elanous 0.2.19 → 0.2.21

package/src/self-dev/draft-sweep.ts

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 import { CLAIM_IDLE_HOURS, PR_LABELS, STALLED_DRAFT_HOURS } from '../github/pr-labels.js';
 import { debug } from '../debug/log.js';
-import { decideDraft, sameGoalPr, type DraftTriagePr } from './draft-triage-rules.js';
+import { decideDraft, laterMergedTwins, sameGoalPr, type DraftTriagePr } from './draft-triage-rules.js';
+import { branchLineageSlug } from '../cli/pr-lineage.js';
 
 export interface SweepDraft extends DraftTriagePr {
   readonly title: string;
@@ -13,12 +14,17 @@ export interface SweepDraft extends DraftTriagePr {
 
 export interface SweepMergedPr extends DraftTriagePr {
   readonly title: string;
+  readonly createdAt?: string;
+  readonly mergedAt?: string;
+  readonly labels?: readonly string[];
 }
 
 export interface DraftSweepAdapters {
   /** Each call returns one complete page; a rejection must not be mistaken for an empty page. */
   listDrafts(page: number, perPage: number, repository: string): Promise<readonly SweepDraft[]>;
   listMerged(page: number, perPage: number, repository: string): Promise<readonly SweepMergedPr[]>;
+  /** Complete closed PR inventory for the creation cohort (including closed without merge). */
+  listRecentClosed?(repository: string, createdSince: Date): Promise<readonly SweepMergedPr[]>;
   /** Undefined means no run assessment; a merged twin or 24h idle draft can still authorize a close. */
   getRunStatus(draft: SweepDraft, repository: string): Promise<string | undefined>;
   /** Undefined means liveness could not be established. */
@@ -27,6 +33,8 @@ export interface DraftSweepAdapters {
   closeDraft(repository: string, number: number, comment: string): Promise<void>;
   /** Resolve the latest claim comment owner; a failed lookup must not authorize a close. */
   getClaimOwner?(repository: string, number: number): Promise<string | undefined>;
+  /** Current owner, accounting for a later claim release; only draft metrics need this distinction. */
+  getActiveClaimOwner?(repository: string, number: number): Promise<string | undefined>;
   /** Whether the current owned run has a self-implement.result final observation, even if its worktree remains. */
   hasFinalRunResult?(draft: SweepDraft, repository: string): Promise<boolean | undefined>;
   /** Per-file last change on the draft branch; undefined means file coverage is unverified. */
@@ -38,6 +46,8 @@ export interface DraftSweepAdapters {
    * `review: 'pass'` is a review PASS; `mustFix` means must-fix remains; `gate: 'pass'` is a green gate.
    */
   getReviewGate?(draft: SweepDraft, repository: string): Promise<SweepReviewGate | undefined>;
+  /** One PR by number (any state); undefined means it could not be read. Only overlap metrics need it. */
+  getPr?(repository: string, number: number): Promise<SweepMergedPr | undefined>;
 }
 
 /** Review PASS and gate posture used only by the daily old-draft count. */
@@ -96,6 +106,307 @@ export interface DraftSweepDaily {
   readonly blocked: number;
 }
 
+/** Open harness drafts now; conversion is the 48h creation cohort, not the daily over-24h census. */
+export interface DraftMetrics {
+  readonly inventory: number;
+  readonly oldestAgeHours: number | null;
+  readonly needsOwner: number;
+  readonly converted48h: number;
+  readonly cohort48h: number;
+  readonly conversion48h: number | null;
+}
+
+export async function collectDraftMetrics(repository: string, adapters: Pick<DraftSweepAdapters, 'listDrafts' | 'listRecentClosed' | 'getActiveClaimOwner'>, now: Date): Promise<DraftMetrics> {
+  const clock = now.getTime();
+  if (!Number.isFinite(clock)) throw new Error('Invalid draft metric clock');
+  // A fixed, fully matured creation cohort: each PR has had its full 48h to land.
