jcc_hyper_tool 0.1.5 → 0.1.7

package/dist/advisor/promptTemplate.js

@@ -1,38 +1,86 @@
 import { mergeUserProfileDefaults } from "../core/state/profileStore.js";
-export function buildAdvisorSystemPrompt(profile) {
+import { HL_MIN_ORDER_NOTIONAL_USD } from "../core/hyperliquid/rounding.js";
+import { computeAtr, parseCandlesFromSnapshot } from "./touchProbability.js";
+export function buildAdvisorSystemPrompt(profile, contextVersion = "raw_kline") {
     const p = mergeUserProfileDefaults(profile);
-    const perCoin = p.maxSzByCoin && Object.keys(p.maxSzByCoin).length > 0
+    const perCoinMax = p.maxSzByCoin && Object.keys(p.maxSzByCoin).length > 0
         ? `- per-coin max size: ${JSON.stringify(p.maxSzByCoin)}`
         : "";
+    const perCoinMin = p.minSzByCoin && Object.keys(p.minSzByCoin).length > 0
+        ? `- per-coin min size: ${JSON.stringify(p.minSzByCoin)}`
+        : "";
+    const antiRush = (p.antiRushCloseMinSec ?? 0) > 0
+        ? `- 防抢跑平仓：持仓未满 ${p.antiRushCloseMinSec}s 且 mid 未触及原 TP/SL 时，系统会拒绝 close_position（含 protection_pending 与 protection_active）`
+        : "";
+    const protectionGrace = (p.protectionGraceSec ?? 360) > 0
+        ? `- 保护单宽限期：entry_filled 后 ${p.protectionGraceSec ?? 360}s 内 reconcile 可能尚未把 TP/SL 挂到簿上；此期间勿称「裸仓」，应 wait 再等一轮`
+        : "";
+    const minClosePnl = (p.minClosePnlPct ?? 0.01) > 0
+        ? `- 微利禁平：|浮盈/亏| < ${((p.minClosePnlPct ?? 0.01) * 100).toFixed(2)}% 时系统拒绝 close_position；**若 protection_active（SL 已挂簿），小浮亏应 wait 让 SL 工作，tp_unreachable 不能绕过**；无保护单时方可 tp_unreachable=true 且 thesis 已破`
+        : "";
+    const minRr = p.minRewardRiskRatio ?? (p.risk === "conservative" ? 2.5 : p.risk === "aggressive" ? 1.5 : 2);
+    const maxSlPct = p.maxSlPctFromEntry ?? (p.risk === "conservative" ? 0.012 : p.risk === "aggressive" ? 0.03 : 0.02);
+    const tpslDiscipline = `- TP/SL 几何（系统硬校验）：以 limit_px 为基准，**止损距离须小于止盈距离**（盈亏比 TP/SL ≥ ${minRr.toFixed(1)}:1）；SL 距 entry 不得超过 ${(maxSlPct * 100).toFixed(2)}%。禁止 TP/SL 与 entry 或 mid 等距对称。SL 挂最近结构支撑/阻力；TP 挂趋势目标位（analysis.price_targets）。若 SL 过宽，应把 limit_px 沿趋势方向回调（做多更低、做空更高）而非放大 SL`;
+    const touchProb = `- SL 触及概率（系统自算，**仅 open_with_bracket 执行前校验**；place_limit_ambush 未成交前 SL 未激活，跳过此护栏）：用 1h ATR + analysis.time_horizon 估算 mid 在 horizon 内触及 entry/SL 的概率；SL 触及 ×${(p.slSweepLiquidityMultiplier ?? 2).toFixed(1)} 近似扫止损风险。超过 profile 阈值会拒单；执行前自动把 SL 再偏移 ${((p.slAntiSweepAtrFactor ?? 0.3) * 100).toFixed(0)}%×ATR₁h 避 magnet，并同步外推 TP 保持盈亏比。confidence ≠ 触及概率；请在 price_targets 为 SL/entry 标注 probability 供 reasoning`;
+    const ambushDev = p.ambushReplaceDeviationPct !== undefined
+        ? `- 埋伏单替换阈值：新限价与 pending 偏离 > ${(p.ambushReplaceDeviationPct * 100).toFixed(2)}% 时自动 request-cancel 并重挂`
+        : `- 埋伏单替换阈值：偏离 > ${(p.priceDeviationPctMax * 100).toFixed(2)}%（同 priceDeviationPctMax）时自动替换`;
     return `你是一位专注于 Hyperliquid 永续合约的风控型量化交易顾问，具备专业的技术分析能力。请只回复一个 JSON 对象（不要 markdown 围栏，不要额外文字）。JSON 必须符合用户消息中的约定，且 reason 等文本字段请使用中文。
 
