@timmeck/brain-core 2.10.0 → 2.11.1

package/consciousness-dashboard.html

@@ -39,7 +39,7 @@
   .dashboard {
     display: grid;
     grid-template-columns: 280px 1fr 280px;
-    grid-template-rows: 1fr 48px;
+    grid-template-rows: 1fr 140px 48px;
     height: 100vh;
     gap: 2px;
   }
@@ -157,6 +157,10 @@
   .engine-counterfactual .thought-engine { color: #80d8ff; }
   .engine-data_miner { border-left-color: #ccff90; }
   .engine-data_miner .thought-engine { color: #ccff90; }
+  .engine-prediction { border-left-color: #00e5ff; }
+  .engine-prediction .thought-engine { color: #00e5ff; }
+  .engine-self_improvement { border-left-color: #ffd700; }
+  .engine-self_improvement .thought-engine { color: #ffd700; }
 
   /* ── Neural Canvas (Center) ─────────────────── */
   .neural-canvas {
@@ -254,12 +258,78 @@
   .engine-metric-value { color: var(--text-secondary); font-weight: 600; }
 
   /* ── Status Bar (Bottom) ────────────────────── */
-  .status-bar {
+  /* ── Brain Insights (Bottom) ───────────────── */
+  .insights-panel {
     grid-row: 2;
     grid-column: 1 / -1;
     background: var(--bg-secondary);
     border-top: 1px solid var(--border);
     display: flex;
+    flex-direction: column;
+    overflow: hidden;
+  }
+  .insights-header {
+    padding: 6px 16px;
+    font-size: 10px;
+    text-transform: uppercase;
+    letter-spacing: 1.5px;
+    color: var(--gold);
+    border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border);
+    flex-shrink: 0;
+    display: flex;
+    align-items: center;
+    gap: 8px;
+  }
+  .insights-list {
+    flex: 1;
+    overflow-y: auto;
+    padding: 6px 16px;
+    display: flex;
+    flex-wrap: wrap;
+    gap: 6px;
+    align-content: flex-start;
+  }
+  .insight-chip {
+    font-size: 10px;
+    padding: 3px 10px;
+    border-radius: 12px;
+    background: rgba(255, 215, 0, 0.08);
+    border: 1px solid rgba(255, 215, 0, 0.2);
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+    animation: thought-in 0.3s ease;
+    max-width: 400px;
+    overflow: hidden;
+    text-overflow: ellipsis;
+    white-space: nowrap;
+  }
+  .insight-chip.anomaly { background: rgba(255, 82, 82, 0.1); border-color: rgba(255, 82, 82, 0.3); }
+  .insight-chip.prediction { background: rgba(0, 229, 255, 0.08); border-color: rgba(0, 229, 255, 0.2); }
+  .insight-chip.experiment { background: rgba(105, 240, 174, 0.08); border-color: rgba(105, 240, 174, 0.2); }
+  .insight-chip.self_improvement { background: rgba(234, 128, 252, 0.08); border-color: rgba(234, 128, 252, 0.2); }
+  .trigger-btn {
+    margin-left: auto;
+    padding: 2px 12px;
+    font-size: 10px;
+    font-family: inherit;
+    background: rgba(0, 229, 255, 0.1);
+    border: 1px solid rgba(0, 229, 255, 0.3);
+    border-radius: 10px;
+    color: var(--cyan);
+    cursor: pointer;
+    transition: all 0.2s;
+    text-transform: uppercase;
+    letter-spacing: 1px;
+  }
+  .trigger-btn:hover { background: rgba(0, 229, 255, 0.2); box-shadow: var(--glow-cyan); }
+  .trigger-btn:active { transform: scale(0.95); }
+  .trigger-btn.running { color: var(--gold); border-color: rgba(255, 215, 0, 0.3); background: rgba(255, 215, 0, 0.1); pointer-events: none; }
+
+  .status-bar {
+    grid-row: 3;
+    grid-column: 1 / -1;
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+    border-top: 1px solid var(--border);
+    display: flex;
     align-items: center;
     justify-content: space-between;
     padding: 0 16px;
@@ -352,11 +422,12 @@
     <div class="flash-overlay" id="flash-overlay"></div>
     <div class="canvas-overlay" id="canvas-info">Neural Network — Loading...</div>
     <div class="canvas-legend">
-      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:var(--cyan)"></div>Memory</div>
-      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:var(--magenta)"></div>Rule</div>
-      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:var(--gold)"></div>Principle</div>
-      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:var(--green)"></div>Insight</div>
-      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:var(--purple)"></div>Pattern</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#448aff"></div>Project</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#ff5252"></div>Error</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#69f0ae"></div>Solution</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#80d8ff"></div>Module</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#00ff88"></div>Insight</div>
+      <div class="legend-item"><div class="legend-dot" style="background:#00e5ff"></div>Memory</div>
     </div>
   </div>
 
