@tikoci/centrs 0.1.3 → 0.1.6

package/src/explain/write.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,856 @@
+/**
+ * Offline write-shape inference for `explain` — `structure.containsWrite`.
+ *
+ * Ratified by the phase-0 lab, question Q16 (#185) and promoted from the
+ * throwaway probe `.scratch/explain-lab-q16-write.ts`. Q16 asked what shape the
+ * field should have and answered that the spec's sketched **boolean is unsafe**:
+ * a fail-closed `true | false | unknown` reaches 100% precision on what it
+ * decides (226/226 holdout, 469/469 dev) with zero false negatives, abstaining
+ * on ~35%, while a two-valued field would have to call `/disk format-drive` a
+ * non-write. The tristate is the ratified amendment; this module implements it.
+ *
+ * **This is not the execute gate.** `canonicalizeExecuteCommand`'s `mode` /
+ * `writeShaped` verdict is reproduced verbatim elsewhere and is unchanged by
+ * anything here (constitution: canonicalizer ownership). `containsWrite` is a
+ * distinct explain-only inference with basis `heuristic`, so an agent can never
+ * mistake it for a guard `execute` actually applies.
+ *
+ * **Write-ness is not device-published.** No schema artifact carries mutation
+ * semantics: `inspect.json` tags nodes `path|dir|cmd|arg` and nothing more, and
+ * restraml's `openapi.json` method assignment is rule-derived (2,844 of 3,649
+ * endpoints are a `post` catch-all), so reading it back would be circular. The
+ * table below is therefore CURATED, which makes its edges the whole question —
+ * hence `unknown` as a first-class outcome rather than a synonym for "no". The
+ * gap is standing, not staleness: a 17-name table covers 93.1% of cmd nodes on
+ * 7.24beta1 and 93.8% on 7.9.2 (flat to 0.7pp across all of 7.x, ~0.07% churn
+ * per minor version), yet 56 of the 225 uncovered verb names on 7.24beta1 are
+ * write-shaped (`reboot`, `format`, `delete`, `reset-configuration`, `sign`,
+ * `flush`, …).
+ *
+ * **Two vocabularies, measured not guessed.** Menu verbs are the CRUD verbs —
+ * every entry appears under 45+ menus in all 52 trees 7.9→7.24beta1, with none
+ * added or removed. Root cmds are RouterOS scripting directives, a CLOSED list
+ * enumerated from the tree (41 names on 7.9.2, 55 on 7.24beta1, +15/−1 over the
+ * whole 7.x series). The root list is load-bearing: `set`, `find`, `export`,
+ * `import`, `password`, `undo` and `redo` are ALL root cmds as well as menu
+ * verbs and do not mean the same thing in both places — `:set x 5` assigns a
+ * script variable, `/ip/route set …` writes the device. Write-ness genuinely
+ * depends on the menu, but only across that one boundary, which is exactly the
+ * boundary Q6 measured at 99.9% precision. Q16 composes with Q6 rather than
+ * needing a schema of its own (decision 3 stays closed).
+ *
+ * **What #207 changed, and what it did NOT.** This module now reads one baked
+ * artifact, `menus.ts` — the `dir`/`path` node set, i.e. exactly the
+ * `path|dir|cmd|arg` tagging named above as carrying no mutation semantics. It
+ * still carries none, and nothing here infers write-ness from it. It answers a
+ * strictly narrower question that Q6 leaves open: whether a bare path is a
+ * MENU or a no-argument command. Decision 3 stays closed — the two vocabularies
+ * above are unchanged, still curated, still frozen against tuning — and the
+ * module stays offline, because a baked constant is not a lookup.
+ *
+ * **#228 added the second baked artifact, and the same caveat applies twice.**
+ * `catalog.ts`'s command axis says which token of a run is the VERB; it says
+ * nothing about whether that verb mutates, and the publication carries no
+ * mutation semantics either. So the tables above are still the only thing that
+ * decides `write` vs `read`, and a published command whose verb they do not list
+ * abstains exactly as before (`/system/reboot` is `unknown`, not `false`).
+ *
+ * What it does change is which token gets looked up. The punctuation rule reads
+ * the first SPACE token as the verb, so `/interface ethernet reset-counters
+ * ether1` looked up `ethernet` — a menu segment — and abstained on a curated
+ * WRITE verb; `/system/gps/monitor once` looked up `once`. Over the frozen
+ * corpus plus the export stratum, 171 readings move and every one names a better
+ * token: abstention 44.8% -> 44.6% dev, 46.0% holdout and 0.0% export unchanged,
+ * and exactly one document changes verdict.
