grimoire-framework 1.0.0

package/.grimoire/infrastructure/scripts/modification-risk-assessment.js

@@ -0,0 +1,970 @@
+const fs = require('fs').promises;
+const path = require('path');
+const chalk = require('chalk');
+
+/**
+ * Modification risk assessment for Grimoire framework
+ * Evaluates modification risks across multiple dimensions
+ */
+class ModificationRiskAssessment {
+  constructor(options = {}) {
+    this.rootPath = options.rootPath || process.cwd();
+    this.riskFactors = new Map();
+    this.riskProfiles = new Map();
+    this.assessmentHistory = [];
+    this.riskThresholds = {
+      low: { min: 0, max: 3 },
+      medium: { min: 3, max: 6 },
+      high: { min: 6, max: 8 },
+      critical: { min: 8, max: 10 },
+    };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess risks for a component modification
+   */
+  async assessRisks(targetComponent, analysisData, options = {}) {
+    const assessmentId = `risk-${Date.now()}`;
+    
+    try {
+      console.log(chalk.blue(`⚠️ Assessing modification risks for: ${targetComponent.path}`));
+      
+      const config = {
+        riskThreshold: options.riskThreshold || 'medium',
+        includeMitigations: options.includeMitigations !== false,
+        assessmentDepth: options.assessmentDepth || 'comprehensive', 
+        modificationType: options.modificationType || 'modify',
+        ...options,
+      };
+
+      // Analyze risk factors across multiple dimensions
+      const riskDimensions = await this.analyzeRiskDimensions(targetComponent, analysisData, config);
+      
+      // Calculate overall risk score
+      const overallRisk = this.calculateOverallRisk(riskDimensions);
+      
+      // Identify critical issues
+      const criticalIssues = this.identifyCriticalIssues(riskDimensions, analysisData);
+      
+      // Generate risk factors list
+      const riskFactors = this.generateRiskFactors(riskDimensions, analysisData);
+      
+      // Create risk mitigation recommendations
+      const recommendations = await this.generateRiskRecommendations(
+        targetComponent,
+        riskDimensions,
+        criticalIssues,
+        config,
+      );
+      
+      // Generate risk timeline and impact projection
+      const riskProjection = await this.generateRiskProjection(
+        targetComponent,
+        riskDimensions,
+        analysisData,
+        config,
+      );
+
+      const assessment = {
+        assessmentId: assessmentId,
+        targetComponent: {
+          path: targetComponent.path,
+          type: targetComponent.type,
+        },
+        modificationType: config.modificationType,
+        overallRisk: overallRisk.level,
+        riskScore: overallRisk.score,
+        riskDimensions: riskDimensions,
+        criticalIssues: criticalIssues,
+        riskFactors: riskFactors,
+        recommendations: recommendations,
+        riskProjection: riskProjection,
+        assessmentMetadata: {
+          threshold: config.riskThreshold,
+          depth: config.assessmentDepth,
+          timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
+        },
+      };
+
+      // Store assessment for tracking
+      this.assessmentHistory.push({
+        assessmentId: assessmentId,
+        componentPath: targetComponent.path,
+        riskLevel: overallRisk.level,
+        riskScore: overallRisk.score,
+        timestamp: assessment.assessmentMetadata.timestamp,
+      });
+
+      console.log(chalk.green('✅ Risk assessment completed'));
+      console.log(chalk.gray(`   Overall risk: ${this.formatRiskLevel(overallRisk.level)}`));
+      console.log(chalk.gray(`   Critical issues: ${criticalIssues.length}`));
+      console.log(chalk.gray(`   Recommendations: ${recommendations.length}`));
+
+      return assessment;
+
+    } catch (error) {
+      console.error(chalk.red(`Risk assessment failed: ${error.message}`));
+      throw error;
+    }
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Analyze risk across multiple dimensions
+   */
+  async analyzeRiskDimensions(targetComponent, analysisData, config) {
+    const dimensions = {
+      dependency_risk: await this.assessDependencyRisk(targetComponent, analysisData.dependencyImpact),
+      propagation_risk: await this.assessPropagationRisk(targetComponent, analysisData.propagationAnalysis),
+      structural_risk: await this.assessStructuralRisk(targetComponent, config),
+      operational_risk: await this.assessOperationalRisk(targetComponent, analysisData, config),
+      security_risk: await this.assessSecurityRisk(targetComponent, config),