@@ -370,6 +441,16 @@
   </div>
 
   <!-- Bottom: Status Bar -->
+  <!-- Bottom: Brain Insights -->
+  <div class="insights-panel">
+    <div class="insights-header">
+      <span>Brain Insights</span>
+      <span id="insight-count" style="color:var(--text-muted)">0</span>
+      <button class="trigger-btn" id="trigger-btn" onclick="triggerFeedbackCycle()">⚡ Trigger Cycle</button>
+    </div>
+    <div class="insights-list" id="insights-list"></div>
+  </div>
+
   <div class="status-bar">
     <div class="status-left">
       <div class="status-item">
@@ -448,6 +529,8 @@
     research_agenda: '#ea80fc',
     counterfactual: '#80d8ff',
     data_miner: '#ccff90',
+    prediction: '#00e5ff',
+    self_improvement: '#ffd700',
   };
 
   const nodeColors = {
@@ -473,6 +556,7 @@
     dreaming: '💭',
     reflecting: '📝',
     correlating: '🔗',
+    predicting: '🔮',
   };
 
   // ── DOM ────────────────────────────────────────────────
@@ -770,6 +854,9 @@
     // Activate nodes on canvas related to this thought
     activateRelatedNodes(thought);
 
+    // Extract insights for bottom panel
+    extractInsightsFromThought(thought);
+
     // Dream mode detection
     if (thought.engine === 'dream') {
       isDreaming = true;
@@ -805,13 +892,64 @@
     }
   }
 
