openplanter 0.1.0

package/dist/investigation-tools/insider-graph.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/investigation-tools/insider-suspicion-scorer.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
+/**
+ * insider-suspicion-scorer.ts — Composite suspicion scorer for
+ * insider-trading investigations.
+ *
+ * Aggregates signals from trades, market anomalies, forum rumours, and
+ * declared holdings into a single deterministic suspicion score per trade
+ * event.
+ *
+ * Scoring algorithm (deterministic, 0–100):
+ *   Each trade event is scored against four signal categories.  Signals are
+ *   only considered correlated if they fall within the CORRELATION WINDOW
+ *   (7 days before or 3 days after the trade date).
+ *
+ *   1. trade_signal  (0–25)  — direction base + size factor
+ *   2. anomaly_signal (0–25) — volume spike + price move in window
+ *   3. rumor_signal   (0–25) — rumour count + sentiment alignment
+ *   4. holdings_signal (0–25) — direct holding + portfolio breadth
+ *
+ *   total_score = sum of above, clamped 0–100, rounded to 1 decimal.
+ */
+/** Days before trade date to consider for correlation. */
+export declare const WINDOW_BEFORE_DAYS = 7;
+/** Days after trade date to consider for correlation. */
+export declare const WINDOW_AFTER_DAYS = 3;
+/** Weight cap for trade signal. */
+export declare const W_TRADE = 25;
+/** Weight cap for anomaly signal. */
+export declare const W_ANOMALY = 25;
+/** Weight cap for rumor signal. */
+export declare const W_RUMOR = 25;
+/** Weight cap for holdings signal. */
+export declare const W_HOLDINGS = 25;
+/** Trade value at which size component maxes out. */
+export declare const SIZE_NORMALISER = 200000;
+/** volume_ratio at which volume component maxes out. */
+export declare const MAX_VOLUME_RATIO = 5;
+/** abs(price_change_pct) at which price component maxes out. */
+export declare const MAX_PRICE_CHANGE = 8;
+/** Number of rumours at which base component maxes out. */
+export declare const MAX_RUMOUR_COUNT = 5;
+/** Distinct tickers held at which breadth bonus maxes out. */
+export declare const MAX_HOLDINGS_BREADTH = 5;
+/** Output fields in canonical order. */
+export declare const OUTPUT_FIELDS: readonly (keyof SuspicionResult)[];
+export interface Trade {
+    ticker?: string;
+    date: string;
+    direction?: string;
+    value?: number;
+    person?: string;
+}
+export interface Anomaly {
+    ticker?: string;
+    date: string;
+    volumeRatio?: number;
+    priceChangePct?: number;
+}
+export interface Rumor {
+    ticker?: string;
+    date: string;
+    source?: string;
+    rumorFlag?: boolean;
+    sentiment?: string;
+    sentimentScore?: number;
+}
+export interface Holding {
+    person?: string;
+    ticker?: string;
+    shares?: number;
+    declaredDate?: string;
+}
+export interface SuspicionResult {
+    person: string;
+    ticker: string;
+    tradeDate: string;
+    tradeDirection: string;
+    tradeValue: number;
+    tradeSignal: number;
+    anomalySignal: number;
+    rumorSignal: number;
+    holdingsSignal: number;
+    totalScore: number;
+    evidenceSummary: string;
+}
+/**
+ * Score every trade and return a list of suspicion entries sorted by
+ * total_score descending.
+ *
+ * Each entry contains per-signal scores, a total, and an evidence summary.
+ * Entries below *minScore* are filtered out.
+ */
+export declare function scoreTrades(trades: Trade[], anomalies: Anomaly[], rumors: Rumor[], holdings: Holding[], minScore?: number): SuspicionResult[];
+/** Return results as a pretty-printed JSON string. */
+export declare function formatJson(results: SuspicionResult[]): string;
+/** Return results as a CSV string. */
+export declare function formatCsv(results: SuspicionResult[]): string;
+//# sourceMappingURL=insider-suspicion-scorer.d.ts.map

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package/dist/investigation-tools/insider-suspicion-scorer.js

@@ -0,0 +1,327 @@
+/**
+ * insider-suspicion-scorer.ts — Composite suspicion scorer for
+ * insider-trading investigations.
+ *
+ * Aggregates signals from trades, market anomalies, forum rumours, and
+ * declared holdings into a single deterministic suspicion score per trade
+ * event.
