@mostlyrightmd/markets 1.2.0 → 1.4.0

package/dist/polymarket/index.mjs.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
-{"version":3,"sources":["../../src/polymarket/client.ts","../../src/polymarket/errors.ts","../../src/polymarket/types.ts","../../src/polymarket/description.ts","../../src/polymarket/discover.ts","../../src/polymarket/resolver.ts","../../src/data/generated/polymarket-city-stations.ts","../../src/polymarket/known-wrong-stations.ts","../../src/polymarket/settle.ts"],"sourcesContent":["// TS-W5 Wave 1 — Polymarket Gamma API client.\n//\n// Port of `packages/markets/src/mostlyright/markets/_polymarket_client.py`.\n// HTTP fetch + 0.2s politeness sleep + retry on 429/5xx + offset-paginated\n// discovery up to 10000 events. Gamma's Cloudfront edge 403s on blank\n// User-Agent, so we always set a mostlyright UA.\n\nimport { NotFoundError, fetchWithRetry } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\n\nconst GAMMA_BASE = \"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com\";\nconst PAGE_SIZE = 100;\nconst MAX_EVENTS = 10_000;\nconst DEFAULT_USER_AGENT =\n  \"mostlyright-ts/0.1.0 (+https://github.com/mostlyrightmd/mostlyright-sdk)\";\nconst DEFAULT_SLEEP_BETWEEN_MS = 200; // 0.2 s\nconst RETRY_STATUSES: ReadonlySet<number> = new Set([429, 500, 502, 503, 504]);\n\n/** Raw Gamma event payload — narrow shape we depend on. */\nexport interface PolymarketEventRaw {\n  id?: string;\n  slug?: string;\n  title?: string;\n  description?: string;\n  endDate?: string;\n  active?: boolean;\n  closed?: boolean;\n  archived?: boolean;\n  tags?: Array<string | { label?: string; slug?: string }>;\n  [key: string]: unknown;\n}\n\nexport interface FetchEventsOptions {\n  /** Politeness sleep between requests, in ms. Default 200 (0.2 s). Pass 0 to skip. */\n  readonly sleepBetweenMs?: number;\n  /** AbortSignal for the whole paginator. */\n  readonly signal?: AbortSignal;\n  /** Override fetch (for tests). Defaults to global fetch. */\n  readonly fetchFn?: typeof fetch;\n}\n\nasync function sleep(ms: number, signal?: AbortSignal): Promise<void> {\n  if (ms <= 0) return;\n  return new Promise((resolve, reject) => {\n    const timer = setTimeout(() => {\n      cleanup();\n      resolve();\n    }, ms);\n    const onAbort = () => {\n      cleanup();\n      reject(signal?.reason ?? new DOMException(\"Aborted\", \"AbortError\"));\n    };\n    function cleanup() {\n      clearTimeout(timer);\n      if (signal !== undefined) signal.removeEventListener(\"abort\", onAbort);\n    }\n    if (signal !== undefined) {\n      if (signal.aborted) {\n        cleanup();\n        reject(signal.reason ?? new DOMException(\"Aborted\", \"AbortError\"));\n        return;\n      }\n      signal.addEventListener(\"abort\", onAbort, { once: true });\n    }\n  });\n}\n\n/**\n * Fetch every active weather event from Gamma, paginated by `offset` in\n * `PAGE_SIZE` increments until either an empty page is returned or\n * `MAX_EVENTS` is reached. Dedup by slug to defend against the rare case\n * where pagination overlaps under concurrent edits on Gamma's side.\n */\nexport async function fetchEvents(opts: FetchEventsOptions = {}): Promise<PolymarketEventRaw[]> {\n  const sleepMs = opts.sleepBetweenMs ?? DEFAULT_SLEEP_BETWEEN_MS;\n  const seen = new Set<string>();\n  const out: PolymarketEventRaw[] = [];\n  for (let offset = 0; offset < MAX_EVENTS; offset += PAGE_SIZE) {\n    const url = `${GAMMA_BASE}/events?limit=${PAGE_SIZE}&offset=${offset}&active=true&closed=false`;\n    const fetchOpts: Parameters<typeof fetchWithRetry>[1] = {\n      headers: { Accept: \"application/json\" },\n      userAgent: DEFAULT_USER_AGENT,\n      retryStatuses: RETRY_STATUSES,\n    };\n    if (opts.signal !== undefined) fetchOpts.signal = opts.signal;\n    // Codex iter-5 P3: forward `signal` to the custom fetchFn override too\n    // so callers can abort in-flight requests, not just inter-page sleeps.\n    const customInit: RequestInit = {\n      headers: { ...fetchOpts.headers, \"User-Agent\": DEFAULT_USER_AGENT },\n    };\n    if (opts.signal !== undefined) customInit.signal = opts.signal;\n    const resp = await (opts.fetchFn !== undefined\n      ? // Custom fetch override (tests). Bypass retry — caller mock-controls statuses.\n        opts.fetchFn(url, customInit)\n      : fetchWithRetry(url, fetchOpts));\n    if (!resp.ok) {\n      throw new Error(`Gamma API returned ${resp.status} ${resp.statusText} for offset=${offset}`);\n    }\n    const raw = (await resp.json()) as unknown;\n    // Codex iter-2 P2: distinguish \"Gamma changed shape\" from \"empty page\".\n    // Empty list → natural pagination terminator. Non-list → upstream\n    // contract changed; surface loudly instead of returning {} as nothing.\n    let page: PolymarketEventRaw[];\n    if (Array.isArray(raw)) {\n      page = raw as PolymarketEventRaw[];\n    } else if (\n      raw !== null &&\n      typeof raw === \"object\" &&\n      Array.isArray((raw as { data?: unknown }).data)\n    ) {\n      // Tolerate the documented `{data: [...]}` envelope shape.\n      page = (raw as { data: PolymarketEventRaw[] }).data;\n    } else {\n      throw new Error(\n        `Gamma API returned an unexpected page shape at offset=${offset} (expected array or {data: array}, got ${\n          raw === null ? \"null\" : typeof raw\n        }). The upstream contract may have changed; check https://docs.polymarket.com/.`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (page.length === 0) break;\n    for (const ev of page) {\n      const slug = typeof ev.slug === \"string\" ? ev.slug : null;\n      if (slug === null || seen.has(slug)) continue;\n      seen.add(slug);\n      out.push(ev);\n    }\n    if (page.length < PAGE_SIZE) break;\n    if (sleepMs > 0 && offset + PAGE_SIZE < MAX_EVENTS) {\n      await sleep(sleepMs, opts.signal);\n    }\n  }\n  return out;\n}\n\n/** Fetch a single event by id. Useful for the settle() flow when only an id is known. */\nexport async function fetchEventById(\n  eventId: string,\n  opts: FetchEventsOptions = {},\n): Promise<PolymarketEventRaw | null> {\n  const url = `${GAMMA_BASE}/events/${encodeURIComponent(eventId)}`;\n  const fetchOpts: Parameters<typeof fetchWithRetry>[1] = {\n    headers: { Accept: \"application/json\" },\n    userAgent: DEFAULT_USER_AGENT,\n    retryStatuses: RETRY_STATUSES,\n  };\n  if (opts.signal !== undefined) fetchOpts.signal = opts.signal;\n  // Codex iter-2 P2: fetchWithRetry THROWS NotFoundError on 404 (it does\n  // not return a Response); the resp.status check below is unreachable\n  // through the default path. Catch + convert to the documented null\n  // return so polymarketSettleById can surface PolymarketSettlementError.\n  // Codex iter-5 P3: forward `signal` to custom fetchFn override too.\n  const customInit: RequestInit = {\n    headers: { ...fetchOpts.headers, \"User-Agent\": DEFAULT_USER_AGENT },\n  };\n  if (opts.signal !== undefined) customInit.signal = opts.signal;\n  let resp: Response;\n  try {\n    resp =\n      opts.fetchFn !== undefined\n        ? await opts.fetchFn(url, customInit)\n        : await fetchWithRetry(url, fetchOpts);\n  } catch (err) {\n    if (err instanceof NotFoundError) return null;\n    throw err;\n  }\n  if (resp.status === 404) return null;\n  if (!resp.ok) {\n    throw new Error(`Gamma API returned ${resp.status} ${resp.statusText} for event=${eventId}`);\n  }\n  return (await resp.json()) as PolymarketEventRaw;\n}\n","// TS-W5 — Polymarket-specific errors. All subclass TradewindsError so they\n// gain toDict() and the standard request-id/error-code payload shape.\n\nimport { TradewindsError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\n\n/** Event payload is malformed (bad event id, oversized description, bad URL). */\nexport class PolymarketEventError extends TradewindsError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PolymarketEventError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_EVENT_INVALID\";\n}\n\n/** Settlement engine couldn't resolve an event to a value. */\nexport class PolymarketSettlementError extends TradewindsError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PolymarketSettlementError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_SETTLEMENT_FAILED\";\n}\n\n/**\n * Settlement attempted before the resolution source's publication delay\n * has elapsed. Carries `waitHours` so the caller can schedule a retry.\n *\n * Codex iter-1 P2: overrides `payload()` so `toDict()` (and any MCP\n * serializer downstream) includes the structured retry metadata. The\n * fields are otherwise only readable via the live JS error object.\n */\nexport class TooEarlyToSettleError extends TradewindsError {\n  readonly waitHours: number;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: string;\n  constructor(message: string, opts: { waitHours: number; resolutionSourceType: string }) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"TooEarlyToSettleError\";\n    this.waitHours = opts.waitHours;\n    this.resolutionSourceType = opts.resolutionSourceType;\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_TOO_EARLY\";\n\n  protected override payload(): Record<string, unknown> {\n    return {\n      ...super.payload(),\n      wait_hours: this.waitHours,\n      resolution_source_type: this.resolutionSourceType,\n    };\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Description exceeded the 16 KB cap. Direct subclass of TradewindsError\n * (rather than PolymarketEventError) because TS prevents narrowing a\n * `static readonly` literal type in a subclass.\n */\nexport class PayloadTooLargeError extends TradewindsError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PayloadTooLargeError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_PAYLOAD_TOO_LARGE\";\n}\n","// TS-W5 — Polymarket types + security constants.\n//\n// Ports the v0.14.1 + Phase 3.3 Python contract verbatim. Anything that\n// crosses the trust boundary (event description, resolution URL) is\n// validated against the constants here before reaching the HTTP fetch\n// or settlement engine.\n\n/**\n * Resolution-source netlocs we trust. Anything else throws\n * PolymarketEventError. Mirrors Python `RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST`.\n */\nexport const RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([\n  \"wunderground.com\",\n  \"www.wunderground.com\",\n  \"weather.gov\",\n  \"www.weather.gov\",\n]);\n\n/**\n * Per-netloc → enum value for the `resolutionSourceType` field on settlement\n * records. `hko` / `cwa` are predeclared for v0.2 (HKO/CWA clients).