@tangle-network/agent-eval 0.216.1 → 0.217.1

package/dist/statistical-heldout-42NlCNDe.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"file":"statistical-heldout-42NlCNDe.js","names":[],"sources":["../src/campaign/gates/statistical-heldout.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * Held-out inference pairs execution cells and judge identities before taking\n * means within registered independent units. Repetitions can improve a unit's\n * precision without increasing n. Ungrouped inference concerns independently\n * sampled execution cells conditional on a fixed scenario roster.\n *\n * The shared paired decision rule selects the estimator and statistical test.\n * Dimension reports retain missing coverage so required safety checks cannot\n * pass through absent evidence. Thresholds use the judge's native score scale.\n */\n\nimport {\n  decidePairedPromotion,\n  type PairedDecisionMethod,\n  type PairedDecisionStatistic,\n  type PairedMcNemarEvidence,\n  type PairedPromotionDecision,\n} from '../../paired-promotion-decision'\nimport {\n  DECISION_PAIRED_DELTA_STATISTIC,\n  type PairedBootstrapResult,\n  pairedBootstrap,\n} from '../../statistics'\nimport type { JudgeScore } from '../types'\n\n/** Tie fraction at/above which a gate annotates its verdict with the tie share.\n *  Tie-domination of the median bites structurally at >= 0.5 (the median is then\n *  0 by construction); 0.4 is a softer warn threshold that flags a run APPROACHING\n *  that regime, so an operator sees it before the median goes fully blind. */\nexport const TIE_WARN_FRACTION = 0.4\n\nexport interface PairedHoldout {\n  /** Baseline scalar per paired cell (same order as `after`/`cellIds`). */\n  before: number[]\n  /** Candidate scalar per paired cell. */\n  after: number[]\n  /** The full cellIds (`scenario:rep`) that paired, in order. */\n  cellIds: string[]\n}\n\n/** Campaign cell IDs append a numeric repetition after the scenario's full ID. */\nexport function scenarioIdFromCellId(cellId: string): string {\n  const separator = cellId.lastIndexOf(':')\n  const repetition = cellId.slice(separator + 1)\n  if (\n    separator < 1 ||\n    cellId.trim() !== cellId ||\n    !/^(0|[1-9]\\d*)$/.test(repetition) ||\n    !Number.isSafeInteger(Number(repetition))\n  ) {\n    throw new Error(`pairHoldout: malformed cellId '${cellId}'; expected scenarioId:rep`)\n  }\n  return cellId.slice(0, separator)\n}\n\n/** Preserve cell pairing before taking equal-weight independent-unit means. */\nexport function aggregatePairedHoldout(\n  paired: PairedHoldout,\n  independentUnitByScenarioId?: ReadonlyMap<string, string>,\n): { before: number[]; after: number[]; unitIds: string[] } {\n  if (\n    paired.before.length !== paired.after.length ||\n    paired.before.length !== paired.cellIds.length\n  ) {\n    throw new Error('aggregatePairedHoldout: scores and cellIds must have the same length')\n  }\n  if (new Set(paired.cellIds).size !== paired.cellIds.length) {\n    throw new Error('aggregatePairedHoldout: duplicate cellIds cannot count as new observations')\n  }\n  if (\n    paired.before.some((value) => !Number.isFinite(value)) ||\n    paired.after.some((value) => !Number.isFinite(value))\n  ) {\n    throw new Error('aggregatePairedHoldout: paired scores must be finite')\n  }\n  if (independentUnitByScenarioId === undefined) {\n    return { before: [...paired.before], after: [...paired.after], unitIds: [...paired.cellIds] }\n  }\n  const scenarioIds = paired.cellIds.map(scenarioIdFromCellId)\n  const groups = new Map<string, { before: number; after: number; n: number }>()\n  for (let i = 0; i < paired.cellIds.length; i++) {\n    const scenarioId = scenarioIds[i]!\n    const unitId = independentUnitByScenarioId.get(scenarioId)\n    if (typeof unitId !== 'string' || unitId.length === 0 || unitId.trim() !== unitId) {\n      throw new Error(\n        `aggregatePairedHoldout: missing independent unit for scenario '${scenarioId}'`,\n      )\n    }\n    const group = groups.get(unitId) ?? { before: 0, after: 0, n: 0 }\n    group.before += paired.before[i]!\n    group.after += paired.after[i]!\n    group.n += 1\n    groups.set(unitId, group)\n  }\n  const unitIds = [...groups.keys()].sort()\n  return {\n    before: unitIds.map((id) => groups.get(id)!.before / groups.get(id)!.n),\n    after: unitIds.map((id) => groups.get(id)!.after / groups.get(id)!.n),\n    unitIds,\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Pair candidate vs baseline holdout observations by FULL cellId. `select`\n * pulls the scalar from a cell's judge reports (composite, or a named\n * dimension); a cell contributes the mean of `select` across its judges. Cells\n * whose scenario is not in `scenarioIds`, or where `select` is undefined for\n * every judge on both sides, are skipped. The selected judge IDs must agree\n * within each pair. Throws when the two maps disagree on holdout cell IDs — a\n * load-bearing invariant: the baseline + winner holdout campaigns run the same\n * scenarios with the same seed base, so their cellIds MUST align; a mismatch\n * means a silent pairing bug, not a soft fallback.\n */\nexport function pairHoldout(\n  candidate: Map<string, Record<string, JudgeScore>>,\n  baseline: Map<string, Record<string, JudgeScore>>,\n  scenarioIds: Set<string>,\n  select: (s: JudgeScore) => number | undefined,\n): PairedHoldout {\n  const cellValues = (\n    byCell: Map<string, Record<string, JudgeScore>>,\n    cellId: string,\n  ): Map<string, number> => {\n    const scores = byCell.get(cellId)\n    const values = new Map<string, number>()\n    if (!scores) return values\n    for (const [judgeId, s] of Object.entries(scores)) {\n      if (s.failed === true) {\n        throw new Error(`pairHoldout: cell '${cellId}' contains a failed judge score`)\n      }\n      const v = select(s)\n      if (typeof v === 'number' && !Number.isFinite(v)) {\n        throw new Error(`pairHoldout: cell '${cellId}' contains a non-finite selected score`)\n      }\n      if (typeof v === 'number') values.set(judgeId, v)\n    }\n    return values\n  }\n\n  const inScope = (cellId: string) => scenarioIds.has(scenarioIdFromCellId(cellId))\n  const candCells = [...candidate.keys()].filter(inScope).sort()\n  const baseCells = [...baseline.keys()].filter(inScope).sort()\n  // Alignment invariant — the holdout campaigns share scenarios + seed, so the\n  // cell sets must be identical. Differ ⇒ a real pairing bug; fail loud.\n  if (candCells.length !== baseCells.length || candCells.some((c, i) => c !== baseCells[i])) {\n    throw new Error(\n      `pairHoldout: candidate/baseline holdout cells do not align — ` +\n        `candidate=[${candCells.join(',')}] baseline=[${baseCells.join(',')}]. ` +\n        `Both holdout campaigns must run the same scenarios with the same seed base.`,\n    )\n  }\n\n  const before: number[] = []\n  const after: number[] = []\n  const cellIds: string[] = []\n  for (const cellId of candCells) {\n    const b = cellValues(baseline, cellId)\n    const a = cellValues(candidate, cellId)\n    // A scalar absent on both sides means that dimension was not scored. A\n    // one-sided absence is asymmetric evidence loss, never a row to discard.\n    if (b.size === 0 && a.size === 0) continue\n    if (b.size === 0 || a.size === 0) {\n      throw new Error(`pairHoldout: cell '${cellId}' has a selected score on only one arm`)\n    }\n    if (b.size !== a.size || [...b.keys()].some((id) => !a.has(id))) {\n      throw new Error(`pairHoldout: cell '${cellId}' selected judge IDs do not align`)\n    }\n    const judgeIds = [...b.keys()].sort()\n    before.push(meanSelectedScores(judgeIds.map((id) => b.get(id)!)))\n    after.push(meanSelectedScores(judgeIds.map((id) => a.get(id)!)))\n    cellIds.push(cellId)\n  }\n  return { before, after, cellIds }\n}\n\nfunction meanSelectedScores(values: number[]): number {\n  const first = values[0]!\n  // Summing identical fractional scores can round their mean outside the\n  // declared binary support. An agreeing judge set preserves its exact value.\n  return values.every((value) => value === first)\n    ? first\n    : values.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0) / values.length\n}\n\nexport interface HeldoutSignificance {\n  paired: PairedHoldout\n  /**\n   * The paired bootstrap on the requested statistic (MEAN by default — see the\n   * tie note on `heldoutSignificance`).\n   *\n   * DIAGNOSTIC, not necessarily the interval the verdict keyed on. On a\n   * two-point (pass/fail) outcome the decision routes to Tango's score interval\n   * instead, because a percentile bootstrap of the mean over a three-atom\n   * lattice is not a valid interval at a nonzero margin. Read\n   * `decision.low`/`decision.high` for the interval that actually decided, and\n   * `decisionStatistic` for which one it is.\n   */\n  bootstrap: PairedBootstrapResult\n  /** The MEDIAN paired-delta bootstrap, reported as a diagnostic. When many\n   *  scenarios are tied (both sides solve them), the median is pinned near 0\n   *  regardless of the mean lift — comparing the two exposes tie-domination. */\n  medianBootstrap: PairedBootstrapResult\n  /**\n   * The full promotion decision: which estimator the outcome's shape admits,\n   * the interval it produced, McNemar's exact veto on the two-point path, and\n   * whether the interval was zero-width (no evidence in either direction). The\n   * single source of `significant`.\n   */\n  decision: PairedPromotionDecision\n  /** Which paired estimator the verdict was decided on. */\n  decisionStatistic: PairedDecisionStatistic\n  /** McNemar's exact evidence on the two-point path; null otherwise. */\n  mcnemar: PairedMcNemarEvidence | null\n  /** Fraction of paired observations that are exact ties (|delta| < 1e-9). A\n   *  high tie fraction is WHY a median-based gate would have missed a real lift;\n   *  it is the observability the tie fix adds. */\n  tieFraction: number\n  /** Number of paired observation units, after configured aggregation. */\n  n: number\n  /** Original matched execution cells, before aggregation. */\n  pairedCellN: number\n  observationUnit: 'registered' | 'cell'\n  /** Registered unit IDs, or cell IDs on the ungrouped path. */\n  unitIds: string[]\n  /** Effective minimum for the requested target and chosen estimator. */\n  minimumRequired: number\n  /** Statistical method that carried the decision. */\n  decisionMethod: PairedDecisionMethod\n  /** Exact one-sided p-value on the small-sample path; otherwise null. */\n  pValue: number | null\n  /** True iff n >= minimumRequired, the DECIDING interval has nonzero width,\n   *  its lower bound clears the threshold, and McNemar's exact test does not\n   *  veto at a non-negative threshold. */\n  significant: boolean\n  /** Set when n < minimumRequired — too little evidence to claim significance. */\n  fewRuns: boolean\n}\n\nexport interface HeldoutSignificanceOptions {\n  deltaThreshold?: number\n  minProductiveRuns?: number\n  confidence?: number\n  resamples?: number\n  /** Fixed by default for a deterministic, reproducible gate verdict. */\n  seed?: number\n  statistic?: 'mean' | 'median'\n  /** Group full cell pairs into equal-weight independent units before inference. */\n  independentUnitByScenarioId?: ReadonlyMap<string, string>\n}\n\n/**\n * Significance of the held-out composite lift: ship only when the lower bound\n * of the interval the outcome's shape ADMITS exceeds `deltaThreshold` (default\n * 0 ⇒ \"confidently positive\"). Interpret `deltaThreshold` in the judge's native\n * scale.\n *\n * The decision is delegated whole to {@link decidePairedPromotion}, the one\n * copy of the rule (`src/paired-promotion-decision.ts`), which `HeldOutGate`\n * also calls. That module's header carries the measurements; the short version\n * is three guards a bare `bootstrap.low > threshold` does not have:\n *\n *   - a two-point (pass/fail) outcome decides on Tango's SCORE interval, the\n *     only paired-binary construction that stays valid at a nonzero margin;\n *   - McNemar's exact test VETOES at any non-negative threshold;\n *   - a ZERO-WIDTH interval is refused rather than promoted, in either\n *     direction — [0,0] clears every negative threshold and [g,g] clears every\n *     threshold below g, and both are an absence of evidence, not a result.\n *\n * Measured on this function before those guards landed, at a nominal 5 %:\n * 14.60 % false promotion at n = 40 on a paired-binary noninferiority boundary,\n * and 88.50 % at n = 6 under a bounded asymmetric null whose true mean paired\n * delta is exactly 0.\n *\n * Continuous mean targets require bootstrap eligibility. Explicit median\n * targets can use the exact sign test at its confidence-dependent minimum.\n */\nexport function heldoutSignificance(\n  paired: PairedHoldout,\n  opts: HeldoutSignificanceOptions = {},\n): HeldoutSignificance {\n  const deltaThreshold = opts.deltaThreshold ?? 0\n  const confidence = opts.confidence ?? 0.95\n  const resamples = opts.resamples ?? 2000\n  const seed = opts.seed ?? 1337\n  // DEFAULT to the MEAN paired delta, not the median. The median is destroyed by\n  // TIES: whenever both baseline and candidate solve a holdout scenario (a common\n  // case once the agent is decent — and INCREASINGLY common as you add holdout\n  // scenarios for statistical power), that scenario contributes delta 0. When\n  // >=50% of paired cells are ties the median is pinned at 0 regardless of a large,\n  // consistent lift on the rest, and the gate holds a genuinely better candidate.\n  // (Measured live, supervisor-lab run 6: 40 cells, 20 ties, MEAN +0.177, MEDIAN 0\n  // → false hold. Doubling the holdout for \"power\" made it WORSE by adding ties.)\n  // The mean equals the reported aggregate lift, ties correctly contribute 0\n  // without dominating, and it is the textbook paired-comparison estimator; the\n  // median is kept as a reported diagnostic. Callers wanting outlier-robustness at\n  // the cost of tie-blindness can still pass `statistic: 'median'`.\n  const statistic = opts.statistic ?? 'mean'\n  const observations = aggregatePairedHoldout(paired, opts.independentUnitByScenarioId)\n  const decision = decidePairedPromotion(observations.before, observations.after, {\n    confidence,\n    resamples,\n    statistic,\n    seed,\n    threshold: deltaThreshold,\n    minPairs: opts.minProductiveRuns,\n  })\n  // `decision.bootstrap` is null exactly when the score interval decided, so\n  // the requested-statistic bootstrap is computed here for the diagnostic\n  // field. Same two bootstraps as before on every path.\n  const bootstrap =\n    decision.bootstrap ??\n    pairedBootstrap(observations.before, observations.after, {\n      confidence,\n      resamples,\n      statistic,\n      seed,\n    })\n  const medianBootstrap =\n    statistic === 'median'\n      ? bootstrap\n      : pairedBootstrap(observations.before, observations.after, {\n          confidence,\n          resamples,\n          statistic: 'median',\n          seed,\n        })\n  const n = observations.before.length\n  let ties = 0\n  for (let i = 0; i < n; i += 1) {\n    const after = observations.after[i]!\n    const before = observations.before[i]!\n    if (Math.abs(after - before) < 1e-9) ties += 1\n  }\n  const tieFraction = n === 0 ? 0 : ties / n\n  return {\n    paired,\n    bootstrap,\n    medianBootstrap,\n    decision,\n    decisionStatistic: decision.statistic,\n    mcnemar: decision.mcnemar,\n    tieFraction,\n    n,\n    pairedCellN: paired.cellIds.length,\n    observationUnit: opts.independentUnitByScenarioId === undefined ? 'cell' : 'registered',\n    unitIds: observations.unitIds,\n    minimumRequired: decision.minimumPairs,\n    decisionMethod: decision.method,\n    pValue: decision.pValue,\n    significant: decision.promote,\n    fewRuns: !decision.sufficient,\n  }\n}\n\nexport interface DimensionRegression {\n  dimension: string\n  /** Paired bootstrap on (candidate − baseline). DIAGNOSTIC on a pass/fail\n   *  dimension, where `ci` carries the interval that decided instead. */\n  bootstrap: PairedBootstrapResult\n  /** Which paired statistic `bootstrap.low` is the lower bound of. `'mean'`\n   *  unless the caller asked for the median. `bootstrap.median` still carries\n   *  the median point estimate either way. */\n  bootstrapStatistic: 'median' | 'mean'\n  /** The interval `regressed` was decided on, in the dimension's native units. */\n  ci: { low: number; high: number }\n  /** Which estimator produced `ci`. */\n  decisionStatistic: PairedDecisionStatistic\n  /** McNemar's exact evidence on a pass/fail dimension; null otherwise. */\n  mcnemar: PairedMcNemarEvidence | null\n  /** `ci` has zero width — no evidence in either direction. */\n  indeterminate: boolean\n  /** The bootstrap lower bound is below negative tolerance, or the shared\n   *  paired test supports a drop exceeding tolerance. Missing coverage and\n   *  insufficient observations are reported separately. */\n  regressed: boolean\n  tolerance: number\n  n: number\n  pairedCellN: number\n  observationUnit: 'registered' | 'cell'\n  /** Statistical minimum for the configured independent observation unit. */\n  minimumRequired: number\n  fewRuns: boolean\n  /** Both arms lack this dimension on these otherwise matched execution cells. */\n  missingCellIds: string[]\n  /** Configured scenarios with no paired dimension measurement at all. */\n  missingScenarioIds: string[]\n}\n\n/** Detect the native scale of a set of scores: 0-100 when any magnitude clears\n *  1.5, else [0,1]. Used to auto-scale the regression tolerance so a default\n *  expressed for [0,1] is not silently a no-op on a 0-100 dimension. */\nexport function detectScale(values: number[]): 1 | 100 {\n  return values.some((v) => Math.abs(v) > 1.5) ? 100 : 1\n}\n\n/**\n * Report required-dimension evidence after full pairing and optional unit means.