polkamarkets-js 3.2.0 → 3.3.0
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/abis/AddAdminToLand.json +1 -0
- package/abis/ClaimMerkleRoot.json +1 -0
- package/abis/CreateLand.json +1 -0
- package/abis/CreateMarkets.json +1 -0
- package/abis/DeployContracts.json +1 -0
- package/abis/DeployMerkleRewardsDistributor.json +1 -0
- package/abis/DeployToken.json +1 -0
- package/abis/DeployUSDT.json +1 -0
- package/abis/MintTokens.json +1 -0
- package/abis/PublishMerkleRoot.json +1 -0
- package/abis/ResolveMarket.json +1 -0
- package/abis/TradeMarket.json +1 -0
- package/abis/USDT.json +1 -0
- package/package.json +1 -1
- package/script/UpdateMarket.s.sol +56 -0
- package/scripts/AddAdminToLand.s.sol +29 -0
- package/scripts/ClaimMerkleRoot.s.sol +34 -0
- package/scripts/CreateLand.s.sol +28 -0
- package/scripts/CreateMarkets.s.sol +71 -0
- package/scripts/DeployContracts.s.sol +94 -0
- package/scripts/DeployMerkleRewardsDistributor.s.sol +27 -0
- package/scripts/DeployToken.s.sol +17 -0
- package/scripts/DeployUSDT.s.sol +24 -0
- package/scripts/MintTokens.s.sol +21 -0
- package/scripts/PublishMerkleRoot.s.sol +50 -0
- package/scripts/ResolveMarket.s.sol +23 -0
- package/scripts/TradeMarket.s.sol +28 -0
- package/scripts/UpdateMarket.s.sol +55 -0
- package/src/models/PredictionMarketV3Contract.js +5 -1
- package/test/UpdateTest.t.sol +55 -0
- package/test/WhaleTest.t.sol +188 -0
- package/contracts/PredictionMarketV3_4Bad.sol +0 -1487
- package/contracts/PredictionMarketV3_4Good.sol +0 -1508
- package/dist/Application.d.ts +0 -201
- package/dist/Application.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/Application.js +0 -411
- package/dist/Application.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/index.d.ts +0 -7
- package/dist/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/index.js +0 -16
- package/dist/index.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/interfaces/index.d.ts +0 -4
- package/dist/interfaces/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/interfaces/index.js +0 -22
- package/dist/interfaces/index.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/AchievementsContract.d.ts +0 -43
- package/dist/models/AchievementsContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/AchievementsContract.js +0 -177
- package/dist/models/AchievementsContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationContract.d.ts +0 -23
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationContract.js +0 -47
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationProxyContract.d.ts +0 -14
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationProxyContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationProxyContract.js +0 -26
- package/dist/models/ArbitrationProxyContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ERC20Contract.d.ts +0 -50
- package/dist/models/ERC20Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/ERC20Contract.js +0 -99
- package/dist/models/ERC20Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/FantasyERC20Contract.d.ts +0 -13
- package/dist/models/FantasyERC20Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/FantasyERC20Contract.js +0 -43
- package/dist/models/FantasyERC20Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/IContract.d.ts +0 -57
- package/dist/models/IContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/IContract.js +0 -515
- package/dist/models/IContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PolkamarketsSmartAccount.d.ts +0 -26
- package/dist/models/PolkamarketsSmartAccount.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PolkamarketsSmartAccount.js +0 -100
- package/dist/models/PolkamarketsSmartAccount.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketContract.d.ts +0 -113
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketContract.js +0 -298
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV2Contract.d.ts +0 -157
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV2Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV2Contract.js +0 -431
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV2Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3Contract.d.ts +0 -42
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3Contract.js +0 -277
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ControllerContract.d.ts +0 -128
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ControllerContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ControllerContract.js +0 -174
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ControllerContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3FactoryContract.d.ts +0 -31
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3FactoryContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3FactoryContract.js +0 -81
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3FactoryContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ManagerContract.d.ts +0 -67
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ManagerContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ManagerContract.js +0 -97
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3ManagerContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3QuerierContract.d.ts +0 -33
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3QuerierContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3QuerierContract.js +0 -61
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3QuerierContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3_2Contract.d.ts +0 -32
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3_2Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3_2Contract.js +0 -169
- package/dist/models/PredictionMarketV3_2Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/RealitioERC20Contract.d.ts +0 -16
- package/dist/models/RealitioERC20Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/RealitioERC20Contract.js +0 -18
- package/dist/models/RealitioERC20Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/VotingContract.d.ts +0 -38
- package/dist/models/VotingContract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/VotingContract.js +0 -85
- package/dist/models/VotingContract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/WETH9Contract.d.ts +0 -29
- package/dist/models/WETH9Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/WETH9Contract.js +0 -44
- package/dist/models/WETH9Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/index.d.ts +0 -18
- package/dist/models/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/models/index.js +0 -37
- package/dist/models/index.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/types/contracts.d.ts +0 -46
- package/dist/types/contracts.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/types/contracts.js +0 -3
- package/dist/types/contracts.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/types/index.d.ts +0 -1
- package/dist/types/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/types/index.js +0 -3
- package/dist/types/index.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Account.d.ts +0 -34
- package/dist/utils/Account.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Account.js +0 -38
- package/dist/utils/Account.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Contract.d.ts +0 -31
- package/dist/utils/Contract.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Contract.js +0 -123
- package/dist/utils/Contract.js.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Numbers.d.ts +0 -27
- package/dist/utils/Numbers.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/utils/Numbers.js +0 -87
- package/dist/utils/Numbers.js.map +0 -1
- package/script/CreateMarketLib.sol +0 -1873
- package/script/DeployProxy.s.sol +0 -27
- package/script/DeployUpgradeablePM.s.sol +0 -47
- package/script/PredictionMarketV3_3Flow.s.sol +0 -132
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// SPDX-License-Identifier: GPL-2.0
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pragma solidity ^0.8.26;
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import {console} from "forge-std/console.sol";
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import {PredictionMarketV3_4} from "../contracts/PredictionMarketV3_4.sol";
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import {IPredictionMarketV3Manager} from "../contracts/IPredictionMarketV3Manager.sol";
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import {IERC20} from "@openzeppelin/contracts/token/ERC20/IERC20.sol";
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library CreateMarketLib {
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function createMarket(
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address payable predictionMarket,
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address manager,
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address token
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) internal returns (uint256) {
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address token1 = address(0x176211869cA2b568f2A7D4EE941E073a821EE1ff);
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address token2 = address(0x176211869cA2b568f2A7D4EE941E073a821EE1ff);
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address arbitrator = address(0x7836D709E750F6A2D6ff9362457028e8Cd901EB3);
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uint256[] memory distribution0 = new uint256[](2);distribution0[0] = 100e6;distribution0[1] = 100e6;
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uint256 marketId0 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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value: 1000000,
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closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 86400),
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outcomes: 2,
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token: IERC20(token1),
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distribution: distribution0,
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question: unicode"Test USDC 1;Test USDC 1␟\"A\",\"B\"␟Other;;https://example.org/;Test␟",
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image: unicode"␟,",
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arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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treasury: address(0),
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distributor: address(0),
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realitioTimeout: 3600,
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manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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}));
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uint256[] memory distribution1 = new uint256[](2);distribution1[0] = 100e6;distribution1[1] = 100e6;
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uint256 marketId1 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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value: 1000000,
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closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 86400 * 3),
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outcomes: 2,
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token: IERC20(token2),
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distribution: distribution1,
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question: unicode"Test USDC 2;Test USDC 2␟\"A\",\"B\"␟Other;;https://example.org/;Test␟",
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image: unicode"␟,",
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arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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treasury: address(0),
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distributor: address(0),
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realitioTimeout: 3600,
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manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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}));
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// uint256[] memory distribution2 = new uint256[](2);distribution2[0] = 100e6;distribution2[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId2 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// value: 1,
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// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
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// outcomes: 2,
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// token: IERC20(token2),
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// distribution: distribution2,
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// question: unicode"Thunder vs Pacers: Who wins Game 6?;The Indiana Pacers host the Oklahoma City Thunder at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Game 6 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Who wins?\\n\\n**Timeline**\\n\\n• Close: the market closes at the scheduled tip-off time\\n\\n• Resolution: the market will be resolved after the official results are published by the NBA.\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market will resolve to the winning team.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n• The match does not take place or is postponed indefinitely, and/or\\n\\n• No official result is declared.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Thunder\",\"Pacers\"␟Sports;;https://www.nba.com/playoffs/2025;NBA␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmVKDzYFZz53EriKdYZc5257CstSySQSEyxktd7Nr825Lh,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution3 = new uint256[](2);distribution3[0] = 100e6;distribution3[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId3 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// outcomes: 2,
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// distribution: distribution3,
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// question: unicode"Will the 50STATES dev beat the solo world record around the U.S.?;The Traveling To All 50 States LIVE (50STATES) meme coin project has been livestreaming a trip to all 50 States in America. The dev behind the token is attempting to become the fastest solo traveler to visit all 50 states via car. Will he do it?\\n\\n### **Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on June 19, 2025, at 9:00 AM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline**: The market will resolve as soon as the official result is confirmed via the 50 States LIVE account on X (formerly Twitter), or by June 19, 2025, at 7:33 PM EDT, whichever comes first\\n\\n### **Yes/No Criteria**\\n\\n- Resolves to **“Yes”** if 50STATES officially confirms that the record for the fastest time to solo-travel all 50 States (less than eight days and seven hours) has been broken during this attempt, based on public announcements made by the organizer on their official X account before the resolution deadline\\n- Resolves to **“No”** if no such confirmation is made before the resolution deadline, or if the challenge is completed in eight days and seven hours exactly or more.\\n\\n### **Resolution**\\n\\nThis market resolves based on an official announcement or statement made by the 50STATES team via their official X account. The confirmation must specify that the solo-travel record has been broken by visiting all 50 states in less than eight days and seven hours—aka 199 hours.\\n\\nIf no such confirmation is made publicly, or if the challenge is abandoned or fails to complete within the timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”\\n\\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled** if:\\n\\n1. Major inconsistencies or conflicting information prevent a clear resolution.\\n2. The official X account becomes inaccessible or deleted before confirmation.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Culture;;https://x.com/50StatesLIVE/;50StatesLIVE X account␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmXdqhFxY4YyFembBTvGVPdwPsw7Gn619BZGfcA5hbZcEg,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution4 = new uint256[](2);distribution4[0] = 100e6;distribution4[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId4 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// distribution: distribution4,
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// question: unicode"Will Chelsea win against Flamengo?;A FIFA Club World Cup Group D Matchday 2 of 3 clash between Chelsea and Flamengo at Lincoln Financial Field in a crucial group stage encounter that could determine qualification to the knockout rounds. Will Chelsea secure victory against the Flamengo?\\n\\nMarket closing: The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\n- The market resolves \\\"Yes\\\" if Chelsea win the match after 90 minutes plus added time.\\n- The market resolves \\\"No\\\" if the match ends in a draw or Flamengo victory.\\n- Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\n- If the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
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// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution5 = new uint256[](3);distribution5[0] = 100e6;distribution5[1] = 100e6;distribution5[2] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId5 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// value: 2000000,
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// closesAt: 1752408000,
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// outcomes: 3,
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// question: unicode"Who will win the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles title?;Wimbledon 2025 is here, and all eyes are on Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner—fresh off their thrilling French Open campaigns—as they begin their quests for Grand Slam glory. But will either of them go all the way, or will someone else steal the show?\\n\\n### **Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: July 13, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, ahead of the men’s singles final\\n- **Market Period**: Covers the full duration of the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles tournament (expected June 30 – July 13)\\n- **Resolution Deadline**: The outcome will be determined as soon as the final result is confirmed and published on the Wimbledon official website\\n\\n### **Outcome Criteria**\\n\\n- The market resolves to **“Alcaraz”** if Carlos Alcaraz is officially declared the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles champion\\n- The market resolves to **“Sinner”** if Jannik Sinner is officially declared the winner\\n- The market resolves to **“Other”** if any player other than Alcaraz or Sinner is declared the champion\\n\\n### **Resolution**\\n\\nThis market will resolve based on the official results posted on the Wimbledon website. If the winner is not clearly identified on the site, official statements from tournament organizers may be used as secondary sources.\\n\\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n1. The men’s singles tournament is not completed in 2025\\n2. The official Wimbledon website fails to publish a clear winner or conflicting data makes resolution impossible\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Alcaraz\",\"Sinner\",\"Other\"␟Sports;;https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/schedule/index.html;Wimbledon official website␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmduMh2r26NzgaHJSDkSx7UWdAV9fBp4UDBpJXTQaVmQqM,,",
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118
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution6 = new uint256[](6);distribution6[0] = 100e6;distribution6[1] = 100e6;distribution6[2] = 100e6;distribution6[3] = 100e6;distribution6[4] = 100e6;distribution6[5] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId6 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// value: 1,
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// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
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// outcomes: 6,
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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// distribution: distribution6,
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// question: unicode"CounterStrike: Who will win the Blast Austin Major?;The best of the best are battling for one of Counterstrike’s most sought after title: the Blast Austin Major 2025. Who will take the win?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 22, 2025, at 7:30 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** June 22, 2025, at 07:30 PM UTC, before the final starts.\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to the team officially declared the 2025 BLAST Austin Major winner among Vitality, Team Spirit, FURIA, FaZe Clan, and The MongolZ. For example, if FaZe Clan wins the tournament, the market resolves to “FaZe”.\\n- If any other team is declared the 2025 Blast Austin Major winner, this market will resolve to “Other”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the [blast.tv](http://blast.tv) website.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- The tournament format changes drastically from the announced format\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- The [blast.tv](http://blast.tv) Austin Major is cancelled or postponed indefinitely␟\"Vitality\",\"Spirit\",\"FURIA\",\"FaZe\",\"MongolZ\",\"Other\"␟Gaming;;https://blast.tv/cs/tournaments/austin-major-2025-finals;Blast.TV␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmfAbR6Y3v2XG5Qxo4vZjSqcJqD1QFMcUpnm569eipPZDF,,,,,",
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136
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution7 = new uint256[](2);distribution7[0] = 100e6;distribution7[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId7 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// value: 1,
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// closesAt: 1754020740,
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// outcomes: 2,
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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// distribution: distribution7,
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152
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// question: unicode"Will Donald Trump publicly give Elon Musk a nickname by end of July? ;The ongoing public feud between Donald Trump and Elon Musk has intensified through social media exchanges. Given Trump's well-known tendency to create nicknames for his rivals, will he coin and establish one for Musk by the end of July?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From publication through July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** Resolution will occur after market closing, or earlier if a clear outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nFor a nickname to be considered officially given to Musk, it must meet the following conditions:\\n\\n- **Usage Pattern:** The nickname must be:\\n - Used at least twice by Trump\\n - Both instances must occur within the market period\\n- **Qualifying Format:** The nickname must include either:\\n - A descriptive word attached to Musk's name (e.g., \\\"Mediocre Musk\\\")\\n - Modified version of his name for humorous effect (e.g., \\\"Elon Musky\\\")\\n - A standalone nickname clearly referring to Musk (e.g., \\\"Space Boy\\\")\\n- **Context Requirements:**\\n - The nickname must be clearly directed at Elon Musk\\n - References must be unambiguous and in context\\n - Quotes or repetitions by others don't count\\n - Edited or deleted posts will still count if properly documented\\n\\n**Resolution Sources**\\n\\n- Primary: Posts from his Truth Social account and unaltered video footage of Trump\\n- Secondary: Posts from his other verified personal social media accounts such as Trump’s X account.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- All of Trump's social media accounts become inaccessible during the market period\\n- Major platform changes prevent verification of Trump's statements\\n- Technical issues make accurate resolution impossible␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump;Trump Truth Social account␟",
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153
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// image: unicode"␟QmStGNj6ZmkqSkqvfPhnC69AhTZV2A9DutAbD4oR8RSnrL,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution8 = new uint256[](4);distribution8[0] = 100e6;distribution8[1] = 100e6;distribution8[2] = 100e6;distribution8[3] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId8 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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// value: 1,
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166
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// closesAt: 1756684740,
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167
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// outcomes: 4,
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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// distribution: distribution8,
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// question: unicode"How much ETH will the Gacha grand jackpot pay out?;## Rules / Description\\n\\n[Gacha](https://www.gacha.game/) has recently revealed its grand jackpot. How much ETH will the lucky scratcher receive?\\n\\n**Market Dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through August 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** August 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nThis market will resolve based on the winning on-chain transaction. The ETH value sent to the winning wallet will decide which of the options this market will resolve to. Only a winning transaction of the main Gacha grand jackpot will trigger a resolution, secondary prize payouts will not.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Void) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The Gacha Grand Jackpot is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- No official winner is declared by Gacha\\n- There is no verifiable on-chain transaction reporting a clear winner␟\"≤21 ETH\",\"\u003e21 ETH and ≤ 25 ETH\",\"\u003e25 ETH and ≤ 29 ETH\",\"\u003e29 ETH\"␟Crypto,Gaming;;https://abscan.org/;Abscan␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmWqTeqZzaYF6bhqKaDBckQQkq4FHfYb9jycg3H5TkXcX1,,,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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173
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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181
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// uint256[] memory distribution9 = new uint256[](4);distribution9[0] = 100e6;distribution9[1] = 100e6;distribution9[2] = 100e6;distribution9[3] = 100e6;
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182
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// uint256 marketId9 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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183
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// value: 1,
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184
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// closesAt: 1753660740,
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185
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// outcomes: 4,
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186
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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187
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// distribution: distribution9,
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188
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// question: unicode"Memecoin Battle: Which of these will have the highest market cap on July 27?;It’s Memecoin Madness and only one can win - who will stand victorious?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 27, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 27, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Coinmarketcap uploaded the Historical Snapshot for July 27, 2025.\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to the token ranked highest among $WIF, $Floki, $Pengu, and $BRETT on CoinMarketCap’s Cryptocurrency Historical Snapshot for July 27, 2025. For example, if $Floki ranks highest among the four on that date, the market resolves to “Floki”.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the ranking of Coinmarketcap only\\n- Exclusively the Historical Snapshot for July 27, 2025 will be used for resolution\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Coinmarketcap is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- Coinmarketcap doesn’t upload a Historical Snapshot for July 27, 2025\\n- $WIF, $Floki, $Pengu or $BRETT are delisted from Coinmarketcap␟\"WIF\",\"Floki\",\"PENGU\",\"BRETT\"␟Crypto;;https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/;CoinMarketCap␟",
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189
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// image: unicode"␟QmckTKNqJL4PEUxawzaP2NoAEVDeQjr5sVB6jTTzadHBCo,,,",
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190
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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191
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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192
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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195
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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197
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-
// }));
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198
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-
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199
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// uint256[] memory distribution10 = new uint256[](6);distribution10[0] = 100e6;distribution10[1] = 100e6;distribution10[2] = 100e6;distribution10[3] = 100e6;distribution10[4] = 100e6;distribution10[5] = 100e6;
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200
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// uint256 marketId10 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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201
|
-
// value: 1,
|
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202
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// closesAt: 1756749540,
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203
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// outcomes: 6,
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204
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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205
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// distribution: distribution10,
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206
