pi-smart-router 0.6.1 → 0.7.0

package/.pi/extensions/smart-router/extension-setup.ts

@@ -4,8 +4,8 @@ import {
   type ExtensionAPI,
 } from '@earendil-works/pi-coding-agent';
 
+import { resolveOperatorConfigFromEnv } from '../../../src/config/defaults.js';
 import { ExecutionLedger } from '../../../src/domain/delegation/execution-ledger.js';
-import { SessionPinner } from '../../../src/domain/pinning/session-pinner.js';
 import type { SessionRoutingSnapshot } from '../../../src/infrastructure/telemetry/outcome-recorder.js';
 import { createRouterFromFleet, LifecycleHookState } from '../../../src/index.js';
 
@@ -14,7 +14,11 @@ import {
   createExtensionDatasetRecorder,
   createExtensionOutcomeRecorder,
 } from './dataset-export.js';
-import { createDispatchOptions, initHydraMatcher } from './fleet-bootstrap.js';
+import {
+  createDispatchOptions,
+  createOperatorAwareSessionPinner,
+  initHydraMatcher,
+} from './fleet-bootstrap.js';
 import { setupSessionHooks } from './session-lifecycle.js';
 import { createStreamSimple } from './stream-delegation.js';
 import type { SmartRouterRuntime } from './types.js';
@@ -35,7 +39,8 @@ export async function createSmartRouterRuntime(cwd: string): Promise<{
   const modelRegistry = ModelRegistry.inMemory(authStorage);
   const hydraMatcher = await initHydraMatcher();
   const store = createExtensionStore(cwd);
-  const sessionPinner = new SessionPinner({ store });
+  const operatorConfig = resolveOperatorConfigFromEnv();
+  const sessionPinner = createOperatorAwareSessionPinner(store, operatorConfig);
   const executionLedger = new ExecutionLedger();
   const lifecycleHookState = new LifecycleHookState();
   const datasetNotify: DatasetNotify = {
@@ -62,7 +67,9 @@ export async function createSmartRouterRuntime(cwd: string): Promise<{
     sessionRouting,
     streamDeps: {
       router: createRouterFromFleet([], {
-        ...createDispatchOptions(store, sessionPinner, hydraMatcher),
+        ...createDispatchOptions(store, sessionPinner, hydraMatcher, {
+          operatorConfig,
+        }),
         lifecycleHookState,
       }),
       modelRegistry,

package/.pi/extensions/smart-router/fleet-bootstrap.ts

@@ -6,13 +6,18 @@ import {
 } from '@earendil-works/pi-coding-agent';
 
 import { mapFleetFromRegistry } from '../../../src/config/pi-model-mapper.js';
-import { DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG } from '../../../src/config/defaults.js';
+import {
+  DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG,
+  resolveOperatorConfigFromEnv,
+} from '../../../src/config/defaults.js';
 import {
   HydraMatcher,
   createOnnxEmbeddingProvider,
 } from '../../../src/domain/matching/hydra-matcher.js';
 import { SessionPinner } from '../../../src/domain/pinning/session-pinner.js';
 import type { ModelProfile, PriceCatalog } from '../../../src/domain/types/index.js';
+import type { QuotaWindowPosition } from '../../../src/domain/types/entities.js';
+import type { OperatorConfig } from '../../../src/domain/types/schemas.js';
 import type { StorePort } from '../../../src/domain/types/store-port.js';
 import { getDefaultSystemInfo } from '../../../src/infrastructure/hardware/hardware-probe.js';
 import { DEFAULT_LOCAL_CONFIG } from '../../../src/infrastructure/local/local-zero-tier.js';
@@ -27,6 +32,16 @@ import { resolveModelScope } from './pi-model-scope.js';
 import type { FleetMode, SmartRouterRuntime } from './types.js';
 import { resolveRateLimiter } from './utils.js';
 
+/** Optional overrides for extension dispatch wiring (SP-173). */
+export interface CreateDispatchOptionsExtras {
+  /** Base operator config before env merge; defaults to DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG. */
+  readonly operatorConfig?: OperatorConfig;
+  /** Live price catalog when fleet discovery has loaded one. */
+  readonly priceCatalog?: PriceCatalog | null;
+  /** Rolling subscription quota position when available. */
+  readonly quotaWindowPosition?: QuotaWindowPosition;
+}
+
 /** Minimal settings surface used for scoped fleet discovery. */
 export interface ScopedSettingsReader {
   getEnabledModels(): string[] | null | undefined;
@@ -152,26 +167,58 @@ export function createDispatchOptions(
   store: StorePort,
   sessionPinner: SessionPinner,
   hydraMatcher?: HydraMatcher,
+  extras?: CreateDispatchOptionsExtras,
 ): GatewayDispatchOptions {
+  const operatorConfig = resolveOperatorConfigFromEnv(
+    extras?.operatorConfig ?? DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG,
+  );
   const telemetryEmitter = new RoutingTelemetryEmitter({
     onRecord: (record) => {
       store.appendTelemetry(record);
     },
+    sessionPinner,
+    saarConfig: operatorConfig.saar,
+    ...(extras?.priceCatalog !== undefined ? { priceCatalog: extras.priceCatalog } : {}),
+    ...(extras?.quotaWindowPosition !== undefined
+      ? { quotaWindowPosition: extras.quotaWindowPosition }
+      : {}),
   });
   const rateLimiter = resolveRateLimiter(store);
 
