codebee 0.1.66 → 0.1.68

package/app/core/usage.py

@@ -1,858 +1,862 @@
-# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
-"""用量台账：每次真实 LLM 调用（CLI 智能体 / 编排者直连 API）追加一条记录，
-支持按天/工具(CLI)/智能体/模型/角色/任务类型多维聚合——用量统计页的数据源。
-
-落盘：data/usage/usage-YYYYMM.jsonl（按月分文件，append-only，一行一记录）。
-并发安全：全局锁 + 追加写；读侧每次全量扫描再聚合（调用频次为分钟级，
-文件规模可控；聚合在请求线程内完成，不引入后台任务）。
-
-记一条的入口是 record()：字段残缺不抛错（埋点失败绝不能影响任务执行）。
-"""
-from __future__ import annotations
-
-import json
-import math
-import threading
-import time
-
-from . import paths
-
-LOCK = threading.RLock()
-
-# 维度 → 显示名（聚合接口与前端共用）
-DIMENSIONS = {
-    "tool": "工具（CLI）",
-    "agent": "智能体",
-    "model": "模型",
-    "role": "步骤角色",
-    "task_type": "任务类型",
-}
-
-FIELDS = ("ts", "day", "run_id", "step", "task_id", "task_type", "role", "agent", "agent_label",
-          "tool", "model", "provider", "ok", "duration_s",
-          "input", "output", "cached", "reasoning", "total", "cost_usd", "source",
-          "first_token_ms", "tokens_per_sec")
-
-
-def _month_file(day):
-    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("usage-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
-
-
-def _quality_file(day):
-    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("routing-quality-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
-
-
-def _parse_int(v):
-    try:
-        return int(v or 0)
-    except (TypeError, ValueError):
-        return 0
-
-
-def _parse_float(v):
-    try:
-        return float(v or 0.0)
-    except (TypeError, ValueError):
-        return 0.0
-
-
-def _parse_bool(v):
-    if v is None:
-        return False
-    return bool(v)
-
-
-def record(source="", run_id="", task_id="", task_type="", role="", step=0,
-           agent="", agent_label="", tool="", model="", provider="",
-           ok=True, duration_s=0.0, cost_usd=0.0, usage=None,
-           first_token_ms=0.0, tokens_per_sec=0.0):
-    """追加一条用量记录。usage 为细分 dict：{input, output, cached, reasoning, total}；
-    缺省字段按 0 处理。任何异常都吞掉——统计永远不能拖垮业务调用方。
-
-    step 为该运行内的步骤号：与 backfill_from_runs 的去重键一致，缺了会导致
-    启动回填把同一步骤重复入账。
-    """
-    try:
-        u = usage or {}
-        rec = {
-            "ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
-            "day": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
-            "source": str(source or "pipeline")[:24],
-            "run_id": str(run_id or "")[:64],
-            "step": _parse_int(step),
-            "task_id": str(task_id or "")[:64],
-            "task_type": str(task_type or "")[:32] or "unknown",
-            "role": str(role or "")[:40] or "unknown",
-            "agent": str(agent or "")[:40] or "unknown",
-            "agent_label": str(agent_label or "")[:60],
-            "tool": str(tool or "")[:24] or "unknown",
-            "model": str(model or "")[:80] or "(默认)",
-            "provider": str(provider or "")[:60],
-            "ok": _parse_bool(ok),
-            "duration_s": round(_parse_float(duration_s), 1),
-            "cost_usd": round(_parse_float(cost_usd), 4),
-        }
-        inp = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("input")))
-        out = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("output")))
-        cach = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("cached")))
-        reas = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("reasoning")))
-        total = _parse_int(u.get("total")) or (inp + out + cach)
-        rec.update({"input": inp, "output": out, "cached": cach,
-                    "reasoning": reas, "total": total})
-        # 压缩省量注记（source=compaction 专用）：上下文折叠净省的估算 token，
-        # 与消耗并列成账——省了多少不再是黑箱。零值不落字段防老记录膨胀。
-        saved = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("saved")))
-        if saved:
-            rec["saved"] = saved
-        # 体验指标（§07）：只有内置直连的流式路径可测，CLI 事件流没有逐 token
-        # 时刻。零值不落字段——"缺字段"表示不可测，不能读成"首字 0 毫秒"。
-        ft = round(_parse_float(first_token_ms), 1)
-        if ft > 0:
-            rec["first_token_ms"] = ft
-        tps = round(_parse_float(tokens_per_sec), 2)
-        if tps > 0:
-            rec["tokens_per_sec"] = tps
-        line = json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False)
-        with LOCK:
-            paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
-            with open(_month_file(rec["day"]), "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
-                f.write(line + "\n")
-            _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].clear()
-            _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.clear()
-            _HOURLY_CACHE["ts"] = 0.0
-    except Exception:
-        pass
-
-
-def backfill_from_runs():
-    """把历史 run.json 里已记录的 token 用量回填进台账（启动时调用，幂等）。
-
-    埋点是后加的：此前的运行只在 run.json 的步骤里存了 tokens/cost_usd 总量，
-    没有输入/输出/缓存细分，所以回填记录 input/output/cached 记 0、只有 total，
-    并以 source="backfill" 标记便于区分。已回填的 (run_id, 步骤号) 会跳过，
-    重复启动不会产生重复记录。
-    """
-    try:
-        runs_dir = paths.RUNS_DIR
-        if not runs_dir.is_dir():
-            return 0
-        # 已入账的 (run_id, role, 步骤号) 集合——含真实埋点与既往回填
-        seen = set()
-        for r in _iter_records(0):
-            seen.add((str(r.get("run_id") or ""), str(r.get("role") or ""),
-                      _parse_int(r.get("step"))))
-        added = 0
-        # 旧 run 未存任务类型，从 tasks/*.json 补齐（缺了就记 unknown）
-        task_types = {}
-        try:
-            for tp in paths.TASKS_DIR.glob("*.json"):
-                try:
-                    t = json.loads(tp.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
-                    task_types[t.get("id")] = t.get("type") or ""
-                except Exception:
-                    continue
-        except Exception:
-            pass
-        for p in sorted(runs_dir.glob("*/run.json")):
-            try:
-                run = json.loads(p.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
-            except Exception:
-                continue
-            if not isinstance(run, dict):
-                continue
-            run_id = str(run.get("id") or p.parent.name)
-            day = str(run.get("started_at") or run.get("created_at") or "")[:10]
-            if not day:
-                continue
-            for s in (run.get("steps") or []):
-                if not isinstance(s, dict):
-                    continue
-                total = _parse_int(s.get("tokens"))
-                if total <= 0:
-                    continue          # 无 token 的步骤（验证/合并/mock）不入账
-                n = _parse_int(s.get("n"))
-                key = (run_id, str(s.get("role") or ""), n)
-                if key in seen:
-                    continue
-                seen.add(key)
-                rec = {
-                    "ts": "%s %s" % (day, str(s.get("started_at") or "00:00:00")[:8]),
-                    "day": day, "source": "backfill", "run_id": run_id,
-                    "step": n,
-                    "task_id": str(run.get("task_id") or ""),
-                    "task_type": task_types.get(str(run.get("task_id") or "")) or "unknown",
-                    "role": str(s.get("role") or "")[:40] or "unknown",
-                    "agent": str(s.get("agent") or "")[:40] or "unknown",
-                    "agent_label": str(s.get("agent_label") or "")[:60],
-                    "tool": _tool_of(str(s.get("agent") or "")),
-                    "model": str(s.get("model") or "")[:80] or "(历史未记录)",
-                    "provider": "",
-                    "ok": str(s.get("status") or "") == "done",
-                    "duration_s": round(_parse_float(s.get("duration_s")), 1),
-                    "cost_usd": round(_parse_float(s.get("cost_usd")), 4),
-                    "input": 0, "output": 0, "cached": 0, "reasoning": 0,
-                    "total": total,
-                }
-                with LOCK:
-                    paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
-                    with open(_month_file(day), "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
-                        f.write(json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
-                added += 1
-        return added
-    except Exception:
-        return 0
-
-
-# 智能体 id → 工具 kind（回填时旧记录没有 tool 字段，只能从 id 推断）
-_AGENT_TOOL = {"codex-cli": "codex", "claude-code": "claude", "qwen-cli": "qwen",
-               "qwencode": "qwen", "opencode": "opencode", "aider": "aider",
-               "orchestrator": "orchestrator"}
-
-
-def _tool_of(agent_id):
-    a = str(agent_id or "").lower()
-    if a in _AGENT_TOOL:
-        return _AGENT_TOOL[a]
-    for k, v in _AGENT_TOOL.items():
-        if a.startswith(k):
-            return v
-    return a or "unknown"
-
-
-_HOURLY_CACHE = {"ts": 0.0, "val": {}}
-_HOURLY_TTL = 60.0   # 秒：路由调用频繁但台账追加低频，60s 缓存足够新鲜
-_ROUTING_CACHE = {"data": {}}
-_ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE = {}
