@trazum/core 1.73.1 → 1.74.0

package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -89,6 +89,8 @@ export type { RepeatedTurns, RepeatsOptions, RepeatsTracker } from './repeats.js
 export { contextPressure } from './context-pressure.js';
 export type { ContextPressure, ContextPressureOptions } from './context-pressure.js';
 export { priceTokensOn, repriceProfile } from './reprice.js';
+export { ownRate, switchAnalysis } from './switch.js';
+export type { BreakEvenRefusal, SwitchAnalysis, SwitchOptions } from './switch.js';
 export type { OverContextSlice, RepriceReport, RepricedSlice } from './reprice.js';
 export { createSessionLedgerTracker, singleTurnCacheWrites } from './session-ledger.js';
 export { createSessionCostTracker, sessionCostShapes } from './session-cost.js';

package/dist/index.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.js

@@ -66,6 +66,7 @@ export { createTruncationRetryTracker, truncationRetries } from './truncation-re
 // See context-pressure.ts.
 export { contextPressure } from './context-pressure.js';
 export { priceTokensOn, repriceProfile } from './reprice.js';
+export { ownRate, switchAnalysis } from './switch.js';
 export { createSessionLedgerTracker, singleTurnCacheWrites } from './session-ledger.js';
 // What one conversation costs — median and p95, exact. See session-cost.ts.
 export { createSessionCostTracker, sessionCostShapes } from './session-cost.js';

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/switch.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,113 @@
+/**
+ * The switching decision, priced — the 1.74 arc's second chapter.
+ *
+ * Every what-if reader is really asking one question: *should we move this
+ * traffic, and when does moving pay?* The what-if answers the first half as
+ * arithmetic; this answers the second half the only way this product allows:
+ *
+ * - the delta rests on `repriceProfile` — the same slice-by-slice move that
+ *   already refuses over-context slices and cache traffic the target could
+ *   not grant, so nothing here re-derives pricing;
+ * - break-even is **division on the past**: a declared migration cost over
+ *   the measured daily rate of the saving, with the denominator (how many
+ *   days were measured) attached. No growth is assumed, nothing is
+ *   forecast — if the log carries no timestamps there is no rate, and the
+ *   answer is a stated refusal rather than an invented calendar;
+ * - the evaluation the switch requires is itself priced, because the cost
+ *   of *knowing* the cheaper model can do the work is part of the cost of
+ *   switching: `trazum route` spends three provider calls per case (two on
+ *   the incumbent, one on the candidate), priced here at this log's own
+ *   mean call — an assumption, and a stated one.
+ *
+ * **What this never says: anything about quality.** Whether the target can
+ * do the work is `trazum route`'s verdict to measure, and every rendering
+ * of this document is expected to end by pointing there.
+ */
+import type { PricingCatalogue } from './pricing.js';
+import type { RepriceReport } from './reprice.js';
+import type { UsageProfileReport } from './usage.js';
+/** Why a break-even could not be computed. Absence is never silent. */
+export type BreakEvenRefusal = 
+/** The reprice shows no saving — there is nothing for migration to recover. */
+'no-saving'
