investing 0.1.193 → 0.1.195
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/README.md +167 -119
- package/THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md +144 -0
- package/dist/{archiver-web.es-fg4bLLZa.cjs → archiver-web.es-BZ9vS4QO.cjs} +1 -1
- package/dist/{archiver-web.es-B69gABHP.js → archiver-web.es-CodJpBnE.js} +1 -1
- package/dist/db/index.d.ts +17 -0
- package/dist/db/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/db/schema.d.ts +17 -0
- package/dist/db/schema.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/index-BSAs2Hd3.js +15 -0
- package/dist/index-UkeRpB4e.cjs +13 -0
- package/dist/index.d.ts +2 -1
- package/dist/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/index.js +1 -1
- package/dist/index.mjs +1 -1
- package/dist/live-data/dukascopy-client.d.ts +19 -2
- package/dist/live-data/dukascopy-client.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/adapters/trading-agents.d.ts +21 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/adapters/trading-agents.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/bookmaker-agent.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/event-analysis-agent.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/index.d.ts +5 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/index.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/kalshi-momentum-agent.d.ts +7 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/kalshi-momentum-agent.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/mapper-agent.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/polyfactual-research.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/polyfactual-research.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/polymarket-position-tracker.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/polymarket-put-order.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/polymarket-put-order.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/polymarket-updown-15-limit-order-bot.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/agents/x402-seller.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/callBlockRun.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/callGrok.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/callOpenAI.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/http.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/index.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/index.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/prompts/analyzeEventMarkets.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/prompts/arbitrageAnalysis.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/prompts/bookmakerAnalysis.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/prompts/searchQueryGenerator.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/ai/types.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/arbitrage.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/clients/polyfactual.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/clients/polyfactual.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/clients/polymarket.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/clients/polymarket.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/clients/x402.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/clients/x402.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/data/kalshi.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/data/kalshi.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/data/polymarket.d.ts +1 -1
- package/dist/prediction-markets/data/polymarket.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/events.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/execution/paper.d.ts +19 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/execution/paper.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/index.cjs +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/index.d.ts +8 -5
- package/dist/prediction-markets/index.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/index.mjs +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/kalshi-momentum.LICENSE +21 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/btc15m-fusion.d.ts +27 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/btc15m-fusion.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/copy-trade-sizing.d.ts +27 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/copy-trade-sizing.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/gabagool.d.ts +26 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/gabagool.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/kalshi-momentum.d.ts +13 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/strategies/kalshi-momentum.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/types.d.ts +121 -6
- package/dist/prediction-markets/types.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/validation.d.ts +5 -0
- package/dist/prediction-markets/validation.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/scripted-llm-C6y_Dk4q.cjs +1 -0
- package/dist/scripted-llm-DqaYX5Zn.js +1 -0
- package/dist/stocks/index.d.ts +0 -1
- package/dist/stocks/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/stocks/quote-cache-service.d.ts +11 -2
- package/dist/stocks/quote-cache-service.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/stocks/unified-quote-service.d.ts +15 -6
- package/dist/stocks/unified-quote-service.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/stocks/yahoo-finance-wrapper.d.ts +39 -3
- package/dist/stocks/yahoo-finance-wrapper.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/strategy-signals/data/fixture-data-provider.d.ts +8 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/data/fixture-data-provider.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/data/openbb-mapping.d.ts +7 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/data/openbb-mapping.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/demo.d.ts +446 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/demo.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/execution.d.ts +18 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/execution.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/fixtures/openbb-data/bars.d.ts +10 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/fixtures/openbb-data/bars.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/index.d.ts +32 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/index.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/proposal.d.ts +10 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/proposal.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/report.d.ts +6 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/report.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/risk-gate.d.ts +3 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/risk-gate.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/btc15m-fusion.d.ts +16 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/btc15m-fusion.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/copy-trade-sizing.d.ts +15 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/copy-trade-sizing.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/gabagool.d.ts +12 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/gabagool.