hood-traders 0.1.0 → 0.2.0

package/LICENSE

@@ -1,201 +1,20 @@
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package/README.md

@@ -26,8 +26,11 @@ drop-in change confined to `src/framework/market.ts`.
 - **Framework** (`src/framework/`): agent = strategy + wallet + risk budget + journal. Every tick
   runs observe → decide → simulate (a real Uniswap v3 `eth_call`) → risk-check (fail-closed) →
   execute → journal.
-- **Three strategies** (`src/strategies/`): `launch-sniper`, `momentum`, `premium-watch` — each
-  with an honestly documented edge hypothesis and failure modes (see [Strategies](#strategies)).
+- **Four strategies** (`src/strategies/`): `launch-sniper`, `momentum`, `premium-watch`, and
+  `llm-strategist` — each with an honestly documented edge hypothesis and failure modes (see
+  [Strategies](#strategies)). `llm-strategist` is optional and bring-your-own-key: point it at
+  Claude, OpenAI, Groq, or OpenRouter and it judges launches the other strategies discover, using
+  the same real on-chain signals, subject to the exact same risk engine as everything else.
 - **Live dashboard** (`dashboard/`): fleet overview, per-agent equity curve, open positions, the
   full decision journal (why each trade fired — or didn't), and a kill button.
 - **Risk layer** (`src/framework/risk.ts`): per-agent position cap, daily spend cap, fleet-wide
@@ -92,7 +95,7 @@ these tokenized debt securities (issuer: Robinhood Assets (Jersey) Ltd). Without
 ## Architecture
 
 See [`docs/architecture.html`](docs/architecture.html) for the full observe → decide → simulate →
-risk-check → execute → journal diagram, and how the three strategies plug into it. Short version:
+risk-check → execute → journal diagram, and how the four strategies plug into it. Short version:
 
 ```
 Market (hoodchain SDK, live RPC)
@@ -122,10 +125,31 @@ Full docs with live examples: [`docs/strategies.html`](docs/strategies.html). Su
 | `launch-sniper` | Opening-minutes volatility on new launches is real; discipline (round-trip + deployer-concentration filters, mechanical exits) harvests a slice of it. | Most new launches go to zero — the stop loss fires often; this is negative-carry unless winners cover losers. |
 | `momentum` | Tokens that survive to graduation and then break out on price reflect real demand, not launch-day noise. | Breakouts on thin pools are trivially fakeable by one wallet; price-only signal has no depth check. |
 | `premium-watch` | Stock Token pools are thin and drift from the Chainlink oracle; buying the discount captures reversion. **Alerts-only by default** — trading requires explicit eligibility + opt-in. | A premium/discount can be *correct* (DEX reacting to news the ≤24h Chainlink heartbeat hasn't caught yet); fading it loses on purpose. No shorting primitive exists. |
+| `llm-strategist` | An LLM (bring your own key) weighs the same round-trip-retention and deployer-concentration signals `launch-sniper` checks mechanically, holistically instead of against fixed cutoffs, and only trades above a confidence threshold. **Disabled unless configured** — see below. | LLM confidence is not calibrated probability; a confidently wrong verdict trades identically to a confidently right one. On-chain data reaching the prompt is attacker-controlled, so the brief is numbers-only by design. One provider, no fallback. |
 
 Every strategy exposes its `meta.edge` / `meta.failureModes` at runtime (`strategy.meta`) — the
 dashboard and docs pull the live values, not a stale copy.
 
+### `llm-strategist` setup
+
+Disabled by default — the fleet runs the other three strategies with zero LLM config. To enable it,
+set exactly one provider in `.env`:
+
+```sh
+# any ONE of:
+HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER=anthropic   HOOD_LLM_API_KEY=sk-ant-...
+HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER=openai      HOOD_LLM_API_KEY=sk-...
+HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER=groq        HOOD_LLM_API_KEY=gsk_...
+HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER=openrouter  HOOD_LLM_API_KEY=sk-or-...
+```
+
+`HOOD_LLM_MODEL` is optional — each provider has a sane default (see
+[`src/framework/llm.ts`](src/framework/llm.ts)); set it if a default ever goes stale or you want a
+stronger/cheaper model. `HOOD_LLM_MIN_CONFIDENCE` (default `0.6`) is the minimum LLM-stated
+confidence required to actually place a trade — everything below that is logged to the decision
+journal as an alert, not a trade. Every LLM API call costs money regardless of verdict; a launch
+storm inflates spend with nothing to show for it if you set the confidence bar too low.