\n * A bootstrap floor breach or a shared paired test supporting a drop marks\n * regression. These two criteria are distinct; `ci` records the shared\n * estimator and `bootstrap` records the floor interval. Missing observations\n * and insufficient n remain explicit for the caller's evidence policy.\n * The default tolerance is 0.05 on [0,1] and 5 on a detected 0-100 scale.\n */\nexport function dimensionRegressions(\n  candidate: Map<string, Record<string, JudgeScore>>,\n  baseline: Map<string, Record<string, JudgeScore>>,\n  scenarioIds: Set<string>,\n  criticalDimensions: string[],\n  opts: {\n    tolerance?: number\n    confidence?: number\n    resamples?: number\n    seed?: number\n    /** Paired statistic the CI is computed on. Default `'mean'` — see\n     *  {@link DECISION_PAIRED_DELTA_STATISTIC} for why the median is not. */\n    statistic?: 'mean' | 'median'\n    independentUnitByScenarioId?: ReadonlyMap<string, string>\n    minProductiveRuns?: number\n  } = {},\n): DimensionRegression[] {\n  const out: DimensionRegression[] = []\n  const expectedCellIds = [...baseline.keys()]\n    .filter((cellId) => scenarioIds.has(scenarioIdFromCellId(cellId)))\n    .sort()\n  for (const dim of criticalDimensions) {\n    const paired = pairHoldout(candidate, baseline, scenarioIds, (s) => s.dimensions[dim])\n    if (paired.before.length === 0) continue // dimension not scored on this judge\n    const observations = aggregatePairedHoldout(paired, opts.independentUnitByScenarioId)\n    const measuredCells = new Set(paired.cellIds)\n    const measuredScenarios = new Set(paired.cellIds.map(scenarioIdFromCellId))\n    const tolerance = opts.tolerance ?? 0.05 * detectScale([...paired.before, ...paired.after])\n    const bootstrapStatistic = opts.statistic ?? DECISION_PAIRED_DELTA_STATISTIC\n    const shared = {\n      confidence: opts.confidence ?? 0.95,\n      resamples: opts.resamples ?? 2000,\n      statistic: bootstrapStatistic,\n      seed: opts.seed ?? 1337,\n      minPairs: opts.minProductiveRuns,\n    }\n    const guard = decidePairedPromotion(observations.before, observations.after, shared)\n    const regression = decidePairedPromotion(observations.after, observations.before, {\n      ...shared,\n      threshold: tolerance,\n    })\n    const bootstrap =\n      guard.bootstrap ?? pairedBootstrap(observations.before, observations.after, shared)\n    out.push({\n      dimension: dim,\n      bootstrap,\n      bootstrapStatistic,\n      ci: { low: guard.low, high: guard.high },\n      decisionStatistic: guard.statistic,\n      mcnemar: guard.mcnemar,\n      indeterminate: guard.indeterminate,\n      // Fires on EITHER burden of proof — see `floorBreached` in\n      // `promotion-policy.ts` for the same rule and the reasoning. The CI arm\n      // is the contract this interface and `default-production-gate`'s reason\n      // string both state (\"CI.low < -tolerance\"), read off the DECIDING\n      // interval; the exact-test arm adds the small-sample path where the\n      // bootstrap interval is descriptive only.\n      // The credible-worst-case arm stays on the BOOTSTRAP — see the same\n      // decision in `floorBreached` (`promotion-policy.ts`). On a pass/fail\n      // dimension the score interval is ±z²/(n+z²) even when every pair is\n      // concordant, so reading the floor off it would flag an unchanged safety\n      // dimension as regressed at any realistic n. The PROVEN-drop arm does use\n      // the shared rule, which is what closes the fail-open hole that mattered:\n      // a genuine pass/fail regression is now judged on an interval valid at\n      // the nonzero `tolerance`, instead of a bootstrap that is pinned wherever\n      // ties dominate.\n      regressed: bootstrap.low < -tolerance || regression.promote,\n      tolerance,\n      n: observations.before.length,\n      pairedCellN: paired.cellIds.length,\n      observationUnit: opts.independentUnitByScenarioId === undefined ? 'cell' : 'registered',\n      minimumRequired: guard.minimumPairs,\n      fewRuns: !guard.sufficient,\n      missingCellIds: expectedCellIds.filter((cellId) => !measuredCells.has(cellId)),\n      missingScenarioIds: [...scenarioIds].filter((id) => !measuredScenarios.has(id)).sort(),\n    })\n  }\n  return 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package/dist/statistical-heldout-CYpGaoDH.d.ts.map

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package/dist/steps-Bg5-KVx1.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
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package/dist/store-tool-spans-CIX5arAG.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"file":"store-tool-spans-CIX5arAG.js","names":[],"sources":["../src/trace/capture-fetch.ts","../src/trace/otlp-encoding.ts","../src/trace/wire-ids.ts","../src/trace/otel.ts","../src/trace-analyst/prompts.ts","../src/trace-analyst/analyst.ts","../src/trace-analyst/insights.ts","../src/trace/otlp-flat.ts","../src/trace-analyst/store-tool-spans.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * Wrap a provider `fetch` and record request, response, and error events.\n *\n * The returned value is a plain `typeof fetch`. Capture is best-effort by\n * default; set `failClosed` when telemetry loss must stop the provider call.\n */\n\nimport {\n  type ExtractedUsage,\n  extractUsage,\n  extractUsageFromSse,\n  type SseUsageMode,\n} from './extract-usage'\nimport {\n  defaultProviderRedactor,\n  type ProviderRedactor,\n  providerFromBaseUrl,\n  type RawProviderDirection,\n  type RawProviderEvent,\n  type RawProviderSink,\n} from './raw-provider-sink'\n\nexport interface CaptureFetchContext {\n  /** Logical run id stamped on every captured event. Required — without it\n   *  the raw events can't be paired with their parent `Run`. */\n  runId: string\n  /** Optional logical span id (enables span-level sink filtering). */\n  spanId?: string\n  /** Resolved base URL (normalised, no trailing slash). Used for the event's\n   *  `baseUrl` and for endpoint-path extraction. */\n  baseUrl: string\n  /** Model id the caller intends to invoke. Stamped on every event. */\n  model: string\n  /** Provider override. When omitted, `providerFromBaseUrl(baseUrl)`. */\n  provider?: string\n}\n\nexport interface CaptureFetchOptions {\n  /** Override the capture-time redactor. Default `defaultProviderRedactor`. */\n  redactor?: ProviderRedactor\n  /** Cap on captured response-body bytes; beyond it the body is truncated and\n   *  `body_truncated` is added to `redactedFields`. Default 2 MiB. */\n  responseBodyByteCap?: number\n  /** When true, a sink-write failure propagates to the caller. Default false\n   *  — capture is best-effort so a sink failure never kills the LLM call. */\n  failClosed?: boolean\n  /**\n   * Invoked with the token usage parsed off each successful response (JSON or\n   * SSE), keyed by the captured context. Lets a caller fold usage → cost without\n   * re-cloning the response themselves. Not called when the response carries no\n   * usage. Best-effort: a throw here is swallowed (it never kills the LLM call)\n   * unless `failClosed` is set.\n   */\n  onUsage?: (usage: ExtractedUsage, ctx: CaptureFetchContext) => void\n  /** How repeated SSE usage events should be reconciled. Default `cumulative`. */\n  sseUsageMode?: SseUsageMode\n}\n\nconst DEFAULT_BODY_CAP = 2 * 1024 * 1024\n\nfunction headersToRecord(headers: Headers | undefined): Record<string, string> | undefined {\n  if (!headers) return undefined\n  const out: Record<string, string> = {}\n  headers.forEach((value, key) => {\n    out[key.toLowerCase()] = value\n  })\n  return Object.keys(out).length > 0 ? out : undefined\n}\n\nfunction parseMaybeJson(text: string): unknown {\n  if (text.length === 0) return undefined\n  try {\n    return JSON.parse(text)\n  } catch {\n    return text\n  }\n}\n\n/** Best-effort request-body read across the `fetch` input forms. */\nasync function readRequestBody(\n  input: RequestInfo | URL,\n  init: RequestInit | undefined,\n): Promise<unknown> {\n  if (typeof init?.body === 'string') return parseMaybeJson(init.body)\n  if (init?.body != null) return undefined // streams / FormData / Blob — not captured\n  if (input instanceof Request) {\n    try {\n      return parseMaybeJson(await input.clone().text())\n    } catch {\n      return undefined\n    }\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n\nfunction endpointFromUrl(url: string, baseUrl: string): string {\n  const normalisedBase = baseUrl.replace(/\\/+$/, '')\n  if (url.startsWith(normalisedBase)) return url.slice(normalisedBase.length) || '/'\n  try {\n    return new URL(url).pathname\n  } catch {\n    return url\n  }\n}\n\nexport function captureFetchToRawSink(\n  fetch: typeof globalThis.fetch,\n  sink: RawProviderSink,\n  ctx: CaptureFetchContext,\n  opts: CaptureFetchOptions = {},\n): typeof globalThis.fetch {\n  const provider = ctx.provider ?? providerFromBaseUrl(ctx.baseUrl)\n  const redactor = opts.redactor ?? defaultProviderRedactor\n  const bodyCap = opts.responseBodyByteCap ?? DEFAULT_BODY_CAP\n  let warned = false\n\n  const baseEvent = (direction: RawProviderDirection, endpoint: string): RawProviderEvent => ({\n    eventId: crypto.randomUUID(),\n    runId: ctx.runId,\n    spanId: ctx.spanId,\n    provider,\n    model: ctx.model,\n    endpoint,\n    baseUrl: ctx.baseUrl,\n    attemptIndex: 0, // retries are re-invocations one layer up; documented in 0.x\n    direction,\n    timestamp: Date.now(),\n    redactedFields: [],\n  })\n\n  const record = async (event: RawProviderEvent): Promise<void> => {\n    try {\n      await sink.record(redactor(event))\n    } catch (err) {\n      if (opts.failClosed) throw err\n      if (!warned) {\n        warned = true\n        console.warn(\n          `captureFetchToRawSink: sink.record failed (capture is best-effort) — ${\n            err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err)\n          }`,\n        )\n      }\n    }\n  }\n\n  return async (input: RequestInfo | URL, init?: RequestInit): Promise<Response> => {\n    const url =\n      typeof input === 'string' ? input : input instanceof URL ? input.toString() : input.url\n    const method = (init?.method ?? (input instanceof Request ? input.method : 'GET')).toUpperCase()\n    const endpoint = endpointFromUrl(url, ctx.baseUrl)\n\n    const reqHeaders = new Headers(\n      init?.headers ?? (input instanceof Request ? input.headers : undefined),\n    )\n    await record({\n      ...baseEvent('request', endpoint),\n      requestHeaders: { ...headersToRecord(reqHeaders), 'x-http-method': method },\n      requestBody: await readRequestBody(input, init),\n    })\n\n    const start = Date.now()\n    let response: Response\n    try {\n      response = await fetch(input, init)\n    } catch (err) {\n      await record({\n        ...baseEvent('error', endpoint),\n        durationMs: Date.now() - start,\n        errorMessage: err instanceof Error ? err.message : String(err),\n      })\n      throw err\n    }\n\n    // Read the body off a clone so the caller still consumes the original.\n    let responseBody: unknown\n    let rawText: string | undefined\n    const redactedFields: string[] = []\n    try {\n      rawText = await response.clone().text()\n      if (rawText.length > bodyCap) {\n        responseBody = rawText.slice(0, bodyCap)\n        redactedFields.push('body_truncated')\n      } else {\n        responseBody = parseMaybeJson(rawText)\n      }\n    } catch {\n      responseBody = undefined\n    }\n\n    if (opts.onUsage && rawText !== undefined) {\n      // Reuse the body already read for capture; no extra clone. JSON first,\n      // then SSE accumulation. A throw in the consumer's callback is swallowed\n      // (best-effort) unless failClosed is set — the LLM call must not die here.\n      try {\n        const parsedForUsage = parseMaybeJson(rawText)\n        const usage =\n          extractUsage(parsedForUsage) ??\n          (typeof parsedForUsage === 'string'\n            ? extractUsageFromSse(rawText, { mode: opts.sseUsageMode })\n            : null)\n        if (usage) opts.onUsage(usage, ctx)\n      } catch (err) {\n        if (opts.failClosed) throw err\n      }\n    }\n\n    await record({\n      ...baseEvent('response', endpoint),\n      durationMs: Date.now() - start,\n      statusCode: response.status,\n      responseHeaders: headersToRecord(response.headers),\n      responseBody,\n      redactedFields,\n    })\n\n    return response\n  }\n}\n","/**\n * The ONE encoding from this package's span values to OTLP wire values.\n *\n * Both exporters emit the same `OtlpSpan` shape, so an attribute typed as a\n * double by one and a string by the other would make the same run read\n * differently depending on which exporter produced it.\n */\n\n/** One OTLP `KeyValue`: the value is tagged with the protocol's type slot. */\nexport interface OtlpAttribute {\n  key: string\n  value: { stringValue?: string; intValue?: string; doubleValue?: number; boolValue?: boolean }\n}\n\n/** OTLP `KeyValue[]` for a flat attribute record. */\nexport function toOtlpAttributes(\n  record: Record<string, string | number | boolean>,\n): OtlpAttribute[] {\n  return Object.entries(record).map(([key, value]) => ({\n    key,\n    value:\n      typeof value === 'number'\n        ? Number.isInteger(value)\n          ? { intValue: value.toString() }\n          : { doubleValue: value }\n        : typeof value === 'boolean'\n          ? { boolValue: value }\n          : { stringValue: value },\n  }))\n}\n\n/** OTLP nanosecond timestamp, as the decimal string the protocol requires. */\nexport function msToUnixNano(ms: number): string {\n  return (BigInt(Math.floor(ms)) * 1_000_000n).toString()\n}\n","/**\n * The ONE mapping from agent-eval's human-readable ids (run ids, span labels)\n * to W3C/OTLP wire ids. Every exporter in this package MUST route through\n * these two functions — two exporters with private paddings once produced\n * DIFFERENT trace ids for the same run, and one emitted invalid hex embedding\n * the raw run id in the wire id (tangle-network/agent-runtime#694).\n *\n * Semantics:\n *  - an id that is ALREADY a valid W3C id passes through unchanged, so a\n *    trace id received from an inbound `traceparent` survives the round-trip\n *    and cross-process correlation is preserved;\n *  - anything else is derived with the contract's `deriveHexId`, the only\n *    legal derivation — deterministic, so every process that derives from the\n *    same human id mints the SAME wire id.\n */\n\nimport { deriveHexId, isW3CSpanId, isW3CTraceId } from '@tangle-network/agent-trace-contract'\n\n/** 32-hex W3C trace id for any id string. */\nexport function traceIdForWire(id: string): string {\n  return isW3CTraceId(id) ? id : deriveHexId(id, 16)\n}\n\n/** 16-hex W3C span id for any id string. */\nexport function spanIdForWire(id: string): string {\n  return isW3CSpanId(id) ? id : deriveHexId(id, 8)\n}\n","/**\n * OpenTelemetry JSON export — maps TraceSchema v1 to OTLP/JSON so\n * traces render natively in Jaeger / Honeycomb / Langfuse / Grafana.\n *\n * Wire format only. We do NOT depend on the @opentelemetry SDK — that\n * would drag in polyfills incompatible with Workers/Edge. Consumers\n * push the JSON to their collector of choice via HTTP.\n *\n * Reference: OTLP 1.3.2 (ResourceSpans / ScopeSpans / Span).\n */\n\nimport {\n  applyLlmSpanOtlpAttributes,\n  applyToolSpanOtlpAttributes,\n  OPENINFERENCE_SPAN_KIND,\n  traceSpanKindToOpenInferenceKind,\n} from './otlp-attributes'\nimport { msToUnixNano, toOtlpAttributes } from './otlp-encoding'\nimport type { Run, Span, TraceEvent } from './schema'\nimport type { TraceStore } from './store'\nimport { spanIdForWire, traceIdForWire } from './wire-ids'\n\nexport const OTEL_AGENT_EVAL_SCOPE = { name: '@tangle-network/agent-eval', version: '0.3.0' }\n\nexport interface OtlpSpan {\n  traceId: string\n  spanId: string\n  parentSpanId?: string\n  name: string\n  kind: number\n  startTimeUnixNano: string\n  endTimeUnixNano: string\n  attributes: Array<{\n    key: string\n    value: { stringValue?: string; intValue?: string; doubleValue?: number; boolValue?: boolean }\n  }>\n  events?: Array<{ timeUnixNano: string; name: string; attributes?: OtlpSpan['attributes'] }>\n  status?: { code: number; message?: string }\n}\n\nexport interface OtlpResourceSpans {\n  resource: { attributes: OtlpSpan['attributes'] }\n  scopeSpans: Array<{ scope: typeof OTEL_AGENT_EVAL_SCOPE; spans: OtlpSpan[] }>\n}\n\nexport interface OtlpExport {\n  resourceSpans: OtlpResourceSpans[]\n}\n\n/** Export a single run's spans + events in OTLP/JSON. */\nexport async function exportRunAsOtlp(\n  store: TraceStore,\n  runId: string,\n  resourceAttrs: Record<string, string | number | boolean> = {},\n): Promise<OtlpExport> {\n  const run = await store.getRun(runId)\n  if (!run) throw new Error(`run ${runId} not found`)\n  const spans = await store.spans({ runId })\n  const events = await store.events({ runId })\n  const eventsBySpan = new Map<string, TraceEvent[]>()\n  for (const e of events) {\n    if (!e.spanId) continue\n    const arr = eventsBySpan.get(e.spanId) ?? []\n    arr.push(e)\n    eventsBySpan.set(e.spanId, arr)\n  }\n  const traceId = runToTraceId(run)\n  const otlpSpans: OtlpSpan[] = spans.map((s) =>\n    spanToOtlp(s, traceId, eventsBySpan.get(s.spanId) ?? []),\n  )\n  return {\n    resourceSpans: [\n      {\n        resource: {\n          attributes: toOtlpAttributes({\n            'service.name': 'agent-eval',\n            'run.id': run.runId,\n            'run.scenario_id': run.scenarioId,\n            'run.variant_id': run.variantId ?? '',\n            'run.dataset_version': run.datasetVersion ?? '',\n            'run.code_sha': run.codeSha ?? '',\n            'run.model_fingerprint': run.modelFingerprint ?? '',\n            ...resourceAttrs,\n          }),\n        },\n        scopeSpans: [{ scope: OTEL_AGENT_EVAL_SCOPE, spans: otlpSpans }],\n      },\n    ],\n  }\n}\n\nfunction spanToOtlp(span: Span, traceId: string, events: TraceEvent[]): OtlpSpan {\n  const endedAt = span.endedAt ?? span.startedAt\n  return {\n    traceId,\n    spanId: spanIdForWire(span.spanId),\n    parentSpanId: span.parentSpanId ? spanIdForWire(span.parentSpanId) : undefined,\n    name: span.name,\n    kind: 1, // SPAN_KIND_INTERNAL\n    startTimeUnixNano: msToUnixNano(span.startedAt),\n    endTimeUnixNano: msToUnixNano(endedAt),\n    attributes: toOtlpAttributes(flattenSpanAttributes(span)),\n    events: events.map((e) => ({\n      timeUnixNano: msToUnixNano(e.timestamp),\n      name: e.kind,\n      attributes: toOtlpAttributes(flattenPayload(e.payload)),\n    })),\n    status: span.status === 'error' ? { code: 2, message: span.error } : { code: 1 },\n  }\n}\n\nfunction flattenSpanAttributes(span: Span): Record<string, string | number | boolean> {\n  const base: Record<string, string | number | boolean> = {}\n  if (span.attributes) {\n    for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(span.attributes)) {\n      if (typeof v === 'string' || typeof v === 'number' || typeof v === 'boolean') base[k] = v\n    }\n  }\n  base[OPENINFERENCE_SPAN_KIND] = traceSpanKindToOpenInferenceKind(span.kind)\n  if (span.kind === 'llm') {\n    applyLlmSpanOtlpAttributes(base, span)\n  } else if (span.kind === 'tool') {\n    applyToolSpanOtlpAttributes(base, span)\n  } else if (span.kind === 'retrieval') {\n    base['retrieval.query'] = span.query\n    base['retrieval.hits'] = span.hits.length\n  } else if (span.kind === 'judge') {\n    base['judge.id'] = span.judgeId\n    base['judge.dimension'] = span.dimension\n    base['judge.score'] = span.score\n    base['judge.target_span_id'] = span.targetSpanId\n  } else if (span.kind === 'sandbox') {\n    if (span.image) base['sandbox.image'] = span.image\n    if (span.exitCode !