@tangle-network/agent-eval 0.115.0 → 0.115.2

package/dist/chunk-S42AWHMP.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"sources":["../src/contract/intake/code-agent-session.ts"],"sourcesContent":["import { createHash } from 'node:crypto'\nimport { estimateCost, isModelPriced } from '../../metrics'\nimport type { RunRecord, RunSplitTag, RunTokenUsage } from '../../run-record'\n\nexport type CodeAgentSessionSource = 'codex' | 'claude-code' | 'opencode' | 'kimi-code' | 'pi'\n\nexport interface ParsedCodeAgentJsonl {\n  entries: unknown[]\n  malformedLines: number\n}\n\nexport interface CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  entries: number\n  userMessages: number\n  assistantMessages: number\n  reasoningItems: number\n  toolCalls: number\n  toolOutputs: number\n  toolErrors: number\n  patchAttempts: number\n  patchSuccesses: number\n  patchFailures: number\n  turnsStarted: number\n  turnsCompleted: number\n  turnsAborted: number\n  contextCompactions: number\n  prLinks: number\n  fileSnapshots: number\n  graphNodes: number\n  graphEdges: number\n  actionCandidates: number\n  verificationReports: number\n  completionDecisions: number\n  reliabilityRows: number\n  reliabilityLift: number\n  inputTokens: number\n  outputTokens: number\n  cachedTokens: number\n  observedCostUsd: number\n  wallMs: number\n  processScore: number\n}\n\nexport interface CodeAgentSessionDiagnostic {\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource\n  sessionId: string\n  sourcePath?: string\n  entries: number\n  malformedLines: number\n  inferredScore: boolean\n  hasExplicitTerminalSignal: boolean\n  hasQualityLabel: boolean\n  hasTokenUsage: boolean\n  hasCost: boolean\n  warnings: string[]\n}\n\nexport interface CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  runs: RunRecord[]\n  diagnostics: CodeAgentSessionDiagnostic[]\n  metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics[]\n}\n\nexport interface CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions {\n  entries: unknown[]\n  malformedLines?: number\n  sourcePath?: string\n  experimentId?: string\n  candidateId?: string\n  seed?: number\n  splitTag?: RunSplitTag\n  scenarioId?: string\n  model?: string\n  promptHash?: string\n  configHash?: string\n  commitSha?: string\n  score?: number\n}\n\nexport function parseCodeAgentJsonl(jsonl: string): ParsedCodeAgentJsonl {\n  const entries: unknown[] = []\n  let malformedLines = 0\n  for (const line of jsonl.split('\\n')) {\n    const trimmed = line.trim()\n    if (!trimmed) continue\n    try {\n      entries.push(JSON.parse(trimmed))\n    } catch {\n      malformedLines += 1\n    }\n  }\n  return { entries, malformedLines }\n}\n\nexport function fromCodexSession(\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  return fromCodeAgentSession('codex', options)\n}\n\nexport function fromClaudeCodeSession(\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  return fromCodeAgentSession('claude-code', options)\n}\n\nexport function fromOpenCodeSession(\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  return fromCodeAgentSession('opencode', options)\n}\n\nexport function fromKimiCodeSession(\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  return fromCodeAgentSession('kimi-code', options)\n}\n\nexport function fromPiSession(\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  return fromCodeAgentSession('pi', options)\n}\n\nexport const fromPigraphSession = fromPiSession\n\nfunction fromCodeAgentSession(\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource,\n  options: CodeAgentSessionIntakeOptions,\n): CodeAgentSessionIntakeResult {\n  const entries = options.entries.filter(isRecord)\n  if (entries.length === 0) {\n    return {\n      runs: [],\n      diagnostics: [\n        {\n          source,\n          sessionId: fallbackSessionId(source, options.sourcePath),\n          sourcePath: options.sourcePath,\n          entries: 0,\n          malformedLines: options.malformedLines ?? 0,\n          inferredScore: true,\n          hasExplicitTerminalSignal: false,\n          hasQualityLabel: false,\n          hasTokenUsage: false,\n          hasCost: false,\n          warnings: ['no parseable session entries'],\n        },\n      ],\n      metrics: [],\n    }\n  }\n\n  const metrics = metricsFor(source, entries)\n  const sessionId =\n    sessionIdFromEntries(source, entries) ?? fallbackSessionId(source, options.sourcePath)\n  const model = withSnapshot(options.model ?? modelFromEntries(source, entries) ?? source)\n  const tokenUsage: RunTokenUsage = {\n    input: metrics.inputTokens,\n    output: metrics.outputTokens,\n    ...(metrics.cachedTokens > 0 ? { cached: metrics.cachedTokens } : {}),\n  }\n  const estimatedCostUsd =\n    metrics.inputTokens > 0 || metrics.outputTokens > 0\n      ? estimateCost(metrics.inputTokens, metrics.outputTokens, model)\n      : 0\n  const costUsd = metrics.observedCostUsd > 0 ? metrics.observedCostUsd : estimatedCostUsd\n  const score = clamp01(options.score ?? metrics.processScore)\n  const promptHash =\n    options.promptHash ?? hashString(`prompt:${source}:${firstUserText(entries) ?? ''}`)\n  const configHash =\n    options.configHash ??\n    hashJson({\n      source,\n      model,\n      sourcePath: options.sourcePath,\n      cwd: cwdFromEntries(entries),\n      entryCount: entries.length,\n    })\n  const explicitTerminal = hasExplicitTerminalSignal(source, metrics)\n  const warnings = diagnosticsFor(metrics, {\n    model,\n    explicitTerminal,\n    malformedLines: options.malformedLines ?? 0,\n    scoreOverridden: options.score !== undefined,\n    costUsd,\n  })\n\n  const run: RunRecord = {\n    runId: `${source}:${sessionId}`,\n    experimentId: options.experimentId ?? `${source}-local-sessions`,\n    candidateId: options.candidateId ?? model,\n    seed: options.seed ?? stableSeed(sessionId),\n    model,\n    promptHash,\n    configHash,\n    commitSha: options.commitSha ?? 'local-session',\n    wallMs: metrics.wallMs,\n    costUsd,\n    tokenUsage,\n    outcome: {\n      holdoutScore: score,\n      raw: {\n        entries: metrics.entries,\n        user_messages: metrics.userMessages,\n        assistant_messages: metrics.assistantMessages,\n        reasoning_items: metrics.reasoningItems,\n        tool_calls: metrics.toolCalls,\n        tool_outputs: metrics.toolOutputs,\n        tool_errors: metrics.toolErrors,\n        patch_attempts: metrics.patchAttempts,\n        patch_successes: metrics.patchSuccesses,\n        patch_failures: metrics.patchFailures,\n        turns_started: metrics.turnsStarted,\n        turns_completed: metrics.turnsCompleted,\n        turns_aborted: metrics.turnsAborted,\n        context_compactions: metrics.contextCompactions,\n        pr_links: metrics.prLinks,\n        file_snapshots: metrics.fileSnapshots,\n        graph_nodes: metrics.graphNodes,\n        graph_edges: metrics.graphEdges,\n        action_candidates: metrics.actionCandidates,\n        verification_reports: metrics.verificationReports,\n        completion_decisions: metrics.completionDecisions,\n        reliability_rows: metrics.reliabilityRows,\n        reliability_lift: metrics.reliabilityLift,\n        input_tokens: metrics.inputTokens,\n        output_tokens: metrics.outputTokens,\n        cached_tokens: metrics.cachedTokens,\n        observed_cost_usd: metrics.observedCostUsd,\n        process_score: score,\n        inferred_score: options.score === undefined ? 1 : 0,\n        explicit_terminal_signal: explicitTerminal ? 1 : 0,\n        quality_label_present: options.score !== undefined ? 1 : 0,\n        cost_unknown: costUsd === 0 && !isModelPriced(model) ? 1 : 0,\n      },\n    },\n    splitTag: options.splitTag ?? 'holdout',\n    ...(options.scenarioId ? { scenarioId: options.scenarioId } : {}),\n    ...(metrics.toolErrors > 0 || metrics.turnsAborted > 0\n      ? { failureMode: metrics.turnsAborted > 0 ? 'turn_aborted' : 'tool_error' }\n      : {}),\n  }\n\n  return {\n    runs: [run],\n    diagnostics: [\n      {\n        source,\n        sessionId,\n        sourcePath: options.sourcePath,\n        entries: entries.length,\n        malformedLines: options.malformedLines ?? 0,\n        inferredScore: options.score === undefined,\n        hasExplicitTerminalSignal: explicitTerminal,\n        hasQualityLabel: options.score !== undefined,\n        hasTokenUsage: metrics.inputTokens > 0 || metrics.outputTokens > 0,\n        hasCost: costUsd > 0,\n        warnings,\n      },\n    ],\n    metrics: [metrics],\n  }\n}\n\nfunction metricsFor(\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource,\n  entries: Record<string, unknown>[],\n): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  switch (source) {\n    case 'codex':\n      return codexMetrics(entries)\n    case 'claude-code':\n      return claudeCodeMetrics(entries)\n    case 'opencode':\n      return openCodeMetrics(entries)\n    case 'kimi-code':\n      return kimiCodeMetrics(entries)\n    case 'pi':\n      return piMetrics(entries)\n  }\n}\n\nfunction codexMetrics(entries: Record<string, unknown>[]): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  const metrics = emptyMetrics(entries.length)\n  let startedAt: number | undefined\n  let completedAt: number | undefined\n\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    const payload = record(entry.payload) ?? {}\n    const entryType = stringField(entry, 'type')\n    const payloadType = stringField(payload, 'type')\n    const timestamp = timestampMs(entry.timestamp)\n    if (timestamp !== undefined) {\n      startedAt = startedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.min(startedAt, timestamp)\n      completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.max(completedAt, timestamp)\n    }\n\n    if (entryType === 'response_item') {\n      if (payloadType === 'function_call' || payloadType === 'custom_tool_call')\n        metrics.toolCalls += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'function_call_output' || payloadType === 'custom_tool_call_output')\n        metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'reasoning') metrics.reasoningItems += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'message' && stringField(payload, 'role') === 'assistant')\n        metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n    }\n\n    if (entryType === 'event_msg') {\n      if (payloadType === 'user_message') metrics.userMessages += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'agent_message') metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'task_started') {\n        metrics.turnsStarted += 1\n        const started = timestampMs(payload.started_at)\n        if (started !== undefined) {\n          startedAt = startedAt === undefined ? started : Math.min(startedAt, started)\n        }\n      }\n      if (payloadType === 'task_complete') {\n        metrics.turnsCompleted += 1\n        const completed = timestampMs(payload.completed_at)\n        if (completed !== undefined) {\n          completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? completed : Math.max(completedAt, completed)\n        }\n        const duration = numberField(payload, 'duration_ms')\n        if (duration !== undefined) metrics.wallMs = Math.max(metrics.wallMs, duration)\n      }\n      if (payloadType === 'turn_aborted') {\n        metrics.turnsAborted += 1\n        const completed = timestampMs(payload.completed_at)\n        if (completed !