@timmeck/brain-core 2.4.0 → 2.6.0

package/dist/research/anomaly-detective.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/research/autonomous-scheduler.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,124 @@
+import type Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import { MetaLearningEngine } from '../meta-learning/engine.js';
+import type { HyperParameter } from '../meta-learning/engine.js';
+import { CausalGraph } from '../causal/engine.js';
+import { HypothesisEngine } from '../hypothesis/engine.js';
+export interface ResearchDiscovery {
+    id?: number;
+    type: 'causal_chain' | 'confirmed_hypothesis' | 'parameter_optimization' | 'anomaly' | 'root_cause';
+    title: string;
+    description: string;
+    confidence: number;
+    impact: number;
+    source: string;
+    data: Record<string, unknown>;
+    created_at?: string;
+}
+export interface ResearchCycleReport {
+    cycle: number;
+    timestamp: number;
+    causalEdgesFound: number;
+    causalChainsFound: number;
+    hypothesesGenerated: number;
+    hypothesesTested: number;
+    hypothesesConfirmed: number;
+    hypothesesRejected: number;
+    parametersOptimized: number;
+    discoveriesProduced: number;
+    duration: number;
+}
+export interface AutonomousResearchConfig {
+    /** How often to run the full research cycle (ms). Default: 600_000 (10 min) */
+    intervalMs?: number;
+    /** Initial delay before first cycle (ms). Default: 30_000 (30s) */
+    initialDelayMs?: number;
+    /** Brain name for event attribution. */
+    brainName: string;
+    /** Hyperparameters for meta-learning. */
+    hyperParams?: HyperParameter[];
+    /** Minimum causal edge strength to produce a discovery. Default: 0.3 */
+    minCausalStrength?: number;
+    /** Maximum discoveries per cycle. Default: 10 */
+    maxDiscoveriesPerCycle?: number;
+}
+export declare function runResearchDiscoveryMigration(db: Database.Database): void;
+/**
+ * Autonomous Research Scheduler: orchestrates the three research engines
+ * into a self-running discovery pipeline.
+ *
+ * Flow:
+ * 1. External code calls onLearningCycleComplete() after each learning cycle
+ *    → feeds metrics into MetaLearningEngine
+ *    → records causal events
+ *    → records observations for hypothesis engine
+ *
+ * 2. On a timer (every intervalMs), runs a full research cycle:
+ *    a. Run causal analysis → detect cause-effect relationships
+ *    b. Auto-generate hypotheses from observation patterns
+ *    c. Test all pending hypotheses
+ *    d. Run meta-learning optimization (if enough data)
+ *    e. Produce discoveries from confirmed hypotheses + causal chains
+ *    f. Store everything in SQLite
+ */
+export declare class AutonomousResearchScheduler {
+    private db;
+    private logger;
+    private timer;
+    private delayTimer;
+    private cycleCount;
+    private running;
+    readonly metaLearning: MetaLearningEngine;
+    readonly causalGraph: CausalGraph;
+    readonly hypothesisEngine: HypothesisEngine;
+    private brainName;
+    private intervalMs;
+    private initialDelayMs;
+    private minCausalStrength;
+    private maxDiscoveriesPerCycle;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database, config: AutonomousResearchConfig);
+    /** Start the autonomous research timer. */
+    start(): void;
+    /** Stop the autonomous research timer. */
+    stop(): void;
+    /**
+     * Call this after each learning cycle completes.
+     * Feeds the cycle results into all three research engines.
+     */
+    onLearningCycleComplete(metrics: Record<string, number>, score: number, eventType?: string): void;
+    /**
+     * Record a domain event for causal + hypothesis tracking.
+     * Call this from event listeners in each brain.
+     */
+    recordEvent(eventType: string, data?: Record<string, unknown>): void;
+    /**
+     * Run one full autonomous research cycle.
+     * This is the core algorithm — the system thinking about itself.
