@zhin.js/plugin-lottery 1.0.0

package/lib/agent/tools/list_pending.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"list_pending.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/list_pending.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":";WAImC,MAAM;;AAAzC,wBAMG"}

package/lib/agent/tools/list_pending.js

@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+import { defineTool } from '@zhin.js/agent/tools';
+import { z } from 'zod';
+import { handleListPending } from '../../src/lottery-tool-handlers.js';
+export default defineTool({
+    description: 'List pending lottery predictions awaiting review',
+    inputSchema: z.object({ game: z.string().optional() }),
+    async execute({ game }) {
+        return handleListPending(game);
+    },
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=list_pending.js.map

package/lib/agent/tools/list_pending.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/agent/tools/save_prediction.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
+declare const _default: import("@zhin.js/agent").AuthoringToolDefinition<{
+    game: string;
+    numbers_json: string;
+}>;
+export default _default;
+//# sourceMappingURL=save_prediction.d.ts.map

package/lib/agent/tools/save_prediction.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"save_prediction.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/save_prediction.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":";UAIkC,MAAM;kBAAgB,MAAM;;AAA9D,wBASG"}

package/lib/agent/tools/save_prediction.js

@@ -0,0 +1,14 @@
+import { defineTool } from '@zhin.js/agent/tools';
+import { z } from 'zod';
+import { handleSavePrediction } from '../../src/lottery-tool-handlers.js';
+export default defineTool({
+    description: 'Save a pending lottery prediction',
+    inputSchema: z.object({
+        game: z.string().min(1),
+        numbers_json: z.string().min(1),
+    }),
+    async execute({ game, numbers_json }) {
+        return handleSavePrediction(game, numbers_json);
+    },
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=save_prediction.js.map

package/lib/agent/tools/save_prediction.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/agent/tools/stats_snapshot.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+declare const _default: import("@zhin.js/agent").AuthoringToolDefinition<{
+    game: string;
+}>;
+export default _default;
+//# sourceMappingURL=stats_snapshot.d.ts.map

package/lib/agent/tools/stats_snapshot.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"stats_snapshot.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/stats_snapshot.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":";UAIkC,MAAM;;AAAxC,wBAMG"}

package/lib/agent/tools/stats_snapshot.js

@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+import { defineTool } from '@zhin.js/agent/tools';
+import { z } from 'zod';
+import { handleStatsSnapshot } from '../../src/lottery-tool-handlers.js';
+export default defineTool({
+    description: 'Get stats snapshot for a lottery game',
+    inputSchema: z.object({ game: z.string().min(1) }),
+    async execute({ game }) {
+        return handleStatsSnapshot(game);
+    },
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=stats_snapshot.js.map

package/lib/agent/tools/stats_snapshot.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"stats_snapshot.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/stats_snapshot.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA,OAAO,EAAE,UAAU,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAClD,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,KAAK,CAAC;AACxB,OAAO,EAAE,mBAAmB,EAAE,MAAM,oCAAoC,CAAC;AAEzE,eAAe,UAAU,CAAmB;IAC1C,WAAW,EAAE,uCAAuC;IACpD,WAAW,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,GAAG,CAAC,CAAC,CAAC,EAAE,CAAC;IAClD,KAAK,CAAC,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE;QACpB,OAAO,mBAAmB,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,CAAC;IACnC,CAAC;CACF,CAAC,CAAC"}

package/lib/agent/tools/sync.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,5 @@
+declare const _default: import("@zhin.js/agent").AuthoringToolDefinition<{
+    game?: string;
+}>;
+export default _default;
+//# sourceMappingURL=sync.d.ts.map

package/lib/agent/tools/sync.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"sync.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/sync.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":";WAMmC,MAAM;;AAAzC,wBAWG"}

package/lib/agent/tools/sync.js

@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+import { defineTool } from '@zhin.js/agent/tools';
+import { z } from 'zod';
+import { parseGameId } from '../../src/games/registry.js';
+import { getLotteryAgentDeps } from '../../src/lottery-agent-deps.js';
+import { runDataSync } from '../../src/sync/run-sync.js';
+export default defineTool({
+    description: 'Sync official lottery draws into DB',
+    inputSchema: z.object({ game: z.string().optional() }),
+    async execute({ game }) {
+        const deps = getLotteryAgentDeps();
+        const db = deps.getDb();
+        if (!db)
+            return 'db not ready';
+        const gid = parseGameId(game ?? '');
+        const result = await runDataSync(deps.getDb, deps.enabledGames, deps.getConfig().historyLimit, gid ?? undefined);
+        return JSON.stringify({ result });
+    },
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=sync.js.map

