instar 1.3.448 → 1.3.450

package/dist/permissions/RelationshipBehaviorStore.js

@@ -34,8 +34,24 @@ function emptyProfile(slackUserId, now) {
         urgentCount: 0,
         firstSeen: now,
         lastSeen: now,
+        buckets: [],
     };
 }
+function emptyBucket(startMs) {
+    return {
+        startMs,
+        count: 0,
+        actionCounts: {},
+        tierCounts: [0, 0, 0, 0, 0],
+        hourCounts: new Array(24).fill(0),
+        lengthSum: 0,
+        lengthSqSum: 0,
+        urgentCount: 0,
+    };
+}
+export const DEFAULT_BUCKET_MS = 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000; // 1 day
+export const DEFAULT_MAX_OBSERVATIONS_PER_WINDOW = 50;
+export const DEFAULT_MAX_BUCKETS = 90;
 /** Validate a slackUserId for safe use as a filename key (prevents path traversal). */
 function isSafeKey(id) {
     return /^[A-Za-z0-9_-]{1,64}$/.test(id);
@@ -43,10 +59,24 @@ function isSafeKey(id) {
 export class RelationshipBehaviorStore {
     file;
     now;
-    constructor(stateDir, now = () => new Date().toISOString()) {
+    bucketMs;
+    maxObservationsPerWindow;
+    maxBuckets;
+    onCapDrop;
+    constructor(stateDir, now = () => new Date().toISOString(), options = {}) {
         /* state-registry: slack-relationship-baselines */
         this.file = path.join(stateDir, 'slack-relationship-baselines.json');
         this.now = now;
+        // Nullish-coalescing (not ||) so a deliberate 0 disables the cap (per Dawn key-pattern).
+        this.bucketMs = options.bucketMs && options.bucketMs > 0 ? options.bucketMs : DEFAULT_BUCKET_MS;
+        this.maxObservationsPerWindow =
+            options.maxObservationsPerWindow ?? DEFAULT_MAX_OBSERVATIONS_PER_WINDOW;
+        this.maxBuckets = options.maxBuckets && options.maxBuckets > 0 ? options.maxBuckets : DEFAULT_MAX_BUCKETS;
+        this.onCapDrop = options.onCapDrop;
+    }
+    /** The bucket-window length (ms) this store records into — read by the scorer for decay. */
+    get bucketWindowMs() {
+        return this.bucketMs;
     }
     get path() {
         return this.file;
@@ -62,19 +92,49 @@ export class RelationshipBehaviorStore {
         try {
             const all = this.readAll();
             const now = this.now();
+            const nowMs = Date.parse(now);
             const prof = all[slackUserId] ?? emptyProfile(slackUserId, now);
+            // ── #3b: per-window observation-rate cap ──────────────────────────────────────
+            // Resolve the current bucket. If recording this observation would exceed the
+            // per-window cap, DROP it (log via onCapDrop) — the cumulative counts are NOT
+            // touched either, so the buckets-sum invariant holds and the cap actually bites.
+            const bucket = this.currentBucket(prof, nowMs);
+            if (this.maxObservationsPerWindow > 0 &&
+                bucket.count >= this.maxObservationsPerWindow) {
+                // Over the cap for this window — drop, don't record. lastSeen is intentionally
+                // NOT advanced for a dropped observation (a dropped obs is not "an interaction").
+                try {
+                    this.onCapDrop?.(slackUserId, bucket.startMs, 1);
+                }
+                catch {
+                    /* logging must never break the path */
+                }
+                all[slackUserId] = prof; // persist any bucket pruning done while resolving
+                this.writeAll(all);
+                return;
+            }
+            const tier = Math.max(0, Math.min(4, Math.floor(obs.tier)));
+            const hour = Math.max(0, Math.min(23, Math.floor(obs.hour)));
+            const len = Math.max(0, Math.floor(obs.length));
+            // Cumulative counts (backward-compat — old readers see the same numbers).
             prof.interactionCount += 1;
             prof.actionCounts[obs.action] = (prof.actionCounts[obs.action] ?? 0) + 1;
-            const tier = Math.max(0, Math.min(4, Math.floor(obs.tier)));
             prof.tierCounts[tier] = (prof.tierCounts[tier] ?? 0) + 1;
-            const hour = Math.max(0, Math.min(23, Math.floor(obs.hour)));
             prof.hourCounts[hour] = (prof.hourCounts[hour] ?? 0) + 1;
-            const len = Math.max(0, Math.floor(obs.length));
             prof.lengthSum += len;
             prof.lengthSqSum += len * len;
             if (obs.urgent)
                 prof.urgentCount += 1;
             prof.lastSeen = now;
+            // Time-bucketed counts (kept in lock-step with the cumulative totals).