+     */
+    runCycle(): ResearchCycleReport;
+    /** Get all discoveries, optionally filtered by type. */
+    getDiscoveries(type?: string, limit?: number): ResearchDiscovery[];
+    /** Get cycle reports. */
+    getCycleReports(limit?: number): ResearchCycleReport[];
+    /** Get a comprehensive research status. */
+    getStatus(): {
+        cyclesCompleted: number;
+        totalDiscoveries: number;
+        discoveryBreakdown: Record<string, number>;
+        metaLearningStatus: ReturnType<MetaLearningEngine['getStatus']>;
+        causalAnalysis: ReturnType<CausalGraph['getAnalysis']>;
+        hypothesisSummary: ReturnType<HypothesisEngine['getSummary']>;
+        lastCycleReport: ResearchCycleReport | null;
+        isRunning: boolean;
+    };
+    private safeRunCycle;
+    /**
+     * Produce discoveries from research findings.
+     * This is where data becomes insight.
+     */
+    private produceDiscoveries;
+    private findSignificantRoots;
+    private isDuplicateDiscovery;
+    private storeDiscovery;
+    private storeCycleReport;
+    private emptyReport;
+}

package/dist/research/autonomous-scheduler.js

@@ -0,0 +1,411 @@
+import { getLogger } from '../utils/logger.js';
+import { MetaLearningEngine } from '../meta-learning/engine.js';
+import { CausalGraph } from '../causal/engine.js';
+import { HypothesisEngine } from '../hypothesis/engine.js';
+// ── Migration ───────────────────────────────────────────
+export function runResearchDiscoveryMigration(db) {
+    db.exec(`
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS research_discoveries (
+      id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+      type TEXT NOT NULL,
+      title TEXT NOT NULL,
+      description TEXT NOT NULL,
+      confidence REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      impact REAL NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      source TEXT NOT NULL,
+      data TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT '{}',
+      created_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT (datetime('now'))
+    );
+
+    CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS research_cycle_reports (
+      id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
+      cycle INTEGER NOT NULL,
+      timestamp INTEGER NOT NULL,
+      causal_edges_found INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      causal_chains_found INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      hypotheses_generated INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      hypotheses_tested INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      hypotheses_confirmed INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      hypotheses_rejected INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      parameters_optimized INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      discoveries_produced INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      duration INTEGER NOT NULL DEFAULT 0,
+      created_at TEXT NOT NULL DEFAULT (datetime('now'))
+    );
+
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_discoveries_type ON research_discoveries(type);
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_discoveries_confidence ON research_discoveries(confidence DESC);
+    CREATE INDEX IF NOT EXISTS idx_cycle_reports_cycle ON research_cycle_reports(cycle);
+  `);
+}
+// ── Scheduler ───────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Autonomous Research Scheduler: orchestrates the three research engines
+ * into a self-running discovery pipeline.
+ *
+ * Flow:
+ * 1. External code calls onLearningCycleComplete() after each learning cycle
+ *    → feeds metrics into MetaLearningEngine
+ *    → records causal events
+ *    → records observations for hypothesis engine
+ *
+ * 2. On a timer (every intervalMs), runs a full research cycle:
+ *    a. Run causal analysis → detect cause-effect relationships
+ *    b. Auto-generate hypotheses from observation patterns
+ *    c. Test all pending hypotheses
