instar 1.3.1225 → 1.3.1226

package/dist/core/ModelSwapService.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/core/ModelSwapService.js

@@ -92,7 +92,16 @@ export function paneConfirmsModel(tail, modelId) {
         const version = m[2].split('-').filter(Boolean).slice(0, 2).join('.');
         alternatives.push(escapeRe(version ? `${family} ${version}` : family));
     }
-    const ack = new RegExp(`set model to[^\\n]*\\b(?:${alternatives.join('|')})\\b`, 'i');
+    // The trailing `(?![.\-]\d)` is load-bearing: a shorter version is a literal
+    // PREFIX of a longer one, and `\b` sits between the digit and the separator, so
+    // without it "Set model to Fable 5.1" CONFIRMS a swap to `claude-fable-5` — the
+    // pane says 5.1, the ledger records 5, and the session's recorded model + cost
+    // attribution are silently wrong. Dormant until a `-N` sibling existed; live the
+    // moment `claude-fable-5-1` became pinnable (2026-09-06). It rejects only a
+    // VERSION continuation (a separator followed by a digit), so a sentence-ending
+    // "Set model to Fable 5." still confirms — the false-negative direction is the
+    // safe one for this function, but a needless one is still a bug.
+    const ack = new RegExp(`set model to[^\\n]*\\b(?:${alternatives.join('|')})\\b(?![.\\-]\\d)`, 'i');
     return tail.split('\n').some(line => {
         if (line.includes('/model'))
             return false; // echo of our injected input

package/dist/core/ModelSwapService.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/core/ModelTierEscalation.d.ts

@@ -125,7 +125,7 @@ export interface TierEscalationConfig {
 /** §9 schema defaults — exactly the converged spec's config block. */
 export declare const DEFAULT_TIER_ESCALATION_CONFIG: TierEscalationConfig;
 import type { IntelligenceFramework } from './intelligenceProviderFactory.js';
-export declare const KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS: readonly ["claude-fable-5", "claude-opus-4-8", "claude-opus-4-7", "claude-opus-4-6", "claude-sonnet-4-6", "claude-haiku-4-5", "claude-haiku-4-5-20251001", "opus", "sonnet", "haiku"];
+export declare const KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS: readonly ["claude-fable-5-1", "claude-opus-5", "claude-sonnet-5", "claude-fable-5", "claude-opus-4-8", "claude-opus-4-7", "claude-opus-4-6", "claude-sonnet-4-6", "claude-haiku-4-5", "claude-haiku-4-5-20251001", "fable", "opus", "sonnet", "haiku"];
 export declare const KNOWN_CODEX_MODEL_IDS: readonly ["gpt-5.2", "gpt-5.3-codex", "gpt-5.4", "gpt-5.4-mini", "gpt-5.5", "gpt-5.6-sol", "gpt-5.6-terra", "gpt-5.6-luna", "gpt-6-astra"];
 export declare const KNOWN_MODEL_IDS: Record<EscalationFramework, readonly string[]>;
 /**

package/dist/core/ModelTierEscalation.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/core/ModelTierEscalation.js

@@ -85,6 +85,15 @@ export const DEFAULT_TIER_ESCALATION_CONFIG = {
  */
 import { KNOWN_GEMINI_MODELS } from '../providers/adapters/gemini-cli/models.js';
 export const KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS = [
+    // Claude 5 family — live on the claude-code subscription CLI (verified
+    // against `claude --model <id> -p` on CLI 2.1.263, 2026-09-06). Their
+    // absence was not a policy choice: the enum simply lagged a generation, so
+    // `frameworkDefaultModels['claude-code'] = 'claude-opus-5'` was silently
+    // dropped at the resolution clamp and a topic pin to Fable 5.1 was refused
+    // `off-enum` — a stale allowlist reads exactly like a deliberate refusal.
+    'claude-fable-5-1',
+    'claude-opus-5',
+    'claude-sonnet-5',
     'claude-fable-5',
     'claude-opus-4-8',
     'claude-opus-4-7',
@@ -92,6 +101,9 @@ export const KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS = [
     'claude-sonnet-4-6',
     'claude-haiku-4-5',
     'claude-haiku-4-5-20251001',
+    // CLI tier aliases. 'fable' was missing while its three siblings were
+    // present — the same lag, one layer down.
+    'fable',
     'opus',
     'sonnet',
     'haiku',

package/dist/core/ModelTierEscalation.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/data/standards-guard-index.json