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/hedge-fund-technicals.d.ts +42 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/hedge-fund-technicals.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-momentum.d.ts +10 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-momentum.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-vibe-guards.d.ts +15 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-vibe-guards.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-vibe.d.ts +11 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-vibe.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/red-flags.d.ts +13 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/sources/red-flags.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/survival-posture.d.ts +13 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/survival-posture.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/types.d.ts +138 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/types.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/validate.d.ts +15 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/validate.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/kalshi-venue-mapping.d.ts +3 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/kalshi-venue-mapping.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/mock-equity-broker.d.ts +16 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/mock-equity-broker.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/mock-venue.d.ts +14 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/mock-venue.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/pmxt-venue-mapping.d.ts +7 -0
- package/dist/strategy-signals/venues/pmxt-venue-mapping.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/debate-facilitator.d.ts +3 -3
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/debate-facilitator.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/fund-manager.d.ts +4 -2
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/fund-manager.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/improved-researchers.d.ts +3 -3
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/improved-researchers.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/market-analyst.d.ts +2 -2
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/market-analyst.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/news-analyst.d.ts +2 -2
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/news-analyst.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/researchers.d.ts +4 -4
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/researchers.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/risk-judge.d.ts +13 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/risk-judge.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/risk-team.d.ts +4 -4
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/risk-team.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/trader.d.ts +2 -2
- package/dist/trading-agents/agents/trader.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/graph/trading-graph.d.ts +28 -2
- package/dist/trading-agents/graph/trading-graph.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/index.cjs +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/index.d.ts +4 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/index.mjs +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/types/index.d.ts +11 -4
- package/dist/trading-agents/types/index.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/llm-client.d.ts +4 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/llm-client.d.ts.map +1 -1
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/parse-final-line.d.ts +7 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/parse-final-line.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/scripted-llm.d.ts +17 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/scripted-llm.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/strategy-prompt.d.ts +6 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents/utils/strategy-prompt.d.ts.map +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents-Bh9OORHe.js +1 -0
- package/dist/trading-agents-C8M7tbB0.cjs +1 -0
- package/dist/validate-C1MS8RhG.js +1 -0
- package/dist/validate-DBxPUXqH.cjs +1 -0
- package/package.json +18 -50
- package/dist/bookmakerAnalysis-Bfo1zUVm.js +0 -1
- package/dist/bookmakerAnalysis-CHn1W8uX.cjs +0 -1
- package/dist/callGrok-D0D7zBHK.js +0 -1
- package/dist/callGrok-DWO719mN.cjs +0 -1
- package/dist/events-BJOyGWeU.cjs +0 -1
- package/dist/events-OvBb8rgy.js +0 -1
- package/dist/index-D7fsk2gy.js +0 -15
- package/dist/index-_V1Ql5Es.cjs +0 -13
- package/dist/polymarket-updown-15-limit-order-bot-DCC8HE9Z.cjs +0 -1
- package/dist/polymarket-updown-15-limit-order-bot-Dv5oGAF4.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/bookmaker-agent.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/event-analysis-agent.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/index.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/index.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/mapper-agent.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/polyfactual-research.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/polymarket-position-tracker.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/polymarket-put-order.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/polymarket-updown-15-limit-order-bot.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/agents/x402-seller.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/callBlockRun.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/callGrok.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/callOpenAI.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/http.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/index.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/index.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/prompts/analyzeEventMarkets.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/prompts/arbitrageAnalysis.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/prompts/bookmakerAnalysis.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/prompts/searchQueryGenerator.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/ai/types.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/arbitrage.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/arbitrage.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/arbitrage.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/clients/polyfactual.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/clients/polymarket.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/clients/x402.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/kalshi.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/kalshi.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/kalshi.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/polymarket.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/polymarket.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/data/polymarket.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/events.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/index.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/index.js +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/index.mjs +0 -1