+
 ## Configuration
 
 All of `.env.example` is optional for paper mode. Key knobs:
@@ -143,6 +167,11 @@ All of `.env.example` is optional for paper mode. Key knobs:
 | `AGENT_COOLDOWN_SECONDS` | `60` | Minimum gap between an agent's trades |
 | `KILL_FILE` | `./KILL` | Drop a file here to halt the fleet immediately |
 | `DASHBOARD_PORT` | `4670` | Dashboard + API port |
+| `HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER` | *(unset)* | `anthropic`\|`openai`\|`groq`\|`openrouter` — enables `llm-strategist` when set with `HOOD_LLM_API_KEY` |
+| `HOOD_LLM_API_KEY` | *(unset)* | Your own key for the chosen provider |
+| `HOOD_LLM_MODEL` | *(per-provider default)* | Override the model id |
+| `HOOD_LLM_MIN_CONFIDENCE` | `0.6` | Minimum LLM confidence to trade, else it's alert-only |
+| `HOOD_LLM_TIMEOUT_MS` | `9000` | Per-call timeout before the judge is treated as failed |
 
 ## Kill switch
 
@@ -207,8 +236,4 @@ always-on container host instead.
 
 ## License
 
-Apache-2.0 — see [LICENSE](LICENSE).
-
----
-
-Built by [nirholas](https://x.com/nichxbt) · [three.ws](https://three.ws)
+All rights reserved. See [LICENSE](LICENSE).

package/dist/{chunk-NXL2F7EP.js → chunk-YZJCP67J.js}

@@ -891,6 +891,29 @@ function loadFleetConfig(env = process.env) {
     }
   };
 }
+var LLM_PROVIDERS = ["anthropic", "openai", "groq", "openrouter"];
+function loadLlmConfig(env = process.env) {
+  const provider = env.HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER;
+  const apiKey = env.HOOD_LLM_API_KEY;
+  if (!provider && !apiKey) return null;
+  if (!provider || !apiKey) {
+    throw new Error(
+      "hood-traders config.ts: HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER and HOOD_LLM_API_KEY must both be set to enable llm-strategist (or both left unset to disable it)."
+    );
+  }
+  if (!LLM_PROVIDERS.includes(provider)) {
+    throw new Error(`hood-traders config.ts: HOOD_LLM_PROVIDER="${provider}" is not one of ${LLM_PROVIDERS.join(", ")}`);
+  }
+  return {
+    provider,
+    apiKey,
+    model: env.HOOD_LLM_MODEL || void 0,
+    timeoutMs: num("HOOD_LLM_TIMEOUT_MS", 9e3)
+  };
+}
+function loadLlmMinConfidence(env = process.env) {
+  return num("HOOD_LLM_MIN_CONFIDENCE", 0.6);
+}
 
 // src/strategies/launch-sniper.ts
 import { erc20Abi, watchLaunches } from "hoodchain";
@@ -1287,6 +1310,305 @@ var PremiumWatch = class {
   }
 };
 
+// src/framework/llm.ts
+var DEFAULT_MODELS = {
+  anthropic: "claude-haiku-4-5-20251001",
+  openai: "gpt-4o-mini",
+  groq: "llama-3.3-70b-versatile",
+  openrouter: "openrouter/auto"
+};
+var SYSTEM_PROMPT = [
+  "You are a risk-averse trading analyst judging a brand-new token launch on Robinhood Chain,",
+  "a 24/7 permissionless DEX environment where most launches are worthless or scams.",
+  "You will be given real on-chain facts about one launch: its launchpad, whether a buy-then-sell",
+  "round trip retains value (a honeypot signal), and what fraction of supply the deployer wallet",
+  "still holds (a rug-risk signal). You have no access to socials, team identity, or any off-chain",
+  "information \u2014 judge only from what is given.",
+  "",
+  "Reply with ONLY a single JSON object, no prose before or after it, matching exactly:",
+  '{"buy": boolean, "confidence": number between 0 and 1, "thesis": "one sentence"}',
+  "",
+  '"buy" should be true only when the facts given suggest this is unusually clean for a brand-new',
+  "launch (high retention, low deployer concentration) \u2014 most launches should get buy:false.",
+  '"confidence" reflects how sure you are in that judgment given how thin the available signal is.'