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// question: unicode"Which top European soccer league will make the priciest transfer this summer?;The 2025 soccer summer transfer window is underway, triggering a race to land the biggest signing. By the time the window closes, which league will have completed the most expensive single incoming transfer among European clubs: the Premier League, La Liga, or another?\\n\\n### **Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through September 1, 2025, at 18:59 BST\\n- **Market Closing:** September 1, 2025, at 18:59 BST\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined after the window closes, using data available on or shortly after September 1, 2025\\n\\n### **Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThis market resolves to the league of the European club that completes the most expensive single **incoming** transfer during the 2025 summer window.\\n\\n- If the highest-fee transfer is to a Premier League club, the market resolves to **Premier League**\\n- If it’s to a La Liga club, it resolves to **La Liga**\\n- If it’s to to a Serie A club, it resolves to **Serie A**\\n- If it’s to a Bundesliga Club, it resolves to **Bundesliga**\\n- If it’s to a Ligue 1 Club, it resolves to **Ligue 1**\\n- If it’s to any other European club, the market resolves to **Other**\\n\\nOnly **transfers to clubs in European leagues** will be considered. Transfers to clubs outside Europe (e.g., Saudi Pro League, MLS) are excluded.\\n\\n- Resolution will be based solely on **Transfermarkt’s transfer fee data** as published on their official transfer list.\\n- Only deals with a **listed and publicly disclosed fee** on Transfermarkt will be eligible. \\n- Transfers listed as loans, free transfers, or those with “?” or undisclosed fees will not be considered.\\n- Players swapped as part of a deal will not be considered, i.e. if a transfer involved a $10 million fee and a player, the transfer will be considered $10 million.\\n- In the case of a tie, the earliest officially confirmed transfer (as shown by Transfermarkt’s listed date) will determine the outcome.\\n\\n### **Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The 2025 summer transfer window is significantly delayed, interrupted, or canceled\\n- Transfermarkt’s transfer data is not accessible or fails to clearly list a highest-fee transfer to a European club\\n- All top transfers are listed without fee values or are marked as unknown␟\"Premier League\",\"La Liga\",\"Serie A\",\"Bundesliga\",\"Ligue 1\",\"Other\"␟Sports;;https://www.transfermarkt.com/statistik/neuestetransfers;Transfermarkt␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmVSHoDS8J2edUiR8QmCJuUTBCgVyEsy64cF6LE2qghgRd,,,,,",
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208
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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209
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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211
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// treasury: address(0),
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212
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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-
// }));
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216
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217
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// uint256[] memory distribution11 = new uint256[](2);distribution11[0] = 100e6;distribution11[1] = 100e6;
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218
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// uint256 marketId11 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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219
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// value: 5000000,
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220
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-
// closesAt: 1765029600,
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221
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// outcomes: 2,
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222
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// token: IERC20(token2),
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223
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// distribution: distribution11,
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224
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// question: unicode"Will Oscar Piastri win the F1 Drivers Championship 2025?;The “Lando era” became the Oscar show—but can the rising star hold his nerve and beat Lando and Max to his first Drivers Championship?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 6th, 2025, at 02:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** December 6th, 2025, at 02:00 PM UTC ahead of the last race\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** This market will resolve based on the official race results published by Formula 1 after the publication of the results of the last race, or earlier if the outcome is reached. The resolution may be delayed if there are any announced investigations that could impact points-scoring positions\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- This market resolves to “Yes” if Oscar Piastri wins the Drivers Championship of Formula 1 in 2025.\\n- This market resolves to “No” if Oscar Piastri doesn’t win the Drivers Championship of Formula 1 in 2025\\n\\n**Cancellation/Invalidity details:**\\n\\nThis market will be cancelled if:\\n\\n- The 2025 Formula 1 season is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n- The racing format of the 2025 Formula 1 season changes significantly from the standard format\\n- No official result is declared\\n- The resolution source becomes unavailable for large period of the market period\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports,F1;;https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2025/drivers;Formula 1␟",
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225
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// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,",
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226
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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// uint256[] memory distribution12 = new uint256[](2);distribution12[0] = 100e6;distribution12[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId12 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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237
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// value: 1,
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238
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// closesAt: 1752537540,
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239
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// outcomes: 2,
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240
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// token: IERC20(token1),
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241
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// distribution: distribution12,
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242
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// question: unicode"Marcus Rashford: \\\"Here we go\\\" before mid July?;Manchester United's forward Marcus Rashford is reportedly available for £40m, with multiple clubs showing interest in securing his signature. Will transfer specialist Fabrizio Romano confirm a Rashford transfer with his trademark \\\"here we go\\\" announcement before July 15?\\n\\n**Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From market opening until July 14, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** July 14, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\n- The market resolves based on Fabrizio Romano's posts on his X (formerly Twitter) account. \\n- Resolution requires Romano to post a \\\"here we go\\\" announcement specifically confirming Rashford's transfer to any club within the market period.\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes” if Romano confirms Rashford is transferring to a new club.\\n- Resolves to \\\"No” if there is no such confirmation from Romano.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Fabrizio Romano's X account becomes unavailable\\n- The platform (X) experiences extended downtime\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable verification of Romano's posts␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://x.com/FabrizioRomano;Fabrizio Romano X Account␟",
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// image: unicode"␟QmP9ag9hedMTPWqQ7MzuktsUgam4oipxuAEQFMyvXQHket,",
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
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|
-
// }));
|
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-
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253
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-
// uint256[] memory distribution13 = new uint256[](2);distribution13[0] = 100e6;distribution13[1] = 100e6;
|
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254
|
-
// uint256 marketId13 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
255
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// value: 1,
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256
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// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
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257
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// outcomes: 2,
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258
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// token: IERC20(token2),
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259
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// distribution: distribution13,
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260
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// question: unicode"Will Seong Gi-hun survive season 3 of Squid Game?;Squid Game is set to return once again for yet another season and the main character, Seong Gi-hun, better known as “Player 456”, is about to take the stage again. But will he survive?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 26th, 2025, at 09:00 AM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** June 26th, 2025, at 09:00 AM EDT ahead of the launch of season 3 of “Squid Game”\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the entire season 3 of Squid Games is available on Netflix\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- This market resolves to “Yes” if Seong Gi-hun survives season 3 of Squid Game\\n- The market only resolves to “No” if there is clear, on-screen confirmation of Seong Gi-hun’s death. An ambiguous outcome—such as his disappearance, an off-screen fate, or any unclear status—will not qualify as “No”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- Seong Gi-hun will be considered to have survived as long as he is showing signs of life until the very end of season 3. Such signs are active movement, vocalization, or vital signs\\n- Visible breathing alone will not count as actors are often seen breathing when portraying death\\n\\n**Cancellation/Invalidity details:**\\n\\nThis market will be cancelled if:\\n\\n- Season 3 of “Squid Game” is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n- Seong Gi-hun does not appear in Season 3 of the “Squid Game”\\n- The resolution source does not upload Season 3 of “Squid Game”\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Culture;;https://www.netflix.com/;Netflix␟",
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261
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// image: unicode"␟Qmdsvs1RZJ7Eiq7qhWpaDynPMGW67KzJbxqdVzvdDoiqHJ,",
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262
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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263
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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264
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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// treasury: address(0),
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// distributor: address(0),
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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// }));
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270
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// uint256[] memory distribution14 = new uint256[](2);distribution14[0] = 100e6;distribution14[1] = 100e6;
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// uint256 marketId14 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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273
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// value: 1,
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274
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// closesAt: 1767225540,
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275
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// outcomes: 2,
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276
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// token: IERC20(token2),
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// distribution: distribution14,
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// question: unicode"Bitcoin’s next hit: moon to $115K or dip to $95K?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\\n - **“≥ $115K”** if the BTC/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds $115,000.00\\n - **“≤ $95K”** if the BTC/USDT price on Binance drops to or below $95,000.00\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\\n - 1-minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")\\n - \\\"Original\\\" view\\n - \\\"Close\\\" price of each candle\\n- Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The BTC/USDT spot price on Binance doesn’t reach either one of the two options until market close.\\n- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable\\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"≥ $115K\",\"≤ $95K\"␟Crypto;;https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot;Binance␟",
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279
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// image: unicode"␟QmdWFkhqiUX3XxwFBMGP749Wpx1Y44KAqqCuhpnCzap7cg,",
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280
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// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
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281
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// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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282
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// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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283
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// treasury: address(0),
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284
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// distributor: address(0),
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285
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// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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286
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// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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287
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-
// }));
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288
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-
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289
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// uint256[] memory distribution15 = new uint256[](2);distribution15[0] = 100e6;distribution15[1] = 100e6;
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290
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-
// uint256 marketId15 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
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291
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-
// value: 1,
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292
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-
// closesAt: 1754452740,
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293
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-
// outcomes: 2,
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294
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-
// token: IERC20(token2),
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295
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-
// distribution: distribution15,
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296
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-
// question: unicode"Mario Kart: New WR on Rainbow Road under 3’59’’ within 2 months of launch?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through August 5th, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** August 5th, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if a new world record with a time lower than 3:59:000 is uploaded to the resolution source\\n- Resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the world record is above 3:59:000 by market close\\n- Resolves to “No” if the world record is 3:59:000 exactly by market close\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- Only world records posted with video proof will count towards the resolution of this market\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be cancelled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source becomes unavailable for longer than 24 hours during the market period, is suspended or becomes unreliable\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable world records to be made or tracked during the market period\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Gaming;;https://mkwrs.com/mkworld/display.php?track=Rainbow+Road;MKWRS␟",
|
|
297
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmchwr7EaXhUjXcrBBcm1RrDSWGMuWGFtDUdoqgKrYnSU6,",
|
|
298
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
299
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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300
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
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301
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
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302
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-
// distributor: address(0),
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303
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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304
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
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|
305
|
-
// }));
|
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306
|
-
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307
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-
// uint256[] memory distribution16 = new uint256[](2);distribution16[0] = 100e6;distribution16[1] = 100e6;
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308
|
-
// uint256 marketId16 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
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309
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
310
|
-
// closesAt: 1767243540,
|
|
311
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
312
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
313
|
-
// distribution: distribution16,
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314
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Strategy (MSTR) sell any BTC by end of 2025?;Strategy (MSTR) has amassed more than half a million Bitcoin under Michael Saylor’s famous “never-sell” pledge, but a recent 8-K hinted the firm could liquidate coins if market or debt conditions sour. Will any of those BTC actually leave the treasury before the year is out?\\n\\n### **Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From publication through December 31 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined after market closing, or sooner if definitive information becomes available\\n\\n### **Yes/No criteria**\\n\\n- Resolves **Yes** if Strategy (MSTR) publicly reports—via an SEC 8-K filing or another official announcement—any Bitcoin sale executed during the Market Period, regardless of intent (planned or forced)\\n- Resolves **No** if no such sale is reported within the Market Period\\n\\n### **Resolution**\\n\\nThis market resolves based on SEC 8-K filings or other official announcements published by Strategy (MSTR) announcing bitcoin sales made during the Market Period.\\n\\nFor clarity, any Strategy announcement or SEC filing published **after** the Resolution Deadline will not count toward this market’s resolution, even if it confirms Bitcoin **sales** made during the Market Period.\\n\\nIf contradictory information appears, SEC filings take precedence over other sources.\\n\\n### **Cancellation conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n1. No authoritative source (e.g., SEC filings) is available, or the information is ambiguous\\n2. A corporate action (merger, ticker change, trading halt, etc.) makes resolution impossible or irrelevant\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.sec.gov/;SEC␟",
|
|
315
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmW5QvMaFVQ4GNdZNey1ypi9DFwRPmwZX2bJHoiGTQD7za,",
|
|
316
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
317
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
318
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
319
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
320
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
321
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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|
322
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
323
|
-
// }));
|
|
324
|
-
|
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325
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution17 = new uint256[](2);distribution17[0] = 100e6;distribution17[1] = 100e6;
|
|
326
|
-
// uint256 marketId17 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
327
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
328
|
-
// closesAt: 1754020740,
|
|
329
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
330
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
331
|
-
// distribution: distribution17,
|
|
332
|
-
// question: unicode"NVIDIA vs. Microsoft: Which will have the larger market cap by the end of July?;NVIDIA and Microsoft are going head to head, fighting to be the biggest company in the world. Which company ahead in market cap by the end of July?\\n\\n**Market Dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through July 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** June 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- Resolution Deadline: August 1st, 2025 at 11:59AM after the July 31st data is published\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\n**The market resolves to:**\\n\\n“NVIDIA” if NVIDIA’s market capitalization is higher than Microsoft's on July 31st, 2025.\\n\\n“Microsoft” if Microsoft’s market capitalization is higher than NVIDIA’s on July 31st, 2025.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThis market will only be resolved through historical data uploaded to \u003chttps://companiesmarketcap.com/time-machine/\u003e for June 31st.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"NVIDIA\",\"Microsoft\"␟Economy;;https://companiesmarketcap.com/time-machine/;Companies Market Cap␟",
|
|
333
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qme3XU5n8nivGNJPfBgvHu3KLqUQrW5n2qGbfPhFq9sWKX,",
|
|
334
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
335
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
336
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
337
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
338
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
339
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
340
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
341
|
-
// }));
|
|
342
|
-
|
|
343
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution18 = new uint256[](2);distribution18[0] = 100e6;distribution18[1] = 100e6;
|
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344
|
-
// uint256 marketId18 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
345
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
346
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
347
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
348
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
349
|
-
// distribution: distribution18,
|
|
350
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Bayern win against Boca Juniors?;FIFA Club World Cup Group C Matchday 2 of 3 encounter between Bayern Munich and Boca Juniors at Hard Rock Stadium Will Bayern claim victory in this group stage fixture?\\n\\nMarket closing: The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\n- The market resolves \\\"Yes\\\" if Bayern win the match after 90 minutes plus added time.\\n- The market resolves \\\"No\\\" if the match ends in a draw or Boca Juniors victory.\\n- Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\n- If the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
351
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
352
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
353
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
354
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
355
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
356
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
357
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
358
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
359
|
-
// }));
|
|
360
|
-
|
|
361
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution19 = new uint256[](2);distribution19[0] = 100e6;distribution19[1] = 100e6;
|
|
362
|
-
// uint256 marketId19 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
363
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
364
|
-
// closesAt: 1767243540,
|
|
365
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
366
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
367
|
-
// distribution: distribution19,
|
|
368
|
-
// question: unicode"Rihanna’s baby - boy or girl?;On May 5, 2025, at the Met Gala, Rihanna and A$AP Rocky surprised everyone by revealing that a new baby is on the way. Will their newest arrival be a boy or a girl?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined as soon as the resolution criteria are met\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to **“Boy”** if Rihanna, A$AP Rocky, or their official representatives announce that they are having a boy\\n- The market resolves to **“Girl”** if Rihanna, A$AP Rocky, or their official representatives announce that they are having a girl\\n- If no announcement is made before the birth, the market will resolve after Rihanna gives birth, based on the confirmed biological sex of the baby\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- If Rihanna gives birth to more than one child from this pregnancy, the market outcome is determined by the biological sex of the children:\\n - All male → **“Boy”**\\n - All female → **“Girl”**\\n - Mixed sexes → market **canceled**\\n- This market applies exclusively to the current pregnancy and will not account for any future pregnancies\\n\\n**Resolution sources:**\\n\\n- Rihanna’s official Instagram account will serve as the primary source for resolving the market\\n- Any other platform or statement used directly by Rihanna, A$AP Rocky, or their authorized representatives (e.g., press releases, social-media posts, interviews) may also be used to resolve the market\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The baby’s sex isn’t announced during the Market Period\\n- The baby’s sex does not fall into the traditional bounds of male or female\\n- Rihanna gives birth to multiple children and they are of different sexes\\n- The current pregnancy does not reach completion (e.g., miscarriage or termination)\\n- Any circumstance prevents a reliable resolution of the baby’s sex\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Boy\",\"Girl\"␟Culture;;https://www.instagram.com/badgalriri/;Rihanna's Instagram account␟",
|
|
369
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmNp2jffEo9FUc8MHkXvbQGuctJ1BCJcDBDy7snnYJQdNW,",
|
|
370
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
371
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
372
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
373
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
374
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
375
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
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|
376
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
377
|
-
// }));
|
|
378
|
-
|
|
379
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution20 = new uint256[](8);distribution20[0] = 100e6;distribution20[1] = 100e6;distribution20[2] = 100e6;distribution20[3] = 100e6;distribution20[4] = 100e6;distribution20[5] = 100e6;distribution20[6] = 100e6;distribution20[7] = 100e6;
|
|
380
|
-
// uint256 marketId20 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
381
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
382
|
-
// closesAt: 1752440400,
|
|
383
|
-
// outcomes: 8,
|
|
384
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
385
|
-
// distribution: distribution20,
|
|
386
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will win the FIFA Club World Cup 2025?;The FIFA Club World Cup 2025 is underway and many strong teams are squaring off to bring home the trophy! Who will reign victorious in the end?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 13, 2025, at 09:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13, 2025, at 09:00 PM UTC, two hours after the final match started\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the finals of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to whichever Club wins the Club World Cup 2025 trophy\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\n- If the tournament is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.␟\"PSG\",\"Real Madrid\",\"Manchester City\",\"Bayern Munich\",\"Chelsea\",\"Atletico Madrid\",\"Inter Milan\",\"Other\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
387
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,,,,,,,",
|
|
388
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
389
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
390
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
391
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
392
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
393
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
394
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
395
|
-
// }));
|
|
396
|
-
|
|
397
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution21 = new uint256[](2);distribution21[0] = 100e6;distribution21[1] = 100e6;
|
|
398
|
-
// uint256 marketId21 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
399
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
400
|
-
// closesAt: 1767243540,
|
|
401
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
402
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
403
|
-
// distribution: distribution21,
|
|
404
|
-
// question: unicode"XRP vs Litecoin: Which ETF will be approved first?;Altcoin ETFs are heating up, and both XRP and Litecoin are in the mix for potential approval. But which one will secure the green light first?\\n\\n### **Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve after the closing date or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\n**The market resolves to:**\\n\\n- **“XRP”** if the SEC officially approves an XRP ETF for issuance in the U.S. before approving a Litecoin ETF.\\n- **“Litecoin”** if the SEC officially approves a Litecoin ETF for issuance in the U.S. before approving an XRP ETF.\\n- Approval is defined as formal authorization granted by the U.S. SEC. The ETF does not need to begin trading.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- Neither of the two options receives an ETF approval during the market period\\n- Both ETFs are approved at the same time within the same SEC approval\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"XRP\",\"Litecoin\"␟Crypto;;https://www.sec.gov/;SEC␟",
|
|
405
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbccTwhuNV8Q5ZRuPDHZnyKMJCG9PUh1hvLZxt5YpHTox,",
|
|
406
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
407
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
408
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
409
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
410
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
411
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
412