\n */\nexport const NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE: Readonly<Record<string, string>> = Object.freeze({\n  \"wunderground.com\": \"wunderground\",\n  \"www.wunderground.com\": \"wunderground\",\n  \"weather.gov\": \"noaa_wrh\",\n  \"www.weather.gov\": \"noaa_wrh\",\n});\n\n/** Enum values for the `resolutionSourceType` column. */\nexport const POLYMARKET_RESOLUTION_SOURCE_TYPES = Object.freeze([\n  \"wunderground\",\n  \"noaa_wrh\",\n  \"hko\",\n  \"cwa\",\n  \"other\",\n] as const);\nexport type PolymarketResolutionSourceType = (typeof POLYMARKET_RESOLUTION_SOURCE_TYPES)[number];\n\n/**\n * Event id pattern. Python widened this in codex iter-2 P1: real Gamma IDs\n * are numeric strings (`\"12345\"`), but condition-tag UUIDs + slugs also\n * appear in the wild. Wide enough to accept real Gamma payloads but narrow\n * enough to defend against URL-path injection.\n *\n * The plan called this \"UUID4 regex\" but follows Python's actual behavior:\n * the strict UUID4 form rejected every real Gamma event, breaking the\n * discover → settle round-trip.\n */\nexport const EVENT_ID_RE = /^[A-Za-z0-9_-]{1,128}$/;\n\n/**\n * Max bytes of a Polymarket event description we'll parse. Polymarket\n * descriptions are concise; oversized payloads indicate hostile input\n * (ReDoS defense).\n */\nexport const MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES = 16 * 1024;\n\n/**\n * Per-resolution-source publication delay. Settlement refuses to settle\n * until `now - settlementDate >= delay` to avoid settling on values the\n * issuer hasn't published yet.\n *\n * Wunderground typically posts daily extremes ~6h after local midnight;\n * NOAA WRH ~4h. \"other\" gets a conservative 24h fallback.\n */\nexport const SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS: Readonly<Record<string, number>> = Object.freeze({\n  wunderground: 6,\n  noaa_wrh: 4,\n  other: 24,\n});\n\n/**\n * Slug date extractor. Polymarket weather slugs embed the resolution date\n * (e.g. `will-nyc-be-above-80f-on-2026-05-23`). Used by `polymarketSettle`\n * to derive the resolution date from the slug instead of `event.endDate`.\n */\nexport const SLUG_DATE_RE = /(\\d{4})-(\\d{2})-(\\d{2})/g;\n\n/** Markets routed to v0.2 sources (CWA/HKO clients). */\nexport const DEFERRED_STATIONS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([\"VHHH\", \"RCTP\"]);\n\n/** Discovery row shape — one per active weather event. */\nexport interface PolymarketDiscoveryRow {\n  readonly eventId: string | null;\n  readonly slug: string | null;\n  readonly title: string | null;\n  readonly city: string | null;\n  readonly icao: string | null;\n  readonly measure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" | null;\n  readonly endTime: string | null;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType | null;\n}\n\n/**\n * Native unit of the market's published settlement value. Codex iter-3 P2:\n * international Polymarket markets publish in whole-°C, US in °F. The\n * settle engine returns the resolved value in BOTH units so the caller's\n * comparison against Polymarket's published value uses the matching unit.\n */\nexport type SettlementUnit = \"fahrenheit\" | \"celsius\";\n\n/** Settlement result shape. */\nexport interface PolymarketSettlementResult {\n  readonly eventId: string;\n  readonly settlementDate: string; // YYYY-MM-DD\n  readonly icao: string;\n  readonly measure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\";\n  /**\n   * Resolved temperature in the unit the caller asked for (the `unit`\n   * option; defaults to the station's native unit — F for US-registry\n   * stations, C for international). Convenience pointer to `resolvedValueF`\n   * or `resolvedValueC`.\n   */\n  readonly resolvedValue: number;\n  readonly resolvedValueC: number;\n  readonly resolvedValueF: number;\n  /** Which unit `resolvedValue` carries. */\n  readonly unit: SettlementUnit;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType;\n  readonly dataQualityAlert: string | null;\n}\n\n/** Settlement options. */\nexport interface PolymarketSettleOptions {\n  /** Optional description override (live discovery normally supplies this). */\n  readonly description?: string;\n  /** Reference \"now\" for the finalization-delay check. Defaults to `new Date()`. */\n  readonly now?: Date;\n  /**\n   * Polymarket's published settlement value, if known. The comparison\n   * uses whichever unit `unit` is set to. ±1°F (or ±0.6°C) diff emits an\n   * alert; values outside that band don't throw.\n   */\n  readonly polymarketPublishedValue?: number;\n  /**\n   * Resolved-value unit. Defaults to the station's native unit:\n   * °F for the 20 US Kalshi cities; °C for international stations\n   * (matches Polymarket's published-bucket convention per\n   * .planning/research/INGEST-PLANNER-RESEARCH.md). Codex iter-3 P2.\n   */\n  readonly unit?: SettlementUnit;\n}\n","// TS-W5 — Description-validation primitives.\n//\n// Ports Python `_validate_description` + `_extract_resolution_source_type`.\n// All three security defenses (16 KB cap, netloc allowlist, ReDoS-safe\n// URL extraction) live here so they can be unit-tested independently of\n// the higher-level settle() flow.\n\nimport { PayloadTooLargeError, PolymarketEventError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport {\n  MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES,\n  NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE,\n  type PolymarketResolutionSourceType,\n  RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST,\n} from \"./types.js\";\n\n// Bounded URL regex (linear-time match, no nested quantifiers → ReDoS-safe).\n// Stops on whitespace, `<`, `>`, `\"`, `'`, `)`. Capped at 2 KB per URL.\nconst URL_RE = /https?:\\/\\/[^\\s<>\"')]{1,2048}/g;\n\n/**\n * Apply the 16 KB cap + netloc allowlist to a description string.\n *\n * @throws PayloadTooLargeError when the UTF-8 byte length exceeds 16 KB.\n * @throws PolymarketEventError when any URL has a netloc outside the allowlist.\n */\nexport function validateDescription(description: string): void {\n  if (typeof description !== \"string\") {\n    throw new PolymarketEventError(\n      `description must be a string; got ${description === null ? \"null\" : typeof description}`,\n    );\n  }\n  const byteLen = new TextEncoder().encode(description).length;\n  if (byteLen > MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES) {\n    throw new PayloadTooLargeError(\n      `description exceeds 16 KB cap (got ${byteLen} bytes; oversized payloads indicate hostile input)`,\n    );\n  }\n  for (const match of description.matchAll(URL_RE)) {\n    const url = match[0];\n    let netloc: string;\n    try {\n      netloc = new URL(url).host.toLowerCase();\n    } catch {\n      throw new PolymarketEventError(`unparseable resolution-source URL ${JSON.stringify(url)}`);\n    }\n    if (netloc.length > 0 && !RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST.has(netloc)) {\n      throw new PolymarketEventError(\n        `resolution-source URL ${JSON.stringify(url)} not in allowlist [${[\n          ...RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST,\n        ]\n          .sort()\n          .join(\", \")}]`,\n      );\n    }\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Classify a description's resolution source by the first allowlisted netloc\n * found. Returns `\"other\"` when no allowlisted URL appears (the settlement\n * engine falls back to the 24-hour delay for \"other\").\n */\nexport function extractResolutionSourceType(description: string): PolymarketResolutionSourceType {\n  for (const match of description.matchAll(URL_RE)) {\n    const url = match[0];\n    let netloc: string;\n    try {\n      netloc = new URL(url).host.toLowerCase();\n    } catch {\n      continue;\n    }\n    const mapped = NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE[netloc];\n    if (mapped !== undefined) {\n      return mapped as PolymarketResolutionSourceType;\n    }\n  }\n  return \"other\";\n}\n","// TS-W5 Wave 3 — polymarketDiscover().\n//\n// Calls Gamma `/events`, enriches each event with city + ICAO + market\n// measure + resolution-source classification. Drops events that don't\n// resolve to a known city (logged for the caller). Surfaces deferred\n// markets (Taipei, HK-low) with `icao: null` so callers see they exist.\n\nimport { DeferredMarketError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\nimport { type FetchEventsOptions, type PolymarketEventRaw, fetchEvents } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { extractResolutionSourceType, validateDescription } from \"./description.js\";\nimport { PayloadTooLargeError, PolymarketEventError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { deriveCity, detectMarketMeasure, resolveStationForEvent } from \"./resolver.js\";\nimport type { PolymarketDiscoveryRow, PolymarketResolutionSourceType } from \"./types.js\";\n\nexport interface PolymarketDiscoverOptions extends FetchEventsOptions {\n  /**\n   * Sink for dropped events. Tests pass a recorder; production can pass\n   * console.info or omit. Receives `{slug, reason}` per skipped event.\n   */\n  onSkip?: (info: { slug: string | null; reason: string }) => void;\n}\n\n/**\n * Discover active Polymarket weather events.\n *\n * Returns one row per resolvable event. Events the resolver can't match\n * are dropped silently (with optional `onSkip` callback). Events that\n * route to a deferred station (Taipei, HK-low) appear in the result with\n * `icao: null` and `measure: null` so callers can SEE them.\n */\nexport async function polymarketDiscover(\n  opts: PolymarketDiscoverOptions = {},\n): Promise<PolymarketDiscoveryRow[]> {\n  const raw = await fetchEvents(opts);\n  const out: PolymarketDiscoveryRow[] = [];\n  for (const ev of raw) {\n    const slug = typeof ev.slug === \"string\" ? ev.slug : null;\n    const title = typeof ev.title === \"string\" ? ev.title : null;\n    const endTime = typeof ev.endDate === \"string\" ? ev.endDate : null;\n    const eventId = typeof ev.id === \"string\" ? ev.id : null;\n\n    const marketMeasure = detectMarketMeasure(ev);\n\n    let icao: string | null = null;\n    let cityKey: string | null = null;\n    let measureOut: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" | null = null;\n\n    try {\n      const resolved = resolveStationForEvent(ev, marketMeasure);\n      if (resolved === null) {\n        opts.onSkip?.