labre-mcp 0.1.0

package/dist/lib/patent/patent-indicators.mjs

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+// Patent indicators: pure functions computing 8 patent-based evolution signals.
+// No I/O — all functions take pre-fetched patent data and return [0, 1] scores.
+//
+// Split into two axes:
+//   CERTITUDE (4 indicators): how well-understood / technically mature
+//     1. convergenceHHI      — CPC subclass concentration (HHI)          weight 0.30
+//     2. stabiliteTaxonomique — year-over-year CPC code churn             weight 0.20
+//     3. densiteCitation      — forward citation density                  weight 0.25
+//     4. retrecissementClaims — narrowing of independent claims over time weight 0.25
+//
+//   UBIQUITÉ (4 indicators): how widespread / adopted
+//     5. diversiteAssignees   — unique assignee count → market spread     weight 0.30
+//     6. couvertureGeo        — geographic filing breadth (jurisdictions) weight 0.25
+//     7. diffusionSectorielle — cross-sector CPC group diversity          weight 0.25
+//     8. ratioExpires         — ratio of expired patents (commoditization) weight 0.20
+// ─── Default indicator configurations ───────────────────────────────────────────
+export const CERTITUDE_INDICATORS = [
+    { key: 'convergenceHHI', weight: 0.30, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'stabiliteTaxonomique', weight: 0.20, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'densiteCitation', weight: 0.25, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'retrecissementClaims', weight: 0.25, enabled: true },
+];
+export const UBIQUITE_INDICATORS = [
+    { key: 'diversiteAssignees', weight: 0.30, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'couvertureGeo', weight: 0.25, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'diffusionSectorielle', weight: 0.25, enabled: true },
+    { key: 'ratioExpires', weight: 0.20, enabled: true },
+];
+// ─── Helper: clamp to [0, 1] ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
+function clamp01(v) {
+    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, v));
+}
+// ─── Helper: safe round to 4 decimals ───────────────────────────────────────────
+function round4(v) {
+    return Math.round(v * 10000) / 10000;
+}
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+// CERTITUDE INDICATORS (4)
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+/**
+ * 1. Convergence HHI — Herfindahl-Hirschman Index of CPC subclass distribution.
+ *
+ * High HHI → patents concentrate in few subclasses → technology is converging
+ * toward a well-understood domain → high certitude.
+ *
+ * @param {Array<{cpc: string, count: number}>} cpcDistribution
+ *   Each entry: CPC subclass code and patent count assigned to it.
+ *   Example: [{ cpc: 'H04L', count: 120 }, { cpc: 'G06F', count: 80 }]
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more concentrated = higher certitude.
+ */
+export function convergenceHHI(cpcDistribution) {
+    if (!Array.isArray(cpcDistribution) || cpcDistribution.length === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const total = cpcDistribution.reduce((sum, d) => sum + (d.count || 0), 0);
+    if (total === 0)
+        return 0;
+    // HHI = sum of squared market shares
+    const hhi = cpcDistribution.reduce((sum, d) => {
+        const share = (d.count || 0) / total;
+        return sum + share * share;
+    }, 0);
+    // HHI ranges from 1/N (perfectly even) to 1.0 (single class).
+    // Normalize: HHI of 1/N → 0 certitude, HHI of 1.0 → 1 certitude.
+    const n = cpcDistribution.length;
+    if (n <= 1)
+        return 1; // Single class = full convergence
+    const hhiMin = 1 / n;
+    const normalized = (hhi - hhiMin) / (1 - hhiMin);
+    return round4(clamp01(normalized));
+}
+/**
+ * 2. Stabilité taxonomique — year-over-year stability of CPC codes used.
+ *
+ * Low churn in CPC codes across years → taxonomy is settled → high certitude.
+ * Measured as 1 − average Jaccard distance between consecutive year CPC sets.
