@tangle-network/agent-eval 0.41.0 → 0.42.0

package/dist/campaign/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
-{"version":3,"sources":["../../src/campaign/auto-pr.ts","../../src/campaign/drivers/evolutionary.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/compose.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/default-production-gate.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/heldout-gate.ts","../../src/campaign/labeled-store/fs-adapter.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-eval.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-optimization.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-improvement-loop.ts","../../src/campaign/worktree/index.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `openAutoPr` — thin shell-out helper for the `runImprovementLoop` preset's\n * `autoOnPromote: 'pr'` mode. Substitutes for the per-product PR-opening\n * code consumers duplicated 4 times. The PR body includes the campaign's\n * manifest hash, gate verdict, and scorecard summary so reviewers can see\n * exactly what was promoted + why.\n *\n * NOT a deploy mechanism — this only OPENS a PR. The human reviews + merges.\n * The Shape B (`autoOnPromote: 'config'`) live-runtime-mutation path is\n * deferred to Pass B with the full shadow / canary / rollback stack.\n */\n\nimport { execSync } from 'node:child_process'\nimport { writeFileSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { tmpdir } from 'node:os'\nimport { join } from 'node:path'\nimport type { CampaignResult, GateResult, Scenario } from './types'\n\nexport interface OpenAutoPrOptions<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario> {\n  /** Campaign result to attach to the PR. */\n  result: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  /** Gate verdict explaining the promotion. Substrate refuses to open a PR\n   *  when `gate.decision !== 'ship'` — fails loud. */\n  gate: GateResult\n  /** Promoted surface diff — typically the new system prompt addendum or\n   *  full profile diff. Substrate writes it as the PR body. */\n  promotedDiff: string\n  /** GH owner/repo target (e.g., `tangle-network/gtm-agent`). */\n  ghOwner: string\n  ghRepo: string\n  /** Branch name for the PR. Default `auto/<manifestHash[:12]>`. */\n  branch?: string\n  /** PR title. Default includes manifest hash. */\n  title?: string\n  /** Whether to actually open the PR or just dry-run. Default reads\n   *  `GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN` env — present = open, absent = dry-run. */\n  dryRun?: boolean\n  /** Test seam — substitute `gh pr create` invocation. */\n  ghExec?: (args: string[]) => { stdout: string; stderr: string; status: number }\n}\n\nexport interface OpenAutoPrResult {\n  opened: boolean\n  prUrl?: string\n  dryRun: boolean\n  reason: string\n}\n\nexport function openAutoPr<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: OpenAutoPrOptions<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): OpenAutoPrResult {\n  if (options.gate.decision !== 'ship') {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: false,\n      reason: `gate verdict was \"${options.gate.decision}\" — refusing to open PR`,\n    }\n  }\n\n  const dryRun = options.dryRun ?? !process.env.GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN\n  const branch = options.branch ?? `auto/${options.result.manifestHash.slice(0, 12)}`\n  const title =\n    options.title ?? `auto: campaign ${options.result.manifestHash.slice(0, 8)} promoted by gate`\n\n  const body = renderPrBody(options.result, options.gate, options.promotedDiff)\n  const bodyPath = join(tmpdir(), `auto-pr-body-${Date.now()}.md`)\n  writeFileSync(bodyPath, body)\n\n  if (dryRun) {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: true,\n      reason: `dry-run (GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN not set). Would create PR on ${options.ghOwner}/${options.ghRepo} branch ${branch}. Body at ${bodyPath}.`,\n    }\n  }\n\n  const ghExec = options.ghExec ?? defaultGhExec\n  const result = ghExec([\n    'pr',\n    'create',\n    '--repo',\n    `${options.ghOwner}/${options.ghRepo}`,\n    '--head',\n    branch,\n    '--title',\n    title,\n    '--body-file',\n    bodyPath,\n  ])\n  if (result.status !== 0) {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: false,\n      reason: `gh pr create failed (exit ${result.status}): ${result.stderr.slice(0, 400)}`,\n    }\n  }\n  const prUrl = result.stdout.trim()\n  return { opened: true, prUrl, dryRun: false, reason: 'PR opened' }\n}\n\nfunction renderPrBody<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  result: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n  gate: GateResult,\n  diff: string,\n): string {\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  lines.push(`## Automated promotion by \\`runImprovementLoop\\``)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`**Manifest**: \\`${result.manifestHash}\\``)\n  lines.push(`**Seed**: ${result.seed}`)\n  lines.push(`**Duration**: ${Math.round(result.durationMs / 1000)}s`)\n  lines.push(\n    `**Cells**: executed ${result.aggregates.cellsExecuted}, cached ${result.aggregates.cellsCached}, skipped ${result.aggregates.cellsSkipped}, failed ${result.aggregates.cellsFailed}`,\n  )\n  lines.push(`**Total spend**: $${result.aggregates.totalCostUsd.toFixed(2)}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`### Gate verdict: \\`${gate.decision}\\``)\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const reason of gate.reasons) lines.push(`- ${reason}`)\n  if (gate.delta !== undefined) lines.push(`- delta: ${gate.delta.toFixed(3)}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Contributing gates')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('| gate | passed | detail |')\n  lines.push('|---|---|---|')\n  for (const c of gate.contributingGates) {\n    const detail =\n      typeof c.detail === 'object'\n        ? JSON.stringify(c.detail).slice(0, 80)\n        : String(c.detail).slice(0, 80)\n    lines.push(`| ${c.name} | ${c.passed ? '✓' : '✗'} | ${detail} |`)\n  }\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Promoted surface')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('```diff')\n  lines.push(diff.slice(0, 8000))\n  lines.push('```')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### By-judge aggregates')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('| judge | mean | ci95 | n |')\n  lines.push('|---|---|---|---|')\n  for (const [name, agg] of Object.entries(result.aggregates.byJudge)) {\n    lines.push(\n      `| ${name} | ${agg.mean.toFixed(3)} | [${agg.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}, ${agg.ci95[1].toFixed(3)}] | ${agg.n} |`,\n    )\n  }\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n\nfunction defaultGhExec(args: string[]): { stdout: string; stderr: string; status: number } {\n  try {\n    const stdout = execSync(`gh ${args.map(quoteArg).join(' ')}`, {\n      env: { ...process.env, GH_TOKEN: process.env.GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN ?? process.env.GH_TOKEN ?? '' },\n      stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'pipe'],\n    }).toString('utf8')\n    return { stdout, stderr: '', status: 0 }\n  } catch (err) {\n    const e = err as { status?: number; stderr?: Buffer; stdout?: Buffer }\n    return {\n      stdout: e.stdout?.toString('utf8') ?? '',\n      stderr: e.stderr?.toString('utf8') ?? '',\n      status: e.status ?? 1,\n    }\n  }\n}\n\nfunction quoteArg(arg: string): string {\n  if (/^[a-zA-Z0-9_/\\-:.@]+$/.test(arg)) return arg\n  return `\"${arg.replace(/\"/g, '\\\\\"')}\"`\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `evolutionaryDriver` — adapts a stateless `Mutator` (population mutation:\n * GEPA / AxGEPA / reflective-mutation) into an `ImprovementDriver`. This is\n * the evolutionary strategy: each generation, mutate the current best surface\n * into N candidates, measure, select. No generation memory beyond the current\n * surface; the loop body handles ranking + promotion.\n *\n * The reflective alternative is agent-runtime's `improvementDriver` with a\n * `reflectiveGenerator` / `agenticGenerator`: it reasons over the report +\n * trace findings to propose targeted edits rather than blind mutations. Both\n * conform to `ImprovementDriver`; the improvement loop is identical regardless\n * of which drives it.\n */\n\nimport type { ImprovementDriver, Mutator } from '../types'\n\nexport interface EvolutionaryDriverOptions<TFindings = unknown> {\n  mutator: Mutator<TFindings>\n  /** External findings fed to the mutator each generation. Default: []. */\n  findings?: TFindings[]\n}\n\nexport function evolutionaryDriver<TFindings = unknown>(\n  opts: EvolutionaryDriverOptions<TFindings>,\n): ImprovementDriver<TFindings> {\n  return {\n    kind: `evolutionary:${opts.mutator.kind}`,\n    async propose({ currentSurface, findings, populationSize, signal }) {\n      return opts.mutator.mutate({\n        findings: findings.length > 0 ? findings : (opts.findings ?? []),\n        currentSurface,\n        populationSize,\n        signal,\n      })\n    },\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Compose multiple `Gate` implementations — every gate must pass for the\n * composite to ship. Closes the alignment reviewer's \"default-only\n * heldOutGate + costGate would happily promote a reward-hacked prompt\"\n * concern by making safety gates first-class composable defaults.\n */\n\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateDecision, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\n/** Compose gates — all must `ship` for the composite to `ship`. First\n *  non-ship verdict short-circuits the composite verdict, but ALL gates run\n *  (so the result records every gate's reason — useful for diagnostics). */\nexport function composeGate<TArtifact = unknown, TScenario extends Scenario = Scenario>(\n  ...gates: Array<Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>>\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  if (gates.length === 0) {\n    throw new Error('composeGate requires at least one gate')\n  }\n  return {\n    name: `composed(${gates.map((g) => g.name).join(',')})`,\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const results: Array<{ gate: Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>; res: GateResult }> = []\n      for (const gate of gates) {\n        const res = await gate.decide(ctx)\n        results.push({ gate, res })\n      }\n\n      // Substrate-wide verdict policy:\n      //   - all 'ship' → 'ship'\n      //   - any 'arch_ceiling' → 'arch_ceiling' (architectural ceiling beats other holds)\n      //   - any 'model_ceiling' → 'model_ceiling'\n      //   - any 'hold' → 'hold'\n      //   - else 'need_more_work'\n      const decisions = results.map((r) => r.res.decision)\n      const overall: GateDecision = decisions.every((d) => d === 'ship')\n        ? 'ship'\n        : decisions.includes('arch_ceiling')\n          ? 'arch_ceiling'\n          : decisions.includes('model_ceiling')\n            ? 'model_ceiling'\n            : decisions.includes('hold')\n              ? 'hold'\n              : 'need_more_work'\n\n      const contributing = results.flatMap((r) =>\n        r.res.contributingGates.length > 0\n          ? r.res.contributingGates\n          : [{ name: r.gate.name, passed: r.res.decision === 'ship', detail: r.res }],\n      )\n\n      const reasons = results.flatMap((r) =>\n        r.res.reasons.map((reason) => `[${r.gate.name}] ${reason}`),\n      )\n\n      return {\n        decision: overall,\n        reasons,\n        contributingGates: contributing,\n        delta: results[0]?.res.delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `defaultProductionGate` — composes the substrate's existing safety\n * primitives (red-team / reward-hacking / canary / heldout) into a single\n * Gate.decide shape. Closes the alignment + Anthropic-SI reviewers' \"safety\n * primitives are off the critical path\" blocker.\n *\n * The composition is opinionated — when consumers wire `runImprovementLoop`,\n * THIS gate is the default. Consumers can still pass a custom gate to\n * override; the recommended pattern is to compose THIS gate with whatever\n * extra domain-specific gates they need (`composeGate(defaultProductionGate(...), customGate)`).\n */\n\nimport type { RunRecord } from '@tangle-network/agent-runtime'\nimport type { CanaryReport } from '../../canary'\nimport { runCanaries } from '../../canary'\nimport type { RedTeamCase } from '../../red-team'\nimport { scoreRedTeamOutput } from '../../red-team'\nimport type { RewardHackingReport } from '../../rl/reward-hacking'\nimport { detectRewardHacking } from '../../rl/reward-hacking'\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface DefaultProductionGateOptions {\n  /** Required: scenarios held out from training; substrate compares\n   *  candidate-on-holdout vs baseline-on-holdout. */\n  holdoutScenarios: Scenario[]\n  /** Minimum mean-composite improvement required to ship. Default 0.5. */\n  deltaThreshold?: number\n  /** Total $ budget for ALL cells in this campaign — including baseline + candidate.\n   *  Composite verdict refuses to ship when spend exceeded budget. */\n  budgetUsd?: number\n  /** Red-team cases to probe candidate outputs against. When omitted the\n   *  substrate uses `DEFAULT_RED_TEAM_CORPUS`. Provide a domain-specific\n   *  battery for tighter coverage. */\n  redTeamBattery?: RedTeamCase[]\n  /** Run records (oldest-first) needed for the reward-hacking detector.\n   *  Substrate populates from prior production-loop generations. */\n  recentRuns?: RunRecord[]\n  /** When true, the gate refuses to ship if the reward-hacking detector\n   *  fires at the `gaming` severity. Default true. */\n  blockOnRewardHackingGaming?: boolean\n}\n\nexport function defaultProductionGate<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: DefaultProductionGateOptions,\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  const deltaThreshold = options.deltaThreshold ?? 0.5\n  const blockOnGaming = options.blockOnRewardHackingGaming ?? true\n\n  return {\n    name: 'defaultProductionGate',\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const reasons: string[] = []\n      const contributing: Array<{ name: string; passed: boolean; detail: unknown }> = []\n\n      // ── (1) heldout composite delta ─────────────────────────────────\n      // Baseline scores come from their OWN map; sharing `judgeScores` would\n      // compare the candidate against itself (delta 0).\n      const baselineComposite = meanComposite(\n        ctx.baselineArtifacts,\n        ctx.baselineJudgeScores ?? ctx.judgeScores,\n        options.holdoutScenarios,\n      )\n      const candidateComposite = meanComposite(\n        ctx.candidateArtifacts,\n        ctx.judgeScores,\n        options.holdoutScenarios,\n      )\n      const delta = candidateComposite - baselineComposite\n      const heldoutPass = delta >= deltaThreshold\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'heldout-delta',\n        passed: heldoutPass,\n        detail: { baselineComposite, candidateComposite, delta, deltaThreshold },\n      })\n      if (!heldoutPass) {\n        reasons.push(`heldout delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} < threshold ${deltaThreshold}`)\n      }\n\n      // ── (2) budget gate ─────────────────────────────────────────────\n      const budgetPass =\n        options.budgetUsd === undefined ||\n        ctx.cost.candidate + ctx.cost.baseline <= options.budgetUsd\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'budget',\n        passed: budgetPass,\n        detail: {\n          candidateUsd: ctx.cost.candidate,\n          baselineUsd: ctx.cost.baseline,\n          budgetUsd: options.budgetUsd,\n        },\n      })\n      if (!budgetPass) {\n        reasons.push(\n          `spend ${(ctx.cost.candidate + ctx.cost.baseline).toFixed(2)} > budget ${options.budgetUsd}`,\n        )\n      }\n\n      // ── (3) red-team probe on candidate ─────────────────────────────\n      const redTeamFindings = options.redTeamBattery\n        ? probeRedTeam(ctx.candidateArtifacts, options.redTeamBattery)\n        : { passed: true, findings: [] }\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'red-team',\n        passed: redTeamFindings.passed,\n        detail: {\n          failures: redTeamFindings.findings.length,\n          sample: redTeamFindings.findings.slice(0, 3),\n        },\n      })\n      if (!redTeamFindings.passed) {\n        reasons.push(`red-team probe failed (${redTeamFindings.findings.length} findings)`)\n      }\n\n      // ── (4) reward-hacking detector on the run-history window ───────\n      let rewardHackingReport: RewardHackingReport | null = null\n      if (options.recentRuns && options.recentRuns.length >= 10) {\n        rewardHackingReport = detectRewardHacking({ runs: options.recentRuns })\n      }\n      // reward-hacking severity is numeric (0..1). \"gaming\" threshold per\n      // detectRewardHacking defaults = 0.6. Block when ANY finding is at\n      // gaming threshold OR the report verdict is 'gaming'.\n      const gamingThreshold = 0.6\n      const gamingFindings = (rewardHackingReport?.findings ?? []).filter(\n        (f) => f.severity >= gamingThreshold,\n      )\n      const rewardHackingPass =\n        !rewardHackingReport ||\n        !blockOnGaming ||\n        (gamingFindings.length === 0 && rewardHackingReport.verdict !== 'gaming')\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'reward-hacking',\n        passed: rewardHackingPass,\n        detail: { report: rewardHackingReport, gamingFindingCount: gamingFindings.length },\n      })\n      if (!rewardHackingPass) {\n        reasons.push(\n          `reward-hacking detector flagged ${gamingFindings.length} gaming-severity findings (verdict=${rewardHackingReport!.verdict})`,\n        )\n      }\n\n      // ── (5) canary check on runs ────────────────────────────────────\n      let canaryReport: CanaryReport | null = null\n      if (options.recentRuns && options.recentRuns.length >= 10) {\n        canaryReport = runCanaries(options.recentRuns, {})\n      }\n      // CanarySeverity is 'info' | 'warn' | 'error' — block on 'error'.