openplanter 0.1.3 → 0.2.0

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (83) hide show
  1. package/dist/engine.d.ts.map +1 -1
  2. package/dist/engine.js +5 -0
  3. package/dist/engine.js.map +1 -1
  4. package/dist/investigation-tools/advanced-analytics.d.ts +130 -0
  5. package/dist/investigation-tools/advanced-analytics.d.ts.map +1 -0
  6. package/dist/investigation-tools/advanced-analytics.js +340 -0
  7. package/dist/investigation-tools/advanced-analytics.js.map +1 -0
  8. package/dist/investigation-tools/blockchain-scanner.d.ts +83 -0
  9. package/dist/investigation-tools/blockchain-scanner.d.ts.map +1 -0
  10. package/dist/investigation-tools/blockchain-scanner.js +194 -0
  11. package/dist/investigation-tools/blockchain-scanner.js.map +1 -0
  12. package/dist/investigation-tools/crypto-ecosystem.d.ts +83 -0
  13. package/dist/investigation-tools/crypto-ecosystem.d.ts.map +1 -0
  14. package/dist/investigation-tools/crypto-ecosystem.js +124 -0
  15. package/dist/investigation-tools/crypto-ecosystem.js.map +1 -0
  16. package/dist/investigation-tools/dexscreener-pairs.d.ts +41 -0
  17. package/dist/investigation-tools/dexscreener-pairs.d.ts.map +1 -0
  18. package/dist/investigation-tools/dexscreener-pairs.js +60 -0
  19. package/dist/investigation-tools/dexscreener-pairs.js.map +1 -0
  20. package/dist/investigation-tools/document-processing.d.ts +78 -0
  21. package/dist/investigation-tools/document-processing.d.ts.map +1 -0
  22. package/dist/investigation-tools/document-processing.js +252 -0
  23. package/dist/investigation-tools/document-processing.js.map +1 -0
  24. package/dist/investigation-tools/dune-analytics.d.ts +47 -0
  25. package/dist/investigation-tools/dune-analytics.d.ts.map +1 -0
  26. package/dist/investigation-tools/dune-analytics.js +160 -0
  27. package/dist/investigation-tools/dune-analytics.js.map +1 -0
  28. package/dist/investigation-tools/global-registries.d.ts +86 -0
  29. package/dist/investigation-tools/global-registries.d.ts.map +1 -0
  30. package/dist/investigation-tools/global-registries.js +212 -0
  31. package/dist/investigation-tools/global-registries.js.map +1 -0
  32. package/dist/investigation-tools/government-records.d.ts +85 -0
  33. package/dist/investigation-tools/government-records.d.ts.map +1 -0
  34. package/dist/investigation-tools/government-records.js +170 -0
  35. package/dist/investigation-tools/government-records.js.map +1 -0
  36. package/dist/investigation-tools/index.d.ts +18 -0
  37. package/dist/investigation-tools/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
  38. package/dist/investigation-tools/index.js +19 -0
  39. package/dist/investigation-tools/index.js.map +1 -1
  40. package/dist/investigation-tools/investigation-automation.d.ts +144 -0
  41. package/dist/investigation-tools/investigation-automation.d.ts.map +1 -0
  42. package/dist/investigation-tools/investigation-automation.js +345 -0
  43. package/dist/investigation-tools/investigation-automation.js.map +1 -0
  44. package/dist/investigation-tools/monitoring-tools.d.ts +102 -0
  45. package/dist/investigation-tools/monitoring-tools.d.ts.map +1 -0
  46. package/dist/investigation-tools/monitoring-tools.js +214 -0
  47. package/dist/investigation-tools/monitoring-tools.js.map +1 -0
  48. package/dist/investigation-tools/political-finance.d.ts +114 -0
  49. package/dist/investigation-tools/political-finance.d.ts.map +1 -0
  50. package/dist/investigation-tools/political-finance.js +205 -0
  51. package/dist/investigation-tools/political-finance.js.map +1 -0
  52. package/dist/investigation-tools/polymarket-markets.d.ts +137 -0
  53. package/dist/investigation-tools/polymarket-markets.d.ts.map +1 -0
  54. package/dist/investigation-tools/polymarket-markets.js +287 -0
