@trazum/core 1.38.0 → 1.39.0

package/README.md

@@ -106,6 +106,19 @@ renderer localizes them and a later verification can match them
 structurally. `planLabelName` renders the unlabelled bucket without leaking
 the sentinel.
 
+## Did it work?
+
+`verifyPlan(plan, newerReport, { currentPricingLastReviewed })` holds a saved
+plan to the report of a later log, with three outcomes and never two:
+`arrived`, `not-arrived`, or `cannot-tell` — the workload vanished, the
+fields the detection needs stopped being recorded, or tokens cannot say
+which tier billed them. Differences carry the world's measured movement from
+the plan's recorded baseline (calls, tokens per call, both numbers and never
+a verdict), a repricing between the two documents is flagged rather than
+silently priced through, and each verdict says whether it fails a gate:
+`not-arrived` always, `fields-stopped` too — a team must not pass on the
+strength of its own log's silence — and a vanished workload never.
+
 ## Comparing two versions
 
 ```ts

package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -15,6 +15,8 @@ export { measuredUsage, labelCoverage, MIN_SCALE_DAYS, SCALE_TO_DAYS } from './m
 export { assignSources, fleetRollup } from './fleet.js';
 export { buildPlan, planLabelName } from './plan.js';
 export type { PlanAction, PlanActionKind, PlanAssumption, PlanDocument } from './plan.js';
+export { verifyPlan } from './verify.js';
+export type { CannotTellReason, PlanVerification, VerifiedAction, VerifyOutcome } from './verify.js';
 export type { FleetSource, FleetRollup } from './fleet.js';
 export type { MeasuredUsage, LabelCoverage } from './measured-profile.js';
 export type { GateExplanation } from './gate-explain.js';

package/dist/index.d.ts.map

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package/dist/index.js

@@ -19,6 +19,7 @@ export { explainGateFailure, gateMargin, GATE_MARGIN_TIGHT } from './gate-explai
 export { measuredUsage, labelCoverage, MIN_SCALE_DAYS, SCALE_TO_DAYS } from './measured-profile.js';
 export { assignSources, fleetRollup } from './fleet.js';
 export { buildPlan, planLabelName } from './plan.js';
+export { verifyPlan } from './verify.js';
 // The same tokens at another model's rates — arithmetic, not advice, and it
 // refuses to price a call the target could not have accepted. See reprice.ts.
 // The shape of a call's input — the half of the bill a total could only name.

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/plan.d.ts

@@ -87,6 +87,18 @@ export interface PlanAction {
         };
         /** The measured pieces behind a stake. */
         measured?: Record<string, number>;
+        /**
+         * The slice as it was when the plan was made — what a later verification
+         * compares the newer log against. Without this the plan is a prediction
+         * with no record of the world it was made in, and "calls doubled" could
+         * never be told from "the prediction was wrong".
+         */
+        baseline?: {
+            calls: number;
+            usd: number;
+            inputPerCallTokens: number;
+            outputPerCallTokens: number;
+        };
     };
 }
 export interface PlanDocument {

package/dist/plan.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/plan.js

@@ -36,6 +36,19 @@ import { UNLABELLED, cacheEconomics } from './usage.js';
  */
 export function buildPlan(report, levers, pricingLastReviewed) {
     const actions = [];
+    /** The slice as the plan saw it, recorded so verification has a "before". */
+    const baselineOf = (label, model) => {
+        const slice = report.byLabelAndModel.find((s) => s.label === label && s.model === model);
+        if (slice === undefined || slice.breakdown.calls === 0)
+            return undefined;
+        const b = slice.breakdown;
+        return {
+            calls: b.calls,
+            usd: b.totalUsd,
+            inputPerCallTokens: (b.inputTokens + b.cacheReadTokens + b.cacheWriteTokens) / b.calls,
+            outputPerCallTokens: b.outputTokens / b.calls,
+        };
+    };
     for (const slice of levers.slices) {
         const assumes = [];
         let kind;
@@ -63,7 +76,10 @@ export function buildPlan(report, levers, pricingLastReviewed) {
             stakeUsd: null,
             assumes,
             check: slice.route !== null ? 'trazum route <log> --prompt-file <prompt> --cases <cases>' : null,
-            detail: slice.route !== null ? { routeTo: slice.route.candidate } : {},
+            detail: {
+                ...(slice.route !== null ? { routeTo: slice.route.candidate } : {}),
+                baseline: baselineOf(slice.label, slice.model),
+            },
         });
     }
     for (const row of report.truncationRetries) {
@@ -82,6 +98,7 @@ export function buildPlan(report, levers, pricingLastReviewed) {
                     retried: row.retried,
                     truncatedCalls: row.truncatedCalls,
                 },
+                baseline: baselineOf(row.label, row.model),
             },
         });
     }
@@ -104,6 +121,7 @@ export function buildPlan(report, levers, pricingLastReviewed) {
                     spentUsd: economics.spentUsd,
                     withoutCachingUsd: economics.withoutCachingUsd,
                 },
+                baseline: baselineOf(slice.label, slice.model),
             },
         });
     }

package/dist/plan.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/verify.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,92 @@
+/**
+ * Did it work? — the plan held to the log that came after it.