== undefined) {\n          completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? completed : Math.max(completedAt, completed)\n        }\n      }\n      if (payloadType === 'context_compacted') metrics.contextCompactions += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'patch_apply_end') {\n        metrics.patchAttempts += 1\n        if (payload.success === true) metrics.patchSuccesses += 1\n        else {\n          metrics.patchFailures += 1\n          metrics.toolErrors += 1\n        }\n      }\n      if (payloadType === 'token_count')\n        setCumulativeUsage(metrics, record(record(payload.info)?.total_token_usage))\n      const result = record(payload.result)\n      if (result && 'Err' in result) metrics.toolErrors += 1\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (metrics.wallMs === 0 && startedAt !== undefined && completedAt !== undefined) {\n    metrics.wallMs = Math.max(0, completedAt - startedAt)\n  }\n  metrics.processScore = codexProcessScore(metrics)\n  return metrics\n}\n\nfunction claudeCodeMetrics(entries: Record<string, unknown>[]): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  const metrics = emptyMetrics(entries.length)\n  let startedAt: number | undefined\n  let completedAt: number | undefined\n\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    const type = stringField(entry, 'type')\n    const timestamp = timestampMs(entry.timestamp)\n    if (timestamp !== undefined) {\n      startedAt = startedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.min(startedAt, timestamp)\n      completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.max(completedAt, timestamp)\n    }\n\n    if (type === 'user') metrics.userMessages += 1\n    if (type === 'assistant') metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n    if (type === 'pr-link') metrics.prLinks += 1\n    if (type === 'file-history-snapshot') metrics.fileSnapshots += 1\n\n    const message = record(entry.message)\n    if (message) addUsage(metrics, record(message.usage))\n    const content = Array.isArray(message?.content) ? message.content : []\n    for (const item of content) {\n      const part = record(item)\n      if (!part) continue\n      const partType = stringField(part, 'type')\n      if (partType === 'thinking') metrics.reasoningItems += 1\n      if (partType === 'tool_use') metrics.toolCalls += 1\n      if (partType === 'tool_result') {\n        metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n        if (part.is_error === true) metrics.toolErrors += 1\n      }\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (startedAt !== undefined && completedAt !== undefined)\n    metrics.wallMs = Math.max(0, completedAt - startedAt)\n  metrics.processScore = claudeProcessScore(metrics)\n  return metrics\n}\n\nfunction openCodeMetrics(entries: Record<string, unknown>[]): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  const metrics = emptyMetrics(entries.length)\n  const messageUsage = emptyTokenTotals()\n  const partUsage = emptyTokenTotals()\n  let messageCost = 0\n  let partCost = 0\n  let startedAt: number | undefined\n  let completedAt: number | undefined\n\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    const time = record(entry.time)\n    const created = timestampMs(time?.created)\n    const completed = timestampMs(time?.completed)\n    if (created !== undefined)\n      startedAt = startedAt === undefined ? created : Math.min(startedAt, created)\n    if (completed !== undefined)\n      completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? completed : Math.max(completedAt, completed)\n\n    const role = stringField(entry, 'role')\n    if (role === 'user') metrics.userMessages += 1\n    if (role === 'assistant') {\n      metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n      const finish = stringField(entry, 'finish')\n      if (finish === 'stop') metrics.turnsCompleted += 1\n      if (finish === 'error') metrics.turnsAborted += 1\n    }\n\n    const type = stringField(entry, 'type')\n    if (type === 'reasoning') metrics.reasoningItems += 1\n    if (type === 'tool') {\n      metrics.toolCalls += 1\n      const status = stringField(record(entry.state) ?? {}, 'status')\n      if (status === 'completed') metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n      if (status === 'error') {\n        metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n        metrics.toolErrors += 1\n      }\n    }\n    if (type === 'patch') {\n      metrics.patchAttempts += 1\n      metrics.patchSuccesses += 1\n    }\n\n    const cost = numberField(entry, 'cost')\n    if (record(entry.tokens) && role) {\n      addUsageTo(messageUsage, record(entry.tokens))\n      if (cost !== undefined) messageCost += cost\n    } else if (record(entry.tokens)) {\n      addUsageTo(partUsage, record(entry.tokens))\n      if (cost !== undefined) partCost += cost\n    }\n  }\n\n  const usage = messageUsage.input + messageUsage.output > 0 ? messageUsage : partUsage\n  metrics.inputTokens = usage.input\n  metrics.outputTokens = usage.output\n  metrics.cachedTokens = usage.cached\n  metrics.observedCostUsd = messageCost > 0 ? messageCost : partCost\n  if (metrics.wallMs === 0 && startedAt !== undefined && completedAt !== undefined)\n    metrics.wallMs = Math.max(0, completedAt - startedAt)\n  metrics.processScore = terminalProcessScore(metrics)\n  return metrics\n}\n\nfunction kimiCodeMetrics(entries: Record<string, unknown>[]): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  const metrics = emptyMetrics(entries.length)\n  let startedAt: number | undefined\n  let completedAt: number | undefined\n\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    const timestamp = timestampMs(entry.timestamp)\n    if (timestamp !== undefined) {\n      startedAt = startedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.min(startedAt, timestamp)\n      completedAt = completedAt === undefined ? timestamp : Math.max(completedAt, timestamp)\n    }\n\n    const role = stringField(entry, 'role')\n    if (role === 'user') metrics.userMessages += 1\n    if (role === 'assistant') metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n    if (role === '_usage') addUsage(metrics, entry)\n\n    const message = record(entry.message)\n    const messageType = message ? stringField(message, 'type') : undefined\n    const payload = record(message?.payload) ?? {}\n    if (messageType === 'TurnBegin') {\n      metrics.userMessages += 1\n      metrics.turnsStarted += 1\n    }\n    if (messageType === 'TurnEnd') metrics.turnsCompleted += 1\n    if (messageType === 'StepInterrupted') metrics.turnsAborted += 1\n    if (messageType === 'StepBegin') metrics.reasoningItems += 1\n    if (messageType === 'ContentPart') {\n      const payloadType = stringField(payload, 'type')\n      if (payloadType === 'think') metrics.reasoningItems += 1\n      if (payloadType === 'text') metrics.assistantMessages += 1\n    }\n    if (messageType === 'ToolCall') metrics.toolCalls += 1\n    if (messageType === 'ToolResult') {\n      metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n      if (record(payload.return_value)?.is_error === true) metrics.toolErrors += 1\n    }\n    if (messageType === 'StatusUpdate') addUsage(metrics, record(payload.token_usage))\n    if (messageType === 'Notification') {\n      const notification = record(payload.payload)\n      const exitCode = numberField(notification ?? {}, 'exit_code')\n      if (notification?.timed_out === true || (exitCode !== undefined && exitCode !== 0)) {\n        metrics.toolErrors += 1\n      }\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (startedAt !== undefined && completedAt !== undefined)\n    metrics.wallMs = Math.max(0, completedAt - startedAt)\n  metrics.processScore = terminalProcessScore(metrics)\n  return metrics\n}\n\nfunction piMetrics(entries: Record<string, unknown>[]): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  const metrics = emptyMetrics(entries.length)\n  let bestReliabilityScore: number | undefined\n\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    const nodes = Array.isArray(entry.nodes) ? entry.nodes : []\n    const edges = Array.isArray(entry.edges) ? entry.edges : []\n    metrics.graphNodes += nodes.length\n    metrics.graphEdges += edges.length\n\n    for (const node of nodes) {\n      const obj = record(node)\n      const ir = record(obj?.ir) ?? obj\n      const kind = stringField(ir ?? {}, 'kind')\n      if (kind === 'ActionCandidate') metrics.actionCandidates += 1\n      if (kind === 'ToolInvocation') metrics.toolCalls += 1\n      if (kind === 'ToolResult') metrics.toolOutputs += 1\n      if (kind === 'VerificationReport') metrics.verificationReports += 1\n      if (kind === 'CompletionDecision') {\n        metrics.completionDecisions += 1\n        metrics.turnsCompleted += 1\n      }\n    }\n\n    const averageReliability = numberField(entry, 'averageNodeReliability')\n    if (averageReliability !== undefined)\n      bestReliabilityScore = maxOptional(bestReliabilityScore, averageReliability)\n    const pessimisticPath = numberField(entry, 'pessimisticPathEstimate')\n    if (pessimisticPath !== undefined)\n      bestReliabilityScore = maxOptional(bestReliabilityScore, pessimisticPath)\n\n    const rows = Array.isArray(entry.rows) ? entry.rows : []\n    metrics.reliabilityRows += rows.length\n    for (const row of rows) {\n      const obj = record(row)\n      if (!obj) continue\n      const lift = numberField(obj, 'lift')\n      if (lift !== undefined) metrics.reliabilityLift = Math.max(metrics.reliabilityLift, lift)\n      const validated = numberField(obj, 'validatedSuccessEstimate')\n      if (validated !== undefined)\n        bestReliabilityScore = maxOptional(bestReliabilityScore, validated)\n    }\n  }\n\n  metrics.processScore =\n    bestReliabilityScore !== undefined\n      ? clamp01(bestReliabilityScore)\n      : metrics.completionDecisions > 0\n        ? 1\n        : 0\n  return metrics\n}\n\nfunction emptyMetrics(entries: number): CodeAgentSessionMetrics {\n  return {\n    entries,\n    userMessages: 0,\n    assistantMessages: 0,\n    reasoningItems: 0,\n    toolCalls: 0,\n    toolOutputs: 0,\n    toolErrors: 0,\n    patchAttempts: 0,\n    patchSuccesses: 0,\n    patchFailures: 0,\n    turnsStarted: 0,\n    turnsCompleted: 0,\n    turnsAborted: 0,\n    contextCompactions: 0,\n    prLinks: 0,\n    fileSnapshots: 0,\n    graphNodes: 0,\n    graphEdges: 0,\n    actionCandidates: 0,\n    verificationReports: 0,\n    completionDecisions: 0,\n    reliabilityRows: 0,\n    reliabilityLift: 0,\n    inputTokens: 0,\n    outputTokens: 0,\n    cachedTokens: 0,\n    observedCostUsd: 0,\n    wallMs: 0,\n    processScore: 0,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction codexProcessScore(metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics): number {\n  const terminalTurns = metrics.turnsCompleted + metrics.turnsAborted\n  const base =\n    terminalTurns > 0\n      ? metrics.turnsCompleted / terminalTurns\n      : metrics.assistantMessages > 0\n        ? 0.5\n        : 0\n  return penalizeErrors(base, metrics)\n}\n\nfunction claudeProcessScore(metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics): number {\n  const base = metrics.prLinks > 0 ? 1 : metrics.assistantMessages > 0 ? 0.75 : 0\n  return penalizeErrors(base, metrics)\n}\n\nfunction terminalProcessScore(metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics): number {\n  const terminalTurns = metrics.turnsCompleted + metrics.turnsAborted\n  const base =\n    terminalTurns > 0\n      ? metrics.turnsCompleted / terminalTurns\n      : metrics.assistantMessages > 0\n        ? 0.75\n        : metrics.toolCalls > 0\n          ? 