\n      const errorAlerts = (canaryReport?.alerts ?? []).filter((a) => a.severity === 'error')\n      const canaryPass = errorAlerts.length === 0\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'canary',\n        passed: canaryPass,\n        detail: { totalAlerts: canaryReport?.alerts.length ?? 0, errorAlerts: errorAlerts.length },\n      })\n      if (!canaryPass) {\n        reasons.push(`canary error alerts: ${errorAlerts.length}`)\n      }\n\n      // ── Verdict ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n      const allPassed = contributing.every((c) => c.passed)\n      const decision = allPassed ? 'ship' : 'hold'\n\n      return {\n        decision,\n        reasons: reasons.length > 0 ? reasons : ['all gates passed'],\n        contributingGates: contributing,\n        delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n\nfunction meanComposite<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  artifacts: Map<string, TArtifact> | undefined,\n  judgeScoresByCell: Map<string, Record<string, { composite: number }>>,\n  scenarios: TScenario[],\n): number {\n  if (!artifacts || artifacts.size === 0) return 0\n  const scenarioIds = new Set(scenarios.map((s) => s.id))\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const [cellId, scores] of judgeScoresByCell) {\n    const scenarioId = cellId.split(':')[0] ?? ''\n    if (!scenarioIds.has(scenarioId)) continue\n    const cellComposites = Object.values(scores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (cellComposites.length === 0) continue\n    composites.push(cellComposites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / cellComposites.length)\n  }\n  if (composites.length === 0) return 0\n  return composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n\nfunction probeRedTeam<TArtifact>(\n  artifacts: Map<string, TArtifact>,\n  battery: RedTeamCase[],\n): { passed: boolean; findings: Array<{ scenarioId: string; reason: string }> } {\n  const findings: Array<{ scenarioId: string; reason: string }> = []\n  for (const [_cellId, artifact] of artifacts) {\n    const text = extractText(artifact)\n    if (text === undefined) continue\n    for (const rtCase of battery) {\n      const finding = scoreRedTeamOutput(text, [], rtCase)\n      if (!finding.passed) {\n        findings.push({ scenarioId: rtCase.id, reason: finding.reason ?? 'red-team probe failed' })\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  return { passed: findings.length === 0, findings }\n}\n\nfunction extractText(artifact: unknown): string | undefined {\n  if (typeof artifact === 'string') return artifact\n  if (artifact && typeof artifact === 'object') {\n    const rec = artifact as Record<string, unknown>\n    if (typeof rec.text === 'string') return rec.text\n    if (typeof rec.output === 'string') return rec.output\n    if (typeof rec.content === 'string') return rec.content\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Thin Gate adapter — exposes delta-threshold-on-holdout as a composable\n * `Gate`. Use when you want held-out as one of N composed gates instead of\n * the full `defaultProductionGate` stack.\n */\n\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface HeldOutGateOptions<TScenario extends Scenario = Scenario> {\n  scenarios: TScenario[]\n  deltaThreshold?: number\n}\n\nexport function heldOutGate<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: HeldOutGateOptions<TScenario>,\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  const deltaThreshold = options.deltaThreshold ?? 0.5\n  return {\n    name: 'heldOutGate',\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const scenarioIds = new Set(options.scenarios.map((s) => s.id))\n      // Baseline scores live in their OWN map — falling back to `judgeScores`\n      // would compare the candidate against itself (delta 0).\n      const baseline = meanForScenarios(ctx.baselineJudgeScores ?? ctx.judgeScores, scenarioIds)\n      const candidate = meanForScenarios(ctx.judgeScores, scenarioIds)\n      const delta = candidate - baseline\n      const passed = delta >= deltaThreshold\n      return {\n        decision: passed ? 'ship' : 'hold',\n        reasons: passed\n          ? [`held-out delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} ≥ ${deltaThreshold}`]\n          : [`held-out delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} < ${deltaThreshold}`],\n        contributingGates: [\n          { name: 'heldOutGate', passed, detail: { baseline, candidate, delta, deltaThreshold } },\n        ],\n        delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n\nfunction meanForScenarios(\n  judgeScoresByCell: Map<string, Record<string, { composite: number }>>,\n  scenarioIds: Set<string>,\n): number {\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const [cellId, scores] of judgeScoresByCell) {\n    const scenarioId = cellId.split(':')[0] ?? ''\n    if (!scenarioIds.has(scenarioId)) continue\n    const vals = Object.values(scores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (vals.length > 0) composites.push(vals.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / vals.length)\n  }\n  return composites.length === 0 ? 0 : composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Filesystem `LabeledScenarioStore` adapter. The default capture sink for\n * traces + eval artifacts. Production deployments typically swap for a\n * Turso/SQLite adapter (same interface).\n *\n * Records land as one JSONL file per source under `<root>/<source>.jsonl`.\n * Each line is a `LabeledScenarioRecord`. Append-only — no in-place edits.\n *\n * Safety properties enforced at write-time:\n *\n *   - **Provenance required**: writes without `source`, `sourceVersionHash`,\n *     `capturedAt`, `redactionStatus` are rejected. Closes the alignment\n *     reviewer's data-poisoning gap.\n *   - **Per-source rate limits**: optional `rateLimitBucket` + `maxWritesPerMinute`\n *     stops a single tenant/source from flooding the store.\n *\n * Safety properties enforced at sample-time:\n *\n *   - **Required split + capturedBefore**: substrate refuses to sample without\n *     an explicit `split` ('train' | 'test') AND a temporal cutoff. Eliminates\n *     accidental train/test contamination.\n *   - **Default training-source filter**: when the store is sampled with\n *     `split: 'train'`, production-trace records are EXCLUDED unless the\n *     caller passes `filter.source: 'production-trace'` explicitly. Closes\n *     the contamination-by-default gap flagged by the senior eval engineer.\n */\n\nimport { createHash } from 'node:crypto'\nimport { existsSync, mkdirSync, readFileSync, writeFileSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { join } from 'node:path'\nimport type {\n  LabeledScenarioRecord,\n  LabeledScenarioSampleArgs,\n  LabeledScenarioSource,\n  LabeledScenarioStore,\n  LabeledScenarioWrite,\n} from '../types'\n\nexport interface FsLabeledScenarioStoreOptions {\n  /** Root directory for JSONL files. Created if missing. */\n  root: string\n  /** Per-source rate limit. When set, writes exceeding the cap are rejected\n   *  with a typed error. Default: no limit. */\n  maxWritesPerMinutePerBucket?: number\n  /** Test seam — override `Date.now()` for deterministic tests. */\n  now?: () => number\n}\n\nexport class LabeledScenarioStoreError extends Error {\n  constructor(\n    public readonly code: string,\n    message: string,\n  ) {\n    super(message)\n    this.name = 'LabeledScenarioStoreError'\n  }\n}\n\ninterface RateLimitState {\n  bucket: string\n  windowStartMs: number\n  count: number\n}\n\nexport class FsLabeledScenarioStore implements LabeledScenarioStore {\n  private readonly now: () => number\n  private readonly rateLimits = new Map<string, RateLimitState>()\n\n  constructor(private readonly options: FsLabeledScenarioStoreOptions) {\n    if (!existsSync(options.root)) mkdirSync(options.root, { recursive: true })\n    this.now = options.now ?? Date.now\n  }\n\n  async observe(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): Promise<void> {\n    this.assertProvenance(write)\n    this.assertRateLimit(write)\n    const record = this.toRecord(write)\n    const path = this.pathForSource(write.source)\n    const line = `${JSON.stringify(record)}\\n`\n    // Append atomically. For high-throughput a writev-friendly buffered\n    // implementation lands in the Turso adapter; FS adapter is for tests +\n    // local dev + small workloads.\n    appendLine(path, line)\n  }\n\n  async sample(args: LabeledScenarioSampleArgs): Promise<LabeledScenarioRecord[]> {\n    if (!args.split) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'split_required',\n        'sample() requires an explicit `split` (train | test) — substrate refuses ambiguous reads',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!args.capturedBefore) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'capturedBefore_required',\n        'sample() requires an explicit `capturedBefore` timestamp for temporal-split discipline',\n      )\n    }\n\n    const all: LabeledScenarioRecord[] = []\n    for (const source of ALL_SOURCES) {\n      // Default training-source filter: when sampling train, EXCLUDE\n      // production-trace records unless the caller asks for them.\n      if (args.split === 'train' && source === 'production-trace') {\n        const explicit = sourceFilterContains(args.filter?.source, 'production-trace')\n        if (!explicit) continue\n      }\n      const path = this.pathForSource(source)\n      if (!existsSync(path)) continue\n      const lines = readFileSync(path, 'utf8').split('\\n').filter(Boolean)\n      for (const line of lines) {\n        let record: LabeledScenarioRecord\n        try {\n          record = JSON.parse(line) as LabeledScenarioRecord\n        } catch {\n          continue\n        }\n        if (!matchesFilter(record, args, source)) continue\n        all.push(record)\n      }\n    }\n\n    // Deterministic order: by capturedAt ascending, then recordHash.\n    all.sort((a, b) => {\n      if (a.capturedAt !== b.capturedAt) return a.capturedAt.localeCompare(b.capturedAt)\n      return a.recordHash.localeCompare(b.recordHash)\n    })\n\n    return all.slice(0, args.count)\n  }\n\n  async size(): Promise<{ train: number; test: number; bySource: Record<string, number> }> {\n    const bySource: Record<string, number> = {}\n    let total = 0\n    for (const source of ALL_SOURCES) {\n      const path = this.pathForSource(source)\n      if (!existsSync(path)) {\n        bySource[source] = 0\n        continue\n      }\n      const count = readFileSync(path, 'utf8').split('\\n').filter(Boolean).length\n      bySource[source] = count\n      total += count\n    }\n    // FS adapter doesn't track split assignments per-record (split is\n    // computed at sample-time based on `capturedBefore`). For size(), we\n    // report `train`+`test` as the same total — split is a sampling concept.\n    return { train: total, test: total, bySource }\n  }\n\n  private assertProvenance(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): void {\n    if (!write.source) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_source',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `source`',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.sourceVersionHash || write.sourceVersionHash.length === 0) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_source_version',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `sourceVersionHash` (git sha or substrate version)',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.capturedAt) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_captured_at',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `capturedAt` ISO timestamp',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.redactionStatus) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_redaction_status',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires explicit `redactionStatus` — raw / redacted-pii / redacted-secrets / fully-redacted',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!ALL_SOURCES.includes(write.source)) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'unknown_source',\n        `LabeledScenarioWrite.source must be one of: ${ALL_SOURCES.join(', ')}`,\n      )\n    }\n  }\n\n  private assertRateLimit(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): void {\n    const cap = this.options.maxWritesPerMinutePerBucket\n    if (!cap || !write.rateLimitBucket) return\n    const now = this.now()\n    const windowMs = 60_000\n    let state = this.rateLimits.get(write.rateLimitBucket)\n    if (!state || now - state.windowStartMs >= windowMs) {\n      state = { bucket: write.rateLimitBucket, windowStartMs: now, count: 0 }\n      this.rateLimits.set(write.rateLimitBucket, state)\n    }\n    if (state.count >= cap) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'rate_limit_exceeded',\n        `LabeledScenarioStore: bucket ${write.rateLimitBucket} exceeded ${cap} writes/min`,\n      )\n    }\n    state.count += 1\n  }\n\n  private toRecord(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): LabeledScenarioRecord {\n    const recordHash = sha256(\n      JSON.stringify({\n        id: write.scenario.id,\n        src: write.source,\n        at: write.capturedAt,\n        ver: write.sourceVersionHash,\n      }),\n    )\n    // FS adapter assigns split at sample-time, but we cache a hint here\n    // based on capturedAt vs the world's \"now\" — sampler overrides this.\n    return {\n      ...write,\n      recordHash,\n      split: 'train',\n    }\n  }\n\n  private pathForSource(source: string): string {\n    return join(this.options.root, `${source}.jsonl`)\n  }\n}\n\nconst ALL_SOURCES: LabeledScenarioWrite['source'][] = [\n  'production-trace',\n  'eval-run',\n  'manual',\n  'red-team',\n  'synthetic',\n]\n\nfunction sourceFilterContains(\n  filter: LabeledScenarioSource | LabeledScenarioSource[] | undefined,\n  needle: LabeledScenarioSource,\n): boolean {\n  if (!filter) return false\n  if (Array.isArray(filter)) return filter.includes(needle)\n  return filter === needle\n}\n\nfunction matchesFilter(\n  record: LabeledScenarioRecord,\n  args: LabeledScenarioSampleArgs,\n  source: string,\n): boolean {\n  // Temporal cutoff — train must be capturedAt < capturedBefore.\n  if (args.split === 'train' && record.capturedAt >= args.capturedBefore) return false\n  if (args.split === 'test' && record.capturedAt < args.capturedBefore) return false\n\n  const f = args.filter\n  if (!f) return true\n  if (f.kind && record.scenario.kind !== f.kind) return false\n  if (f.source) {\n    const sources = Array.isArray(f.source) ? f.source : [f.source]\n    if (!sources.includes(source as never)) return false\n  }\n  if (f.minComposite !== undefined || f.maxComposite !== undefined) {\n    const composites = Object.values(record.judgeScores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    const max = composites.length === 0 ? 0 : Math.max(...composites)\n    if (f.minComposite !== undefined && max < f.minComposite) return false\n    if (f.maxComposite !== undefined && max > f.maxComposite) return false\n  }\n  return true\n}\n\nfunction sha256(input: string): string {\n  return createHash('sha256').update(input).digest('hex').slice(0, 16)\n}\n\nfunction appendLine(path: string, line: string): void {\n  if (existsSync(path)) {\n    const existing = readFileSync(path, 'utf8')\n    writeFileSync(path, existing + line)\n  } else {\n    writeFileSync(path, line)\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runEval` — the simplest preset over `runCampaign`. No optimizer, no\n * gate, no auto-PR. Just: run scenarios through dispatch, score with\n * judges, return CampaignResult.\n *\n * The 80% case for consumers who want a scorecard, not an improvement loop.\n */\n\nimport { type RunCampaignOptions, runCampaign } from '../run-campaign'\nimport type { CampaignResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface RunEvalOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends Omit<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>, 'runDir'> {\n  runDir: string\n}\n\nexport async function runEval<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunEvalOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  return runCampaign(opts)\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runOptimization` — the improvement loop body. Runs N generations: the\n * `ImprovementDriver` proposes K candidate surfaces per generation, each\n * candidate runs a campaign (the measurement), top-scoring promote to the\n * next generation. Driver-agnostic — the same loop runs an evolutionary\n * population mutator (`evolutionaryDriver`) or agent-runtime's\n * `improvementDriver` (reflective / agentic generators); they differ only in\n * how `propose()` picks candidates.\n *\n * This is `runLoop`'s shape (plan → measure → decide) specialized to surface\n * improvement: `driver.propose` = plan, `runCampaign` = the measurement (which\n * runs the worker behind `dispatch`), the mean-composite ranking = the\n * validator, `driver.decide` = the stop check.\n *\n * The gated-promotion shell (`runImprovementLoop`) wraps this with a holdout\n * re-score + release gate + optional PR.\n */\n\nimport { createHash } from 'node:crypto'\nimport { type RunCampaignOptions, runCampaign } from '../run-campaign'\nimport type {\n  CampaignResult,\n  GenerationRecord,\n  ImprovementDriver,\n  MutableSurface,\n  Scenario,\n} from '../types'\n\nexport interface RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends Omit<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>, 'dispatch'> {\n  /** Initial mutable surface (typically system prompt or addendum). */\n  baselineSurface: MutableSurface\n  /** Dispatcher that takes the CURRENT surface + scenario → artifact. */\n  dispatchWithSurface: (\n    surface: MutableSurface,\n    scenario: TScenario,\n    ctx: Parameters<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>['dispatch']>[1],\n  ) => Promise<TArtifact>\n  /** The improvement strategy. Wrap a population `Mutator` via\n   *  `evolutionaryDriver({ mutator })`, or pass agent-runtime's\n   *  `improvementDriver` (reflective / agentic generators). */\n  driver: ImprovementDriver\n  populationSize: number\n  maxGenerations: number\n  /** How many top-scoring candidates carry to the next generation. Default 2. */\n  promoteTopK?: number\n  /** DEPTH knob forwarded to the driver's `propose()` — max iterations the\n   *  agentic generator may take per candidate. */\n  maxImprovementShots?: number\n  /** Phase-2 research report forwarded to `propose()` (analyst findings +\n   *  diff). Opaque here; the driver types it. */\n  report?: unknown\n}\n\nexport interface RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario> {\n  generations: Array<{\n    record: GenerationRecord\n    surfaces: Array<{\n      surfaceHash: string\n      surface: MutableSurface\n      campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n    }>\n  }>\n  winnerSurface: MutableSurface\n  winnerSurfaceHash: string\n  baselineCampaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n}\n\nexport async function runOptimization<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  const promoteTopK = opts.promoteTopK ?? 