+      compatibility_risk: await this.assessCompatibilityRisk(targetComponent, analysisData, config),
+      rollback_risk: await this.assessRollbackRisk(targetComponent, config),
+      testing_risk: await this.assessTestingRisk(targetComponent, analysisData),
+    };
+
+    return dimensions;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess dependency-related risks
+   */
+  async assessDependencyRisk(targetComponent, dependencyImpact) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk from component dependencies and dependents',
+    };
+
+    if (!dependencyImpact) {
+      risk.score = 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Dependency analysis not available');
+      return risk;
+    }
+
+    // High number of affected components increases risk
+    const affectedCount = dependencyImpact.affectedComponents.length;
+    if (affectedCount > 20) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push(`High number of affected components (${affectedCount})`);
+    } else if (affectedCount > 10) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`Moderate number of affected components (${affectedCount})`);
+    } else if (affectedCount > 5) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push(`Some affected components (${affectedCount})`);
+    }
+
+    // Critical and high impact components increase risk
+    const criticalComponents = dependencyImpact.impactCategories?.critical?.length || 0;
+    const highImpactComponents = dependencyImpact.impactCategories?.high?.length || 0;
+
+    if (criticalComponents > 0) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push(`${criticalComponents} critical impact components`);
+    }
+
+    if (highImpactComponents > 0) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`${highImpactComponents} high impact components`);
+    }
+
+    // Framework core dependencies are high risk
+    const frameworkCoreComponents = dependencyImpact.affectedComponents.filter(comp => 
+      comp.path.includes('grimoire') && comp.impactScore >= 7,
+    ).length;
+
+    if (frameworkCoreComponents > 0) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`${frameworkCoreComponents} framework core dependencies affected`);
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess change propagation risks
+   */
+  async assessPropagationRisk(targetComponent, propagationAnalysis) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk from change propagation through system',
+    };
+
+    if (!propagationAnalysis) {
+      risk.score = 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Propagation analysis not available');
+      return risk;
+    }
+
+    // Deep propagation increases risk
+    const maxDepth = propagationAnalysis.statistics?.maxDepth || 0;
+    if (maxDepth >= 5) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push(`Very deep propagation (depth: ${maxDepth})`);
+    } else if (maxDepth >= 3) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`Deep propagation (depth: ${maxDepth})`);
+    } else if (maxDepth >= 2) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push(`Moderate propagation (depth: ${maxDepth})`);
+    }
+
+    // Many cascading effects increase risk
+    const cascadingCount = propagationAnalysis.cascadingEffects?.length || 0;
+    if (cascadingCount > 10) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`Many cascading effects (${cascadingCount})`);
+    } else if (cascadingCount > 5) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push(`Some cascading effects (${cascadingCount})`);
+    }
+
+    // Breaking changes in propagation
+    const breakingChanges = [...(propagationAnalysis.directEffects || []), ...(propagationAnalysis.cascadingEffects || [])]
+      .filter(effect => effect.changeType?.severity === 'breaking').length;
+    
+    if (breakingChanges > 0) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push(`${breakingChanges} breaking changes in propagation`);
+    }
+
+    // Critical propagation paths
+    const criticalPaths = propagationAnalysis.criticalPaths?.length || 0;
+    if (criticalPaths > 0) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push(`${criticalPaths} critical propagation paths identified`);
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess structural risks
+   */
+  async assessStructuralRisk(targetComponent, config) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk from structural component changes',
+    };
+
+    // Component type risk
+    switch (targetComponent.type) {
+      case 'agent':
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Agent modification affects system behavior');
+        break;
+      case 'workflow':
