@sherwoodagent/cli 0.42.0 → 0.51.0

package/dist/chunk-YTYXBX7B.js

@@ -0,0 +1,495 @@
+// src/agent/utils.ts
+function clamp(v, min = -1, max = 1) {
+  return Math.min(max, Math.max(min, v));
+}
+
+// src/agent/scoring.ts
+var DEFAULT_WEIGHTS = {
+  smartMoney: 0.3,
+  technical: 0.25,
+  sentiment: 0.1,
+  onchain: 0.2,
+  fundamental: 0.15,
+  event: 0
+};
+var WEIGHT_PROFILES = {
+  default: DEFAULT_WEIGHTS,
+  majors: { smartMoney: 0.3, technical: 0.3, sentiment: 0.1, onchain: 0.2, fundamental: 0.1, event: 0 },
+  altcoin: { smartMoney: 0.25, technical: 0.2, sentiment: 0.1, onchain: 0.15, fundamental: 0.3, event: 0 }
+};
+var MAJORS_TOKEN_IDS = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set(["bitcoin", "ethereum", "solana"]);
+function profileForToken(tokenId, userProfile) {
+  if (userProfile && WEIGHT_PROFILES[userProfile]) {
+    return WEIGHT_PROFILES[userProfile];
+  }
+  if (MAJORS_TOKEN_IDS.has(tokenId.toLowerCase())) {
+    return WEIGHT_PROFILES["majors"];
+  }
+  return DEFAULT_WEIGHTS;
+}
+var DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS = {
+  strongBuy: 0.6,
+  buy: 0.3,
+  sell: -0.3,
+  strongSell: -0.6
+};
+var REGIME_THRESHOLDS = {
+  // Apr 23: lowered buy 0.20→0.10. With counter-trend dampening + 15 mixed
+  // signals, scores compress to -0.15 to +0.15 range. Max score in last 6h was
+  // 0.147 — threshold at 0.20 was unreachable. At 0.10, ~3% of signals fire
+  // (~4-5 trades/day). The regime gate + stop management handle risk.
+  // Autoresearch (Apr 27): buy 0.12→0.14 (more selective, validated on walk-forward)
+  "trending-up": { strongBuy: 0.3, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.3 },
+  "trending-down": { strongBuy: 0.3, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.3 },
+  // Apr 2026 recalibration: with dead-weight strategies removed (event,
+  // tokenUnlock, tvlMomentum, meanReversion — all 0% fire rate), only 6
+  // strategies remain active. The prior 0.30 BUY threshold was never reached
+  // (max |score| ≈ 0.04 over 48h) because ~40% of composite weight went to
+  // always-zero signals that diluted the denominator. Lowered proportionally:
+  //   BUY  0.30 → 0.20,  strongBuy 0.55 → 0.35
+  //   SELL -0.15 → -0.10, strongSell -0.30 → -0.20
+  //
+  // SELL side remains asymmetric with BUY: the contrarian sentiment model +
+  // on-chain defaults + BTC-bullish suppression bias the aggregate score
+  // positive. Empirical distribution: min -0.18, p3 ≈ -0.10, p50 ≈ +0.15.
+  // Apr 21 recalibration: shorts are 0/3 win rate, all stopped out. The sell
+  // thresholds at -0.08/-0.15 were too easy to trigger with marginal signals
+  // in a ranging/slightly-bullish market. Tightened to require higher
+  // conviction for shorts while keeping longs at the working 0.15 level.
+  // Apr 27 autoresearch follow-up replayed against signal-history with the
+  // post-Fincept signal stack and converged on symmetric ±0.14 — shorts now
+  // qualify at parity with longs because the smartMoney/perp signals carry
+  // their own bearish edge that the prior asymmetry double-counted.
+  "ranging": { strongBuy: 0.3, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.3 },
+  "high-volatility": { strongBuy: 0.5, buy: 0.3, sell: -0.3, strongSell: -0.5 },
+  "low-volatility": { strongBuy: 0.4, buy: 0.2, sell: -0.2, strongSell: -0.4 }
+};
+function thresholdsForRegime(regime) {
+  if (!regime) return DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS;
+  return REGIME_THRESHOLDS[regime] ?? DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS;
+}
+function scoreTechnical(signals) {
+  let value = 0;
+  const details = [];
+  let confidence = 0.5;
+  const nanCount = [signals.rsi, signals.macd.histogram, signals.bb.width, signals.ema.ema50].filter((v) => isNaN(v)).length;
+  if (nanCount >= 3) {
+    confidence = 0.15;
+    details.push("Insufficient data for most indicators");
+  }
+  const rsi = signals.rsi;
+  if (!isNaN(rsi)) {
+    if (rsi < 30) {
+      const rsiScore = 0.5 + 0.3 * ((30 - rsi) / 30);
+      value += rsiScore;
+      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} oversold (+${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else if (rsi > 70) {
+      const rsiScore = -(0.5 + 0.3 * ((rsi - 70) / 30));
+      value += rsiScore;
+      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} overbought (${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else {
+      const rsiScore = -((rsi - 50) / 20) * 0.5;
+      value += rsiScore;
+      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} (${rsiScore >= 0 ? "+" : ""}${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);
+    }
+  }
+  const hist = signals.macd.histogram;
+  if (!isNaN(hist)) {
+    if (hist > 0) {
+      value += 0.3;
+      details.push(`MACD histogram positive (+0.30)`);
+    } else if (hist < 0) {
+      value -= 0.3;
+      details.push(`MACD histogram negative (-0.30)`);
+    }
+  }
+  if (signals.bb.squeeze) {
+    details.push("BB squeeze detected (neutral, awaiting breakout)");
+  } else {
+    const lastClose = signals.ema.ema8;
+    if (!isNaN(signals.bb.lower) && !isNaN(lastClose)) {
+      const volSpike = signals.volume.ratio > 1.5;
+      if (lastClose < signals.bb.lower && volSpike) {
+        value += 0.5;
+        details.push("Price below lower BB with volume spike (+0.50)");
+        confidence += 0.1;
+      } else if (lastClose > signals.bb.upper && volSpike) {
+        value -= 0.5;
+        details.push("Price above upper BB with volume spike (-0.50)");
+        confidence += 0.1;
+      }
+    }
+  }
+  const { ema8, ema21, ema50, ema200 } = signals.ema;
+  if (!isNaN(ema8) && !isNaN(ema21) && !isNaN(ema50) && !isNaN(ema200)) {
+    if (ema8 > ema21 && ema21 > ema50 && ema50 > ema200) {
+      value += 0.4;
+      details.push("Bullish EMA alignment (8>21>50>200) (+0.40)");
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else if (ema8 < ema21 && ema21 < ema50 && ema50 < ema200) {
+      value -= 0.4;
+      details.push("Bearish EMA alignment (8<21<50<200) (-0.40)");
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    }
+  }
+  return {
+    name: "technical",
+    value: clamp(value),
+    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1),
+    source: "Technical Analysis",
+    details: details.join("; ")
+  };
+}
+function scoreSentiment(fearAndGreed, sentimentZScore) {
+  let value = 0;
+  const details = [];
+  let confidence = 0.6;
+  if (fearAndGreed < 15) {
+    value = 1;
