@zhin.js/plugin-lottery 1.0.0 → 1.0.1

package/lib/evaluate/adaptive-sim.js.map

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package/lib/evaluate/backtest.d.ts

@@ -1,29 +0,0 @@
-import type { GameId } from '../types.js';
-import type { LotteryDb } from '../db.js';
-import { type SimulationResult } from './adaptive-sim.js';
-export interface BacktestOptions {
-    pickCount: number;
-    window: number;
-    randomTrials: number;
-    minHistory: number;
-    historyLimit?: number;
-    initialWeights?: import('../types.js').ScoreWeights;
-    adaptive?: boolean;
-}
-export type BacktestSummary = SimulationResult;
-export declare function walkForwardBacktest(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, options: BacktestOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary | null>;
-export declare function runBacktestForGames(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], options: BacktestOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary[]>;
-/** Full-history training refresh (same as lottery-train) when pipeline has no live review. */
-export declare function refreshAndPersistWeights(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, options: RefreshWeightsOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary | null>;
-export interface RefreshWeightsOptions extends BacktestOptions {
-    persist: boolean;
-    reviewEvaluated: number;
-    holdoutWindow?: number;
-    holdoutFallback?: boolean;
-}
-export declare function refreshWeightsForGames(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], options: RefreshWeightsOptions): Promise<BacktestSummary[]>;
-export declare function formatBacktestLine(s: BacktestSummary): string;
-export declare function formatBacktestSection(summaries: BacktestSummary[]): string;
-export type { TrainWeightsOptions } from './train-weights.js';
-export { trainGameWeights, trainAllGameWeights, formatTrainReport } from './train-weights.js';
-//# sourceMappingURL=backtest.d.ts.map

package/lib/evaluate/backtest.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/backtest.js

@@ -1,87 +0,0 @@
-import { loadDraws } from '../db.js';
-import { loadGameWeights } from './tracker.js';
-import { runAdaptiveSimulation } from './adaptive-sim.js';
-import { trainGameWeights } from './train-weights.js';
-import { formatWeights } from '../stats/weights.js';
-export async function walkForwardBacktest(db, gameId, options) {
-    const loadLimit = options.historyLimit ?? Math.max(options.window + options.minHistory + 50, 150);
-    const draws = await loadDraws(db, gameId, loadLimit);
-    if (draws.length <= options.minHistory)
-        return null;
-    const chronological = [...draws].sort((a, b) => a.issue.localeCompare(b.issue));
-    return runAdaptiveSimulation(chronological, gameId, {
-        pickCount: options.pickCount,
-        minHistory: options.minHistory,
-        randomTrials: options.randomTrials,
-        initialWeights: options.initialWeights,
-        adaptive: options.adaptive,
-        scoreWindow: options.window,
-    });
-}
-export async function runBacktestForGames(db, gameIds, options) {
-    const out = [];
-    for (const gameId of gameIds) {
-        const initial = await loadGameWeights(db, gameId);
-        const summary = await walkForwardBacktest(db, gameId, { ...options, initialWeights: initial });
-        if (summary)
-            out.push(summary);
-    }
-    return out;
-}
-/** Full-history training refresh (same as lottery-train) when pipeline has no live review. */
-export async function refreshAndPersistWeights(db, gameId, options) {
-    const result = await trainGameWeights(db, gameId, {
-        pickCount: options.pickCount,
-        minHistory: options.minHistory,
-        historyLimit: options.historyLimit ?? 500,
-        randomTrials: options.randomTrials,
-        initialWeights: options.initialWeights ?? (await loadGameWeights(db, gameId)),
-        holdoutWindow: options.holdoutWindow ?? options.window,
-        holdoutFallback: options.holdoutFallback,
-        persist: true,
-    });
-    return result;
-}
-export async function refreshWeightsForGames(db, gameIds, options) {
-    if (!options.persist)
-        return [];
-    const out = [];
-    for (const gameId of gameIds) {
-        if (options.reviewEvaluated > 0)
-            continue;
-        const summary = await refreshAndPersistWeights(db, gameId, options);
-        if (summary)
-            out.push(summary);
-    }
-    return out;
-}
-function pct(rate) {
-    return (rate * 100).toFixed(1);
-}
-function signedPct(delta) {
-    const v = delta * 100;
-    return v >= 0 ? `+${v.toFixed(1)}` : v.toFixed(1);
-}
-export function formatBacktestLine(s) {
-    const w = formatWeights(s.finalWeights);
-    return [
-        `${s.gameId}: 调优 ${pct(s.adaptiveAvgHitRate)}%`,
-        `固定 ${pct(s.fixedAvgHitRate)}%`,
-        `随机 ${pct(s.randomAvgHitRate)}%`,
-        `(Δ调优-随机 ${signedPct(s.adaptiveVsRandom)}%, n=${s.periods}, 热身${s.warmupPeriods}期)`,
-        `终权重 ${w}`,
-    ].join(' / ');
-}
-export function formatBacktestSection(summaries) {
-    if (!summaries.length)
-        return '';
-    const lines = [
-        '【回测可信度】近 N 期 walk-forward 抽样（全量训练请用 lottery-train）',
-        ...summaries.map(formatBacktestLine),
-        '说明：Δ 接近 0 为正常；终权重见 lottery_model_weights。',
-        '推荐时若近端调优输给随机，将自动回退默认 F40/O35/T25（见【权重保护】）。',
-    ];
-    return lines.join('\n');
-}
-export { trainGameWeights, trainAllGameWeights, formatTrainReport } from './train-weights.js';
-//# sourceMappingURL=backtest.js.map