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
   "schemaVersion": 1,
   "generatedFrom": "source-tree",
   "registrySha256": "8e6606a6722433c5ffc15b3870402283c5406083a14cdbd0e18e735731e2aae2",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225",
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226",
   "guards": [
     {
       "ref": "docs/audits/phase-b/f10-triage.md",

package/dist/data/standards-guard-index.meta.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "sha256": "77e0517d9f71ef713a5effda1eaa9c6a958245904be46da6508f9f67d35a4e6d",
+  "sha256": "479204643e8fe4c13f4cba84bad83e001cee73e7c1942507c11a35de2ea14c0a",
   "registrySha256": "8e6606a6722433c5ffc15b3870402283c5406083a14cdbd0e18e735731e2aae2",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225"
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226"
 }

package/dist/data/standards-registry.meta.json

@@ -2,5 +2,5 @@
   "sha256": "8e6606a6722433c5ffc15b3870402283c5406083a14cdbd0e18e735731e2aae2",
   "articleCount": 90,
   "generatedFrom": "docs/STANDARDS-REGISTRY.md",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225"
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226"
 }

package/dist/server/throughputRoutes.d.ts

@@ -21,7 +21,7 @@ export declare function buildThroughputSeries(opts: {
     weights?: Weights;
 }): Promise<{
     repo: string;
-    windowDays: 7 | 14 | 30;
+    windowDays: 14 | 7 | 30;
     generatedAt: string;
     weights: Weights;
     rows: {

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "instar",
-  "version": "1.3.1225",
+  "version": "1.3.1226",
   "description": "Coherence infrastructure for self-evolving AI agents — on the Claude Code or Codex subscription you already have.",
   "type": "module",
   "main": "dist/index.js",

package/scripts/model-registry-freshness.manifest.json

@@ -47,7 +47,7 @@
           "verifiedAt": "carried-over-from-allowlist"
         }
       ],
-      "note": "Primary door. Tier aliases opus/sonnet/haiku auto-resolve to latest and do NOT rot; only concrete claude-*-N ids in topModels are pinned. topModels seeded 1:1 from the reviewed frontierAllowlist (spec D4 carry-over); the first enabled scan re-verifies."
+      "note": "Primary door. Tier aliases fable/opus/sonnet/haiku auto-resolve to latest and do NOT rot; only concrete claude-*-N ids in topModels are pinned. topModels seeded 1:1 from the reviewed frontierAllowlist (spec D4 carry-over); the first enabled scan re-verifies. UPDATE 2026-09-06: the Claude 5 family (claude-fable-5-1, claude-opus-5, claude-sonnet-5) plus the 'fable' tier alias were live-verified against claude-code CLI 2.1.263 and added to the ACCEPTANCE allowlist KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS — closing a real drift, since the 2026-08-18 review had already recorded claude-opus-5/claude-sonnet-5 as frontier here while the acceptance list still refused them off-enum (and the shipped frameworkDefaultModels['claude-code'] = 'claude-opus-5' was being dropped at the resolution clamp as a result). RECOGNIZED is not FRONTIER: claude-fable-5-1 is deliberately NOT added to topModels / promoted over claude-fable-5, and the escalated pin stays claude-fable-5 — a model earns the routing lane via benchmarks, not release date. Frontier/pin promotion of claude-fable-5-1 is a tracked follow-up (ACT-514 also tracks the missing freshness guard on the acceptance list itself, which is the layer that rotted)."
     },
     "anthropic-headless": {
       "name": "Anthropic headless (claude -p)",

package/src/data/builtin-manifest.json

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 {
   "$schema": "./builtin-manifest.schema.json",
   "schemaVersion": 1,
-  "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T05:24:18.583Z",
-  "instarVersion": "1.3.1225",
+  "generatedAt": "2026-09-06T19:59:53.191Z",
+  "instarVersion": "1.3.1226",
   "entryCount": 202,
   "entries": {
     "hook:session-start": {