- package/dist/predictos/types.d.ts.map +0 -1
- package/dist/searchQueryGenerator-DIIs9xw5.js +0 -1
- package/dist/searchQueryGenerator-rCVblXJS.cjs +0 -1
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/bookmaker-agent.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/event-analysis-agent.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/mapper-agent.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/polymarket-position-tracker.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/polymarket-updown-15-limit-order-bot.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/agents/x402-seller.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/callBlockRun.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/callGrok.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/callOpenAI.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/http.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/prompts/analyzeEventMarkets.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/prompts/arbitrageAnalysis.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/prompts/bookmakerAnalysis.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/prompts/searchQueryGenerator.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/ai/types.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/arbitrage.d.ts +0 -0
- /package/dist/{predictos → prediction-markets}/events.d.ts +0 -0
package/README.md
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- 🤖 **Trading Agents** - Multi-agent framework for automated trading strategies
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34
34
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- 📊 **Stock Data** - Fetch and analyze stock data from Yahoo Finance, SEC filings, and more
|
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35
35
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- 💹 **Prediction Markets** - Polymarket integration for prediction market data
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36
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-
- 🔮 **PredictOS Core** - Multi-agent prediction-market analysis, Kalshi/Polymarket
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37
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data clients, and cross-platform arbitrage (merged in from the `predictos` package)
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38
36
|
- 🔌 **Alpaca Trading API** - Easy-to-use wrapper for Alpaca trading platform
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39
37
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- 📈 **Technical Analysis** - Algorithmic trading strategies and indicators
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40
38
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- 🎯 **Social Trading** - Track and analyze top traders and strategies
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41
39
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- 🧠 **AI-Powered Analysis** - LLM-based investment research and debate generation
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40
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- 📦 **Data Files** - Pre-packaged stock indexes, sector information, and market data
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41
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+
## Third-party strategy signals
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+
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44
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+
The source integration connects all ten vendored project folders to the agent
|
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+
pipeline through pure sources, venue/data mappings and a survival risk posture.
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46
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+
The [integration overview](../../devdocs/third-party-trading-bots-overview.md)
|
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|
+
records each project's runtime, license, native assessment and operational scope.
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+
Full notices ship in [THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md](THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md).
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+
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50
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+
From the repository root, run the credential-free paper demo in Docker:
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+
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+
```bash
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bash devdocs/third-party-integration/harness/run.sh install
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+
bash devdocs/third-party-integration/harness/run.sh demo
|
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+
```
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+
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The image uses pinned Bun 1.3.11 with Node/native build prerequisites. Dependencies
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live in container-only volumes; the staged repository excludes credentials and
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host node_modules. Tests and the demo run with `--network=none`.
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+
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The demo first prints a readable summary: six numbered stages per run (strategy,
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normalized signal, research input, Trader, Portfolio Manager, execution). It then
|
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prints the full JSON trace: signals → report → proposal → Trader → risk debate → judge →
|
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+
verdict → Fund Manager → approval → fill → account snapshots. It includes momentum
|
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+
BUY/SELL, Vibe YES/NO, BTC bullish/bearish, copy sizing, sequential Gabagool targets,
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|
+
PyKalshi and pmxt mappings, OpenBB-backed stock BUY/SELL and Defensive sizing.
|
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67
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+
The pmxt fixture opts into explicitly synthetic quotes; a point price is not a
|
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+
live executable quote. Models are scripted and all prices/forecasts are fixtures.
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|
+
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70
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+
Source consumers can opt into the new stage with the fourth graph argument and
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|
+
the third `propagate` argument:
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+
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|
+
```typescript
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|
+
// Source-level example inside packages/investing. Avoid src/index.ts: it loads
|
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75
|
+
// native dependencies and dotenv. Built package/subpath imports remain broken.
