instar 1.3.899 → 1.3.901

package/dist/core/featureRolloutScan.d.ts

@@ -11,9 +11,19 @@
  */
 import type { SpecArtifact } from './FeatureRolloutReconciler.js';
 import type { RolloutFlagObservation } from './featureRollout.js';
+import type { MaturationEvaluationContract } from './InitiativeTracker.js';
 export declare function normalizeSpecId(specFileName: string): string;
 /** Minimal frontmatter reader (the specs use simple `key: value` lines). */
 export declare function parseSpecFrontmatter(content: string): Record<string, string>;
+export type MaturationContractError = 'invalid-json' | 'oversized' | 'invalid-shape' | 'unknown-source-ref';
+export type MaturationContractParseResult = {
+    ok: true;
+    contract: MaturationEvaluationContract;
+} | {
+    ok: false;
+    error: MaturationContractError;
+};
+export declare function parseMaturationContract(raw: string | undefined): MaturationContractParseResult | undefined;
 /** Scan docs/specs + traces into SpecArtifact[]. */
 export declare function scanSpecArtifacts(repoRoot: string, now?: () => number): SpecArtifact[];
 export interface CanonicalScanOpts {

package/dist/core/featureRolloutScan.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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+{"version":3,"file":"featureRolloutScan.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/core/featureRolloutScan.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;;;;;;;;GAUG;AAKH,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,YAAY,EAAE,MAAM,+BAA+B,CAAC;AAClE,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,sBAAsB,EAAE,MAAM,qBAAqB,CAAC;AAClE,OAAO,KAAK,EAAE,4BAA4B,EAA0B,MAAM,wBAAwB,CAAC;AAInG,wBAAgB,eAAe,CAAC,YAAY,EAAE,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,CAU5D;AAED,4EAA4E;AAC5E,wBAAgB,oBAAoB,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC,CAS5E;AAED,MAAM,MAAM,uBAAuB,GAAG,cAAc,GAAG,WAAW,GAAG,eAAe,GAAG,oBAAoB,CAAC;AAC5G,MAAM,MAAM,6BAA6B,GACrC;IAAE,EAAE,EAAE,IAAI,CAAC;IAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,4BAA4B,CAAA;CAAE,GACpD;IAAE,EAAE,EAAE,KAAK,CAAC;IAAC,KAAK,EAAE,uBAAuB,CAAA;CAAE,CAAC;AAUlD,wBAAgB,uBAAuB,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,MAAM,GAAG,SAAS,GAAG,6BAA6B,GAAG,SAAS,CA8B1G;AA0BD,oDAAoD;AACpD,wBAAgB,iBAAiB,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,GAAG,GAAE,MAAM,MAAyB,GAAG,YAAY,EAAE,CAsCxG;AAkBD,MAAM,WAAW,iBAAiB;IAChC,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACjB;uDACmD;IACnD,eAAe,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACxB,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACxB,GAAG,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,MAAM,CAAC;CACpB;AAED,MAAM,WAAW,mBAAmB;IAClC,SAAS,EAAE,YAAY,EAAE,CAAC;IAC1B,gBAAgB,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;CAC1B;AAED,wBAAgB,0BAA0B,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,iBAAiB,GAAG,mBAAmB,CAgGvF;AAED;;;GAGG;AACH,wBAAgB,8BAA8B,CAC5C,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,EAChB,IAAI,EAAE;IACJ,uBAAuB,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC;IACjC,eAAe,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACzB,cAAc,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC;IACxB,aAAa,CAAC,EAAE,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,KAAK,IAAI,CAAC;CAC1C,EACD,GAAG,GAAE,MAAM,MAAyB,GACnC,YAAY,EAAE,CAgBhB;AAED;;;GAGG;AACH,wBAAgB,gBAAgB,CAAC,UAAU,EAAE,OAAO,EAAE,eAAe,EAAE,OAAO,GAAG,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,KAAK,sBAAsB,CAa5H"}