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Workflow modification affects process flow');
+        break;
+      case 'util':
+        if (targetComponent.path.includes('core') || targetComponent.path.includes('utils')) {
+          risk.score += 3;
+          risk.factors.push('Core utility modification affects multiple components');
+        } else {
+          risk.score += 1;
+          risk.factors.push('Utility modification has moderate impact');
+        }
+        break;
+      case 'task':
+        risk.score += 1;
+        risk.factors.push('Task modification has localized impact');
+        break;
+    }
+
+    // Modification type risk
+    switch (config.modificationType) {
+      case 'remove':
+        risk.score += 4;
+        risk.factors.push('Component removal is high-risk');
+        break;
+      case 'deprecate':
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Component deprecation requires migration planning');
+        break;
+      case 'refactor':
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Refactoring may introduce breaking changes');
+        break;
+      case 'modify':
+        risk.score += 1;
+        risk.factors.push('Modification may affect component behavior');
+        break;
+    }
+
+    // File size and complexity risk
+    try {
+      const stats = await fs.stat(targetComponent.fullPath || targetComponent.path);
+      if (stats.size > 50000) { // Large files are riskier to modify
+        risk.score += 1;
+        risk.factors.push('Large file size increases modification risk');
+      }
+    } catch (error) {
+      // File stats not available
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess operational risks
+   */
+  async assessOperationalRisk(targetComponent, analysisData, config) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk to operational stability and performance',
+    };
+
+    // Production usage risk
+    if (targetComponent.path.includes('agent') || targetComponent.path.includes('workflow')) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Component likely used in production workflows');
+    }
+
+    // Performance impact risk
+    if (targetComponent.type === 'util' && targetComponent.path.includes('core')) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Core utility changes may impact performance');
+    }
+
+    // Memory and resource usage changes
+    if (config.modificationType === 'refactor' || config.modificationType === 'modify') {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Changes may affect resource usage patterns');
+    }
+
+    // Error handling and recovery
+    const hasErrorHandling = targetComponent.content && 
+      (targetComponent.content.includes('try') || targetComponent.content.includes('catch'));
+    
+    if (!hasErrorHandling && targetComponent.type !== 'task') {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Component lacks comprehensive error handling');
+    }
+
+    // Monitoring and observability
+    const hasLogging = targetComponent.content && 
+      (targetComponent.content.includes('console.log') || targetComponent.content.includes('logger'));
+    
+    if (!hasLogging && (targetComponent.type === 'agent' || targetComponent.type === 'workflow')) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Limited observability for operational monitoring');
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess security risks
+   */
+  async assessSecurityRisk(targetComponent, config) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Security-related modification risks',
+    };
+
+    // File system access
+    if (targetComponent.content && targetComponent.content.includes('fs.')) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Component has file system access');
+    }
+
+    // External network access
+    if (targetComponent.content && 
+        (targetComponent.content.includes('http') || targetComponent.content.includes('fetch') || 
+         targetComponent.content.includes('axios'))) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Component makes external network requests');
+    }
+
+    // Process execution
+    if (targetComponent.content && 
+        (targetComponent.content.includes('exec') || targetComponent.content.includes('spawn'))) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push('Component executes external processes');
+    }
+
+    // User input handling
+    if (targetComponent.content && 
+        (targetComponent.content.includes('input') || targetComponent.content.includes('prompt'))) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Component handles user input');