== undefined) base['sandbox.exit_code'] = span.exitCode\n    if (span.testsPassed !== undefined) base['sandbox.tests_passed'] = span.testsPassed\n    if (span.testsTotal !== undefined) base['sandbox.tests_total'] = span.testsTotal\n  }\n  return base\n}\n\nfunction flattenPayload(\n  payload: Record<string, unknown>,\n): Record<string, string | number | boolean> {\n  const out: Record<string, string | number | boolean> = {}\n  for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(payload)) {\n    if (typeof v === 'string' || typeof v === 'number' || typeof v === 'boolean') out[k] = v\n    else out[k] = JSON.stringify(v)\n  }\n  return out\n}\n\nfunction runToTraceId(run: Run): string {\n  return traceIdForWire(run.runId)\n}\n","/** General policy for recursive, evidence-backed trace analysis. */\n\nexport const TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION = `Answer the question by inspecting the OTLP trace dataset with the available tools.\n\n1. Call getDatasetOverview first. Use its real trace ids and dataset size to plan the investigation.\n2. Narrow with queryTraces and countTraces before scanning large payloads.\n3. For a small trace, use viewTrace. For a large trace, use searchTrace and then viewSpans or searchSpan.\n4. Never invent a trace id, span id, tool result, error, frequency, or final outcome.\n5. When a search reports has_more, refine the query before drawing a conclusion.\n6. Use llm_query only over evidence already loaded. A recursive query cannot inspect traces itself.\n7. Cite exact evidence URIs returned by the tools. Include a short exact excerpt when it supports the claim.\n8. Return no finding when the available evidence cannot support one.\n\nThe prose answer must directly answer the question and state important uncertainty.\nThe findings array contains only actionable or decision-relevant claims supported by inspected evidence.`\n\nexport const TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION_VERSION = 'trace-analyst-research-v1-2026-07-30'\n","import { randomUUID } from 'node:crypto'\nimport type {\n  TraceAnalysisEngine,\n  TraceAnalysisEngineResult,\n  TraceAnalystLimits,\n} from '../analyst/engine'\nimport { runTraceAnalyst } from '../analyst/kind-factory'\nimport type { TraceToolGroupName } from '../analyst/tool-groups'\nimport type { AnalystFinding, AnalystUsageReceipt } from '../analyst/types'\nimport type { CostLedgerHandle } from '../cost-ledger'\nimport { TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION, TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION_VERSION } from './prompts'\nimport type { TraceAnalysisStore } from './store'\nimport { OtlpFileTraceStore } from './store-otlp'\n\nexport interface AnalyzeTracesInput {\n  question: string\n  id?: string\n  description?: string\n  area?: string\n}\n\nexport type AnalyzeTracesResult = TraceAnalysisEngineResult\n\nexport interface AnalyzeTracesOptions {\n  /** OTLP JSONL path or a caller-owned store. */\n  source: string | TraceAnalysisStore\n  /** Recursive research engine. */\n  engine: TraceAnalysisEngine\n  /** Override the general trace-research policy. */\n  instructions?: string\n  /** Smallest tool set that can answer the question. Default: all. */\n  toolGroup?: TraceToolGroupName\n  limits?: Partial<TraceAnalystLimits>\n  runId?: string\n  budgetUsd?: number\n  costLedger?: CostLedgerHandle\n  costPhase?: string\n  priorFindings?: readonly AnalystFinding[]\n  upstreamFindings?: readonly AnalystFinding[]\n  recordUsage?: (receipt: AnalystUsageReceipt) => void\n  tags?: Record<string, string>\n  log?: (message: string, fields?: Record<string, unknown>) => void\n  signal?: AbortSignal\n}\n\n/**\n * Answer one question by recursively inspecting a trace store.\n *\n * The returned answer, cited findings, engine steps, call counts, and runtime\n * identity are one audit record. A direct one-shot model call is not used.\n */\nexport async function analyzeTraces(\n  input: AnalyzeTracesInput,\n  options: AnalyzeTracesOptions,\n): Promise<AnalyzeTracesResult> {\n  if (typeof input.question !== 'string' || !input.question.trim()) {\n    throw new TypeError('analyzeTraces: input.question must be a non-empty string')\n  }\n  const id = input.id?.trim() || 'trace-analysis'\n  const store =\n    typeof options.source === 'string'\n      ? new OtlpFileTraceStore({ path: options.source })\n      : options.source\n  if (store instanceof OtlpFileTraceStore) {\n    await store.ensureIndexed(options.signal ? { signal: options.signal } : undefined)\n  }\n\n  return runTraceAnalyst({\n    definition: {\n      id,\n      description:\n        input.description?.trim() ||\n        'Answers a caller-defined question by recursively inspecting trace evidence.',\n      area: input.area?.trim() || 'trace-analysis',\n      version: TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION_VERSION,\n      question: input.question,\n      instructions: options.instructions ?? TRACE_ANALYST_ACTOR_DESCRIPTION,\n      toolGroup: options.toolGroup ?? 'all',\n      limits: options.limits,\n    },\n    engine: options.engine,\n    store,\n    context: {\n      runId: options.runId ?? id,\n      correlationId: randomUUID(),\n      budgetUsd: options.budgetUsd,\n      costLedger: options.costLedger,\n      costPhase: options.costPhase ?? 'trace-analysis',\n      priorFindings: options.priorFindings,\n      upstreamFindings: options.upstreamFindings,\n      recordUsage: options.recordUsage,\n      tags: options.tags,\n      log: options.log,\n      signal: options.signal,\n    },\n  })\n}\n","import type { SearchArtifactRef } from '../campaign/search-ledger-types'\nimport { LEDGER_HASH_PATTERN } from '../ledger-core/canonical'\n\nexport interface TraceInsightTask {\n  id: string\n  name: string\n  prompt?: string\n  difficulty?: string\n  tags?: string[]\n  outcome?: string\n  score?: number\n  gaps?: string[]\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightSuite {\n  name: string\n  collectionId?: string\n  tasks: TraceInsightTask[]\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightFinding {\n  kind: string\n  severity?: string\n  taskIds: string[]\n  evidence?: string\n  proposedFixClass?: string\n  /** Narrative evidence remains a note; customer attribution uses byte-backed evidence only. */\n  attribution?: TraceInsightAttribution\n}\n\n/** A byte-backed observation. Locators are not identities; every link carries a digest. */\nexport interface TraceInsightEvidence {\n  subject: {\n    verticalId: string\n    taskId: string\n    cellId: string | null\n    attemptId: string | null\n    company: string | null\n    tool: string | null\n    toolRevision: string | null\n  }\n  artifacts: Record<\n    'seed' | 'task' | 'cell' | 'request' | 'response' | 'document' | 'controls' | 'binding',\n    SearchArtifactRef | null\n  >\n  spans: Array<{ traceId: string; spanId: string; artifact: SearchArtifactRef }>\n}\n\nexport type TraceInsightAttribution = TraceInsightEvidence &\n  (\n    | { outcome: 'unknown'; evidenceClass: 'unknown'; reasons: string[] }\n    | {\n        outcome: 'tool-failure'\n        evidenceClass: 'validated-request-response'\n        proof: SearchArtifactRef\n        authority: SearchArtifactRef\n      }\n    | {\n        outcome: 'documentation-failure'\n        evidenceClass: 'authoritative-execution'\n        documentation: 'stale' | 'contradictory'\n        proof: SearchArtifactRef\n        authority: SearchArtifactRef\n      }\n    | {\n        outcome: 'documentation-failure'\n        evidenceClass: 'paired-corrected-document'\n        proof: SearchArtifactRef\n        plan: SearchArtifactRef\n        comparisonId: string\n        correctedEvidence: SearchArtifactRef\n      }\n  )\n\nfunction evidenceRecord(value: unknown): value is Record<string, unknown> {\n  return value !== null && typeof value === 'object' && !Array.isArray(value)\n}\n\nfunction evidenceText(value: unknown): value is string {\n  return typeof value === 'string' && value.trim().length > 0\n}\n\n/** Structural validation only. The producer must verify bytes and execute the evidence rule. */\nexport function isTraceInsightArtifact(value: unknown): value is SearchArtifactRef {\n  if (\n    !evidenceRecord(value) ||\n    !evidenceText(value.role) ||\n    !evidenceText(value.uri) ||\n    typeof value.sha256 !== 'string' ||\n    !LEDGER_HASH_PATTERN.test(value.sha256) ||\n    !Number.isSafeInteger(value.byteLength) ||\n    (value.byteLength as number) < 0\n  )\n    return false\n  // Customer reports must not turn a locator into an executable link.\n  try {\n    const url = new URL(value.uri)\n    return ['https:', 'file:'].includes(url.protocol) && !url.username && !url.password\n  } catch {\n    return /^artifacts\\/[a-f0-9]{64}$/.test(value.uri)\n  }\n}\n\nexport function isTraceInsightEvidence(value: unknown): value is TraceInsightEvidence {\n  if (\n    !evidenceRecord(value) ||\n    !evidenceRecord(value.subject) ||\n    !evidenceRecord(value.artifacts) ||\n    !Array.isArray(value.spans)\n  )\n    return false\n  const subject = value.subject\n  if (!evidenceText(subject.verticalId) || !evidenceText(subject.taskId)) return false\n  for (const field of ['cellId', 'attemptId', 'company', 'tool', 'toolRevision']) {\n    if (subject[field] !== null && !evidenceText(subject[field])) return false\n  }\n  for (const role of [\n    'seed',\n    'task',\n    'cell',\n    'request',\n    'response',\n    'document',\n    'controls',\n    'binding',\n  ]) {\n    const artifact = value.artifacts[role]\n    if (artifact !== null && (!isTraceInsightArtifact(artifact) || artifact.role !== role))\n      return false\n  }\n  return value.spans.every(\n    (span) =>\n      evidenceRecord(span) &&\n      typeof span.traceId === 'string' &&\n      /^[a-f0-9]{32}$/.test(span.traceId) &&\n      !/^0+$/.test(span.traceId) &&\n      typeof span.spanId === 'string' &&\n      /^[a-f0-9]{16}$/.test(span.spanId) &&\n      !/^0+$/.test(span.spanId) &&\n      isTraceInsightArtifact(span.artifact) &&\n      span.artifact.role === 'span',\n  )\n}\n\nexport function isTraceInsightAttribution(value: unknown): value is TraceInsightAttribution {\n  if (!isTraceInsightEvidence(value)) return false\n  const attribution = value as TraceInsightEvidence & Record<string, unknown>\n  if (attribution.outcome === 'unknown') {\n    return (\n      attribution.evidenceClass === 'unknown' &&\n      Array.isArray(attribution.reasons) &&\n      attribution.reasons.length > 0 &&\n      attribution.reasons.every(evidenceText)\n    )\n  }\n  if (\n    Object.values(value.subject).some((entry) => entry === null) ||\n    Object.values(value.artifacts).some((artifact) => artifact === null) ||\n    value.spans.length === 0 ||\n    !isTraceInsightArtifact(attribution.proof)\n  )\n    return false\n  if (attribution.outcome === 'tool-failure') {\n    return (\n      attribution.evidenceClass === 'validated-request-response' &&\n      attribution.proof.role === 'execution' &&\n      isTraceInsightArtifact(attribution.authority) &&\n      attribution.authority.role === 'authority'\n    )\n  }\n  if (attribution.outcome !== 'documentation-failure') return false\n  if (attribution.evidenceClass === 'authoritative-execution') {\n    return (\n      (attribution.documentation === 'stale' || attribution.documentation === 'contradictory') &&\n      attribution.proof.role === 'execution' &&\n      isTraceInsightArtifact(attribution.authority) &&\n      attribution.authority.role === 'authority'\n    )\n  }\n  return (\n    attribution.evidenceClass === 'paired-corrected-document' &&\n    attribution.proof.role === 'publication' &&\n    isTraceInsightArtifact(attribution.plan) &&\n    attribution.plan.role === 'plan' &&\n    isTraceInsightArtifact(attribution.correctedEvidence) &&\n    attribution.correctedEvidence.role === 'binding' &&\n    evidenceText(attribution.comparisonId)\n  )\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightQuestion {\n  id: string\n  question: string\n  why: string\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightPanelRole {\n  id: string\n  name: string\n  responsibility: string\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightPromptInput {\n  suite: TraceInsightSuite\n  findings?: TraceInsightFinding[]\n  agent?: Record<string, unknown>\n  totals?: Record<string, unknown>\n  maxRepresentativeTraces?: number\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightContext {\n  suite: TraceInsightSuite\n  scope: string\n  keywords: string[]\n  questions: TraceInsightQuestion[]\n  panel: TraceInsightPanelRole[]\n  findings: TraceInsightFinding[]\n  agent: Record<string, unknown> | null\n  totals: Record<string, unknown> | null\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightQualityGate {\n  id: string\n  label: string\n  passed: boolean\n  severity: 'critical' | 'high' | 'medium' | 'low'\n  detail: string\n}\n\nexport interface TraceInsightReadiness {\n  score: number\n  grade: 'external-ready' | 'internal-review' | 'raw-analysis'\n  gates: TraceInsightQualityGate[]\n}\n\nconst DOMAIN_STOP_WORDS = new Set([\n  'and',\n  'advanced',\n  'app',\n  'build',\n  'create',\n  'easy',\n  'expert',\n  'extreme',\n  'for',\n  'from',\n  'hard',\n  'implementation',\n  'integrate',\n  'medium',\n  'project',\n  'task',\n  'the',\n  'this',\n  'with',\n  'workflow',\n])\n\nexport function tokenizeDomainWords(value: string): string[] {\n  return [...value.matchAll(/[A-Za-z][A-Za-z0-9.+#-]{2,}/g)]\n    .map((match) => match[0].toLowerCase())\n    .filter((word) => !DOMAIN_STOP_WORDS.has(word))\n}\n\nexport function inferDomainKeywords(suite: TraceInsightSuite): string[] {\n  const suiteWords = new Set(tokenizeDomainWords(`${suite.name} ${suite.collectionId ?? ''}`))\n  const source = [\n    suite.name,\n    suite.collectionId ?? '',\n    ...suite.tasks.flatMap((task) => [\n      task.id,\n      task.name,\n      task.prompt ?? '',\n      task.difficulty ?? '',\n      ...(task.tags ?? []),\n      ...(task.gaps ?? []),\n    ]),\n  ].join(' ')\n  const counts = new Map<string, number>()\n  for (const word of tokenizeDomainWords(source)) counts.set(word, (counts.get(word) ?? 0) + 1)\n  return [...counts.entries()]\n    .filter(([word, count]) => count >= 2 || suiteWords.has(word))\n    .sort((a, b) => b[1] - a[1] || a[0].localeCompare(b[0]))\n    .map(([word]) => word)\n    .slice(0, 18)\n}\n\nexport function domainEvidencePattern(keywords: string[]): RegExp {\n  const escaped = keywords\n    .filter((keyword) => keyword.length >= 3)\n    .map((keyword) => keyword.replace(/[.*+?^${}()|[\\]\\\\]/g, '\\\\$&'))\n  return escaped.length > 0\n    ? new RegExp(`(?<![A-Za-z0-9])(?:${escaped.join('|')})(?![A-Za-z0-9])`, 'i')\n    : /(?<![A-Za-z0-9])(?:sdk|api|css|dns|xml|provider|client|service|integration|webhook|transaction|auth|oauth|graphql|rest)(?![A-Za-z0-9])/i\n}\n\nexport function describeTraceInsightScope(suite: TraceInsightSuite): string {\n  const taskLabel =\n    suite.tasks.length === 1\n      ? '1 implementation task'\n      : `${suite.tasks.length} implementation tasks`\n  const tags = new Map<string, number>()\n  for (const task of suite.tasks) {\n    for (const tag of task.tags ?? []) tags.set(tag, (tags.get(tag) ?? 0) + 1)\n  }\n  const topTags = [...tags.entries()]\n    .sort((a, b) => b[1] - a[1] || a[0].localeCompare(b[0]))\n    .slice(0, 8)\n    .map(([tag]) => tag)\n  if (topTags.length > 0) return `${taskLabel} across ${topTags.join(', ')}.`\n  const difficulties = [\n    ...new Set(\n      suite.tasks.map((task) => task.difficulty).filter((value): value is string => Boolean(value)),\n    ),\n  ].join(', ')\n  return `${taskLabel} across ${difficulties || 'the selected benchmark scope'}.`\n}\n\nexport function planTraceInsightQuestions(input: TraceInsightPromptInput): TraceInsightQuestion[] {\n  const hasFailures = input.suite.tasks.some((task) => task.outcome && task.outcome !