({ slug, reason: \"no city match in catalog\" });\n        continue;\n      }\n      icao = resolved.icao;\n      // Phase 8 ts-architect iter-2 HIGH: normalize empty string → null at\n      // the row boundary to mirror Python's\n      // `(ev_enriched.get(\"city\") or \"\").lower() or None` semantics in\n      // `polymarket_discover`. Tier 1.5 returns `\"\"` when no explicit nor\n      // slug-derived city accompanies a URL-only resolution; emitting\n      // `city: \"\"` on the row would drift from Python's `city: None`.\n      cityKey = resolved.city === \"\" ? null : resolved.city;\n      measureOut = marketMeasure;\n    } catch (err) {\n      if (err instanceof DeferredMarketError) {\n        // Codex iter-4 P2: surface the matched city even when the market is\n        // deferred. The catch path used to null out `city` along with `icao`\n        // and `measure`, making deferred markets indistinguishable from\n        // unresolved-city rows for downstream consumers. Recover the city\n        // via deriveCity (cheap; the resolver had already done the same).\n        cityKey = deriveCity(ev);\n        icao = null;\n        measureOut = null;\n      } else {\n        throw err;\n      }\n    }\n\n    const description = typeof ev.description === \"string\" ? ev.description : \"\";\n    // Codex iter-4 P2: an empty/missing description means \"no allowlisted\n    // URL found\" — that's the `other` classification (24h fallback delay),\n    // NOT `null` (unknown). Mirrors extractResolutionSourceType's contract.\n    let resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType | null = \"other\";\n    if (description.length > 0) {\n      try {\n        validateDescription(description);\n        resolutionSourceType = extractResolutionSourceType(description);\n      } catch (err) {\n        // Bad description on a single event shouldn't poison the whole\n        // discovery batch. Codex iter-1 P2: catch both validation paths\n        // (PolymarketEventError AND PayloadTooLargeError, which is a\n        // sibling TradewindsError after the static-field flatten).\n        if (err instanceof PolymarketEventError || err instanceof PayloadTooLargeError) {\n          opts.onSkip?.({ slug, reason: `description rejected: ${err.message}` });\n          resolutionSourceType = null;\n        } else {\n          throw err;\n        }\n      }\n    }\n\n    out.push(\n      Object.freeze({\n        eventId,\n        slug,\n        title,\n        city: cityKey,\n        icao,\n        measure: measureOut,\n        endTime,\n        resolutionSourceType,\n      }),\n    );\n  }\n  return out;\n}\n\n/** Re-export for callers who want the raw shape. */\nexport type { PolymarketEventRaw } from \"./client.js\";\n","// TS-W5 Wave 2 — Tier 0/1/2/3 resolver chain + city catalog.\n//\n// Mirrors Python `_per_event_station.resolve_station_for_event` + the\n// `_derive_city` helper. The resolver chain:\n//\n//   - Tier 0 (deferred check): if the resolved ICAO is in DEFERRED_STATIONS\n//     (Taipei RCTP, Hong Kong VHHH) AND the market is low-extreme, raise\n//     DeferredMarketError. The Python contract defers only HK-LOW + Taipei\n//     because v0.2 will land CWA + HKO clients.\n//   - Tier 1: explicit `event.city` field if a known city.\n//   - Tier 2: derive city from slug + title + tags (lowercase substring\n//     match against the catalog, longest-key-first so multi-token cities\n//     like \"london_gatwick\" resolve before \"london\").\n//   - Tier 3: bail with KeyError — discover() drops the row, settle()\n//     surfaces PolymarketSettlementError.\n\nimport { DeferredMarketError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\n\nimport { POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS } from \"../data/generated/polymarket-city-stations.js\";\nimport type { PolymarketEventRaw } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { PolymarketSettlementError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { DEFERRED_STATIONS } from \"./types.js\";\n\n/**\n * Detect whether the market resolves on the daily HIGH or LOW from\n * keywords in the event title/slug/name. Distinct from the station-level\n * measure: many cities have one airport for both, but the market still\n * resolves on tmax XOR tmin.\n */\nexport function detectMarketMeasure(event: PolymarketEventRaw): \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" {\n  const text = [event.title, event.slug, (event as { name?: string }).name]\n    .filter((v): v is string => typeof v === \"string\")\n    .join(\" \")\n    .toLowerCase();\n  const hasHigh = /\\b(highest|high|hottest|warmest|max(?:imum)?)\\b/.test(text);\n  const hasLow = /\\b(lowest|low|coldest|coolest|min(?:imum)?)\\b/.test(text);\n  if (hasLow && !hasHigh) return \"low\";\n  if (hasHigh && !hasLow) return \"high\";\n  return \"default\";\n}\n\nconst CITY_KEYS_SORTED: ReadonlyArray<string> = Object.freeze(\n  Object.keys(POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS).sort((a, b) => b.length - a.length),\n);\n\n/**\n * Derive a city key from slug + title + tags. Lowercase substring match\n * against the catalog; longest-first so multi-token cities outrank prefixes.\n * Returns null when no match — caller decides whether to drop or surface.\n */\nexport function deriveCity(event: PolymarketEventRaw): string | null {\n  const parts: string[] = [];\n  const slug = typeof event.slug === \"string\" ? event.slug.toLowerCase() : \"\";\n  const title = typeof event.title === \"string\" ? event.title.toLowerCase() : \"\";\n  parts.push(slug, title);\n  const tags = event.tags;\n  if (Array.isArray(tags)) {\n    for (const tag of tags) {\n      if (typeof tag === \"string\") parts.push(tag.toLowerCase());\n      else if (tag !== null && typeof tag === \"object\") {\n        const label = tag.label ?? tag.slug;\n        if (typeof label === \"string\") parts.push(label.toLowerCase());\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  // Codex iter-5 P2: require word-boundary matches so cities don't false-\n  // positive inside ordinary words (e.g. \"comparison\" → \"paris\"). Build a\n  // regex per needle with non-word-character boundaries on both sides.\n  // Word characters are ASCII letters/digits + underscore; we treat \"-\",\n  // \" \", \"/\", \"(\", \")\" etc. as boundaries (covers the slug/title/tag forms\n  // we ingest).\n  const haystack = ` ${parts.join(\" \")} `;\n  for (const key of CITY_KEYS_SORTED) {\n    const needles = [key, key.replace(/_/g, \"-\"), key.replace(/_/g, \" \")];\n    for (const n of needles) {\n      if (n.length === 0) continue;\n      // Escape any regex metacharacters in `n` (city keys are alphanum +\n      // underscore + hyphen + space; the latter two need no escaping but\n      // be defensive).\n      const escaped = n.replace(/[.*+?^${}()|[\\]\\\\]/g, \"\\\\$&\");\n      const re = new RegExp(`(^|[^A-Za-z0-9])${escaped}(?=[^A-Za-z0-9]|$)`);\n      if (re.test(haystack)) return key;\n    }\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\n// Phase 8 — Tier 1.5 URL extraction (POLY-US-03).\n// Wunderground PWS / airport / history URL pattern; captures K-prefix ICAO\n// from CANONICAL settlement paths only — anchor allowlist: /pws/,\n// /dashboard/pws/, /history/daily/, /history/airport/, /weather-station/,\n// /cat/forecasts/. Real Polymarket settlement URLs carry country / state /\n// city slugs between the anchor and the ICAO (e.g.\n// /history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA); the `(?:[a-z0-9-]+/)*` segment\n// captures zero or more such intermediate slugs (codex iter-2 +\n// python-architect iter-2 CRITICAL — prior tighter version that required\n// the ICAO to abut the anchor missed every real Polymarket URL).\n//\n// The trailing negative-lookahead `(?![A-Za-z0-9_-])` rejects any\n// alphanumeric / underscore / hyphen follower so we accept common URL\n// terminators (`/`, `?`, `#`, `)`, `.`, `,`, whitespace, EOF) but reject\n// extensions like `KIDS-summer` where `-` would otherwise pass `\\b`\n// (codex iter-2 CRITICAL — original `(?=[/?#\\s]|$)` lookahead missed\n// Markdown-embedded URLs that end with `)`, `.`, etc.).\n// Iter-3 codex CRITICAL: case-insensitive flag let `[a-z0-9-]+/` consume\n// uppercase segments, so `/history/daily/KORD/date/KLAX` extracted `KLAX`\n// (the LAST K-prefix segment) instead of `KORD` (canonical station slot).\n// Fix: drop `i` flag — case-sensitive matching pins ICAO to the canonical\n// station slot. Real Wunderground URLs use lowercase paths + uppercase\n// ICAOs (RFC 3986 + Wunderground convention).\nconst WUNDERGROUND_ICAO_RE =\n  /https?:\\/\\/(?:www\\.)?wunderground\\.com\\/(?:dashboard\\/)?(?:pws|history\\/daily|history\\/airport|weather-station|cat\\/forecasts)\\/(?:[a-z0-9-]+\\/)*(K[A-Z]{3})(?![A-Za-z0-9_-])/g;\n\n/**\n * Extract the canonical Wunderground PWS / airport ICAO from `text`.\n *\n * Tier 1.5 of the resolver chain — runs between explicit `event.city`\n * and slug-derive. When a Polymarket event embeds a Wunderground PWS\n * URL, the URL IS the source of truth; no catalog lookup needed.\n *\n * Multi-URL disambiguation: when multiple canonical Wunderground URLs\n * appear, ALL extracted ICAOs MUST agree. Disagreement returns null so\n * the resolver falls through to Tier 2 city-derive (prevents an\n * issuer-side citation URL from silently swapping the settlement station).\n *\n * Returns uppercase ICAO (4 chars, leading K) when a canonical URL is\n * found AND any additional canonical URLs agree. Null otherwise —\n * including the disagreement case.\n */\nexport function extractIcaoFromResolutionSource(text: string | null | undefined): string | null {\n  if (typeof text !== \"string\" || text.length === 0) return null;\n  // Reset lastIndex on the global regex so multiple matchAll calls are safe\n  // (the regex literal is reused across calls).\n  const matches = [...text.matchAll(WUNDERGROUND_ICAO_RE)];\n  if (matches.length === 0) return null;\n  const unique = new Set<string>();\n  for (const m of matches) {\n    if (m[1] !== undefined) unique.add(m[1].toUpperCase());\n  }\n  if (unique.size !== 1) return null; // 0 or disagreement → abstain\n  return [...unique][0] ?? null;\n}\n\n/**\n * Resolve an event to `{icao, stationMeasure}` using the city catalog.\n *\n * Returns null when no city matches (caller drops the event).