@timmeck/trading-brain 2.31.10 → 2.31.12

package/dist/paper/__tests__/indicators.test.js

@@ -0,0 +1,126 @@
+import { describe, it, expect } from 'vitest';
+import { calcRSI, calcMACD, calcTrendScore, calcVolatility, calcAllIndicators } from '../indicators.js';
+function makeCandles(closes, base = 100) {
+    return closes.map((close, i) => ({
+        timestamp: Date.now() - (closes.length - i) * 300_000,
+        open: close - 0.5,
+        high: close + 1,
+        low: close - 1,
+        close,
+        volume: 1000,
+    }));
+}
+describe('calcRSI', () => {
+    it('returns 50 when not enough data', () => {
+        expect(calcRSI(makeCandles([100, 101, 102]))).toBe(50);
+    });
+    it('returns high RSI for consistent uptrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 30 }, (_, i) => 100 + i);
+        const rsi = calcRSI(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(rsi).toBeGreaterThan(70);
+    });
+    it('returns low RSI for consistent downtrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 30 }, (_, i) => 130 - i);
+        const rsi = calcRSI(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(rsi).toBeLessThan(30);
+    });
+    it('returns ~50 for flat market', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 30 }, (_, i) => 100 + (i % 2 === 0 ? 0.5 : -0.5));
+        const rsi = calcRSI(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(rsi).toBeGreaterThan(30);
+        expect(rsi).toBeLessThan(70);
+    });
+    it('returns 100 when all gains', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 20 }, (_, i) => 100 + i * 2);
+        const rsi = calcRSI(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(rsi).toBe(100);
+    });
+});
+describe('calcMACD', () => {
+    it('returns zeroes when not enough data', () => {
+        const result = calcMACD(makeCandles([100, 101, 102]));
+        expect(result.line).toBe(0);
+        expect(result.signal).toBe(0);
+        expect(result.histogram).toBe(0);
+    });
+    it('returns positive MACD for uptrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 50 }, (_, i) => 100 + i);
+        const result = calcMACD(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(result.line).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+    });
+    it('returns negative MACD for downtrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 50 }, (_, i) => 150 - i);
+        const result = calcMACD(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(result.line).toBeLessThan(0);
+    });
+    it('histogram equals line minus signal', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 50 }, (_, i) => 100 + Math.sin(i / 5) * 10);
+        const result = calcMACD(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(result.histogram).toBeCloseTo(result.line - result.signal, 10);
+    });
+});
+describe('calcTrendScore', () => {
+    it('returns 0 when not enough data', () => {
+        expect(calcTrendScore(makeCandles([100, 101]))).toBe(0);
+    });
+    it('returns positive score for uptrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 40 }, (_, i) => 100 + i * 2);
+        const score = calcTrendScore(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(score).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+    });
+    it('returns negative score for downtrend', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 40 }, (_, i) => 200 - i * 2);
+        const score = calcTrendScore(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(score).toBeLessThan(0);
+    });
+    it('clamps to -5..+5 range', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 40 }, (_, i) => 100 + i * 20);
+        const score = calcTrendScore(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(score).toBeLessThanOrEqual(5);
+        expect(score).toBeGreaterThanOrEqual(-5);
+    });
+});
+describe('calcVolatility', () => {
+    it('returns default when not enough data', () => {
+        expect(calcVolatility(makeCandles([100, 101]))).toBe(30);
+    });
+    it('returns low volatility for stable prices', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 20 }, () => 100);
+        const candles = prices.map((close, i) => ({
+            timestamp: Date.now() - (prices.length - i) * 300_000,
+            open: close,
+            high: close + 0.1,
+            low: close - 0.1,
+            close,
+            volume: 1000,
+        }));
+        const vol = calcVolatility(candles);
+        expect(vol).toBeLessThan(5);
+    });
+    it('returns high volatility for wild swings', () => {
+        const candles = Array.from({ length: 20 }, (_, i) => ({
+            timestamp: Date.now() - (20 - i) * 300_000,
+            open: 100,
+            high: 120,
+            low: 80,
+            close: 100,
+            volume: 1000,
+        }));
+        const vol = calcVolatility(candles);
+        expect(vol).toBeGreaterThan(20);
+    });
+});
+describe('calcAllIndicators', () => {
+    it('returns all four indicators', () => {
+        const prices = Array.from({ length: 50 }, (_, i) => 100 + i);
+        const result = calcAllIndicators(makeCandles(prices));
+        expect(result).toHaveProperty('rsi14');
+        expect(result).toHaveProperty('macd');
+        expect(result).toHaveProperty('trendScore');
+        expect(result).toHaveProperty('volatility');
+        expect(result.macd).toHaveProperty('line');
+        expect(result.macd).toHaveProperty('signal');
+        expect(result.macd).toHaveProperty('histogram');
+    });
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=indicators.test.js.map