+ *
+ * @param {Array<{year: number, cpcCodes: string[]}>} yearlyClassifications
+ *   Sorted by year ascending. Each entry: year + set of CPC codes used that year.
+ *   Example: [{ year: 2018, cpcCodes: ['H04L', 'G06F'] }, { year: 2019, cpcCodes: ['H04L', 'G06F', 'H04W'] }]
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more stable = higher certitude.
+ */
+export function stabiliteTaxonomique(yearlyClassifications) {
+    if (!Array.isArray(yearlyClassifications) || yearlyClassifications.length < 2)
+        return 0;
+    // Sort by year to ensure correct order
+    const sorted = [...yearlyClassifications].sort((a, b) => a.year - b.year);
+    let totalJaccard = 0;
+    let pairs = 0;
+    for (let i = 1; i < sorted.length; i++) {
+        const prev = new Set(sorted[i - 1].cpcCodes || []);
+        const curr = new Set(sorted[i].cpcCodes || []);
+        if (prev.size === 0 && curr.size === 0)
+            continue;
+        // Jaccard similarity = |intersection| / |union|
+        const intersection = new Set([...prev].filter(c => curr.has(c)));
+        const union = new Set([...prev, ...curr]);
+        const jaccard = union.size > 0 ? intersection.size / union.size : 0;
+        totalJaccard += jaccard;
+        pairs++;
+    }
+    if (pairs === 0)
+        return 0;
+    // Average Jaccard similarity across consecutive year pairs
+    return round4(clamp01(totalJaccard / pairs));
+}
+/**
+ * 3. Densité citation — forward citation density (citations received per patent).
+ *
+ * High forward citations → widely referenced → well-understood technology
+ * → high certitude. Normalized via sigmoid to handle heavy-tailed distributions.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} citationData
+ * @param {number} citationData.totalForwardCitations - Total forward citations received
+ * @param {number} citationData.patentCount - Number of patents in the CPC class
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more cited = higher certitude.
+ */
+export function densiteCitation(citationData) {
+    if (!citationData || typeof citationData !== 'object')
+        return 0;
+    const { totalForwardCitations = 0, patentCount = 0 } = citationData;
+    if (patentCount <= 0 || totalForwardCitations <= 0)
+        return 0;
+    const avgCitations = totalForwardCitations / patentCount;
+    // Sigmoid normalization: midpoint at 10 citations/patent, steepness k=0.3
+    // At 0 cit → ~0.05, at 10 cit → 0.5, at 30 cit → ~0.95
+    const score = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(-0.3 * (avgCitations - 10)));
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+/**
+ * 4. Rétrécissement claims — narrowing of independent claims over time.
+ *
+ * When average independent claim count per patent DECREASES over time,
+ * technology is maturing (moving from broad exploration to narrow specifics).
+ * Higher narrowing → higher certitude.
+ *
+ * @param {Array<{year: number, avgIndependentClaims: number}>} claimsTimeline
+ *   Sorted by year ascending. Each entry: year + average independent claims per patent.
+ *   Example: [{ year: 2015, avgIndependentClaims: 8.5 }, { year: 2020, avgIndependentClaims: 4.2 }]
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more narrowing = higher certitude.
+ */
+export function retrecissementClaims(claimsTimeline) {
+    if (!Array.isArray(claimsTimeline) || claimsTimeline.length < 2)
+        return 0;
+    const sorted = [...claimsTimeline].sort((a, b) => a.year - b.year);
+    // Linear regression: slope of avgIndependentClaims over time
+    const n = sorted.length;
+    const years = sorted.map(d => d.year);
+    const claims = sorted.map(d => d.avgIndependentClaims);
+    const meanYear = years.reduce((s, y) => s + y, 0) / n;
+    const meanClaims = claims.reduce((s, c) => s + c, 0) / n;
+    let numerator = 0;
+    let denominator = 0;
+    for (let i = 0; i < n; i++) {
+        const dy = years[i] - meanYear;
+        numerator += dy * (claims[i] - meanClaims);
+        denominator += dy * dy;
+    }
+    if (denominator === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const slope = numerator / denominator; // claims per year
+    // Negative slope = narrowing (good for certitude)
+    // Normalize: slope of −1 claims/year → score ~0.73, slope of −2 → ~0.95
+    // Using sigmoid centered at slope=0, steepness=2
+    // We negate slope so negative slope produces positive input to sigmoid
+    const score = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(2 * slope));
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+// UBIQUITÉ INDICATORS (4)
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+/**
+ * 5. Diversité assignees — unique assignee (patent holder) diversity.