|
|
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|
+
import { TradingAgentsGraph } from './src/trading-agents/graph/trading-graph'
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+
import { kalshiMomentumSource } from './src/strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-momentum'
|
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78
|
+
|
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79
|
+
const graph = new TradingAgentsGraph([], false, undefined, {
|
|
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|
+
llm: { deep: suppliedLLM, quick: suppliedLLM },
|
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81
|
+
riskReview: true,
|
|
82
|
+
riskLimits: { maxPositionPerMarket: 50, maxOpenPositions: 5 },
|
|
83
|
+
})
|
|
84
|
+
const context = { account: venue.snapshot(), evaluationTime }
|
|
85
|
+
const strategySignals = kalshiMomentumSource.run({ ticks }, context)
|
|
86
|
+
const result = await graph.propagate(market.title, evaluationTime.slice(0, 10), {
|
|
87
|
+
instrument: { type: 'event', venue: venue.venue, marketId: market.marketId },
|
|
88
|
+
strategySignals,
|
|
89
|
+
account: context.account,
|
|
90
|
+
evaluationTime,
|
|
91
|
+
event: market,
|
|
92
|
+
sources: { [kalshiMomentumSource.id]: kalshiMomentumSource },
|
|
93
|
+
})
|
|
94
|
+
if (result.state.approval) await venue.execute(result.state.approval)
|
|
95
|
+
```
|
|
96
|
+
|
|
97
|
+
The caller supplies the LLM, current venue/account, market and evaluation time. With `riskReview: true`, an `account` snapshot is required for stocks too: without one the gate cannot check cash or holdings, so the run ends at HOLD.
|
|
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|
+
Register each executable source so its freshness and guards can run; unregistered
|
|
99
|
+
third-party proposals fail closed. Event runs skip stock analysts. Fixture stock
|
|
100
|
+
runs select no external analysts and execute an Alpaca-shaped order against
|
|
101
|
+
`MockEquityBroker` after a cash/share preflight. Existing callers without `run`
|
|
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|
+
retain byte-identical prompts; risk review is opt-in.
|
|
103
|
+
|
|
104
|
+
Every executable result binds to one selected `proposalId`. BLOCK means HOLD;
|
|
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|
+
REDUCE supplies a whole-number cap. Final quantity is the minimum of the proposal,
|
|
106
|
+
common/source risk caps, judge cap and Fund Manager quantity. Invalid model output
|
|
107
|
+
or model errors cannot grant approval. Red flags remain advisory input. Forecast
|
|
108
|
+
guards/Kelly apply only to genuine forecasts, never a substituted market price.
|
|
109
|
+
|
|
110
|
+
Gabagool portfolio targets execute one leg per call, recomputed from actual
|
|
111
|
+
holdings and fill costs. A rejected leg does not create a holding. Strategy prices
|
|
112
|
+
retain decimal-cent precision; the paper execution bridge rejects unsupported
|
|
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|
+
sub-cent prices. Fractional weighted average costs are valid account values.
|
|
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|
+
Survival multipliers (1 / 1 / 0.75 / 0.5 / 0) are new demo policy, not upstream rules.
|
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|
+
|
|
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|
+
Verification commands are `run.sh test`, `test-root`, `tsc`, `build`, `coverage`
|
|
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|
+
and `pack`. The type gate permits only reproduced pre-existing diagnostic
|
|
118
|
+
identities/occurrences; it does not claim a clean TypeScript build. Coverage is
|
|
119
|
+
reported for the new module and changed graph/risk-judge files.
|
|
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|
+
|
|
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|
+
**Scope:** source-level fixture/paper execution only. Built exports, the web app
|
|
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|
+
and Workers runtime are not validated by this demo. Live broker/venue execution,
|
|
123
|
+
an execution ledger, portfolio versioning and concurrency control are outside
|
|
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|
+
this integration. Current snapshots must be refreshed and callers must serialize
|
|
125
|
+
execution. See the [workflow](../../devdocs/third-party-integration/skills/integrate-trading-bot/SKILL.md)
|
|
126
|
+
to add a source, mapping or posture.
|
|
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|
+
|
|
44
128
|
## Installation
|
|
45
129
|
|
|
46
130
|
```bash
|
|
@@ -113,36 +197,68 @@ const leaders = await fetchLeaderboard({
|
|
|
113
197
|
});
|
|
114
198
|
```
|
|
115
199
|
|
|
116
|
-
###
|
|
200
|
+
### Kalshi Momentum Paper Agent
|
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117
201
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118
|
-
|
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119
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-
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120
|
-
|
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121
|
-
|
|
122
|
-
|
|
123
|
-
} from "investing/predictos";
|
|
202
|
+
The prediction-markets package includes a deterministic TypeScript port of the
|
|
203
|
+
momentum rules from PyKalshi's MIT-licensed
|
|
204
|
+
`kalshi-bot-api/examples/momentum_bot.py`. It consumes recorded ticks and uses
|
|
205
|
+
an in-memory paper executor, so it never connects to Kalshi, submits orders, or
|
|
206
|
+
requires credentials.