+ *
+ * Every optimisation tool says what you *would* save; almost none says what
+ * you *did*. This module takes a saved plan and a newer report and answers
+ * per action, with **three outcomes and never two**: the change arrived, the
+ * change did not arrive, or *it cannot be told* — because the workload
+ * vanished, the fields the detection needs stopped being recorded, or the
+ * log simply cannot see the thing (tokens do not say which tier billed
+ * them). The third outcome is the honest one, and the one every other tool
+ * renders as the first.
+ *
+ * **Differences are attributed, not just stated.** A predicted saving that
+ * did not appear in the bill is decomposed against the plan's recorded
+ * baseline: the calls moved, the output per call moved, the input per call
+ * moved — measured ratios with names, never a single number that blames
+ * nobody. And a plan priced under one catalogue verified under another says
+ * so: the tool must not blame a team for a saving that arithmetic revoked.
+ *
+ * Browser-safe like everything here: two documents in, one verdict out.
+ */
+import type { UsageProfileReport } from './usage.js';
+import type { PlanAction, PlanDocument } from './plan.js';
+export type VerifyOutcome = 'arrived' | 'not-arrived' | 'cannot-tell';
+/**
+ * Why an action cannot be told. The distinction matters to the gate: a
+ * workload that vanished is the world's doing; a log that stopped recording
+ * the fields the detection needs is the team's, and "not recorded" must not
+ * read as "fixed".
+ */
+export type CannotTellReason = 'workload-vanished' | 'fields-stopped' | 'tier-not-recorded';
+export interface VerifiedAction {
+    /** The plan's action, verbatim — the prediction being judged. */
+    action: PlanAction;
+    outcome: VerifyOutcome;
+    reason: CannotTellReason | null;
+    /**
+     * What the newer log measured for this slice, per kind: where the money
+     * sits now, the new retry bill, the new cache delta. Keys are stable.
+     */
+    observed: Record<string, number | string | null>;
+    /**
+     * The world's movement between the two logs, from the plan's recorded
+     * baseline: never a verdict, always the measured before and after.
+     */
+    attribution: {
+        calls?: {
+            before: number;
+            after: number;
+        };
+        inputPerCallTokens?: {
+            before: number;
+            after: number;
+        };
+        outputPerCallTokens?: {
+            before: number;
+            after: number;
+        };
+    } | null;
+    /**
+     * Whether this action fails `--gate`. `not-arrived` always does;
+     * `cannot-tell` does only for `fields-stopped` — a team that degraded its
+     * own log must not pass the gate on the strength of the silence. A
+     * vanished workload and an unrecordable tier fail nothing.
+     */
+    gateFailing: boolean;
+}
+export interface PlanVerification {
+    schemaVersion: 1;
+    /** When the plan was made, when it carries the stamp. */
+    planCreatedAt: string | null;
+    /** The catalogue that priced the plan, and the one pricing this check. */
+    planPricing: string;
+    currentPricing: string;
+    /**
+     * True when those differ: every dollar comparison here is then two
+     * measurements under two price lists, and the rendering must say so
+     * rather than let a repricing read as a team's failure.