+ *
+ * More unique assignees → technology widely adopted across organizations
+ * → higher ubiquity.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} assigneeData
+ * @param {number} assigneeData.uniqueAssignees - Count of unique assignees
+ * @param {number} assigneeData.totalPatents - Total patents in the class
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more diverse = higher ubiquity.
+ */
+export function diversiteAssignees(assigneeData) {
+    if (!assigneeData || typeof assigneeData !== 'object')
+        return 0;
+    const { uniqueAssignees = 0, totalPatents = 0 } = assigneeData;
+    if (uniqueAssignees <= 0 || totalPatents <= 0)
+        return 0;
+    // Ratio of unique assignees to total patents, capped — plus log scaling
+    // for large numbers. Midpoint sigmoid at 50 unique assignees.
+    const score = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(-0.08 * (uniqueAssignees - 50)));
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+/**
+ * 6. Couverture géographique — geographic filing breadth.
+ *
+ * More jurisdictions → technology is globally relevant → higher ubiquity.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} geoData
+ * @param {number} geoData.jurisdictionCount - Number of unique patent jurisdictions
+ * @param {string[]} [geoData.jurisdictions] - Optional list of jurisdiction codes
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = broader coverage = higher ubiquity.
+ */
+export function couvertureGeo(geoData) {
+    if (!geoData || typeof geoData !== 'object')
+        return 0;
+    const count = geoData.jurisdictionCount || (geoData.jurisdictions || []).length;
+    if (count <= 0)
+        return 0;
+    // Major patent offices: ~5 (US, EP, CN, JP, KR). Filing in all 5 = very high.
+    // Scale: 1 jurisdiction → ~0.15, 3 → ~0.5, 5 → ~0.8, 10+ → ~0.95
+    const score = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(-0.8 * (count - 3)));
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+/**
+ * 7. Diffusion sectorielle — cross-sector CPC group diversity.
+ *
+ * Patents spanning multiple CPC sections (A–H) → technology diffuses across
+ * industries → higher ubiquity.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} sectorData
+ * @param {number} sectorData.uniqueSections - Number of unique CPC sections (A–H, max 9)
+ * @param {number} sectorData.uniqueClasses - Number of unique CPC main classes
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more cross-sector = higher ubiquity.
+ */
+export function diffusionSectorielle(sectorData) {
+    if (!sectorData || typeof sectorData !== 'object')
+        return 0;
+    const sections = sectorData.uniqueSections || 0;
+    const classes = sectorData.uniqueClasses || 0;
+    if (sections <= 0)
+        return 0;
+    // CPC has 9 sections (A–H + Y). More sections = broader diffusion.
+    // Weight: 70% from sections (broad), 30% from class diversity
+    const sectionScore = clamp01((sections - 1) / 7); // 1 section → 0, 8 sections → 1
+    const classScore = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(-0.15 * (classes - 10))); // midpoint at 10 classes
+    const score = 0.7 * sectionScore + 0.3 * classScore;
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+/**
+ * 8. Ratio expirés — proportion of expired patents in the CPC class.
+ *
+ * A high ratio of expired patents indicates mature, commoditized technology:
+ * patents have expired, so the technology is freely available to all → higher ubiquity.