   return {
     sessionPinner,
-    hardwareConfig: DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG.local,
+    hardwareConfig: operatorConfig.local,
     systemInfoProvider: getDefaultSystemInfo,
     localConfig: DEFAULT_LOCAL_CONFIG,
-    loopEscalationConfig: DEFAULT_OPERATOR_CONFIG.loop_escalation,
+    loopEscalationConfig: operatorConfig.loop_escalation,
+    saarConfig: operatorConfig.saar,
+    planningDelegateConfig: operatorConfig.planning_delegate,
+    pinOnlyFallback: operatorConfig.pin_only_fallback,
+    ...(extras?.priceCatalog !== undefined ? { priceCatalog: extras.priceCatalog } : {}),
+    ...(extras?.quotaWindowPosition !== undefined
+      ? { quotaWindowPosition: extras.quotaWindowPosition }
+      : {}),
     ...(hydraMatcher ? { hydraMatcher } : {}),
     ...(rateLimiter ? { rateLimiter } : {}),
     telemetryEmitter,
   };
 }
 
+/**
+ * Build a SessionPinner wired with operator SAAR / pin-only settings (SP-173).
+ * No operator-config.json loader exists yet — env + optional base config only.
+ */
+export function createOperatorAwareSessionPinner(
+  store: StorePort,
+  operatorConfig: OperatorConfig = resolveOperatorConfigFromEnv(),
+): SessionPinner {
+  return new SessionPinner({
+    store,
+    saarConfig: operatorConfig.saar,
+    pinOnlyFallback: operatorConfig.pin_only_fallback,
+  });
+}
+
 export async function rebuildFleet(
   runtime: SmartRouterRuntime,
   pi: ExtensionAPI,
@@ -189,7 +236,9 @@ export async function rebuildFleet(
   runtime.priceCatalog = catalog;
   runtime.fleetScopeFingerprint = fingerprint;
   const router = createRouterFromFleet(fleet, {
-    ...createDispatchOptions(runtime.store, runtime.sessionPinner, runtime.hydraMatcher),
+    ...createDispatchOptions(runtime.store, runtime.sessionPinner, runtime.hydraMatcher, {
+      priceCatalog: catalog,
+    }),
     lifecycleHookState: runtime.lifecycleHookState,
   });
   router.register(createHooksAdapter(pi));

package/.pi/extensions/smart-router/index.ts

@@ -24,6 +24,7 @@ import {
 } from './dataset-export.js';
 import {
   createDispatchOptions,
+  createOperatorAwareSessionPinner,
   discoverFleet,
   formatLmuStatus,
   initHydraMatcher,
@@ -62,6 +63,7 @@ export {
   createDispatchOptions,
   createExtensionDatasetRecorder,
   createExtensionOutcomeRecorder,
+  createOperatorAwareSessionPinner,
   createSmartRouterRuntime,
   createStreamSimple,
   deriveTurnType,

package/README.md

@@ -464,12 +464,40 @@ When `SMART_ROUTER_DATASET=1`, the router records privacy-safe dataset rows and
 
 Each JSONL row joins dataset features with `success_label` and `outcome_signals`. Success means no negative outcome signals were recorded for that `request_id` (for example `model_override` or `feedback_bad` mark failure). Prompt plaintext is never included.
 