0.5\n          : 0\n  return penalizeErrors(base, metrics)\n}\n\nfunction penalizeErrors(base: number, metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics): number {\n  const operations = Math.max(1, metrics.toolCalls + metrics.patchAttempts)\n  const errorRate = Math.min(1, (metrics.toolErrors + metrics.patchFailures) / operations)\n  return clamp01(base * (1 - 0.5 * errorRate))\n}\n\nfunction emptyTokenTotals(): { input: number; output: number; cached: number } {\n  return { input: 0, output: 0, cached: 0 }\n}\n\nfunction addUsage(\n  metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics,\n  usage: Record<string, unknown> | null | undefined,\n): void {\n  const parsed = readUsage(usage)\n  metrics.inputTokens += parsed.input\n  metrics.outputTokens += parsed.output\n  metrics.cachedTokens += parsed.cached\n}\n\nfunction addUsageTo(\n  totals: { input: number; output: number; cached: number },\n  usage: Record<string, unknown> | null | undefined,\n): void {\n  const parsed = readUsage(usage)\n  totals.input += parsed.input\n  totals.output += parsed.output\n  totals.cached += parsed.cached\n}\n\nfunction setCumulativeUsage(\n  metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics,\n  usage: Record<string, unknown> | null | undefined,\n): void {\n  const parsed = readUsage(usage)\n  metrics.inputTokens = Math.max(metrics.inputTokens, parsed.input)\n  metrics.outputTokens = Math.max(metrics.outputTokens, parsed.output)\n  metrics.cachedTokens = Math.max(metrics.cachedTokens, parsed.cached)\n}\n\nfunction readUsage(usage: Record<string, unknown> | null | undefined): {\n  input: number\n  output: number\n  cached: number\n} {\n  if (!usage) return { input: 0, output: 0, cached: 0 }\n  return {\n    input: numericUsage(usage, [\n      'input',\n      'input_tokens',\n      'inputTokens',\n      'prompt_tokens',\n      'promptTokens',\n      'input_other',\n    ]),\n    output: numericUsage(usage, [\n      'output',\n      'output_tokens',\n      'outputTokens',\n      'completion_tokens',\n      'completionTokens',\n      'reasoning',\n      'reasoning_tokens',\n      'reasoningTokens',\n    ]),\n    cached: numericUsage(usage, [\n      'cache',\n      'cached_tokens',\n      'cachedTokens',\n      'cache_read_input_tokens',\n      'cacheReadInputTokens',\n      'cache_creation_input_tokens',\n      'cacheCreationInputTokens',\n      'input_cache_read',\n      'input_cache_creation',\n    ]),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction numericUsage(obj: Record<string, unknown>, names: string[]): number {\n  let total = 0\n  for (const name of names) {\n    const value = obj[name]\n    if (typeof value === 'number' && Number.isFinite(value)) total += value\n  }\n  return total\n}\n\nfunction diagnosticsFor(\n  metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics,\n  options: {\n    model: string\n    explicitTerminal: boolean\n    malformedLines: number\n    scoreOverridden: boolean\n    costUsd: number\n  },\n): string[] {\n  const warnings: string[] = []\n  if (!options.scoreOverridden) warnings.push('outcome score is inferred from process telemetry')\n  if (!options.explicitTerminal) warnings.push('no explicit terminal success/failure signal')\n  if (metrics.inputTokens === 0 && metrics.outputTokens === 0) warnings.push('missing token usage')\n  if (options.costUsd === 0 && !isModelPriced(options.model)) warnings.push('model pricing unknown')\n  if (options.malformedLines > 0)\n    warnings.push(`${options.malformedLines} malformed JSONL lines skipped`)\n  return warnings\n}\n\nfunction hasExplicitTerminalSignal(\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource,\n  metrics: CodeAgentSessionMetrics,\n): boolean {\n  if (source === 'codex') return metrics.turnsCompleted + metrics.turnsAborted > 0\n  if (source === 'opencode' || source === 'kimi-code')\n    return metrics.turnsCompleted + metrics.turnsAborted > 0\n  if (source === 'pi') return metrics.completionDecisions > 0 || metrics.reliabilityRows > 0\n  return metrics.prLinks > 0 || metrics.toolErrors > 0\n}\n\nfunction sessionIdFromEntries(\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource,\n  entries: Record<string, unknown>[],\n): string | undefined {\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    if (source === 'codex') {\n      const payload = record(entry.payload)\n      const id = payload ? stringField(payload, 'id') : undefined\n      if (id) return id\n    }\n    const message = record(entry.message)\n    const payload = record(message?.payload)\n    const sessionId =\n      stringField(entry, 'sessionID') ??\n      stringField(entry, 'sessionId') ??\n      stringField(entry, 'session_id') ??\n      stringField(payload ?? {}, 'session_id')\n    if (sessionId) return sessionId\n  }\n  return undefined\n}\n\nfunction modelFromEntries(\n  source: CodeAgentSessionSource,\n  entries: Record<string, unknown>[],\n): string | undefined {\n  let providerModel: string | undefined\n  for (const entry of entries) {\n    if (source === 'codex') {\n      const payload = record(entry.payload)\n      const model = payload ? stringField(payload, 'model') : undefined\n      if (model) return model\n      providerModel =\n        providerModel ?? 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package/dist/chunk-VK6HBGAE.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"sources":["../src/run-record.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * Paper-grade RunRecord schema + runtime validator.\n *\n * Every run that participates in a promotion gate, paper table, or\n * researcher loop SHOULD be recorded as a `RunRecord`. The mandatory\n * fields are exactly those the paper \"Two Loops, Three Roles\" requires\n * for reproducibility: who/what/when/cost/seed/hash, plus the search vs\n * holdout split tag and either a `searchScore` or a `holdoutScore`.\n *\n * This is intentionally NOT a replacement for the rich `Run` /\n * `ProposeReviewReport` / `ScenarioResult` types already in the\n * package. Those are runtime structures with full provenance. A\n * `RunRecord` is the analysis-time projection — the JSON-friendly\n * row you'd put in a parquet file or paste into a notebook.\n *\n * Validate at the boundary:\n *\n *   const rec = validateRunRecord(rawJson)         // throws on missing\n *   const ok  = isRunRecord(rawJson)               // boolean check\n *   const rec = parseRunRecordSafe(rawJson)        // { ok, value | error }\n *\n * The validator runs in pure TS — zod is intentionally NOT a\n * dependency. Round-trip tested in `tests/run-record.test.ts`.\n */\n\nimport type { AgentProfileCell } from './agent-profile-cell'\nimport { validateAgentProfileCell } from './agent-profile-cell'\nimport { ValidationError } from './errors'\nimport type { FailureClass } from './trace/schema'\n\n/** Search/dev/holdout split tag. 'search' is the paper-grade alias for the\n *  combined train+test pool that the optimizer is allowed to read. */\nexport type RunSplitTag = 'search' | 'dev' | 'holdout'\n\nexport interface RunTokenUsage {\n  input: number\n  output: number\n  cached?: number\n}\n\nexport interface RunJudgeMetadata {\n  model: string\n  promptVersion: string\n  /** [0,1] confidence the judge declared. Constant judge confidence\n   *  across many runs is a fallback signal (see `canary.ts`). */\n  confidence: number\n  /** True if the judge degraded to a fallback path (rules-only,\n   *  prior-call cache, etc.). The canary uses this to alert. */\n  fallback: boolean\n}\n\n/**\n * Per-judge / per-dimension breakdown for runs scored by an ensemble of\n * judges over a multi-dimensional rubric.\n *\n * The collapsed `outcome.searchScore` / `holdoutScore` carries the\n * composite the gate uses. The full breakdown belongs here so consumers\n * can answer \"which judge disagreed?\", \"which dimension dragged the\n * composite down?\", and \"did half the panel fail?\" without re-running.\n *\n * `perJudge[judgeId][dim]` is the canonical source; `perDimMean` and\n * `composite` are convenience projections — derivable but precomputed so\n * downstream IRR primitives (`interRaterReliability`,\n * `corpusInterRaterAgreement`) and reporters don't pay the same\n * aggregation twice.\n *\n * Fail-loud discipline: judges that errored out land in `failedJudges`\n * by id. A missing key in `perJudge` is ambiguous (silent zero vs not\n * run); the explicit list makes a partial-failure recorded as such.\n */\nexport interface JudgeScoresRecord {\n  /** Per-judge per-dimension scores. `{ \"kimi-k2.6\": { helpfulness: 0.8, clarity: 0.7 }, ... }`. */\n  perJudge: Record<string, Record<string, number>>\n  /** Per-dim mean across judges. Convenience — derivable from `perJudge`. */\n  perDimMean: Record<string, number>\n  /** Composite mean across all dims and judges. Mirrors the score\n   *  the gate sees on `outcome.searchScore` / `holdoutScore`. */\n  composite: number\n  /** Judges that errored or returned an unparseable verdict. Recorded\n   *  by id (e.g. `['glm-5.1']`) so a partial-failure case is explicit,\n   *  not inferred from missing keys in `perJudge`. */\n  failedJudges?: string[]\n  /** Free-form notes the judges emitted (joined across judges or\n   *  first-judge only — consumer's choice). */\n  notes?: string\n}\n\nexport interface RunOutcome {\n  /** Score on the search/optimization split. Optional because a\n   *  holdout-only evaluation only fills `holdoutScore`. */\n  searchScore?: number\n  /** Score on the held-out split. Optional because a search-only run\n   *  only fills `searchScore`. At least one must be present. */\n  holdoutScore?: number\n  /** Bag of any other metric the run produced — judge dimensions,\n   *  pass/fail counters, latency stats, etc. Numeric only — keeps\n   *  reporters honest. */\n  raw: Record<string, number>\n  /** Per-judge / per-dim breakdown. Consumers writing ensemble\n   *  judgements populate this; substrate primitives like\n   *  `interRaterReliability` and `corpusInterRaterAgreement` accept\n   *  these records as input. Optional — single-judge or scalar-only\n   *  runs leave it unset. */\n  judgeScores?: JudgeScoresRecord\n  /** Authenticity / realness verdict — did the run build the REAL thing on the\n   *  intended infra, or fake it (see `./authenticity`)? Optional: only domains\n   *  with an authenticity config populate it. Carried in the corpus so the\n   *  flywheel / off-policy learning can optimize for real completion, not gamed\n   *  pass-rate. `score` is 0-1; `gated` is the anti-Goodhart flag — a gated run\n   *  must not count as a real success regardless of `score`. */\n  realness?: { score: number; gated: boolean; reason?: string }\n}\n\n/**\n * Mandatory paper-grade fields for a single evaluation run. Optional\n * fields are extension points; mandatory fields throw if missing.\n *\n * Hash discipline:\n *   - `promptHash` is the sha256 of the EFFECTIVE prompt sent to the\n *     model (after any steering bundle merge).\n *   - `configHash` is the sha256 of the effective run config (model,\n *     temperature, tools, judges, splits). The pair (promptHash,\n *     configHash) uniquely identifies an experiment cell.\n *\n * Model snapshot discipline:\n *   - `model` MUST encode a snapshot version. Bare aliases like\n *     `claude-sonnet-4` or `gpt-4o` are banned — they remap silently.\n *     Use `claude-sonnet-4-6@2025-04-15` or `gpt-4o-2024-11-20`.