  55. package/dist/investigation-tools/polymarket-markets.js.map +1 -0
  56. package/dist/investigation-tools/prediction-markets.d.ts +52 -0
  57. package/dist/investigation-tools/prediction-markets.d.ts.map +1 -0
  58. package/dist/investigation-tools/prediction-markets.js +116 -0
  59. package/dist/investigation-tools/prediction-markets.js.map +1 -0
  60. package/dist/investigation-tools/sec-tools.d.ts +75 -0
  61. package/dist/investigation-tools/sec-tools.d.ts.map +1 -0
  62. package/dist/investigation-tools/sec-tools.js +192 -0
  63. package/dist/investigation-tools/sec-tools.js.map +1 -0
  64. package/dist/investigation-tools/shared-crypto.d.ts +50 -0
  65. package/dist/investigation-tools/shared-crypto.d.ts.map +1 -0
  66. package/dist/investigation-tools/shared-crypto.js +122 -0
  67. package/dist/investigation-tools/shared-crypto.js.map +1 -0
  68. package/dist/investigation-tools/social-intelligence.d.ts +91 -0
  69. package/dist/investigation-tools/social-intelligence.d.ts.map +1 -0
  70. package/dist/investigation-tools/social-intelligence.js +302 -0
  71. package/dist/investigation-tools/social-intelligence.js.map +1 -0
  72. package/dist/investigation-tools/tool-registry.d.ts +12 -0
  73. package/dist/investigation-tools/tool-registry.d.ts.map +1 -0
  74. package/dist/investigation-tools/tool-registry.js +399 -0
  75. package/dist/investigation-tools/tool-registry.js.map +1 -0
  76. package/dist/investigation-tools/wallet-clusterer.d.ts +28 -0
  77. package/dist/investigation-tools/wallet-clusterer.d.ts.map +1 -0
  78. package/dist/investigation-tools/wallet-clusterer.js +179 -0
  79. package/dist/investigation-tools/wallet-clusterer.js.map +1 -0
  80. package/dist/tool-defs.d.ts.map +1 -1
  81. package/dist/tool-defs.js +301 -0
  82. package/dist/tool-defs.js.map +1 -1
  83. package/package.json +1 -1
@@ -0,0 +1,137 @@
1
+ /**
2
+ * polymarket-markets.ts — Polymarket prediction market tools.
3
+ *
4
+ * Tools: polymarket_markets_fetcher, polymarket_leaderboard, polymarket_whales,
5
+ * polymarket_trades_history, polymarket_resolutions, polymarket_anomaly_scanner
6
+ */
7
+ import { type Provenance } from "./shared-crypto.js";
8
+ export interface PolymarketMarket {
9
+ id: string;
10
+ question: string;
11
+ category: string;
12
+ volume: number;
13
+ liquidity: number;
14
+ yesPrice: number;
15
+ noPrice: number;
16
+ endDate: string;
17
+ active: boolean;
18
+ outcomes: string[];
19
+ slug: string;
20
+ }
21
+ export interface PolymarketLeaderEntry {
22
+ rank: number;
23
+ address: string;
24
+ displayName: string | null;
25
+ pnl: number;
26
+ volume: number;
27
+ positions: number;
28
+ winRate: number;
29
+ }
30
+ export interface PolymarketWhale {
31
+ address: string;
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+ displayName: string | null;
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+ positionSizeUsd: number;
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+ pnlUsd: number;
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+ topMarkets: Array<{
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+ marketId: string;
37
+ question: string;
38
+ size: number;
39
+ }>;
40
+ }
41
+ export interface PolymarketTrade {
42
+ txHash: string;
43
+ timestamp: string;
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+ market: string;
45
+ marketId: string;
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+ side: "BUY" | "SELL";
47
+ outcome: string;
48
+ amount: number;
49
+ price: number;
50
+ maker: string;
51
+ }
52
+ export interface PolymarketResolution {
53
+ marketId: string;
54
+ question: string;
55
+ resolvedOutcome: string;
56
+ resolvedAt: string;
57
+ totalVolume: number;
58
+ topWinners: Array<{
59
+ address: string;
60
+ pnl: number;
61
+ }>;
62
+ }
63
+ export interface PolymarketAnomaly {
