold: 0.5% in 60s)...
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[coinbase-ws] Connected
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[claude-trader:anthropic] ready
+[claude-trader:ollama] ready
+[claude-trader:expiring] ready
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 497 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 18 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 496 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=6 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[scan] failed to fetch markets: fetch failed
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=5 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 561974 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567561 NO — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567560 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 567687 NO — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] WARNING: no price data for 562187 YES — skipping review (market may be resolved or delisted)
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=4 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 16 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[scan] fetching high-quality markets (vol24h>$50k, liq>$50k, price 0.10-0.90)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[expiring] fetching expiring markets (closing within 72h, vol24h>$10k, liq>$10k, price 0.05-0.95)
+[gamma] Fetching active markets from https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?active=true&closed=false&limit=500
+[position-monitor] checked=25 review_candidates=7 hard_stops=0 (moved>5% or <72h expiry)
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[scan] 17 high-quality markets for autonomous review
+[gamma] Loaded 495 markets (filtered from 500)
+[expiring] 0 expiring markets for review
+[expiring] no expiring markets found this cycle

package/src/claude-trader.ts

@@ -120,7 +120,7 @@ export class ClaudeTrader {
           role: 'user',
           content: `You are a Polymarket ${PAPER_MODE ? 'PAPER TRADING (no real money)' : 'paper'} trader running a high-volume moneyball strategy. Your job is to place paper trades on EVERY market where you have ANY opinion on fair value — even slight.
 ${PAPER_MODE ? '\n⚠️ PAPER MODE: This is a test environment. Be AGGRESSIVE — trade more, skip less. Lower your threshold to 3% edge for any market resolving within 6 months.\n' : ''}
-TOOLS: place_order, skip_all, get_budget_status
+TOOLS: place_order, skip_all, get_budget_status, get_positions
 RULES:
 - Output ONLY tool calls. Zero prose.
 - For EVERY market in the list: if current price differs from your estimated fair probability by more than ${PAPER_MODE ? '3%' : '5%'}, place a trade.
@@ -134,7 +134,7 @@ RULES:
 - Max $100 per market (20% of $500 budget). The MCP enforces this — don't fight it.
 - To add to an existing position with the SAME outcome: (1) you MUST cite a specific new catalyst (news published in last 24h, not price movement), AND (2) the current price must be ≥20% below your last entry price (e.g. if you bought YES at 0.15, new entry only valid at ≤0.12). The MCP enforces this — attempts at a smaller discount will be rejected. Price dipping alone is NOT a catalyst. New information is a catalyst.
 - exit_trigger is required on every trade. Be specific: "Exit when price hits 0.X" or "Exit when [specific news event]" — not "when narrative converges."
-- Call get_budget_status at the start of each scan to know available capital.`
+- Call get_budget_status AND get_positions at the start of each scan to know available capital and your current open positions. get_positions returns {"positions": [...], "closed_markets": [...]}. You MUST review BOTH before trading to apply concentration AND closed-market discipline correctly.`
         }
       }))
       this.ready = true
@@ -241,7 +241,21 @@ ${m.description ? `- Description: ${m.description.slice(0, 200)}` : ''}`).join('
 - Similarly: "Will Orbán be PM" and "Will Magyar be PM" are both the Hungary 2026 election — treat as same theme (you may hold both as a hedge pair, but do not add a third Hungary position).
 - If you're uncertain whether a market correlates to an existing theme, assume it does and skip.
 
