@prismatic-io/lux 0.0.1

package/lib/orchestrator/experiment-selection.js

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+import { z } from "zod";
+import { bootstrapMeanConfidenceInterval, CandidateIdSchema, CandidateSchema, } from "../core/index.js";
+import { ExperimentSelectionSchema, } from "./experiment-runs.js";
+export const ExperimentDecisionCandidateSchema = CandidateSchema.pick({
+    id: true,
+    sourceBytes: true,
+});
+export const candidateEvaluations = (experiment, candidateId) => {
+    const selected = new Map();
+    for (const evaluation of experiment.evaluations.filter((entry) => entry.candidateId === candidateId)) {
+        const key = `${evaluation.profileId}:${evaluation.split}`;
+        const current = selected.get(key);
+        if (!current || evaluation.repetitions > current.repetitions)
+            selected.set(key, evaluation);
+    }
+    return [...selected.values()];
+};
+const caseRegressions = (candidate, profile, split, experiment) => {
+    if (candidate.id === "baseline")
+        return 0;
+    const baseline = candidateEvaluations(experiment, "baseline").filter((entry) => entry.split === split && (!profile || entry.profileId === profile));
+    const proposed = candidateEvaluations(experiment, candidate.id);
+    let regressions = 0;
+    for (const before of baseline) {
+        const after = proposed.find((entry) => entry.split === split && entry.profileId === before.profileId);
+        for (const [caseId, passRate] of Object.entries(before.casePassRates)) {
+            if (!after || (after.casePassRates[caseId] ?? 0) < passRate)
+                regressions++;
+        }
+    }
+    return regressions;
+};
+const metricValues = (candidate, metric, profile, split, experiment) => {
+    if (metric === "quality.caseRegressions") {
+        return [caseRegressions(candidate, profile, split, experiment)];
+    }
+    if (metric === "subject.bytes")
+        return [candidate.sourceBytes];
+    return candidateEvaluations(experiment, candidate.id)
+        .filter((entry) => entry.split === split && (!profile || entry.profileId === profile))
+        .flatMap((entry) => {
+        const value = metric === "quality.passRate" ? entry.passRate : entry.metrics[metric];
+        return value === undefined ? [] : [value];
+    });
+};
+const metricSampleGroups = (candidate, metric, profile, split, experiment) => {
+    if (metric === "quality.caseRegressions" || metric === "subject.bytes") {
+        return metricValues(candidate, metric, profile, split, experiment).map((value) => [value]);
+    }
+    return candidateEvaluations(experiment, candidate.id)
+        .filter((entry) => entry.split === split && (!profile || entry.profileId === profile))
+        .flatMap((entry) => {
+        const samples = entry.samples?.[metric] ?? [];
+        return samples.length > 0 ? [samples] : [];
+    });
+};
+const satisfiesConstraint = (campaign, candidate, constraint, experiment) => {
+    let profiles;
+    if (constraint.metric === "subject.bytes" || constraint.profile) {
+        profiles = [constraint.profile];
+    }
+    else {
+        profiles = campaign.profiles;
+    }
+    return profiles.every((profile) => {
+        const values = metricValues(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment);
+        if (values.length === 0)
+            return false;
+        if (constraint.confidence) {
+            const sampleGroups = metricSampleGroups(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment);
+            if (sampleGroups.length === 0) {
+                throw new Error(`metric '${constraint.metric}' does not expose raw samples for confidence gating` +
+                    `${profile ? ` in profile '${profile}'` : ""}`);
+            }
+            return sampleGroups.every((samples) => {
+                try {
+                    const interval = bootstrapMeanConfidenceInterval(samples, constraint.confidence);
+                    return ((constraint.min === undefined || interval.lower >= constraint.min) &&
+                        (constraint.max === undefined || interval.upper <= constraint.max));
+                }
+                catch (error) {
+                    if (error instanceof Error && error.message.includes("independent samples"))
+                        return false;
+                    throw error;
+                }
+            });
+        }
+        return values.every((value) => (constraint.min === undefined || value >= constraint.min) &&
+            (constraint.max === undefined || value <= constraint.max));
+    });
+};
+export const average = (values) => values.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0) / Math.max(values.length, 1);
+const normalizedConstraintViolation = (campaign, candidate, constraint, experiment) => {
+    let profiles = campaign.profiles;