+ *
+ * **Fail-closed is enforced where input is DISCARDED, not where it is
+ * classified** (Q16 finding 2, the part worth carrying past this module). The
+ * lab priced three navigation arms; only the ratified `failclosed` one is
+ * promoted. The two naive arms are not actually fail-closed whatever the rollup
+ * rule says: `/interface ethernet reset-counters` is bare-word-shaped, so Q4's
+ * nav rule swallows the statement, AND carries a verb outside Q6's frozen
+ * table, so the verb rule cannot rescue it — and a swallowed statement produces
+ * no occurrence, so nothing is left to abstain about and the document
+ * confidently reports "no write". The two abstention mechanisms cancelled
+ * instead of composing. A classifier can only be conservative about what it is
+ * given, so every statement that cannot be CONFIRMED as navigation emits an
+ * occurrence here. Cost on holdout: +0.8pp abstention, and the overconfident
+ * bin halves.
+ *
+ * That rule binds the BRACKET walk exactly as it binds the statement walk, and
+ * the two must be kept in step. Both fail-closed guards below — the Q14 defect
+ * floor and the path-shaped-but-unread abstention — were originally applied to
+ * statements only, so `/ip/$menu/remove 0` abstained while `:put [/ip/$menu/remove
+ * 0]` cleared the document to a confident `false`. Discarding input inside a
+ * bracket discards it just as thoroughly. Cost of closing it over the frozen
+ * 911-script corpus: +0.8pp abstention on both splits (7 documents, all
+ * `false` -> `unknown`, none off `true`), and two of the seven are pasted CLI
+ * transcripts that hide a real write behind the `[user@device]` prompt — i.e.
+ * genuine false negatives the tristate exists to prevent.
+ */
+
+import { type Defect, hasStructuralDefect, mergeDefects } from "./defects.ts";
+import { isMenuPath } from "./menus.ts";
+import {
+	type DocumentAnalysis,
+	rangeForResolution,
+	resolveDocument,
+	resolveStatements,
+	type StatementAnalysis,
+	type StatementResolution,
+} from "./pathresolve.ts";
+import { documentRange, type MaskedRange, rangeAt } from "./segment.ts";
+import {
+	catalogVerbAt,
+	describeStatement,
+	type RunToken,
+	splitRun,
+} from "./verbsplit.ts";
+
+/** One statement's run, directive flag and V4 flag — parsed once, read by every rule. */
+type Described = ReturnType<typeof describeStatement>;
+
+/**
+ * Menu verbs that mutate persistent device state. Frequency-justified against
+ * the command trees, and frozen against tuning per the Q6 vocabulary discipline
+ * — this is a curated list, not a schema, and its honesty depends on it not
+ * being fitted to scoring output.
+ */
+export const WRITE_VERBS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([
+	"add",
+	"remove",
+	"set",
+	"unset",
+	"enable",
+	"disable",
+	"comment",
+	"move",
+	"edit",
+	"reset",
+	// Counter resets mutate device state (statistics), not configuration. They
+	// are included because this field is a SAFETY signal, and the same frequency
+	// justification applies: `reset-counters` under 29 menus and
+	// `reset-counters-all` under 18, in every tree 7.9→7.24beta1.
+	"reset-counters",
+	"reset-counters-all",
+]);
+
+/** Menu verbs that read only. `export` emits config, it does not apply it. */
+export const READ_VERBS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([
+	"print",
+	"get",
+	"find",
+	"export",
+	"monitor",
+]);
+
+/**
+ * Root cmds (scripting directives) that DO mutate device state. Four names, and
+ * the argument for each is that its documented effect is a configuration
+ * change, not that its name merely looked mutating:
+ *   `password`  changes the logged-in user's password
+ *   `undo`      reverts the previous configuration change
+ *   `redo`      re-applies it
+ *   `import`    applies an .rsc file to the configuration
+ * Every other root cmd is control flow, a pure function, or output.
+ */
+export const ROOT_WRITE: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([
+	"password",
+	"undo",
+	"redo",
+	"import",
+]);
+
+/**
+ * Root cmds that run a command built at runtime. Offline cannot see what they
+ * will do, so they force `unknown` — never `false`.