+  const cutoff = clock - 96 * 3_600_000;
+  const matured = clock - 48 * 3_600_000;
+  if (!adapters.listRecentClosed) throw new Error('48h closed cohort unavailable');
+  const [drafts, closed] = await Promise.all([
+    collectPages((page, size) => adapters.listDrafts(page, size, repository)),
+    adapters.listRecentClosed(repository, new Date(cutoff)),
+  ]);
+  const valid = (pr: SweepDraft | SweepMergedPr): boolean => Number.isInteger(pr.number) && pr.number > 0
+    && typeof pr.branch === 'string' && pr.branch.length > 0 && typeof pr.title === 'string'
+    && typeof pr.createdAt === 'string' && Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.createdAt));
+  if (drafts.some((pr) => !valid(pr) || !Array.isArray(pr.labels) || pr.labels.some((name) => typeof name !== 'string'))
+    || closed.some((pr) => !valid(pr)
+      || (pr.mergedAt !== undefined && !Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.mergedAt)))
+      || !Array.isArray(pr.labels) || pr.labels.some((name) => typeof name !== 'string')))
+    throw new Error('Incomplete draft metric inventory');
+  if (new Set(drafts.map((pr) => pr.number)).size !== drafts.length
+    || new Set(closed.map((pr) => pr.number)).size !== closed.length) throw new Error('Duplicate draft metric PR');
+  const open = drafts.filter(harnessDraft);
+  const owners = await Promise.all(open.map(async (draft) => {
+    if (!adapters.getActiveClaimOwner) throw new Error('Draft owner lookup unavailable');
+    const owner = await adapters.getActiveClaimOwner(repository, draft.number);
+    if (owner !== undefined && typeof owner !== 'string') throw new Error('Invalid draft claim owner');
+    return owner;
+  }));
+  const cohort = [...open.filter((pr) => Date.parse(pr.createdAt) >= cutoff && Date.parse(pr.createdAt) <= matured),
+    ...closed.filter((pr) => (pr.branch.startsWith('self-impl/') || pr.labels!.some((name) => name.startsWith('elanous:')))
+      && pr.createdAt && Date.parse(pr.createdAt) >= cutoff && Date.parse(pr.createdAt) <= matured)];
+  if (new Set(cohort.map((pr) => pr.number)).size !== cohort.length) throw new Error('Overlapping draft metric inventory');
+  const converted48h = cohort.filter((pr) => 'mergedAt' in pr && typeof pr.mergedAt === 'string'
+    && Date.parse(pr.mergedAt) >= Date.parse(pr.createdAt!) && Date.parse(pr.mergedAt) <= clock
+    && Date.parse(pr.mergedAt) - Date.parse(pr.createdAt!) <= 48 * 3_600_000).length;
+  return {
+    inventory: open.length,
+    oldestAgeHours: open.length ? Math.max(...open.map((pr) => Math.max(0, (clock - Date.parse(pr.createdAt)) / 3_600_000))) : null,
+    needsOwner: owners.filter((owner) => !owner?.trim()).length,
+    converted48h,
+    cohort48h: cohort.length,
+    conversion48h: cohort.length ? converted48h / cohort.length : null,
+  };
+}
+
+/** One `dev-pipeline` `ask-preflight` observation (written by ask-launch-flow before each launch). */
+export interface OverlapPreflightRow {
+  /** ISO time as the log store returns it; anything unparseable makes the source incomplete. */
+  readonly ts: unknown;
+  /** Either the payload itself, or a Pod-forwarded wrapper `{ origin: 'pod', originalData: '<json>' }`. */
+  readonly data: Record<string, unknown> | null;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Overlap launches = ask runs launched in the last 24h (no blocker, or forced past them) whose preflight
+ * names a concrete overlap: an `open-pr` / `sibling-pr` warning naming `#N`, or a `live-run` warning naming a run.
+ * The second sibling is this launch's own PR (branch run suffix `-r<runId[0..6]>`), else the PR on the warned sibling's lineage,
+ * else (DRAFT-NOT-ARCHIVE `needs-owner-only`) a `salvaged` salvage branch of the same run or lineage with no PR yet —
+ * linked as «salvaged — not landed», never auto-landed; once that branch gets a PR, the PR's merge counts as usual.
+ * ⛔ `null` is «unmeasured», never «zero»:
+ * - source incomplete (rows unreadable, zero rows, or a row whose payload cannot be parsed) ⇒ every count null, `sourceIncomplete`;
+ * - a launch with no proof whose scan was blind (open-PR scan capped/unknown, live-run scan unknown, no planned paths) ⇒ `unmeasured`, not «no overlap»;
+ * - GitHub unreadable ⇒ landing fields null;
+ * - salvage source unreadable ⇒ launches with no PR sibling count as `salvageUnmeasured`, not as «no sibling».