+/** No record carried a timestamp, so the log has no measured rate. */
+ | 'no-clock';
+export interface SwitchAnalysis {
+    schemaVersion: 1;
+    /** The slice-by-slice move this analysis rests on, verbatim. */
+    reprice: RepriceReport;
+    /**
+     * `currentUsd - targetUsd` over the movable slices: **positive means the
+     * switch saves.** Stated with its own name because `reprice.deltaUsd`
+     * carries the opposite convention (`target - current`, negative is
+     * cheaper), and a sign read across that boundary is exactly the class of
+     * defect that ships a break-even for a switch that loses money.
+     */
+    savingUsd: number;
+    /**
+     * Days the measured window spans, from the log's own first and last
+     * timestamps. Null when no record carried one — and then nothing below
+     * that needs a rate exists either.
+     */
+    measuredDays: number | null;
+    /** The saving as a daily rate over that window. Null with the window. */
+    dailySavingUsd: number | null;
+    /**
+     * Declared migration cost over the measured daily saving. Present only
+     * when a migration cost was declared; `refused` names why the division
+     * could not be made rather than leaving a hole.
+     */
+    breakEven: {
+        migrationUsd: number;
+        days: number;
+    } | {
+        migrationUsd: number;
+        refused: BreakEvenRefusal;
+    } | null;
+    /**
+     * What `trazum route` would cost on this traffic: per case, two calls on
+     * the incumbent mix and one on the target, each priced at this log's own
+     * mean movable call. Present only when a case count was declared —
+     * defaulting one would be inventing the size of somebody's test set.
+     */
+    evalCost: {
+        cases: number;
+        meanCurrentCallUsd: number;
+        meanTargetCallUsd: number;
+        totalUsd: number;
+    } | null;
+}
+export interface SwitchOptions {
+    catalogue: PricingCatalogue;
+    on?: Date;
+    /** What the reader says the migration itself costs. Declared, never guessed. */
+    migrationUsd?: number;
+    /** How many evaluation cases the reader would run. Declared, never guessed. */
+    evalCases?: number;
+}
+/**
+ * Null when the catalogue does not know the target — the same contract as
+ * `repriceProfile`, and for the same reason: a comparison against a price
+ * nobody has is worse than no comparison.
+ */
+export declare function switchAnalysis(report: UsageProfileReport, targetId: string, options: SwitchOptions): SwitchAnalysis | null;
+/**
+ * A self-hosted model's dollars per million tokens, derived from the
+ * operator's own two numbers — the 1.74 arc's third chapter.
+ *
+ * GPU dollars per hour over measured tokens per second, at a declared
+ * utilisation. Division, nothing else: no amortisation, no energy model, no
+ * guessed cluster efficiency — a calculator that estimated those would be an
+ * invented price wearing arithmetic's clothes. The result is only as honest
+ * as the throughput measurement it was given, which is why every rendering
+ * labels it derived-from-your-declaration.
+ */
+export declare function ownRate(inputs: {
+    gpuUsdPerHour: number;
+    tokensPerSecond: number;
+    /** Fraction of the hour actually serving (0–1]. Defaults to 1. */
+    utilization?: number;
+}): {
+    usdPerMTok: number;
+};
+//# sourceMappingURL=switch.d.ts.map

