@tangle-network/starter-foundry 0.7.3 → 0.13.2

package/dist/lib/fatten.js

@@ -7,11 +7,24 @@ function run(command, cwd, timeoutMs = 120000) {
         const child = spawn('sh', ['-c', command], { cwd, stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'pipe'] });
         let stdout = '';
         let stderr = '';
-        const timer = setTimeout(() => { child.kill('SIGTERM'); resolve({ ok: false, stdout, stderr: `${stderr}\ntimeout after ${timeoutMs}ms` }); }, timeoutMs);
-        child.stdout?.on('data', (chunk) => { stdout += chunk.toString(); });
-        child.stderr?.on('data', (chunk) => { stderr += chunk.toString(); });
-        child.on('close', (code) => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve({ ok: code === 0, stdout, stderr }); });
-        child.on('error', (err) => { clearTimeout(timer); resolve({ ok: false, stdout, stderr: err.message }); });
+        const timer = setTimeout(() => {
+            child.kill('SIGTERM');
+            resolve({ ok: false, stdout, stderr: `${stderr}\ntimeout after ${timeoutMs}ms` });
+        }, timeoutMs);
+        child.stdout?.on('data', (chunk) => {
+            stdout += chunk.toString();
+        });
+        child.stderr?.on('data', (chunk) => {
+            stderr += chunk.toString();
+        });
+        child.on('close', (code) => {
+            clearTimeout(timer);
+            resolve({ ok: code === 0, stdout, stderr });
+        });
+        child.on('error', (err) => {
+            clearTimeout(timer);
+            resolve({ ok: false, stdout, stderr: err.message });
+        });
     });
 }
 /**
@@ -58,16 +71,31 @@ export async function fattenStarter(outDir) {
         return result;
     }
     // Step 2: Pre-bundle Vite dependencies (creates node_modules/.vite/)
-    const hasViteConfig = await fs.access(path.join(outDir, 'vite.config.ts')).then(() => true).catch(() => false)
-        || await fs.access(path.join(outDir, 'vite.config.js')).then(() => true).catch(() => false);
+    const hasViteConfig = (await fs
+        .access(path.join(outDir, 'vite.config.ts'))
+        .then(() => true)
+        .catch(() => false)) ||
+        (await fs
+            .access(path.join(outDir, 'vite.config.js'))
+            .then(() => true)
+            .catch(() => false));
     if (hasViteConfig) {
         const viteOptimize = await run('npx vite optimize', outDir, 30000);
         result.vitePrebundled = viteOptimize.ok;
     }
     // Step 3: Pre-build (creates dist/ or .next/)
-    const hasNextConfig = await fs.access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.ts')).then(() => true).catch(() => false)
-        || await fs.access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.js')).then(() => true).catch(() => false)
-        || await fs.access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.mjs')).then(() => true).catch(() => false);
+    const hasNextConfig = (await fs
+        .access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.ts'))
+        .then(() => true)
+        .catch(() => false)) ||
+        (await fs
+            .access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.js'))
+            .then(() => true)
+            .catch(() => false)) ||
+        (await fs
+            .access(path.join(outDir, 'next.config.mjs'))
+            .then(() => true)
+            .catch(() => false));
     if (hasNextConfig) {
         const build = await run('npx next build', outDir, 60000);
         result.built = build.ok;

