hoi4-agent-tools 2.2.0 → 2.3.0
This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
- package/CHANGELOG.md +15 -0
- package/README.md +30 -21
- package/dist/bin/stdio.js +0 -4
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/core/clausewitz-evaluation.js +90 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/core/engine.js +5 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/core/index.js +57 -1
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/core/source/ast-path.js +41 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/core/source/index.js +1 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/event/limits.js +1 -1
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/mcp/server/create.js +3 -1
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/mcp/tools/probability.js +413 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/adapters.js +344 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/compare.js +178 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/evaluation.js +649 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/index.js +13 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/model.js +5 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/rational.js +145 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/render.js +307 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/sequence.js +858 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/service.js +1168 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/simulation.js +545 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/source-analysis.js +458 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/sweep.js +265 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/trigger-evaluator.js +280 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/probability/value-evaluator.js +357 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/schemas/probability.js +930 -0
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/version.js +1 -1
- package/docs/README.md +1 -0
- package/docs/development.md +2 -0
- package/docs/probability.md +80 -0
- package/docs/research/probability-adapter-evidence.md +64 -0
- package/examples/clients/codex-config.toml +3 -0
- package/examples/clients/generic.json +8 -0
- package/examples/probability/adaptive-event-pool.json +92 -0
- package/examples/probability/adaptive-event-sequence-input.json +57 -0
- package/examples/probability/event-mtth-scenarios.json +57 -0
- package/examples/probability/event-mtth-simulate-input.json +37 -0
- package/examples/probability/focus-route-scenarios.json +61 -0
- package/examples/probability/focus-route-sweep-input.json +36 -0
- package/package.json +17 -8
- package/schemas/configuration.schema.json +747 -0
- package/schemas/continuous-focus-palette.schema.json +325 -0
- package/schemas/custom-weighted-pool.schema.json +298 -0
- package/schemas/event-feature-manifest.schema.json +63 -0
- package/schemas/focus-plan.schema.json +927 -0
- package/schemas/focus-planning-sidecar.schema.json +407 -0
- package/schemas/gui-animation-source.schema.json +176 -0
- package/schemas/gui-helper.schema.json +301 -0
- package/schemas/gui-scenario.schema.json +298 -0
- package/schemas/map-operation.schema.json +2284 -0
- package/schemas/operation-result.schema.json +327 -0
- package/schemas/probability-analysis-result.schema.json +2211 -0
- package/schemas/probability-compare-input.schema.json +664 -0
- package/schemas/probability-evaluate-input.schema.json +665 -0
- package/schemas/probability-inspect-input.schema.json +97 -0
- package/schemas/probability-render-input.schema.json +141 -0
- package/schemas/probability-scenario-set.schema.json +430 -0
- package/schemas/probability-sequence-input.schema.json +886 -0
- package/schemas/probability-simulate-input.schema.json +691 -0
- package/schemas/probability-sweep-input.schema.json +702 -0
- package/server.json +3 -3
- package/dist/hoi4_agent_tools/mcp/tools/chaosx.js +0 -530
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import { assignments, astPathFor, nodeLocation, } from '../core/source/index.js';
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import { Rational } from './rational.js';
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import { evaluateTriggerBlock } from './trigger-evaluator.js';
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function appendReference(evaluated, reference) {
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return {
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...evaluated,
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referencedProvenance: [reference, ...(evaluated.referencedProvenance ?? [])],
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};
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}
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function interval(value) {
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return { min: value, max: value };
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}
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function nodeProvenance(candidate, node, symbol) {
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const source = candidate.provenance[0];
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if (source === undefined || candidate.document === undefined)
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return source;
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const astPath = astPathFor(candidate.document, node);
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return {
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...source,
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location: nodeLocation(candidate.document, node, symbol),
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...(astPath === undefined ? {} : { astPath }),
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...(symbol === undefined ? {} : { symbol }),
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};
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}
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function conditionSignature(block) {
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const encode = (value) => assignments(value).map((assignment) => [
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assignment.key.value,
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assignment.operator.text,
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assignment.value.type === 'scalar' ? assignment.value.value : encode(assignment.value),
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]);
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const encoded = encode(block);
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return encoded.length === 0 ? 'always' : JSON.stringify(encoded);
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}
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function multiplyIntervals(left, right) {
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const products = [
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left.min.multiply(right.min),
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left.min.multiply(right.max),
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left.max.multiply(right.min),
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left.max.multiply(right.max),
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].sort((a, b) => a.compare(b));
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return { min: products[0], max: products.at(-1) };
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}
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function addIntervals(left, right) {
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return { min: left.min.add(right.min), max: left.max.add(right.max) };