package/dist/paper/__tests__/indicators.test.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/paper/decision-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,41 @@
+import type { PaperConfig, PaperPosition, IndicatorResult } from './types.js';
+import type { SignalService } from '../services/signal.service.js';
+export interface EntrySignal {
+    symbol: string;
+    price: number;
+    indicators: IndicatorResult;
+    fingerprint: string;
+    confidence: number;
+    score: number;
+    regime: string;
+    signalsJson: string;
+}
+export interface ExitSignal {
+    position: PaperPosition;
+    reason: string;
+    currentPrice: number;
+}
+export declare class DecisionEngine {
+    private config;
+    private signalService;
+    private logger;
+    private totalClosedTrades;
+    constructor(config: PaperConfig, signalService: SignalService);
+    /** Update closed trade count for cold-start logic. */
+    setTradeCount(count: number): void;
+    /**
+     * Detect market regime from indicators.
+     */
+    detectRegime(indicators: IndicatorResult): string;
+    /**
+     * Check all positions for exit conditions.
+     */
+    checkExits(positions: PaperPosition[], prices: Map<string, number>): ExitSignal[];
+    /**
+     * Check which symbols qualify for entry.
+     */
+    checkEntries(symbols: string[], prices: Map<string, number>, indicatorMap: Map<string, IndicatorResult>, openSymbols: Set<string>): EntrySignal[];
+    private getExitReason;
+    private shouldEnter;
+    private calcScore;
+}

