adaptive-memory-multi-model-router 1.2.2 → 1.3.1

package/docs/LLM_COUNCIL_DECISION.md

@@ -0,0 +1,508 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env python3
+"""
+TMLPD Improvement Council - Multi-LLM Decision Making
+
+Uses multiple AI providers to analyze, debate, and vote on
+the best improvement path for TMLPD v2.0.
+
+Council Members:
+1. Anthropic Claude (Architectural perspective)
+2. OpenAI GPT-4 (Practical implementation)
+3. Google Gemini (Research alignment)
+4. Cerebras Llama (Cost/benefit analysis)
+"""
+
+import asyncio
+import json
+from datetime import datetime
+from pathlib import Path
+from typing import Dict, List, Any
+
+# Mock implementations (in real system, use actual API calls)
+class CouncilMember:
+    """A council member with specific perspective"""
+
+    def __init__(self, name: str, provider: str, perspective: str):
+        self.name = name
+        self.provider = provider
+        self.perspective = perspective
+
+    async def deliberate(self, proposals: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]:
+        """
+        Analyze proposals and provide recommendations
+
+        Returns: Ranking with reasoning
+        """
+        # In production, call actual LLM API
+        # For now, return perspective-based analysis
+
+        analysis = {
+            "member": self.name,
+            "provider": self.provider,
+            "perspective": self.perspective,
+            "rankings": [],
+            "reasoning": ""
+        }
+
+        # Different perspectives weight factors differently
+        if self.perspective == "architectural":
+            # Prioritize: System design, scalability, maintainability
+            priority_factors = ["scalability", "maintainability", "abstraction"]
+            analysis["reasoning"] = (
+                "Focus on solid architectural foundations that enable "
+                "future growth. Multi-provider system and difficulty-aware "
+                "routing provide the best extensibility."
+            )
+
+        elif self.perspective == "practical":
+            # Prioritize: Implementation speed, user value, quick wins
+            priority_factors = ["implementation_speed", "user_value", "quick_wins"]
+            analysis["reasoning"] = (
+                "Prioritize features that provide immediate user value. "
+                "CLI interface and error handling give instant usability "
+                "improvements."
+            )
+
+        elif self.perspective == "research":
+            # Prioritize: Research backing, innovation, alignment with trends
+            priority_factors = ["research_support", "innovation", "trend_alignment"]
+            analysis["reasoning"] = (
+                "Emphasize improvements with strong research backing. "
+                "Advanced memory systems and difficulty-aware routing have "
+                "solid arXiv validation."
+            )
+
+        elif self.perspective == "cost_benefit":
+            # Prioritize: Cost reduction, ROI, efficiency
+            priority_factors = ["cost_savings", "roi", "efficiency"]
+            analysis["reasoning"] = (
+                "Focus on improvements that reduce operational costs and "
+                "increase efficiency. Multi-provider routing enables 40-60% "
+                "cost reduction (MONK benchmarks)."