+            bucket.count += 1;
+            bucket.actionCounts[obs.action] = (bucket.actionCounts[obs.action] ?? 0) + 1;
+            bucket.tierCounts[tier] = (bucket.tierCounts[tier] ?? 0) + 1;
+            bucket.hourCounts[hour] = (bucket.hourCounts[hour] ?? 0) + 1;
+            bucket.lengthSum += len;
+            bucket.lengthSqSum += len * len;
+            if (obs.urgent)
+                bucket.urgentCount += 1;
             all[slackUserId] = prof;
             this.writeAll(all);
         }
@@ -82,6 +142,30 @@ export class RelationshipBehaviorStore {
             // Observe-only baseline must NEVER break the message path.
         }
     }
+    /**
+     * Resolve (and lazily migrate) the bucket covering `nowMs`, pruning to `maxBuckets`.
+     * Backfills a missing `buckets` array on a pre-hardening profile WITHOUT moving its
+     * cumulative counts into a bucket (those counts predate bucketing and have unknown
+     * timestamps — they keep weight as the un-decayable "legacy" base; see the scorer's
+     * decay logic). New observations land in fresh, timestamped buckets.
+     */
+    currentBucket(prof, nowMs) {
+        if (!Array.isArray(prof.buckets))
+            prof.buckets = [];
+        const ms = Number.isFinite(nowMs) ? nowMs : Date.now();
+        const start = Math.floor(ms / this.bucketMs) * this.bucketMs;
+        let bucket = prof.buckets.find((b) => b.startMs === start);
+        if (!bucket) {
+            bucket = emptyBucket(start);
+            prof.buckets.push(bucket);
+            prof.buckets.sort((a, b) => a.startMs - b.startMs);
+            // Prune oldest buckets beyond the retention bound (file-growth guard).
+            if (prof.buckets.length > this.maxBuckets) {
+                prof.buckets.splice(0, prof.buckets.length - this.maxBuckets);
+            }
+        }
+        return bucket;
+    }
     /** The current baseline for a principal, or undefined if none recorded yet. */
     profileFor(slackUserId) {
         if (!slackUserId || !isSafeKey(slackUserId))
@@ -138,6 +222,111 @@ export function hourFraction(prof, hour) {
     const h = Math.max(0, Math.min(23, Math.floor(hour)));
     return (prof.hourCounts[h] ?? 0) / prof.interactionCount;
 }
+/** Baseline calendar age in milliseconds (now − firstSeen), or 0 when unknown. */
+export function baselineAgeMs(prof, nowMs) {
+    const first = Date.parse(prof.firstSeen);
+    if (!Number.isFinite(first) || !Number.isFinite(nowMs))
+        return 0;
+    return Math.max(0, nowMs - first);
+}
+/**
+ * Compute the decay-weighted effective baseline. The legacy base = cumulative totals
+ * MINUS the sum of all buckets (i.e. the part of history that predates bucketing). That
+ * base keeps full weight (weight 1.0); each bucket is weighted by 0.5^(ageWindows/halfLife).
+ *
+ * A profile with no buckets → its entire cumulative form is the legacy base at full
+ * weight → the decayed view equals the cumulative view (perfect backward-compat). A
+ * fully-bucketed profile decays purely on bucket age.
+ */
+export function decayedView(prof, opts) {
+    const halfLife = opts.halfLifeWindows && opts.halfLifeWindows > 0 ? opts.halfLifeWindows : 30;
+    const bucketMs = opts.bucketMs && opts.bucketMs > 0 ? opts.bucketMs : DEFAULT_BUCKET_MS;
+    const buckets = Array.isArray(prof.buckets) ? prof.buckets : [];
+    const view = {
+        effectiveCount: 0,
+        actionCounts: {},
+        tierCounts: [0, 0, 0, 0, 0],
+        hourCounts: new Array(24).fill(0),
+        lengthSum: 0,
+        lengthSqSum: 0,
+        urgentCount: 0,
+    };
+    // ── Legacy (pre-bucketing) base: cumulative totals minus what the buckets hold ──
+    // Kept at full weight so old established behavior is never decayed away.