-_ROUTING_TTL = 15.0
-
-
-def agent_tokens_recent(agent, hours=1):
-    """该智能体近 N 小时的 token 总量（路由配额惩罚用）。按 ts 前缀过滤，
-    60 秒 TTL 进程内缓存——运行中每次路由都查也只扫两天的台账。"""
-    try:
-        agent = str(agent or "")
-        now = time.time()
-        if now - _HOURLY_CACHE["ts"] > _HOURLY_TTL:
-            bound = time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S",
-                                  time.localtime(now - hours * 3600.0))
-            total = {}
-            for r in _iter_records(2):
-                if str(r.get("ts") or "") < bound:
-                    continue
-                a = str(r.get("agent") or "")
-                # record() 将规范化后的 token 总数落在顶层 ``total``；旧实现
-                # 误读不存在的嵌套 usage 字段，导致配额路由永远认为本小时
-                # 用量为 0，超过供应商额度也不会降权。
-                total[a] = total.get(a, 0) + max(0, _parse_int(r.get("total")))
-            _HOURLY_CACHE.update(ts=now, val=total)
-        return int(_HOURLY_CACHE["val"].get(agent) or 0)
-    except Exception:
-        return 0
-
-
-def _iter_records(days):
-    """按时间范围读取台账（days=0 表示全部）。返回按写入顺序的记录列表。"""
-    out = []
-    try:
-        files = sorted(paths.USAGE_DIR.glob("usage-*.jsonl")) if paths.USAGE_DIR.is_dir() else []
-    except Exception:
-        return out
-    since_day = ""
-    if days:
-        import datetime
-        d = (datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=int(days) - 1)).isoformat()
-        since_day = d
-    since_month = since_day[:7].replace("-", "") if since_day else ""
-    for p in files:
-        if since_month and p.stem.rsplit("-", 1)[-1] < since_month:
-            continue
-        try:
-            for line in p.read_text(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace").splitlines():
-                line = line.strip()
-                if not line.startswith("{"):
-                    continue
-                try:
-                    r = json.loads(line)
-                except Exception:
-                    continue
-                if not isinstance(r, dict):
-                    continue
-                if since_day and str(r.get("day", "")) < since_day:
-                    continue
-                out.append(r)
-        except Exception:
-            continue
-    return out
-
-
-def _iter_quality_records(days):
-    """读取独立质量台账；不混入用量统计的调用数、token 和成本。"""
-    out = []
-    try:
-        files = sorted(paths.USAGE_DIR.glob("routing-quality-*.jsonl")) \
-            if paths.USAGE_DIR.is_dir() else []
-    except Exception:
-        return out
-    since_day = ""
-    if days:
-        import datetime
-        since_day = (datetime.date.today()
-                     - datetime.timedelta(days=int(days) - 1)).isoformat()
-    since_month = since_day[:7].replace("-", "") if since_day else ""
-    for path in files:
-        if since_month and path.stem.rsplit("-", 1)[-1] < since_month:
-            continue
-        try:
-            for line in path.read_text(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace").splitlines():
-                try:
-                    row = json.loads(line)
-                except Exception:
-                    continue
-                if isinstance(row, dict) and (not since_day or row.get("day", "") >= since_day):
-                    out.append(row)
-        except Exception:
-            continue
-    return out
-
-
-def _routing_records(days):
-    """同一轮候选评分共享一次台账解析，避免每个候选重复扫全盘。"""
-    key = (str(paths.USAGE_DIR), int(days))
-    now = time.time()
-    with LOCK:
-        cached = _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.get(key)
-        if cached and now - cached[0] <= _ROUTING_TTL:
-            return list(cached[1]), list(cached[2])
-    calls, quality = _iter_records(days), _iter_quality_records(days)
-    with LOCK:
-        _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE[key] = (now, list(calls), list(quality))
-    return calls, quality
-
-
-def record_quality_for_run(run_id, quality_ok, agent=""):
-    """把验收结论归因到最终实际产出者，不重复计入用量。"""
-    try:
-        run_id = str(run_id or "")[:64]
-        if not run_id:
-            return 0
-        calls = [r for r in _iter_records(2)
-                 if r.get("run_id") == run_id and r.get("ok") is True]
-        prefixes = ("implement", "fix", "draft", "revise", "polish", "direct", "author")
-        calls = [r for r in calls if str(r.get("role") or "").lower().startswith(prefixes)]
-        agent = str(agent or "")[:40]
-        unique = {}
-        for row in calls:
-            key = tuple(str(row.get(k) or "") for k in
-                        ("task_id", "task_type", "role", "agent", "model", "provider"))
-            unique[key] = row
-        if not unique:
-            return 0
-        existing = {(r.get("run_id"), r.get("role"), r.get("agent"),
-                     r.get("model"), r.get("provider"))
-                    for r in _iter_quality_records(2)}
-        day = time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
-        rows = []
-        for row in unique.values():
-            identity = (run_id, row.get("role"), row.get("agent"),
-                        row.get("model"), row.get("provider"))
-            if identity in existing:
-                continue
-            # 成功调用不等于产出通过。换将前的实现者即使传输成功，也已被质量
-            # 门淘汰，必须留下负样本；最终实际产出者才继承本次验收结论。
-            row_quality_ok = bool(quality_ok)
-            if agent and str(row.get("agent") or "") != agent:
-                row_quality_ok = False
-            rows.append({"ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"), "day": day,
-                         "run_id": run_id, "task_id": row.get("task_id") or "",
-                         "task_type": row.get("task_type") or "unknown",
-                         "role": row.get("role") or "unknown",
-                         "agent": row.get("agent") or "unknown",
-                         "model": row.get("model") or "(默认)",
-                         "provider": row.get("provider") or "",
-                         "quality_ok": row_quality_ok})
-        if not rows:
-            return 0
-        with LOCK:
-            paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
-            with open(_quality_file(day), "a", encoding="utf-8") as handle:
-                for row in rows:
-                    handle.write(json.dumps(row, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
-            _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].clear()
-            _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.clear()
-        return len(rows)
-    except Exception:
-        return 0
-
-
-def _num(r, key):
-    return _parse_int(r.get(key))
-
-
-def _percentile(values, percentile):
-    """线性插值百分位，空样本返回 0。"""
-    if not values:
-        return 0.0
-    ordered = sorted(float(v) for v in values)
-    if len(ordered) == 1:
-        return round(ordered[0], 2)
-    pos = (len(ordered) - 1) * float(percentile)
-    lo = int(math.floor(pos))
-    hi = int(math.ceil(pos))
-    if lo == hi:
-        return round(ordered[lo], 2)
-    return round(ordered[lo] + (ordered[hi] - ordered[lo]) * (pos - lo), 2)
-
-
-def routing_stats(task_type="", role="", agent="", model="", provider="",
-                  days=90, min_samples=3):
-    """返回路由用的近期真实运行指标。
-
-    只读取脱敏用量台账；精确维度样本不足时依次回退到任务+角色、任务、
-    全局，成功率使用 Beta(3, 1) 平滑，避免单次失败永久压低新候选。
-    """
-    try:
-        task_type = str(task_type or "")[:32]
-        role = str(role or "")[:40]
-        agent = str(agent or "")[:40]
-        model = str(model or "")[:80]
-        provider = str(provider or "")[:60]
-        days = max(0, int(days))
-        min_samples = max(1, int(min_samples))
-    except (TypeError, ValueError):
-        days, min_samples = 90, 3
-    # DATA_DIR 可在测试、多实例或运行时配置切换；纳入缓存键，避免跨目录
-    # 复用另一套台账的线上指标。
-    key = (str(paths.DATA_DIR), task_type, role, agent, model, provider,
-           days, min_samples)
-    now = time.time()
-    with LOCK:
-        cached = _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].get(key)
-        if cached and now - cached[0] <= _ROUTING_TTL:
-            return dict(cached[1])
-    records, quality_records = _routing_records(days)
-
-    def matches(record, filters):
-        return all(str(record.get(field) or "") == value
-                   for field, value in filters.items() if value)
-
-    # 先保留所有已提供的维度；后续逐层放宽，确保模型和 CLI 都能共享一套查询。
-    exact = {"task_type": task_type, "role": role, "agent": agent,
-             "model": model, "provider": provider}
-    fallbacks = [(exact, "exact")]
-    task_role = {"task_type": task_type, "role": role}
-    if task_role != exact:
-        fallbacks.append((task_role, "task-role"))
-    if task_type:
-        fallbacks.append(({"task_type": task_type}, "task"))
-    fallbacks.append(({}, "global"))
-    selected, label = [], "global"