+            )
+
+        # Score each proposal
+        for proposal in proposals:
+            score = self._score_proposal(proposal, priority_factors)
+            analysis["rankings"].append({
+                "proposal": proposal["name"],
+                "score": score,
+                "justification": self._justify_score(proposal, score)
+            })
+
+        # Sort by score
+        analysis["rankings"].sort(key=lambda x: x["score"], reverse=True)
+
+        return analysis
+
+    def _score_proposal(self, proposal: Dict, factors: List[str]) -> float:
+        """Score a proposal based on perspective factors"""
+        score = 0.0
+
+        # Base score from value rating
+        score += proposal.get("value", 0) * 20  # 0-100 points
+
+        # Adjust for effort (lower effort = better)
+        effort_days = proposal.get("effort_days", 5)
+        score += (10 - effort_days) * 5  # Prefer quicker implementations
+
+        # Research backing boost
+        if proposal.get("research_backed"):
+            if "research" in factors:
+                score += 15
+
+        # Impact boost
+        impact = proposal.get("impact", 0)
+        if impact >= 4 and "user_value" in factors:
+            score += 10
+
+        return min(score, 100)
+
+    def _justify_score(self, proposal: Dict, score: float) -> str:
+        """Generate justification for the score"""
+        justifications = []
+
+        if score >= 80:
+            justifications.append("Critical priority")
+        elif score >= 60:
+            justifications.append("High priority")
+        elif score >= 40:
+            justifications.append("Medium priority")
+        else:
+            justifications.append("Lower priority")
+
+        if proposal.get("research_backed"):
+            justifications.append("Strong research support")
+
+        if proposal.get("effort_days", 5) <= 2:
+            justifications.append("Quick to implement")
+
+        return ", ".join(justifications)
+
+
+class ImprovementCouncil:
+    """Council of AI experts for decision making"""
+
+    def __init__(self):
+        self.members = [
+            CouncilMember(
+                name="Claude (Architect)",
+                provider="anthropic",
+                perspective="architectural"
+            ),
+            CouncilMember(
+                name="GPT-4 (Pragmatist)",
+                provider="openai",
+                perspective="practical"
+            ),
+            CouncilMember(
+                name="Gemini (Researcher)",
+                provider="google",
+                perspective="research"
+            ),
+            CouncilMember(
+                name="Llama (Cost Analyst)",
+                provider="cerebras",
+                perspective="cost_benefit"
+            )
+        ]
+
+        self.proposals = [
+            {
+                "name": "Multi-Provider System with Health Monitoring",
+                "effort_days": 3,
+                "value": 5,
+                "impact": 5,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://arxiv.org/html/2506.12508v1",
+                    "https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.15755"
+                ],
+                "description": "Enable switching between Anthropic, OpenAI, Cerebras, etc. with health monitoring and automatic failover. MONK benchmarks show 40-60% cost reduction."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Difficulty-Aware Routing",
+                "effort_days": 2,
+                "value": 5,
+                "impact": 5,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://arxiv.org/html/2509.11079v2"
+                ],
+                "description": "Classify tasks by difficulty (trivial/simple/medium/complex/expert) and route to optimal providers. Research shows 35% decision quality improvement."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Advanced Memory System (Memoria-inspired)",
+                "effort_days": 4,
+                "value": 5,
+                "impact": 5,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://www.arxiv.org/abs/2512.12686",
+                    "https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.12110"
+                ],
+                "description": "Multi-tier memory: episodic (JSON), semantic (vector DB), working (in-memory). Research shows 50% improvement in long-term coherence."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Workflow Executors (Chaining & Parallelization)",
+                "effort_days": 3,
+                "value": 5,
+                "impact": 4,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.15755"
+                ],
+                "description": "Implement chaining (sequential) and parallelization (concurrent) executors. Unlocks the 15% workflow use case."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "CLI Interface with Rich Output",
+                "effort_days": 3,
+                "value": 4,
+                "impact": 4,
+                "research_backed": False,
+                "description": "Command-line tool with tmlpd execute, route, memory commands. Makes TMLPD practical for daily use."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Function Calling / Tool Use Enhancement",
+                "effort_days": 2,
+                "value": 4,
+                "impact": 4,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://arxiv.org/html/2409.00920v2"
+                ],
+                "description": "Skills as callable functions with structured parameters. Research shows 40% reliability improvement."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Git-Versioned Context Management",
+                "effort_days": 2,
+                "value": 3,
+                "impact": 3,
+                "research_backed": True,
+                "citations": [
+                    "https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.00031"
+                ],
+                "description": "Git-like branching and versioning for checkpoints. Enables experiment tracking and reproducibility."
+            },
+            {
+                "name": "Better Error Messages & Logging",
+                "effort_days": 1,
+                "value": 3,
+                "impact": 3,
+                "research_backed": False,
+                "description": "Actionable error messages with suggestions. Comprehensive logging for debugging."
+            }
+        ]
+
+    async def deliberate(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
+        """
+        Run council deliberation process
+
+        Steps:
+        1. Each member analyzes proposals independently
+        2. Aggregate rankings
+        3. Identify consensus and disagreements
+        4. Generate final recommendation
+        """
+        print("\n" + "=" * 70)
+        print("  TMLPD IMPROVEMENT COUNCIL - MULTI-LLM DECISION MAKING")
+        print("=" * 70 + "\n")
+
+        # Step 1: Individual deliberations
+        print("Step 1: Gathering individual council member opinions...\n")
+
+        analyses = []
+        for member in self.members:
+            print(f"  🤔 {member.name} ({member.provider}) deliberating...")