|
|
124
207
|
|
|
125
|
-
|
|
208
|
+
Run the included replay from `packages/investing`:
|
|
126
209
|
|
|
127
|
-
|
|
128
|
-
|
|
210
|
+
```bash
|
|
211
|
+
bun run demo:kalshi-momentum
|
|
212
|
+
```
|
|
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213
|
|
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130
|
-
|
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-
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|
-
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-
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-
|
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135
|
-
|
|
136
|
-
|
|
214
|
+
```typescript
|
|
215
|
+
import { runKalshiMomentumPaperAgent } from "investing/prediction-markets";
|
|
216
|
+
|
|
217
|
+
const result = runKalshiMomentumPaperAgent({
|
|
218
|
+
initialCashCents: 10_000,
|
|
219
|
+
ticks: [50, 51, 52, 53, 58].map((yesPriceCents, index) => ({
|
|
220
|
+
ticker: "DEMO-KALSHI-MARKET",
|
|
221
|
+
timestamp: new Date(Date.UTC(2026, 0, 1, 0, index)).toISOString(),
|
|
222
|
+
yesPriceCents,
|
|
223
|
+
})),
|
|
137
224
|
});
|
|
138
225
|
|
|
139
|
-
|
|
140
|
-
const arb = await findArbitrage({ url, model: "grok-4-fast" });
|
|
226
|
+
console.log(result.report);
|
|
141
227
|
```
|
|
142
228
|
|
|
143
|
-
|
|
144
|
-
`
|
|
145
|
-
|
|
229
|
+
Prices are integer cents per contract. A YES tick of `53` implies a NO price
|
|
230
|
+
of `47`. Trade `action` (`BUY`, `SELL`, `HOLD`) is separate from the binary
|
|
231
|
+
`outcome` (`YES`, `NO`): selling YES closes YES contracts and does not mean
|
|
232
|
+
buying NO.
|
|
233
|
+
|
|
234
|
+
Configuration controls `lookback`, `momentumThreshold`, `positionSize`,
|
|
235
|
+
`profitTargetCents`, `stopLossCents`, and `maxPosition`. The defaults preserve
|
|
236
|
+
the upstream example: three consecutive moves, 10 contracts, a 5-cent target,
|
|
237
|
+
a 3-cent stop, and a 50-contract limit. The paper executor fills immediately at
|
|
238
|
+
the recorded outcome price with no fees or slippage and reports cash, open
|
|
239
|
+
positions, and realized/unrealized P&L.
|
|
240
|
+
|
|
241
|
+
This replay is a strategy demonstration, not a backtest or live execution
|
|
242
|
+
system. It assumes complementary YES/NO prices, does not model an order book,
|
|
243
|
+
partial fills, fees, latency, settlement, or market resolution, and does not
|
|
244
|
+
enable the existing unimplemented Kalshi live mapper.
|
|
245
|
+
|
|
246
|
+
The recorded demo also runs actionable intents through the existing
|
|
247
|
+
strategy-signal graph, research judge, Trader, risk review and proposal-bound
|
|
248
|
+
FundManager before this same paper executor. It requires no keys or services.
|
|
249
|
+
The original synchronous API remains direct strategy/paper replay.
|
|
250
|
+
|
|
251
|
+
For graph review, use `runKalshiMomentumPaperAgentWithResearch` and
|
|
252
|
+
`reviewPredictionMarketIntent`. Configure the existing graph with
|
|
253
|
+
`riskReview: true`, and pass `{ fundManagerReview: true }` to the review
|
|
254
|
+
adapter to require unchanged explicit approval. MODIFY, missing approval or
|
|
255
|
+
a changed quantity becomes HOLD for this replay; the executor retains its
|
|
256
|
+
own cash, inventory and combined market-position checks.