+## analysis 字段类型（硬性约束，违反会导致校验失败并重试）
+
+- \`analysis.indicators\`、\`analysis.elliott_wave\`、\`analysis.chan_theory\`：**必须是字符串**（一段中文摘要），**禁止 JSON 子对象**（勿写 \`{ "trend": "...", "macd": "..." }\` 这类嵌套结构；把要点合并成一段 prose）
+- \`analysis.time_horizon\`：字符串
+- \`analysis.price_targets\`：对象数组（每项含 level、label、time_est，probability 可选）
+- \`analysis.range_15_30m\`：可选对象；不适用则**省略该字段**，勿填 null
+- \`place_limit_ambush\` 的 \`range_15_30m\` 在 **action 顶层**，不要与 analysis 混用重复
+
 用户风险偏好：
 - 风格：${p.risk}
-- 当 requireTpsl 为 true（当前：${p.requireTpsl}）时，bracket 交易必须包含 TP 和 SL
+- 当 requireTpsl 为 true（当前：${p.requireTpsl}）时，bracket / 埋伏 交易必须包含 TP 和 SL
 - 限价单价格应在当前 mid 的 ±${(p.priceDeviationPctMax * 100).toFixed(2)}% 以内，除非选择等待
 ${p.defaultMaxSz !== undefined ? `- 建议最大仓位上限参考：${p.defaultMaxSz}` : ""}
-${perCoin}
+${p.defaultMinSz !== undefined ? `- 建议最小开仓数量参考：${p.defaultMinSz}` : ""}
+${perCoinMax}
+${perCoinMin}
+${antiRush}
+${protectionGrace}
+${minClosePnl}
+${tpslDiscipline}
+${touchProb}
+${ambushDev}
+${p.forbidCancelAllWithActiveAmbush ? "- 有未过期 TTL 埋伏入场单时，禁止 cancel_all；应 wait 或 place_limit_ambush 替换" : ""}
 ${p.tradingStyleNotes ? `- 备注：${p.tradingStyleNotes}` : ""}
 
-## 分析框架（决策前必须先完成以下三维分析，结果写入 analysis 字段）
+## 分析框架（决策前必须先完成以下三维分析，结果写入 analysis 字段；§1–§3 各输出一段中文字符串）
+${contextVersion === "precomputed_indicators"
+        ? `**数据路由**：§1 技术指标解读使用 indicator_summary；§2 波浪理论、§3 缠论、§4 价格目标使用 kline_5m_compact / kline_1h_compact / kline_1d_compact（精简 K 线，含 h/l/o/c/v，根数与标准 K 线一致，用于结构分析和量价配合）。两套数据互补，不得仅依赖 indicator_summary 做价格点位判断。
 
-### 1. 常规技术指标（analysis.indicators）
+### 1. 常规技术指标（analysis.indicators — 字符串，非对象）
+基于用户消息中预计算的 indicator_summary，用中文综述当前技术环境：
+- 趋势：解读 5m/1h/1d 三周期 EMA 排列是否共振（EMA5/EMA20/EMA60 方向是否一致），有无周期分化信号
+- 动能：MACD DIF/DEA 关系 + 柱状图方向，结合 RSI 是否进入极端区间(>70 或 <30)，重点关注 5m 级别短线动能转折
+- 波动率：布林带价格位置与带宽方向，结合 ATR% 和对数收益率波动率判断当前波动率环境(高波动/低波动/正常)
+- 量价关系：近 3 根相对均量的倍数，判断放量/缩量/量平；结合精简 K 线量价配合做二次确认，5m 放量是短线方向有效性的关键信号
+- Z-Score：价格偏离 SMA20 的程度，辅助判断超买超卖的统计极端性
+综合判定当前趋势阶段：强势上涨 / 强势下跌 / 弱势盘整 / 即将变盘`
+        : `### 1. 常规技术指标（analysis.indicators — 字符串，非对象）
 综合多周期 K 线数据，分析以下指标并给出文字摘要：
 - 趋势：EMA/MA 排列方向，日线/1h/5m 多周期共振程度
 - 动能：MACD 柱高度变化、DIF/DEA 穿越、背离
 - 超买超卖：RSI 数值及是否进入极端区间
 - 波动率：布林带开合程度，价格所处带位
 - 量价关系（如有成交量数据）
-综合判断当前趋势状态：强势上涨 / 强势下跌 / 弱势盘整 / 即将变盘
+综合判断当前趋势状态：强势上涨 / 强势下跌 / 弱势盘整 / 即将变盘`}
 
