instar 1.2.26 → 1.2.27

package/dist/core/OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
+/**
+ * OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer — Phase 4 of the ORG-INTENT runtime project.
+ *
+ * Samples recent Coherence Gate review history and emits a drift digest:
+ * which reviewer dimensions are flagging most, whether the trend is rising
+ * or falling between the two halves of the lookback window, which ORG-INTENT
+ * constraints are most frequently being approached, and a single overall
+ * trend label.
+ *
+ * SIGNAL only — never blocks anything. The Coherence Gate from Phase 1
+ * remains the authority for any actual message-review decision. This module
+ * exists to surface accumulated patterns that no single review verdict
+ * could catch on its own — the Klarna failure mode early-warning surface.
+ *
+ * Deterministic pure logic. No LLM call. Given the same input it always
+ * produces the same output.
+ */
+import type { ParsedOrgIntent } from './OrgIntentManager.js';
+/**
+ * Minimal shape of a review history entry the analyzer needs. Subset of
+ * CoherenceGate's AuditLogEntry — keeps the analyzer decoupled from the
+ * gate's internal types so it can be reused for offline analysis.
+ */
+export interface DriftReviewEntry {
+    /** ISO-8601 timestamp string. */
+    timestamp: string;
+    /** Outcome verdict — e.g. 'pass', 'block', 'hold', 'pass-warn'. */
+    verdict: string;
+    /** Per-reviewer violations from this entry. */
+    violations: Array<{
+        reviewer: string;
+        severity: 'block' | 'warn';
+        issue: string;
+    }>;
+}
+export interface DriftAnalysisInput {
+    /** Review history entries (already filtered to the analysis window by caller). */
+    entries: DriftReviewEntry[];
+    /** Parsed ORG-INTENT.md, or null if absent. */
+    orgIntent: ParsedOrgIntent | null;
+    /** Lookback window in days, used for output framing only. */
+    lookbackDays?: number;
+    /** Sensitivity controls. */
+    thresholds?: {
+        /** Block-rate threshold (fraction) for 'concerning' verdict. Default 0.15. */
+        concerningBlockRate?: number;
+        /** Block-rate threshold (fraction) for 'rising' verdict. Default 0.05. */
+        risingBlockRate?: number;
+        /** Minimum entries before reporting a trend. Below this, returns 'insufficient-data'. */
+        minEntries?: number;
+    };
+}
+export interface ReviewerStats {
+    reviewer: string;
+    total: number;
+    blocks: number;
+    warns: number;
+    blockRate: number;
+}
+export interface DriftAnalysis {
+    /** Overall trend label. */
+    trend: 'stable' | 'rising' | 'concerning' | 'insufficient-data' | 'no-org-intent';
+    /** Window stats. */
+    windowDays: number;
+    totalEntries: number;
+    blockedEntries: number;
+    overallBlockRate: number;
+    /** Half-window comparison: first half vs second half block rates. */
+    firstHalfBlockRate: number;
+    secondHalfBlockRate: number;
+    /** Per-reviewer breakdown. */
+    perReviewer: ReviewerStats[];
+    /** Reviewer dimensions flagged as drifting (top N by block count). */
+    flaggedDimensions: string[];
+    /** Mapped to ORG-INTENT bucket counts. */
+    constraintMatches: number;
+    goalMatches: number;
+    valueMatches: number;
+    /** Human-readable summary suitable for a Telegram digest. */
+    summary: string;
+    /** Suggested next actions for the user / agent. */
+    suggestions: string[];
+    /** True when caller should surface this digest (trend != 'stable' && != 'insufficient-data' && != 'no-org-intent'). */
+    shouldSurface: boolean;
+}
+export declare function analyzeOrgIntentDrift(input: DriftAnalysisInput): DriftAnalysis;
+//# sourceMappingURL=OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.d.ts.map

package/dist/core/OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.d.ts.map

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package/dist/core/OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.js