-Train a baseline logistic scorer offline from the export (see `src/domain/routing/p-success-classifier.ts`):
+**Dogfood artifact (SP-175):** the repo ships a non-example `config/p-success-weights.json` trained on the synthetic fixture at `scripts/fixtures/p-success-synthetic-train.jsonl` (**provenance: synthetic/fixture**, not community contrib — 40 labeled feature-vector rows, no prompt text). With `trained_sample_count ≥ 30`, the low-intensity gate uses trained logistic scores instead of neutral `0.5`. Missing or invalid artifacts still fall back safely to neutral defaults.
+
+**Operator train / reload (no prompt text):**
+
+```bash
+# 1) Opt in + dogfood, then export privacy-safe labeled JSONL (features + labels only)
+SMART_ROUTER_DATASET=1
+# …run sessions with /model smart-router/auto and /smart-router feedback…
+/smart-router export dataset --limit 200
+
+# 2) Train standalone weights (≥30 labeled rows required)
+npm run routing:train-p-success -- --input path/to/export.jsonl --output config/p-success-weights.json
+
+# Or regenerate the checked-in dogfood weights from the synthetic fixture:
+npm run routing:train-p-success
+
+# 3) Optional: merge isotonic into an existing calibration bundle (does not rewrite hydra/centroids)
+npm run routing:train-p-success -- --input path/to/export.jsonl \
+  --calibration-output config/routing-calibration.json
+
+# Full Phase-3 bundle (also refreshes standalone p-success-weights.json when the gate is met):
+npm run routing:train-calibration -- --input path/to/aggregated.jsonl
+```
+
+Reload is file-based: replace `config/p-success-weights.json` (and optionally `config/routing-calibration.json` for isotonic) and restart the host agent — no prompt text is ever written into training artifacts.
+
+**Isotonic gap:** serve-time isotonic calibration loads from `config/routing-calibration.json` (`isotonic_calibrator`). The checked-in dogfood path ships trained **logistic** weights only; isotonic is produced when you pass `--calibration-output` or run `routing:train-calibration` with ≥30 labeled samples. Until that bundle exists, the pipeline uses raw logistic `P(success)` (identity / no-op calibrator) and still exposes `p_success_raw` vs `p_success_calibrated` / `p_success_cheap` on explain and telemetry.
+
+Library helpers (see `src/domain/routing/p-success-classifier.ts`):
 
 - `trainFromExportJsonl(exportContent)` — fit coefficients from labeled JSONL
 - `predictPSuccessCheap(features, weights)` — returns `P_success_cheap` in `[0, 1]`
 
-Copy `config/p-success-weights.json.example` to `config/p-success-weights.json` and replace coefficients after training. **Minimum sample guidance:** collect at least **30** labeled economical-tier rows before relying on non-neutral predictions; below that threshold the classifier returns neutral `P_success_cheap = 0.5`. **Online inference** is active in the low-intensity gate; without trained weights the router uses neutral defaults until you add `config/p-success-weights.json`.
+**Minimum sample guidance:** collect at least **30** labeled economical-tier rows before relying on non-neutral predictions; below that threshold the classifier returns neutral `P_success_cheap = 0.5`. **Online inference** is active in the low-intensity gate; without trained weights the router uses neutral defaults until you add `config/p-success-weights.json`.
 
 ### Community telemetry contribution (calibration)
 
@@ -744,6 +772,7 @@ Contributors must run `npm run build` before publishing or consuming the library
 | `npm run routing:bootstrap-centroids` | Regenerate `config/routing-centroids.json` from cluster catalog |
 | `npm run routing:calibration-aggregate` | Aggregate community telemetry for calibration |
 | `npm run routing:train-calibration` | Train routing calibration artifact bundle |
+| `npm run routing:train-p-success` | Train standalone `config/p-success-weights.json` (synthetic fixture by default) |
 | `npm run routing:verify-calibration` | Verify calibration bundle against benchmark prompts |
 | `npm run routing:ingest-benchmarks` | Regenerate `config/benchmark-profiles.json` from leaderboard fixtures |
 | `npm run routing:verify-benchmark-profiles` | CI smoke: assert checked-in profiles match fixture ingest |
@@ -782,6 +811,16 @@ npm run routing:eval-replay
 
 Capability scores in `config/benchmark-profiles.json` are grounded from public leaderboard snapshots under `tests/fixtures/benchmark-leaderboards/`. Each artifact records provenance (`source_urls`, `scrape_date`, `catalog_freeze_date`) in its header.
 
+**Fleet ID aliases (SP-174):** live pi/Cursor scoped-fleet model IDs often differ from leaderboard `model_id` strings. The artifact’s optional `aliases` map sends those fleet IDs to an existing grounded row (never invents scores). `mapPiModelToProfile` sets `capability_source` to `benchmark` when a direct row or alias hits, otherwise `pattern_default`. Operators can also call `getCapabilitySource(modelId)` / `resolveBenchmarkModelId(modelId)`.
+
+**Add a new fleet ID after ingest:**
+
+1. Ensure the canonical model has fixture scores (edit `tests/fixtures/benchmark-leaderboards/*.json` if needed).
+2. Run `npm run routing:ingest-benchmarks` (and commit the regenerated `config/benchmark-profiles.json`).
+3. Add `"your-fleet-id": "canonical-model_id"` under `aliases` in `config/benchmark-profiles.json` (target must already appear in `models[].model_id`).
+4. Re-run ingest anytime — the CLI **preserves** existing `aliases` from the output file. Seed defaults live in `DEFAULT_FLEET_BENCHMARK_ALIASES` when no prior artifact exists.
+5. Confirm with `npm run routing:verify-benchmark-profiles` and a mapper unit test that `capability_source === 'benchmark'` for the fleet id.
+
 **Operator policy:**
 
 1. **PR smoke** — `.github/workflows/benchmark-profile-refresh.yml` runs on PRs that touch fixtures, ingest, or the checked-in artifact. It executes `npm run routing:verify-benchmark-profiles` so fixture edits cannot drift from `config/benchmark-profiles.json`.