package/lib/agent/tools/sync.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"sync.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../../agent/tools/sync.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA,OAAO,EAAE,UAAU,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAClD,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,KAAK,CAAC;AACxB,OAAO,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,6BAA6B,CAAC;AAC1D,OAAO,EAAE,mBAAmB,EAAE,MAAM,iCAAiC,CAAC;AACtE,OAAO,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,4BAA4B,CAAC;AAEzD,eAAe,UAAU,CAAoB;IAC3C,WAAW,EAAE,qCAAqC;IAClD,WAAW,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,EAAE,CAAC;IACtD,KAAK,CAAC,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE;QACpB,MAAM,IAAI,GAAG,mBAAmB,EAAE,CAAC;QACnC,MAAM,EAAE,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,EAAE,CAAC;QACxB,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE;YAAE,OAAO,cAAc,CAAC;QAC/B,MAAM,GAAG,GAAG,WAAW,CAAC,IAAI,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC;QACpC,MAAM,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,WAAW,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,EAAE,IAAI,CAAC,YAAY,EAAE,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,EAAE,CAAC,YAAY,EAAE,GAAG,IAAI,SAAS,CAAC,CAAC;QACjH,OAAO,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC;IACpC,CAAC;CACF,CAAC,CAAC"}

package/lib/db.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+import type { GameId, NormalizedDraw } from './types.js';
+export declare const DRAWS_TABLE = "lottery_draws";
+export declare const REPORTS_TABLE = "lottery_daily_reports";
+export interface LotteryDb {
+    models: {
+        get: (name: string) => LotteryModel | undefined;
+    };
+}
+export interface LotteryModel {
+    select: () => {
+        where: (q: Record<string, unknown>) => Promise<unknown[]>;
+    };
+    insert: (row: Record<string, unknown>) => Promise<unknown>;
+    delete: () => {
+        where: (q: Record<string, unknown>) => Promise<unknown>;
+    };
+}
+export declare function defineLotteryTables(db: {
+    define: (name: string, schema: Record<string, unknown>) => void;
+}): void;
+export declare function upsertDraws(db: LotteryDb, draws: NormalizedDraw[]): Promise<{
+    count: number;
+    inserted: NormalizedDraw[];
+}>;
+export declare function trimHistory(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, limit: number): Promise<void>;
+export declare function parseStoredJson<T>(value: unknown, fallback: T): T;
+export declare function loadDraws(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, limit: number): Promise<NormalizedDraw[]>;
+export declare function fetchGameDraws(gameId: GameId, count: number): Promise<NormalizedDraw[]>;
+export declare function syncGame(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, historyLimit: number): Promise<{
+    count: number;
+    inserted: NormalizedDraw[];
+}>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=db.d.ts.map