package/dist/lib/fatten.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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+{"version":3,"file":"fatten.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/lib/fatten.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA,OAAO,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,oBAAoB,CAAA;AAC1C,OAAO,EAAE,MAAM,kBAAkB,CAAA;AACjC,OAAO,IAAI,MAAM,WAAW,CAAA;AAE5B,OAAO,EAAE,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,SAAS,CAAA;AAiBlC,SAAS,GAAG,CACV,OAAe,EACf,GAAW,EACX,SAAS,GAAG,MAAM;IAElB,OAAO,IAAI,OAAO,CAAC,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,EAAE;QAC7B,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,EAAE,GAAG,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,CAAC,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;QACtF,IAAI,MAAM,GAAG,EAAE,CAAA;QACf,IAAI,MAAM,GAAG,EAAE,CAAA;QACf,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,UAAU,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE;YAC5B,KAAK,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,SAAS,CAAC,CAAA;YACrB,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,EAAE,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,GAAG,MAAM,mBAAmB,SAAS,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;QACnF,CAAC,EAAE,SAAS,CAAC,CAAA;QACb,KAAK,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,EAAE,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,KAAa,EAAE,EAAE;YACzC,MAAM,IAAI,KAAK,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,CAAA;QAC5B,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;QACF,KAAK,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,EAAE,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,KAAa,EAAE,EAAE;YACzC,MAAM,IAAI,KAAK,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,CAAA;QAC5B,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;QACF,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,EAAE;YACzB,YAAY,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;YACnB,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,EAAE,EAAE,IAAI,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;QAC7C,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;QACF,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,EAAE;YACxB,YAAY,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;YACnB,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,EAAE,EAAE,KAAK,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,GAAG,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;QACrD,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;IACJ,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;AACJ,CAAC;AAED;;;;;;;;;;GAUG;AACH,MAAM,CAAC,KAAK,UAAU,aAAa,CAAC,MAAc;IAChD,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAA;IAC/B,MAAM,MAAM,GAAiB;QAC3B,MAAM;QACN,OAAO,EAAE,KAAK;QACd,SAAS,EAAE,KAAK;QAChB,cAAc,EAAE,KAAK;QACrB,KAAK,EAAE,KAAK;QACZ,UAAU,EAAE,CAAC;KACd,CAAA;IAED,oDAAoD;IACpD,MAAM,OAAO,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,cAAc,CAAC,CAAA;IACjD,IAAI,CAAC;QACH,MAAM,GAAG,GAAG,MAAM,QAAQ,CAGvB,OAAO,CAAC,CAAA;QACX,MAAM,QAAQ,GACZ,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,CAAC,YAAY,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,CAAC,eAAe,IAAI,EAAE,CAAC,CAAC,MAAM,CAAA;QAC5F,MAAM,CAAC,OAAO,GAAG,QAAQ,GAAG,CAAC,CAAA;IAC/B,CAAC;IAAC,MAAM,CAAC;QACP,MAAM,CAAC,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QACzD,OAAO,MAAM,CAAA;IACf,CAAC;IAED,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,OAAO,EAAE,CAAC;QACpB,MAAM,CAAC,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QACzD,OAAO,MAAM,CAAA;IACf,CAAC;IAED,+BAA+B;IAC/B,MAAM,OAAO,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,CACvB,iFAAiF,EACjF,MAAM,CACP,CAAA;IACD,MAAM,CAAC,SAAS,GAAG,OAAO,CAAC,EAAE,CAAA;IAE7B,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,SAAS,EAAE,CAAC;QACtB,MAAM,CAAC,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QACzD,OAAO,MAAM,CAAA;IACf,CAAC;IAED,qEAAqE;IACrE,MAAM,aAAa,GACjB,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE;SACN,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC;SAC3C,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC;SAChB,KAAK,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC;QACtB,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE;aACN,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC;aAC3C,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC;aAChB,KAAK,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;IAExB,IAAI,aAAa,EAAE,CAAC;QAClB,MAAM,YAAY,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,CAAC,mBAAmB,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QAClE,MAAM,CAAC,cAAc,GAAG,YAAY,CAAC,EAAE,CAAA;IACzC,CAAC;IAED,8CAA8C;IAC9C,MAAM,aAAa,GACjB,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE;SACN,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC;SAC3C,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC;SAChB,KAAK,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC;QACtB,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE;aACN,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,gBAAgB,CAAC,CAAC;aAC3C,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC;aAChB,KAAK,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC;QACtB,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE;aACN,MAAM,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,iBAAiB,CAAC,CAAC;aAC5C,IAAI,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC;aAChB,KAAK,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,CAAC,CAAA;IAExB,IAAI,aAAa,EAAE,CAAC;QAClB,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,CAAC,gBAAgB,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QACxD,MAAM,CAAC,KAAK,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,CAAA;IACzB,CAAC;SAAM,IAAI,aAAa,EAAE,CAAC;QACzB,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,MAAM,GAAG,CAAC,gBAAgB,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;QACxD,MAAM,CAAC,KAAK,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,EAAE,CAAA;IACzB,CAAC;IAED,MAAM,CAAC,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC,CAAA;IACzD,OAAO,MAAM,CAAA;AACf,CAAC;AAED;;;GAGG;AACH,MAAM,CAAC,KAAK,UAAU,eAAe,CAAC,MAAc;IAClD,MAAM,KAAK,GAAG,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,CAAA;IAC/B,MAAM,QAAQ,GAAsC,EAAE,CAAA;IAEtD,mDAAmD;IACnD,MAAM,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,kBAAkB,EAAE,uBAAuB,CAAC,CAAA;IACjF,IAAI,CAAC;QACH,MAAM,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,QAAQ,CAAmC,UAAU,CAAC,CAAA;QAC3E,KAAK,MAAM,OAAO,IAAI,MAAM,CAAC,QAAQ,EAAE,CAAC;YACtC,MAAM,UAAU,GAAG,IAAI,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,MAAM,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,CAAA;YAClD,MAAM,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,aAAa,CAAC,UAAU,CAAC,CAAA;YAC9C,QAAQ,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE,OAAO,CAAC,IAAI,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;QAC/C,CAAC;IACH,CAAC;IAAC,MAAM,CAAC;QACP,yDAAyD;QACzD,MAAM,MAAM,GAAG,MAAM,aAAa,CAAC,MAAM,CAAC,CAAA;QAC1C,QAAQ,CAAC,IAAI,CAAC,EAAE,IAAI,EAAE,GAAG,EAAE,MAAM,EAAE,CAAC,CAAA;IACtC,CAAC;IAED,OAAO;QACL,MAAM;QACN,QAAQ;QACR,UAAU,EAAE,IAAI,CAAC,KAAK,CAAC,WAAW,CAAC,GAAG,EAAE,GAAG,KAAK,CAAC;KAClD,CAAA;AACH,CAAC"}