package/config/benchmark-profiles.json

@@ -10,6 +10,28 @@
     "scrape_date": "2026-07-09",
     "catalog_freeze_date": "2026-07-09"
   },
+  "aliases": {
+    "claude-3-5-sonnet": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
+    "claude-3.5-sonnet": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
+    "claude-3.5-sonnet-latest": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
+    "claude-opus-4": "claude-opus-4-5",
+    "claude-opus-4-20250514": "claude-opus-4-5",
+    "claude-sonnet-4": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
+    "claude-sonnet-4-20250514": "claude-sonnet-4-6",
+    "composer-1": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "composer-latest": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "cursor/auto": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "cursor/composer-latest": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "default": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "gemini-2.0-flash": "gemini-2.5-flash",
+    "gemini-2.5-flash-lite": "gemini-2.5-flash",
+    "gemini-2.5-flash-preview": "gemini-2.5-flash",
+    "gemini-flash-latest": "gemini-2.5-flash",
+    "gpt-5": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "gpt-5-codex": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "gpt-5.3": "gpt-5.3-codex",
+    "gpt-5.5": "gpt-5.3-codex"
+  },
   "models": [
     {
       "model_id": "claude-3.5-haiku",

package/config/p-success-weights.json

@@ -0,0 +1,36 @@
+{
+  "version": 1,
+  "min_training_samples": 30,
+  "feature_names": [
+    "prompt_length_norm",
+    "estimated_input_tokens_norm",
+    "triage_cyclomatic_score",
+    "requirement_reasoning",
+    "requirement_code_gen",
+    "requirement_tool_use",
+    "has_tool_context",
+    "compaction_flag",
+    "routing_latency_norm",
+    "economical_tier"
+  ],
+  "intercept": 4.101841550841884,
+  "coefficients": [
+    -3.9458158506645473,
+    -3.9458158506645473,
+    -4.6221357618419106,
+    -4.702014247565688,
+    -1.9442887494123497,
+    -2.945430358303044,
+    -2.8373347243581435,
+    0,
+    0.09441030879566878,
+    4.101841550841884
+  ],
+  "trained_sample_count": 40,
+  "provenance": {
+    "source": "synthetic_fixture",
+    "task": "SP-175",
+    "note": "Privacy-safe feature vectors + labels only; no prompt text.",
+    "trained_at": "2026-07-10"
+  }
+}

package/config/p-success-weights.json.example

@@ -15,5 +15,8 @@
   ],
   "intercept": 0,
   "coefficients": [0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0],
-  "trained_sample_count": 0
+  "trained_sample_count": 0,
+  "provenance": {
+    "note": "Untrained template. Prefer npm run routing:train-p-success (or copy from config/p-success-weights.json after training). Never commit prompt text."
+  }
 }

package/dist/config/pi-model-mapper.d.ts

@@ -3,19 +3,37 @@
  *
  * Maps pi `Model` objects (provider + id) to router fleet entries using
  * pattern-based lookup for known families. When `config/benchmark-profiles.json`
- * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), capability
- * vectors are grounded in benchmark scores instead of regex defaults.
- * Unknown models or missing benchmark rows receive conservative pattern defaults.
+ * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), or a fleet alias
+ * pointing at such a row (SP-174), capability vectors are grounded in benchmark
+ * scores instead of regex defaults. Unknown models or missing benchmark rows
+ * receive conservative pattern defaults. Mapped profiles include
+ * `capability_source` (`benchmark` | `pattern_default`) for explain/telemetry.
  */
 import type { ModelLimits, ModelProfile, Tier } from '../domain/types/entities.js';
 /** Checked-in ingest artifact from `npm run routing:ingest-benchmarks` (SP-134). */
 export declare const DEFAULT_BENCHMARK_PROFILES_PATH: string;
+/** Whether HyDRA capabilities came from the ingest artifact (or alias) vs regex defaults. */
+export type CapabilitySource = 'benchmark' | 'pattern_default';
+/** ModelProfile plus operator-visible capability provenance (SP-174). */
+export interface MappedModelProfile extends ModelProfile {
+    readonly capability_source: CapabilitySource;
+}
 /**
  * Test hook — override benchmark artifact path (null disables benchmark grounding).
  */
 export declare function setBenchmarkProfilesPathForTests(filePath: string | null): void;
 /** Test hook — clear cached benchmark artifact between cases. */
 export declare function resetBenchmarkProfilesCacheForTests(): void;
+/**
+ * Resolve a scoped-fleet model id to the canonical ingest `model_id` via aliases.
+ * Returns the input id when no alias exists.
+ */
+export declare function resolveBenchmarkModelId(modelId: string): string;
+/**
+ * Whether capabilities for this model id resolve from the benchmark artifact
+ * (direct row or fleet alias) vs pattern/family defaults.
+ */
+export declare function getCapabilitySource(modelId: string): CapabilitySource;
 /** Pi registry `Model.cost` shape — per-token USD rates. */
 export interface PiRegistryCost {
     readonly input: number;
@@ -41,10 +59,11 @@ export declare function getDefaultLimitsForTier(tier: Tier): ModelLimits;
 export declare const DEFAULT_CURSOR_QUOTA_COST_PER_1M = 3;
 /**
  * Map a pi model registry entry to a router ModelProfile.
+ * Includes `capability_source` for operators (benchmark vs pattern_default).
  */
-export declare function mapPiModelToProfile(input: PiModelInput): ModelProfile;
+export declare function mapPiModelToProfile(input: PiModelInput): MappedModelProfile;
 /**
  * Map an array of pi registry models to a router fleet catalog.
  */
-export declare function mapFleetFromRegistry(models: readonly PiModelInput[]): ModelProfile[];
+export declare function mapFleetFromRegistry(models: readonly PiModelInput[]): MappedModelProfile[];
 //# sourceMappingURL=pi-model-mapper.d.ts.map