-### 2. 波浪理论（analysis.elliott_wave）
+### 2. 波浪理论（analysis.elliott_wave — 字符串，非对象）
 对当前价格走势进行波浪标注：
 - 判断当前所处浪级（推动浪 i~v 或调整浪 A/B/C）
 - 说明前一完整浪形的起止价格，以及当前浪的起点位置
 - 预测下一浪的方向与典型目标位（参考黄金比例 0.618 / 1.0 / 1.618 扩展）
 - 若判断不确定，说明多空两个情景下的浪形路径
 
-### 3. 缠论（analysis.chan_theory）
+### 3. 缠论（analysis.chan_theory — 字符串，非对象）
 从缠论角度分析结构：
 - 识别近期的笔（BI）和线段（Duan）方向
 - 判断当前中枢位置（震荡区间上下界）
@@ -49,30 +97,134 @@ ${p.tradingStyleNotes ? `- 备注：${p.tradingStyleNotes}` : ""}
 ### 5. 时间维度（analysis.time_horizon）
 基于分析给出本次策略的建议持仓时长，如"4-8小时"、"1-2天"
 
+### 6. 15–30 分钟乐观区间（analysis.range_15_30m，可选）
+当策略为短期埋伏时填写：
+- low / high: 预期震荡或目标区间
+- optimistic_side: buy|sell — 区间内更可能先触达的方向
+- confidence: 0~1（可选）
+
+---
+
+## 多周期联立与冲突处理
+
+各周期角色：**日线定趋势背景与长期目标位**，**1h 定当前结构与关键支撑阻力**，**5m 定精确入场时点与短期区间**。
+
+信号一致性决定仓位和信心：
+
+| 场景 | 处理规则 |
+|------|---------|
+| **三周期共振**（日线+1h+5m 方向一致） | 标准仓位、标准信心阈值、正常持仓周期 |
+| **仅 5m 异动**（1h+日线一致，5m 反向） | 视为短期噪音或回调，等 5m 顺向确认后再入场，不改变方向判断 |
+| **日线与小周期冲突**（日线多但 1h+5m 空，或日线空但 1h+5m 多） | 见下方按 risk 偏好处理 |
+
+日线/小周期冲突时的处理：
+
+- **conservative**：**日线优先**。小周期反向信号仅用于推迟入场或收紧止损，不对抗日线方向开仓。若日线趋势明确（EMA60 连续定向），即使 1h+5m 放量反向，也只可 flat 等回调至日线支撑/阻力位再顺向入场。
+- **balanced**：**可顺小周期参与，但降低暴露**。仓位降至标准 50%~60%，信心阈值 +0.1（需更确信），止损收紧至 1.3×ATR%，持仓周期不超过日线时间窗的一半。若日线无方向（盘整），则以 1h 为主要参考。
+- **aggressive**：**小周期优先**。日线仅作背景参考，以 1h+5m 信号决定方向与入场。逆日线开仓须在 price_targets 中显式标注日线反向风险位作为硬止盈参考。
+
+**量价权重**：若 1h+5m 双周期放量且方向一致，即使与缩量日线冲突，其置信度也高于无量日线信号（缩量单边趋势可能是假突破）。反之，若日线放量 + 小周期缩量反向，则日线优先。
+
+在 reason 中简述多周期一致性，如「日线多头排列+1h 回调至支撑+5m 底分型放量 → 三周期共振做多」，或「日线多头但 1h 放量跌穿中枢 → balanced 等日线支撑确认后再参与」。
+
+---
+
+## 输出格式（双槽位，analysis 必填）
+
+**先完成 §§1–6 完整分析，写入 analysis 字段，再分别给出 scalp 和 ambush 的决策。** analysis 必须包含 indicators、elliott_wave、chan_theory 三段中文字符串和 price_targets、time_horizon。
+
+JSON 格式：
+
+{
+  "analysis": { "indicators": "…技术指标综述…", "elliott_wave": "…波浪标注…", "chan_theory": "…缠论分析…", "price_targets": [...], "time_horizon": "…" },
+  "scalp": { "action": "wait", "reason": "…", "confidence": 0.7 },
+  "ambush": { "action": "place_limit_ambush", "side": "sell", "limit_px": 92.5, "sz": 25, "tp_px": 88.6, "sl_px": 92.9, "expires_in_min": 20, "is_market": false, "protection_limit_px": 92.5, "reason": "…", "confidence": 0.75 }
+}
+
+每个槽位独立决策，可以同时 wait、同时行动、或一个 wait 一个行动。两个策略互不干扰。
+
 ---
 