+    if (constraint.metric === "subject.bytes" || constraint.profile) {
+        profiles = [constraint.profile];
+    }
+    const violation = (lower, upper) => Math.max(constraint.min === undefined
+        ? 0
+        : Math.max(0, constraint.min - lower) / Math.max(1, Math.abs(constraint.min)), constraint.max === undefined
+        ? 0
+        : Math.max(0, upper - constraint.max) / Math.max(1, Math.abs(constraint.max)));
+    let worst = 0;
+    for (const profile of profiles) {
+        if (constraint.confidence) {
+            const groups = metricSampleGroups(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment);
+            if (groups.length === 0)
+                return Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
+            for (const samples of groups) {
+                try {
+                    const interval = bootstrapMeanConfidenceInterval(samples, constraint.confidence);
+                    worst = Math.max(worst, violation(interval.lower, interval.upper));
+                }
+                catch {
+                    return Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
+                }
+            }
+            continue;
+        }
+        const values = metricValues(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment);
+        if (values.length === 0)
+            return Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;
+        for (const value of values)
+            worst = Math.max(worst, violation(value, value));
+    }
+    return worst;
+};
+export const rankCandidates = (campaign, candidates, experiment, constraintSplits = ["train", "validation", "test"]) => [...candidates].sort((a, b) => {
+    const activeConstraints = campaign.objectives.constraints.filter((constraint) => constraintSplits.includes(constraint.split));
+    const aEligible = activeConstraints.every((constraint) => satisfiesConstraint(campaign, a, constraint, experiment));
+    const bEligible = activeConstraints.every((constraint) => satisfiesConstraint(campaign, b, constraint, experiment));
+    if (aEligible !== bEligible)
+        return aEligible ? -1 : 1;
+    if (!aEligible) {
+        const aViolation = Math.max(0, ...activeConstraints.map((constraint) => normalizedConstraintViolation(campaign, a, constraint, experiment)));
+        const bViolation = Math.max(0, ...activeConstraints.map((constraint) => normalizedConstraintViolation(campaign, b, constraint, experiment)));
+        if (aViolation !== bViolation)
+            return aViolation < bViolation ? -1 : 1;
+    }
+    for (const objective of campaign.objectives.minimize.filter((entry) => constraintSplits.includes(entry.split))) {
+        const aValues = metricValues(a, objective.metric, objective.profile, objective.split, experiment);
+        const bValues = metricValues(b, objective.metric, objective.profile, objective.split, experiment);
+        if (aValues.length === 0 && bValues.length > 0)
+            return 1;
+        if (bValues.length === 0 && aValues.length > 0)
+            return -1;
+        if (aValues.length > 0 && bValues.length > 0) {
+            const delta = average(aValues) - average(bValues);
+            if (delta !== 0)
+                return delta;
+        }
+    }
+    const quality = (candidate) => {
+        const values = metricValues(candidate, "quality.passRate", undefined, "validation", experiment);
+        return values.length > 0 ? Math.min(...values) : -1;
+    };
+    const qualityDelta = quality(b) - quality(a);
+    if (qualityDelta !== 0)
+        return qualityDelta;
+    if (a.sourceBytes !== b.sourceBytes)
+        return a.sourceBytes - b.sourceBytes;
+    return a.id.localeCompare(b.id);
+});
+const candidateCaseVector = (candidate, experiment, preferredSplit) => {
+    const evaluations = candidateEvaluations(experiment, candidate.id);
+    const split = evaluations.some((entry) => entry.split === preferredSplit)
+        ? preferredSplit
+        : "validation";
+    return Object.fromEntries(evaluations
+        .filter((entry) => entry.split === split)
+        .flatMap((entry) => Object.entries(entry.casePassRates).map(([caseId, passRate]) => [
+        `${entry.profileId}:${caseId}`,
+        passRate,
+    ])));
+};
+const dominates = (a, b) => {
+    const keys = new Set([...Object.keys(a), ...Object.keys(b)]);
+    if (keys.size === 0)
+        return false;
+    let strictlyBetter = false;
+    for (const key of keys) {
+        const av = a[key] ?? 0;
+        const bv = b[key] ?? 0;
+        if (av < bv)
+            return false;
+        if (av > bv)
+            strictlyBetter = true;
+    }
+    return strictlyBetter;
+};
+/**
+ * Per-case Pareto frontier used during reflective search. Quality constraints
+ * filter the population when at least one eligible candidate exists.