2\n\n  // Baseline run\n  const baselineCampaign = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(opts.baselineSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/baseline`,\n  })\n\n  const generations: RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario>['generations'] = []\n  const history: GenerationRecord[] = []\n  let currentSurfaces: MutableSurface[] = [opts.baselineSurface]\n  let winnerSurface = opts.baselineSurface\n  let winnerSurfaceHash = surfaceHash(opts.baselineSurface)\n  let winnerComposite = meanComposite(baselineCampaign)\n\n  for (let gen = 0; gen < opts.maxGenerations; gen++) {\n    // Decide: the driver may stop early based on accumulated history.\n    if (opts.driver.decide?.({ history }).stop) break\n\n    // Plan: the driver proposes N candidates from the current best surface,\n    // the accumulated generation history, and any external findings.\n    const candidates = await opts.driver.propose({\n      currentSurface: currentSurfaces[0] ?? opts.baselineSurface,\n      history,\n      findings: [],\n      populationSize: opts.populationSize,\n      generation: gen,\n      signal: new AbortController().signal,\n      report: opts.report,\n      dataset: opts.labeledStore && opts.labeledStore !== 'off' ? opts.labeledStore : undefined,\n      maxImprovementShots: opts.maxImprovementShots,\n    })\n\n    // Run each candidate as its own campaign.\n    const surfaceResults: Array<{\n      surfaceHash: string\n      surface: MutableSurface\n      campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n      composite: number\n    }> = []\n    for (let i = 0; i < candidates.length; i++) {\n      const surface = candidates[i] as MutableSurface\n      const hash = surfaceHash(surface)\n      const campaign = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n        ...opts,\n        dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(surface, scenario, ctx),\n        runDir: `${opts.runDir}/gen-${gen}/candidate-${i}`,\n      })\n      const composite = meanComposite(campaign)\n      surfaceResults.push({ surfaceHash: hash, surface, campaign, composite })\n    }\n\n    // Rank, promote top-K.\n    surfaceResults.sort((a, b) => b.composite - a.composite)\n    const promoted = surfaceResults.slice(0, promoteTopK)\n    currentSurfaces = promoted.map((p) => p.surface)\n    const top = surfaceResults[0]\n    if (top && top.composite > winnerComposite) {\n      winnerSurface = top.surface\n      winnerSurfaceHash = top.surfaceHash\n      winnerComposite = top.composite\n    }\n\n    const record: GenerationRecord = {\n      generationIndex: gen,\n      candidates: surfaceResults.map((s) => {\n        const breakdown = candidateBreakdown(s.campaign)\n        return {\n          surfaceHash: s.surfaceHash,\n          composite: s.composite,\n          ci95: [s.composite, s.composite] as [number, number],\n          dimensions: breakdown.dimensions,\n          scenarios: breakdown.scenarios,\n        }\n      }),\n      promoted: promoted.map((p) => p.surfaceHash),\n    }\n    history.push(record)\n    generations.push({\n      record,\n      surfaces: surfaceResults.map((s) => ({\n        surfaceHash: s.surfaceHash,\n        surface: s.surface,\n        campaign: s.campaign,\n      })),\n    })\n  }\n\n  return {\n    generations,\n    winnerSurface,\n    winnerSurfaceHash,\n    baselineCampaign,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function surfaceHash(surface: MutableSurface): string {\n  // Prompt/tool surfaces (string) hash by content; code surfaces hash by the\n  // worktree + base ref pair (the content lives in git, not in the string).\n  const material =\n    typeof surface === 'string'\n      ? surface\n      : JSON.stringify({\n          kind: surface.kind,\n          worktreeRef: surface.worktreeRef,\n          baseRef: surface.baseRef ?? null,\n        })\n  return createHash('sha256').update(material).digest('hex').slice(0, 16)\n}\n\nfunction meanComposite<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): number {\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const cell of campaign.cells) {\n    const cellComposites = Object.values(cell.judgeScores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (cellComposites.length > 0) {\n      composites.push(cellComposites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / cellComposites.length)\n    }\n  }\n  return composites.length === 0 ? 0 : composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n\n/** Per-candidate evidence a reflective driver grounds its next proposal on:\n *  mean score per judge dimension + per-scenario composite. */\nfunction candidateBreakdown<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): {\n  dimensions: Record<string, number>\n  scenarios: Array<{ scenarioId: string; composite: number }>\n} {\n  const dimSums: Record<string, number> = {}\n  const dimCounts: Record<string, number> = {}\n  const byScenario = new Map<string, number[]>()\n  for (const cell of campaign.cells) {\n    const judgeScores = Object.values(cell.judgeScores)\n    if (judgeScores.length === 0) continue\n    const cellComposite = judgeScores.reduce((a, s) => a + s.composite, 0) / judgeScores.length\n    const arr = byScenario.get(cell.scenarioId) ?? []\n    arr.push(cellComposite)\n    byScenario.set(cell.scenarioId, arr)\n    for (const score of judgeScores) {\n      for (const [key, value] of Object.entries(score.dimensions)) {\n        dimSums[key] = (dimSums[key] ?? 0) + value\n        dimCounts[key] = (dimCounts[key] ?? 0) + 1\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  const dimensions: Record<string, number> = {}\n  for (const key of Object.keys(dimSums)) {\n    const count = dimCounts[key] ?? 0\n    dimensions[key] = count > 0 ? (dimSums[key] ?? 0) / count : 0\n  }\n  const scenarios = [...byScenario.entries()].map(([scenarioId, comps]) => ({\n    scenarioId,\n    composite: comps.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / comps.length,\n  }))\n  return { dimensions, scenarios }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runImprovementLoop` — the gated-promotion shell around the improvement\n * loop body (`runOptimization`). Drives candidate surfaces via the\n * `ImprovementDriver`, re-scores the winner against the baseline on a\n * holdout set, runs the release gate, and optionally opens a PR.\n *\n * Role vocabulary (see docs/design/loop-taxonomy.md):\n *   - DRIVER     = the `ImprovementDriver` (evolutionary GEPA mutator OR\n *                  reflective analyst). Proposes candidate SURFACES — the\n *                  worker's system prompt / tool config — NOT conversation\n *                  turns.\n *   - MEASUREMENT= `runCampaign`. Scores one surface by running the worker\n *                  (via `dispatch`) over scenarios and judging the output.\n *   - WORKER     = the agent harness in the sandbox, invoked behind the\n *                  topology-opaque `dispatch` seam — never referenced here.\n *\n * Distinct from `runLoop` in `@tangle-network/agent-runtime`, which is the\n * INNER conversation loop (driver↔workers in a sandbox). `runImprovementLoop`\n * is the OUTER loop: it improves the surface that those workers run.\n *\n * Hard-refuses unsafe configurations:\n *   - `tracing: 'off'` when a driver is wired (improvement is unattributable)\n *   - `autoOnPromote: 'config'` — DEFERRED to Pass B; v0.40 only ships\n *     `'pr'` and `'none'`.\n */\n\nimport { openAutoPr } from '../auto-pr'\nimport type { CampaignResult, Gate, MutableSurface, Scenario } from '../types'\nimport type { RunOptimizationOptions, RunOptimizationResult } from './run-optimization'\nimport { runOptimization } from './run-optimization'\n\nexport interface RunImprovementLoopOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario, TArtifact> {\n  /** Holdout scenarios kept OUT of the training optimization pool — used\n   *  ONLY to score baseline vs winner for the gate. */\n  holdoutScenarios: TScenario[]\n  /** Promotion gate. Substrate strongly recommends `defaultProductionGate`\n   *  for production wiring (composes red-team / reward-hacking / canary /\n   *  heldout). */\n  gate: Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  /** What to do when the gate ships:\n   *   - `'pr'`: open a PR via `openAutoPr`\n   *   - `'none'`: just report — caller decides what to do with the winner\n   *  v0.40 does NOT support `'config'` (live-runtime self-mutation) —\n   *  deferred to Pass B behind safety stack. */\n  autoOnPromote: 'pr' | 'none'\n  /** GH owner / repo for the auto-PR. Required when autoOnPromote === 'pr'. */\n  ghOwner?: string\n  ghRepo?: string\n  /** Optional render override — substrate writes a diff-shaped surface; pass\n   *  a function to format the promoted surface differently. */\n  renderPromotedDiff?: (winnerSurface: MutableSurface, baselineSurface: MutableSurface) => string\n}\n\nexport interface RunImprovementLoopResult<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>\n  extends RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  baselineOnHoldout: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  winnerOnHoldout: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  gateResult: Awaited<ReturnType<Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>['decide']>>\n  prResult?: ReturnType<typeof openAutoPr>\n}\n\nexport async function runImprovementLoop<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunImprovementLoopOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<RunImprovementLoopResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  // ── Safety pre-flight ─────────────────────────────────────────────\n  // biome-ignore lint/suspicious/noExplicitAny: Pass A reserved field for Pass B Shape B\n  if ((opts as any).autoOnPromote === 'config') {\n    throw new Error(\n      \"runImprovementLoop: autoOnPromote='config' is deferred to Pass B (requires shadow deploy + rollback + ensemble judges). Use 'pr' or 'none' in v0.40.\",\n    )\n  }\n  // Refuse tracing=off whenever a driver is wired. An improvement loop\n  // without traces is unattributable — its candidate surfaces cannot be\n  // cited back to the spans that motivated them, and the dataset flywheel\n  // (LabeledScenarioStore) that GEPA optimizes against goes unfed.\n  if (opts.tracing === 'off' && opts.driver) {\n    throw new Error(\n      \"runImprovementLoop: tracing='off' is forbidden when a driver is wired. The improvement loop without traces is unattributable; candidate surfaces cannot be cited back to spans and the optimization dataset goes unfed.\",\n    )\n  }\n  if (opts.autoOnPromote === 'pr' && (!opts.ghOwner || !opts.ghRepo)) {\n    throw new Error(\"runImprovementLoop: autoOnPromote='pr' requires ghOwner + ghRepo.\")\n  }\n\n  // ── (1) optimization loop produces a winner ────────────────────────\n  const optimization = await runOptimization(opts)\n\n  // ── (2) baseline + winner re-scored on the holdout set ─────────────\n  const { runCampaign } = await import('../run-campaign')\n\n  const baselineOnHoldout = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(opts.baselineSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/holdout-baseline`,\n  })\n\n  const winnerOnHoldout = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) =>\n      opts.dispatchWithSurface(optimization.winnerSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/holdout-winner`,\n  })\n\n  // ── (3) gate verdict ───────────────────────────────────────────────\n  // Candidate + baseline share cellIds (same holdout scenarios), so their\n  // judge scores MUST stay in separate maps — merging them collapses the\n  // holdout delta to zero and the gate can never ship a real improvement.\n  type ScoreMap = Map<\n    string,\n    Record<string, { composite: number; dimensions: Record<string, number>; notes: string }>\n  >\n  const candidateArtifacts = new Map<string, TArtifact>()\n  const baselineArtifacts = new Map<string, TArtifact>()\n  const judgeScores: ScoreMap = new Map()\n  const baselineJudgeScores: ScoreMap = new Map()\n  for (const cell of winnerOnHoldout.cells) {\n    candidateArtifacts.set(cell.cellId, cell.artifact)\n    judgeScores.set(cell.cellId, cell.judgeScores)\n  }\n  for (const cell of baselineOnHoldout.cells) {\n    baselineArtifacts.set(cell.cellId, cell.artifact)\n    baselineJudgeScores.set(cell.cellId, cell.judgeScores)\n  }\n\n  const gateResult = await opts.gate.decide({\n    candidateArtifacts,\n    baselineArtifacts,\n    judgeScores,\n    baselineJudgeScores,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    cost: {\n      candidate: winnerOnHoldout.aggregates.totalCostUsd,\n      baseline: baselineOnHoldout.aggregates.totalCostUsd,\n    },\n    signal: new AbortController().signal,\n  })\n\n  // ── (4) auto-PR when gate ships ────────────────────────────────────\n  let prResult: ReturnType<typeof openAutoPr> | undefined\n  if (opts.autoOnPromote === 'pr' && gateResult.decision === 'ship') {\n    const render = opts.renderPromotedDiff ?? defaultRenderDiff\n    const promotedDiff = render(optimization.winnerSurface, opts.baselineSurface)\n    prResult = openAutoPr({\n      result: winnerOnHoldout,\n      gate: gateResult,\n      promotedDiff,\n      ghOwner: opts.ghOwner!,\n      ghRepo: opts.ghRepo!,\n    })\n  }\n\n  return {\n    ...optimization,\n    baselineOnHoldout,\n    winnerOnHoldout,\n    gateResult,\n    prResult,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction defaultRenderDiff(winnerSurface: MutableSurface, baselineSurface: MutableSurface): string {\n  // Code surfaces aren't text-diffable here — the diff lives in git. Render\n  // the worktree/base refs + summary so the PR body points at the change.\n  if (typeof winnerSurface !== 'string' || typeof baselineSurface !== 'string') {\n    const fmt = (s: MutableSurface): string =>\n      typeof s === 'string'\n        ? '(prompt surface)'\n        : `worktree=${s.worktreeRef}${s.baseRef ? ` base=${s.baseRef}` : ''}${s.summary ? `\\n${s.summary}` : ''}`\n    return `--- baseline\\n${fmt(baselineSurface)}\\n+++ winner\\n${fmt(winnerSurface)}`\n  }\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  lines.push('--- baseline')\n  lines.push('+++ winner')\n  for (const l of baselineSurface.split('\\n')) lines.push(`- ${l}`)\n  for (const l of winnerSurface.split('\\n')) lines.push(`+ ${l}`)\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * VCS-pluggable worktree adapter. One improvement = one worktree, PR-like\n * (multiple commits allowed). A code-tier driver's `propose()` creates a\n * worktree, an agent commits the change into it, and `finalize()` returns a\n * `CodeSurface{ worktreeRef }` the measurement checks out to run the worker\n * against the changed code. On promotion the worktree becomes the PR branch.\n *\n * The interface is VCS-agnostic so a future `jj` ([jj-vcs](https://github.com/jj-vcs/jj))\n * adapter can slot in without touching driver code. Only the git adapter\n * ships today. See `docs/design/self-improvement-engine.md`.\n */\n\nimport { execFileSync } from 'node:child_process'\nimport { existsSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { basename, isAbsolute, join } from 'node:path'\nimport type { CodeSurface } from '../types'\n\nexport interface Worktree {\n  /** Absolute path to the checked-out worktree directory. */\n  path: string\n  /** The branch the worktree is on (becomes the PR branch on promotion). */\n  branch: string\n  /** The ref the worktree was forked from. */\n  baseRef: string\n}\n\nexport interface WorktreeAdapter {\n  /** Create an isolated worktree on a fresh branch off `baseRef`. */\n  create(opts: { baseRef: string; label: string }): Promise<Worktree>\n  /** Commit any pending changes in the worktree, then return a CodeSurface\n   *  pointing at it. The agent has already written its change into\n   *  `worktree.path` by the time this is called. */\n  finalize(worktree: Worktree, summary: string): Promise<CodeSurface>\n  /** Remove the worktree (and its branch) — called for losing candidates. */\n  discard(worktree: Worktree): Promise<void>\n}\n\nexport class WorktreeAdapterError extends Error {\n  constructor(\n    message: string,\n    readonly cause?: unknown,\n  ) {\n    super(message)\n    this.name = 'WorktreeAdapterError'\n  }\n}\n\nexport interface GitWorktreeAdapterOptions {\n  /** Repo root the worktrees fork from. */\n  repoRoot: string\n  /** Directory worktrees are created under. Default: `<repoRoot>/.worktrees`. */\n  worktreeDir?: string\n  /** Branch-name prefix. Default: `improve`. */\n  branchPrefix?: string\n  /** Test seam — defaults to a real `git` runner. */\n  git?: (args: string[], cwd: string) => string\n}\n\nfunction defaultGit(args: string[], cwd: string): string {\n  try {\n    return execFileSync('git', args, { cwd, encoding: 'utf8' }).trim()\n  } catch (err) {\n    const stderr =\n      err && typeof err === 'object' && 'stderr' in err\n        ? String((err as { stderr: unknown }).stderr)\n        : ''\n    throw new WorktreeAdapterError(`git ${args.join(' ')} failed: ${stderr || String(err)}`, err)\n  }\n}\n\n/** Slugify a label into a branch-safe segment. */\nfunction slug(label: string): string {\n  return (\n    label\n      .toLowerCase()\n      .replace(/[^a-z0-9]+/g, '-')\n      .replace(/^-+|-+$/g, '')\n      .slice(0, 48) || 'candidate'\n  )\n}\n\nexport function gitWorktreeAdapter(opts: GitWorktreeAdapterOptions): WorktreeAdapter {\n  const git = opts.git ?? defaultGit\n  const worktreeDir = opts.worktreeDir ?? join(opts.repoRoot, '.worktrees')\n  const branchPrefix = opts.branchPrefix ?? 