package/dist/config/pi-model-mapper.d.ts.map

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package/dist/config/pi-model-mapper.js

@@ -3,9 +3,11 @@
  *
  * Maps pi `Model` objects (provider + id) to router fleet entries using
  * pattern-based lookup for known families. When `config/benchmark-profiles.json`
- * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), capability
- * vectors are grounded in benchmark scores instead of regex defaults.
- * Unknown models or missing benchmark rows receive conservative pattern defaults.
+ * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), or a fleet alias
+ * pointing at such a row (SP-174), capability vectors are grounded in benchmark
+ * scores instead of regex defaults. Unknown models or missing benchmark rows
+ * receive conservative pattern defaults. Mapped profiles include
+ * `capability_source` (`benchmark` | `pattern_default`) for explain/telemetry.
  */
 import { existsSync, readFileSync } from 'node:fs';
 import { resolve } from 'node:path';
@@ -23,21 +25,22 @@ const benchmarkModelRowSchema = z.object({
 });
 const benchmarkProfilesArtifactSchema = z.object({
     version: z.literal(1),
+    aliases: z.record(z.string().min(1), z.string().min(1)).optional(),
     models: z.array(benchmarkModelRowSchema).min(1),
 });
 let benchmarkProfilesPathOverride;
-let benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId;
+let benchmarkProfilesCache;
 /**
  * Test hook — override benchmark artifact path (null disables benchmark grounding).
  */
 export function setBenchmarkProfilesPathForTests(filePath) {
     benchmarkProfilesPathOverride = filePath;
-    benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = undefined;
+    benchmarkProfilesCache = undefined;
 }
 /** Test hook — clear cached benchmark artifact between cases. */
 export function resetBenchmarkProfilesCacheForTests() {
     benchmarkProfilesPathOverride = undefined;
-    benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = undefined;
+    benchmarkProfilesCache = undefined;
 }
 function resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath() {
     if (benchmarkProfilesPathOverride === null) {
@@ -45,13 +48,13 @@ function resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath() {
     }
     return benchmarkProfilesPathOverride ?? DEFAULT_BENCHMARK_PROFILES_PATH;
 }
-function loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap() {
-    if (benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId !== undefined) {
-        return benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId;
+function loadBenchmarkProfilesCache() {
+    if (benchmarkProfilesCache !== undefined) {
+        return benchmarkProfilesCache;
     }
     const filePath = resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath();
     if (filePath === null || !existsSync(filePath)) {
-        benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = null;
+        benchmarkProfilesCache = null;
         return null;
     }
     try {
@@ -61,33 +64,67 @@ function loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap() {
         if (!result.success) {
             throw new Error(result.error.message);
         }
-        const map = new Map();
+        const capabilitiesByModelId = new Map();
         for (const row of result.data.models) {
-            map.set(row.model_id, { ...row.capabilities });
+            capabilitiesByModelId.set(row.model_id, { ...row.capabilities });
         }
-        benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = map;
-        return map;
+        const aliases = new Map(Object.entries(result.data.aliases ?? {}));
+        benchmarkProfilesCache = { capabilitiesByModelId, aliases };
+        return benchmarkProfilesCache;
     }
     catch (err) {
         console.warn('benchmark profiles artifact invalid; using regex capability defaults', {
             path: filePath,
             error: err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err),
         });
-        benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = null;
+        benchmarkProfilesCache = null;
         return null;
     }
 }
+/**
+ * Resolve a scoped-fleet model id to the canonical ingest `model_id` via aliases.
+ * Returns the input id when no alias exists.
+ */
+export function resolveBenchmarkModelId(modelId) {
+    const cache = loadBenchmarkProfilesCache();
+    if (cache === null) {
+        return modelId;
+    }
+    return cache.aliases.get(modelId) ?? modelId;
+}
 function lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId) {
-    return loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap()?.get(modelId);
+    const cache = loadBenchmarkProfilesCache();
+    if (cache === null) {
+        return undefined;
+    }
+    const direct = cache.capabilitiesByModelId.get(modelId);
+    if (direct !== undefined) {
+        return direct;
+    }
+    const canonical = cache.aliases.get(modelId);
+    if (canonical === undefined) {
+        return undefined;
+    }
+    return cache.capabilitiesByModelId.get(canonical);
+}
+/**
+ * Whether capabilities for this model id resolve from the benchmark artifact
+ * (direct row or fleet alias) vs pattern/family defaults.
+ */
+export function getCapabilitySource(modelId) {
+    return lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId) !== undefined ? 'benchmark' : 'pattern_default';
 }
 function withBenchmarkCapabilities(defaults, modelId) {
     const grounded = lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId);
     if (grounded === undefined) {
-        return defaults;
+        return { defaults, capability_source: 'pattern_default' };
     }
     return {
-        ...defaults,
-        capabilities: { ...grounded },
+        defaults: {
+            ...defaults,
+            capabilities: { ...grounded },
+        },
+        capability_source: 'benchmark',
     };
 }
 const LOCAL_PROVIDERS = new Set(['lmstudio', 'ollama']);
@@ -245,7 +282,7 @@ function resolveFallbackCost(input, defaults) {
     const fromRegistry = deriveFallbackCostPer1M(input.cost);
     return fromRegistry ?? defaults.pricing.fallback_cost_per_1m;
 }
-function buildProfile(input, defaults) {
+function buildProfile(input, defaults, capability_source) {
     const provider = input.provider.trim();
     const registryKey = `${normalizeProvider(provider)}/${input.id}`;
     const profile = {
@@ -260,6 +297,7 @@ function buildProfile(input, defaults) {
                 ? { quota_cost_per_1m: defaults.pricing.quota_cost_per_1m }
                 : {}),
         },
+        capability_source,
     };
     const withPerformance = defaults.performance !== undefined
         ? { ...profile, performance: { ...defaults.performance } }
@@ -271,6 +309,7 @@ function buildProfile(input, defaults) {
 }
 /**
  * Map a pi model registry entry to a router ModelProfile.
+ * Includes `capability_source` for operators (benchmark vs pattern_default).
  */
 export function mapPiModelToProfile(input) {
     const provider = normalizeProvider(input.provider);
@@ -281,16 +320,20 @@ export function mapPiModelToProfile(input) {
             id: input.id,
             ...(input.name !== undefined ? { name: input.name } : {}),
         };
-        return buildProfile(localInput, withBenchmarkCapabilities(LOCAL_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+        const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(LOCAL_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+        return buildProfile(localInput, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
     }
     if (input.id === OPAQUE_FLEET_DEFAULT_ID) {
-        return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(CURSOR_AUTO_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+        const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(CURSOR_AUTO_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+        return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
     }
     const matched = matchPatternRules(input.id);
     if (matched) {
-        return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(matched, input.id));
+        const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(matched, input.id);
+        return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
     }
-    return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(UNKNOWN_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+    const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(UNKNOWN_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+    return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
 }
 /**
  * Map an array of pi registry models to a router fleet catalog.