-    for filters, candidate_label in fallbacks:
-        candidate = [r for r in records if matches(r, filters)]
-        if len(candidate) >= min_samples or (candidate_label == "global" and candidate):
-            selected, label = candidate, candidate_label
-            break
-    chosen_filters = next((filters for filters, candidate_label in fallbacks
-                           if candidate_label == label), {})
-    quality_selected = [r for r in quality_records if matches(r, chosen_filters)]
-    success_rows = quality_selected or selected
-    success_key = "quality_ok" if quality_selected else "ok"
-    successes = sum(1 for r in success_rows if bool(r.get(success_key)))
-    durations = [max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s"))) for r in selected]
-    costs = [max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("cost_usd"))) for r in selected]
-    samples = len(selected)
-    success_samples = len(success_rows)
-    result = {
-        "samples": samples,
-        "quality_samples": len(quality_selected),
-        "success_samples": success_samples,
-        "successes": successes,
-        "success_rate": round((successes + 3.0) / (success_samples + 4.0), 4),
-        "p50_duration_s": _percentile(durations, 0.50),
-        "p95_duration_s": _percentile(durations, 0.95),
-        "avg_cost_usd": round(sum(costs) / samples, 6) if samples else 0.0,
-        "fallback": label,
-    }
-    with LOCK:
-        _ROUTING_CACHE["data"][key] = (now, dict(result))
-    return result
-
-
-def _group(records, key):
-    """按 key 聚合：{name: {calls, ok, tokens, input, output, cached, cache_rate, cost_usd, duration_s}}。"""
-    groups = {}
-    for r in records:
-        name = str(r.get(key) or "") or "unknown"
-        g = groups.setdefault(name, {"calls": 0, "ok": 0, "tokens": 0,
-                                     "input": 0, "output": 0, "cached": 0,
-                                     "cost_usd": 0.0, "duration_s": 0.0})
-        g["calls"] += 1
-        if r.get("ok"):
-            g["ok"] += 1
-        g["tokens"] += _num(r, "total")
-        g["input"] += _num(r, "input")
-        g["output"] += _num(r, "output")
-        g["cached"] += _num(r, "cached")
-        g["cost_usd"] = round(g["cost_usd"] + float(r.get("cost_usd") or 0.0), 4)
-        g["duration_s"] = round(g["duration_s"] + float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0), 1)
-    # §07 验收指标：缓存命中率（cached / (input + cached)），与 totals.cache_rate 同口径
-    for g in groups.values():
-        denom = g["input"] + g["cached"]
-        g["cache_rate"] = round(g["cached"] * 100.0 / denom, 1) if denom else 0.0
-    return groups
-
-
-def _model_display_map(records):
-    """模型名归一映射 {casefold: 展示名}：同一模型不同大小写（GLM-5.3-Flash 与
-    glm-5.3-flash）会被拆成两行统计，这里把 casefold 相同的归为一组，
-    展示名取组内出现次数最多的原始写法（平局取更长写法，信息更全）。"""
-    canon = {}
-    for r in records:
-        name = str(r.get("model") or "") or "unknown"
-        c = canon.setdefault(name.casefold(), {})
-        c["total"] = c.get("total", 0) + 1
-        c["names"] = c.get("names") or {}
-        c["names"][name] = (c["names"].get(name) or 0) + 1
-    display = {}
-    for k, c in canon.items():
-        display[k] = max(c["names"].items(),
-                         key=lambda kv: (kv[1], len(kv[0])))[0]
-    return display
-
-
-def _remap_model(records, display):
-    """把 records 的 model 字段替换为归一后的展示名（不改动原记录）。"""
-    out = []
-    for r in records:
-        name = str(r.get("model") or "") or "unknown"
-        r2 = dict(r)
-        r2["model"] = display.get(name.casefold(), name)
-        out.append(r2)
-    return out
-
-
-def _dim_rows(records, key, normalize=False):
-    rows = []
-    if normalize:
-        records = _remap_model(records, _model_display_map(records))
-    for name, g in _group(records, key).items():
-        rows.append({"key": name, **g})
-    rows.sort(key=lambda x: -x["tokens"])
-    return rows
-
-
-def _streaks(dayset):
-    """连续活跃天数：current=从今天（今天没用量则从昨天）往回的连续天数；
-    longest=历史上最长连续段。dayset 为 ISO 日期字符串集合。"""
-    import datetime
-    ds = set()
-    for s in dayset:
-        try:
-            ds.add(datetime.date.fromisoformat(str(s)))
-        except (ValueError, TypeError):
-            continue
-    if not ds:
-        return 0, 0
-    today = datetime.date.today()
-    anchor = today if today in ds else today - datetime.timedelta(days=1)
-    current = 0
-    d = anchor
-    while d in ds:
-        current += 1
-        d -= datetime.timedelta(days=1)
-    longest = run = 0
-    prev = None
-    for d in sorted(ds):
-        run = run + 1 if (prev is not None and (d - prev).days == 1) else 1
-        longest = max(longest, run)
-        prev = d
-    return current, longest
-
-
-def summary(days=30, recent_limit=30):
-    """多维聚合。days=0 表示全部历史。by_day 连续补零，方便前端直接画趋势。
-
-    一次全量扫描后在内存里按范围过滤（_iter_records 本就逐文件全读，
-    这样热力图/连续天数所需的全历史数据不再二次扫描）：
-    - all_by_day：全历史按日 tokens（热力图、连续天数）；
-    - by_day_model：范围内按日按模型 tokens（多模型趋势折线，模型名已归一）；
-    - totals 增 peak_tokens / max_duration_s / streak_current / streak_longest。
-    """
-    import datetime
-    with LOCK:
-        all_records = _iter_records(0)
-    now = datetime.date.today()
-    span = int(days) if days else 0
-    since = (now - datetime.timedelta(days=max(span, 1) - 1)) if span else None
-    if span:
-        since_s = since.isoformat()
-        records = [r for r in all_records if str(r.get("day") or "") >= since_s]
-    else:
-        records = all_records
-
-    # 模型名归一：维度行与按日趋势共用同一展示名映射
-    model_display = _model_display_map(records)
-    model_records = _remap_model(records, model_display)
-
-    day_groups = _group(records, "day")
-    by_day = []
-    if span:
-        for i in range(span):
-            d = (now - datetime.timedelta(days=span - 1 - i)).isoformat()
-            g = day_groups.get(d, {})
-            by_day.append({"day": d, "calls": g.get("calls", 0),
-                           "ok": g.get("ok", 0),
-                           "tokens": g.get("tokens", 0),
-                           "input": g.get("input", 0), "output": g.get("output", 0),
-                           "cached": g.get("cached", 0),
-                           "cache_rate": g.get("cache_rate", 0.0),
-                           "duration_s": g.get("duration_s", 0.0),
-                           "cost_usd": round(g.get("cost_usd", 0.0), 4)})
-    else:
-        for d in sorted(day_groups):
-            g = day_groups[d]
-            by_day.append({"day": d, "calls": g["calls"], "ok": g["ok"],
-                           "tokens": g["tokens"],
-                           "input": g["input"], "output": g["output"],
-                           "cached": g.get("cached", 0),
-                           "cache_rate": g.get("cache_rate", 0.0),
-                           "duration_s": g.get("duration_s", 0.0),
-                           "cost_usd": g["cost_usd"]})
-
-    # 按日按模型 tokens（范围内；与 by_day 同一天序列，无数据天给空表）
-    day_model = {}
-    for r in model_records:
-        d = str(r.get("day") or "")
-        if not d:
-            continue
-        m = day_model.setdefault(d, {})
-        name = str(r.get("model") or "unknown")
-        m[name] = m.get(name, 0) + _num(r, "total")
-    by_day_model = [{"day": bd["day"], "models": day_model.get(bd["day"], {})}
-                    for bd in by_day]
-
-    # 全历史按日 tokens（热力图 / 连续天数；不补零，按日期排序）
-    all_day_groups = _group(all_records, "day")
-    all_by_day = [{"day": d, "tokens": all_day_groups[d]["tokens"]}
-                  for d in sorted(all_day_groups)]
-
-    totals = {
-        "calls": len(records),
-        "ok": sum(1 for r in records if r.get("ok")),
-        "tokens": sum(_num(r, "total") for r in records),
-        "input": sum(_num(r, "input") for r in records),
-        "output": sum(_num(r, "output") for r in records),
-        "cached": sum(_num(r, "cached") for r in records),
-        "reasoning": sum(_num(r, "reasoning") for r in records),
-        "cost_usd": round(sum(float(r.get("cost_usd") or 0.0) for r in records), 4),
-        "duration_s": round(sum(float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0) for r in records), 1),
-    }
-    totals["failed"] = totals["calls"] - totals["ok"]
-    totals["days_active"] = len(day_groups)
-    totals["avg_tokens_per_call"] = int(totals["tokens"] / totals["calls"]) if totals["calls"] else 0
-    denom = totals["input"] + totals["cached"]
-    totals["cache_rate"] = round(totals["cached"] * 100.0 / denom, 1) if denom else 0.0
-    totals["peak_tokens"] = max((bd["tokens"] for bd in by_day), default=0)
-    totals["max_duration_s"] = round(max((float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0) for r in records), default=0.0), 1)
-    # 压缩省量（source=compaction 记录的 saved 合计）：与消耗并列的第七维，
-    # 台账从此能答「省了多少」；无压缩记录时为 0，老前端不读不受影响
-    totals["compaction_saved"] = sum(_num(r, "saved") for r in records)