== 'satisfied')\n  const hasMultipleShots = input.suite.tasks.some((task) =>\n    (task.gaps ?? []).some((gap) => /shot|review|retry|continue/i.test(gap)),\n  )\n  const questions: TraceInsightQuestion[] = [\n    {\n      id: 'execution-path',\n      question: 'What did the worker actually do before the first meaningful implementation edit?',\n      why: 'Separates grounded execution from polished but shallow output.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'research-grounding',\n      question:\n        'Did the worker inspect docs, source, examples, or package references before committing to an implementation path?',\n      why: 'Identifies whether failures came from weak retrieval, weak examples, or premature coding.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'domain-proof',\n      question:\n        'Which tasks produced executable domain proof versus UI copy, placeholders, or inferred behavior?',\n      why: 'Keeps product-quality claims tied to concrete evidence.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'root-cause',\n      question:\n        'For each major failure cluster, is the likely root cause prompt/scaffold, docs/examples, SDK/API ergonomics, evaluator, runtime, or model behavior?',\n      why: 'Turns trace observations into actionable ownership.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'evidence-quality',\n      question:\n        'Which external-facing claims are directly supported by trace ids, span ids, verifier findings, reviewer notes, or generated code?',\n      why: 'Prevents unsupported customer-report conclusions.',\n    },\n  ]\n  if (hasMultipleShots) {\n    questions.push({\n      id: 'reviewer-lift',\n      question: 'Where did reviewer feedback improve score, stall, or regress across shots?',\n      why: 'Shows whether the driver loop is learning or merely repeating work.',\n    })\n  }\n  if (hasFailures) {\n    questions.push({\n      id: 'optimization-targets',\n      question:\n        'Which prompt, evaluator, scaffold, or workflow changes should feed the next GEPA/autoresearch optimization run?',\n      why: 'Connects benchmark evidence to the optimization loop.',\n    })\n  }\n  return questions\n}\n\nexport function buildTraceInsightContext(input: TraceInsightPromptInput): TraceInsightContext {\n  return {\n    suite: input.suite,\n    scope: describeTraceInsightScope(input.suite),\n    keywords: inferDomainKeywords(input.suite),\n    questions: planTraceInsightQuestions(input),\n    panel: defaultTraceInsightPanel(),\n    findings: input.findings ?? [],\n    agent: input.agent ?? null,\n    totals: input.totals ?? null,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function scoreTraceInsightReadiness(context: TraceInsightContext): TraceInsightReadiness {\n  const failedTasks = context.suite.tasks.filter(\n    (task) => task.outcome && task.outcome !== 'satisfied',\n  )\n  const findingTaskIds = new Set(context.findings.flatMap((finding) => finding.taskIds))\n  const failedTasksWithFindings = failedTasks.filter((task) => findingTaskIds.has(task.id))\n  const tasksWithGaps = context.suite.tasks.filter((task) => (task.gaps ?? []).length > 0)\n  const gates: TraceInsightQualityGate[] = [\n    {\n      id: 'domain-context',\n      label: 'Domain context inferred',\n      passed: context.keywords.length > 0,\n      severity: 'high',\n      detail:\n        context.keywords.length > 0\n          ? `${context.keywords.length} domain terms inferred: ${context.keywords.slice(0, 8).join(', ')}`\n          : 'No domain terms were inferred from suite, tasks, prompts, tags, or gaps.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'panel-coverage',\n      label: 'Analyst panel planned',\n      passed: context.panel.length >= 4 && context.questions.length >= 5,\n      severity: 'high',\n      detail: `${context.panel.length} panel roles and ${context.questions.length} investigation questions planned.`,\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'failure-coverage',\n      label: 'Failures mapped to findings',\n      passed:\n        failedTasks.length === 0 || failedTasksWithFindings.length / failedTasks.length >= 0.5,\n      severity: 'critical',\n      detail:\n        failedTasks.length === 0\n          ? 'No failed tasks in suite.'\n          : `${failedTasksWithFindings.length}/${failedTasks.length} failed tasks appear in finding clusters.`,\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'gap-evidence',\n      label: 'Task gaps captured',\n      passed: failedTasks.length === 0 || tasksWithGaps.length / failedTasks.length >= 0.5,\n      severity: 'medium',\n      detail: `${tasksWithGaps.length} tasks include explicit evaluator or analyst gaps.`,\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'attribution-evidence',\n      label: 'Evidence-classed customer findings',\n      passed:\n        failedTasks.every((task) =>\n          context.findings.some(\n            (finding) =>\n              finding.taskIds.includes(task.id) && finding.attribution?.subject.taskId === task.id,\n          ),\n        ) &&\n        context.findings.every(\n          (finding) =>\n            isTraceInsightAttribution(finding.attribution) &&\n            finding.taskIds.length === 1 &&\n            finding.taskIds[0] === finding.attribution.subject.taskId,\n        ),\n      severity: 'critical',\n      detail:\n        'Every finding needs an explicit evidence class and byte-backed links, or an explicit unknown; prose is not attribution evidence.',\n    },\n  ]\n  const penalty = gates.reduce((sum, gate) => {\n    if (gate.passed) return sum\n    if (gate.severity === 'critical') return sum + 35\n    if (gate.severity === 'high') return sum + 20\n    if (gate.severity === 'medium') return sum + 10\n    return sum + 5\n  }, 0)\n  const score = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, 1 - penalty / 100))\n  return {\n    score,\n    grade: score >= 0.9 ? 'external-ready' : score >= 0.7 ? 'internal-review' : 'raw-analysis',\n    gates,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function defaultTraceInsightPanel(): TraceInsightPanelRole[] {\n  return [\n    {\n      id: 'trace-forensics',\n      name: 'Trace Forensics',\n      responsibility:\n        'Reconstruct what the worker did in order, including research, edits, reviewer interventions, verifier feedback, and stop reason.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'root-cause',\n      name: 'Root Cause',\n      responsibility:\n        'Map failures to prompt/scaffold, docs/examples, SDK/API/product ergonomics, evaluator, runtime, or model behavior.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'optimization',\n      name: 'Optimization',\n      responsibility:\n        'Identify prompt, reviewer, evaluator, scaffold, and GEPA/autoresearch changes that should be tested next.',\n    },\n    {\n      id: 'external-evidence',\n      name: 'External Evidence',\n      responsibility:\n        'Separate customer-safe claims from internal harness findings and reject conclusions without task, trace, span, code, reviewer, or verifier evidence.',\n    },\n  ]\n}\n\nexport function buildTraceInsightPrompt(input: TraceInsightPromptInput): string {\n  const context = buildTraceInsightContext(input)\n  const maxRepresentativeTraces = input.maxRepresentativeTraces ?? 6\n  return `Analyze this benchmark run and produce evidence-backed trace intelligence.\n\nAudience:\n- internal AI/product leadership\n- possible customer-facing report for ${input.suite.name}\n\nInvestigation plan:\n${context.questions.map((item, index) => `${index + 1}. ${item.question} (${item.why})`).join('\\n')}\n\nAnalyst panel:\n${context.panel.map((role) => `- ${role.name}: ${role.responsibility}`).join('\\n')}\n\nIf the task branches are independent, use subagents for the panel roles above and aggregate their findings. Do not run a panel role unless its answer will change the final report.\n\nRequired output:\n1. Executive verdict: what this run proves and does not prove.\n2. The investigation questions you answered and the evidence used.\n3. Failure taxonomy: agent prompting, evaluator/harness, docs/examples, SDK/API/product integration, infra.\n4. Evidence-backed examples with trace ids/task ids and concrete verifier findings.\n5. Highest-ROI fixes for the benchmark harness, prompt/GEPA optimization, and customer-facing product/docs surface.\n6. What is safe for an external report versus what must stay internal.\n7. One rerun plan that would validate lift after optimization.\n\nBudget:\n- Inspect the dataset overview, the failure summary, and at most ${maxRepresentativeTraces} representative traces.\n- Prefer traces named in the failure summary over broad exploration.\n- Do not do exhaustive trace sweeps.\n- Return the final report as soon as the taxonomy and examples are supported.\n\nRun summary:\n${JSON.stringify(\n  {\n    suite: input.suite.name,\n    scope: context.scope,\n    inferredKeywords: context.keywords,\n    agent: context.agent,\n    totals: context.totals,\n    findings: context.findings.map((finding) => ({\n      kind: finding.kind,\n      severity: finding.severity,\n      taskCount: finding.taskIds.length,\n      proposedFixClass: finding.proposedFixClass,\n      attribution: finding.attribution,\n    })),\n    failures: input.suite.tasks\n      .filter((task) => task.outcome && task.outcome !== 'satisfied')\n      .map((task) => ({\n        task: task.id,\n        difficulty: task.difficulty,\n        outcome: task.outcome,\n        score: task.score,\n        gaps: task.gaps ?? [],\n      })),\n  },\n  null,\n  2,\n)}\n\nUse the trace tools. Do not invent facts. Cite task ids. Separate customer-facing claims from internal harness/model findings.\nCustomer attribution must preserve the supplied evidence class and artifact links. A narrative, regex label, observational rate, or document age is not causal evidence. Without validated request/response execution or a supported registered corrected-document comparison, report unknown; do not guess a failing company or tool.`\n}\n","/** Canonical flattened OTLP span shape shared by trace producers and readers. */\n\nimport type { SpanStatus } from './schema'\n\nexport type OtlpStatusCode = 'STATUS_CODE_OK' | 'STATUS_CODE_ERROR' | 'STATUS_CODE_UNSET'\n\nexport interface OtlpFlatLine {\n  trace_id: string\n  span_id: string\n  parent_span_id: string | null\n  name: string\n  kind: string\n  start_time: string\n  end_time: string\n  status: {\n    code: OtlpStatusCode\n    message?: string\n  }\n  resource: { attributes: Record<string, unknown> }\n  attributes: Record<string, unknown>\n  events?: Array<{ name: string; timeUnixNano?: string; attributes?: Record<string, unknown> }>\n}\n\nexport interface CreateOtlpFlatLineInput {\n  traceId: string\n  spanId: string\n  parentSpanId: string | null\n  name: string\n  kind: string\n  startTime: string\n  endTime: string\n  statusCode: OtlpStatusCode\n  statusMessage?: string\n  resource: OtlpFlatLine['resource']\n  attributes: Record<string, unknown>\n  events?: OtlpFlatLine['events']\n}\n\nexport function createOtlpFlatLine(input: CreateOtlpFlatLineInput): OtlpFlatLine {\n  return {\n    trace_id: input.traceId,\n    span_id: input.spanId,\n    parent_span_id: input.parentSpanId,\n    name: input.name,\n    kind: input.kind,\n    start_time: input.startTime,\n    end_time: input.endTime,\n    status: {\n      code: input.statusCode,\n      ...(input.statusMessage !== undefined ? { message: input.statusMessage } : {}),\n    },\n    resource: input.resource,\n    attributes: input.attributes,\n    ...(input.events && input.events.length > 0 ? { events: input.events } : {}),\n  }\n}\n\n/** Map the canonical trace status while letting each caller choose its legacy default. */\nexport function spanStatusToOtlp(\n  status: SpanStatus | undefined,\n  error: string | undefined,\n  defaultCode: OtlpStatusCode,\n): OtlpStatusCode {\n  if (status === 'error' || error) return 'STATUS_CODE_ERROR'\n  if (status === 'ok') return 'STATUS_CODE_OK'\n  return defaultCode\n}\n\n/** Convert epoch milliseconds, returning `undefined` for invalid or out-of-range values. */\nexport function epochMillisToIso(value: number): string | undefined {\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) return undefined\n  try {\n    return new Date(value).toISOString()\n  } catch {\n    return undefined\n  }\n}\n","import { CaptureIntegrityError } from '../errors'\nimport { applyToolSpanOtlpAttributes, OPENINFERENCE_SPAN_KIND } from '../trace/otlp-attributes'\nimport { createOtlpFlatLine, epochMillisToIso, spanStatusToOtlp } from '../trace/otlp-flat'\nimport type { ToolSpan } from '../trace/schema'\nimport type { TraceAnalysisStore } from './store'\nimport { BufferTraceStore } from './store-otlp'\nimport type { ToolSpansToTraceAnalysisStoreOptions } from './store-otlp-buffered'\n\n/** Missing tool spans cannot distinguish a tool-free run from broken capture. */\nexport class ToolTraceMissingError extends CaptureIntegrityError {\n  constructor() {\n    super('toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: no tool spans supplied; trace evidence is missing')\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Snapshot canonical tool spans into the read interface used by trace analysts.\n * One run becomes one trace while arguments, results, errors, and timing remain searchable.\n */\nexport function toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore(\n  spans: readonly ToolSpan[] | null | undefined,\n  options: ToolSpansToTraceAnalysisStoreOptions = {},\n): TraceAnalysisStore {\n  if (!spans || spans.length === 0) throw new ToolTraceMissingError()\n\n  const seen = new Set<string>()\n  const lines = spans.map((span, index) => {\n    assertToolSpanIdentity(span, index)\n    const identity = `${span.runId}\\u0000${span.spanId}`\n    if (seen.has(identity)) {\n      throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n        `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: duplicate span '${span.spanId}' in run '${span.runId}'`,\n      )\n    }\n    seen.add(identity)\n\n    const attributes = { ...(span.attributes ?? {}) }\n    applyToolSpanOtlpAttributes(attributes, span)\n    attributes[OPENINFERENCE_SPAN_KIND] = 'TOOL'\n\n    const endedAt = span.endedAt ?? span.startedAt + (span.latencyMs ?? 0)\n    const line = createOtlpFlatLine({\n      traceId: span.runId,\n      spanId: span.spanId,\n      parentSpanId: span.parentSpanId ?? null,\n      name: span.name,\n      kind: 'SPAN_KIND_INTERNAL',\n      startTime: toolSpanTimeIso(span.startedAt, span.spanId, 'startedAt'),\n      endTime: toolSpanTimeIso(endedAt, span.spanId, 'endedAt'),\n      statusCode: spanStatusToOtlp(span.status, span.error, 'STATUS_CODE_UNSET'),\n      statusMessage: span.error,\n      resource: { attributes: {} },\n      attributes,\n    })\n    try {\n      return JSON.stringify(line)\n    } catch (cause) {\n      throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n        `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${span.spanId}' in run '${span.runId}' is not JSON-serializable`,\n        { cause },\n      )\n    }\n  })\n\n  return new BufferTraceStore(Buffer.from(`${lines.join('\\n')}\\n`, 'utf8'), options)\n}\n\nfunction assertToolSpanIdentity(span: ToolSpan, index: number): void {\n  if (span.kind !== 'tool') {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span at index ${index} has kind '${String(span.kind)}', not 'tool'`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (!span.runId || !span.spanId || !span.name || !span.toolName) {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span at index ${index} is missing runId, spanId, name, or toolName`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (!Number.isFinite(span.startedAt)) {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${span.spanId}' has invalid startedAt`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (span.endedAt !== undefined && !Number.isFinite(span.endedAt)) {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${span.spanId}' has invalid endedAt`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (span.endedAt !== undefined && span.endedAt < span.startedAt) {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${span.spanId}' ends before it starts`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (span.latencyMs !== undefined && (!Number.isFinite(span.latencyMs) || span.latencyMs < 0)) {\n    throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n      `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${span.spanId}' has invalid latencyMs`,\n    )\n  }\n}\n\nfunction toolSpanTimeIso(value: number, spanId: string, field: string): string {\n  const iso = epochMillisToIso(value)\n  if (iso) return iso\n  throw new CaptureIntegrityError(\n    `toolSpansToTraceAnalysisStore: span '${spanId}' has invalid ${field}`,\n  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package/dist/store-tool-spans-DdCSPa7C.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
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package/dist/student-t-DVPW7CdL.js

@@ -1,39 +0,0 @@
-import { l as regularizedIncompleteBeta } from "./internal-Epl-YBZW.js";
-//#region src/math/student-t.ts
-/**
-* Student-t CDF via the regularized incomplete beta function.
-*/
-function studentTCdf(t, degreesOfFreedom) {
-	if (degreesOfFreedom <= 0) return .5;
-	const x = degreesOfFreedom / (degreesOfFreedom + t * t);
-	const beta = regularizedIncompleteBeta(x, degreesOfFreedom / 2, .5);
-	return t >= 0 ? 1 - .5 * beta : .5 * beta;
-}
-/**
-* Inverse Student-t CDF, solved against {@link studentTCdf}.
-*
-* The CDF is monotone, so bracket expansion followed by bisection is stable
-* across fractional degrees of freedom and does not need a separate
-* approximation with a different error profile.