-## 决策规则
+## scalp 策略（超短线、市价进出）
+
+**定位**：5m 级别信号驱动，市价成交，分钟级持仓，赚小波段。
+
+**参数**：is_market=true 市价入场，SL = 0.5~1×ATR₅m（窄止损），TP = 1.5~2×ATR₅m（小止盈），R:R = 1.5~2:1，持仓 5-30 分钟，仓位 = 标准 50%~70%。
+
+**适用条件**（全部满足才打，否则 scalp 槽位填 wait）：
+1. 日线非单边强趋势（|Z-Score₅m| < 2，布林带宽 > 3%）
+2. 5m 级别有明确信号：RSI₅m >65 或 <35 + MACD₅m 柱转向 + 5m 放量 ≥ 1.2×均量
+3. 1h EMA5 方向与 scalp 方向一致
+
+**禁止 scalp**：日线 Z-Score > 2.5、5m 无量、重大消息面。
+
+**策略隔离（硬规则）**：
+- 仅关注 strategy="scalp" 的持仓和挂单。strategy≠"scalp" 的仓位视为不存在（不分析、不因它 wait/close）。
+- scalp 最多同时持有一个仓位，无 scalp 仓位时视为空仓直接评估开仓。
+- scalp 盈亏自行推算：entry_limit_px vs 当前 mid。
+
+**退场**：TP/SL 触发由 reconcile 自动处理；入场 30min 未触发 → close_position（time-stop）。
+
+**仓位轮换**：已有 scalp 仓位且浮盈时，若新机会 R:R×confidence 明显优于当前仓剩余空间，可 close_position 后下次再 open_with_bracket。reason 中简述轮换依据。
+
+---
+
+## ambush 策略（限价埋伏、结构交易）
+
+**定位**：1h 结构位驱动，挂限价等回调成交，小时到天级持仓，做大结构。
+
+**允许动作**：wait / place_limit_ambush / close_position / cancel_all。
+
+**参数**：limit_px 挂限价入场，expires_in_min 建议 15-30，SL 挂 1h 结构支撑/阻力位，TP 挂趋势目标位，R:R ≥ 2:1。
+
+**策略隔离（硬规则）**：
+- 仅关注 strategy="ambush" 或无 strategy 的持仓和挂单。strategy="scalp" 的仓位视为不存在。
+- pending_ambush_intents 仅列 ambush 策略的待处理意图。
+
+**埋伏 / 持仓纪律**：
+1. 无持仓且看 15-30m 区间 → 优先 place_limit_ambush
+2. 已有 pending 埋伏（见 pending_ambush_intents）→ 估计未变则 wait；偏离大用 place_limit_ambush 替换
+3. 持仓中 active_position_plan 存在且 strategy≠"scalp" → protection_pending 时 wait；protection_active 时小浮亏 wait，trend_toward_tp 时 wait
+4. 仅当 time_horizon 已过、无保护单、|浮盈/亏| 达阈值、或 SL 逻辑失效时 close_position
+5. 不要用 cancel_all 清理未过期埋伏
+
+---
 
-在完成以上分析后，给出具体的操作动作。允许的 "action" 字符串值：
-- "wait"：包含 reason（中文）、confidence
-- "open_with_bracket"：side buy|sell，limit_px，sz，tp_px，sl_px，is_market boolean；若 is_market 为 false，需设置 protection_limit_px（TP/SL 触发后的跟随限价）；reason（中文）、confidence，risk_flags 可选数组
-- "close_position"：method "market"|"limit"；若为 limit，需设置 limit_px；reason（中文）、confidence
-- "cancel_all"：撤销本地 state 中所有挂单 — 仅需 reason（中文）
+## 通用规则
 
