@pgnio/helios-mcp 0.2.7 → 0.2.9

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@@ -1,115 +0,0 @@
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- ================================================================================
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- INDICATOR: SQUEEZE_DURATION — VOLATILITY SQUEEZE DURATION
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- ================================================================================
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- id: squeeze_duration
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- data_field: indicators.squeeze_duration
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- type: NUMERIC (integer count)
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- range: [0, ∞)
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- precision: Integer (whole number of ticks)
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- update_rate: per_tick
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- latency_profile: COINCIDENT
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- CONSTRUCT
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- squeeze_duration counts the number of consecutive ticks where the volatility
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- squeeze value has been BELOW the squeeze threshold of 0.8.
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-
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- IF indicators.volatility_squeeze < 0.8
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- squeeze_duration += 1
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-
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- IF indicators.volatility_squeeze >= 0.8
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- squeeze_duration = 0 (reset immediately when squeeze breaks)
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-
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- A duration of 0 means either the squeeze is not active (value >= 0.8) or
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- the squeeze just started this tick (first tick below 0.8).
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-
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- This indicator quantifies the TIME dimension of the squeeze. When combined
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- with volatility_squeeze (depth) and squeeze_energy (integrated depth × time),
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- it provides the full picture of a squeeze development.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- RANGE INTERPRETATION
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- value = 0
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- No active squeeze. volatility_squeeze >= 0.8. Normal or expanding
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- volatility conditions. OR: squeeze just broke this tick (value resets
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- immediately). In either case: not in a sustained compression state.
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-
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- value 1-5 (very short)
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- Just entered squeeze territory. Compression has barely begun.
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- Insufficient duration for meaningful energy buildup. Do not treat as
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- an active squeeze setup until duration is longer.
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-
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- value 6-20 (short squeeze)
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- Squeeze has persisted for a meaningful period. Some directional energy
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- is building, especially if volatility_squeeze is also deep (< 0.5).
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- Combination of squeeze_duration and squeeze_energy now worth monitoring.
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-
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- value 21-60 (moderate squeeze)
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- Sustained compression. An extended period of volatility below the GARCH
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- baseline. This duration at low squeeze_value produces significant squeeze_energy.
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- Market is in a genuine consolidation/coiling phase.
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-
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- value > 60 (extended squeeze)
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- Prolonged compression. Very significant stored directional energy by any
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- measure. Extended squeezes historically precede the most significant
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- breakout moves. The asset has been unable to sustain any realized trend
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- for a long period.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INDICATOR RELATIONSHIPS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- indicators.volatility_squeeze | REQUIRED_COMPANION
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- squeeze_duration counts ticks at squeeze; but duration without
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- knowing the depth (volatility_squeeze value) is incomplete.
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-
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- High duration + deep squeeze = maximum energy accumulation.
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- High duration + shallow squeeze (value = 0.75) = moderate accumulation.
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- Low duration + deep squeeze = sudden sharp compression, not settled yet.
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-
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- The most significant setups are:
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- volatility_squeeze < 0.4 AND squeeze_duration > 30
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-
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- indicators.squeeze_energy | COMPANION
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- squeeze_energy = squeeze_duration × (0.8 - volatility_squeeze)
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- It is the integrated compression depth over time.
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- squeeze_duration is the COUNT; squeeze_energy is the MAGNITUDE.
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- Use duration to track progression; use energy for trade assessment.
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-
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- indicators.regime | CONTEXT
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- IF regime = CONSOL AND squeeze_duration > 20
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- → Both regime and volatility confirm sustained compression.
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- IF regime shifts from CONSOL to BREAKOUT AND squeeze_duration was > 20
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- → The squeeze has been significant and the breakout is more likely
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- to produce a sustained move.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- DEPENDENCY ORDER
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- 1 If squeeze_duration = 0: no active squeeze; no buildup to evaluate.
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- 2 Read volatility_squeeze for current depth.
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- 3 Read squeeze_energy for integrated depth × time.
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- 4 Classify duration (short/moderate/extended) per ranges above.
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- 5 Regime for compression/breakout context.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- No specific invalidation beyond the parent volatility_squeeze indicator.