|
|
257
|
+
|
|
258
|
+
After building, run `node scripts/verify-prediction-market-build.mjs` to check
|
|
259
|
+
actual ESM/CommonJS subpaths and the packaged MIT notice. See the
|
|
260
|
+
[walkthrough](../../devdocs/prediction-markets-agent-system-walkthrough.md) for
|
|
261
|
+
the full flow and the recorded result of $100.50 cash and $0.50 realized P&L.
|
|
146
262
|
|
|
147
263
|
### Trading Agents Framework
|
|
148
264
|
|
|
@@ -248,7 +364,7 @@ Get Polymarket leaderboard of top traders.
|
|
|
248
364
|
- `limit` - Number of results (default: 20)
|
|
249
365
|
- `category` - Market category (default: 'overall')
|
|
250
366
|
|
|
251
|
-
###
|
|
367
|
+
### Prediction-Market Agents & Arbitrage
|
|
252
368
|
|
|
253
369
|
```typescript
|
|
254
370
|
import {
|
|
@@ -257,80 +373,26 @@ import {
|
|
|
257
373
|
runMapperAgent,
|
|
258
374
|
findArbitrage,
|
|
259
375
|
getEvents,
|
|
260
|
-
} from "investing/
|
|
376
|
+
} from "investing/prediction-markets";
|
|
261
377
|
```
|
|
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378
|
|
|
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|
-
|
|
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|
-
|
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-
|
|
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-
|
|
279
|
-
|
|
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|
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(`investing/predictos/data/polymarket`).
|
|
281
|
-
- **Multi-agent pipeline** (`investing/predictos/agents`):
|
|
282
|
-
- `runEventAnalysisAgent` — analyzes an event's markets for alpha and a
|
|
283
|
-
predicted winner.
|
|
284
|
-
- `runBookmakerAgent` — aggregates multiple agent analyses (and optional
|
|
285
|
-
external data sources) into a single consolidated assessment.
|
|
286
|
-
- `runMapperAgent` — turns an analysis into Polymarket order parameters
|
|
287
|
-
(pure logic; Kalshi mapping not yet implemented).
|
|
288
|
-
- **Cross-platform arbitrage** (`investing/predictos/arbitrage`) —
|
|
289
|
-
`findArbitrage` parses a Polymarket/Kalshi URL, generates a search query with
|
|
290
|
-
AI, searches the other platform, and evaluates whether the same event is
|
|
291
|
-
mispriced across venues.
|
|
292
|
-
- **Event fetching** (`getEvents`) — resolves a Polymarket/Kalshi/Jupiter URL
|
|
293
|
-
into its raw markets (Kalshi via DFlow, Polymarket via the Gamma API).
|
|
294
|
-
|
|
295
|
-
#### Subpath exports
|
|
296
|
-
|
|
297
|
-
| Import | Contents |
|
|
298
|
-
| --- | --- |
|
|
299
|
-
| `investing/predictos` | Everything (barrel) |
|
|
300
|
-
| `investing/predictos/ai` | AI clients + prompt builders |
|
|
301
|
-
| `investing/predictos/data/kalshi` | Kalshi (DFlow) data client |
|
|
302
|
-
| `investing/predictos/data/polymarket` | Polymarket (Dome) data client |
|
|
303
|
-
| `investing/predictos/agents` | `runEventAnalysisAgent`, `runBookmakerAgent`, `runMapperAgent` |
|
|
304
|
-
| `investing/predictos/arbitrage` | `findArbitrage` |
|
|
305
|
-
|
|
306
|
-
The barrel re-exports the Kalshi (DFlow) client at the top level. The Polymarket
|
|
307
|
-
(Dome) client exposes Kalshi helpers under the same names, so the barrel renames
|
|
308
|
-
those two to `getDomeKalshiMarketsByEvent` / `buildDomeKalshiMarketUrl` — import
|
|
309
|
-
from `investing/predictos/data/polymarket` for their original names. The
|
|
310
|
-
Gamma/CLOB trading client, Polyfactual and x402 are namespaced on the barrel as
|
|
311
|
-
`polymarketClob`, `polyfactual` and `x402` for the same reason.