64
+ marketId: string;
65
+ question: string;
66
+ anomalyType: "volume_surge" | "odds_shift" | "liquidity_drain" | "late_whale";
67
+ severity: "low" | "medium" | "high" | "critical";
68
+ details: string;
69
+ detectedAt: string;
70
+ priorPrice: number;
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+ currentPrice: number;
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+ volumeChange: number;
73
+ }
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+ export interface MarketsResult {
75
+ markets: PolymarketMarket[];
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+ total: number;
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+ provenance: Provenance;
78
+ }
79
+ export declare function fetchMarkets(opts: {
80
+ category?: string;
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+ minVolume?: number;
82
+ active?: boolean;
83
+ limit?: number;
84
+ test?: boolean;
85
+ }): Promise<MarketsResult>;
86
+ export interface LeaderboardResult {
87
+ leaders: PolymarketLeaderEntry[];
88
+ period: string;
89
+ provenance: Provenance;
90
+ }
91
+ export declare function fetchLeaderboard(opts: {
92
+ period?: string;
93
+ topN?: number;
94
+ test?: boolean;
95
+ }): Promise<LeaderboardResult>;
96
+ export interface WhalesResult {
97
+ whales: PolymarketWhale[];
98
+ provenance: Provenance;
99
+ }
100
+ export declare function fetchWhales(opts: {
101
+ minUsd?: number;
102
+ daysBack?: number;
103
+ limit?: number;
104
+ test?: boolean;
105
+ }): Promise<WhalesResult>;
106
+ export interface TradesResult {
107
+ trades: PolymarketTrade[];
108
+ total: number;
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+ provenance: Provenance;
110
+ }
111
+ export declare function fetchTradesHistory(opts: {
112
+ marketId?: string;
113
+ wallet?: string;
114
+ limit?: number;
115
+ test?: boolean;
116
+ }): Promise<TradesResult>;
117
+ export interface ResolutionsResult {
118
+ resolutions: PolymarketResolution[];
119
+ provenance: Provenance;
120
+ }
121
+ export declare function fetchResolutions(opts: {
122
+ dateFrom?: string;
123
+ limit?: number;
124
+ test?: boolean;
125
+ }): Promise<ResolutionsResult>;
126
+ export interface AnomalyResult {
127
+ anomalies: PolymarketAnomaly[];
128
+ scannedMarkets: number;
129
+ provenance: Provenance;
130
+ }
131
+ export declare function scanAnomalies(opts: {
132
+ category?: string;
133
+ hoursBack?: number;
134
+ minSeverity?: string;
135
+ test?: boolean;
136
+ }): Promise<AnomalyResult>;
137
+ //# sourceMappingURL=polymarket-markets.d.ts.map
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@@ -0,0 +1,287 @@
1
+ /**
2
+ * polymarket-markets.ts — Polymarket prediction market tools.
3
+ *
4
+ * Tools: polymarket_markets_fetcher, polymarket_leaderboard, polymarket_whales,
5
+ * polymarket_trades_history, polymarket_resolutions, polymarket_anomaly_scanner
6
+ */
7
+ import { fetchJson, isoNow } from "./shared.js";
8
+ import { makeProvenance, normalizeAddress, mockResponse, } from "./shared-crypto.js";
9
+ // ── Constants ────────────────────────────────────────────────────
10
+ const POLYMARKET_API = "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com";
11
+ const POLYMARKET_CLOB = "https://clob.polymarket.com";
12
+ const MOCK_MARKETS = [
13
+ {
14
+ id: "0x1234", question: "Will BTC exceed $100k by March 2026?",
15
+ category: "crypto", volume: 5_200_000, liquidity: 890_000,
16
+ yesPrice: 0.72, noPrice: 0.28, endDate: "2026-03-31",
17
+ active: true, outcomes: ["Yes", "No"], slug: "btc-100k-march-2026",
18
+ },
19
+ {
20
+ id: "0x5678", question: "Will the US pass crypto regulation in 2026?",
21
+ category: "politics", volume: 3_100_000, liquidity: 420_000,
22
+ yesPrice: 0.45, noPrice: 0.55, endDate: "2026-12-31",
23