\n * Raises DeferredMarketError when the resolution would route to a v0.2\n * source (Taipei RCTP, Hong Kong VHHH for the low-extreme market).\n */\nexport function resolveStationForEvent(\n  event: PolymarketEventRaw,\n  marketMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\",\n): { city: string; icao: string; stationMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" } | null {\n  // Tier 1: explicit city field — useful for tests / synthetic events.\n  let cityKey: string | null = null;\n  const explicit = (event as { city?: unknown }).city;\n  if (typeof explicit === \"string\") {\n    const low = explicit.toLowerCase();\n    if (Object.prototype.hasOwnProperty.call(POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS, low)) {\n      cityKey = low;\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Tier 1.5: URL extraction from description / resolutionSource.\n  // The Wunderground URL is the issuer's canonical proof — beats catalog\n  // lookup for ICAO. Defer gate still applies so a URL injection cannot\n  // silently route an RCTP / HK-low market.\n  //\n  // Iter-1 TS-architect CRITICAL: the `city` field is owned by the slug-\n  // derive layer (matching Python's `_derive_city`-before-resolve pattern in\n  // `polymarket_discover`). Tier 1.5 ONLY sets `icao`; `city` is whatever\n  // the caller / slug-derive resolved to BEFORE the URL was considered.\n  // Returning `findCityForIcao(extractedIcao)` here would drift the TS row's\n  // `city` column away from the Python row for the same event — silent\n  // per-row source-identity drift, the parity-rubric CRITICAL.\n  const desc = typeof event.description === \"string\" ? event.description : \"\";\n  const resSrc =\n    typeof (event as { resolutionSource?: unknown }).resolutionSource === \"string\"\n      ? (event as { resolutionSource: string }).resolutionSource\n      : \"\";\n  const urlText = `${desc} ${resSrc}`;\n  const extractedIcao = extractIcaoFromResolutionSource(urlText);\n  if (extractedIcao !== null) {\n    if (extractedIcao === \"RCTP\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket market for station ${extractedIcao} is deferred until the v0.2 CWA client lands`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (extractedIcao === \"VHHH\" && marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket low-extreme market for station ${extractedIcao} is deferred until the v0.2 HKO client lands`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (DEFERRED_STATIONS.has(extractedIcao) && marketMeasure === \"default\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket market for deferred station ${extractedIcao} (measure=default) requires v0.2 client`,\n      );\n    }\n    // City: explicit Tier 1 wins; otherwise slug-derived; otherwise empty.\n    // This mirrors Python `polymarket_discover`'s ordering — `_derive_city`\n    // populates `event.city` BEFORE `resolve_station_for_event` runs, so the\n    // explicit-or-derived city is always the `city` column emitted on the row.\n    // discover.ts normalizes empty string back to null at the row boundary\n    // to mirror Python's `(ev.get(\"city\") or \"\").lower() or None` semantics.\n    const cityForRow = cityKey ?? deriveCity(event) ?? \"\";\n    // stationMeasure mirrors Python's _detect_measure(text) result (passed\n    // in by the caller as marketMeasure via detectMarketMeasure). Hardcoding\n    // \"default\" here would drift from Python for URL-sourced low/high\n    // markets (codex iter-2 HIGH).\n    return { city: cityForRow, icao: extractedIcao, stationMeasure: marketMeasure };\n  }\n\n  // Tier 2: scan slug + title + tags.\n  if (cityKey === null) {\n    cityKey = deriveCity(event);\n  }\n  if (cityKey === null) return null;\n\n  const entry = POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS[cityKey];\n  if (entry === undefined) return null;\n\n  // Station-level measure: cities that split (paris high vs low) follow\n  // the market measure; cities without a split use \"default\".\n  let stationMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" = \"default\";\n  if (marketMeasure === \"high\" && typeof entry.high === \"string\") stationMeasure = \"high\";\n  else if (marketMeasure === \"low\" && typeof entry.low === \"string\") stationMeasure = \"low\";\n\n  const icao = entry[stationMeasure] ?? entry.default;\n  if (typeof icao !== \"string\") return null;\n\n  // Tier 0 deferred-station guard. Taipei (RCTP) defers all markets;\n  // Hong Kong (VHHH) defers only the low market because HKO is the issuer\n  // for the daily low. High markets at HK resolve via standard METAR.\n  if (icao === \"RCTP\") {\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket market for station ${icao} is deferred until the v0.2 CWA client lands`,\n    );\n  }\n  if (icao === \"VHHH\" && marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket low-extreme market for station ${icao} is deferred until the v0.2 HKO client lands`,\n    );\n  }\n  if (DEFERRED_STATIONS.has(icao) && marketMeasure === \"default\") {\n    // Conservative default fallback for deferred stations.\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket market for deferred station ${icao} (measure=default) requires v0.2 client`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  return { city: cityKey, icao, stationMeasure };\n}\n\n/**\n * Parse the resolution date from a Polymarket weather slug. The LAST\n * YYYY-MM-DD match wins because slugs may carry both a creation date and\n * a resolution date (`created-2026-01-01-resolves-2026-05-23`) — the\n * resolution date is typically rightmost in Polymarket's convention.\n *\n * Mirrors Python `_settlement_date_from_slug` architect iter-1 HIGH-4.\n */\nexport function settlementDateFromSlug(slug: string): string {\n  const matches = slug.matchAll(/(\\d{4})-(\\d{2})-(\\d{2})/g);\n  let last: RegExpMatchArray | null = null;\n  for (const m of matches) last = m;\n  if (last === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no resolution date in slug ${JSON.stringify(slug)} (expected YYYY-MM-DD)`,\n    );\n  }\n  const [_, y, m, d] = last;\n  const year = Number(y);\n  const month = Number(m);\n  const day = Number(d);\n  // Validate calendar date roundtrips (e.g. reject 2025-02-30).\n  const ts = Date.UTC(year, month - 1, day);\n  const back = new Date(ts);\n  if (\n    back.getUTCFullYear() !== year ||\n    back.getUTCMonth() !== month - 1 ||\n    back.getUTCDate() !== day\n  ) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `slug ${JSON.stringify(slug)} carries malformed date ${y}-${m}-${d}`,\n    );\n  }\n  return `${y}-${m}-${d}`;\n}\n","// AUTO-GENERATED by @mostlyrightmd/codegen from schemas/polymarket-city-stations.json.\n// DO NOT EDIT — regenerate with: pnpm codegen\n// Last manifest SHA recorded in schemas/EXPORT_MANIFEST.json\n\nexport interface PolymarketCityStation {\n  default: string;\n  high?: string;\n  low?: string;\n  [measure: string]: string | undefined;\n}\n\nexport const POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS: Readonly<Record<string, PolymarketCityStation>> = {\n  amsterdam: {\n    default: \"EHAM\",\n  },\n  atlanta: {\n    default: \"KATL\",\n  },\n  auckland: {\n    default: \"NZAA\",\n  },\n  austin: {\n    default: \"KAUS\",\n  },\n  bangkok: {\n    default: \"VTBS\",\n  },\n  barcelona: {\n    default: \"LEBL\",\n  },\n  beijing: {\n    default: \"ZBAA\",\n  },\n  berlin: {\n    default: \"EDDB\",\n  },\n  boston: {\n    default: \"KBOS\",\n  },\n  brisbane: {\n    default: \"YBBN\",\n  },\n  buenos_aires: {\n    default: \"SAEZ\",\n  },\n  chicago: {\n    default: \"KORD\",\n    high: \"KORD\",\n    low: \"KORD\",\n  },\n  copenhagen: {\n    default: \"EKCH\",\n  },\n  dallas: {\n    default: \"KDFW\",\n  },\n  delhi: {\n    default: \"VIDP\",\n  },\n  denver: {\n    default: \"KDEN\",\n  },\n  detroit: {\n    default: \"KDTW\",\n  },\n  doha: {\n    default: \"OTHH\",\n  },\n  dubai: {\n    default: \"OMDB\",\n  },\n  frankfurt: {\n    default: \"EDDF\",\n  },\n  helsinki: {\n    default: \"EFHK\",\n  },\n  hong_kong: {\n    default: \"VHHH\",\n    high: \"VHHH\",\n    low: \"VHHH\",\n  },\n  houston: {\n    default: \"KIAH\",\n  },\n  london: {\n    default: \"EGLL\",\n  },\n  london_gatwick: {\n    default: \"EGKK\",\n  },\n  los_angeles: {\n    default: \"KLAX\",\n    high: \"KLAX\",\n    low: \"KLAX\",\n  },\n  madrid: {\n    default: \"LEMD\",\n  },\n  melbourne: {\n    default: \"YMML\",\n  },\n  miami: {\n    default: \"KMIA\",\n  },\n  milan: {\n    default: \"LIMC\",\n  },\n  minneapolis: {\n    default: \"KMSP\",\n  },\n  moscow: {\n    default: \"UUEE\",\n  },\n  mumbai: {\n    default: \"VABB\",\n  },\n  munich: {\n    default: \"EDDM\",\n  },\n  nyc: {\n    default: \"KLGA\",\n    high: \"KLGA\",\n    low: \"KLGA\",\n  },\n  paris: {\n    default: \"LFPG\",\n    high: \"LFPG\",\n    low: \"LFPB\",\n  },\n  paris_orly: {\n    default: \"LFPO\",\n  },\n  philadelphia: {\n    default: \"KPHL\",\n  },\n  phoenix: {\n    default: \"KPHX\",\n  },\n  riyadh: {\n    default: \"OERK\",\n  },\n  rome: {\n    default: \"LIRF\",\n  },\n  san_francisco: {\n    default: \"KSFO\",\n  },\n  sao_paulo: {\n    default: \"SBGR\",\n  },\n  seattle: {\n    default: \"KSEA\",\n  },\n  seoul: {\n    default: \"RKSI\",\n  },\n  shanghai: {\n    default: \"ZSPD\",\n  },\n  singapore: {\n    default: \"WSSS\",\n  },\n  stockholm: {\n    default: \"ESSA\",\n  },\n  sydney: {\n    default: \"YSSY\",\n  },\n  taipei: {\n    default: \"RCTP\",\n  },\n  tokyo: {\n    default: \"RJTT\",\n    high: \"RJTT\",\n    low: \"RJTT\",\n  },\n  tokyo_narita: {\n    default: \"RJAA\",\n  },\n  vienna: {\n    default: \"LOWW\",\n  },\n  warsaw: {\n    default: \"EPWA\",\n  },\n  washington_dc: {\n    default: \"KDCA\",\n  },\n  wellington: {\n    default: \"NZWN\",\n  },\n  zurich: {\n    default: \"LSZH\",\n  },\n} as const;\n","// Phase 8 — per-issuer denylist. Hand-paired with Python\n// `mostlyright.markets.polymarket.KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS` (NOT codegen;\n// see .planning/phases/08-.../PLAN.md §\"TS Parity\" for rationale —\n// the constant is small enough that exporter wiring would cost more\n// than it saves, and the alphabetized JSON exporter side-effect would\n// conflate it with the cities map).\n//\n// Per-city Map (not flat set) because Polymarket's catalog is multi-city\n// and the \"wrong\" station depends on which city the event is for.