+            analysis = await member.deliberate(self.proposals)
+            analyses.append(analysis)
+            print(f"     ✓ Complete")
+
+        # Step 2: Aggregate rankings
+        print("\nStep 2: Aggregating rankings and identifying consensus...\n")
+
+        aggregated = self._aggregate_rankings(analyses)
+
+        # Step 3: Display results
+        self._display_council_results(analyses, aggregated)
+
+        # Step 4: Generate final recommendation
+        recommendation = self._generate_recommendation(aggregated)
+
+        # Save results
+        self._save_council_decision(analyses, aggregated, recommendation)
+
+        return {
+            "individual_analyses": analyses,
+            "aggregated_rankings": aggregated,
+            "recommendation": recommendation
+        }
+
+    def _aggregate_rankings(self, analyses: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]:
+        """Aggregate rankings from all council members"""
+
+        # Calculate average scores for each proposal
+        proposal_scores = {p["name"]: {"total": 0, "count": 0, "scores": []} for p in self.proposals}
+
+        for analysis in analyses:
+            for ranking in analysis["rankings"]:
+                proposal_name = ranking["proposal"]
+                score = ranking["score"]
+
+                proposal_scores[proposal_name]["total"] += score
+                proposal_scores[proposal_name]["count"] += 1
+                proposal_scores[proposal_name]["scores"].append(score)
+
+        # Calculate averages
+        aggregated = []
+        for proposal_name, scores in proposal_scores.items():
+            avg_score = scores["total"] / scores["count"]
+            std_dev = self._calculate_std_dev(scores["scores"])
+
+            # Find consensus level (low std_dev = high consensus)
+            if std_dev < 10:
+                consensus = "strong"
+            elif std_dev < 20:
+                consensus = "moderate"
+            else:
+                consensus = "weak"
+
+            aggregated.append({
+                "proposal": proposal_name,
+                "average_score": avg_score,
+                "std_deviation": std_dev,
+                "consensus": consensus
+            })
+
+        # Sort by average score
+        aggregated.sort(key=lambda x: x["average_score"], reverse=True)
+
+        return aggregated
+
+    def _calculate_std_dev(self, scores: List[float]) -> float:
+        """Calculate standard deviation"""
+        if len(scores) < 2:
+            return 0.0
+
+        mean = sum(scores) / len(scores)
+        variance = sum((s - mean) ** 2 for s in scores) / len(scores)
+        return variance ** 0.5
+
+    def _display_council_results(self, analyses: List[Dict], aggregated: List[Dict]):
+        """Display council deliberation results"""
+
+        print("\n" + "=" * 70)
+        print("  COUNCIL MEMBER OPINIONS")
+        print("=" * 70 + "\n")
+
+        for analysis in analyses:
+            print(f"🤖 {analysis['member']} ({analysis['provider']})")
+            print(f"   Perspective: {analysis['perspective']}")
+            print(f"   Reasoning: {analysis['reasoning']}")
+            print(f"\n   Top Rankings:")
+
+            for i, ranking in enumerate(analysis["rankings"][:3], 1):
+                print(f"   {i}. {ranking['proposal']}: {ranking['score']:.1f}/100")
+                print(f"      {ranking['justification']}")
+
+            print()
+
+        print("\n" + "=" * 70)
+        print("  AGGREGATED COUNCIL RANKINGS")
+        print("=" * 70 + "\n")
+
+        for i, item in enumerate(aggregated, 1):
+            consensus_indicator = {
+                "strong": "🤝 Strong consensus",
+                "moderate": "🤷 Moderate agreement",
+                "weak": "⚠️  Disagreement"
+            }
+
+            print(f"{i}. **{item['proposal']}**")
+            print(f"   Score: {item['average_score']:.1f}/100")
+            print(f"   Consensus: {consensus_indicator[item['consensus']]}")
+            print()
+
+    def _generate_recommendation(self, aggregated: List[Dict]) -> Dict[str, Any]:
+        """Generate final council recommendation"""
+
+        # Top 3 proposals
+        top_3 = aggregated[:3]
+
+        # Check if there's strong consensus on #1
+        if top_3[0]["consensus"] == "strong":
+            implementation_strategy = "sequential"
+            reasoning = (
+                "Strong council consensus on top priority. "
+                "Implement sequentially for best results."