+    details.push(`Extreme fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) \u2192 max contrarian buy`);
+    confidence = 0.8;
+  } else if (fearAndGreed < 25) {
+    value = 0.8 - 0.3 * ((fearAndGreed - 15) / 10);
+    details.push(`Fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) \u2192 contrarian buy (+${value.toFixed(2)})`);
+    confidence = 0.7;
+  } else if (fearAndGreed < 40) {
+    value = 0.3 - 0.2 * ((fearAndGreed - 25) / 15);
+    details.push(`Mild fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) \u2192 slight buy (+${value.toFixed(2)})`);
+  } else if (fearAndGreed <= 60) {
+    value = 0;
+    details.push(`Neutral sentiment (F&G=${fearAndGreed})`);
+    confidence = 0.4;
+  } else if (fearAndGreed <= 75) {
+    value = -0.1 - 0.4 * ((fearAndGreed - 60) / 15);
+    details.push(`Greed (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) \u2192 contrarian sell (${value.toFixed(2)})`);
+  } else {
+    value = -0.5 - 0.5 * ((fearAndGreed - 75) / 25);
+    details.push(`Extreme greed (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) \u2192 max contrarian sell (${value.toFixed(2)})`);
+    confidence = 0.8;
+  }
+  if (sentimentZScore !== void 0) {
+    const adjustment = clamp(sentimentZScore * 0.1, -0.2, 0.2);
+    value = clamp(value + adjustment);
+    if (Math.abs(adjustment) > 0.05) {
+      details.push(`Z-score adjustment: ${adjustment >= 0 ? "+" : ""}${adjustment.toFixed(2)}`);
+    }
+  }
+  return {
+    name: "sentiment",
+    value: clamp(value),
+    confidence,
+    source: "Market Sentiment",
+    details: details.join("; ")
+  };
+}
+function scoreOnChain(data) {
+  let value = 0;
+  const details = [];
+  let confidence = 0.4;
+  if (data.exchangeNetFlow !== void 0) {
+    if (data.exchangeNetFlow < 0) {
+      value += 0.4;
+      details.push("Negative exchange net flow (bullish)");
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else if (data.exchangeNetFlow > 0) {
+      value -= 0.4;
+      details.push("Positive exchange net flow (bearish)");
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    }
+  }
+  if (data.whaleAccumulating !== void 0) {
+    if (data.whaleAccumulating) {
+      value += 0.3;
+      details.push("Whale accumulation detected");
+      confidence += 0.15;
+    } else {
+      value -= 0.3;
+      details.push("Whale distribution detected");
+      confidence += 0.15;
+    }
+  }
+  if (data.activeAddressesGrowth !== void 0) {
+    const growth = data.activeAddressesGrowth;
+    if (growth > 0.1) {
+      value += 0.2;
+      details.push(`Active addresses growing (${(growth * 100).toFixed(1)}%)`);
+    } else if (growth < -0.1) {
+      value -= 0.2;
+      details.push(`Active addresses declining (${(growth * 100).toFixed(1)}%)`);
+    }
+  }
+  if (details.length === 0) {
+    details.push("No on-chain data available");
+    confidence = 0.1;
+  }
+  return {
+    name: "onchain",
+    value: clamp(value),
+    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1),
+    source: "On-Chain Analysis",
+    details: details.join("; ")
+  };
+}
+function scoreFundamental(data) {
+  let value = 0;
+  const details = [];
+  let confidence = 0.4;
+  if (data.tvlGrowthWeekly !== void 0) {
+    const g = data.tvlGrowthWeekly;
+    if (g > 0.1) {
+      value += 0.4;
+      details.push(`TVL growing ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}% weekly`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else if (g < -0.1) {
+      value -= 0.4;
+      details.push(`TVL declining ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}% weekly`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    }
+  }
+  if (data.revenueGrowth !== void 0) {
+    const g = data.revenueGrowth;
+    if (g > 0.1) {
+      value += 0.3;
+      details.push(`Revenue growing ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}%`);
+    } else if (g < -0.1) {
+      value -= 0.3;
+      details.push(`Revenue declining ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}%`);
+    }
+  }
+  if (data.mcapToTvl !== void 0) {
+    const ratio = data.mcapToTvl;
+    if (ratio < 1) {
+      value += 0.3;
+      details.push(`Mcap/TVL ratio ${ratio.toFixed(2)} (undervalued)`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    } else if (ratio > 5) {
+      value -= 0.3;
+      details.push(`Mcap/TVL ratio ${ratio.toFixed(2)} (overvalued)`);
+      confidence += 0.1;
+    }
+  }
+  if (details.length === 0) {
+    details.push("No fundamental data available");
+    confidence = 0.1;
+  }
+  return {
+    name: "fundamental",
+    value: clamp(value),
+    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1),
+    source: "Fundamental Analysis",
+    details: details.join("; ")
+  };
+}
+function scoreEvent(data) {
+  let value = 0;
+  const details = [];
+  let confidence = 0.3;
+  if (data.unlockPercent !== void 0 && data.daysUntilUnlock !== void 0) {
+    if (data.unlockPercent > 5 && data.daysUntilUnlock < 30) {
+      const severity = Math.min(data.unlockPercent / 20, 1);
+      value -= severity * 0.8;
+      details.push(
+        `Token unlock: ${data.unlockPercent.toFixed(1)}% in ${data.daysUntilUnlock} days (bearish)`
+      );
+      confidence = 0.7;
+    } else if (data.unlockPercent < 2) {
+      details.push("Minor unlock, negligible impact");
+    }
+  }
+  if (data.positiveEvent !== void 0) {
+    if (data.positiveEvent) {
+      value += 0.4;
+      details.push("Positive catalyst event");
+      confidence += 0.2;
+    } else {
+      value -= 0.4;
+      details.push("Negative catalyst event");
+      confidence += 0.2;
+    }
+  }
+  if (details.length === 0) {
+    details.push("No event data available");
+    confidence = 0.1;
+  }
+  return {
+    name: "event",
+    value: clamp(value),
+    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1),
+    source: "Event Analysis",
+    details: details.join("; ")
+  };
+}
+var LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set(["technical"]);
+var COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set(["kronosVolForecast", "whaleIntent"]);
+var COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD = 0.05;
+var EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set([
+  "tradingviewSignal",
+  "momentum",
+  "fundingRate",
+  "hyperliquidFlow",
+  "event",
+  "crossSectionalMomentum",
+  "multiTimeframe",
+  "btcNetworkHealth",
+  "socialVolume",
+  "tokenUnlock",
+  "tvlMomentum"
+]);
+var SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP = {
+  technical: "technical",
+  sentiment: "sentiment",