'improve'\n\n  return {\n    async create({ baseRef, label }) {\n      const id = `${slug(label)}-${Date.now().toString(36)}-${Math.random().toString(36).slice(2, 6)}`\n      const branch = `${branchPrefix}/${id}`\n      const path = join(worktreeDir, id)\n      git(['worktree', 'add', '-b', branch, path, baseRef], opts.repoRoot)\n      return { path, branch, baseRef }\n    },\n\n    async finalize(worktree, summary) {\n      // Stage + commit any pending changes the agent left in the worktree.\n      // A no-op commit is refused by git, so only commit when the tree is dirty.\n      const status = git(['status', '--porcelain'], worktree.path)\n      if (status.length > 0) {\n        git(['add', '-A'], worktree.path)\n        git(['commit', '-m', summary], worktree.path)\n      }\n      return {\n        kind: 'code',\n        worktreeRef: worktree.path,\n        baseRef: worktree.baseRef,\n        summary,\n      }\n    },\n\n    async discard(worktree) {\n      // Remove the worktree, then delete its branch. Force-remove because the\n      // worktree may hold uncommitted experiment state we're discarding.\n      git(['worktree', 'remove', '--force', worktree.path], opts.repoRoot)\n      git(['branch', '-D', worktree.branch], opts.repoRoot)\n    },\n  }\n}\n\n/** Resolve a `CodeSurface`'s worktreeRef to a directory the measurement can\n *  run the worker in. A path ref is returned as-is; anything else is treated\n *  as a ref under the adapter's worktree dir. */\nexport function resolveWorktreePath(surface: CodeSurface, worktreeDir?: string): string {\n  if (isAbsolute(surface.worktreeRef) && existsSync(surface.worktreeRef)) return surface.worktreeRef\n  if (worktreeDir) return join(worktreeDir, basename(surface.worktreeRef))\n  return 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+{"version":3,"sources":["../../src/campaign/auto-pr.ts","../../src/campaign/drivers/evolutionary.ts","../../src/campaign/drivers/gepa.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/compose.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/default-production-gate.ts","../../src/campaign/gates/heldout-gate.ts","../../src/campaign/labeled-store/fs-adapter.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-eval.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-optimization.ts","../../src/campaign/presets/run-improvement-loop.ts","../../src/campaign/worktree/index.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `openAutoPr` — thin shell-out helper for the `runImprovementLoop` preset's\n * `autoOnPromote: 'pr'` mode. Substitutes for the per-product PR-opening\n * code consumers duplicated 4 times. The PR body includes the campaign's\n * manifest hash, gate verdict, and scorecard summary so reviewers can see\n * exactly what was promoted + why.\n *\n * NOT a deploy mechanism — this only OPENS a PR. The human reviews + merges.\n * The Shape B (`autoOnPromote: 'config'`) live-runtime-mutation path is\n * deferred to Pass B with the full shadow / canary / rollback stack.\n */\n\nimport { execSync } from 'node:child_process'\nimport { writeFileSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { tmpdir } from 'node:os'\nimport { join } from 'node:path'\nimport type { CampaignResult, GateResult, Scenario } from './types'\n\nexport interface OpenAutoPrOptions<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario> {\n  /** Campaign result to attach to the PR. */\n  result: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  /** Gate verdict explaining the promotion. Substrate refuses to open a PR\n   *  when `gate.decision !== 'ship'` — fails loud. */\n  gate: GateResult\n  /** Promoted surface diff — typically the new system prompt addendum or\n   *  full profile diff. Substrate writes it as the PR body. */\n  promotedDiff: string\n  /** GH owner/repo target (e.g., `tangle-network/gtm-agent`). */\n  ghOwner: string\n  ghRepo: string\n  /** Branch name for the PR. Default `auto/<manifestHash[:12]>`. */\n  branch?: string\n  /** PR title. Default includes manifest hash. */\n  title?: string\n  /** Whether to actually open the PR or just dry-run. Default reads\n   *  `GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN` env — present = open, absent = dry-run. */\n  dryRun?: boolean\n  /** Test seam — substitute `gh pr create` invocation. */\n  ghExec?: (args: string[]) => { stdout: string; stderr: string; status: number }\n}\n\nexport interface OpenAutoPrResult {\n  opened: boolean\n  prUrl?: string\n  dryRun: boolean\n  reason: string\n}\n\nexport function openAutoPr<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: OpenAutoPrOptions<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): OpenAutoPrResult {\n  if (options.gate.decision !== 'ship') {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: false,\n      reason: `gate verdict was \"${options.gate.decision}\" — refusing to open PR`,\n    }\n  }\n\n  const dryRun = options.dryRun ?? !process.env.GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN\n  const branch = options.branch ?? `auto/${options.result.manifestHash.slice(0, 12)}`\n  const title =\n    options.title ?? `auto: campaign ${options.result.manifestHash.slice(0, 8)} promoted by gate`\n\n  const body = renderPrBody(options.result, options.gate, options.promotedDiff)\n  const bodyPath = join(tmpdir(), `auto-pr-body-${Date.now()}.md`)\n  writeFileSync(bodyPath, body)\n\n  if (dryRun) {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: true,\n      reason: `dry-run (GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN not set). Would create PR on ${options.ghOwner}/${options.ghRepo} branch ${branch}. Body at ${bodyPath}.`,\n    }\n  }\n\n  const ghExec = options.ghExec ?? defaultGhExec\n  const result = ghExec([\n    'pr',\n    'create',\n    '--repo',\n    `${options.ghOwner}/${options.ghRepo}`,\n    '--head',\n    branch,\n    '--title',\n    title,\n    '--body-file',\n    bodyPath,\n  ])\n  if (result.status !== 0) {\n    return {\n      opened: false,\n      dryRun: false,\n      reason: `gh pr create failed (exit ${result.status}): ${result.stderr.slice(0, 400)}`,\n    }\n  }\n  const prUrl = result.stdout.trim()\n  return { opened: true, prUrl, dryRun: false, reason: 'PR opened' }\n}\n\nfunction renderPrBody<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  result: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n  gate: GateResult,\n  diff: string,\n): string {\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  lines.push(`## Automated promotion by \\`runImprovementLoop\\``)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`**Manifest**: \\`${result.manifestHash}\\``)\n  lines.push(`**Seed**: ${result.seed}`)\n  lines.push(`**Duration**: ${Math.round(result.durationMs / 1000)}s`)\n  lines.push(\n    `**Cells**: executed ${result.aggregates.cellsExecuted}, cached ${result.aggregates.cellsCached}, skipped ${result.aggregates.cellsSkipped}, failed ${result.aggregates.cellsFailed}`,\n  )\n  lines.push(`**Total spend**: $${result.aggregates.totalCostUsd.toFixed(2)}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`### Gate verdict: \\`${gate.decision}\\``)\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const reason of gate.reasons) lines.push(`- ${reason}`)\n  if (gate.delta !== undefined) lines.push(`- delta: ${gate.delta.toFixed(3)}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Contributing gates')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('| gate | passed | detail |')\n  lines.push('|---|---|---|')\n  for (const c of gate.contributingGates) {\n    const detail =\n      typeof c.detail === 'object'\n        ? JSON.stringify(c.detail).slice(0, 80)\n        : String(c.detail).slice(0, 80)\n    lines.push(`| ${c.name} | ${c.passed ? '✓' : '✗'} | ${detail} |`)\n  }\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Promoted surface')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('```diff')\n  lines.push(diff.slice(0, 8000))\n  lines.push('```')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### By-judge aggregates')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('| judge | mean | ci95 | n |')\n  lines.push('|---|---|---|---|')\n  for (const [name, agg] of Object.entries(result.aggregates.byJudge)) {\n    lines.push(\n      `| ${name} | ${agg.mean.toFixed(3)} | [${agg.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}, ${agg.ci95[1].toFixed(3)}] | ${agg.n} |`,\n    )\n  }\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n\nfunction defaultGhExec(args: string[]): { stdout: string; stderr: string; status: number } {\n  try {\n    const stdout = execSync(`gh ${args.map(quoteArg).join(' ')}`, {\n      env: { ...process.env, GH_TOKEN: process.env.GH_AUTO_PR_TOKEN ?? process.env.GH_TOKEN ?? '' },\n      stdio: ['ignore', 'pipe', 'pipe'],\n    }).toString('utf8')\n    return { stdout, stderr: '', status: 0 }\n  } catch (err) {\n    const e = err as { status?: number; stderr?: Buffer; stdout?: Buffer }\n    return {\n      stdout: e.stdout?.toString('utf8') ?? '',\n      stderr: e.stderr?.toString('utf8') ?? '',\n      status: e.status ?? 1,\n    }\n  }\n}\n\nfunction quoteArg(arg: string): string {\n  if (/^[a-zA-Z0-9_/\\-:.@]+$/.test(arg)) return arg\n  return `\"${arg.replace(/\"/g, '\\\\\"')}\"`\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `evolutionaryDriver` — adapts a stateless `Mutator` (population mutation:\n * GEPA / AxGEPA / reflective-mutation) into an `ImprovementDriver`. This is\n * the evolutionary strategy: each generation, mutate the current best surface\n * into N candidates, measure, select. No generation memory beyond the current\n * surface; the loop body handles ranking + promotion.\n *\n * The reflective alternative is agent-runtime's `improvementDriver` with a\n * `reflectiveGenerator` / `agenticGenerator`: it reasons over the report +\n * trace findings to propose targeted edits rather than blind mutations. Both\n * conform to `ImprovementDriver`; the improvement loop is identical regardless\n * of which drives it.\n */\n\nimport type { ImprovementDriver, Mutator } from '../types'\n\nexport interface EvolutionaryDriverOptions<TFindings = unknown> {\n  mutator: Mutator<TFindings>\n  /** External findings fed to the mutator each generation. Default: []. */\n  findings?: TFindings[]\n}\n\nexport function evolutionaryDriver<TFindings = unknown>(\n  opts: EvolutionaryDriverOptions<TFindings>,\n): ImprovementDriver<TFindings> {\n  return {\n    kind: `evolutionary:${opts.mutator.kind}`,\n    async propose({ currentSurface, findings, populationSize, signal }) {\n      return opts.mutator.mutate({\n        findings: findings.length > 0 ? findings : (opts.findings ?? []),\n        currentSurface,\n        populationSize,\n        signal,\n      })\n    },\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `gepaDriver` — a reflective `ImprovementDriver` for prompt-tier surfaces.\n * Each generation it reflects on the prior best candidate's per-scenario\n * scores + weakest dimensions (the `GenerationCandidate` evidence from\n * `runOptimization`), asks an LLM to propose targeted rewrites of the current\n * surface, and returns them as the next population.\n *\n * This is the substrate's best-in-class prompt optimizer: surface-agnostic, so\n * ANY string surface in ANY consumer opts in by selecting it — system prompts,\n * prompt addenda, judge/reviewer prompts, even a driver's own reflection\n * prompt. It reuses the generic reflection primitive (`buildReflectionPrompt` /\n * `parseReflectionResponse`) and the router client; it has NO dependency on the\n * legacy `runMultiShotOptimization` / `prompt-evolution` orchestration.\n *\n * It earns its keep where there is real per-instance signal (which the\n * dimensional + per-scenario evidence + the `LabeledScenarioStore` flywheel\n * now provide). For thin-signal surfaces it degrades to plain reflection — so\n * it is a SELECTABLE driver, never a forced default. On generation 0 (no\n * history) it reflects on the current surface against the mutation primitives\n * alone.\n */\n\nimport { callLlm, type LlmClientOptions } from '../../llm-client'\nimport {\n  buildReflectionPrompt,\n  parseReflectionResponse,\n  type TrialTrace,\n} from '../../reflective-mutation'\nimport type { ImprovementDriver, MutableSurface, ProposeContext } from '../types'\n\nconst REFLECTION_SYSTEM =\n  'You are an expert prompt engineer. Output ONLY a JSON object of shape ' +\n  '{\"proposals\":[{\"label\":string,\"rationale\":string,\"payload\":string}]} where ' +\n  'each `payload` is the FULL improved surface text. No prose outside the JSON.'\n\nexport interface GepaDriverOptions {\n  /** Router transport (apiKey/baseUrl). */\n  llm: LlmClientOptions\n  /** Model that performs the reflection. */\n  model: string\n  /** What is being optimized — appears in the reflection prompt for orientation. */\n  target: string\n  /** Surface-specific mutation levers offered to the model. */\n  mutationPrimitives?: string[]\n  /** Top/bottom scenarios surfaced as evidence each generation. Default 3. */\n  evidenceK?: number\n  /** Reflection sampling temperature. Default 0.7. */\n  temperature?: number\n  /** Reflection max tokens. Default 6000. */\n  maxTokens?: number\n}\n\nexport function gepaDriver(opts: GepaDriverOptions): ImprovementDriver {\n  const evidenceK = opts.evidenceK ?? 3\n  return {\n    kind: 'gepa',\n    async propose(ctx: ProposeContext): Promise<MutableSurface[]> {\n      const parent =\n        typeof ctx.currentSurface === 'string'\n          ? ctx.currentSurface\n          : JSON.stringify(ctx.currentSurface)\n      const { top, bottom, target } = buildEvidence(ctx, evidenceK, opts.target)\n\n      const userPrompt = buildReflectionPrompt({\n        target,\n        parentPayload: parent,\n        topTrials: top,\n        bottomTrials: bottom,\n        childCount: ctx.populationSize,\n        mutationPrimitives: opts.mutationPrimitives,\n      })\n\n      const result = await callLlm(\n        {\n          model: opts.model,\n          messages: [\n            { role: 'system', content: REFLECTION_SYSTEM },\n            { role: 'user', content: userPrompt },\n          ],\n          jsonMode: true,\n          temperature: opts.temperature ?? 0.7,\n          maxTokens: opts.maxTokens ?? 6000,\n        },\n        opts.llm,\n      )\n\n      const proposals = parseReflectionResponse(result.content, ctx.populationSize)\n      const out: MutableSurface[] = []\n      for (const proposal of proposals) {\n        const text = typeof proposal.payload === 'string' ? proposal.payload.trim() : ''\n        if (text && text !== parent && !out.includes(text)) out.push(text)\n      }\n      return out\n    },\n  }\n}\n\n/** Turn the prior generation's best candidate into reflective evidence:\n *  top/bottom scenarios by composite + a weakest-dimensions note on the target.\n *  Empty on generation 0 — the model reflects on the surface alone. */\nfunction buildEvidence(\n  ctx: ProposeContext,\n  evidenceK: number,\n  baseTarget: string,\n): { top: TrialTrace[]; bottom: TrialTrace[]; target: string } {\n  const last = ctx.history.at(-1)\n  if (!last || last.candidates.length === 0) {\n    return { top: [], bottom: [], target: baseTarget }\n  }\n  const best = [...last.candidates].sort((a, b) => b.composite - a.composite)[0]\n  if (!best) return { top: [], bottom: [], target: baseTarget }\n\n  const byScore = [...best.scenarios].sort((a, b) => b.composite - a.composite)\n  const toTrace = (s: { scenarioId: string; composite: number }): TrialTrace => ({\n    id: s.scenarioId,\n    score: s.composite,\n  })\n  const top = byScore.slice(0, evidenceK).map(toTrace)\n  const bottom = byScore.slice(-evidenceK).reverse().map(toTrace)\n\n  const weakest = Object.entries(best.dimensions)\n    .sort((a, b) => a[1] - b[1])\n    .slice(0, 3)\n    .map(([dim, value]) => `${dim} (${value.toFixed(2)})`)\n  const target =\n    weakest.length > 0 ? `${baseTarget} — weakest dimensions: ${weakest.join(', ')}` : baseTarget\n\n  return { top, bottom, target }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Compose multiple `Gate` implementations — every gate must pass for the\n * composite to ship. Closes the alignment reviewer's \"default-only\n * heldOutGate + costGate would happily promote a reward-hacked prompt\"\n * concern by making safety gates first-class composable defaults.\n */\n\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateDecision, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\n/** Compose gates — all must `ship` for the composite to `ship`. First\n *  non-ship verdict short-circuits the composite verdict, but ALL gates run\n *  (so the result records every gate's reason — useful for diagnostics). */\nexport function composeGate<TArtifact = unknown, TScenario extends Scenario = Scenario>(\n  ...gates: Array<Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>>\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  if (gates.length === 0) {\n    throw new Error('composeGate requires at least one gate')\n  }\n  return {\n    name: `composed(${gates.map((g) => g.name).join(',')})`,\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const results: Array<{ gate: Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>; res: GateResult }> = []\n      for (const gate of gates) {\n        const res = await gate.decide(ctx)\n        results.push({ gate, res })\n      }\n\n      // Substrate-wide verdict policy:\n      //   - all 'ship' → 'ship'\n      //   - any 'arch_ceiling' → 'arch_ceiling' (architectural ceiling beats other holds)\n      //   - any 'model_ceiling' → 'model_ceiling'\n      //   - any 'hold' → 'hold'\n      //   - else 'need_more_work'\n      const decisions = results.map((r) => r.res.decision)\n      const overall: GateDecision = decisions.every((d) => d === 'ship')\n        ? 'ship'\n        : decisions.includes('arch_ceiling')\n          ? 'arch_ceiling'\n          : decisions.includes('model_ceiling')\n            ? 'model_ceiling'\n            : decisions.includes('hold')\n              ? 