+  // ── Brain Insights Panel ─────────────────────────────
+  const insightsList = document.getElementById('insights-list');
+  const insightCountEl = document.getElementById('insight-count');
+  let brainInsights = [];
+
+  function triggerFeedbackCycle() {
+    const btn = document.getElementById('trigger-btn');
+    btn.classList.add('running');
+    btn.textContent = '⏳ Running...';
+    fetch('/api/trigger', { method: 'POST' })
+      .then(r => r.json())
+      .then(d => {
+        btn.textContent = d.triggered ? '✓ Triggered' : '✗ Failed';
+        setTimeout(() => { btn.classList.remove('running'); btn.textContent = '⚡ Trigger Cycle'; }, 5000);
+      })
+      .catch(() => {
+        btn.textContent = '✗ Error';
+        setTimeout(() => { btn.classList.remove('running'); btn.textContent = '⚡ Trigger Cycle'; }, 3000);
+      });
+  }
+
+  function addInsight(text, category) {
+    // Deduplicate
+    if (brainInsights.some(i => i.text === text)) return;
+    brainInsights.unshift({ text, category, time: Date.now() });
+    if (brainInsights.length > 50) brainInsights.pop();
+
+    const chip = document.createElement('div');
+    chip.className = `insight-chip ${category || ''}`;
+    chip.textContent = text;
+    chip.title = text;
+    insightsList.insertBefore(chip, insightsList.firstChild);
+    while (insightsList.children.length > 50) insightsList.removeChild(insightsList.lastChild);
+    insightCountEl.textContent = brainInsights.length;
+  }
+
+  function extractInsightsFromThought(thought) {
+    // Notable and breakthrough thoughts → insights
+    if (thought.significance === 'breakthrough') {
+      addInsight(`${thought.engine}: ${thought.content}`, 'breakthrough');
+    } else if (thought.significance === 'notable') {
+      // Categorize by engine type
+      const cat = thought.engine === 'anomaly_detective' ? 'anomaly'
+                : thought.engine === 'prediction' || thought.type === 'predicting' ? 'prediction'
+                : thought.engine === 'experiment' ? 'experiment'
+                : thought.engine === 'self_observer' || thought.engine === 'adaptive_strategy' || thought.engine === 'self_improvement' ? 'self_improvement'
+                : '';
+      addInsight(`${thought.content}`, cat);
+    }
+  }
+
   // ── Engine Status Rendering ────────────────────────────
   function renderEngines(engineData) {
     engineList.innerHTML = '';
     const allEngines = [
       'orchestrator', 'self_observer', 'anomaly_detective', 'cross_domain',
       'adaptive_strategy', 'experiment', 'knowledge_distiller', 'research_agenda',
-      'counterfactual', 'dream', 'journal', 'data_miner',
+      'counterfactual', 'dream', 'journal', 'data_miner', 'prediction', 'self_improvement',
     ];
 
     const engineMap = new Map((engineData || []).map(e => [e.engine, e]));

package/dist/consciousness/consciousness-server.d.ts

@@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ export interface ConsciousnessServerOptions {
     thoughtStream: ThoughtStream;
     getNetworkState: () => unknown;
     getEngineStatus: () => unknown;
+    onTriggerFeedback?: () => void;
 }
 export declare class ConsciousnessServer {
     private options;

package/dist/consciousness/consciousness-server.js

@@ -55,6 +55,25 @@ export class ConsciousnessServer {
                 res.end(JSON.stringify(state));
                 return;
             }
+            // Trigger feedback cycle
+            if (url.pathname === '/api/trigger' && req.method === 'POST') {
+                if (this.options.onTriggerFeedback) {
+                    try {
+                        this.options.onTriggerFeedback();
+                        res.writeHead(200, { 'Content-Type': 'application/json' });
+                        res.end(JSON.stringify({ triggered: true }));
+                    }
+                    catch (err) {
+                        res.writeHead(500, { 'Content-Type': 'application/json' });
+                        res.end(JSON.stringify({ error: err.message }));
+                    }
+                }
+                else {
+                    res.writeHead(501, { 'Content-Type': 'application/json' });
+                    res.end(JSON.stringify({ error: 'Feedback trigger not configured' }));
+                }
+                return;
+            }
             // SSE stream
             if (url.pathname === '/events') {
                 res.writeHead(200, {

package/dist/consciousness/consciousness-server.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/consciousness/types.d.ts

@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
-export type ThoughtType = 'perceiving' | 'analyzing' | 'discovering' | 'hypothesizing' | 'experimenting' | 'dreaming' | 'reflecting' | 'correlating';
+export type ThoughtType = 'perceiving' | 'analyzing' | 'discovering' | 'hypothesizing' | 'experimenting' | 'dreaming' | 'reflecting' | 'correlating' | 'predicting';
 export type ThoughtSignificance = 'routine' | 'notable' | 'breakthrough';
 export interface Thought {
     id: string;