+ */
+export interface OverlapMetrics {
+  /** Launched runs whose preflight proves an overlap. */
+  readonly launches24h: number | null;
+  /** Launched runs in the window (one per runId). */
+  readonly launched: number | null;
+  /** Launched runs with no proven overlap whose overlap scan was blind. */
+  readonly unmeasured: number | null;
+  readonly sourceIncomplete: boolean;
+  /** Overlap launches whose second sibling PR was found (open draft or closed). */
+  readonly linked: number | null;
+  /** Linked second siblings merged with no human-hand label (approval / from-human / keep). */
+  readonly autoLanded: number | null;
+  readonly autoRate: number | null;
+  /** Median hours from the overlap launch to the second sibling's merge, over landed second siblings. */
+  readonly secondSiblingMedianHours: number | null;
+  /** Linked second siblings that live only on a salvage branch (no PR): «salvaged — not landed». Included in `linked`. */
+  readonly salvaged: number | null;
+  /** Linkable launches with no PR sibling whose salvage source could not be read — `linked` is a lower bound. */
+  readonly salvageUnmeasured: number | null;
+}
+
+export type OverlapMetricAdapters = Pick<DraftSweepAdapters, 'listDrafts' | 'listRecentClosed' | 'getPr'> & {
+  /** Every ask-preflight row since `since`, all universes; null means the store could not be read. */
+  listPreflightRows(since: Date): Promise<readonly OverlapPreflightRow[] | null>;
+  /** Every `self-implement.draft-not-archive` `salvaged` row since `since`; null (or absent) means unreadable. */
+  listSalvagedRows?(since: Date): Promise<readonly OverlapPreflightRow[] | null>;
+};
+
+const HUMAN_HAND_LABELS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set(PR_LABELS
+  .filter((entry) => entry.sweep.action === 'exclude' || (entry.axis === 'state' && entry.sweep.action === 'none')
+    || (entry.axis === 'origin' && (entry.appliedBy as readonly string[]).includes('human')))
+  .map((entry) => entry.name));
+const isRecord = (value: unknown): value is Record<string, unknown> =>
+  typeof value === 'object' && value !== null && !Array.isArray(value);
+
+/** Unwraps a Pod-forwarded row (`originalData` as a JSON string or object); null when the payload is unreadable. */
+export function overlapPreflightPayload(data: unknown): Record<string, unknown> | null {
+  if (!isRecord(data)) return null;
+  let payload: unknown = data;
+  if ('originalData' in data) {
+    payload = data.originalData;
+    if (typeof payload === 'string') {
+      try { payload = JSON.parse(payload); } catch { return null; }
+    }
+  }
+  if (!isRecord(payload) || !Array.isArray(payload.warnings) || !Array.isArray(payload.blockers)) return null;
+  return payload;
+}
+
+/** Unwraps a DRAFT-NOT-ARCHIVE `salvaged` row (Pod-forwarded or local); null when it names no salvage branch. */
+export function salvagedPayload(data: unknown): Record<string, unknown> | null {
+  if (!isRecord(data)) return null;
+  let payload: unknown = data;
+  if ('originalData' in data) {
+    payload = data.originalData;
+    if (typeof payload === 'string') {
+      try { payload = JSON.parse(payload); } catch { return null; }
+    }
+  }
+  if (!isRecord(payload) || typeof payload.salvageBranch !== 'string' || !payload.salvageBranch.startsWith('salvage/')) return null;
+  return payload;
+}
+
+type SalvagedSibling = { at: number; runKey: string | null; slug: string | null; salvageBranch: string };
+const runKeyOf = (runId: unknown): string | null => {
+  const key = typeof runId === 'string' ? runId.replace(/^run-/i, '').replace(/[^a-z0-9]/gi, '').slice(0, 6).toLowerCase() : '';
+  return key.length === 6 ? key : null;
+};
+
+/** Salvaged siblings in [since, clock]; null when the source is unreadable or any row cannot be parsed. */
+function salvagedSiblings(rows: readonly OverlapPreflightRow[] | null | undefined, since: number, clock: number): SalvagedSibling[] | null {
+  if (!Array.isArray(rows)) return null;
+  const out: SalvagedSibling[] = [];
+  for (const row of rows) {
+    const at = Date.parse(String(row?.ts));
+    const payload = salvagedPayload(row?.data);
+    if (!Number.isFinite(at) || payload === null) return null;
+    if (at < since || at > clock) continue;
+    const salvageBranch = payload.salvageBranch as string;
+    const runKey = runKeyOf(payload.runId) ?? (/^salvage\/run-([0-9a-f]{6})\//i.exec(salvageBranch)?.[1]?.toLowerCase() ?? null);
+    out.push({ at, runKey, slug: typeof payload.branch === 'string' ? branchLineageSlug(payload.branch) : null, salvageBranch });
+  }
+  return out;
+}
+
+/**
+ * «Salvage branches today N» for the hourly report: distinct salvage branches whose `salvaged` event falls in [dayStart, now].