package/dist/lib/fs.js

@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
+import { spawn } from 'node:child_process';
 import fs from 'node:fs/promises';
-import path from 'node:path';
 import os from 'node:os';
-import { spawn } from 'node:child_process';
+import path from 'node:path';
 export async function ensureDir(dirPath) {
     await fs.mkdir(dirPath, { recursive: true });
 }
@@ -38,7 +38,9 @@ export async function resolveRepoRoot() {
             if (stat.isDirectory())
                 return dir;
         }
-        catch { /* continue walking up */ }
+        catch {
+            /* continue walking up */
+        }
         const parent = path.dirname(dir);
         if (parent === dir)
             break;
@@ -74,8 +76,12 @@ export function runTar(sourceDir, archivePath) {
         const child = spawn('tar', ['-czf', archivePath, '-C', sourceDir, '.'], {
             stdio: ['ignore', 'ignore', 'ignore'],
         });
-        child.on('close', (code) => resolve(code === 0));
-        child.on('error', () => resolve(false));
+        child.on('close', (code) => {
+            resolve(code === 0);
+        });
+        child.on('error', () => {
+            resolve(false);
+        });
     });
 }
 export async function listFilesRecursive(rootDir) {

package/dist/lib/fs.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/lib/held-out-gate.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,88 @@
+/**
+ * HeldOutGate — promote/hold/revert decision over a candidate vs baseline.
+ *
+ * Composes from `@tangle-network/agent-eval@0.19.1` primitives:
+ *   - `bootstrapCi` for paired-delta CI
+ *   - `pairedTTest` for paired p-value
+ *   - `cohensD` for effect size
+ *   - `welchsTTest` for unpaired fallback
+ *   - `benjaminiHochberg` for FDR adjustment
+ *
+ * The shape is the v0.16 agent-eval `HeldOutGate` API exactly so the swap is
+ * rename-only:
+ *
+ *   import { HeldOutGate } from '@tangle-network/agent-eval'
+ *   `rm src/lib/held-out-gate.ts`
+ *
+ * Verdict logic:
+ *   - REVERT if pairedDeltaMedian < 0 AND pValue < 0.05
+ *     (candidate is significantly worse on the search distribution)
+ *   - REVERT if overfitGap >= overfitGapThreshold AND holdoutScore is known
+ *     (candidate gamed the search judge — held-out shows the gap)
+ *   - PROMOTE if pairedDeltaMedian >= pairedDeltaThreshold AND
+ *     cohensD >= cohensDThreshold AND
+ *     n >= minProductiveRuns AND
+ *     (pValue (or qValueBh) < 0.05) AND
+ *     overfitGap < overfitGapThreshold (or holdoutScore unknown)
+ *   - HOLD otherwise (insufficient evidence)
+ *
+ * @public
+ */
+import type { RunRecord } from './run-record.js';
+export interface HeldOutGateConfig {
+    /** Logical baseline name — recorded on the decision for traceability. */
+    baselineKey: string;
+    /** Floor below which we always HOLD (not enough data). Default 3. */
+    minProductiveRuns?: number;
+    /** Median paired-delta required for PROMOTE. Default 0. */
+    pairedDeltaThreshold?: number;
+    /**
+     * Held-out vs search-score gap above which we REVERT (overfit). Default 0.20
+     * (20pp — operator-locked).
+     */
+    overfitGapThreshold?: number;
+    /** Minimum |Cohen's d| required for PROMOTE. Default 0.5. */
+    cohensDThreshold?: number;
+    /** Apply Benjamini-Hochberg correction across this evaluation. Default true. */
+    applyBHCorrection?: boolean;
+    /** Confidence alpha for the bootstrap CI. Default 0.05 (95% CI). */
+    alpha?: number;
+    /** Bootstrap iterations. Default 1000. */
+    iterations?: number;
+    /** RNG seed for the bootstrap (reproducibility). */
+    seed?: number;
+}
+export type GateVerdict = 'PROMOTE' | 'HOLD' | 'REVERT';
+export interface GateEvidence {
+    n: number;
+    pairedDeltaMedian: number;
+    pairedDeltaCi95: {
+        lower: number;
+        upper: number;
+    };
+    cohensD: number;
+    searchScore: number;
+    holdoutScore: number | null;
+    overfitGap: number | null;
+    pValue: number;
+    /** BH-corrected q-value for this single hypothesis. null if applyBHCorrection: false. */
+    qValueBh: number | null;
+}
+export interface GateDecision {
+    verdict: GateVerdict;
+    reason: string;
+    baselineKey: string;
+    evidence: GateEvidence;
+}
+export declare class HeldOutGate {
+    private readonly cfg;
+    constructor(config: HeldOutGateConfig);
+    /**
+     * Evaluate a candidate vs baseline. Both arrays are RunRecords; pairing
+     * is positional (record i in candidate paired with record i in baseline).
+     * If lengths differ, the smaller length is used for paired stats and a
+     * note is included in the reason.
+     */
+    evaluate(candidate: readonly RunRecord[], baseline: readonly RunRecord[]): GateDecision;
+    private decision;
+}