package/lib/db.d.ts.map

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package/lib/db.js

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+import { getGameMeta } from './games/registry.js';
+import { fetchFucaiDraws, fetchTicaiDraws } from './sync/fetch-official.js';
+import { defineEvalTables } from './evaluate/tracker.js';
+export const DRAWS_TABLE = 'lottery_draws';
+export const REPORTS_TABLE = 'lottery_daily_reports';
+export function defineLotteryTables(db) {
+    db.define(DRAWS_TABLE, {
+        game_id: { type: 'text', nullable: false },
+        issue: { type: 'text', nullable: false },
+        draw_time: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+        numbers: { type: 'text', default: '{}' },
+        source: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+        raw_json: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+        synced_at: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+    });
+    db.define(REPORTS_TABLE, {
+        date: { type: 'text', nullable: false },
+        report_json: { type: 'text', default: '{}' },
+        ai_explanation: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+        created_at: { type: 'text', default: '' },
+    });
+    defineEvalTables(db);
+}
+export async function upsertDraws(db, draws) {
+    const model = db.models.get(DRAWS_TABLE);
+    if (!model)
+        return { count: 0, inserted: [] };
+    let inserted = 0;
+    const insertedDraws = [];
+    const now = new Date().toISOString();
+    for (const d of draws) {
+        if (!d.issue)
+            continue;
+        const existing = (await model.select().where({ game_id: d.gameId, issue: d.issue }));
+        if (existing.length > 0)
+            continue;
+        await model.insert({
+            game_id: d.gameId,
+            issue: d.issue,
+            draw_time: d.drawTime,
+            numbers: JSON.stringify(d.numbers),
+            source: d.source,
+            raw_json: JSON.stringify(d),
+            synced_at: now,
+        });
+        inserted++;
+        insertedDraws.push(d);
+    }
+    return { count: inserted, inserted: insertedDraws };
+}
+export async function trimHistory(db, gameId, limit) {
+    const model = db.models.get(DRAWS_TABLE);
+    if (!model || limit <= 0)
+        return;
+    const rows = (await model.select().where({ game_id: gameId }));
+    const sorted = [...rows].sort((a, b) => b.issue.localeCompare(a.issue));
+    for (const row of sorted.slice(limit)) {
+        await model.delete().where({ game_id: gameId, issue: row.issue });
+    }
+}
+export function parseStoredJson(value, fallback) {
+    if (value == null || value === '')
+        return fallback;
+    if (typeof value === 'object')
+        return value;
+    if (typeof value === 'string') {
+        try {
+            return JSON.parse(value);
+        }
+        catch {
+            return fallback;
+        }
+    }
+    return fallback;
+}
+export async function loadDraws(db, gameId, limit) {
+    const model = db.models.get(DRAWS_TABLE);
+    if (!model)
+        return [];
+    const rows = (await model.select().where({ game_id: gameId }));
+    return [...rows]
+        .sort((a, b) => b.issue.localeCompare(a.issue))
+        .slice(0, limit)
+        .map((r) => ({
+        gameId: r.game_id,
+        issue: r.issue,
+        drawTime: r.draw_time,
+        numbers: parseStoredJson(r.numbers, {}),
+        source: r.source,
+    }));
+}
+export async function fetchGameDraws(gameId, count) {
+    const meta = getGameMeta(gameId);
+    if (meta.source === 'fucai' && meta.fucaiName) {
+        return fetchFucaiDraws(meta.fucaiName, count);
+    }
+    if (meta.source === 'ticai' && meta.ticaiGameNo) {
+        return fetchTicaiDraws(meta.ticaiGameNo, count);
+    }
+    return [];
+}
+export async function syncGame(db, gameId, historyLimit) {
+    const draws = await fetchGameDraws(gameId, Math.max(historyLimit, 100));
+    const { count, inserted } = await upsertDraws(db, draws);
+    await trimHistory(db, gameId, historyLimit);
+    return { count, inserted };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=db.js.map

package/lib/db.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/evals/pipeline_smoke.eval.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,3 @@
+declare const _default: import("@zhin.js/agent").AuthoringEvalDefinition;
+export default _default;
+//# sourceMappingURL=pipeline_smoke.eval.d.ts.map

package/lib/evals/pipeline_smoke.eval.d.ts.map

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package/lib/evals/pipeline_smoke.eval.js

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+import { defineEval } from '@zhin.js/agent/evals';
+export default defineEval({
+    description: 'Smoke: lottery agent surface defines core tools',
+    async test(t) {
+        t.succeeded();
+    },
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=pipeline_smoke.eval.js.map

package/lib/evals/pipeline_smoke.eval.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/adaptive-sim.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
+import type { DrawNumbers, GameId, NormalizedDraw, ScoreWeights } from '../types.js';
+export interface SimulationOptions {
+    pickCount: number;
+    minHistory: number;
+    randomTrials: number;
+    initialWeights?: ScoreWeights;
+    adaptive?: boolean;
+    /** Score only the last N periods; omit to score every training step. */
+    scoreWindow?: number;
+}
+export interface SimulationResult {
+    gameId: GameId;
+    periods: number;
+    warmupPeriods: number;
+    adaptiveAvgHitRate: number;
+    fixedAvgHitRate: number;
+    randomAvgHitRate: number;
+    adaptiveVsRandom: number;
+    adaptiveVsFixed: number;
+    initialWeights: ScoreWeights;
+    finalWeights: ScoreWeights;
+    firstScoredIssue: string;
+    lastScoredIssue: string;
+}
+export declare function randomDrawNumbers(gameId: GameId, pickCount: number, rng: () => number): DrawNumbers;
+/**
+ * Walk-forward core: for each issue after minHistory, predict → score → tune weights.
+ * Training uses scoreWindow omitted (every step counts); backtest uses scoreWindow.
+ */
+export declare function runAdaptiveSimulation(chronological: NormalizedDraw[], gameId: GameId, options: SimulationOptions): SimulationResult | null;
+//# sourceMappingURL=adaptive-sim.d.ts.map

package/lib/evaluate/adaptive-sim.d.ts.map

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package/lib/evaluate/adaptive-sim.js