\n// Symmetric in spirit to Kalshi's KALSHI_KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS flat set:\n// Polymarket's per-city granularity is required because (e.g.) KLGA is\n// correct for NYC but wrong for Chicago (where Polymarket uses KORD).\n\nexport const POLYMARKET_KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS: Readonly<Record<string, ReadonlySet<string>>> =\n  Object.freeze({\n    // NYC: Polymarket uses KLGA. KNYC/KJFK/KEWR are common wrong answers.\n    nyc: new Set([\"KNYC\", \"KJFK\", \"KEWR\"]),\n    // Chicago: Polymarket uses KORD. KMDW is the common wrong answer.\n    chicago: new Set([\"KMDW\"]),\n    // Houston: Polymarket uses KIAH. KHOU is the common wrong answer.\n    houston: new Set([\"KHOU\"]),\n    // Dallas: Polymarket uses KDFW. KDAL is the common wrong answer.\n    dallas: new Set([\"KDAL\"]),\n    // SF: Polymarket uses KSFO. KOAK is the common wrong answer.\n    san_francisco: new Set([\"KOAK\"]),\n    // DC: Polymarket uses KDCA. KIAD/KBWI are common wrong answers.\n    washington_dc: new Set([\"KIAD\", \"KBWI\"]),\n  });\n","// TS-W5 Wave 4 — polymarketSettle().\n//\n// Settlement engine that consumes internationalDailyExtremes() from\n// @mostlyrightmd/core/discovery (TS-W6) as the resolution source, applies\n// the security/validation gates (event-id regex, 16 KB description cap,\n// netloc allowlist), and gates on the per-source publication-delay\n// window via TooEarlyToSettleError.\n//\n// Returns `{ icao, measure, resolvedValue, resolutionSourceType, settlementDate, dataQualityAlert }`.\n//\n// Threshold-bucket parsing (Python computes win/lose buckets from\n// description text) is deferred to v0.2 — for v0.1.0 we return the raw\n// resolved value (the daily extreme) and the caller picks the bucket.\n// This matches the contract the plan documents: \"ports the resolution\n// path, not the bucket-parser\".\n\nimport { STATIONS } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\nimport { type InternationalRow, internationalDailyExtremes } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core/discovery\";\n\nimport { type PolymarketEventRaw, fetchEventById } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { extractResolutionSourceType, validateDescription } from \"./description.js\";\nimport {\n  PolymarketEventError,\n  PolymarketSettlementError,\n  TooEarlyToSettleError,\n} from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { detectMarketMeasure, resolveStationForEvent, settlementDateFromSlug } from \"./resolver.js\";\nimport {\n  EVENT_ID_RE,\n  type PolymarketResolutionSourceType,\n  type PolymarketSettleOptions,\n  type PolymarketSettlementResult,\n  SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS,\n} from \"./types.js\";\n\n/**\n * Loader contract for the resolution-source observation rows. Defaults to\n * a no-op stub so the security/validation gates can be unit-tested without\n * pulling live cache data; production callers wire the cache reader here.\n *\n * Returning an empty array signals \"no rows available for this date\" and\n * surfaces as PolymarketSettlementError downstream.\n */\nexport type ObservationLoader = (args: {\n  icao: string;\n  fromDate: string;\n  toDate: string;\n}) => Promise<ReadonlyArray<InternationalRow>>;\n\nexport interface PolymarketSettleArgs extends PolymarketSettleOptions {\n  /**\n   * The raw Gamma event payload. Required because the settle engine reads\n   * `slug` (for the resolution date), `description` (for the resolution\n   * source), and `title/slug/name` (for the measure). Callers can fetch\n   * via `fetchEventById` if they only have an id.\n   */\n  readonly event: PolymarketEventRaw;\n  /**\n   * Loader that returns observation rows for `[fromDate, toDate]`. Defaults\n   * to an in-memory empty loader so callers MUST wire this for production.\n   */\n  readonly loader?: ObservationLoader;\n}\n\nfunction tzForStation(icao: string): string | null {\n  for (const s of STATIONS) {\n    if (s.icao === icao) return s.tz;\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\nfunction safeUuidIsh(eventId: string): boolean {\n  return typeof eventId === \"string\" && EVENT_ID_RE.test(eventId);\n}\n\n/**\n * Settle a single Polymarket event.\n *\n * Validates the event id, description (16 KB cap, netloc allowlist),\n * resolves the station via the city catalog, parses the resolution date\n * from the slug, enforces the per-source publication-delay window, and\n * pulls the daily extreme via `internationalDailyExtremes`.\n *\n * @throws PolymarketEventError on bad id / bad description / unsupported station.\n * @throws PolymarketSettlementError when no rows resolve for the station/date.\n * @throws TooEarlyToSettleError when the publication delay hasn't elapsed.\n */\nexport async function polymarketSettle(\n  args: PolymarketSettleArgs,\n): Promise<PolymarketSettlementResult> {\n  const event = args.event;\n  const eventId = typeof event.id === \"string\" ? event.id : \"\";\n  if (!safeUuidIsh(eventId)) {\n    throw new PolymarketEventError(\n      `event id ${JSON.stringify(eventId)} does not match ${EVENT_ID_RE.source}`,\n    );\n  }\n  const slug = typeof event.slug === \"string\" ? event.slug : \"\";\n  if (slug.length === 0) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\"event.slug is required for settlement (carries the date)\");\n  }\n  const description =\n    args.description ?? (typeof event.description === \"string\" ? event.description : \"\");\n  validateDescription(description);\n  const resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType =\n    description.length > 0 ? extractResolutionSourceType(description) : \"other\";\n\n  const marketMeasure = detectMarketMeasure(event);\n  const resolved = resolveStationForEvent(event, marketMeasure);\n  if (resolved === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `unable to resolve station for slug=${JSON.stringify(slug)} — no matching city in catalog`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  const settlementDate = settlementDateFromSlug(slug);\n  const now = args.now ?? new Date();\n\n  // Finalization-delay gate. We compare `now` to the station-local end of\n  // day (23:59:59 in the station's tz) so the delay doesn't fire too early\n  // for stations east of UTC.\n  const tz = tzForStation(resolved.icao) ?? \"UTC\";\n  const localEodMs = stationLocalEodUtcMs(settlementDate, tz);\n  const delayHours = SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS[resolutionSourceType] ?? SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS.other ?? 24;\n  const delayMs = delayHours * 3600 * 1000;\n  const earliestSettleMs = localEodMs + delayMs;\n  if (now.getTime() < earliestSettleMs) {\n    const waitMs = earliestSettleMs - now.getTime();\n    throw new TooEarlyToSettleError(\n      `settlement for ${resolved.icao} on ${settlementDate} (source=${resolutionSourceType}) requires another ${(\n        waitMs / 3600 / 1000\n      ).toFixed(2)} h`,\n      { waitHours: waitMs / 3600 / 1000, resolutionSourceType },\n    );\n  }\n\n  const loader = args.loader ?? defaultEmptyLoader;\n  const rows = await loader({\n    icao: resolved.icao,\n    fromDate: settlementDate,\n    toDate: settlementDate,\n  });\n  if (rows.length === 0) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no observation rows for station=${resolved.icao} date=${settlementDate} — warm the cache first`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  const extremes = internationalDailyExtremes(rows, { stationTz: tz });\n  const day = extremes.find((r) => r.localDate === settlementDate);\n  if (day === undefined) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no daily extreme for station=${resolved.icao} on local date ${settlementDate}`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  // Pick the value per the market measure. Codex iter-1 P2: ambiguous\n  // markets (default measure — title has both/neither high+low keywords)\n  // are NOT settled blind; refuse and force the caller to disambiguate.\n  // Mirrors Python's stricter behavior on average / non-extreme wordings.\n  let resolvedValueC: number | null = null;\n  let resolvedValueF: number | null = null;\n  if (marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n    resolvedValueC = day.tempMinC;\n    resolvedValueF = day.tempMinF;\n  } else if (marketMeasure === \"high\") {\n    resolvedValueC = day.tempMaxC;\n    resolvedValueF = day.tempMaxF;\n  } else {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `event ${JSON.stringify(eventId)} (slug=${JSON.stringify(slug)}) has ambiguous measure (\"default\" — title carries neither high nor low keyword); refusing to settle silently. 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Iterate from the canonical UTC midnight of nextDay\n  // outward in 15-minute steps (the finest IANA offset granularity in\n  // common use — Nepal Asia/Kathmandu is +5:45). Codex iter-1 P3: a\n  // 1-hour step missed Asia/Kolkata (+5:30), Asia/Kathmandu (+5:45) and\n  // similar half/quarter-hour zones, returning end-of-day 30 min late.\n  const nextDay = new Date(`${localDate}T00:00:00Z`);\n  nextDay.setUTCDate(nextDay.getUTCDate() + 1);\n  const expectedDate = nextDayDate(localDate);\n  const minuteFmt = new Intl.DateTimeFormat(\"en-US\", {\n    timeZone: tz,\n    hour: \"2-digit\",\n    minute: \"2-digit\",\n    hour12: false,\n  });\n  // Step size: 15 min. 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Pass 0 to skip. */\n  readonly sleepBetweenMs?: number;\n  /** AbortSignal for the whole paginator. */\n  readonly signal?: AbortSignal;\n  /** Override fetch (for tests). 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Dedup by slug to defend against the rare case\n * where pagination overlaps under concurrent edits on Gamma's side.\n */\nexport async function fetchEvents(opts: FetchEventsOptions = {}): Promise<PolymarketEventRaw[]> {\n  const sleepMs = opts.sleepBetweenMs ?? 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The upstream contract may have changed; check https://docs.polymarket.com/.`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (page.length === 0) break;\n    for (const ev of page) {\n      const slug = typeof ev.slug === \"string\" ? ev.slug : null;\n      if (slug === null || seen.has(slug)) continue;\n      seen.add(slug);\n      out.push(ev);\n    }\n    if (page.length < PAGE_SIZE) break;\n    if (sleepMs > 0 && offset + PAGE_SIZE < MAX_EVENTS) {\n      await sleep(sleepMs, opts.signal);\n    }\n  }\n  return out;\n}\n\n/** Fetch a single event by id. 