+    const bucketedCount = buckets.reduce((s, b) => s + b.count, 0);
+    const legacyCount = Math.max(0, prof.interactionCount - bucketedCount);
+    if (legacyCount > 0 && prof.interactionCount > 0) {
+        // Reconstruct the legacy base by subtracting bucket sums from cumulative sums.
+        const legacyActions = { ...prof.actionCounts };
+        const legacyTiers = prof.tierCounts.slice();
+        const legacyHours = prof.hourCounts.slice();
+        let legacyLenSum = prof.lengthSum;
+        let legacyLenSq = prof.lengthSqSum;
+        let legacyUrgent = prof.urgentCount;
+        for (const b of buckets) {
+            for (const [a, c] of Object.entries(b.actionCounts)) {
+                legacyActions[a] = (legacyActions[a] ?? 0) - c;
+            }
+            for (let t = 0; t < 5; t++)
+                legacyTiers[t] = (legacyTiers[t] ?? 0) - (b.tierCounts[t] ?? 0);
+            for (let h = 0; h < 24; h++)
+                legacyHours[h] = (legacyHours[h] ?? 0) - (b.hourCounts[h] ?? 0);
+            legacyLenSum -= b.lengthSum;
+            legacyLenSq -= b.lengthSqSum;
+            legacyUrgent -= b.urgentCount;
+        }
+        accumulate(view, 1.0, {
+            count: legacyCount,
+            actionCounts: legacyActions,
+            tierCounts: legacyTiers,
+            hourCounts: legacyHours,
+            lengthSum: Math.max(0, legacyLenSum),
+            lengthSqSum: Math.max(0, legacyLenSq),
+            urgentCount: Math.max(0, legacyUrgent),
+            startMs: 0,
+        });
+    }
+    // ── Decayed buckets ──
+    for (const b of buckets) {
+        const ageWindows = Math.max(0, (opts.nowMs - b.startMs) / bucketMs);
+        const weight = Math.pow(0.5, ageWindows / halfLife);
+        accumulate(view, weight, b);
+    }
+    return view;
+}
+function accumulate(view, weight, b) {
+    view.effectiveCount += b.count * weight;
+    for (const [a, c] of Object.entries(b.actionCounts)) {
+        if (c > 0)
+            view.actionCounts[a] = (view.actionCounts[a] ?? 0) + c * weight;
+    }
+    for (let t = 0; t < 5; t++)
+        view.tierCounts[t] += (b.tierCounts[t] ?? 0) * weight;
+    for (let h = 0; h < 24; h++)
+        view.hourCounts[h] += (b.hourCounts[h] ?? 0) * weight;
+    view.lengthSum += b.lengthSum * weight;
+    view.lengthSqSum += b.lengthSqSum * weight;
+    view.urgentCount += b.urgentCount * weight;
+}
+/** Mean message length from a decayed view, or undefined when there is no weight. */
+export function decayedMeanLength(view) {
+    return view.effectiveCount > 0 ? view.lengthSum / view.effectiveCount : undefined;
+}
+/** Population std of message length from a decayed view, or undefined when <2 effective. */
+export function decayedStdLength(view) {
+    if (view.effectiveCount < 2)
+        return undefined;
+    const mean = view.lengthSum / view.effectiveCount;
+    const variance = view.lengthSqSum / view.effectiveCount - mean * mean;
+    return variance > 0 ? Math.sqrt(variance) : 0;
+}
+/** Fraction of decayed interactions in a given hour (0..1). */
+export function decayedHourFraction(view, hour) {
+    if (view.effectiveCount <= 0)
+        return 0;
+    const h = Math.max(0, Math.min(23, Math.floor(hour)));
+    return (view.hourCounts[h] ?? 0) / view.effectiveCount;
+}
 export class StoreBaselineProvider {
     store;
     constructor(store) {

package/dist/permissions/RelationshipBehaviorStore.js.map

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package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "instar",
-  "version": "1.3.448",
+  "version": "1.3.450",
   "description": "Coherence infrastructure for self-evolving AI agents — on the Claude Code or Codex subscription you already have.",
   "type": "module",
   "main": "dist/index.js",

package/src/data/builtin-manifest.json

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 {
   "$schema": "./builtin-manifest.schema.json",
   "schemaVersion": 1,
-  "generatedAt": "2026-06-09T18:24:57.311Z",
-  "instarVersion": "1.3.448",
+  "generatedAt": "2026-06-09T19:51:52.286Z",
+  "instarVersion": "1.3.450",
   "entryCount": 199,
   "entries": {
     "hook:session-start": {
@@ -11,7 +11,7 @@
       "domain": "identity",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/session-start.sh",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:dangerous-command-guard": {
@@ -20,7 +20,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/dangerous-command-guard.sh",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:grounding-before-messaging": {
@@ -29,7 +29,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/grounding-before-messaging.sh",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:compaction-recovery": {