package/dist/core/featureRolloutScan.js

@@ -38,6 +38,58 @@ export function parseSpecFrontmatter(content) {
     }
     return out;
 }
+const MATURATION_SOURCE_REFS = {
+    'blocker-summary': new Set([
+        'request-to-persist.coverage', 'request-to-persist.p95Ms',
+        'clear-latency.coverage', 'clear-latency.p95Ms',
+    ]),
+    'blocker-trend': new Set(['request-to-persist.ratio', 'clear-latency.ratio']),
+};
+export function parseMaturationContract(raw) {
+    if (!raw)
+        return undefined;
+    if (Buffer.byteLength(raw) > 16_384)
+        return { ok: false, error: 'oversized' };
+    let value;
+    try {
+        value = JSON.parse(raw);
+    }
+    catch {
+        return { ok: false, error: 'invalid-json' };
+    }
+    if (!value || typeof value !== 'object' || Array.isArray(value))
+        return { ok: false, error: 'invalid-shape' };
+    const v = value;
+    if (!Number.isInteger(v.cadenceHours) || v.cadenceHours < 6 || v.cadenceHours > 168 || v.cadenceHours % 6 !== 0 ||
+        !Number.isInteger(v.evidenceMaxAgeHours) || v.evidenceMaxAgeHours < v.cadenceHours ||
+        v.evidenceMaxAgeHours > Math.min(168, v.cadenceHours * 2) ||
+        !Array.isArray(v.metrics) || v.metrics.length < 1 || v.metrics.length > 16) {
+        return { ok: false, error: 'invalid-shape' };
+    }
+    const ids = new Set();
+    const metrics = [];
+    for (const rawMetric of v.metrics) {
+        if (!rawMetric || typeof rawMetric !== 'object' || Array.isArray(rawMetric))
+            return { ok: false, error: 'invalid-shape' };
+        const m = rawMetric;
+        if (typeof m.id !== 'string' || !/^[a-z0-9][a-z0-9-]{0,62}$/.test(m.id) || ids.has(m.id) ||
+            !['blocker-summary', 'blocker-trend'].includes(String(m.source)) || typeof m.sourceRef !== 'string' ||
+            !['at-least', 'at-most'].includes(String(m.direction)) || typeof m.threshold !== 'number' || !Number.isFinite(m.threshold) ||
+            !Number.isInteger(m.minSamples) || m.minSamples < 1 || m.minSamples > 100_000) {
+            return { ok: false, error: 'invalid-shape' };
+        }
+        const source = m.source;
+        if (!MATURATION_SOURCE_REFS[source].has(m.sourceRef))
+            return { ok: false, error: 'unknown-source-ref' };
+        ids.add(m.id);
+        metrics.push({ id: m.id, source, sourceRef: m.sourceRef, direction: m.direction, threshold: m.threshold, minSamples: m.minSamples });
+    }
+    return { ok: true, contract: { cadenceHours: v.cadenceHours, evidenceMaxAgeHours: v.evidenceMaxAgeHours, metrics } };
+}
+function maturationContractFrom(fm) {
+    const parsed = parseMaturationContract(fm['rollout-metrics-json']);
+    return parsed?.ok ? parsed.contract : undefined;
+}
 function indexTraces(tracesDir) {
     const byPath = new Map();
     let files = [];
@@ -102,6 +154,7 @@ export function scanSpecArtifacts(repoRoot, now = () => Date.now()) {
             evidenceSource: fm['rollout-evidence-ref']
                 ? { type: fm['rollout-evidence-type'] || 'log-filter', ref: fm['rollout-evidence-ref'], filter: fm['rollout-evidence-filter'] || undefined }
                 : undefined,
+            maturationEvaluation: maturationContractFrom(fm),
             traceExists,
             prNumber: trace?.prNumber,
             merged,
@@ -193,6 +246,7 @@ export function scanSpecArtifactsCanonical(opts) {
             evidenceSource: fm['rollout-evidence-ref']
                 ? { type: fm['rollout-evidence-type'] || 'log-filter', ref: fm['rollout-evidence-ref'], filter: fm['rollout-evidence-filter'] || undefined }
                 : undefined,
+            maturationEvaluation: maturationContractFrom(fm),
             traceExists,
             prNumber: trace?.prNumber,
             merged,

package/dist/core/featureRolloutScan.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleLedger.d.ts