package/lib/evaluate/backtest.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/hit-rate.d.ts

@@ -1,8 +0,0 @@
-import { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS, type DrawNumbers, type GameId, type GamePick, type HitSummary, type NormalizedDraw, type ScoreWeights } from '../types.js';
-
-export declare function comparePickToDraw(pick: GamePick, draw: NormalizedDraw): HitSummary;
-/** 根据开奖结果反推更优权重方向，用于渐进调优 */
-export declare function tuneWeightsFromDraw(current: ScoreWeights, pick: DrawNumbers, actual: DrawNumbers, gameId: GameId, draws: NormalizedDraw[]): ScoreWeights;
-export declare function formatHitSummary(gameId: GameId, hit: HitSummary, issue: string): string;
-export { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS };
-//# sourceMappingURL=hit-rate.d.ts.map

package/lib/evaluate/hit-rate.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
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package/lib/evaluate/hit-rate.js

@@ -1,120 +0,0 @@
-import { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS } from '../types.js';
-import { affinityOfNumbers, buildFreqMap, buildOmitMap, } from '../stats/pro-analysis.js';
-import { analyzePoolTrend } from '../stats/engine.js';
-import { mergeWeights } from '../stats/weights.js';
-function intersectCount(a, b) {
-    const set = new Set(b);
-    return a.filter((n) => set.has(n)).length;
-}
-function digitPositionHits(pick, actual) {
-    const total = Math.min(pick.length, actual.length);
-    let hits = 0;
-    for (let i = 0; i < total; i++) {
-        if (pick[i] === actual[i])
-            hits++;
-    }
-    return { hits, total };
-}
-export function comparePickToDraw(pick, draw) {
-    const n = pick.numbers;
-    const a = draw.numbers;
-    switch (pick.gameId) {
-        case 'kl8': {
-            const p = n.main ?? [];
-            const act = a.main ?? [];
-            const hits = intersectCount(p, act);
-            return {
-                total: p.length,
-                hits,
-                rate: p.length ? hits / p.length : 0,
-                detail: `命中 ${hits}/${p.length}`,
-            };
-        }
-        case 'ssq': {
-            const redHits = intersectCount(n.red ?? [], a.red ?? []);
-            const blueHit = (n.blue?.[0] != null && a.blue?.includes(n.blue[0])) ? 1 : 0;
-            const total = 7;
-            const hits = redHits + blueHit;
-            return {
-                total,
-                hits,
-                rate: hits / total,
-                detail: `红${redHits}/6 蓝${blueHit}/1`,
-            };
-        }
-        case 'dlt': {
-            const fHits = intersectCount(n.front ?? [], a.front ?? []);
-            const bHits = intersectCount(n.back ?? [], a.back ?? []);
-            const total = 7;
-            const hits = fHits + bHits;
-            return {
-                total,
-                hits,
-                rate: hits / total,
-                detail: `前${fHits}/5 后${bHits}/2`,
-            };
-        }
-        case 'fc3d':
-        case 'pl3':
-        case 'pl5': {
-            const { hits, total } = digitPositionHits(n.digits ?? [], a.digits ?? []);
-            return {
-                total,
-                hits,
-                rate: total ? hits / total : 0,
-                detail: `定位 ${hits}/${total}`,
-            };
-        }
-        default:
-            return { total: 0, hits: 0, rate: 0, detail: '未知玩法' };
-    }
-}
-/** 根据开奖结果反推更优权重方向，用于渐进调优 */
-export function tuneWeightsFromDraw(current, pick, actual, gameId, draws) {
-    const rows = draws.map((d) => flatNumbers(d.numbers, gameId)).filter((r) => r.length);
-    if (!rows.length)
-        return current;
-    const ranges = poolRange(gameId);
-    if (!ranges) {
-        return current;
-    }
-    const { min, max } = ranges;
-    const freqMap = buildFreqMap(rows, min, max);
-    const omitMap = buildOmitMap(rows, min, max);
-    const trendMap = analyzePoolTrend(rows, min, max);
-    const picked = flatNumbers(pick, gameId);
-    const actualNums = flatNumbers(actual, gameId);
-    const pickedAff = affinityOfNumbers(picked, freqMap, omitMap, trendMap);
-    const actualAff = affinityOfNumbers(actualNums, freqMap, omitMap, trendMap);
-    return mergeWeights(current, actualAff, 0.04);
-}
-function flatNumbers(n, gameId) {
-    if (gameId === 'kl8')
-        return n.main ?? [];
-    if (gameId === 'ssq')
-        return [...(n.red ?? []), ...(n.blue ?? [])];
-    if (gameId === 'dlt')
-        return [...(n.front ?? []), ...(n.back ?? [])];
-    return n.digits ?? [];
-}
-function poolRange(gameId) {
-    switch (gameId) {
-        case 'kl8':
-            return { min: 1, max: 80 };
-        case 'ssq':
-            return { min: 1, max: 33 };
-        case 'dlt':
-            return { min: 1, max: 35 };
-        case 'fc3d':
-        case 'pl3':
-        case 'pl5':
-            return { min: 0, max: 9 };
-        default:
-            return null;
-    }
-}
-export function formatHitSummary(gameId, hit, issue) {
-    return `${gameId} 第${issue}期 ${hit.detail} (${(hit.rate * 100).toFixed(0)}%)`;
-}
-export { DEFAULT_WEIGHTS };
-//# sourceMappingURL=hit-rate.js.map