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}
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function scenarioNumber(scenario, expression) {
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if (Object.hasOwn(scenario.state, expression))
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return scenario.state[expression];
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if (Object.hasOwn(scenario.state, `variable.${expression}`))
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return scenario.state[`variable.${expression}`];
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if (expression.startsWith('var:') &&
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Object.hasOwn(scenario.state, `variable.${expression.slice(4)}`))
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return scenario.state[`variable.${expression.slice(4)}`];
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return undefined;
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}
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function expressionValue(expression, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack) {
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const numeric = Rational.parse(expression);
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if (numeric !== undefined && Number.isFinite(numeric.toNumber()))
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return { value: numeric, interval: interval(numeric), trace: [], unresolved: [] };
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if (numeric !== undefined || /^(?:[+-]?(?:inf(?:inity)?|nan))$/iu.test(expression.trim()))
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return {
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trace: [],
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unresolved: [
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{
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code: 'VALUE_NON_FINITE',
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message: `Numeric expression ${expression} is outside finite analyzer range`,
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path: expression,
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candidateId: candidate.id,
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...(candidate.provenance[0] === undefined ? {} : { provenance: candidate.provenance[0] }),
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},
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],
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};
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if (expression.startsWith('@')) {
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const definition = definitions.localConstants
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.get(candidate.provenance[0]?.path ?? '')
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?.get(expression);
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if (definition !== undefined)
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return appendReference(expressionValue(definition.value, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack), {
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path: definition.file.displayPath,
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rootKind: definition.file.rootKind,
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loadOrder: definition.file.loadOrder,
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sourceHash: definition.file.sha256,
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location: nodeLocation(definition.document, definition.node, expression),
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...(astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) === undefined
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? {}
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: { astPath: astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) }),
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symbol: expression,
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});
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const inline = candidate.document === undefined
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? undefined
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: assignments(candidate.document.root, expression).find(({ value }) => value.type === 'scalar');
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if (inline?.value.type === 'scalar')
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return appendReference(expressionValue(inline.value.value, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack), {
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path: candidate.provenance[0]?.path ?? 'proposed:inline-probability-source.txt',
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rootKind: candidate.provenance[0]?.rootKind ?? 'fixture',
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loadOrder: candidate.provenance[0]?.loadOrder ?? 0,
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sourceHash: candidate.provenance[0]?.sourceHash ?? '',
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location: nodeLocation(candidate.document, inline, expression),
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...(astPathFor(candidate.document, inline) === undefined
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? {}
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: { astPath: astPathFor(candidate.document, inline) }),
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symbol: expression,
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});
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}
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if (expression.startsWith('constant:')) {
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const id = expression.slice('constant:'.length);
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const definition = definitions.scriptConstants.get(id);
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if (definition !== undefined)
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return appendReference(expressionValue(definition.value, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack), {
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path: definition.file.displayPath,
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rootKind: definition.file.rootKind,
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loadOrder: definition.file.loadOrder,
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sourceHash: definition.file.sha256,
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location: nodeLocation(definition.document, definition.node, id),
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...(astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) === undefined
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? {}
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: { astPath: astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) }),
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symbol: id,
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});
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}
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if (expression.startsWith('mtth:')) {
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const id = expression.slice('mtth:'.length);
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const definition = definitions.mtthVariables.get(id);
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if (definition !== undefined && !mtthStack.includes(id)) {
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const definitionCandidate = {
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...candidate,