package/dist/paper/decision-engine.js

@@ -0,0 +1,151 @@
+import { fingerprint } from '../signals/fingerprint.js';
+import { getLogger } from '../utils/logger.js';
+export class DecisionEngine {
+    config;
+    signalService;
+    logger = getLogger();
+    totalClosedTrades = 0;
+    constructor(config, signalService) {
+        this.config = config;
+        this.signalService = signalService;
+    }
+    /** Update closed trade count for cold-start logic. */
+    setTradeCount(count) {
+        this.totalClosedTrades = count;
+    }
+    /**
+     * Detect market regime from indicators.
+     */
+    detectRegime(indicators) {
+        if (indicators.trendScore > 2)
+            return 'bullish_trend';
+        if (indicators.trendScore < -2)
+            return 'bearish_trend';
+        if (indicators.volatility > 60)
+            return 'volatile';
+        return 'ranging';
+    }
+    /**
+     * Check all positions for exit conditions.
+     */
+    checkExits(positions, prices) {
+        const exits = [];
+        for (const pos of positions) {
+            const currentPrice = prices.get(pos.symbol);
+            if (currentPrice === undefined)
+                continue;
+            const pnlPct = ((currentPrice - pos.entryPrice) / pos.entryPrice) * 100;
+            const reason = this.getExitReason(pos, currentPrice, pnlPct);
+            if (reason) {
+                exits.push({ position: pos, reason, currentPrice });
+            }
+        }
+        return exits;
+    }
+    /**
+     * Check which symbols qualify for entry.
+     */
+    checkEntries(symbols, prices, indicatorMap, openSymbols) {
+        const entries = [];
+        for (const symbol of symbols) {
+            if (openSymbols.has(symbol))
+                continue;
+            const price = prices.get(symbol);
+            const indicators = indicatorMap.get(symbol);
+            if (!price || !indicators)
+                continue;
+            const regime = this.detectRegime(indicators);
+            const signals = {
+                rsi14: indicators.rsi14,
+                macd: indicators.macd.line,
+                trendScore: indicators.trendScore,
+                volatility: indicators.volatility,
+                regime,
+            };
+            const fp = fingerprint(signals);
+            const confidence = this.signalService.getConfidence(signals, regime);
+            const weights = this.signalService.getSignalWeights(signals, regime);
+            const score = this.calcScore(weights);
+            // Entry conditions
+            if (!this.shouldEnter(indicators, confidence, score, regime))
+                continue;
+            entries.push({
+                symbol,
+                price,
+                indicators,
+                fingerprint: fp,
+                confidence,
+                score,
+                regime,
+                signalsJson: JSON.stringify(signals),
+            });
+        }
+        // Sort by confidence descending, take best ones
+        entries.sort((a, b) => b.confidence - a.confidence);
+        return entries;
+    }
+    getExitReason(pos, currentPrice, pnlPct) {
+        // Stop-Loss
+        if (pnlPct <= this.config.stopLossPct) {
+            return 'stop_loss';
+        }
+        // Take-Profit
+        if (pnlPct >= this.config.takeProfitPct) {
+            return 'take_profit';
+        }
+        // Trailing Stop: activate at +trailingStopActivation%, trail by trailingStopDistance%
+        if (pnlPct >= this.config.trailingStopActivation) {
+            const drawdownFromHigh = ((pos.highWaterMark - currentPrice) / pos.highWaterMark) * 100;
+            if (drawdownFromHigh >= this.config.trailingStopDistance) {
+                return 'trailing_stop';
+            }
+        }
+        // Time Exit
+        const openTime = new Date(pos.openedAt).getTime();
+        const holdHours = (Date.now() - openTime) / 3600000;
+        if (holdHours > this.config.timeExitHours) {
+            return 'time_exit';
+        }
+        return null;
+    }
+    shouldEnter(indicators, confidence, score, regime) {
+        // Don't enter in bearish regime
+        if (regime === 'bearish_trend')
+            return false;
+        // Cold-start mode: relaxed thresholds when Brain has <20 closed trades
+        const coldStart = this.totalClosedTrades < 20;
+        const confThreshold = coldStart ? 0.0 : this.config.confidenceThreshold;
+        // Confidence threshold
+        if (confidence < confThreshold) {
+            const hasBullishDiv = indicators.rsi14 < 30 && indicators.macd.line > 0;
+            const hasStrongTrend = indicators.trendScore > 2 && indicators.volatility < 60;
+            if (!hasBullishDiv && !hasStrongTrend)
+                return false;
+        }
+        // Score threshold (skip during cold-start — no learned data yet)
+        if (!coldStart && score > 0 && score < this.config.scoreThreshold) {
+            const hasBullishDiv = indicators.rsi14 < 30 && indicators.macd.line > 0;
+            if (!hasBullishDiv)
+                return false;
+        }
+        // At least one bullish condition must be true
+        // During cold-start, conditions are more relaxed to collect training data
+        const conditions = coldStart ? [
+            indicators.rsi14 < 45 && indicators.macd.line > 0, // Moderate RSI + MACD positive
+            indicators.trendScore > 1 && indicators.volatility < 80, // Mild trend, not too volatile
+            indicators.rsi14 < 35 && indicators.trendScore > 0, // Low RSI + any uptrend
+            indicators.macd.histogram > 0 && indicators.trendScore > 0, // MACD bullish + trend
+            indicators.rsi14 < 50 && indicators.trendScore > 2, // Normal RSI + strong trend
+        ] : [
+            indicators.rsi14 < 30 && indicators.macd.line > 0, // Bullish divergence
+            indicators.trendScore > 2 && indicators.volatility < 60, // Strong trend, low vol
+            indicators.rsi14 < 40 && indicators.trendScore > 1, // Low RSI + uptrend
+            indicators.macd.histogram > 0 && indicators.trendScore > 0, // MACD bullish + trend
+        ];
+        return conditions.some(c => c);
+    }
+    calcScore(weights) {
+        return Object.values(weights).reduce((sum, w) => sum + w, 0);
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=decision-engine.js.map