+ * ⛔ Unreadable source or an unparsable row ⇒ null, never 0.
+ */
+export function countSalvagedToday(rows: readonly OverlapPreflightRow[] | null | undefined, dayStart: Date, now: Date): number | null {
+  const siblings = salvagedSiblings(rows, dayStart.getTime(), now.getTime());
+  return siblings === null ? null : new Set(siblings.map((sibling) => sibling.salvageBranch)).size;
+}
+
+type OverlapLaunch = { at: number; runKey: string | null; prs: number[]; siblings: number[]; proven: boolean; blind: boolean };
+
+/** Reads one launched preflight: proven overlap, blind (unmeasured), or measured clean. */
+function overlapLaunch(payload: Record<string, unknown>, at: number): OverlapLaunch | null {
+  const blockers = payload.blockers as unknown[];
+  const forced = payload.bypassed === true;
+  // Only a launch counts: a clean preflight, or one the caller forced past its blockers.
+  if (blockers.length > 0 && !forced) return null;
+  const entries = [...(payload.warnings as unknown[]), ...(forced ? blockers : [])]
+    .filter(isRecord).map((entry) => ({ kind: entry.kind, name: typeof entry.name === 'string' ? entry.name : '' }));
+  const numbers = (kind: string) => entries.filter((entry) => entry.kind === kind)
+    .flatMap((entry) => [...entry.name.matchAll(/#(\d+)/g)].map((match) => Number(match[1])));
+  const siblings = numbers('sibling-pr');
+  const prs = [...new Set([...numbers('open-pr'), ...siblings])];
+  const liveRuns = entries.filter((entry) => entry.kind === 'live-run' && entry.name.trim() !== '').length;
+  const axisChecked = (axis: unknown) => isRecord(axis) && axis.state === 'checked';
+  // ⛔ A capped open-PR scan («열린 PR 조회 상한 N») saw only part of the PRs — its «no hit» is not a measurement.
+  const capped = entries.some((entry) => entry.kind === 'open-pr' && !/#\d+/.test(entry.name));
+  const blind = capped || !axisChecked(payload.openPrs) || !axisChecked(payload.liveRuns)
+    || !Array.isArray(payload.paths) || payload.paths.length === 0;
+  return { at, runKey: runKeyOf(payload.runId), prs, siblings, proven: prs.length > 0 || liveRuns > 0, blind };
+}
+
+export async function collectOverlapMetrics(repository: string, adapters: OverlapMetricAdapters, now: Date): Promise<OverlapMetrics> {
+  const clock = now.getTime();
+  if (!Number.isFinite(clock)) throw new Error('Invalid overlap metric clock');
+  const since = clock - 24 * 3_600_000;
+  const landingUnmeasured = { linked: null, autoLanded: null, autoRate: null, secondSiblingMedianHours: null, salvaged: null, salvageUnmeasured: null };
+  const incomplete = (reason: string, extra: Record<string, unknown> = {}): OverlapMetrics => {
+    try { debug.log('drafts.metrics', 'overlap-source-incomplete', { reason, ...extra }); } catch { /* fail-soft */ }
+    return { launches24h: null, launched: null, unmeasured: null, sourceIncomplete: true, ...landingUnmeasured };
+  };
+  const rows = await adapters.listPreflightRows(new Date(since));
+  if (rows === null || !Array.isArray(rows)) return incomplete('unreadable');
+  if (rows.length === 0) return incomplete('zero-events');
+  // One launch per run: a run re-authored after a block logs several preflights (and one store can be reached twice).