@@ -38,7 +38,7 @@
       "domain": "identity",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/compaction-recovery.sh",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:external-operation-gate": {
@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/external-operation-gate.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:deferral-detector": {
@@ -56,7 +56,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/deferral-detector.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:self-stop-guard": {
@@ -65,7 +65,7 @@
       "domain": "coherence",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/self-stop-guard.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:post-action-reflection": {
@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@
       "domain": "evolution",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/post-action-reflection.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:external-communication-guard": {
@@ -83,7 +83,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/external-communication-guard.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:scope-coherence-collector": {
@@ -92,7 +92,7 @@
       "domain": "coherence",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/scope-coherence-collector.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:scope-coherence-checkpoint": {
@@ -101,7 +101,7 @@
       "domain": "coherence",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/scope-coherence-checkpoint.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:free-text-guard": {
@@ -110,7 +110,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/free-text-guard.sh",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:claim-intercept": {
@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@
       "domain": "coherence",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/claim-intercept.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:claim-intercept-response": {
@@ -128,7 +128,7 @@
       "domain": "coherence",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/claim-intercept-response.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:stop-gate-router": {
@@ -137,7 +137,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/stop-gate-router.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "hook:auto-approve-permissions": {
@@ -146,7 +146,7 @@
       "domain": "safety",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
       "installedPath": ".instar/hooks/instar/auto-approve-permissions.js",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "job:health-check": {
@@ -370,7 +370,7 @@
       "type": "skill",
       "domain": "skills",
       "sourcePath": ".claude/skills/autonomous/SKILL.md",
-      "contentHash": "9f257c5e5365a39e85090458381ca99430047af6cbb65178f3b9f6215c50d7e8",
+      "contentHash": "d1ba5ef088651ea37af1c50a0c9a6b4a0efe66a7dcf483daa2e963df8b6b7fea",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "skill:build": {
@@ -1538,7 +1538,7 @@
       "type": "subsystem",
       "domain": "updates",
       "sourcePath": "src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts",
-      "contentHash": "8201a824e666b27d0eda3d8f316eff4a4d362a0942c2b553b279d57d3a5aa021",
+      "contentHash": "826317d6f3c0c5bdd67b3f88dbdafa3ce7012628c1422747862e0dfe0656a879",
       "since": "2025-01-01"
     },
     "subsystem:scheduler": {

package/upgrades/1.3.449.md

@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
+# Upgrade Guide — vNEXT
+
+<!-- assembled-by: assemble-next-md -->
+<!-- bump: patch -->
+
+## What Changed
+
+feat(permissions): deeper **baseline-poisoning resistance** for the Slack relationship anomaly detector — the pre-enforce follow-ups (#2/#3) from the Phase-3 adversarial review. **Observe-only / dark, additive, backward-compatible.**
+
+- **Recency/decay (dual-view max):** the behavior store keeps optional day-bucketed counts; the scorer computes a decay-weighted view AND keeps the cumulative view, and scores each signal as the **more-suspicious of the two** (max anomaly / lower normal-ceiling / lower normal-rate). Decay can only ADD suspicion, never disarm a cumulative signal — so the never-lower invariant holds; its real job is durability (a one-time burst fades once genuine traffic resumes). Default half-life 30 day-windows.
+- **Minimum-baseline-age (#3a):** "established" now requires `firstSeen` older than `minBaselineAgeDays` (default 7) AND `interactionCount >= establishedMin` — a high-count-but-young burst stays low-confidence (action/tier/style signals suppressed). `0` restores legacy count-only behavior.