package/lib/evaluate/hit-rate.js.map

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package/lib/evaluate/review-pending.d.ts

@@ -1,13 +0,0 @@
-import type { GameId, NormalizedDraw } from '../types.js';
-import type { LotteryDb } from '../db.js';
-export interface EvaluatePendingResult {
-    evaluated: number;
-    skipped: boolean;
-    lines: string[];
-}
-/** Match pending picks to new or latest draws; skip when nothing pending. */
-export declare function evaluatePendingPredictions(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], historyLimit: number, insertedDraws?: NormalizedDraw[]): Promise<EvaluatePendingResult>;
-/** Games that still need a next-period pick (no pending row for today). */
-export declare function gamesNeedingPrediction(db: LotteryDb, gameIds: GameId[], date?: Date): Promise<GameId[]>;
-export declare function latestDrawIssue(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId): Promise<string | null>;
-//# sourceMappingURL=review-pending.d.ts.map

package/lib/evaluate/review-pending.d.ts.map

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package/lib/evaluate/review-pending.js

@@ -1,89 +0,0 @@
-import { loadDraws } from '../db.js';
-import { formatHitSummary } from './hit-rate.js';
-import { listPendingPredictions, PREDICTIONS_TABLE, submitAgentReview, } from './tracker.js';
-async function isIssueAlreadyReviewed(db, gameId, issue) {
-    const predModel = db.models.get(PREDICTIONS_TABLE);
-    if (!predModel)
-        return false;
-    const rows = (await predModel.select().where({
-        game_id: gameId,
-        status: 'evaluated',
-        actual_issue: issue,
-    }));
-    return rows.length > 0;
-}
-function drawsForReview(gameId, insertedDraws, latestInDb, stalePending) {
-    const inserted = insertedDraws
-        .filter((d) => d.gameId === gameId)
-        .sort((a, b) => a.issue.localeCompare(b.issue));
-    if (inserted.length)
-        return inserted;
-    if (stalePending && latestInDb)
-        return [latestInDb];
-    return [];
-}
-/** Match pending picks to new or latest draws; skip when nothing pending. */
-export async function evaluatePendingPredictions(db, gameIds, historyLimit, insertedDraws = []) {
-    const lines = [];
-    let evaluated = 0;
-    let hadPending = false;
-    const today = new Date().toISOString().slice(0, 10);
-    for (const gameId of gameIds) {
-        const pending = (await listPendingPredictions(db, gameId));
-        if (!pending.length)
-            continue;
-        hadPending = true;
-        const stale = pending.filter((p) => p.predict_date < today);
-        const todayOnly = pending.filter((p) => p.predict_date === today);
-        const latest = (await loadDraws(db, gameId, 1))[0];
-        const useStale = stale.length > 0 && latest && !(await isIssueAlreadyReviewed(db, gameId, latest.issue));
-        const drawsToMatch = drawsForReview(gameId, insertedDraws, latest, useStale);
-        if (!drawsToMatch.length) {
-            if (todayOnly.length) {
-                lines.push(`${gameId}: waiting for next draw`);
-            }
-            else {
-                lines.push(`${gameId}: pending, no matching draw yet`);
-            }
-            continue;
-        }
-        const pool = useStale ? [...stale] : [...pending];
-        const orderedPending = pool.sort((a, b) => a.predict_at.localeCompare(b.predict_at));
-        for (const draw of drawsToMatch) {
-            const row = orderedPending.shift();