-仓位大小单位为币种单位。置信度低时请保守操作；不确定时优先选择 "wait"。
-tp_px / sl_px 应与 price_targets 中的目标位保持一致，策略须具备时间维度的应对预案。`;
+仓位大小单位为币种单位。Hyperliquid 单笔最低名义价值 **${HL_MIN_ORDER_NOTIONAL_USD} USDC**（limit_px × sz）。open_with_bracket / place_limit_ambush 的 sz 必须同时满足：① HL 名义价值下限；② profile 中的 defaultMinSz / minSzByCoin。置信度低时保守操作；不确定时优先 wait。
+tp_px / sl_px 必须与 analysis.price_targets 中的结构位一致：**SL 取近端 invalidation（距离小），TP 取趋势延伸目标（距离大）**；勿用 mid±等距对称价。`;
 }
-export function formatFirstUserPayload(snapshot) {
-    return JSON.stringify({
+export function formatFirstUserPayload(snapshot, extras) {
+    const atr1h = computeAtr(parseCandlesFromSnapshot(snapshot.kline_1h));
+    const base = {
         coin: snapshot.coin,
         network: snapshot.network,
         now_ms: snapshot.now_ms,
         mid: snapshot.mid,
         positions: snapshot.positions,
-        kline_5m: snapshot.kline_5m,
-        kline_1h: snapshot.kline_1h,
-        kline_1d: snapshot.kline_1d,
+        pending_ambush_intents: extras?.pendingAmbushIntents ?? [],
+        active_position_plan: extras?.activePositionPlan ?? null,
+        volatility_hints: {
+            atr_1h: atr1h,
+            default_horizon_hours: 6,
+            note: snapshot.context_version === "precomputed_indicators"
+                ? "指标已预计算(见 indicator_summary)；SL触及概率 open_with_bracket 执行前校验"
+                : "open_with_bracket 执行前会校验 sl_touch_prob / sl_sweep_prob；place_limit_ambush 仅记录 touch-prob 日志",
+        },
         user_note: snapshot.user_note,
-    }, null, 2);
+    };
+    if (snapshot.context_version === "precomputed_indicators") {
+        base.indicator_summary = snapshot.indicator_summary ?? null;
+        base.kline_5m_compact = snapshot.kline_5m_compact ?? [];
+        base.kline_1h_compact = snapshot.kline_1h_compact ?? [];
+        base.kline_1d_compact = snapshot.kline_1d_compact ?? [];
+    }
+    else {
+        base.kline_5m = snapshot.kline_5m;
+        base.kline_1h = snapshot.kline_1h;
+        base.kline_1d = snapshot.kline_1d;
+    }
+    return JSON.stringify(base, null, 2);
 }
 //# sourceMappingURL=promptTemplate.js.map

package/dist/advisor/promptTemplate.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/advisor/touchProbability.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,54 @@
+import type { JsonValue } from "../core/hyperliquid/types.js";
+import type { UserProfile } from "../core/state/schema.js";
+import type { AdvisorAnalysis } from "./actionSchema.js";
+import type { AdvisorBracketOpenAction } from "./actionSchema.js";
+export type ParsedCandle = {
+    h: number;
+    l: number;
+    c: number;
+};
+export type BracketTouchProbabilities = {
+    horizon_hours: number;
+    atr_1h: number | null;
+    sigma_move: number | null;
+    entry_touch_prob: number | null;
+    sl_touch_prob: number | null;
+    sl_sweep_prob: number | null;
+    liquidity_multiplier: number;
+};
+export declare function parseCandlesFromSnapshot(raw: JsonValue): ParsedCandle[];
+/** Build flat-range 1h candles with ~fixed TR for unit tests. */
+export declare function syntheticCandlesForTest(bars: number, center: number, tr: number): JsonValue;
+/** Wilder-style ATR using the last `period` true-range bars. */
+export declare function computeAtr(candles: ParsedCandle[], period?: number): number | null;
+/** Best-effort parse of analysis.time_horizon (e.g. "4-8小时", "1-2天"). */
+export declare function parseTimeHorizonHours(raw: string | undefined, fallback?: number): number;
+/** Standard normal CDF (Abramowitz & Stegun approximation). */
+export declare function normalCdf(x: number): number;
+/** P(min price within horizon reaches L) from above, drift≈0, diffusion σ_move. */
+export declare function lowerBarrierTouchProb(spot: number, level: number, sigmaMove: number): number | null;
+/** P(max price within horizon reaches H) from below. */
+export declare function upperBarrierTouchProb(spot: number, level: number, sigmaMove: number): number | null;
+export declare function resolveSlSweepLiquidityMultiplier(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+export declare function resolveMaxSlTouchProb(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+export declare function resolveMaxSlSweepProb(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+export declare function resolveSlAntiSweepAtrFactor(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+export declare function sigmaMoveFromAtr(atr1h: number, horizonHours: number): number;
+export declare function computeBracketTouchProbabilities(params: {
+    action: Pick<AdvisorBracketOpenAction, "side" | "limit_px" | "sl_px">;
+    spot: number | null;
+    kline1h: JsonValue;
+    analysis?: AdvisorAnalysis;
+    profile?: UserProfile;
+    horizonHoursFallback?: number;
+}): BracketTouchProbabilities;
+export declare function formatTouchProbNote(probs: BracketTouchProbabilities): string;
+/**
+ * Move SL away from obvious structure (buy: lower SL, sell: raise SL) by factor×ATR₁h,
+ * then widen TP by the same reward:risk ratio so bracket geometry is preserved.
+ */
+export declare function applyAntiSweepSlOffset(action: AdvisorBracketOpenAction, atr1h: number | null, factor: number, szDecimals?: number): {
+    action: AdvisorBracketOpenAction;
+    notes: string[];
+};
+//# sourceMappingURL=touchProbability.d.ts.map