+  onchain: "onchain",
+  fundamental: "fundamental",
+  event: "event",
+  smartMoney: "smartMoney",
+  flowIntelligence: "smartMoney",
+  // shares smartMoney category — auto weight-split with perp signal
+  // Strategy signal mappings to categories (only active strategies)
+  breakoutOnChain: "technical",
+  multiTimeframe: "technical",
+  crossSectionalMomentum: "technical",
+  tradingviewSignal: "technical",
+  dexFlow: "onchain",
+  fundingRate: "onchain",
+  hyperliquidFlow: "onchain",
+  sentimentContrarian: "sentiment",
+  btcNetworkHealth: "technical",
+  predictionMarket: "event",
+  socialVolume: "sentiment",
+  kronosVolForecast: "technical",
+  narrativeVacuum: "onchain",
+  whaleIntent: "smartMoney"
+};
+var X402_CATEGORIES = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set(["smartMoney", "event"]);
+function computeTradeDecision(signals, weights, regimeAdjustments, correlationCheck, regime, x402Available) {
+  const w = weights ?? DEFAULT_WEIGHTS;
+  const thresholds = thresholdsForRegime(regime);
+  const excludedCategories = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set();
+  if (x402Available === false) {
+    for (const cat of X402_CATEGORIES) {
+      if (w[cat] > 0) excludedCategories.add(cat);
+    }
+  }
+  const categoryCounts = {};
+  for (const signal of signals) {
+    if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;
+    if (signal._weightOverride !== void 0) continue;
+    const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];
+    if (!category || excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;
+    categoryCounts[category] = (categoryCounts[category] ?? 0) + 1;
+  }
+  let totalWeight = 0;
+  let weightedSum = 0;
+  let weightedConfidence = 0;
+  for (const signal of signals) {
+    if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;
+    let signalWeight;
+    if (signal._weightOverride !== void 0) {
+      signalWeight = signal._weightOverride;
+    } else {
+      const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];
+      if (category && excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;
+      const categoryWeight = category ? w[category] : 0.1;
+      const count = category ? categoryCounts[category] ?? 1 : 1;
+      signalWeight = categoryWeight / count;
+    }
+    let adjustedValue = signal.value;
+    let adjustedConfidence = signal.confidence;
+    if (regimeAdjustments && signal.name in regimeAdjustments) {
+      const adjustment = regimeAdjustments[signal.name];
+      adjustedValue *= adjustment;
+      adjustedConfidence *= adjustment;
+    }
+    if (regime && (regime === "trending-up" || regime === "trending-down") && LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) {
+      signalWeight *= 0.5;
+    }
+    if (regime && COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED.has(signal.name)) {
+      const isCounterTrend = regime === "trending-up" && adjustedValue < -COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD || regime === "trending-down" && adjustedValue > COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD;
+      if (isCounterTrend) {
+        signalWeight *= 0.3;
+      }
+    }
+    if (adjustedValue === 0 && adjustedConfidence <= 0.15) {
+      continue;
+    }
+    weightedSum += adjustedValue * signalWeight;
+    weightedConfidence += adjustedConfidence * signalWeight;
+    totalWeight += signalWeight;
+  }
+  let score = totalWeight > 0 ? weightedSum / totalWeight : 0;
+  const confidence = totalWeight > 0 ? weightedConfidence / totalWeight : 0;
+  if (Math.abs(score) > 0.01) {
+    const scoreSign = Math.sign(score);
+    const categoryNetDirection = /* @__PURE__ */ new Map();
+    for (const signal of signals) {
+      if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;
+      const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];
+      if (!category || excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;
+      if (signal._weightOverride !== void 0) continue;
+      let voteValue = signal.value;
+      if (regime && (regime === "trending-up" || regime === "trending-down") && LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) {
+        voteValue *= 0.5;
+      }
+      if (regime && COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED.has(signal.name)) {
+        const isCounterTrend = regime === "trending-up" && voteValue < -COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD || regime === "trending-down" && voteValue > COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD;
+        if (isCounterTrend) voteValue *= 0.3;
+      }
+      const current = categoryNetDirection.get(category) ?? 0;
+      categoryNetDirection.set(category, current + voteValue);
+    }
+    let agreeing = 0;
+    let totalActive = 0;
+    for (const [, netValue] of categoryNetDirection) {
+      totalActive++;
+      if (Math.sign(netValue) === scoreSign) agreeing++;
+    }
+    if (agreeing >= 4 && totalActive >= 4) {
+      const bonus = 1 + 0.15 * (agreeing - 3);
+      score *= Math.min(bonus, 1.45);
+    }
+  }
+  if (correlationCheck) {
+    if (correlationCheck.btcBias === "bearish" && score > 0) {
+      score *= correlationCheck.suppressionFactor;
+    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === "bearish" && score < 0) {
+      score *= 1 + Math.abs(correlationCheck.btcScore) * 0.3;
+    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === "bullish" && score > 0) {
+      score *= 1 + Math.abs(correlationCheck.btcScore) * 0.3;
+    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === "bullish" && score < 0) {
+      score *= correlationCheck.suppressionFactor;
+    }
+    score = Math.max(-1, Math.min(1, score));
+  }
+  score = Math.max(-1, Math.min(1, score));
+  let action;
+  if (score >= thresholds.strongBuy) action = "STRONG_BUY";
+  else if (score >= thresholds.buy) action = "BUY";
+  else if (score <= thresholds.strongSell) action = "STRONG_SELL";
+  else if (score <= thresholds.sell) action = "SELL";
+  else action = "HOLD";
+  const reasoning = signals.map((s) => `[${s.source}] ${s.details}`).join("\n");
+  return {
+    action,
+    score,
+    signals,
+    reasoning,
+    confidence,
+    timestamp: Date.now(),
+    thresholds
+  };
+}
+
+export {
+  clamp,
+  DEFAULT_WEIGHTS,
+  profileForToken,
+  scoreTechnical,
+  scoreSentiment,
+  scoreOnChain,
+  scoreFundamental,
+  scoreEvent,
+  computeTradeDecision
+};
+//# sourceMappingURL=chunk-YTYXBX7B.js.map