@@ -0,0 +1,155 @@
+import { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS } from '../types.js';
+import { comparePickToDraw, tuneWeightsFromDraw } from './hit-rate.js';
+import { recommendGame } from '../recommend/game-pick.js';
+const EMPTY_STATS = {
+    gameId: 'kl8',
+    sampleSize: 0,
+    hot: [],
+    cold: [],
+    detail: '',
+};
+function createRng(seed) {
+    let s = seed | 0;
+    return () => {
+        s = (s + 0x6d2b79f5) | 0;
+        let t = Math.imul(s ^ (s >>> 15), 1 | s);
+        t = (t + Math.imul(t ^ (t >>> 7), 61 | t)) ^ t;
+        return ((t ^ (t >>> 14)) >>> 0) / 4294967296;
+    };
+}
+function pickUnique(rng, min, max, count) {
+    const pool = [];
+    for (let i = min; i <= max; i++)
+        pool.push(i);
+    const out = [];
+    for (let i = 0; i < count && pool.length; i++) {
+        const idx = Math.floor(rng() * pool.length);
+        out.push(pool.splice(idx, 1)[0]);
+    }
+    return out.sort((a, b) => a - b);
+}
+function pickDigits(rng, len) {
+    const out = [];
+    for (let i = 0; i < len; i++)
+        out.push(Math.floor(rng() * 10));
+    return out;
+}
+export function randomDrawNumbers(gameId, pickCount, rng) {
+    switch (gameId) {
+        case 'kl8':
+            return { main: pickUnique(rng, 1, 80, Math.min(10, Math.max(1, pickCount))) };
+        case 'ssq':
+            return { red: pickUnique(rng, 1, 33, 6), blue: pickUnique(rng, 1, 16, 1) };
+        case 'dlt':
+            return { front: pickUnique(rng, 1, 35, 5), back: pickUnique(rng, 1, 12, 2) };
+        case 'fc3d':
+        case 'pl3':
+            return { digits: pickDigits(rng, 3) };
+        case 'pl5':
+            return { digits: pickDigits(rng, 5) };
+        default:
+            return {};
+    }
+}
+function asPick(gameId, numbers) {
+    return {
+        gameId,
+        label: gameId,
+        numbers,
+        weights: DEFAULT_WEIGHTS,
+        stats: { ...EMPTY_STATS, gameId },
+    };
+}
+function stableIssueSeed(issue) {
+    let h = 0;
+    for (let i = 0; i < issue.length; i++)
+        h = (h * 31 + issue.charCodeAt(i)) >>> 0;
+    return h;
+}
+function randomRateForPeriod(gameId, pickCount, actual, randomTrials) {
+    let periodRandom = 0;
+    const baseSeed = stableIssueSeed(actual.issue);
+    for (let t = 0; t < randomTrials; t++) {
+        const rng = createRng(baseSeed + t);
+        const rnd = randomDrawNumbers(gameId, pickCount, rng);
+        periodRandom += comparePickToDraw(asPick(gameId, rnd), actual).rate;
+    }
+    return periodRandom / randomTrials;
+}
+/**
+ * Walk-forward core: for each issue after minHistory, predict → score → tune weights.
+ * Training uses scoreWindow omitted (every step counts); backtest uses scoreWindow.
+ */
+export function runAdaptiveSimulation(chronological, gameId, options) {
+    if (chronological.length <= options.minHistory)
+        return null;
+    const trainable = chronological.length - options.minHistory;
+    const testCount = options.scoreWindow
+        ? Math.min(options.scoreWindow, trainable)
+        : trainable;
+    if (testCount <= 0)
+        return null;
+    const testStartIdx = options.scoreWindow
+        ? chronological.length - testCount
+        : options.minHistory;
+    const useAdaptive = options.adaptive !== false;
+    const initialWeights = options.initialWeights
+        ? { ...options.initialWeights }
+        : { ...DEFAULT_WEIGHTS };
+    let adaptiveWeights = { ...initialWeights };
+    let adaptiveSum = 0;
+    let fixedSum = 0;
+    let randomSum = 0;
+    let scored = 0;
+    let firstScoredIssue = '';
+    let lastScoredIssue = '';
+    for (let idx = options.minHistory; idx < chronological.length; idx++) {
+        const actual = chronological[idx];
+        const history = chronological.slice(0, idx).reverse();
+        const tieSeed = `sim:${actual.issue}`;
+        const fixedPick = recommendGame(gameId, history, {
+            pickCount: options.pickCount,
+            tieSeed,
+            weights: DEFAULT_WEIGHTS,
+        });
+        const adaptivePick = useAdaptive
+            ? recommendGame(gameId, history, {
+                pickCount: options.pickCount,
+                tieSeed,
+                weights: adaptiveWeights,
+            })
+            : fixedPick;
+        if (idx >= testStartIdx) {
+            if (!firstScoredIssue)
+                firstScoredIssue = actual.issue;
+            lastScoredIssue = actual.issue;
+            fixedSum += comparePickToDraw(fixedPick, actual).rate;
+            adaptiveSum += comparePickToDraw(adaptivePick, actual).rate;
+            randomSum += randomRateForPeriod(gameId, options.pickCount, actual, options.randomTrials);
+            scored++;
+        }
+        if (useAdaptive) {
+            adaptiveWeights = tuneWeightsFromDraw(adaptiveWeights, adaptivePick.numbers, actual.numbers, gameId, history);
+        }
+    }
+    if (!scored)
+        return null;
+    const adaptiveAvg = adaptiveSum / scored;
+    const fixedAvg = fixedSum / scored;
+    const randomAvg = randomSum / scored;
+    return {
+        gameId,
+        periods: scored,
+        warmupPeriods: testStartIdx - options.minHistory,
+        adaptiveAvgHitRate: adaptiveAvg,
+        fixedAvgHitRate: fixedAvg,
+        randomAvgHitRate: randomAvg,
+        adaptiveVsRandom: adaptiveAvg - randomAvg,
+        adaptiveVsFixed: adaptiveAvg - fixedAvg,
+        initialWeights,
+        finalWeights: adaptiveWeights,
+        firstScoredIssue,
+        lastScoredIssue,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=adaptive-sim.js.map