+ * Low ratio → most patents still active → technology still proprietary → lower ubiquity.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} expirationData
+ * @param {number} expirationData.expiredCount - Number of expired patents
+ * @param {number} expirationData.totalPatents - Total patents (expired + active)
+ * @returns {number} Score in [0, 1]. Higher = more expired = higher ubiquity.
+ */
+export function ratioExpires(expirationData) {
+    if (!expirationData || typeof expirationData !== 'object')
+        return 0;
+    const { expiredCount = 0, totalPatents = 0 } = expirationData;
+    if (totalPatents <= 0 || expiredCount < 0)
+        return 0;
+    const ratio = Math.min(expiredCount, totalPatents) / totalPatents;
+    // Sigmoid normalization centered at 0.4 (midpoint), steepness k=10
+    // ratio 0.0 → ~0.02, ratio 0.2 → ~0.12, ratio 0.4 → 0.5
+    // ratio 0.6 → ~0.88, ratio 0.8 → ~0.98
+    const score = 1 / (1 + Math.exp(-10 * (ratio - 0.4)));
+    return round4(clamp01(score));
+}
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+// AGGREGATION: Weighted mean with toggleable indicators + renormalization
+// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+/**
+ * Compute weighted mean from indicator scores, respecting enabled/disabled toggles.
+ * Disabled indicators are excluded and weights are automatically renormalized.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} scores - Map of indicator key → score (each in [0, 1])
+ * @param {Array<{key: string, weight: number, enabled: boolean}>} indicatorConfig
+ *   Indicator definitions with weights and enabled flags.
+ * @returns {{ value: number, breakdown: Array<{key: string, score: number, weight: number, weightNormalized: number}>, enabledCount: number }}
+ */
+export function weightedMean(scores, indicatorConfig) {
+    const enabled = indicatorConfig.filter(ind => ind.enabled !== false);
+    if (enabled.length === 0) {
+        return { value: 0, breakdown: [], enabledCount: 0 };
+    }
+    // Renormalize weights so enabled indicators sum to 1.0
+    const totalWeight = enabled.reduce((sum, ind) => sum + ind.weight, 0);
+    let weightedSum = 0;
+    const breakdown = [];
+    for (const ind of enabled) {
+        const score = scores[ind.key] ?? 0;
+        const normalizedWeight = totalWeight > 0 ? ind.weight / totalWeight : 0;
+        weightedSum += score * normalizedWeight;
+        breakdown.push({
+            key: ind.key,
+            score: round4(score),
+            weight: ind.weight,
+            weightNormalized: round4(normalizedWeight),
+        });
+    }
+    return {
+        value: round4(clamp01(weightedSum)),
+        breakdown,
+        enabledCount: enabled.length,
+    };
+}
+/**
+ * Aggregate 4 certitude indicator scores into a single certitude value.
+ *
+ * Indicators and default weights:
+ *   convergenceHHI:       0.30
+ *   stabiliteTaxonomique: 0.20
+ *   densiteCitation:      0.25
+ *   retrecissementClaims: 0.25
+ *
+ * @param {Object} scores - Map of certitude indicator key → score (each in [0, 1])
+ * @param {Array<{key: string, weight: number, enabled: boolean}>} [config]
+ *   Optional custom indicator config (for toggling/reweighting). Defaults to CERTITUDE_INDICATORS.
+ * @returns {{ value: number, breakdown: Array, enabledCount: number }}
+ */
+export function aggregateCertitude(scores, config = CERTITUDE_INDICATORS) {
+    return weightedMean(scores, config);
+}
+/**
+ * Aggregate 4 ubiquité indicator scores into a single ubiquité value.
+ *
+ * Indicators and default weights:
+ *   diversiteAssignees:    0.30
+ *   couvertureGeo:         0.25
+ *   diffusionSectorielle:  0.25
+ *   ratioExpires:           0.20
+ *
+ * @param {Object} scores - Map of ubiquité indicator key → score (each in [0, 1])
+ * @param {Array<{key: string, weight: number, enabled: boolean}>} [config]
+ *   Optional custom indicator config (for toggling/reweighting). Defaults to UBIQUITE_INDICATORS.