+            )
+        else:
+            implementation_strategy = "parallel"
+            reasoning = (
+                "Moderate disagreement on priorities. "
+                "Consider parallel implementation of top 2-3 items."
+            )
+
+        recommendation = {
+            "primary_recommendation": top_3[0]["proposal"],
+            "implementation_strategy": implementation_strategy,
+            "reasoning": reasoning,
+            "proposed_roadmap": []
+        }
+
+        # Generate roadmap based on strategy
+        if implementation_strategy == "sequential":
+            # Sequential roadmap
+            total_weeks = 0
+            for item in aggregated:
+                proposal = next(p for p in self.proposals if p["name"] == item["proposal"])
+                effort_days = proposal.get("effort_days", 5)
+                weeks = effort_days / 5
+
+                total_weeks += weeks
+
+                recommendation["proposed_roadmap"].append({
+                    "phase": len(recommendation["proposed_roadmap"]) + 1,
+                    "proposal": item["proposal"],
+                    "duration_weeks": weeks,
+                    "cumulative_weeks": total_weeks
+                })
+        else:
+            # Parallel roadmap (top items in parallel)
+            recommendation["proposed_roadmap"] = [
+                {
+                    "phase": 1,
+                    "proposal": "Parallel implementation of top 3",
+                    "duration_weeks": 3,
+                    "items": [item["proposal"] for item in top_3]
+                }
+            ]
+
+        return recommendation
+
+    def _save_council_decision(
+        self,
+        analyses: List[Dict],
+        aggregated: List[Dict],
+        recommendation: Dict
+    ):
+        """Save council decision to file"""
+
+        decision_doc = {
+            "timestamp": datetime.now().isoformat(),
+            "council_members": [m["member"] for m in analyses],
+            "individual_analyses": analyses,
+            "aggregated_rankings": aggregated,
+            "recommendation": recommendation
+        }
+
+        output_path = Path("/Users/Subho/tmlpd-skill/docs/COUNCIL_DECISION.json")
+
+        with open(output_path, 'w') as f:
+            json.dump(decision_doc, f, indent=2)
+
+        print(f"\n✅ Council decision saved to: {output_path}")
+
+
+async def main():
+    """Run improvement council"""
+
+    council = ImprovementCouncil()
+    decision = await council.deliberate()
+
+    print("\n" + "=" * 70)
+    print("  FINAL COUNCIL RECOMMENDATION")
+    print("=" * 70 + "\n")
+
+    rec = decision["recommendation"]
+
+    print(f"🎯 Primary Recommendation:")
+    print(f"   {rec['primary_recommendation']}")
+    print()
+    print(f"📋 Implementation Strategy:")
+    print(f"   {rec['implementation_strategy']}")
+    print()
+    print(f"💡 Reasoning:")
+    print(f"   {rec['reasoning']}")
+    print()
+    print(f"🗓️  Proposed Roadmap:")
+    print()
+
+    for phase in rec["proposed_roadmap"]:
+        print(f"   Phase {phase['phase']}:")
+        if "proposal" in phase:
+            print(f"   - {phase['proposal']}")
+            print(f"   - Duration: {phase['duration_weeks']:.1f} weeks")
+        else:
+            print(f"   - {phase['proposal']}")
+            print(f"   - Duration: {phase['duration_weeks']:.1f} weeks")
+            print(f"   - Items: {', '.join(phase['items'])}")
+        print()
+
+    print("=" * 70)
+    print("\n✨ Council deliberation complete!")
+    print("   See docs/COUNCIL_DECISION.json for full details.\n")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    asyncio.run(main())