package/lib/evaluate/adaptive-sim.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/backtest.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
+import type { GameId } from '../types.js';
+import type { LotteryDb } from '../db.js';
+import { type SimulationResult } from './adaptive-sim.js';
+export interface BacktestOptions {
+    pickCount: number;
+    window: number;
+    randomTrials: number;
+    minHistory: number;
+    historyLimit?: number;
+    initialWeights?: import('../types.js').ScoreWeights;
+    adaptive?: boolean;
+}
+export type BacktestSummary = SimulationResult;
+export declare function walkForwardBacktest(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, options: BacktestOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary | null>;
+export declare function runBacktestForGames(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], options: BacktestOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary[]>;
+/** Full-history training refresh (same as lottery-train) when pipeline has no live review. */
+export declare function refreshAndPersistWeights(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, options: RefreshWeightsOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary | null>;
+export interface RefreshWeightsOptions extends BacktestOptions {
+    persist: boolean;
+    reviewEvaluated: number;
+    holdoutWindow?: number;
+    holdoutFallback?: boolean;
+}
+export declare function refreshWeightsForGames(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], options: RefreshWeightsOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary[]>;
+export declare function formatBacktestLine(s: BacktestSummary): string;
+export declare function formatBacktestSection(summaries: BacktestSummary[]): string;
+export type { TrainWeightsOptions } from './train-weights.js';
+export { trainGameWeights, trainAllGameWeights, formatTrainReport } from './train-weights.js';
+//# sourceMappingURL=backtest.d.ts.map

package/lib/evaluate/backtest.d.ts.map

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package/lib/evaluate/backtest.js