+ *
+ * Scoring algorithm (deterministic, 0–100):
+ *   Each trade event is scored against four signal categories.  Signals are
+ *   only considered correlated if they fall within the CORRELATION WINDOW
+ *   (7 days before or 3 days after the trade date).
+ *
+ *   1. trade_signal  (0–25)  — direction base + size factor
+ *   2. anomaly_signal (0–25) — volume spike + price move in window
+ *   3. rumor_signal   (0–25) — rumour count + sentiment alignment
+ *   4. holdings_signal (0–25) — direct holding + portfolio breadth
+ *
+ *   total_score = sum of above, clamped 0–100, rounded to 1 decimal.
+ */
+import { parseDate } from "./shared.js";
+// ── Constants ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/** Days before trade date to consider for correlation. */
+export const WINDOW_BEFORE_DAYS = 7;
+/** Days after trade date to consider for correlation. */
+export const WINDOW_AFTER_DAYS = 3;
+/** Weight cap for trade signal. */
+export const W_TRADE = 25;
+/** Weight cap for anomaly signal. */
+export const W_ANOMALY = 25;
+/** Weight cap for rumor signal. */
+export const W_RUMOR = 25;
+/** Weight cap for holdings signal. */
+export const W_HOLDINGS = 25;
+/** Trade value at which size component maxes out. */
+export const SIZE_NORMALISER = 200_000.0;
+/** volume_ratio at which volume component maxes out. */
+export const MAX_VOLUME_RATIO = 5.0;
+/** abs(price_change_pct) at which price component maxes out. */
+export const MAX_PRICE_CHANGE = 8.0;
+/** Number of rumours at which base component maxes out. */
+export const MAX_RUMOUR_COUNT = 5;
+/** Distinct tickers held at which breadth bonus maxes out. */
+export const MAX_HOLDINGS_BREADTH = 5;
+/** Output fields in canonical order. */
+export const OUTPUT_FIELDS = [
+    "person",
+    "ticker",
+    "tradeDate",
+    "tradeDirection",
+    "tradeValue",
+    "tradeSignal",
+    "anomalySignal",
+    "rumorSignal",
+    "holdingsSignal",
+    "totalScore",
+    "evidenceSummary",
+];
+// ── Date Helpers ────────────────────────────────────────────────
+const MS_PER_DAY = 86_400_000;
+/**
+ * Return true if *otherDate* falls within the correlation window of
+ * *tradeDate*.
+ *
+ * Window: 7 days before trade through 3 days after trade (inclusive).
+ */
+function inWindow(tradeDate, otherDate) {
+    const earliest = tradeDate.getTime() - WINDOW_BEFORE_DAYS * MS_PER_DAY;
+    const latest = tradeDate.getTime() + WINDOW_AFTER_DAYS * MS_PER_DAY;
+    const otherTime = otherDate.getTime();
+    return otherTime >= earliest && otherTime <= latest;
+}
+// ── Number Formatting ───────────────────────────────────────────
+function formatCurrencyValue(value) {
+    return Math.round(value)
+        .toFixed(0)
+        .replace(/\B(?=(\d{3})+(?!\d))/g, ",");
+}
+function roundTo(value, decimals) {
+    const factor = Math.pow(10, decimals);
+    return Math.round(value * factor) / factor;
+}
+// ── Signal Scoring Functions ────────────────────────────────────
+/** Compute trade_signal (0–25) from trade characteristics. */
+function scoreTrade(trade) {
+    const direction = (trade.direction ?? "").toLowerCase();
+    const value = trade.value ?? 0;
+    // Direction base
+    let directionBase;
+    if (direction === "buy") {
+        directionBase = 10.0;
+    }
+    else if (direction === "sell") {
+        directionBase = 5.0;
+    }
+    else {
+        directionBase = 2.0;
+    }
+    // Size factor
+    const sizeFactor = Math.min(value / SIZE_NORMALISER, 1.0) * 15.0;
+    const sig = Math.min(directionBase + sizeFactor, W_TRADE);
+    const evidence = [];
+    evidence.push(`${direction} trade worth $${formatCurrencyValue(value)}`);
+    if (value >= SIZE_NORMALISER) {
+        evidence.push("large trade (>=$200k)");
+    }
+    return [roundTo(sig, 2), evidence];
+}
+/**
+ * Compute anomaly_signal (0–25) from correlated volume/price anomalies.