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document: definition.document,
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provenance: [
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{
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path: definition.file.displayPath,
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rootKind: definition.file.rootKind,
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loadOrder: definition.file.loadOrder,
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sourceHash: definition.file.sha256,
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location: nodeLocation(definition.document, definition.node, id),
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...(astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) === undefined
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? {}
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: { astPath: astPathFor(definition.document, definition.node) }),
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symbol: id,
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helperChain: [...mtthStack, id],
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},
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...candidate.provenance,
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],
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};
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return appendReference(evaluateValueBlock(definition.value, definitionCandidate, scenario, definitions, Rational.one, [...mtthStack, id]), definitionCandidate.provenance[0]);
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}
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if (mtthStack.includes(id))
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return {
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trace: [],
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unresolved: [
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{
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code: 'MTTH_RECURSION',
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message: `MTTH variable recursion detected at ${id}`,
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candidateId: candidate.id,
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...(candidate.provenance[0] === undefined
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? {}
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: { provenance: candidate.provenance[0] }),
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},
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],
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};
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}
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const declared = scenarioNumber(scenario, expression);
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if (typeof declared === 'number' || typeof declared === 'string') {
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const parsed = Rational.parse(declared);
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if (parsed !== undefined)
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return { value: parsed, interval: interval(parsed), trace: [], unresolved: [] };
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}
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return {
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trace: [],
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unresolved: [
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{
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code: 'VALUE_UNRESOLVED',
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message: `Scenario or source definitions do not resolve numeric expression ${expression}`,
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path: expression,
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candidateId: candidate.id,
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...(candidate.provenance[0] === undefined ? {} : { provenance: candidate.provenance[0] }),
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},
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],
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};
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}
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function conditionBlock(block) {
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const operationKeys = new Set(['base', 'add', 'factor', 'days', 'months', 'years']);
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return {
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...block,
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entries: block.entries.filter((entry) => entry.type !== 'assignment' || !operationKeys.has(entry.key.value)),
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};
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}
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function applyOperation(current, operation, operand) {
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if (operation === 'base')
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return operand;
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return operation === 'add' ? addIntervals(current, operand) : multiplyIntervals(current, operand);
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}
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export function evaluateValueBlock(block, candidate, scenario, definitions, initial, mtthStack = []) {
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let current = interval(initial);
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const trace = [];
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const unresolved = [];
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const referencedProvenance = [];
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if (block === undefined)
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return { value: initial, interval: current, trace, unresolved };
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for (const assignment of assignments(block)) {
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if (assignment.value.type === 'scalar') {
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let operation;
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let unit = Rational.one;
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if (assignment.key.value === 'base')
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operation = 'base';
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else if (assignment.key.value === 'add')
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operation = 'add';
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else if (assignment.key.value === 'factor')
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operation = 'factor';
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else if (assignment.key.value === 'days')
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operation = 'add';
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else if (assignment.key.value === 'months') {
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operation = 'add';
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unit = new Rational(30n);
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}
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else if (assignment.key.value === 'years') {
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operation = 'add';
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unit = new Rational(365n);
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}
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if (operation === undefined)