+  const runs = new Map<string, OverlapLaunch>();
+  let unparsable = 0;
+  for (const row of rows) {
+    const at = Date.parse(String(row?.ts));
+    if (!Number.isFinite(at)) { unparsable++; continue; }
+    if (at < since || at > clock) continue;
+    const payload = overlapPreflightPayload(row?.data);
+    if (payload === null) { unparsable++; continue; }
+    const launch = overlapLaunch(payload, at);
+    if (!launch) continue;
+    const key = launch.runKey ?? `${at}:${String(payload.goalFile ?? '')}`;
+    const prior = runs.get(key);
+    runs.set(key, prior ? {
+      at: Math.min(prior.at, launch.at), runKey: launch.runKey,
+      prs: [...new Set([...prior.prs, ...launch.prs])], siblings: [...new Set([...prior.siblings, ...launch.siblings])],
+      proven: prior.proven || launch.proven, blind: prior.blind || launch.blind,
+    } : launch);
+  }
+  if (unparsable > 0) return incomplete('unparsable-rows', { unparsable, rows: rows.length });
+  const all = [...runs.values()];
+  const launches = all.filter((launch) => launch.proven);
+  const counts = { launches24h: launches.length, launched: all.length, unmeasured: all.filter((launch) => !launch.proven && launch.blind).length, sourceIncomplete: false };
+  const linkable = launches.filter((launch) => launch.runKey !== null || launch.siblings.length > 0);
+  // No overlap launch is a measured empty sample; overlaps that name neither a run nor a sibling leave landing unmeasured.
+  if (launches.length === 0) return { ...counts, linked: 0, autoLanded: 0, autoRate: null, secondSiblingMedianHours: null, salvaged: 0, salvageUnmeasured: 0 };
+  if (linkable.length === 0) return { ...counts, ...landingUnmeasured };
+  try {
+    if (!adapters.getPr || !adapters.listRecentClosed) throw new Error('Overlap PR lookup unavailable');
+    const [drafts, closed] = await Promise.all([
+      collectPages((page, size) => adapters.listDrafts(page, size, repository)),
+      adapters.listRecentClosed(repository, new Date(since)),
+    ]);
+    const candidates = [...drafts, ...closed].filter((pr) => Number.isInteger(pr.number) && typeof pr.branch === 'string'
+      && typeof pr.createdAt === 'string' && Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.createdAt)));
+    const firsts = new Map<number, SweepMergedPr | undefined>();
+    let linked = 0, autoLanded = 0, salvaged = 0, salvageUnmeasured = 0;
+    const hours: number[] = [];
+    // Read lazily: only a launch with no PR sibling needs the salvage source. ⛔ A read failure is «unmeasured», not «none».
+    let salvage: SalvagedSibling[] | null | undefined;
+    const salvageSource = async (): Promise<SalvagedSibling[] | null> => {
+      if (salvage !== undefined) return salvage;
+      let rows: readonly OverlapPreflightRow[] | null = null;
+      try { rows = adapters.listSalvagedRows ? await adapters.listSalvagedRows(new Date(since)) : null; } catch { rows = null; }
+      salvage = salvagedSiblings(rows, since, clock);
+      if (salvage === null) try { debug.log('drafts.metrics', 'overlap-salvage-unmeasured', { reason: rows === null ? 'unreadable' : 'unparsable-rows' }); } catch { /* fail-soft */ }
+      return salvage;
+    };
+    for (const launch of linkable) {
+      const after = candidates.filter((pr) => !launch.prs.includes(pr.number) && Date.parse(pr.createdAt!) >= launch.at)
+        .sort((a, b) => Date.parse(a.createdAt!) - Date.parse(b.createdAt!));
+      let second = launch.runKey === null ? undefined
+        : after.find((pr) => pr.branch.endsWith(`-r${launch.runKey}`) || pr.branch.endsWith(`-r${launch.runKey}-early`));
+      let slug: string | null = null;
+      if (!second && launch.siblings.length > 0) {
+        const number = launch.siblings[0]!;
+        if (!firsts.has(number)) firsts.set(number, await adapters.getPr(repository, number));
+        const first = firsts.get(number);
+        if (!first) throw new Error('Sibling PR unreadable');
+        slug = branchLineageSlug(first.branch);
+        if (slug !== null) second = after.find((pr) => branchLineageSlug(pr.branch) === slug);
+      }
+      if (!second) {
+        const source = await salvageSource();
+        if (source === null) { salvageUnmeasured++; continue; }
+        const branch = source.filter((sibling) => sibling.at >= launch.at
+          && ((launch.runKey !== null && sibling.runKey === launch.runKey) || (slug !== null && sibling.slug === slug)))
+          .sort((a, b) => a.at - b.at)[0]?.salvageBranch;
+        if (branch === undefined) continue;
+        // A salvage branch later landed through its own PR counts through that PR's merge.
