@timmeck/brain-core 2.36.90 → 2.36.92

package/dist/research/knowledge-distiller.d.ts

@@ -93,7 +93,35 @@ export declare class KnowledgeDistiller {
     /** Remove a principle (e.g. when disproved). */
     removePrinciple(principleId: string): boolean;
     private upsertPrinciple;
+    /**
+     * Create an anti-pattern reactively from a rejected hypothesis.
+     * Called immediately on rejection, not waiting for periodic distillation.
+     */
+    createAntiPatternFromRejection(hypothesis: {
+        statement: string;
+        type: string;
+        evidence_for: number;
+        evidence_against: number;
+        confidence: number;
+    }): AntiPattern | null;
+    /**
+     * Create an anti-pattern from a wrong prediction.
+     * Called when PredictionEngine resolves a prediction as 'wrong'.
+     */
+    createAntiPatternFromPredictionFailure(prediction: {
+        domain: string;
+        metric: string;
+        predicted_direction: string;
+        confidence: number;
+        error: number;
+        reasoning: string;
+    }): AntiPattern | null;
     private upsertAntiPattern;
+    /**
+     * Create a strategy from a cluster of confirmed hypotheses.
+     * Called by orchestrator when 3+ hypotheses in same domain are confirmed.
+     */
+    createStrategyFromHypotheses(domain: string, statements: string[], evidenceCount: number): Strategy | null;
     private upsertStrategy;
     private hashString;
 }

package/dist/research/knowledge-distiller.js

@@ -569,6 +569,59 @@ export class KnowledgeDistiller {
         updated_at = datetime('now')
     `).run(p.id, p.domain, p.statement, p.success_rate, p.sample_size, p.confidence, p.source);
     }
+    /**
+     * Create an anti-pattern reactively from a rejected hypothesis.
+     * Called immediately on rejection, not waiting for periodic distillation.
+     */
+    createAntiPatternFromRejection(hypothesis) {
+        const totalEvidence = hypothesis.evidence_for + hypothesis.evidence_against;
+        if (totalEvidence < 2)
+            return null; // need some evidence
+        const failureRate = totalEvidence > 0 ? hypothesis.evidence_against / totalEvidence : 0;
+        if (failureRate < 0.4)
+            return null; // not a clear enough failure
+        const id = `ap-rej-${this.hashString(hypothesis.statement)}`;
+        // Check if already exists
+        const existing = this.db.prepare('SELECT id FROM knowledge_anti_patterns WHERE id = ?').get(id);
+        if (existing)
+            return null;
+        const antiPattern = {
+            id,
+            domain: hypothesis.type,
+            statement: `Rejected hypothesis: ${hypothesis.statement}`,
+            failure_rate: failureRate,
+            sample_size: totalEvidence,
+            confidence: Math.min(failureRate, 1 - hypothesis.confidence),
+            alternative: 'Hypothesis was disproved — avoid assumptions based on this pattern.',
+        };
+        this.upsertAntiPattern(antiPattern);
+        this.log.info(`[distiller] Anti-pattern from rejection: ${antiPattern.statement.substring(0, 80)}`);
+        return antiPattern;
+    }
+    /**
+     * Create an anti-pattern from a wrong prediction.
+     * Called when PredictionEngine resolves a prediction as 'wrong'.
+     */
+    createAntiPatternFromPredictionFailure(prediction) {
+        if (prediction.error < 0.25)
+            return null; // only for significant errors
+        const id = `ap-pred-${this.hashString(prediction.metric + prediction.predicted_direction + prediction.reasoning)}`;
+        const existing = this.db.prepare('SELECT id FROM knowledge_anti_patterns WHERE id = ?').get(id);
+        if (existing)
+            return null;
+        const antiPattern = {
+            id,
+            domain: prediction.domain,
+            statement: `Wrong prediction: ${prediction.metric} predicted ${prediction.predicted_direction} (error: ${(prediction.error * 100).toFixed(0)}%)`,
+            failure_rate: prediction.error,
+            sample_size: 1,
+            confidence: prediction.confidence * prediction.error,
+            alternative: `Reduce confidence for ${prediction.metric} ${prediction.predicted_direction} predictions.`,
+        };
+        this.upsertAntiPattern(antiPattern);
+        this.log.info(`[distiller] Anti-pattern from wrong prediction: ${prediction.metric}`);
+        return antiPattern;
+    }
     upsertAntiPattern(a) {
         this.db.prepare(`
       INSERT INTO knowledge_anti_patterns (id, domain, statement, failure_rate, sample_size, confidence, alternative)
@@ -580,6 +633,27 @@ export class KnowledgeDistiller {
         updated_at = datetime('now')
     `).run(a.id, a.domain, a.statement, a.failure_rate, a.sample_size, a.confidence, a.alternative);
     }
+    /**
+     * Create a strategy from a cluster of confirmed hypotheses.
+     * Called by orchestrator when 3+ hypotheses in same domain are confirmed.
+     */
+    createStrategyFromHypotheses(domain, statements, evidenceCount) {
+        const id = `strat-hyp-${this.hashString(domain + statements.join('|'))}`;
+        const existing = this.db.prepare('SELECT id FROM knowledge_strategies WHERE id = ?').get(id);
+        if (existing)
+            return null;
+        const strategy = {
+            id,
+            domain,
+            description: `Strategy from ${evidenceCount} confirmed ${domain} hypotheses`,
+            conditions: statements,
+            effectiveness: 0.5, // initial — will be updated by feedback
+            evidence_count: evidenceCount,
+        };
+        this.upsertStrategy(strategy);
+        this.log.info(`[distiller] Strategy emerged: ${strategy.description}`);
+        return strategy;
+    }
     upsertStrategy(s) {
         this.db.prepare(`
       INSERT INTO knowledge_strategies (id, domain, description, conditions, effectiveness, evidence_count)