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- If volatility_squeeze is in warm-up (< 50 ticks since reset), squeeze_duration
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- may show extended values from the warm-up period. Treat as unreliable.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- ANTI-PATTERNS — DETECTABLE MISUSE CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- IF squeeze_duration > 60 is treated as urgency to enter a trade
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- → INCORRECT TIMING LOGIC. Long squeeze duration means energy has been
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- building — it does NOT tell you when the release will occur. A squeeze
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- can persist for 200+ ticks. Duration informs the MAGNITUDE of the
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- expected move when it occurs, not the TIMING.
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-
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- IF squeeze_duration resets to 0 is missed and old duration is used
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- → DATA FRESHNESS CHECK REQUIRED. squeeze_duration resets immediately
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- when volatility_squeeze >= 0.8. If you are caching the prior reading,
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- you may be working with stale duration data. Always re-read per tick.
@@ -1,128 +0,0 @@
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- ================================================================================
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- INDICATOR: SQUEEZE_ENERGY — VOLATILITY SQUEEZE ENERGY
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- ================================================================================
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- id: squeeze_energy
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- data_field: indicators.squeeze_energy
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- type: NUMERIC
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- range: [0, ∞) — resets to 0 whenever squeeze breaks
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- precision: 3 decimal places
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- update_rate: per_tick
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- latency_profile: COINCIDENT
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- CONSTRUCT
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- squeeze_energy is the integrated measure of volatility compression, capturing
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- both HOW LONG and HOW DEEPLY the volatility has been squeezed. It combines the
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- time (duration) and depth (compression magnitude) of the current squeeze.
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-
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- Formula (computed each tick while squeeze is active):
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- compressionDepth = 0.8 - indicators.volatility_squeeze
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- (positive only when volatility_squeeze < 0.8; deeper = larger value)
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-
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- squeeze_energy = squeeze_duration × compressionDepth
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- = squeeze_duration × (0.8 - volatility_squeeze)
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-
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- IF volatility_squeeze >= 0.8:
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- squeeze_energy = 0 (reset simultaneously with squeeze_duration)
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-
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- Examples:
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- - Duration=10, squeeze_value=0.5: energy = 10 × 0.3 = 3.0
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- - Duration=30, squeeze_value=0.5: energy = 30 × 0.3 = 9.0 (3× longer)
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- - Duration=10, squeeze_value=0.2: energy = 10 × 0.6 = 6.0 (2× deeper)
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- - Duration=30, squeeze_value=0.2: energy = 30 × 0.6 = 18.0 (most energy)
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-
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- squeeze_energy is the single best summary of "how much potential energy has built
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- up in this squeeze". It is zero when no squeeze is active and grows as long as
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- the squeeze persists.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- RANGE INTERPRETATION
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- value = 0
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- No active squeeze OR squeeze just started. No meaningful energy accumulation.
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-
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- value 0.1 - 3.0
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- Low energy. Short and/or shallow squeeze. Potential move is not yet
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- significant by historical comparison. Continue monitoring.
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-
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- value 3.0 - 10.0
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- Moderate energy. Sufficient compression has built to support a meaningful
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- directional breakout when it occurs. This band represents most "ready to
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- break" squeeze setups.
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-
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- value 10.0 - 25.0
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- High energy. Significant compression over extended duration and/or depth.
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- The breakout when it occurs is more likely to produce an outsized move.
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- This is an alert-level condition.
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-
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- value > 25.0
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- Very high energy. Extreme sustained compression. Very rare in normal markets.
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- When seen, the eventual breakout should be expected to be substantial.
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- Activity_ratio and volume_change_point conditions at release are key.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INDICATOR RELATIONSHIPS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- indicators.volatility_squeeze | REQUIRED_COMPANION
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- squeeze_energy is derived from volatility_squeeze depth.
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- Always verify volatility_squeeze is in squeeze state (< 0.8) alongside
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- any positive squeeze_energy reading.
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-
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- indicators.squeeze_duration | COMPANION
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- Together with squeeze_duration, these three indicators form the complete
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- squeeze picture:
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- volatility_squeeze = current depth (real-time)
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- squeeze_duration = time in compression (tick count)
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- squeeze_energy = integrated depth × time (summary measure)
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-
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- indicators.volume_change_point | ALERT COMPANION
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- When squeeze_energy is high AND volume_change_point.changePointProbability
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- is rising, it signals that the volume regime may be shifting — potentially
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- the initiation of the squeeze release. High energy + volume regime shift
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- is the most actionable combination.