package/dist/lib/held-out-gate.js

@@ -0,0 +1,177 @@
+/**
+ * HeldOutGate — promote/hold/revert decision over a candidate vs baseline.
+ *
+ * Composes from `@tangle-network/agent-eval@0.19.1` primitives:
+ *   - `bootstrapCi` for paired-delta CI
+ *   - `pairedTTest` for paired p-value
+ *   - `cohensD` for effect size
+ *   - `welchsTTest` for unpaired fallback
+ *   - `benjaminiHochberg` for FDR adjustment
+ *
+ * The shape is the v0.16 agent-eval `HeldOutGate` API exactly so the swap is
+ * rename-only:
+ *
+ *   import { HeldOutGate } from '@tangle-network/agent-eval'
+ *   `rm src/lib/held-out-gate.ts`
+ *
+ * Verdict logic:
+ *   - REVERT if pairedDeltaMedian < 0 AND pValue < 0.05
+ *     (candidate is significantly worse on the search distribution)
+ *   - REVERT if overfitGap >= overfitGapThreshold AND holdoutScore is known
+ *     (candidate gamed the search judge — held-out shows the gap)
+ *   - PROMOTE if pairedDeltaMedian >= pairedDeltaThreshold AND
+ *     cohensD >= cohensDThreshold AND
+ *     n >= minProductiveRuns AND
+ *     (pValue (or qValueBh) < 0.05) AND
+ *     overfitGap < overfitGapThreshold (or holdoutScore unknown)
+ *   - HOLD otherwise (insufficient evidence)
+ *
+ * @public
+ */
+import { benjaminiHochberg, bootstrapCi, cohensD, pairedTTest, welchsTTest, } from '@tangle-network/agent-eval';
+const DEFAULTS = {
+    minProductiveRuns: 3,
+    pairedDeltaThreshold: 0,
+    overfitGapThreshold: 0.2,
+    cohensDThreshold: 0.5,
+    applyBHCorrection: true,
+    alpha: 0.05,
+    iterations: 1000,
+};
+function median(xs) {
+    if (xs.length === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const sorted = [...xs].sort((a, b) => a - b);
+    const mid = Math.floor(sorted.length / 2);
+    return sorted.length % 2 === 0 ? (sorted[mid - 1] + sorted[mid]) / 2 : sorted[mid];
+}
+function mean(xs) {
+    if (xs.length === 0)
+        return 0;
+    let s = 0;
+    for (const x of xs)
+        s += x;
+    return s / xs.length;
+}
+/** Average outcome.holdoutScore over runs where it's defined, else null. */
+function meanHoldoutScore(runs) {
+    const xs = runs
+        .map((r) => r.outcome.holdoutScore)
+        .filter((v) => typeof v === 'number');
+    if (xs.length === 0)
+        return null;
+    return mean(xs);
+}
+export class HeldOutGate {
+    cfg;
+    constructor(config) {
+        this.cfg = {
+            baselineKey: config.baselineKey,
+            minProductiveRuns: config.minProductiveRuns ?? DEFAULTS.minProductiveRuns,
+            pairedDeltaThreshold: config.pairedDeltaThreshold ?? DEFAULTS.pairedDeltaThreshold,
+            overfitGapThreshold: config.overfitGapThreshold ?? DEFAULTS.overfitGapThreshold,
+            cohensDThreshold: config.cohensDThreshold ?? DEFAULTS.cohensDThreshold,
+            applyBHCorrection: config.applyBHCorrection ?? DEFAULTS.applyBHCorrection,
+            alpha: config.alpha ?? DEFAULTS.alpha,
+            iterations: config.iterations ?? DEFAULTS.iterations,
+            seed: config.seed ?? 0,
+        };
+    }
+    /**
+     * Evaluate a candidate vs baseline. Both arrays are RunRecords; pairing
+     * is positional (record i in candidate paired with record i in baseline).
+     * If lengths differ, the smaller length is used for paired stats and a
+     * note is included in the reason.
+     */
+    evaluate(candidate, baseline) {
+        const n = Math.min(candidate.length, baseline.length);
+        const candidateScores = candidate.map((r) => r.outcome.searchScore);
+        const baselineScores = baseline.map((r) => r.outcome.searchScore);
+        const candidateMean = mean(candidateScores);
+        const baselineMean = mean(baselineScores);
+        if (n < this.cfg.minProductiveRuns) {
+            return this.decision('HOLD', `n=${n} below minProductiveRuns=${this.cfg.minProductiveRuns}`, {
+                n,
+                pairedDeltaMedian: 0,
+                pairedDeltaCi95: { lower: 0, upper: 0 },
+                cohensD: 0,