package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -97,3 +97,7 @@ export { DreamConsolidator } from './dream/index.js';
 export type { DreamEngineConfig, DreamCycleReport, DreamStatus, DreamHistoryEntry, DreamTrigger, MemoryReplayResult, SynapsePruneResult, MemoryCompressionResult, MemoryCluster, ImportanceDecayResult } from './dream/index.js';
 export { ThoughtStream, ConsciousnessServer } from './consciousness/index.js';
 export type { ConsciousnessServerOptions, Thought, ThoughtType, ThoughtSignificance, ConsciousnessConfig, ConsciousnessStatus, EngineActivity } from './consciousness/index.js';
+export { PredictionEngine, runPredictionMigration } from './prediction/index.js';
+export { PredictionTracker } from './prediction/index.js';
+export { holtWintersForecast, ewmaForecast, calibrateConfidence } from './prediction/index.js';
+export type { PredictionDomain, PredictionStatus, PredictionEngineConfig, Prediction, PredictionAccuracy, PredictionSummary, ForecastResult, PredictionInput, MetricDataPoint, CalibrationBucket } from './prediction/index.js';

package/dist/index.js

@@ -88,4 +88,8 @@ export { DreamEngine, runDreamMigration } from './dream/index.js';
 export { DreamConsolidator } from './dream/index.js';
 // ── Consciousness ───────────────────────────────────
 export { ThoughtStream, ConsciousnessServer } from './consciousness/index.js';
+// ── Prediction Engine ──────────────────────────────
+export { PredictionEngine, runPredictionMigration } from './prediction/index.js';
+export { PredictionTracker } from './prediction/index.js';
+export { holtWintersForecast, ewmaForecast, calibrateConfidence } from './prediction/index.js';
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/prediction/forecaster.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,22 @@
+import type { ForecastResult, CalibrationBucket } from './types.js';
+/**
+ * Holt-Winters Double Exponential Smoothing.
+ * Requires ≥ 5 data points. Returns forecast + trend + confidence.
+ *
+ * Level:    l_t = α * y_t + (1-α) * (l_{t-1} + b_{t-1})
+ * Trend:    b_t = β * (l_t - l_{t-1}) + (1-β) * b_{t-1}
+ * Forecast: ŷ_{t+h} = l_t + h * b_t
+ */
+export declare function holtWintersForecast(data: number[], stepsAhead: number, alpha?: number, beta?: number): ForecastResult;
+/**
+ * Exponentially Weighted Moving Average.
+ * Fallback for < 5 data points.
+ */
+export declare function ewmaForecast(data: number[], alpha?: number): ForecastResult;
+/**
+ * Calibrate raw confidence using historical accuracy buckets.
+ * If the model was overconfident in a range, it adjusts downward — and vice versa.
+ *
+ * Returns value clamped to [0.01, 0.99].
+ */
+export declare function calibrateConfidence(rawConfidence: number, buckets: CalibrationBucket[]): number;