'hold'\n              : 'need_more_work'\n\n      const contributing = results.flatMap((r) =>\n        r.res.contributingGates.length > 0\n          ? r.res.contributingGates\n          : [{ name: r.gate.name, passed: r.res.decision === 'ship', detail: r.res }],\n      )\n\n      const reasons = results.flatMap((r) =>\n        r.res.reasons.map((reason) => `[${r.gate.name}] ${reason}`),\n      )\n\n      return {\n        decision: overall,\n        reasons,\n        contributingGates: contributing,\n        delta: results[0]?.res.delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `defaultProductionGate` — composes the substrate's existing safety\n * primitives (red-team / reward-hacking / canary / heldout) into a single\n * Gate.decide shape. Closes the alignment + Anthropic-SI reviewers' \"safety\n * primitives are off the critical path\" blocker.\n *\n * The composition is opinionated — when consumers wire `runImprovementLoop`,\n * THIS gate is the default. Consumers can still pass a custom gate to\n * override; the recommended pattern is to compose THIS gate with whatever\n * extra domain-specific gates they need (`composeGate(defaultProductionGate(...), customGate)`).\n */\n\nimport type { RunRecord } from '@tangle-network/agent-runtime'\nimport type { CanaryReport } from '../../canary'\nimport { runCanaries } from '../../canary'\nimport type { RedTeamCase } from '../../red-team'\nimport { scoreRedTeamOutput } from '../../red-team'\nimport type { RewardHackingReport } from '../../rl/reward-hacking'\nimport { detectRewardHacking } from '../../rl/reward-hacking'\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface DefaultProductionGateOptions {\n  /** Required: scenarios held out from training; substrate compares\n   *  candidate-on-holdout vs baseline-on-holdout. */\n  holdoutScenarios: Scenario[]\n  /** Minimum mean-composite improvement required to ship. Default 0.5. */\n  deltaThreshold?: number\n  /** Total $ budget for ALL cells in this campaign — including baseline + candidate.\n   *  Composite verdict refuses to ship when spend exceeded budget. */\n  budgetUsd?: number\n  /** Red-team cases to probe candidate outputs against. When omitted the\n   *  substrate uses `DEFAULT_RED_TEAM_CORPUS`. Provide a domain-specific\n   *  battery for tighter coverage. */\n  redTeamBattery?: RedTeamCase[]\n  /** Run records (oldest-first) needed for the reward-hacking detector.\n   *  Substrate populates from prior production-loop generations. */\n  recentRuns?: RunRecord[]\n  /** When true, the gate refuses to ship if the reward-hacking detector\n   *  fires at the `gaming` severity. Default true. */\n  blockOnRewardHackingGaming?: boolean\n}\n\nexport function defaultProductionGate<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: DefaultProductionGateOptions,\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  const deltaThreshold = options.deltaThreshold ?? 0.5\n  const blockOnGaming = options.blockOnRewardHackingGaming ?? true\n\n  return {\n    name: 'defaultProductionGate',\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const reasons: string[] = []\n      const contributing: Array<{ name: string; passed: boolean; detail: unknown }> = []\n\n      // ── (1) heldout composite delta ─────────────────────────────────\n      // Baseline scores come from their OWN map; sharing `judgeScores` would\n      // compare the candidate against itself (delta 0).\n      const baselineComposite = meanComposite(\n        ctx.baselineArtifacts,\n        ctx.baselineJudgeScores ?? ctx.judgeScores,\n        options.holdoutScenarios,\n      )\n      const candidateComposite = meanComposite(\n        ctx.candidateArtifacts,\n        ctx.judgeScores,\n        options.holdoutScenarios,\n      )\n      const delta = candidateComposite - baselineComposite\n      const heldoutPass = delta >= deltaThreshold\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'heldout-delta',\n        passed: heldoutPass,\n        detail: { baselineComposite, candidateComposite, delta, deltaThreshold },\n      })\n      if (!heldoutPass) {\n        reasons.push(`heldout delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} < threshold ${deltaThreshold}`)\n      }\n\n      // ── (2) budget gate ─────────────────────────────────────────────\n      const budgetPass =\n        options.budgetUsd === undefined ||\n        ctx.cost.candidate + ctx.cost.baseline <= options.budgetUsd\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'budget',\n        passed: budgetPass,\n        detail: {\n          candidateUsd: ctx.cost.candidate,\n          baselineUsd: ctx.cost.baseline,\n          budgetUsd: options.budgetUsd,\n        },\n      })\n      if (!budgetPass) {\n        reasons.push(\n          `spend ${(ctx.cost.candidate + ctx.cost.baseline).toFixed(2)} > budget ${options.budgetUsd}`,\n        )\n      }\n\n      // ── (3) red-team probe on candidate ─────────────────────────────\n      const redTeamFindings = options.redTeamBattery\n        ? probeRedTeam(ctx.candidateArtifacts, options.redTeamBattery)\n        : { passed: true, findings: [] }\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'red-team',\n        passed: redTeamFindings.passed,\n        detail: {\n          failures: redTeamFindings.findings.length,\n          sample: redTeamFindings.findings.slice(0, 3),\n        },\n      })\n      if (!redTeamFindings.passed) {\n        reasons.push(`red-team probe failed (${redTeamFindings.findings.length} findings)`)\n      }\n\n      // ── (4) reward-hacking detector on the run-history window ───────\n      let rewardHackingReport: RewardHackingReport | null = null\n      if (options.recentRuns && options.recentRuns.length >= 10) {\n        rewardHackingReport = detectRewardHacking({ runs: options.recentRuns })\n      }\n      // reward-hacking severity is numeric (0..1). \"gaming\" threshold per\n      // detectRewardHacking defaults = 0.6. Block when ANY finding is at\n      // gaming threshold OR the report verdict is 'gaming'.\n      const gamingThreshold = 0.6\n      const gamingFindings = (rewardHackingReport?.findings ?? []).filter(\n        (f) => f.severity >= gamingThreshold,\n      )\n      const rewardHackingPass =\n        !rewardHackingReport ||\n        !blockOnGaming ||\n        (gamingFindings.length === 0 && rewardHackingReport.verdict !== 'gaming')\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'reward-hacking',\n        passed: rewardHackingPass,\n        detail: { report: rewardHackingReport, gamingFindingCount: gamingFindings.length },\n      })\n      if (!rewardHackingPass) {\n        reasons.push(\n          `reward-hacking detector flagged ${gamingFindings.length} gaming-severity findings (verdict=${rewardHackingReport!.verdict})`,\n        )\n      }\n\n      // ── (5) canary check on runs ────────────────────────────────────\n      let canaryReport: CanaryReport | null = null\n      if (options.recentRuns && options.recentRuns.length >= 10) {\n        canaryReport = runCanaries(options.recentRuns, {})\n      }\n      // CanarySeverity is 'info' | 'warn' | 'error' — block on 'error'.\n      const errorAlerts = (canaryReport?.alerts ?? []).filter((a) => a.severity === 'error')\n      const canaryPass = errorAlerts.length === 0\n      contributing.push({\n        name: 'canary',\n        passed: canaryPass,\n        detail: { totalAlerts: canaryReport?.alerts.length ?? 0, errorAlerts: errorAlerts.length },\n      })\n      if (!canaryPass) {\n        reasons.push(`canary error alerts: ${errorAlerts.length}`)\n      }\n\n      // ── Verdict ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n      const allPassed = contributing.every((c) => c.passed)\n      const decision = allPassed ? 'ship' : 'hold'\n\n      return {\n        decision,\n        reasons: reasons.length > 0 ? reasons : ['all gates passed'],\n        contributingGates: contributing,\n        delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n\nfunction meanComposite<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  artifacts: Map<string, TArtifact> | undefined,\n  judgeScoresByCell: Map<string, Record<string, { composite: number }>>,\n  scenarios: TScenario[],\n): number {\n  if (!artifacts || artifacts.size === 0) return 0\n  const scenarioIds = new Set(scenarios.map((s) => s.id))\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const [cellId, scores] of judgeScoresByCell) {\n    const scenarioId = cellId.split(':')[0] ?? ''\n    if (!scenarioIds.has(scenarioId)) continue\n    const cellComposites = Object.values(scores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (cellComposites.length === 0) continue\n    composites.push(cellComposites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / cellComposites.length)\n  }\n  if (composites.length === 0) return 0\n  return composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n\nfunction probeRedTeam<TArtifact>(\n  artifacts: Map<string, TArtifact>,\n  battery: RedTeamCase[],\n): { passed: boolean; findings: Array<{ scenarioId: string; reason: string }> } {\n  const findings: Array<{ scenarioId: string; reason: string }> = []\n  for (const [_cellId, artifact] of artifacts) {\n    const text = extractText(artifact)\n    if (text === undefined) continue\n    for (const rtCase of battery) {\n      const finding = scoreRedTeamOutput(text, [], rtCase)\n      if (!finding.passed) {\n        findings.push({ scenarioId: rtCase.id, reason: finding.reason ?? 'red-team probe failed' })\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  return { passed: findings.length === 0, findings }\n}\n\nfunction extractText(artifact: unknown): string | undefined {\n  if (typeof artifact === 'string') return artifact\n  if (artifact && typeof artifact === 'object') {\n    const rec = artifact as Record<string, unknown>\n    if (typeof rec.text === 'string') return rec.text\n    if (typeof rec.output === 'string') return rec.output\n    if (typeof rec.content === 'string') return rec.content\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Thin Gate adapter — exposes delta-threshold-on-holdout as a composable\n * `Gate`. Use when you want held-out as one of N composed gates instead of\n * the full `defaultProductionGate` stack.\n */\n\nimport type { Gate, GateContext, GateResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface HeldOutGateOptions<TScenario extends Scenario = Scenario> {\n  scenarios: TScenario[]\n  deltaThreshold?: number\n}\n\nexport function heldOutGate<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  options: HeldOutGateOptions<TScenario>,\n): Gate<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  const deltaThreshold = options.deltaThreshold ?? 0.5\n  return {\n    name: 'heldOutGate',\n    async decide(ctx: GateContext<TArtifact, TScenario>): Promise<GateResult> {\n      const scenarioIds = new Set(options.scenarios.map((s) => s.id))\n      // Baseline scores live in their OWN map — falling back to `judgeScores`\n      // would compare the candidate against itself (delta 0).\n      const baseline = meanForScenarios(ctx.baselineJudgeScores ?? ctx.judgeScores, scenarioIds)\n      const candidate = meanForScenarios(ctx.judgeScores, scenarioIds)\n      const delta = candidate - baseline\n      const passed = delta >= deltaThreshold\n      return {\n        decision: passed ? 'ship' : 'hold',\n        reasons: passed\n          ? [`held-out delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} ≥ ${deltaThreshold}`]\n          : [`held-out delta ${delta.toFixed(3)} < ${deltaThreshold}`],\n        contributingGates: [\n          { name: 'heldOutGate', passed, detail: { baseline, candidate, delta, deltaThreshold } },\n        ],\n        delta,\n      }\n    },\n  }\n}\n\nfunction meanForScenarios(\n  judgeScoresByCell: Map<string, Record<string, { composite: number }>>,\n  scenarioIds: Set<string>,\n): number {\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const [cellId, scores] of judgeScoresByCell) {\n    const scenarioId = cellId.split(':')[0] ?? ''\n    if (!scenarioIds.has(scenarioId)) continue\n    const vals = Object.values(scores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (vals.length > 0) composites.push(vals.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / vals.length)\n  }\n  return composites.length === 0 ? 0 : composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * Filesystem `LabeledScenarioStore` adapter. The default capture sink for\n * traces + eval artifacts. Production deployments typically swap for a\n * Turso/SQLite adapter (same interface).\n *\n * Records land as one JSONL file per source under `<root>/<source>.jsonl`.\n * Each line is a `LabeledScenarioRecord`. Append-only — no in-place edits.\n *\n * Safety properties enforced at write-time:\n *\n *   - **Provenance required**: writes without `source`, `sourceVersionHash`,\n *     `capturedAt`, `redactionStatus` are rejected. Closes the alignment\n *     reviewer's data-poisoning gap.\n *   - **Per-source rate limits**: optional `rateLimitBucket` + `maxWritesPerMinute`\n *     stops a single tenant/source from flooding the store.\n *\n * Safety properties enforced at sample-time:\n *\n *   - **Required split + capturedBefore**: substrate refuses to sample without\n *     an explicit `split` ('train' | 'test') AND a temporal cutoff. Eliminates\n *     accidental train/test contamination.\n *   - **Default training-source filter**: when the store is sampled with\n *     `split: 'train'`, production-trace records are EXCLUDED unless the\n *     caller passes `filter.source: 'production-trace'` explicitly. Closes\n *     the contamination-by-default gap flagged by the senior eval engineer.\n */\n\nimport { createHash } from 'node:crypto'\nimport { existsSync, mkdirSync, readFileSync, writeFileSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { join } from 'node:path'\nimport type {\n  LabeledScenarioRecord,\n  LabeledScenarioSampleArgs,\n  LabeledScenarioSource,\n  LabeledScenarioStore,\n  LabeledScenarioWrite,\n} from '../types'\n\nexport interface FsLabeledScenarioStoreOptions {\n  /** Root directory for JSONL files. Created if missing. */\n  root: string\n  /** Per-source rate limit. When set, writes exceeding the cap are rejected\n   *  with a typed error. Default: no limit. */\n  maxWritesPerMinutePerBucket?: number\n  /** Test seam — override `Date.now()` for deterministic tests. */\n  now?: () => number\n}\n\nexport class LabeledScenarioStoreError extends Error {\n  constructor(\n    public readonly code: string,\n    message: string,\n  ) {\n    super(message)\n    this.name = 'LabeledScenarioStoreError'\n  }\n}\n\ninterface RateLimitState {\n  bucket: string\n  windowStartMs: number\n  count: number\n}\n\nexport class FsLabeledScenarioStore implements LabeledScenarioStore {\n  private readonly now: () => number\n  private readonly rateLimits = new Map<string, RateLimitState>()\n\n  constructor(private readonly options: FsLabeledScenarioStoreOptions) {\n    if (!existsSync(options.root)) mkdirSync(options.root, { recursive: true })\n    this.now = options.now ?? Date.now\n  }\n\n  async observe(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): Promise<void> {\n    this.assertProvenance(write)\n    this.assertRateLimit(write)\n    const record = this.toRecord(write)\n    const path = this.pathForSource(write.source)\n    const line = `${JSON.stringify(record)}\\n`\n    // Append atomically. For high-throughput a writev-friendly buffered\n    // implementation lands in the Turso adapter; FS adapter is for tests +\n    // local dev + small workloads.\n    appendLine(path, line)\n  }\n\n  async sample(args: LabeledScenarioSampleArgs): Promise<LabeledScenarioRecord[]> {\n    if (!args.split) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'split_required',\n        'sample() requires an explicit `split` (train | test) — substrate refuses ambiguous reads',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!args.capturedBefore) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'capturedBefore_required',\n        'sample() requires an explicit `capturedBefore` timestamp for temporal-split discipline',\n      )\n    }\n\n    const all: LabeledScenarioRecord[] = []\n    for (const source of ALL_SOURCES) {\n      // Default training-source filter: when sampling train, EXCLUDE\n      // production-trace records unless the caller asks for them.\n      if (args.split === 'train' && source === 'production-trace') {\n        const explicit = sourceFilterContains(args.filter?.source, 'production-trace')\n        if (!explicit) continue\n      }\n      const path = this.pathForSource(source)\n      if (!existsSync(path)) continue\n      const lines = readFileSync(path, 'utf8').split('\\n').filter(Boolean)\n      for (const line of lines) {\n        let record: LabeledScenarioRecord\n        try {\n          record = JSON.parse(line) as LabeledScenarioRecord\n        } catch {\n          continue\n        }\n        if (!matchesFilter(record, args, source)) continue\n        all.push(record)\n      }\n    }\n\n    // Deterministic order: by capturedAt ascending, then recordHash.\n    all.sort((a, b) => {\n      if (a.capturedAt !== b.capturedAt) return a.capturedAt.localeCompare(b.capturedAt)\n      return a.recordHash.localeCompare(b.recordHash)\n    })\n\n    return all.slice(0, args.count)\n  }\n\n  async size(): Promise<{ train: number; test: number; bySource: Record<string, number> }> {\n    const bySource: Record<string, number> = {}\n    let total = 0\n    for (const source of ALL_SOURCES) {\n      const path = this.pathForSource(source)\n      if (!existsSync(path)) {\n        bySource[source] = 0\n        continue\n      }\n      const count = readFileSync(path, 'utf8').split('\\n').filter(Boolean).length\n      bySource[source] = count\n      total += count\n    }\n    // FS adapter doesn't track split assignments per-record (split is\n    // computed at sample-time based on `capturedBefore`). For size(), we\n    // report `train`+`test` as the same total — split is a sampling concept.