+ active: true, outcomes: ["Yes", "No"], slug: "us-crypto-regulation-2026",
24
+ },
25
+ {
26
+ id: "0x9abc", question: "Will ETH flip BTC market cap in 2026?",
27
+ category: "crypto", volume: 1_800_000, liquidity: 310_000,
28
+ yesPrice: 0.08, noPrice: 0.92, endDate: "2026-12-31",
29
+ active: true, outcomes: ["Yes", "No"], slug: "eth-flip-btc-2026",
30
+ },
31
+ ];
32
+ const MOCK_LEADERS = [
33
+ { rank: 1, address: "0xabc123", displayName: "whale_trader", pnl: 482_000, volume: 12_300_000, positions: 47, winRate: 0.73 },
34
+ { rank: 2, address: "0xdef456", displayName: "polymax", pnl: 310_000, volume: 8_700_000, positions: 32, winRate: 0.68 },
35
+ { rank: 3, address: "0x789abc", displayName: null, pnl: 245_000, volume: 6_100_000, positions: 28, winRate: 0.71 },
36
+ ];
37
+ const MOCK_WHALES = [
38
+ {
39
+ address: "0xabc123", displayName: "whale_trader", positionSizeUsd: 2_400_000, pnlUsd: 482_000,
40
+ topMarkets: [{ marketId: "0x1234", question: "BTC $100k?", size: 800_000 }],
41
+ },
42
+ ];
43
+ const MOCK_TRADES = [
44
+ {
45
+ txHash: "0xtx1", timestamp: "2026-02-20T10:30:00Z", market: "BTC $100k?",
46
+ marketId: "0x1234", side: "BUY", outcome: "Yes", amount: 50_000, price: 0.71, maker: "0xabc123",
47
+ },
48
+ {
49
+ txHash: "0xtx2", timestamp: "2026-02-20T11:15:00Z", market: "BTC $100k?",
50
+ marketId: "0x1234", side: "BUY", outcome: "Yes", amount: 120_000, price: 0.72, maker: "0xdef456",
51
+ },
52
+ ];
53
+ const MOCK_RESOLUTIONS = [
54
+ {
55
+ marketId: "0xold1", question: "Will Fed cut rates in Jan 2026?", resolvedOutcome: "Yes",
56
+ resolvedAt: "2026-01-31T18:00:00Z", totalVolume: 8_200_000,
57
+ topWinners: [{ address: "0xabc123", pnl: 145_000 }, { address: "0xdef456", pnl: 89_000 }],
58
+ },
59
+ ];
60
+ const MOCK_ANOMALIES = [
61
+ {
62
+ marketId: "0x1234", question: "BTC $100k?", anomalyType: "volume_surge",
63
+ severity: "high", details: "3.2x normal 24h volume spike 48hrs before resolution",
64
+ detectedAt: "2026-02-20T08:00:00Z", priorPrice: 0.55, currentPrice: 0.72, volumeChange: 220,
65
+ },
66
+ {
67
+ marketId: "0x5678", question: "US crypto regulation?", anomalyType: "odds_shift",
68
+ severity: "medium", details: "15-point odds swing in 2 hours without public catalyst",
69
+ detectedAt: "2026-02-19T14:30:00Z", priorPrice: 0.30, currentPrice: 0.45, volumeChange: 85,
70
+ },
71
+ ];
72
+ export async function fetchMarkets(opts) {
73
+ if (opts.test) {
74
+ let markets = [...MOCK_MARKETS];
75
+ if (opts.category)
76
+ markets = markets.filter((m) => m.category === opts.category);
77
+ if (opts.minVolume)
78
+ markets = markets.filter((m) => m.volume >= opts.minVolume);
79
+ return mockResponse(markets, "polymarket_markets_fetcher").data
80
+ ? { markets, total: markets.length, provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]) }
81
+ : { markets: [], total: 0, provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]) };
82
+ }
83
+ const params = new URLSearchParams();
84
+ if (opts.active !== false)
85
+ params.set("active", "true");
86
+ if (opts.limit)
87
+ params.set("limit", String(Math.min(opts.limit, 100)));
88
+ if (opts.category)
89
+ params.set("tag_slug", opts.category);
90
+ params.set("order", "volume");
91
+ params.set("ascending", "false");
92
+ const url = `${POLYMARKET_API}/markets?${params}`;
93
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
94
+ let markets = (raw ?? []).map((m) => ({
95
+ id: String(m.id ?? m.condition_id ?? ""),
96
+ question: String(m.question ?? ""),
97
+ category: String(m.category ?? m.group_slug ?? "other"),
98
+ volume: Number(m.volume ?? m.volume_num ?? 0),
99
+ liquidity: Number(m.liquidity ?? 0),
100
+ yesPrice: Number(m.outcomePrices?.[0] ?? m.yes_price ?? 0),
101
+ noPrice: Number(m.outcomePrices?.[1] ?? m.no_price ?? 0),
102
+ endDate: String(m.end_date_iso ?? m.end_date ?? ""),