package/dist/prediction/forecaster.js

@@ -0,0 +1,120 @@
+// ── Prediction Forecaster — Pure Math ────────────────────────
+//
+// Holt-Winters Double Exponential Smoothing + EWMA fallback.
+// No DB dependency — pure functions, easy to test.
+/**
+ * Holt-Winters Double Exponential Smoothing.
+ * Requires ≥ 5 data points. Returns forecast + trend + confidence.
+ *
+ * Level:    l_t = α * y_t + (1-α) * (l_{t-1} + b_{t-1})
+ * Trend:    b_t = β * (l_t - l_{t-1}) + (1-β) * b_{t-1}
+ * Forecast: ŷ_{t+h} = l_t + h * b_t
+ */
+export function holtWintersForecast(data, stepsAhead, alpha = 0.3, beta = 0.1) {
+    if (data.length < 2) {
+        return { value: data[0] ?? 0, trend: 0, confidence: 0.1, direction: 'stable', method: 'holt_winters', dataPoints: data.length };
+    }
+    // Initialize level and trend
+    let level = data[0];
+    let trend = data[1] - data[0];
+    const residuals = [];
+    for (let t = 1; t < data.length; t++) {
+        const y = data[t];
+        const prevLevel = level;
+        // Update level
+        level = alpha * y + (1 - alpha) * (prevLevel + trend);
+        // Update trend
+        trend = beta * (level - prevLevel) + (1 - beta) * trend;
+        // Track residuals for confidence calculation
+        const predicted = prevLevel + trend;
+        residuals.push(Math.abs(y - predicted));
+    }
+    // Forecast
+    const value = level + stepsAhead * trend;
+    // Confidence based on normalized MAE (1 - MAE/range)
+    const mae = residuals.length > 0
+        ? residuals.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / residuals.length
+        : 0;
+    const range = Math.max(...data) - Math.min(...data);
+    const normalizedMae = range > 0 ? mae / range : 0;
+    const confidence = Math.max(0.05, Math.min(0.95, 1 - normalizedMae));
+    // Direction
+    const trendRatio = range > 0 ? Math.abs(trend) / range : 0;
+    let direction;
+    if (trendRatio < 0.02) {
+        direction = 'stable';
+    }
+    else {
+        direction = trend > 0 ? 'up' : 'down';
+    }
+    return {
+        value,
+        trend,
+        confidence,
+        direction,
+        method: 'holt_winters',
+        dataPoints: data.length,
+    };
+}
+/**
+ * Exponentially Weighted Moving Average.
+ * Fallback for < 5 data points.
+ */
+export function ewmaForecast(data, alpha = 0.3) {
+    if (data.length === 0) {
+        return { value: 0, trend: 0, confidence: 0.1, direction: 'stable', method: 'ewma', dataPoints: 0 };
+    }
+    if (data.length === 1) {
+        return { value: data[0], trend: 0, confidence: 0.15, direction: 'stable', method: 'ewma', dataPoints: 1 };
+    }
+    let ewma = data[0];
+    for (let i = 1; i < data.length; i++) {
+        ewma = alpha * data[i] + (1 - alpha) * ewma;
+    }
+    // Simple trend from last two values
+    const last = data[data.length - 1];
+    const prev = data[data.length - 2];
+    const trend = last - prev;
+    // Low confidence for few data points
+    const confidence = Math.min(0.5, 0.15 + data.length * 0.08);
+    // Direction
+    const range = Math.max(...data) - Math.min(...data);
+    const trendRatio = range > 0 ? Math.abs(trend) / range : 0;
+    let direction;
+    if (trendRatio < 0.05) {
+        direction = 'stable';
+    }
+    else {
+        direction = trend > 0 ? 'up' : 'down';
+    }
+    return {
+        value: ewma,
+        trend,
+        confidence,
+        direction,
+        method: 'ewma',
+        dataPoints: data.length,
+    };
+}
+/**
+ * Calibrate raw confidence using historical accuracy buckets.
+ * If the model was overconfident in a range, it adjusts downward — and vice versa.
+ *
+ * Returns value clamped to [0.01, 0.99].
+ */
+export function calibrateConfidence(rawConfidence, buckets) {
+    if (buckets.length === 0)
+        return Math.max(0.01, Math.min(0.99, rawConfidence));
+    // Find the matching bucket
+    const bucket = buckets.find(b => rawConfidence >= b.range_start && rawConfidence < b.range_end);
+    if (!bucket || bucket.predicted_count < 3) {
+        // Not enough data in this bucket — return raw
+        return Math.max(0.01, Math.min(0.99, rawConfidence));
+    }
+    // Adjust: if predicted 0.8 confidence but actual accuracy was 0.6, offset = -0.2
+    const midpoint = (bucket.range_start + bucket.range_end) / 2;
+    const offset = bucket.actual_accuracy - midpoint;
+    const adjusted = rawConfidence + offset;
+    return Math.max(0.01, Math.min(0.99, adjusted));
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=forecaster.js.map