+     */
+    pricesChanged: boolean;
+    actions: VerifiedAction[];
+    arrived: number;
+    notArrived: number;
+    cannotTell: number;
+    gateFailures: number;
+}
+export declare function verifyPlan(plan: PlanDocument & {
+    createdAt?: string;
+}, report: UsageProfileReport, options: {
+    currentPricingLastReviewed: string;
+}): PlanVerification;
+//# sourceMappingURL=verify.d.ts.map

package/dist/verify.d.ts.map

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package/dist/verify.js

@@ -0,0 +1,193 @@
+/**
+ * Did it work? — the plan held to the log that came after it.
+ *
+ * Every optimisation tool says what you *would* save; almost none says what
+ * you *did*. This module takes a saved plan and a newer report and answers
+ * per action, with **three outcomes and never two**: the change arrived, the
+ * change did not arrive, or *it cannot be told* — because the workload
+ * vanished, the fields the detection needs stopped being recorded, or the
+ * log simply cannot see the thing (tokens do not say which tier billed
+ * them). The third outcome is the honest one, and the one every other tool
+ * renders as the first.
+ *
+ * **Differences are attributed, not just stated.** A predicted saving that
+ * did not appear in the bill is decomposed against the plan's recorded
+ * baseline: the calls moved, the output per call moved, the input per call
+ * moved — measured ratios with names, never a single number that blames
+ * nobody. And a plan priced under one catalogue verified under another says
+ * so: the tool must not blame a team for a saving that arithmetic revoked.
+ *
+ * Browser-safe like everything here: two documents in, one verdict out.
+ */
+import { cacheEconomics } from './usage.js';
+/** Newer-log slices for one label, dearest first. */
+function slicesForLabel(report, label) {
+    return report.byLabelAndModel
+        .filter((s) => s.label === label && s.breakdown.calls > 0)
+        .sort((a, b) => b.breakdown.totalUsd - a.breakdown.totalUsd);
+}
+function attributionFrom(action, after) {
+    const before = action.detail.baseline;
+    if (before === undefined || after === null)
+        return null;
+    return {
+        calls: { before: before.calls, after: after.calls },
+        inputPerCallTokens: { before: before.inputPerCallTokens, after: after.inputPerCallTokens },
+        outputPerCallTokens: { before: before.outputPerCallTokens, after: after.outputPerCallTokens },
+    };
+}
+function perCall(breakdown) {
+    return {
+        calls: breakdown.calls,
+        inputPerCallTokens: (breakdown.inputTokens + breakdown.cacheReadTokens + breakdown.cacheWriteTokens) / breakdown.calls,
+        outputPerCallTokens: breakdown.outputTokens / breakdown.calls,
+    };
+}
+export function verifyPlan(plan, report, options) {
+    const actions = [];
+    for (const action of plan.actions) {
+        const slices = slicesForLabel(report, action.label);
+        const total = slices.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.breakdown.totalUsd, 0);
+        const allCalls = slices.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.breakdown.calls, 0);
+        /** The label carries no priced traffic any more: nothing can be told. */
+        if (slices.length === 0) {
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+                reason: 'workload-vanished',
+                observed: {},
+                attribution: null,
+                gateFailing: false,
+            });
+            continue;
+        }
+        if (action.kind === 'route' || action.kind === 'route+batch') {
+            const target = action.detail.routeTo;
+            const dearest = slices[0];
+            const onTarget = slices.find((s) => s.model === target.id);
+            const stillOnOld = slices.find((s) => s.model === action.model);
+            const moved = dearest.model === target.id;
+            const after = perCall(moved ? dearest.breakdown : (stillOnOld ?? dearest).breakdown);
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: moved ? 'arrived' : 'not-arrived',
+                reason: null,
+                observed: {
+                    dearestModel: dearest.model,
+                    onTargetUsd: onTarget?.breakdown.totalUsd ?? 0,
+                    onOldModelUsd: stillOnOld?.breakdown.totalUsd ?? 0,
+                    labelUsd: total,
+                    labelCalls: allCalls,
+                    // The batch half of route+batch cannot be seen in token counts;
+                    // the rendering names it instead of counting it as arrived.