+ */
+export const ROOT_DYNAMIC: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set(["execute", "parse"]);
+
+/**
+ * The closed root-cmd vocabulary, union across the 7.9.2 / 7.20.8 / 7.23rc1 /
+ * 7.24beta1 trees. Membership is what makes a root-level command classifiable
+ * at all: a root cmd NOT in this set is a directive this table has not seen, so
+ * it abstains rather than being read as harmless control flow.
+ */
+export const ROOT_CMDS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([
+	"beep",
+	"break",
+	"continue",
+	"convert",
+	"delay",
+	"deserialize",
+	"do",
+	"error",
+	"execute",
+	"exit",
+	"export",
+	"find",
+	"for",
+	"foreach",
+	"global",
+	"grep",
+	"if",
+	"import",
+	"jobname",
+	"len",
+	"local",
+	"lock",
+	"nothing",
+	"onerror",
+	"parse",
+	"password",
+	"pick",
+	"ping",
+	"put",
+	"quit",
+	"range",
+	"recursive-print",
+	"redo",
+	"resolve",
+	"retry",
+	"return",
+	"rndnum",
+	"rndstr",
+	"serialize",
+	"set",
+	"time",
+	"timestamp",
+	"toarray",
+	"tobool",
+	"tocrlf",
+	"toid",
+	"toip",
+	"toip6",
+	"tolf",
+	"tonsec",
+	"tonum",
+	"tostr",
+	"totime",
+	"typeof",
+	"undo",
+	"while",
+]);
+
+/**
+ * The `pathresolve` refusal reasons that name no command at this level, so the
+ * statement may be classified normally instead of blocking. Deliberately an
+ * ALLOW list: an unrecognized reason is treated as a defect, so this composition
+ * fails closed when the resolver grows a new one.
+ *
+ * `no leading path token` is clearable only because `classifyStatement`'s
+ * `isPathShapedButUnread` guard catches the dangerous half of it — the run of a
+ * `/`-led statement being TRUNCATED by a variable segment (`/ip/$menu/remove`)
+ * rather than genuinely absent (`"a string"`, `=`).
+ */
+const CLEARABLE_UNRESOLVED: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([
+	"dynamic or substitution-headed statement",
+	"no leading path token",
+]);
+
+/**
+ * Whether the command itself is not statically knowable, so the verdict must
+ * degrade to `unknown` rather than `false`. Checked BEFORE the navigation gate:
+ * `/system/script run myscript` is entirely bare words, so the nav rule would
+ * otherwise drop the one form that is unknowable by definition.
+ *
+ * Read the leading run rather than searching the raw statement. A raw substring
+ * probe masks known writes whose argument merely contains `/system script run`,
+ * and separate slash/space regexes miss valid mixed spellings such as
+ * `/system/script run myscript`.
+ */
+function isDynamicForm(text: string, described: Described): boolean {
+	if (text.startsWith("$") || /^\[\s*\$/.test(text)) return true;
+	if (!text.startsWith("/") || described.run.length < 3) return false;
+	const [system, script, run] = described.run;
+	return (
+		system?.name.toLowerCase() === "system" &&
+		script?.name.toLowerCase() === "script" &&
+		run?.name.toLowerCase() === "run"
+	);
+}
+
+/**
+ * The tristate. Rendered to the `structure.containsWrite` JSON field as
+ * `true | false | "unknown"`; kept as a string union here so `unknown` can
+ * never be reached by boolean coercion.
+ */
+export type WriteVerdict = "true" | "false" | "unknown";
+
+/** How one classified command occurrence bears on the rollup. */
+export type OccurrenceClass =
+	/** A curated write verb, in the vocabulary that matches its position. */
+	| "write"
+	/** A curated read verb. */
+	| "read"
+	/** A decided verb outside both curated tables — abstains. */
+	| "unknown-verb"
+	/**
+	 * A path-shaped statement whose verb/menu boundary Q6 refused — abstains.
+	 * `/system/reboot` and `/ip/address` are the same text, so a bare path may be
+	 * a no-argument WRITE. See the note on `classifyStatement`.
+	 */
+	| "ambiguous"
+	/** The command is built at runtime; offline cannot read it — abstains. */
+	| "dynamic"
+	/** A statement the path resolver refused (Q14 structural defect) — abstains. */
+	| "defect"
+	/**
+	 * The statement has no leading path run at all (it opens with `[`, `(` or a
+	 * string), so it names no command. Carries no write signal either way — an
+	 * inner `[…]` command is reached by the bracket walk instead.