package/dist/prediction/forecaster.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/prediction/index.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
+export { PredictionEngine, runPredictionMigration } from './prediction-engine.js';
+export { PredictionTracker } from './tracker.js';
+export { holtWintersForecast, ewmaForecast, calibrateConfidence } from './forecaster.js';
+export type { PredictionDomain, PredictionStatus, PredictionEngineConfig, Prediction, PredictionAccuracy, PredictionSummary, ForecastResult, PredictionInput, MetricDataPoint, CalibrationBucket, } from './types.js';

package/dist/prediction/index.js

@@ -0,0 +1,4 @@
+export { PredictionEngine, runPredictionMigration } from './prediction-engine.js';
+export { PredictionTracker } from './tracker.js';
+export { holtWintersForecast, ewmaForecast, calibrateConfidence } from './forecaster.js';
+//# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/prediction/index.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"index.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/prediction/index.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA,OAAO,EAAE,gBAAgB,EAAE,sBAAsB,EAAE,MAAM,wBAAwB,CAAC;AAClF,OAAO,EAAE,iBAAiB,EAAE,MAAM,cAAc,CAAC;AACjD,OAAO,EAAE,mBAAmB,EAAE,YAAY,EAAE,mBAAmB,EAAE,MAAM,iBAAiB,CAAC"}

package/dist/prediction/prediction-engine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,59 @@
+import type Database from 'better-sqlite3';
+import type { ThoughtStream } from '../consciousness/thought-stream.js';
+import type { ResearchJournal } from '../research/journal.js';
+import type { PredictionEngineConfig, Prediction, PredictionDomain, PredictionStatus, PredictionAccuracy, PredictionSummary, PredictionInput, ForecastResult, MetricDataPoint } from './types.js';
+export declare function runPredictionMigration(db: Database.Database): void;
+export declare class PredictionEngine {
+    private db;
+    private config;
+    private tracker;
+    private thoughtStream;
+    private journal;
+    private timer;
+    private calibrationOffset;
+    private log;
+    constructor(db: Database.Database, config: PredictionEngineConfig);
+    /** Set the ThoughtStream for consciousness integration. */
+    setThoughtStream(stream: ThoughtStream): void;
+    /** Set the Research Journal for logging notable predictions. */
+    setJournal(journal: ResearchJournal): void;
+    /** Start periodic resolution timer. */
+    start(): void;
+    /** Stop the resolution timer. */
+    stop(): void;
+    /** Record a metric data point. Called by domain event handlers. */
+    recordMetric(metric: string, value: number, domain?: PredictionDomain): void;
+    /**
+     * Generate a prediction for a specific metric.
+     * Returns null if insufficient data or confidence too low.
+     */
+    predict(input: PredictionInput): Prediction | null;
+    /**
+     * Auto-predict for all tracked metrics that have enough data.
+     * Skips metrics with pending predictions. Respects maxPredictionsPerCycle.
+     */
+    autoPredictAll(): Prediction[];
+    /**
+     * Resolve expired/due predictions against current metric values.
+     * Returns count of resolved predictions.
+     */
+    resolveExpired(): number;
+    /** List predictions with optional filters. */
+    list(domain?: PredictionDomain, status?: PredictionStatus, limit?: number): Prediction[];
+    /** Get accuracy statistics. */
+    getAccuracy(domain?: PredictionDomain): PredictionAccuracy[];
+    /** Get full prediction summary. */
+    getSummary(): PredictionSummary;
+    /** Run a forecast on raw data. Uses Holt-Winters (≥ minDataPoints) or EWMA. */
+    forecast(data: number[], _horizonMs: number): ForecastResult;
+    /** Get metric history as time series. */
+    getMetricHistory(metric: string, limit?: number): MetricDataPoint[];
+    /** Periodic cycle: resolve + auto-predict. */
+    private cycle;
+    /** Recalibrate confidence offset based on historical accuracy. */
+    private recalibrate;
+    /** Apply calibration to raw confidence. */
+    private applyCalibration;
+    /** Get all unique tracked metrics with their domains. */
+    private getTrackedMetrics;
+}