-    # 体验指标：只统计可测记录（缺失与 0 都表示"这条没测到"，不参与均值），
-    # 否则 CLI 路径会把首字延迟平均数拉到 0，读数即假数。
-    ft_list = sorted(_parse_float(r.get("first_token_ms")) for r in records
-                     if _parse_float(r.get("first_token_ms")) > 0)
-    tps_list = [_parse_float(r.get("tokens_per_sec")) for r in records
-                if _parse_float(r.get("tokens_per_sec")) > 0]
-    totals["perf_samples"] = len(ft_list)
-    totals["avg_first_token_ms"] = (round(sum(ft_list) / len(ft_list), 1)
-                                    if ft_list else 0.0)
-    totals["p95_first_token_ms"] = _percentile(ft_list, 0.95) if ft_list else 0.0
-    totals["avg_tokens_per_sec"] = (round(sum(tps_list) / len(tps_list), 2)
-                                    if tps_list else 0.0)
-    cur, lng = _streaks(str(r.get("day") or "") for r in all_records)
-    totals["streak_current"] = cur
-    totals["streak_longest"] = lng
-
-    recent = sorted(records, key=lambda r: str(r.get("ts", "")), reverse=True)[:recent_limit]
-    return {
-        "generated_at": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
-        "range": {"days": span, "since": since.isoformat() if since else ""},
-        "totals": totals,
-        "by_day": by_day,
-        "by_day_model": by_day_model,
-        "all_by_day": all_by_day,
-        "by_tool": _dim_rows(records, "tool"),
-        "by_agent": _dim_rows(records, "agent"),
-        "by_model": _dim_rows(records, "model", normalize=True),
-        "by_role": _dim_rows(records, "role"),
-        "by_task_type": _dim_rows(records, "task_type"),
-        "recent": recent,
-    }
-
-
-THIN_SAMPLES = 10   # 低于此样本数即「薄样本」，口径见执行标准第 6 条
-
-_DURATION_BASELINES = {
-    "direct": 90, "rank_scan": 240, "email": 180, "weekly_report": 240,
-    "translation": 240, "speech": 360, "video_script": 360, "article": 480,
-    "doc": 480, "resume": 420, "code": 600, "tech_proposal": 720,
-    "research": 900, "novel": 720, "serial_novel": 2400,
-}
-
-
-def estimate(task_type="", days=90, mode="auto", thinking="standard", rounds=None):
-    """同类任务开跑前成本与耗时预估（数据源为本地用量台账）。
-
-    同一 run 的多条步骤记录加总为一个样本，优先用成功 run，给中位数/平均/P90。
-    无历史样本时使用流程级保守基线；模式与思考程度只做透明倍率修正。"""
-    # days<=0（UI 的「全部」档）不能退化成「只扫今天」：基线会跟着窗口一起坍缩，
-    # 于是全历史被估成 480 秒常数。按保守年限扫全量。
-    span = 3650 if days is not None and int(days) <= 0 else max(1, min(3650, int(days or 90)))
-    with LOCK:
-        records = _iter_records(span)
-    runs = {}
-    for r in records:
-        tt = str(r.get("task_type") or "unknown")
-        if task_type and tt != task_type:
-            continue
-        rid = str(r.get("run_id") or "")
-        if not rid:
-            continue
-        g = runs.setdefault(rid, {"tokens": 0, "cost": 0.0,
-                                  "duration": 0.0, "ok": False})
-        g["tokens"] += _num(r, "total")
-        g["cost"] += _parse_float(r.get("cost_usd"))
-        g["duration"] += max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s")))
-        if r.get("ok"):
-            g["ok"] = True
-    ok_runs = [g for g in runs.values() if g["ok"]]
-    basis = ok_runs or list(runs.values())
-    mode_factor = {"fast": 0.60, "auto": 1.0, "expert": 1.65,
-                   "manual": 1.0}.get(str(mode or "auto"), 1.0)
-    thinking_factor = {"low": 0.78, "standard": 1.0, "high": 1.45,
-                       "auto": 1.0}.get(str(thinking or "standard"), 1.0)
-    factor = mode_factor * thinking_factor
-    try:
-        if rounds is not None and int(rounds) > 2:
-            factor *= 1.0 + min(3, int(rounds) - 2) * 0.18
-    except (TypeError, ValueError):
-        pass
-    if not basis:
-        # 全历史里一条同类样本都没有（article/doc 等低频类型）时才用基线，
-        # 并在 duration_source 上如实标 baseline，UI 必须点名它不是实测。
-        baseline = _DURATION_BASELINES.get(task_type, 480)
-        median_s = max(30, int(baseline * factor))
-        return {"task_type": task_type or "", "days": span, "samples": 0,
-                "estimated_duration_s": median_s,
-                "p90_duration_s": max(median_s + 30, int(median_s * 1.7)),
-                # 标准「成本与时延预算」第 6 条：样本 <10 即薄样本，UI 必须点名，
-                # 不能把"仅此一例"的历史当实测承诺。
-                "thin": True, "min_samples_for_estimate": THIN_SAMPLES,
-                "duration_source": "baseline"}
-    toks = sorted(g["tokens"] for g in basis)
-    costs = sorted(g["cost"] for g in basis)
-    durations = sorted(g["duration"] for g in basis if g["duration"] > 0)
-    n = len(toks)
-    mid = n // 2
-    med = toks[mid] if n % 2 else (toks[mid - 1] + toks[mid]) / 2.0
-    med_c = costs[mid] if n % 2 else (costs[mid - 1] + costs[mid]) / 2.0
-    import datetime
-    import math
-    if durations:
-        dn = len(durations)
-        dmid = dn // 2
-        dmed = (durations[dmid] if dn % 2
-                else (durations[dmid - 1] + durations[dmid]) / 2.0)
-        dp90 = durations[max(0, min(dn - 1, math.ceil(0.9 * dn) - 1))]
-        duration_source = "history"
-    else:
-        dmed = _DURATION_BASELINES.get(task_type, 480)
-        dp90 = dmed * 1.7
-        duration_source = "baseline"
-    return {
-        "task_type": task_type or "",
-        "days": span,
-        "samples": n,
-        "ok_samples": len(ok_runs),
-        "avg_tokens": int(sum(toks) / n),
-        "median_tokens": int(med),
-        "p90_tokens": toks[max(0, min(n - 1, math.ceil(0.9 * n) - 1))],
-        "avg_cost_usd": round(sum(costs) / n, 4),
-        "median_cost_usd": round(med_c, 4),
-        "estimated_duration_s": max(30, int(dmed * factor)),
-        "p90_duration_s": max(60, int(dp90 * factor)),
-        "duration_samples": len(durations),
-        "thin": n < THIN_SAMPLES, "min_samples_for_estimate": THIN_SAMPLES,
-        "duration_source": duration_source,
-        "since": (datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=span - 1)).isoformat(),
-    }
-
-
-def _audit_file(day):
-    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("estimate-audit-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
-
-
-_AUDITED = {}      # run_id -> 落盘路径；幂等去重，上限后整体清空防无界增长
-_AUDIT_LIMIT = 4000
-TERMINAL_STATUSES = ("done", "failed", "cancelled", "timeout")
-
-
-def audit_run(run):
-    """事后对账：开跑前的预估快照 vs 本次真实用量，一条 run 一行。
-
-    预估值只取 run 上的快照（store.create_run 落的 estimated_duration_s 等），
-    绝不回读当前 estimate()——那会把本次刚写入的消耗算进"预估"，比值永远偏低。
-    快照缺失（回填前的老 run、非编排类）时如实标 basis=none，不猜一个数充数。
-    """
-    try:
-        run_id = str((run or {}).get("id") or "")
-        if not run_id or run_id in _AUDITED:
-            return None
-        status = str(run.get("status") or "")
-        if status not in TERMINAL_STATUSES:
-            return None
-        task_type = str(run.get("task_type") or (run.get("op") or {}).get("type") or "")
-        est_s = _parse_float(run.get("estimated_duration_s"))
-        est_p90 = _parse_float(run.get("estimated_p90_s"))
-        basis = "stored"
-        if est_s <= 0:
-            # 快照缺失时退而用同类型历史口径，但必须落 basis=recomputed 标出来源
-            snap = estimate(task_type=task_type, days=(run.get("estimate_days") or 90))
-            est_s = _parse_float(snap.get("estimated_duration_s"))
-            est_p90 = _parse_float(snap.get("p90_duration_s"))
-            basis = "recomputed" if est_s > 0 else "none"
-        actual_s = 0.0
-        actual_tokens = 0
-        for r in _iter_records(366):
-            if str(r.get("run_id") or "") != run_id:
-                continue
-            actual_s += max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s")))
-            actual_tokens += _parse_int(r.get("total"))
-        rec = {
-            "ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
-            "day": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
-            "run_id": run_id[:64],
-            "task_id": str(run.get("task_id") or "")[:64],
-            "task_type": task_type[:32] or "unknown",
-            "status": status[:16],
-            "est_duration_s": round(est_s, 1),
-            "est_p90_s": round(est_p90, 1),
-            "est_source": str(run.get("estimate_source") or "")[:16],
-            "est_samples": _parse_int(run.get("estimate_samples")),
-            "est_basis": basis[:16],
-            "actual_duration_s": round(actual_s, 1),
-            "actual_tokens": actual_tokens,
-            "ratio": round(actual_s / est_s, 3) if est_s > 0 else 0.0,
-            "over_p90": bool(est_p90 > 0 and actual_s > est_p90),
-        }
-        line = json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False)
-        path = _audit_file(rec["day"])
-        with LOCK:
-            path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
-            with open(path, "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
-                f.write(line + "\n")
-        if len(_AUDITED) >= _AUDIT_LIMIT:
-            _AUDITED.clear()
-        _AUDITED[run_id] = str(path)