-For EVERY market above: apply horizon discipline AND concentration discipline first, then if price differs from your fair probability by the required edge, place a trade ($10 USDC). Call skip_all only if you have zero opinion on all markets.`
+## CLOSED MARKET DISCIPLINE (absolute rule — never override):
+- get_positions returns a JSON object with two keys: "positions" (open) and "closed_markets" (previously exited).
+- NEVER place a new order for any market_id+outcome combination that appears in closed_markets. This is enforced server-side and will be rejected anyway.
+- The reason: re-entering a market you already exited is a sign of anchoring bias. If the thesis was wrong once, sportsbook odds movement is not sufficient justification. Accept the loss and redeploy capital elsewhere.
+
+## SPORTSBOOK CROSS-CHECK DISCIPLINE (apply when estimating fair value):
+- Sportsbooks measure betting DEMAND, not calibrated probability. Polymarket is often better calibrated on liquid markets (>$50k volume).
+- When fair value is primarily derived from sportsbook lines (e.g. "DraftKings has X at +225 implying 30%"), apply a 50% haircut to the apparent cross-market edge. Example: sportsbooks imply 30%, Polymarket shows 15% → effective edge = (30%×0.8 − 15%) = 9pp, not 15pp.
+- Sportsbook-derived estimates MUST exceed the horizon threshold AFTER the 50% haircut. Do not enter based purely on sportsbook arbitrage at small gaps.
+- Anchor fair value on base rates and world knowledge first; use sportsbooks to adjust by ±5pp only. If you cannot defend the estimate without the sportsbook line, the edge is too speculative.
+- Exception: if both Polymarket AND sportsbooks agree with your base-rate analysis, the convergence strengthens the thesis.
+
+STEP 1: Call get_positions to see your current open positions AND closed_markets — required before evaluating any market.
+STEP 2: For each market, apply horizon discipline, concentration discipline, AND closed market discipline (using the data from step 1).
+STEP 3: If price differs from your fair probability by the required edge (accounting for sportsbook haircut if applicable), place a trade ($10 USDC). Call skip_all only if you have zero opinion on all markets.`
 
     const msg = JSON.stringify({
       type: 'user',
@@ -347,6 +361,7 @@ CLOSE RULES — apply ALL that match, no thesis override allowed:
 4. Position is down >50% — HARD CLOSE regardless of thesis. Cut losses. No exceptions.
 5. You have 2+ open positions in the SAME market with the SAME outcome — close the NEWER entry (higher ts value) regardless of P&L. Duplicate same-outcome positions double exposure without incremental edge. Keep the original entry.
 6. Position is UP >25% from entry AND has been held >48h — CLOSE to lock in profits. The market has moved significantly in your favor; gains are now vulnerable to reversion. Use take_profit reason. Exception: if the resolution event is within 7 days AND the position is still clearly on the right side, you may hold until resolution.
+7. STALE POSITION: Position held >7 days AND price has moved <5% from entry AND resolution event is >30 days away — CLOSE to redeploy capital. A position that doesn't move over 7 days means the mispricing wasn't as large as estimated. Cut it, accept the small loss/gain, and redeploy to markets with active price movement.
 
 HOLD RULES: If NONE of the close rules apply and exit trigger NOT triggered, do nothing (no output needed).`
 

package/src/mcp-server.ts

@@ -126,6 +126,13 @@ server.setRequestHandler(CallToolRequestSchema, async (req) => {
       return !closedIds.has(`${p.market_id}_${p.outcome}_${p.ts}`)
     })
 