\n    return { train: total, test: total, bySource }\n  }\n\n  private assertProvenance(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): void {\n    if (!write.source) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_source',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `source`',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.sourceVersionHash || write.sourceVersionHash.length === 0) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_source_version',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `sourceVersionHash` (git sha or substrate version)',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.capturedAt) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_captured_at',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires `capturedAt` ISO timestamp',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!write.redactionStatus) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'missing_redaction_status',\n        'LabeledScenarioWrite requires explicit `redactionStatus` — raw / redacted-pii / redacted-secrets / fully-redacted',\n      )\n    }\n    if (!ALL_SOURCES.includes(write.source)) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'unknown_source',\n        `LabeledScenarioWrite.source must be one of: ${ALL_SOURCES.join(', ')}`,\n      )\n    }\n  }\n\n  private assertRateLimit(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): void {\n    const cap = this.options.maxWritesPerMinutePerBucket\n    if (!cap || !write.rateLimitBucket) return\n    const now = this.now()\n    const windowMs = 60_000\n    let state = this.rateLimits.get(write.rateLimitBucket)\n    if (!state || now - state.windowStartMs >= windowMs) {\n      state = { bucket: write.rateLimitBucket, windowStartMs: now, count: 0 }\n      this.rateLimits.set(write.rateLimitBucket, state)\n    }\n    if (state.count >= cap) {\n      throw new LabeledScenarioStoreError(\n        'rate_limit_exceeded',\n        `LabeledScenarioStore: bucket ${write.rateLimitBucket} exceeded ${cap} writes/min`,\n      )\n    }\n    state.count += 1\n  }\n\n  private toRecord(write: LabeledScenarioWrite): LabeledScenarioRecord {\n    const recordHash = sha256(\n      JSON.stringify({\n        id: write.scenario.id,\n        src: write.source,\n        at: write.capturedAt,\n        ver: write.sourceVersionHash,\n      }),\n    )\n    // FS adapter assigns split at sample-time, but we cache a hint here\n    // based on capturedAt vs the world's \"now\" — sampler overrides this.\n    return {\n      ...write,\n      recordHash,\n      split: 'train',\n    }\n  }\n\n  private pathForSource(source: string): string {\n    return join(this.options.root, `${source}.jsonl`)\n  }\n}\n\nconst ALL_SOURCES: LabeledScenarioWrite['source'][] = [\n  'production-trace',\n  'eval-run',\n  'manual',\n  'red-team',\n  'synthetic',\n]\n\nfunction sourceFilterContains(\n  filter: LabeledScenarioSource | LabeledScenarioSource[] | undefined,\n  needle: LabeledScenarioSource,\n): boolean {\n  if (!filter) return false\n  if (Array.isArray(filter)) return filter.includes(needle)\n  return filter === needle\n}\n\nfunction matchesFilter(\n  record: LabeledScenarioRecord,\n  args: LabeledScenarioSampleArgs,\n  source: string,\n): boolean {\n  // Temporal cutoff — train must be capturedAt < capturedBefore.\n  if (args.split === 'train' && record.capturedAt >= args.capturedBefore) return false\n  if (args.split === 'test' && record.capturedAt < args.capturedBefore) return false\n\n  const f = args.filter\n  if (!f) return true\n  if (f.kind && record.scenario.kind !== f.kind) return false\n  if (f.source) {\n    const sources = Array.isArray(f.source) ? f.source : [f.source]\n    if (!sources.includes(source as never)) return false\n  }\n  if (f.minComposite !== undefined || f.maxComposite !== undefined) {\n    const composites = Object.values(record.judgeScores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    const max = composites.length === 0 ? 0 : Math.max(...composites)\n    if (f.minComposite !== undefined && max < f.minComposite) return false\n    if (f.maxComposite !== undefined && max > f.maxComposite) return false\n  }\n  return true\n}\n\nfunction sha256(input: string): string {\n  return createHash('sha256').update(input).digest('hex').slice(0, 16)\n}\n\nfunction appendLine(path: string, line: string): void {\n  if (existsSync(path)) {\n    const existing = readFileSync(path, 'utf8')\n    writeFileSync(path, existing + line)\n  } else {\n    writeFileSync(path, line)\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runEval` — the simplest preset over `runCampaign`. No optimizer, no\n * gate, no auto-PR. Just: run scenarios through dispatch, score with\n * judges, return CampaignResult.\n *\n * The 80% case for consumers who want a scorecard, not an improvement loop.\n */\n\nimport { type RunCampaignOptions, runCampaign } from '../run-campaign'\nimport type { CampaignResult, Scenario } from '../types'\n\nexport interface RunEvalOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends Omit<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>, 'runDir'> {\n  runDir: string\n}\n\nexport async function runEval<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunEvalOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  return runCampaign(opts)\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runOptimization` — the improvement loop body. Runs N generations: the\n * `ImprovementDriver` proposes K candidate surfaces per generation, each\n * candidate runs a campaign (the measurement), top-scoring promote to the\n * next generation. Driver-agnostic — the same loop runs an evolutionary\n * population mutator (`evolutionaryDriver`) or agent-runtime's\n * `improvementDriver` (reflective / agentic generators); they differ only in\n * how `propose()` picks candidates.\n *\n * This is `runLoop`'s shape (plan → measure → decide) specialized to surface\n * improvement: `driver.propose` = plan, `runCampaign` = the measurement (which\n * runs the worker behind `dispatch`), the mean-composite ranking = the\n * validator, `driver.decide` = the stop check.\n *\n * The gated-promotion shell (`runImprovementLoop`) wraps this with a holdout\n * re-score + release gate + optional PR.\n */\n\nimport { createHash } from 'node:crypto'\nimport { type RunCampaignOptions, runCampaign } from '../run-campaign'\nimport type {\n  CampaignResult,\n  GenerationRecord,\n  ImprovementDriver,\n  MutableSurface,\n  Scenario,\n} from '../types'\n\nexport interface RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends Omit<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>, 'dispatch'> {\n  /** Initial mutable surface (typically system prompt or addendum). */\n  baselineSurface: MutableSurface\n  /** Dispatcher that takes the CURRENT surface + scenario → artifact. */\n  dispatchWithSurface: (\n    surface: MutableSurface,\n    scenario: TScenario,\n    ctx: Parameters<RunCampaignOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>['dispatch']>[1],\n  ) => Promise<TArtifact>\n  /** The improvement strategy. Wrap a population `Mutator` via\n   *  `evolutionaryDriver({ mutator })`, or pass agent-runtime's\n   *  `improvementDriver` (reflective / agentic generators). */\n  driver: ImprovementDriver\n  populationSize: number\n  maxGenerations: number\n  /** How many top-scoring candidates carry to the next generation. Default 2. */\n  promoteTopK?: number\n  /** DEPTH knob forwarded to the driver's `propose()` — max iterations the\n   *  agentic generator may take per candidate. */\n  maxImprovementShots?: number\n  /** Phase-2 research report forwarded to `propose()` (analyst findings +\n   *  diff). Opaque here; the driver types it. */\n  report?: unknown\n}\n\nexport interface RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario> {\n  generations: Array<{\n    record: GenerationRecord\n    surfaces: Array<{\n      surfaceHash: string\n      surface: MutableSurface\n      campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n    }>\n  }>\n  winnerSurface: MutableSurface\n  winnerSurfaceHash: string\n  baselineCampaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n}\n\nexport async function runOptimization<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  const promoteTopK = opts.promoteTopK ?? 2\n\n  // Baseline run\n  const baselineCampaign = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(opts.baselineSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/baseline`,\n  })\n\n  const generations: RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario>['generations'] = []\n  const history: GenerationRecord[] = []\n  let currentSurfaces: MutableSurface[] = [opts.baselineSurface]\n  let winnerSurface = opts.baselineSurface\n  let winnerSurfaceHash = surfaceHash(opts.baselineSurface)\n  let winnerComposite = meanComposite(baselineCampaign)\n\n  for (let gen = 0; gen < opts.maxGenerations; gen++) {\n    // Decide: the driver may stop early based on accumulated history.\n    if (opts.driver.decide?.({ history }).stop) break\n\n    // Plan: the driver proposes N candidates from the current best surface,\n    // the accumulated generation history, and any external findings.\n    const candidates = await opts.driver.propose({\n      currentSurface: currentSurfaces[0] ?? opts.baselineSurface,\n      history,\n      findings: [],\n      populationSize: opts.populationSize,\n      generation: gen,\n      signal: new AbortController().signal,\n      report: opts.report,\n      dataset: opts.labeledStore && opts.labeledStore !== 'off' ? opts.labeledStore : undefined,\n      maxImprovementShots: opts.maxImprovementShots,\n    })\n\n    // Run each candidate as its own campaign.\n    const surfaceResults: Array<{\n      surfaceHash: string\n      surface: MutableSurface\n      campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n      composite: number\n    }> = []\n    for (let i = 0; i < candidates.length; i++) {\n      const surface = candidates[i] as MutableSurface\n      const hash = surfaceHash(surface)\n      const campaign = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n        ...opts,\n        dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(surface, scenario, ctx),\n        runDir: `${opts.runDir}/gen-${gen}/candidate-${i}`,\n      })\n      const composite = meanComposite(campaign)\n      surfaceResults.push({ surfaceHash: hash, surface, campaign, composite })\n    }\n\n    // Rank, promote top-K.\n    surfaceResults.sort((a, b) => b.composite - a.composite)\n    const promoted = surfaceResults.slice(0, promoteTopK)\n    currentSurfaces = promoted.map((p) => p.surface)\n    const top = surfaceResults[0]\n    if (top && top.composite > winnerComposite) {\n      winnerSurface = top.surface\n      winnerSurfaceHash = top.surfaceHash\n      winnerComposite = top.composite\n    }\n\n    const record: GenerationRecord = {\n      generationIndex: gen,\n      candidates: surfaceResults.map((s) => {\n        const breakdown = candidateBreakdown(s.campaign)\n        return {\n          surfaceHash: s.surfaceHash,\n          composite: s.composite,\n          ci95: [s.composite, s.composite] as [number, number],\n          dimensions: breakdown.dimensions,\n          scenarios: breakdown.scenarios,\n        }\n      }),\n      promoted: promoted.map((p) => p.surfaceHash),\n    }\n    history.push(record)\n    generations.push({\n      record,\n      surfaces: surfaceResults.map((s) => ({\n        surfaceHash: s.surfaceHash,\n        surface: s.surface,\n        campaign: s.campaign,\n      })),\n    })\n  }\n\n  return {\n    generations,\n    winnerSurface,\n    winnerSurfaceHash,\n    baselineCampaign,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function surfaceHash(surface: MutableSurface): string {\n  // Prompt/tool surfaces (string) hash by content; code surfaces hash by the\n  // worktree + base ref pair (the content lives in git, not in the string).\n  const material =\n    typeof surface === 'string'\n      ? surface\n      : JSON.stringify({\n          kind: surface.kind,\n          worktreeRef: surface.worktreeRef,\n          baseRef: surface.baseRef ?? null,\n        })\n  return createHash('sha256').update(material).digest('hex').slice(0, 16)\n}\n\nfunction meanComposite<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): number {\n  const composites: number[] = []\n  for (const cell of campaign.cells) {\n    const cellComposites = Object.values(cell.judgeScores).map((s) => s.composite)\n    if (cellComposites.length > 0) {\n      composites.push(cellComposites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / cellComposites.length)\n    }\n  }\n  return composites.length === 0 ? 0 : composites.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / composites.length\n}\n\n/** Per-candidate evidence a reflective driver grounds its next proposal on:\n *  mean score per judge dimension + per-scenario composite. */\nfunction candidateBreakdown<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>(\n  campaign: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>,\n): {\n  dimensions: Record<string, number>\n  scenarios: Array<{ scenarioId: string; composite: number }>\n} {\n  const dimSums: Record<string, number> = {}\n  const dimCounts: Record<string, number> = {}\n  const byScenario = new Map<string, number[]>()\n  for (const cell of campaign.cells) {\n    const judgeScores = Object.values(cell.judgeScores)\n    if (judgeScores.length === 0) continue\n    const cellComposite = judgeScores.reduce((a, s) => a + s.composite, 0) / judgeScores.length\n    const arr = byScenario.get(cell.scenarioId) ?? []\n    arr.push(cellComposite)\n    byScenario.set(cell.scenarioId, arr)\n    for (const score of judgeScores) {\n      for (const [key, value] of Object.entries(score.dimensions)) {\n        dimSums[key] = (dimSums[key] ?? 0) + value\n        dimCounts[key] = (dimCounts[key] ?? 0) + 1\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  const dimensions: Record<string, number> = {}\n  for (const key of Object.keys(dimSums)) {\n    const count = dimCounts[key] ?? 0\n    dimensions[key] = count > 0 ? (dimSums[key] ?? 0) / count : 0\n  }\n  const scenarios = [...byScenario.entries()].map(([scenarioId, comps]) => ({\n    scenarioId,\n    composite: comps.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / comps.length,\n  }))\n  return { dimensions, scenarios }\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * `runImprovementLoop` — the gated-promotion shell around the improvement\n * loop body (`runOptimization`). Drives candidate surfaces via the\n * `ImprovementDriver`, re-scores the winner against the baseline on a\n * holdout set, runs the release gate, and optionally opens a PR.\n *\n * Role vocabulary (see docs/design/loop-taxonomy.md):\n *   - DRIVER     = the `ImprovementDriver` (evolutionary GEPA mutator OR\n *                  reflective analyst). Proposes candidate SURFACES — the\n *                  worker's system prompt / tool config — NOT conversation\n *                  turns.\n *   - MEASUREMENT= `runCampaign`. Scores one surface by running the worker\n *                  (via `dispatch`) over scenarios and judging the output.\n *   - WORKER     = the agent harness in the sandbox, invoked behind the\n *                  topology-opaque `dispatch` seam — never referenced here.\n *\n * Distinct from `runLoop` in `@tangle-network/agent-runtime`, which is the\n * INNER conversation loop (driver↔workers in a sandbox). `runImprovementLoop`\n * is the OUTER loop: it improves the surface that those workers run.\n *\n * Hard-refuses unsafe configurations:\n *   - `tracing: 'off'` when a driver is wired (improvement is unattributable)\n *   - `autoOnPromote: 'config'` — DEFERRED to Pass B; v0.40 only ships\n *     `'pr'` and `'none'`.\n */\n\nimport { openAutoPr } from '../auto-pr'\nimport type { CampaignResult, Gate, MutableSurface, Scenario } from '../types'\nimport type { RunOptimizationOptions, RunOptimizationResult } from './run-optimization'\nimport { runOptimization } from './run-optimization'\n\nexport interface RunImprovementLoopOptions<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>\n  extends RunOptimizationOptions<TScenario, TArtifact> {\n  /** Holdout scenarios kept OUT of the training optimization pool — used\n   *  ONLY to score baseline vs winner for the gate. */\n  holdoutScenarios: TScenario[]\n  /** Promotion gate. Substrate strongly recommends `defaultProductionGate`\n   *  for production wiring (composes red-team / reward-hacking / canary /\n   *  heldout). */\n  gate: Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  /** What to do when the gate ships:\n   *   - `'pr'`: open a PR via `openAutoPr`\n   *   - `'none'`: just report — caller decides what to do with the winner\n   *  v0.40 does NOT support `'config'` (live-runtime self-mutation) —\n   *  deferred to Pass B behind safety stack. */\n  autoOnPromote: 'pr' | 'none'\n  /** GH owner / repo for the auto-PR. Required when autoOnPromote === 'pr'. */\n  ghOwner?: string\n  ghRepo?: string\n  /** Optional render override — substrate writes a diff-shaped surface; pass\n   *  a function to format the promoted surface differently. */\n  renderPromotedDiff?: (winnerSurface: MutableSurface, baselineSurface: MutableSurface) => string\n}\n\nexport interface RunImprovementLoopResult<TArtifact, TScenario extends Scenario>\n  extends RunOptimizationResult<TArtifact, TScenario> {\n  baselineOnHoldout: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  winnerOnHoldout: CampaignResult<TArtifact, TScenario>\n  gateResult: Awaited<ReturnType<Gate<TArtifact, TScenario>['decide']>>\n  prResult?: ReturnType<typeof openAutoPr>\n}\n\nexport async function runImprovementLoop<TScenario extends Scenario, TArtifact>(\n  opts: RunImprovementLoopOptions<TScenario, TArtifact>,\n): Promise<RunImprovementLoopResult<TArtifact, TScenario>> {\n  // ── Safety pre-flight ─────────────────────────────────────────────\n  // biome-ignore lint/suspicious/noExplicitAny: Pass A reserved field for Pass B Shape B\n  if ((opts as any).autoOnPromote === 'config') {\n    throw new Error(\n      \"runImprovementLoop: autoOnPromote='config' is deferred to Pass B (requires shadow deploy + rollback + ensemble judges). Use 'pr' or 'none' in v0.40.\",\n    )\n  }\n  // Refuse tracing=off whenever a driver is wired. An improvement loop\n  // without traces is unattributable — its candidate surfaces cannot be\n  // cited back to the spans that motivated them, and the dataset flywheel\n  // (LabeledScenarioStore) that GEPA optimizes against goes unfed.\n  if (opts.tracing === 'off' && opts.driver) {\n    throw new Error(\n      \"runImprovementLoop: tracing='off' is forbidden when a driver is wired. The improvement loop without traces is unattributable; candidate surfaces cannot be cited back to spans and the optimization dataset goes unfed.