+	 */
+	| "no-verb";
+
+/** One command offline can see, at any block or bracket depth. */
+export interface Occurrence {
+	kind: "statement" | "bracket";
+	/** Trimmed source text of the statement or bracket inner. */
+	text: string;
+	/** Menu context in force, `/` at document root. */
+	context: string;
+	/** The verb the Q6 boundary decided, or null. */
+	verb: string | null;
+	/** Root-level (`:foo` or a root cmd) rather than a menu command. */
+	directive: boolean;
+	klass: OccurrenceClass;
+}
+
+/** Classify one decided verb in its position. The (menu, verb) dependency. */
+export function classifyVerb(
+	verb: string | null,
+	directive: boolean,
+): OccurrenceClass {
+	if (verb === null) return "no-verb";
+	const v = verb.toLowerCase();
+	if (directive) {
+		if (ROOT_DYNAMIC.has(v)) return "dynamic";
+		if (ROOT_WRITE.has(v)) return "write";
+		if (ROOT_CMDS.has(v)) return "read";
+		return "unknown-verb";
+	}
+	if (WRITE_VERBS.has(v)) return "write";
+	if (READ_VERBS.has(v)) return "read";
+	return "unknown-verb";
+}
+
+/** The verb Q6's ratified boundary decides for a run, or null if it refuses. */
+function verbOfRun(
+	run: RunToken[],
+	directive: boolean,
+	whole: boolean,
+): string | null {
+	const split = splitRun(run, { directive, whole });
+	if (split.ambiguous || split.verbAt === null) return null;
+	return (run[split.verbAt] as RunToken | undefined)?.name ?? null;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Can this statement be CONFIRMED as pure menu navigation? Only when the path it
+ * names is a known menu — which is now decidable offline, against the baked
+ * container table in `menus.ts`.
+ *
+ * **What this replaced, and why (#207).** The original rule read token SHAPE: a
+ * hyphenated word anywhere after the first token is verb-shaped
+ * (`reset-counters`, `format-drive`, `firmware-upgrade`), and testing only the
+ * final token would miss `/disk format-drive disk1`, where the verb carries a
+ * positional operand. The reasoning was sound; the premise was not. Hyphenated
+ * MENU segments are ordinary on a real device, so the rule fired on genuine
+ * navigation constantly — measured on the #203 export stratum (120 captures,
+ * pinned 7.23.2 and 7.24rc2), **every Q16 abstention in the entire stratum was
+ * this one rule**, across 25 distinct menus, at a 100% false-positive rate.
+ *
+ * The corpus could not have shown it: the rule fires on 2.97% of documents and
+ * changes the verdict of three, because the corpus is 96.8% two forum authors
+ * writing scripts, and bare-path navigation into a hyphenated menu is an
+ * *export* idiom. Corpus-green was not evidence the rule was right.
+ *
+ * **Why shape cannot be fixed.** `/interface wireless reset-configuration wlan1`
+ * is a command, `/ip dhcp-server network` and `/tool mac-server mac-winbox` are
+ * menus, and no token-shape rule separates them — the distinction is semantic.
+ * `menus.ts` supplies it as a baked constant rather than a live lookup, so this
+ * module stays offline. See that file for the source pin.
+ *
+ * **Still fail-closed, and in both directions.** A path the table does not carry
+ * is not confirmed navigation, so it emits an occurrence and abstains — the
+ * pre-#207 behaviour for an unrecognized menu, and the reason a pinned,
+ * deliberately incomplete table is safe. Going the other way, a bare-path
+ * COMMAND is no longer confirmed as navigation at all: `/system reboot` used to
+ * pass this rule (no hyphen) and be dropped mid-document, clearing the document
+ * to `false` on a statically obvious write. That was the exact false negative
+ * Q16's hard threshold forbids, and only `isDanglingBarePath` below caught the
+ * end-of-document case. It is closed here.
+ *
+ * Measured over the frozen 911-script corpus: abstention **unchanged** at 44.8%
+ * dev / 46.0% holdout, and exactly two documents move, in opposite directions.
+ * One gains an abstention (a pasted `/system/gps/monitor once` transcript, where
+ * the abstention is correct). One loses one — a rextended snippet whose elided
+ * `... script=… ...` line names no command, so its `unknown` was reached only
+ * *via* this bug misreading `/ip dhcp-client`; the residual question of how
+ * elided pastes should classify belongs to #192, not here. On the export stratum
+ * abstention drops from 3.8% compact / 11.2–11.6% verbose to **0.0% on every
+ * stratum**, with no document changing verdict.