+].join("\n");
+async function judgeLaunch(cfg, brief) {
+  const model = cfg.model || DEFAULT_MODELS[cfg.provider];
+  const timeoutMs = cfg.timeoutMs ?? 9e3;
+  const controller = new AbortController();
+  const timer = setTimeout(() => controller.abort(), timeoutMs);
+  try {
+    const text = await callProvider(cfg.provider, cfg.apiKey, model, brief, controller.signal);
+    return parseVerdict(text);
+  } catch (err) {
+    if (err instanceof Error && err.name === "AbortError") {
+      throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: ${cfg.provider} request timed out after ${timeoutMs}ms`);
+    }
+    throw err;
+  } finally {
+    clearTimeout(timer);
+  }
+}
+async function callProvider(provider, apiKey, model, brief, signal) {
+  if (provider === "anthropic") {
+    const res2 = await fetch("https://api.anthropic.com/v1/messages", {
+      method: "POST",
+      signal,
+      headers: {
+        "content-type": "application/json",
+        "x-api-key": apiKey,
+        "anthropic-version": "2023-06-01"
+      },
+      body: JSON.stringify({
+        model,
+        max_tokens: 300,
+        system: SYSTEM_PROMPT,
+        messages: [{ role: "user", content: brief }]
+      })
+    });
+    const body2 = await res2.text();
+    if (!res2.ok) throw providerError("anthropic", model, res2.status, body2);
+    const data2 = JSON.parse(body2);
+    const text2 = data2.content?.[0]?.text;
+    if (!text2) throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: anthropic response had no content text: ${body2.slice(0, 300)}`);
+    return text2;
+  }
+  const { url, extraHeaders } = openAiCompatibleEndpoint(provider);
+  const res = await fetch(url, {
+    method: "POST",
+    signal,
+    headers: {
+      "content-type": "application/json",
+      authorization: `Bearer ${apiKey}`,
+      ...extraHeaders
+    },
+    body: JSON.stringify({
+      model,
+      max_tokens: 300,
+      messages: [
+        { role: "system", content: SYSTEM_PROMPT },
+        { role: "user", content: brief }
+      ]
+    })
+  });
+  const body = await res.text();
+  if (!res.ok) throw providerError(provider, model, res.status, body);
+  const data = JSON.parse(body);
+  const text = data.choices?.[0]?.message?.content;
+  if (!text) throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: ${provider} response had no message content: ${body.slice(0, 300)}`);
+  return text;
+}
+function openAiCompatibleEndpoint(provider) {
+  switch (provider) {
+    case "openai":
+      return { url: "https://api.openai.com/v1/chat/completions", extraHeaders: {} };
+    case "groq":
+      return { url: "https://api.groq.com/openai/v1/chat/completions", extraHeaders: {} };
+    case "openrouter":
+      return {
+        url: "https://openrouter.ai/api/v1/chat/completions",
+        extraHeaders: {
+          "HTTP-Referer": "https://github.com/nirholas/hood-traders",
+          "X-Title": "hood-traders"
+        }
+      };
+  }
+}
+function providerError(provider, model, status, body) {
+  return new Error(
+    `hood-traders llm.ts: ${provider} rejected request (HTTP ${status}, model="${model}"). If this is a model-not-found error, set HOOD_LLM_MODEL to a current model id for this provider. Response: ${body.slice(0, 300)}`
+  );
+}
+function parseVerdict(text) {
+  const match = text.match(/\{[\s\S]*\}/);
+  if (!match) throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: no JSON object found in LLM response: ${text.slice(0, 300)}`);
+  let raw;
+  try {
+    raw = JSON.parse(match[0]);
+  } catch (err) {
+    throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: LLM response JSON did not parse: ${err.message}`);
+  }
+  if (typeof raw !== "object" || raw === null) {
+    throw new Error("hood-traders llm.ts: LLM verdict was not a JSON object");
+  }
+  const v = raw;
+  if (typeof v.buy !== "boolean") {
+    throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: LLM verdict missing boolean "buy": ${JSON.stringify(v)}`);
+  }
+  if (typeof v.thesis !== "string" || v.thesis.trim().length === 0) {