+ */
+function scoreAnomalies(trade, tradeDate, anomaliesByTicker) {
+    const ticker = (trade.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+    const candidates = anomaliesByTicker.get(ticker) ?? [];
+    let bestScore = 0.0;
+    let evidence = [];
+    for (const [anomDate, anom] of candidates) {
+        if (!inWindow(tradeDate, anomDate))
+            continue;
+        const volRatio = anom.volumeRatio ?? 0;
+        const priceChg = anom.priceChangePct ?? 0;
+        const volumeComponent = Math.min(volRatio / MAX_VOLUME_RATIO, 1.0) * 12.5;
+        const priceComponent = Math.min(Math.abs(priceChg) / MAX_PRICE_CHANGE, 1.0) * 12.5;
+        const anomScore = volumeComponent + priceComponent;
+        if (anomScore > bestScore) {
+            bestScore = anomScore;
+            const daysDiff = Math.round((anomDate.getTime() - tradeDate.getTime()) / MS_PER_DAY);
+            const rel = daysDiff < 0
+                ? `${Math.abs(daysDiff)}d before`
+                : daysDiff > 0
+                    ? `${daysDiff}d after`
+                    : "same day as";
+            evidence = [
+                `volume spike ${volRatio.toFixed(1)}x, price move ${priceChg >= 0 ? "+" : ""}${priceChg.toFixed(1)}% ` +
+                    `(${rel} trade)`,
+            ];
+        }
+    }
+    const sig = Math.min(bestScore, W_ANOMALY);
+    return [roundTo(sig, 2), evidence];
+}
+/** Compute rumor_signal (0–25) from correlated forum rumour posts. */
+function scoreRumors(trade, tradeDate, rumorsByTicker) {
+    const ticker = (trade.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+    const direction = (trade.direction ?? "").toLowerCase();
+    const candidates = rumorsByTicker.get(ticker) ?? [];
+    let rumourCount = 0;
+    let bestSentimentScore = 0.0;
+    let sentimentAligned = false;
+    const evidence = [];
+    for (const [rumDate, rum] of candidates) {
+        if (!inWindow(tradeDate, rumDate))
+            continue;
+        if (!rum.rumorFlag)
+            continue;
+        rumourCount += 1;
+        const sentiment = (rum.sentiment ?? "").toLowerCase();
+        const sentScore = rum.sentimentScore ?? 0;
+        // Check alignment: bullish + buy or bearish + sell
+        if ((sentiment === "bullish" && direction === "buy") ||
+            (sentiment === "bearish" && direction === "sell")) {
+            sentimentAligned = true;
+            if (sentScore > bestSentimentScore) {
+                bestSentimentScore = sentScore;
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    if (rumourCount === 0)
+        return [0.0, []];
+    const base = Math.min(rumourCount / MAX_RUMOUR_COUNT, 1.0) * 15.0;
+    let sentimentBonus = 0.0;
+    if (sentimentAligned) {
+        sentimentBonus = Math.min(bestSentimentScore, 1.0) * 10.0;
+    }
+    const sig = Math.min(base + sentimentBonus, W_RUMOR);
+    evidence.push(`${rumourCount} rumour post(s) near trade`);
+    if (sentimentAligned) {
+        evidence.push(`sentiment aligned (${direction}), score ${bestSentimentScore.toFixed(2)}`);
+    }
+    return [roundTo(sig, 2), evidence];
+}
+/** Compute holdings_signal (0–25) from declared shareholdings. */
+function scoreHoldings(trade, holdingsByPerson) {
+    const person = (trade.person ?? "").trim();
+    const ticker = (trade.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+    const personHoldings = holdingsByPerson.get(person) ?? [];
+    if (personHoldings.length === 0)
+        return [0.0, []];
+    let directHolding = 0.0;
+    const distinctTickers = new Set();
+    const evidence = [];
+    for (const h of personHoldings) {
+        const hTicker = (h.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+        distinctTickers.add(hTicker);
+        if (hTicker === ticker) {
+            directHolding = 15.0;
+            const shares = h.shares ?? 0;
+            evidence.push(`holds ${formatCurrencyValue(shares)} shares in ${ticker}`);
+        }
+    }
+    const breadthBonus = Math.min(distinctTickers.size / MAX_HOLDINGS_BREADTH, 1.0) * 10.0;
+    const sig = Math.min(directHolding + breadthBonus, W_HOLDINGS);
+    if (distinctTickers.size > 1) {
+        evidence.push(`holdings across ${distinctTickers.size} tickers`);
+    }
+    return [roundTo(sig, 2), evidence];
+}
+// ── Main Scoring Engine ─────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Score every trade and return a list of suspicion entries sorted by
+ * total_score descending.