+ */
+function isConfirmedNav(described: Described): boolean {
+	// Only reached for a statement the Q4 resolver already read as navigation, so
+	// an empty run means the bare `/` or `..` forms — the two Q4's CHR round
+	// confirmed as valid RouterOS navigation. They name no command at all.
+	if (described.run.length === 0) return true;
+	// Argument-looking text after the run means this was never navigation.
+	if (!described.whole) return false;
+	return isMenuPath(described.run.map((t) => t.name));
+}
+
+/**
+ * A bare path with NOTHING after it in the whole document. Q6 ratified that such
+ * a statement is `ambiguous` — `/ip/route` is a directory and `/system/reboot` is
+ * a no-argument command, and the text is identical — but `isConfirmedNav` above
+ * decides at STATEMENT scale and would drop both as navigation, so a lone or
+ * trailing `/system/reboot` cleared the document to `false`. That is a false
+ * negative on a statically obvious write, the one thing Q16's hard threshold
+ * forbids, and it reproduces inside the tristate exactly the failure the tristate
+ * was ratified to prevent.
+ *
+ * Position was the one schema-free confirmation available at document scale:
+ * navigating and then ending the script is a no-op, while a no-argument command
+ * is meaningful. This is deliberately the WEAKEST rule that closes the reported
+ * case — measured over the frozen 911-script corpus it moves **zero** documents,
+ * so the ratified navigation arm's abstention (44.0% dev / 45.2% holdout) is
+ * unchanged. Every corpus bare path sits mid-document, followed by further
+ * statements; working scripts do not end on a menu path.
+ *
+ * **#207 narrowed what this rule is for.** `isConfirmedNav` now knows whether the
+ * path is a menu, so `/system/reboot` is refused there — at any position, and
+ * without the +1.4pp / +1.9pp abstention that closing it positionally would have
+ * cost. What is left here is a document-scale hedge over paths the table DOES
+ * carry: a known menu that ends the document is still suspicious, since a
+ * trailing no-op is not what working scripts do, and the table is version-less
+ * so a name can be a menu on one RouterOS and a command on another the pinned
+ * trees never saw. Retained on that basis; it fires on no corpus document and no
+ * export capture.
+ *
+ * The bare `/` and `..` forms are exempt: they carry no run, name no command, and
+ * Q4's CHR round confirmed them as navigation outright.
+ *
+ * `lastNonEmpty` is the index of the document's last non-blank statement, walked
+ * once by `collect`; a statement at or past it is followed only by blanks.
+ */
+function isDanglingBarePath(
+	described: Described,
+	lastNonEmpty: number,
+	index: number,
+): boolean {
+	if (described.run.length === 0) return false;
+	return index >= lastNonEmpty;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Does the run carry a token Q6's boundary — or the published command catalog —
+ * would call the verb?
+ *
+ * The catalog arm (#228 step 2) is what routes a bare `/system/gps/monitor`
+ * away from the unconfirmed-nav fallback, where the last token was only ever a
+ * GUESS and even a recognized READ verb had to be downgraded, and into
+ * {@link classifyStatement}, where it is a decided verb read against the
+ * vocabulary that matches its position.
+ */
+function isCommandShaped(
+	described: Described,
+	catalogAt: number | null,
+): boolean {
+	if (described.run.length === 0) return false;
+	if (catalogAt !== null) return true;
+	const split = splitRun(described.run, {
+		directive: described.directive,
+		whole: described.whole,
+	});
+	return !split.ambiguous && split.verbAt !== null;
+}
+
+/**
+ * Classify one statement the Q4 walker read as navigation but Q6 could not
+ * confirm as a command. Reached only when every other rule has already
+ * abstained, so it falls back to Q6's `last`-token reading purely to obtain a
+ * verb CANDIDATE — and is never allowed to produce `false`: an unrecognized
+ * candidate stays `unknown-verb`, and even a recognized READ verb is downgraded
+ * to `unknown-verb`, because the reading that produced it is not trusted enough
+ * to clear the document.
+ */
+function classifyUnconfirmedNav(
+	statement: StatementResolution,
+	text: string,
+	described: Described,
+): Occurrence {
+	const run = described.run;
+	const candidate = (run[run.length - 1] as RunToken | undefined)?.name ?? null;
+	const klass =
+		candidate === null ? "unknown-verb" : classifyVerb(candidate, false);
+	return {
+		kind: "statement",
+		text,
+		context: statement.context,
+		verb: candidate,
+		directive: false,
+		klass: klass === "read" ? "unknown-verb" : klass,
+	};
+}
+
+/**
+ * Classify a statement that reached neither the dynamic, defect, nor
+ * navigation branch: read Q6's boundary and look the verb up in the vocabulary
+ * that matches its position.