103
+ active: Boolean(m.active ?? true),
104
+ outcomes: Array.isArray(m.outcomes) ? m.outcomes.map(String) : ["Yes", "No"],
105
+ slug: String(m.slug ?? ""),
106
+ }));
107
+ if (opts.minVolume)
108
+ markets = markets.filter((m) => m.volume >= opts.minVolume);
109
+ return {
110
+ markets,
111
+ total: markets.length,
112
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", url),
113
+ };
114
+ }
115
+ export async function fetchLeaderboard(opts) {
116
+ const period = opts.period ?? "monthly";
117
+ const topN = Math.min(opts.topN ?? 20, 100);
118
+ if (opts.test) {
119
+ return {
120
+ leaders: MOCK_LEADERS.slice(0, topN),
121
+ period,
122
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_leaderboard", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]),
123
+ };
124
+ }
125
+ const url = `${POLYMARKET_API}/leaderboard?period=${period}&limit=${topN}`;
126
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
127
+ const leaders = (raw ?? []).map((entry, i) => ({
128
+ rank: i + 1,
129
+ address: String(entry.address ?? entry.wallet ?? ""),
130
+ displayName: entry.username ? String(entry.username) : null,
131
+ pnl: Number(entry.pnl ?? entry.profit ?? 0),
132
+ volume: Number(entry.volume ?? 0),
133
+ positions: Number(entry.positions ?? entry.num_positions ?? 0),
134
+ winRate: Number(entry.win_rate ?? 0),
135
+ }));
136
+ return {
137
+ leaders: leaders.slice(0, topN),
138
+ period,
139
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", url),
140
+ };
141
+ }
142
+ export async function fetchWhales(opts) {
143
+ const minUsd = opts.minUsd ?? 100_000;
144
+ if (opts.test) {
145
+ return {
146
+ whales: MOCK_WHALES.filter((w) => w.positionSizeUsd >= minUsd),
147
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_whales", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]),
148
+ };
149
+ }
150
+ const url = `${POLYMARKET_API}/leaderboard?period=all&limit=100&order=position_size`;
151
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
152
+ const whales = (raw ?? [])
153
+ .map((entry) => ({
154
+ address: String(entry.address ?? entry.wallet ?? ""),
155
+ displayName: entry.username ? String(entry.username) : null,
156
+ positionSizeUsd: Number(entry.position_size ?? entry.total_position ?? 0),
157
+ pnlUsd: Number(entry.pnl ?? 0),
158
+ topMarkets: [],
159
+ }))
160
+ .filter((w) => w.positionSizeUsd >= minUsd);
161
+ return {
162
+ whales: whales.slice(0, opts.limit ?? 50),
163
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", url),
164
+ };
165
+ }
166
+ export async function fetchTradesHistory(opts) {
167
+ if (!opts.marketId && !opts.wallet) {
168
+ throw new Error("Either market_id or wallet must be provided");
169
+ }
170
+ if (opts.test) {
171
+ let trades = [...MOCK_TRADES];
172
+ if (opts.marketId)
173
+ trades = trades.filter((t) => t.marketId === opts.marketId);
174
+ if (opts.wallet)
175
+ trades = trades.filter((t) => normalizeAddress(t.maker) === normalizeAddress(opts.wallet));
176
+ return {
177
+ trades,
178
+ total: trades.length,
179
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_trades_history", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]),
180
+ };
181
+ }
182
+ const params = new URLSearchParams();
183
+ if (opts.marketId)
184
+ params.set("market", opts.marketId);
185
+ if (opts.wallet)
186
+ params.set("maker_address", opts.wallet);
187
+ params.set("limit", String(Math.min(opts.limit ?? 100, 500)));
188
+ const url = `${POLYMARKET_CLOB}/trades?${params}`;
189
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
190
+ const trades = (raw ?? []).map((t) => ({
191
+ txHash: String(t.transaction_hash ?? t.tx_hash ?? ""),
192
+ timestamp: String(t.timestamp ?? t.created_at ?? ""),
193
+ market: String(t.market_slug ?? t.market ?? ""),