+    throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: LLM verdict missing non-empty "thesis": ${JSON.stringify(v)}`);
+  }
+  const confidenceRaw = typeof v.confidence === "number" ? v.confidence : Number(v.confidence);
+  if (!Number.isFinite(confidenceRaw)) {
+    throw new Error(`hood-traders llm.ts: LLM verdict has non-numeric "confidence": ${JSON.stringify(v)}`);
+  }
+  const confidence = Math.min(1, Math.max(0, confidenceRaw));
+  return { buy: v.buy, confidence, thesis: v.thesis.trim() };
+}
+
+// src/strategies/llm-strategist.ts
+import { erc20Abi as erc20Abi2, watchLaunches as watchLaunches2 } from "hoodchain";
+import { formatUnits as formatUnits4, parseEther as parseEther2 } from "viem";
+var DEFAULTS4 = {
+  entryWeth: 0.01,
+  takeProfitPct: 0.6,
+  stopLossPct: 0.35,
+  maxHoldSeconds: 30 * 60,
+  minConfidence: 0.6,
+  maxLaunchAgeSeconds: 5 * 60
+};
+var LlmStrategist = class {
+  id = "llm-strategist";
+  title = "LLM Strategist";
+  quote = "weth";
+  p;
+  queue = [];
+  seen = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set();
+  judged = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set();
+  unwatch = null;
+  constructor(params) {
+    this.p = { ...DEFAULTS4, ...params };
+  }
+  get meta() {
+    return {
+      edge: "An LLM (bring your own key) weighs the same real on-chain launch signals launch-sniper checks mechanically \u2014 buy/sell round-trip retention and deployer supply concentration \u2014 holistically instead of against fixed cutoffs, and only trades when its stated confidence clears a threshold.",
+      failureModes: [
+        "LLM confidence is not calibrated probability \u2014 a confidently wrong verdict trades exactly like a confidently right one.",
+        "On-chain data reaching the prompt is attacker-controlled; only numeric signals are included today specifically to limit prompt-injection surface.",
+        "LLM round-trip latency means this strategy reacts to a launch after launch-sniper already has (or hasn\u2019t).",
+        "Every judged launch costs a real LLM API call regardless of verdict \u2014 a launch storm inflates spend with nothing to show for it.",
+        "One configured provider, no fallback chain \u2014 a provider outage means zero coverage until it recovers."
+      ],
+      params: { ...this.p, llm: { ...this.p.llm, apiKey: this.p.llm.apiKey ? "<redacted>" : "" } }
+    };
+  }
+  start(ctx) {
+    this.unwatch = watchLaunches2(
+      ctx.market.client,
+      (launch) => {
+        const key = launch.token.toLowerCase();
+        if (this.seen.has(key)) return;
+        this.seen.add(key);
+        this.queue.push({ launch, seenAt: Date.now() });
+        ctx.log(`llm-strategist: new launch queued: ${launch.launchpad} ${launch.token}`, { creator: launch.creator });
+      },
+      { onError: (e) => ctx.log(`llm-strategist: launch watcher error: ${e.message}`) }
+    );
+  }
+  stop() {
+    this.unwatch?.();
+    this.unwatch = null;
+  }
+  async tick(ctx) {
+    const intents = [];
+    const alerts = [];
+    for (const pos of ctx.positions) {
+      const ageSec = (ctx.now - pos.openedAt) / 1e3;
+      const pnlPct = pos.markUsd !== null && pos.investedUsd > 0 ? pos.markUsd / pos.investedUsd - 1 : null;
+      let exitReason = null;
+      if (pnlPct !== null && pnlPct >= this.p.takeProfitPct) exitReason = `take-profit ${(pnlPct * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
+      else if (pnlPct !== null && pnlPct <= -this.p.stopLossPct) exitReason = `stop-loss ${(pnlPct * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
+      else if (ageSec >= this.p.maxHoldSeconds) exitReason = `time-exit ${Math.round(ageSec)}s held`;
+      if (exitReason) {
+        intents.push({
+          side: "sell",
+          token: pos.token,
+          tokenSymbol: pos.tokenSymbol,
+          amountIn: pos.amount,
+          quoteToken: pos.quoteToken,
+          quoteSymbol: pos.quoteSymbol,
+          reason: exitReason,
+          meta: { pnlPct }
+        });
+      }
+    }
+    const candidate = this.queue.shift();
+    if (candidate) {