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
413
|
-
// }));
|
|
414
|
-
|
|
415
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution22 = new uint256[](2);distribution22[0] = 100e6;distribution22[1] = 100e6;
|
|
416
|
-
// uint256 marketId22 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
417
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
418
|
-
// closesAt: 1767225540,
|
|
419
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
420
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
421
|
-
// distribution: distribution22,
|
|
422
|
-
// question: unicode"Ethereum’s next hit: moon to $3000 or dip to $2000?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves based on which condition is met first:\\n - **“≥ $3,000”** if the ETH/USDT price on Binance reaches or exceeds $3,000.00\\n - **“≤ $2,000”** if the ETH/USDT price on Binance drops to or below $2,000.00\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The market resolves based on the Binance ETH/USDT spot price, using the 1-minute chart with the following specifications:\\n - 1-minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")\\n - \\\"Original\\\" view\\n - \\\"Close\\\" price of each candle\\n- Only the price of ETH/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The ETH/USDT spot price on Binance doesn’t reach either one of the two options until market close\\n- The ETH/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable\\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"≥ $3,000\",\"≤ $2,000\"␟Crypto;;https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot;Binance␟",
|
|
423
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmUp1FtmT2NCZKfahjidpJswRYTrW3J2nGYNd125c8MMFb,",
|
|
424
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
425
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
426
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
427
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
428
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
429
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
430
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
431
|
-
// }));
|
|
432
|
-
|
|
433
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution23 = new uint256[](5);distribution23[0] = 100e6;distribution23[1] = 100e6;distribution23[2] = 100e6;distribution23[3] = 100e6;distribution23[4] = 100e6;
|
|
434
|
-
// uint256 marketId23 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
435
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
436
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
437
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
438
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
439
|
-
// distribution: distribution23,
|
|
440
|
-
// question: unicode"How many holders will get the “Black Star” badge?;A new weekly badge has launched on Abstract! How many people will claim the flash badge before it leaves the portal?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 24th, 2025, at 12:00 AM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** June 24th, 2025, at 12:00 AM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the flash “The Black Star Badge” is no longer available to mint on the Abstract Portal\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to the range corresponding to the total number of wallets that acquire the Black Star Badge by the resolution date. For example, if 16,200 wallets acquire the badge, the market resolves to “≥15k and \u0026lt;20k”.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the Abscan count of holders once the flash badge is no longer available\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The Abscan platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- The badge is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n- The duration for claiming the badge changes␟\"\u003c5k\",\"≥5k and \u003c10k\",\"≥10k and \u003c15k\",\"≥15k and \u003c20k\",\"≥20k\"␟Crypto;;https://abscan.org/nft/0xbc176ac2373614f9858a118917d83b139bcb3f8c/34;Abscan␟",
|
|
441
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmYx69uX5npfMgpuYNneDKRo5ekwLdNyuebJ5uHb6hSptV,,,,",
|
|
442
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
443
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
444
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
445
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
446
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
447
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
448
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
449
|
-
// }));
|
|
450
|
-
|
|
451
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution24 = new uint256[](2);distribution24[0] = 100e6;distribution24[1] = 100e6;
|
|
452
|
-
// uint256 marketId24 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
453
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
454
|
-
// closesAt: 1759291140,
|
|
455
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
456
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
457
|
-
// distribution: distribution24,
|
|
458
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Gemini announce its IPO launch date by the end of Q3?;On June 6, Gemini, the crypto exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, has officially taken its first step toward going public by submitting a draft registration statement on SEC Form S-1 for a proposed IPO of its Class A common stock. Will Gemini announce its IPO launch date by the end of Q3 2025?\\n\\n## Market dates\\n\\n- Market Closing: September 30, 2025, at 11:59pm EDT.\\n- Market Period: This market covers announcements made between the market publication and its closing date.\\n- Resolution Deadline: October 1, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT, or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period.\\n\\n## Yes/No Criteria:\\n\\n- The market resolves to “Yes” if Gemini publicly announces a specific IPO launch date (including both day and month) during the Market Period, even if the IPO date itself is scheduled for after Q3.\\n- The market resolves to “No” if no such announcement is made by the end of the Market Period.\\n- Vague statements, rumors, or announcements without a concrete date do not count.\\n\\n## Resolution:\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined based on official press releases published on PR Newswire or via other official Gemini channels. Only clear, direct announcements from Gemini specifying the IPO date will be considered valid for resolution.\\n\\n## Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- No official press releases or credible announcements are available from PR Newswire regarding Gemini’s IPO by the resolution deadline.\\n- Any major change or event makes it impossible or unreliable to resolve the market based on the stated criteria.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto,Tech \u0026 Science;;https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/;PR Newswire␟",
|
|
459
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmQDFSEznSG5FDPr4YNWwr7jvKWvKy3ZPPhdknpBZeLtRz,",
|
|
460
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
461
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
462
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
463
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
464
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
465
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
466
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
467
|
-
// }));
|
|
468
|
-
|
|
469
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution25 = new uint256[](2);distribution25[0] = 100e6;distribution25[1] = 100e6;
|
|
470
|
-
// uint256 marketId25 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
471
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
472
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
473
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
474
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
475
|
-
// distribution: distribution25,
|
|
476
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Elon Musk publish over 160 X posts between June 13 and June 20?;Will Elon Musk publish more than 160 posts between June 13, 2025, 12:00pm EDT, and June 20, 2025, 12:00pm EDT?\\n\\n**Market Details**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: June 19, 2025, at 12:00pm EDT, 24 hours before resolution time\\n- **Measurement Period**: June 13, 2025, 12:00pm EDT to June 20, 2025, 12:00pm EDT\\n- **Resolution Time**: June 20, 2025, 1:00pm EDT, after the counting period is completed\\n\\nYes/ No Criteria:\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Elon Musk's X post count exceeds 160.\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if his X post count is 160 or fewer.\\n\\n\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\ **Post Counting Rules**\\n\\n- **Included**: Main feed posts, quotes, and reposts\\n- **Not Included**: Replies (unless they appear on the main feed)\\n- **Deleted Posts**: Count if they remained visible long enough to be registered by XTracker\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe market will be resolved primarily using XTracker's \\\"Post Counter\\\" value. Individual posts can be verified through XTracker's \\\"Export Data\\\" feature. If XTracker data is unavailable or incomplete, X platform data may be used as a backup source.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Neither XTracker nor X can provide verifiable post count data\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate tracking during the specified period\\n- Major platform changes affect post counting methodology.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Culture;;https://www.xtracker.io/;X Tracker␟",
|
|
477
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRxk5UX1o6UW7tRZRxE7Rs5CuVeA7K3XkFowasix2tzTv,",
|
|
478
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
479
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
480
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
481
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
482
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
483
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
484
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
485
|
-
// }));
|
|
486
|
-
|
|
487
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution26 = new uint256[](2);distribution26[0] = 100e6;distribution26[1] = 100e6;
|
|
488
|
-
// uint256 marketId26 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
489
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
490
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
491
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
492
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
493
|
-
// distribution: distribution26,
|
|
494
|
-
// question: unicode"CounterStrike: Will Vitality win the Blast Austin Major 2025?;Counterstrike’s most dominant team ever fights for yet another highly sought after title—the Blast Austin Major 2025. Can Vitality take the win?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through June 22th, 2025, at 7:30 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** June 22th, 2025, at 7:30 PM UTC, before the final match starts, as scheduled.\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitality is officially declared the 2025 Blast Austin Major winner.\\n\\nThis market will resolve to “No” if any other team is declared the 2025 Blast Austin Major winner.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the [blast.tv](http://blast.tv) website.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- The tournament format changes drastically from the announced format\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- The [blast.tv](http://blast.tv) Austin Major is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Gaming;;https://blast.tv/cs/tournaments/austin-major-2025-finals;Blast.tv␟",
|
|
495
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmXDUEn6mwhDkWAq86dWxDWqfxYBa9g357aEasfJhBPL3A,",
|
|
496
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
497
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
498
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
499
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
500
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
501
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
502
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
503
|
-
// }));
|
|
504
|
-
|
|
505
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution27 = new uint256[](2);distribution27[0] = 100e6;distribution27[1] = 100e6;
|
|
506
|
-
// uint256 marketId27 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
507
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
508
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
509
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
510
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
511
|
-
// distribution: distribution27,
|
|
512
|
-
// question: unicode"Strategy (MSTR) Bitcoin purchases above 3,500 BTC this week (June 17 -23)?;### Market dates\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on June 21, 2025, at 11:59pm EDT, two days before Strategy (MSTR) usually posts their weekly purchases announcement.\\n- **Market Period:** The market is focused on Bitcoin purchases made between June 17 and June 23, 2025 (inclusive).\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined based on official information made available before or on June 23, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT.\\n\\n### **Yes/No Criteria**:\\n\\n- The market resolves to “Yes” if Strategy (MSTR) reports Bitcoin purchases exceeding 3,500 BTC made during the Market Period before the Resolution Deadline.\\n- It resolves to “No” if the purchases are at or below 3,500 BTC, or if no Bitcoin purchases are made during the Market Period.\\n\\n### **Resolution**\\n\\nThis market resolves based on SEC 8-K filings or other official announcements published by Strategy (MSTR) announcing Bitcoin purchases made during the Market Period.\\n\\nFor clarity, any Strategy announcement or SEC filing published after the Resolution Deadline will not count towards this market’s resolution, even if they confirm BTC purchases made during the Market Period.\\n\\nIf contradictory information is submitted by Strategy (MSTR) in SEC 8-K filings and in other announcements before the Resolution Deadline regarding Bitcoin purchases made during the Market Period, the SEC 8-K filings submitted by Strategy (MSTR) will take precedence.\\n\\n## **Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if\\n\\n- Information is unavailable or ambiguous\\n\\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares. This can result in a profit or a loss, depending on outcome share prices at cancellation.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.sec.gov/;SEC␟",
|
|
513
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmW5QvMaFVQ4GNdZNey1ypi9DFwRPmwZX2bJHoiGTQD7za,",
|
|
514
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
515
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
516
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
517
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
518
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
519
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
520
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
521
|
-
// }));
|
|
522
|
-
|
|
523
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution28 = new uint256[](2);distribution28[0] = 100e6;distribution28[1] = 100e6;
|
|
524
|
-
// uint256 marketId28 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
525
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
526
|
-
// closesAt: 1767243540,
|
|
527
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
528
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
529
|
-
// distribution: distribution28,
|
|
530
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?;President Trump's relationship with China has been a significant focus of international politics. Will Trump make an official or unofficial visit to mainland China during 2025?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** The market covers any visits to mainland China from market publish through to December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market closing:** December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China during the market period, this market will resolve to \\\"Yes”\\n- This market will resolve to \\\"No\\\" if U.S. President Donald Trump does NOT visit China during the market period\\n\\n**Resolution Details**\\n\\n- A \\\"visit\\\" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of mainland China\\n- Simply entering Chinese airspace (such as during a flight stopover or while en route to another destination) does not qualify as a visit for the purposes of this market. A positive resolution requires Trump to physically set foot on mainland Chinese soil.\\n- A visit to non-mainland China, including but not exclusive to Hong Kong and Taiwan, does not count for a “Yes” resolution\\n\\n**Resolution Sources:**\\n\\n- Primary Source: The White House official website\\n- Secondary Sources: Trump's verified social media accounts (e.g., [twitter.com/POTUS](http://twitter.com/POTUS)) or confirmation from international media outlets such as Associated Press or Reuters\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\n- The visit's status cannot be definitively determined using the specified resolution sources\\n- Major geopolitical events make travel between the U.S. and China impossible\\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable verification of the outcome\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.whitehouse.gov/news/;White House␟",
|
|
531
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmavjGJWVwgxnnwQoBGxUP4dPtfUDSzp6yBjdRGj4SuqTD,",
|
|
532
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
533
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
534
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
535
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
536
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
537
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
538
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
539
|
-
// }));
|
|
540
|
-
|
|
541
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution29 = new uint256[](2);distribution29[0] = 100e6;distribution29[1] = 100e6;
|
|
542
|
-
// uint256 marketId29 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
543
|
-
// value: 10000000,
|
|
544
|
-
// closesAt: 1767239940,
|
|
545
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
546
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
547
|
-
// distribution: distribution29,
|
|
548
|
-
// question: unicode"Where will BTC dominance hit Next: 70% or 58%?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"70%\\\" if the Bitcoin Market Cap Dominance reaches 70.00% or above\\n\\nResolves to \\\"58%\\\" if the Bitcoin Market Cap Dominance drops to 58.00% or below\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The TradingView “Market Cap BTC Dominance, %” chart will be used—specifically the 1-minute chart—to determine whether Bitcoin’s market cap dominance reached 58.00% or lower, or 70.00% or higher, at any point during the market period\\n- Only the Market Cap BTC Dominance in % as quoted by TradingView will be considered\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The Market Cap BTC Dominance in % on Tradingview doesn’t reach either of the two options by market close\\n- The Market Cap BTC Dominance chart in % on Tradingview is suspended or becomes unreliable\\n- The Market Cap BTC Dominance chart in % is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"70%\",\"58%\"␟Crypto;;https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTC.D/?timeframe=YTD;Trading View␟",
|
|
549
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmdWFkhqiUX3XxwFBMGP749Wpx1Y44KAqqCuhpnCzap7cg,",
|
|
550
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
551
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
552
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
553
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
554
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
555
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
556
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
557
|
-
// }));
|
|
558
|
-
|
|
559
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution30 = new uint256[](2);distribution30[0] = 100e6;distribution30[1] = 100e6;
|
|
560
|
-
// uint256 marketId30 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
561
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
562
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
563
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
564
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
565
|
-
// distribution: distribution30,
|
|
566
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed Index at 60 or higher on June 19?;**Market Closing:** June 18, 2025 at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** June 19, 2025 at 00:00 UTC, upon Fear and Greed Index update\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) reaches or exceeds 60 at its update on June 19, 2025 at 00:00 UTC\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the index falls below 60 at resolution time.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.\\n\\nIn case of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at their positions' market value at the time of cancellation. This may result in either profit or loss, depending on the outstanding shares' price.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
567
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbffKgL9ZQmAvA9TChUTFFYJ9jBwysF2mQp18anmD15PE,",
|
|
568
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
569
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
570
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
571
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
572
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
573
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
574
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
575
|
-
// }));
|
|
576
|
-
|
|
577
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution31 = new uint256[](4);distribution31[0] = 100e6;distribution31[1] = 100e6;distribution31[2] = 100e6;distribution31[3] = 100e6;
|
|
578
|
-
// uint256 marketId31 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
579
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
580
|
-
// closesAt: 1752382800,
|
|
581
|
-
// outcomes: 4,
|
|
582
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
583
|
-
// distribution: distribution31,
|
|
584
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will win MSI 2025?;The best teams in professional League of Legends meet up for a highly anticipated Mid Season Invitational. Who will be crowned the winner of the event?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 13th, 2025, at 07:00 AM CET\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13th, 2025, at 07:00 AM CET, five hours into the finals\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the tournament finals are completed\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve to “Gen.G” if Gen.G is officially declared the 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n- This market will resolve to “T1” if T1 is officially declared the 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n- This market will resolve to “Anyone’s Legend” if Anyone’s Legend is officially declared the 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n- This market will resolve to “Other” if any of the other teams participating is officially declared the 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the League of Legends Esports homepage.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- The tournament format changes drastically from the announced format\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- The MSI 2025 tournament is cancelled or postponed indefinitely␟\"Gen.G\",\"T1\",\"Anyone’s Legend\",\"Other\"␟Gaming;;https://lolesports.com/id-ID/;LoL Esports␟",
|
|
585
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRbe4F1C7JL23QzeRf7gEbUqY54f1mHoD3GgQtzobVn3L,,,",
|
|
586
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
587
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
588
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
589
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
590
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
591
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
592
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
593
|
-
// }));
|
|
594
|
-
|
|
595
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution32 = new uint256[](2);distribution32[0] = 100e6;distribution32[1] = 100e6;
|
|
596
|
-
// uint256 marketId32 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
597
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
598
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
599
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
600
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
601
|
-
// distribution: distribution32,
|
|
602
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will become the 2025 NBA Champion?;The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers at Paycom Center in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals. Who will become the 2025 NBA Champion?\\n\\n**Timeline**\\n\\n• Close: the market closes at the scheduled tip-off time\\n\\n• Resolution: the market will be resolved after the official results are published by the NBA.\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market will resolve to the winning team.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n• The match does not take place or is postponed indefinitely, and/or\\n\\n• No official result is declared.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Thunder\",\"Pacers\"␟Sports;;https://www.nba.com/playoffs/2025;NBA␟",
|
|
603
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmVKDzYFZz53EriKdYZc5257CstSySQSEyxktd7Nr825Lh,",
|
|
604
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
605
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
606
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
607
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
608
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
609
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
610
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
611
|
-
// }));
|
|
612
|
-
|
|
613
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution33 = new uint256[](2);distribution33[0] = 100e6;distribution33[1] = 100e6;
|
|
614
|
-
// uint256 marketId33 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
615
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
616
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
617
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
618
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
619
|
-
// distribution: distribution33,
|
|
620
|
-
// question: unicode"Will PENGU be on the Top 100 Cryptocurrencies on June 29?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** June 28, 2025, at 12:00 AM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Coinmarketcap uploaded the Historical Snapshot for June 29, 2025.\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if $PENGU is within the top 100 in the Coinmarketcap Cryptocurrency Historical Snapshot for June 29, 2025.\\n- Resolves to \\\"No\\\" if $PENGU is not within the top 100 in the Coinmarketcap Cryptocurrency Historical Snapshot for June 29, 2025.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the ranking of Coinmarketcap only\\n- Exclusively the Historical Snapshot for June 29, 2025 will be used for resolution\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Coinmarketcap is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- Coinmarketcap doesn’t upload a Historical Snapshot for June 29, 2025\\n- $Pengu is delisted from Coinmarketcap\\n\\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/;CoinMarketCap␟",
|
|
621
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmSw1CYnC3wuh3fSBm2c6BQwCyArQjE4WjKjFgNWbjiDeV,",
|
|
622
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
623
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
624
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
625
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
626
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
627
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
628
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
629
|
-
// }));
|
|
630
|
-
|
|
631
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution34 = new uint256[](2);distribution34[0] = 100e6;distribution34[1] = 100e6;
|
|
632
|
-
// uint256 marketId34 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
633
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
634
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
635
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
636
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
637
|
-
// distribution: distribution34,
|
|
638
|
-
// question: unicode"Bitcoin price above $100,000 on June 27, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC?;- **Market Closing**: The market closes 12 hours before the measurement date, on **June 27, 2025, at 11:59am UTC.**\\n- **Resolution Time**: The outcome will be determined on **June 27, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC**.\\n- **Yes/No Criteria**:\\n - Resolves to **\\\"Yes\\\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance is **strictly above $100,000.00** at that time.\\n - Resolves to **\\\"No\\\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance is **exactly $100,000.00 or lower** at that time.\\n\\n## **Resolution**\\n\\n- The **Binance BTC/USDT spot price** will be used, specifically the **closing price** of the **1-minute candle** at Resolution Time, viewed on:\\n\\n1. **1 minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")**\\n2. **\\\"Original\\\" view**\\n3. **\\\"Close\\\"** price\\n\\n- Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\\n\\n## **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n1. The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available at the resolution time.\\n2. The BTC/USDT spot market is not available on Binance at the resolution time.\\n3. Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source.\\n\\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot;Binance␟",
|
|
639
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmQVpfU4c4tdJR7TidSXsazMJ8kX9MwnshAX68urqJJMyd,",
|
|
640
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
641
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
642
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
643
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
644
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
645
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
646
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
647
|
-
// }));
|
|
648
|
-
|
|
649
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution35 = new uint256[](2);distribution35[0] = 100e6;distribution35[1] = 100e6;
|
|
650
|
-
// uint256 marketId35 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
651
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
652
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
653
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
654
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
655
|
-
// distribution: distribution35,
|
|
656
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Bayern win against Benfica?;A FIFA Club World Cup Group Stage Matchday 3 clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica. The German giants face the Portuguese powerhouse in what could be a decisive group stage encounter that determines qualification to the knockout rounds. Will Bayern secure victory in this crucial final group match?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\n- The market resolves \\\"Yes\\\" if Bayern Munich wins the match after 90 minutes plus added time.\\n- The market resolves \\\"No\\\" if the match ends in a draw or Benfica victory. Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA␟",