\n */\nexport interface RunRecord {\n  /** UUID for the run. */\n  runId: string\n  /** Logical experiment grouping (a treatment vs a baseline within\n   *  the same sweep should share `experimentId`). */\n  experimentId: string\n  /** Stable identifier for the candidate (variant) being run. The\n   *  promotion gate compares two `candidateId`s on matched items. */\n  candidateId: string\n  /** RNG seed for the run. Always recorded — silent re-seeding is\n   *  the most common cause of non-reproducible numbers. */\n  seed: number\n  /** Model identifier WITH snapshot version. */\n  model: string\n  /** sha256 of the effective prompt (post-steering). */\n  promptHash: string\n  /** sha256 of the effective config. */\n  configHash: string\n  /** Git SHA the harness was run from. */\n  commitSha: string\n  /** End-to-end wall-clock duration in milliseconds. */\n  wallMs: number\n  /** Time spent queued before execution started, if known. */\n  queueMs?: number\n  /** Total USD cost. Mandatory — runs without a cost number are\n   *  unbounded by definition and must not be admitted into the gate. */\n  costUsd: number\n  /** Token usage breakdown. */\n  tokenUsage: RunTokenUsage\n  /** Judge-side metadata, if a judge was used. */\n  judgeMetadata?: RunJudgeMetadata\n  /** Per-split scores + raw bag. */\n  outcome: RunOutcome\n  /** Canonical, cross-agent failure class drawn from the shared\n   *  `FAILURE_CLASSES` taxonomy. This is the aggregation key that makes\n   *  \"which failure dominates across the whole fleet\" answerable in ONE\n   *  vocabulary — every agent classifies against the same enum. Producers\n   *  set it via the substrate classifier; leave unset only when the failure\n   *  genuinely can't be classified. */\n  failureClass?: FailureClass\n  /** Free-form domain-specific failure detail, scoped UNDER `failureClass`\n   *  (e.g. failureClass='tool_recovery_failure', failureMode='forge_build_unsatisfied').\n   *  The within-agent drill-down; `failureClass` is the cross-agent key. */\n  failureMode?: string\n  /** Which split this run was drawn from. */\n  splitTag: RunSplitTag\n  /**\n   * Stable scenario identifier the run was scored against. Optional for\n   * backwards compatibility, but **strongly recommended**: every primitive\n   * that pairs runs by scenario (preferences, paired stats, BT tournament)\n   * keys on this. The campaign artifact populates it canonically; legacy\n   * runs without it fall back to inference from `outcome.raw.scenario_id`\n   * or `experimentId`.\n   */\n  scenarioId?: string\n  /**\n   * Canonical identity for the agent profile cell that produced this row:\n   * profile artifact hash plus optional harness/model/prompt/reporting\n   * dimensions. Use `agentProfile.cellId` to group persona sweeps and\n   * longitudinal reports by the complete source profile, not by a loose\n   * candidate label or opaque config hash.\n   */\n  agentProfile?: AgentProfileCell\n}\n\n// ── Validation ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nconst MANDATORY_TOP_LEVEL = [\n  'runId',\n  'experimentId',\n  'candidateId',\n  'seed',\n  'model',\n  'promptHash',\n  'configHash',\n  'commitSha',\n  'wallMs',\n  'costUsd',\n  'tokenUsage',\n  'outcome',\n  'splitTag',\n] as const\n\nconst SPLIT_TAGS: ReadonlyArray<RunSplitTag> = ['search', 'dev', 'holdout']\n\nexport class RunRecordValidationError extends ValidationError {\n  readonly path: string\n  constructor(message: string, path = '') {\n    super(path ? `${message} (at ${path})` : message)\n    this.path = path\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Strict validator. Throws `RunRecordValidationError` on the first\n * missing or wrongly-typed field. Returns the input cast to\n * `RunRecord` on success — the validator does not coerce.\n */\nexport function validateRunRecord(input: unknown): RunRecord {\n  if (input === null || typeof input !== 'object') {\n    throw new RunRecordValidationError('expected object')\n  }\n  const obj = input as Record<string, unknown>\n\n  for (const key of MANDATORY_TOP_LEVEL) {\n    if (!(key in obj)) {\n      throw new RunRecordValidationError(`missing mandatory field \"${key}\"`)\n    }\n  }\n\n  expectString(obj.runId, 'runId')\n  expectString(obj.experimentId, 'experimentId')\n  expectString(obj.candidateId, 'candidateId')\n  expectFiniteNumber(obj.seed, 'seed')\n  expectString(obj.model, 'model')\n  expectString(obj.promptHash, 'promptHash')\n  expectString(obj.configHash, 'configHash')\n  expectString(obj.commitSha, 'commitSha')\n  expectFiniteNumber(obj.wallMs, 'wallMs')\n  if (obj.queueMs !== undefined) expectFiniteNumber(obj.queueMs, 'queueMs')\n  expectFiniteNumber(obj.costUsd, 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RunRecordValidationError(\n      'outcome must define searchScore or holdoutScore (or both)',\n      'outcome',\n    )\n  }\n  const raw = outRec.raw\n  if (raw === null || typeof raw !== 'object') {\n    throw new RunRecordValidationError('outcome.raw must be an object', 'outcome.raw')\n  }\n  for (const [k, v] of Object.entries(raw as Record<string, unknown>)) {\n    expectFiniteNumber(v, `outcome.raw.${k}`)\n  }\n  // Realness verdict, optional.\n  if (outRec.realness !== undefined) {\n    const r = outRec.realness\n    if (r === null || typeof r !== 'object') {\n      throw new RunRecordValidationError('outcome.realness must be an object', 'outcome.realness')\n    }\n    const rr = r as Record<string, unknown>\n    expectFiniteNumber(rr.score, 'outcome.realness.score')\n    if (typeof rr.gated !== 'boolean') {\n      throw new RunRecordValidationError(\n        'outcome.realness.gated must be a boolean',\n        'outcome.realness.gated',\n      )\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Per-judge / per-dim breakdown, optional.\n  if (outRec.judgeScores !== undefined) {\n    validateJudgeScores(outRec.judgeScores, 'outcome.judgeScores')\n  }\n\n  // Failure mode optional.\n  if (obj.failureMode !== undefined) expectString(obj.failureMode, 'failureMode')\n\n  if (obj.agentProfile !== undefined) {\n    try {\n      const profile = validateAgentProfileCell(obj.agentProfile)\n      if (profile.model !== undefined && profile.model !== obj.model) {\n        throw new RunRecordValidationError(\n          `agentProfile.model \"${profile.model}\" does not match model \"${obj.model}\"`,\n          'agentProfile.model',\n        )\n      }\n      if (profile.promptHash !== undefined && profile.promptHash !== obj.promptHash) {\n        throw new RunRecordValidationError(\n          `agentProfile.promptHash \"${profile.promptHash}\" does not match promptHash \"${obj.promptHash}\"`,\n          'agentProfile.promptHash',\n        )\n      }\n    } catch (error) {\n      if (error instanceof RunRecordValidationError) throw error\n      if (error instanceof Error) {\n        throw new RunRecordValidationError(error.message, 'agentProfile')\n      }\n      throw error\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Split tag.\n  if (typeof obj.splitTag !== 'string' || !SPLIT_TAGS.includes(obj.splitTag as RunSplitTag)) {\n    throw new RunRecordValidationError(\n      `splitTag must be one of ${SPLIT_TAGS.join(', ')}, got ${String(obj.splitTag)}`,\n      'splitTag',\n    )\n  }\n\n  return input as RunRecord\n}\n\n/** Boolean validator — convenience for filtering arrays. */\nexport function isRunRecord(input: unknown): input is RunRecord {\n  try {\n    validateRunRecord(input)\n    return true\n  } catch {\n    return false\n  }\n}\n\n/** Non-throwing validator — returns a discriminated union. */\nexport function parseRunRecordSafe(\n  input: unknown,\n): { ok: true; value: RunRecord } | { ok: false; error: RunRecordValidationError } {\n  try {\n    return { ok: true, value: validateRunRecord(input) 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package/dist/chunk-WBOGKYM4.js.map

@@ -1 +0,0 @@
-{"version":3,"sources":["../src/contamination-guard.ts","../src/contract/analyze-runs.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/**\n * ContaminationGuard — ensures held-out scenarios don't leak into\n * training/prompt paths, and flags model memorization.\n *\n * Three probes:\n *   1. `checkCanaries(output, scenario)` — if the scenario carries a\n *      canary token, it MUST NOT appear in the agent's output.\n *      Canaries are strings that are statistically impossible to\n *      reconstruct from the scenario description alone — so if they\n *      echo back, the model memorized them.\n *   2. `canaryLeakView(store)` — cross-corpus view of every run whose\n *      output contained a canary, with the offending scenario + run.\n *   3. `HoldoutAuditor` — wraps a Dataset and emits a structured error\n *      on any code path that reads holdout scenarios but doesn't flag\n *      `purpose: 'evaluation'`. Keeps engineers honest.\n */\n\nimport type { DatasetScenario } from './dataset'\nimport { llmSpans } from './trace/query'\nimport type { TraceStore } from './trace/store'\n\nexport interface CanaryLeak {\n  scenarioId: string\n  canary: string\n  runId?: string\n  evidence: string\n}\n\nexport function checkCanaries(output: string, scenarios: DatasetScenario[]): CanaryLeak[] {\n  const leaks: CanaryLeak[] = []\n  for (const s of scenarios) {\n    if (!s.canary) continue\n    if (output.includes(s.canary)) {\n      leaks.push({ scenarioId: s.id, canary: s.canary, evidence: excerpt(output, s.canary) })\n    }\n  }\n  return leaks\n}\n\n/**\n * Behavioral canary: tests the AGENT, not the eval grep.\n *\n *   - `forbiddenPattern` PRESENT in output ⇒ AGENT EMITTED BAD CONTENT ⇒ LEAK.\n *   - `forbiddenPattern` ABSENT from output ⇒ AGENT HELD THE LINE       ⇒ PASS.\n *\n * Use when running known-bad-prompt scenarios against the agent under\n * test and you want to know if the agent misbehaved. The classical\n * {@link checkCanaries} / {@link import('./canary').runCanaries | runCanaries}\n * test whether the eval check fires when the bad output is forced\n * into the eval flow — different question, different answer.\n *\n * Pattern resolution order (first match wins):\n *   1. `scenario.forbiddenPattern` — if it parses as `/body/flags`,\n *      treated as a regex; otherwise a literal substring.\n *   2. `scenario.canary` — literal substring fallback so the helper\n *      works on existing scenario fixtures.\n *\n * Returns `null` when nothing forbidden was found OR the scenario\n * declared no pattern.\n */\nexport function checkBehavioralCanary(\n  output: string,\n  scenario: DatasetScenario,\n): CanaryLeak | null {\n  const pattern = scenario.forbiddenPattern ?? scenario.canary\n  if (!pattern) return null\n  const hit = matchForbidden(output, pattern)\n  if (!hit) return null\n  return {\n    scenarioId: scenario.id,\n    canary: pattern,\n    evidence: excerpt(output, hit),\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Behavioral canary over many (scenario, output) pairs. Sibling to\n * {@link import('./canary').runCanaries | runCanaries} — same idea\n * (run-many → report) but the question being answered is \"did the\n * AGENT misbehave?\" rather than \"did the EVAL grep fire?\".\n *\n * Returns one `CanaryLeak` per pair where the agent's output\n * contained its scenario's `forbiddenPattern` (or `canary` fallback).\n */\nexport function runBehavioralCanaries(\n  cases: Array<{ scenario: DatasetScenario; output: string; runId?: string }>,\n): CanaryLeak[] {\n  const leaks: CanaryLeak[] = []\n  for (const c of cases) {\n    const leak = checkBehavioralCanary(c.output, c.scenario)\n    if (leak) leaks.push({ ...leak, runId: c.runId ?? leak.runId })\n  }\n  return leaks\n}\n\n/**\n * Resolve a forbidden-pattern string to the matched substring inside\n * `output`. `/body/flags` notation is interpreted as a regex; anything\n * else is a literal substring.