+- **Per-principal rate cap (#3b):** `maxObservationsPerWindow` (default 50/day-window); excess observations are dropped + logged (`onCapDrop`), never recorded — cumulative + bucket counts stay in lock-step. `0` disables.
+- All under `permissionGate.relationshipAnomaly.poisoningResistance`; absence preserves shipped behavior. Decay is read-time only (raw counts persist) → retune/revert needs no migration. Legacy profiles (no `buckets` field) score identically (decayed view degrades to cumulative).
+
+## What to Tell Your User
+
+Nothing changes by default. This hardens the (still-dark) relationship anomaly detector against a patient attacker who tries to "train" the baseline — by slowly feeding normal-looking activity, or a burst of it — so a later out-of-character request looks normal. Three additive defenses: recent activity can't durably overwrite long-standing behavior, a freshly-created baseline isn't trusted until it's both old enough and large enough, and no single account can flood the baseline faster than a capped rate. It can still only ever ask for *more* verification, never less. Needed before the anomaly layer is ever switched from observe-only to enforcing.
+
+## Summary of New Capabilities
+
+- **`permissionGate.relationshipAnomaly.poisoningResistance: { decayHalfLifeWindows, minBaselineAgeDays, maxObservationsPerWindow, bucketMs }`** (opt-in; the whole anomaly feature stays dark by default) — recency-decay + minimum-baseline-age + per-principal observation-rate-cap, so a poisoned baseline can't disarm the detector.
+
+## Evidence
+
+- 32 anomaly tests (12 new): rate-cap burst / per-window / opt-out; min-age young-vs-aged / opt-out; decay durability + a "without the rate cap" counter-test proving the cap is load-bearing; backward-compat (legacy-profile decay/scoring/backfill). Counterfactuals confirm each hardening is load-bearing (with it off, the poisoning attack succeeds; on, it's caught). 61/61 with the permission-gate + routes integration. `tsc --noEmit` clean; full lint chain clean (state-registry, silent-fallback ratchet, topic-creation). (Full unit suite runs in CI, sharded — local run blocked by host CPU starvation.)
+- Side-effects review (`upgrades/side-effects/slack-anomaly-poisoning-resistance.md`); deterministic (no LLM-in-gate-path) so reviewed by me + the counterfactual tests, never-lower preserved by the dual-view-max design.

package/upgrades/1.3.450.md

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+# Upgrade Guide — vNEXT
+
+<!-- assembled-by: assemble-next-md -->
+<!-- bump: patch -->
+
+## What Changed
+
+feat(autonomous): add an explicit **"Legitimate Stop Conditions" allowlist** to the autonomous skill, so an agent in a pre-approved autonomous session doesn't exit early for reversible decisions, milestones, late-hour, or "the operator might have an opinion."
+
+- New `## Legitimate Stop Conditions (the ONLY valid reasons to exit)` section in `.claude/skills/autonomous/SKILL.md`: the only valid stops are (a) a genuine HARD external blocker the agent can't resolve, (b) duration expiry, (c) the completion-condition/promise genuinely met — with a NON-stops table naming each early-exit rationalization (decisions/milestones/2 AM/"needs your steer"/quiet off-ramp) and why it's a *continue*. Quotes the operator's own framing ("decisions are not that critical … ship dark … use best judgment").
+- Two new anti-pattern entries ("This Needs Your Steer", "Quiet Off-Ramp"); cross-referenced into the existing Defer-to-Future-Self trap.
+- **Migration Parity:** reuses the existing `migrateAutonomousStopHookTopicKeyed` migration (marker bumped to `LEGITIMATE_STOP_CONDITIONS`), so existing agents receive the section on update. Content-sniffing + idempotent: deploys only when the section is absent AND the SKILL.md still matches the stock fingerprint; a customized SKILL.md is left untouched.
+
+## What to Tell Your User
+
+Autonomous sessions now run to completion more reliably. Previously an agent in a pre-approved autonomous run could talk itself into stopping early — "this is a clean milestone," "this decision needs your steer," "it's late." The autonomous skill now spells out, in the agent's own playbook, that the only valid reasons to stop are a genuine external blocker it can't resolve, the time running out, or the work actually being done — and that reversible, dark-shipped decisions are for it to make and keep moving. Nothing for you to configure; existing agents pick it up on their next update.