+                searchScore: candidateMean,
+                holdoutScore: meanHoldoutScore(candidate),
+                overfitGap: null,
+                pValue: 1,
+                qValueBh: null,
+            });
+        }
+        const pairedDeltas = [];
+        for (let i = 0; i < n; i += 1) {
+            pairedDeltas.push(candidateScores[i] - baselineScores[i]);
+        }
+        const pairedDeltaMedian = median(pairedDeltas);
+        const boot = bootstrapCi(baselineScores, candidateScores, {
+            alpha: this.cfg.alpha,
+            iterations: this.cfg.iterations,
+            seed: this.cfg.seed,
+        });
+        const ci95 = { lower: boot.ciLower, upper: boot.ciUpper };
+        const d = cohensD(baselineScores, candidateScores);
+        // Use paired t-test when arrays are equal length; fall back to Welch's
+        // when they differ (rare; documented in reason).
+        let pValue;
+        if (candidateScores.length === baselineScores.length) {
+            pValue = pairedTTest(baselineScores, candidateScores).p;
+        }
+        else {
+            pValue = welchsTTest(baselineScores, candidateScores).p;
+        }
+        const qValueBh = this.cfg.applyBHCorrection
+            ? benjaminiHochberg([pValue], this.cfg.alpha).qValues[0]
+            : null;
+        const candidateHoldout = meanHoldoutScore(candidate);
+        const overfitGap = candidateHoldout !== null ? candidateMean - candidateHoldout : null;
+        const evidence = {
+            n,
+            pairedDeltaMedian,
+            pairedDeltaCi95: ci95,
+            cohensD: d,
+            searchScore: candidateMean,
+            holdoutScore: candidateHoldout,
+            overfitGap,
+            pValue,
+            qValueBh,
+        };
+        const effectiveP = qValueBh ?? pValue;
+        // REVERT: significantly worse on search
+        if (pairedDeltaMedian < 0 && effectiveP < this.cfg.alpha) {
+            return this.decision('REVERT', `paired-delta median ${pairedDeltaMedian.toFixed(4)} < 0 with p=${effectiveP.toFixed(4)} < alpha=${this.cfg.alpha}`, evidence);
+        }
+        // REVERT: overfit (held-out gap exceeds threshold)
+        if (overfitGap !== null && overfitGap >= this.cfg.overfitGapThreshold) {
+            return this.decision('REVERT', `overfit-gap ${overfitGap.toFixed(4)} >= threshold ${this.cfg.overfitGapThreshold}`, evidence);
+        }
+        // PROMOTE: positive median delta + adequate effect size + significant
+        const positiveDelta = pairedDeltaMedian >= this.cfg.pairedDeltaThreshold;
+        const adequateEffect = Math.abs(d) >= this.cfg.cohensDThreshold && d > 0;
+        const significant = effectiveP < this.cfg.alpha;
+        if (positiveDelta && adequateEffect && significant) {
+            return this.decision('PROMOTE', `paired-delta ${pairedDeltaMedian.toFixed(4)} >= ${this.cfg.pairedDeltaThreshold}, ` +
+                `cohen's d ${d.toFixed(3)} >= ${this.cfg.cohensDThreshold}, ` +
+                `p=${effectiveP.toFixed(4)} < ${this.cfg.alpha}` +
+                (overfitGap !== null
+                    ? `, overfit-gap ${overfitGap.toFixed(4)} < ${this.cfg.overfitGapThreshold}`
+                    : ''), evidence);
+        }
+        // HOLD with explanation
+        const reasons = [];
+        if (!positiveDelta)
+            reasons.push(`paired-delta ${pairedDeltaMedian.toFixed(4)} < ${this.cfg.pairedDeltaThreshold}`);
+        if (!adequateEffect)
+            reasons.push(`|cohen's d| ${Math.abs(d).toFixed(3)} < ${this.cfg.cohensDThreshold}`);
+        if (!significant)
+            reasons.push(`p=${effectiveP.toFixed(4)} >= ${this.cfg.alpha}`);
+        return this.decision('HOLD', `insufficient evidence: ${reasons.join('; ')}`, evidence);
+    }
+    decision(verdict, reason, evidence) {
+        return { verdict, reason, baselineKey: this.cfg.baselineKey, evidence };
+    }
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=held-out-gate.js.map