-        return rec
-    except Exception:
-        return None
+# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
+"""用量台账：每次真实 LLM 调用（CLI 智能体 / 编排者直连 API）追加一条记录，
+支持按天/工具(CLI)/智能体/模型/角色/任务类型多维聚合——用量统计页的数据源。
+
+落盘：data/usage/usage-YYYYMM.jsonl（按月分文件，append-only，一行一记录）。
+并发安全：全局锁 + 追加写；读侧每次全量扫描再聚合（调用频次为分钟级，
+文件规模可控；聚合在请求线程内完成，不引入后台任务）。
+
+记一条的入口是 record()：字段残缺不抛错（埋点失败绝不能影响任务执行）。
+"""
+from __future__ import annotations
+
+import json
+import math
+import threading
+import time
+
+from . import paths
+
+LOCK = threading.RLock()
+
+# 维度 → 显示名（聚合接口与前端共用）
+DIMENSIONS = {
+    "tool": "工具（CLI）",
+    "agent": "智能体",
+    "model": "模型",
+    "role": "步骤角色",
+    "task_type": "任务类型",
+}
+
+FIELDS = ("ts", "day", "run_id", "step", "task_id", "task_type", "role", "agent", "agent_label",
+          "tool", "model", "provider", "ok", "duration_s",
+          "input", "output", "cached", "reasoning", "total", "cost_usd", "source",
+          "first_token_ms", "tokens_per_sec")
+
+
+def _month_file(day):
+    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("usage-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
+
+
+def _quality_file(day):
+    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("routing-quality-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
+
+
+def _parse_int(v):
+    try:
+        return int(v or 0)
+    except (TypeError, ValueError):
+        return 0
+
+
+def _parse_float(v):
+    try:
+        return float(v or 0.0)
+    except (TypeError, ValueError):
+        return 0.0
+
+
+def _parse_bool(v):
+    if v is None:
+        return False
+    return bool(v)
+
+
+def record(source="", run_id="", task_id="", task_type="", role="", step=0,
+           agent="", agent_label="", tool="", model="", provider="",
+           ok=True, duration_s=0.0, cost_usd=0.0, usage=None,
+           first_token_ms=0.0, tokens_per_sec=0.0):
+    """追加一条用量记录。usage 为细分 dict：{input, output, cached, reasoning, total}；
+    缺省字段按 0 处理。任何异常都吞掉——统计永远不能拖垮业务调用方。
+
+    step 为该运行内的步骤号：与 backfill_from_runs 的去重键一致，缺了会导致
+    启动回填把同一步骤重复入账。
+    """
+    try:
+        u = usage or {}
+        rec = {
+            "ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
+            "day": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
+            "source": str(source or "pipeline")[:24],
+            "run_id": str(run_id or "")[:64],
+            "step": _parse_int(step),
+            "task_id": str(task_id or "")[:64],
+            "task_type": str(task_type or "")[:32] or "unknown",
+            "role": str(role or "")[:40] or "unknown",
+            "agent": str(agent or "")[:40] or "unknown",
+            "agent_label": str(agent_label or "")[:60],
+            "tool": str(tool or "")[:24] or "unknown",
+            "model": str(model or "")[:80] or "(默认)",
+            "provider": str(provider or "")[:60],
+            "ok": _parse_bool(ok),
+            "duration_s": round(_parse_float(duration_s), 1),
+            "cost_usd": round(_parse_float(cost_usd), 4),
+        }
+        inp = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("input")))
+        out = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("output")))
+        cach = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("cached")))
+        reas = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("reasoning")))
+        total = _parse_int(u.get("total")) or (inp + out + cach)
+        rec.update({"input": inp, "output": out, "cached": cach,
+                    "reasoning": reas, "total": total})
+        # 压缩省量注记（source=compaction 专用）：上下文折叠净省的估算 token，
+        # 与消耗并列成账——省了多少不再是黑箱。零值不落字段防老记录膨胀。
+        saved = max(0, _parse_int(u.get("saved")))
+        if saved:
+            rec["saved"] = saved
+        # 体验指标（§07）：只有内置直连的流式路径可测，CLI 事件流没有逐 token
+        # 时刻。零值不落字段——"缺字段"表示不可测，不能读成"首字 0 毫秒"。
+        ft = round(_parse_float(first_token_ms), 1)
+        if ft > 0:
+            rec["first_token_ms"] = ft
+        tps = round(_parse_float(tokens_per_sec), 2)
+        if tps > 0:
+            rec["tokens_per_sec"] = tps
+        line = json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False)
+        with LOCK:
+            paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+            with open(_month_file(rec["day"]), "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+                f.write(line + "\n")
+            _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].clear()
+            _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.clear()
+            _HOURLY_CACHE["ts"] = 0.0
+    except Exception:
+        pass
+
+
+def backfill_from_runs():
+    """把历史 run.json 里已记录的 token 用量回填进台账（启动时调用，幂等）。
+
+    埋点是后加的：此前的运行只在 run.json 的步骤里存了 tokens/cost_usd 总量，
+    没有输入/输出/缓存细分，所以回填记录 input/output/cached 记 0、只有 total，
+    并以 source="backfill" 标记便于区分。已回填的 (run_id, 步骤号) 会跳过，
+    重复启动不会产生重复记录。
+    """
+    try:
+        runs_dir = paths.RUNS_DIR
+        if not runs_dir.is_dir():
+            return 0
+        # 已入账的 (run_id, role, 步骤号) 集合——含真实埋点与既往回填
+        seen = set()
+        for r in _iter_records(0):
+            seen.add((str(r.get("run_id") or ""), str(r.get("role") or ""),
+                      _parse_int(r.get("step"))))
+        added = 0
+        # 旧 run 未存任务类型，从 tasks/*.json 补齐（缺了就记 unknown）
+        task_types = {}
+        try:
+            for tp in paths.TASKS_DIR.glob("*.json"):
+                try:
+                    t = json.loads(tp.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
+                    task_types[t.get("id")] = t.get("type") or ""
+                except Exception:
+                    continue
+        except Exception:
+            pass
+        for p in sorted(runs_dir.glob("*/run.json")):
+            try:
+                run = json.loads(p.read_text(encoding="utf-8"))
+            except Exception:
+                continue
+            if not isinstance(run, dict):
+                continue
+            run_id = str(run.get("id") or p.parent.name)
+            day = str(run.get("started_at") or run.get("created_at") or "")[:10]
+            if not day:
+                continue
+            for s in (run.get("steps") or []):
+                if not isinstance(s, dict):
+                    continue
+                total = _parse_int(s.get("tokens"))
+                if total <= 0:
+                    continue          # 无 token 的步骤（验证/合并/mock）不入账
+                n = _parse_int(s.get("n"))
+                key = (run_id, str(s.get("role") or ""), n)
+                if key in seen:
+                    continue
+                seen.add(key)
+                rec = {
+                    "ts": "%s %s" % (day, str(s.get("started_at") or "00:00:00")[:8]),
+                    "day": day, "source": "backfill", "run_id": run_id,
+                    "step": n,
+                    "task_id": str(run.get("task_id") or ""),
+                    "task_type": task_types.get(str(run.get("task_id") or "")) or "unknown",
+                    "role": str(s.get("role") or "")[:40] or "unknown",
+                    "agent": str(s.get("agent") or "")[:40] or "unknown",
+                    "agent_label": str(s.get("agent_label") or "")[:60],
+                    "tool": _tool_of(str(s.get("agent") or "")),
+                    "model": str(s.get("model") or "")[:80] or "(历史未记录)",
+                    "provider": "",
+                    "ok": str(s.get("status") or "") == "done",
+                    "duration_s": round(_parse_float(s.get("duration_s")), 1),
+                    "cost_usd": round(_parse_float(s.get("cost_usd")), 4),
+                    "input": 0, "output": 0, "cached": 0, "reasoning": 0,
+                    "total": total,
+                }
+                with LOCK:
+                    paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+                    with open(_month_file(day), "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+                        f.write(json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
+                added += 1
+        return added
+    except Exception:
+        return 0
+
+
+# 智能体 id → 工具 kind（回填时旧记录没有 tool 字段，只能从 id 推断）
+_AGENT_TOOL = {"codex-cli": "codex", "claude-code": "claude", "qwen-cli": "qwen",
+               "qwencode": "qwen", "opencode": "opencode", "aider": "aider",
+               "orchestrator": "orchestrator"}
+
+
+def _tool_of(agent_id):
+    a = str(agent_id or "").lower()
+    if a in _AGENT_TOOL:
+        return _AGENT_TOOL[a]
+    for k, v in _AGENT_TOOL.items():
+        if a.startswith(k):
+            return v
+    return a or "unknown"
+
+
+_HOURLY_CACHE = {"ts": 0.0, "val": {}}
+_HOURLY_TTL = 60.0   # 秒：路由调用频繁但台账追加低频，60s 缓存足够新鲜
+_ROUTING_CACHE = {"data": {}}
+_ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE = {}
+_ROUTING_TTL = 15.0
+
+