package/dist/config/pi-model-mapper.js.map

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package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "pi-smart-router",
-  "version": "0.6.1",
+  "version": "0.7.0",
   "description": "Auto-model router middleware for the pi.dev coding agent",
   "type": "module",
   "license": "MIT",
@@ -62,6 +62,7 @@
     "routing:bootstrap-centroids": "node --experimental-strip-types scripts/bootstrap-routing-centroids.ts",
     "routing:calibration-aggregate": "node --experimental-strip-types scripts/calibration-aggregate.ts",
     "routing:train-calibration": "node --experimental-strip-types scripts/train-routing-calibration.ts",
+    "routing:train-p-success": "tsx scripts/train-p-success-weights.ts",
     "routing:ingest-benchmarks": "tsx scripts/ingest-benchmark-profiles.ts",
     "routing:verify-benchmark-profiles": "vitest run tests/unit/ingest-benchmark-profiles.test.ts -t \"checked-in artifact matches fixture ingest\"",
     "routing:verify-calibration": "bash -c 'if [[ \" $* \" == *\" --skip-embed \"* ]]; then vitest run tests/unit/train-routing-calibration.test.ts -t \"verifyRoutingCalibration passes|evaluates benchmark triage gates\"; else npm run build && tsx scripts/verify-routing-calibration.ts \"$@\"; fi' --",

package/src/config/pi-model-mapper.ts

@@ -3,9 +3,11 @@
  *
  * Maps pi `Model` objects (provider + id) to router fleet entries using
  * pattern-based lookup for known families. When `config/benchmark-profiles.json`
- * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), capability
- * vectors are grounded in benchmark scores instead of regex defaults.
- * Unknown models or missing benchmark rows receive conservative pattern defaults.
+ * contains a row for the model id (SP-134/136 ingest output), or a fleet alias
+ * pointing at such a row (SP-174), capability vectors are grounded in benchmark
+ * scores instead of regex defaults. Unknown models or missing benchmark rows
+ * receive conservative pattern defaults. Mapped profiles include
+ * `capability_source` (`benchmark` | `pattern_default`) for explain/telemetry.
  */
 
 import { existsSync, readFileSync } from 'node:fs';
@@ -25,6 +27,14 @@ import type {
 /** Checked-in ingest artifact from `npm run routing:ingest-benchmarks` (SP-134). */
 export const DEFAULT_BENCHMARK_PROFILES_PATH = resolve('config', 'benchmark-profiles.json');
 