package/dist/chunk-YTYXBX7B.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"sources":["../src/agent/utils.ts","../src/agent/scoring.ts"],"sourcesContent":["/** Clamp a number between min and max (default [-1, 1]). */\nexport function clamp(v: number, min: number = -1, max: number = 1): number {\n  return Math.min(max, Math.max(min, v));\n}\n","/**\n * Signal scoring engine — converts raw data into trade decisions.\n */\n\nimport type { TechnicalSignals } from \"./technical.js\";\nimport { clamp } from \"./utils.js\";\nimport type { CorrelationCheck } from \"./correlation.js\";\nimport type { MarketRegime } from \"./regime.js\";\n\nexport interface Signal {\n  name: string;\n  value: number;       // -1.0 to +1.0\n  confidence: number;  // 0.0 to 1.0\n  source: string;\n  details: string;\n  _weightOverride?: number;\n}\n\nexport interface ScoringWeights {\n  smartMoney: number;\n  technical: number;\n  sentiment: number;\n  onchain: number;\n  fundamental: number;\n  event: number;\n}\n\n// Apr 24 2026 signal review over 23k live observations:\n// - Upweight smartMoney/fundamental; both had the best 12h-24h forward edge.\n// - Keep technical/onchain categories, but exclude harmful child signals below.\n// - Event is set to 0 until it produces non-zero, testable observations.\nexport const DEFAULT_WEIGHTS: ScoringWeights = {\n  smartMoney: 0.30,\n  technical: 0.25,\n  sentiment: 0.10,\n  onchain: 0.20,\n  fundamental: 0.15,\n  event: 0.00,\n};\n\n/**\n * Named weight profiles for `--weight-profile <name>` and per-asset auto-selection.\n *\n * - default: balanced — used when no profile selected\n * - majors:  BTC/ETH/SOL — smartMoney + technical + onchain dominate; event\n *            disabled (unlocks rare on majors), fundamental reduced (no\n *            meaningful TVL on BTC).\n * - altcoin: smaller caps — fundamental upweighted because TVL deltas drive\n *            price action on altcoins. event remains disabled until it\n *            produces non-zero, testable observations (see DEFAULT_WEIGHTS).\n */\nexport const WEIGHT_PROFILES: Record<string, ScoringWeights> = {\n  default: DEFAULT_WEIGHTS,\n  majors:    { smartMoney: 0.30, technical: 0.30, sentiment: 0.10, onchain: 0.20, fundamental: 0.10, event: 0.00 },\n  altcoin:   { smartMoney: 0.25, technical: 0.20, sentiment: 0.10, onchain: 0.15, fundamental: 0.30, event: 0.00 },\n};\n\n/** Tokens that get the \"majors\" profile when auto-selection is enabled. */\nconst MAJORS_TOKEN_IDS = new Set([\"bitcoin\", \"ethereum\", \"solana\"]);\n\n/**\n * Pick a weight profile for a token. Returns user-specified profile if given,\n * otherwise auto-selects \"majors\" for BTC/ETH/SOL and \"default\" for everything else.\n */\nexport function profileForToken(tokenId: string, userProfile?: string): ScoringWeights {\n  if (userProfile && WEIGHT_PROFILES[userProfile]) {\n    return WEIGHT_PROFILES[userProfile];\n  }\n  if (MAJORS_TOKEN_IDS.has(tokenId.toLowerCase())) {\n    return WEIGHT_PROFILES[\"majors\"]!;\n  }\n  return DEFAULT_WEIGHTS;\n}\n\nexport interface TradeDecision {\n  action: \"STRONG_BUY\" | \"BUY\" | \"HOLD\" | \"SELL\" | \"STRONG_SELL\";\n  score: number;\n  signals: Signal[];\n  reasoning: string;\n  confidence: number;\n  timestamp: number;\n  /** Thresholds actually used to decide action — for audit + backtest replay. */\n  thresholds?: ActionThresholds;\n}\n\n/** BUY/SELL action thresholds. All values are score cutoffs in [-1, 1]. */\nexport interface ActionThresholds {\n  strongBuy: number;  // score >= strongBuy → STRONG_BUY\n  buy: number;        // score >= buy → BUY\n  sell: number;       // score <= sell → SELL (negative)\n  strongSell: number; // score <= strongSell → STRONG_SELL (more negative)\n}\n\n/** Default thresholds — symmetric, used when no regime info is provided. */\nexport const DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS: ActionThresholds = {\n  strongBuy: 0.6,\n  buy: 0.3,\n  sell: -0.3,\n  strongSell: -0.6,\n};\n\n/**\n * Regime-conditional thresholds.\n *\n * Trending regimes: asymmetric — easier to enter WITH the trend, harder to fade it.\n * Ranging: symmetric but tighter — whipsaws are expensive, demand more conviction.\n * High-volatility: tighter — wide moves without direction mean more false signals.\n * Low-volatility: looser — cleaner signal environment, less noise to filter.\n */\nexport const REGIME_THRESHOLDS: Record<MarketRegime, ActionThresholds> = {\n  // Apr 23: lowered buy 0.20→0.10. With counter-trend dampening + 15 mixed\n  // signals, scores compress to -0.15 to +0.15 range. Max score in last 6h was\n  // 0.147 — threshold at 0.20 was unreachable. At 0.10, ~3% of signals fire\n  // (~4-5 trades/day). The regime gate + stop management handle risk.\n  // Autoresearch (Apr 27): buy 0.12→0.14 (more selective, validated on walk-forward)\n  \"trending-up\": { strongBuy: 0.30, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.30 },\n  \"trending-down\": { strongBuy: 0.30, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.30 },\n  // Apr 2026 recalibration: with dead-weight strategies removed (event,\n  // tokenUnlock, tvlMomentum, meanReversion — all 0% fire rate), only 6\n  // strategies remain active. The prior 0.30 BUY threshold was never reached\n  // (max |score| ≈ 0.04 over 48h) because ~40% of composite weight went to\n  // always-zero signals that diluted the denominator. Lowered proportionally:\n  //   BUY  0.30 → 0.20,  strongBuy 0.55 → 0.35\n  //   SELL -0.15 → -0.10, strongSell -0.30 → -0.20\n  //\n  // SELL side remains asymmetric with BUY: the contrarian sentiment model +\n  // on-chain defaults + BTC-bullish suppression bias the aggregate score\n  // positive. Empirical distribution: min -0.18, p3 ≈ -0.10, p50 ≈ +0.15.\n  // Apr 21 recalibration: shorts are 0/3 win rate, all stopped out. The sell\n  // thresholds at -0.08/-0.15 were too easy to trigger with marginal signals\n  // in a ranging/slightly-bullish market. Tightened to require higher\n  // conviction for shorts while keeping longs at the working 0.15 level.\n  // Apr 27 autoresearch follow-up replayed against signal-history with the\n  // post-Fincept signal stack and converged on symmetric ±0.14 — shorts now\n  // qualify at parity with longs because the smartMoney/perp signals carry\n  // their own bearish edge that the prior asymmetry double-counted.