\",\n    )\n  }\n  if (opts.autoOnPromote === 'pr' && (!opts.ghOwner || !opts.ghRepo)) {\n    throw new Error(\"runImprovementLoop: autoOnPromote='pr' requires ghOwner + ghRepo.\")\n  }\n\n  // ── (1) optimization loop produces a winner ────────────────────────\n  const optimization = await runOptimization(opts)\n\n  // ── (2) baseline + winner re-scored on the holdout set ─────────────\n  const { runCampaign } = await import('../run-campaign')\n\n  const baselineOnHoldout = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) => opts.dispatchWithSurface(opts.baselineSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/holdout-baseline`,\n  })\n\n  const winnerOnHoldout = await runCampaign<TScenario, TArtifact>({\n    ...opts,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    dispatch: (scenario, ctx) =>\n      opts.dispatchWithSurface(optimization.winnerSurface, scenario, ctx),\n    runDir: `${opts.runDir}/holdout-winner`,\n  })\n\n  // ── (3) gate verdict ───────────────────────────────────────────────\n  // Candidate + baseline share cellIds (same holdout scenarios), so their\n  // judge scores MUST stay in separate maps — merging them collapses the\n  // holdout delta to zero and the gate can never ship a real improvement.\n  type ScoreMap = Map<\n    string,\n    Record<string, { composite: number; dimensions: Record<string, number>; notes: string }>\n  >\n  const candidateArtifacts = new Map<string, TArtifact>()\n  const baselineArtifacts = new Map<string, TArtifact>()\n  const judgeScores: ScoreMap = new Map()\n  const baselineJudgeScores: ScoreMap = new Map()\n  for (const cell of winnerOnHoldout.cells) {\n    candidateArtifacts.set(cell.cellId, cell.artifact)\n    judgeScores.set(cell.cellId, cell.judgeScores)\n  }\n  for (const cell of baselineOnHoldout.cells) {\n    baselineArtifacts.set(cell.cellId, cell.artifact)\n    baselineJudgeScores.set(cell.cellId, cell.judgeScores)\n  }\n\n  const gateResult = await opts.gate.decide({\n    candidateArtifacts,\n    baselineArtifacts,\n    judgeScores,\n    baselineJudgeScores,\n    scenarios: opts.holdoutScenarios,\n    cost: {\n      candidate: winnerOnHoldout.aggregates.totalCostUsd,\n      baseline: baselineOnHoldout.aggregates.totalCostUsd,\n    },\n    signal: new AbortController().signal,\n  })\n\n  // ── (4) auto-PR when gate ships ────────────────────────────────────\n  let prResult: ReturnType<typeof openAutoPr> | undefined\n  if (opts.autoOnPromote === 'pr' && gateResult.decision === 'ship') {\n    const render = opts.renderPromotedDiff ?? defaultRenderDiff\n    const promotedDiff = render(optimization.winnerSurface, opts.baselineSurface)\n    prResult = openAutoPr({\n      result: winnerOnHoldout,\n      gate: gateResult,\n      promotedDiff,\n      ghOwner: opts.ghOwner!,\n      ghRepo: opts.ghRepo!,\n    })\n  }\n\n  return {\n    ...optimization,\n    baselineOnHoldout,\n    winnerOnHoldout,\n    gateResult,\n    prResult,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction defaultRenderDiff(winnerSurface: MutableSurface, baselineSurface: MutableSurface): string {\n  // Code surfaces aren't text-diffable here — the diff lives in git. Render\n  // the worktree/base refs + summary so the PR body points at the change.\n  if (typeof winnerSurface !== 'string' || typeof baselineSurface !== 'string') {\n    const fmt = (s: MutableSurface): string =>\n      typeof s === 'string'\n        ? '(prompt surface)'\n        : `worktree=${s.worktreeRef}${s.baseRef ? ` base=${s.baseRef}` : ''}${s.summary ? `\\n${s.summary}` : ''}`\n    return `--- baseline\\n${fmt(baselineSurface)}\\n+++ winner\\n${fmt(winnerSurface)}`\n  }\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  lines.push('--- baseline')\n  lines.push('+++ winner')\n  for (const l of baselineSurface.split('\\n')) lines.push(`- ${l}`)\n  for (const l of winnerSurface.split('\\n')) lines.push(`+ ${l}`)\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n","/**\n * @experimental\n *\n * VCS-pluggable worktree adapter. One improvement = one worktree, PR-like\n * (multiple commits allowed). A code-tier driver's `propose()` creates a\n * worktree, an agent commits the change into it, and `finalize()` returns a\n * `CodeSurface{ worktreeRef }` the measurement checks out to run the worker\n * against the changed code. On promotion the worktree becomes the PR branch.\n *\n * The interface is VCS-agnostic so a future `jj` ([jj-vcs](https://github.com/jj-vcs/jj))\n * adapter can slot in without touching driver code. Only the git adapter\n * ships today. See `docs/design/self-improvement-engine.md`.\n */\n\nimport { execFileSync } from 'node:child_process'\nimport { existsSync } from 'node:fs'\nimport { basename, isAbsolute, join } from 'node:path'\nimport type { CodeSurface } from '../types'\n\nexport interface Worktree {\n  /** Absolute path to the checked-out worktree directory. */\n  path: string\n  /** The branch the worktree is on (becomes the PR branch on promotion). */\n  branch: string\n  /** The ref the worktree was forked from. */\n  baseRef: string\n}\n\nexport interface WorktreeAdapter {\n  /** Create an isolated worktree on a fresh branch off `baseRef`. */\n  create(opts: { baseRef: string; label: string }): Promise<Worktree>\n  /** Commit any pending changes in the worktree, then return a CodeSurface\n   *  pointing at it. The agent has already written its change into\n   *  `worktree.path` by the time this is called. */\n  finalize(worktree: Worktree, summary: string): Promise<CodeSurface>\n  /** Remove the worktree (and its branch) — called for losing candidates. */\n  discard(worktree: Worktree): Promise<void>\n}\n\nexport class WorktreeAdapterError extends Error {\n  constructor(\n    message: string,\n    readonly cause?: unknown,\n  ) {\n    super(message)\n    this.name = 'WorktreeAdapterError'\n  }\n}\n\nexport interface GitWorktreeAdapterOptions {\n  /** Repo root the worktrees fork from. */\n  repoRoot: string\n  /** Directory worktrees are created under. Default: `<repoRoot>/.worktrees`. */\n  worktreeDir?: string\n  /** Branch-name prefix. Default: `improve`. */\n  branchPrefix?: string\n  /** Test seam — defaults to a real `git` runner. */\n  git?: (args: string[], cwd: string) => string\n}\n\nfunction defaultGit(args: string[], cwd: string): string {\n  try {\n    return execFileSync('git', args, { cwd, encoding: 'utf8' }).trim()\n  } catch (err) {\n    const stderr =\n      err && typeof err === 'object' && 'stderr' in err\n        ? String((err as { stderr: unknown }).stderr)\n        : ''\n    throw new WorktreeAdapterError(`git ${args.join(' ')} failed: ${stderr || String(err)}`, err)\n  }\n}\n\n/** Slugify a label into a branch-safe segment. */\nfunction slug(label: string): string {\n  return (\n    label\n      .toLowerCase()\n      .replace(/[^a-z0-9]+/g, '-')\n      .replace(/^-+|-+$/g, '')\n      .slice(0, 48) || 'candidate'\n  )\n}\n\nexport function gitWorktreeAdapter(opts: GitWorktreeAdapterOptions): WorktreeAdapter {\n  const git = opts.git ?? defaultGit\n  const worktreeDir = opts.worktreeDir ?? join(opts.repoRoot, '.worktrees')\n  const branchPrefix = opts.branchPrefix ?? 'improve'\n\n  return {\n    async create({ baseRef, label }) {\n      const id = `${slug(label)}-${Date.now().toString(36)}-${Math.random().toString(36).slice(2, 6)}`\n      const branch = `${branchPrefix}/${id}`\n      const path = join(worktreeDir, id)\n      git(['worktree', 'add', '-b', branch, path, baseRef], opts.repoRoot)\n      return { path, branch, baseRef }\n    },\n\n    async finalize(worktree, summary) {\n      // Stage + commit any pending changes the agent left in the worktree.\n      // A no-op commit is refused by git, so only commit when the tree is dirty.\n      const status = git(['status', '--porcelain'], worktree.path)\n      if (status.length > 0) {\n        git(['add', '-A'], worktree.path)\n        git(['commit', '-m', summary], worktree.path)\n      }\n      return {\n        kind: 'code',\n        worktreeRef: worktree.path,\n        baseRef: worktree.baseRef,\n        summary,\n      }\n    },\n\n    async discard(worktree) {\n      // Remove the worktree, then delete its branch. Force-remove because the\n      // worktree may hold uncommitted experiment state we're discarding.\n      git(['worktree', 'remove', '--force', worktree.path], opts.repoRoot)\n      git(['branch', '-D', worktree.branch], opts.repoRoot)\n    },\n  }\n}\n\n/** Resolve a `CodeSurface`'s worktreeRef to a directory the measurement can\n *  run the worker in. 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package/dist/{chunk-AU2JLNSZ.js → chunk-H4TOS272.js}

@@ -336,69 +336,6 @@ function classifyFailure(ctx, rules = DEFAULT_RULES) {
   return { failureClass: "unknown", reason: "no rule matched; run failed for unclassified reason" };
 }
 
-// src/pipelines/failure-cluster.ts
-async function failureClusterView(store, options = {}) {
-  const rules = options.rules ?? DEFAULT_RULES;
-  const minSize = options.minClusterSize ?? 1;
-  const runs = await store.listRuns();
-  const clusters = /* @__PURE__ */ new Map();
-  let totalFailures = 0;
-  for (const run of runs) {
-    if (run.status === "completed" && run.outcome?.pass !== false) continue;
-    totalFailures++;
-    const spans = await store.spans({ runId: run.runId });
-    const events = await store.events({ runId: run.runId });
-    const cls = classifyFailure({ run, spans, events }, rules);
-    let toolName;
-    let argPrefix;
-    let dimension;
-    if (cls.triggerSpanId) {
-      const trig = spans.find((s) => s.spanId === cls.triggerSpanId);
-      if (trig?.kind === "tool") {
-        toolName = trig.toolName;
-        argPrefix = argHash(trig.args).slice(0, 16);
-      } else if (trig?.kind === "judge") {
-        dimension = trig.dimension;
-      }
-    }
-    if (!toolName) {
-      const ts = await toolSpans(store, run.runId);
-      const errored = ts.filter((t) => t.status === "error").pop();
-      if (errored) {
-        toolName = errored.toolName;
-        argPrefix = argHash(errored.args).slice(0, 16);
-      }
-    }
-    if (!dimension) {
-      const judge = spans.find((s) => s.kind === "judge" && typeof s.dimension === "string");
-      if (judge?.kind === "judge") dimension = judge.dimension;
-    }
-    const key = `${cls.failureClass}|${toolName ?? ""}|${argPrefix ?? ""}|${dimension ?? ""}`;
-    let cluster = clusters.get(key);
-    if (!cluster) {
-      cluster = {
-        failureClass: cls.failureClass,
-        toolName,
-        argPrefix,
-        dimension,
-        runCount: 0,
-        scenarioIds: [],
-        exampleRunId: run.runId,
-        exampleError: firstErrorMessage(spans) ?? cls.reason
-      };
-      clusters.set(key, cluster);
-    }
-    cluster.runCount++;
-    if (!cluster.scenarioIds.includes(run.scenarioId)) cluster.scenarioIds.push(run.scenarioId);
-  }
-  const arr = [...clusters.values()].filter((c) => c.runCount >= minSize).sort((a, b) => b.runCount - a.runCount);
-  return { clusters: arr, totalFailures, totalRuns: runs.length };
-}
-function firstErrorMessage(spans) {
-  const errored = spans.find((s) => s.status === "error");
-  return errored?.error;
-}
-
 // src/tool-use-metrics.ts
 async function computeToolUseMetrics(store, runId, options = {}) {
   const tools = await toolSpans(store, runId);
@@ -609,10 +546,9 @@ function normalCdf(x) {
 export {
   DEFAULT_RULES,
   classifyFailure,
-  failureClusterView,
   computeToolUseMetrics,
   compareToBaseline,
   iqr,
   welchsTTest
 };
-//# sourceMappingURL=chunk-AU2JLNSZ.js.map
+//# sourceMappingURL=chunk-H4TOS272.js.map

package/dist/chunk-H4TOS272.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"sources":["../src/failure-taxonomy.ts","../src/tool-use-metrics.ts","../src/baseline.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * Failure taxonomy — canonical classes + a default classifier.\n *\n * Every failed run should end up in a named class. The classifier here\n * is rule-based (fast, deterministic); an LLM fallback can be added by\n * the consumer for novel cases and trained into the rule base over time.\n *\n * Consumers call `classifyFailure(run, spans, events)` and persist the\n * returned class as `Run.outcome.failureClass`.\n */\n\nimport type { FailureClass, Run, Span, TraceEvent } from './trace/schema'\nimport { FAILURE_CLASSES } from './trace/schema'\n\nexport { FAILURE_CLASSES, type FailureClass }\n\nexport interface FailureContext {\n  run: Run\n  spans: Span[]\n  events: TraceEvent[]\n}\n\nexport interface FailureClassification {\n  failureClass: FailureClass\n  reason: string\n  triggerSpanId?: string\n  triggerEventId?: string\n}\n\n/** Ordered rules — first match wins. */\nexport interface FailureRule {\n  id: string\n  match: (ctx: FailureContext) => {\n    failureClass: FailureClass\n    reason: string\n    triggerSpanId?: string\n    triggerEventId?: string\n  } | null\n}\n\nexport const DEFAULT_RULES: FailureRule[] = [\n  // Outcome already named? Respect it.\n  {\n    id: 'explicit-outcome',\n    match: ({ run }) => {\n      const fc = run.outcome?.failureClass\n      if (fc && fc !== 'unknown')\n        return { failureClass: fc, reason: 'outcome.failureClass set explicitly' }\n      return null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'knowledge-readiness-blocked',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'readiness_scored' &&\n          e.payload.passed === false,\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'knowledge_readiness_blocked',\n            reason: 'knowledge readiness report blocked execution',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'bad-integration-manifest',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          ((e.payload.kind === 'integration_manifest_validated' && e.payload.valid === false) ||\n            (e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' &&\n              e.payload.code === 'manifest_invalid')),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'bad_integration_manifest',\n            reason: 'integration manifest validation failed before launch',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'missing-integration-connection',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'integration_manifest_resolved' &&\n          hasResolutionStatus(e.payload, 'missing_connection'),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'missing_integration_connection',\n            reason: 'required integration connection was missing',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'missing-integration-scope',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          ((e.payload.kind === 'integration_manifest_resolved' && hasMissingScopes(e.payload)) ||\n            (e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' && e.payload.code === 'scope_denied')),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'missing_integration_scope',\n            reason: 'integration grant or connection lacks required scopes',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'integration-approval-required',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          ((e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke' && e.payload.status === 'approval_required') ||\n            (e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' &&\n              e.payload.code === 'approval_required') ||\n            e.payload.kind === 'integration_approval_required'),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'integration_approval_required',\n            reason: 'integration write paused for user approval',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'integration-auth-expired',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' &&\n          (e.payload.code === 'auth_expired' ||\n            e.payload.code === 'connection_not_active' ||\n            e.payload.code === 'capability_expired' ||\n            e.payload.status === 'expired'),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'integration_auth_expired',\n            reason: 'integration connection or capability expired',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'unsafe-integration-write-denied',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' &&\n          (e.payload.code === 'unsafe_write_denied' ||\n            e.payload.code === 'policy_denied' ||\n            e.payload.code === 'action_denied'),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'unsafe_integration_write_denied',\n            reason: 'integration write was denied by policy or capability scope',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'integration-provider-failure',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'integration_invoke_failed' &&\n          ![\n            'scope_denied',\n            'approval_required',\n            'auth_expired',\n            'connection_not_active',\n            'capability_expired',\n            'unsafe_write_denied',\n            'policy_denied',\n            'action_denied',\n            'manifest_invalid',\n          ].includes(String(e.payload.code)),\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'integration_provider_failure',\n            reason: 'integration provider invocation failed',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'missing-credentials',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'knowledge_gap' &&\n          e.payload.category === 'credential_or_secret',\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'missing_credentials',\n            reason: 'required credential or secret was missing',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'bad-retrieval',\n    match: ({ run, spans }) => {\n      if (run.outcome?.pass !