+ *    d. Run meta-learning optimization (if enough data)
+ *    e. Produce discoveries from confirmed hypotheses + causal chains
+ *    f. Store everything in SQLite
+ */
+export class AutonomousResearchScheduler {
+    db;
+    logger = getLogger();
+    timer = null;
+    delayTimer = null;
+    cycleCount = 0;
+    running = false;
+    metaLearning;
+    causalGraph;
+    hypothesisEngine;
+    brainName;
+    intervalMs;
+    initialDelayMs;
+    minCausalStrength;
+    maxDiscoveriesPerCycle;
+    constructor(db, config) {
+        this.db = db;
+        runResearchDiscoveryMigration(db);
+        this.brainName = config.brainName;
+        this.intervalMs = config.intervalMs ?? 600_000;
+        this.initialDelayMs = config.initialDelayMs ?? 30_000;
+        this.minCausalStrength = config.minCausalStrength ?? 0.3;
+        this.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle = config.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle ?? 10;
+        // Default hyperparameters if none provided
+        const hyperParams = config.hyperParams ?? [
+            { name: 'learningRate', value: 0.1, min: 0.01, max: 0.5, step: 0.02 },
+            { name: 'decayRate', value: 0.05, min: 0.01, max: 0.2, step: 0.01 },
+            { name: 'pruneThreshold', value: 0.1, min: 0.01, max: 0.5, step: 0.02 },
+        ];
+        this.metaLearning = new MetaLearningEngine(db, hyperParams);
+        this.causalGraph = new CausalGraph(db);
+        this.hypothesisEngine = new HypothesisEngine(db);
+    }
+    /** Start the autonomous research timer. */
+    start() {
+        if (this.timer)
+            return;
+        this.logger.info(`[research] Autonomous research scheduler starting (interval: ${this.intervalMs}ms, delay: ${this.initialDelayMs}ms)`);
+        if (this.initialDelayMs > 0) {
+            this.delayTimer = setTimeout(() => {
+                this.safeRunCycle();
+                this.timer = setInterval(() => this.safeRunCycle(), this.intervalMs);
+            }, this.initialDelayMs);
+        }
+        else {
+            this.timer = setInterval(() => this.safeRunCycle(), this.intervalMs);
+        }
+    }
+    /** Stop the autonomous research timer. */
+    stop() {
+        if (this.delayTimer) {
+            clearTimeout(this.delayTimer);
+            this.delayTimer = null;
+        }
+        if (this.timer) {
+            clearInterval(this.timer);
+            this.timer = null;
+        }
+    }
+    /**
+     * Call this after each learning cycle completes.
+     * Feeds the cycle results into all three research engines.
+     */
+    onLearningCycleComplete(metrics, score, eventType = 'learning:cycle_complete') {
+        // 1. Feed meta-learning
+        this.metaLearning.step(metrics, score);
+        // 2. Record causal event
+        this.causalGraph.recordEvent(this.brainName, eventType, metrics);
+        // 3. Record observations for hypothesis engine
+        for (const [key, value] of Object.entries(metrics)) {
+            this.hypothesisEngine.observe({
+                source: this.brainName,
+                type: `metric:${key}`,
+                value,
+                timestamp: Date.now(),
+                metadata: { eventType },
+            });
+        }
+        this.logger.debug(`[research] Learning cycle recorded: score=${score.toFixed(3)}, metrics=${Object.keys(metrics).length}`);
+    }
+    /**
+     * Record a domain event for causal + hypothesis tracking.
+     * Call this from event listeners in each brain.
+     */
+    recordEvent(eventType, data) {
+        this.causalGraph.recordEvent(this.brainName, eventType, data);
+        // Also record as observation with value 1 (occurrence)
+        this.hypothesisEngine.observe({
+            source: this.brainName,
+            type: eventType,
+            value: 1,
+            timestamp: Date.now(),
+            metadata: data,
+        });
+    }
+    /**
+     * Run one full autonomous research cycle.
+     * This is the core algorithm — the system thinking about itself.