+ *
+ * The `ambiguous` arm is where this composition departs from the lab SUT, and
+ * it is a fail-closed correction rather than a port. The lab's path resolver
+ * called any all-bare-word statement navigation, so a bare-word head reached
+ * the unconfirmed-nav fallback and was classified from its last token. The
+ * production resolver does not: `menuNavPath` requires a leading `/`, because
+ * Q4's CHR round confirmed bare-word navigation is not valid RouterOS. That
+ * correction means a statement like `reset-counters` (relative to an
+ * `/interface` context) now arrives here with V4 ambiguity and no decided verb
+ * — and clearing it would be a false negative on a curated write verb, the one
+ * thing Q16's hard threshold forbids. So an undecided boundary over a non-empty
+ * run abstains, which is Q14's rule (b) — a bare-word-headed statement degrades
+ * to `unknown` — enforced at the rollup.
+ */
+function classifyStatement(
+	statement: StatementResolution,
+	text: string,
+	described: Described,
+	catalogAt: number | null,
+): Occurrence {
+	const verb =
+		catalogAt === null
+			? verbOfRun(described.run, described.directive, described.whole)
+			: ((described.run[catalogAt] as RunToken).name ?? null);
+	// A single-token command at document root is a root cmd written without its
+	// `:` sigil (`/import file-name=…`), so it reads against the root vocabulary
+	// rather than the menu one.
+	const directive =
+		described.directive ||
+		(verb !== null && statement.context === "/" && described.run.length === 1);
+	const klass =
+		verb === null && isPathShapedButUnread(text, described)
+			? "ambiguous"
+			: classifyVerb(verb, directive);
+	return {
+		kind: "statement",
+		text,
+		context: statement.context,
+		verb,
+		directive,
+		klass,
+	};
+}
+
+/**
+ * Does this text name a command the run could not read? Used to decide whether
+ * a `null` verb may clear the document or must abstain.
+ *
+ * A NON-EMPTY run with no decided verb is V4's bare path — Q6's ratified
+ * `ambiguous`. An EMPTY run usually means the text names no command at this
+ * level (`[find]`, `(1)`, `"a string"`, `=`) and is safely `no-verb`: an inner
+ * `[…]` command is reached by the bracket walk instead.
+ *
+ * The exception is a `/`-led statement, where an empty run means the run was
+ * TRUNCATED rather than absent — `runTokens` stops at the first segment that is
+ * not a bare word, so `/ip/$menu/remove 0` and `/ip/$m/add address=…` yield an
+ * empty run while plainly naming a write. Clearing those is a false negative on
+ * a curated write verb, so a path-shaped statement whose path could not be read
+ * abstains.
+ */
+function isPathShapedButUnread(text: string, described: Described): boolean {
+	return described.run.length > 0 || text.startsWith("/");
+}
+
+/**
+ * The published catalog's verb index for one statement or bracket inner, or
+ * null (#228 step 2).
+ *
+ * Applies `resolveVerb`'s base rule locally rather than calling it: this module
+ * reads `splitRun` directly, and threading the whole resolver in to get one
+ * index would put the R9 `bare-word head is not a known verb` refusal in front
+ * of the classification, where a refusal means "unknown" instead of "abstain".
+ * The two must agree on the BASE, though — a lookup rooted differently would ask
+ * about a different path — so the rule is stated the same way in both places: a
+ * directive or a `/`-led statement resolves at the root, everything else
+ * inherits its context.
+ *
+ * Including the bare-word rule `resolveVerb` states beside its own refusal: a
+ * relative statement is only looked up under an INHERITED menu context, never at
+ * the root, because the seven root-level catalog commands are all ordinary
+ * English words and the corpus's pasted `import serial` would otherwise read as
+ * RouterOS `/import`.
+ */
+function catalogVerbOf(
+	text: string,
+	described: Described,
+	context: string,
+): number | null {
+	if (described.directive) return null;
+	if (text.startsWith("/")) return catalogVerbAt(described.run, "/");
+	if (context === "/") return null;
+	return catalogVerbAt(described.run, context);
+}
+
+/**
+ * Every command occurrence offline can see: statements at every block depth
+ * (Q4's stateful walker) plus bracket-inner commands at every nesting depth
+ * (Q3's resolver).