|
|
657
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
658
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
659
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
660
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
661
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
662
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
663
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
664
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
665
|
-
// }));
|
|
666
|
-
|
|
667
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution36 = new uint256[](2);distribution36[0] = 100e6;distribution36[1] = 100e6;
|
|
668
|
-
// uint256 marketId36 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
669
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
670
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
671
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
672
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
673
|
-
// distribution: distribution36,
|
|
674
|
-
// question: unicode"Nasdaq vs S\u0026P500: which will perform better on June 24?;Tech stocks and broader market indices often moving in different directions. Which index will show better performance on June 24?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on June 24, 2025, at 9:30 AM EDT\\n- **Measurement Period**: June 24, 2025 (daily performance)\\n- **Resolution Time**: June 24, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT (after market close)\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to:\\n\\n- **S\u0026P 500** if the S\u0026P 500's percentage change for the day is higher than the Nasdaq's percentage change\\n- **Nasdaq** if the Nasdaq's percentage change for the day is higher than the S\u0026P 500's percentage change\\n\\nPerformance will be calculated as:\\n\\n- Percentage change = ((Closing price - Previous day's closing price) / Previous day's closing price) × 100\\n- The index with the higher percentage change (or smaller loss) will be considered the winner\\n- In case of exactly equal performance, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined using the official closing prices from [Investing.com](http://Investing.com), comparing the percentage change of both indices. The calculation will use the standard closing prices for both indices.\\n\\nData will be sourced from:\\n\\n- S\u0026P 500: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data\u003e\\n- Nasdaq: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/nasdaq-composite-historical-data\u003e\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Trading is suspended or interrupted for either index\\n- The official data source is unavailable or shows conflicting information\\n- A major market disruption affects the normal trading or closing prices\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate calculation of the performance\\n- Both indices show exactly the same percentage change\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Nasdaq\",\"S\u0026P 500\"␟Crypto;;https://www.investing.com;Investing.com␟",
|
|
675
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP2p97Xg7keUT8UicrwhzqrqFkn3op2V7Ww2Tg7Bx8vxU,",
|
|
676
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
677
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
678
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
679
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
680
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
681
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
682
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
683
|
-
// }));
|
|
684
|
-
|
|
685
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution37 = new uint256[](2);distribution37[0] = 100e6;distribution37[1] = 100e6;
|
|
686
|
-
// uint256 marketId37 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
687
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
688
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
689
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
690
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
691
|
-
// distribution: distribution37,
|
|
692
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed Index at 50 or higher on June 25?;**Market Closing:** June 24, 2025 at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** June 25, 2025 at 00:00 UTC, upon Fear and Greed Index update\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) reaches or exceeds 50 at its update on June 24, 2025 at 00:00 UTC\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the index falls below 50 at resolution time.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.\\n\\nIn case of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at their positions' market value at the time of cancellation. This may result in either profit or loss, depending on the outstanding shares' price.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
693
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbffKgL9ZQmAvA9TChUTFFYJ9jBwysF2mQp18anmD15PE,",
|
|
694
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
695
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
696
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
697
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
698
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
699
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
700
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
701
|
-
// }));
|
|
702
|
-
|
|
703
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution38 = new uint256[](2);distribution38[0] = 100e6;distribution38[1] = 100e6;
|
|
704
|
-
// uint256 marketId38 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
705
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
706
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
707
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
708
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
709
|
-
// distribution: distribution38,
|
|
710
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Man City win against Juventus?;A FIFA Club World Cup Group Stage Matchday 3 heavyweight clash between Manchester City and Juventus. Two of Europe's most successful clubs face off in what promises to be a thrilling final group stage match with potential knockout qualification implications. Will Man City claim victory against the Italian giants?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\n- The market resolves \\\"Yes\\\" if Manchester City wins the match after 90 minutes plus added time.\\n- The market resolves \\\"No\\\" if the match ends in a draw or Juventus victory. Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA␟",
|
|
711
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
712
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
713
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
714
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
715
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
716
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
717
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
718
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
719
|
-
// }));
|
|
720
|
-
|
|
721
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution39 = new uint256[](2);distribution39[0] = 100e6;distribution39[1] = 100e6;
|
|
722
|
-
// uint256 marketId39 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
723
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
724
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
725
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
726
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
727
|
-
// distribution: distribution39,
|
|
728
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed Index at 50 or higher on June 27?;**Market Closing:** June 25, 2025 at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** June 27, 2025 at 00:00 UTC, upon Fear and Greed Index update\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) reaches or exceeds 50 at its update on June 27, 2025 at 00:00 UTC\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the index falls below 50 at resolution time.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.\\n\\nIn case of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at their positions' market value at the time of cancellation. This may result in either profit or loss, depending on the outstanding shares' price.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
729
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbffKgL9ZQmAvA9TChUTFFYJ9jBwysF2mQp18anmD15PE,",
|
|
730
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
731
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
732
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
733
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
734
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
735
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
736
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
737
|
-
// }));
|
|
738
|
-
|
|
739
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution40 = new uint256[](2);distribution40[0] = 100e6;distribution40[1] = 100e6;
|
|
740
|
-
// uint256 marketId40 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
741
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
742
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
743
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
744
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
745
|
-
// distribution: distribution40,
|
|
746
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Inter win against River Plate?;A FIFA Club World Cup Group Stage Matchday 3 encounter between Inter Milan and River Plate. The Italian champions meet the Argentine giants in a final group stage battle that could determine which team advances to the knockout phase. Will Inter secure victory in this South American versus European showdown?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\n- The market resolves \\\"Yes\\\" if Inter Milan wins the match after 90 minutes plus added time.\\n- The market resolves \\\"No\\\" if the match ends in a draw or River Plate victory. Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA␟",
|
|
747
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
748
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
749
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
750
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
751
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
752
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
753
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
754
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
755
|
-
// }));
|
|
756
|
-
|
|
757
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution41 = new uint256[](2);distribution41[0] = 100e6;distribution41[1] = 100e6;
|
|
758
|
-
// uint256 marketId41 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
759
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
760
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
761
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
762
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
763
|
-
// distribution: distribution41,
|
|
764
|
-
// question: unicode"Will President Trump declare the Israel-Iran ceasefire deal is over by Friday?;Following Iran's missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq on June 23, 2025, Trump announced a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran. However, the two countries continued firing at each other and Trump is urging both sides to respect the ceasefire. Will Trump publicly declare this ceasefire agreement has failed or ended by Friday?\\n\\n**Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From publication date towards June 27, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** June 27, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** June 28, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT, or earlier if outcome is determined\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\nThe market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Donald Trump explicitly declares through either:\\n\\n- A Truth Social post\\n- A recorded public appearance (speech, rally, or press conference)\\n\\nThat the ceasefire deal has explicitly:\\n\\n- Failed\\n- Ended\\n- Is \\\"over\\\"\\n- Is \\\"dead\\\"\\n- Or similar definitive terms indicating termination\\n\\n**Important Resolution Notes:**\\n\\n- Only direct statements from Trump himself will be considered\\n- Military actions by either side without Trump's explicit declaration will NOT trigger a \\\"Yes\\\" resolution\\n- Criticism of the deal or expressing concerns will NOT be sufficient\\n- The statement must clearly and unambiguously declare the end of the ceasefire deal\\n- Screenshots or recordings must be verifiable as authentic\\n\\n**Resolution Sources**\\n\\nPrimary sources only:\\n\\n- Trump's Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump)\\n- Video/audio recordings of Trump's public appearances\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n• Trump becomes incapacitated or unable to make public statements\\n\\n• Truth Social platform becomes inaccessible for a significant period\\n\\n• Technical issues prevent verification of Trump's statements\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump;Trump Truth Social account␟",
|
|
765
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmQeoGfjSNzsrz8WJTfdAasAMeLSNH3DFKEcFW3n9FizEG,",
|
|
766
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
767
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
768
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
769
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
770
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
771
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
772
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
773
|
-
// }));
|
|
774
|
-
|
|
775
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution42 = new uint256[](2);distribution42[0] = 100e6;distribution42[1] = 100e6;
|
|
776
|
-
// uint256 marketId42 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
777
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
778
|
-
// closesAt: 1767225540,
|
|
779
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
780
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
781
|
-
// distribution: distribution42,
|
|
782
|
-
// question: unicode"US-Iran nuclear deal by end of 2025?;After four rounds of \\\"difficult\\\" nuclear talks in Oman and Iran's recent declaration that uranium enrichment for civilian purposes is \\\"non-negotiable,\\\" tensions remain high between the US and Iran. With more diplomatic discussions scheduled, will the two nations reach a nuclear deal by the end of 2025?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline**: At market closing or sooner whenever the outcome is determined\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if an official nuclear-related agreement between the United States and Iran is publicly announced during the Market Period\\n\\n- The agreement must be officially announced by both parties\\n- Multilateral agreements that include both the US and Iran (such as JCPOA-style deals) qualify\\n- Informal announcements or preliminary agreements that don't constitute a finalized deal won't count\\n\\nResolves to \\\"No\\\" if:\\n\\n- No official agreement is announced by both parties during the Market Period\\n- Only informal or preliminary agreements are announced\\n- Only one party announces an agreement without confirmation from the other\\n- Any announced agreement does not specifically address nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nPrimary resolution will be based on White House official press releases, announcements, or statements; as well as based on official Iranian government channels including but not limited to Press TV, Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting (IRIB), and Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA). Reuters, Associated Press, or AFP News Agency reports may be used as supplementary sources if needed.\\n\\nAny announcements or reports published after the Resolution Deadline will not be considered, even if they contain relevant information about agreements made during the Market Period.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised\\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome\\n- Major geopolitical events fundamentally alter the nature of US-Iran relations\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.whitehouse.gov/;The White House␟",
|
|
783
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbRNf34U8qfpVFARGDN2f6JeUrxvCKEWUUAPSRvZebKnr,",
|
|
784
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
785
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
786
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
787
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
788
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
789
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
790
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
791
|
-
// }));
|
|
792
|
-
|
|
793
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution43 = new uint256[](2);distribution43[0] = 100e6;distribution43[1] = 100e6;
|
|
794
|
-
// uint256 marketId43 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
795
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
796
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
797
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
798
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
799
|
-
// distribution: distribution43,
|
|
800
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Qatar launch a military response against Iran by end of June?;Iran launched missile attacks targeting Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on June 23, 2025, with Qatar asserting its \\\"right to respond.\\\" Will Qatar conduct any form of military action against Iran by end of June?\\n\\n**Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the market publication date towards June 30, 2025 at 11:59PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** July 1, 2025 at 23:59 PM UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Qatar conducts any military strikes, missile launches, or other offensive military operations against Iranian targets\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if no such actions occur during the specified period.\\n- Statements of intent, diplomatic warnings, or threats will NOT be considered sufficient for a \\\"Yes\\\" resolution\\n- Only confirmed and verified military actions that have actually occurred will count\\n- Strikes do not need to land or cause damage to resolve “Yes,” they simply need to be fired at an Iranian target\\n\\n**Resolution Sources**\\n\\n- **Primary Source:** As Qatar's state-funded broadcaster and leading news organization in the region, Al Jazeera will be considered the primary and most authoritative source\\n- **Secondary Sources**\\n - Reuters ([www.reuters.com](http://www.reuters.com))\\n - Associated Press ([www.ap.org](http://www.ap.org))\\n - These sources will be used to verify and cross-reference reports, especially if Al Jazeera's reporting is unavailable or unclear\\n- In case of conflicting reports, a consensus among at least two of the three specified news sources will be required\\n- Reports must clearly attribute the military action to Qatar's armed forces or government\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n• A ceasefire agreement is reached before any Qatari response\\n\\n• Major international intervention prevents potential military actions\\n\\n• Reliable verification of military actions becomes impossible\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.aljazeera.com;Al Jazeera␟",
|
|
801
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmeTBPjkkSqCc31qLjTSByRDmKnctnGhhgWeWa5yBeHrg2,",
|
|
802
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
803
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
804
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
805
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
806
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
807
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
808
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
809
|
-
// }));
|
|
810
|
-
|
|
811
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution44 = new uint256[](2);distribution44[0] = 100e6;distribution44[1] = 100e6;
|
|
812
|
-
// uint256 marketId44 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
813
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
814
|
-
// closesAt: 1754020740,
|
|
815
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
816
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
817
|
-
// distribution: distribution44,
|
|
818
|
-
// question: unicode"President Trump To Swear Again to the Media before August?;Following Trump's angry outburst on June 23 regarding Israel and Iran \\\"not knowing what the f\\\\*\\\\*\\\\* they're doing\\\" during ceasefire negotiations, will he use explicit profanity again in his public communications before August?\\n\\n### Market Dates:\\n\\n**Market period:** From time of publication to July 31, 2025 11:59 PM EDT \\\\\\nMarket **Closing:** July 31, 2025 11:59 PM EDT\\n\\n### **Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Trump uses any explicit profanity or swear words through either:\\n\\n- Truth Social posts from his verified account (@realDonaldTrump)\\n- Recorded public appearances with clear, unedited audio/video\\n\\nImportant Notes:\\n\\n- Only direct, explicit profanity counts\\n- The word(s) cannot be self-censored\\n- Euphemisms or mild words (\\\"hell,\\\" \\\"damn\\\") do NOT count\\n- Must be new instances after market publication\\n- Edited or manipulated content will NOT be considered\\n- Historical clips or reposts of old content do NOT count\\n\\n**Resolution Sources**\\n\\nOnly two sources accepted:\\n\\n- Trump's Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump)\\n- Unedited video/audio recordings of public appearances\\n\\nRequirements:\\n\\n- Content must be verifiable as authentic\\n- Video/audio must be unaltered\\n- Clear audio quality for verbal statements\\n- Screenshots must be verifiable from Truth Social directly\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nMarket cancels if:\\n\\n- Truth Social platform becomes inaccessible\\n- Technical issues prevent verification\\n- Evidence of widespread fake videos/posts\\n- Trump becomes unable to make public statements\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump;Trump's Truth Social account␟",
|
|
819
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmdfui3Wu7jmyXsCjocxZekvtysYGpgP4SuJmDhj38QsDM,",
|
|
820
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
821
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
822
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
823
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
824
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
825
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
826
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
827
|
-
// }));
|
|
828
|
-
|
|
829
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution45 = new uint256[](2);distribution45[0] = 100e6;distribution45[1] = 100e6;
|
|
830
|
-
// uint256 marketId45 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
831
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
832
|
-
// closesAt: 1759276740,
|
|
833
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
834
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
835
|
-
// distribution: distribution45,
|
|
836
|
-
// question: unicode"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by end of September?;The whole world is watching what Supreme Leader Khamenei will do next. But how much longer will he stay in power?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Ali Khamenei, Iran’s Supreme leader, is removed from power within the market period.\\n- Resolves to “No” if he stays in power throughout the entire market period.\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\n- The market will be resolved primarily based on reports from Reuters and Associated Press may be used as supplementary resolution sources if necessary.\\n- Any reports or announcements indicating an *intention* or willingness to remove Ali Khamenei from power made during the market period, will not be considered sufficient to resolve the market as “Yes.” Only an effective removal will count.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- Khamenei will be considered removed from power if he steps down, is arrested or detained, is officially replaced, or is otherwise unable to perform the duties of the Supreme Leader of Iran.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised\\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome\\n\\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.reuters.com/;Reuters␟",
|
|
837
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmbWLiwuywaH2w2mWwzCAvJXGQJ7c1tk4wNR4LPohUBdaW,",
|
|
838
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
839
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
840
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
841
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
842
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
843
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
844
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
845
|
-
// }));
|
|
846
|
-
|
|
847
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution46 = new uint256[](2);distribution46[0] = 100e6;distribution46[1] = 100e6;
|
|
848
|
-
// uint256 marketId46 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
849
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
850
|
-
// closesAt: 1756699140,
|
|
851
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
852
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
853
|
-
// distribution: distribution46,
|
|
854
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Iran Withdraw from the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons Treaty before September?;Following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities on June 21, 2025, Iran's parliament began drafting legislation to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). With mounting tensions and threats of withdrawal, will Iran officially announce its departure from the treaty by end of August?\\n\\n**Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From publication date until August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** August 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** September 1, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT, or earlier if outcome is determined\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if:\\n\\n- Iran's government officially announces its withdrawal from the NPT\\n- Iran's Supreme Leader or President makes a formal declaration of withdrawal\\n- Iran submits official withdrawal documentation to the United Nations\\n\\nThe market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if:\\n\\n- No withdrawal announcement is made during the market period\\n- Iran only threatens to withdraw but doesn't formally announce it\\n- Iran announces a review or reconsideration of its NPT membership without formal withdrawal\\n\\n**Resolution Sources**\\n\\nResolution will be determined through the following hierarchy of sources:\\n\\n- **Primary Source:**\\n - The United Nations announcement (\u003chttps://www.un.org/\u003e)\\n - Reuters ([www.reuters.com](http://www.reuters.com))\\n- **Secondary Sources**\\n - Associated Press ([www.ap.org](http://www.ap.org)); Al Jazeera ([www.aljazeera.com](http://www.aljazeera.com))\\n- These sources will be used to verify and cross-reference reports\\n- A consensus among at least two of the three specified news sources will be required in case of conflicting reports\\n- Only official announcements or actions will be considered\\n- The announcement must specifically reference withdrawal from the NPT\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Major global events prevent reliable verification of Iran's actions\\n- Access to all specified news sources becomes impossible\\n- The NPT framework undergoes significant changes during the market period\\n- Reliable verification of Iran's official position becomes impossible\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://reuters.com;Reuters␟",
|
|
855
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmTGSob8ziRB6jc46dsAdRMhbnaDXv8jDnEhxgVqMoPYxx,",
|
|
856
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
857
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
858
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
859
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
860
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
861
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
862
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
863
|
-
// }));
|
|
864
|
-
|
|
865
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution47 = new uint256[](2);distribution47[0] = 100e6;distribution47[1] = 100e6;
|
|
866
|
-
// uint256 marketId47 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
867
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
868
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
869
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
870
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
871
|
-
// distribution: distribution47,
|
|
872
|
-
// question: unicode"Nasdaq vs S\u0026P500: which will perform better on June 26?;Tech stocks and broader market indices often moving in different directions. Which index will show better performance on June 26?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on June 26, 2025, at 9:30 AM EDT\\n- **Measurement Period**: June 26, 2025 (daily performance)\\n- **Resolution Time**: June 26, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT (after market close)\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to:\\n\\n- **S\u0026P 500** if the S\u0026P 500's percentage change for the day is higher than the Nasdaq's percentage change\\n- **Nasdaq** if the Nasdaq's percentage change for the day is higher than the S\u0026P 500's percentage change\\n\\nPerformance will be calculated as:\\n\\n- Percentage change = ((Closing price - Previous day's closing price) / Previous day's closing price) × 100\\n- The index with the higher percentage change (or smaller loss) will be considered the winner\\n- In case of exactly equal performance, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined using the official closing prices from [Investing.com](http://Investing.com), comparing the percentage change of both indices. The calculation will use the standard closing prices for both indices.\\n\\nData will be sourced from:\\n\\n- S\u0026P 500: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data\u003e\\n- Nasdaq: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/nasdaq-composite-historical-data\u003e\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Trading is suspended or interrupted for either index\\n- The official data source is unavailable or shows conflicting information\\n- A major market disruption affects the normal trading or closing prices\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate calculation of the performance\\n- Both indices show exactly the same percentage change\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Nasdaq\",\"S\u0026P 500\"␟Crypto;;https://www.investing.com;Investing.com␟",
|
|
873
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP2p97Xg7keUT8UicrwhzqrqFkn3op2V7Ww2Tg7Bx8vxU,",
|
|
874
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
875
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
876
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
877
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
878
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
879
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