+     */
+    runCycle() {
+        if (this.running) {
+            this.logger.warn('[research] Cycle already running, skipping');
+            return this.emptyReport();
+        }
+        this.running = true;
+        this.cycleCount++;
+        const startTime = Date.now();
+        this.logger.info(`[research] ═══ Autonomous Research Cycle #${this.cycleCount} ═══`);
+        try {
+            // Phase 1: Causal Analysis — detect cause-effect relationships
+            const edges = this.causalGraph.analyze();
+            const chains = this.causalGraph.findChains();
+            this.logger.info(`[research] Phase 1: ${edges.length} causal edges, ${chains.length} chains detected`);
+            // Phase 2: Hypothesis Generation — form theories from data
+            const generated = this.hypothesisEngine.generate();
+            this.logger.info(`[research] Phase 2: ${generated.length} new hypotheses generated`);
+            // Phase 3: Hypothesis Testing — test all pending theories
+            const tested = this.hypothesisEngine.testAll();
+            const confirmed = tested.filter(t => t.newStatus === 'confirmed');
+            const rejected = tested.filter(t => t.newStatus === 'rejected');
+            this.logger.info(`[research] Phase 3: ${tested.length} tested, ${confirmed.length} confirmed, ${rejected.length} rejected`);
+            // Phase 4: Meta-Learning Optimization — tune parameters
+            const optimized = this.metaLearning.optimize();
+            if (optimized.length > 0) {
+                this.logger.info(`[research] Phase 4: ${optimized.length} parameters optimized`);
+            }
+            // Phase 5: Discovery Production — synthesize findings
+            const discoveries = this.produceDiscoveries(edges, chains, confirmed, optimized);
+            this.logger.info(`[research] Phase 5: ${discoveries.length} discoveries produced`);
+            const duration = Date.now() - startTime;
+            const report = {
+                cycle: this.cycleCount,
+                timestamp: startTime,
+                causalEdgesFound: edges.length,
+                causalChainsFound: chains.length,
+                hypothesesGenerated: generated.length,
+                hypothesesTested: tested.length,
+                hypothesesConfirmed: confirmed.length,
+                hypothesesRejected: rejected.length,
+                parametersOptimized: optimized.length,
+                discoveriesProduced: discoveries.length,
+                duration,
+            };
+            // Store cycle report
+            this.storeCycleReport(report);
+            this.logger.info(`[research] ═══ Cycle #${this.cycleCount} complete (${duration}ms) ═══`);
+            return report;
+        }
+        finally {
+            this.running = false;
+        }
+    }
+    /** Get all discoveries, optionally filtered by type. */
+    getDiscoveries(type, limit = 20) {
+        let rows;
+        if (type) {
+            rows = this.db.prepare('SELECT * FROM research_discoveries WHERE type = ? ORDER BY confidence DESC LIMIT ?').all(type, limit);
+        }
+        else {
+            rows = this.db.prepare('SELECT * FROM research_discoveries ORDER BY created_at DESC LIMIT ?').all(limit);
+        }
+        return rows.map(r => ({
+            ...r,
+            data: JSON.parse(r.data),
+        }));
+    }
+    /** Get cycle reports. */
+    getCycleReports(limit = 20) {
+        return this.db.prepare('SELECT * FROM research_cycle_reports ORDER BY cycle DESC LIMIT ?').all(limit);
+    }
+    /** Get a comprehensive research status. */
+    getStatus() {
+        const discoveryRows = this.db.prepare('SELECT type, COUNT(*) as count FROM research_discoveries GROUP BY type').all();
+        const breakdown = {};
+        let total = 0;
+        for (const row of discoveryRows) {
+            breakdown[row.type] = row.count;
+            total += row.count;
+        }
+        const reports = this.getCycleReports(1);
+        return {
+            cyclesCompleted: this.cycleCount,
+            totalDiscoveries: total,
+            discoveryBreakdown: breakdown,
+            metaLearningStatus: this.metaLearning.getStatus(),
+            causalAnalysis: this.causalGraph.getAnalysis(),
+            hypothesisSummary: this.hypothesisEngine.getSummary(),
+            lastCycleReport: reports.length > 0 ? reports[0] : null,
+            isRunning: this.running,
+        };
+    }
+    // ── Private ───────────────────────────────────────────
+    safeRunCycle() {
+        try {
+            this.runCycle();
+        }
+        catch (err) {
+            this.logger.error('[research] Autonomous research cycle error', { error: String(err) });
+        }
+    }
+    /**
+     * Produce discoveries from research findings.
+     * This is where data becomes insight.