+ *
+ * The ORDER carries no meaning, even though the list is emitted in source order
+ * and repeats are significant (`writes` counts multiplicity — do not dedupe).
+ * Both lab harness bugs corrected during phase 0 were alignment bugs, where a
+ * positional correspondence silently lined the wrong pair up; `containsWrite`
+ * consumes this only as a rollup, so it cannot repeat that failure.
+ */
+export function occurrences(text: string): Occurrence[] {
+	const statements = resolveStatements(text);
+	return collect(
+		statements,
+		resolveDocument(text),
+		sourceRange(text, statements),
+	);
+}
+
+function sourceRange(
+	text: string,
+	analysis: StatementAnalysis,
+): MaskedRange | undefined {
+	return analysis.defects.some(
+		(d) => d.code === "bom" || d.code === "non-ascii",
+	)
+		? undefined
+		: documentRange(text, true);
+}
+
+function collect(
+	statements: StatementAnalysis,
+	brackets: DocumentAnalysis,
+	range?: MaskedRange,
+): Occurrence[] {
+	const out: Occurrence[] = [];
+	const list = statements.statements;
+	// Walked once here rather than per statement, so the dangling-bare-path rule
+	// stays O(n) on nav-heavy documents.
+	let lastNonEmpty = -1;
+	for (let i = list.length - 1; i >= 0; i--)
+		if ((list[i] as StatementResolution).text.trim().length > 0) {
+			lastNonEmpty = i;
+			break;
+		}
+
+	for (let index = 0; index < list.length; index++) {
+		const statement = list[index] as StatementResolution;
+		const t = statement.text.trim();
+		if (t.length === 0) continue;
+		// One parse per statement, threaded through every rule below: the Q6
+		// boundary reads the same run three or four times otherwise.
+		const trimStart = statement.text.length - statement.text.trimStart().length;
+		const described = describeStatement(
+			t,
+			range !== undefined &&
+				statement.span.start >= range.start &&
+				statement.span.end <= range.end &&
+				range.text.slice(statement.span.start, statement.span.end) ===
+					statement.text
+				? rangeAt(
+						range,
+						statement.span.start + trimStart,
+						statement.span.start + trimStart + t.length,
+					)
+				: undefined,
+		);
+		const catalogAt = catalogVerbOf(t, described, statement.context);
+		if (isDynamicForm(t, described)) {
+			out.push({
+				kind: "statement",
+				text: t,
+				context: statement.context,
+				verb: null,
+				directive: false,
+				klass: "dynamic",
+			});
+			continue;
+		}
+		// Q14 floor — the resolver refused this statement and did not descend, so
+		// a write may be hiding in a body that was never walked. Only the reasons
+		// on the safe list clear: those name no command at this level, and their
+		// inner brackets are classified by the bracket walk below. Any OTHER
+		// reason blocks, including one this list has not seen — so rewording a
+		// reason in `pathresolve` degrades to over-abstention rather than
+		// silently clearing a hidden write.
+		if (
+			statement.unresolved !== undefined &&
+			!CLEARABLE_UNRESOLVED.has(statement.unresolved)
+		) {
+			out.push({
+				kind: "statement",
+				text: t,
+				context: statement.context,
+				verb: null,
+				directive: false,
+				klass: "defect",
+			});
+			continue;
+		}
+		if (statement.isNav && !isCommandShaped(described, catalogAt)) {
+			if (
+				isConfirmedNav(described) &&
+				!isDanglingBarePath(described, lastNonEmpty, index)
+			)
+				continue;
+			out.push(classifyUnconfirmedNav(statement, t, described));
+			continue;
+		}
+		out.push(classifyStatement(statement, t, described, catalogAt));
+	}
+
+	for (const bracket of brackets.resolutions) {
+		const inner = bracket.inner.trim();
+		if (inner.length === 0) continue;
+		const bracketRange = rangeForResolution(bracket) ?? documentRange(inner);
+		const described = describeStatement(inner, bracketRange);
+		if (isDynamicForm(inner, described)) {
+			out.push({
+				kind: "bracket",
+				text: inner,
+				context: bracket.context,
+				verb: null,
+				directive: false,
+				klass: "dynamic",
+			});
+			continue;
+		}
+		// The same Q14 defect floor the statement walk applies above. A bracket
+		// carries its own refusal reasons and its own vocabulary — `variable path
+		// segment` is reachable here but not at statement scale — so the ALLOW
+		// list does the same work: an unrecognized reason blocks.