package/src/data/standards-guard-index.json

@@ -2,7 +2,7 @@
   "schemaVersion": 1,
   "generatedFrom": "source-tree",
   "registrySha256": "8e6606a6722433c5ffc15b3870402283c5406083a14cdbd0e18e735731e2aae2",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225",
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226",
   "guards": [
     {
       "ref": "docs/audits/phase-b/f10-triage.md",

package/src/data/standards-guard-index.meta.json

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 {
-  "sha256": "77e0517d9f71ef713a5effda1eaa9c6a958245904be46da6508f9f67d35a4e6d",
+  "sha256": "479204643e8fe4c13f4cba84bad83e001cee73e7c1942507c11a35de2ea14c0a",
   "registrySha256": "8e6606a6722433c5ffc15b3870402283c5406083a14cdbd0e18e735731e2aae2",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225"
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226"
 }

package/src/data/standards-registry.meta.json

@@ -2,5 +2,5 @@
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   "articleCount": 90,
   "generatedFrom": "docs/STANDARDS-REGISTRY.md",
-  "packageVersion": "1.3.1225"
+  "packageVersion": "1.3.1226"
 }

package/upgrades/1.3.1226.md

@@ -0,0 +1,64 @@
+# Upgrade Guide — vNEXT
+
+<!-- assembled-by: assemble-next-md -->
+<!-- bump: patch -->
+
+## What Changed
+
+instar gates claude-code model ids against a closed list — an unknown id is refused so a
+typo can never launch a session that dies at startup. That list had aged out a generation:
+it topped out at `claude-fable-5` / `claude-opus-4-8`, so pinning a topic to Fable 5.1 was
+refused `off-enum` on a machine whose CLI runs the model on demand. A stale list and a
+deliberate policy refusal produce the same message, which is what made this read as "instar
+doesn't support that model."
+
+The same staleness had a second, quieter effect. `frameworkDefaultModels['claude-code']`
+was already set to `claude-opus-5` on installs that had moved to the Claude 5 family — and
+because that id was off the list too, it was being dropped at the resolution clamp and the
+session fell through to the CLI's own default. The configured value was being discarded with
+no operator-visible reason.
+
+`claude-fable-5-1`, `claude-opus-5`, `claude-sonnet-5` and the `fable` tier alias are added,
+each verified working first against claude-code CLI 2.1.263 — only observed-working ids are
+added, and a test now asserts that an unverified sibling (`claude-fable-6`, `claude-opus-6`)
+is still refused, so the list cannot drift from "verified" to "seemed likely." The `fable`
+alias closes a plain asymmetry: `opus`, `sonnet` and `haiku` were already accepted as
+shorthand and `fable` was not.
+
+Recognized is deliberately not promoted to preferred. The escalation policy still points at
+`claude-fable-5`, and `claude-fable-5-1` is not added to the model registry's frontier set —
+a model earns the routing lane via benchmarks, not release date. The registry's claude-code
+door note records that distinction, and records the drift this closes: the 2026-08-18 review
+had already classified `claude-opus-5` and `claude-sonnet-5` as frontier while the
+acceptance list still refused them, so the two layers had been disagreeing for three weeks.
+
+## What to Tell Your User
+
+You can now pin a conversation to Fable 5.1, Opus 5 or Sonnet 5 the way you pin any other
+model — just say so in the topic — and "fable" works as shorthand, the way "opus", "sonnet"
+and "haiku" already did. If your setup already named one of the Claude 5 models as its
+default, that setting starts being honored instead of quietly ignored. Nothing changes for
+any model that already worked, and no conversation switches model on its own because of
+this.
+
+## Summary of New Capabilities
+
+- `claude-fable-5-1`, `claude-opus-5` and `claude-sonnet-5` are valid claude-code model ids
+  for topic-profile pins and session spawns.
+- `fable` joins `opus` / `sonnet` / `haiku` as an accepted CLI tier alias.
+- A configured `frameworkDefaultModels['claude-code']` naming a Claude 5 model is now
+  honored rather than dropped at the resolution clamp.
+- Unverified sibling claude ids still fail closed, now with a test holding that.
+
+## Evidence
+
+Each of the four ids was run against the installed CLI (`claude --model <id> -p`, claude-code
+2.1.263) and observed answering before being listed. Unit tests cover the new ids against the
+pin validator and — through the existing route-parity guard — the spawn route, the fail-closed
+refusal of unverified siblings, the `fable` alias, the subscription billing-lane premise for
+each new id, and an end-to-end reproduction of the reported refusal (a Fable 5.1 pin arriving
+on a topic still resolved to codex-cli). Falsified before being trusted: with the enum change
+stashed, five of the new assertions fail for the right reason (`off-enum`); restored, 70/70
+pass. The three existing `not.toContain('claude-fable-5')` adapter assertions were checked
+against the substring hazard introduced by `claude-fable-5-1` and pass. Typecheck clean; the
+strict model-registry freshness lint passes with the updated door note.