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-
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- indicators.market_structure | CONTEXT
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- IF squeeze_energy > 10 AND market_structure transitions to BREAKING_UP
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- or BREAKING_DOWN → the breakout is coming from a high-energy compressed
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- state. Highest conviction continuation expected.
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-
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- indicators.hmi | POST-SQUEEZE DIRECTION
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- After squeeze_energy resets to 0 (squeeze broke), read hmi to determine
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- which direction the energy released in. This is the critical post-squeeze
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- directional inference step.
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-
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- indicators.activity_ratio | TRIGGER COMPANION
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- IF squeeze_energy > 10 AND activity_ratio transitions from MODERATE/DEAD
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- to ACTIVE → new volume entering a compressed market. This is the most
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- common trigger for a squeeze release.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- DEPENDENCY ORDER
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- 1 If squeeze_energy = 0: no active squeeze; no energy has accumulated.
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- 2 Read volatility_squeeze for current depth.
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- 3 Read squeeze_duration for elapsed time.
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- 4 Classify energy level per ranges above.
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- 5 Monitor volume_change_point for rising changepoint probability.
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- 6 Post-reset (squeeze broke): read hmi for direction of energy release.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- All invalidations from volatility_squeeze apply.
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- IF volatility_squeeze is in warm-up: squeeze_energy from that period is
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- unreliable.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- ANTI-PATTERNS — DETECTABLE MISUSE CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- IF high squeeze_energy is used as a directional indicator
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- → INCORRECT. squeeze_energy tells you that a move is more likely to
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- be large when it comes. It says nothing about direction.
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- Only post-release hmi and regime provide direction.
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-
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- IF squeeze_energy is monitored but release detection is missed
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- → WATCH FOR RESET. When squeeze_energy drops from a high value to 0,
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- the squeeze has broken. The next readings of hmi and regime provide
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- the directional interpretation of the released energy.
@@ -1,165 +0,0 @@
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- ================================================================================
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- INDICATOR: TF_ALIGNMENT — TIMEFRAME ALIGNMENT SCORE
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- ================================================================================
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- id: tf_alignment
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- data_field: indicators.tf_alignment
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- type: NUMERIC
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- range: 0.0 to 100.0
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- precision: 1 decimal place
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- update_rate: per_tick
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- latency_profile: COINCIDENT
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- CONSTRUCT
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- tf_alignment measures what percentage of short-term timeframe momentum is moving
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- in the same direction as the macro (longer-term) trend.
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-
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- Computation:
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- STEP 1: Determine macro direction using 4h, 6h, 8h, 12h, 24h changes only.
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- macroDir = sign(sum of those 5 TF changes) ∈ {-1, 0, 1}
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-
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- STEP 2: For each short TF [1m, 3m, 5m, 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h], compute the
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- magnitude-weighted contribution toward or against macroDir.
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-
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- Weights applied per TF (decaying):
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- 1m: 1.00 | 3m: 0.95 | 5m: 0.90 | 15m: 0.85
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- 30m: 0.80 | 1h: 0.75 | 2h: 0.65
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-
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- For each short TF:
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- contribution = |change| × weight
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- IF sign(change) == macroDir: adds to alignedWeight
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- always adds to totalWeight
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-
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- value = (alignedWeight / totalWeight) × 100
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-
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- Special case: IF all short TFs are near zero (totalWeight ≈ 0):
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- Fall back to sign-agreement count rather than magnitude weighting.
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-
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- tf_alignment specifically measures whether SHORTER timeframes (1m–2h) are
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- agreeing with the LONGER timeframe direction (4h–24h). It does NOT measure
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- whether all 12 TFs agree with each other.
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-
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- A value of 100 means every short TF is moving in the same direction as the
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- macro trend. A value of 0 means every short TF is moving against the macro.
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- A value of 50 means perfectly split.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- RANGE INTERPRETATION
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- value > 85
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- Extreme alignment. Every short timeframe contribution is directionally
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- consistent with macro. Short-TF price action is fully confirming the
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- longer-term trend. Historically associated with CASCADE and BREAKOUT
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- regimes. Maximum breadth state.