-*/
-function studentTQuantile(probability, degreesOfFreedom) {
-	if (!Number.isFinite(probability) || probability < 0 || probability > 1) throw new RangeError(`studentTQuantile: probability must be in [0,1], got ${probability}`);
-	if (!Number.isFinite(degreesOfFreedom) || degreesOfFreedom <= 0) throw new RangeError(`studentTQuantile: degreesOfFreedom must be positive and finite, got ${degreesOfFreedom}`);
-	if (probability === 0) return Number.NEGATIVE_INFINITY;
-	if (probability === 1) return Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
-	if (probability === .5) return 0;
-	if (probability < .5) return -studentTQuantile(1 - probability, degreesOfFreedom);
-	let low = 0;
-	let high = 1;
-	while (studentTCdf(high, degreesOfFreedom) < probability) high *= 2;
-	for (let iteration = 0; iteration < 64; iteration++) {
-		const middle = (low + high) / 2;
-		if (studentTCdf(middle, degreesOfFreedom) < probability) low = middle;
-		else high = middle;
-	}
-	return (low + high) / 2;
-}
-//#endregion
-export { studentTQuantile as n, studentTCdf as t };
-
-//# sourceMappingURL=student-t-DVPW7CdL.js.map

package/dist/student-t-DVPW7CdL.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"file":"student-t-DVPW7CdL.js","names":[],"sources":["../src/math/student-t.ts"],"sourcesContent":["import { regularizedIncompleteBeta } from './special-functions'\n\n/**\n * Student-t CDF via the regularized incomplete beta function.\n */\nexport function studentTCdf(t: number, degreesOfFreedom: number): number {\n  if (degreesOfFreedom <= 0) return 0.5\n\n  const x = degreesOfFreedom / (degreesOfFreedom + t * t)\n  const beta = regularizedIncompleteBeta(x, degreesOfFreedom / 2, 0.5)\n  return t >= 0 ? 1 - 0.5 * beta : 0.5 * beta\n}\n\n/**\n * Inverse Student-t CDF, solved against {@link studentTCdf}.\n *\n * The CDF is monotone, so bracket expansion followed by bisection is stable\n * across fractional degrees of freedom and does not need a separate\n * approximation with a different error profile.\n */\nexport function studentTQuantile(probability: number, degreesOfFreedom: number): number {\n  if (!Number.isFinite(probability) || probability < 0 || probability > 1) {\n    throw new RangeError(`studentTQuantile: probability must be in [0,1], got ${probability}`)\n  }\n  if (!Number.isFinite(degreesOfFreedom) || degreesOfFreedom <= 0) {\n    throw new RangeError(\n      `studentTQuantile: degreesOfFreedom must be positive and finite, got ${degreesOfFreedom}`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (probability === 0) return Number.NEGATIVE_INFINITY\n  if (probability === 1) return Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY\n  if (probability === 0.5) return 0\n  if (probability < 0.5) return -studentTQuantile(1 - probability, degreesOfFreedom)\n\n  let low = 0\n  let high = 1\n  while (studentTCdf(high, degreesOfFreedom) < probability) high *= 2\n  for (let iteration = 0; iteration < 64; iteration++) {\n    const middle = (low + high) / 2\n    if (studentTCdf(middle, degreesOfFreedom) < probability) low = middle\n    else high = middle\n  }\n  return (low + high) / 2\n}\n"],"mappings":";;;;;AAKA,SAAgB,YAAY,GAAW,kBAAkC;CACvE,IAAI,oBAAoB,GAAG,OAAO;CAElC,MAAM,IAAI,oBAAoB,mBAAmB,IAAI;CACrD,MAAM,OAAO,0BAA0B,GAAG,mBAAmB,GAAG,EAAG;CACnE,OAAO,KAAK,IAAI,IAAI,KAAM,OAAO,KAAM;AACzC;;;;;;;;AASA,SAAgB,iBAAiB,aAAqB,kBAAkC;CACtF,IAAI,CAAC,OAAO,SAAS,WAAW,KAAK,cAAc,KAAK,cAAc,GACpE,MAAM,IAAI,WAAW,uDAAuD,aAAa;CAE3F,IAAI,CAAC,OAAO,SAAS,gBAAgB,KAAK,oBAAoB,GAC5D,MAAM,IAAI,WACR,uEAAuE,kBACzE;CAEF,IAAI,gBAAgB,GAAG,OAAO,OAAO;CACrC,IAAI,gBAAgB,GAAG,OAAO,OAAO;CACrC,IAAI,gBAAgB,IAAK,OAAO;CAChC,IAAI,cAAc,IAAK,OAAO,CAAC,iBAAiB,IAAI,aAAa,gBAAgB;CAEjF,IAAI,MAAM;CACV,IAAI,OAAO;CACX,OAAO,YAAY,MAAM,gBAAgB,IAAI,aAAa,QAAQ;CAClE,KAAK,IAAI,YAAY,GAAG,YAAY,IAAI,aAAa;EACnD,MAAM,UAAU,MAAM,QAAQ;EAC9B,IAAI,YAAY,QAAQ,gBAAgB,IAAI,aAAa,MAAM;OAC1D,OAAO;CACd;CACA,QAAQ,MAAM,QAAQ;AACxB"}

package/dist/summary-report-V_JACR4Y.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"file":"summary-report-V_JACR4Y.js","names":["avg","hi"],"sources":["../src/research-report-render.ts","../src/research-report-analysis.ts","../src/summary-report-evidence.ts","../src/summary-report-figures.ts","../src/research-report.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/** Markdown research reports and their shared numeric text formatting. */\n\nimport type { FailureClusterReport } from './pipelines/failure-cluster'\nimport type {\n  ResearchReportCandidate,\n  ResearchReportMethodology,\n  ResearchReportRecommendation,\n} from './research-report'\nimport type {\n  GainDistributionFigureSpec,\n  ParetoFigureSpec,\n  SummaryTable,\n} from './summary-report-figures'\n\nexport function renderResearchMarkdown(report: {\n  title: string\n  generatedAt: string\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  comparator: string | null\n  executiveSummary: string[]\n  recommendation: ResearchReportRecommendation\n  candidates: ResearchReportCandidate[]\n  summary: SummaryTable\n  pareto: ParetoFigureSpec\n  gains: GainDistributionFigureSpec[]\n  rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n  runFingerprint: string\n  preregistrationHash: string | null\n  methodology: ResearchReportMethodology\n  failureClusters?: FailureClusterReport\n}): string {\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  lines.push(`# ${report.title}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`**Generated:** ${report.generatedAt}`)\n  lines.push(`**Primary split:** ${report.split}`)\n  lines.push(`**Comparator:** ${report.comparator ?? 'not configured'}`)\n  lines.push(`**ROPE:** ${report.rope ? formatRope(report.rope) : 'not configured'}`)\n  lines.push(`**Run fingerprint:** \\`${report.runFingerprint}\\``)\n  lines.push(\n    `**Preregistration:** ${report.preregistrationHash ? `\\`${report.preregistrationHash}\\`` : 'none'}`,\n  )\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Executive Summary')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.executiveSummary) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Recommendation')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(`**Decision:** ${report.recommendation.decision}`)\n  lines.push(`**Candidate:** ${report.recommendation.candidateId ?? 'N/A'}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Rationale')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.recommendation.rationale) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Risks')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.recommendation.risks.length\n    ? report.recommendation.risks\n    : ['No material report-level risks detected.']) {\n    lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  }\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Next Actions')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.recommendation.nextActions) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Candidate Decision Table')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(\n    '| Candidate | Decision | Mean | Δ̄ | Pr(Δ>0) | q | dz | Paired N | Median Gain CI | MDE | Pareto | Gate |',\n  )\n  lines.push('|---|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---|---|')\n  for (const c of report.candidates) {\n    const delta = c.meanDeltaVsComparator === null ? '-' : signed(c.meanDeltaVsComparator)\n    const prGt = c.prGreaterThanZero === null ? '-' : c.prGreaterThanZero.toFixed(3)\n    const q = c.qValue !== null ? c.qValue.toFixed(4) : '-'\n    const d = c.cohensD !== null ? c.cohensD.toFixed(3) : '-'\n    const gain = c.gainCi ? `[${fmt(c.gainCi.low)}, ${fmt(c.gainCi.high)}]` : '-'\n    const mde = c.mde === null || !Number.isFinite(c.mde) ? '-' : fmt(c.mde)\n    lines.push(\n      `| ${c.candidateId} | ${c.decision} | ${fmt(c.mean)} | ${delta} | ${prGt} | ${q} | ${d} | ${c.pairedN} | ${gain} | ${mde} | ${c.onParetoFrontier ? 'yes' : 'no'} | ${c.gate ?? '-'} |`,\n    )\n  }\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Statistical Summary')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(report.summary.markdown)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Methodology')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Assumptions')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.methodology.assumptions) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Methods')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.methodology.methods) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Alternatives Considered')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.methodology.alternatives) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### When NOT To Apply')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.methodology.whenNotToApply) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('### Citations')\n  lines.push('')\n  for (const item of report.methodology.citations) lines.push(`- ${item}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('## Chart Specs')\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(\n    'The report carries JSON chart specs for Pareto cost/quality and paired gain histograms.',\n  )\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push('```json')\n  lines.push(JSON.stringify({ pareto: report.pareto, gains: report.gains }, null, 2))\n  lines.push('```')\n  if (report.failureClusters) {\n    lines.push('')\n    lines.push('## Failure Clusters')\n    lines.push('')\n    lines.push('| Failure Class | Runs | Scenarios | Tool | Example |')\n    lines.push('|---|---:|---:|---|---|')\n    for (const c of report.failureClusters.clusters.slice(0, 10)) {\n      lines.push(\n        `| ${c.failureClass} | ${c.runCount} | ${c.scenarioIds.length} | ${c.toolName ?? '-'} | ${escapePipes(c.exampleError ?? c.exampleRunId)} |`,\n      )\n    }\n  }\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n\nfunction escapePipes(s: string): string {\n  return s.replace(/\\|/g, '\\\\|')\n}\n\nfunction signed(x: number): string {\n  return `${x >= 0 ? '+' : ''}${fmt(x)}`\n}\n\nexport function formatRope(rope: { low: number; high: number }): string {\n  return `[${fmt(rope.low)}, ${fmt(rope.high)}]`\n}\n\nexport function fmt(x: number): string {\n  if (!Number.isFinite(x)) return String(x)\n  return x.toFixed(4)\n}\n","/** Evidence-based report verdicts, recommendations, and methodology. */\n\nimport type { GateDecision } from './held-out-gate'\nimport type { FailureClusterReport } from './pipelines/failure-cluster'\nimport type {\n  ResearchReportCandidate,\n  ResearchReportDecision,\n  ResearchReportMethodology,\n  ResearchReportRecommendation,\n} from './research-report'\nimport { fmt, formatRope } from './research-report-render'\nimport type { pairedPosterior } from './summary-report-evidence'\nimport type { ParetoPoint, SummaryTableRow } from './summary-report-figures'\n\n/**\n * Hard floor below which a paired comparison is treated as uninformative\n * regardless of `minPairs`. Mirrors the lower limit on Wilcoxon signed-rank\n * exact tables; below this the test has no power to separate effect sizes.\n */\nexport const RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR = 6\n\nexport function buildMethodology(ctx: {\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  comparator: string | null\n  fdr: number\n  minPairs: number\n  rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n  confidence: number\n  mdePower: number\n  mdeAlpha: number\n}): ResearchReportMethodology {\n  const assumptions: string[] = [\n    'Pairs are matched by (experimentId, scenarioId, seed); input order does not affect the comparison.',\n    'Paired deltas are exchangeable conditional on the matched scenario — no mid-run distribution shift.',\n    `Decisions are pre-specified at fdr=${ctx.fdr}, minPairs=${ctx.minPairs}, confidence=${ctx.confidence}; deviating from these post-hoc invalidates the false-discovery control.`,\n  ]\n  if (ctx.rope) {\n    assumptions.push(\n      `The Region of Practical Equivalence ${formatRope(ctx.rope)} is supplied by the domain owner; equivalent verdicts are only meaningful if that range is treated as the standing definition of \"no material difference.\"`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (ctx.comparator === null) {\n    assumptions.push('No comparator was configured; this run is descriptive, not causal.')\n  }\n  const methods: string[] = [\n    \"Marginal scores summarised with BH-FDR-adjusted Wilcoxon signed-rank q-values and paired Cohen's dz via summaryTable.\",\n    'Paired evidence summarised with a frequentist bootstrap CI on the median delta and a Dirichlet-weight Bayesian bootstrap for Pr(Δ>0) and Pr(Δ∈ROPE) on the mean delta.',\n    `Minimum detectable effect reported per candidate at α=${ctx.mdeAlpha} (two-sided), power=${ctx.mdePower}, standardised by the observed paired-delta SD.`,\n    'Pareto frontier flagged as a separate axis (cost vs quality); a candidate can be on-frontier without winning the paired test.',\n    'Held-out gate decisions, when supplied, override the statistical verdict in the reject direction.',\n  ]\n  const alternatives: string[] = [\n    'Paired t-test rejected: not robust to the heavy-tailed score distributions common in agent benchmarks.',\n    'Unpaired Mann–Whitney rejected: matched scenarios make pairing free; unpaired throws away that variance reduction.',\n    'Sequential / always-valid inference (e-values, mSPRT) is the right tool for iterative sweeps and is out of scope for this single-look report — preregister and run once, or wrap this report in an alpha-spending schedule.',\n    'Hierarchical Bayesian shrinkage across many candidates is future work; the current ranking uses raw paired statistics.',\n  ]\n  const whenNotToApply: string[] = [\n    `Paired N below ${RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR} on any candidate — the bootstrap CI is degenerate.`,\n    'Comparator chosen post-hoc by inspecting the same data; q-values are no longer false-discovery-controlled.',\n    'Scenarios not drawn under a stable preregistered protocol; the report can describe the data but cannot anchor a launch decision.',\n    'Score distributions with mid-run shift (judge model swap, rubric change, infra outage) — pair exchangeability is violated.',\n  ]\n  const citations: string[] = [\n    'Benjamini, Y. & Hochberg, Y. (1995). Controlling the false discovery rate: a practical and powerful approach to multiple testing. JRSS B, 57(1), 289–300.',\n    'Wilcoxon, F. (1945). Individual comparisons by ranking methods. Biometrics Bulletin, 1(6), 80–83.',\n    'Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife. Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 1–26.',\n    'Rubin, D. B. (1981). The Bayesian bootstrap. Annals of Statistics, 9(1), 130–134.',\n    'Kruschke, J. K. (2018). Rejecting or accepting parameter values in Bayesian estimation. Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science, 1(2), 270–280. (ROPE.)',\n  ]\n  return { assumptions, methods, alternatives, whenNotToApply, citations }\n}\n\nexport function classifyCandidate(\n  row: SummaryTableRow,\n  ctx: {\n    comparator: string | null\n    posterior: ReturnType<typeof pairedPosterior> | null\n    point?: ParetoPoint\n    gateDecision?: GateDecision\n    split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n    fdr: number\n    minPairs: number\n    rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n  },\n): { decision: ResearchReportDecision; reason: string } {\n  if (ctx.comparator && row.candidateId === ctx.comparator) {\n    return { decision: 'hold', reason: 'Comparator baseline.' }\n  }\n  if (ctx.gateDecision && !ctx.gateDecision.promote) {\n    const code = ctx.gateDecision.rejectionCode ?? 'rejected'\n    return {\n      decision: 'reject',\n      reason: `Held-out gate returned ${code}: ${ctx.gateDecision.reason}`,\n    }\n  }\n  if (!ctx.comparator) {\n    return {\n      decision: ctx.point?.onFrontier ? 'hold' : 'needs_more_data',\n      reason:\n        'No comparator configured; report ranks candidates but cannot anchor a promotion call.',\n    }\n  }\n  if (!ctx.posterior || ctx.posterior.n < RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'needs_more_data',\n      reason: `Only ${ctx.posterior?.n ?? 0} paired observations; below hard floor of ${RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR} for any paired inference.`,\n    }\n  }\n  const ci = ctx.posterior.ci\n  if (ctx.split === 'search') {\n    return {\n      decision: 'hold',\n      reason:\n        'Search-split evidence is descriptive; release decisions require matched holdout runs.',\n    }\n  }\n  // A ZERO-WIDTH interval cannot support any directional or equivalence claim:\n  // every resample was identical, so it says nothing about how far the estimate\n  // could be wrong. It is the shape that sits fully inside any ROPE containing\n  // it (a fake \"practically equivalent\") and clears any threshold below it (a\n  // fake \"promote\"). Both are an absence of evidence, so it is disqualified from\n  // each claim rather than short-circuiting the whole classifier — the\n  // sample-size and MDE diagnostics below are still the more useful answer when\n  // they apply.\n  const degenerate = !Number.isFinite(ci.low) || !Number.isFinite(ci.high) || ci.low === ci.high\n  if (!degenerate && ctx.rope && ci.low >= ctx.rope.low && ci.high <= ctx.rope.high) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'equivalent',\n      reason: `Paired-delta CI [${fmt(ci.low)}, ${fmt(ci.high)}] is fully inside ROPE ${formatRope(ctx.rope)}; candidate is practically equivalent to comparator.`,\n    }\n  }\n  const gainPositive = !degenerate && ci.low > 0\n  const gainNegative = !degenerate && ci.high < 0\n  if (gainNegative) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'reject',\n      reason: `Paired-delta CI [${fmt(ci.low)}, ${fmt(ci.high)}] lies entirely below zero.`,\n    }\n  }\n  if (ctx.posterior.n < ctx.minPairs) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'needs_more_data',\n      reason: `Only ${ctx.posterior.n} paired observations; minimum detectable effect at this N is ${fmt(ctx.posterior.mde)} score units (need ≥ ${ctx.minPairs} pairs to issue a directional verdict).`,\n    }\n  }\n  if (degenerate) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'needs_more_data',\n      reason: `Paired-delta CI [${fmt(ci.low)}, ${fmt(ci.high)}] has zero width — every resample was identical, so the interval carries no information about how far the estimate could be wrong and cannot support a promote or equivalence call.`,\n    }\n  }\n  if (row.qValue !== null && row.qValue <= ctx.fdr && gainPositive) {\n    return {\n      decision: 'promote',\n      reason: `BH-adjusted q=${fmt(row.qValue)} ≤ ${ctx.fdr} and paired-delta CI [${fmt(ci.low)}, ${fmt(ci.high)}] excludes zero; Pr(Δ>0)=${fmt(ctx.posterior.prGreaterThanZero)}.`,\n    }\n  }\n  return {\n    decision: 'hold',\n    reason: `Pr(Δ>0)=${fmt(ctx.posterior.prGreaterThanZero)} but CI [${fmt(ci.low)}, ${fmt(ci.high)}] crosses zero; effect not decisive at fdr=${ctx.fdr}.`,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function buildRecommendation(\n  candidates: ResearchReportCandidate[],\n  ctx: {\n    comparator: string | null\n    failureClusters?: FailureClusterReport\n    rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n    minPairs: number\n    preregistrationHash: string | null\n  },\n): ResearchReportRecommendation {\n  const nonComparator = candidates.filter((c) => c.candidateId !== ctx.comparator)\n  const bestPromote = nonComparator.find((c) => c.decision === 'promote')\n  const bestEquivalent = nonComparator.find((c) => c.decision === 'equivalent')\n  const chosen = bestPromote ?? bestEquivalent ?? nonComparator[0] ?? null\n  const decision: ResearchReportDecision = bestPromote\n    ? 