@@ -0,0 +1,87 @@
+import { loadDraws } from '../db.js';
+import { loadGameWeights } from './tracker.js';
+import { runAdaptiveSimulation } from './adaptive-sim.js';
+import { trainGameWeights } from './train-weights.js';
+import { formatWeights } from '../stats/weights.js';
+export async function walkForwardBacktest(db, gameId, options) {
+    const loadLimit = options.historyLimit ?? Math.max(options.window + options.minHistory + 50, 150);
+    const draws = await loadDraws(db, gameId, loadLimit);
+    if (draws.length <= options.minHistory)
+        return null;
+    const chronological = [...draws].sort((a, b) => a.issue.localeCompare(b.issue));
+    return runAdaptiveSimulation(chronological, gameId, {
+        pickCount: options.pickCount,
+        minHistory: options.minHistory,
+        randomTrials: options.randomTrials,
+        initialWeights: options.initialWeights,
+        adaptive: options.adaptive,
+        scoreWindow: options.window,
+    });
+}
+export async function runBacktestForGames(db, gameIds, options) {
+    const out = [];
+    for (const gameId of gameIds) {
+        const initial = await loadGameWeights(db, gameId);
+        const summary = await walkForwardBacktest(db, gameId, { ...options, initialWeights: initial });
+        if (summary)
+            out.push(summary);
+    }
+    return out;
+}
+/** Full-history training refresh (same as lottery-train) when pipeline has no live review. */
+export async function refreshAndPersistWeights(db, gameId, options) {
+    const result = await trainGameWeights(db, gameId, {
+        pickCount: options.pickCount,
+        minHistory: options.minHistory,
+        historyLimit: options.historyLimit ?? 500,
+        randomTrials: options.randomTrials,
+        initialWeights: options.initialWeights ?? (await loadGameWeights(db, gameId)),
+        holdoutWindow: options.holdoutWindow ?? options.window,
+        holdoutFallback: options.holdoutFallback,
+        persist: true,
+    });
+    return result;
+}
+export async function refreshWeightsForGames(db, gameIds, options) {
+    if (!options.persist)
+        return [];
+    const out = [];
+    for (const gameId of gameIds) {
+        if (options.reviewEvaluated > 0)
+            continue;
+        const summary = await refreshAndPersistWeights(db, gameId, options);
+        if (summary)
+            out.push(summary);
+    }
+    return out;
+}
+function pct(rate) {
+    return (rate * 100).toFixed(1);
+}
+function signedPct(delta) {
+    const v = delta * 100;
+    return v >= 0 ? `+${v.toFixed(1)}` : v.toFixed(1);
+}
+export function formatBacktestLine(s) {
+    const w = formatWeights(s.finalWeights);
+    return [
+        `${s.gameId}: 调优 ${pct(s.adaptiveAvgHitRate)}%`,
+        `固定 ${pct(s.fixedAvgHitRate)}%`,
+        `随机 ${pct(s.randomAvgHitRate)}%`,
+        `(Δ调优-随机 ${signedPct(s.adaptiveVsRandom)}%, n=${s.periods}, 热身${s.warmupPeriods}期)`,
+        `终权重 ${w}`,
+    ].join(' / ');
+}
+export function formatBacktestSection(summaries) {
+    if (!summaries.length)
+        return '';
+    const lines = [
+        '【回测可信度】近 N 期 walk-forward 抽样（全量训练请用 lottery-train）',
+        ...summaries.map(formatBacktestLine),
+        '说明：Δ 接近 0 为正常；终权重见 lottery_model_weights。',
+        '推荐时若近端调优输给随机，将自动回退默认 F40/O35/T25（见【权重保护】）。',
+    ];
+    return lines.join('\n');
+}
+export { trainGameWeights, trainAllGameWeights, formatTrainReport } from './train-weights.js';
+//# sourceMappingURL=backtest.js.map

package/lib/evaluate/backtest.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/hit-rate.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,8 @@
+import { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS, type DrawNumbers, type GameId, type GamePick, type HitSummary, type NormalizedDraw, type ScoreWeights } from '../types.js';
+
+export declare function comparePickToDraw(pick: GamePick, draw: NormalizedDraw): HitSummary;
+/** 根据开奖结果反推更优权重方向，用于渐进调优 */
+export declare function tuneWeightsFromDraw(current: ScoreWeights, pick: DrawNumbers, actual: DrawNumbers, gameId: GameId, draws: NormalizedDraw[]): ScoreWeights;
+export declare function formatHitSummary(gameId: GameId, hit: HitSummary, issue: string): string;
+export { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS };
+//# sourceMappingURL=hit-rate.d.ts.map