@@ -0,0 +1,191 @@
+/**
+ * OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer — Phase 4 of the ORG-INTENT runtime project.
+ *
+ * Samples recent Coherence Gate review history and emits a drift digest:
+ * which reviewer dimensions are flagging most, whether the trend is rising
+ * or falling between the two halves of the lookback window, which ORG-INTENT
+ * constraints are most frequently being approached, and a single overall
+ * trend label.
+ *
+ * SIGNAL only — never blocks anything. The Coherence Gate from Phase 1
+ * remains the authority for any actual message-review decision. This module
+ * exists to surface accumulated patterns that no single review verdict
+ * could catch on its own — the Klarna failure mode early-warning surface.
+ *
+ * Deterministic pure logic. No LLM call. Given the same input it always
+ * produces the same output.
+ */
+// ── Defaults ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+const DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS = {
+    concerningBlockRate: 0.15,
+    risingBlockRate: 0.05,
+    minEntries: 5,
+};
+// ── Main analyzer ────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+export function analyzeOrgIntentDrift(input) {
+    const { entries, orgIntent, lookbackDays = 7 } = input;
+    const t = { ...DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS, ...(input.thresholds ?? {}) };
+    // No ORG-INTENT.md → analyzer has nothing to compare against.
+    if (!orgIntent) {
+        return {
+            trend: 'no-org-intent',
+            windowDays: lookbackDays,
+            totalEntries: entries.length,
+            blockedEntries: 0,
+            overallBlockRate: 0,
+            firstHalfBlockRate: 0,
+            secondHalfBlockRate: 0,
+            perReviewer: [],
+            flaggedDimensions: [],
+            constraintMatches: 0,
+            goalMatches: 0,
+            valueMatches: 0,
+            summary: 'No ORG-INTENT.md found. Drift analysis requires an organizational intent file to compare behavior against.',
+            suggestions: [
+                'Scaffold a starter with: instar intent org-init "Your Org Name"',
+                'Then re-run this audit to surface accumulated drift.',
+            ],
+            shouldSurface: false,
+        };
+    }
+    // Insufficient data → can't reliably detect trends with too few samples.
+    if (entries.length < t.minEntries) {
+        return {
+            trend: 'insufficient-data',
+            windowDays: lookbackDays,
+            totalEntries: entries.length,
+            blockedEntries: 0,
+            overallBlockRate: 0,
+            firstHalfBlockRate: 0,
+            secondHalfBlockRate: 0,
+            perReviewer: [],
+            flaggedDimensions: [],
+            constraintMatches: 0,
+            goalMatches: 0,
+            valueMatches: 0,
+            summary: `Only ${entries.length} review entries in the last ${lookbackDays} days — not enough data to surface a drift trend (need ≥${t.minEntries}).`,
+            suggestions: [],
+            shouldSurface: false,
+        };
+    }
+    // Sort by timestamp ascending so first-half / second-half halves are chronological.
+    const sorted = [...entries].sort((a, b) => new Date(a.timestamp).getTime() - new Date(b.timestamp).getTime());
+    const mid = Math.floor(sorted.length / 2);
+    const firstHalf = sorted.slice(0, mid);
+    const secondHalf = sorted.slice(mid);
+    // Compute overall block rate
+    const isBlock = (e) => e.verdict.includes('block') || e.verdict.includes('hold');
+    const blockedEntries = sorted.filter(isBlock).length;
+    const overallBlockRate = sorted.length > 0 ? blockedEntries / sorted.length : 0;
+    const firstHalfBlocked = firstHalf.filter(isBlock).length;
+    const secondHalfBlocked = secondHalf.filter(isBlock).length;
+    const firstHalfBlockRate = firstHalf.length > 0 ? firstHalfBlocked / firstHalf.length : 0;
+    const secondHalfBlockRate = secondHalf.length > 0 ? secondHalfBlocked / secondHalf.length : 0;
+    // Per-reviewer stats
+    const reviewerMap = new Map();
+    for (const e of sorted) {
+        for (const v of e.violations) {
+            const cur = reviewerMap.get(v.reviewer) ?? { total: 0, blocks: 0, warns: 0 };
+            cur.total++;
+            if (v.severity === 'block')
+                cur.blocks++;
+            else
+                cur.warns++;