+def agent_tokens_recent(agent, hours=1):
+    """该智能体近 N 小时的 token 总量（路由配额惩罚用）。按 ts 前缀过滤，
+    60 秒 TTL 进程内缓存——运行中每次路由都查也只扫两天的台账。"""
+    try:
+        agent = str(agent or "")
+        now = time.time()
+        if now - _HOURLY_CACHE["ts"] > _HOURLY_TTL:
+            bound = time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S",
+                                  time.localtime(now - hours * 3600.0))
+            total = {}
+            for r in _iter_records(2):
+                if str(r.get("ts") or "") < bound:
+                    continue
+                a = str(r.get("agent") or "")
+                # record() 将规范化后的 token 总数落在顶层 ``total``；旧实现
+                # 误读不存在的嵌套 usage 字段，导致配额路由永远认为本小时
+                # 用量为 0，超过供应商额度也不会降权。
+                total[a] = total.get(a, 0) + max(0, _parse_int(r.get("total")))
+            _HOURLY_CACHE.update(ts=now, val=total)
+        return int(_HOURLY_CACHE["val"].get(agent) or 0)
+    except Exception:
+        return 0
+
+
+def _iter_records(days):
+    """按时间范围读取台账（days=0 表示全部）。返回按写入顺序的记录列表。"""
+    out = []
+    try:
+        files = sorted(paths.USAGE_DIR.glob("usage-*.jsonl")) if paths.USAGE_DIR.is_dir() else []
+    except Exception:
+        return out
+    since_day = ""
+    if days:
+        import datetime
+        d = (datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=int(days) - 1)).isoformat()
+        since_day = d
+    since_month = since_day[:7].replace("-", "") if since_day else ""
+    for p in files:
+        if since_month and p.stem.rsplit("-", 1)[-1] < since_month:
+            continue
+        try:
+            for line in p.read_text(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace").splitlines():
+                line = line.strip()
+                if not line.startswith("{"):
+                    continue
+                try:
+                    r = json.loads(line)
+                except Exception:
+                    continue
+                if not isinstance(r, dict):
+                    continue
+                if since_day and str(r.get("day", "")) < since_day:
+                    continue
+                out.append(r)
+        except Exception:
+            continue
+    return out
+
+
+def _iter_quality_records(days):
+    """读取独立质量台账；不混入用量统计的调用数、token 和成本。"""
+    out = []
+    try:
+        files = sorted(paths.USAGE_DIR.glob("routing-quality-*.jsonl")) \
+            if paths.USAGE_DIR.is_dir() else []
+    except Exception:
+        return out
+    since_day = ""
+    if days:
+        import datetime
+        since_day = (datetime.date.today()
+                     - datetime.timedelta(days=int(days) - 1)).isoformat()
+    since_month = since_day[:7].replace("-", "") if since_day else ""
+    for path in files:
+        if since_month and path.stem.rsplit("-", 1)[-1] < since_month:
+            continue
+        try:
+            for line in path.read_text(encoding="utf-8", errors="replace").splitlines():
+                try:
+                    row = json.loads(line)
+                except Exception:
+                    continue
+                if isinstance(row, dict) and (not since_day or row.get("day", "") >= since_day):
+                    out.append(row)
+        except Exception:
+            continue
+    return out
+
+
+def _routing_records(days):
+    """同一轮候选评分共享一次台账解析，避免每个候选重复扫全盘。"""
+    key = (str(paths.USAGE_DIR), int(days))
+    now = time.time()
+    with LOCK:
+        cached = _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.get(key)
+        if cached and now - cached[0] <= _ROUTING_TTL:
+            return list(cached[1]), list(cached[2])
+    calls, quality = _iter_records(days), _iter_quality_records(days)
+    with LOCK:
+        _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE[key] = (now, list(calls), list(quality))
+    return calls, quality
+
+
+def record_quality_for_run(run_id, quality_ok, agent=""):
+    """把验收结论归因到最终实际产出者，不重复计入用量。"""
+    try:
+        run_id = str(run_id or "")[:64]
+        if not run_id:
+            return 0
+        calls = [r for r in _iter_records(2)
+                 if r.get("run_id") == run_id and r.get("ok") is True]
+        prefixes = ("implement", "fix", "draft", "revise", "polish", "direct", "author")
+        calls = [r for r in calls if str(r.get("role") or "").lower().startswith(prefixes)]
+        agent = str(agent or "")[:40]
+        unique = {}
+        for row in calls:
+            key = tuple(str(row.get(k) or "") for k in
+                        ("task_id", "task_type", "role", "agent", "model", "provider"))
+            unique[key] = row
+        if not unique:
+            return 0
+        existing = {(r.get("run_id"), r.get("role"), r.get("agent"),
+                     r.get("model"), r.get("provider"))
+                    for r in _iter_quality_records(2)}
+        day = time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d")
+        rows = []
+        for row in unique.values():
+            identity = (run_id, row.get("role"), row.get("agent"),
+                        row.get("model"), row.get("provider"))
+            if identity in existing:
+                continue
+            # 成功调用不等于产出通过。换将前的实现者即使传输成功，也已被质量
+            # 门淘汰，必须留下负样本；最终实际产出者才继承本次验收结论。
+            row_quality_ok = bool(quality_ok)
+            if agent and str(row.get("agent") or "") != agent:
+                row_quality_ok = False
+            rows.append({"ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"), "day": day,
+                         "run_id": run_id, "task_id": row.get("task_id") or "",
+                         "task_type": row.get("task_type") or "unknown",
+                         "role": row.get("role") or "unknown",
+                         "agent": row.get("agent") or "unknown",
+                         "model": row.get("model") or "(默认)",
+                         "provider": row.get("provider") or "",
+                         "quality_ok": row_quality_ok})
+        if not rows:
+            return 0
+        with LOCK:
+            paths.USAGE_DIR.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+            with open(_quality_file(day), "a", encoding="utf-8") as handle:
+                for row in rows:
+                    handle.write(json.dumps(row, ensure_ascii=False) + "\n")
+            _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].clear()
+            _ROUTING_RECORDS_CACHE.clear()
+        return len(rows)
+    except Exception:
+        return 0
+
+
+def _num(r, key):
+    return _parse_int(r.get(key))
+
+
+def _percentile(values, percentile):
+    """线性插值百分位，空样本返回 0。"""
+    if not values:
+        return 0.0
+    ordered = sorted(float(v) for v in values)
+    if len(ordered) == 1:
+        return round(ordered[0], 2)
+    pos = (len(ordered) - 1) * float(percentile)
+    lo = int(math.floor(pos))
+    hi = int(math.ceil(pos))
+    if lo == hi:
+        return round(ordered[lo], 2)
+    return round(ordered[lo] + (ordered[hi] - ordered[lo]) * (pos - lo), 2)
+
+
+def routing_stats(task_type="", role="", agent="", model="", provider="",
+                  days=90, min_samples=3):
+    """返回路由用的近期真实运行指标。
+
+    只读取脱敏用量台账；精确维度样本不足时依次回退到任务+角色、任务、
+    全局，成功率使用 Beta(3, 1) 平滑，避免单次失败永久压低新候选。
+    """
+    try:
+        task_type = str(task_type or "")[:32]
+        role = str(role or "")[:40]
+        agent = str(agent or "")[:40]
+        model = str(model or "")[:80]
+        provider = str(provider or "")[:60]
+        days = max(0, int(days))
+        min_samples = max(1, int(min_samples))
+    except (TypeError, ValueError):
+        days, min_samples = 90, 3
+    # DATA_DIR 可在测试、多实例或运行时配置切换；纳入缓存键，避免跨目录
+    # 复用另一套台账的线上指标。
+    key = (str(paths.DATA_DIR), task_type, role, agent, model, provider,
+           days, min_samples)
+    now = time.time()
+    with LOCK:
+        cached = _ROUTING_CACHE["data"].get(key)
+        if cached and now - cached[0] <= _ROUTING_TTL:
+            return dict(cached[1])
+    records, quality_records = _routing_records(days)
+
+    def matches(record, filters):
+        return all(str(record.get(field) or "") == value
+                   for field, value in filters.items() if value)
+
+    # 先保留所有已提供的维度；后续逐层放宽，确保模型和 CLI 都能共享一套查询。
+    exact = {"task_type": task_type, "role": role, "agent": agent,
+             "model": model, "provider": provider}
+    fallbacks = [(exact, "exact")]
+    task_role = {"task_type": task_type, "role": role}
+    if task_role != exact:
+        fallbacks.append((task_role, "task-role"))
+    if task_type:
+        fallbacks.append(({"task_type": task_type}, "task"))
+    fallbacks.append(({}, "global"))
+    selected, label = [], "global"
+    for filters, candidate_label in fallbacks:
+        candidate = [r for r in records if matches(r, filters)]
+        if len(candidate) >= min_samples or (candidate_label == "global" and candidate):