package/upgrades/side-effects/claude-5-family-model-ids.md

@@ -0,0 +1,384 @@
+# Side-Effects Review — Claude 5 family model ids in the claude-code closed enum
+
+**Version / slug:** `claude-5-family-model-ids`
+**Date:** `2026-09-06`
+**Author:** `Echo`
+**Second-pass reviewer:** `required (touches a gate)`
+
+## Summary of the change
+
+`KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS` (`src/core/ModelTierEscalation.ts`) is the single closed
+allowlist that both the topic-profile pin validator (`validateModelId` →
+`validateProfileFields`) and the spawn route (`spawnModelAllowlist` in
+`src/server/routes.ts`) read to decide which claude-code model ids are
+acceptable. It had lagged a model generation: it topped out at `claude-fable-5`
+/ `claude-opus-4-8` and carried the `opus`/`sonnet`/`haiku` CLI aliases but not
+`fable`. This change adds `claude-fable-5-1`, `claude-opus-5`, `claude-sonnet-5`
+and the `fable` alias. All four were live-verified against the installed CLI
+(`claude --model <id> -p`, claude-code 2.1.263, 2026-09-06) before being listed.
+
+The driving defect is operator-visible: a pin of topic 36966 to Fable 5.1 was
+refused `off-enum`, and the already-shipped
+`frameworkDefaultModels['claude-code'] = 'claude-opus-5'` was being silently
+dropped at the resolution clamp — a stale allowlist is indistinguishable from a
+deliberate policy refusal.
+
+Files touched: `src/core/ModelTierEscalation.ts`, `src/core/ModelSwapService.ts`,
+`scripts/model-registry-freshness.manifest.json`,
+`tests/unit/topicProfileValidation.test.ts`,
+`tests/unit/modelTierEscalation-resolver.test.ts`,
+`tests/unit/modelSwapService.test.ts`, plus
+`docs/specs/claude-5-family-model-ids.eli16.md` and this artifact.
+
+`ModelSwapService.ts` is here because the second-pass review found the enum change
+makes a dormant runtime bug reachable — see §5 and §1 below. It was not in the
+original plan.
+
+## Decision-point inventory
+
+The enum has FOUR consumers, not two. The first draft of this review said "two
+readers, both read-only"; the second-pass review corrected it, and the correction
+is what surfaced the defect in §1.
+
+- `validateModelId` (`src/core/topicProfileValidation.ts:318`, reading
+  `KNOWN_MODEL_IDS['claude-code']`) — **pass-through** — the clamp keeps its
+  authority and its fail-closed policy unchanged; only the reference data it
+  consults is corrected.
+- `validateProfileFields` (topic-profile write clamp) — **pass-through** — same;
+  it delegates the model arm to `validateModelId`.
+- `spawnModelAllowlist` (`src/server/routes.ts:104`) — **pass-through** — derives
+  from the same enum, so it gains the same four ids with no separate edit.
+- `ModelSwapService` defence-in-depth re-check (`src/core/ModelSwapService.ts:254`)
+  — **pass-through on the read, but this reader feeds a WRITE**: the accepted
+  value becomes `targetId` and is typed into a live tmux pane at `:350`. This is
+  the consumer the first draft missed, and it is where the §1 defect lives.
+- `paneConfirmsModel` (`src/core/ModelSwapService.ts:165`) — **MODIFIED** — the
+  independent oracle that decides whether a swap actually landed. Fixed here; see
+  §1.
+- `ProfileIntentClassifier.defaultKnownModelValues()`
+  (`src/core/ProfileIntentClassifier.ts:154`) — **pass-through** — supplies the
+  conversational pre-filter vocabulary. Fail-open toward inclusion, so widening it
+  is safe directionally.
+- `resolveTierModel` / `resolveModelId` (model-tier escalation resolver) —
+  **pass-through** — the escalation *policy values* (`escalated:
+  'claude-fable-5'`) are deliberately unchanged; this widens what MAY be named,
+  not what IS named by default.
+
+---
+
+## 1. Over-block
+
+**What legitimate inputs does this change reject that it shouldn't?**
+
+None — the change is purely additive to an allowlist, so no input that was
+previously accepted is now rejected. The set of accepted ids grows by exactly
+four; every previously-valid id remains valid (asserted by the retained
+`claude-fable-5` / `claude-opus-4-8` containment test).
+
+The over-block this *removes* is the reported one: `claude-fable-5-1`,