@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
-export type BlockerFactor = 'request-to-persist' | 'clear-latency';
+export type BlockerFactor = 'request-to-persist' | 'clear-latency' | 'deliverable-completion';
 export type BlockerOutcome = 'observed' | 'legacy-missing-start' | 'clock-regression-or-implausible';
 export interface BlockerMetricRecord {
     origin: string;
@@ -16,6 +16,34 @@ export interface BlockerLedgerCounters {
     queueOverflow: number;
     reconciled: number;
 }
+export type MaturationMetricSource = 'blocker-summary' | 'blocker-trend';
+export type MaturationEvaluationStatus = 'ready' | 'hold' | 'stale-evidence' | 'insufficient-evidence' | 'missing-contract' | 'missed-cadence';
+export interface MaturationMetricObservation {
+    origin: string;
+    featureId: string;
+    metricId: string;
+    source: MaturationMetricSource;
+    sourceRef: string;
+    observedAtMs: number;
+    value: number;
+    samples: number;
+    descriptorVersion?: number;
+    benchmarkRef?: string;
+}
+export interface MaturationEvaluationRecord {
+    origin: string;
+    featureId: string;
+    rung: string;
+    dueSlotMs: number;
+    evaluatedAtMs: number;
+    status: MaturationEvaluationStatus;
+    passingMetrics: number;
+    totalMetrics: number;
+    minNormalizedMargin: number | null;
+    contractHash: string;
+    newestEvidenceAtMs: number | null;
+    additionalMissedSlots?: number;
+}
 export declare class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
     private readonly opts;
     private db;
@@ -27,6 +55,7 @@ export declare class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
         dbPath: string;
         now?: () => number;
     });
+    private ensureSchema;
     available(): boolean;
     counters(): BlockerLedgerCounters;
     enqueue(record: BlockerMetricRecord): void;
@@ -38,6 +67,10 @@ export declare class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
         latencyMs: number | null;
         outcome: string;
     }>;
+    recordMaturationObservation(record: MaturationMetricObservation): boolean;
+    maturationObservations(origin: string, sinceMs: number): MaturationMetricObservation[];
+    recordMaturationEvaluation(record: MaturationEvaluationRecord): boolean;
+    maturationEvaluations(origin: string, sinceMs: number): MaturationEvaluationRecord[];
     prune(): number;
     close(): void;
     private drain;

package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleLedger.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleLedger.js