+            reviewerMap.set(v.reviewer, cur);
+        }
+    }
+    const perReviewer = [...reviewerMap.entries()]
+        .map(([reviewer, c]) => ({
+        reviewer,
+        total: c.total,
+        blocks: c.blocks,
+        warns: c.warns,
+        blockRate: c.total > 0 ? c.blocks / c.total : 0,
+    }))
+        .sort((a, b) => b.blocks - a.blocks);
+    // Flag dimensions with notable block counts (top 3 by blocks, blocks > 0)
+    const flaggedDimensions = perReviewer
+        .filter(r => r.blocks > 0)
+        .slice(0, 3)
+        .map(r => r.reviewer);
+    // Cross-reference with ORG-INTENT buckets — count how many violations mention
+    // a constraint / goal / value substring. Heuristic but useful for narrative.
+    let constraintMatches = 0;
+    let goalMatches = 0;
+    let valueMatches = 0;
+    for (const e of sorted) {
+        for (const v of e.violations) {
+            const issueLower = (v.issue || '').toLowerCase();
+            for (const c of orgIntent.constraints) {
+                if (issueLower.includes(c.text.toLowerCase().slice(0, 20))) {
+                    constraintMatches++;
+                    break;
+                }
+            }
+            for (const g of orgIntent.goals) {
+                if (issueLower.includes(g.text.toLowerCase().slice(0, 20))) {
+                    goalMatches++;
+                    break;
+                }
+            }
+            for (const val of orgIntent.values) {
+                if (issueLower.includes(val.toLowerCase().slice(0, 20))) {
+                    valueMatches++;
+                    break;
+                }
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    // Determine overall trend.
+    let trend = 'stable';
+    if (overallBlockRate >= t.concerningBlockRate) {
+        trend = 'concerning';
+    }
+    else if (secondHalfBlockRate > firstHalfBlockRate + t.risingBlockRate
+        && secondHalfBlockRate >= t.risingBlockRate) {
+        trend = 'rising';
+    }
+    // Compose summary + suggestions
+    const summaryLines = [];
+    if (trend === 'concerning') {
+        summaryLines.push(`Block rate of ${(overallBlockRate * 100).toFixed(1)}% across ${sorted.length} reviews in the last ${lookbackDays} days is above the concerning threshold (${(t.concerningBlockRate * 100).toFixed(0)}%).`);
+        summaryLines.push(`Most-flagged reviewers: ${flaggedDimensions.join(', ') || '(none)'}.`);
+        if (constraintMatches > 0) {
+            summaryLines.push(`${constraintMatches} flagged review(s) mentioned an ORG-INTENT constraint by name.`);
+        }
+    }
+    else if (trend === 'rising') {
+        summaryLines.push(`Block rate trending up: first half ${(firstHalfBlockRate * 100).toFixed(1)}% → second half ${(secondHalfBlockRate * 100).toFixed(1)}% over ${sorted.length} reviews in the last ${lookbackDays} days.`);
+        summaryLines.push(`Most-flagged reviewers: ${flaggedDimensions.join(', ') || '(none)'}.`);
+    }
+    else {
+        summaryLines.push(`Block rate stable at ${(overallBlockRate * 100).toFixed(1)}% across ${sorted.length} reviews in the last ${lookbackDays} days. No drift surfaced.`);
+    }
+    const summary = summaryLines.join(' ');
+    const suggestions = [];
+    if (trend === 'concerning' || trend === 'rising') {
+        suggestions.push(`Review the most-flagged reviewer dimension (${flaggedDimensions[0] ?? 'value-alignment'}) for recent issues — recent blocks tend to cluster by category.`);
+        if (orgIntent.constraints.length > 0) {
+            suggestions.push('Re-read .instar/ORG-INTENT.md constraints; consider whether any need to be tightened, loosened, or scoped to specific channels.');
+        }
+        suggestions.push('Check the canonical state for any recent context changes that might explain a sudden drift (deployments, user-facing changes, autonomy profile shifts).');
+    }
+    return {
+        trend,
+        windowDays: lookbackDays,
+        totalEntries: sorted.length,
+        blockedEntries,
+        overallBlockRate,
+        firstHalfBlockRate,
+        secondHalfBlockRate,
+        perReviewer,
+        flaggedDimensions,
+        constraintMatches,
+        goalMatches,
+        valueMatches,
+        summary,
+        suggestions,
+        shouldSurface: trend === 'concerning' || trend === 'rising',
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.js.map