+    }
+
+    // Removal of security components
+    if (config.modificationType === 'remove' && 
+        (targetComponent.path.includes('security') || targetComponent.path.includes('validation'))) {
+      risk.score += 4;
+      risk.factors.push('Removing security-related component');
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess compatibility risks
+   */
+  async assessCompatibilityRisk(targetComponent, analysisData, config) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk to backward and forward compatibility',
+    };
+
+    // API changes
+    if (targetComponent.content && 
+        (targetComponent.content.includes('module.exports') || targetComponent.content.includes('export'))) {
+      if (config.modificationType === 'refactor' || config.modificationType === 'modify') {
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Modification may change public API');
+      }
+    }
+
+    // Configuration changes
+    if (targetComponent.type === 'agent' || targetComponent.type === 'workflow') {
+      if (config.modificationType !== 'remove') {
+        risk.score += 1;
+        risk.factors.push('Configuration changes may break existing setups');
+      }
+    }
+
+    // Version compatibility
+    if (config.modificationType === 'remove' || config.modificationType === 'deprecate') {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push('Change affects version compatibility');
+    }
+
+    // Framework evolution compatibility
+    if (targetComponent.path.includes('core') || targetComponent.path.includes('utils')) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Core component changes affect framework evolution');
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess rollback risks
+   */
+  async assessRollbackRisk(targetComponent, config) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk and difficulty of rolling back changes',
+    };
+
+    // Complex changes are harder to rollback
+    if (config.modificationType === 'refactor') {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Refactoring changes are complex to rollback');
+    }
+
+    // Removal is difficult to rollback
+    if (config.modificationType === 'remove') {
+      risk.score += 4;
+      risk.factors.push('Component removal difficult to rollback');
+    }
+
+    // Multiple file dependencies
+    const hasMultipleDependencies = targetComponent.content && 
+      (targetComponent.content.match(/require\s*\(/g) || []).length > 5;
+    
+    if (hasMultipleDependencies) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Multiple dependencies complicate rollback');
+    }
+
+    // State changes
+    if (targetComponent.type === 'workflow' || targetComponent.type === 'agent') {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('State changes may persist after rollback');
+    }
+
+    // Database or persistent storage
+    if (targetComponent.content && 
+        (targetComponent.content.includes('database') || targetComponent.content.includes('storage'))) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Persistent storage changes complicate rollback');
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Assess testing-related risks
+   */
+  async assessTestingRisk(targetComponent, analysisData) {
+    const risk = {
+      score: 0,
+      factors: [],
+      severity: 'low',
+      description: 'Risk from insufficient or outdated testing',
+    };
+
+    // Check if component has tests
+    const testFiles = await this.findComponentTestFiles(targetComponent);
+    
+    if (testFiles.length === 0) {
+      risk.score += 3;
+      risk.factors.push('No existing tests found for component');
+    } else if (testFiles.length < 2) {
+      risk.score += 1;
+      risk.factors.push('Limited test coverage');
+    }
+
+    // Complex components without comprehensive tests
+    if (targetComponent.content) {
+      const functionCount = (targetComponent.content.match(/function\s+\w+/g) || []).length;
+      const methodCount = (targetComponent.content.match(/\w+\s*\([^)]*\)\s*{/g) || []).length;
+      
+      if ((functionCount + methodCount) > 5 && testFiles.length < 2) {
+        risk.score += 2;
+        risk.factors.push('Complex component with insufficient tests');
+      }
+    }
+
+    // Integration testing gap
+    const hasIntegrationTests = testFiles.some(test => test.includes('integration'));
+    if (!hasIntegrationTests && (targetComponent.type === 'agent' || targetComponent.type === 'workflow')) {
+      risk.score += 2;
+      risk.factors.push('Missing integration tests for critical component');
+    }
+