+/** Whether HyDRA capabilities came from the ingest artifact (or alias) vs regex defaults. */
+export type CapabilitySource = 'benchmark' | 'pattern_default';
+
+/** ModelProfile plus operator-visible capability provenance (SP-174). */
+export interface MappedModelProfile extends ModelProfile {
+  readonly capability_source: CapabilitySource;
+}
+
 const benchmarkCapabilitiesSchema = z.object({
   reasoning: z.number().min(0).max(1),
   code_gen: z.number().min(0).max(1),
@@ -38,24 +48,30 @@ const benchmarkModelRowSchema = z.object({
 
 const benchmarkProfilesArtifactSchema = z.object({
   version: z.literal(1),
+  aliases: z.record(z.string().min(1), z.string().min(1)).optional(),
   models: z.array(benchmarkModelRowSchema).min(1),
 });
 
+interface BenchmarkProfilesCache {
+  readonly capabilitiesByModelId: ReadonlyMap<string, ModelCapabilities>;
+  readonly aliases: ReadonlyMap<string, string>;
+}
+
 let benchmarkProfilesPathOverride: string | null | undefined;
-let benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId: ReadonlyMap<string, ModelCapabilities> | null | undefined;
+let benchmarkProfilesCache: BenchmarkProfilesCache | null | undefined;
 
 /**
  * Test hook — override benchmark artifact path (null disables benchmark grounding).
  */
 export function setBenchmarkProfilesPathForTests(filePath: string | null): void {
   benchmarkProfilesPathOverride = filePath;
-  benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = undefined;
+  benchmarkProfilesCache = undefined;
 }
 
 /** Test hook — clear cached benchmark artifact between cases. */
 export function resetBenchmarkProfilesCacheForTests(): void {
   benchmarkProfilesPathOverride = undefined;
-  benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = undefined;
+  benchmarkProfilesCache = undefined;
 }
 
 function resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath(): string | null {
@@ -65,14 +81,14 @@ function resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath(): string | null {
   return benchmarkProfilesPathOverride ?? DEFAULT_BENCHMARK_PROFILES_PATH;
 }
 
-function loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap(): ReadonlyMap<string, ModelCapabilities> | null {
-  if (benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId !== undefined) {
-    return benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId;
+function loadBenchmarkProfilesCache(): BenchmarkProfilesCache | null {
+  if (benchmarkProfilesCache !== undefined) {
+    return benchmarkProfilesCache;
   }
 
   const filePath = resolveBenchmarkProfilesPath();
   if (filePath === null || !existsSync(filePath)) {
-    benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = null;
+    benchmarkProfilesCache = null;
     return null;
   }
 
@@ -84,38 +100,84 @@ function loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap(): ReadonlyMap<string, ModelCapabilities>
       throw new Error(result.error.message);
     }
 
-    const map = new Map<string, ModelCapabilities>();
+    const capabilitiesByModelId = new Map<string, ModelCapabilities>();
     for (const row of result.data.models) {
-      map.set(row.model_id, { ...row.capabilities });
+      capabilitiesByModelId.set(row.model_id, { ...row.capabilities });
     }
-    benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = map;
-    return map;
+    const aliases = new Map<string, string>(
+      Object.entries(result.data.aliases ?? {}),
+    );
+    benchmarkProfilesCache = { capabilitiesByModelId, aliases };
+    return benchmarkProfilesCache;
   } catch (err: unknown) {
     console.warn('benchmark profiles artifact invalid; using regex capability defaults', {
       path: filePath,
       error: err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err),
     });
-    benchmarkCapabilitiesByModelId = null;
+    benchmarkProfilesCache = null;
     return null;
   }
 }
 