194
+ marketId: String(t.market_id ?? t.asset_id ?? ""),
195
+ side: String(t.side ?? "BUY").toUpperCase(),
196
+ outcome: String(t.outcome ?? ""),
197
+ amount: Number(t.size ?? t.amount ?? 0),
198
+ price: Number(t.price ?? 0),
199
+ maker: String(t.maker_address ?? t.maker ?? ""),
200
+ }));
201
+ return {
202
+ trades,
203
+ total: trades.length,
204
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_clob_api", url),
205
+ };
206
+ }
207
+ export async function fetchResolutions(opts) {
208
+ if (opts.test) {
209
+ return {
210
+ resolutions: MOCK_RESOLUTIONS,
211
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_resolutions", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]),
212
+ };
213
+ }
214
+ const params = new URLSearchParams();
215
+ params.set("closed", "true");
216
+ params.set("order", "end_date_iso");
217
+ params.set("ascending", "false");
218
+ params.set("limit", String(Math.min(opts.limit ?? 50, 100)));
219
+ const url = `${POLYMARKET_API}/markets?${params}`;
220
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
221
+ const resolutions = (raw ?? []).map((m) => ({
222
+ marketId: String(m.id ?? ""),
223
+ question: String(m.question ?? ""),
224
+ resolvedOutcome: String(m.resolved_outcome ?? m.outcome ?? ""),
225
+ resolvedAt: String(m.end_date_iso ?? m.closed_time ?? ""),
226
+ totalVolume: Number(m.volume ?? 0),
227
+ topWinners: [],
228
+ }));
229
+ const filtered = opts.dateFrom
230
+ ? resolutions.filter((r) => r.resolvedAt >= opts.dateFrom)
231
+ : resolutions;
232
+ return {
233
+ resolutions: filtered,
234
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_gamma_api", url),
235
+ };
236
+ }
237
+ export async function scanAnomalies(opts) {
238
+ if (opts.test) {
239
+ return {
240
+ anomalies: MOCK_ANOMALIES,
241
+ scannedMarkets: 3,
242
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_anomaly_scanner", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]),
243
+ };
244
+ }
245
+ const marketsResult = await fetchMarkets({ category: opts.category, active: true, limit: 100 });
246
+ const anomalies = [];
247
+ for (const market of marketsResult.markets) {
248
+ const flags = [];
249
+ if (market.yesPrice > 0.9 || market.yesPrice < 0.1) {
250
+ if (market.volume > 1_000_000) {
251
+ flags.push({
252
+ marketId: market.id,
253
+ question: market.question,
254
+ anomalyType: "odds_shift",
255
+ severity: "medium",
256
+ details: `Extreme odds (${market.yesPrice}) with high volume ($${market.volume.toLocaleString()})`,
257
+ detectedAt: isoNow(),
258
+ priorPrice: 0.5,
259
+ currentPrice: market.yesPrice,
260
+ volumeChange: 0,
261
+ });
262
+ }
263
+ }
264
+ if (market.liquidity > 0 && market.volume / market.liquidity > 10) {
265
+ flags.push({
266
+ marketId: market.id,
267
+ question: market.question,
268
+ anomalyType: "volume_surge",
269
+ severity: "high",
270
+ details: `Volume/liquidity ratio ${(market.volume / market.liquidity).toFixed(1)}x indicates unusual activity`,
271
+ detectedAt: isoNow(),
272
+ priorPrice: 0,
273
+ currentPrice: market.yesPrice,
274
+ volumeChange: market.volume / market.liquidity * 100,
275
+ });
276
+ }
277
+ anomalies.push(...flags);
278
+ }
279
+ const severityOrder = ["critical", "high", "medium", "low"];
280
+ anomalies.sort((a, b) => severityOrder.indexOf(a.severity) - severityOrder.indexOf(b.severity));
281
+ return {
282
+ anomalies,
283
+ scannedMarkets: marketsResult.markets.length,
284
+ provenance: makeProvenance("polymarket_anomaly_scanner", POLYMARKET_API),
285
+ };
286
+ }
287
+ //# sourceMappingURL=polymarket-markets.js.map
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
1
+ 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@@ -0,0 +1,52 @@
1
+ /**
2
+ * prediction-markets.ts — Kalshi, PredictIt, and Manifold Markets tools.