+`claude-opus-5` and `claude-sonnet-5` are live subscription models that the pin
+validator refused, and `fable` is a CLI alias that was refused while its three
+siblings were accepted.
+
+**One over-block is INTRODUCED and it is deliberate.** The `paneConfirmsModel` fix
+in §5 adds `(?![.\-]\d)` to the swap-acknowledgment regex. A pane line reading
+"Set model to Fable 5" followed immediately by a version digit no longer confirms a
+swap to the shorter id. That is the intended narrowing — the alternative is the
+false CONFIRMATION described in §5, which is the unsafe direction for a function
+whose entire job is to be an independent oracle. The guard fires only on a
+separator followed by a digit, so a sentence-final "Set model to Fable 5." still
+confirms; a test pins that so the narrowing cannot quietly widen into a
+false-negative for ordinary punctuation.
+
+---
+
+## 2. Under-block
+
+**What failure modes does this still miss?**
+
+- **The next generation.** This is a hand-maintained mirror of a moving vendor
+  surface. It is correct as of 2026-09-06 and will go stale again the next time
+  Anthropic ships a model id; nothing in this change detects that. The class is
+  registered as an evolution action rather than left implicit
+  <!-- tracked: ACT-514 -->.
+- **Plan-gated variants.** Any id the CLI accepts syntactically but the account's
+  plan refuses at launch is still accepted here. The enum answers "is this a real
+  model id", not "can this account run it" — unchanged by this edit, and the
+  live-verification discipline (only ids observed answering) is what bounds it.
+- **Alias drift.** `fable`/`opus`/`sonnet`/`haiku` resolve CLI-side to whatever
+  the vendor currently calls latest. A pin to an alias is therefore not a pin to
+  a fixed model. That was already true of the three existing aliases; adding
+  `fable` makes the surface symmetric rather than introducing the property.
+
+---
+
+## 3. Level-of-abstraction fit
+
+Right layer, and deliberately the *only* layer. `KNOWN_CLAUDE_MODEL_IDS` is the
+single source both the pin validator and the spawn route read — the file's own
+comment records a prior incident where the route carried a hand-typed duplicate
+of the codex enum and drifted from it undetected. This change edits the one
+enum and adds nothing parallel to it, so the spawn route and the pin validator
+cannot disagree. The existing
+`the spawn ROUTE accepts every id the pin validator does` test covers that
+invariant for the new ids for free.
+
+There IS a second hand-maintained Claude model list, and §3's original "edits the
+one enum and adds nothing parallel to it" was too strong. The doorway/model
+registry (`scripts/model-registry-freshness.manifest.json`) carries its own
+per-door `topModels[]`, gated by a strict lint in the `npm run lint` chain. The two
+are deliberately NOT in lockstep, because they answer different questions: the enum
+answers "is this a real model name we may accept" (acceptance), the registry
+answers "which model should routing reach for" (frontier). Adding a name to the
+first must not promote it in the second — a model earns the routing lane via
+benchmarks, not release date. This change therefore updates only the registry's
+claude-code door NOTE, recording that the Claude 5 family is now recognized and
+that `claude-fable-5-1` is deliberately not promoted. The strict lint passes.
+
+That distinction is also where the drift came from: the 2026-08-18 registry review
+had already classified `claude-opus-5` and `claude-sonnet-5` as frontier while the
+acceptance enum still refused them, so the two layers contradicted each other for
+three weeks and the shipped `frameworkDefaultModels` default was collateral.
+
+No new primitive was introduced, and no lower-level helper was re-implemented.
+
+---
+
+## 4. Signal vs authority compliance
+
+**Required reference:** [docs/signal-vs-authority.md](../../docs/signal-vs-authority.md)
+
+- [x] No — this change has no block/allow surface *of its own*.
+
+The block/allow authority (`validateModelId`) already exists, already owns the