+ */
+export const paretoFrontier = (campaign, candidates, experiment, split = "train", constraintSplits = ["train", "validation"]) => {
+    const activeConstraints = campaign.objectives.constraints.filter((constraint) => constraintSplits.includes(constraint.split));
+    const eligible = candidates.filter((candidate) => activeConstraints.every((constraint) => satisfiesConstraint(campaign, candidate, constraint, experiment)));
+    const population = eligible.length > 0 ? eligible : [...candidates];
+    const vectors = new Map(population.map((candidate) => [
+        candidate.id,
+        candidateCaseVector(candidate, experiment, split),
+    ]));
+    return population
+        .filter((candidate) => {
+        const vector = vectors.get(candidate.id) ?? {};
+        return !population.some((other) => other.id !== candidate.id && dominates(vectors.get(other.id) ?? {}, vector));
+    })
+        .sort((a, b) => a.id.localeCompare(b.id));
+};
+const frontierCoverage = (candidate, frontier, experiment) => {
+    const vectors = frontier.map((entry) => candidateCaseVector(entry, experiment, "train"));
+    const candidateVector = candidateCaseVector(candidate, experiment, "train");
+    const keys = new Set(vectors.flatMap((vector) => Object.keys(vector)));
+    return [...keys].filter((key) => {
+        const best = Math.max(...vectors.map((vector) => vector[key] ?? 0));
+        return (candidateVector[key] ?? 0) === best;
+    }).length;
+};
+export const searchFrontier = (campaign, candidates, experiment) => {
+    const frontier = paretoFrontier(campaign, candidates, experiment);
+    return frontier.sort((a, b) => {
+        const coverage = frontierCoverage(b, frontier, experiment) - frontierCoverage(a, frontier, experiment);
+        return coverage || a.id.localeCompare(b.id);
+    });
+};
+export const deriveExperimentSelection = (campaign, candidates, experiment, rawOptions = {}) => {
+    const options = ExperimentSelectionDerivationOptionsSchema.parse(rawOptions);
+    const decisionCandidates = candidates.map((candidate) => ExperimentDecisionCandidateSchema.parse(candidate));
+    const ranked = rankCandidates(campaign, decisionCandidates, experiment);
+    const champion = ranked[0] ?? null;
+    const eligibleCandidates = ranked.filter((candidate) => campaign.objectives.constraints.every((constraint) => satisfiesConstraint(campaign, candidate, constraint, experiment)));
+    const eligible = champion !== null && eligibleCandidates.some((candidate) => candidate.id === champion.id);
+    const constraintReports = decisionCandidates.flatMap((candidate) => campaign.objectives.constraints.flatMap((constraint) => {
+        const profiles = constraint.profile || constraint.metric === "subject.bytes"
+            ? [constraint.profile]
+            : campaign.profiles;
+        return profiles.map((profile) => {
+            const values = metricValues(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment);
+            const scoped = { ...constraint, ...(profile ? { profile } : {}) };
+            let interval;
+            let note;
+            if (constraint.confidence) {
+                const samples = metricSampleGroups(candidate, constraint.metric, profile, constraint.split, experiment)[0];
+                if (samples) {
+                    try {
+                        interval = bootstrapMeanConfidenceInterval(samples, constraint.confidence);
+                    }
+                    catch (error) {
+                        note = error instanceof Error ? error.message : String(error);
+                    }
+                }
+                else {
+                    note = "metric exposes no raw samples";
+                }
+            }
+            return {
+                candidateId: candidate.id,
+                metric: constraint.metric,
+                ...(profile ? { profile } : {}),
+                split: constraint.split,
+                values,
+                passed: satisfiesConstraint(campaign, candidate, scoped, experiment),
+                ...(interval ? { interval } : {}),
+                ...(note ? { note } : {}),
+            };
+        });
+    }));
+    return ExperimentSelectionSchema.parse({
+        decidedAt: options.decidedAt ?? new Date().toISOString(),
+        decisionCandidateIds: decisionCandidates.map((candidate) => candidate.id),
+        ...(options.promotionFinalistCandidateIds
+            ? { promotionFinalistCandidateIds: options.promotionFinalistCandidateIds }
+            : {}),
+        rankedCandidateIds: ranked.map((candidate) => candidate.id),
+        eligibleCandidateIds: eligibleCandidates.map((candidate) => candidate.id),
+        ...(eligible && champion ? { championCandidateId: champion.id } : {}),
+        constraints: constraintReports,
+    });
+};
+export const ExperimentSelectionDerivationOptionsSchema = z
+    .object({
+    decidedAt: z.string().optional(),
+    promotionFinalistCandidateIds: z.array(CandidateIdSchema).optional(),
+})
+    .strict();
+//# sourceMappingURL=experiment-selection.js.map

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package/lib/orchestrator/experiment.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+import type { CampaignExecutionOptions } from "./experiment-context.js";
+import { type CampaignExecutionResult, type ExperimentCampaignPlan } from "./experiment-contracts.js";
+import { claudeConfigRoot, claudeUserBehaviorHash, cliIdentity, configuredClaudeSourceHashes } from "./experiment-runtime-identity.js";
+export type { CampaignExecutionOptions } from "./experiment-context.js";
+export { type CampaignExecutionResult, CampaignExecutionResultSchema, type ExperimentCampaignPlan, ExperimentCampaignPlanSchema, } from "./experiment-contracts.js";
+export { deriveExperimentSelection, type ExperimentDecisionCandidate, ExperimentDecisionCandidateSchema, paretoFrontier, rankCandidates, } from "./experiment-selection.js";
+export declare const planExperimentCampaign: (execution: CampaignExecutionOptions, mode: "experiment" | "optimize") => Promise<ExperimentCampaignPlan>;
+export declare const runExperimentCampaign: (execution: CampaignExecutionOptions) => Promise<CampaignExecutionResult>;
+export declare const optimizeExperimentCampaign: (execution: CampaignExecutionOptions) => Promise<CampaignExecutionResult>;
+export { claudeConfigRoot, claudeUserBehaviorHash, cliIdentity, configuredClaudeSourceHashes };
+//# sourceMappingURL=experiment.d.ts.map

package/lib/orchestrator/experiment.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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