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All subclass MostlyRightError so they\n// gain toDict() and the standard request-id/error-code payload shape.\n\nimport { MostlyRightError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\n\n/** Event payload is malformed (bad event id, oversized description, bad URL). */\nexport class PolymarketEventError extends MostlyRightError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PolymarketEventError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_EVENT_INVALID\";\n}\n\n/** Settlement engine couldn't resolve an event to a value. */\nexport class PolymarketSettlementError extends MostlyRightError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PolymarketSettlementError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_SETTLEMENT_FAILED\";\n}\n\n/**\n * Settlement attempted before the resolution source's publication delay\n * has elapsed. Carries `waitHours` so the caller can schedule a retry.\n *\n * Codex iter-1 P2: overrides `payload()` so `toDict()` (and any MCP\n * serializer downstream) includes the structured retry metadata. The\n * fields are otherwise only readable via the live JS error object.\n */\nexport class TooEarlyToSettleError extends MostlyRightError {\n  readonly waitHours: number;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: string;\n  constructor(message: string, opts: { waitHours: number; resolutionSourceType: string }) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"TooEarlyToSettleError\";\n    this.waitHours = opts.waitHours;\n    this.resolutionSourceType = opts.resolutionSourceType;\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_TOO_EARLY\";\n\n  protected override payload(): Record<string, unknown> {\n    return {\n      ...super.payload(),\n      wait_hours: this.waitHours,\n      resolution_source_type: this.resolutionSourceType,\n    };\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Description exceeded the 16 KB cap. Direct subclass of MostlyRightError\n * (rather than PolymarketEventError) because TS prevents narrowing a\n * `static readonly` literal type in a subclass.\n */\nexport class PayloadTooLargeError extends MostlyRightError {\n  constructor(message: string) {\n    super(message);\n    this.name = \"PayloadTooLargeError\";\n  }\n  static readonly defaultErrorCode = \"POLYMARKET_PAYLOAD_TOO_LARGE\";\n}\n","// TS-W5 — Polymarket types + security constants.\n//\n// Ports the v0.14.1 + Phase 3.3 Python contract verbatim. Anything that\n// crosses the trust boundary (event description, resolution URL) is\n// validated against the constants here before reaching the HTTP fetch\n// or settlement engine.\n\n/**\n * Resolution-source netlocs we trust. Anything else throws\n * PolymarketEventError. Mirrors Python `RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST`.\n */\nexport const RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([\n  \"wunderground.com\",\n  \"www.wunderground.com\",\n  \"weather.gov\",\n  \"www.weather.gov\",\n]);\n\n/**\n * Per-netloc → enum value for the `resolutionSourceType` field on settlement\n * records. `hko` / `cwa` are predeclared for v0.2 (HKO/CWA clients).\n */\nexport const NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE: Readonly<Record<string, string>> = Object.freeze({\n  \"wunderground.com\": \"wunderground\",\n  \"www.wunderground.com\": \"wunderground\",\n  \"weather.gov\": \"noaa_wrh\",\n  \"www.weather.gov\": \"noaa_wrh\",\n});\n\n/** Enum values for the `resolutionSourceType` column. */\nexport const POLYMARKET_RESOLUTION_SOURCE_TYPES = Object.freeze([\n  \"wunderground\",\n  \"noaa_wrh\",\n  \"hko\",\n  \"cwa\",\n  \"other\",\n] as const);\nexport type PolymarketResolutionSourceType = (typeof POLYMARKET_RESOLUTION_SOURCE_TYPES)[number];\n\n/**\n * Event id pattern. Python widened this in codex iter-2 P1: real Gamma IDs\n * are numeric strings (`\"12345\"`), but condition-tag UUIDs + slugs also\n * appear in the wild. Wide enough to accept real Gamma payloads but narrow\n * enough to defend against URL-path injection.\n *\n * The plan called this \"UUID4 regex\" but follows Python's actual behavior:\n * the strict UUID4 form rejected every real Gamma event, breaking the\n * discover → settle round-trip.\n */\nexport const EVENT_ID_RE = /^[A-Za-z0-9_-]{1,128}$/;\n\n/**\n * Max bytes of a Polymarket event description we'll parse. Polymarket\n * descriptions are concise; oversized payloads indicate hostile input\n * (ReDoS defense).\n */\nexport const MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES = 16 * 1024;\n\n/**\n * Per-resolution-source publication delay. Settlement refuses to settle\n * until `now - settlementDate >= delay` to avoid settling on values the\n * issuer hasn't published yet.\n *\n * Wunderground typically posts daily extremes ~6h after local midnight;\n * NOAA WRH ~4h. \"other\" gets a conservative 24h fallback.\n */\nexport const SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS: Readonly<Record<string, number>> = Object.freeze({\n  wunderground: 6,\n  noaa_wrh: 4,\n  other: 24,\n});\n\n/**\n * Slug date extractor. Polymarket weather slugs embed the resolution date\n * (e.g. `will-nyc-be-above-80f-on-2026-05-23`). Used by `polymarketSettle`\n * to derive the resolution date from the slug instead of `event.endDate`.\n */\nexport const SLUG_DATE_RE = /(\\d{4})-(\\d{2})-(\\d{2})/g;\n\n/** Markets routed to v0.2 sources (CWA/HKO clients). */\nexport const DEFERRED_STATIONS: ReadonlySet<string> = new Set([\"VHHH\", \"RCTP\"]);\n\n/** Discovery row shape — one per active weather event. */\nexport interface PolymarketDiscoveryRow {\n  readonly eventId: string | null;\n  readonly slug: string | null;\n  readonly title: string | null;\n  readonly city: string | null;\n  readonly icao: string | null;\n  readonly measure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" | null;\n  readonly endTime: string | null;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType | null;\n}\n\n/**\n * Native unit of the market's published settlement value. Codex iter-3 P2:\n * international Polymarket markets publish in whole-°C, US in °F. The\n * settle engine returns the resolved value in BOTH units so the caller's\n * comparison against Polymarket's published value uses the matching unit.\n */\nexport type SettlementUnit = \"fahrenheit\" | \"celsius\";\n\n/** Settlement result shape. */\nexport interface PolymarketSettlementResult {\n  readonly eventId: string;\n  readonly settlementDate: string; // YYYY-MM-DD\n  readonly icao: string;\n  readonly measure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\";\n  /**\n   * Resolved temperature in the unit the caller asked for (the `unit`\n   * option; defaults to the station's native unit — F for US-registry\n   * stations, C for international). Convenience pointer to `resolvedValueF`\n   * or `resolvedValueC`.\n   */\n  readonly resolvedValue: number;\n  readonly resolvedValueC: number;\n  readonly resolvedValueF: number;\n  /** Which unit `resolvedValue` carries. */\n  readonly unit: SettlementUnit;\n  readonly resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType;\n  readonly dataQualityAlert: string | null;\n}\n\n/** Settlement options. */\nexport interface PolymarketSettleOptions {\n  /** Optional description override (live discovery normally supplies this). */\n  readonly description?: string;\n  /** Reference \"now\" for the finalization-delay check. Defaults to `new Date()`. */\n  readonly now?: Date;\n  /**\n   * Polymarket's published settlement value, if known. The comparison\n   * uses whichever unit `unit` is set to. ±1°F (or ±0.6°C) diff emits an\n   * alert; values outside that band don't throw.\n   */\n  readonly polymarketPublishedValue?: number;\n  /**\n   * Resolved-value unit. Defaults to the station's native unit:\n   * °F for the 20 US Kalshi cities; °C for international stations\n   * (matches Polymarket's published-bucket convention per\n   * .planning/research/INGEST-PLANNER-RESEARCH.md). Codex iter-3 P2.\n   */\n  readonly unit?: SettlementUnit;\n}\n","// TS-W5 — Description-validation primitives.\n//\n// Ports Python `_validate_description` + `_extract_resolution_source_type`.\n// All three security defenses (16 KB cap, netloc allowlist, ReDoS-safe\n// URL extraction) live here so they can be unit-tested independently of\n// the higher-level settle() flow.\n\nimport { PayloadTooLargeError, PolymarketEventError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport {\n  MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES,\n  NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE,\n  type PolymarketResolutionSourceType,\n  RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST,\n} from \"./types.js\";\n\n// Bounded URL regex (linear-time match, no nested quantifiers → ReDoS-safe).\n// Stops on whitespace, `<`, `>`, `\"`, `'`, `)`. Capped at 2 KB per URL.\nconst URL_RE = /https?:\\/\\/[^\\s<>\"')]{1,2048}/g;\n\n/**\n * Apply the 16 KB cap + netloc allowlist to a description string.\n *\n * @throws PayloadTooLargeError when the UTF-8 byte length exceeds 16 KB.\n * @throws PolymarketEventError when any URL has a netloc outside the allowlist.\n */\nexport function validateDescription(description: string): void {\n  if (typeof description !== \"string\") {\n    throw new PolymarketEventError(\n      `description must be a string; got ${description === null ? \"null\" : typeof description}`,\n    );\n  }\n  const byteLen = new TextEncoder().encode(description).length;\n  if (byteLen > MAX_DESCRIPTION_BYTES) {\n    throw new PayloadTooLargeError(\n      `description exceeds 16 KB cap (got ${byteLen} bytes; oversized payloads indicate hostile input)`,\n    );\n  }\n  for (const match of description.matchAll(URL_RE)) {\n    const url = match[0];\n    let netloc: string;\n    try {\n      netloc = new URL(url).host.toLowerCase();\n    } catch {\n      throw new PolymarketEventError(`unparseable resolution-source URL ${JSON.stringify(url)}`);\n    }\n    if (netloc.length > 0 && !RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST.has(netloc)) {\n      throw new PolymarketEventError(\n        `resolution-source URL ${JSON.stringify(url)} not in allowlist [${[\n          ...RESOLUTION_SOURCE_ALLOWLIST,\n        ]\n          .sort()\n          .join(\", \")}]`,\n      );\n    }\n  }\n}\n\n/**\n * Classify a description's resolution source by the first allowlisted netloc\n * found. Returns `\"other\"` when no allowlisted URL appears (the settlement\n * engine falls back to the 24-hour delay for \"other\").