+                    ...(action.kind === 'route+batch' ? { batchObservable: 0 } : {}),
+                },
+                attribution: attributionFrom(action, after),
+                gateFailing: !moved,
+            });
+            continue;
+        }
+        if (action.kind === 'batch') {
+            // Tokens do not say which tier billed them. Not the team's silence,
+            // so it cannot fail the gate — but it is said, never assumed arrived.
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+                reason: 'tier-not-recorded',
+                observed: { labelUsd: total, labelCalls: allCalls },
+                attribution: null,
+                gateFailing: false,
+            });
+            continue;
+        }
+        const slice = slices.find((s) => s.model === action.model);
+        if (action.kind === 'fix-truncation') {
+            // The detection needs sessions and timestamps; a log that dropped them
+            // reads as "no retries" for the wrong reason, and that must not pass.
+            if (!report.hasSessions || report.span === null) {
+                actions.push({
+                    action,
+                    outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+                    reason: 'fields-stopped',
+                    observed: {},
+                    attribution: attributionFrom(action, slice ? perCall(slice.breakdown) : null),
+                    gateFailing: true,
+                });
+                continue;
+            }
+            const row = report.truncationRetries.find((r) => r.label === action.label && r.model === action.model);
+            const newStake = row === undefined ? 0 : row.wastedUsd + row.retryUsd;
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: row === undefined ? 'arrived' : 'not-arrived',
+                reason: null,
+                observed: {
+                    retryBillUsd: newStake,
+                    retried: row?.retried ?? 0,
+                    truncatedCalls: row?.truncatedCalls ?? 0,
+                },
+                attribution: attributionFrom(action, slice ? perCall(slice.breakdown) : null),
+                gateFailing: row !== undefined,
+            });
+            continue;
+        }
+        // fix-caching.
+        if (slice === undefined) {
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+                reason: 'workload-vanished',
+                observed: {},
+                attribution: null,
+                gateFailing: false,
+            });
+            continue;
+        }
+        const economics = cacheEconomics(slice.breakdown);
+        if (economics.verdict === 'lost-money' && economics.worstCaseVerdict === economics.verdict) {
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'not-arrived',
+                reason: null,
+                observed: { deltaUsd: economics.deltaUsd, spentUsd: economics.spentUsd },
+                attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+                gateFailing: true,
+            });
+        }
+        else if (economics.worstCaseVerdict !== economics.verdict) {
+            // The verdict cannot settle on this log: the fields that would settle
+            // it are not there, and an unverifiable fix is not a verified one.
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+                reason: 'fields-stopped',
+                observed: {},
+                attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+                gateFailing: true,
+            });
+        }
+        else {
+            actions.push({
+                action,
+                outcome: 'arrived',
+                reason: null,
+                observed: { deltaUsd: economics.deltaUsd, spentUsd: economics.spentUsd },
+                attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+                gateFailing: false,
+            });
+        }
+    }
+    return {
+        schemaVersion: 1,
+        planCreatedAt: plan.createdAt ?? null,
+        planPricing: plan.pricingLastReviewed,
+        currentPricing: options.currentPricingLastReviewed,
+        pricesChanged: plan.pricingLastReviewed !== options.currentPricingLastReviewed,
+        actions,
+        arrived: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'arrived').length,
+        notArrived: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'not-arrived').length,
+        cannotTell: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'cannot-tell').length,
+        gateFailures: actions.filter((a) => a.gateFailing).length,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=verify.js.map

package/dist/verify.js.map

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package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@trazum/core",
-  "version": "1.38.0",
+  "version": "1.39.0",
   "description": "Trazum core: priced advisories for LLM prompts (caching, model tier, batching, schemas), plus deterministic trimming, token counting and pricing.",
   "license": "MIT",
   "author": "David Mu\u00f1oz Rey",

package/src/index.ts

@@ -46,6 +46,8 @@ export { measuredUsage, labelCoverage, MIN_SCALE_DAYS, SCALE_TO_DAYS } from './m
 export { assignSources, fleetRollup } from './fleet.js';
 export { buildPlan, planLabelName } from './plan.js';
 export type { PlanAction, PlanActionKind, PlanAssumption, PlanDocument } from './plan.js';
+export { verifyPlan } from './verify.js';
+export type { CannotTellReason, PlanVerification, VerifiedAction, VerifyOutcome } from './verify.js';
 export type { FleetSource, FleetRollup } from './fleet.js';
 export type { MeasuredUsage, LabelCoverage } from './measured-profile.js';
 export type { GateExplanation } from './gate-explain.js';

package/src/plan.ts

@@ -78,6 +78,13 @@ export interface PlanAction {
     routeTo?: { id: string; displayName: string };
     /** The measured pieces behind a stake. */
     measured?: Record<string, number>;
+    /**
+     * The slice as it was when the plan was made — what a later verification
+     * compares the newer log against. Without this the plan is a prediction
+     * with no record of the world it was made in, and "calls doubled" could
+     * never be told from "the prediction was wrong".