+    risk.score = Math.min(10, risk.score);
+    risk.severity = this.scoresToSeverity(risk.score);
+
+    return risk;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Calculate overall risk from all dimensions
+   */
+  calculateOverallRisk(riskDimensions) {
+    const dimensionWeights = {
+      dependency_risk: 0.2,
+      propagation_risk: 0.18,
+      structural_risk: 0.15,
+      operational_risk: 0.12,
+      security_risk: 0.15,
+      compatibility_risk: 0.1,
+      rollback_risk: 0.05,
+      testing_risk: 0.05,
+    };
+
+    let weightedScore = 0;
+    let totalWeight = 0;
+
+    for (const [dimension, weight] of Object.entries(dimensionWeights)) {
+      if (riskDimensions[dimension]) {
+        weightedScore += riskDimensions[dimension].score * weight;
+        totalWeight += weight;
+      }
+    }
+
+    const overallScore = totalWeight > 0 ? weightedScore / totalWeight : 0;
+    const roundedScore = Math.round(overallScore * 10) / 10;
+    
+    return {
+      score: roundedScore,
+      level: this.scoresToRiskLevel(roundedScore),
+    };
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Identify critical issues requiring immediate attention
+   */
+  identifyCriticalIssues(riskDimensions, analysisData) {
+    const criticalIssues = [];
+
+    // Check each dimension for critical severity
+    for (const [dimension, riskData] of Object.entries(riskDimensions)) {
+      if (riskData.severity === 'critical' || riskData.score >= 8) {
+        criticalIssues.push({
+          dimension: dimension,
+          severity: 'critical',
+          score: riskData.score,
+          description: riskData.description,
+          factors: riskData.factors,
+        });
+      }
+    }
+
+    // Special critical conditions
+    if (analysisData.dependencyImpact?.impactCategories?.critical?.length > 0) {
+      criticalIssues.push({
+        dimension: 'dependency_critical',
+        severity: 'critical',
+        score: 9,
+        description: 'Critical components affected by modification',
+        factors: [`${analysisData.dependencyImpact.impactCategories.critical.length} critical dependencies`],
+      });
+    }
+
+    if (analysisData.propagationAnalysis?.criticalPaths?.length > 2) {
+      criticalIssues.push({
+        dimension: 'propagation_critical',
+        severity: 'critical',  
+        score: 8,
+        description: 'Multiple critical propagation paths detected',
+        factors: [`${analysisData.propagationAnalysis.criticalPaths.length} critical paths`],
+      });
+    }
+
+    return criticalIssues;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Generate comprehensive risk factors list
+   */
+  generateRiskFactors(riskDimensions, analysisData) {
+    const riskFactors = [];
+
+    for (const [dimension, riskData] of Object.entries(riskDimensions)) {
+      if (riskData.score > 0) {
+        riskFactors.push({
+          category: dimension.replace('_risk', ''),
+          severity: riskData.severity,
+          score: riskData.score,
+          description: riskData.description,
+          factors: riskData.factors,
+        });
+      }
+    }
+
+    return riskFactors.sort((a, b) => b.score - a.score);
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Generate risk mitigation recommendations
+   */
+  async generateRiskRecommendations(targetComponent, riskDimensions, criticalIssues, config) {
+    const recommendations = [];
+
+    // Critical issue recommendations
+    if (criticalIssues.length > 0) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'critical',
+        title: 'Address Critical Risk Issues',
+        description: `${criticalIssues.length} critical issues identified that require immediate attention`,
+        actions: [
+          'Review all critical issues before proceeding',
+          'Implement additional safeguards for high-risk areas',
+          'Consider staged rollout or additional testing',
+          'Ensure comprehensive rollback plan is in place',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'high',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Dependency risk recommendations
+    if (riskDimensions.dependency_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'high',
+        title: 'Mitigate Dependency Risks',
+        description: 'High dependency risk requires careful coordination',
+        actions: [
+          'Review all affected components before modification',
+          'Implement gradual rollout to minimize impact',
+          'Ensure dependent components have adequate tests',