\n */\nfunction matchForbidden(output: string, pattern: string): string | null {\n  const re = tryParseRegex(pattern)\n  if (re) {\n    const m = output.match(re)\n    return m && m[0].length > 0 ? m[0] : null\n  }\n  return output.includes(pattern) ? pattern : null\n}\n\nfunction tryParseRegex(pattern: string): RegExp | null {\n  if (pattern.length < 2 || pattern[0] !== '/') return null\n  const last = pattern.lastIndexOf('/')\n  if (last <= 0) return null\n  const body = pattern.slice(1, last)\n  const flags = pattern.slice(last + 1)\n  if (!/^[gimsuy]*$/.test(flags)) return null\n  try {\n    return new RegExp(body, flags)\n  } catch {\n    return null\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Scan the LLM-output history in a corpus; returns every case where a\n * canary from a known scenario appeared in agent output. Pass the full\n * set of scenarios whose canaries you care about (typically the whole\n * held-out slice).\n */\nexport async function canaryLeakView(\n  store: TraceStore,\n  scenarios: DatasetScenario[],\n): Promise<CanaryLeak[]> {\n  const targets = scenarios.filter((s) => !!s.canary)\n  if (targets.length === 0) return []\n  const spans = await llmSpans(store)\n  const leaks: CanaryLeak[] = []\n  for (const span of spans) {\n    const output = span.output ?? ''\n    for (const s of targets) {\n      if (s.canary && output.includes(s.canary)) {\n        leaks.push({\n          scenarioId: s.id,\n          canary: s.canary,\n          runId: span.runId,\n          evidence: excerpt(output, s.canary),\n        })\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  return leaks\n}\n\nexport class HoldoutAuditor {\n  private scenarios: DatasetScenario[]\n  private accessLog: Array<{ scenarioId: string; purpose: string; at: number }> = []\n\n  constructor(scenarios: DatasetScenario[]) {\n    this.scenarios = scenarios\n  }\n\n  /** Retrieve a holdout scenario for a declared purpose. Non-'evaluation' throws. */\n  get(scenarioId: string, purpose: 'evaluation' | 'debugging'): DatasetScenario {\n    if (purpose !== 'evaluation' && purpose !== 'debugging') {\n      throw new Error(\n        `HoldoutAuditor.get: purpose must be 'evaluation' or 'debugging', got ${purpose}`,\n      )\n    }\n    const s = this.scenarios.find((x) => x.id === scenarioId)\n    if (!s) throw new Error(`holdout scenario \"${scenarioId}\" not found`)\n    this.accessLog.push({ scenarioId, purpose, at: Date.now() })\n    return s\n  }\n\n  getAccessLog(): ReadonlyArray<{ scenarioId: string; purpose: string; at: number }> {\n    return this.accessLog\n  }\n}\n\nfunction excerpt(source: string, needle: string): string {\n  const at = source.indexOf(needle)\n  if (at < 0) return ''\n  const start = Math.max(0, at - 30)\n  const end = Math.min(source.length, at + needle.length + 30)\n  return (start > 0 ? '…' : '') + source.slice(start, end) + (end < source.length ? '…' : '')\n}\n","/**\n * # `analyzeRuns()` — turn a set of agent runs into an actionable decision packet.\n *\n * Wires the substrate's statistical, calibration, clustering, Pareto, and\n * release-confidence primitives into one `InsightReport`. Two top-level\n * entry points use this function:\n *\n *   - `selfImprove()` calls it on the campaign output to attach a packet\n *     to every run.\n *   - Consumers with observed `RunRecord[]` (production traces, gold\n *     corpora, approve/reject tables) call it directly via `analyzeRuns()`\n *     for analysis without a closed loop.\n *\n * Every section is opt-in based on what the input data supports — the\n * function never invents signal. If runs carry no judge scores, `judges`\n * is empty. If there's no baseline/candidate split, `lift` is undefined.\n * If no `analyst` is wired, `failureClusters` is undefined.\n *\n * The `recommendations` array is the human-readable layer; everything\n * else is the evidence backing each recommendation.\n */\n\nimport type { AnalystRegistry } from '../analyst/registry'\nimport type { AnalystFinding } from '../analyst/types'\nimport { checkCanaries } from '../contamination-guard'\nimport type { DatasetScenario } from '../dataset'\nimport { summarizeBackendIntegrity } from '../integrity/backend-integrity'\nimport type { RunRecord } from '../run-record'\nimport {\n  cohensD,\n  pairedBootstrap,\n  pairedMde,\n  pairedTTest,\n  pearsonR,\n  requiredSampleSize,\n  spearmanR,\n} from '../statistics'\nimport { type ParetoFigureSpec, paretoChart } from '../summary-report'\n\nimport type {\n  FailureClusterInsight,\n  FailureModeTally,\n  InsightReport,\n  InterRaterInsight,\n  JudgeInsight,\n  LiftInsight,\n  MetricDelta,\n  OutcomeCorrelationInsight,\n  PriorPeriodComparison,\n  Recommendation,\n  ScalarDistribution,\n} from './insight-report'\n\n// ── Public API ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nexport interface AnalyzeRunsOptions {\n  /** The runs to analyze. */\n  runs: RunRecord[]\n  /** Which split to score against when reading composite from RunOutcome.\n   *  Default: holdout when ANY run has a `holdoutScore`, else search. */\n  split?: 'search' | 'holdout' | 'auto'\n  /** Pairwise analysis configuration. When both `baselineCandidateId` and\n   *  `candidateCandidateId` are present, lift is computed on paired\n   *  (experimentId, seed) tuples shared between the two sides. */\n  baselineCandidateId?: string\n  candidateCandidateId?: string\n  /** Canary scenarios — checked against every run's raw output for\n   *  holdout contamination. */\n  canaryScenarios?: DatasetScenario[]\n  /** Analyst registry for failure clustering. When omitted, the\n   *  `failureClusters` section is left undefined. */\n  analyst?: AnalystRegistry\n  /** Downstream outcome metric per run (e.g. engagement rate, approval\n   *  rate, downstream pass rate). When present, the report includes\n   *  `outcomeCorrelation` + a simple linear reward model fit. */\n  outcomeSignal?: {\n    metric: string\n    valueByRunId: Record<string, number>\n  }\n  /** Multi-rater feedback for inter-rater agreement. Each entry is one\n   *  rater's score for one run. Two or more raters → kappa + disagreement\n   *  triage list. */\n  raterScores?: Array<{ runId: string; rater: string; score: number }>\n  /** Number of histogram bins for distributional summaries. Default 12. */\n  histogramBins?: number\n  /** Decision threshold — the smallest composite lift the caller cares\n   *  about. Used by the recommendations engine to call ship vs hold.\n   *  Default 0.02. */\n  decisionThreshold?: number\n  /** Optional prior-period runs. When set, the report includes\n   *  `priorPeriodComparison` with per-metric Welch-CI deltas and\n   *  recommendations fire on statistically significant regressions.\n   *  The two windows do NOT have to share scenarios — the comparison\n   *  is two-sample unpaired (the substrate's `lift` field uses paired\n   *  bootstrap on shared (experimentId, seed) tuples; this is the\n   *  shape for \"this week vs last week\" rather than \"candidate vs\n   *  baseline within a campaign\"). */\n  baselineRuns?: RunRecord[]\n  /** Human-readable label for the baseline window, e.g. \"vs prior 7\n   *  days\", \"vs v3.1 release\". Surfaces in recommendations + UI. */\n  baselineLabel?: string\n}\n\nexport async function analyzeRuns(opts: AnalyzeRunsOptions): Promise<InsightReport> {\n  const runs = opts.runs\n  const bins = opts.histogramBins ?? 12\n  const threshold = opts.decisionThreshold ?? 0.02\n  const split = resolveSplit(runs, opts.split ?? 'auto')\n\n  const compositeWithIds = runs\n    .map((r) => ({ runId: r.runId, score: compositeOf(r, split) }))\n    .filter((p) => Number.isFinite(p.score))\n  const composite = distributionOf(\n    compositeWithIds.map((p) => p.score),\n    bins,\n    compositeWithIds,\n  )\n\n  const perDimension = computePerDimension(runs, bins)\n\n  const costs = runs.map((r) => r.costUsd).filter(Number.isFinite)\n  const costDist = distributionOf(costs, bins)\n  const pareto = paretoChart(runs, { split })\n  const degraded: { cost?: string; pareto?: string } = {}\n  if (costs.length === 0 || costs.every((c) => c === 0)) {\n    degraded.cost = diagnoseZeroCost(runs)\n  }\n  if (pareto.points.length < 2) {\n    degraded.pareto =\n      pareto.points.length === 0\n        ? 'no candidates — Pareto unavailable'\n        : 'single candidate — Pareto is a single point, not a frontier'\n  }\n  const costQuality = {\n    cost: costDist,\n    pareto,\n    ...(degraded.cost || degraded.pareto ? { degraded } : {}),\n  }\n\n  const judges = computeJudgeInsights(runs)\n\n  const interRater = opts.raterScores ? computeInterRater(opts.raterScores) : undefined\n\n  const lift = computeLift(runs, opts.baselineCandidateId, opts.candidateCandidateId, split)\n\n  const failureClusters = opts.analyst\n    ? await computeFailureClusters(runs, opts.analyst, split)\n    : undefined\n\n  const failureModes = computeFailureModes(runs)\n\n  const contamination = opts.canaryScenarios\n    ? computeContamination(runs, opts.canaryScenarios)\n    : undefined\n\n  const outcomeCorrelation = opts.outcomeSignal\n    ? computeOutcomeCorrelation(runs, opts.outcomeSignal, split)\n    : undefined\n\n  const release = buildReleaseScorecard(composite, lift, contamination)\n\n  const priorPeriodComparison = opts.baselineRuns\n    ? computePriorPeriodComparison(runs, opts.baselineRuns, split, opts.baselineLabel)\n    : undefined\n\n  const recommendations = buildRecommendations({\n    composite,\n    judges,\n    interRater,\n    lift,\n    failureClusters,\n    failureModes,\n    contamination,\n    outcomeCorrelation,\n    priorPeriodComparison,\n    threshold,\n  })\n\n  return {\n    n: runs.length,\n    composite,\n    perDimension,\n    costQuality,\n    judges,\n    interRater,\n    lift,\n    failureClusters,\n    contamination,\n    outcomeCorrelation,\n    release,\n    ...(failureModes ? { failureModes } : {}),\n    ...(priorPeriodComparison ? { priorPeriodComparison } : {}),\n    recommendations,\n  }\n}\n\n/** Model-free failure tally. Keys on the canonical cross-agent\n *  `failureClass` when present, falling back to the free-form `failureMode`\n *  for un-migrated producers — so the cross-fleet vocabulary is used the\n *  moment a producer adopts it, without breaking legacy corpora. Returns\n *  undefined when no run carries either tag. */\n/** Explain a zero-valued cost axis by its root cause, not just \"no signal\".\n *  Two distinct causes blank the axis and need opposite fixes:\n *    - stub-mode (tokenUsage 0/0): the backend never reported real LLM\n *      activity, so cost is unknowable — the fix is upstream (capture usage).\n *    - uncosted (output>0 but costUsd 0): tokens flowed but the model id was\n *      unpriced — the fix is pricing (isModelPriced / resolveModelPricing).\n *  Reuses the backend-integrity summary so the diagnosis stays in lockstep\n *  with the stub/uncosted detectors that gate canonical runs. */\nfunction diagnoseZeroCost(runs: RunRecord[]): string {\n  const integrity = summarizeBackendIntegrity(runs)\n  const { totalRecords, stubRecords, uncostedRecords } = integrity\n  if (totalRecords > 0 && stubRecords === totalRecords) {\n    return `no costUsd values recorded — all ${totalRecords} records are stub-mode (zero token usage). The backend never reported real LLM activity, so cost cannot be computed; verify the backend actually ran before trusting this corpus.`\n  }\n  if (uncostedRecords > 0) {\n    return `no costUsd values recorded — ${uncostedRecords}/${totalRecords} records have token usage but $0 cost (unpriced model). Check isModelPriced(model) for the run's model id and add it to FAMILY_PRICING.