+		if (
+			bracket.unresolved !== undefined &&
+			!CLEARABLE_UNRESOLVED.has(bracket.unresolved)
+		) {
+			out.push({
+				kind: "bracket",
+				text: inner,
+				context: bracket.context,
+				verb: null,
+				directive: false,
+				klass: "defect",
+			});
+			continue;
+		}
+		const catalogAt = catalogVerbOf(inner, described, bracket.context);
+		const verb =
+			catalogAt === null
+				? verbOfRun(described.run, described.directive, described.whole)
+				: ((described.run[catalogAt] as RunToken).name ?? null);
+		const klass =
+			verb === null && isPathShapedButUnread(inner, described)
+				? "ambiguous"
+				: classifyVerb(verb, described.directive);
+		out.push({
+			kind: "bracket",
+			text: inner,
+			context: bracket.context,
+			verb,
+			directive: described.directive,
+			klass,
+		});
+	}
+
+	return out;
+}
+
+/** Q16 result: the tristate plus everything the caller needs to see why. */
+export interface WriteAnalysis {
+	verdict: WriteVerdict;
+	/** How many occurrences were proven writes. Agreed with IL 100% on both splits. */
+	writes: number;
+	/**
+	 * Unclassifiable occurrences. These force `unknown` only when no proven write
+	 * exists; rule 1 may therefore return `true` with blockers still reported.
+	 */
+	blockers: Occurrence[];
+	occurrences: Occurrence[];
+	/**
+	 * Located structural surprises from the segmenter / bounded traversal, plus
+	 * the `bom`/`non-ascii` positional facts. Any NON-POSITIONAL defect abstains
+	 * (see {@link hasStructuralDefect}); the positional two never do.
+	 */
+	defects: Defect[];
+}
+
+const BLOCKING: ReadonlySet<OccurrenceClass> = new Set([
+	"unknown-verb",
+	"ambiguous",
+	"dynamic",
+	"defect",
+]);
+
+/**
+ * Fail-closed rollup, per the four rules ratified with the tristate:
+ *
+ * 1. A proven write wins outright — an `unknown` elsewhere cannot make a
+ *    document that definitely writes stop writing.
+ * 2. With no proven write, ANY unclassifiable occurrence yields `unknown`,
+ *    never `false`. That is the spec's zero-false-negative requirement
+ *    expressed as a rule rather than a hope.
+ * 3. Statements the parser cannot confirm as navigation emit an occurrence
+ *    rather than being dropped (enforced in `occurrences`).
+ * 4. `unknown` is reported with its blockers, so the caller can see why.
+ *
+ * A document-level structural defect (unterminated string, over-depth nesting)
+ * means part of the input was never walked, so it abstains under rule 2 for the
+ * same reason a `defect` occurrence does.
+ */
+export function containsWrite(text: string): WriteAnalysis {
+	// One resolution pass each for the statement walk (Q4) and the bracket walk
+	// (Q3); both are re-entrant over the same segmentation and neither is cheap
+	// on adversarial input, so they are not re-run for the defects.
+	const statements = resolveStatements(text);
+	return containsWriteFromAnalyses(
+		statements,
+		resolveDocument(text),
+		sourceRange(text, statements),
+	);
+}
+
+/**
+ * Reuse the Q3/Q4 walks when a composed analysis already performed them.
+ * `range`, if supplied, belongs to the same ASCII document as the analyses;
+ * statements outside that range keep their standalone reading.
+ */
+export function containsWriteFromAnalyses(
+	statements: StatementAnalysis,
+	brackets: DocumentAnalysis,
+	range?: MaskedRange,
+): WriteAnalysis {
+	const found = collect(statements, brackets, range);
+	const defects = mergeDefects(statements.defects, brackets.defects);
+	const writes = found.filter((o) => o.klass === "write").length;
+	const blockers = found.filter((o) => BLOCKING.has(o.klass));
+	if (writes > 0)
+		return {
+			verdict: "true",
+			writes,
+			blockers,
+			occurrences: found,
+			defects,
+		};
+	if (blockers.length > 0 || hasStructuralDefect(defects))
+		return {
+			verdict: "unknown",
+			writes: 0,
+			blockers,
+			occurrences: found,
+			defects,
+		};
+	return {
+		verdict: "false",
+		writes: 0,
+		blockers: [],
+		occurrences: found,
+		defects,
+	};
+}