package/dist/switch.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/switch.js

@@ -0,0 +1,90 @@
+/**
+ * The switching decision, priced — the 1.74 arc's second chapter.
+ *
+ * Every what-if reader is really asking one question: *should we move this
+ * traffic, and when does moving pay?* The what-if answers the first half as
+ * arithmetic; this answers the second half the only way this product allows:
+ *
+ * - the delta rests on `repriceProfile` — the same slice-by-slice move that
+ *   already refuses over-context slices and cache traffic the target could
+ *   not grant, so nothing here re-derives pricing;
+ * - break-even is **division on the past**: a declared migration cost over
+ *   the measured daily rate of the saving, with the denominator (how many
+ *   days were measured) attached. No growth is assumed, nothing is
+ *   forecast — if the log carries no timestamps there is no rate, and the
+ *   answer is a stated refusal rather than an invented calendar;
+ * - the evaluation the switch requires is itself priced, because the cost
+ *   of *knowing* the cheaper model can do the work is part of the cost of
+ *   switching: `trazum route` spends three provider calls per case (two on
+ *   the incumbent, one on the candidate), priced here at this log's own
+ *   mean call — an assumption, and a stated one.
+ *
+ * **What this never says: anything about quality.** Whether the target can
+ * do the work is `trazum route`'s verdict to measure, and every rendering
+ * of this document is expected to end by pointing there.
+ */
+import { repriceProfile } from './reprice.js';
+const DAY_MS = 86_400_000;
+/**
+ * Null when the catalogue does not know the target — the same contract as
+ * `repriceProfile`, and for the same reason: a comparison against a price
+ * nobody has is worse than no comparison.
+ */
+export function switchAnalysis(report, targetId, options) {
+    const { catalogue, on = new Date(), migrationUsd, evalCases } = options;
+    const reprice = repriceProfile(report, targetId, catalogue, on);
+    if (reprice === null)
+        return null;
+    // reprice's convention is `target - current` (negative is cheaper); the
+    // saving is its negation, named so no reader has to carry the sign.
+    const savingUsd = -reprice.deltaUsd;
+    const span = report.span;
+    const measuredDays = span === null ? null : Math.max(1, Math.ceil((span.toMs - span.fromMs) / DAY_MS));
+    const dailySavingUsd = measuredDays === null ? null : savingUsd / measuredDays;
+    let breakEven = null;
+    if (migrationUsd !== undefined) {
+        if (savingUsd <= 0)
+            breakEven = { migrationUsd, refused: 'no-saving' };
+        else if (dailySavingUsd === null)
+            breakEven = { migrationUsd, refused: 'no-clock' };
+        else
+            breakEven = { migrationUsd, days: migrationUsd / dailySavingUsd };
+    }
+    let evalCost = null;
+    const movableCalls = reprice.slices.reduce((sum, slice) => sum + slice.calls, 0);
+    if (evalCases !== undefined && evalCases > 0 && movableCalls > 0) {
+        const meanCurrentCallUsd = reprice.currentUsd / movableCalls;
+        const meanTargetCallUsd = reprice.targetUsd / movableCalls;
+        evalCost = {
+            cases: evalCases,
+            meanCurrentCallUsd,
+            meanTargetCallUsd,
+            // route's own bill: two calls on the incumbent, one on the candidate.
+            totalUsd: evalCases * (2 * meanCurrentCallUsd + meanTargetCallUsd),
+        };
+    }
+    return { schemaVersion: 1, reprice, savingUsd, measuredDays, dailySavingUsd, breakEven, evalCost };
+}
+/**
+ * A self-hosted model's dollars per million tokens, derived from the
+ * operator's own two numbers — the 1.74 arc's third chapter.
+ *
+ * GPU dollars per hour over measured tokens per second, at a declared
+ * utilisation. Division, nothing else: no amortisation, no energy model, no
+ * guessed cluster efficiency — a calculator that estimated those would be an
+ * invented price wearing arithmetic's clothes. The result is only as honest
+ * as the throughput measurement it was given, which is why every rendering
+ * labels it derived-from-your-declaration.
+ */
+export function ownRate(inputs) {
+    const { gpuUsdPerHour, tokensPerSecond, utilization = 1 } = inputs;
+    if (!(gpuUsdPerHour > 0))
+        throw new Error('gpuUsdPerHour must be a positive number');
+    if (!(tokensPerSecond > 0))
+        throw new Error('tokensPerSecond must be a positive number');
+    if (!(utilization > 0 && utilization <= 1))
+        throw new Error('utilization must be greater than 0 and at most 1');
+    const tokensPerHour = tokensPerSecond * 3600 * utilization;
+    return { usdPerMTok: (gpuUsdPerHour / tokensPerHour) * 1_000_000 };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=switch.js.map

package/dist/switch.js.map

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package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@trazum/core",
-  "version": "1.73.1",
+  "version": "1.74.0",
   "description": "Trazum core: priced advisories for LLM prompts (caching, model tier, batching, schemas), plus deterministic trimming, token counting and pricing.",
   "license": "MIT",
   "author": "David Mu\u00f1oz Rey",

package/src/index.ts

@@ -324,6 +324,8 @@ export type { RepeatedTurns, RepeatsOptions, RepeatsTracker } from './repeats.js
 export { contextPressure } from './context-pressure.js';
 export type { ContextPressure, ContextPressureOptions } from './context-pressure.js';
 export { priceTokensOn, repriceProfile } from './reprice.js';
+export { ownRate, switchAnalysis } from './switch.js';
+export type { BreakEvenRefusal, SwitchAnalysis, SwitchOptions } from './switch.js';
 export type { OverContextSlice, RepriceReport, RepricedSlice } from './reprice.js';
 export { createSessionLedgerTracker, singleTurnCacheWrites } from './session-ledger.js';
 // What one conversation costs — median and p95, exact. See session-cost.ts.