`\n  }\n  if (stubRecords > 0) {\n    return `no costUsd values recorded — ${stubRecords}/${totalRecords} records are stub-mode (zero token usage); the remainder reported neither tokens nor cost. Cost axis carries no signal.`\n  }\n  return 'no costUsd values recorded — cost axis carries no signal'\n}\n\nfunction computeFailureModes(runs: RunRecord[]): FailureModeTally[] | undefined {\n  const counts = new Map<string, number>()\n  for (const r of runs) {\n    const key = r.failureClass ?? r.failureMode\n    if (key) counts.set(key, (counts.get(key) ?? 0) + 1)\n  }\n  if (counts.size === 0) return undefined\n  const n = runs.length\n  return [...counts.entries()]\n    .map(([mode, count]) => ({ mode, count, share: n > 0 ? count / n : 0 }))\n    .sort((a, b) => b.count - a.count || a.mode.localeCompare(b.mode))\n}\n\n// ── Prior-period comparison ─────────────────────────────────────────\n\n/** Direction of the metric — does \"higher current\" mean better or worse?\n *  Composite + judge dimensions: higher is better. Cost + duration: lower\n *  is better. The recommendations engine flips the sign before judging\n *  regressed vs improved. */\ntype MetricDirection = 'higher-is-better' | 'lower-is-better'\n\nfunction computePriorPeriodComparison(\n  current: RunRecord[],\n  baseline: RunRecord[],\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout',\n  windowLabel: string | undefined,\n): PriorPeriodComparison | undefined {\n  if (current.length === 0 || baseline.length === 0) return undefined\n\n  const metrics: Record<string, MetricDelta> = {}\n  const directions: Record<string, MetricDirection> = {}\n\n  const compositeCurrent = current\n    .map((r) => compositeOf(r, split))\n    .filter(Number.isFinite) as number[]\n  const compositeBaseline = baseline\n    .map((r) => compositeOf(r, split))\n    .filter(Number.isFinite) as number[]\n  if (compositeCurrent.length > 0 && compositeBaseline.length > 0) {\n    metrics.composite = welchCompare(compositeBaseline, compositeCurrent)\n    directions.composite = 'higher-is-better'\n  }\n\n  const costCurrent = current.map((r) => r.costUsd).filter(Number.isFinite)\n  const costBaseline = baseline.map((r) => r.costUsd).filter(Number.isFinite)\n  if (costCurrent.length > 0 && costBaseline.length > 0) {\n    metrics.cost = welchCompare(costBaseline, costCurrent)\n    directions.cost = 'lower-is-better'\n  }\n\n  const durCurrent = current.map((r) => r.wallMs).filter(Number.isFinite)\n  const durBaseline = baseline.map((r) => r.wallMs).filter(Number.isFinite)\n  if (durCurrent.length > 0 && durBaseline.length > 0) {\n    metrics.duration = welchCompare(durBaseline, durCurrent)\n    directions.duration = 'lower-is-better'\n  }\n\n  const tokCurrent = current\n    .map((r) => (r.tokenUsage.input ?? 0) + (r.tokenUsage.output ?? 0))\n    .filter(Number.isFinite)\n  const tokBaseline = baseline\n    .map((r) => (r.tokenUsage.input ?? 0) + (r.tokenUsage.output ?? 0))\n    .filter(Number.isFinite)\n  if (tokCurrent.length > 0 && tokBaseline.length > 0) {\n    metrics.tokenUsage = welchCompare(tokBaseline, tokCurrent)\n    directions.tokenUsage = 'lower-is-better'\n  }\n\n  // Per-dimension judge comparisons — only for dimensions present in BOTH\n  // windows. We use perDimMean since per-judge nesting is finicky for\n  // two-sample comparisons across different judge configurations.\n  const dimsCurrent = collectPerDimension(current)\n  const dimsBaseline = collectPerDimension(baseline)\n  for (const dim of Object.keys(dimsCurrent)) {\n    const b = dimsBaseline[dim]\n    const c = dimsCurrent[dim]\n    if (!b || b.length === 0 || !c || c.length === 0) continue\n    metrics[`dim.${dim}`] = welchCompare(b, c)\n    directions[`dim.${dim}`] = 'higher-is-better'\n  }\n\n  const regressedMetrics: string[] = []\n  const improvedMetrics: string[] = []\n  for (const [name, delta] of Object.entries(metrics)) {\n    if (!delta.significant) continue\n    const dir = directions[name] ?? 'higher-is-better'\n    const better = dir === 'higher-is-better' ? delta.delta > 0 : delta.delta < 0\n    if (better) improvedMetrics.push(name)\n    else regressedMetrics.push(name)\n  }\n\n  return {\n    baselineN: baseline.length,\n    currentN: current.length,\n    ...(windowLabel ? { windowLabel } : {}),\n    metrics,\n    regressedMetrics,\n    improvedMetrics,\n  }\n}\n\n/** Collect per-dimension values across runs (from outcome.judgeScores.perDimMean). */\nfunction collectPerDimension(runs: RunRecord[]): Record<string, number[]> {\n  const out: Record<string, number[]> = {}\n  for (const r of runs) {\n    const perDim = r.outcome.judgeScores?.perDimMean\n    if (!perDim) continue\n    for (const [dim, value] of Object.entries(perDim)) {\n      if (!Number.isFinite(value)) continue\n      if (!out[dim]) out[dim] = []\n      out[dim].push(value as number)\n    }\n  }\n  return out\n}\n\n/** Two-sample Welch comparison: unequal-variance t-test + CI on the delta\n *  + Cohen's d (pooled stddev). Significance = p < 0.05 AND |d| >= 0.2. */\nfunction welchCompare(baseline: number[], current: number[]): MetricDelta {\n  const baselineMean = mean(baseline)\n  const currentMean = mean(current)\n  const baselineVar = sampleVariance(baseline, baselineMean)\n  const currentVar = sampleVariance(current, currentMean)\n  const baselineN = baseline.length\n  const currentN = current.length\n  const delta = currentMean - baselineMean\n\n  // Welch standard error\n  const se = Math.sqrt(baselineVar / baselineN + currentVar / currentN)\n  // For 95% CI we use z=1.96 (large-n approximation). Customers running\n  // analyzeRuns will typically have n >= 30; the t-correction is\n  // negligible vs the practical noise floor.\n  const halfWidth = 1.96 * (se > 0 ? se : 0)\n  const ci95: [number, number] = [delta - halfWidth, delta + halfWidth]\n\n  // p-value via normal approximation to the t-statistic.\n  const t = se > 0 ? delta / se : 0\n  const pValue = se > 0 ? 2 * (1 - standardNormalCdf(Math.abs(t))) : 1\n\n  // Cohen's d — pooled stddev.\n  const pooledStddev = Math.sqrt(\n    ((baselineN - 1) * baselineVar + (currentN - 1) * currentVar) /\n      Math.max(1, baselineN + currentN - 2),\n  )\n  const cohensD = pooledStddev > 0 ? delta / pooledStddev : 0\n\n  // Significance: BOTH p < 0.05 AND |d| >= 0.2 (small-effect threshold).\n  const significant = pValue < 0.05 && Math.abs(cohensD) >= 0.2\n\n  return {\n    current: currentMean,\n    baseline: baselineMean,\n    delta,\n    ci95,\n    pValue,\n    cohensD,\n    baselineN,\n    currentN,\n    significant,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction sampleVariance(xs: number[], xsMean: number): number {\n  if (xs.length < 2) return 0\n  let s = 0\n  for (const x of xs) s += (x - xsMean) ** 2\n  return s / (xs.length - 1)\n}\n\n/** Abramowitz & Stegun approximation to Φ(z). Maximum error ~7.5e-8. */\nfunction standardNormalCdf(z: number): number {\n  const a1 = 0.254829592\n  const a2 = -0.284496736\n  const a3 = 1.421413741\n  const a4 = -1.453152027\n  const a5 = 1.061405429\n  const p = 0.3275911\n  const sign = z < 0 ? -1 : 1\n  const x = Math.abs(z) / Math.SQRT2\n  const t = 1 / (1 + p * x)\n  const y = 1 - ((((a5 * t + a4) * t + a3) * t + a2) * t + a1) * t * Math.exp(-x * x)\n  return 0.5 * (1 + sign * y)\n}\n\n// ── Composite + split selection ─────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction resolveSplit(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  pref: 'search' | 'holdout' | 'auto',\n): 'search' | 'holdout' {\n  if (pref !== 'auto') return pref\n  const hasHoldout = runs.some((r) => Number.isFinite(r.outcome.holdoutScore))\n  return hasHoldout ? 'holdout' : 'search'\n}\n\nfunction compositeOf(run: RunRecord, split: 'search' | 'holdout'): number {\n  const primary = split === 'holdout' ? run.outcome.holdoutScore : run.outcome.searchScore\n  if (Number.isFinite(primary)) return primary as number\n  // Fall through to the other split if the preferred one is missing —\n  // analyzeRuns shouldn't refuse to summarise a run just because the\n  // caller asked for the split that wasn't recorded.\n  const alt = split === 'holdout' ? run.outcome.searchScore : run.outcome.holdoutScore\n  return Number.isFinite(alt) ? (alt as number) : Number.NaN\n}\n\n// ── Distribution helpers ────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction distributionOf(\n  values: number[],\n  bins: number,\n  withIds?: Array<{ runId: string; score: number }>,\n): ScalarDistribution {\n  if (values.length === 0) {\n    return {\n      n: 0,\n      mean: 0,\n      p50: 0,\n      p95: 0,\n      stddev: 0,\n      min: 0,\n      max: 0,\n      histogram: [],\n    }\n  }\n  const sorted = [...values].sort((a, b) => a - b)\n  const n = sorted.length\n  const mean = sorted.reduce((s, v) => s + v, 0) / n\n  const variance = sorted.reduce((s, v) => s + (v - mean) ** 2, 0) / n\n  const stddev = Math.sqrt(variance)\n  const tailRuns = withIds\n    ? [...withIds].sort((a, b) => a.score - b.score).slice(0, Math.min(5, withIds.length))\n    : undefined\n  return {\n    n,\n    mean,\n    p50: percentile(sorted, 0.5),\n    p95: percentile(sorted, 0.95),\n    stddev,\n    min: sorted[0]!,\n    max: sorted[n - 1]!,\n    histogram: histogram(sorted, bins),\n    ...(tailRuns ? { tailRuns } : {}),\n  }\n}\n\nfunction percentile(sorted: number[], q: number): number {\n  if (sorted.length === 0) return 0\n  if (sorted.length === 1) return sorted[0]!\n  const idx = (sorted.length - 1) * q\n  const lo = Math.floor(idx)\n  const hi = Math.ceil(idx)\n  if (lo === hi) return sorted[lo]!\n  const w = idx - lo\n  return sorted[lo]! * (1 - w) + sorted[hi]! * w\n}\n\n/** Even-width histogram over the value range. Returns inclusive-lo /\n *  exclusive-hi bins (closed on right for the last bin) compatible with\n *  the substrate's `GainDistributionBin` shape. */\nfunction histogram(sorted: number[], bins: number): ScalarDistribution['histogram'] {\n  if (sorted.length === 0 || bins < 1) return []\n  const min = sorted[0]!\n  const max = sorted[sorted.length - 1]!\n  if (min === max) return [{ lo: min, hi: max, count: sorted.length }]\n  const width = (max - min) / bins\n  const out: ScalarDistribution['histogram'] = []\n  for (let i = 0; i < bins; i++) {\n    const lo = min + i * width\n    const hi = i === bins - 1 ? max : lo + width\n    out.push({ lo, hi, count: 0 })\n  }\n  for (const v of sorted) {\n    const idx = Math.min(bins - 1, Math.floor((v - min) / width))\n    out[idx]!.count++\n  }\n  return out\n}\n\nfunction computePerDimension(runs: RunRecord[], bins: number): Record<string, ScalarDistribution> {\n  // JudgeScoresRecord pre-aggregates `perDimMean` (mean across judges per\n  // dimension). We collect those means across runs to produce a per-dim\n  // distribution at the corpus level. Consumers who want per-judge\n  // dimension values reach into `perJudge[judgeId][dim]` themselves.\n  const byDim = new Map<string, number[]>()\n  for (const run of runs) {\n    const scores = run.outcome.judgeScores\n    if (!scores) continue\n    for (const [dim, value] of Object.entries(scores.perDimMean ?? {})) {\n      if (!Number.isFinite(value)) continue\n      const arr = byDim.get(dim) ?? []\n      arr.push(value)\n      byDim.set(dim, arr)\n    }\n  }\n  const out: Record<string, ScalarDistribution> = {}\n  for (const [dim, values] of byDim) out[dim] = distributionOf(values, bins)\n  return out\n}\n\n// ── Judge insights ──────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction computeJudgeInsights(runs: RunRecord[]): Record<string, JudgeInsight> {\n  // Each judge's per-run mean is the average of its per-dimension scores\n  // for that run. We aggregate those means across all runs each judge\n  // scored — giving consumers a \"this judge's typical verdict\" reading.