880
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
881
|
-
// }));
|
|
882
|
-
|
|
883
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution48 = new uint256[](2);distribution48[0] = 100e6;distribution48[1] = 100e6;
|
|
884
|
-
// uint256 marketId48 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
885
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
886
|
-
// closesAt: 1756641600,
|
|
887
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
888
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
889
|
-
// distribution: distribution48,
|
|
890
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Off the Grid on Steam use the GUNZ mainnet? ;Battle Royale Off The Grid is expected to launch on Steam this June and the excitement is high. However, Steam notoriously banned blockchain games in 2021, raising questions about how the shooter will utilize crypto. Will the Steam version of Off the Grid natively use the GUNZ mainnet?\\n\\n**Market Dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publication date through August 31st, 2025, at 12:00 UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** August 31st, 2025, at 12:00 UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Battle Royale Off the Grid has officially launched on Steam\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nThis market resolves to “Yes” if the Steam version of Off The Grid allows players to use the GUNZ mainnet within the game.\\n\\nThis market resolves to “No” if the Steam version of Off The Grid doesn’t allow players to use the GUNZ mainnet within its game.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThe game will be considered to natively use the GUNZ mainnet if any part of the game is able to conduct on-chain transactions on the GUNZ blockchain’s mainnet upon launch. Announcements for future integrations of the mainnet will not trigger a “Yes” resolution, only the existing functionality upon the launch on Steam will be considered for resolving. The full player base does not need to be able to use mainnet.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Void) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The Off the Grid Steam launch is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- Off the Grid doesn’t launch on Steam within the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable verification of the GUNZ mainnet use\\n- The GUNZ mainnet is experiencing significant downtime upon the Off the Grid Steam launch\\n\\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Gaming;;https://x.com/gunbygunz?lang=en;Gunz X account␟",
|
|
891
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRGaC9JaSeZqgytJkNC3KAX9zTFM9JUMDF4aoThk997We,",
|
|
892
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
893
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
894
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
895
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
896
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
897
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
898
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
899
|
-
// }));
|
|
900
|
-
|
|
901
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution49 = new uint256[](2);distribution49[0] = 100e6;distribution49[1] = 100e6;
|
|
902
|
-
// uint256 marketId49 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
903
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
904
|
-
// closesAt: 1752389940,
|
|
905
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
906
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
907
|
-
// distribution: distribution49,
|
|
908
|
-
// question: unicode"League of Legends: Will GenG win MSI 2025?;The best teams in professional League of Legends meet up for a highly anticipated Mid Season Invitational. GenG, first seed from Korea and favorite for the tournament, looks stronger than ever. Will they win the event?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 12th, 2025, at 11:59 PM PDT\\n- **Market Closing:** July 12th, 2025, at 11:59 PM PDT, the day before the finals\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if GenG (Generation Gaming) are officially declared the 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n\\nThis market will resolve to “No” if any other team is declared the official 2025 League of Legends Mid Season Invitational winner.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThis market will only be resolved through official results posted on the League of Legends Esports homepage.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- The tournament format changes drastically from the announced format\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- The MSI 2025 is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Gaming;;https://lolesports.com/id-ID/;LoL Esports␟",
|
|
909
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRbe4F1C7JL23QzeRf7gEbUqY54f1mHoD3GgQtzobVn3L,",
|
|
910
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
911
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
912
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
913
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
914
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
915
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
916
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
917
|
-
// }));
|
|
918
|
-
|
|
919
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution50 = new uint256[](2);distribution50[0] = 100e6;distribution50[1] = 100e6;
|
|
920
|
-
// uint256 marketId50 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
921
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
922
|
-
// closesAt: 1767225540,
|
|
923
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
924
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
925
|
-
// distribution: distribution50,
|
|
926
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Revolut announce the launch of its own stablecoin by end of 2025?;# Rules / Description\\n\\nRevolut, the global fintech giant with over 10 million UK customers, has been reportedly developing its own stablecoin. Will they officially announce its launch before the end of 2025?\\n\\n### Market Dates\\n\\n- **Market closing:** December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Period:** The market tracks any official announcement by Revolut regarding the launch of its own stablecoin, made between the market publication date and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- Resolution time: December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC or anytime during the Market Period if the outcome is determined.\\n\\n### **Yes/No Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if:\\n\\n- Revolut officially announces its the launch of its stablecoin during the market period\\n- The stablecoin does not need to start trading\\n\\nThe market Resolves to \\\"No\\\" if:\\n\\n- No launch announcement is made by the closing date\\n- Revolut explicitly cancels or indefinitely postpones its stablecoin plans\\n\\n### **Resolution Sources**\\n\\nPrimary sources:\\n\\n- Revolut's official blog (\u003chttps://www.revolut.com/blog/\u003e)\\n- Revolut's newsroom (\u003chttps://www.revolut.com/news/\u003e)\\n\\nSecondary source:\\n\\n- Official Revolut social media channels (X/@RevolutApp)\\n- Major news and media articles citing official Revolut statements or press releases\\n\\nIn case of conflicting information, primary sources will take precedence over secondary sources.\\n\\n### **Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Revolut undergoes a major corporate restructuring affecting its crypto operations\\n- Regulatory changes make the resolution impossible or unreliable\\n- The official resolution source becomes unavailable\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.revolut.com/news/;Revolut␟",
|
|
927
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmcYbpTwkxL7wvV1DH3UJHrN2wn7ENGyheDJeDpHAwVuR2,",
|
|
928
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
929
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
930
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
931
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
932
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
933
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
934
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
935
|
-
// }));
|
|
936
|
-
|
|
937
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution51 = new uint256[](2);distribution51[0] = 100e6;distribution51[1] = 100e6;
|
|
938
|
-
// uint256 marketId51 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
939
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
940
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
941
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
942
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
943
|
-
// distribution: distribution51,
|
|
944
|
-
// question: unicode"Mercedes vs Ferrari: Who will score more points at the 2025 Austrian GP?;Formula 1 roars into the Red Bull Ring in Spielberg for the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix. Which of these rival championship teams will come out on top in the points battle when the checkered flag waves?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** June 28, 2025, 2:00 PM UTC, before qualifying starts.\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** This market will resolve based on the official race results published by Formula 1 after the event concludes. The resolution may be delayed if there are any announced investigations that could impact points-scoring positions.\\n\\n**Resolution Details:**\\n\\n- The winning outcome will be the team with the highest combined points total from both drivers\\n- Points are awarded according to the official Formula 1 scoring system\\n- In case of equal points, the team with the higher individual finishing position wins\\n- Stand-in drivers in either team's cars will count for resolution\\n- Post-race penalties affecting points positions will be considered in the final resolution\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions:**\\n\\n- If the race is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- If no official result is declared\\n- If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Mercedes\",\"Ferrari\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2025/austria;Formula 1␟",
|
|
945
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,",
|
|
946
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
947
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
948
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
949
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
950
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
951
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
952
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
953
|
-
// }));
|
|
954
|
-
|
|
955
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution52 = new uint256[](2);distribution52[0] = 100e6;distribution52[1] = 100e6;
|
|
956
|
-
// uint256 marketId52 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
957
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
958
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
959
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
960
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
961
|
-
// distribution: distribution52,
|
|
962
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Austrian GP?;Formula 1 returns to the scenic Red Bull Ring for the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix. Can Oscar Piastri deliver a standout performance in Spielberg and outscore his rivals this weekend?\\n\\n**Market Closing: June** 28, 2025, at 2:00pm UTC, before qualifying starts.\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the official race results published by Formula 1 after the event concludes.\\n- The resolution may be delayed if there are any announced investigations that could impact the race winner.\\n- Any changes to the officially announced race winner made after the market is resolved, for any reason, will not affect its resolution.\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Oscar Piastri is classified as the winner of the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix.\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if any driver other than Oscar Piastri is classified as the winner of the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the race is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2025/austria;Formula 1␟",
|
|
963
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,",
|
|
964
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
965
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
966
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
967
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
968
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
969
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
970
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
971
|
-
// }));
|
|
972
|
-
|
|
973
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution53 = new uint256[](2);distribution53[0] = 100e6;distribution53[1] = 100e6;
|
|
974
|
-
// uint256 marketId53 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
975
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
976
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
977
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
978
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
979
|
-
// distribution: distribution53,
|
|
980
|
-
// question: unicode"Nasdaq vs S\u0026P500: which will perform better on June 27?;Tech stocks and broader market indices often moving in different directions. Which index will show better performance on June 27?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on June 27, 2025, at 9:30 AM EDT\\n- **Measurement Period**: June 27, 2025 (daily performance)\\n- **Resolution Time**: June 27, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT (after market close)\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to:\\n\\n- **S\u0026P 500** if the S\u0026P 500's percentage change for the day is higher than the Nasdaq's percentage change\\n- **Nasdaq** if the Nasdaq's percentage change for the day is higher than the S\u0026P 500's percentage change\\n\\nPerformance will be calculated as:\\n\\n- Percentage change = ((Closing price - Previous day's closing price) / Previous day's closing price) × 100\\n- The index with the higher percentage change (or smaller loss) will be considered the winner\\n- In case of exactly equal performance, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined using the official closing prices from [Investing.com](http://Investing.com), comparing the percentage change of both indices. The calculation will use the standard closing prices for both indices.\\n\\nData will be sourced from:\\n\\n- S\u0026P 500: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data\u003e\\n- Nasdaq: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/nasdaq-composite-historical-data\u003e\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Trading is suspended or interrupted for either index\\n- The official data source is unavailable or shows conflicting information\\n- A major market disruption affects the normal trading or closing prices\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate calculation of the performance\\n- Both indices show exactly the same percentage change\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Nasdaq\",\"S\u0026P 500\"␟Crypto;;https://www.investing.com;Investing.com␟",
|
|
981
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP2p97Xg7keUT8UicrwhzqrqFkn3op2V7Ww2Tg7Bx8vxU,",
|
|
982
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
983
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
984
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
985
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
986
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
987
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
988
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
989
|
-
// }));
|
|
990
|
-
|
|
991
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution54 = new uint256[](2);distribution54[0] = 100e6;distribution54[1] = 100e6;
|
|
992
|
-
// uint256 marketId54 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
993
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
994
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
995
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
996
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
997
|
-
// distribution: distribution54,
|
|
998
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed Index at 65 or higher on July 1?;**Market Closing:** June 29, 2025 at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** July 1, 2025 at 00:00 UTC, upon Fear and Greed Index update\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) reaches or exceeds 65 at its update on July 1, 2025 at 00:00 UTC\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the index falls below 65 at resolution time.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.\\n\\nIn case of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at their positions' market value at the time of cancellation. This may result in either profit or loss, depending on the outstanding shares' price.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
999
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmehw4S8t2xFTBEG5e7CGLZbJsSamwQRcTGYgEx7BRMuz2,",
|
|
1000
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1001
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1002
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1003
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1004
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1005
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1006
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1007
|
-
// }));
|
|
1008
|
-
|
|
1009
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution55 = new uint256[](4);distribution55[0] = 100e6;distribution55[1] = 100e6;distribution55[2] = 100e6;distribution55[3] = 100e6;
|
|
1010
|
-
// uint256 marketId55 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1011
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1012
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1013
|
-
// outcomes: 4,
|
|
1014
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1015
|
-
// distribution: distribution55,
|
|
1016
|
-
// question: unicode"F1: How many drivers will DNF at the Austrian Grand Prix?;The Austrian Grand Prix sets off on Sunday, June 29. How many races will get a did not finish (DNF) in the race?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date until June 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** June 29, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, 60 minutes after the race is set to start\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the official race results are published on the resolution source\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"0\\\" if no driver is marked as “DNF” in the official race results\\n- Resolves to \\\"1\\\" if one driver is marked as “DNF” in the official race results\\n- Resolves to “2” if two drivers are marked as “DNF” in the official race results\\n- Resolves to “≥3” if three or more drivers are are marked as “DNF” in the official race results\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the amount of drivers receiving the “DNF” status in the official Formula 1 race results for Spielberg Austria 2025\\n- Qualification races do not count\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- If the race is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- If no official result is declared\\n- If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format␟\"0\",\"1\",\"2\",\"≥3\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2025/austria;Formula 1␟",
|
|
1017
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,,,",
|
|
1018
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1019
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1020
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1021
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1022
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1023
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1024
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1025
|
-
// }));
|
|
1026
|
-
|
|
1027
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution56 = new uint256[](2);distribution56[0] = 100e6;distribution56[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1028
|
-
// uint256 marketId56 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1029
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1030
|
-
// closesAt: 1759276740,
|
|
1031
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1032
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1033
|
-
// distribution: distribution56,
|
|
1034
|
-
// question: unicode"Will a PENGU ETF be approved before October?;Will an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that includes the Pudgy Penguins token PENGU be approved before October?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the SEC officially approves an ETF that includes PENGU tokens within the market period.\\n\\nResolves to “No” if it doesn’t.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- Only official announcements by the SEC of ETFs that feature at least 1% of the fund allocated to PENGU will trigger a “Yes” resolution\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised\\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome\\n\\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.sec.gov/;SEC␟",
|
|
1035
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmSw1CYnC3wuh3fSBm2c6BQwCyArQjE4WjKjFgNWbjiDeV,",
|
|
1036
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1037
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1038
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1039
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1040
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1041
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1042
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1043
|
-
// }));
|
|
1044
|
-
|
|
1045
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution57 = new uint256[](2);distribution57[0] = 100e6;distribution57[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1046
|
-
// uint256 marketId57 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1047
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1048
|
-
// closesAt: 1756684740,
|
|
1049
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1050
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1051
|
-
// distribution: distribution57,
|
|
1052
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Plasma launch their mainnet before September?;Plasma Foundation recently raised eyebrows when it secured $1 billion in deposits ahead of its token launch. Plasma founder and CEO, Paul Faecks, told *Decrypt* that the stablecoin blockchain will launch its mainnet by “late summer.” Will mainnet launch by the end of August?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through August 31, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** August 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if Plasma launches their mainnet within the market period\\n\\nResolves to “No” if it doesn’t.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The Plasma mainnet will be considered launched once a publicly accessible, stable version of the network goes live and begins processing real transactions on a blockchain intended for ongoing, real-world use\\n- The Plasma team needs to refer to this stage as the “mainnet”\\n- “Mainnet beta” or similar phrasing will resolve as “Yes”\\n- The Plasma official X account, or other official channels, will be the primary resolution source\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution sources are unavailable or compromised\\n- Extraordinary circumstances prevent reliable determination of the outcome\\n\\nIn the event of cancelation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancelation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://x.com/plasmafdn?s=21\u0026t=mdHrMAlIrKLfqbHfUS9ORA;Plasma Foundation X account␟",
|
|
1053
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmc9Tz7mnWReMYZnFSxnPu2wwFhfB4HDU9RmF9Qa9c1ARH,",
|
|
1054
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1055
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1056
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1057
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1058
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1059
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1060
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1061
|
-
// }));
|
|
1062
|
-
|
|
1063
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution58 = new uint256[](2);distribution58[0] = 100e6;distribution58[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1064
|
-
// uint256 marketId58 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1065
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1066
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1067
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1068
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1069
|
-
// distribution: distribution58,
|
|
1070
|
-
// question: unicode"Will $1MIL dev say \\\"Pumpfun\\\" 1 million times before July 4?;Ricken has set out to say *Pumpfun* one million times, and is on pace to complete the challenge by the morning of July 4, Kyiv local time. Will he complete the challenge before July 4 begins?\\n\\n**Market Dates:**\\n\\n- **Market period:** From time of publication until July 3, 2025 11:59 PM EEST\\n- **Closing date:** July 2, 2025 11:59 PM EEST, 24 hours prior to the resolution time\\n- **Resolution time:** July 3. 2025 at 11:59 PM EEST\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** July 4. 2025 at 12:00 PM EEST or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period\\n\\n### **Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if:\\n\\n- The developer reaches or exceeds 1,000,000 verifiable \\\"Pumpfun\\\" utterances during the market period\\n- The goal is achieved before the resolution time\\n- Completion is confirmed on his official X account (@ricqen) during the market period.\\n- The stream counter shows one million by market close\\n\\nResolves to \\\"No\\\" if:\\n\\n- The count remains below 1,000,000 at deadline\\n- The challenge is abandoned\\n - Dev ends challenge without reaching the goal\\n - No verification is posted by deadline\\n\\n### **Resolution Notes:**\\n\\n- Only \\\"Pumpfun\\\" utterances during verified livestreams count\\n- The developer must provide final count verification\\n- Automated or pre-recorded repetitions do NOT count\\n- The final Pumpfun must be verifiable through stream recordings posted on social media or directly to [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun)\\n- The livestream counter will be considered the official count and sole source of truth for resolution, regardless of any disputes about missed or overcounted utterances\\n- Any claims of miscounting or errors will NOT affect the resolution if the stream counter shows one million\\n\\n### **Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nMarket cancels if:\\n\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate counting or verification\\n- Account @ricqen becomes permanently inaccessible\\n- Verification method is compromised\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Culture;;https://x.com/ricqen;Ricken X account␟",
|
|
1071
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP8sDEXHx8mQJ48jVUAdJ2BTYemWD7gHo1UsLoMsVybyz,",
|
|
1072
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1073
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1074
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1075
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1076
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1077
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1078
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1079
|
-
// }));
|
|
1080
|
-
|
|
1081
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution59 = new uint256[](2);distribution59[0] = 100e6;distribution59[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1082
|
-
// uint256 marketId59 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1083
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1084
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1085
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1086
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1087
|
-
// distribution: distribution59,
|
|
1088
|
-
// question: unicode"UFC 317 - Pantoja vs. Kara-France: Who wins?;UFC flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja defends his title against #4 ranked contender Kai Kara-France at UFC 317 in Las Vegas. Who will leave T-Mobile Arena with the flyweight gold?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** June 29, 2025 at 2:00 AM UTC before the main card is scheduled to start\\n\\n**Resolution:**\\n\\nThe market will be resolved based on the official fight result as declared by the UFC on their official website.\\n\\n**Cancelation Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n• The fight does not take place as scheduled\\n\\n• The fight ends in a No Contest\\n\\n• The fight ends in a Draw (including Split Draw, Unanimous Draw, or Majority Draw)\\n\\n• The fight is rescheduled outside the market period\\n\\n• Official results are not available from [UFC.com](http://UFC.com)␟\"Pantoja\",\"Kara-France\"␟Sports;;https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-317;UFC␟",
|
|
1089
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmZb5EMp7MNUA4eujGJC5CZQrBzs11N6YMkLjATHr5Y5N5,",
|
|
1090
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1091
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1092
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1093
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1094
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1095
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1096
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1097
|
-
// }));
|
|
1098
|
-
|
|
1099
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution60 = new uint256[](2);distribution60[0] = 100e6;distribution60[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1100
|
-
// uint256 marketId60 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1101
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1102
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1103
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1104
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1105
|
-
// distribution: distribution60,
|
|
1106
|
-
// question: unicode"UFC 317 - Topuria vs. Oliveira: Who wins?;Former UFC featherweight champion Ilia Topuria moves up to lightweight to face former champion Charles Oliveira for the vacant lightweight title at UFC 317 in Las Vegas. Who will emerge victorious in this championship bout between two elite fighters?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** June 29, 2025 at 2:00 AM UTC before the main card is scheduled to start\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe market will be resolved based on the official fight result as declared by the UFC on their official website.\\n\\n**Cancelation Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The fight does not take place as scheduled\\n- The fight ends in a No Contest\\n- The fight ends in a Draw (including Split Draw, Unanimous Draw, or Majority Draw)\\n- The fight is rescheduled outside the market period\\n- Official results are not available from [UFC.com](http://UFC.com)\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Topuria\",\"Oliveira\"␟Sports;;https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-317;UFC␟",
|
|
1107
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmZb5EMp7MNUA4eujGJC5CZQrBzs11N6YMkLjATHr5Y5N5,",
|
|