+decision, and is unchanged. This change corrects the curated data that authority
+consults. No brittle detector is being handed blocking power; if anything the
+change reduces a brittle failure, because the authority was refusing live models
+purely because its reference list had aged.
+
+The fail-closed direction is preserved and explicitly tested: an unverified
+sibling (`claude-fable-6`, `claude-opus-6`) still refuses `off-enum`, which is
+the property that keeps a typo from stranding a topic on a model the CLI will
+reject at launch.
+
+---
+
+## 4b. Judgment-point check (Judgment Within Floors standard)
+
+No new static heuristic at a competing-signals decision point. The domain here
+is enumerable by construction — "which model ids does this CLI accept" is a
+finite, externally-determined list, verified by observation rather than
+inferred. That is the invariant case, not a judgment point.
+
+---
+
+## 5. Interactions
+
+- **Shadowing:** none. The model arm of `validateProfileFields` runs before
+  `thinkingMode`/`effort`/`escalationOverride`; widening what it accepts means
+  those later clamps now run on inputs that previously short-circuited at the
+  model arm. That is the intended ordering and each remains independently
+  enforced (their own tests are unchanged and green).
+- **Double-fire:** none. One enum, two readers, both read-only.
+- **Races:** none. Compile-time `as const` data; no shared mutable state.
+- **Feedback loops:** none. The enum is not written by anything at runtime.
+- **Billing lane:** `PER_TOKEN_LANE_MODEL_IDS['claude-code']` is `[]` on the
+  documented premise that *every* member of the claude enum launches via the
+  subscription-authed CLI. That premise had to be re-checked, not assumed, since
+  this change adds members: all three new full ids launch through the same
+  subscription CLI path, so the empty deny-set stays correct. A test now asserts
+  `billingLaneError` returns null for each, so if one of them ever moves to a
+  per-token lane the assertion is the place that has to be updated deliberately.
+- **Escalation policy:** `ModelTierEscalation`'s default
+  `{ default: 'claude-opus-4-8', escalated: 'claude-fable-5' }` and
+  `respectFreeWindows` are untouched. Adding an id to the enum does not select
+  it; no session changes model as a result of this change alone.
+- **Substring hazard — the finding this review nearly missed.** The first draft
+  checked only the three test assertions that do
+  `expect(...).not.toContain('claude-fable-5')` against the anthropic-headless,
+  openai-codex and gemini adapter tier maps. Those are fine: the adapter maps are
+  separate modules, were not touched, and all three pass. But the hazard that
+  matters is in RUNTIME code, and the second-pass review found it.
+
+  `paneConfirmsModel` (`src/core/ModelSwapService.ts:165`) derives a display name
+  from a model id and matches `set model to[^\n]*\b(?:<id>|<Display>)\b`. A
+  shorter version is a literal prefix of a longer one, and `\b` sits between the
+  digit and the separator — so `\bFable 5\b` matches INSIDE "Fable 5.1".
+  Reproduced directly: `paneConfirmsModel("… Set model to Fable 5.1 …",
+  'claude-fable-5')` returned **true**.
+
+  It is reachable precisely because of this change. A topic pinned to
+  `claude-fable-5-1` acks "Fable 5.1"; a later `tier:'escalated'` swap targets the
+  config's `escalated: 'claude-fable-5'`, injects at `:350`, and the read-back at
+  `:365` captures a 30-line tail still holding the stale 5.1 ack. The echo filter
+  drops only lines containing `/model`, and the ack line does not — so the swap
+  audits as `swap-confirmed` and `session.model` records `claude-fable-5` while the
+  session runs 5.1. That is a false CONFIRMATION, which directly contradicts the
+  "conservative by design / unrecognized format reads as NOT confirmed" contract in
+  that function's own docstring, and it mis-attributes model and cost in
+  `GET /sessions`.
+
+  Fixed in this change rather than deferred, because this change is what makes the
+  collision reachable. Four regression tests pin both directions (5 must not