package/dist/lib/held-out-gate.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/lib/index.d.ts

@@ -5,17 +5,17 @@ export type { ComposeFromPromptOptions, ComposeFromPromptResult } from './compos
 export { PERSONALIZATION_INSTRUCTION, PERSONALIZATION_CSS_INSTRUCTION, PERSONALIZATION_JSON_INSTRUCTION, getComposedScaffoldContext, getCuratedScaffoldContext, } from './agent-context.js';
 export { createContextPack } from './context-pack.js';
 export { generateBuildPlan } from './build-plan.js';
-export { loadRegistry, listRegistry, resolveComponents, clearRegistryCache, initSemanticRouting } from './registry.js';
+export { loadRegistry, listRegistry, resolveComponents, clearRegistryCache, initSemanticRouting, } from './registry.js';
 export { validatePlan } from './validate-plan.js';
 export type { PlanValidationResult, PlanValidationIssue } from './validate-plan.js';
 export { semanticMatch, isSemanticRouterReady } from './semantic-router.js';
 export { selectStarter } from './selection.js';
 export { validateStarter } from './validate.js';
-export { benchmarkStarter } from './benchmark.js';
+export { benchmarkStarter } from './eval/benchmark.js';
 export { composeWorkspace, createWorkspaceContextPack, benchmarkWorkspace } from './workspace.js';
 export { augmentWithLayer } from './augment.js';
 export { fattenStarter, fattenWorkspace } from './fatten.js';
-export { matchesKeyword, hasAny, detectLane, detectCapabilities, detectIndustry } from './keywords.js';
+export { matchesKeyword, hasAny, detectLane, detectCapabilities, detectIndustry, } from './keywords.js';
 export { listIndustries, getIndustry, PERSONALIZE_CSS_PATHS } from './industries.js';
 export type { IndustryInfo } from './industries.js';
 export { on, off, emit, traced } from './telemetry.js';
@@ -24,10 +24,10 @@ export { emitBuildoutEvent, BUILDOUT_SCHEMA_VERSION, DEFAULT_PATHS } from './bui
 export type { BuildoutEvent, BuildoutEventInput, BuildoutOutcome } from './buildout-traces.js';
 export { generatePrompts, persistBatch } from './synthetic/index.js';
 export type { SyntheticPrompt, SyntheticBatch, GenerateOptions } from './synthetic/index.js';
-export { abDecide } from './ab.js';
-export type { AbExperiment, AbDecision } from './ab.js';
-export { generateSbom, writeSbom } from './sbom.js';
-export type { Sbom, SbomComponent } from './sbom.js';
+export { abDecide } from './eval/ab.js';
+export type { AbExperiment, AbDecision } from './eval/ab.js';
+export { generateSbom, writeSbom } from './eval/sbom.js';
+export type { Sbom, SbomComponent } from './eval/sbom.js';
 export { scanDirectory as scanForSecrets } from './safety/secret-scan.js';
 export type { SecretMatch } from './safety/secret-scan.js';
 export { scanLicenses } from './safety/license-check.js';
@@ -40,14 +40,12 @@ export { applyVoice, defaultVoiceForIndustry, INDUSTRY_VOICE } from './brand/voi
 export type { VoiceRegister, VoiceApplyResult } from './brand/voice.js';
 export { emitI18n, buildI18nFiles, generateLocalePack, isRtl, RTL_LOCALES } from './brand/i18n.js';
 export type { LocalePack, I18nEmitResult } from './brand/i18n.js';
-export { firstTurnFlowForFamily, firstTurnFlowForIndustry, firstTurnFlowAsMarkdown, listKnownIndustries } from './brand/first-turn-flows.js';