package/dist/advisor/touchProbability.d.ts.map

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package/dist/advisor/touchProbability.js

@@ -0,0 +1,215 @@
+import { roundHyperliquidPerpPrice } from "../core/hyperliquid/rounding.js";
+import { mergeUserProfileDefaults } from "../core/state/profileStore.js";
+export function parseCandlesFromSnapshot(raw) {
+    if (!Array.isArray(raw)) {
+        return [];
+    }
+    const out = [];
+    for (const row of raw) {
+        if (typeof row !== "object" || row === null) {
+            continue;
+        }
+        const o = row;
+        const h = Number(o.h);
+        const l = Number(o.l);
+        const c = Number(o.c);
+        if (Number.isFinite(h) && Number.isFinite(l) && Number.isFinite(c) && h >= l) {
+            out.push({ h, l, c });
+        }
+    }
+    return out;
+}
+/** Build flat-range 1h candles with ~fixed TR for unit tests. */
+export function syntheticCandlesForTest(bars, center, tr) {
+    const half = tr / 2;
+    const rows = [];
+    for (let i = 0; i < bars; i++) {
+        rows.push({ h: center + half, l: center - half, o: center, c: center });
+    }
+    return rows;
+}
+/** Wilder-style ATR using the last `period` true-range bars. */
+export function computeAtr(candles, period = 14) {
+    if (candles.length < period + 1 || period <= 0) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    const trs = [];
+    for (let i = 1; i < candles.length; i++) {
+        const prev = candles[i - 1];
+        const cur = candles[i];
+        trs.push(Math.max(cur.h - cur.l, Math.abs(cur.h - prev.c), Math.abs(cur.l - prev.c)));
+    }
+    const recent = trs.slice(-period);
+    if (recent.length === 0) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    return recent.reduce((sum, tr) => sum + tr, 0) / recent.length;
+}
+/** Best-effort parse of analysis.time_horizon (e.g. "4-8小时", "1-2天"). */
+export function parseTimeHorizonHours(raw, fallback = 6) {
+    if (!raw || !raw.trim()) {
+        return fallback;
+    }
+    const s = raw.trim();
+    const hRange = /([\d.]+)\s*[-~～]\s*([\d.]+)\s*小时/u.exec(s);
+    if (hRange) {
+        return (Number(hRange[1]) + Number(hRange[2])) / 2;
+    }
+    const hSingle = /([\d.]+)\s*小时/u.exec(s);
+    if (hSingle) {
+        return Number(hSingle[1]);
+    }
+    const dRange = /([\d.]+)\s*[-~～]\s*([\d.]+)\s*天/u.exec(s);
+    if (dRange) {
+        return ((Number(dRange[1]) + Number(dRange[2])) / 2) * 24;
+    }
+    const dSingle = /([\d.]+)\s*天/u.exec(s);
+    if (dSingle) {
+        return Number(dSingle[1]) * 24;
+    }
+    return fallback;
+}
+/** Standard normal CDF (Abramowitz & Stegun approximation). */
+export function normalCdf(x) {
+    const ax = Math.abs(x);
+    const t = 1 / (1 + 0.2316419 * ax);
+    const d = 0.3989423 * Math.exp((-ax * ax) / 2);
+    const p = d *
+        t *
+        (0.3193815 +
+            t * (-0.3565638 + t * (1.781478 + t * (-1.821256 + t * 1.330274))));
+    return x >= 0 ? 1 - p : p;
+}
+/** P(min price within horizon reaches L) from above, drift≈0, diffusion σ_move. */
+export function lowerBarrierTouchProb(spot, level, sigmaMove) {
+    if (!Number.isFinite(spot) || !Number.isFinite(level) || !Number.isFinite(sigmaMove)) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    if (sigmaMove <= 0) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    if (spot <= level) {
+        return 1;
+    }
+    const z = (spot - level) / sigmaMove;
+    return Math.min(1, Math.max(0, 2 * normalCdf(-z)));
+}
+/** P(max price within horizon reaches H) from below. */
+export function upperBarrierTouchProb(spot, level, sigmaMove) {
+    if (!Number.isFinite(spot) || !Number.isFinite(level) || !Number.isFinite(sigmaMove)) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    if (sigmaMove <= 0) {
+        return null;
+    }
+    if (spot >= level) {
+        return 1;
+    }
+    const z = (level - spot) / sigmaMove;
+    return Math.min(1, Math.max(0, 2 * normalCdf(-z)));
+}
+export function resolveSlSweepLiquidityMultiplier(profile) {
+    const p = mergeUserProfileDefaults(profile);
+    return p.slSweepLiquidityMultiplier ?? 2;
+}
+export function resolveMaxSlTouchProb(profile) {
+    const p = mergeUserProfileDefaults(profile);
+    return p.maxSlTouchProb ?? 0.06;
+}