+            selected, label = candidate, candidate_label
+            break
+    chosen_filters = next((filters for filters, candidate_label in fallbacks
+                           if candidate_label == label), {})
+    quality_selected = [r for r in quality_records if matches(r, chosen_filters)]
+    success_rows = quality_selected or selected
+    success_key = "quality_ok" if quality_selected else "ok"
+    successes = sum(1 for r in success_rows if bool(r.get(success_key)))
+    durations = [max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s"))) for r in selected]
+    costs = [max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("cost_usd"))) for r in selected]
+    samples = len(selected)
+    success_samples = len(success_rows)
+    result = {
+        "samples": samples,
+        "quality_samples": len(quality_selected),
+        "success_samples": success_samples,
+        "successes": successes,
+        "success_rate": round((successes + 3.0) / (success_samples + 4.0), 4),
+        "p50_duration_s": _percentile(durations, 0.50),
+        "p95_duration_s": _percentile(durations, 0.95),
+        "avg_cost_usd": round(sum(costs) / samples, 6) if samples else 0.0,
+        "fallback": label,
+    }
+    with LOCK:
+        _ROUTING_CACHE["data"][key] = (now, dict(result))
+    return result
+
+
+def _group(records, key):
+    """按 key 聚合：{name: {calls, ok, tokens, input, output, cached, cache_rate, cost_usd, duration_s, saved}}。"""
+    groups = {}
+    for r in records:
+        name = str(r.get(key) or "") or "unknown"
+        g = groups.setdefault(name, {"calls": 0, "ok": 0, "tokens": 0,
+                                     "input": 0, "output": 0, "cached": 0,
+                                     "cost_usd": 0.0, "duration_s": 0.0,
+                                     "saved": 0})
+        g["calls"] += 1
+        if r.get("ok"):
+            g["ok"] += 1
+        g["tokens"] += _num(r, "total")
+        g["input"] += _num(r, "input")
+        g["output"] += _num(r, "output")
+        g["cached"] += _num(r, "cached")
+        g["saved"] += _num(r, "saved")
+        g["cost_usd"] = round(g["cost_usd"] + float(r.get("cost_usd") or 0.0), 4)
+        g["duration_s"] = round(g["duration_s"] + float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0), 1)
+    # §07 验收指标：缓存命中率（cached / (input + cached)），与 totals.cache_rate 同口径
+    for g in groups.values():
+        denom = g["input"] + g["cached"]
+        g["cache_rate"] = round(g["cached"] * 100.0 / denom, 1) if denom else 0.0
+    return groups
+
+
+def _model_display_map(records):
+    """模型名归一映射 {casefold: 展示名}：同一模型不同大小写（GLM-5.3-Flash 与
+    glm-5.3-flash）会被拆成两行统计，这里把 casefold 相同的归为一组，
+    展示名取组内出现次数最多的原始写法（平局取更长写法，信息更全）。"""
+    canon = {}
+    for r in records:
+        name = str(r.get("model") or "") or "unknown"
+        c = canon.setdefault(name.casefold(), {})
+        c["total"] = c.get("total", 0) + 1
+        c["names"] = c.get("names") or {}
+        c["names"][name] = (c["names"].get(name) or 0) + 1
+    display = {}
+    for k, c in canon.items():
+        display[k] = max(c["names"].items(),
+                         key=lambda kv: (kv[1], len(kv[0])))[0]
+    return display
+
+
+def _remap_model(records, display):
+    """把 records 的 model 字段替换为归一后的展示名（不改动原记录）。"""
+    out = []
+    for r in records:
+        name = str(r.get("model") or "") or "unknown"
+        r2 = dict(r)
+        r2["model"] = display.get(name.casefold(), name)
+        out.append(r2)
+    return out
+
+
+def _dim_rows(records, key, normalize=False):
+    rows = []
+    if normalize:
+        records = _remap_model(records, _model_display_map(records))
+    for name, g in _group(records, key).items():
+        rows.append({"key": name, **g})
+    rows.sort(key=lambda x: -x["tokens"])
+    return rows
+
+
+def _streaks(dayset):
+    """连续活跃天数：current=从今天（今天没用量则从昨天）往回的连续天数；
+    longest=历史上最长连续段。dayset 为 ISO 日期字符串集合。"""
+    import datetime
+    ds = set()
+    for s in dayset:
+        try:
+            ds.add(datetime.date.fromisoformat(str(s)))
+        except (ValueError, TypeError):
+            continue
+    if not ds:
+        return 0, 0
+    today = datetime.date.today()
+    anchor = today if today in ds else today - datetime.timedelta(days=1)
+    current = 0
+    d = anchor
+    while d in ds:
+        current += 1
+        d -= datetime.timedelta(days=1)
+    longest = run = 0
+    prev = None
+    for d in sorted(ds):
+        run = run + 1 if (prev is not None and (d - prev).days == 1) else 1
+        longest = max(longest, run)
+        prev = d
+    return current, longest
+
+
+def summary(days=30, recent_limit=30):
+    """多维聚合。days=0 表示全部历史。by_day 连续补零，方便前端直接画趋势。
+
+    一次全量扫描后在内存里按范围过滤（_iter_records 本就逐文件全读，
+    这样热力图/连续天数所需的全历史数据不再二次扫描）：
+    - all_by_day：全历史按日 tokens（热力图、连续天数）；
+    - by_day_model：范围内按日按模型 tokens（多模型趋势折线，模型名已归一）；
+    - totals 增 peak_tokens / max_duration_s / streak_current / streak_longest。
+    """
+    import datetime
+    with LOCK:
+        all_records = _iter_records(0)
+    now = datetime.date.today()
+    span = int(days) if days else 0
+    since = (now - datetime.timedelta(days=max(span, 1) - 1)) if span else None
+    if span:
+        since_s = since.isoformat()
+        records = [r for r in all_records if str(r.get("day") or "") >= since_s]
+    else:
+        records = all_records
+
+    # 模型名归一：维度行与按日趋势共用同一展示名映射
+    model_display = _model_display_map(records)
+    model_records = _remap_model(records, model_display)
+
+    day_groups = _group(records, "day")
+    by_day = []
+    if span:
+        for i in range(span):
+            d = (now - datetime.timedelta(days=span - 1 - i)).isoformat()
+            g = day_groups.get(d, {})
+            by_day.append({"day": d, "calls": g.get("calls", 0),
+                           "ok": g.get("ok", 0),
+                           "tokens": g.get("tokens", 0),
+                           "input": g.get("input", 0), "output": g.get("output", 0),
+                           "cached": g.get("cached", 0),
+                           "cache_rate": g.get("cache_rate", 0.0),
+                           "duration_s": g.get("duration_s", 0.0),
+                           "saved": g.get("saved", 0),
+                           "cost_usd": round(g.get("cost_usd", 0.0), 4)})
+    else:
+        for d in sorted(day_groups):
+            g = day_groups[d]
+            by_day.append({"day": d, "calls": g["calls"], "ok": g["ok"],
+                           "tokens": g["tokens"],
+                           "input": g["input"], "output": g["output"],
+                           "cached": g.get("cached", 0),
+                           "cache_rate": g.get("cache_rate", 0.0),
+                           "duration_s": g.get("duration_s", 0.0),
+                           "saved": g.get("saved", 0),
+                           "cost_usd": g["cost_usd"]})
+
+    # 按日按模型 tokens（范围内；与 by_day 同一天序列，无数据天给空表）
+    day_model = {}
+    for r in model_records:
+        d = str(r.get("day") or "")
+        if not d:
+            continue
+        m = day_model.setdefault(d, {})
+        name = str(r.get("model") or "unknown")
+        m[name] = m.get(name, 0) + _num(r, "total")
+    by_day_model = [{"day": bd["day"], "models": day_model.get(bd["day"], {})}
+                    for bd in by_day]
+
+    # 全历史按日 tokens（热力图 / 连续天数；不补零，按日期排序）
+    all_day_groups = _group(all_records, "day")
+    all_by_day = [{"day": d, "tokens": all_day_groups[d]["tokens"]}
+                  for d in sorted(all_day_groups)]
+
+    totals = {
+        "calls": len(records),
+        "ok": sum(1 for r in records if r.get("ok")),
+        "tokens": sum(_num(r, "total") for r in records),
+        "input": sum(_num(r, "input") for r in records),
+        "output": sum(_num(r, "output") for r in records),
+        "cached": sum(_num(r, "cached") for r in records),
+        "reasoning": sum(_num(r, "reasoning") for r in records),
+        "cost_usd": round(sum(float(r.get("cost_usd") or 0.0) for r in records), 4),
+        "duration_s": round(sum(float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0) for r in records), 1),
+    }
+    totals["failed"] = totals["calls"] - totals["ok"]
+    totals["days_active"] = len(day_groups)
+    totals["avg_tokens_per_call"] = int(totals["tokens"] / totals["calls"]) if totals["calls"] else 0
+    denom = totals["input"] + totals["cached"]
+    totals["cache_rate"] = round(totals["cached"] * 100.0 / denom, 1) if denom else 0.0
+    totals["peak_tokens"] = max((bd["tokens"] for bd in by_day), default=0)
+    totals["max_duration_s"] = round(max((float(r.get("duration_s") or 0.0) for r in records), default=0.0), 1)
+    # 压缩省量（source=compaction 记录的 saved 合计）：与消耗并列的第七维，
+    # 台账从此能答「省了多少」；无压缩记录时为 0，老前端不读不受影响