+     */
+    baseline?: { calls: number; usd: number; inputPerCallTokens: number; outputPerCallTokens: number };
   };
 }
 
@@ -116,6 +123,19 @@ export function buildPlan(
 ): PlanDocument {
   const actions: PlanAction[] = [];
 
+  /** The slice as the plan saw it, recorded so verification has a "before". */
+  const baselineOf = (label: string, model: string) => {
+    const slice = report.byLabelAndModel.find((s) => s.label === label && s.model === model);
+    if (slice === undefined || slice.breakdown.calls === 0) return undefined;
+    const b = slice.breakdown;
+    return {
+      calls: b.calls,
+      usd: b.totalUsd,
+      inputPerCallTokens: (b.inputTokens + b.cacheReadTokens + b.cacheWriteTokens) / b.calls,
+      outputPerCallTokens: b.outputTokens / b.calls,
+    };
+  };
+
   for (const slice of levers.slices) {
     const assumes: PlanAssumption[] = [];
     let kind: PlanActionKind;
@@ -140,7 +160,10 @@ export function buildPlan(
       stakeUsd: null,
       assumes,
       check: slice.route !== null ? 'trazum route <log> --prompt-file <prompt> --cases <cases>' : null,
-      detail: slice.route !== null ? { routeTo: slice.route.candidate } : {},
+      detail: {
+        ...(slice.route !== null ? { routeTo: slice.route.candidate } : {}),
+        baseline: baselineOf(slice.label, slice.model),
+      },
     });
   }
 
@@ -160,6 +183,7 @@ export function buildPlan(
           retried: row.retried,
           truncatedCalls: row.truncatedCalls,
         },
+        baseline: baselineOf(row.label, row.model),
       },
     });
   }
@@ -182,6 +206,7 @@ export function buildPlan(
           spentUsd: economics.spentUsd,
           withoutCachingUsd: economics.withoutCachingUsd,
         },
+        baseline: baselineOf(slice.label, slice.model),
       },
     });
   }

package/src/verify.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,274 @@
+/**
+ * Did it work? — the plan held to the log that came after it.
+ *
+ * Every optimisation tool says what you *would* save; almost none says what
+ * you *did*. This module takes a saved plan and a newer report and answers
+ * per action, with **three outcomes and never two**: the change arrived, the
+ * change did not arrive, or *it cannot be told* — because the workload
+ * vanished, the fields the detection needs stopped being recorded, or the
+ * log simply cannot see the thing (tokens do not say which tier billed
+ * them). The third outcome is the honest one, and the one every other tool
+ * renders as the first.
+ *
+ * **Differences are attributed, not just stated.** A predicted saving that
+ * did not appear in the bill is decomposed against the plan's recorded
+ * baseline: the calls moved, the output per call moved, the input per call
+ * moved — measured ratios with names, never a single number that blames
+ * nobody. And a plan priced under one catalogue verified under another says
+ * so: the tool must not blame a team for a saving that arithmetic revoked.
+ *
+ * Browser-safe like everything here: two documents in, one verdict out.
+ */
+
+import { cacheEconomics } from './usage.js';
+import type { UsageProfileReport } from './usage.js';
+import type { PlanAction, PlanDocument } from './plan.js';
+
+export type VerifyOutcome = 'arrived' | 'not-arrived' | 'cannot-tell';
+
+/**
+ * Why an action cannot be told. The distinction matters to the gate: a
+ * workload that vanished is the world's doing; a log that stopped recording
+ * the fields the detection needs is the team's, and "not recorded" must not
+ * read as "fixed".