|
|
312
|
-
|
|
313
|
-
#### Refactor notes (Deno → Node)
|
|
314
|
-
|
|
315
|
-
- Deno HTTP handlers (`Deno.serve`, `new Response(...)`, CORS headers) were
|
|
316
|
-
removed. Each endpoint is now a plain exported async function taking typed
|
|
317
|
-
parameters and returning a typed result; validation failures `throw`.
|
|
318
|
-
- `Deno.env.get("X")` was replaced with config/options objects
|
|
319
|
-
(`AIConfig`, `DataConfig`, per-call `apiKey`/`walletKey`) that fall back to
|
|
320
|
-
`process.env` (`OPENAI_API_KEY`, `XAI_API_KEY`, `BLOCKRUN_WALLET_KEY`,
|
|
321
|
-
`DOME_API_KEY`, `DFLOW_API_KEY`). No secrets are hardcoded.
|
|
322
|
-
- Remote (`https://...`) and `npm:` import specifiers were replaced with normal
|
|
323
|
-
package imports (`ethers`). The global `fetch` (Node 18+) is used throughout.
|
|
324
|
-
- Prompt text and analysis logic are preserved verbatim.
|
|
325
|
-
|
|
326
|
-
#### Not ported (yet)
|
|
327
|
-
|
|
328
|
-
Intentionally left out of the core port — noted for future work: the Next.js
|
|
329
|
-
`terminal/` frontend, the Python alpha-hunter examples, the **pay.sh** payment
|
|
330
|
-
serving flows, **Irys** verifiable-agent storage, wallet-tracking websockets, and
|
|
331
|
-
on-chain order execution (the mapper produces order parameters, but placing
|
|
332
|
-
orders is out of scope). The BlockRun client *is* ported (it only needs `ethers`
|
|
333
|
-
+ `fetch`), but its on-chain micropayment flow is untested in this environment.
|
|
379
|
+
Multi-agent analysis over Polymarket and Kalshi, refactored from Deno/Supabase
|
|
380
|
+
edge functions into plain typed async functions (MIT, see
|
|
381
|
+
`src/prediction-markets/LICENSE`):
|
|
382
|
+
|
|
383
|
+
- **AI clients** — OpenAI, Grok/xAI and BlockRun (x402 micropayments), plus the
|
|
384
|
+
analysis prompt builders.
|
|
385
|
+
- **Market data** — Kalshi via DFlow and Polymarket via Dome/Gamma.
|
|
386
|
+
- `runEventAnalysisAgent` — analyzes an event's markets for alpha and a
|
|
387
|
+
predicted winner.
|
|
388
|
+
- `runBookmakerAgent` — aggregates several agent analyses into one assessment.
|
|
389
|
+
- `runMapperAgent` — turns an analysis into Polymarket order parameters.
|
|
390
|
+
- `findArbitrage` — finds the same event on the other venue and checks whether
|
|
391
|
+
it is mispriced across venues.
|
|
392
|
+
- `getEvents` — resolves a Polymarket/Kalshi URL into its raw markets.
|
|
393
|
+
|
|
394
|
+
Keys are read from options, falling back to `OPENAI_API_KEY`, `XAI_API_KEY`,
|
|
395
|
+
`BLOCKRUN_WALLET_KEY`, `DOME_API_KEY` and `DFLOW_API_KEY`.
|
|
334
396
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### Trading Agents
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# OpenAI for AI-powered analysis
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OPENAI_API_KEY=your_openai_key
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# PredictOS: prediction-market analysis and data
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XAI_API_KEY=your_xai_key # Grok/xAI
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BLOCKRUN_WALLET_KEY=your_wallet_key # BlockRun x402 micropayments
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DOME_API_KEY=your_dome_key # Polymarket market data
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DFLOW_API_KEY=your_dflow_key # Kalshi market data
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# Optional: Alternative LLM providers
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GOOGLE_API_KEY=your_google_key
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- [GitHub Repository](https://github.com/vtempest/ai-broker-investment-agent)
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## Credits
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The `predictos` module is a derivative work of
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[PredictOS](https://github.com/PredictionXBT/PredictOS) — all original design and
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logic © 2025 PredictionXBT, MIT licensed. See [`NOTICE`](./NOTICE) and
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[`LICENSE-PredictOS-MIT`](./LICENSE-PredictOS-MIT).