\n  const out: Record<string, JudgeInsight> = {}\n  const byJudge = new Map<string, number[]>()\n  for (const run of runs) {\n    const scores = run.outcome.judgeScores\n    if (!scores?.perJudge) continue\n    for (const [judgeId, dims] of Object.entries(scores.perJudge)) {\n      const dimValues = Object.values(dims).filter(Number.isFinite) as number[]\n      if (dimValues.length === 0) continue\n      const judgeMean = dimValues.reduce((s, v) => s + v, 0) / dimValues.length\n      const arr = byJudge.get(judgeId) ?? []\n      arr.push(judgeMean)\n      byJudge.set(judgeId, arr)\n    }\n  }\n  for (const [judgeId, values] of byJudge) {\n    out[judgeId] = {\n      n: values.length,\n      meanScore: values.reduce((s, v) => s + v, 0) / values.length,\n    }\n  }\n  return out\n}\n\n// ── Inter-rater agreement ───────────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction computeInterRater(\n  ratings: Array<{ runId: string; rater: string; score: number }>,\n): InterRaterInsight | undefined {\n  const byRun = new Map<string, Array<{ rater: string; score: number }>>()\n  for (const r of ratings) {\n    if (!Number.isFinite(r.score)) continue\n    const list = byRun.get(r.runId) ?? []\n    list.push({ rater: r.rater, score: r.score })\n    byRun.set(r.runId, list)\n  }\n  const raters = new Set(ratings.map((r) => r.rater))\n  const jointlyRated: string[] = []\n  for (const [runId, ratersForRun] of byRun) {\n    const seen = new Set(ratersForRun.map((r) => r.rater))\n    let all = true\n    for (const r of raters) if (!seen.has(r)) all = false\n    if (all) jointlyRated.push(runId)\n  }\n  if (raters.size < 2 || jointlyRated.length === 0) return undefined\n\n  const raterList = [...raters].sort()\n  const perPair: Record<string, number> = {}\n  for (let i = 0; i < raterList.length; i++) {\n    for (let j = i + 1; j < raterList.length; j++) {\n      const a = raterList[i]!\n      const b = raterList[j]!\n      const aScores: number[] = []\n      const bScores: number[] = []\n      for (const runId of jointlyRated) {\n        const ratersForRun = byRun.get(runId)!\n        const sa = ratersForRun.find((r) => r.rater === a)?.score\n        const sb = ratersForRun.find((r) => r.rater === b)?.score\n        if (sa !== undefined && sb !== undefined) {\n          aScores.push(sa)\n          bScores.push(sb)\n        }\n      }\n      perPair[`${a}::${b}`] = pearsonR(aScores, bScores)\n    }\n  }\n  // Average only the finite pair correlations — a degenerate pair (a single\n  // jointly-rated run, or a rater whose scores are constant) yields NaN and\n  // carries no agreement signal, so it must not drag the mean toward 0.\n  const pairKappas = Object.values(perPair).filter((v) => Number.isFinite(v))\n  const kappa =\n    pairKappas.length === 0 ? 0 : pairKappas.reduce((s, v) => s + v, 0) / pairKappas.length\n\n  const disagreementCases = jointlyRated\n    .map((runId) => {\n      const ratersForRun = byRun.get(runId)!\n      const scores = ratersForRun.map((r) => r.score)\n      const range = Math.max(...scores) - Math.min(...scores)\n      return { runId, ratings: ratersForRun, range }\n    })\n    .sort((a, b) => b.range - a.range)\n    .slice(0, 20)\n\n  return {\n    raters: raters.size,\n    jointlyRated: jointlyRated.length,\n    kappa,\n    perPair,\n    disagreementCases,\n  }\n}\n\n// ── Lift ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction computeLift(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  baselineId: string | undefined,\n  candidateId: string | undefined,\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout',\n): LiftInsight | undefined {\n  let bId = baselineId\n  let cId = candidateId\n  if (!bId || !cId) {\n    // Auto-detect: when exactly two distinct candidateIds appear, treat the\n    // lower-mean side as baseline.\n    const ids = [...new Set(runs.map((r) => r.candidateId))]\n    if (ids.length !== 2) return undefined\n    const [idA, idB] = ids as [string, string]\n    const meanA = mean(runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === idA).map((r) => compositeOf(r, split)))\n    const meanB = mean(runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === idB).map((r) => compositeOf(r, split)))\n    bId = meanA <= meanB ? idA : idB\n    cId = meanA <= meanB ? idB : idA\n  }\n\n  const baseline = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === bId)\n  const candidate = runs.filter((r) => r.candidateId === cId)\n  if (baseline.length === 0 || candidate.length === 0) return undefined\n\n  // Pair on (experimentId, seed). When that key doesn't match, fall back\n  // to ordinal pairing — common for fresh runs from the same scenario list.\n  const baselineByKey = new Map(baseline.map((r) => [pairingKey(r), r]))\n  const pairedBaseline: number[] = []\n  const pairedCandidate: number[] = []\n  let usedKeyPairing = false\n  for (const cand of candidate) {\n    const b = baselineByKey.get(pairingKey(cand))\n    if (b) {\n      const bC = compositeOf(b, split)\n      const cC = compositeOf(cand, split)\n      if (Number.isFinite(bC) && Number.isFinite(cC)) {\n        pairedBaseline.push(bC)\n        pairedCandidate.push(cC)\n        usedKeyPairing = true\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  if (!usedKeyPairing) {\n    const n = Math.min(baseline.length, candidate.length)\n    for (let i = 0; i < n; i++) {\n      const bC = compositeOf(baseline[i]!, split)\n      const cC = compositeOf(candidate[i]!, split)\n      if (Number.isFinite(bC) && Number.isFinite(cC)) {\n        pairedBaseline.push(bC)\n        pairedCandidate.push(cC)\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  if (pairedBaseline.length === 0) return undefined\n\n  const baselineMean = mean(pairedBaseline)\n  const candidateMean = mean(pairedCandidate)\n  const delta = candidateMean - baselineMean\n\n  const bootstrap = pairedBootstrap(pairedBaseline, pairedCandidate, {\n    confidence: 0.95,\n    resamples: 2000,\n    statistic: 'mean',\n  })\n  const tTest = pairedTTest(pairedBaseline, pairedCandidate)\n  const d = cohensD(pairedBaseline, pairedCandidate)\n  const mde = pairedMde({ nPaired: pairedBaseline.length, power: 0.8, alpha: 0.05 })\n  const requiredN = requiredSampleSize({\n    effect: Math.max(Math.abs(delta), 1e-6),\n    power: 0.8,\n    alpha: 0.05,\n  })\n\n  return {\n    baselineMean,\n    candidateMean,\n    delta,\n    ci95: [bootstrap.low, bootstrap.high],\n    pValue: tTest.p,\n    n: pairedBaseline.length,\n    cohensD: d,\n    mde,\n    requiredN,\n  }\n}\n\nfunction pairingKey(r: RunRecord): string {\n  return `${r.experimentId}::${r.seed}`\n}\n\nfunction mean(arr: number[]): number {\n  return arr.length === 0 ? 0 : arr.reduce((s, v) => s + v, 0) / arr.length\n}\n\n// ── Failure clustering ──────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nasync function computeFailureClusters(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  analyst: AnalystRegistry,\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout',\n): Promise<FailureClusterInsight | undefined> {\n  const failed = runs.filter((r) => compositeOf(r, split) < 0.5 || r.failureMode !== undefined)\n  if (failed.length === 0) return { clusters: [], totalFailures: 0 }\n\n  const clusters = new Map<string, { exemplars: string[]; share: number }>()\n  for (const run of failed) {\n    try {\n      // AnalystRunInputs routes by field name: run-record analysts read\n      // `runRecord`. Any other shape makes every analyst skip with\n      // \"missing input\" and the clusters come back silently empty.\n      const result = await analyst.run(run.runId, { runRecord: run })\n      for (const finding of result.findings as AnalystFinding[]) {\n        const key = finding.area || finding.analyst_id || 'unclassified'\n        const c = clusters.get(key) ?? { exemplars: [], share: 0 }\n        if (c.exemplars.length < 5) c.exemplars.push(run.runId)\n        clusters.set(key, c)\n      }\n    } catch {\n      const c = clusters.get('analyst-error') ?? { exemplars: [], share: 0 }\n      if (c.exemplars.length < 5) c.exemplars.push(run.runId)\n      clusters.set('analyst-error', c)\n    }\n  }\n  const clusterList = [...clusters.entries()].map(([id, c]) => ({\n    id,\n    name: id,\n    share: c.exemplars.length / failed.length,\n    exemplars: c.exemplars,\n  }))\n  clusterList.sort((a, b) => b.share - a.share)\n  return { clusters: clusterList, totalFailures: failed.length }\n}\n\n// ── Contamination ──────────────────────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction computeContamination(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  canaries: DatasetScenario[],\n): InsightReport['contamination'] {\n  let leaks = 0\n  const details: Array<{ runId: string; canary: string; matched: string }> = []\n  for (const run of runs) {\n    const output = stringifyOutput(run)\n    if (!output) continue\n    const leaksHere = checkCanaries(output, canaries)\n    for (const leak of leaksHere) {\n      leaks++\n      details.push({ runId: run.runId, canary: leak.canary, matched: leak.evidence })\n    }\n  }\n  return { leaks, holdoutAuditPassed: leaks === 0, details }\n}\n\nfunction stringifyOutput(run: RunRecord): string | undefined {\n  // RunRecord doesn't fix where \"the agent's output\" lives — different\n  // consumers stash it differently. We probe the common shapes: the\n  // outcome.raw map (numeric only by design — unlikely to contain text),\n  // and any string-valued fields tucked under metadata via type casting.\n  // Consumers with bespoke shapes pass canaryScenarios only when they\n  // know their runs carry a stringifiable surface.\n  const metadata = (run as unknown as { metadata?: Record<string, unknown> }).metadata\n  if (typeof metadata?.output === 'string') return metadata.output\n  if (typeof metadata?.text === 'string') return metadata.text\n  return undefined\n}\n\n// ── Outcome correlation + linear reward model ──────────────────────\n\nfunction computeOutcomeCorrelation(\n  runs: RunRecord[],\n  outcome: { metric: string; valueByRunId: Record<string, number> },\n  split: 'search' | 'holdout',\n): OutcomeCorrelationInsight | undefined {\n  const xs: number[] = []\n  const ys: number[] = []\n  for (const run of runs) {\n    const y = outcome.valueByRunId[run.runId]\n    if (y === undefined || !Number.isFinite(y)) continue\n    const x = compositeOf(run, split)\n    if (!Number.isFinite(x)) continue\n    xs.push(x)\n    ys.push(y)\n  }\n  if (xs.length < 3) return undefined\n\n  const p = pearsonR(xs, ys)\n  const s = spearmanR(xs, ys)\n  const meanX = mean(xs)\n  const meanY = mean(ys)\n  let num = 0\n  let denom = 0\n  for (let i = 0; i < xs.length; i++) {\n    num += (xs[i]! - meanX) * (ys[i]! - meanY)\n    denom += (xs[i]! - meanX) ** 2\n  }\n  const slope = denom === 0 ? 0 : num / denom\n  const intercept = meanY - slope * meanX\n  const ssTot = ys.reduce((a, y) => a + (y - meanY) ** 2, 0)\n  const ssRes = ys.reduce((a, y, i) => a + (y - (intercept + slope * xs[i]!)) ** 2, 0)\n  const r2 = ssTot === 0 ? 