@@ -18,17 +18,59 @@ export class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
     };
     constructor(opts) {
         this.opts = opts;
+        let opened = null;
         try {
             fs.mkdirSync(path.dirname(opts.dbPath), { recursive: true });
-            this.db = new Database(opts.dbPath);
-            this.unregisterSqlite = registerSqliteHandle(() => this.db?.close());
+            opened = new Database(opts.dbPath);
+            this.db = opened;
+            this.unregisterSqlite = registerSqliteHandle(() => opened?.close());
             this.db.pragma('journal_mode = WAL');
             this.db.pragma('synchronous = NORMAL');
             this.db.pragma('busy_timeout = 25');
-            this.db.exec(`
+            this.ensureSchema();
+        }
+        catch { // @silent-fallback-ok — availability is exposed as 503/guard degradation
+            this.unregisterSqlite?.();
+            this.unregisterSqlite = null;
+            try {
+                opened?.close();
+            }
+            catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — constructor already degrades unavailable */ }
+            this.db = null;
+        }
+    }
+    ensureSchema() {
+        if (!this.db)
+            return;
+        const existing = this.db.prepare("SELECT sql FROM sqlite_master WHERE type='table' AND name='blocker_lifecycle_metrics'")
+            .get();
+        if (existing?.sql && !existing.sql.includes('deliverable-completion')) {
+            this.db.transaction(() => {
+                this.db.exec(`
+          DROP INDEX IF EXISTS idx_blocker_lifecycle_window;
+          ALTER TABLE blocker_lifecycle_metrics RENAME TO blocker_lifecycle_metrics_v1;
+          CREATE TABLE blocker_lifecycle_metrics (
+            origin TEXT NOT NULL,
+            factor TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (factor IN ('request-to-persist','clear-latency','deliverable-completion')),
+            source_event_id TEXT NOT NULL,
+            observed_at_ms INTEGER NOT NULL,
+            latency_ms REAL,
+            outcome TEXT NOT NULL,
+            schema_version INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 1,
+            UNIQUE(origin, factor, source_event_id)
+          );
+          INSERT INTO blocker_lifecycle_metrics
+            (origin,factor,source_event_id,observed_at_ms,latency_ms,outcome,schema_version)
+            SELECT origin,factor,source_event_id,observed_at_ms,latency_ms,outcome,schema_version
+            FROM blocker_lifecycle_metrics_v1;
+          DROP TABLE blocker_lifecycle_metrics_v1;
+        `);
+            })();
+        }
+        this.db.exec(`
         CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS blocker_lifecycle_metrics (
           origin TEXT NOT NULL,
-          factor TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (factor IN ('request-to-persist','clear-latency')),
+          factor TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (factor IN ('request-to-persist','clear-latency','deliverable-completion')),
           source_event_id TEXT NOT NULL,
           observed_at_ms INTEGER NOT NULL,
           latency_ms REAL,
@@ -38,11 +80,27 @@ export class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
         );
         CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_blocker_lifecycle_window
           ON blocker_lifecycle_metrics(factor, observed_at_ms);
+        CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS maturation_metric_observations (
+          origin TEXT NOT NULL, feature_id TEXT NOT NULL, metric_id TEXT NOT NULL,
+          source TEXT NOT NULL CHECK (source IN ('blocker-summary','blocker-trend')),
+          source_ref TEXT NOT NULL, observed_at_ms INTEGER NOT NULL, value REAL NOT NULL,
+          samples INTEGER NOT NULL, descriptor_version INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 1,
+          benchmark_ref TEXT, schema_version INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 1,
+          UNIQUE(origin,feature_id,metric_id,source,source_ref,observed_at_ms)
+        );
+        CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_maturation_observation_latest ON maturation_metric_observations
+          (origin,feature_id,metric_id,source,source_ref,observed_at_ms DESC);
+        CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS maturation_evaluations (
+          origin TEXT NOT NULL, feature_id TEXT NOT NULL, rung TEXT NOT NULL,
+          due_slot_ms INTEGER NOT NULL, evaluated_at_ms INTEGER NOT NULL, status TEXT NOT NULL,
+          passing_metrics INTEGER NOT NULL, total_metrics INTEGER NOT NULL,
+          min_normalized_margin REAL, contract_hash TEXT NOT NULL, newest_evidence_at_ms INTEGER,
+          additional_missed_slots INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0, schema_version INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 1,
+          UNIQUE(origin,feature_id,due_slot_ms)
+        );
+        CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_maturation_evaluation_trend ON maturation_evaluations
+          (origin,feature_id,due_slot_ms DESC);
       `);
-        }
-        catch { // @silent-fallback-ok — availability is exposed as 503/guard degradation
-            this.db = null;
-        }
     }
     available() { return this.db !== null; }
     counters() { return { ...this.countersState }; }
@@ -88,6 +146,68 @@ export class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
             return [];
         }
     }
+    recordMaturationObservation(record) {
+        if (!this.db || !Number.isFinite(record.value) || !Number.isFinite(record.observedAtMs) ||
+            !Number.isInteger(record.samples) || record.samples < 0 || record.samples > 100_000 ||
+            !/^[a-z0-9][a-z0-9-]{0,62}$/.test(record.featureId) || !/^[a-z0-9][a-z0-9-]{0,62}$/.test(record.metricId) ||
+            record.sourceRef.length > 128 || (record.benchmarkRef?.length ?? 0) > 128)
+            return false;
+        const now = this.opts.now?.() ?? Date.now();
+        if (record.observedAtMs < now - 90 * 86_400_000 || record.observedAtMs > now + 300_000)
+            return false;
+        try {
+            this.db.prepare(`INSERT OR IGNORE INTO maturation_metric_observations
+        (origin,feature_id,metric_id,source,source_ref,observed_at_ms,value,samples,descriptor_version,benchmark_ref)
+        VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)`).run(record.origin, record.featureId, record.metricId, record.source, record.sourceRef, Math.round(record.observedAtMs), record.value, record.samples, record.descriptorVersion ?? 1, record.benchmarkRef ?? null);
+            return true;
+        }
+        catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — false makes the failed observation write explicit to the caller */
+            return false;
+        }
+    }
+    maturationObservations(origin, sinceMs) {
+        if (!this.db)
+            return [];
+        try {
+            return this.db.prepare(`SELECT origin,feature_id AS featureId,metric_id AS metricId,source,
+        source_ref AS sourceRef,observed_at_ms AS observedAtMs,value,samples,
+        descriptor_version AS descriptorVersion,benchmark_ref AS benchmarkRef
+        FROM maturation_metric_observations WHERE origin=? AND observed_at_ms>=?
+        ORDER BY observed_at_ms DESC LIMIT 8192`).all(origin, Math.round(sinceMs));
+        }
+        catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — empty evidence fails maturation closed as insufficient evidence */
+            return [];
+        }
+    }
+    recordMaturationEvaluation(record) {
+        if (!this.db)
+            return false;
+        try {
+            this.db.prepare(`INSERT OR IGNORE INTO maturation_evaluations
+        (origin,feature_id,rung,due_slot_ms,evaluated_at_ms,status,passing_metrics,total_metrics,
+         min_normalized_margin,contract_hash,newest_evidence_at_ms,additional_missed_slots)
+        VALUES (?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?,?)`).run(record.origin, record.featureId, record.rung, Math.round(record.dueSlotMs), Math.round(record.evaluatedAtMs), record.status, record.passingMetrics, record.totalMetrics, record.minNormalizedMargin, record.contractHash, record.newestEvidenceAtMs, record.additionalMissedSlots ?? 0);
+            return true;
+        }
+        catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — false makes the failed evaluation write explicit to the caller */
+            return false;
+        }
+    }
+    maturationEvaluations(origin, sinceMs) {
+        if (!this.db)
+            return [];
+        try {
+            return this.db.prepare(`SELECT origin,feature_id AS featureId,rung,due_slot_ms AS dueSlotMs,
+        evaluated_at_ms AS evaluatedAtMs,status,passing_metrics AS passingMetrics,total_metrics AS totalMetrics,
+        min_normalized_margin AS minNormalizedMargin,contract_hash AS contractHash,
+        newest_evidence_at_ms AS newestEvidenceAtMs,additional_missed_slots AS additionalMissedSlots
+        FROM maturation_evaluations WHERE origin=? AND due_slot_ms>=?
+        ORDER BY feature_id,due_slot_ms`).all(origin, Math.round(sinceMs));
+        }
+        catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — empty history is surfaced as unevaluated/missed cadence */
+            return [];
+        }
+    }
     prune() {
         if (!this.db)
             return 0;
@@ -99,7 +219,12 @@ export class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
             const excess = Math.max(0, count - 250_000);
             const cap = excess > 0 ? this.db.prepare(`DELETE FROM blocker_lifecycle_metrics WHERE rowid IN
         (SELECT rowid FROM blocker_lifecycle_metrics ORDER BY observed_at_ms LIMIT ?)`).run(Math.min(1000, excess)).changes : 0;
-            return old + cap;
+            const maturationCutoff = (this.opts.now?.() ?? Date.now()) - 90 * 86_400_000;
+            const observations = this.db.prepare(`DELETE FROM maturation_metric_observations WHERE rowid IN
+        (SELECT rowid FROM maturation_metric_observations WHERE observed_at_ms<? LIMIT 1000)`).run(maturationCutoff).changes;
+            const evaluations = this.db.prepare(`DELETE FROM maturation_evaluations WHERE rowid IN
+        (SELECT rowid FROM maturation_evaluations WHERE due_slot_ms<? LIMIT 1000)`).run(maturationCutoff).changes;
+            return old + cap + observations + evaluations;
         }
         catch { /* @silent-fallback-ok — pruning retries on the next bounded pass */
             return 0;
@@ -135,6 +260,12 @@ export class BlockerLifecycleLedger {
             this.countersState.failed++;
             return false;
         }
+        if (!['request-to-persist', 'clear-latency', 'deliverable-completion'].includes(record.factor) ||
+            !['observed', 'legacy-missing-start', 'clock-regression-or-implausible'].includes(record.outcome) ||
+            (record.factor === 'deliverable-completion' && (record.outcome !== 'observed' || record.latencyMs !== null))) {
+            this.countersState.failed++;
+            return false;
+        }
         try {
             const info = this.db.prepare(`INSERT OR IGNORE INTO blocker_lifecycle_metrics
         (origin,factor,source_event_id,observed_at_ms,latency_ms,outcome,schema_version)