+        second = after.find((pr) => pr.branch === branch);
+        if (!second) { linked++; salvaged++; continue; }
+      }
+      linked++;
+      const mergedAt = 'mergedAt' in second && typeof second.mergedAt === 'string' ? Date.parse(second.mergedAt) : NaN;
+      if (!Number.isFinite(mergedAt) || mergedAt < launch.at || mergedAt > clock) continue;
+      hours.push((mergedAt - launch.at) / 3_600_000);
+      if (!(second.labels ?? []).some((name) => HUMAN_HAND_LABELS.has(name))) autoLanded++;
+    }
+    hours.sort((a, b) => a - b);
+    const mid = Math.floor(hours.length / 2);
+    return {
+      ...counts,
+      linked,
+      autoLanded,
+      autoRate: linked ? autoLanded / linked : null,
+      secondSiblingMedianHours: hours.length ? (hours.length % 2 ? hours[mid]! : (hours[mid - 1]! + hours[mid]!) / 2) : null,
+      // ⛔ A salvage source we could not read leaves the salvaged count unknown, not zero.
+      salvaged: salvage === null ? null : salvaged,
+      salvageUnmeasured,
+    };
+  } catch (error) {
+    try { debug.log('drafts.metrics', 'overlap-landing-unmeasured', { error: error instanceof Error ? error.message : String(error) }); } catch { /* fail-soft */ }
+    return { ...counts, ...landingUnmeasured };
+  }
+}
+
 const stateLabels = PR_LABELS.filter((label) => label.axis === 'state');
 const label = (action: 'mark-stalled' | 'close', name?: string): string => {
   const match = PR_LABELS.find((entry) => entry.axis === 'state' && entry.sweep.action === action && (name === undefined || entry.name.endsWith(name)));
@@ -204,6 +515,31 @@ export function sweepFailureReason(error: unknown): string {
   return line && line.length > 0 ? line : 'sweep failed';
 }
 
+/** Harness draft created at least STALLED_DRAFT_HOURS before `now` — the daily census population. */
+function dailyCensusDraft(draft: SweepDraft, now: Date): boolean {
+  if (!harnessDraft(draft)) return false;
+  const created = Date.parse(draft.createdAt);
+  return Number.isFinite(created) && created <= now.getTime() - STALLED_DRAFT_HOURS * 3_600_000;
+}
+
+/** In-flight per-PR lookups during one sweep (GitHub calls and ledger reads). */
+export const DRAFT_SWEEP_CONCURRENCY = 6;
+
+/** Runs `work` over `items` with at most `limit` in flight; the first rejection rejects the whole map. */
+export async function mapBounded<T, R>(items: readonly T[], limit: number, work: (item: T) => Promise<R>): Promise<R[]> {
+  const results = new Array<R>(items.length);
+  let next = 0;
+  let failed = false;
+  const workers = Array.from({ length: Math.max(1, Math.min(limit, items.length)) }, async () => {
+    while (!failed && next < items.length) {
+      const index = next++;
+      try { results[index] = await work(items[index]!); } catch (error) { failed = true; throw error; }
+    }
+  });
+  await Promise.all(workers);
+  return results;
+}
+
 function harnessDraft(draft: SweepDraft): boolean {
   return draft.branch.startsWith('self-impl/') || draft.labels.some((name) => name.startsWith('elanous:'));
 }
@@ -219,15 +555,12 @@ export function draftSweepDaily(
   now: Date,
   reviewGate: ReadonlyMap<number, SweepReviewGate | undefined>,
 ): DraftSweepDaily {
-  const cutoff = now.getTime() - STALLED_DRAFT_HOURS * 3_600_000;
   let over24h = 0;
   let closable = 0;
   let harvestable = 0;
   let blocked = 0;
   for (const draft of drafts) {
-    if (!harnessDraft(draft)) continue;
-    const created = Date.parse(draft.createdAt);
-    if (!Number.isFinite(created) || created > cutoff) continue;
+    if (!dailyCensusDraft(draft, now)) continue;
     over24h += 1;
     if (merged.some((pr) => pr.number !== draft.number && sameGoalPr(draft, pr))) closable += 1;
     const posture = reviewGate.get(draft.number);
@@ -251,6 +584,17 @@ export async function runDraftSweep({ repository, adapters, apply = false, now =
     if (!result.complete && result.error) debug.log('drafts.cleanup', 'failed', { reason: sweepFailureReason(result.error) });
     return result;
   };
+  const started = Date.now();
+  let phaseStarted = started;
+  // A failed phase still reports its elapsed time (and the total) — a timeout cause must be visible either way.