+     */
+    produceDiscoveries(edges, chains, confirmedHypotheses, optimizations) {
+        const discoveries = [];
+        // 1. Strong causal chains → discoveries
+        for (const chain of chains) {
+            if (chain.totalStrength < this.minCausalStrength)
+                continue;
+            if (discoveries.length >= this.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle)
+                break;
+            const discovery = {
+                type: 'causal_chain',
+                title: `Causal chain: ${chain.chain.join(' → ')}`,
+                description: `Events follow this causal sequence with average strength ${chain.totalStrength.toFixed(3)} and total lag ${(chain.totalLag / 1000).toFixed(1)}s`,
+                confidence: Math.min(1, chain.totalStrength),
+                impact: Math.min(1, chain.chain.length / 4),
+                source: this.brainName,
+                data: { chain: chain.chain, strength: chain.totalStrength, lagMs: chain.totalLag },
+            };
+            if (!this.isDuplicateDiscovery(discovery)) {
+                this.storeDiscovery(discovery);
+                discoveries.push(discovery);
+            }
+        }
+        // 2. Root causes (causal nodes that cause but aren't caused) → discoveries
+        const roots = this.findSignificantRoots(edges);
+        for (const root of roots) {
+            if (discoveries.length >= this.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle)
+                break;
+            const effects = edges.filter(e => e.cause === root.cause);
+            const discovery = {
+                type: 'root_cause',
+                title: `Root cause identified: "${root.cause}"`,
+                description: `"${root.cause}" causes ${effects.length} downstream effects with average strength ${root.avgStrength.toFixed(3)}`,
+                confidence: root.avgConfidence,
+                impact: Math.min(1, effects.length / 5),
+                source: this.brainName,
+                data: { rootCause: root.cause, effectCount: effects.length, effects: effects.map(e => e.effect) },
+            };
+            if (!this.isDuplicateDiscovery(discovery)) {
+                this.storeDiscovery(discovery);
+                discoveries.push(discovery);
+            }
+        }
+        // 3. Confirmed hypotheses → discoveries
+        for (const result of confirmedHypotheses) {
+            if (discoveries.length >= this.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle)
+                break;
+            const hyp = this.hypothesisEngine.get(result.hypothesisId);
+            if (!hyp)
+                continue;
+            const discovery = {
+                type: 'confirmed_hypothesis',
+                title: `Hypothesis confirmed: ${hyp.statement}`,
+                description: `Confirmed with p-value ${result.pValue.toFixed(4)}, confidence ${result.confidence.toFixed(3)} (${result.evidenceFor} supporting, ${result.evidenceAgainst} opposing observations)`,
+                confidence: result.confidence,
+                impact: Math.min(1, (result.evidenceFor + result.evidenceAgainst) / 50),
+                source: this.brainName,
+                data: {
+                    hypothesisId: result.hypothesisId,
+                    statement: hyp.statement,
+                    type: hyp.type,
+                    pValue: result.pValue,
+                    evidenceFor: result.evidenceFor,
+                    evidenceAgainst: result.evidenceAgainst,
+                },
+            };
+            if (!this.isDuplicateDiscovery(discovery)) {
+                this.storeDiscovery(discovery);
+                discoveries.push(discovery);
+            }
+        }
+        // 4. Parameter optimizations → discoveries
+        for (const opt of optimizations) {
+            if (discoveries.length >= this.maxDiscoveriesPerCycle)
+                break;
+            if (opt.confidence < 0.5)
+                continue; // only high-confidence optimizations
+            const discovery = {
+                type: 'parameter_optimization',
+                title: `Parameter "${opt.name}" optimized: ${opt.currentValue.toFixed(4)} → ${opt.recommendedValue.toFixed(4)}`,
+                description: `Expected improvement: ${(opt.expectedImprovement * 100).toFixed(1)}% (confidence: ${opt.confidence.toFixed(3)}, based on ${opt.evidence} observations)`,
+                confidence: opt.confidence,
+                impact: Math.min(1, Math.abs(opt.expectedImprovement)),
+                source: this.brainName,
+                data: {
+                    parameter: opt.name,
+                    oldValue: opt.currentValue,
+                    newValue: opt.recommendedValue,
+                    improvement: opt.expectedImprovement,
+                    evidence: opt.evidence,
+                },
+            };
+            if (!this.isDuplicateDiscovery(discovery)) {
+                this.storeDiscovery(discovery);
+                discoveries.push(discovery);