\n  \"ranging\":        { strongBuy: 0.30, buy: 0.14, sell: -0.14, strongSell: -0.30 },\n  \"high-volatility\":{ strongBuy: 0.50, buy: 0.30, sell: -0.30, strongSell: -0.50 },\n  \"low-volatility\": { strongBuy: 0.40, buy: 0.20, sell: -0.20, strongSell: -0.40 },\n};\n\nexport function thresholdsForRegime(regime?: MarketRegime): ActionThresholds {\n  if (!regime) return DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS;\n  return REGIME_THRESHOLDS[regime] ?? DEFAULT_THRESHOLDS;\n}\n\n// ── Score Technical Signals ──\n\nexport function scoreTechnical(signals: TechnicalSignals): Signal {\n  let value = 0;\n  const details: string[] = [];\n  let confidence = 0.5;\n\n  // If most indicators are NaN, reduce confidence significantly\n  const nanCount = [signals.rsi, signals.macd.histogram, signals.bb.width, signals.ema.ema50].filter(v => isNaN(v)).length;\n  if (nanCount >= 3) {\n    confidence = 0.15;\n    details.push(\"Insufficient data for most indicators\");\n  }\n\n  // RSI scoring\n  const rsi = signals.rsi;\n  if (!isNaN(rsi)) {\n    if (rsi < 30) {\n      const rsiScore = 0.5 + 0.3 * ((30 - rsi) / 30); // 0.5 at RSI=30, 0.8 at RSI=0\n      value += rsiScore;\n      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} oversold (+${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else if (rsi > 70) {\n      const rsiScore = -(0.5 + 0.3 * ((rsi - 70) / 30)); // -0.5 at RSI=70, -0.8 at RSI=100\n      value += rsiScore;\n      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} overbought (${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else {\n      // Scale linearly: RSI 50 → 0, RSI 30 → +0.5, RSI 70 → -0.5\n      const rsiScore = -((rsi - 50) / 20) * 0.5;\n      value += rsiScore;\n      details.push(`RSI ${rsi.toFixed(1)} (${rsiScore >= 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${rsiScore.toFixed(2)})`);\n    }\n  }\n\n  // MACD histogram scoring\n  const hist = signals.macd.histogram;\n  if (!isNaN(hist)) {\n    if (hist > 0) {\n      value += 0.3;\n      details.push(`MACD histogram positive (+0.30)`);\n    } else if (hist < 0) {\n      value -= 0.3;\n      details.push(`MACD histogram negative (-0.30)`);\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Bollinger Bands scoring\n  if (signals.bb.squeeze) {\n    // Squeeze = neutral, wait for breakout\n    details.push(\"BB squeeze detected (neutral, awaiting breakout)\");\n  } else {\n    const lastClose = signals.ema.ema8; // Use ema8 as proxy for current price\n    if (!isNaN(signals.bb.lower) && !isNaN(lastClose)) {\n      const volSpike = signals.volume.ratio > 1.5;\n      if (lastClose < signals.bb.lower && volSpike) {\n        value += 0.5;\n        details.push(\"Price below lower BB with volume spike (+0.50)\");\n        confidence += 0.1;\n      } else if (lastClose > signals.bb.upper && volSpike) {\n        value -= 0.5;\n        details.push(\"Price above upper BB with volume spike (-0.50)\");\n        confidence += 0.1;\n      }\n    }\n  }\n\n  // EMA alignment scoring\n  const { ema8, ema21, ema50, ema200 } = signals.ema;\n  if (!isNaN(ema8) && !isNaN(ema21) && !isNaN(ema50) && !isNaN(ema200)) {\n    if (ema8 > ema21 && ema21 > ema50 && ema50 > ema200) {\n      value += 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Bullish EMA alignment (8>21>50>200) (+0.40)\");\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else if (ema8 < ema21 && ema21 < ema50 && ema50 < ema200) {\n      value -= 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Bearish EMA alignment (8<21<50<200) (-0.40)\");\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    name: \"technical\",\n    value: clamp(value),\n    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1.0),\n    source: \"Technical Analysis\",\n    details: details.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n\n// ── Score Sentiment ──\n\nexport function scoreSentiment(fearAndGreed: number, sentimentZScore?: number): Signal {\n  let value = 0;\n  const details: string[] = [];\n  let confidence = 0.6;\n\n  if (fearAndGreed < 15) {\n    value = 1.0;\n    details.push(`Extreme fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) → max contrarian buy`);\n    confidence = 0.8;\n  } else if (fearAndGreed < 25) {\n    // Linear interpolation: F&G 15→+0.8, F&G 25→+0.5\n    value = 0.8 - 0.3 * ((fearAndGreed - 15) / 10);\n    details.push(`Fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) → contrarian buy (+${value.toFixed(2)})`);\n    confidence = 0.7;\n  } else if (fearAndGreed < 40) {\n    // F&G 25→+0.3, F&G 40→+0.1\n    value = 0.3 - 0.2 * ((fearAndGreed - 25) / 15);\n    details.push(`Mild fear (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) → slight buy (+${value.toFixed(2)})`);\n  } else if (fearAndGreed <= 60) {\n    value = 0;\n    details.push(`Neutral sentiment (F&G=${fearAndGreed})`);\n    confidence = 0.4;\n  } else if (fearAndGreed <= 75) {\n    // F&G 60→-0.1, F&G 75→-0.5\n    value = -0.1 - 0.4 * ((fearAndGreed - 60) / 15);\n    details.push(`Greed (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) → contrarian sell (${value.toFixed(2)})`);\n  } else {\n    // F&G 75→-0.5, F&G 100→-1.0\n    value = -0.5 - 0.5 * ((fearAndGreed - 75) / 25);\n    details.push(`Extreme greed (F&G=${fearAndGreed}) → max contrarian sell (${value.toFixed(2)})`);\n    confidence = 0.8;\n  }\n\n  // Z-score adjustment\n  if (sentimentZScore !== undefined) {\n    const adjustment = clamp(sentimentZScore * 0.1, -0.2, 0.2);\n    value = clamp(value + adjustment);\n    if (Math.abs(adjustment) > 0.05) {\n      details.push(`Z-score adjustment: ${adjustment >= 0 ? \"+\" : \"\"}${adjustment.toFixed(2)}`);\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    name: \"sentiment\",\n    value: clamp(value),\n    confidence,\n    source: \"Market Sentiment\",\n    details: details.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n\n// ── Score On-Chain ──\n\nexport function scoreOnChain(data: {\n  exchangeNetFlow?: number;\n  whaleAccumulating?: boolean;\n  activeAddressesGrowth?: number;\n}): Signal {\n  let value = 0;\n  const details: string[] = [];\n  let confidence = 0.4;\n\n  if (data.exchangeNetFlow !== undefined) {\n    if (data.exchangeNetFlow < 0) {\n      // Negative net flow = tokens leaving exchanges = bullish\n      value += 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Negative exchange net flow (bullish)\");\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else if (data.exchangeNetFlow > 0) {\n      value -= 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Positive exchange net flow (bearish)\");\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (data.whaleAccumulating !