+
+## Summary of New Capabilities
+
+- The autonomous skill carries an explicit legitimate-stops allowlist + NON-stops table, reinforcing "make the reversible call and keep going" in a pre-approved autonomous session. Reaches existing agents via a content-sniffing `PostUpdateMigrator` migration that never clobbers a customized skill.
+
+## Evidence
+
+- `tests/unit/PostUpdateMigrator-autonomousStopHook.test.ts` — 12 pass (incl. re-deploys-to-existing-agent, idempotent-on-second-run, leaves-customized-untouched, no-op-when-absent). Related suites (autonomous-skill-deployment, migration-parity, autonomousHookPath, idle-backoff): 52 pass. `tsc --noEmit` clean; lint clean. Tier 1 (skill content + a marker bump on an existing tested migration; gate signaled Tier 2 for the migration surface → declared Tier 1, recorded `belowFloor` in the decision audit).

package/upgrades/side-effects/autonomous-legitimate-stops.md

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+# Side-Effects Review — Autonomous "Legitimate Stop Conditions" allowlist
+
+**Version / slug:** `autonomous-legitimate-stops`
+**Date:** `2026-06-09`
+**Author:** `Instar Agent (echo)`
+**Second-pass reviewer:** `not required`
+
+## Summary of the change
+
+Adds a new top-level section to the autonomous skill's instruction file — **"## Legitimate Stop Conditions (the ONLY valid reasons to exit)"** — enumerating the only three valid reasons a pre-approved autonomous session may exit: (a) a genuine hard external blocker the agent cannot resolve, (b) duration expiry, (c) the completion condition/promise genuinely met. It pairs that with an explicit NON-stops table (reversible decisions, milestones, late-hour, "needs your steer/opinion," "good stopping point," quiet off-ramp-with-no-reply) and reinforces the existing Anti-Patterns list with two new entries ("This Needs Your Steer" and "Quiet Off-Ramp"). Files touched: `.claude/skills/autonomous/SKILL.md` (the bundled shipping source — new agents get it via `init`/`installAutonomousSkill`), `src/core/PostUpdateMigrator.ts` (bumps the existing `migrateAutonomousStopHookTopicKeyed` SKILL.md marker from `PER-TOPIC (setup-race hardening)` to `LEGITIMATE_STOP_CONDITIONS` so existing agents receive the section on update), and `tests/unit/PostUpdateMigrator-autonomousStopHook.test.ts` (four new migration tests). This is prompt/skill CONTENT plus its Migration-Parity migration — NOT a change to any decision-point code logic.
+
+## Decision-point inventory
+
+The change touches **no runtime decision point.** It does NOT modify the autonomous stop hook's blocking logic (`autonomous-stop-hook.sh`), the completion-condition judge, the emergency-stop check, or any gate/sentinel/watchdog. The stop hook continues to decide exit exactly as before; this change only edits the prose the agent reads and adds a content-sniffing migration that re-deploys that prose to existing installs.
+
+- `migrateAutonomousStopHookTopicKeyed` (SKILL.md upgrade arm) — modify (marker bump only) — re-deploys the bundled SKILL.md to existing agents whose installed copy lacks the new sentinel.
+
+---
+
+## 1. Over-block
+
+**What legitimate inputs does this change reject that it shouldn't?**
+
+No block/allow surface — over-block not applicable. The migration's `upgrade()` helper writes a file only when the installed copy lacks the new marker AND matches the stock fingerprint (`ALL_TASKS_COMPLETE`); a customized SKILL.md is left untouched (reported as `skipped`), so it cannot "over-write" operator customizations.
+
+---
+
+## 2. Under-block
+
+**What failure modes does this still miss?**
+
+No block/allow surface — under-block not applicable. As prose guidance, the section is advisory: the structural stop hook is what actually enforces continuation. An agent could still rationalize an early stop despite the guidance — but that is the stop-hook's job to catch (out of scope here, tracked as the separate Tier-2 stop-hook logic change). This change strengthens the guidance the agent reads each iteration; it does not claim to be the enforcement layer.
+
+---
+
+## 3. Level-of-abstraction fit
+
+**Is this at the right layer?**
+
+Yes. This is skill CONTENT (prompt-level guidance), which is the correct layer for "here are the only valid reasons to exit." The structural enforcement (the stop hook) is a separate, lower layer that this content complements. The migration rides the EXISTING `migrateAutonomousStopHookTopicKeyed` path — the established, correct home for autonomous SKILL.md content updates — rather than introducing a parallel migration. The marker-bump mechanism is the same content-sniffing pattern already used for the prior SKILL.md fixes (per-topic write, registration-path fix), so it reuses rather than re-implements.