+    // Block re-entry into previously closed market+outcome combos
+    const marketOutcomePrefix = `${a.market_id}_${a.outcome}_`
+    const wasClosedBefore = Array.from(closedIds).some(id => id.startsWith(marketOutcomePrefix))
+    if (wasClosedBefore) {
+      return { content: [{ type: 'text', text: `Error: Re-entry blocked. This market+outcome (${a.market_id} ${a.outcome}) was previously closed. Polly-gamba does not re-enter previously exited positions to prevent repeated losses on the same bet.` }] }
+    }
+
     // Validate using extracted business logic (includes input validation + budget checks)
     const validationError = validatePlaceOrder(
       { market_id: a.market_id, outcome: a.outcome, size_usdc: a.size_usdc, price: a.price, new_catalyst: a.new_catalyst },
@@ -192,8 +199,21 @@ server.setRequestHandler(CallToolRequestSchema, async (req) => {
       const key = `${p.market_id}_${p.outcome}_${p.ts}`
       return !closedIds.has(key)
     })
+    // Expose previously-closed market+outcome combos so Claude can avoid re-entry
+    const closedMarkets = Array.from(closedIds).map(key => {
+      const parts = key.split('_')
+      return { market_id: parts[0], outcome: parts[1] }
+    })
+    // Deduplicate
+    const seen = new Set<string>()
+    const uniqueClosedMarkets = closedMarkets.filter(m => {
+      const k = `${m.market_id}_${m.outcome}`
+      if (seen.has(k)) return false
+      seen.add(k)
+      return true
+    })
     return {
-      content: [{ type: 'text', text: JSON.stringify(positions, null, 2) }]
+      content: [{ type: 'text', text: JSON.stringify({ positions, closed_markets: uniqueClosedMarkets }, null, 2) }]
     }
   }
 

package/src/position-monitor.ts

@@ -73,15 +73,23 @@ export class PositionMonitor {
     }
 
     // Deduplicate market fetches keyed by marketId_outcome
+    // Throttle to 5 concurrent fetches to avoid Gamma API rate limiting
     const marketPriceCache = new Map<string, MarketPrice | null>()
     const uniqueKeys = [...new Set(toCheck.map(p => `${p.market_id}|${p.outcome}`))]
-    await Promise.all(uniqueKeys.map(async (key) => {
-      const sep = key.indexOf('|')
-      const marketId = key.slice(0, sep)
-      const outcome = key.slice(sep + 1)
-      const result = await this.fetchCurrentPrice(marketId, outcome).catch(() => null)
-      marketPriceCache.set(key, result)
-    }))
+    const BATCH_SIZE = 5
+    for (let i = 0; i < uniqueKeys.length; i += BATCH_SIZE) {
+      const batch = uniqueKeys.slice(i, i + BATCH_SIZE)
+      await Promise.all(batch.map(async (key) => {
+        const sep = key.indexOf('|')
+        const marketId = key.slice(0, sep)
+        const outcome = key.slice(sep + 1)
+        const result = await this.fetchCurrentPrice(marketId, outcome).catch(() => null)
+        marketPriceCache.set(key, result)
+      }))
+      if (i + BATCH_SIZE < uniqueKeys.length) {
+        await new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, 200))
+      }
+    }
 
     // Build review candidates with current price data for Claude
     const reviewCandidates: Array<{
@@ -109,8 +117,11 @@ export class PositionMonitor {
       const gain = (currentPrice.price - entryPrice) / entryPrice
       const hoursToEnd = (new Date(currentPrice.endDate).getTime() - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60)
 
-      // Only send to Claude if something notable: moved >5% either way, or <72h to expiry
-      if (Math.abs(gain) >= 0.05 || hoursToEnd <= 72) {
+        const hoursHeld = (Date.now() - pos.ts) / (1000 * 60 * 60)
+      const isStale = hoursHeld >= 168 && Math.abs(gain) < 0.05  // held >7d with <5% movement
+
+      // Send to Claude if: moved >5% either way, <72h to expiry, or stale (>7d no movement)
+      if (Math.abs(gain) >= 0.05 || hoursToEnd <= 72 || isStale) {
         reviewCandidates.push({
           market_id: pos.market_id,
           market_question: pos.market_question,
@@ -199,7 +210,9 @@ export class PositionMonitor {
 
   private async fetchCurrentPrice(marketId: string, outcome: string): Promise<MarketPrice | null> {
     try {
-      const res = await fetch(`https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/${marketId}`)
+      const res = await fetch(`https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets/${marketId}`, {
+        headers: { 'User-Agent': 'Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; polly-gamba/1.0)' }
+      })
       if (!res.ok) return null
       const data = await res.json() as any