\n */\nexport function extractResolutionSourceType(description: string): PolymarketResolutionSourceType {\n  for (const match of description.matchAll(URL_RE)) {\n    const url = match[0];\n    let netloc: string;\n    try {\n      netloc = new URL(url).host.toLowerCase();\n    } catch {\n      continue;\n    }\n    const mapped = NETLOC_TO_RESOLUTION_TYPE[netloc];\n    if (mapped !== undefined) {\n      return mapped as PolymarketResolutionSourceType;\n    }\n  }\n  return \"other\";\n}\n","// TS-W5 Wave 3 — polymarketDiscover().\n//\n// Calls Gamma `/events`, enriches each event with city + ICAO + market\n// measure + resolution-source classification. Drops events that don't\n// resolve to a known city (logged for the caller). Surfaces deferred\n// markets (Taipei, HK-low) with `icao: null` so callers see they exist.\n\nimport { DeferredMarketError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\nimport { type FetchEventsOptions, type PolymarketEventRaw, fetchEvents } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { extractResolutionSourceType, validateDescription } from \"./description.js\";\nimport { PayloadTooLargeError, PolymarketEventError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { deriveCity, detectMarketMeasure, resolveStationForEvent } from \"./resolver.js\";\nimport type { PolymarketDiscoveryRow, PolymarketResolutionSourceType } from \"./types.js\";\n\nexport interface PolymarketDiscoverOptions extends FetchEventsOptions {\n  /**\n   * Sink for dropped events. Tests pass a recorder; production can pass\n   * console.info or omit. Receives `{slug, reason}` per skipped event.\n   */\n  onSkip?: (info: { slug: string | null; reason: string }) => void;\n}\n\n/**\n * Discover active Polymarket weather events.\n *\n * Returns one row per resolvable event. Events the resolver can't match\n * are dropped silently (with optional `onSkip` callback). Events that\n * route to a deferred station (Taipei, HK-low) appear in the result with\n * `icao: null` and `measure: null` so callers can SEE them.\n */\nexport async function polymarketDiscover(\n  opts: PolymarketDiscoverOptions = {},\n): Promise<PolymarketDiscoveryRow[]> {\n  const raw = await fetchEvents(opts);\n  const out: PolymarketDiscoveryRow[] = [];\n  for (const ev of raw) {\n    const slug = typeof ev.slug === \"string\" ? ev.slug : null;\n    const title = typeof ev.title === \"string\" ? ev.title : null;\n    const endTime = typeof ev.endDate === \"string\" ? ev.endDate : null;\n    const eventId = typeof ev.id === \"string\" ? ev.id : null;\n\n    const marketMeasure = detectMarketMeasure(ev);\n\n    let icao: string | null = null;\n    let cityKey: string | null = null;\n    let measureOut: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" | null = null;\n\n    try {\n      const resolved = resolveStationForEvent(ev, marketMeasure);\n      if (resolved === null) {\n        opts.onSkip?.({ slug, reason: \"no city match in catalog\" });\n        continue;\n      }\n      icao = resolved.icao;\n      // Phase 8 ts-architect iter-2 HIGH: normalize empty string → null at\n      // the row boundary to mirror Python's\n      // `(ev_enriched.get(\"city\") or \"\").lower() or None` semantics in\n      // `polymarket_discover`. Tier 1.5 returns `\"\"` when no explicit nor\n      // slug-derived city accompanies a URL-only resolution; emitting\n      // `city: \"\"` on the row would drift from Python's `city: None`.\n      cityKey = resolved.city === \"\" ? null : resolved.city;\n      measureOut = marketMeasure;\n    } catch (err) {\n      if (err instanceof DeferredMarketError) {\n        // Codex iter-4 P2: surface the matched city even when the market is\n        // deferred. The catch path used to null out `city` along with `icao`\n        // and `measure`, making deferred markets indistinguishable from\n        // unresolved-city rows for downstream consumers. Recover the city\n        // via deriveCity (cheap; the resolver had already done the same).\n        cityKey = deriveCity(ev);\n        icao = null;\n        measureOut = null;\n      } else {\n        throw err;\n      }\n    }\n\n    const description = typeof ev.description === \"string\" ? ev.description : \"\";\n    // Codex iter-4 P2: an empty/missing description means \"no allowlisted\n    // URL found\" — that's the `other` classification (24h fallback delay),\n    // NOT `null` (unknown). Mirrors extractResolutionSourceType's contract.\n    let resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType | null = \"other\";\n    if (description.length > 0) {\n      try {\n        validateDescription(description);\n        resolutionSourceType = extractResolutionSourceType(description);\n      } catch (err) {\n        // Bad description on a single event shouldn't poison the whole\n        // discovery batch. Codex iter-1 P2: catch both validation paths\n        // (PolymarketEventError AND PayloadTooLargeError, which is a\n        // sibling MostlyRightError after the static-field flatten).\n        if (err instanceof PolymarketEventError || err instanceof PayloadTooLargeError) {\n          opts.onSkip?.({ slug, reason: `description rejected: ${err.message}` });\n          resolutionSourceType = null;\n        } else {\n          throw err;\n        }\n      }\n    }\n\n    out.push(\n      Object.freeze({\n        eventId,\n        slug,\n        title,\n        city: cityKey,\n        icao,\n        measure: measureOut,\n        endTime,\n        resolutionSourceType,\n      }),\n    );\n  }\n  return out;\n}\n\n/** Re-export for callers who want the raw shape. */\nexport type { PolymarketEventRaw } from \"./client.js\";\n","// TS-W5 Wave 2 — Tier 0/1/2/3 resolver chain + city catalog.\n//\n// Mirrors Python `_per_event_station.resolve_station_for_event` + the\n// `_derive_city` helper. The resolver chain:\n//\n//   - Tier 0 (deferred check): if the resolved ICAO is in DEFERRED_STATIONS\n//     (Taipei RCTP, Hong Kong VHHH) AND the market is low-extreme, raise\n//     DeferredMarketError. The Python contract defers only HK-LOW + Taipei\n//     because v0.2 will land CWA + HKO clients.\n//   - Tier 1: explicit `event.city` field if a known city.\n//   - Tier 2: derive city from slug + title + tags (lowercase substring\n//     match against the catalog, longest-key-first so multi-token cities\n//     like \"london_gatwick\" resolve before \"london\").\n//   - Tier 3: bail with KeyError — discover() drops the row, settle()\n//     surfaces PolymarketSettlementError.\n\nimport { DeferredMarketError } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\n\nimport { POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS } from \"../data/generated/polymarket-city-stations.js\";\nimport type { PolymarketEventRaw } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { PolymarketSettlementError } from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { DEFERRED_STATIONS } from \"./types.js\";\n\n/**\n * Detect whether the market resolves on the daily HIGH or LOW from\n * keywords in the event title/slug/name. Distinct from the station-level\n * measure: many cities have one airport for both, but the market still\n * resolves on tmax XOR tmin.\n */\nexport function detectMarketMeasure(event: PolymarketEventRaw): \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" {\n  const text = [event.title, event.slug, (event as { name?: string }).name]\n    .filter((v): v is string => typeof v === \"string\")\n    .join(\" \")\n    .toLowerCase();\n  const hasHigh = /\\b(highest|high|hottest|warmest|max(?:imum)?)\\b/.test(text);\n  const hasLow = /\\b(lowest|low|coldest|coolest|min(?:imum)?)\\b/.test(text);\n  if (hasLow && !hasHigh) return \"low\";\n  if (hasHigh && !hasLow) return \"high\";\n  return \"default\";\n}\n\nconst CITY_KEYS_SORTED: ReadonlyArray<string> = Object.freeze(\n  Object.keys(POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS).sort((a, b) => b.length - a.length),\n);\n\n/**\n * Derive a city key from slug + title + tags. Lowercase substring match\n * against the catalog; longest-first so multi-token cities outrank prefixes.\n * Returns null when no match — caller decides whether to drop or surface.\n */\nexport function deriveCity(event: PolymarketEventRaw): string | null {\n  const parts: string[] = [];\n  const slug = typeof event.slug === \"string\" ? event.slug.toLowerCase() : \"\";\n  const title = typeof event.title === \"string\" ? event.title.toLowerCase() : \"\";\n  parts.push(slug, title);\n  const tags = event.tags;\n  if (Array.isArray(tags)) {\n    for (const tag of tags) {\n      if (typeof tag === \"string\") parts.push(tag.toLowerCase());\n      else if (tag !== null && typeof tag === \"object\") {\n        const label = tag.label ?? tag.slug;\n        if (typeof label === \"string\") parts.push(label.toLowerCase());\n      }\n    }\n  }\n  // Codex iter-5 P2: require word-boundary matches so cities don't false-\n  // positive inside ordinary words (e.g. \"comparison\" → \"paris\"). Build a\n  // regex per needle with non-word-character boundaries on both sides.\n  // Word characters are ASCII letters/digits + underscore; we treat \"-\",\n  // \" \", \"/\", \"(\", \")\" etc. as boundaries (covers the slug/title/tag forms\n  // we ingest).\n  const haystack = ` ${parts.join(\" \")} `;\n  for (const key of CITY_KEYS_SORTED) {\n    const needles = [key, key.replace(/_/g, \"-\"), key.replace(/_/g, \" \")];\n    for (const n of needles) {\n      if (n.length === 0) continue;\n      // Escape any regex metacharacters in `n` (city keys are alphanum +\n      // underscore + hyphen + space; the latter two need no escaping but\n      // be defensive).\n      const escaped = n.replace(/[.*+?^${}()|[\\]\\\\]/g, \"\\\\$&\");\n      const re = new RegExp(`(^|[^A-Za-z0-9])${escaped}(?=[^A-Za-z0-9]|$)`);\n      if (re.test(haystack)) return key;\n    }\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\n// Phase 8 — Tier 1.5 URL extraction (POLY-US-03).\n// Wunderground PWS / airport / history URL pattern; captures K-prefix ICAO\n// from CANONICAL settlement paths only — anchor allowlist: /pws/,\n// /dashboard/pws/, /history/daily/, /history/airport/, /weather-station/,\n// /cat/forecasts/. Real Polymarket settlement URLs carry country / state /\n// city slugs between the anchor and the ICAO (e.g.