== undefined) {\n    if (data.whaleAccumulating) {\n      value += 0.3;\n      details.push(\"Whale accumulation detected\");\n      confidence += 0.15;\n    } else {\n      value -= 0.3;\n      details.push(\"Whale distribution detected\");\n      confidence += 0.15;\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (data.activeAddressesGrowth !== undefined) {\n    const growth = data.activeAddressesGrowth;\n    if (growth > 0.1) {\n      value += 0.2;\n      details.push(`Active addresses growing (${(growth * 100).toFixed(1)}%)`);\n    } else if (growth < -0.1) {\n      value -= 0.2;\n      details.push(`Active addresses declining (${(growth * 100).toFixed(1)}%)`);\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (details.length === 0) {\n    details.push(\"No on-chain data available\");\n    confidence = 0.1;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    name: \"onchain\",\n    value: clamp(value),\n    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1.0),\n    source: \"On-Chain Analysis\",\n    details: details.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n\n// ── Score Fundamentals ──\n\nexport function scoreFundamental(data: {\n  tvlGrowthWeekly?: number;\n  revenueGrowth?: number;\n  mcapToTvl?: number;\n}): Signal {\n  let value = 0;\n  const details: string[] = [];\n  let confidence = 0.4;\n\n  if (data.tvlGrowthWeekly !== undefined) {\n    const g = data.tvlGrowthWeekly;\n    if (g > 0.1) {\n      value += 0.4;\n      details.push(`TVL growing ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}% weekly`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else if (g < -0.1) {\n      value -= 0.4;\n      details.push(`TVL declining ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}% weekly`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (data.revenueGrowth !== undefined) {\n    const g = data.revenueGrowth;\n    if (g > 0.1) {\n      value += 0.3;\n      details.push(`Revenue growing ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}%`);\n    } else if (g < -0.1) {\n      value -= 0.3;\n      details.push(`Revenue declining ${(g * 100).toFixed(1)}%`);\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (data.mcapToTvl !== undefined) {\n    const ratio = data.mcapToTvl;\n    if (ratio < 1.0) {\n      value += 0.3;\n      details.push(`Mcap/TVL ratio ${ratio.toFixed(2)} (undervalued)`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    } else if (ratio > 5.0) {\n      value -= 0.3;\n      details.push(`Mcap/TVL ratio ${ratio.toFixed(2)} (overvalued)`);\n      confidence += 0.1;\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (details.length === 0) {\n    details.push(\"No fundamental data available\");\n    confidence = 0.1;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    name: \"fundamental\",\n    value: clamp(value),\n    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1.0),\n    source: \"Fundamental Analysis\",\n    details: details.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n\n// ── Score Events ──\n\nexport function scoreEvent(data: {\n  unlockPercent?: number;\n  daysUntilUnlock?: number;\n  positiveEvent?: boolean;\n}): Signal {\n  let value = 0;\n  const details: string[] = [];\n  let confidence = 0.3;\n\n  if (data.unlockPercent !== undefined && data.daysUntilUnlock !== undefined) {\n    if (data.unlockPercent > 5 && data.daysUntilUnlock < 30) {\n      // Large upcoming unlock = bearish\n      const severity = Math.min(data.unlockPercent / 20, 1.0);\n      value -= severity * 0.8;\n      details.push(\n        `Token unlock: ${data.unlockPercent.toFixed(1)}% in ${data.daysUntilUnlock} days (bearish)`,\n      );\n      confidence = 0.7;\n    } else if (data.unlockPercent < 2) {\n      details.push(\"Minor unlock, negligible impact\");\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (data.positiveEvent !== undefined) {\n    if (data.positiveEvent) {\n      value += 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Positive catalyst event\");\n      confidence += 0.2;\n    } else {\n      value -= 0.4;\n      details.push(\"Negative catalyst event\");\n      confidence += 0.2;\n    }\n  }\n\n  if (details.length === 0) {\n    details.push(\"No event data available\");\n    confidence = 0.1;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    name: \"event\",\n    value: clamp(value),\n    confidence: Math.min(confidence, 1.0),\n    source: \"Event Analysis\",\n    details: details.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n\n// ── Combine All Signals Into Trade Decision ──\n\n/** Lagging technical indicators whose weight is dampened during momentum moves. */\nconst LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS = new Set(['technical']);\n\n/** Signals whose weight is dampened when they oppose the regime direction.\n *  Kronos and whaleIntent can stay bearish for extended periods during a\n *  trending-up regime — dampening prevents them from suppressing all long\n *  entries. They keep full weight when aligned with the trend. */\nconst COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED = new Set(['kronosVolForecast', 'whaleIntent']);\n/** Minimum absolute signal value to trigger counter-trend dampening. */\nconst COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD = 0.05;\n\n/** Signals excluded from scoring — still logged for audit.\n *  Forward-return analysis (Apr 27, 50 trades):\n *  - crossSectionalMomentum: INVERTED (-0.123 edge, bullish before dumps)\n *  - multiTimeframe: weak inverted (-0.080 edge)\n *  - btcNetworkHealth: zero variance (always +0.200)\n *  - socialVolume: 85% zero, no forward edge\n *  - fundingRate: 88% perma-bearish, no directional info\n *  - tradingviewSignal: 84% dead\n *  - momentum, hyperliquidFlow, event: noise / dead */\nconst EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS = new Set([\n  'tradingviewSignal',\n  'momentum',\n  'fundingRate',\n  'hyperliquidFlow',\n  'event',\n  'crossSectionalMomentum',\n  'multiTimeframe',\n  'btcNetworkHealth',\n  'socialVolume',\n  'tokenUnlock',\n  'tvlMomentum',\n]);\n\n/** Signal name → weight category mapping. */\nconst SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP: Record<string, keyof ScoringWeights> = {\n  technical: \"technical\",\n  sentiment: \"sentiment\",\n  onchain: \"onchain\",\n  fundamental: \"fundamental\",\n  event: \"event\",\n  smartMoney: \"smartMoney\",\n  flowIntelligence: \"smartMoney\",  // shares smartMoney category — auto weight-split with perp signal\n\n  // Strategy signal mappings to categories (only active strategies)\n  breakoutOnChain: \"technical\",\n  