+          'Create communication plan for affected teams',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'medium',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Propagation risk recommendations
+    if (riskDimensions.propagation_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'high',
+        title: 'Control Change Propagation',
+        description: 'Deep change propagation requires careful management',
+        actions: [
+          'Implement change in phases to limit propagation',
+          'Add circuit breakers for cascading effects',
+          'Monitor propagation paths during rollout',
+          'Prepare targeted rollback for each propagation level',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'medium',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Security risk recommendations
+    if (riskDimensions.security_risk?.score >= 5) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'high',
+        title: 'Review Security Implications',
+        description: 'Security-sensitive component requires additional review',
+        actions: [
+          'Conduct security review of modifications',
+          'Validate input handling and sanitization',
+          'Review access controls and permissions',
+          'Test security boundaries and edge cases',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'high',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Testing risk recommendations
+    if (riskDimensions.testing_risk?.score >= 5) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'medium',
+        title: 'Improve Test Coverage',
+        description: 'Insufficient testing increases modification risk',
+        actions: [
+          'Add comprehensive unit tests before modification',
+          'Implement integration tests for component interactions',
+          'Add end-to-end tests for critical workflows',
+          'Set up monitoring and alerting for post-modification validation',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'medium',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Rollback risk recommendations
+    if (riskDimensions.rollback_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'medium',
+        title: 'Prepare Comprehensive Rollback Plan',
+        description: 'Complex changes require detailed rollback preparation',
+        actions: [
+          'Create step-by-step rollback procedures',
+          'Test rollback process in staging environment',
+          'Prepare data backup and restoration procedures',
+          'Document rollback decision criteria and triggers',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'medium',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // General recommendations based on modification type
+    if (config.modificationType === 'remove') {
+      recommendations.push({
+        priority: 'high',
+        title: 'Component Removal Strategy',
+        description: 'Component removal requires careful migration planning',
+        actions: [
+          'Provide migration guide for dependent components',
+          'Implement deprecation warnings in advance',
+          'Offer alternative component recommendations',
+          'Establish sunset timeline with clear milestones',
+        ],
+        risk_reduction: 'high',
+      });
+    }
+
+    return recommendations;
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Generate risk projection and timeline
+   */
+  async generateRiskProjection(targetComponent, riskDimensions, analysisData, config) {
+    const projection = {
+      immediate_risks: [],
+      short_term_risks: [],
+      long_term_risks: [],
+      risk_timeline: [],
+      risk_evolution: {},
+    };
+
+    // Immediate risks (0-24 hours)
+    if (riskDimensions.operational_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      projection.immediate_risks.push({
+        risk: 'operational_disruption',
+        probability: 'medium',
+        impact: 'high',
+        description: 'Immediate operational impact from component changes',
+      });
+    }
+
+    if (riskDimensions.security_risk?.score >= 7) {
+      projection.immediate_risks.push({
+        risk: 'security_vulnerability',
+        probability: 'low',
+        impact: 'critical',
+        description: 'Potential security vulnerabilities from modification',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Short-term risks (1-7 days)
+    if (riskDimensions.dependency_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      projection.short_term_risks.push({
+        risk: 'dependency_failures',
+        probability: 'medium',
+        impact: 'high',
+        description: 'Dependent components may fail after modification',