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-
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- value > 70 AND value <= 85
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- High alignment. Most short-TF magnitude agrees with macro. The trend
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- has broad participation from intraday timeframes. Strong confirmation
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- of macro direction from the shorter stack.
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-
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- value > 55 AND value <= 70
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- Moderate alignment. Majority of short-TF weight is directionally aligned,
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- but meaningful dissent exists. Some shorter TFs are countertrending.
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- Likely reflects normal pullbacks or consolidation within an established trend.
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-
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- value > 40 AND value <= 55
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- Low alignment. Roughly split between short TFs agreeing and disagreeing
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- with macro. Directional inference is unreliable. The short-TF stack is
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- not confirming OR refuting the macro trend.
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-
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- value <= 40
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- Divergence. The short-TF stack is predominantly moving AGAINST the macro
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- direction. This can represent:
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- - A reversal forming at the short-TF level
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- - A countertrend move before macro reasserts
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- - Transition period between regimes
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- Do not use macro-aligned directional signals during this state.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- TRAJECTORY — RATE OF CHANGE
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- # tf_alignment does not have its own velocity field in the data feed.
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- # Assess trajectory by comparing consecutive readings or using hmi_velocity
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- # as a proxy (they tend to move together at turns).
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-
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- Rising tf_alignment (→ recent readings higher than prior)
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- Short TFs are converging toward macro direction.
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- Alignment is broadening. Associated with momentum building.
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-
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- Falling tf_alignment (→ recent readings lower than prior)
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- Short TFs are diverging from macro direction.
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- Alignment is narrowing. Associated with momentum fading or pullback.
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-
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- tf_alignment < 50 while hmi is still positive
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- Short TFs have turned against macro. HMI is lagging.
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- The current HMI value overstates current alignment state.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INDICATOR RELATIONSHIPS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- indicators.hmi | AMPLIFIES
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- tf_alignment measures breadth; hmi measures magnitude.
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- These are different but complementary dimensions of the same stack.
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-
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- IF hmi >= 60 AND tf_alignment >= 80
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- → Maximum signal quality. Both magnitude and breadth confirm direction.
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-
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- IF hmi >= 60 AND tf_alignment < 50
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- → HMI has high weighted sum but short TFs are not broadly aligned.
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- The high magnitude is concentrated — likely the 1h/2h TFs are
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- dominant while others are flat or opposing. Reduce confidence.
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-
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- IF hmi < 30 AND tf_alignment > 70
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- → High breadth but low magnitude. Many TFs agree on direction but
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- none have meaningful momentum yet. Low-energy directional state.
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-
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- indicators.regime | CROSS_VALIDATE
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- CASCADE and BREAKOUT regimes imply tf_alignment should be >= 70.
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- IF regime = CASCADE_UP AND tf_alignment < 55:
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- → Data may be stale or the regime transition just occurred.
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- Monitor for convergence.
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-
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- IF regime = CHOP AND tf_alignment is near 50:
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- → Expected. Both indicators consistently reflect disagreement.
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-
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- indicators.directional_efficiency | COMPANION
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- tf_alignment measures directional breadth relative to macro.
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- directional_efficiency measures how cleanly price is moving in one
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- direction (low noise). They are complementary: high alignment +
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- high efficiency = strongest trending signal.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- DEPENDENCY ORDER
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- 1 Regime: if CHOP/CONSOL/RANGING, macro direction is undefined; tf_alignment
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- near 50 is expected and uninformative.
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- 2 Read value and range bucket.
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- 3 Cross-validate with hmi for magnitude-breadth divergence.
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- 4 Assess recent trajectory (rising vs falling alignment) if consecutive
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- readings are available.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- IF regime = CHOP
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- → macroDir is undefined (sum of 4h-24h changes is near zero).
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- tf_alignment near 50 is expected and uninformative.
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-
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- IF all TF changes are near zero (very low volatility / illiquid period)
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- → Magnitude weighting collapses to sign agreement. Result is noisy.
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- Cross-check with activity_ratio. If activity_ratio < 0.5: discard.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- ANTI-PATTERNS — DETECTABLE MISUSE CONDITIONS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- IF tf_alignment is used as a standalone direction signal
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- → INCORRECT USE. tf_alignment measures alignment WITH macro direction.