== false) return null\n      const retrieval = spans.find(\n        (s) =>\n          s.kind === 'retrieval' && (s.hits.length === 0 || s.hits.every((hit) => hit.score <= 0)),\n      )\n      return retrieval\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'bad_retrieval',\n            reason: 'retrieval returned no useful hits for a failed run',\n            triggerSpanId: retrieval.spanId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'insufficient-evidence',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'knowledge_gap' &&\n          e.payload.reason === 'insufficient_evidence',\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'insufficient_evidence',\n            reason: 'task proceeded with insufficient supporting evidence',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  {\n    id: 'contradictory-evidence',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const event = events.find(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'custom' &&\n          e.payload.kind === 'knowledge_gap' &&\n          e.payload.reason === 'contradictory_evidence',\n      )\n      return event\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'contradictory_evidence',\n            reason: 'supporting evidence contradicted itself',\n            triggerEventId: event.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  // Budget breach events\n  {\n    id: 'budget-breach',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const breach = events.find((e) => e.kind === 'budget_breach')\n      return breach\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'budget_exceeded',\n            reason: `budget breached on ${breach.payload.dimension ?? 'unknown dimension'}`,\n            triggerEventId: breach.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  // Policy violations\n  {\n    id: 'policy-violation',\n    match: ({ events }) => {\n      const e = events.find((x) => x.kind === 'policy_violation')\n      return e\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'policy_violation',\n            reason: 'policy_violation event emitted',\n            triggerEventId: e.eventId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n  // Sandbox non-zero exit code\n  {\n    id: 'sandbox-failure',\n    match: ({ spans }) => {\n      const s = spans.find(\n        (x) => x.kind === 'sandbox' && typeof x.exitCode === 'number' && x.exitCode !== 0,\n      )\n      if (!s) return null\n      return {\n        failureClass: 'sandbox_failure',\n        reason: `sandbox exited ${(s as Extract<Span, { kind: 'sandbox' }>).exitCode}`,\n        triggerSpanId: s.spanId,\n      }\n    },\n  },\n  // Timeout: run aborted by external signal\n  {\n    id: 'timeout',\n    match: ({ run, events }) => {\n      if (run.status !== 'aborted') return null\n      const hasTimeout = events.some(\n        (e) =>\n          e.kind === 'error' &&\n          String(e.payload.reason ?? '')\n            .toLowerCase()\n            .includes('timeout'),\n      )\n      const note = (run.outcome?.notes ?? '').toLowerCase()\n      if (hasTimeout || note.includes('timeout') || note.includes('deadline')) {\n        return { failureClass: 'timeout', reason: 'timeout signal observed' }\n      }\n      return null\n    },\n  },\n  // Tool recovery failure: many consecutive tool errors on the same tool\n  {\n    id: 'tool-recovery-failure',\n    match: ({ spans }) => {\n      const tools = spans.filter((s) => s.kind === 'tool')\n      const byTool = new Map<string, Span[]>()\n      for (const t of tools) {\n        const name = (t as Extract<Span, { kind: 'tool' }>).toolName\n        const arr = byTool.get(name) ?? []\n        arr.push(t)\n        byTool.set(name, arr)\n      }\n      for (const [name, arr] of byTool) {\n        const errs = arr.filter((s) => s.status === 'error')\n        if (errs.length >= 3 && errs.length === arr.length) {\n          return {\n            failureClass: 'tool_recovery_failure',\n            reason: `${errs.length} consecutive errors on tool \"${name}\"`,\n            triggerSpanId: errs[errs.length - 1]!.spanId,\n          }\n        }\n      }\n      return null\n    },\n  },\n  // Tool selection error: the run failed and agent called zero tools despite having them\n  {\n    id: 'tool-selection-error',\n    match: ({ run, spans }) => {\n      if (run.outcome?.pass !== false) return null\n      const hasToolsAvailable = spans.some(\n        (s) =>\n          s.kind === 'agent' &&\n          (s.attributes?.toolsAvailable as number | undefined) !== undefined &&\n          (s.attributes?.toolsAvailable as number) > 0,\n      )\n      const tools = spans.filter((s) => s.kind === 'tool')\n      if (hasToolsAvailable && tools.length === 0) {\n        return {\n          failureClass: 'tool_selection_error',\n          reason: 'tools were available but none were called',\n        }\n      }\n      return null\n    },\n  },\n  // Format drift: scored by a judge with dimension='format' below threshold\n  {\n    id: 'format-drift',\n    match: ({ spans }) => {\n      const judge = spans.find(\n        (s) =>\n          s.kind === 'judge' &&\n          (s as Extract<Span, { kind: 'judge' }>).dimension === 'format' &&\n          (s as Extract<Span, { kind: 'judge' }>).score < 0.5,\n      )\n      return judge\n        ? {\n            failureClass: 'format_drift',\n            reason: 'format judge scored below 0.5',\n            triggerSpanId: judge.spanId,\n          }\n        : null\n    },\n  },\n]\n\nfunction hasResolutionStatus(payload: Record<string, unknown>, status: string): boolean {\n  if (status === 'missing_connection' && stringArray(payload.missingConnections).length > 0)\n    return true\n  return resolutionItems(payload).some((item) => item.status === status)\n}\n\nfunction hasMissingScopes(payload: Record<string, unknown>): boolean {\n  if (stringArray(payload.missingScopes).length > 0) return true\n  return resolutionItems(payload).some(\n    (item) => Array.isArray(item.missingScopes) && item.missingScopes.length > 0,\n  )\n}\n\nfunction resolutionItems(payload: Record<string, unknown>): Array<Record<string, unknown>> {\n  return [\n    ...records(payload.missing),\n    ...records(payload.optionalMissing),\n    ...records(payload.ready),\n  ]\n}\n\nfunction records(value: unknown): Array<Record<string, unknown>> {\n  if (!Array.isArray(value)) return []\n  return value.filter(\n    (item): item is Record<string, unknown> =>\n      Boolean(item) && typeof item === 'object' && !Array.isArray(item),\n  )\n}\n\nfunction stringArray(value: unknown): string[] {\n  return Array.isArray(value)\n    ? value.filter((item): item is string => typeof item === 'string')\n    : []\n}\n\n/** Classify the failure mode of a run using an ordered rule list. */\nexport function classifyFailure(\n  ctx: FailureContext,\n  rules: FailureRule[] = DEFAULT_RULES,\n): FailureClassification {\n  if (ctx.run.outcome?.pass !== false && ctx.run.status === 'completed') {\n    return { failureClass: 'success', reason: 'run completed with pass=true (or no explicit fail)' }\n  }\n  for (const rule of rules) {\n    const hit = rule.match(ctx)\n    if (hit) return hit\n  }\n  return { failureClass: 'unknown', reason: 'no rule matched; run failed for unclassified reason' }\n}\n","/**\n * Tool-use metrics — derived purely from trace data.\n *\n * No scoring assumptions: consumers supply optional ground-truth tool\n * selections per turn + optional \"information used downstream\" signals.\n * Without those, we still compute descriptive metrics (error rate,\n * retry rate, duplicate-call rate) that are useful on their own.\n */\n\nimport { argHash, groupBy, toolSpans } from './trace/query'\nimport type { Span } from './trace/schema'\nimport type { TraceStore } from './trace/store'\n\nexport interface ToolUseMetrics {\n  runId: string\n  totalCalls: number\n  byTool: Record<string, ToolStats>\n  errorRate: number\n  /** Ratio of calls with identical (toolName, argHash) already seen earlier in the same run. */\n  duplicateRate: number\n  /** Ratio of error calls followed by ≥1 retry on same tool. */\n  retryRate: number\n  /** Optional: of the calls agent made, fraction the evaluator marked as \"correct selection\". */\n  selectionAccuracy?: number\n}\n\nexport interface ToolStats {\n  calls: number\n  errors: number\n  avgLatencyMs: number\n  duplicates: number\n}\n\nexport interface ToolUseOptions {\n  /** Map of spanId → whether the evaluator judged the tool selection correct. Optional. */\n  selectionLabels?: Record<string, boolean>\n}\n\nexport async function computeToolUseMetrics(\n  store: TraceStore,\n  runId: string,\n  options: ToolUseOptions = {},\n): Promise<ToolUseMetrics> {\n  const tools = await toolSpans(store, runId)\n  if (tools.length === 0) {\n    return { runId, totalCalls: 0, byTool: {}, errorRate: 0, duplicateRate: 0, retryRate: 0 }\n  }\n\n  const byTool: Record<string, ToolStats> = {}\n  let totalErrors = 0\n  let totalDuplicates = 0\n  const sortedTools = [...tools].sort((a, b) => a.startedAt - b.startedAt)\n  const seenSignatures = new Set<string>()\n\n  // duplicate detection + per-tool aggregation\n  for (const t of sortedTools) {\n    const stat = (byTool[t.toolName] ??= { calls: 0, errors: 0, avgLatencyMs: 0, duplicates: 0 })\n    stat.calls += 1\n    if (t.status === 'error') {\n      stat.errors += 1\n      totalErrors += 1\n    }\n    if (typeof t.latencyMs === 'number') stat.avgLatencyMs += t.latencyMs\n    const sig = `${t.toolName}|${argHash(t.args)}`\n    if (seenSignatures.has(sig)) {\n      stat.duplicates += 1\n      totalDuplicates += 1\n    }\n    seenSignatures.add(sig)\n  }\n\n  for (const stat of Object.values(byTool)) {\n    stat.avgLatencyMs = stat.calls > 0 ? stat.avgLatencyMs / stat.calls : 0\n  }\n\n  // retry detection: per-tool chronological adjacency where error → next same-tool call\n  let retryOpportunities = 0\n  let retriesFollowed = 0\n  for (const [, arr] of groupBy(sortedTools, (t) => t.toolName)) {\n    for (let i = 0; i < arr.length; i++) {\n      if (arr[i]!.status !== 'error') continue\n      retryOpportunities += 1\n      if (arr[i + 1]) retriesFollowed += 1\n    }\n  }\n  const retryRate = retryOpportunities > 0 ? retriesFollowed / retryOpportunities : 0\n\n  let selectionAccuracy: number | undefined\n  if (options.selectionLabels) {\n    const labeled = sortedTools.filter((t) => t.spanId in options.selectionLabels!)\n    if (labeled.length > 0) {\n      selectionAccuracy =\n        labeled.filter((t) => options.selectionLabels![t.spanId]).length / labeled.length\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    runId,\n    totalCalls: sortedTools.length,\n    byTool,\n    errorRate: totalErrors / sortedTools.length,\n    duplicateRate: totalDuplicates / sortedTools.length,\n    retryRate,\n    selectionAccuracy,\n  }\n}\n\nexport type { Span }\n","/**\n * Baseline regression detection.\n *\n * Lifted from ADC baseline.ts. Every promotion-blocking signal boils down\n * to: \"is this run measurably worse than baseline?\" — with enough\n * statistical rigor to distinguish noise from drift.\n *\n * Uses:\n *   - Welch's t-test (unequal variance) for per-metric mean comparison\n *   - Cohen's d for effect size magnitude\n *   - IQR for stability flag (unstable samples can't be trusted for comparisons)\n *\n * Returns a structured verdict: improved | regressed | stable | unstable.\n */\n\nimport { cohensD } from './statistics'\n\nexport interface MetricSamples {\n  /** Stable metric key (e.g. \"overallScore\", \"firstTokenMs\"). */\n  metric: string\n  /** Whether higher values are better. */\n  higherIsBetter: boolean\n  baseline: number[]\n  candidate: number[]\n}\n\nexport interface MetricVerdict {\n  metric: string\n  baselineMean: number\n  candidateMean: number\n  delta: number\n  cohensD: number\n  welchT: number\n  welchDf: number\n  welchP: number\n  stable: boolean\n  /** IQR of the combined samples — used as a rough stability indicator. */\n  iqr: number\n  verdict: 'improved' | 'regressed' | 'stable' | 'unstable'\n}\n\nexport interface BaselineReport {\n  metrics: MetricVerdict[]\n  /** True if any critical metric regressed. */\n  hasRegression: boolean\n  /** True if any metric is unstable (too noisy to judge). */\n  hasUnstable: boolean\n}\n\nexport interface BaselineOptions {\n  /** Effect size threshold for meaningful delta (default 0.5 — medium effect). */\n  effectThreshold?: number\n  /** p-value threshold for statistical significance (default 0.05). */\n  alpha?: number\n  /** IQR/mean ratio above which samples are flagged unstable (default 0.30). */\n  unstableCvThreshold?: number\n}\n\n/**\n * Compare candidate samples against baseline per metric. Verdict logic:\n *   - unstable: IQR/|mean| > threshold on either set — not enough signal\n *   - improved: meaningful effect in the \"better\" direction AND p < alpha\n *   - regressed: meaningful effect in the \"worse\" direction AND p < alpha\n *   - stable: otherwise (no significant change)\n */\nexport function compareToBaseline(\n  samples: MetricSamples[],\n  options: BaselineOptions = {},\n): BaselineReport {\n  const effectThreshold = options.effectThreshold ?? 0.5\n  const alpha = options.alpha ?? 0.05\n  const cvThreshold = options.unstableCvThreshold ?? 0.3\n\n  const metrics: MetricVerdict[] = samples.map((s) => {\n    if (s.baseline.length < 2 || s.candidate.length < 2) {\n      throw new Error(`compareToBaseline: need ≥2 samples per side for \"${s.metric}\"`)\n    }\n    const bMean = mean(s.baseline)\n    const cMean = mean(s.candidate)\n    const delta = cMean - bMean\n    const d = cohensD(s.baseline, s.candidate) // positive = candidate higher\n    const { t, df, p } = welchsTTest(s.baseline, s.candidate)\n    // Stability is per-side: a comparison is trustworthy only when BOTH\n    // samples are internally consistent. Combining the sides would flag\n    // large-but-real deltas as \"unstable\" which is exactly what we want\n    // to detect.\n    const baselineIqr = iqr(s.baseline)\n    const candidateIqr = iqr(s.candidate)\n    const baselineStable = baselineIqr / Math.max(Math.abs(bMean), 1e-9) <= cvThreshold\n    const candidateStable = candidateIqr / Math.max(Math.abs(cMean), 1e-9) <= cvThreshold\n    const stable = baselineStable && candidateStable\n    const reportedIqr = Math.max(baselineIqr, candidateIqr)\n\n    let verdict: MetricVerdict['verdict']\n    if (!stable) {\n      verdict = 'unstable'\n    } else if (p < alpha && Math.abs(d) >= effectThreshold) {\n      const candidateIsBetter = s.higherIsBetter ? delta > 0 : delta < 0\n      verdict = candidateIsBetter ? 'improved' : 'regressed'\n    } else {\n      verdict = 'stable'\n    }\n\n    return {\n      metric: s.metric,\n      baselineMean: bMean,\n      candidateMean: cMean,\n      delta,\n      cohensD: d,\n      welchT: t,\n      welchDf: df,\n      welchP: p,\n      stable,\n      iqr: reportedIqr,\n      verdict,\n    }\n  })\n\n  return {\n    metrics,\n    hasRegression: metrics.some((m) => m.verdict === 'regressed'),\n    hasUnstable: metrics.some((m) => m.verdict === 'unstable'),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction mean(xs: number[]): number {\n  return xs.reduce((a, b) => a + b, 0) / xs.length\n}\n\n/** Inter-quartile range; 0 when the sample has no spread. */\nexport function iqr(xs: number[]): number {\n  if (xs.length === 0) return 0\n  const sorted = [...xs].sort((a, b) => a - b)\n  const q = (p: number) => {\n    const idx = p * (sorted.length - 1)\n    const lo = Math.floor(idx)\n    const hi = Math.ceil(idx)\n    return sorted[lo]! + (sorted[hi]! - sorted[lo]!) * (idx - lo)\n  }\n  return q(0.75) - q(0.25)\n}\n\n/**\n * Welch's t-test — unequal-variance two-sample t. Uses the same Student-t\n * CDF as `pairedTTest` (via incomplete beta); falls back to normal tail\n * when df is large.\n */\nexport function welchsTTest(a: number[], b: number[]): { t: number; df: number; p: number } {\n  if (a.length < 2 || b.length < 2) return { t: 0, df: 0, p: 1 }\n  const mA = mean(a)\n  const mB = mean(b)\n  const vA = variance(a, mA)\n  const vB = variance(b, mB)\n  const seSquared = vA / a.length + vB / b.length\n  if (seSquared === 0) return { t: mA === mB ? 0 : Infinity, df: 0, p: mA === mB ? 1 : 0 }\n  const t = (mB - mA) / Math.sqrt(seSquared)\n  const df =\n    (seSquared * seSquared) /\n    ((vA / a.length) ** 2 / (a.length - 1) + (vB / b.length) ** 2 / (b.length - 1))\n  const p = 2 * (1 - studentTCdf(Math.abs(t), df))\n  return { t, df, p }\n}\n\nfunction variance(xs: number[], m: number): number {\n  return xs.reduce((acc, x) => acc + (x - m) ** 2, 0) / (xs.length - 1)\n}\n\n// Re-used from statistics.ts via small local copy to avoid exporting internals.\nfunction studentTCdf(t: number, df: number): number {\n  if (df <= 0) return 0.5\n  if (df > 100) return normalCdf(t)\n  const x = df / (df + t * t)\n  const ib = incompleteBeta(x, df / 2, 0.5)\n  return t >= 0 ? 1 - 0.5 * ib : 0.5 * ib\n}\n\nfunction incompleteBeta(x: number, a: number, b: number): number {\n  if (x <= 0) return 0\n  if (x >= 1) return 1\n  const lnBeta = lnGamma(a) + lnGamma(b) - lnGamma(a + b)\n  const front = Math.exp(Math.log(x) * a + Math.log(1 - x) * b - lnBeta) / a\n  let c = 1\n  let d = 1 - ((a + b) * x) / (a + 1)\n  if (Math.abs(d) < 1e-30) d = 1e-30\n  d = 1 / d\n  let f = d\n  for (let m = 1; m <= 200; m++) {\n    const m2 = 2 * m\n    let num = (m * (b - m) * x) / ((a + m2 - 1) * (a + m2))\n    d = 1 + num * d\n    if (Math.abs(d) < 1e-30) d = 1e-30\n    c = 1 + num / c\n    if (Math.abs(c) < 1e-30) c = 1e-30\n    d = 1 / d\n    f *= d * c\n    num = -((a + m) * (a + b + m) * x) / ((a + m2) * (a + m2 + 1))\n    d = 1 + num * d\n    if (Math.abs(d) < 1e-30) d = 1e-30\n    c = 1 + num / c\n    if (Math.abs(c) < 1e-30) c = 1e-30\n    d = 1 / d\n    const delta = d * c\n    f *= delta\n    if (Math.abs(delta - 1) < 3e-7) break\n  }\n  return front * f\n}\n\nfunction lnGamma(z: number): number {\n  const coefs = [\n    0.99999999999980993, 676.5203681218851, -1259.1392167224028, 771.32342877765313,\n    -176.61502916214059, 12.507343278686905, -0.13857109526572012, 9.9843695780195716e-6,\n    1.5056327351493116e-7,\n  ]\n  if (z < 0.5) return Math.log(Math.PI / Math.sin(Math.PI * z)) - lnGamma(1 - z)\n  z -= 1\n  let x = coefs[0]!\n  for (let i = 1; i < 9; i++) x += coefs[i]! / (z + i)\n  const t = z + 7.5\n  return 0.5 * Math.log(2 * Math.PI) + (z + 0.5) * Math.log(t) - t + Math.log(x)\n}\n\nfunction normalCdf(x: number): number {\n  const a1 = 0.254829592\n  const a2 = -0.284496736\n  const a3 = 1.421413741\n  const a4 = -1.453152027\n  const a5 = 1.061405429\n  const p = 0.3275911\n  const sign = x < 0 ? -1 : 1\n  const absX = Math.abs(x)\n  const t = 1 / (1 + p * absX)\n  const y = 1 - ((((a5 * t + a4) * t + a3) * t + a2) * t + a1) * t * Math.exp((-absX * absX) / 2)\n  return 0.5 * (1 + sign * 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