1108
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1109
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1110
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1111
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1112
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1113
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1114
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1115
|
-
// }));
|
|
1116
|
-
|
|
1117
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution61 = new uint256[](2);distribution61[0] = 100e6;distribution61[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1118
|
-
// uint256 marketId61 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1119
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1120
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1121
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1122
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1123
|
-
// distribution: distribution61,
|
|
1124
|
-
// question: unicode"UFC 317 — Dariush vs. Moicano: Who wins?;Veteran lightweights and top-15 ranked contenders Beneil Dariush (#9) and Renato Moicano (#11) clash in a pivotal bout at UFC 317 in Las Vegas. Who will emerge victorious in this high-stakes matchup at T-Mobile Arena?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** June 29, 2025 at 2:00 AM UTC before the main card is scheduled to start\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe market will be resolved based on the official fight result as declared by the UFC on their official website.\\n\\n**Cancelation Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The fight does not take place as scheduled\\n- The fight ends in a No Contest\\n- The fight ends in a Draw (including Split Draw, Unanimous Draw, or Majority Draw)\\n- The fight is rescheduled outside the market period\\n- Official results are not available from [UFC.com](http://UFC.com)\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Dariush\",\"Moicano\"␟Sports;;https://www.ufc.com/event/ufc-317;UFC␟",
|
|
1125
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmZb5EMp7MNUA4eujGJC5CZQrBzs11N6YMkLjATHr5Y5N5,",
|
|
1126
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1127
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1128
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1129
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1130
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1131
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1132
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1133
|
-
// }));
|
|
1134
|
-
|
|
1135
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution62 = new uint256[](3);distribution62[0] = 100e6;distribution62[1] = 100e6;distribution62[2] = 100e6;
|
|
1136
|
-
// uint256 marketId62 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1137
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1138
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1139
|
-
// outcomes: 3,
|
|
1140
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1141
|
-
// distribution: distribution62,
|
|
1142
|
-
// question: unicode"How many teams will score points in the Austrian GP?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date until the race results are published\\n- **Market Closing:** June 29th, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, one hour after the race starts as scheduled.\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the official race results are published on the resolution source\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"≤6\\\" if six or less teams score points in the official race results.\\n- Resolves to \\\"7\\\" if exactly seven teams score points in the official race results.\\n- Resolves to “≥8” if eight or more teams score points in the official race results.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the amount of teams receiving championship points in the official Formula 1 Rolex Austrian Grand Prix 2025. These championship points are awarded for finishing in place 1-10 and for completing the fastest lap in the GP.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- If the race is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- If no official result is declared\\n- If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format␟\"≤ 6\",\"7\",\"≥ 8\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2025/austria;Formula 1␟",
|
|
1143
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,,",
|
|
1144
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1145
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1146
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1147
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1148
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1149
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1150
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1151
|
-
// }));
|
|
1152
|
-
|
|
1153
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution63 = new uint256[](2);distribution63[0] = 100e6;distribution63[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1154
|
-
// uint256 marketId63 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1155
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1156
|
-
// closesAt: 1751759940,
|
|
1157
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1158
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1159
|
-
// distribution: distribution63,
|
|
1160
|
-
// question: unicode"Housecoin vs Chillhouse: Which has a higher market cap by the end of July 6?;The OG vs the newcomer. Which house memecoin will have a higher market capitalization by the end of Sunday, July 6?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 6, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 5, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined 24 hours after the market closing date, on July 6, 2025 at 11:59 PM UTC\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Housecoin\\\" if [Housecoin](https://dexscreener.com/solana/gj5t6kjtw3gww7srmhei1ojckayhyvlwb17gktf96hnh) has a higher market cap than Chillhouse at the resolution deadline.\\n- Resolves to \\\"Chillhouse\\\" if [Chillhouse](https://dexscreener.com/solana/35tqqmeirwebk6fr5qipwastuaavo32vjnuljpxvsxuk)’s market cap is higher.\\n\\n**Resolution sources:**\\n\\nDEX Screener will be used as a resolution source by comparing the MCap of both tokens, namely:\\n\\n- Housecoin: \u003chttps://dexscreener.com/solana/gj5t6kjtw3gww7srmhei1ojckayhyvlwb17gktf96hnh\u003e\\n- Chillhouse: \u003chttps://dexscreener.com/solana/35tqqmeirwebk6fr5qipwastuaavo32vjnuljpxvsxuk\u003e\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on Dexscreener MCap charts only\\n\\n1. minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")\\n\\n2. \\\"Original\\\" view\\n\\n3. “Close” price of each candle\\n\\n4. Market cap in USD\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- DEX Screener is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance that prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- Chillhouse or Housecoin are delisted from Dexscreener\\n- If both Chillhouse and Housecoin are on exactly the same market cap at the resolution deadline\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Housecoin\",\"Chillhouse\"␟Crypto;;https://dexscreener.com/;Dexscreener␟",
|
|
1161
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmUsxucpsm8eoPPXvkKX8UUvYANtiaUW2fyirvu71YM8Rv,",
|
|
1162
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1163
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1164
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1165
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1166
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1167
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1168
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1169
|
-
// }));
|
|
1170
|
-
|
|
1171
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution64 = new uint256[](2);distribution64[0] = 100e6;distribution64[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1172
|
-
// uint256 marketId64 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1173
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1174
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1175
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1176
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1177
|
-
// distribution: distribution64,
|
|
1178
|
-
// question: unicode"Real Madrid vs Juventus: Who will advance to Quarter Finals?;A blockbuster FIFA Club World Cup Round of 16 clash between Real Madrid and Juventus at Hard Rock Stadium. Two of Europe's most decorated clubs meet in a winner-takes-all knockout encounter, with the victors earning a coveted spot in the quarter-finals. Which European giant will progress in their quest for global club supremacy?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the quarter-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Real Madrid\",\"Juventus\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA␟",
|
|
1179
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1180
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1181
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1182
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1183
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1184
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1185
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1186
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1187
|
-
// }));
|
|
1188
|
-
|
|
1189
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution65 = new uint256[](2);distribution65[0] = 100e6;distribution65[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1190
|
-
// uint256 marketId65 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1191
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1192
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1193
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1194
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1195
|
-
// distribution: distribution65,
|
|
1196
|
-
// question: unicode"Dortmund vs Monterrey: Who will advance to Quarter Finals?;A FIFA Club World Cup Round of 16 encounter between Borussia Dortmund and Monterrey at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The German powerhouse faces the Mexican champions in a knockout clash that will determine which team earns a place in the quarter-finals. Which club will progress further in the tournament and continue their pursuit of the FIFA Club World Cup trophy?\\n\\n**Market Closing**: The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the quarter-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Dortmund\",\"Monterrey\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA␟",
|
|
1197
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1198
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1199
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1200
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1201
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1202
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1203
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1204
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1205
|
-
// }));
|
|
1206
|
-
|
|
1207
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution66 = new uint256[](2);distribution66[0] = 100e6;distribution66[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1208
|
-
// uint256 marketId66 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1209
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1210
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1211
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1212
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1213
|
-
// distribution: distribution66,
|
|
1214
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed Index at 66 or higher on July 4?;**Market Closing:** July 2, 2025 at 11:59pm UTC\\n\\n**Resolution Time:** July 4, 2025 at 00:00 UTC, upon Fear and Greed Index update\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) reaches or exceeds 66 at its update on July 4, 2025 at 00:00 UTC\\n- The market resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the index falls below 66 at resolution time.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) [Fear and Greed Index](https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/) becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.\\n\\nIn case of cancellation, participants can claim their stakes at their positions' market value at the time of cancellation. This may result in either profit or loss, depending on the outstanding shares' price.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
1215
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmehw4S8t2xFTBEG5e7CGLZbJsSamwQRcTGYgEx7BRMuz2,",
|
|
1216
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1217
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1218
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1219
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1220
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1221
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1222
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1223
|
-
// }));
|
|
1224
|
-
|
|
1225
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution67 = new uint256[](2);distribution67[0] = 100e6;distribution67[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1226
|
-
// uint256 marketId67 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1227
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1228
|
-
// closesAt: 1751630340,
|
|
1229
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1230
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1231
|
-
// distribution: distribution67,
|
|
1232
|
-
// question: unicode"Bitcoin price above $108,000 on July 4, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC?;- **Market Closing**: The market closes 12 hours before the measurement date, on **July 4, 2025, at 11:59am UTC.**\\n- **Resolution Time**: The outcome will be determined on **July 4, 2025, at 11:59pm UTC**.\\n- **Yes/No Criteria**:\\n - Resolves to **\\\"Yes\\\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance is **strictly above $108,000.00** at that time.\\n - Resolves to **\\\"No\\\"** if the **BTC/USDT** price on Binance is **exactly $108,000.00 or lower** at that time.\\n\\n## **Resolution**\\n\\n- The **Binance BTC/USDT spot price** will be used, specifically the **closing price** of the **1-minute candle** at Resolution Time, viewed on:\\n1. **1 minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")**\\n2. **\\\"Original\\\" view**\\n3. **\\\"Close\\\"** price\\n- Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\\n\\n## **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n1. The Binance page (or an equivalent source) is not available at the resolution time.\\n2. The BTC/USDT spot market is not available on Binance at the resolution time.\\n3. Any other circumstance renders resolution impossible or unreliable based on the designated resolution source.\\n\\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot;Binance␟",
|
|
1233
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmQVpfU4c4tdJR7TidSXsazMJ8kX9MwnshAX68urqJJMyd,",
|
|
1234
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1235
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1236
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1237
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1238
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1239
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1240
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1241
|
-
// }));
|
|
1242
|
-
|
|
1243
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution68 = new uint256[](2);distribution68[0] = 100e6;distribution68[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1244
|
-
// uint256 marketId68 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1245
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1246
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1247
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1248
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1249
|
-
// distribution: distribution68,
|
|
1250
|
-
// question: unicode"Nasdaq vs S\u0026P500: which will perform better on July 1?;Tech stocks and broader market indices often moving in different directions. Which index will show better performance on July 1?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on July 1, 2025, at 9:30 AM EDT\\n- **Measurement Period**: July 1, 2025 (daily performance)\\n- **Resolution Time**: July 1, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT (after market close)\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to:\\n\\n- **S\u0026P 500** if the S\u0026P 500's percentage change for the day is higher than the Nasdaq's percentage change\\n- **Nasdaq** if the Nasdaq's percentage change for the day is higher than the S\u0026P 500's percentage change\\n\\nPerformance will be calculated as:\\n\\n- Percentage change = ((Closing price - Previous day's closing price) / Previous day's closing price) × 100\\n- The index with the higher percentage change (or smaller loss) will be considered the winner\\n- In case of exactly equal performance, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined using the official closing prices from [Investing.com](http://Investing.com), comparing the percentage change of both indices. The calculation will use the standard closing prices for both indices.\\n\\nData will be sourced from:\\n\\n- S\u0026P 500: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data\u003e\\n- Nasdaq: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/nasdaq-composite-historical-data\u003e\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Trading is suspended or interrupted for either index\\n- The official data source is unavailable or shows conflicting information\\n- A major market disruption affects the normal trading or closing prices\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate calculation of the performance\\n- Both indices show exactly the same percentage change\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Nasdaq\",\"S\u0026P 500\"␟Crypto;;https://www.investing.com;Investing.com␟",
|
|
1251
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP2p97Xg7keUT8UicrwhzqrqFkn3op2V7Ww2Tg7Bx8vxU,",
|
|
1252
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1253
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1254
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1255
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1256
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1257
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1258
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1259
|
-
// }));
|
|
1260
|
-
|
|
1261
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution69 = new uint256[](2);distribution69[0] = 100e6;distribution69[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1262
|
-
// uint256 marketId69 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1263
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1264
|
-
// closesAt: 1752465540,
|
|
1265
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1266
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1267
|
-
// distribution: distribution69,
|
|
1268
|
-
// question: unicode"Will $GRIND get listed on a top 20 CMC exchange in its first 2 weeks?;$GRIND has launched on Abstract and is now waiting to be listed on some of the best exchanges. Will it score one of the top 20 exchanges as currently listed by Coinmarketcap within its first two weeks of trading?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 13, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the $GRIND token gets listed on one of the 20 exchanges listed in the resolution details.\\n\\nResolves to “No” if it doesn't.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official [GrindTheCoin X account](https://x.com/GrindTheCoin)\\n- A listing on an exchange can still trigger a “Yes” resolution even without an official tweet from the GrindTheCoin X account, as long as it can be credibly verified\\n- In regards of this market the top 20 CMC exchanges are: Binance, Bybit, Coinbase Exchange, Upbit, OKX, Bitget, MEXC, Gate, HTX, KuCoin, [Crypto.com](http://Crypto.com) Exchange, Bitfinex, BingX, Kraken, Binance TR, BitMart, LBank, Bitstamp, Bithumb, [XT.COM](http://XT.COM)\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- The official X account of GrindTheCoin is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://x.com/GrindTheCoin;Grind X Account␟",
|
|
1269
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmNmEDXk72NRseHpprsv9AdySVSFwZ4VF59UmeF5YiQoEd,",
|
|
1270
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1271
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1272
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1273
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1274
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1275
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1276
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1277
|
-
// }));
|
|
1278
|
-
|
|
1279
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution70 = new uint256[](2);distribution70[0] = 100e6;distribution70[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1280
|
-
// uint256 marketId70 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1281
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1282
|
-
// closesAt: 1752465540,
|
|
1283
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1284
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1285
|
-
// distribution: distribution70,
|
|
1286
|
-
// question: unicode"Will The Plague NFT exceed a 0.22 ETH floor price within two weeks of $GRIND?;The Plague is taking over. Can the NFT collection’s floor price break 0.22 ETH within the first 14 days of their $GRIND?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if The Plague NFT collection reaches a floor price equal to 0.22 ETH or higher on Opensea within the market period.\\n- Resolves to “No” if it doesn't.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the floor price of the official “The Plague” collection on Opensea as reported by their “Insights” chart feature for the \\\"floor\\\" price\\n- In regards to this market, floor price refers to the price in ETH that the cheapest “The Plague” NFT is listed for\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Opensea is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://opensea.io/collection/the-plague;Opensea␟",
|
|
1287
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmNNdYpmAVp3cyWJejYcgUxzxKsdGjWarrr54797xvESyC,",
|
|
1288
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1289
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1290
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1291
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1292
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1293
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1294
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1295
|
-
// }));
|
|
1296
|
-
|
|
1297
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution71 = new uint256[](2);distribution71[0] = 100e6;distribution71[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1298
|
-
// uint256 marketId71 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1299
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1300
|
-
// closesAt: 1752465540,
|
|
1301
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1302
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1303
|
-
// distribution: distribution71,
|
|
1304
|
-
// question: unicode"Will a 1/1 Frog sell during the first two weeks of $GRIND?;Speculation for The Plague ecosystem is ready to hit all time highs. Will any of the twelve 1/1 Frogs from the official Plague collection sell during the first two weeks of the $GRIND token going live?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if a The Plague NFT with the “1/1” trait from the official collection gets sold.\\n\\nResolves to “No” if no such sale occurs.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the sale history of OpenSea within the market period\\n- Only sold NFTs that have the 1/1 trait will trigger a “Yes” resolution upon sale\\n- The sale needs to have a valid on-chain transaction attached\\n- The sale needs to have a minimum value of above current floor price\\n- Reported peer to peer sales will not trigger resolution for lack of verifiability\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- OpenSea is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://opensea.io/collection/the-plague/activity?traits=[{%22traitType%22:%22Type%22,%22values%22:[%221+of+1%22]}];Opensea␟",
|
|
1305
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRKTnP9iX5edVJ3pPfptAuWW5yV5PHUwjJm5o2s4sqezQ,",
|
|
1306
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1307
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1308
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1309
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1310
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1311
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1312
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1313
|
-
// }));
|
|
1314
|
-
|
|
1315
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution72 = new uint256[](2);distribution72[0] = 100e6;distribution72[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1316
|
-
// uint256 marketId72 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1317
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1318
|
-
// closesAt: 1751731200,
|
|
1319
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1320
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1321
|
-
// distribution: distribution72,
|
|
1322
|
-
// question: unicode"PSG vs Bayern: Who will advance to Semi Finals?;Two European giants collide in the FIFA Club World Cup quarter-final as PSG take on Bayern Munich at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. With a semi-final spot on the line, who will come out on top in this heavyweight clash?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the semi-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"PSG\",\"Bayern\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
1323
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1324
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1325
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1326
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1327
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1328
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1329
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1330
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1331
|
-
// }));
|
|
1332
|
-
|
|
1333
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution73 = new uint256[](2);distribution73[0] = 100e6;distribution73[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1334
|
-
// uint256 marketId73 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1335
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1336
|
-
// closesAt: 1751677200,
|
|
1337
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1338
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1339
|
-
// distribution: distribution73,
|
|
1340
|
-
// question: unicode"Palmeiras vs Chelsea: Who will advance to Semi Finals?;Palmeiras face Chelsea in a high-stakes quarter-final showdown. Will the Brazilian champions get their revenge, or will the Blues book their spot in the semis once again?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the semi-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Palmeiras\",\"Chelsea\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
1341
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1342
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1343
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1344
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1345
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1346
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1347
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1348
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1349
|
-
// }));
|
|
1350
|
-
|
|
1351
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution74 = new uint256[](2);distribution74[0] = 100e6;distribution74[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1352
|
-
// uint256 marketId74 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1353
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1354
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1355
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1356
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1357
|
-
// distribution: distribution74,
|
|
1358
|
-
// question: unicode"Nasdaq vs S\u0026P500: which will perform better on July 2?;Tech stocks and broader market indices often moving in different directions. Which index will show better performance on July 2?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on July 2, 2025, at 9:30 AM EDT\\n- **Measurement Period**: July 2, 2025 (daily performance)\\n- **Resolution Time**: July 2, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT (after market close)\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\nThe market resolves to:\\n\\n- **S\u0026P 500** if the S\u0026P 500's percentage change for the day is higher than the Nasdaq's percentage change\\n- **Nasdaq** if the Nasdaq's percentage change for the day is higher than the S\u0026P 500's percentage change\\n\\nPerformance will be calculated as:\\n\\n- Percentage change = ((Closing price - Previous day's closing price) / Previous day's closing price) × 100\\n- The index with the higher percentage change (or smaller loss) will be considered the winner\\n- In case of exactly equal performance, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\nThe outcome will be determined using the official closing prices from [Investing.com](http://Investing.com), comparing the percentage change of both indices. The calculation will use the standard closing prices for both indices.\\n\\nData will be sourced from:\\n\\n- S\u0026P 500: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/us-spx-500-historical-data\u003e\\n- Nasdaq: \u003chttps://www.investing.com/indices/nasdaq-composite-historical-data\u003e\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Trading is suspended or interrupted for either index\\n- The official data source is unavailable or shows conflicting information\\n- A major market disruption affects the normal trading or closing prices\\n- Technical issues prevent accurate calculation of the performance\\n- Both indices show exactly the same percentage change\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Nasdaq\",\"S\u0026P 500\"␟Crypto;;https://www.investing.com;Investing.com␟",
|
|
1359
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmP2p97Xg7keUT8UicrwhzqrqFkn3op2V7Ww2Tg7Bx8vxU,",
|
|
1360
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1361
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1362
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1363
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1364
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1365
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1366
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1367
|
-
// }));
|
|
1368
|
-
|
|
1369
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution75 = new uint256[](2);distribution75[0] = 100e6;distribution75[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1370
|
-
// uint256 marketId75 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1371
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1372
|
-
// closesAt: 1754006340,
|
|
1373
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1374
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1375
|
-
// distribution: distribution75,
|
|
1376
|
-