package/dist/paper/decision-engine.js.map

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package/dist/paper/indicators.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,26 @@
+import type { OHLCVCandle, IndicatorResult } from './types.js';
+/**
+ * Wilder's smoothed RSI.
+ */
+export declare function calcRSI(candles: OHLCVCandle[], period?: number): number;
+/**
+ * MACD (12, 26, 9): line, signal, histogram.
+ */
+export declare function calcMACD(candles: OHLCVCandle[], fastPeriod?: number, slowPeriod?: number, signalPeriod?: number): {
+    line: number;
+    signal: number;
+    histogram: number;
+};
+/**
+ * Trend score: SMA(10) vs SMA(30) crossover.
+ * Returns -5 to +5 range based on distance.
+ */
+export declare function calcTrendScore(candles: OHLCVCandle[]): number;
+/**
+ * ATR-based volatility as percentage of close price.
+ */
+export declare function calcVolatility(candles: OHLCVCandle[], period?: number): number;
+/**
+ * Calculate all indicators for a set of candles.
+ */
+export declare function calcAllIndicators(candles: OHLCVCandle[]): IndicatorResult;

package/dist/paper/indicators.js

@@ -0,0 +1,134 @@
+/**
+ * Wilder's smoothed RSI.
+ */
+export function calcRSI(candles, period = 14) {
+    if (candles.length < period + 1)
+        return 50;
+    let avgGain = 0;
+    let avgLoss = 0;
+    // Initial average
+    for (let i = 1; i <= period; i++) {
+        const change = candles[i].close - candles[i - 1].close;
+        if (change > 0)
+            avgGain += change;
+        else
+            avgLoss += Math.abs(change);
+    }
+    avgGain /= period;
+    avgLoss /= period;
+    // Wilder smoothing
+    for (let i = period + 1; i < candles.length; i++) {
+        const change = candles[i].close - candles[i - 1].close;
+        if (change > 0) {
+            avgGain = (avgGain * (period - 1) + change) / period;
+            avgLoss = (avgLoss * (period - 1)) / period;
+        }
+        else {
+            avgGain = (avgGain * (period - 1)) / period;
+            avgLoss = (avgLoss * (period - 1) + Math.abs(change)) / period;
+        }
+    }
+    if (avgLoss === 0)
+        return 100;
+    const rs = avgGain / avgLoss;
+    return 100 - 100 / (1 + rs);
+}
+/**
+ * MACD (12, 26, 9): line, signal, histogram.
+ */
+export function calcMACD(candles, fastPeriod = 12, slowPeriod = 26, signalPeriod = 9) {
+    if (candles.length < slowPeriod + signalPeriod) {
+        return { line: 0, signal: 0, histogram: 0 };
+    }
+    const closes = candles.map(c => c.close);
+    const emaFast = calcEMA(closes, fastPeriod);
+    const emaSlow = calcEMA(closes, slowPeriod);
+    const macdLine = [];
+    const startIdx = slowPeriod - 1;
+    for (let i = startIdx; i < closes.length; i++) {
+        const fastIdx = i - (closes.length - emaFast.length);
+        const slowIdx = i - (closes.length - emaSlow.length);
+        if (fastIdx >= 0 && slowIdx >= 0) {
+            macdLine.push(emaFast[fastIdx] - emaSlow[slowIdx]);
+        }
+    }
+    if (macdLine.length < signalPeriod) {
+        return { line: macdLine[macdLine.length - 1] ?? 0, signal: 0, histogram: 0 };
+    }
+    const signalLine = calcEMA(macdLine, signalPeriod);
+    const line = macdLine[macdLine.length - 1];
+    const signal = signalLine[signalLine.length - 1];
+    return { line, signal, histogram: line - signal };
+}
+/**
+ * Trend score: SMA(10) vs SMA(30) crossover.