3
+ *
4
+ * Tools: kalshi_markets, predictit_markets, manifold_markets
5
+ */
6
+ import { type Provenance } from "./shared-crypto.js";
7
+ export interface PredictionMarket {
8
+ platform: string;
9
+ id: string;
10
+ title: string;
11
+ category: string;
12
+ yesPrice: number;
13
+ noPrice: number;
14
+ volume: number;
15
+ openInterest?: number;
16
+ closeDate: string;
17
+ status: "open" | "closed" | "resolved";
18
+ url: string;
19
+ }
20
+ export interface KalshiResult {
21
+ markets: PredictionMarket[];
22
+ total: number;
23
+ provenance: Provenance;
24
+ }
25
+ export declare function fetchKalshiMarkets(opts: {
26
+ category?: string;
27
+ status?: string;
28
+ limit?: number;
29
+ test?: boolean;
30
+ }): Promise<KalshiResult>;
31
+ export interface PredictItResult {
32
+ markets: PredictionMarket[];
33
+ total: number;
34
+ provenance: Provenance;
35
+ }
36
+ export declare function fetchPredictItMarkets(opts: {
37
+ category?: string;
38
+ limit?: number;
39
+ test?: boolean;
40
+ }): Promise<PredictItResult>;
41
+ export interface ManifoldResult {
42
+ markets: PredictionMarket[];
43
+ total: number;
44
+ provenance: Provenance;
45
+ }
46
+ export declare function fetchManifoldMarkets(opts: {
47
+ term?: string;
48
+ sort?: string;
49
+ limit?: number;
50
+ test?: boolean;
51
+ }): Promise<ManifoldResult>;
52
+ //# sourceMappingURL=prediction-markets.d.ts.map
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
1
+ {"version":3,"file":"prediction-markets.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/investigation-tools/prediction-markets.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;;GAIG;AAGH,OAAO,EAAkB,KAAK,UAAU,EAAgB,MAAM,oBAAoB,CAAC;AAInF,MAAM,WAAW,gBAAgB;IAC/B,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB,EAAE,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACX,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAChB,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,YAAY,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACtB,SAAS,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAClB,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,GAAG,QAAQ,GAAG,UAAU,CAAC;IACvC,GAAG,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;CACb;AAiCD,MAAM,WAAW,YAAY;IAC3B,OAAO,EAAE,gBAAgB,EAAE,CAAC;IAC5B,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,UAAU,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC;CACxB;AAED,wBAAsB,kBAAkB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE;IAC7C,QAAQ,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAClB,MAAM,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAChB,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC;CAChB,GAAG,OAAO,CAAC,YAAY,CAAC,CA8BxB;AAID,MAAM,WAAW,eAAe;IAC9B,OAAO,EAAE,gBAAgB,EAAE,CAAC;IAC5B,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,UAAU,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC;CACxB;AAED,wBAAsB,qBAAqB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE;IAChD,QAAQ,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IAClB,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC;CAChB,GAAG,OAAO,CAAC,eAAe,CAAC,CA6B3B;AAID,MAAM,WAAW,cAAc;IAC7B,OAAO,EAAE,gBAAgB,EAAE,CAAC;IAC5B,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,UAAU,EAAE,UAAU,CAAC;CACxB;AAED,wBAAsB,oBAAoB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE;IAC/C,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACd,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACf,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC;CAChB,GAAG,OAAO,CAAC,cAAc,CAAC,CA2B1B"}
@@ -0,0 +1,116 @@
1
+ /**
2
+ * prediction-markets.ts — Kalshi, PredictIt, and Manifold Markets tools.
3
+ *
4
+ * Tools: kalshi_markets, predictit_markets, manifold_markets
5
+ */
6
+ import { fetchJson } from "./shared.js";
7
+ import { makeProvenance } from "./shared-crypto.js";
8
+ // ── Mock Data ────────────────────────────────────────────────────
9
+ const MOCK_KALSHI = [
10
+ {
11
+ platform: "kalshi", id: "KXFED-26MAR", title: "Fed funds rate above 4.5% end of March 2026?",
12
+ category: "economy", yesPrice: 0.35, noPrice: 0.65, volume: 2_100_000,
13
+ openInterest: 890_000, closeDate: "2026-03-31", status: "open",
14
+ url: "https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfed-26mar",
15
+ },
16
+ ];
17
+ const MOCK_PREDICTIT = [
18
+ {
19
+ platform: "predictit", id: "7456", title: "Will there be a government shutdown in 2026?",
20
+ category: "politics", yesPrice: 0.28, noPrice: 0.72, volume: 450_000,
21
+ closeDate: "2026-09-30", status: "open",
22