+ *
+ * Each entry contains per-signal scores, a total, and an evidence summary.
+ * Entries below *minScore* are filtered out.
+ */
+export function scoreTrades(trades, anomalies, rumors, holdings, minScore = 0.0) {
+    // Pre-index anomalies by ticker
+    const anomaliesByTicker = new Map();
+    for (const anom of anomalies) {
+        const anomDate = parseDate(anom.date);
+        if (!anomDate)
+            continue;
+        const ticker = (anom.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+        if (!ticker)
+            continue;
+        const list = anomaliesByTicker.get(ticker);
+        if (list) {
+            list.push([anomDate, anom]);
+        }
+        else {
+            anomaliesByTicker.set(ticker, [[anomDate, anom]]);
+        }
+    }
+    // Pre-index rumors by ticker
+    const rumorsByTicker = new Map();
+    for (const rum of rumors) {
+        const rumDate = parseDate(rum.date);
+        if (!rumDate)
+            continue;
+        const ticker = (rum.ticker ?? "").trim().toUpperCase();
+        if (!ticker)
+            continue;
+        const list = rumorsByTicker.get(ticker);
+        if (list) {
+            list.push([rumDate, rum]);
+        }
+        else {
+            rumorsByTicker.set(ticker, [[rumDate, rum]]);
+        }
+    }
+    // Pre-index holdings by person
+    const holdingsByPerson = new Map();
+    for (const h of holdings) {
+        const person = (h.person ?? "").trim();
+        if (!person)
+            continue;
+        const list = holdingsByPerson.get(person);
+        if (list) {
+            list.push(h);
+        }
+        else {
+            holdingsByPerson.set(person, [h]);
+        }
+    }
+    const results = [];
+    for (const trade of trades) {
+        const tradeDate = parseDate(trade.date);
+        if (!tradeDate)
+            continue;
+        const [tradeSig, tradeEv] = scoreTrade(trade);
+        const [anomalySig, anomalyEv] = scoreAnomalies(trade, tradeDate, anomaliesByTicker);
+        const [rumorSig, rumorEv] = scoreRumors(trade, tradeDate, rumorsByTicker);
+        const [holdingsSig, holdingsEv] = scoreHoldings(trade, holdingsByPerson);
+        let total = tradeSig + anomalySig + rumorSig + holdingsSig;
+        total = roundTo(Math.max(0.0, Math.min(100.0, total)), 1);
+        if (total < minScore)
+            continue;
+        // Build evidence summary
+        const allEvidence = [...tradeEv, ...anomalyEv, ...rumorEv, ...holdingsEv];
+        const evidenceSummary = allEvidence.length > 0
+            ? allEvidence.join("; ")
+            : "No notable evidence";
+        results.push({
+            person: trade.person ?? "Unknown",
+            ticker: trade.ticker ?? "???",
+            tradeDate: trade.date,
+            tradeDirection: trade.direction ?? "",
+            tradeValue: trade.value ?? 0,
+            tradeSignal: tradeSig,
+            anomalySignal: anomalySig,
+            rumorSignal: rumorSig,
+            holdingsSignal: holdingsSig,
+            totalScore: total,
+            evidenceSummary,
+        });
+    }
+    // Sort by total_score descending, then by person/ticker for stability
+    results.sort((a, b) => {
+        if (b.totalScore !== a.totalScore)
+            return b.totalScore - a.totalScore;
+        if (a.person !== b.person)
+            return a.person.localeCompare(b.person);
+        return a.ticker.localeCompare(b.ticker);
+    });
+    return results;
+}
+// ── Output Formatters ───────────────────────────────────────────
+/** Return results as a pretty-printed JSON string. */
+export function formatJson(results) {
+    return JSON.stringify(results, null, 2);
+}
+/** Escape a CSV field value. */
+function escapeCsvField(value) {
+    if (value.includes(",") ||
+        value.includes('"') ||
+        value.includes("\n")) {
+        return `"${value.replace(/"/g, '""')}"`;
+    }
+    return value;
+}
+/** Return results as a CSV string. */
+export function formatCsv(results) {
+    const header = OUTPUT_FIELDS.join(",");
+    const rows = results.map((r) => OUTPUT_FIELDS.map((f) => escapeCsvField(String(r[f] ?? ""))).join(","));
+    return [header, ...rows].join("\n");
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=insider-suspicion-scorer.js.map

package/dist/investigation-tools/insider-suspicion-scorer.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/investigation-tools/multi-forum-scraper.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,104 @@
+/**
+ * multi-forum-scraper.ts – Multi-Forum Scraper for ASX Ticker Sentiment & Rumor Extraction
+ *
+ * Scrapes multiple forums and social media platforms for posts related to a
+ * given ASX ticker. Supported sources:
+ *
+ *   - HotCopper  (https://hotcopper.com.au)
+ *   - Stockhead  (https://stockhead.com.au)
+ *   - Twitter / X via Nitter  (https://nitter.net)
+ *
+ * Extracts post metadata, performs basic keyword-based sentiment analysis, and
+ * flags rumor-type posts that may be relevant to insider-trading investigations.