+  confirm from 5.1, and 5.1 must not confirm from 5), the punctuation
+  false-negative boundary, and the Claude 5 display forms.
+
+---
+
+## 6. External surfaces
+
+- **Other agents on the machine:** none until they update; the enum ships in the
+  build.
+- **Install base:** widens what `POST /sessions/spawn` and
+  `POST /topic-profile/:topicId` accept. No previously-working call changes
+  behavior.
+- **External systems:** none. No network surface.
+- **Persistent state:** none written by this change. Existing stored pins are
+  unaffected; a pin that was being refused at resolution now resolves instead of
+  falling back — which is the fix, and is visible to the operator through
+  `GET /topic-profile/:topicId` (`resolved.model` / `sources.model`).
+- **Timing / runtime conditions:** none.
+- **Operator surface (Mobile-Complete):** no new operator action. The affected
+  operator paths (the conversational "pin this topic to X" surface and the
+  `/topic-profile` route) already exist and already have their surfaces; this
+  change only makes them stop refusing a valid answer.
+
+---
+
+## 6b. Operator-surface quality
+
+No operator surface — not applicable. No dashboard renderer, approval page, or
+grant/revoke/secret-drop form is staged in this change.
+
+---
+
+## 7. Multi-machine posture (Cross-Machine Coherence)
+
+**Posture: machine-local BY DESIGN — shipped code, not state.**
+
+The enum is compiled into the instar build, so each machine gets it when that
+machine updates. There is nothing to replicate: it is not agent state, it is the
+program. The reason it *should* differ per machine transiently is the same
+reason any code change does — machines update on their own cadence, and the
+existing machine-coherence guard already treats an instar version skew across
+the pool as its own observable (`GET /pool/machine-coherence`), so a mid-rollout
+divergence is already surfaced by infrastructure built for exactly that.
+
+Explicit answers:
+
+- **User-facing notices:** emits none. No one-voice gating needed.
+- **Durable state / topic transfer:** holds none. A topic pin carrying
+  `claude-fable-5-1` does ride the existing `TopicProfileTransferCarrier`; the
+  carrier re-validates on landing, so a topic pinned on an updated machine and
+  transferred to a not-yet-updated one has its model refused off-enum there and
+  falls back with a notice — the pre-existing, correct degrade path, not a
+  stranding. It self-heals when the second machine updates.
+- **Generated URLs:** generates none.
+
+---
+
+## 8. Rollback cost
+
+- **Hot-fix release:** revert the four added lines, ship as the next patch.
+- **Data migration:** none. No schema, no ledger, no column.
+- **Agent state repair:** none required. A pin written to one of the new ids
+  while the change was live would, after a revert, be refused at the resolution
+  clamp and fall back to the framework default with the existing once-per-
+  transition notice — degraded, visible, and repaired by re-pinning. No state
+  corruption, no manual cleanup.
+- **User visibility:** during a rollback window a topic pinned to a Claude 5 id
+  would drop to the default model. That is the pre-change behavior, so the
+  regression is a return to the status quo rather than a new failure.
+
+---
+
+## Conclusion
+
+This review produced two concrete checks that were not in the original plan and
+are now tests: the billing-lane premise (`PER_TOKEN_LANE_MODEL_IDS['claude-code']
+= []` is documented as true of *every* enum member, so adding members obligated
+re-verifying it) and the substring hazard against the three
+`not.toContain('claude-fable-5')` adapter assertions, which `claude-fable-5-1`
+would trip if the id ever reached those maps.
+
+It also surfaced the honest limit of the fix: this is a hand-maintained mirror of
+a vendor surface with no freshness guard, so it will age again. That is
+registered as ACT-514 rather than left as an implicit intention, and the fail-
+closed refusal path is retained and tested so aging degrades safely.
+
+The change is additive to an allowlist, changes no policy value, and holds no new