+export { firstTurnFlowForFamily, firstTurnFlowForIndustry, firstTurnFlowAsMarkdown, listKnownIndustries, } from './brand/first-turn-flows.js';
 export type { FirstTurnFlow } from './brand/first-turn-flows.js';
 export { inferSegment, segmentDefaultsAsMarkdown, SEGMENT_DEFAULTS } from './brand/user-segments.js';
 export type { UserSegment } from './brand/user-segments.js';
-export { snapshot as visualSnapshot, diff as visualDiff, isClean as visualIsClean } from './visual-regression.js';
+export { snapshot as visualSnapshot, diff as visualDiff, isClean as visualIsClean, } from './visual-regression.js';
 export type { VisualSnapshot, VisualDiff, VisualFileEntry } from './visual-regression.js';
-/** @deprecated renamed to VisualSnapshot. */
-export type { VisualSnapshot as VisualAuditResult } from './visual-regression.js';
 export { estimateBuildoutCost, loadRateTable } from './cost.js';
 export type { CostEstimate, ModelRate, CostRateTable } from './cost.js';
 export { createTelemetryStream } from './telemetry/stream.js';
@@ -57,6 +55,19 @@ export { loadRegistryFromMirrors, MirrorLoadError } from './registry-mirror.js';
 export type { MirrorEntry, MirrorLoadOptions, MirrorLoadResult } from './registry-mirror.js';
 export { isVersionRolledBack, getLastKnownGoodVersion, listRollbacks } from './version-history.js';
 export type { RollbackRecord } from './version-history.js';
-export { seedForSpec, seededRng, buildLockFile, verifyLockMatches } from './reproducibility.js';
-export type { SeededRng, ComposeLockFile } from './reproducibility.js';
+export { seedForSpec, seededRng, buildLockFile, verifyLockMatches } from './eval/reproducibility.js';
+export type { SeededRng, ComposeLockFile } from './eval/reproducibility.js';
+export { isPinnedModel, makeRunRecord, RunRecordValidationError, validateRunRecord, HISTORICAL_SNAPSHOT, sha256, } from './run-record.js';
+export type { RunRecord, RunRecordOutcome, RunRecordSource, RunRecordSplitTag, RunRecordTokenUsage, MakeRunRecordInput, } from './run-record.js';
+export { HeldOutGate } from './held-out-gate.js';
+export type { HeldOutGateConfig, GateDecision, GateEvidence, GateVerdict } from './held-out-gate.js';
+export { resolveSnapshot, listKnownSnapshots, refreshSnapshots, seedRoles, SNAPSHOTS_LOCK_PATH, } from './snapshot-resolver.js';
+export type { SnapshotEntry, SnapshotsLock, RefreshOptions, RefreshReport, RefreshReportEntry, AnthropicModelEntry, AnthropicModelsResponse, } from './snapshot-resolver.js';
+export { loadProfile, listProfileNames, diffProfiles, PROFILES_DIR } from './profile-loader.js';
+export type { RawProfile, ResolvedProfile, LoadProfileOptions } from './profile-loader.js';
+export { appendRunRecord, readRunRecords, iterRunRecords, RUNS_JSONL_PATH, } from './run-record-store.js';
+export { emitRunRecord } from './eval/emit-run-record.js';
+export type { EmitRunRecordInput } from './eval/emit-run-record.js';
+export { runCanaries } from './run-canaries.js';
+export type { CanaryAlert, CanaryKind, CanaryOptions, CanaryReport, CanarySeverity, } from './run-canaries.js';
 export type { ComposeSpec, WorkspaceSpec, PromptPlan, StarterPromptPlan, WorkspacePromptPlan, SelectionResult, ComposeResult, ValidationResult, BenchmarkReport, ContextPack, BuildPlan, BuildHints, Registry, FamilyManifest, LayerManifest, PartnerManifest, } from '../types.js';