+export function resolveMaxSlSweepProb(profile) {
+    const p = mergeUserProfileDefaults(profile);
+    return p.maxSlSweepProb ?? 0.12;
+}
+export function resolveSlAntiSweepAtrFactor(profile) {
+    const p = mergeUserProfileDefaults(profile);
+    return p.slAntiSweepAtrFactor ?? 0.3;
+}
+export function sigmaMoveFromAtr(atr1h, horizonHours) {
+    return atr1h * Math.sqrt(Math.max(horizonHours, 0.25));
+}
+function levelTouchProb(side, spot, level, sigmaMove) {
+    if (side === "buy") {
+        return lowerBarrierTouchProb(spot, level, sigmaMove);
+    }
+    return upperBarrierTouchProb(spot, level, sigmaMove);
+}
+export function computeBracketTouchProbabilities(params) {
+    const liquidityMultiplier = resolveSlSweepLiquidityMultiplier(params.profile);
+    const horizonHours = parseTimeHorizonHours(params.analysis?.time_horizon, params.horizonHoursFallback ?? 6);
+    const candles = parseCandlesFromSnapshot(params.kline1h);
+    const atr1h = computeAtr(candles);
+    const sigmaMove = atr1h !== null ? sigmaMoveFromAtr(atr1h, horizonHours) : null;
+    if (params.spot === null || params.spot <= 0 || sigmaMove === null) {
+        return {
+            horizon_hours: horizonHours,
+            atr_1h: atr1h,
+            sigma_move: sigmaMove,
+            entry_touch_prob: null,
+            sl_touch_prob: null,
+            sl_sweep_prob: null,
+            liquidity_multiplier: liquidityMultiplier,
+        };
+    }
+    const entryTouch = levelTouchProb(params.action.side, params.spot, params.action.limit_px, sigmaMove);
+    const slTouch = levelTouchProb(params.action.side, params.spot, params.action.sl_px, sigmaMove);
+    const slSweep = slTouch !== null ? Math.min(1, slTouch * liquidityMultiplier) : null;
+    return {
+        horizon_hours: horizonHours,
+        atr_1h: atr1h,
+        sigma_move: sigmaMove,
+        entry_touch_prob: entryTouch,
+        sl_touch_prob: slTouch,
+        sl_sweep_prob: slSweep,
+        liquidity_multiplier: liquidityMultiplier,
+    };
+}
+export function formatTouchProbNote(probs) {
+    const pct = (v) => v === null ? "?" : `${(v * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
+    return (`touch-prob (${probs.horizon_hours.toFixed(1)}h, ATR₁h ${probs.atr_1h?.toFixed(3) ?? "?"}): ` +
+        `entry ${pct(probs.entry_touch_prob)}, SL ${pct(probs.sl_touch_prob)}, ` +
+        `SL×${probs.liquidity_multiplier} sweep ${pct(probs.sl_sweep_prob)}`);
+}
+/**
+ * Move SL away from obvious structure (buy: lower SL, sell: raise SL) by factor×ATR₁h,
+ * then widen TP by the same reward:risk ratio so bracket geometry is preserved.
+ */
+export function applyAntiSweepSlOffset(action, atr1h, factor, szDecimals) {
+    if (!Number.isFinite(factor) || factor <= 0 || atr1h === null || atr1h <= 0) {
+        return { action, notes: [] };
+    }
+    const offset = atr1h * factor;
+    const roundPx = (px) => szDecimals !== undefined ? roundHyperliquidPerpPrice(px, szDecimals) : px;
+    const { side, limit_px: entry, tp_px: tp, sl_px: sl } = action;
+    const slDist = side === "buy" ? entry - sl : sl - entry;
+    const tpDist = side === "buy" ? tp - entry : entry - tp;
+    if (slDist <= 0 || tpDist <= 0) {
+        return { action, notes: [] };
+    }
+    const rewardRiskRatio = tpDist / slDist;
+    const newSl = side === "buy" ? roundPx(sl - offset) : roundPx(sl + offset);
+    const newSlDist = side === "buy" ? entry - newSl : newSl - entry;
+    if (newSlDist <= 0) {
+        return { action, notes: [] };
+    }
+    const newTpDist = rewardRiskRatio * newSlDist;
+    const newTp = roundPx(side === "buy" ? entry + newTpDist : entry - newTpDist);
+    if (side === "buy") {
+        if (!(newSl < entry && entry < newTp)) {
+            return { action, notes: [] };
+        }
+    }
+    else if (!(newTp < entry && entry < newSl)) {
+        return { action, notes: [] };
+    }
+    const notes = [
+        `anti-sweep SL ${sl}→${newSl} (${side === "buy" ? "-" : "+"}${factor}×ATR₁h ${atr1h.toFixed(3)})`,
+    ];
+    if (newTp !== tp) {
+        notes.push(`anti-sweep TP ${tp}→${newTp} (preserve ${rewardRiskRatio.toFixed(2)}:1 R:R)`);
+    }
+    return {
+        action: { ...action, sl_px: newSl, tp_px: newTp },
+        notes,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=touchProbability.js.map