+authority — but it is no longer only that. The second-pass review found that
+widening the enum makes a dormant `paneConfirmsModel` prefix collision reachable,
+which would have silently mis-recorded a session's model and cost. That is fixed
+here rather than tracked for later, because this change is what arms it. The
+review's real lesson is that the first draft's "one enum, two readers, both
+read-only" was the wrong mental model: one of the readers feeds a tmux write, and
+that is exactly where the damage would have been.
+
+Clear to ship.
+
+---
+
+## Second-pass review (if required)
+
+**Reviewer:** general-purpose reviewer subagent (independent read + code verification)
+**Independent read of the artifact: concern raised, resolved**
+
+The reviewer confirmed the claims on enum order/length (nothing indexes, sorts or
+slices it), the `fable` alias namespace (no collision with `GENERIC_TIERS`; the
+`FABLE` in `PairingProtocol.ts:37` is a disjoint SAS wordlist), the billing-lane
+deny-set semantics, and the multi-machine degrade path
+(`TopicProfileTransferCarrier.ts:639-643` drops the unvalidatable field and pushes
+a disclosure — it does not strand or throw). It then raised four concerns:
+
+- **`paneConfirmsModel` false-confirms across a version prefix.** Verified
+  independently by reproducing it, then fixed in this change with four regression
+  tests. See §1 and §5. This was the material one and it was a real defect.
+- **The decision-point inventory undercounted the enum's readers** (two claimed,
+  four actual, one of which feeds a write path). Corrected above; that correction
+  is what made the first concern legible.
+- **The artifact was stale against the diff** — the registry manifest and the
+  ELI16 landed during the review. Files-touched list and §3 corrected.
+- **The anti-escalation ratchet had an exact-match hole**
+  (`not.toBe('claude-fable-5')` would wave through `claude-fable-5-1`). Widened to
+  assert against the ultra family (`not.toMatch(/^claude-fable-/)`) and the `fable`
+  alias added to the tier list, since it is now a way in.
+
+The reviewer also noted, and this review agrees, that the bare token `fable` joining
+the conversational pre-filter vocabulary (`ProfileIntentClassifier.ts:154`) means a
+common English noun can now pass the pre-filter on unrelated prose and spend a
+classify call. It is precedented exactly by `opus` and `sonnet`, is fail-open toward
+inclusion, and costs a call rather than a wrong decision — recorded here rather than
+changed.
+
+---
+
+## Evidence pointers
+
+- Live model-id verification: `claude --model <id> -p "reply with exactly: ok"`
+  on claude-code CLI 2.1.263 returned `ok` for `claude-fable-5-1`,
+  `claude-opus-5`, `claude-sonnet-5` and `claude-fable-5` (2026-09-06).
+- Fail-for-the-right-reason: with `src/core/ModelTierEscalation.ts` stashed, the
+  new assertions failed 5/70 with `off-enum` / `expected false to be true`;
+  restored, 70/70 pass.
+- Production refusal reproduced by the new
+  `accepts a Fable 5.1 pin arriving on a topic currently resolved to codex-cli`
+  test (topic 36966, `POST /topic-profile/36966` →
+  `{"failure":"off-enum","reason":"'claude-fable-5-1' is not a known claude-code model id"}`).
+- `npx tsc --noEmit` clean.
+
+---
+
+## Class-Closure Declaration (display-only mirror)
+
+Not applicable to the agent-authored-artifact arm: the change fixes stale data in
+a TypeScript source constant, not a defect in an agent-authored LLM prompt, hook,
+config, skill, or standards text. It also adds and modifies no self-triggered
+controller — no loop, monitor, sentinel, reaper, scheduler, or recovery path, and
+nothing that fires a restart / swap / respawn / spawn / notify / retry / re-drive
+/ kill, so the `unbounded-self-action` arm does not apply either.
+
+The staleness pattern itself is a genuine candidate class
+(`vendor-mirror-staleness`; nearest existing: `generated-artifact-path-contract-drift`),
+but registering a `novel` class requires a full registry entry with confirmed
+status, which is its own change. It is tracked as ACT-514 <!-- tracked: ACT-514 -->.