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continue;
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const operand = expressionValue(assignment.value.value, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack);
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unresolved.push(...operand.unresolved);
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referencedProvenance.push(...(operand.referencedProvenance ?? []));
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if (operand.interval === undefined)
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continue;
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const scaled = multiplyIntervals(operand.interval, interval(unit));
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const before = current;
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current = applyOperation(current, operation, scaled);
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if (!Number.isFinite(current.min.toNumber()) || !Number.isFinite(current.max.toNumber())) {
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unresolved.push({
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code: 'VALUE_NON_FINITE',
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message: `${candidate.id} modifier chain exceeds finite analyzer range`,
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candidateId: candidate.id,
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...(nodeProvenance(candidate, assignment, assignment.key.value) === undefined
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? {}
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: { provenance: nodeProvenance(candidate, assignment, assignment.key.value) }),
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});
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return { trace, unresolved, referencedProvenance };
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}
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trace.push({
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operation,
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expression: assignment.value.value,
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applied: 'true',
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...(scaled.min.compare(scaled.max) === 0 ? { value: scaled.min.toJSON() } : {}),
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...(before.min.compare(before.max) === 0 ? { before: before.min.toJSON() } : {}),
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...(current.min.compare(current.max) === 0 ? { after: current.min.toJSON() } : {}),
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...(nodeProvenance(candidate, assignment, assignment.key.value) === undefined
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? {}
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: { provenance: nodeProvenance(candidate, assignment, assignment.key.value) }),
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});
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+
continue;
|
|
252
|
+
}
|
|
253
|
+
if (assignment.key.value !== 'modifier')
|
|
254
|
+
continue;
|
|
255
|
+
const modifier = assignment.value;
|
|
256
|
+
const condition = evaluateTriggerBlock(conditionBlock(modifier), scenario, candidate, definitions);
|
|
257
|
+
const conditionExpression = conditionSignature(conditionBlock(modifier));
|
|
258
|
+
unresolved.push(...condition.unresolved);
|
|
259
|
+
referencedProvenance.push(...(condition.helperProvenance ?? []));
|
|
260
|
+
for (const modifierAssignment of assignments(modifier)) {
|
|
261
|
+
if (modifierAssignment.value.type !== 'scalar' ||
|
|
262
|
+
!['base', 'add', 'factor'].includes(modifierAssignment.key.value))
|
|
263
|
+
continue;
|
|
264
|
+
const operation = modifierAssignment.key.value;
|
|
265
|
+
const expression = modifierAssignment.value.value;
|
|
266
|
+
const operand = expressionValue(expression, candidate, scenario, definitions, mtthStack);
|
|
267
|
+
unresolved.push(...operand.unresolved);
|
|
268
|
+
referencedProvenance.push(...(operand.referencedProvenance ?? []));
|
|
269
|
+
if (operand.interval === undefined || condition.state === 'false') {
|
|
270
|
+
trace.push({
|
|
271
|
+
operation,
|
|
272
|
+
expression,
|
|
273
|
+
applied: condition.state,
|
|
274
|
+
conditionExpression,
|
|
275
|
+
...(nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value) ===
|
|
276
|
+
undefined
|
|
277
|
+
? {}
|
|
278
|
+
: {
|
|
279
|
+
provenance: nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value),
|
|
280
|
+
}),
|
|
281
|
+
});
|
|
282
|
+
continue;
|
|
283
|
+
}
|
|
284
|
+
const before = current;
|
|
285
|
+
const applied = applyOperation(current, operation, operand.interval);
|
|
286
|
+
current =
|
|
287
|
+
condition.state === 'true'
|
|
288
|
+
? applied
|
|
289
|
+
: {
|
|
290
|
+
min: current.min.min(applied.min),
|
|
291
|
+
max: current.max.max(applied.max),
|
|
292
|
+
};
|
|
293
|
+
if (!Number.isFinite(current.min.toNumber()) || !Number.isFinite(current.max.toNumber())) {
|
|
294
|
+
unresolved.push({
|
|
295
|
+
code: 'VALUE_NON_FINITE',
|
|
296
|
+
message: `${candidate.id} modifier chain exceeds finite analyzer range`,
|
|
297
|
+
candidateId: candidate.id,
|
|
298
|
+
...(nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value) ===
|
|
299
|
+
undefined
|
|
300
|
+
? {}
|
|
301
|
+
: {
|
|
302
|
+
provenance: nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value),
|
|
303
|
+
}),
|
|
304
|
+
});
|
|
305
|
+
return { trace, unresolved, referencedProvenance };
|
|
306
|
+
}
|
|
307
|
+
trace.push({
|
|
308
|
+
operation,
|
|
309
|
+
expression,
|
|
310
|
+
applied: condition.state,
|
|
311
|
+
conditionExpression,
|
|
312
|
+
...(condition.helperProvenance?.length
|
|
313
|
+
? {
|
|
314
|
+
note: `Condition helper chain: ${condition.helperProvenance
|
|
315
|
+
.map(({ symbol }) => symbol)
|
|
316
|
+
.filter(Boolean)
|
|
317
|
+
.join(' -> ')}`,
|
|
318
|
+
}
|
|
319
|
+
: {}),
|
|
320
|
+
...(operand.interval.min.compare(operand.interval.max) === 0
|
|
321
|
+
? { value: operand.interval.min.toJSON() }
|
|
322
|
+
: {}),
|
|
323
|
+
...(before.min.compare(before.max) === 0 ? { before: before.min.toJSON() } : {}),
|
|
324
|
+
...(current.min.compare(current.max) === 0 ? { after: current.min.toJSON() } : {}),
|
|
325
|
+
...(nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value) ===
|
|
326
|
+
undefined
|
|
327
|
+
? {}
|
|
328
|
+
: {
|
|
329
|
+
provenance: nodeProvenance(candidate, modifierAssignment, modifierAssignment.key.value),
|
|
330
|
+
}),
|
|
331
|
+
});
|
|
332
|
+
}
|
|
333
|
+
}
|
|
334
|
+
return {
|
|
335
|
+
...(current.min.compare(current.max) === 0 ? { value: current.min } : {}),
|
|
336
|
+
interval: current,
|
|
337
|
+
trace,
|
|
338
|
+
unresolved,
|
|
339
|
+
...(referencedProvenance.length === 0 ? {} : { referencedProvenance }),
|
|
340
|
+
};
|
|
341
|
+
}
|
|
342
|
+
export function evaluateCandidateValue(candidate, scenario, definitions) {
|
|
343
|
+
const initialExpression = candidate.valueExpression ?? candidate.defaultValue;
|
|
344
|
+
const initial = expressionValue(initialExpression, candidate, scenario, definitions, []);
|
|
345
|
+
if (initial.interval === undefined)
|
|
346
|
+
return initial;
|
|
347
|
+
const evaluated = evaluateValueBlock(candidate.weightBlock, candidate, scenario, definitions, initial.interval.min);
|
|
348
|
+
return {
|
|
349
|
+
...evaluated,
|
|
350
|
+
trace: [...initial.trace, ...evaluated.trace],
|
|
351
|
+
unresolved: [...initial.unresolved, ...evaluated.unresolved],
|
|
352
|
+
referencedProvenance: [
|
|
353
|
+
...(initial.referencedProvenance ?? []),
|
|
354
|
+
...(evaluated.referencedProvenance ?? []),
|
|
355
|
+
],
|
|
356
|
+
};
|
|
357
|
+
}
|