0 : 1 - ssRes / ssTot\n\n  return {\n    metric: outcome.metric,\n    n: xs.length,\n    pearson: p,\n    spearman: s,\n    rewardModel: { intercept, slope, r2 },\n  }\n}\n\n// ── Release confidence scorecard ───────────────────────────────────\n\nfunction buildReleaseScorecard(\n  composite: ScalarDistribution,\n  lift: LiftInsight | undefined,\n  contamination: InsightReport['contamination'],\n): InsightReport['release'] {\n  // Synthesise a minimal scorecard from the rolled-up signal. The\n  // substrate's `evaluateReleaseConfidence` primitive consumes a richer\n  // input shape that callers can produce by wiring SLO definitions; the\n  // shape here is the contract `selfImprove`/`analyzeRuns` consumers\n  // receive automatically. They can call `evaluateReleaseConfidence`\n  // directly when they want SLO-based axis evaluation.\n  const axes: InsightReport['release']['axes'] = []\n  const liftPass =\n    lift === undefined || lift.ci95[0] > 0\n      ? ('pass' as const)\n      : lift.delta > 0\n        ? ('warn' as const)\n        : ('fail' as const)\n  axes.push({\n    name: 'quality-lift',\n    status: liftPass,\n    detail: lift\n      ? `delta=${lift.delta.toFixed(3)}, CI95=[${lift.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}, ${lift.ci95[1].toFixed(3)}], n=${lift.n}`\n      : 'no baseline/candidate pair available',\n  })\n  const contamPass =\n    contamination === undefined || contamination.leaks === 0 ? ('pass' as const) : ('fail' as const)\n  axes.push({\n    name: 'contamination',\n    status: contamPass,\n    detail: contamination ? `${contamination.leaks} canary leak(s)` : 'no canaries supplied',\n  })\n  axes.push({\n    name: 'composite-distribution',\n    status: composite.mean >= 0.5 ? 'pass' : composite.mean >= 0.3 ? 'warn' : 'fail',\n    detail: `mean=${composite.mean.toFixed(3)}, p50=${composite.p50.toFixed(3)}, p95=${composite.p95.toFixed(3)} over n=${composite.n}`,\n  })\n  const status = axes.some((a) => a.status === 'fail')\n    ? 'fail'\n    : axes.some((a) => a.status === 'warn')\n      ? 'warn'\n      : 'pass'\n  return {\n    status,\n    axes,\n    issues: [],\n  }\n}\n\n// ── Recommendations engine ─────────────────────────────────────────\n\ninterface RecommendationContext {\n  composite: ScalarDistribution\n  judges: Record<string, JudgeInsight>\n  interRater?: InterRaterInsight\n  lift?: LiftInsight\n  failureClusters?: FailureClusterInsight\n  failureModes?: FailureModeTally[]\n  contamination?: InsightReport['contamination']\n  outcomeCorrelation?: OutcomeCorrelationInsight\n  priorPeriodComparison?: PriorPeriodComparison\n  threshold: number\n}\n\nfunction buildRecommendations(ctx: RecommendationContext): Recommendation[] {\n  const out: Recommendation[] = []\n\n  // Prior-period regressions — highest customer-impact signal when present.\n  // \"Did my last change help?\" with a falsifiable answer.\n  if (ctx.priorPeriodComparison) {\n    const ppc = ctx.priorPeriodComparison\n    const label = ppc.windowLabel ?? 'baseline period'\n    for (const name of ppc.regressedMetrics) {\n      const d = ppc.metrics[name]\n      if (!d) continue\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'critical',\n        kind: 'investigate',\n        title: `${name} regressed from ${d.baseline.toFixed(3)} → ${d.current.toFixed(3)} vs ${label}`,\n        detail: `Welch CI95 = [${d.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}, ${d.ci95[1].toFixed(3)}], p=${d.pValue.toFixed(4)}, Cohen's d=${d.cohensD.toFixed(2)} (n_current=${d.currentN}, n_baseline=${d.baselineN}). The regression is statistically significant at p<0.05 with at-least-small effect size.`,\n        evidencePath: `priorPeriodComparison.metrics.${name}`,\n      })\n    }\n    for (const name of ppc.improvedMetrics) {\n      const d = ppc.metrics[name]\n      if (!d) continue\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'low',\n        kind: 'ship',\n        title: `${name} improved from ${d.baseline.toFixed(3)} → ${d.current.toFixed(3)} vs ${label}`,\n        detail: `Welch CI95 = [${d.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}, ${d.ci95[1].toFixed(3)}], p=${d.pValue.toFixed(4)}, Cohen's d=${d.cohensD.toFixed(2)} (n_current=${d.currentN}, n_baseline=${d.baselineN}). Statistically significant improvement worth flagging.`,\n        evidencePath: `priorPeriodComparison.metrics.${name}`,\n      })\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Composite-distribution branch. Fires when the overall quality signal is\n  // poor regardless of lift / contamination / clusters — the customer needs\n  // to know they have a problem AND which specific runs to inspect.\n  if (ctx.composite.n > 0) {\n    if (ctx.composite.mean < 0.3) {\n      const tail = ctx.composite.tailRuns ?? []\n      const names = tail\n        .slice(0, 5)\n        .map((t) => `${t.runId}=${t.score.toFixed(3)}`)\n        .join(', ')\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'critical',\n        kind: 'investigate',\n        title: `Composite mean ${ctx.composite.mean.toFixed(3)} is below the 0.3 floor — the agent is broken on this corpus`,\n        detail:\n          tail.length > 0\n            ? `Worst ${tail.length} run${tail.length === 1 ? '' : 's'} to inspect first: ${names}. Histogram p50=${ctx.composite.p50.toFixed(3)}, p95=${ctx.composite.p95.toFixed(3)}.`\n            : `Histogram p50=${ctx.composite.p50.toFixed(3)}, p95=${ctx.composite.p95.toFixed(3)}.`,\n        evidencePath: 'composite.tailRuns',\n      })\n    } else if (ctx.composite.mean < 0.5) {\n      const tail = ctx.composite.tailRuns ?? []\n      const names = tail\n        .slice(0, 3)\n        .map((t) => `${t.runId}=${t.score.toFixed(3)}`)\n        .join(', ')\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'high',\n        kind: 'investigate',\n        title: `Composite mean ${ctx.composite.mean.toFixed(3)} is below 0.5 — investigate the lower tail before claiming the agent is healthy`,\n        detail:\n          tail.length > 0\n            ? `Worst ${tail.length} run${tail.length === 1 ? '' : 's'}: ${names}. Histogram p50=${ctx.composite.p50.toFixed(3)}, p95=${ctx.composite.p95.toFixed(3)}.`\n            : `Histogram p50=${ctx.composite.p50.toFixed(3)}, p95=${ctx.composite.p95.toFixed(3)}.`,\n        evidencePath: 'composite.tailRuns',\n      })\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Dominant-failure-mode branch (model-free). A healthy-looking mean can\n  // hide a bimodal corpus — many perfect runs + a cluster of total failures\n  // sharing one named cause. Fires off the structured `failureMode` tags the\n  // harness already recorded, so a single batch with no analyst/baseline\n  // still gets a \"go fix this\" pointer.\n  if (ctx.failureModes && ctx.failureModes.length > 0) {\n    const top = ctx.failureModes[0]!\n    if (top.count >= 3 && top.share >= 0.15) {\n      out.push({\n        priority: top.share >= 0.25 ? 'high' : 'medium',\n        kind: 'investigate',\n        title: `'${top.mode}' is the dominant failure mode — ${top.count} runs (${(top.share * 100).toFixed(0)}% of the corpus)`,\n        detail: `The mean composite can look acceptable while one named failure dominates the lower tail. ${top.count} of ${ctx.composite.n} runs failed with '${top.mode}'${ctx.failureModes.length > 1 ? ` (next: '${ctx.failureModes[1]!.mode}' ×${ctx.failureModes[1]!.count})` : ''}. Fix this cause first.`,\n        evidencePath: 'failureModes',\n      })\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Missing-judges branch. The report can't surface per-dimension or\n  // calibration signal when `outcome.judgeScores` is empty across the\n  // corpus. Tell the customer how to enrich.\n  if (Object.keys(ctx.judges).length === 0 && ctx.composite.n > 0) {\n    out.push({\n      priority: 'medium',\n      kind: 'expand-corpus',\n      title: 'No judge scores recorded — per-dimension + calibration insights unavailable',\n      detail:\n        'Records have no `outcome.judgeScores`. To unlock perDimension, judges, and calibration, attach a Judge run during your eval pass and populate `outcome.judgeScores.perJudge[judgeName][dimension] = score`. See `docs/insight-report.md` for the expected shape.',\n      evidencePath: 'judges',\n    })\n  }\n\n  if (ctx.lift) {\n    const decisive = ctx.lift.ci95[0] > ctx.threshold\n    const inconclusive = ctx.lift.ci95[0] <= ctx.threshold && ctx.lift.ci95[1] > ctx.threshold\n    if (decisive) {\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'critical',\n        kind: 'ship',\n        title: `Ship — lift ${ctx.lift.delta.toFixed(3)} (95% CI ${ctx.lift.ci95[0].toFixed(3)}..${ctx.lift.ci95[1].toFixed(3)})`,\n        detail: `Holdout lift exceeds threshold ${ctx.threshold} with 95% bootstrap confidence (n=${ctx.lift.n}, p=${ctx.lift.pValue.toFixed(4)}, d=${ctx.lift.cohensD.toFixed(2)}).`,\n        evidencePath: 'lift',\n      })\n    } else if (inconclusive) {\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'high',\n        kind: 'expand-corpus',\n        title: `Inconclusive — need ~${ctx.lift.requiredN} paired runs (have ${ctx.lift.n}) at current effect size`,\n        detail: `CI straddles threshold. Current MDE at 80% power is ${ctx.lift.mde.toFixed(3)}; observed delta is ${ctx.lift.delta.toFixed(3)}.`,\n        evidencePath: 'lift',\n      })\n    } else {\n      out.push({\n        priority: 'critical',\n        kind: 'hold',\n        title: `Hold — lift CI lower bound ${ctx.lift.ci95[0].toFixed(3)} is at or below threshold ${ctx.threshold}`,\n        detail: `Bootstrap CI provides no statistical evidence the candidate is better. Consider tightening the mutation or expanding the holdout.`,\n        evidencePath: 'lift',\n      })\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (ctx.contamination && ctx.contamination.leaks > 0) {\n    out.push({\n      priority: 'critical',\n      kind: 'fix',\n      title: `${ctx.contamination.leaks} canary leak${ctx.contamination.leaks === 1 ? '' : 's'} detected`,\n      detail: `Holdout integrity is compromised. The lift number is unreliable until you investigate.`,\n      evidencePath: 'contamination',\n    })\n  }\n\n  if (ctx.interRater && ctx.interRater.kappa < 0.5) {\n    out.push({\n      priority: 'high',\n      kind: 'recalibrate',\n      title: `Inter-rater agreement κ=${ctx.interRater.kappa.toFixed(2)} is below 0.5`,\n      detail: `Raters disagree on what 'good' looks like. Top disagreement cases listed in interRater.disagreementCases — consider a triage meeting or refining the rubric.`,\n      evidencePath: 'interRater',\n    })\n  }\n\n  if (ctx.failureClusters && ctx.failureClusters.clusters.length > 0) {\n    const top = ctx.failureClusters.clusters[0]!\n    out.push({\n      priority: 'high',\n      kind: 'investigate',\n      title: `Top failure cluster: ${top.name} (${(top.share * 100).toFixed(0)}% of failures)`,\n      detail: `${ctx.failureClusters.totalFailures} runs failed. The largest cluster groups ${top.exemplars.length} exemplars under '${top.name}'.`,\n      evidencePath: 'failureClusters.clusters[0]',\n    })\n  }\n\n  if (ctx.outcomeCorrelation && Math.abs(ctx.outcomeCorrelation.spearman) < 0.3) {\n    out.push({\n      priority: 'medium',\n      kind: 'recalibrate',\n      title: `Judge scores decoupled from ${ctx.outcomeCorrelation.metric} (Spearman ρ=${ctx.outcomeCorrelation.spearman.toFixed(2)})`,\n      detail: `Your judges score what they were trained to score, but it isn't predicting downstream ${ctx.outcomeCorrelation.metric}. Consider retraining the judge against ${ctx.outcomeCorrelation.metric} as the gold signal.`,\n      evidencePath: 'outcomeCorrelation',\n    })\n  }\n\n  return out\n}\n\n// ── Re-export pareto figure spec for hosted-side rendering ─────────\n\nexport type { ParetoFigureSpec 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