'promote'\n    : nonComparator.some((c) => c.decision === 'needs_more_data')\n      ? 'needs_more_data'\n      : bestEquivalent\n        ? 'equivalent'\n        : nonComparator.some((c) => c.decision === 'hold')\n          ? 'hold'\n          : 'reject'\n\n  const rationale: string[] = []\n  const risks: string[] = []\n  const nextActions: string[] = []\n\n  if (chosen) {\n    rationale.push(`${chosen.candidateId}: ${chosen.decisionReason}`)\n    if (chosen.gainCi) {\n      const probSummary =\n        chosen.prGreaterThanZero !== null ? `, Pr(Δ>0)=${fmt(chosen.prGreaterThanZero)}` : ''\n      rationale.push(\n        `Median paired gain CI: [${fmt(chosen.gainCi.low)}, ${fmt(chosen.gainCi.high)}]${probSummary}.`,\n      )\n    }\n    if (chosen.mde !== null && Number.isFinite(chosen.mde)) {\n      rationale.push(`MDE at current paired N=${chosen.pairedN}: ${fmt(chosen.mde)} score units.`)\n    }\n  }\n  if (!ctx.comparator) {\n    risks.push('No comparator was configured; verdict is descriptive, not causal.')\n    nextActions.push('Re-run with a stable comparator candidate for paired inference.')\n  }\n  if (!ctx.preregistrationHash) {\n    risks.push(\n      'No preregistration hash supplied; readers cannot verify the analysis was specified before data inspection.',\n    )\n    nextActions.push(\n      'Sign a HypothesisManifest before the next sweep and pass `preregistrationHash` so the report cites it.',\n    )\n  }\n  if (ctx.rope === null && nonComparator.length > 0) {\n    risks.push(\n      'No ROPE configured; the report cannot distinguish \"equivalent\" from \"inconclusive\".',\n    )\n    nextActions.push(\n      'Define a domain-specific Region of Practical Equivalence and pass it to lock in the equivalence threshold.',\n    )\n  }\n  const inconclusive = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'needs_more_data')\n  if (inconclusive.length > 0) {\n    const worst = inconclusive.reduce((a, b) => (b.pairedN < a.pairedN ? b : a))\n    risks.push(\n      `${inconclusive.length} candidate(s) below soft floor (${ctx.minPairs} pairs); thinnest is ${worst.candidateId} with ${worst.pairedN}.`,\n    )\n    nextActions.push(\n      `Collect at least ${ctx.minPairs - worst.pairedN} more matched holdout runs for ${worst.candidateId}.`,\n    )\n  }\n  const rejected = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'reject')\n  if (rejected.length > 0) {\n    risks.push(\n      `${rejected.length} candidate(s) failed the paired test or held-out gate; do not ship those variants.`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (ctx.failureClusters && ctx.failureClusters.clusters.length > 0) {\n    const top = ctx.failureClusters.clusters[0]!\n    risks.push(`Top failure cluster: ${top.failureClass} across ${top.runCount} run(s).`)\n    nextActions.push('Prioritize the largest failure cluster before broad rollout.')\n  }\n  if (decision === 'promote') {\n    nextActions.push('Ship behind the existing promotion gate and monitor canaries.')\n  } else if (decision === 'hold') {\n    nextActions.push('Keep current production candidate while expanding holdout evidence.')\n  } else if (decision === 'equivalent') {\n    nextActions.push(\n      'Either keep the comparator (no quality regression) or promote on cost/latency grounds — equivalence does not justify either; the choice is a product decision, not a stats one.',\n    )\n  } else if (decision === 'reject') {\n    nextActions.push(\n      'Do not promote this sweep; inspect failures and generate a revised candidate.',\n    )\n  }\n\n  return {\n    decision,\n    candidateId: chosen?.candidateId ?? null,\n    rationale,\n    risks,\n    nextActions,\n  }\n}\n\nexport function buildExecutiveSummary(\n  candidates: ResearchReportCandidate[],\n  recommendation: ResearchReportRecommendation,\n  ctx: {\n    comparator: string | null\n    split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n    failureClusters?: FailureClusterReport\n    preregistrationHash: string | null\n  },\n): string[] {\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  const nonComparator = candidates.filter((c) => c.candidateId !== ctx.comparator)\n  lines.push(\n    `Evaluated ${nonComparator.length} candidate(s) on the ${ctx.split} split${ctx.comparator ? ` against ${ctx.comparator}` : ''}.`,\n  )\n  lines.push(\n    `Recommendation: ${recommendation.decision}${recommendation.candidateId ? ` ${recommendation.candidateId}` : ''}.`,\n  )\n  const promoted = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'promote').length\n  const held = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'hold').length\n  const equivalent = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'equivalent').length\n  const rejected = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'reject').length\n  const more = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.decision === 'needs_more_data').length\n  lines.push(\n    `Decision mix: ${promoted} promote, ${equivalent} equivalent, ${held} hold, ${rejected} reject, ${more} need more data.`,\n  )\n  const frontier = nonComparator.filter((c) => c.onParetoFrontier).map((c) => c.candidateId)\n  if (frontier.length > 0) lines.push(`Pareto-frontier candidates: ${frontier.join(', ')}.`)\n  if (ctx.failureClusters) {\n    lines.push(\n      `Failure clustering found ${ctx.failureClusters.totalFailures}/${ctx.failureClusters.totalRuns} failed runs across ${ctx.failureClusters.clusters.length} reportable cluster(s).`,\n    )\n  }\n  lines.push(\n    ctx.preregistrationHash\n      ? `Preregistered analysis: ${ctx.preregistrationHash.slice(0, 12)}…`\n      : 'Analysis is post-hoc — no preregistration hash supplied.',\n  )\n  return lines\n}\n\nexport function decisionWeight(decision: ResearchReportDecision): number {\n  if (decision === 'promote') return 5\n  if (decision === 'equivalent') return 4\n  if (decision === 'hold') return 3\n  if (decision === 'needs_more_data') return 2\n  return 1\n}\n","/** Matched split scores and paired statistical evidence for report consumers. */\n\nimport { pairRunRecords } from './paired-arms'\nimport { observedSplitScore, type ScorePreference } from './rollout/reward'\nimport type { RunRecord } from './run-record'\nimport { pairedBootstrap, pairedMde } from './statistics'\nimport { makeRng } from './statistics/internal'\n\nexport function pairScoresByKey(\n  candidate: RunRecord[],\n  baseline: RunRecord[],\n  split: ScorePreference,\n): {\n  before: number[]\n  after: number[]\n  unpairedCandidateN: number\n  unpairedComparatorN: number\n} {\n  // RAW, split-exact reads through `observedSplitScore` — the single allowed\n  // spelling of the split-score derivation (see rollout/score-derivation-guard).\n  const scoreOf = (run: RunRecord): number | undefined => {\n    const v = observedSplitScore(run, split)\n    return typeof v === 'number' && Number.isFinite(v) ? v : undefined\n  }\n  const scoredCandidate = candidate.filter((run) => scoreOf(run) !== undefined)\n  const scoredBaseline = baseline.filter((run) => scoreOf(run) !== undefined)\n  const pairing = pairRunRecords(scoredBaseline, scoredCandidate)\n  return {\n    before: pairing.pairs.map((pair) => scoreOf(pair.baseline) as number),\n    after: pairing.pairs.map((pair) => scoreOf(pair.treatment) as number),\n    unpairedCandidateN: pairing.unpairedTreatment.length,\n    unpairedComparatorN: pairing.unpairedBaseline.length,\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Internal: paired posterior summary on (candidate − comparator) deltas.\n *\n * Returns the bootstrap CI on the median (matching `gainHistogram`) plus\n * Bayesian-bootstrap posterior summaries Pr(Δ>0) and Pr(Δ∈ROPE) computed\n * from Dirichlet(1, ..., 1) weights on the observed paired deltas\n * (Rubin 1981), and the\n * minimum detectable paired effect at the configured power and α.\n *\n * `null` is returned when no paired observations exist; callers must\n * gate on `n` before consuming the bootstrap statistics.\n */\nexport function pairedPosterior(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  candidateId: string,\n  comparator: string,\n  opts: {\n    split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n    confidence: number\n    seed?: number\n    rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n    mdePower: number\n    mdeAlpha: number\n  },\n): {\n  n: number\n  meanDelta: number\n  medianDelta: number\n  sdDelta: number\n  ci: { low: number; high: number }\n  prGreaterThanZero: number\n  prInRope: number | null\n  mde: number\n} | null {\n  const candidate = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === candidateId && r.splitTag === opts.split)\n  const baseline = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === comparator && r.splitTag === opts.split)\n  const { before, after } = pairScoresByKey(candidate, baseline, opts.split)\n  const n = before.length\n  if (n === 0) return null\n\n  const deltas = before.map((b, i) => after[i]! - b)\n  const meanDelta = deltas.reduce((s, x) => s + x, 0) / n\n  const sortedDeltas = [...deltas].sort((a, b) => a - b)\n  const medianDelta = medianOfSorted(sortedDeltas)\n  const sdDelta = stdev(deltas, meanDelta)\n\n  const ci = pairedBootstrap(before, after, {\n    confidence: opts.confidence,\n    resamples: 2000,\n    statistic: 'median',\n    seed: opts.seed,\n  })\n\n  const meanSamples = bayesianBootstrapMeanSamples(deltas, 2000, opts.seed)\n  const prGreaterThanZero =\n    meanSamples.length === 0 ? 0 : meanSamples.filter((s) => s > 0).length / meanSamples.length\n  const prInRope =\n    opts.rope === null || meanSamples.length === 0\n      ? null\n      : meanSamples.filter((s) => s >= opts.rope!.low && s <= opts.rope!.high).length /\n        meanSamples.length\n\n  const dStandardised = pairedMde({ nPaired: n, alpha: opts.mdeAlpha, power: opts.mdePower })\n  const mde = sdDelta === 0 ? 0 : dStandardised * sdDelta\n\n  return {\n    n,\n    meanDelta,\n    medianDelta,\n    sdDelta,\n    ci: { low: ci.low, high: ci.high },\n    prGreaterThanZero,\n    prInRope,\n    mde,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction bayesianBootstrapMeanSamples(\n  deltas: number[],\n  resamples: number,\n  seed?: number,\n): number[] {\n  const n = deltas.length\n  if (n === 0) return []\n  if (n === 1) return new Array<number>(resamples).fill(deltas[0]!)\n  const rng = makeRng(seed, deltas)\n  const samples = new Array<number>(resamples)\n  for (let b = 0; b < resamples; b++) {\n    let weightedSum = 0\n    let weightSum = 0\n    for (let k = 0; k < n; k++) {\n      const weight = -Math.log(Math.max(Number.MIN_VALUE, rng()))\n      weightedSum += deltas[k]! * weight\n      weightSum += weight\n    }\n    samples[b] = weightedSum / weightSum\n  }\n  return samples\n}\n\nfunction stdev(xs: number[], mean: number): number {\n  if (xs.length < 2) return 0\n  let sse = 0\n  for (const x of xs) sse += (x - mean) ** 2\n  return Math.sqrt(sse / (xs.length - 1))\n}\n\nexport function medianOfSorted(sorted: number[]): number {\n  if (sorted.length === 0) return 0\n  const mid = Math.floor(sorted.length / 2)\n  return sorted.length % 2 === 0 ? (sorted[mid - 1]! + sorted[mid]!) / 2 : sorted[mid]!\n}\n","/** Tables and library-independent chart specifications from scored runs. */\n\nimport type { GateDecision } from './held-out-gate'\nimport { fmt } from './research-report-render'\nimport { observedSplitScore } from './rollout/reward'\nimport type { RunRecord } from './run-record'\nimport {\n  benjaminiHochberg,\n  confidenceInterval,\n  pairedBootstrap,\n  pairedCohensDz,\n  wilcoxonSignedRank,\n} from './statistics'\nimport { mean as avg } from './statistics/mean'\nimport { medianOfSorted, pairScoresByKey } from './summary-report-evidence'\n\n// ── summaryTable ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nexport interface SummaryTableOptions {\n  /** Comparator candidate id. Wilcoxon + paired Cohen's dz are computed\n   *  versus this candidate. Required for paired stats columns. */\n  comparator?: string\n  /** Which split to read scores from. Default 'holdout'. */\n  split?: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  /** Confidence level for the bootstrap CI on the mean. Default 0.95. */\n  confidence?: number\n  /** FDR for BH adjustment of the comparison p-values. Default 0.05. */\n  fdr?: number\n}\n\nexport interface SummaryTableRow {\n  candidateId: string\n  n: number\n  mean: number\n  ciLow: number\n  ciHigh: number\n  /** BH-adjusted q-value vs comparator, or null when unavailable. */\n  qValue: number | null\n  /** Paired Cohen's dz vs comparator, or null when the paired variance is zero. */\n  cohensD: number | null\n  /** Matched observations used for paired comparison, or null on the comparator row. */\n  pairedN: number | null\n  /** Candidate observations without a comparator match. */\n  unpairedCandidateN: number | null\n  /** Comparator observations without a candidate match. */\n  unpairedComparatorN: number | null\n}\n\nexport interface SummaryTable {\n  rows: SummaryTableRow[]\n  comparator: string | null\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  /** Pre-rendered markdown — drop into a paper or PR. */\n  markdown: string\n}\n\n/**\n * Table 1 helper. Buckets runs by `candidateId`, computes mean +\n * bootstrap CI on the chosen split, and (when a comparator is given)\n * BH-adjusted Wilcoxon p + paired Cohen's dz versus that comparator.\n */\nexport function summaryTable(runs: RunRecord[], opts: SummaryTableOptions = {}): SummaryTable {\n  const split = opts.split ?? 'holdout'\n  const confidence = opts.confidence ?? 0.95\n  const fdr = opts.fdr ?? 0.05\n  const comparator = opts.comparator ?? null\n\n  const byCandidate = new Map<string, { runs: RunRecord[]; scores: number[] }>()\n  for (const r of runs) {\n    if (r.splitTag !== split) continue\n    // RAW (`observedSplitScore`): every figure in this module reports what the\n    // runs scored. Zeroing a gamed run here would erase it from the very table\n    // a reviewer reads to notice it, and the split is already filtered above,\n    // so the exact-split reader is the right one — no cross-split fallback.\n    const v = observedSplitScore(r, split)\n    if (typeof v !== 'number' || !Number.isFinite(v)) continue\n    const bucket = byCandidate.get(r.candidateId) ?? { runs: [], scores: [] }\n    bucket.runs.push(r)\n    bucket.scores.push(v)\n    byCandidate.set(r.candidateId, bucket)\n  }\n\n  const candidateIds = [...byCandidate.keys()].sort()\n  const compRuns = comparator ? byCandidate.get(comparator) : undefined\n\n  // First pass: per-candidate means + CIs + raw p-values.\n  const tentative: Array<SummaryTableRow & { rawP: number | null }> = []\n  for (const id of candidateIds) {\n    const bucket = byCandidate.get(id)!\n    const ci = confidenceInterval(bucket.scores, confidence)\n    let rawP: number | null = null\n    let d: number | null = null\n    let pairedN: number | null = null\n    let unpairedCandidateN: number | null = null\n    let unpairedComparatorN: number | null = null\n    if (comparator && compRuns && id !== comparator) {\n      const paired = pairScoresByKey(bucket.runs, compRuns.runs, split)\n      pairedN = paired.before.length\n      unpairedCandidateN = paired.unpairedCandidateN\n      unpairedComparatorN = paired.unpairedComparatorN\n      if (paired.before.length >= 6) {\n        rawP = wilcoxonSignedRank(paired.before, paired.after).p\n      }\n      d = pairedCohensDz(paired.before, paired.after)\n    }\n    tentative.push({\n      candidateId: id,\n      n: bucket.scores.length,\n      mean: ci.mean,\n      ciLow: ci.lower,\n      ciHigh: ci.upper,\n      qValue: rawP,\n      cohensD: d,\n      pairedN,\n      unpairedCandidateN,\n      unpairedComparatorN,\n      rawP,\n    })\n  }\n\n  // BH-adjust across the comparison set (skip NaN rows / the\n  // comparator itself). Adjustment is a no-op when there are 0 or 1\n  // comparators.\n  if (comparator) {\n    const idxs: number[] = []\n    const ps: number[] = []\n    for (let i = 0; i < tentative.length; i++) {\n      const r = tentative[i]!\n      if (r.candidateId === comparator) continue\n      if (r.rawP === null || !Number.isFinite(r.rawP)) continue\n      idxs.push(i)\n      ps.push(r.rawP)\n    }\n    if (ps.length > 0) {\n      const { qValues } = benjaminiHochberg(ps, fdr)\n      for (let k = 0; k < idxs.length; k++) {\n        tentative[idxs[k]!]!.qValue = qValues[k]!\n      }\n    }\n  }\n\n  const rows = tentative.map(({ rawP: _rawP, ...rest }) => rest)\n  const markdown = renderSummaryTableMarkdown(rows, comparator, split)\n  return { rows, comparator, split, markdown }\n}\n\nfunction renderSummaryTableMarkdown(\n  rows: SummaryTableRow[],\n  comparator: string | null,\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout',\n): string {\n  const lines: string[] = []\n  const cmpLabel = comparator ? ` (vs ${comparator})` : ''\n  lines.push(`Summary Table — ${split} split${cmpLabel}`)\n  lines.push('')\n  lines.push(\"| Candidate | N | Pairs | Unpaired | Mean | 95% CI | q (BH) | Cohen's dz |\")\n  lines.push('|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|---:|---:|')\n  for (const r of rows) {\n    const ci = `[${fmt(r.ciLow)}, ${fmt(r.ciHigh)}]`\n    const q = r.qValue !== null ? r.qValue.toFixed(4) : '—'\n    const d = r.cohensD !== null ? r.cohensD.toFixed(3) : '—'\n    const paired = r.pairedN ?? '—'\n    const unpaired =\n      r.unpairedCandidateN === null || r.unpairedComparatorN === null\n        ? '—'\n        : `${r.unpairedCandidateN}/${r.unpairedComparatorN}`\n    lines.push(\n      `| ${r.candidateId} | ${r.n} | ${paired} | ${unpaired} | ${fmt(r.mean)} | ${ci} | ${q} | ${d} |`,\n    )\n  }\n  return lines.join('\\n')\n}\n\n// ── paretoChart ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nexport interface ParetoPoint {\n  candidateId: string\n  /** Mean USD cost per run on the chosen split. */\n  cost: number\n  /** Mean score on the chosen split. */\n  quality: number\n  /** Number of runs that informed this point. */\n  n: number\n  /** Whether this candidate is on the Pareto frontier — high\n   *  quality, low cost, no dominator. */\n  onFrontier: boolean\n  /** Optional gate verdict for this candidate, if a `GateDecision`\n   *  for it was passed in. */\n  gate?: 'promote' | 'reject'\n}\n\nexport interface ParetoFigureSpec {\n  kind: 'pareto-cost-quality'\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  points: ParetoPoint[]\n  axes: { x: 'costUsd'; y: 'score' }\n}\n\n/**\n * Cost vs quality scatter spec. `gateDecisions` is keyed by\n * candidate id; if present, every point picks up the gate verdict\n * for overlay.\n */\nexport function paretoChart(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  opts: {\n    split?: 'search' | 'holdout'\n    gateDecisions?: Record<string, GateDecision>\n  } = {},\n): ParetoFigureSpec {\n  const split = opts.split ?? 'holdout'\n\n  const buckets = new Map<string, { cost: number[]; quality: number[] }>()\n  for (const r of runs) {\n    if (r.splitTag !== split) continue\n    const v = observedSplitScore(r, split)\n    if (typeof v !== 'number' || !Number.isFinite(v)) continue\n    if (r.costUsd === null) continue\n    const bucket = buckets.get(r.candidateId) ?? { cost: [], quality: [] }\n    bucket.cost.push(r.costUsd)\n    bucket.quality.push(v)\n    buckets.set(r.candidateId, bucket)\n  }\n\n  const points: ParetoPoint[] = []\n  for (const [candidateId, bucket] of buckets.entries()) {\n    points.push({\n      candidateId,\n      cost: avg(bucket.cost),\n      quality: avg(bucket.quality),\n      n: bucket.cost.length,\n      onFrontier: false,\n      gate: opts.gateDecisions?.