+ */
+export type CannotTellReason = 'workload-vanished' | 'fields-stopped' | 'tier-not-recorded';
+
+export interface VerifiedAction {
+  /** The plan's action, verbatim — the prediction being judged. */
+  action: PlanAction;
+  outcome: VerifyOutcome;
+  reason: CannotTellReason | null;
+  /**
+   * What the newer log measured for this slice, per kind: where the money
+   * sits now, the new retry bill, the new cache delta. Keys are stable.
+   */
+  observed: Record<string, number | string | null>;
+  /**
+   * The world's movement between the two logs, from the plan's recorded
+   * baseline: never a verdict, always the measured before and after.
+   */
+  attribution: {
+    calls?: { before: number; after: number };
+    inputPerCallTokens?: { before: number; after: number };
+    outputPerCallTokens?: { before: number; after: number };
+  } | null;
+  /**
+   * Whether this action fails `--gate`. `not-arrived` always does;
+   * `cannot-tell` does only for `fields-stopped` — a team that degraded its
+   * own log must not pass the gate on the strength of the silence. A
+   * vanished workload and an unrecordable tier fail nothing.
+   */
+  gateFailing: boolean;
+}
+
+export interface PlanVerification {
+  schemaVersion: 1;
+  /** When the plan was made, when it carries the stamp. */
+  planCreatedAt: string | null;
+  /** The catalogue that priced the plan, and the one pricing this check. */
+  planPricing: string;
+  currentPricing: string;
+  /**
+   * True when those differ: every dollar comparison here is then two
+   * measurements under two price lists, and the rendering must say so
+   * rather than let a repricing read as a team's failure.
+   */
+  pricesChanged: boolean;
+  actions: VerifiedAction[];
+  arrived: number;
+  notArrived: number;
+  cannotTell: number;
+  gateFailures: number;
+}
+
+/** Newer-log slices for one label, dearest first. */
+function slicesForLabel(report: UsageProfileReport, label: string) {
+  return report.byLabelAndModel
+    .filter((s) => s.label === label && s.breakdown.calls > 0)
+    .sort((a, b) => b.breakdown.totalUsd - a.breakdown.totalUsd);
+}
+
+function attributionFrom(
+  action: PlanAction,
+  after: { calls: number; inputPerCallTokens: number; outputPerCallTokens: number } | null,
+): VerifiedAction['attribution'] {
+  const before = action.detail.baseline;
+  if (before === undefined || after === null) return null;
+  return {
+    calls: { before: before.calls, after: after.calls },
+    inputPerCallTokens: { before: before.inputPerCallTokens, after: after.inputPerCallTokens },
+    outputPerCallTokens: { before: before.outputPerCallTokens, after: after.outputPerCallTokens },
+  };
+}
+
+function perCall(breakdown: { calls: number; inputTokens: number; cacheReadTokens: number; cacheWriteTokens: number; outputTokens: number }) {
+  return {
+    calls: breakdown.calls,
+    inputPerCallTokens:
+      (breakdown.inputTokens + breakdown.cacheReadTokens + breakdown.cacheWriteTokens) / breakdown.calls,
+    outputPerCallTokens: breakdown.outputTokens / breakdown.calls,
+  };
+}
+
+export function verifyPlan(
+  plan: PlanDocument & { createdAt?: string },
+  report: UsageProfileReport,
+  options: { currentPricingLastReviewed: string },
+): PlanVerification {
+  const actions: VerifiedAction[] = [];
+
+  for (const action of plan.actions) {
+    const slices = slicesForLabel(report, action.label);
+    const total = slices.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.breakdown.totalUsd, 0);
+    const allCalls = slices.reduce((sum, s) => sum + s.breakdown.calls, 0);
+
+    /** The label carries no priced traffic any more: nothing can be told. */
+    if (slices.length === 0) {
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+        reason: 'workload-vanished',
+        observed: {},
+        attribution: null,
+        gateFailing: false,
+      });
+      continue;
+    }
+
+    if (action.kind === 'route' || action.kind === 'route+batch') {
+      const target = action.detail.routeTo!;
+      const dearest = slices[0]!;
+      const onTarget = slices.find((s) => s.model === target.id);
+      const stillOnOld = slices.find((s) => s.model === action.model);
+      const moved = dearest.model === target.id;
+      const after = perCall(
+        moved ? dearest.breakdown : (stillOnOld ?? dearest).breakdown,
+      );
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: moved ? 'arrived' : 'not-arrived',
+        reason: null,
+        observed: {
+          dearestModel: dearest.model,
+          onTargetUsd: onTarget?.breakdown.totalUsd ?? 0,
+          onOldModelUsd: stillOnOld?.breakdown.totalUsd ?? 0,
+          labelUsd: total,
+          labelCalls: allCalls,
+          // The batch half of route+batch cannot be seen in token counts;
+          // the rendering names it instead of counting it as arrived.