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- [GitHub Issues](https://github.com/vtempest/ai-broker-investment-agent/issues)
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- [Documentation](https://invest.vtempest.com/docs)
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# Third-party notices
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Vendored reference commit: `b877b41`. Paths below are relative to `third-party-trading-bots/`. Runtime code does not import those projects. These notices are included in the published package through its `files` list.
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## PyKalshi momentum and market mapping
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Existing momentum core and strategy-signals momentum/market adapters.
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- `kalshi-bot-api/examples/momentum_bot.py` — git blob `1cb14aa8719543a2a6b6bdb75f8e694125353191`.
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- `kalshi-bot-api/pykalshi/models.py` — git blob `67db90124f6dde4e08f0194a10811a3f3562fb99`.
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- `kalshi-bot-api/LICENSE` — git blob `c13f99117e366fd54b4c097b67ca34dfb1fb8ba1`.
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```text
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MIT License
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Copyright (c) 2024
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of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
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to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
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copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
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furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:
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The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
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copies or substantial portions of the Software.
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THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
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IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
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FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
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LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
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SOFTWARE.
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```
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## Kalshi Vibe forecast math and guards
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Translated Kelly/sizing and entry-gate math in strategy-signals/sources/kalshi-vibe*.ts.
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```text
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MIT License
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Copyright (c) 2026 K-Jeez
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of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
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to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
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The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
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IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
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FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
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AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
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LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
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SOFTWARE.
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```
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## pmxt market model mapping
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Public market-model adapter in strategy-signals/venues/pmxt-venue-mapping.ts; no SDK runtime imported.
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```text
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MIT License
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Copyright (c) 2026 pmxt.dev
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of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
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to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
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copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
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The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
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FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
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```
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## Prediction Markets Trading Bot Toolkits sizing
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```text
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MIT License
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Copyright (c) 2025 HarrierOnChain
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of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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```
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## Independently implemented contributions
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The following implementations use observed behavior or public input/output contracts as references. No vendored source code was translated into them because the vendored notice evidence was incomplete. Reference hashes identify the behavior reviewed; they do not establish a license grant.
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| Contribution | Reference at b877b41 | Reference blob | Notice evidence / approach |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Gabagool sequential portfolio targets | `poly-bot-gabagool/src/order-builder/copytrade.ts` | `012cc0183270f8887c94842e436aa002c76da43f` | ISC metadata, no complete notice; independent strategy and adapter |
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| BTC fusion | `Polymarket-BTC-15-Minute-Trading-Bot/core/strategy_brain/fusion_engine/signal_fusion.py` | `a0ea422f6a3c900f014551e9af45d4d46658b899` | MIT badge without holder/notice; independent fusion and guards |
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| Hedge-fund technicals | `ai-hedge-fund/src/agents/technicals.py` | `8bcdbd9edd042bc4902ef973cc67c334e0842720` | No matching backend notice; independent mathematical implementation, pinned against original Python reference outputs |
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| Red flags | `debate-agents/red_flag_detector.py` | `b4d95312305ceffe1802a7f41a9ed7600f291df6` | No license evidence; independent typed advisory rules |
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| Survival posture | `poly-bot-openclaw/core/survival/SurvivalManager.js` | `16ecbf7a2d87c67e2d12313b9413eb1dd166e746` | ISC metadata without complete notice; independent state transitions; numeric size multipliers are new demo policy |
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| OpenBB historical bars | `fin-data-api-python/app/provider/standard_models/equity_historical.py` | `c7f6d433559711365a555a71e33ff00991cb0fa4` | No matching complete notice; independent public data-contract mapping |
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Upstream full applications, providers, schedulers, wallets and services are not bundled through these integrations. The package's own license declaration remains as defined in package.json.
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