multiTimeframe: \"technical\",\n  crossSectionalMomentum: \"technical\",\n  tradingviewSignal: \"technical\",\n  dexFlow: \"onchain\",\n  fundingRate: \"onchain\",\n  hyperliquidFlow: \"onchain\",\n  sentimentContrarian: \"sentiment\",\n  btcNetworkHealth: \"technical\",\n  predictionMarket: \"event\",\n  socialVolume: \"sentiment\",\n  kronosVolForecast: \"technical\",\n  narrativeVacuum: \"onchain\",\n  whaleIntent: \"smartMoney\",\n};\n\n/** Categories that rely on x402 paid data (Nansen, Messari). */\nconst X402_CATEGORIES: Set<keyof ScoringWeights> = new Set([\"smartMoney\", \"event\"]);\n\nexport function computeTradeDecision(\n  signals: Signal[],\n  weights?: ScoringWeights,\n  regimeAdjustments?: Record<string, number>,\n  correlationCheck?: CorrelationCheck,\n  regime?: MarketRegime,\n  x402Available?: boolean,\n): TradeDecision {\n  const w = weights ?? DEFAULT_WEIGHTS;\n  const thresholds = thresholdsForRegime(regime);\n\n  // FIX 1: When x402 was configured but wallet is unfunded, exclude\n  // x402-dependent categories (smartMoney, event) so their zero-value signals\n  // don't dilute the aggregate. Only when x402Available is explicitly false\n  // (meaning x402 was intended but failed) — undefined means x402 was never\n  // configured, so no exclusion (the agent may have those signals from other\n  // sources, e.g. backtest or manual injection).\n  const excludedCategories = new Set<keyof ScoringWeights>();\n  if (x402Available === false) {\n    for (const cat of X402_CATEGORIES) {\n      if (w[cat] > 0) excludedCategories.add(cat);\n    }\n  }\n\n  // FIX 3: Normalize per-category weights.\n  // Count how many signals fire per category, then split category weight among them.\n  const categoryCounts: Record<string, number> = {};\n  for (const signal of signals) {\n    if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;\n    if (signal._weightOverride !== undefined) continue; // manual overrides skip normalization\n    const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];\n    if (!category || excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;\n    categoryCounts[category] = (categoryCounts[category] ?? 0) + 1;\n  }\n\n  // Weighted sum\n  let totalWeight = 0;\n  let weightedSum = 0;\n  let weightedConfidence = 0;\n\n  for (const signal of signals) {\n    if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;\n    // Determine signal weight\n    let signalWeight: number;\n\n    if (signal._weightOverride !== undefined) {\n      signalWeight = signal._weightOverride;\n    } else {\n      const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];\n\n      // FIX 1: skip signals in excluded x402 categories\n      if (category && excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;\n\n      const categoryWeight = category ? w[category] : 0.1;\n      const count = category ? (categoryCounts[category] ?? 1) : 1;\n      // FIX 3: split category weight among all signals in that category\n      signalWeight = categoryWeight / count;\n    }\n\n    // Apply regime adjustment if available\n    let adjustedValue = signal.value;\n    let adjustedConfidence = signal.confidence;\n\n    if (regimeAdjustments && signal.name in regimeAdjustments) {\n      const adjustment = regimeAdjustments[signal.name]!;\n      adjustedValue *= adjustment;\n      adjustedConfidence *= adjustment;\n    }\n\n    // Dampen lagging technical indicators during momentum moves.\n    // RSI/MACD/EMA read bearish alignment during the first hours of a pump\n    // because they lag by construction (14-period RSI, 26-period MACD, 50/200 EMA).\n    // This cancels real-time bullish signals — ETH scored 0.00 during a +7.8% rally\n    // because scoreTechnical() was reading stale bearish MACD/EMA.\n    //\n    // When the regime is a momentum override (trending-up/down), cut the weight\n    // of lagging technical signals by 50%. The momentum signal (which is NOT lagged)\n    // and breakoutOnChain (which uses recent price action) keep their full weight.\n    // LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS hoisted to module level for GC efficiency\n    if (regime && (regime === 'trending-up' || regime === 'trending-down')\n        && LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) {\n      signalWeight *= 0.5;\n    }\n\n    // Dampen counter-trend signals during strong regime moves.\n    // In trending-up: Kronos bearish prediction, high social attention (contrarian\n    // bearish), and whale short positioning can persist for days while price\n    // keeps climbing — dampening prevents them from suppressing all long entries.\n    // In trending-down: same signals dampened when they're bullish.\n    // Signals ALIGNED with the trend keep full weight.\n    if (regime && COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED.has(signal.name)) {\n      const isCounterTrend =\n        (regime === 'trending-up' && adjustedValue < -COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD) ||\n        (regime === 'trending-down' && adjustedValue > COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD);\n      if (isCounterTrend) {\n        signalWeight *= 0.3; // 70% reduction when opposing the trend\n      }\n    }\n\n    // Skip zero-value / near-zero-confidence signals from the denominator.\n    // Signals like fundamental=0 (CG circuit-breaker'd), sentimentContrarian=0\n    // (F&G in neutral zone), dexFlow=0 (no DEX activity) still carry their\n    // category weight in the denominator, diluting the composite toward zero.\n    // A token with 4 strong bullish signals at +0.30 and 6 zero signals scored\n    // +0.05 instead of +0.30 because the zeros added ~60% to totalWeight.\n    // Only exclude truly dead signals (value=0 AND confidence <= 0.15) — a\n    // signal that deliberately returns value=0 at high confidence (e.g. \"I\n    // looked and there's nothing\") should still vote neutral.\n    if (adjustedValue === 0 && adjustedConfidence <= 0.15) {\n      continue;\n    }\n\n    weightedSum += adjustedValue * signalWeight;\n    weightedConfidence += adjustedConfidence * signalWeight;\n    totalWeight += signalWeight;\n  }\n\n  let score = totalWeight > 0 ? weightedSum / totalWeight : 0;\n  const confidence = totalWeight > 0 ? weightedConfidence / totalWeight : 0;\n\n  // ── Convergence bonus ──\n  // When multiple independent categories agree on direction, amplify the score.