+ * @returns {{ value: number, breakdown: Array, enabledCount: number }}
+ */
+export function aggregateUbiquite(scores, config = UBIQUITE_INDICATORS) {
+    return weightedMean(scores, config);
+}
+/**
+ * Compute all 8 indicators from raw patent data and return both axis aggregates.
+ *
+ * @param {Object} patentData - Pre-fetched patent data containing all needed fields
+ * @param {Array} patentData.cpcDistribution - For convergenceHHI
+ * @param {Array} patentData.yearlyClassifications - For stabiliteTaxonomique
+ * @param {Object} patentData.citationData - For densiteCitation
+ * @param {Array} patentData.claimsTimeline - For retrecissementClaims
+ * @param {Object} patentData.assigneeData - For diversiteAssignees
+ * @param {Object} patentData.geoData - For couvertureGeo
+ * @param {Object} patentData.sectorData - For diffusionSectorielle
+ * @param {Object} patentData.expirationData - For ratioExpires
+ * @param {Object} [options]
+ * @param {Array} [options.certitudeConfig] - Custom certitude indicator config
+ * @param {Array} [options.ubiquiteConfig] - Custom ubiquité indicator config
+ * @returns {{ certitude: {value, breakdown, enabledCount}, ubiquite: {value, breakdown, enabledCount}, scores: Object }}
+ */
+export function computeAllIndicators(patentData, options = {}) {
+    const { certitudeConfig = CERTITUDE_INDICATORS, ubiquiteConfig = UBIQUITE_INDICATORS, } = options;
+    // Compute all 8 individual scores
+    const scores = {
+        // Certitude axis
+        convergenceHHI: convergenceHHI(patentData.cpcDistribution),
+        stabiliteTaxonomique: stabiliteTaxonomique(patentData.yearlyClassifications),
+        densiteCitation: densiteCitation(patentData.citationData),
+        retrecissementClaims: retrecissementClaims(patentData.claimsTimeline),
+        // Ubiquité axis
+        diversiteAssignees: diversiteAssignees(patentData.assigneeData),
+        couvertureGeo: couvertureGeo(patentData.geoData),
+        diffusionSectorielle: diffusionSectorielle(patentData.sectorData),
+        ratioExpires: ratioExpires(patentData.expirationData),
+    };
+    return {
+        certitude: aggregateCertitude(scores, certitudeConfig),
+        ubiquite: aggregateUbiquite(scores, ubiquiteConfig),
+        scores,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=patent-indicators.mjs.map

package/dist/lib/patent/patent-indicators.mjs.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/lib/phase-distribution.d.mts

@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
+import type { PhaseDistribution } from '../schemas/inputs.schema.mjs';
+/**
+ * Probability-weighted centroid on the evolution axis.
+ * Returns a value in [0, 1] rounded to 3 decimals.
+ * Bins are normalized to sum=1 before averaging.
+ */
+export declare function centroidEvolution(dist: PhaseDistribution): number;
+/**
+ * Confidence derived from distribution entropy.
+ * Peaked distribution (low entropy) → high confidence.
+ * Matches the shape used by logprob-distribution-strategy.
+ */
+export declare function entropyConfidence(dist: PhaseDistribution): number;
+/**
+ * Confidence derived from the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (sum of squared
+ * proportions). Uniform over N bins = 1/N (min), single dominant = 1 (max).
+ * The result is clamped to [0.2, 0.95] to match the prior publication-analysis
+ * mapping where a pure uniform still reports a non-zero confidence.