+/**
+ * Resolve a scoped-fleet model id to the canonical ingest `model_id` via aliases.
+ * Returns the input id when no alias exists.
+ */
+export function resolveBenchmarkModelId(modelId: string): string {
+  const cache = loadBenchmarkProfilesCache();
+  if (cache === null) {
+    return modelId;
+  }
+  return cache.aliases.get(modelId) ?? modelId;
+}
+
 function lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId: string): ModelCapabilities | undefined {
-  return loadBenchmarkCapabilitiesMap()?.get(modelId);
+  const cache = loadBenchmarkProfilesCache();
+  if (cache === null) {
+    return undefined;
+  }
+  const direct = cache.capabilitiesByModelId.get(modelId);
+  if (direct !== undefined) {
+    return direct;
+  }
+  const canonical = cache.aliases.get(modelId);
+  if (canonical === undefined) {
+    return undefined;
+  }
+  return cache.capabilitiesByModelId.get(canonical);
+}
+
+/**
+ * Whether capabilities for this model id resolve from the benchmark artifact
+ * (direct row or fleet alias) vs pattern/family defaults.
+ */
+export function getCapabilitySource(modelId: string): CapabilitySource {
+  return lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId) !== undefined ? 'benchmark' : 'pattern_default';
+}
+
+interface ModelFamilyDefaults {
+  readonly tier: Tier;
+  readonly capabilities: ModelCapabilities;
+  readonly performance?: ModelPerformance;
+  readonly pricing: ModelPricing;
+  readonly endpoint?: string;
 }
 
 function withBenchmarkCapabilities(
   defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults,
   modelId: string,
-): ModelFamilyDefaults {
+): { readonly defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults; readonly capability_source: CapabilitySource } {
   const grounded = lookupBenchmarkCapabilities(modelId);
   if (grounded === undefined) {
-    return defaults;
+    return { defaults, capability_source: 'pattern_default' };
   }
 
   return {
-    ...defaults,
-    capabilities: { ...grounded },
+    defaults: {
+      ...defaults,
+      capabilities: { ...grounded },
+    },
+    capability_source: 'benchmark',
   };
 }
 
@@ -134,14 +196,6 @@ export interface PiModelInput {
   readonly cost?: PiRegistryCost;
 }
 
-interface ModelFamilyDefaults {
-  readonly tier: Tier;
-  readonly capabilities: ModelCapabilities;
-  readonly performance?: ModelPerformance;
-  readonly pricing: ModelPricing;
-  readonly endpoint?: string;
-}
-
 interface ModelPatternRule {
   readonly pattern: RegExp;
   readonly defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults;
@@ -323,11 +377,15 @@ function resolveFallbackCost(
   return fromRegistry ?? defaults.pricing.fallback_cost_per_1m;
 }
 
-function buildProfile(input: PiModelInput, defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults): ModelProfile {
+function buildProfile(
+  input: PiModelInput,
+  defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults,
+  capability_source: CapabilitySource,
+): MappedModelProfile {
   const provider = input.provider.trim();
   const registryKey = `${normalizeProvider(provider)}/${input.id}`;
 
-  const profile: ModelProfile = {
+  const profile: MappedModelProfile = {
     id: input.id,
     tier: defaults.tier,
     provider,
@@ -339,6 +397,7 @@ function buildProfile(input: PiModelInput, defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults): Model
         ? { quota_cost_per_1m: defaults.pricing.quota_cost_per_1m }
         : {}),
     },
+    capability_source,
   };
 
   const withPerformance =
@@ -355,8 +414,9 @@ function buildProfile(input: PiModelInput, defaults: ModelFamilyDefaults): Model
 
 /**
  * Map a pi model registry entry to a router ModelProfile.
+ * Includes `capability_source` for operators (benchmark vs pattern_default).
  */
-export function mapPiModelToProfile(input: PiModelInput): ModelProfile {
+export function mapPiModelToProfile(input: PiModelInput): MappedModelProfile {
   const provider = normalizeProvider(input.provider);
 
   if (LOCAL_PROVIDERS.has(provider)) {
@@ -366,24 +426,28 @@ export function mapPiModelToProfile(input: PiModelInput): ModelProfile {
       id: input.id,
       ...(input.name !== undefined ? { name: input.name } : {}),
     };
-    return buildProfile(localInput, withBenchmarkCapabilities(LOCAL_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+    const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(LOCAL_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+    return buildProfile(localInput, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
   }
 
   if (input.id === OPAQUE_FLEET_DEFAULT_ID) {
-    return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(CURSOR_AUTO_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+    const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(CURSOR_AUTO_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+    return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
   }
 
   const matched = matchPatternRules(input.id);
   if (matched) {
-    return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(matched, input.id));
+    const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(matched, input.id);
+    return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
   }
 
-  return buildProfile(input, withBenchmarkCapabilities(UNKNOWN_DEFAULTS, input.id));
+  const grounded = withBenchmarkCapabilities(UNKNOWN_DEFAULTS, input.id);
+  return buildProfile(input, grounded.defaults, grounded.capability_source);
 }
 
 /**
  * Map an array of pi registry models to a router fleet catalog.
  */
-export function mapFleetFromRegistry(models: readonly PiModelInput[]): ModelProfile[] {
+export function mapFleetFromRegistry(models: readonly PiModelInput[]): MappedModelProfile[] {
   return models.map(mapPiModelToProfile);
 }