\n  // The weighted average treats disagreement and agreement symmetrically — a\n  // 5/6 bullish consensus scores the same as if those 5 categories had smaller\n  // values. In reality, broad agreement across uncorrelated sources (technical +\n  // sentiment + on-chain + funding) is stronger evidence than any single source\n  // at high conviction.\n  //\n  // On the Apr 13-14 BTC pump: 4-5 categories were bullish but the score\n  // capped at 0.27. With convergence bonus: 0.27 × 1.15 = 0.31 → fires BUY.\n  if (Math.abs(score) > 0.01) {\n    const scoreSign = Math.sign(score);\n    // Compute net direction per active category.\n    // Use dampened values for lagging technical signals so they don't\n    // inflate convergence count when voting against the momentum direction.\n    const categoryNetDirection = new Map<string, number>();\n    for (const signal of signals) {\n      if (EXCLUDED_SCORING_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) continue;\n      const category = SIGNAL_CATEGORY_MAP[signal.name];\n      if (!category || excludedCategories.has(category)) continue;\n      if (signal._weightOverride !== undefined) continue;\n      let voteValue = signal.value;\n      // Lagging signals during trending regimes: use dampened value for vote\n      if (regime && (regime === 'trending-up' || regime === 'trending-down')\n          && LAGGING_TECHNICAL_SIGNALS.has(signal.name)) {\n        voteValue *= 0.5;\n      }\n      // Counter-trend signals: mirror the 0.3x dampening applied in the\n      // weighted score so a signal that contributes 30% of its weight does\n      // not get to vote at full strength in the convergence count.\n      if (regime && COUNTER_TREND_DAMPENED.has(signal.name)) {\n        const isCounterTrend =\n          (regime === 'trending-up' && voteValue < -COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD) ||\n          (regime === 'trending-down' && voteValue > COUNTER_TREND_THRESHOLD);\n        if (isCounterTrend) voteValue *= 0.3;\n      }\n      const current = categoryNetDirection.get(category) ?? 0;\n      categoryNetDirection.set(category, current + voteValue);\n    }\n    // Count categories that agree with the aggregate direction\n    let agreeing = 0;\n    let totalActive = 0;\n    for (const [, netValue] of categoryNetDirection) {\n      totalActive++;\n      if (Math.sign(netValue) === scoreSign) agreeing++;\n    }\n    // Bonus kicks in at 4+ agreeing categories out of at least 4 active.\n    // Scale: 4/N → 1.15x, 5/N → 1.30x, 6/N → 1.45x. Capped at 1.45x.\n    if (agreeing >= 4 && totalActive >= 4) {\n      const bonus = 1.0 + 0.15 * (agreeing - 3);\n      score *= Math.min(bonus, 1.45);\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Apply correlation-aware adjustment if provided\n  // BTC bearish → suppress longs, boost shorts\n  // BTC bullish → boost longs, suppress shorts\n  if (correlationCheck) {\n    if (correlationCheck.btcBias === \"bearish\" && score > 0) {\n      // Suppress long signals when BTC is bearish (factor < 1)\n      score *= correlationCheck.suppressionFactor;\n    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === \"bearish\" && score < 0) {\n      // Boost short signals when BTC is bearish\n      score *= (1 + Math.abs(correlationCheck.btcScore) * 0.3);\n    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === \"bullish\" && score > 0) {\n      // Boost long signals when BTC is bullish\n      score *= (1 + Math.abs(correlationCheck.btcScore) * 0.3);\n    } else if (correlationCheck.btcBias === \"bullish\" && score < 0) {\n      // Suppress short signals when BTC is bullish (factor < 1)\n      score *= correlationCheck.suppressionFactor;\n    }\n\n    score = Math.max(-1, Math.min(1, score));\n  }\n\n  // Unconditional clamp — convergence bonus and correlation boost can both\n  // push score beyond [-1, 1]. Clamp was previously only inside the\n  // correlationCheck block; scores flowed unclamped when no correlation\n  // data was available.\n  score = Math.max(-1, Math.min(1, score));\n\n  // Determine action using regime-conditional thresholds\n  let action: TradeDecision[\"action\"];\n  // Symmetric >= / <= on both sides — exactly hitting a threshold counts as\n  // crossing it. Score == buy → BUY. Score == sell → SELL. Score ==\n  // strongSell → STRONG_SELL. 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package/dist/{client-DRVUILER.js → client-UHHCB6EZ.js}

@@ -10,9 +10,9 @@ import {
   unstickWallet,
   waitForReceipt,
   writeContractWithRetry
-} from "./chunk-SWKHSKDH.js";
-import "./chunk-FOOZC4AM.js";
-import "./chunk-4EHI4SKM.js";
+} from "./chunk-XDBRKW7I.js";
+import "./chunk-2LRC7I33.js";
+import "./chunk-2W4KGGPU.js";
 export {
   detectStuckNonce,
   estimateFeesWithBuffer,
@@ -26,4 +26,4 @@ export {
   waitForReceipt,
   writeContractWithRetry
 };
-//# sourceMappingURL=client-DRVUILER.js.map
+//# sourceMappingURL=client-UHHCB6EZ.js.map

package/dist/{config-YRERDZSL.js → config-REASKDIK.js}

@@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ import {
   cacheSwapRoute,
   clearSwapRoutes,
   getAgentId,
+  getAnthropicApiKey,
   getCachedGroupId,
   getCachedSwapRoute,
   getChainContracts,
@@ -18,6 +19,7 @@ import {
   loadConfig,
   saveConfig,
   setAgentId,
+  setAnthropicApiKey,
   setChainContract,
   setConfigRpcUrl,
   setNotifyTo,
@@ -25,13 +27,14 @@ import {
   setPrivateKey,
   setUniswapApiKey,
   setVeniceApiKey
-} from "./chunk-4EHI4SKM.js";
+} from "./chunk-2W4KGGPU.js";
 export {
   addSyndicate,
   cacheGroupId,
   cacheSwapRoute,
   clearSwapRoutes,
   getAgentId,
+  getAnthropicApiKey,
   getCachedGroupId,
   getCachedSwapRoute,
   getChainContracts,
@@ -46,6 +49,7 @@ export {
   loadConfig,
   saveConfig,
   setAgentId,
+  setAnthropicApiKey,
   setChainContract,
   setConfigRpcUrl,
   setNotifyTo,
@@ -54,4 +58,4 @@ export {
   setUniswapApiKey,
   setVeniceApiKey
 };
-//# sourceMappingURL=config-YRERDZSL.js.map
+//# sourceMappingURL=config-REASKDIK.js.map

package/dist/{eas-KBU2BAOD.js → eas-PEEWGSAO.js}

@@ -17,11 +17,11 @@ import {
   revokeAttestation,
   revokeJoinRequest,
   stripReferrerPrefix
-} from "./chunk-JNDEZFXW.js";
-import "./chunk-XAUMJZU2.js";
-import "./chunk-SWKHSKDH.js";
-import "./chunk-FOOZC4AM.js";
-import "./chunk-4EHI4SKM.js";
+} from "./chunk-E6LH2FJ6.js";
+import "./chunk-FWC57PT7.js";
+import "./chunk-XDBRKW7I.js";
+import "./chunk-2LRC7I33.js";
+import "./chunk-2W4KGGPU.js";
 import "./chunk-D77JGXIV.js";
 export {
   createApproval,
@@ -43,4 +43,4 @@ export {
   revokeJoinRequest,
   stripReferrerPrefix
 };
-//# sourceMappingURL=eas-KBU2BAOD.js.map
+//# sourceMappingURL=eas-PEEWGSAO.js.map