+          ...(action.kind === 'route+batch' ? { batchObservable: 0 } : {}),
+        },
+        attribution: attributionFrom(action, after),
+        gateFailing: !moved,
+      });
+      continue;
+    }
+
+    if (action.kind === 'batch') {
+      // Tokens do not say which tier billed them. Not the team's silence,
+      // so it cannot fail the gate — but it is said, never assumed arrived.
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+        reason: 'tier-not-recorded',
+        observed: { labelUsd: total, labelCalls: allCalls },
+        attribution: null,
+        gateFailing: false,
+      });
+      continue;
+    }
+
+    const slice = slices.find((s) => s.model === action.model);
+
+    if (action.kind === 'fix-truncation') {
+      // The detection needs sessions and timestamps; a log that dropped them
+      // reads as "no retries" for the wrong reason, and that must not pass.
+      if (!report.hasSessions || report.span === null) {
+        actions.push({
+          action,
+          outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+          reason: 'fields-stopped',
+          observed: {},
+          attribution: attributionFrom(action, slice ? perCall(slice.breakdown) : null),
+          gateFailing: true,
+        });
+        continue;
+      }
+      const row = report.truncationRetries.find(
+        (r) => r.label === action.label && r.model === action.model,
+      );
+      const newStake = row === undefined ? 0 : row.wastedUsd + row.retryUsd;
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: row === undefined ? 'arrived' : 'not-arrived',
+        reason: null,
+        observed: {
+          retryBillUsd: newStake,
+          retried: row?.retried ?? 0,
+          truncatedCalls: row?.truncatedCalls ?? 0,
+        },
+        attribution: attributionFrom(action, slice ? perCall(slice.breakdown) : null),
+        gateFailing: row !== undefined,
+      });
+      continue;
+    }
+
+    // fix-caching.
+    if (slice === undefined) {
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+        reason: 'workload-vanished',
+        observed: {},
+        attribution: null,
+        gateFailing: false,
+      });
+      continue;
+    }
+    const economics = cacheEconomics(slice.breakdown);
+    if (economics.verdict === 'lost-money' && economics.worstCaseVerdict === economics.verdict) {
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'not-arrived',
+        reason: null,
+        observed: { deltaUsd: economics.deltaUsd, spentUsd: economics.spentUsd },
+        attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+        gateFailing: true,
+      });
+    } else if (economics.worstCaseVerdict !== economics.verdict) {
+      // The verdict cannot settle on this log: the fields that would settle
+      // it are not there, and an unverifiable fix is not a verified one.
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'cannot-tell',
+        reason: 'fields-stopped',
+        observed: {},
+        attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+        gateFailing: true,
+      });
+    } else {
+      actions.push({
+        action,
+        outcome: 'arrived',
+        reason: null,
+        observed: { deltaUsd: economics.deltaUsd, spentUsd: economics.spentUsd },
+        attribution: attributionFrom(action, perCall(slice.breakdown)),
+        gateFailing: false,
+      });
+    }
+  }
+
+  return {
+    schemaVersion: 1,
+    planCreatedAt: plan.createdAt ?? null,
+    planPricing: plan.pricingLastReviewed,
+    currentPricing: options.currentPricingLastReviewed,
+    pricesChanged: plan.pricingLastReviewed !== options.currentPricingLastReviewed,
+    actions,
+    arrived: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'arrived').length,
+    notArrived: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'not-arrived').length,
+    cannotTell: actions.filter((a) => a.outcome === 'cannot-tell').length,
+    gateFailures: actions.filter((a) => a.gateFailing).length,
+  };
+}