+  const timing = (phase: string, count: number, outcome?: 'failed'): void => {
+    const at = Date.now();
+    try {
+      debug.log('self-dev.draft-sweep', 'timing', { phase, ms: at - phaseStarted, count, ...(outcome ? { outcome } : {}) });
+      if (outcome) debug.log('self-dev.draft-sweep', 'timing', { phase: 'total', ms: at - started, count, outcome });
+    } catch { /* fail-soft */ }
+    phaseStarted = at;
+  };
   let drafts: SweepDraft[] = [];
   let merged: SweepMergedPr[] = [];
   let liveBranches: ReadonlySet<string> | undefined;
@@ -264,40 +608,49 @@ export async function runDraftSweep({ repository, adapters, apply = false, now =
     if (drafts.some((pr) => !Number.isInteger(pr.number) || !pr.branch || !Array.isArray(pr.labels) || !Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.createdAt)))
       || merged.some((pr) => !Number.isInteger(pr.number) || !pr.branch)) throw new Error('Invalid PR inventory');
   } catch (error) {
+    timing('inventory', drafts.length + merged.length, 'failed');
     result.error = sweepFailureReason(error);
     if (drafts.length > 0) result.daily = draftSweepDaily(drafts, merged, now, new Map());
     return finish();
   }
-  let statuses: Map<number, string | undefined>;
-  let finality: Map<number, boolean | undefined>;
-  let latestFileChanges: Map<number, Readonly<Record<string, string>> | undefined>;
+  timing('inventory', drafts.length + merged.length);
+  const statuses = new Map<number, string | undefined>();
+  const finality = new Map<number, boolean | undefined>();
+  const latestFileChanges = new Map<number, Readonly<Record<string, string>> | undefined>();
   try {
-    statuses = new Map<number, string | undefined>();
-    finality = new Map<number, boolean | undefined>();
-    latestFileChanges = new Map<number, Readonly<Record<string, string>> | undefined>();
-    for (const draft of drafts) {
+    // Per-draft lookups are independent: bounded concurrency, results keyed by PR number (decisions stay in list order).
+    await mapBounded(drafts, DRAFT_SWEEP_CONCURRENCY, async (draft) => {
       const status = await adapters.getRunStatus(draft, repository);
       // A prior final cannot terminate a new active run on the same draft.
       const active = status === 'running' || status === 'probable-running';
       const final = active ? false : await adapters.hasFinalRunResult?.(draft, repository);
       finality.set(draft.number, final);
       statuses.set(draft.number, final ? 'self-implement.result final' : status);
-      if (draft.changedFiles?.length && adapters.getLatestFileChanges) {
+      // Per-file history only matters to all-files-landed, which needs a later same-lineage merge.
+      if (draft.changedFiles?.length && adapters.getLatestFileChanges && laterMergedTwins(draft, merged).length > 0) {
         latestFileChanges.set(draft.number, await adapters.getLatestFileChanges(draft, repository));
       }
-    }
+    });
   } catch (error) {
+    timing('run-status', drafts.length, 'failed');
     result.error = sweepFailureReason(error);
     return finish();
   }
-  let reviewGate = new Map<number, SweepReviewGate | undefined>();
+  timing('run-status', drafts.length);
+  const reviewGate = new Map<number, SweepReviewGate | undefined>();
   if (adapters.getReviewGate) {
+    // Review/gate posture only feeds the daily census, which only counts harness drafts older than 24h.