-            if (!row)
-                break;
-            const hit = await submitAgentReview(db, {
-                gameId,
-                predictAt: row.predict_at,
-                actualIssue: draw.issue,
-                actualNumbers: draw.numbers,
-                analysis: '',
-            }, historyLimit);
-            if (hit) {
-                evaluated++;
-                lines.push(formatHitSummary(gameId, hit, draw.issue));
-            }
-        }
-    }
-    if (!hadPending) {
-        return { evaluated: 0, skipped: true, lines: ['no pending predictions'] };
-    }
-    return { evaluated, skipped: false, lines };
-}
-/** Games that still need a next-period pick (no pending row for today). */
-export async function gamesNeedingPrediction(db, gameIds, date = new Date()) {
-    const today = date.toISOString().slice(0, 10);
-    const out = [];
-    for (const gid of gameIds) {
-        const pending = (await listPendingPredictions(db, gid));
-        if (!pending.some((p) => p.predict_date === today))
-            out.push(gid);
-    }
-    return out;
-}
-export async function latestDrawIssue(db, gameId) {
-    const draws = await loadDraws(db, gameId, 1);
-    return draws[0]?.issue ?? null;
-}
-//# sourceMappingURL=review-pending.js.map

package/lib/evaluate/review-pending.js.map

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package/lib/evaluate/tracker.d.ts

@@ -1,28 +0,0 @@
-import { type DrawNumbers, type GameId, type GamePick, type HitSummary, type ScoreWeights, type AccuracySnapshot } from '../types.js';
-import type { LotteryDb } from '../db.js';
-
-export declare const PREDICTIONS_TABLE = "lottery_predictions";
-export declare const WEIGHTS_TABLE = "lottery_model_weights";
-export declare const MEMORY_TABLE = "lottery_agent_memory";
-export declare function defineEvalTables(db: {
-    define: (name: string, schema: Record<string, unknown>) => void;
-}): void;
-export declare function loadGameWeights(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId): Promise<ScoreWeights>;
-export declare function hasWeightsRow(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId): Promise<boolean>;
-export declare function saveGameWeights(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, weights: ScoreWeights, evalCount: number, avgHitRate: number): Promise<void>;
-export declare function loadAccuracySnapshot(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId): Promise<AccuracySnapshot | undefined>;
-export declare function cancelTodayPendingPredictions(db: LotteryDb, gameId: GameId, date?: Date): Promise<void>;
-export declare function savePrediction(db: LotteryDb, pick: GamePick, at?: Date): Promise<void>;
-export declare function listPendingPredictions(db: LotteryDb, gameId?: GameId): Promise<unknown[]>;
-export declare function submitAgentReview(db: LotteryDb, input: {
-    gameId: GameId;
-    predictAt: string;
-    actualIssue: string;
-    actualNumbers: DrawNumbers;
-    analysis: string;
-    adjustWeights?: boolean;
-}, historyLimit: number): Promise<HitSummary | null>;
-export declare function saveAgentMemory(db: LotteryDb, content: string, memoryType?: string, gameId?: string): Promise<void>;
-export declare function loadAgentMemory(db: LotteryDb, gameId?: string, limit?: number): Promise<unknown[]>;
-export declare function formatReviewReport(db: LotteryDb, gameId?: GameId): Promise<string>;
-//# sourceMappingURL=tracker.d.ts.map

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