// question: unicode"BTC above $100K throughout July?;Bitcoin has stayed above $100,000 for 30 consecutive days for the first time ever. Will it keep the streak going through the entire month of July?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Observation Period:** From July 1, 2025, at 12:00 AM UTC to July 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM\\n- **Market Closing:** July 31st, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier during the Observation Period, if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to “Yes” if the BTC/USDT price on Binance remains at or above $100,000 throughout the Observation Period\\n- Resolves to “No” if the price drops below $100,000 at any point during the Observation Period\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The Binance BTC/USDT spot price will be used, specifically the 1-minute chart to determine if Bitcoin was trading below $100 000 USD during any time throughout the Observation period\\n - One minute timeframe (\\\"1m\\\")\\n - Original\\\" view\\n - “Close” price of each candle\\n- Only the price of BTC/USDT as quoted by Binance (spot market) will be considered.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable\\n- The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period\\n\\nIf the market is canceled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT?type=spot;Binance␟",
|
|
1377
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmdWFkhqiUX3XxwFBMGP749Wpx1Y44KAqqCuhpnCzap7cg,",
|
|
1378
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1379
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1380
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1381
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1382
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1383
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1384
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1385
|
-
// }));
|
|
1386
|
-
|
|
1387
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution76 = new uint256[](2);distribution76[0] = 100e6;distribution76[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1388
|
-
// uint256 marketId76 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1389
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1390
|
-
// closesAt: 1767139200,
|
|
1391
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1392
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1393
|
-
// distribution: distribution76,
|
|
1394
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear \u0026 Greed next hit: moon to 80 or dip to 40?;The Crypto Fear \u0026 Greed Index is a key sentiment indicator in the cryptocurrency market, ranging from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). Which extreme will we hit first: 80 or 40?\\n\\n**Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** December 31, 2025, 00:00 UTC\\n- **Market Period**: From publication until December 31, 2025, 00:00 UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline**: December 31, 2025, after the last index publication or early if either target value (80 or 40) is reached during the Market Period\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\n- The market resolves to \\\"≥ 80\\\" if the index reaches or exceeds 80 before reaching 40\\n- The market resolves to \\\"≤ 40\\\" if the index reaches or falls below 40 before reaching 80\\n- If neither value is reached by the deadline, the market will be canceled\\n\\n**Resolution Method**\\n\\n- Only the official daily Fear \u0026 Greed Index value from [alternative.me/crypto](http://alternative.me/crypto) will be considered\\n- Index values must be officially published and visible on the website\\n- Screenshots or third-party reports will not be considered\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- Neither target value (80 or 40) is reached by the deadline\\n- The Fear \u0026 Greed Index website permanently ceases operations\\n- The index methodology undergoes significant changes\\n- Technical issues prevent reliable tracking of the index\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"≥ 80\",\"≤ 40\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative.me␟",
|
|
1395
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmTTFVLGdFqxLVVeUBwgKCRAo7wSyiR6v6yRnTVZ52UBKk,",
|
|
1396
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1397
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1398
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1399
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1400
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1401
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1402
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1403
|
-
// }));
|
|
1404
|
-
|
|
1405
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution77 = new uint256[](2);distribution77[0] = 100e6;distribution77[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1406
|
-
// uint256 marketId77 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1407
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1408
|
-
// closesAt: 1755316740,
|
|
1409
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1410
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1411
|
-
// distribution: distribution77,
|
|
1412
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Andrew Cuomo run in a Mayoral General Election?;Andrew Cuomo is stirring speculation that he will run in the New York City Mayoral election, just not as a Democrat. With the 2025 general election approaching, will he officially declare a run in a Mayoral General Election under a different banner?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM EST\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** August 16, 2025, 12PM EST or earlier if the outcome is determined during the market period.\\n\\n### Yes/No Criteria\\n\\n- This market resolves to **“Yes”** if Andrew Cuomo publicly announces a campaign in any 2025 Mayoral General Election (including as an Independent or a third-party candidate) during the market period\\n- Resolves to **“No”** if no such announcement is made by the market closing date\\n- Any announcements after market close will not count for resolution\\n\\n### Resolution Details\\n\\n- This market will be resolved based on **official announcements made by Andrew Cuomo** via:\\n - His official website,\\n - Verified social media accounts, or\\n - Public statements reported by credible outlets\\n- An official announcement—either on Cuomo’s verified social media, official website, or via a credible press release—is sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether he ultimately remains in the race or appears on the ballot\\n- The **primary resolution source** is Cuomo’s official press page and social media. If there’s ambiguity, verified press coverage may be used to confirm intent\\n\\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled** if:\\n\\n1. The 2025 general election is canceled or significantly delayed\\n2. A substantial ambiguity arises regarding the intent or authenticity of the announcement\\n\\nIn the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.andrewcuomo.com/press;Andrew Cuomo Website␟",
|
|
1413
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmccKJKxHr3gBT7vacEdXz1dZBQBQWBLbeKHqhfiSnc3ge,",
|
|
1414
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1415
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1416
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1417
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1418
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1419
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1420
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1421
|
-
// }));
|
|
1422
|
-
|
|
1423
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution78 = new uint256[](2);distribution78[0] = 100e6;distribution78[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1424
|
-
// uint256 marketId78 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1425
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1426
|
-
// closesAt: 1751860740,
|
|
1427
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1428
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1429
|
-
// distribution: distribution78,
|
|
1430
|
-
// question: unicode"Will $GRIND reach a $6M market cap?;$GRIND has launched on Abstract and the grind is on. Can the token achieve a market cap of $6M or more before July 7?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From publication through July 6, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Closing**: July 6, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Time**: After market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if GRIND's market cap reaches $6,000,000 or higher during the market period\\n- Resolves to \\\"No\\\" if GRIND's market cap stays below $6,000,000 throughout the market period\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the market cap chart of $GRIND on [Dexscreener](https://dexscreener.com/), using:\\n - 1-minute (1m) candles\\n - Market cap (Mcap)\\n - USD as the currency reference\\n- All available 1m candles on the [Dexscreener](https://dexscreener.com/) chart up to the resolution date will be considered.\\n- If the exact minute of the resolution date is not available, the most recent previous candle will be used for resolution.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Dexscreener is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- $GRIND is delisted from Dexscreener␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Crypto;;https://dexscreener.com/abstract/0xf973bac8b0cabf7d33b6e367ca1d581cee2d52ae;Dexscreener␟",
|
|
1431
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmepLE8aMKfSRrY1U4DvS2oPgSQVnwrpgU5rLVeGz2ibAu,",
|
|
1432
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1433
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1434
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1435
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1436
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1437
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1438
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1439
|
-
// }));
|
|
1440
|
-
|
|
1441
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution79 = new uint256[](6);distribution79[0] = 100e6;distribution79[1] = 100e6;distribution79[2] = 100e6;distribution79[3] = 100e6;distribution79[4] = 100e6;distribution79[5] = 100e6;
|
|
1442
|
-
// uint256 marketId79 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1443
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1444
|
-
// closesAt: 1751846400,
|
|
1445
|
-
// outcomes: 6,
|
|
1446
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1447
|
-
// distribution: distribution79,
|
|
1448
|
-
// question: unicode"Fear and Greed index value on July 7?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 7, 2025, at 00:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 7, 2025, at 00:00 PM UTC\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to the outcome category where the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me)[ Fear and Greed](http://alternative.me/) Index value lies at its update on July 7, 2025 at 00:00 UTC. For example, if the index shows 47, this market will resolve to 41-50.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\n- The market will be cancelled if the [Alternative.me](http://Alternative.me) Fear and Greed Index becomes unavailable, compromised, or fails to update.␟\"≥71\",\"61-70\",\"51-60\",\"41-50\",\"31-40\",\"≤30\"␟Crypto;;https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/;Alternative Me Fear and Greed Index␟",
|
|
1449
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmTTFVLGdFqxLVVeUBwgKCRAo7wSyiR6v6yRnTVZ52UBKk,,,,,",
|
|
1450
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1451
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1452
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1453
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1454
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1455
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1456
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1457
|
-
// }));
|
|
1458
|
-
|
|
1459
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution80 = new uint256[](5);distribution80[0] = 100e6;distribution80[1] = 100e6;distribution80[2] = 100e6;distribution80[3] = 100e6;distribution80[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1460
|
-
// uint256 marketId80 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1461
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1462
|
-
// closesAt: 1753416000,
|
|
1463
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1464
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1465
|
-
// distribution: distribution80,
|
|
1466
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will win the Tour de France?;Once again one of the most fabled races of cycling is underway: the Tour de France. Who will win it all and take the yellow jersey this year?\\n\\n### **Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market period:** From time of publication to July 25, 2025 06:00 CEST\\n- **Closing date:** July 25, 2025 06:00 CEST (before Stage 19)\\n- **Resolution deadline:** July 28, 2025 12:00 CEST, or earlier once official results are published\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to the name of the official winner of the 2025 Tour de France General Classification. For example, if Pogačar wins, this market resolves to “Tadej Pogačar”. If any unlisted racer wins, this market resolves to “Other.”\\n\\n**Resolution Source Market Dates**\\n\\nOfficial Tour de France channels:\\n\\n- Tour de France official website ([letour.fr](http://letour.fr))\\n- Official Tour de France social media accounts\\n- Official race communiqués\\n\\n**Important Resolution Notes:**\\n\\n- Only the final General Classification matters\\n- Leading the race at market close doesn't guarantee a \\\"Yes\\\" resolution\\n- Post-race disqualifications or penalties that affect the winner will be honored up until the resolution deadline\\n- Stage wins alone do NOT count towards resolution\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nMarket cancels if:\\n\\n- The Tour de France 2025 is canceled\\n- The race format is fundamentally changed\\n- Force majeure prevents completion of the race\\n- Results cannot be officially verified␟\"Tadej Pogačar\",\"Jonas Vingegaard\",\"Remco Evenepoel\",\"João Almeida\",\"Other\"␟Sports;;https://www.letour.fr/en/news;Tour de France␟",
|
|
1467
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmcjxhDoKmFxMPa9BtXBAfGJR71RUSRc8r14DM1Ei4zcwB,,,,",
|
|
1468
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1469
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1470
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1471
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1472
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1473
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1474
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1475
|
-
// }));
|
|
1476
|
-
|
|
1477
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution81 = new uint256[](4);distribution81[0] = 100e6;distribution81[1] = 100e6;distribution81[2] = 100e6;distribution81[3] = 100e6;
|
|
1478
|
-
// uint256 marketId81 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1479
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1480
|
-
// closesAt: 1751815800,
|
|
1481
|
-
// outcomes: 4,
|
|
1482
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1483
|
-
// distribution: distribution81,
|
|
1484
|
-
// question: unicode"F1: How many drivers will DNF in Silverstone?;Silverstone invites the best drivers in the world for the next F1 Grand Prix. But how many drivers will not finish the race?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date until July 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM UTC, 90 minutes after the race is set to start\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the official race results are published on the resolution source\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to the number of drivers who receive the “DNF” status after the race. For example, if one driver gets marked as “DNF”, this market resolves to “1”.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the amount of drivers receiving the “DNF” status in the official Formula 1 race results for the Qatar Airways British Grand Prix 2025 at Silverstone\\n- Qualification races do not count\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- If the race is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- If no official result is declared\\n- If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format␟\"0\",\"1\",\"2\",\"≥3\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2025/great-britain;Formula 1␟",
|
|
1485
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,,,",
|
|
1486
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1487
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1488
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1489
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1490
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1491
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1492
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1493
|
-
// }));
|
|
1494
|
-
|
|
1495
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution82 = new uint256[](3);distribution82[0] = 100e6;distribution82[1] = 100e6;distribution82[2] = 100e6;
|
|
1496
|
-
// uint256 marketId82 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1497
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1498
|
-
// closesAt: 1751815800,
|
|
1499
|
-
// outcomes: 3,
|
|
1500
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1501
|
-
// distribution: distribution82,
|
|
1502
|
-
// question: unicode"F1: How many teams will score points in Silverstone?;Ten teams are setting their eyes on Silverstone and hopefully scoring as many points as they possibly can. How many of them will manage to add championship points to their standings?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date until July 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM UTC\\n\\n **Market Closing:** July 6, 2025, at 3:30 PM UTC, 90 minutes after the race is set to start\\n\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the official race results are published on the resolution source\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to \\\"6\\\" if 6 or less teams score points in the official race results.\\n\\nResolves to \\\"7\\\" if seven teams score points in the official race results.\\n\\nResolves to “8” if 8 or more teams score points in the official race results.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the amount of teams receiving championship points in the official Formula 1 race results for Qatar Airways British Grand Prix 2025 at Silverstone\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- If the race is canceled or postponed indefinitely\\n- If no official result is declared\\n- If the race format changes significantly from the standard Grand Prix format␟\"≤ 6\",\"7\",\"≥ 8\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/;Formula 1␟",
|
|
1503
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,,",
|
|
1504
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1505
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1506
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1507
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1508
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1509
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1510
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1511
|
-
// }));
|
|
1512
|
-
|
|
1513
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution83 = new uint256[](6);distribution83[0] = 100e6;distribution83[1] = 100e6;distribution83[2] = 100e6;distribution83[3] = 100e6;distribution83[4] = 100e6;distribution83[5] = 100e6;
|
|
1514
|
-
// uint256 marketId83 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1515
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1516
|
-
// closesAt: 1752206340,
|
|
1517
|
-
// outcomes: 6,
|
|
1518
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1519
|
-
// distribution: distribution83,
|
|
1520
|
-
// question: unicode"How much will Superman gross in revenue in its US opening weekend?;Superman is yet again ready to fly into the theaters in early July. What will the film achieve in domestic box office revenue during its opening weekend (July 11-13)?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Closing:** July 10th, 2025, at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The outcome will be determined based on official box office data reported by Box Office Mojo by July 14th, 2025 at 11:59pm EDT\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- The market will resolve based on Superman's 3-day opening weekend domestic box office revenue\\n- Each outcome represents a non-overlapping $5M range\\n- The ranges start from \\\"less than $155M\\\" and go up to \\\"$175M or more\\\"\\n- The winning outcome will be the range that contains the final revenue figure\\n\\nExample:\\n\\n- If the movie grosses $162.5M, the market resolves to \\\"≥ $160M and \u0026lt; $165M\\\"\\n\\n**Resolution:**\\n\\nThe market resolves based on the Opening Weekend domestic box office revenue as reported by Box Office Mojo.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The film's theatrical release is canceled or postponed\\n- Official box office data becomes unavailable or unreliable\\n- The film receives a direct-to-streaming release instead of a theatrical release␟\"\u003c $155M\",\"≥ $155M and \u003c $160M\",\"≥ $160M and \u003c $165M\",\"≥ $165M and \u003c $170M\",\"≥ $170M and \u003c $175M\",\"≥ $175M\"␟Culture;;https://www.boxofficemojo.com;BOx Office Mojo␟",
|
|
1521
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmfGcWYGfHNp3xMGRBFfy3cqby16Z5H9tBai9AJCk45Jr3,,,,,",
|
|
1522
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1523
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1524
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1525
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1526
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1527
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1528
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1529
|
-
// }));
|
|
1530
|
-
|
|
1531
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution84 = new uint256[](6);distribution84[0] = 100e6;distribution84[1] = 100e6;distribution84[2] = 100e6;distribution84[3] = 100e6;distribution84[4] = 100e6;distribution84[5] = 100e6;
|
|
1532
|
-
// uint256 marketId84 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1533
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1534
|
-
// closesAt: 1759276740,
|
|
1535
|
-
// outcomes: 6,
|
|
1536
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1537
|
-
// distribution: distribution84,
|
|
1538
|
-
// question: unicode"Who leaves the BASEDD House next?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** September 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the market close or earlier if the outcome was reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to whoever is the next to be eliminated from the BASEDD House. For example, if “whish” is eliminated next, this market resolves to “Whish”. In the case that a new person joins the house and then is eliminated, this market will resolve to “Other.”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the leaderboard on the BASEDD House website.\\n\\n- To trigger a resolution the individual has to be market “Eliminated” on the leaderboard\\n\\nThe secondary resolution source for this market will be the Basedd House X account (@SUPERBASEDD).\\n\\n- An official announcement of a member being “eliminated,” “kicked out of the house,” or similar will resolve this market.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period␟\"I see M\",\"Never Goon\",\"Whish\",\"Nate Hentosh\",\"Pete\",\"Other\"␟Culture;;https://www.basedd.house/leaderboard;BASEDD House␟",
|
|
1539
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRkGF6jRAmFXQsBqdikKbXFkrsEJZkGTEaQBu2HuZQ7s4,,,,,",
|
|
1540
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1541
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1542
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1543
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1544
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1545
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1546
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1547
|
-
// }));
|
|
1548
|
-
|
|
1549
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution85 = new uint256[](5);distribution85[0] = 100e6;distribution85[1] = 100e6;distribution85[2] = 100e6;distribution85[3] = 100e6;distribution85[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1550
|
-
// uint256 marketId85 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1551
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1552
|
-
// closesAt: 1752408000,
|
|
1553
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1554
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1555
|
-
// distribution: distribution85,
|
|
1556
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will win the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles?;Wimbledon 2025 is here, and all eyes are on Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner—fresh off their thrilling French Open campaigns—as they begin their quests for Grand Slam glory. But will either of them go all the way, or will someone else steal the show?\\n\\n### **Market Dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: July 13, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, ahead of the men’s singles final\\n- **Market Period**: Covers the full duration of the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles tournament (expected June 24 – July 13)\\n- **Resolution Deadline**: The outcome will be determined as soon as the final result is confirmed and published on the Wimbledon official website\\n\\n### **Outcome Criteria**\\n\\nThis market resolves to whoever is declared the 2025 Wimbledon men’s singles champion. For example, if Carlos Alcaraz wins, this market resolves to **“Alcaraz”**.\\n\\n### **Resolution**\\n\\nThis market will resolve based on the official results posted on the Wimbledon website. If the winner is not clearly identified on the site, official statements from tournament organizers may be used as secondary sources.\\n\\n### **Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n1. The men’s singles tournament is not completed in 2025\\n2. The official Wimbledon website fails to publish a clear winner or conflicting data makes resolution impossible␟\"Alcaraz\",\"Sinner\",\"Djokovic\",\"Draper\",\"Other\"␟Sports;;https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/schedule/index.html;Wimbledon␟",
|
|
1557
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmduMh2r26NzgaHJSDkSx7UWdAV9fBp4UDBpJXTQaVmQqM,,,,",
|
|
1558
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1559
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1560
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1561
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1562
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1563
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1564
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1565
|
-
// }));
|
|
1566
|
-
|
|
1567
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution86 = new uint256[](5);distribution86[0] = 100e6;distribution86[1] = 100e6;distribution86[2] = 100e6;distribution86[3] = 100e6;distribution86[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1568
|
-
// uint256 marketId86 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1569
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1570
|
-
// closesAt: 1751846340,
|
|
1571
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1572
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1573
|
-
// distribution: distribution86,
|
|
1574
|
-
// question: unicode"PENGU rank by July 6?;Where will $PENGU rank in the top cryptocurrencies in Coinmarketcap by July 6?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 6, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 6, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Coinmarketcap uploaded the Historical Snapshot for July 6, 2025.\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\nResolves to wherever $PENGU is ranked in the Coinmarketcap Cryptocurrency Historical Snapshot for July 6, 2025. For example, if $PENGU is ranked 78, this market resolves to “**74-79**”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the ranking of Coinmarketcap only\\n- Exclusively the Historical Snapshot for July 6, 2025 will be used for resolution\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- Coinmarketcap is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- Coinmarketcap doesn’t upload a Historical Snapshot for July 6, 2025\\n- $Pengu is delisted from Coinmarketcap␟\"≤ 62\",\"63-68\",\"69-74\",\"74-79\",\"≥ 80\"␟Crypto;;https://coinmarketcap.com/historical/;CoinMarketCap␟",
|
|
1575
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmSw1CYnC3wuh3fSBm2c6BQwCyArQjE4WjKjFgNWbjiDeV,,,,",
|
|
1576
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1577
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1578
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1579
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1580
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1581
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1582
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1583
|
-
// }));
|
|
1584
|
-
|
|
1585
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution87 = new uint256[](2);distribution87[0] = 100e6;distribution87[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1586
|
-
// uint256 marketId87 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1587
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1588
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1589
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1590
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1591
|
-
// distribution: distribution87,
|
|
1592
|
-
// question: unicode"M",
|
|
1593
|
-
// image: unicode"M",
|
|
1594
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1595
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1596
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1597
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1598
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1599
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1600
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1601
|
-
// }));
|
|
1602
|
-
|
|
1603
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution88 = new uint256[](5);distribution88[0] = 100e6;distribution88[1] = 100e6;distribution88[2] = 100e6;distribution88[3] = 100e6;distribution88[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1604
|
-
// uint256 marketId88 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1605
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1606
|
-
// closesAt: 1751644800,
|
|
1607
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1608
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1609
|
-
// distribution: distribution88,
|
|
1610
|
-
// question: unicode"Elon Musk: How many posts on X between June 27 and July 4?;**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period:** From the publishing date to July 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT\\n- **Observation Period:** From June 27, 2025, 12:00 PM EDT, until July 4, 2025, 12:00 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution Date:** July 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT or earlier if the outcome is determined\\n- **Market Close:** July 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria:**\\n\\n- The market will resolve to the outcome range that includes the final post count. For example, if the total is 176, the market will resolve to “151–200”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- Only main feed posts, quotes, and reposts are included.\\n- Replies do not count unless they appear on the main feed and are therefore captured by the tracker.\\n- Any deleted post is still counted if it remains for long enough that the tracker registers it.\\n\\n**Resolution Source:**\\n\\n- The primary resolution source for this market is the “Post Counter” value shown on xTracker, and individual posts can be reviewed through the “Export Data” option.\\n- If xTracker fails to update properly based on these rules, information from X itself may be used as a secondary source.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\n- If neither xTracker nor X can provide verifiable data, the market will be canceled␟\"≤ 150\",\"151 - 200\",\"201 - 250\",\"251 - 300\",\"\u003e 300\"␟Culture;;https://www.xtracker.io/;X Tracker␟",