package/dist/core/OrgIntentDriftAnalyzer.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/core/PostUpdateMigrator.d.ts.map

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package/dist/core/PostUpdateMigrator.js

@@ -2037,6 +2037,7 @@ Manage it:
 - Inspect parsed structure: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org\`
 - Preview the session-start block: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/session-context\`
 - Resolve a tradeoff via the org hierarchy (Phase 3): \`curl -X POST -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"valueA":"speed","valueB":"customer trust"}' http://localhost:${port}/intent/tradeoff-resolve\` — returns the winning value with explanation per the org's tradeoff hierarchy.
+- Surface accumulated drift (Phase 4): \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/drift?lookbackDays=7"\` — drift digest from recent Coherence Gate review history. A weekly job template (\`.instar/jobs/instar/org-intent-drift-audit.md\`, off by default) wraps this for periodic Telegram heads-ups.
 
 **Topic-Project Bindings**: Each Telegram topic can be bound to a specific project. When switching topics, verify the binding matches your current working directory.
 - View bindings: \`GET http://localhost:${port}/topic-bindings\`
@@ -2074,6 +2075,7 @@ Manage it:
 - Inspect parsed structure: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org\`
 - Preview the session-start block: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/session-context\`
 - Resolve a tradeoff via the org hierarchy (Phase 3): \`curl -X POST -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"valueA":"speed","valueB":"customer trust"}' http://localhost:${port}/intent/tradeoff-resolve\` — returns the winning value with explanation per the org's tradeoff hierarchy.
+- Surface accumulated drift (Phase 4): \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/drift?lookbackDays=7"\` — drift digest from recent Coherence Gate review history. A weekly job template (\`.instar/jobs/instar/org-intent-drift-audit.md\`, off by default) wraps this for periodic Telegram heads-ups.
 `;
             // Anchor: insert after "Topic-Project Bindings" header so it lands inside
             // the Coherence Gate section but before the Project Map subsection.
@@ -2090,13 +2092,39 @@ Manage it:
                 result.upgraded.push('CLAUDE.md: appended ORG-INTENT.md runtime subsection (anchor missing, fallback insert)');
             }
         }
+        else if (content.includes('ORG-INTENT.md (Organizational Intent at Runtime)')
+            && content.includes('/intent/tradeoff-resolve')
+            && !content.includes('/intent/org/drift')) {
+            // CLAUDE.md has Phase 1+2+3 but is missing Phase 4 (drift detection).
+            // Append the drift curl line to the existing Manage-it bullet list.
+            // Idempotent: substring check above prevents re-insertion.
+            const driftLine = `- Surface accumulated drift (Phase 4): \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/drift?lookbackDays=7"\` — drift digest from recent Coherence Gate review history. A weekly job template (\`.instar/jobs/instar/org-intent-drift-audit.md\`, off by default) wraps this for periodic Telegram heads-ups.`;
+            // Anchor: insert right after the Phase 3 tradeoff-resolve line.
+            const phase3Marker = '/intent/tradeoff-resolve';
+            const idx = content.indexOf(phase3Marker);
+            if (idx >= 0) {
+                const lineEnd = content.indexOf('\n', idx);
+                if (lineEnd >= 0) {
+                    content = content.slice(0, lineEnd + 1) + driftLine + '\n' + content.slice(lineEnd + 1);
+                    patched = true;
+                    result.upgraded.push('CLAUDE.md: added Phase 4 drift-detection curl line to ORG-INTENT subsection');
+                }
+                else {
+                    result.skipped.push('CLAUDE.md: Phase 3 marker present but newline anchor missing (skipping)');
+                }
+            }
+            else {
+                result.skipped.push('CLAUDE.md: Phase 3 anchor for drift insertion not found (skipping)');
+            }
+        }
         else if (content.includes('ORG-INTENT.md (Organizational Intent at Runtime)')
             && content.includes('/intent/org/session-context')
             && !content.includes('/intent/tradeoff-resolve')) {
             // CLAUDE.md has Phase 1+2 but is missing Phase 3 (tradeoff helper).
             // Append the tradeoff-resolve curl line to the existing Manage-it
             // bullet list. Idempotent: substring check above prevents re-insertion.
-            const tradeoffLine = `- Resolve a tradeoff via the org hierarchy (Phase 3): \`curl -X POST -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"valueA":"speed","valueB":"customer trust"}' http://localhost:${port}/intent/tradeoff-resolve\` — returns the winning value with explanation per the org's tradeoff hierarchy.`;
+            const tradeoffLine = `- Resolve a tradeoff via the org hierarchy (Phase 3): \`curl -X POST -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"valueA":"speed","valueB":"customer trust"}' http://localhost:${port}/intent/tradeoff-resolve\` — returns the winning value with explanation per the org's tradeoff hierarchy.
+- Surface accumulated drift (Phase 4): \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/drift?lookbackDays=7"\` — drift digest from recent Coherence Gate review history. A weekly job template (\`.instar/jobs/instar/org-intent-drift-audit.md\`, off by default) wraps this for periodic Telegram heads-ups.`;
             const anchor = `- Preview the session-start block: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/session-context\``;
             const before = content;
             content = content.replace(anchor, `${anchor}\n${tradeoffLine}`);
@@ -2127,6 +2155,7 @@ Manage it:
 - Inspect parsed structure: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org\`
 - Preview the session-start block: \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/session-context\`
 - Resolve a tradeoff via the org hierarchy (Phase 3): \`curl -X POST -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" -H 'Content-Type: application/json' -d '{"valueA":"speed","valueB":"customer trust"}' http://localhost:${port}/intent/tradeoff-resolve\` — returns the winning value with explanation per the org's tradeoff hierarchy.
+- Surface accumulated drift (Phase 4): \`curl -H "Authorization: Bearer $AUTH" "http://localhost:${port}/intent/org/drift?lookbackDays=7"\` — drift digest from recent Coherence Gate review history. A weekly job template (\`.instar/jobs/instar/org-intent-drift-audit.md\`, off by default) wraps this for periodic Telegram heads-ups.
 
 `;
             const before = content;