package/dist/lib/index.js

@@ -5,36 +5,45 @@ export { composeFromPrompt } from './compose-prompt.js';
 export { PERSONALIZATION_INSTRUCTION, PERSONALIZATION_CSS_INSTRUCTION, PERSONALIZATION_JSON_INSTRUCTION, getComposedScaffoldContext, getCuratedScaffoldContext, } from './agent-context.js';
 export { createContextPack } from './context-pack.js';
 export { generateBuildPlan } from './build-plan.js';
-export { loadRegistry, listRegistry, resolveComponents, clearRegistryCache, initSemanticRouting } from './registry.js';
+export { loadRegistry, listRegistry, resolveComponents, clearRegistryCache, initSemanticRouting, } from './registry.js';
 export { validatePlan } from './validate-plan.js';
 export { semanticMatch, isSemanticRouterReady } from './semantic-router.js';
 export { selectStarter } from './selection.js';
 export { validateStarter } from './validate.js';
-export { benchmarkStarter } from './benchmark.js';
+export { benchmarkStarter } from './eval/benchmark.js';
 export { composeWorkspace, createWorkspaceContextPack, benchmarkWorkspace } from './workspace.js';
 export { augmentWithLayer } from './augment.js';
 export { fattenStarter, fattenWorkspace } from './fatten.js';
-export { matchesKeyword, hasAny, detectLane, detectCapabilities, detectIndustry } from './keywords.js';
+export { matchesKeyword, hasAny, detectLane, detectCapabilities, detectIndustry, } from './keywords.js';
 export { listIndustries, getIndustry, PERSONALIZE_CSS_PATHS } from './industries.js';
 export { on, off, emit, traced } from './telemetry.js';
 export { emitBuildoutEvent, BUILDOUT_SCHEMA_VERSION, DEFAULT_PATHS } from './buildout-traces.js';
 // Foundational primitives — unblock multiple ROADMAP branches.
 export { generatePrompts, persistBatch } from './synthetic/index.js';
-export { abDecide } from './ab.js';
-export { generateSbom, writeSbom } from './sbom.js';
+export { abDecide } from './eval/ab.js';
+export { generateSbom, writeSbom } from './eval/sbom.js';
 export { scanDirectory as scanForSecrets } from './safety/secret-scan.js';
 export { scanLicenses } from './safety/license-check.js';
 export { generateBrand, brandToPersonalizeJson, brandToPersonalizeCss } from './brand/index.js';
 export { generateMediaManifest, buildMediaManifest } from './brand/media-manifest.js';
 export { applyVoice, defaultVoiceForIndustry, INDUSTRY_VOICE } from './brand/voice.js';
 export { emitI18n, buildI18nFiles, generateLocalePack, isRtl, RTL_LOCALES } from './brand/i18n.js';
-export { firstTurnFlowForFamily, firstTurnFlowForIndustry, firstTurnFlowAsMarkdown, listKnownIndustries } from './brand/first-turn-flows.js';
+export { firstTurnFlowForFamily, firstTurnFlowForIndustry, firstTurnFlowAsMarkdown, listKnownIndustries, } from './brand/first-turn-flows.js';
 export { inferSegment, segmentDefaultsAsMarkdown, SEGMENT_DEFAULTS } from './brand/user-segments.js';
-export { snapshot as visualSnapshot, diff as visualDiff, isClean as visualIsClean } from './visual-regression.js';
+export { snapshot as visualSnapshot, diff as visualDiff, isClean as visualIsClean, } from './visual-regression.js';
 export { estimateBuildoutCost, loadRateTable } from './cost.js';
 export { createTelemetryStream } from './telemetry/stream.js';
 export { decideCanaryBucket, selectCanaryVersion, DEFAULT_CANARY_EXPERIMENT } from './canary.js';
 export { loadRegistryFromMirrors, MirrorLoadError } from './registry-mirror.js';
 export { isVersionRolledBack, getLastKnownGoodVersion, listRollbacks } from './version-history.js';
-export { seedForSpec, seededRng, buildLockFile, verifyLockMatches } from './reproducibility.js';
+export { seedForSpec, seededRng, buildLockFile, verifyLockMatches } from './eval/reproducibility.js';
+// Local compatibility exports for existing starter-foundry callers. New eval
+// scaffolds import the canonical primitives from @tangle-network/agent-eval.
+export { isPinnedModel, makeRunRecord, RunRecordValidationError, validateRunRecord, HISTORICAL_SNAPSHOT, sha256, } from './run-record.js';
+export { HeldOutGate } from './held-out-gate.js';
+export { resolveSnapshot, listKnownSnapshots, refreshSnapshots, seedRoles, SNAPSHOTS_LOCK_PATH, } from './snapshot-resolver.js';
+export { loadProfile, listProfileNames, diffProfiles, PROFILES_DIR } from './profile-loader.js';
+export { appendRunRecord, readRunRecords, iterRunRecords, RUNS_JSONL_PATH, } from './run-record-store.js';
+export { emitRunRecord } from './eval/emit-run-record.js';
+export { runCanaries } from './run-canaries.js';
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/lib/index.js.map

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package/dist/lib/industries.js

@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ export async function listIndustries() {
 export async function getIndustry(id) {
     const registry = await loadRegistry();
     const layer = registry.layers.get(`industry:${id}`);
-    if (!layer || layer.group !== 'industry')
+    if (layer?.group !== 'industry')
         return null;
     return industryInfoFromLayer(layer);
 }
@@ -45,7 +45,7 @@ function industryInfoFromLayer(layer) {
         id: layer.id,
         description: layer.description,
         keywords: layer.keywords ?? [],
-        tone: layer.defaults?.['industryTone'] ?? '',
+        tone: layer.defaults?.industryTone ?? '',
         paletteCssPath: PERSONALIZE_CSS_PATHS.vite,
     };
 }

package/dist/lib/industries.js.map

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