+ */
+export declare function concentrationConfidence(dist: PhaseDistribution): number;
+//# sourceMappingURL=phase-distribution.d.mts.map

package/dist/lib/phase-distribution.d.mts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"phase-distribution.d.mts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/lib/phase-distribution.mts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAUA,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,iBAAiB,EAAE,MAAM,8BAA8B,CAAC;AAEtE;;;;GAIG;AACH,wBAAgB,iBAAiB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,iBAAiB,GAAG,MAAM,CAQjE;AAgBD;;;;GAIG;AACH,wBAAgB,iBAAiB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,iBAAiB,GAAG,MAAM,CAGjE;AAED;;;;;GAKG;AACH,wBAAgB,uBAAuB,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,iBAAiB,GAAG,MAAM,CAYvE"}

package/dist/lib/phase-distribution.mjs

@@ -0,0 +1,66 @@
+// Utilities operating on PhaseDistribution: scalar reduction (centroid)
+// and confidence measures (entropy, concentration).
+//
+// Single source of truth for the arithmetic that was previously duplicated in:
+//   - work-on-evolution/write/s-curve/s-curve.mts (pubEvolution)
+//   - work-on-evolution/write/strategies/capacity/publication-analysis-strategy.mts
+//     (advancedPubEvolution, concentration)
+//   - work-on-evolution/write/strategies/capacity/logprob-distribution-strategy.mts
+//     (normalizedEntropy, centroid loop)
+/**
+ * Probability-weighted centroid on the evolution axis.
+ * Returns a value in [0, 1] rounded to 3 decimals.
+ * Bins are normalized to sum=1 before averaging.
+ */
+export function centroidEvolution(dist) {
+    const sum = dist.bins.reduce((s, b) => s + b.probability, 0);
+    if (sum === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const centroid = dist.bins.reduce((s, b) => s + (b.probability / sum) * b.position, 0);
+    return Math.round(centroid * 1000) / 1000;
+}
+/**
+ * Shannon entropy normalized to [0, 1] (0 = certain, 1 = uniform).
+ * Used by logprob-based strategies where uncertainty is intrinsic.
+ */
+function normalizedEntropy(dist) {
+    const sum = dist.bins.reduce((s, b) => s + b.probability, 0);
+    if (sum === 0)
+        return 1;
+    const probs = dist.bins.map(b => b.probability / sum).filter(p => p > 0);
+    if (probs.length <= 1)
+        return 0;
+    const maxEntropy = Math.log(probs.length);
+    const entropy = -probs.reduce((s, p) => s + p * Math.log(p), 0);
+    return maxEntropy > 0 ? entropy / maxEntropy : 0;
+}
+/**
+ * Confidence derived from distribution entropy.
+ * Peaked distribution (low entropy) → high confidence.
+ * Matches the shape used by logprob-distribution-strategy.
+ */
+export function entropyConfidence(dist) {
+    const entropy = normalizedEntropy(dist);
+    return Math.round(Math.max(0.1, 1 - entropy * 0.8) * 1000) / 1000;
+}
+/**
+ * Confidence derived from the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (sum of squared
+ * proportions). Uniform over N bins = 1/N (min), single dominant = 1 (max).
+ * The result is clamped to [0.2, 0.95] to match the prior publication-analysis
+ * mapping where a pure uniform still reports a non-zero confidence.
+ */
+export function concentrationConfidence(dist) {
+    const sum = dist.bins.reduce((s, b) => s + b.probability, 0);
+    if (sum === 0)
+        return 0.2;
+    const n = dist.bins.length;
+    const uniform = 1 / n;
+    const hhi = dist.bins.reduce((s, b) => {
+        const p = b.probability / sum;
+        return s + p * p;
+    }, 0);
+    const normalized = (hhi - uniform) / (1 - uniform);
+    const clamped = Math.max(0.2, Math.min(0.95, 0.3 + normalized * 0.65));
+    return Math.round(clamped * 1000) / 1000;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=phase-distribution.mjs.map

package/dist/lib/phase-distribution.mjs.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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