+      });
+    }
+
+    if (riskDimensions.propagation_risk?.score >= 6) {
+      projection.short_term_risks.push({
+        risk: 'cascading_effects',
+        probability: 'medium',
+        impact: 'medium',
+        description: 'Cascading effects may emerge in dependent systems',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Long-term risks (1+ weeks)
+    if (riskDimensions.compatibility_risk?.score >= 5) {
+      projection.long_term_risks.push({
+        risk: 'compatibility_degradation',
+        probability: 'low',
+        impact: 'medium',
+        description: 'Long-term compatibility issues may emerge',
+      });
+    }
+
+    // Risk timeline
+    const riskEvents = [
+      { time: 'T+0h', event: 'Modification applied', risk_level: riskDimensions.structural_risk?.score || 0 },
+      { time: 'T+1h', event: 'Immediate effects manifest', risk_level: riskDimensions.operational_risk?.score || 0 },
+      { time: 'T+24h', event: 'Dependency effects emerge', risk_level: riskDimensions.dependency_risk?.score || 0 },
+      { time: 'T+1w', event: 'Propagation effects stabilize', risk_level: riskDimensions.propagation_risk?.score || 0 },
+      { time: 'T+1m', event: 'Long-term stability assessment', risk_level: Math.max(riskDimensions.compatibility_risk?.score || 0, 2) },
+    ];
+
+    projection.risk_timeline = riskEvents;
+
+    // Risk evolution patterns
+    projection.risk_evolution = {
+      peak_risk_period: 'T+1h to T+24h',
+      stabilization_period: 'T+1w',
+      risk_decay_rate: this.calculateRiskDecayRate(riskDimensions),
+      monitoring_period: this.calculateMonitoringPeriod(riskDimensions),
+    };
+
+    return projection;
+  }
+
+  // Helper methods
+
+  async findComponentTestFiles(component) {
+    const testFiles = [];
+    const possibleTestPaths = [
+      path.join(this.rootPath, 'tests', 'unit', component.type, `${component.name}.test.js`),
+      path.join(this.rootPath, 'tests', 'integration', component.type, `${component.name}.integration.test.js`),
+      path.join(this.rootPath, 'test', `${component.name}.test.js`),
+    ];
+
+    for (const testPath of possibleTestPaths) {
+      try {
+        await fs.access(testPath);
+        testFiles.push(testPath);
+      } catch (error) {
+        // File doesn't exist
+      }
+    }
+
+    return testFiles;
+  }
+
+  scoresToSeverity(score) {
+    if (score >= 8) return 'critical';
+    if (score >= 6) return 'high';
+    if (score >= 3) return 'medium';
+    return 'low';
+  }
+
+  scoresToRiskLevel(score) {
+    if (score >= 8) return 'critical';
+    if (score >= 6) return 'high';
+    if (score >= 3) return 'medium';
+    return 'low';
+  }
+
+  formatRiskLevel(riskLevel) {
+    const colors = {
+      low: chalk.green,
+      medium: chalk.yellow,
+      high: chalk.red,
+      critical: chalk.red.bold,
+    };
+    return colors[riskLevel] ? colors[riskLevel](riskLevel.toUpperCase()) : riskLevel;
+  }
+
+  calculateRiskDecayRate(riskDimensions) {
+    // Higher structural and operational risks decay slower
+    const structuralWeight = riskDimensions.structural_risk?.score || 0;
+    const operationalWeight = riskDimensions.operational_risk?.score || 0;
+    
+    const avgWeight = (structuralWeight + operationalWeight) / 2;
+    
+    if (avgWeight >= 7) return 'slow';
+    if (avgWeight >= 4) return 'medium';
+    return 'fast';
+  }
+
+  calculateMonitoringPeriod(riskDimensions) {
+    const maxRisk = Math.max(...Object.values(riskDimensions).map(risk => risk.score));
+    
+    if (maxRisk >= 8) return '1 month';
+    if (maxRisk >= 6) return '2 weeks';
+    if (maxRisk >= 4) return '1 week';
+    return '3 days';
+  }
+
+  /**
+   * Get assessment history
+   */
+  getAssessmentHistory() {
+    return {
+      total_assessments: this.assessmentHistory.length,
+      risk_distribution: this.calculateRiskDistribution(),
+      recent_assessments: this.assessmentHistory.slice(-10),
+      average_risk_score: this.calculateAverageRiskScore(),
+    };
+  }
+
+  calculateRiskDistribution() {
+    const distribution = { low: 0, medium: 0, high: 0, critical: 0 };
+    
+    this.assessmentHistory.forEach(assessment => {
+      distribution[assessment.riskLevel]++;
+    });
+    
+    return distribution;
+  }
+
+  calculateAverageRiskScore() {
+    if (this.assessmentHistory.length === 0) return 0;
+    
+    const totalScore = this.assessmentHistory.reduce((sum, assessment) => sum + assessment.riskScore, 0);
+    return Math.round((totalScore / this.assessmentHistory.length) * 10) / 10;
+  }
+}
+
+module.exports = ModificationRiskAssessment;