+
+---
+
+## 4. Signal vs authority compliance
+
+**Required reference:** [docs/signal-vs-authority.md](../../docs/signal-vs-authority.md)
+
+**Does this change hold blocking authority with brittle logic?**
+
+- [x] No — this change has no block/allow surface.
+
+This is documentation/skill-content plus an idempotent file-deployment migration. It makes no allow/block decision, holds no authority over message flow or session lifecycle, and adds no brittle detector. The migration only writes a markdown file under content-sniffing guards.
+
+---
+
+## 5. Interactions
+
+**Does this interact with existing checks, recovery paths, or infrastructure?**
+
+- **Shadowing:** None. The migration's SKILL.md arm shares the same `upgrade()` helper as the stop-hook and setup-script arms within `migrateAutonomousStopHookTopicKeyed`; each arm targets a distinct file path, so they cannot shadow each other. The marker bump on the SKILL.md arm does not affect the hook/setup arms (independent markers).
+- **Double-fire:** None. `installAutonomousSkill()` (init path) is install-if-missing and won't overwrite; the migration is the single content-update path. They do not both write the same file in the same run (init only writes when absent).
+- **Races:** None. The migration runs synchronously inside the PostUpdateMigrator sequence at update time; no shared concurrent state.
+- **Feedback loops:** None.
+
+One real interaction verified: the existing test `PostUpdateMigrator-autonomousStopHook.test.ts` already exercises this migration; the marker bump from `PER-TOPIC (setup-race hardening)` to `LEGITIMATE_STOP_CONDITIONS` required no change to the existing hook/setup test cases (those assert their own markers, not the SKILL.md marker), and the new SKILL.md tests were added alongside. Verified the bundled SKILL.md contains BOTH the new marker (so `next.includes(marker)` passes and the upgrade actually writes) AND the fingerprint.
+
+---
+
+## 6. External surfaces
+
+**Does this change anything visible outside the immediate code path?**
+
+- Other agents on the same machine: only their autonomous SKILL.md content updates on their next PostUpdateMigrator run — the intended Migration-Parity effect.
+- Other users of the install base: same — they get the new guidance on update.
+- External systems (Telegram, Slack, GitHub, Cloudflare): none.
+- Persistent state: none beyond rewriting the one markdown file the migration targets (only when stale + stock).
+- Timing/runtime conditions: none.
+
+---
+
+## 7. Rollback cost
+
+**If this turns out wrong in production, what's the back-out?**
+
+Pure content change — revert the SKILL.md edit and the marker bump, ship as the next patch. No persistent state to clean up, no data migration, no agent-state repair. Existing agents that already received the re-deployed SKILL.md would simply receive the reverted version on a subsequent marker bump (or keep the harmless prose section). No user-visible regression during the rollback window.
+
+---
+
+## Conclusion
+
+This review confirms the change is content-only with no decision-point surface. It adds the operator-requested "Legitimate Stop Conditions" allowlist + NON-stops table to the autonomous skill, ships it to new agents via the bundled source, and reaches existing agents via the established content-sniffing SKILL.md migration arm (marker bump, idempotent, customization-preserving). No design changes were required by the review. Clear to ship pending human review.
+
+---
+
+## Second-pass review (if required)
+
+**Reviewer:** not required
+
+Tier 1, content-only, no block/allow or session-lifecycle decision logic touched — the Phase 5 second-pass triggers do not apply.
+
+---
+
+## Evidence pointers
+
+- `npx tsc --noEmit` → exit 0 (clean).
+- `npx vitest run tests/unit/PostUpdateMigrator-autonomousStopHook.test.ts` → 12 passed (8 prior + 4 new SKILL.md cases).
+- `npx vitest run tests/unit/autonomous-skill-deployment.test.ts tests/unit/migration-parity.test.ts tests/unit/PostUpdateMigrator-autonomousHookPath.test.ts tests/unit/autonomous-stop-hook-idle-backoff.test.ts` → 52 passed.
+- Bundled SKILL.md verified to contain both `LEGITIMATE_STOP_CONDITIONS` (marker) and `ALL_TASKS_COMPLETE` (fingerprint).