+ *
+ * DISCLAIMER:
+ *   This tool is provided for research and educational purposes only.
+ *   Scraping the above websites may violate their respective Terms of
+ *   Service. Users are solely responsible for ensuring compliance with all
+ *   applicable laws, regulations, and website terms before using this tool.
+ *   The authors accept no liability for misuse.
+ */
+/** All supported scraping sites. */
+export declare const SUPPORTED_SITES: readonly string[];
+/** A supported scraping site identifier. */
+export type SiteName = "hotcopper" | "stockhead" | "twitter";
+/** A single normalised forum/social post. */
+export interface ForumPost {
+    source: string;
+    ticker: string;
+    date: string;
+    author: string;
+    title: string;
+    text_snippet: string;
+    sentiment: string;
+    sentiment_score: number;
+    rumor_flag: boolean;
+    keywords_matched: string[];
+    url: string;
+}
+/** Distribution of sentiment labels across posts. */
+export interface SentimentDistribution {
+    bullish: number;
+    bearish: number;
+    neutral: number;
+}
+/** Aggregate summary across all scraped posts. */
+export interface ForumSummary {
+    total_posts: number;
+    posts_per_source: Record<string, number>;
+    sentiment_distribution: SentimentDistribution;
+    average_sentiment_score: number;
+    rumor_count: number;
+}
+/** Full result from a multi-forum scrape run. */
+export interface MultiForumResult {
+    ticker: string;
+    scraped_at: string;
+    period: string;
+    sites_requested: string[];
+    posts: ForumPost[];
+    summary: ForumSummary;
+}
+/** Options for {@link scrapeMultiForum}. */
+export interface MultiForumOptions {
+    /** ASX ticker symbol (e.g. "BHP"). */
+    ticker: string;
+    /** Sites to scrape (default: all supported sites). */
+    sites?: SiteName[];
+    /** Look-back period in days (default: 7). */
+    days?: number;
+    /** Extra keywords to match against post text. */
+    extraKeywords?: string[];
+    /** Seconds to wait between HTTP requests (default: 1.5). */
+    delay?: number;
+    /** Custom User-Agent string. */
+    userAgent?: string;
+}
+/**
+ * Scrape HotCopper discussion pages for the given ticker.
+ *
+ * This is a single-page scraper used by the multi-forum aggregator.
+ * For a full multi-page HotCopper scraper with thread body fetching,
+ * see {@link ../hotcopper-scraper.js}.
+ */
+export declare function scrapeHotcopper(ticker: string, days: number, delay: number, extraKeywords: string[], userAgent?: string): Promise<ForumPost[]>;
+/**
+ * Scrape Stockhead search results for the given ticker.
+ */
+export declare function scrapeStockhead(ticker: string, days: number, delay: number, extraKeywords: string[], userAgent?: string): Promise<ForumPost[]>;
+/**
+ * Scrape Twitter/X posts via Nitter for the given ticker.
+ */
+export declare function scrapeTwitter(ticker: string, days: number, delay: number, extraKeywords: string[], userAgent?: string): Promise<ForumPost[]>;
+/**
+ * Build an aggregate summary across all scraped posts.
+ */
+export declare function aggregateSummary(posts: ForumPost[]): ForumSummary;
+/**
+ * Scrape multiple forums and social media for ASX ticker sentiment and rumor data.
+ *
+ * @param opts - Scraper options.
+ * @returns Structured result with posts from all requested sites and aggregate summary.
+ */
+export declare function scrapeMultiForum(opts: MultiForumOptions): Promise<MultiForumResult>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=multi-forum-scraper.d.ts.map

package/dist/investigation-tools/multi-forum-scraper.d.ts.map

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