+ url: "https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7456",
23
+ },
24
+ ];
25
+ const MOCK_MANIFOLD = [
26
+ {
27
+ platform: "manifold", id: "abc123", title: "Will GPT-5 be released before July 2026?",
28
+ category: "tech", yesPrice: 0.62, noPrice: 0.38, volume: 125_000,
29
+ closeDate: "2026-06-30", status: "open",
30
+ url: "https://manifold.markets/abc123",
31
+ },
32
+ ];
33
+ export async function fetchKalshiMarkets(opts) {
34
+ if (opts.test) {
35
+ let markets = [...MOCK_KALSHI];
36
+ if (opts.category)
37
+ markets = markets.filter((m) => m.category === opts.category);
38
+ return { markets, total: markets.length, provenance: makeProvenance("kalshi_api", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]) };
39
+ }
40
+ const params = new URLSearchParams();
41
+ if (opts.category)
42
+ params.set("category", opts.category);
43
+ if (opts.status)
44
+ params.set("status", opts.status);
45
+ params.set("limit", String(Math.min(opts.limit ?? 50, 200)));
46
+ const url = `https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets?${params}`;
47
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
48
+ const markets = (raw.markets ?? []).map((m) => ({
49
+ platform: "kalshi",
50
+ id: String(m.ticker ?? m.id ?? ""),
51
+ title: String(m.title ?? m.subtitle ?? ""),
52
+ category: String(m.category ?? "other"),
53
+ yesPrice: Number(m.yes_ask ?? m.last_price ?? 0) / 100,
54
+ noPrice: 1 - Number(m.yes_ask ?? m.last_price ?? 0) / 100,
55
+ volume: Number(m.volume ?? 0),
56
+ openInterest: Number(m.open_interest ?? 0),
57
+ closeDate: String(m.close_time ?? m.expiration_time ?? ""),
58
+ status: String(m.status ?? "open"),
59
+ url: `https://kalshi.com/markets/${String(m.ticker ?? "")}`,
60
+ }));
61
+ return { markets, total: markets.length, provenance: makeProvenance("kalshi_api", url) };
62
+ }
63
+ export async function fetchPredictItMarkets(opts) {
64
+ if (opts.test) {
65
+ let markets = [...MOCK_PREDICTIT];
66
+ if (opts.category)
67
+ markets = markets.filter((m) => m.category === opts.category);
68
+ return { markets, total: markets.length, provenance: makeProvenance("predictit_api", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]) };
69
+ }
70
+ const url = "https://www.predictit.org/api/marketdata/all/";
71
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
72
+ const markets = (raw.markets ?? []).map((m) => {
73
+ const contracts = Array.isArray(m.contracts) ? m.contracts : [];
74
+ const firstContract = contracts[0];
75
+ return {
76
+ platform: "predictit",
77
+ id: String(m.id ?? ""),
78
+ title: String(m.name ?? m.shortName ?? ""),
79
+ category: "politics",
80
+ yesPrice: Number(firstContract?.lastTradePrice ?? 0),
81
+ noPrice: 1 - Number(firstContract?.lastTradePrice ?? 0),
82
+ volume: Number(m.totalSharesTraded ?? 0),
83
+ closeDate: String(m.dateEnd ?? ""),
84
+ status: (m.status === "Open" ? "open" : "closed"),
85
+ url: String(m.url ?? `https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/${m.id}`),
86
+ };
87
+ });
88
+ const limited = markets.slice(0, opts.limit ?? 50);
89
+ return { markets: limited, total: limited.length, provenance: makeProvenance("predictit_api", url) };
90
+ }
91
+ export async function fetchManifoldMarkets(opts) {
92
+ if (opts.test) {
93
+ return { markets: MOCK_MANIFOLD, total: MOCK_MANIFOLD.length, provenance: makeProvenance("manifold_api", "test://mock", ["test_mode"]) };
94
+ }
95
+ const params = new URLSearchParams();
96
+ if (opts.term)
97
+ params.set("term", opts.term);
98
+ params.set("sort", opts.sort ?? "liquidity");
99
+ params.set("limit", String(Math.min(opts.limit ?? 50, 100)));
100
+ const url = `https://api.manifold.markets/v0/search-markets?${params}`;
101
+ const raw = await fetchJson(url, { delay: 0.5 });
102
+ const markets = (raw ?? []).map((m) => ({
103
+ platform: "manifold",
104
+ id: String(m.id ?? ""),
105
+ title: String(m.question ?? ""),
106
+ category: String(m.groupSlugs?.[0] ?? "other"),
107
+ yesPrice: Number(m.probability ?? 0),
108
+ noPrice: 1 - Number(m.probability ?? 0),
109
+ volume: Number(m.volume ?? 0),
110
+ closeDate: m.closeTime ? new Date(Number(m.closeTime)).toISOString() : "",
111
+ status: m.isResolved ? "resolved" : "open",
112
+ url: String(m.url ?? `https://manifold.markets/${m.creatorUsername}/${m.slug}`),
113
+ }));
114
+ return { markets, total: markets.length, provenance: makeProvenance("manifold_api", url) };
115
+ }
116
+ //# sourceMappingURL=prediction-markets.js.map
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
1
+ 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