package/dist/research/knowledge-distiller.js.map

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package/dist/research/research-orchestrator.d.ts

@@ -310,7 +310,7 @@ export declare class ResearchOrchestrator {
     setLLMService(llm: LLMService): void;
     /** Get the LLMService instance. */
     getLLMService(): LLMService | null;
-    /** Set the PredictionEngine — wires journal into it. */
+    /** Set the PredictionEngine — wires journal + knowledge distiller into it. */
     setPredictionEngine(engine: PredictionEngine): void;
     /** Start the autonomous feedback loop timer. */
     start(intervalMs?: number): void;

package/dist/research/research-orchestrator.js

@@ -343,10 +343,11 @@ export class ResearchOrchestrator {
     }
     /** Get the LLMService instance. */
     getLLMService() { return this.llmService; }
-    /** Set the PredictionEngine — wires journal into it. */
+    /** Set the PredictionEngine — wires journal + knowledge distiller into it. */
     setPredictionEngine(engine) {
         this.predictionEngine = engine;
         engine.setJournal(this.journal);
+        engine.setKnowledgeDistiller(this.knowledgeDistiller);
     }
     /** Start the autonomous feedback loop timer. */
     start(intervalMs = 300_000) {
@@ -752,6 +753,38 @@ export class ResearchOrchestrator {
                 this.log.debug(`[orchestrator] Rejected ${weak.length} weak hypotheses (confidence < 0.3)`);
             const confirmed = testResults.filter(r => r.newStatus === 'confirmed');
             const rejected = testResults.filter(r => r.newStatus === 'rejected');
+            // Fix 3: Auto-generate anti-patterns from rejected hypotheses
+            for (const rej of rejected) {
+                const hyp = this.hypothesisEngine.get(rej.hypothesisId);
+                if (hyp) {
+                    try {
+                        this.knowledgeDistiller.createAntiPatternFromRejection({
+                            statement: hyp.statement,
+                            type: hyp.type,
+                            evidence_for: rej.evidenceFor,
+                            evidence_against: rej.evidenceAgainst,
+                            confidence: rej.confidence,
+                        });
+                    }
+                    catch { /* best effort */ }
+                }
+            }
+            // Fix 4: Strategy emergence — 3+ confirmed in same type → auto strategy
+            if (confirmed.length > 0 && this.strategyForge) {
+                try {
+                    const clusters = this.hypothesisEngine.getConfirmedByType(3);
+                    for (const cluster of clusters) {
+                        // Check if strategy already exists for this domain
+                        const existing = this.db.prepare("SELECT id FROM knowledge_strategies WHERE domain = ?").get(cluster.type);
+                        if (!existing) {
+                            const rules = cluster.hypotheses.slice(0, 5).map(h => h.statement);
+                            this.knowledgeDistiller.createStrategyFromHypotheses(cluster.type, rules, cluster.hypotheses.length);
+                            this.log.info(`[orchestrator] Strategy emerged from ${cluster.count} confirmed ${cluster.type} hypotheses`);
+                        }
+                    }
+                }
+                catch { /* best effort */ }
+            }
             if (confirmed.length > 0 || rejected.length > 0) {
                 ts?.emit('hypothesis', 'discovering', `Tested ${testResults.length}: ${confirmed.length} confirmed, ${rejected.length} rejected`, confirmed.length > 0 ? 'notable' : 'routine');
                 for (const c of confirmed) {