[candidateId]\n        ? gateLabel(opts.gateDecisions[candidateId]!)\n        : undefined,\n    })\n  }\n\n  // Pareto: minimize cost, maximize quality. A point is dominated if\n  // some other point has lower-or-equal cost AND higher-or-equal\n  // quality with strict inequality somewhere.\n  for (const p of points) {\n    p.onFrontier = !points.some((q) => q !== p && dominates(q, p))\n  }\n\n  return {\n    kind: 'pareto-cost-quality',\n    split,\n    axes: { x: 'costUsd', y: 'score' },\n    points,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction dominates(a: ParetoPoint, b: ParetoPoint): boolean {\n  return a.cost <= b.cost && a.quality >= b.quality && (a.cost < b.cost || a.quality > b.quality)\n}\n\nexport function gateLabel(d: GateDecision): ParetoPoint['gate'] {\n  return d.promote ? 'promote' : 'reject'\n}\n\n// ── gainHistogram ───────────────────────────────────────────\n\nexport interface GainDistributionBin {\n  /** Inclusive lower edge. */\n  lo: number\n  /** Exclusive upper edge (or inclusive if it's the last bin). */\n  hi: number\n  /** Number of pairs whose delta lands in this bin. */\n  count: number\n}\n\nexport interface GainDistributionFigureSpec {\n  kind: 'gain-distribution'\n  candidateId: string\n  comparator: string\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  /** Number of pairs used. */\n  n: number\n  /** Candidate rows without a comparator match. */\n  unpairedCandidateN: number\n  /** Comparator rows without a candidate match. */\n  unpairedComparatorN: number\n  bins: GainDistributionBin[]\n  median: number | null\n  ci: { low: number; high: number } | null\n}\n\nexport interface GainDistributionOptions {\n  /** Number of histogram bins. Default 11 (so the centre is exact at 0). */\n  bins?: number\n  /** Which split to use. Default 'holdout'. */\n  split?: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  /** Confidence level for the CI. Default 0.95. */\n  confidence?: number\n  /** Bootstrap resamples. Default 2000. */\n  resamples?: number\n  /** Deterministic seed. */\n  seed?: number\n}\n\n/**\n * Held-out improvement distribution: per-pair delta (candidate −\n * comparator), histogrammed. Includes the bootstrap CI on the median\n * delta — same primitive the promotion gate uses.\n */\nexport function gainHistogram(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  candidateId: string,\n  comparator: string,\n  opts: GainDistributionOptions = {},\n): GainDistributionFigureSpec {\n  const split = opts.split ?? 'holdout'\n  const binCount = opts.bins ?? 11\n  if (binCount < 1) throw new Error('gainHistogram: bins must be ≥ 1')\n\n  const candidate = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === candidateId && r.splitTag === split)\n  const baseline = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === comparator && r.splitTag === split)\n  // pairScoresByKey returns before=baseline-score, after=candidate-score\n  // for each canonical work-identity pair where both sides recorded a\n  // valid score on this split. delta = after - before = candidate - baseline.\n  const { before, after, unpairedCandidateN, unpairedComparatorN } = pairScoresByKey(\n    candidate,\n    baseline,\n    split,\n  )\n  const n = before.length\n\n  if (n === 0) {\n    return {\n      kind: 'gain-distribution',\n      candidateId,\n      comparator,\n      split,\n      n: 0,\n      unpairedCandidateN,\n      unpairedComparatorN,\n      bins: [],\n      median: null,\n      ci: null,\n    }\n  }\n\n  const deltas = before.map((b, i) => after[i]! - b)\n  const sortedDeltas = [...deltas].sort((a, b) => a - b)\n  const median = medianOfSorted(sortedDeltas)\n  const min = sortedDeltas[0]!\n  const max = sortedDeltas[sortedDeltas.length - 1]!\n\n  // Symmetric bins around the wider of (|min|, |max|) so the chart\n  // visually centres on zero without dropping outliers.\n  const bound = Math.max(Math.abs(min), Math.abs(max), 1e-6)\n  const lo = -bound\n  const hi = bound\n  const width = (hi - lo) / binCount\n  const bins: GainDistributionBin[] = []\n  for (let i = 0; i < binCount; i++) {\n    bins.push({ lo: lo + i * width, hi: lo + (i + 1) * width, count: 0 })\n  }\n  for (const d of deltas) {\n    let idx = Math.floor((d - lo) / width)\n    if (idx < 0) idx = 0\n    if (idx >= binCount) idx = binCount - 1\n    bins[idx]!.count += 1\n  }\n\n  const ci = pairedBootstrap(before, after, {\n    confidence: opts.confidence ?? 0.95,\n    resamples: opts.resamples ?? 2000,\n    statistic: 'median',\n    seed: opts.seed,\n  })\n\n  return {\n    kind: 'gain-distribution',\n    candidateId,\n    comparator,\n    split,\n    n,\n    unpairedCandidateN,\n    unpairedComparatorN,\n    bins,\n    median,\n    ci: { low: ci.low, high: ci.high },\n  }\n}\n","/** Assemble research report evidence, guidance, figures, and rendered documents. */\n\nimport type { GateDecision } from './held-out-gate'\nimport type { FailureClusterReport } from './pipelines/failure-cluster'\nimport { hashJson } from './pre-registration'\nimport { renderResearchHtml } from './reporting-html'\nimport {\n  buildExecutiveSummary,\n  buildMethodology,\n  buildRecommendation,\n  classifyCandidate,\n  decisionWeight,\n  RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR,\n} from './research-report-analysis'\nimport { renderResearchMarkdown } from './research-report-render'\nimport type { RunRecord } from './run-record'\nimport { pairedPosterior } from './summary-report-evidence'\nimport {\n  type GainDistributionFigureSpec,\n  gainHistogram,\n  gateLabel,\n  type ParetoFigureSpec,\n  type ParetoPoint,\n  paretoChart,\n  type SummaryTable,\n  summaryTable,\n} from './summary-report-figures'\n\nexport { RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR } from './research-report-analysis'\n\nexport type ResearchReportDecision =\n  | 'promote'\n  | 'hold'\n  | 'reject'\n  | 'equivalent'\n  | 'needs_more_data'\n\nexport interface ResearchReportOptions {\n  /** Human-readable report title. */\n  title?: string\n  /** Comparator candidate id. Required for statistical decision guidance. */\n  comparator?: string\n  /** Which split to use for the primary decision. Default 'holdout'. */\n  split?: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  /** Confidence level used by lower-level report helpers. Default 0.95. */\n  confidence?: number\n  /** FDR threshold for q-values. Default 0.05. */\n  fdr?: number\n  /**\n   * Soft floor on paired observations before issuing a directional\n   * promote / reject. Below this we report `needs_more_data` and surface the\n   * minimum detectable effect at the current N. Default 20 — chosen so the\n   * Wilcoxon signed-rank approximation is reasonable and so the paired\n   * bootstrap CI has non-degenerate coverage. Hard floor is enforced at\n   * `RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR` (6) regardless of this value.\n   */\n  minPairs?: number\n  /**\n   * Region of Practical Equivalence on the paired delta. When a candidate's\n   * paired-delta CI is fully contained in `[low, high]`, the decision is\n   * `equivalent` rather than `hold`. Sourced from the domain owner — there is\n   * no statistically-defensible default.\n   */\n  rope?: { low: number; high: number }\n  /**\n   * Power for the minimum detectable effect (MDE) reported on each candidate.\n   * Default 0.8.\n   */\n  mdePower?: number\n  /**\n   * Two-sided alpha for the MDE. Default matches `fdr` so the reported MDE\n   * lines up with the test the report actually runs.\n   */\n  mdeAlpha?: number\n  /** Optional held-out gate decisions keyed by candidate id. */\n  gateDecisions?: Record<string, GateDecision>\n  /** Optional failure clusters from failureClusterView. */\n  failureClusters?: FailureClusterReport\n  /** Build gain histograms for these candidates. Defaults to all non-comparator candidates. */\n  candidateIds?: string[]\n  /** Deterministic bootstrap seed passed to gainHistogram and the posterior helper. */\n  seed?: number\n  /** Report timestamp. Defaults to current time. */\n  generatedAt?: string\n  /**\n   * Hash of a preregistered protocol (e.g. `signManifest({...}).contentHash`).\n   * Embedded verbatim in the report so the analysis can be cited as the\n   * preregistered one rather than a post-hoc fishing expedition.\n   */\n  preregistrationHash?: string\n}\n\nexport interface ResearchReportRecommendation {\n  decision: ResearchReportDecision\n  candidateId: string | null\n  rationale: string[]\n  risks: string[]\n  nextActions: string[]\n}\n\nexport interface ResearchReportCandidate {\n  candidateId: string\n  n: number\n  mean: number\n  ciLow: number\n  ciHigh: number\n  qValue: number | null\n  cohensD: number | null\n  meanDeltaVsComparator: number | null\n  pairedN: number\n  medianGain: number | null\n  meanGain: number | null\n  gainCi: { low: number; high: number } | null\n  /**\n   * Bayesian-bootstrap posterior summaries on the paired mean delta.\n   * Dirichlet(1, ..., 1) weights represent uncertainty over the empirical\n   * distribution of matched deltas.\n   */\n  prGreaterThanZero: number | null\n  prInRope: number | null\n  /**\n   * Minimum detectable effect (in score units) at the candidate's paired N,\n   * the configured power, and the configured alpha. Standardised by the\n   * observed paired-delta SD and inverted via `requiredSampleSize`. Reported\n   * for every candidate so a `needs_more_data` verdict is actionable.\n   */\n  mde: number | null\n  onParetoFrontier: boolean\n  gate?: ParetoPoint['gate']\n  decision: ResearchReportDecision\n  decisionReason: string\n}\n\nexport interface ResearchReportMethodology {\n  /**\n   * Plain-language assumptions the report depends on. Read these first when\n   * deciding whether the verdict is load-bearing for a launch decision.\n   */\n  assumptions: string[]\n  /** Tests and estimators the verdict was computed from. */\n  methods: string[]\n  /** Alternatives the author considered and why this report didn't take them. */\n  alternatives: string[]\n  /** Failure modes — when this report should NOT drive a decision. */\n  whenNotToApply: string[]\n  /** Citations for the methodological choices above. */\n  citations: string[]\n}\n\nexport interface ResearchReport {\n  kind: 'agent-eval-research-report'\n  title: string\n  generatedAt: string\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout'\n  comparator: string | null\n  /**\n   * SHA-256 over the canonicalised set of `(runId, candidateId, split)` triples\n   * the report was computed from, plus the comparator and split. Stable across\n   * key insertion order; recomputable by the reader to verify provenance.\n   */\n  runFingerprint: string\n  preregistrationHash: string | null\n  rope: { low: number; high: number } | null\n  executiveSummary: string[]\n  recommendation: ResearchReportRecommendation\n  candidates: ResearchReportCandidate[]\n  summary: SummaryTable\n  charts: {\n    pareto: ParetoFigureSpec\n    gains: GainDistributionFigureSpec[]\n  }\n  methodology: ResearchReportMethodology\n  failureClusters?: FailureClusterReport\n  markdown: string\n  html: string\n}\n\n/**\n * Executive research report for CPO / AI-lead / launch-review consumption.\n *\n * Composes:\n *   - `summaryTable`         marginal stats with BH-FDR-adjusted q-values\n *   - `paretoChart`           cost-vs-quality frontier with gate overlay\n *   - `gainHistogram`         per-candidate paired-delta distribution\n *   - paired posterior (this file): bootstrap CI on median, Bayesian-bootstrap Pr(Δ>0),\n *                              Pr(Δ∈ROPE), MDE at the configured power\n *\n * Decisions are made on paired evidence — never on marginal means alone —\n * and respect any held-out gate decision the caller passes through. The\n * report embeds a SHA-256 fingerprint of the input run set and, optionally,\n * the hash of a preregistered protocol so a downstream reader can verify\n * provenance and that the analysis was the preregistered one.\n *\n * Async because the fingerprint uses Web Crypto via `hashJson`; deterministic\n * for any fixed `runs`, `seed`, and ROPE.\n */\nexport async function researchReport(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  opts: ResearchReportOptions = {},\n): Promise<ResearchReport> {\n  const split = opts.split ?? 'holdout'\n  const comparator = opts.comparator ?? null\n  const confidence = opts.confidence ?? 0.95\n  const fdr = opts.fdr ?? 0.05\n  const minPairs = Math.max(opts.minPairs ?? 20, RESEARCH_REPORT_HARD_PAIR_FLOOR)\n  const rope = opts.rope ?? null\n  const mdePower = opts.mdePower ?? 0.8\n  const mdeAlpha = opts.mdeAlpha ?? fdr\n  const title = opts.title ?? 'Agent Evaluation Research Report'\n  const generatedAt = opts.generatedAt ?? new Date().toISOString()\n  const preregistrationHash = opts.preregistrationHash ?? null\n\n  if (rope && !(Number.isFinite(rope.low) && Number.isFinite(rope.high) && rope.low <= rope.high)) {\n    throw new Error(\n      `researchReport: rope must satisfy low ≤ high with finite bounds, got ${JSON.stringify(rope)}`,\n    )\n  }\n\n  const summary = summaryTable(runs, {\n    comparator: comparator ?? undefined,\n    split,\n    confidence,\n    fdr,\n  })\n  const pareto = paretoChart(runs, { split, gateDecisions: opts.gateDecisions })\n  const candidateIds =\n    opts.candidateIds ?? summary.rows.map((r) => r.candidateId).filter((id) => id !== comparator)\n  const gains = comparator\n    ? candidateIds.map((id) =>\n        gainHistogram(runs, id, comparator, {\n          split,\n          confidence,\n          seed: opts.seed,\n        }),\n      )\n    : []\n\n  const gainByCandidate = new Map(gains.map((g) => [g.candidateId, g]))\n  const paretoByCandidate = new Map(pareto.points.map((p) => [p.candidateId, p]))\n  const posteriorByCandidate = new Map<string, ReturnType<typeof pairedPosterior>>()\n  if (comparator) {\n    for (const id of candidateIds) {\n      posteriorByCandidate.set(\n        id,\n        pairedPosterior(runs, id, comparator, {\n          split,\n          confidence,\n          seed: opts.seed,\n          rope,\n          mdePower,\n          mdeAlpha,\n        }),\n      )\n    }\n  }\n\n  const candidates = summary.rows\n    .map((row) => {\n      const gain = gainByCandidate.get(row.candidateId)\n      const point = paretoByCandidate.get(row.candidateId)\n      const posterior = posteriorByCandidate.get(row.candidateId) ?? null\n      const gateDecision = opts.gateDecisions?.[row.candidateId]\n      const classified = classifyCandidate(row, {\n        comparator,\n        posterior,\n        point,\n        gateDecision,\n        split,\n        fdr,\n        minPairs,\n        rope,\n      })\n      return {\n        candidateId: row.candidateId,\n        n: row.n,\n        mean: row.mean,\n        ciLow: row.ciLow,\n        ciHigh: row.ciHigh,\n        qValue: row.qValue,\n        cohensD: row.cohensD,\n        meanDeltaVsComparator: posterior ? posterior.meanDelta : null,\n        pairedN: posterior?.n ?? gain?.n ?? 0,\n        medianGain: posterior ? posterior.medianDelta : gain ? gain.median : null,\n        meanGain: posterior ? posterior.meanDelta : null,\n        gainCi: posterior ? posterior.ci : gain ? gain.ci : null,\n        prGreaterThanZero: posterior ? posterior.prGreaterThanZero : null,\n        prInRope: posterior ? posterior.prInRope : null,\n        mde: posterior ? posterior.mde : null,\n        onParetoFrontier: point?.onFrontier ?? false,\n        gate: gateDecision ? gateLabel(gateDecision) : undefined,\n        decision: classified.decision,\n        decisionReason: classified.reason,\n      } satisfies ResearchReportCandidate\n    })\n    .sort((a, b) => {\n      const decisionRank = decisionWeight(b.decision) - decisionWeight(a.decision)\n      if (decisionRank !== 0) return decisionRank\n      return b.mean - a.mean\n    })\n\n  const recommendation = buildRecommendation(candidates, {\n    comparator,\n    failureClusters: opts.failureClusters,\n    rope,\n    minPairs,\n    preregistrationHash,\n  })\n  const executiveSummary = buildExecutiveSummary(candidates, recommendation, {\n    comparator,\n    split,\n    failureClusters: opts.failureClusters,\n    preregistrationHash,\n  })\n  const methodology = buildMethodology({\n    split,\n    comparator,\n    fdr,\n    minPairs,\n    rope,\n    confidence,\n    mdePower,\n    mdeAlpha,\n  })\n\n  const runFingerprint = await hashJson({\n    triples: runs\n      .filter((r) => r.splitTag === split)\n      .map((r) => ({ runId: r.runId, candidateId: r.candidateId, splitTag: r.splitTag }))\n      .sort((a, b) => a.runId.localeCompare(b.runId)),\n    comparator,\n    split,\n  })\n\n  const markdown = renderResearchMarkdown({\n    title,\n    generatedAt,\n    split,\n    comparator,\n    rope,\n    runFingerprint,\n    preregistrationHash,\n    executiveSummary,\n    recommendation,\n    candidates,\n    summary,\n    pareto,\n    gains,\n    methodology,\n    failureClusters: opts.failureClusters,\n  })\n  const html = renderResearchHtml(markdown, title)\n\n  return {\n    kind: 'agent-eval-research-report',\n    title,\n    generatedAt,\n    split,\n    comparator,\n    runFingerprint,\n    preregistrationHash,\n    rope,\n    executiveSummary,\n    recommendation,\n    candidates,\n    summary,\n    charts: { pareto, gains },\n    methodology,\n    failureClusters: opts.failureClusters,\n    markdown,\n    html,\n  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package/dist/summary-report-bdFDXq0b.d.ts.map