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- It cannot tell you what macro direction is. You must know macroDir
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- (from the 4h-24h cluster) separately before interpreting alignment
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- as bullish or bearish context.
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-
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- IF tf_alignment of 80% is interpreted as "80% of timeframes are positive"
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- → INCORRECT INTERPRETATION. The percentage is MAGNITUDE-WEIGHTED alignment
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- with macro — not a head count of positive timeframes. A single 1h TF
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- with high magnitude can dominate the weighted result.
@@ -1,169 +0,0 @@
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- ================================================================================
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- INDICATOR: VOLATILITY_SQUEEZE — GARCH VOLATILITY RATIO (SQUEEZE)
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- ================================================================================
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- id: volatility_squeeze
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- data_field: indicators.volatility_squeeze
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- type: NUMERIC
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- range: [0, ∞) — practically [0.1, 1.5] in most conditions
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- precision: 3 decimal places
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- update_rate: per_tick
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- latency_profile: COINCIDENT
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- CONSTRUCT
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- volatility_squeeze measures the ratio of short-window to long-window GARCH
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- conditional volatility. It detects when volatility has compressed below historical
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- norms (a "squeeze") — indicating stored directional energy.
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-
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- GARCH(1,1) model:
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- omega = 0.00001
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- alpha = 0.10 (weight on recent squared return)
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- beta = 0.88 (weight on prior conditional variance)
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- h[t] = omega + alpha × r[t-1]² + beta × h[t-1]
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- where r[t] = log return at time t
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-
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- Two GARCH variance series computed:
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- short_window = 14 ticks → h_short (14-period GARCH conditional variance)
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- long_window = 50 ticks → h_long (50-period GARCH conditional variance)
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-
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- Ratio:
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- value = sqrt(h_short / h_long)
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-
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- This ratio compares current short-term GARCH volatility to the recent long-term
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- GARCH baseline. A value of 1.0 means current volatility is at its long-run norm.
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-
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- CRITICAL: LOWER VALUES MEAN MORE COMPRESSION (MORE ENERGY STORED)
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- value < 0.8 → SHORT_TERM VOLATILITY IS COMPRESSED BELOW BASELINE
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- value >= 0.8 → NORMAL OR EXPANDING VOLATILITY
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- RANGE INTERPRETATION — SQUEEZE STATES (BELOW 0.8)
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- IMPORTANT: These are SQUEEZE conditions. The LOWER the value, the more
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- compressed the volatility. This is counterintuitive: a "lower squeeze value"
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- means MORE stored energy, not less.
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-
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- value < 0.3 [EXTREME SQUEEZE]
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- Short-term GARCH volatility is less than 30% of the long-term norm.
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- Maximum compression. Historical breakouts after extreme squeeze are
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- often the most violent, as stored directional energy releases suddenly.
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- squeeze_duration and squeeze_energy will be at high values here.
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-
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- value >= 0.3 AND value < 0.4 [ACTIVE SQUEEZE]
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- Short-term volatility is severely compressed. Still very significant
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- energy buildup. Price is in a tight consolidation with little realized
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- volatility. The market is coiling before a move.
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-
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- value >= 0.4 AND value < 0.6 [MILD-ACTIVE SQUEEZE]
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- Meaningful compression. Volatility is building toward normal levels.
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- Not extreme but notable — this level typically precedes larger moves.
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-
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- value >= 0.6 AND value < 0.8 [MILD SQUEEZE]
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- Light compression. Volume and volatility are slightly below the baseline.
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- Pre-squeeze signal or normal pullback in oscillation.
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-
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- value >= 0.8 [EXPANSION / NO SQUEEZE]
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- Short-term volatility at or above its long-term GARCH norm. This is the
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- normal or expanding state. Price is realizing its typical or above-typical
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- movement. No stored energy condition.
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-
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- value >> 1.0 (significantly above 1.0)
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- Current volatility is substantially above the long-run GARCH baseline.
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- Post-squeeze expansion or a volatility shock event.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- TRAJECTORY MATTERS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- # The direction of squeeze_value change is as important as the absolute level.