package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleLedger.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleService.d.ts

@@ -1,4 +1,6 @@
 import type { CommitmentTracker } from './CommitmentTracker.js';
+import type { Initiative } from '../core/InitiativeTracker.js';
+import type { InitiativeTracker } from '../core/InitiativeTracker.js';
 import { BlockerLifecycleLedger } from './BlockerLifecycleLedger.js';
 export declare class BlockerLifecycleService {
     private readonly tracker;
@@ -7,18 +9,33 @@ export declare class BlockerLifecycleService {
     private readonly now;
     private cursor;
     private timer;
+    private maturationTimer;
     private failures;
     private breakerUntil;
     private closed;
+    private maturationInitiatives;
     private readonly onRequest;
     private readonly onClose;
-    constructor(tracker: CommitmentTracker, ledger: BlockerLifecycleLedger, origin: string, now?: () => number);
+    private readonly onDelivered;
+    constructor(tracker: CommitmentTracker, ledger: BlockerLifecycleLedger, origin: string, now?: () => number, initiativeTracker?: Pick<InitiativeTracker, 'list'>);
     available(): boolean;
     localSummary(sinceHours: number): Record<string, unknown>;
     localTrend(windowDays: number): Record<string, unknown>;
+    /** D7 recurring scorer. Called only by the existing rollout reconciler cadence. */
+    evaluateMaturation(initiatives: Initiative[]): {
+        eligible: number;
+        inserted: number;
+    };
+    private contractHash;
+    private captureBlockerObservations;
+    private maturationSummary;
+    private maturationTrend;
     guardStatus(): Record<string, unknown>;
     close(): void;
     private clearRecord;
+    private completionRecord;
+    private completionSummary;
+    private completionTrend;
     private factorSummary;
     private factorTrend;
     private derivedCounters;

package/dist/monitoring/BlockerLifecycleService.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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