package/dist/advisor/touchProbability.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/advisor/tpslPolicy.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
+import type { UserProfile } from "../core/state/schema.js";
+import type { AdvisorBracketOpenAction } from "./actionSchema.js";
+import { type BracketTouchProbabilities } from "./touchProbability.js";
+export type BracketLegDistances = {
+    slDist: number;
+    tpDist: number;
+    rewardRiskRatio: number;
+    slPctFromEntry: number;
+    tpPctFromEntry: number;
+};
+/** Min TP distance / SL distance from entry (profile override, else by risk style). */
+export declare function resolveMinRewardRiskRatio(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+/** Max SL distance from entry as fraction of entry px (profile override, else by risk style). */
+export declare function resolveMaxSlPctFromEntry(profile: UserProfile | undefined): number;
+export declare function computeBracketLegDistances(action: Pick<AdvisorBracketOpenAction, "side" | "limit_px" | "tp_px" | "sl_px">): BracketLegDistances;
+/**
+ * Hard bracket geometry: asymmetric TP/SL from entry, max SL width, trend-aware entry when SL is wide.
+ */
+export declare function assertBracketTpslGeometry(action: AdvisorBracketOpenAction, profile: UserProfile | undefined, mid: number | null, atr1h?: number | null): void;
+/** Reject bracket when SL touch / sweep probability is too high (anti stop-hunt). Skips when ATR unavailable. */
+export declare function assertBracketTouchProbability(action: AdvisorBracketOpenAction, probs: BracketTouchProbabilities, profile: UserProfile | undefined): void;
+//# sourceMappingURL=tpslPolicy.d.ts.map

package/dist/advisor/tpslPolicy.d.ts.map

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