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-
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- value moving from 0.8 → 0.5 → 0.3 (declining over multiple ticks)
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- Active compression building. Energy is accumulating. The lower it gets
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- and the longer it stays low, the more likely the breakout is material.
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- Monitor squeeze_duration and squeeze_energy for quantified buildup.
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-
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- value moving from 0.3 → 0.6 → 0.9 (rising after a squeeze)
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- Squeeze is RELEASING. Energy is being converted to realized movement.
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- This is the expected transition AFTER the breakout move initiates.
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- By the time value is above 0.8, the acute breakout phase has begun.
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-
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- value hovering near 0.5 for many ticks
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- Prolonged squeeze. Market is in sustained compression. Combined with
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- low squeeze_energy increase, this may indicate an information void
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- period. High-conviction break likely when catalyst arrives.
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-
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- INDICATOR RELATIONSHIPS
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- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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- indicators.squeeze_duration | REQUIRED_COMPANION
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- squeeze_duration counts consecutive ticks where value < 0.8.
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- Low squeeze_value + high squeeze_duration = sustained compression.
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- The combination is more meaningful than either alone.
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-
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- indicators.squeeze_energy | REQUIRED_COMPANION
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- squeeze_energy = squeeze_duration × (0.8 - value) = compressionDepth × time.
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- This is the integrated measure of compression buildup.
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- High squeeze_energy = the most significant potential release.
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-
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- indicators.regime | CONTEXT
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- IF regime = CONSOL AND volatility_squeeze < 0.5
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- → Regime confirms consolidation AND volatility confirms compression.
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- Dual confirmation of coiling condition.
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- IF volatility_squeeze transitions above 0.8 AND regime shifts to BREAKOUT
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- → The squeeze is releasing AND regime has confirmed direction.
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- Highest confidence breakout signal.
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-
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- indicators.market_structure | CONTEXT
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- market_structure = CONSOL or BREAKING_UP after a squeeze period confirms
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- the structural context of both compression and release.
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-
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- indicators.activity_ratio | CONTEXT
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- IF activity_ratio < 0.5 AND volatility_squeeze < 0.5
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- → Compression in both volume AND GARCH volatility. Not just a quiet
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- period — both volume and price movement are compressed simultaneously.
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-
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- indicators.hmi | CONTEXT
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- After a squeeze release, the direction of the hmi move (positive or negative)
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- provides the directional interpretation of the energy release.
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- volatility_squeeze confirms compression existed; hmi tells you which way
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- the energy released.
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- DEPENDENCY ORDER
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- 1 Read value; classify SQUEEZE (< 0.8) vs EXPANSION (>= 0.8).
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- 2 In squeeze: classify depth (EXTREME < 0.3, ACTIVE < 0.4, MILD < 0.6).
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- 3 Read squeeze_duration and squeeze_energy for magnitude of buildup.
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- 4 Regime for compression/breakout confirmation.
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- 5 Post-release: read hmi for direction of energy release.
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- INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
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- IF fewer than 50 ticks of return history
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- → Long GARCH window (50) has not converged. Value is unreliable.
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- Treat first 50-60 ticks after start/reset as warm-up.
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- IF a sudden extreme price move occurs (> 5% in 1 tick)
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- → GARCH may spike sharply. One outlier return inflates h_short significantly.
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- Value may jump to >> 1.0 transiently. Wait for GARCH to stabilize.
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- ANTI-PATTERNS — DETECTABLE MISUSE CONDITIONS
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- IF value < 0.3 is treated as a trade signal on its own
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- → INCORRECT. Extreme squeeze tells you compression exists but says
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- NOTHING about direction. Directional confirmation (hmi, regime shift,
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- market_structure breakout) is required before acting.
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- IF value > 0.8 is treated as "safe to trade"
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- → INCORRECT INTERPRETATION. Value > 0.8 means volatility is expanding.
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- This is the RELEASE phase of a squeeze — often the most volatile
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- and fastest-moving period. This is when positions face highest
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- whipsaw risk, not least.
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- IF the relationship between value and compression is treated as "higher = more squeeze"
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- → INVERTING THE SCALE. Lower value = more compressed. value = 0.2
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- is maximum squeeze, NOT a minimum. This is a common error with
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- ratio-based indicators. Remember: value compares short GARCH to
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- long GARCH — below 1.0 means short is below long.