+ * Returns -5 to +5 range based on distance.
+ */
+export function calcTrendScore(candles) {
+    if (candles.length < 30)
+        return 0;
+    const closes = candles.map(c => c.close);
+    const sma10 = calcSMA(closes, 10);
+    const sma30 = calcSMA(closes, 30);
+    if (sma30 === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const diff = ((sma10 - sma30) / sma30) * 100;
+    // Clamp to -5..+5
+    return Math.max(-5, Math.min(5, diff));
+}
+/**
+ * ATR-based volatility as percentage of close price.
+ */
+export function calcVolatility(candles, period = 14) {
+    if (candles.length < period + 1)
+        return 30;
+    let atrSum = 0;
+    for (let i = candles.length - period; i < candles.length; i++) {
+        const current = candles[i];
+        const prev = candles[i - 1];
+        const tr = Math.max(current.high - current.low, Math.abs(current.high - prev.close), Math.abs(current.low - prev.close));
+        atrSum += tr;
+    }
+    const atr = atrSum / period;
+    const lastClose = candles[candles.length - 1].close;
+    if (lastClose === 0)
+        return 30;
+    return (atr / lastClose) * 100;
+}
+/**
+ * Calculate all indicators for a set of candles.
+ */
+export function calcAllIndicators(candles) {
+    return {
+        rsi14: calcRSI(candles, 14),
+        macd: calcMACD(candles),
+        trendScore: calcTrendScore(candles),
+        volatility: calcVolatility(candles),
+    };
+}
+// ─── Helpers ────────────────────────────────────────────
+function calcEMA(values, period) {
+    if (values.length < period)
+        return [];
+    const k = 2 / (period + 1);
+    const result = [];
+    // Seed with SMA
+    let sum = 0;
+    for (let i = 0; i < period; i++)
+        sum += values[i];
+    result.push(sum / period);
+    for (let i = period; i < values.length; i++) {
+        result.push(values[i] * k + result[result.length - 1] * (1 - k));
+    }
+    return result;
+}
+function calcSMA(values, period) {
+    if (values.length < period)
+        return 0;
+    let sum = 0;
+    for (let i = values.length - period; i < values.length; i++) {
+        sum += values[i];
+    }
+    return sum / period;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=indicators.js.map

package/dist/paper/indicators.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/paper/paper-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,31 @@
+import type { PaperConfig } from './types.js';
+import type { TradeService } from '../services/trade.service.js';
+import type { SignalService } from '../services/signal.service.js';
+import type { PaperRepository } from '../db/repositories/paper.repository.js';
+export declare class PaperEngine {
+    private config;
+    private tradeService;
+    private repo;
+    private priceFetcher;
+    private portfolio;
+    private decision;
+    private timer;
+    private cycleCount;
+    private lastCycleAt;
+    private paused;
+    private running;
+    private logger;
+    constructor(config: PaperConfig, tradeService: TradeService, signalService: SignalService, repo: PaperRepository);
+    start(): void;
+    stop(): void;
+    pause(): void;
+    resume(): void;
+    isPaused(): boolean;
+    isRunning(): boolean;
+    getCycleCount(): number;
+    getLastCycleAt(): string | null;
+    runCycle(): Promise<{
+        entries: number;
+        exits: number;
+    }>;
+}