+      const key = candidate.launch.token.toLowerCase();
+      if (!this.judged.has(key)) {
+        this.judged.add(key);
+        const result = await this.evaluate(ctx, candidate);
+        if (result.intent) intents.push(result.intent);
+        if (result.alert) alerts.push(result.alert);
+      }
+    }
+    return { intents, alerts };
+  }
+  async evaluate(ctx, candidate) {
+    const { launch } = candidate;
+    const ageSec = (ctx.now - candidate.seenAt) / 1e3;
+    if (ageSec > this.p.maxLaunchAgeSeconds) {
+      return { alert: { level: "info", message: `llm-strategist: skip ${launch.token}: stale (${Math.round(ageSec)}s old)`, meta: {} } };
+    }
+    if (ctx.positions.some((p) => p.token.toLowerCase() === launch.token.toLowerCase())) return {};
+    const amountIn = parseEther2(String(this.p.entryWeth));
+    const buyQuote = await ctx.market.quoteBuy(ctx.quoteToken, launch.token, amountIn);
+    if (!buyQuote || buyQuote.amountOut <= 0n) {
+      return { alert: { level: "info", message: `llm-strategist: skip ${launch.token}: no liquid Uniswap route`, meta: { launchpad: launch.launchpad } } };
+    }
+    const sellQuote = await ctx.market.quoteSell(launch.token, ctx.quoteToken, buyQuote.amountOut);
+    const retention = sellQuote && sellQuote.amountOut > 0n ? Number(sellQuote.amountOut) / Number(amountIn) : 0;
+    const deployerPct = await this.deployerConcentration(ctx, launch);
+    const brief = [
+      `Launchpad: ${launch.launchpad}`,
+      `Round-trip retention (buy then immediately sell back): ${(retention * 100).toFixed(1)}% of input value returned.`,
+      `Deployer wallet holds: ${deployerPct === null ? "unknown (could not read on-chain balance)" : (deployerPct * 100).toFixed(1) + "% of total supply"}.`,
+      `Age since first seen: ${Math.round(ageSec)} seconds.`
+    ].join("\n");
+    let verdict;
+    try {
+      verdict = await judgeLaunch(this.p.llm, brief);
+    } catch (err) {
+      return {
+        alert: {
+          level: "warn",
+          message: `llm-strategist: skip ${launch.token}: LLM judge failed \u2014 ${err.message}`,
+          meta: { launchpad: launch.launchpad }
+        }
+      };
+    }
+    if (!verdict.buy || verdict.confidence < this.p.minConfidence) {
+      return {
+        alert: {
+          level: "info",
+          message: `llm-strategist: skip ${launch.token}: verdict buy=${verdict.buy} confidence=${verdict.confidence.toFixed(2)} \u2014 ${verdict.thesis}`,
+          meta: { retention, deployerPct, verdict }
+        }
+      };
+    }
+    return {
+      intent: {
+        side: "buy",
+        token: launch.token,
+        tokenSymbol: shortToken3(launch.token),
+        amountIn,
+        quoteToken: ctx.quoteToken,
+        quoteSymbol: ctx.quoteSymbol,
+        reason: `LLM (${this.p.llm.provider}, confidence ${verdict.confidence.toFixed(2)}): ${verdict.thesis}`,
+        meta: { launchpad: launch.launchpad, deployerPct, retention, llmProvider: this.p.llm.provider, confidence: verdict.confidence }
+      }
+    };
+  }
+  async deployerConcentration(ctx, launch) {
+    try {
+      const [supply, bal] = await ctx.market.client.public.multicall({
+        contracts: [
+          { address: launch.token, abi: erc20Abi2, functionName: "totalSupply" },
+          { address: launch.token, abi: erc20Abi2, functionName: "balanceOf", args: [launch.creator] }
+        ],
+        allowFailure: false
+      });
+      if (supply === 0n) return null;
+      return Number(formatUnits4(bal * 10000n / supply, 4));
+    } catch {
+      return null;
+    }
+  }
+};
+function shortToken3(addr) {
+  return `${addr.slice(0, 6)}\u2026${addr.slice(-4)}`;
+}
+
 // src/server/dashboard.ts
 import { createServer } from "http";
 import { readFile } from "fs/promises";
@@ -1363,9 +1685,14 @@ export {
   Market,
   Fleet,
   loadFleetConfig,
+  loadLlmConfig,
+  loadLlmMinConfidence,
   LaunchSniper,
   Momentum,
   PremiumWatch,
+  judgeLaunch,
+  parseVerdict,
+  LlmStrategist,
   createDashboardServer
 };
-//# sourceMappingURL=chunk-NXL2F7EP.js.map
+//# sourceMappingURL=chunk-YZJCP67J.js.map