package/src/switch.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,164 @@
+/**
+ * The switching decision, priced — the 1.74 arc's second chapter.
+ *
+ * Every what-if reader is really asking one question: *should we move this
+ * traffic, and when does moving pay?* The what-if answers the first half as
+ * arithmetic; this answers the second half the only way this product allows:
+ *
+ * - the delta rests on `repriceProfile` — the same slice-by-slice move that
+ *   already refuses over-context slices and cache traffic the target could
+ *   not grant, so nothing here re-derives pricing;
+ * - break-even is **division on the past**: a declared migration cost over
+ *   the measured daily rate of the saving, with the denominator (how many
+ *   days were measured) attached. No growth is assumed, nothing is
+ *   forecast — if the log carries no timestamps there is no rate, and the
+ *   answer is a stated refusal rather than an invented calendar;
+ * - the evaluation the switch requires is itself priced, because the cost
+ *   of *knowing* the cheaper model can do the work is part of the cost of
+ *   switching: `trazum route` spends three provider calls per case (two on
+ *   the incumbent, one on the candidate), priced here at this log's own
+ *   mean call — an assumption, and a stated one.
+ *
+ * **What this never says: anything about quality.** Whether the target can
+ * do the work is `trazum route`'s verdict to measure, and every rendering
+ * of this document is expected to end by pointing there.
+ */
+
+import type { PricingCatalogue } from './pricing.js';
+import { repriceProfile } from './reprice.js';
+import type { RepriceReport } from './reprice.js';
+import type { UsageProfileReport } from './usage.js';
+
+const DAY_MS = 86_400_000;
+
+/** Why a break-even could not be computed. Absence is never silent. */
+export type BreakEvenRefusal =
+  /** The reprice shows no saving — there is nothing for migration to recover. */
+  | 'no-saving'
+  /** No record carried a timestamp, so the log has no measured rate. */
+  | 'no-clock';
+
+export interface SwitchAnalysis {
+  schemaVersion: 1;
+  /** The slice-by-slice move this analysis rests on, verbatim. */
+  reprice: RepriceReport;
+  /**
+   * `currentUsd - targetUsd` over the movable slices: **positive means the
+   * switch saves.** Stated with its own name because `reprice.deltaUsd`
+   * carries the opposite convention (`target - current`, negative is
+   * cheaper), and a sign read across that boundary is exactly the class of
+   * defect that ships a break-even for a switch that loses money.
+   */
+  savingUsd: number;
+  /**
+   * Days the measured window spans, from the log's own first and last
+   * timestamps. Null when no record carried one — and then nothing below
+   * that needs a rate exists either.
+   */
+  measuredDays: number | null;
+  /** The saving as a daily rate over that window. Null with the window. */
+  dailySavingUsd: number | null;
+  /**
+   * Declared migration cost over the measured daily saving. Present only
+   * when a migration cost was declared; `refused` names why the division
+   * could not be made rather than leaving a hole.
+   */
+  breakEven:
+    | { migrationUsd: number; days: number }
+    | { migrationUsd: number; refused: BreakEvenRefusal }
+    | null;
+  /**
+   * What `trazum route` would cost on this traffic: per case, two calls on
+   * the incumbent mix and one on the target, each priced at this log's own
+   * mean movable call. Present only when a case count was declared —
+   * defaulting one would be inventing the size of somebody's test set.
+   */
+  evalCost: {
+    cases: number;
+    meanCurrentCallUsd: number;