|
|
1611
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmfLDntVBFdbvNLasQ4psjiZEYEurbjhzkkUuWkKnkq4zp,,,,",
|
|
1612
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1613
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1614
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1615
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1616
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1617
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1618
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1619
|
-
// }));
|
|
1620
|
-
|
|
1621
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution89 = new uint256[](3);distribution89[0] = 100e6;distribution89[1] = 100e6;distribution89[2] = 100e6;
|
|
1622
|
-
// uint256 marketId89 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1623
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1624
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 3600),
|
|
1625
|
-
// outcomes: 3,
|
|
1626
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1627
|
-
// distribution: distribution89,
|
|
1628
|
-
// question: unicode"MSI 2025: Who will slay more dragons?;MKOI and BLG face off in the first round of MSI 2025. Which team will manage to secure more dragons for themselves throughout the entire best of five?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 4, 2025, at 00:00 AM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 4, 2025, at 00:00 AM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the best of five is completed\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve to “MKOI” if they kill more dragons than BLG over the course of the entire best-of-five series.\\n- It will resolve to “BLG” if they kill more dragons than MKOI.\\n- If the total number of dragons killed is **exactly equal** between both teams, the market will resolve as “Tie”.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- All games played between MKOI and BLG in this specific best of five will be used for resolution\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions:**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled/voided if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods\\n- The tournament format changes drastically from the announced format\\n- Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively\\n- The MSI 2025 is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n- The match between MKOI and BLG is cancelled or postponed indefinitely␟\"MKOI\",\"BLG\",\"Tie\"␟Gaming;;https://gol.gg/game/stats/69272/page-preview/;GoL␟",
|
|
1629
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRbe4F1C7JL23QzeRf7gEbUqY54f1mHoD3GgQtzobVn3L,,",
|
|
1630
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1631
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1632
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1633
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1634
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1635
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1636
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1637
|
-
// }));
|
|
1638
|
-
|
|
1639
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution90 = new uint256[](2);distribution90[0] = 100e6;distribution90[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1640
|
-
// uint256 marketId90 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1641
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1642
|
-
// closesAt: 1752451140,
|
|
1643
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1644
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1645
|
-
// distribution: distribution90,
|
|
1646
|
-
// question: unicode"BASEDD Battle: ISEEM vs GOON;Basedd House is an attention experiment around a group of influencers living together, with each of them having their own [pump.fun](http://pump.fun) token. $ISEEM and $GOON are locked in a head to head battle, but who will have the higher market cap by mid July?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 14, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 13, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** July 14, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"ISEEM\\\" if it has a higher market cap than $GOON at the resolution deadline\\n- Resolves to “GOON” if it has a higher market cap than $ISEEM at the resolution deadline **Resolution sources:** [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun) will be used as a resolution source by comparing the MCap of both tokens, namely:\\n- ISEEM: \u003chttps://pump.fun/coin/FcKrenwsfeMjDSW4xvPLAdTJ6NTjo5hnyqLytYjUpump\u003e\\n- GOON: \u003chttps://pump.fun/coin/5sTUgEVTcRvPNK6CFpHBgVfDm6Vb7yKhb9ovMbvUpump\u003e\\n\\n**Resolution Details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the market cap chart of [**$ISEEM**](https://pump.fun/coin/FcKrenwsfeMjDSW4xvPLAdTJ6NTjo5hnyqLytYjUpump) and [**$GOON**](https://pump.fun/coin/5sTUgEVTcRvPNK6CFpHBgVfDm6Vb7yKhb9ovMbvUpump) on [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun), using:\\n - 1-minute (1m) candles\\n - Market cap (MCap)\\n - USD as the currency reference\\n- All available 1m candles on the [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun) chart up to the resolution date will be considered.\\n- If the exact minute of the resolution date is not available, the most recent previous candle will be used for resolution.\\n- If either $ISEEM or §GOON are delisted from [pump.fun](http://pump.fun), the other will be declared the winner\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions:**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- [Pump.fun](http://Pump.fun) is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- $ISEEM and $GOON are both delisted from [pump.fun](http://pump.fun) during the Market Period␟\"ISEEM\",\"GOON\"␟Crypto;;https://pump.fun/;Pump Fun␟",
|
|
1647
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRkGF6jRAmFXQsBqdikKbXFkrsEJZkGTEaQBu2HuZQ7s4,",
|
|
1648
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1649
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1650
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1651
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1652
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1653
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1654
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1655
|
-
// }));
|
|
1656
|
-
|
|
1657
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution91 = new uint256[](6);distribution91[0] = 100e6;distribution91[1] = 100e6;distribution91[2] = 100e6;distribution91[3] = 100e6;distribution91[4] = 100e6;distribution91[5] = 100e6;
|
|
1658
|
-
// uint256 marketId91 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1659
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1660
|
-
// closesAt: 1761955140,
|
|
1661
|
-
// outcomes: 6,
|
|
1662
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1663
|
-
// distribution: distribution91,
|
|
1664
|
-
// question: unicode"Who will play the next Voldemort?;The cast list for the new HBO Harry Potter series has started to go live and most of the iconic roles have already been filled. All but one: the role that shouldn’t be mentioned. Who will HBO announce to play Voldemort?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- This market resolves to whichever actor gets announced to play Voldemort in the upcoming HBO Harry Potter series. For example, if Cillian Murphy is confirmed to have taken on the role, this market resolves to “Cillian Murphy”.\\n- If an actor who’s name is not one of the provided options is announced, this market resolves to “Other”\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will be resolved by official announcements through the Warner Bros. media only.\\n- An announcement will be sufficient to resolve the market. If, for any reason, the decision changes after the market is resolved it won't count for its cancellation.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be cancelled/voided if:\\n\\n- The HBO Harry Potter series is cancelled or postponed indefinitely\\n- No announcement is made before market closing.\\n- The HBO Harry Potter is heavily altered in a way that makes it unrecognizable from the franchise␟\"Cillian Murphy\",\"Tom Hiddleston\",\"Rhys Ifans\",\"Christian Bale\",\"Ralph Fiennes\",\"Other\"␟Culture;;https://press.wbd.com/ca/property/harry-potter;Warner Bros␟",
|
|
1665
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmZ1eeqUi1d4TqmqmvsVxUJKmLs3qzy5GbG8qtxJqjksFA,,,,,",
|
|
1666
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1667
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1668
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1669
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1670
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1671
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1672
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1673
|
-
// }));
|
|
1674
|
-
|
|
1675
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution92 = new uint256[](5);distribution92[0] = 100e6;distribution92[1] = 100e6;distribution92[2] = 100e6;distribution92[3] = 100e6;distribution92[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1676
|
-
// uint256 marketId92 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1677
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1678
|
-
// closesAt: 1752674400,
|
|
1679
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1680
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1681
|
-
// distribution: distribution92,
|
|
1682
|
-
// question: unicode"How much will the Mars rock sell for?;A [meteorite](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/07/02/science/biggest-mars-rock-auction-scli-intl) that is the largest known piece of Mars on Earth is [going up for auction](https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2025/natural-history-2/martian-meteorite-nwa-16788) at the end of July. What price will it sell for?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 16, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 16, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the auction took place on July 16, 2025 and the outcome is determined\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to whichever price category the auction sale falls into. For example, if it sells for $2,500,000 this market resolves to “**\u0026gt;$2M - ≤$3M**”.\\n- The final sale price will be assessed in **USD ($)**\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- The primary resolution source for this market is CNN Science’s reporting\\n- In case CNN Science fails to report on the sale, other media outlets can be used as secondary resolution sources that are also covering the aution such as [Forbes](https://www.forbes.com/), [The Independent](https://www.independent.co.uk/) or [Sky News](https://news.sky.com/).\\n- Even though Sotheby’s doesn’t usually disclose or announce the closing bid for their auctions, such an announcement would also be considered to resolve the market.\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The auction is suspended indefinitely or canceled\\n- The meteorite is not sold at the auction\\n- The meteorite is sold at the auction but no exact price tag is reported by any of the above mentioned resolution sources␟\"≤$2M\",\"\u003e$2M and ≤$3M\",\"\u003e$3M and ≤$4M\",\"\u003e$4M and ≤$5M\",\"\u003e$5M\"␟Culture;;https://edition.cnn.com/science;CNN Science␟",
|
|
1683
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmYAmNgqbi3SkuY6qAoEMUuVHTeQgKRzSdeQbsF8rDxpoA,,,,",
|
|
1684
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1685
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1686
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1687
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1688
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1689
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1690
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1691
|
-
// }));
|
|
1692
|
-
|
|
1693
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution93 = new uint256[](2);distribution93[0] = 100e6;distribution93[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1694
|
-
// uint256 marketId93 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1695
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1696
|
-
// closesAt: 1753785000,
|
|
1697
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1698
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1699
|
-
// distribution: distribution93,
|
|
1700
|
-
// question: unicode"Verstappen to confirm a move to Mercedes before end of summer break?;With Red Bull’s shaky season, a hungry Mercedes, and Verstappen’s contract clause close to being triggered, the rumors are getting louder. Will Max Verstappen announce a move to Mercedes for the 2026 F1 season before the summer break ends?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through August 29, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** August 29, 2025, at 10:30 AM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to “Yes” if Formula 1 officially reports that Max Verstappen will move to the Mercedes team for the 2026 season during the Market Period.\\n- Resolves to “**No**” if no such announcement is made.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the official F1 news coverage\\n- Only a move from Red Bull to Mercedes will trigger a “Yes” resolution for this market. Should Max Verstappen announce a move to any other F1 team, this market will resolve to “No”\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Sports;;https://www.formula1.com/en/latest;F1 News␟",
|
|
1701
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmWvnfTtJNLCiJTPDZwVVXq2QAt9RN5gCWCWwpxDg8GsVL,",
|
|
1702
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1703
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1704
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1705
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1706
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1707
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1708
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1709
|
-
// }));
|
|
1710
|
-
|
|
1711
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution94 = new uint256[](5);distribution94[0] = 100e6;distribution94[1] = 100e6;distribution94[2] = 100e6;distribution94[3] = 100e6;distribution94[4] = 100e6;
|
|
1712
|
-
// uint256 marketId94 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1713
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1714
|
-
// closesAt: 1767225540,
|
|
1715
|
-
// outcomes: 5,
|
|
1716
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1717
|
-
// distribution: distribution94,
|
|
1718
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Frank Ilett cut his hair by end of 2025?;Manchester United fan Frank Ilett, who runs The United Strand social media channel, has vowed not to cut his hair until Manchester United wins five consecutive games. When will he finally get that haircut?\\n\\n**Market dates**\\n\\n- **Market Closing**: The market closes on December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC\\n- **Resolution Time:** December 31, 2025 at 23:59 UTC or earlier if the outcome is determined.\\n\\n**Resolution Criteria**\\n\\n- The outcome will be determined based on the first Instagram post showing Frank Ilett's haircut on The United Strand's account\\n- Resolution will be based on the date when the first Instagram post is made\\n- When the Manchester United winning streak started and finished is irrelevant for this market’s resolution\\n- The posting date of the haircut evidence, not the actual date of the haircut, determines the outcome\\n- If no haircut post is made by market closing (December 31, 2025, at 23:59 UTC), the market resolves as \\\"Not in 2025”\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The Instagram account becomes unavailable or is deleted\\n- Frank Ilett explicitly abandons the hair challenge\\n- The resolution source becomes inaccessible or unreliable␟\"Sept 2025 or before\",\"October 2025\",\"November 2025\",\"December 2025\",\"Not in 2025\"␟Culture;;https://www.instagram.com/theunitedstrand;The United Strand Instagram Account␟",
|
|
1719
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmdvYA9vGk6TcLzqKUbFSPHKdazSJwgYJ57kuZQFYxk3hB,,,,",
|
|
1720
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1721
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1722
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1723
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1724
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1725
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1726
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1727
|
-
// }));
|
|
1728
|
-
|
|
1729
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution95 = new uint256[](2);distribution95[0] = 100e6;distribution95[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1730
|
-
// uint256 marketId95 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1731
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1732
|
-
// closesAt: 1755230340,
|
|
1733
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1734
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1735
|
-
// distribution: distribution95,
|
|
1736
|
-
// question: unicode"Will the GENIUS Act be signed into law by mid August?;The GENIUS Act (S.1582), a major piece of stablecoin legislation, has passed the Senate and is now awaiting House consideration. Will this groundbreaking crypto regulation bill become law by the mid August?\\n\\n**Market Dates:**\\n\\n- **Closing date:** August 14, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Market Period:** From market publication until August 14, 2025 at 11:59 PM EDT\\n- **Resolution time:** After market closing or earlier if the outcome is determined.\\n\\n**Resolution**\\n\\n- Resolution will be based on official information from [Congress.gov](http://Congress.gov)'s legislation tracker and other U.S. government sources.\\n- News outlets such as AP News, Reuters, or the Financial Times reporting official statements on the GENIUS bill status may be used as secondary resolution sources if the primary source is unclear or unavailable.\\n\\n**Yes/No Criteria**\\n\\n- Resolves to \\\"Yes\\\" if the GENIUS Act is passed by both chambers of Congress AND signed into law by August 14, 2025, at 11:59 PM EST.\\n- Resolves to \\\"No\\\" if the bill fails to meet any of these criteria by the deadline.\\n\\n**Cancellation Conditions**\\n\\nThe market will be canceled if:\\n\\n- The bill is withdrawn or substantially amended to change its core purpose\\n- Legislative tracking becomes impossible due to government shutdown or technical issues\\n- Official resolution sources become permanently unavailable␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Politics;;https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/1582;US Congress Tracker␟",
|
|
1737
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmQbjbYKQjWV95aaRZufCmgikSW1HgZPxDDXZ8nkuEgskm,",
|
|
1738
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1739
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1740
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1741
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1742
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1743
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1744
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1745
|
-
// }));
|
|
1746
|
-
|
|
1747
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution96 = new uint256[](2);distribution96[0] = 100e6;distribution96[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1748
|
-
// uint256 marketId96 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1749
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1750
|
-
// closesAt: 1754006340,
|
|
1751
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1752
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1753
|
-
// distribution: distribution96,
|
|
1754
|
-
// question: unicode"Will Robinhood add another private company as a stock token by end of July?;The fintech giant Robinhood recently launched over 200 “stock tokens,” including OpenAI and SpaceX which are both private companies—prompting backlash from OpenAI and Elon Musk. Will Robinhood offer another private company as a stock token by the end of July?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Market Close:** July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to “Yes” if Robinhood announces the launch of at least one other stock token for a private company during the Market Period.\\n- Resolves to “No” if no such announcement occurs.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market resolves based on official press releases from Robinhood\\n- If Robinhood launches another stock token that represents a private company without a press release, this market could still resolve to “Yes” provided the token is verifiably live and tradeable, and was also not part of the original 200 cohort, before Market Close\\n- To define a private company: it is a business not publicly traded on stock exchanges and cannot be purchased by the general public\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period␟\"Yes\",\"No\"␟Economy;;https://newsroom.aboutrobinhood.com/category/crypto/;Robinhood␟",
|
|
1755
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmXbb88UgUc3kBfA1QZ1V6nRWYwidZaxXYv9FuZqKN8vTs,",
|
|
1756
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1757
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1758
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1759
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1760
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1761
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1762
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1763
|
-
// }));
|
|
1764
|
-
|
|
1765
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution97 = new uint256[](2);distribution97[0] = 100e6;distribution97[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1766
|
-
// uint256 marketId97 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1767
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1768
|
-
// closesAt: 1751745600,
|
|
1769
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1770
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1771
|
-
// distribution: distribution97,
|
|
1772
|
-
// question: unicode"Real Madrid vs Dortmund: Who will advance to Semi Finals?;Two storied clubs face off in the FIFA Club World Cup quarter-final as Real Madrid take on Borussia Dortmund at MetLife Stadium. With a place in the final four at stake, which side will rise to the occasion in this high-stakes showdown?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the semi-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.␟\"Real Madrid\",\"Dortmund\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
1773
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1774
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1775
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1776
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1777
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1778
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1779
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1780
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1781
|
-
// }));
|
|
1782
|
-
|
|
1783
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution98 = new uint256[](2);distribution98[0] = 100e6;distribution98[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1784
|
-
// uint256 marketId98 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1785
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1786
|
-
// closesAt: 1751731200,
|
|
1787
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1788
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1789
|
-
// distribution: distribution98,
|
|
1790
|
-
// question: unicode"PSG vs Bayern: Who will advance to Semi Finals?;Two European giants collide in the FIFA Club World Cup quarter-final as PSG take on Bayern Munich at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. With a semi-final spot on the line, who will come out on top in this heavyweight clash?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the semi-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.␟\"PSG\",\"Bayern\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
1791
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1792
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1793
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1794
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1795
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1796
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1797
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1798
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1799
|
-
// }));
|
|
1800
|
-
|
|
1801
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution99 = new uint256[](2);distribution99[0] = 100e6;distribution99[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1802
|
-
// uint256 marketId99 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1803
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1804
|
-
// closesAt: 1751677200,
|
|
1805
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1806
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1807
|
-
// distribution: distribution99,
|
|
1808
|
-
// question: unicode"Palmeiras vs Chelsea: Who will advance to Semi Finals?;Palmeiras face Chelsea in a high-stakes quarter-final showdown. Will the Brazilian champions get their revenge, or will the Blues book their spot in the semis once again?\\n\\n**Market Closing:** The market closes ahead of the game start as scheduled.\\n\\n**Resolution Rules**\\n\\nThe market resolves in favor of the team that advances to the semi-finals after the match (including potential extra time and penalties). Market resolves based on the official FIFA Club World Cup result.\\n\\n**Cancellation (Void) Conditions**\\n\\nIf the game is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or no official result is declared, the market will be voided/canceled.␟\"Palmeiras\",\"Chelsea\"␟Sports;;https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/club-world-cup/usa-2025/scores-and-fixtures;FIFA Club World Cup␟",
|
|
1809
|
-
// image: unicode"␟Qmd9YKeG9PdkuMotaJJMowpyTeovc1RsGxV6uWhV3xtKZ1,",
|
|
1810
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1811
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1812
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1813
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1814
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1815
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1816
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1817
|
-
// }));
|
|
1818
|
-
|
|
1819
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution100 = new uint256[](4);distribution100[0] = 100e6;distribution100[1] = 100e6;distribution100[2] = 100e6;distribution100[3] = 100e6;
|
|
1820
|
-
// uint256 marketId100 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1821
|
-
// value: 1,
|
|
1822
|
-
// closesAt: 1753898400,
|
|
1823
|
-
// outcomes: 4,
|
|
1824
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1825
|
-
// distribution: distribution100,
|
|
1826
|
-
// question: unicode"What will the FED’s interest rate decision be in July?;Will the FED cut, hike, or leave interest rates in touched in July?\\n\\n**Market dates:**\\n\\n- **Market Period**: From the publication date through July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC\\n- **Market Closing:** July 30, 2025, at 06:00 PM UTC\\n- **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the Market Closing, or earlier if the outcome is reached\\n\\n**Resolution criteria:**\\n\\n- Resolves to the category which the FED decision falls into. For example, if the FED decides to keep rates the same, this market will resolve to “**No change**”.\\n\\n**Resolution details:**\\n\\n- This market will resolve based on the official FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025\\n- An emergency rate lowering or hiking would also trigger a resolution if it occurs during the Market Period\\n\\n**Cancelation (Invalidity) Conditions**\\n\\nThis market will be **canceled/invalid** if:\\n\\n- The resolution source is suspended, becomes unreliable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period\\n- Any circumstance prevents reliable tracking during the Market Period\\n- The FED meeting scheduled for July 29 - 30, 2025 is canceled or postponed indefinitely␟\"No change\",\"25bps decrease\",\"50bps+ decrease\",\"25bps+ increase\"␟Economy;;https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm;Federal Reserve␟",
|
|
1827
|
-
// image: unicode"␟QmRMxahTtXQxuEnquXGM3xtPHXuzt54mqB4uMyDQJ6wVN1,,,",
|
|
1828
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1829
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1830
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1831
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1832
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1833
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1834
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1835
|
-
// }));
|
|
1836
|
-
|
|
1837
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution101 = new uint256[](2);distribution101[0] = 100e6;distribution101[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1838
|
-
// uint256 marketId101 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1839
|
-
// value: 8e17,
|
|
1840
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 86400),
|
|
1841
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1842
|
-
// token: IERC20(token1),
|
|
1843
|
-
// distribution: distribution101,
|
|
1844
|
-
// question: unicode"Test SZN 2 v3.3;Test SZN 2 v3.3␟\"A\",\"B\"␟Other;;https://example.org/;Test␟",
|
|
1845
|
-
// image: unicode"␟,",
|
|
1846
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1847
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1848
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1849
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1850
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1851
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1852
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1853
|
-
// }));
|
|
1854
|
-
|
|
1855
|
-
// uint256[] memory distribution102 = new uint256[](2);distribution102[0] = 100e6;distribution102[1] = 100e6;
|
|
1856
|
-
// uint256 marketId102 = PredictionMarketV3_4(predictionMarket).createMarket(PredictionMarketV3_4.CreateMarketDescription({
|
|
1857
|
-
// value: 8e5,
|
|
1858
|
-
// closesAt: uint32(block.timestamp + 86400),
|
|
1859
|
-
// outcomes: 2,
|
|
1860
|
-
// token: IERC20(token2),
|
|
1861
|
-
// distribution: distribution102,
|
|
1862
|
-
// question: unicode"Test USDC v3.3;Test USDC v3.3␟\"A\",\"B\"␟Other;;https://example.org/;Test␟",
|
|
1863
|
-
// image: unicode"␟,",
|
|
1864
|
-
// arbitrator: address(arbitrator),
|
|
1865
|
-
// buyFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1866
|
-
// sellFees: PredictionMarketV3_4.Fees({fee: 0, treasuryFee: 0, distributorFee: 0}),
|
|
1867
|
-
// treasury: address(0),
|
|
1868
|
-
// distributor: address(0),
|
|
1869
|
-
// realitioTimeout: 3600,
|
|
1870
|
-
// manager: IPredictionMarketV3Manager(manager)
|
|
1871
|
-
// }));
|
|
1872
|
-
}
|
|
1873
|
-
}
|