+    const censused = drafts.filter((draft) => dailyCensusDraft(draft, now));
     try {
-      for (const draft of drafts) reviewGate.set(draft.number, await adapters.getReviewGate(draft, repository));
+      await mapBounded(censused, DRAFT_SWEEP_CONCURRENCY, async (draft) => {
+        reviewGate.set(draft.number, await adapters.getReviewGate!(draft, repository));
+      });
     } catch (error) {
+      timing('review-gate', censused.length, 'failed');
       result.error = sweepFailureReason(error);
       return finish();
     }
+    timing('review-gate', censused.length);
   }
   result.daily = draftSweepDaily(drafts, merged, now, reviewGate);
   result.complete = true;
@@ -418,6 +771,8 @@ export async function runDraftSweep({ repository, adapters, apply = false, now =
       entry.error = String(error);
     }
   }
+  timing('decide', drafts.length);
+  try { debug.log('self-dev.draft-sweep', 'timing', { phase: 'total', ms: Date.now() - started, count: drafts.length }); } catch { /* fail-soft */ }
   result.unobserved = unobserved;
   result.closed = closes;
   result.claimed = claimed;

package/src/self-dev/draft-triage-rules.ts

@@ -58,6 +58,24 @@ const referencesDraft = (text: string, number: number): boolean =>
 const landingCommentReferencesDraft = (text: string, number: number): boolean =>
   new RegExp(`\\blanding-verified\\s*:\\s*(?:draft|superseded|수확)\\s*#${number}(?!\\d)\\b`, 'i').test(text);
 
+/**
+ * Merged PRs that can cover a draft's files (all-files-landed): merged after the draft was created, on the same
+ * goal lineage, slot or branch stem. Empty ⇒ all-files-landed cannot fire, so the draft's per-file history is not needed.
+ */
+export function laterMergedTwins(draft: DraftTriagePr, mergedTwins: readonly DraftTriagePr[]): DraftTriagePr[] {
+  const lineage = goalId(draft.branch);
+  const draftSlot = slot(draft.body);
+  const stem = branchStem(draft.branch);
+  const created = Date.parse(draft.createdAt ?? '');
+  const compatible = (pr: DraftTriagePr): boolean =>
+    !(lineage && goalId(pr.branch) && goalId(pr.branch) !== lineage)
+    && !(draftSlot && slot(pr.body) && slot(pr.body) !== draftSlot);
+  return mergedTwins.filter((pr) => pr.number !== draft.number && Number.isFinite(created)
+    && Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.mergedAt ?? '')) && Date.parse(pr.mergedAt!) > created
+    && compatible(pr) && ((lineage && goalId(pr.branch) === lineage)
+      || (draftSlot && slot(pr.body) === draftSlot) || (stem && branchStem(pr.branch) === stem)));
+}
+
 export function decideDraft({ draft, runStatus, mergedTwins, openDrafts, ageHours, liveBranches, finalRunResult }: DraftTriageInput): DraftDecision {
   const held = draft.labels?.find((label) => PROTECTED_LABELS.has(label));
   if (held) return { action: 'keep', reason: `label:${held}` };
@@ -90,10 +108,7 @@ export function decideDraft({ draft, runStatus, mergedTwins, openDrafts, ageHour
   if (harvest) return { action: 'close', reason: `superseded-by #${harvest.number} (harvest #${draft.number})` };
   const created = Date.parse(draft.createdAt ?? '');
   const files = draft.changedFiles;
-  const later = mergedTwins.filter((pr) => pr.number !== draft.number && Number.isFinite(created)
-    && Number.isFinite(Date.parse(pr.mergedAt ?? '')) && Date.parse(pr.mergedAt!) > created
-    && compatible(pr) && ((lineage && goalId(pr.branch) === lineage)
-      || (draftSlot && slot(pr.body) === draftSlot) || (stem && branchStem(pr.branch) === stem)));
+  const later = laterMergedTwins(draft, mergedTwins);
   if (files?.length && files.every((file) => {
     const changed = Date.parse(draft.latestFileChanges?.[file] ?? '');
     return Number.isFinite(changed) && changed >= created && later.some((pr) =>