+    meanTargetCallUsd: number;
+    totalUsd: number;
+  } | null;
+}
+
+export interface SwitchOptions {
+  catalogue: PricingCatalogue;
+  on?: Date;
+  /** What the reader says the migration itself costs. Declared, never guessed. */
+  migrationUsd?: number;
+  /** How many evaluation cases the reader would run. Declared, never guessed. */
+  evalCases?: number;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Null when the catalogue does not know the target — the same contract as
+ * `repriceProfile`, and for the same reason: a comparison against a price
+ * nobody has is worse than no comparison.
+ */
+export function switchAnalysis(
+  report: UsageProfileReport,
+  targetId: string,
+  options: SwitchOptions,
+): SwitchAnalysis | null {
+  const { catalogue, on = new Date(), migrationUsd, evalCases } = options;
+  const reprice = repriceProfile(report, targetId, catalogue, on);
+  if (reprice === null) return null;
+
+  // reprice's convention is `target - current` (negative is cheaper); the
+  // saving is its negation, named so no reader has to carry the sign.
+  const savingUsd = -reprice.deltaUsd;
+
+  const span = report.span;
+  const measuredDays =
+    span === null ? null : Math.max(1, Math.ceil((span.toMs - span.fromMs) / DAY_MS));
+  const dailySavingUsd = measuredDays === null ? null : savingUsd / measuredDays;
+
+  let breakEven: SwitchAnalysis['breakEven'] = null;
+  if (migrationUsd !== undefined) {
+    if (savingUsd <= 0) breakEven = { migrationUsd, refused: 'no-saving' };
+    else if (dailySavingUsd === null) breakEven = { migrationUsd, refused: 'no-clock' };
+    else breakEven = { migrationUsd, days: migrationUsd / dailySavingUsd };
+  }
+
+  let evalCost: SwitchAnalysis['evalCost'] = null;
+  const movableCalls = reprice.slices.reduce((sum, slice) => sum + slice.calls, 0);
+  if (evalCases !== undefined && evalCases > 0 && movableCalls > 0) {
+    const meanCurrentCallUsd = reprice.currentUsd / movableCalls;
+    const meanTargetCallUsd = reprice.targetUsd / movableCalls;
+    evalCost = {
+      cases: evalCases,
+      meanCurrentCallUsd,
+      meanTargetCallUsd,
+      // route's own bill: two calls on the incumbent, one on the candidate.
+      totalUsd: evalCases * (2 * meanCurrentCallUsd + meanTargetCallUsd),
+    };
+  }
+
+  return { schemaVersion: 1, reprice, savingUsd, measuredDays, dailySavingUsd, breakEven, evalCost };
+}
+
+/**
+ * A self-hosted model's dollars per million tokens, derived from the
+ * operator's own two numbers — the 1.74 arc's third chapter.
+ *
+ * GPU dollars per hour over measured tokens per second, at a declared
+ * utilisation. Division, nothing else: no amortisation, no energy model, no
+ * guessed cluster efficiency — a calculator that estimated those would be an
+ * invented price wearing arithmetic's clothes. The result is only as honest
+ * as the throughput measurement it was given, which is why every rendering
+ * labels it derived-from-your-declaration.
+ */
+export function ownRate(inputs: {
+  gpuUsdPerHour: number;
+  tokensPerSecond: number;
+  /** Fraction of the hour actually serving (0–1]. Defaults to 1. */
+  utilization?: number;
+}): { usdPerMTok: number } {
+  const { gpuUsdPerHour, tokensPerSecond, utilization = 1 } = inputs;
+  if (!(gpuUsdPerHour > 0)) throw new Error('gpuUsdPerHour must be a positive number');
+  if (!(tokensPerSecond > 0)) throw new Error('tokensPerSecond must be a positive number');
+  if (!(utilization > 0 && utilization <= 1))
+    throw new Error('utilization must be greater than 0 and at most 1');
+  const tokensPerHour = tokensPerSecond * 3600 * utilization;
+  return { usdPerMTok: (gpuUsdPerHour / tokensPerHour) * 1_000_000 };
+}