+    totals["compaction_saved"] = sum(_num(r, "saved") for r in records)
+    # 体验指标：只统计可测记录（缺失与 0 都表示"这条没测到"，不参与均值），
+    # 否则 CLI 路径会把首字延迟平均数拉到 0，读数即假数。
+    ft_list = sorted(_parse_float(r.get("first_token_ms")) for r in records
+                     if _parse_float(r.get("first_token_ms")) > 0)
+    tps_list = [_parse_float(r.get("tokens_per_sec")) for r in records
+                if _parse_float(r.get("tokens_per_sec")) > 0]
+    totals["perf_samples"] = len(ft_list)
+    totals["avg_first_token_ms"] = (round(sum(ft_list) / len(ft_list), 1)
+                                    if ft_list else 0.0)
+    totals["p95_first_token_ms"] = _percentile(ft_list, 0.95) if ft_list else 0.0
+    totals["avg_tokens_per_sec"] = (round(sum(tps_list) / len(tps_list), 2)
+                                    if tps_list else 0.0)
+    cur, lng = _streaks(str(r.get("day") or "") for r in all_records)
+    totals["streak_current"] = cur
+    totals["streak_longest"] = lng
+
+    recent = sorted(records, key=lambda r: str(r.get("ts", "")), reverse=True)[:recent_limit]
+    return {
+        "generated_at": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
+        "range": {"days": span, "since": since.isoformat() if since else ""},
+        "totals": totals,
+        "by_day": by_day,
+        "by_day_model": by_day_model,
+        "all_by_day": all_by_day,
+        "by_tool": _dim_rows(records, "tool"),
+        "by_agent": _dim_rows(records, "agent"),
+        "by_model": _dim_rows(records, "model", normalize=True),
+        "by_role": _dim_rows(records, "role"),
+        "by_task_type": _dim_rows(records, "task_type"),
+        "recent": recent,
+    }
+
+
+THIN_SAMPLES = 10   # 低于此样本数即「薄样本」，口径见执行标准第 6 条
+
+_DURATION_BASELINES = {
+    "direct": 90, "rank_scan": 240, "email": 180, "weekly_report": 240,
+    "translation": 240, "speech": 360, "video_script": 360, "article": 480,
+    "doc": 480, "resume": 420, "code": 600, "tech_proposal": 720,
+    "research": 900, "novel": 720, "serial_novel": 2400,
+}
+
+
+def estimate(task_type="", days=90, mode="auto", thinking="standard", rounds=None):
+    """同类任务开跑前成本与耗时预估（数据源为本地用量台账）。
+
+    同一 run 的多条步骤记录加总为一个样本，优先用成功 run，给中位数/平均/P90。
+    无历史样本时使用流程级保守基线；模式与思考程度只做透明倍率修正。"""
+    # days<=0（UI 的「全部」档）不能退化成「只扫今天」：基线会跟着窗口一起坍缩，
+    # 于是全历史被估成 480 秒常数。按保守年限扫全量。
+    span = 3650 if days is not None and int(days) <= 0 else max(1, min(3650, int(days or 90)))
+    with LOCK:
+        records = _iter_records(span)
+    runs = {}
+    for r in records:
+        tt = str(r.get("task_type") or "unknown")
+        if task_type and tt != task_type:
+            continue
+        rid = str(r.get("run_id") or "")
+        if not rid:
+            continue
+        g = runs.setdefault(rid, {"tokens": 0, "cost": 0.0,
+                                  "duration": 0.0, "ok": False})
+        g["tokens"] += _num(r, "total")
+        g["cost"] += _parse_float(r.get("cost_usd"))
+        g["duration"] += max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s")))
+        if r.get("ok"):
+            g["ok"] = True
+    ok_runs = [g for g in runs.values() if g["ok"]]
+    basis = ok_runs or list(runs.values())
+    mode_factor = {"fast": 0.60, "auto": 1.0, "expert": 1.65,
+                   "manual": 1.0}.get(str(mode or "auto"), 1.0)
+    thinking_factor = {"low": 0.78, "standard": 1.0, "high": 1.45,
+                       "auto": 1.0}.get(str(thinking or "standard"), 1.0)
+    factor = mode_factor * thinking_factor
+    try:
+        if rounds is not None and int(rounds) > 2:
+            factor *= 1.0 + min(3, int(rounds) - 2) * 0.18
+    except (TypeError, ValueError):
+        pass
+    if not basis:
+        # 全历史里一条同类样本都没有（article/doc 等低频类型）时才用基线，
+        # 并在 duration_source 上如实标 baseline，UI 必须点名它不是实测。
+        baseline = _DURATION_BASELINES.get(task_type, 480)
+        median_s = max(30, int(baseline * factor))
+        return {"task_type": task_type or "", "days": span, "samples": 0,
+                "estimated_duration_s": median_s,
+                "p90_duration_s": max(median_s + 30, int(median_s * 1.7)),
+                # 标准「成本与时延预算」第 6 条：样本 <10 即薄样本，UI 必须点名，
+                # 不能把"仅此一例"的历史当实测承诺。
+                "thin": True, "min_samples_for_estimate": THIN_SAMPLES,
+                "duration_source": "baseline"}
+    toks = sorted(g["tokens"] for g in basis)
+    costs = sorted(g["cost"] for g in basis)
+    durations = sorted(g["duration"] for g in basis if g["duration"] > 0)
+    n = len(toks)
+    mid = n // 2
+    med = toks[mid] if n % 2 else (toks[mid - 1] + toks[mid]) / 2.0
+    med_c = costs[mid] if n % 2 else (costs[mid - 1] + costs[mid]) / 2.0
+    import datetime
+    import math
+    if durations:
+        dn = len(durations)
+        dmid = dn // 2
+        dmed = (durations[dmid] if dn % 2
+                else (durations[dmid - 1] + durations[dmid]) / 2.0)
+        dp90 = durations[max(0, min(dn - 1, math.ceil(0.9 * dn) - 1))]
+        duration_source = "history"
+    else:
+        dmed = _DURATION_BASELINES.get(task_type, 480)
+        dp90 = dmed * 1.7
+        duration_source = "baseline"
+    return {
+        "task_type": task_type or "",
+        "days": span,
+        "samples": n,
+        "ok_samples": len(ok_runs),
+        "avg_tokens": int(sum(toks) / n),
+        "median_tokens": int(med),
+        "p90_tokens": toks[max(0, min(n - 1, math.ceil(0.9 * n) - 1))],
+        "avg_cost_usd": round(sum(costs) / n, 4),
+        "median_cost_usd": round(med_c, 4),
+        "estimated_duration_s": max(30, int(dmed * factor)),
+        "p90_duration_s": max(60, int(dp90 * factor)),
+        "duration_samples": len(durations),
+        "thin": n < THIN_SAMPLES, "min_samples_for_estimate": THIN_SAMPLES,
+        "duration_source": duration_source,
+        "since": (datetime.date.today() - datetime.timedelta(days=span - 1)).isoformat(),
+    }
+
+
+def _audit_file(day):
+    return paths.USAGE_DIR / ("estimate-audit-%s.jsonl" % day[:7].replace("-", ""))
+
+
+_AUDITED = {}      # run_id -> 落盘路径；幂等去重，上限后整体清空防无界增长
+_AUDIT_LIMIT = 4000
+TERMINAL_STATUSES = ("done", "failed", "cancelled", "timeout")
+
+
+def audit_run(run):
+    """事后对账：开跑前的预估快照 vs 本次真实用量，一条 run 一行。
+
+    预估值只取 run 上的快照（store.create_run 落的 estimated_duration_s 等），
+    绝不回读当前 estimate()——那会把本次刚写入的消耗算进"预估"，比值永远偏低。
+    快照缺失（回填前的老 run、非编排类）时如实标 basis=none，不猜一个数充数。
+    """
+    try:
+        run_id = str((run or {}).get("id") or "")
+        if not run_id or run_id in _AUDITED:
+            return None
+        status = str(run.get("status") or "")
+        if status not in TERMINAL_STATUSES:
+            return None
+        task_type = str(run.get("task_type") or (run.get("op") or {}).get("type") or "")
+        est_s = _parse_float(run.get("estimated_duration_s"))
+        est_p90 = _parse_float(run.get("estimated_p90_s"))
+        basis = "stored"
+        if est_s <= 0:
+            # 快照缺失时退而用同类型历史口径，但必须落 basis=recomputed 标出来源
+            snap = estimate(task_type=task_type, days=(run.get("estimate_days") or 90))
+            est_s = _parse_float(snap.get("estimated_duration_s"))
+            est_p90 = _parse_float(snap.get("p90_duration_s"))
+            basis = "recomputed" if est_s > 0 else "none"
+        actual_s = 0.0
+        actual_tokens = 0
+        for r in _iter_records(366):
+            if str(r.get("run_id") or "") != run_id:
+                continue
+            actual_s += max(0.0, _parse_float(r.get("duration_s")))
+            actual_tokens += _parse_int(r.get("total"))
+        rec = {
+            "ts": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S"),
+            "day": time.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
+            "run_id": run_id[:64],
+            "task_id": str(run.get("task_id") or "")[:64],
+            "task_type": task_type[:32] or "unknown",
+            "status": status[:16],
+            "est_duration_s": round(est_s, 1),
+            "est_p90_s": round(est_p90, 1),
+            "est_source": str(run.get("estimate_source") or "")[:16],
+            "est_samples": _parse_int(run.get("estimate_samples")),
+            "est_basis": basis[:16],
+            "actual_duration_s": round(actual_s, 1),
+            "actual_tokens": actual_tokens,
+            "ratio": round(actual_s / est_s, 3) if est_s > 0 else 0.0,
+            "over_p90": bool(est_p90 > 0 and actual_s > est_p90),
+        }
+        line = json.dumps(rec, ensure_ascii=False)
+        path = _audit_file(rec["day"])
+        with LOCK:
+            path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True)
+            with open(path, "a", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+                f.write(line + "\n")
+        if len(_AUDITED) >= _AUDIT_LIMIT:
+            _AUDITED.clear()
+        _AUDITED[run_id] = str(path)
+        return rec
+    except Exception:
+        return None