+            }
+        }
+        return discoveries;
+    }
+    findSignificantRoots(edges) {
+        const causes = new Set(edges.map(e => e.cause));
+        const effects = new Set(edges.map(e => e.effect));
+        const roots = [...causes].filter(c => !effects.has(c));
+        return roots
+            .map(root => {
+            const rootEdges = edges.filter(e => e.cause === root);
+            const avgStrength = rootEdges.reduce((s, e) => s + e.strength, 0) / rootEdges.length;
+            const avgConfidence = rootEdges.reduce((s, e) => s + e.confidence, 0) / rootEdges.length;
+            return { cause: root, avgStrength, avgConfidence };
+        })
+            .filter(r => r.avgStrength >= this.minCausalStrength)
+            .sort((a, b) => b.avgStrength - a.avgStrength)
+            .slice(0, 5);
+    }
+    isDuplicateDiscovery(discovery) {
+        const existing = this.db.prepare('SELECT id FROM research_discoveries WHERE type = ? AND title = ?').get(discovery.type, discovery.title);
+        return !!existing;
+    }
+    storeDiscovery(discovery) {
+        this.db.prepare(`
+      INSERT INTO research_discoveries (type, title, description, confidence, impact, source, data)
+      VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
+    `).run(discovery.type, discovery.title, discovery.description, discovery.confidence, discovery.impact, discovery.source, JSON.stringify(discovery.data));
+    }
+    storeCycleReport(report) {
+        this.db.prepare(`
+      INSERT INTO research_cycle_reports (cycle, timestamp, causal_edges_found, causal_chains_found,
+        hypotheses_generated, hypotheses_tested, hypotheses_confirmed, hypotheses_rejected,
+        parameters_optimized, discoveries_produced, duration)
+      VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
+    `).run(report.cycle, report.timestamp, report.causalEdgesFound, report.causalChainsFound, report.hypothesesGenerated, report.hypothesesTested, report.hypothesesConfirmed, report.hypothesesRejected, report.parametersOptimized, report.discoveriesProduced, report.duration);
+    }
+    emptyReport() {
+        return {
+            cycle: this.cycleCount,
+            timestamp: Date.now(),
+            causalEdgesFound: 0,
+            causalChainsFound: 0,
+            hypothesesGenerated: 0,
+            hypothesesTested: 0,
+            hypothesesConfirmed: 0,
+            hypothesesRejected: 0,
+            parametersOptimized: 0,
+            discoveriesProduced: 0,
+            duration: 0,
+        };
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=autonomous-scheduler.js.map

package/dist/research/autonomous-scheduler.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/research/counterfactual-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
+import type Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import type { CausalGraph } from '../causal/engine.js';
+export interface CounterfactualQuery {
+    intervention: {
+        variable: string;
+        actual_value: unknown;
+        counterfactual_value: unknown;
+    };
+    outcome_variable: string;
+    time_range?: {
+        start: number;
+        end: number;
+    };
+}
+export interface CounterfactualResult {
+    id?: number;
+    query: CounterfactualQuery;
+    actual_outcome: number;
+    counterfactual_outcome: number;
+    difference: number;
+    confidence_interval: [number, number];
+    confidence_level: number;
+    causal_path: string[];
+    narrative: string;
+    timestamp: number;
+}
+export interface InterventionImpact {
+    variable: string;
+    proposed_value: unknown;
+    current_value: unknown;
+    affected_outcomes: Array<{
+        outcome: string;
+        expected_change: number;
+        confidence: number;
+        causal_distance: number;
+    }>;
+    total_impact_score: number;
+    recommendation: string;
+}
+export interface CounterfactualConfig {
+    /** Default confidence level for intervals. Default: 0.8 */
+    defaultConfidence?: number;
+    /** Maximum causal path depth. Default: 5 */
+    maxPathDepth?: number;
+}
+export declare function runCounterfactualMigration(db: Database.Database): void;
+export declare class CounterfactualEngine {
+    private db;
+    private causalGraph;
+    private config;
+    private log;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database, causalGraph: CausalGraph | null, config?: CounterfactualConfig);
+    /** Answer a "what if" question using causal graph and historical data. */
+    whatIf(query: CounterfactualQuery): CounterfactualResult;
+    /** Get history of past counterfactual queries. */
+    getHistory(limit?: number): CounterfactualResult[];
+    /** Estimate the impact of a proposed intervention before making it. */
+    estimateIntervention(variable: string, proposedValue: unknown, currentValue: unknown): InterventionImpact;
+    private findCausalPath;
+    private getActualOutcome;
+    private estimateCounterfactual;
+    private generateNarrative;
+}