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package/dist/task-failure-attributes-hEmASjix.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"file":"task-failure-attributes-hEmASjix.js","names":[],"sources":["../src/trace/error-classification.ts","../src/trace/execution-measurements.ts","../src/trace/task-failure-attributes.ts"],"sourcesContent":["import type { SpanKind } from '@tangle-network/agent-trace-contract'\n\nexport type TraceErrorRole = SpanKind\n\nexport interface TraceErrorSignal {\n  id: string\n  parentId?: string\n  role: TraceErrorRole\n  error: boolean\n  processRoot: boolean\n}\n\nexport interface TraceErrorSummary {\n  total: number\n  execution: number\n  process: number\n  guardrail: number\n  evaluation: number\n  propagated: number\n  unclassified: number\n}\n\n/**\n * Classify errored spans without counting a propagated parent status as a\n * second execution failure.\n */\nexport function summarizeTraceErrors(signals: readonly TraceErrorSignal[]): TraceErrorSummary {\n  const byId = new Map<string, TraceErrorSignal>()\n  for (const signal of signals) {\n    if (byId.has(signal.id)) {\n      throw new Error(`summarizeTraceErrors: duplicate span id '${signal.id}'`)\n    }\n    byId.set(signal.id, signal)\n  }\n\n  const propagated = new Set<string>()\n  for (const signal of signals) {\n    if (!signal.error) continue\n    const visited = new Set<string>()\n    let parentId = signal.parentId\n    while (parentId && !visited.has(parentId)) {\n      visited.add(parentId)\n      const parent = byId.get(parentId)\n      if (!parent) break\n      if (parent.error) propagated.add(parent.id)\n      parentId = parent.parentId\n    }\n  }\n\n  const summary: TraceErrorSummary = {\n    total: 0,\n    execution: 0,\n    process: 0,\n    guardrail: 0,\n    evaluation: 0,\n    propagated: 0,\n    unclassified: 0,\n  }\n\n  for (const signal of signals) {\n    if (!signal.error) continue\n    summary.total += 1\n    if (signal.role === 'GUARDRAIL') {\n      summary.guardrail += 1\n    } else if (signal.role === 'EVALUATOR') {\n      summary.evaluation += 1\n    } else if (signal.processRoot) {\n      summary.process += 1\n    } else if (propagated.has(signal.id)) {\n      summary.propagated += 1\n    } else if (signal.role !== 'UNKNOWN') {\n      summary.execution += 1\n    } else {\n      summary.unclassified += 1\n    }\n  }\n\n  return summary\n}\n","import { isModelCallKind, type SpanKind } from '@tangle-network/agent-trace-contract'\nimport type { RunTokenUsage } from '../run-record'\nimport {\n  LLM_CACHE_WRITE_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_CACHED_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_COST_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_INPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_OUTPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_REASONING_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  RUN_COST_ATTR_KEYS,\n} from './otlp-attributes'\n\nexport interface ExecutionMeasurementSpan {\n  id: string\n  parentId?: string\n  attributes: Record<string, unknown>\n  /**\n   * The contract kind, declared or inferred. `LLM`, `EMBEDDING` and `RERANKER`\n   * ({@link isModelCallKind}) are each a leaf model call. Any other known kind\n   * (an agent, a workflow step, a tool) is an aggregate whose tokens total the\n   * calls beneath it. `UNKNOWN` is neither: its tokens count only when no model\n   * call beneath it reports the same field.\n   */\n  kind: SpanKind\n}\n\ninterface MeasuredSpan extends ExecutionMeasurementSpan {\n  modelCall: boolean\n  aggregate: boolean\n}\n\nexport interface MeasurementCoverage {\n  value?: number\n  reportingCalls: number\n  complete: boolean\n}\n\nexport interface ExecutionMeasurements {\n  tokenUsage: RunTokenUsage\n  modelCallCount: number\n  callSpanIds: string[]\n  cost: MeasurementCoverage\n  aggregate?: {\n    tokenUsage: RunTokenUsage\n    costUsd?: number\n  }\n}\n\nconst TOKEN_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS = [\n  LLM_INPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_OUTPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_REASONING_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_CACHED_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  LLM_CACHE_WRITE_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n] as const\n\nconst EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS = [\n  ...TOKEN_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS,\n  LLM_COST_ATTR_KEYS,\n] as const\n\ninterface RetainedCallSummary {\n  callCount: number\n  measurements: Array<{\n    total: number\n    reportingCalls: number\n  }>\n}\n\n/**\n * Reconcile execution measurements across nested telemetry wrappers.\n * A measured parent is used only when a descendant call does not report the\n * same field, so aggregate wrappers neither duplicate complete child data nor\n * erase complementary parent fields.\n */\nexport function summarizeExecutionMeasurements(\n  source: readonly ExecutionMeasurementSpan[],\n): ExecutionMeasurements {\n  const spans: MeasuredSpan[] = source.map((span) => ({\n    ...span,\n    // EMBEDDING and RERANKER are leaf model calls too, billed like LLM — only a\n    // wrapper kind (AGENT/CHAIN/TOOL/RETRIEVER/GUARDRAIL/EVALUATOR/PROMPT) is an\n    // aggregate whose totals restate a descendant's.\n    modelCall: isModelCallKind(span.kind),\n    aggregate: !isModelCallKind(span.kind) && span.kind !== 'UNKNOWN',\n  }))\n  const byId = new Map<string, MeasuredSpan>()\n  for (const span of spans) {\n    if (byId.has(span.id)) {\n      throw new Error(`summarizeExecutionMeasurements: duplicate span id \"${span.id}\"`)\n    }\n    byId.set(span.id, span)\n  }\n  const tokenMeasurementKeys = TOKEN_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS.flat()\n  const candidates = spans.filter(\n    (span) =>\n      span.modelCall ||\n      (!span.aggregate && readNumber(span.attributes, tokenMeasurementKeys) !== undefined),\n  )\n  const candidateIds = new Set(candidates.map((span) => span.id))\n  const candidateChildren = new Map<string, MeasuredSpan[]>()\n  for (const candidate of candidates) {\n    const parentId = nearestCandidateParent(candidate, byId, candidateIds)\n    if (!parentId) continue\n    const children = candidateChildren.get(parentId) ?? []\n    children.push(candidate)\n    candidateChildren.set(parentId, children)\n  }\n  const aggregateIds = classifyAggregateSpans(candidates, candidateChildren)\n  const untypedRunCostIds = new Set(\n    spans\n      .filter(\n        (span) =>\n          !span.modelCall &&\n          !span.aggregate &&\n          !candidateIds.has(span.id) &&\n          readNumber(span.attributes, RUN_COST_ATTR_KEYS) !== undefined,\n      )\n      .map((span) => span.id),\n  )\n  const aggregateSourceIds = new Set(\n    spans\n      .filter(\n        (span) => span.aggregate || aggregateIds.has(span.id) || untypedRunCostIds.has(span.id),\n      )\n      .map((span) => span.id),\n  )\n\n  const calls = candidates.filter((span) => !aggregateIds.has(span.id))\n  const input = reconcileMeasurement(calls, byId, aggregateSourceIds, LLM_INPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const reasoning = reconcileMeasurement(\n    calls,\n    byId,\n    aggregateSourceIds,\n    LLM_REASONING_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  )\n  const output = reconcileMeasurement(\n    calls,\n    byId,\n    aggregateSourceIds,\n    LLM_OUTPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n    LLM_REASONING_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  )\n  const cached = reconcileMeasurement(calls, byId, aggregateSourceIds, LLM_CACHED_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const cacheWrite = reconcileMeasurement(\n    calls,\n    byId,\n    aggregateSourceIds,\n    LLM_CACHE_WRITE_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS,\n  )\n  const aggregate = summarizeAggregateMeasurements(\n    spans,\n    byId,\n    new Set([...aggregateIds, ...untypedRunCostIds]),\n  )\n\n  // A trace whose only token-bearing span is an aggregate (a run or tool\n  // span that reports totals but has no llm_call events beneath it) has no\n  // model-call candidates, so `input`/`output`/etc. above are all undefined.\n  // Fall back to the aggregate measurement's own field before defaulting to\n  // 0, so \"no model call reported this\" does not read the same as \"measured\n  // zero\". When neither reports a field, it really is 0/unset.\n  const reasoningValue = reasoning.value ?? aggregate?.tokenUsage.reasoning\n  const cachedValue = cached.value ?? aggregate?.tokenUsage.cached\n  const cacheWriteValue = cacheWrite.value ?? aggregate?.tokenUsage.cacheWrite\n\n  return {\n    tokenUsage: {\n      input: input.value ?? aggregate?.tokenUsage.input ?? 0,\n      output: Math.max(output.value ?? aggregate?.tokenUsage.output ?? 0, reasoningValue ?? 0),\n      ...(reasoningValue !== undefined ? { reasoning: reasoningValue } : {}),\n      ...(cachedValue !== undefined ? { cached: cachedValue } : {}),\n      ...(cacheWriteValue !== undefined ? { cacheWrite: cacheWriteValue } : {}),\n    },\n    modelCallCount: calls.length,\n    callSpanIds: calls.map((span) => span.id),\n    cost: reconcileMeasurement(calls, byId, aggregateSourceIds, LLM_COST_ATTR_KEYS),\n    ...(aggregate ? { aggregate } : {}),\n  }\n}\n\nexport function recordAggregateMeasurements(\n  raw: Record<string, number>,\n  aggregate: ExecutionMeasurements['aggregate'],\n): void {\n  if (!aggregate) return\n  raw.aggregate_prompt_tokens = aggregate.tokenUsage.input\n  raw.aggregate_completion_tokens = aggregate.tokenUsage.output\n  if (aggregate.tokenUsage.reasoning !== undefined)\n    raw.aggregate_reasoning_tokens = aggregate.tokenUsage.reasoning\n  if (aggregate.tokenUsage.cached !== undefined)\n    raw.aggregate_cached_tokens = aggregate.tokenUsage.cached\n  if (aggregate.tokenUsage.cacheWrite !== undefined)\n    raw.aggregate_cache_write_tokens = aggregate.tokenUsage.cacheWrite\n  if (aggregate.costUsd !== undefined) raw.aggregate_cost_usd = aggregate.costUsd\n}\n\nfunction summarizeAggregateMeasurements(\n  spans: MeasuredSpan[],\n  byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>,\n  aggregateIds: Set<string>,\n): ExecutionMeasurements['aggregate'] {\n  const aggregates = spans.filter((span) => span.aggregate || aggregateIds.has(span.id))\n  const input = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_INPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const output = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_OUTPUT_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const reasoning = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_REASONING_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const cached = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_CACHED_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const cacheWrite = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_CACHE_WRITE_TOKEN_ATTR_KEYS)\n  const costUsd = reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(aggregates, byId, LLM_COST_ATTR_KEYS)\n  if (\n    input === undefined &&\n    output === undefined &&\n    reasoning === undefined &&\n    cached === undefined &&\n    cacheWrite === undefined &&\n    costUsd === undefined\n  )\n    return undefined\n  return {\n    tokenUsage: {\n      input: input ?? 0,\n      output: output ?? reasoning ?? 0,\n      ...(reasoning !== undefined ? { reasoning } : {}),\n      ...(cached !== undefined ? { cached } : {}),\n      ...(cacheWrite !== undefined ? { cacheWrite } : {}),\n    },\n    ...(costUsd !== undefined ? { costUsd } : {}),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction reconcileTopLevelMeasurement(\n  spans: MeasuredSpan[],\n  byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>,\n  keys: readonly string[],\n): number | undefined {\n  const selected = new Map<string, number>()\n  for (const span of spans) {\n    const value = readNumber(span.attributes, keys)\n    if (value !== undefined) selected.set(span.id, value)\n  }\n  for (const spanId of [...selected.keys()]) {\n    const span = byId.get(spanId)\n    if (!span) continue\n    if (ancestorIds(span, byId).some((ancestorId) => selected.has(ancestorId))) {\n      selected.delete(spanId)\n    }\n  }\n  return selected.size > 0\n    ? [...selected.values()].reduce((total, value) => total + value, 0)\n    : undefined\n}\n\nfunction reconcileMeasurement(\n  calls: MeasuredSpan[],\n  byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>,\n  aggregateSourceIds: Set<string>,\n  keys: readonly string[],\n  fallbackKeys?: readonly string[],\n): MeasurementCoverage {\n  const selected = new Map<string, number>()\n  const callIds = new Set(calls.map((call) => call.id))\n  let reportingCalls = 0\n\n  for (const call of calls) {\n    const primary = nearestMeasurement(call, byId, callIds, aggregateSourceIds, keys)\n    const fallback = fallbackKeys\n      ? nearestMeasurement(call, byId, callIds, aggregateSourceIds, fallbackKeys)\n      : undefined\n    const source =\n      primary && fallback && primary.span.id === fallback.span.id\n        ? { span: primary.span, value: Math.max(primary.value, fallback.value) }\n        : (primary ?? fallback)\n    if (!source) continue\n    reportingCalls += 1\n    selected.set(source.span.id, source.value)\n  }\n\n  for (const spanId of [...selected.keys()]) {\n    const span = byId.get(spanId)\n    if (!span) continue\n    if (\n      ancestorIds(span, byId).some(\n        (ancestorId) => selected.has(ancestorId) && !callIds.has(ancestorId),\n      )\n    ) {\n      selected.delete(spanId)\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    ...(selected.size > 0\n      ? { value: [...selected.values()].reduce((total, value) => total + value, 0) }\n      : {}),\n    reportingCalls,\n    complete: calls.length > 0 && reportingCalls === calls.length,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction nearestMeasurement(\n  call: MeasuredSpan,\n  byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>,\n  callIds: Set<string>,\n  aggregateSourceIds: Set<string>,\n  keys: readonly string[],\n): { span: MeasuredSpan; value: number } | undefined {\n  let current: MeasuredSpan | undefined = call\n  const seen = new Set<string>()\n  while (current && !seen.has(current.id)) {\n    seen.add(current.id)\n    const value = readNumber(current.attributes, keys)\n    if (\n      value !== undefined &&\n      (current.id === call.id || (!callIds.has(current.id) && aggregateSourceIds.has(current.id)))\n    ) {\n      return { span: current, value }\n    }\n    current = current.parentId ? byId.get(current.parentId) : undefined\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n\nfunction classifyAggregateSpans(\n  candidates: MeasuredSpan[],\n  childrenById: Map<string, MeasuredSpan[]>,\n): Set<string> {\n  const aggregateIds = new Set<string>()\n  const summaries = new Map<string, RetainedCallSummary>()\n  const visiting = new Set<string>()\n\n  const visit = (span: MeasuredSpan): RetainedCallSummary => {\n    const cached = summaries.get(span.id)\n    if (cached) return cached\n    if (visiting.has(span.id)) return emptyRetainedCallSummary()\n    visiting.add(span.id)\n\n    const descendants = emptyRetainedCallSummary()\n    for (const child of childrenById.get(span.id) ?? []) {\n      const childDescendants = visit(child)\n      if (!aggregateIds.has(child.id)) addRetainedCall(descendants, child)\n      addRetainedCallSummary(descendants, childDescendants)\n    }\n\n    if (\n      descendants.callCount > 0 &&\n      (!span.modelCall || hasCompatibleDescendantMeasurements(span, descendants))\n    ) {\n      aggregateIds.add(span.id)\n    }\n\n    visiting.delete(span.id)\n    summaries.set(span.id, descendants)\n    return descendants\n  }\n\n  for (const candidate of candidates) visit(candidate)\n  return aggregateIds\n}\n\nfunction emptyRetainedCallSummary(): RetainedCallSummary {\n  return {\n    callCount: 0,\n    measurements: EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS.map(() => ({\n      total: 0,\n      reportingCalls: 0,\n    })),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction addRetainedCall(summary: RetainedCallSummary, span: MeasuredSpan): void {\n  summary.callCount += 1\n  for (let index = 0; index < EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS.length; index += 1) {\n    const value = readNumber(span.attributes, EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS[index]!)\n    if (value === undefined) continue\n    const measurement = summary.measurements[index]!\n    measurement.total += value\n    measurement.reportingCalls += 1\n  }\n}\n\nfunction addRetainedCallSummary(target: RetainedCallSummary, source: RetainedCallSummary): void {\n  target.callCount += source.callCount\n  for (let index = 0; index < target.measurements.length; index += 1) {\n    const measurement = target.measurements[index]!\n    const sourceMeasurement = source.measurements[index]!\n    measurement.total += sourceMeasurement.total\n    measurement.reportingCalls += sourceMeasurement.reportingCalls\n  }\n}\n\nfunction hasCompatibleDescendantMeasurements(\n  span: MeasuredSpan,\n  descendants: RetainedCallSummary,\n): boolean {\n  let parentMeasurements = 0\n  let descendantMeasurements = 0\n  for (let index = 0; index < EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS.length; index += 1) {\n    const keys = EXECUTION_MEASUREMENT_KEY_GROUPS[index]!\n    const parentValue = readNumber(span.attributes, keys)\n    const measurement = descendants.measurements[index]!\n    if (parentValue !== undefined) parentMeasurements += 1\n    if (measurement.reportingCalls > 0) descendantMeasurements += 1\n    if (parentValue === undefined || measurement.reportingCalls === 0) continue\n    if (measurement.reportingCalls !== descendants.callCount) continue\n    if (Math.abs(parentValue - measurement.total) > 1e-12) return false\n  }\n  return parentMeasurements === 0 || descendantMeasurements > 0\n}\n\nfunction ancestorIds(span: MeasuredSpan, byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>): string[] {\n  const ids: string[] = []\n  const seen = new Set<string>()\n  let parentId = span.parentId\n  while (parentId && !seen.has(parentId)) {\n    ids.push(parentId)\n    seen.add(parentId)\n    parentId = byId.get(parentId)?.parentId\n  }\n  return ids\n}\n\nfunction nearestCandidateParent(\n  span: MeasuredSpan,\n  byId: Map<string, MeasuredSpan>,\n  candidateIds: Set<string>,\n): string | undefined {\n  const seen = new Set<string>()\n  let parentId = span.parentId\n  while (parentId && !seen.has(parentId)) {\n    if (candidateIds.has(parentId)) return parentId\n    seen.add(parentId)\n    parentId = byId.get(parentId)?.parentId\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n\nfunction readNumber(\n  attributes: Record<string, unknown>,\n  keys: readonly string[],\n): number | undefined {\n  for (const key of keys) {\n    const value = attributes[key]\n    const parsed =\n      typeof value === 'number'\n        ? value\n        : typeof value === 'string' && value.length > 0\n          ? Number(value)\n          : Number.NaN\n    if (Number.isFinite(parsed) && parsed >= 0) return parsed\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n","import { ValidationError } from '../errors'\nimport { FAILURE_CLASSES, type FailureClass } from './schema'\n\nconst TASK_FAILURE_CLASS_ATTR = 'tangle.task.failure_class'\nconst TASK_FAILURE_MODE_ATTR = 'tangle.task.failure_mode'\n\ninterface AttributeCarrier {\n  attributes: Record<string, unknown>\n}\n\nexport type TaskFailureLabels =\n  | { failureClass?: undefined; failureMode?: undefined }\n  | { failureClass: 'success'; failureMode?: undefined }\n  | { failureClass: Exclude<FailureClass, 'success'>; failureMode?: string }\n\nexport function readTaskFailureLabels(\n  roots: readonly AttributeCarrier[],\n  context: string,\n): TaskFailureLabels {\n  const failureClass = readConsistentRootString(roots, TASK_FAILURE_CLASS_ATTR, context)\n  const failureMode = readConsistentRootString(roots, TASK_FAILURE_MODE_ATTR, context)\n\n  if (failureClass !== undefined && !FAILURE_CLASSES.includes(failureClass as FailureClass)) {\n    throw new ValidationError(\n      `${context}: ${TASK_FAILURE_CLASS_ATTR} must be one of ${FAILURE_CLASSES.join(', ')}`,\n    )\n  }\n  if (failureMode !== undefined && (failureClass === undefined || failureClass === 'success')) {\n    throw new ValidationError(\n      `${context}: ${TASK_FAILURE_MODE_ATTR} requires a non-success ${TASK_FAILURE_CLASS_ATTR}`,\n    )\n  }\n\n  if (failureClass === undefined) return {}\n  if (failureClass === 'success') return { failureClass }\n  return {\n    failureClass: failureClass as Exclude<FailureClass, 'success'>,\n    ...(failureMode ? { failureMode } : {}),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction readConsistentRootString(\n  roots: readonly AttributeCarrier[],\n  key: string,\n  context: string,\n): string | undefined {\n  const values = new Set<string>()\n  for (const root of roots) {\n    if (!Object.hasOwn(root.attributes, key)) continue\n    const value = root.attributes[key]\n    if (typeof value !== 'string' || value.trim().length === 0) {\n      throw new ValidationError(`${context}: ${key} must be a non-empty string`)\n    }\n    values.add(value)\n  }\n\n  if (values.size > 1) {\n    throw new ValidationError(\n      `${context}: conflicting ${key} values: ${[...values].sort().join(', ')}`,\n    )\n  }\n  return 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