\n// /history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA); the `(?:[a-z0-9-]+/)*` segment\n// captures zero or more such intermediate slugs (codex iter-2 +\n// python-architect iter-2 CRITICAL — prior tighter version that required\n// the ICAO to abut the anchor missed every real Polymarket URL).\n//\n// The trailing negative-lookahead `(?![A-Za-z0-9_-])` rejects any\n// alphanumeric / underscore / hyphen follower so we accept common URL\n// terminators (`/`, `?`, `#`, `)`, `.`, `,`, whitespace, EOF) but reject\n// extensions like `KIDS-summer` where `-` would otherwise pass `\\b`\n// (codex iter-2 CRITICAL — original `(?=[/?#\\s]|$)` lookahead missed\n// Markdown-embedded URLs that end with `)`, `.`, etc.).\n// Iter-3 codex CRITICAL: case-insensitive flag let `[a-z0-9-]+/` consume\n// uppercase segments, so `/history/daily/KORD/date/KLAX` extracted `KLAX`\n// (the LAST K-prefix segment) instead of `KORD` (canonical station slot).\n// Fix: drop `i` flag — case-sensitive matching pins ICAO to the canonical\n// station slot. Real Wunderground URLs use lowercase paths + uppercase\n// ICAOs (RFC 3986 + Wunderground convention).\nconst WUNDERGROUND_ICAO_RE =\n  /https?:\\/\\/(?:www\\.)?wunderground\\.com\\/(?:dashboard\\/)?(?:pws|history\\/daily|history\\/airport|weather-station|cat\\/forecasts)\\/(?:[a-z0-9-]+\\/)*(K[A-Z]{3})(?![A-Za-z0-9_-])/g;\n\n/**\n * Extract the canonical Wunderground PWS / airport ICAO from `text`.\n *\n * Tier 1.5 of the resolver chain — runs between explicit `event.city`\n * and slug-derive. When a Polymarket event embeds a Wunderground PWS\n * URL, the URL IS the source of truth; no catalog lookup needed.\n *\n * Multi-URL disambiguation: when multiple canonical Wunderground URLs\n * appear, ALL extracted ICAOs MUST agree. Disagreement returns null so\n * the resolver falls through to Tier 2 city-derive (prevents an\n * issuer-side citation URL from silently swapping the settlement station).\n *\n * Returns uppercase ICAO (4 chars, leading K) when a canonical URL is\n * found AND any additional canonical URLs agree. Null otherwise —\n * including the disagreement case.\n */\nexport function extractIcaoFromResolutionSource(text: string | null | undefined): string | null {\n  if (typeof text !== \"string\" || text.length === 0) return null;\n  // Reset lastIndex on the global regex so multiple matchAll calls are safe\n  // (the regex literal is reused across calls).\n  const matches = [...text.matchAll(WUNDERGROUND_ICAO_RE)];\n  if (matches.length === 0) return null;\n  const unique = new Set<string>();\n  for (const m of matches) {\n    if (m[1] !== undefined) unique.add(m[1].toUpperCase());\n  }\n  if (unique.size !== 1) return null; // 0 or disagreement → abstain\n  return [...unique][0] ?? null;\n}\n\n/**\n * Resolve an event to `{icao, stationMeasure}` using the city catalog.\n *\n * Returns null when no city matches (caller drops the event).\n * Raises DeferredMarketError when the resolution would route to a v0.2\n * source (Taipei RCTP, Hong Kong VHHH for the low-extreme market).\n */\nexport function resolveStationForEvent(\n  event: PolymarketEventRaw,\n  marketMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\",\n): { city: string; icao: string; stationMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" } | null {\n  // Tier 1: explicit city field — useful for tests / synthetic events.\n  let cityKey: string | null = null;\n  const explicit = (event as { city?: unknown }).city;\n  if (typeof explicit === \"string\") {\n    const low = explicit.toLowerCase();\n    if (Object.prototype.hasOwnProperty.call(POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS, low)) {\n      cityKey = low;\n    }\n  }\n\n  // Tier 1.5: URL extraction from description / resolutionSource.\n  // The Wunderground URL is the issuer's canonical proof — beats catalog\n  // lookup for ICAO. Defer gate still applies so a URL injection cannot\n  // silently route an RCTP / HK-low market.\n  //\n  // Iter-1 TS-architect CRITICAL: the `city` field is owned by the slug-\n  // derive layer (matching Python's `_derive_city`-before-resolve pattern in\n  // `polymarket_discover`). Tier 1.5 ONLY sets `icao`; `city` is whatever\n  // the caller / slug-derive resolved to BEFORE the URL was considered.\n  // Returning `findCityForIcao(extractedIcao)` here would drift the TS row's\n  // `city` column away from the Python row for the same event — silent\n  // per-row source-identity drift, the parity-rubric CRITICAL.\n  const desc = typeof event.description === \"string\" ? event.description : \"\";\n  const resSrc =\n    typeof (event as { resolutionSource?: unknown }).resolutionSource === \"string\"\n      ? (event as { resolutionSource: string }).resolutionSource\n      : \"\";\n  const urlText = `${desc} ${resSrc}`;\n  const extractedIcao = extractIcaoFromResolutionSource(urlText);\n  if (extractedIcao !== null) {\n    if (extractedIcao === \"RCTP\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket market for station ${extractedIcao} is deferred until the v0.2 CWA client lands`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (extractedIcao === \"VHHH\" && marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket low-extreme market for station ${extractedIcao} is deferred until the v0.2 HKO client lands`,\n      );\n    }\n    if (DEFERRED_STATIONS.has(extractedIcao) && marketMeasure === \"default\") {\n      throw new DeferredMarketError(\n        `Polymarket market for deferred station ${extractedIcao} (measure=default) requires v0.2 client`,\n      );\n    }\n    // City: explicit Tier 1 wins; otherwise slug-derived; otherwise empty.\n    // This mirrors Python `polymarket_discover`'s ordering — `_derive_city`\n    // populates `event.city` BEFORE `resolve_station_for_event` runs, so the\n    // explicit-or-derived city is always the `city` column emitted on the row.\n    // discover.ts normalizes empty string back to null at the row boundary\n    // to mirror Python's `(ev.get(\"city\") or \"\").lower() or None` semantics.\n    const cityForRow = cityKey ?? deriveCity(event) ?? \"\";\n    // stationMeasure mirrors Python's _detect_measure(text) result (passed\n    // in by the caller as marketMeasure via detectMarketMeasure). Hardcoding\n    // \"default\" here would drift from Python for URL-sourced low/high\n    // markets (codex iter-2 HIGH).\n    return { city: cityForRow, icao: extractedIcao, stationMeasure: marketMeasure };\n  }\n\n  // Tier 2: scan slug + title + tags.\n  if (cityKey === null) {\n    cityKey = deriveCity(event);\n  }\n  if (cityKey === null) return null;\n\n  const entry = POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS[cityKey];\n  if (entry === undefined) return null;\n\n  // Station-level measure: cities that split (paris high vs low) follow\n  // the market measure; cities without a split use \"default\".\n  let stationMeasure: \"high\" | \"low\" | \"default\" = \"default\";\n  if (marketMeasure === \"high\" && typeof entry.high === \"string\") stationMeasure = \"high\";\n  else if (marketMeasure === \"low\" && typeof entry.low === \"string\") stationMeasure = \"low\";\n\n  const icao = entry[stationMeasure] ?? entry.default;\n  if (typeof icao !== \"string\") return null;\n\n  // Tier 0 deferred-station guard. Taipei (RCTP) defers all markets;\n  // Hong Kong (VHHH) defers only the low market because HKO is the issuer\n  // for the daily low. High markets at HK resolve via standard METAR.\n  if (icao === \"RCTP\") {\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket market for station ${icao} is deferred until the v0.2 CWA client lands`,\n    );\n  }\n  if (icao === \"VHHH\" && marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket low-extreme market for station ${icao} is deferred until the v0.2 HKO client lands`,\n    );\n  }\n  if (DEFERRED_STATIONS.has(icao) && marketMeasure === \"default\") {\n    // Conservative default fallback for deferred stations.\n    throw new DeferredMarketError(\n      `Polymarket market for deferred station ${icao} (measure=default) requires v0.2 client`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  return { city: cityKey, icao, stationMeasure };\n}\n\n/**\n * Parse the resolution date from a Polymarket weather slug. The LAST\n * YYYY-MM-DD match wins because slugs may carry both a creation date and\n * a resolution date (`created-2026-01-01-resolves-2026-05-23`) — the\n * resolution date is typically rightmost in Polymarket's convention.\n *\n * Mirrors Python `_settlement_date_from_slug` architect iter-1 HIGH-4.\n */\nexport function settlementDateFromSlug(slug: string): string {\n  const matches = slug.matchAll(/(\\d{4})-(\\d{2})-(\\d{2})/g);\n  let last: RegExpMatchArray | null = null;\n  for (const m of matches) last = m;\n  if (last === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no resolution date in slug ${JSON.stringify(slug)} (expected YYYY-MM-DD)`,\n    );\n  }\n  const [_, y, m, d] = last;\n  const year = Number(y);\n  const month = Number(m);\n  const day = Number(d);\n  // Validate calendar date roundtrips (e.g. reject 2025-02-30).\n  const ts = Date.UTC(year, month - 1, day);\n  const back = new Date(ts);\n  if (\n    back.getUTCFullYear() !== year ||\n    back.getUTCMonth() !== month - 1 ||\n    back.getUTCDate() !== day\n  ) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `slug ${JSON.stringify(slug)} carries malformed date ${y}-${m}-${d}`,\n    );\n  }\n  return `${y}-${m}-${d}`;\n}\n","// AUTO-GENERATED by @mostlyrightmd/codegen from schemas/polymarket-city-stations.json.\n// DO NOT EDIT — regenerate with: pnpm codegen\n// Last manifest SHA recorded in schemas/EXPORT_MANIFEST.json\n\nexport interface PolymarketCityStation {\n  default: string;\n  high?: string;\n  low?: string;\n  [measure: string]: string | undefined;\n}\n\nexport const POLYMARKET_CITY_STATIONS: Readonly<Record<string, PolymarketCityStation>> = {\n  amsterdam: {\n    default: \"EHAM\",\n  },\n  atlanta: {\n    default: \"KATL\",\n  },\n  auckland: {\n    default: \"NZAA\",\n  },\n  austin: {\n    default: \"KAUS\",\n  },\n  bangkok: {\n    default: \"VTBS\",\n  },\n  barcelona: {\n    default: \"LEBL\",\n  },\n  beijing: {\n    default: \"ZBAA\",\n  },\n  berlin: {\n    default: \"EDDB\",\n  },\n  boston: {\n    default: \"KBOS\",\n  },\n  brisbane: {\n    default: \"YBBN\",\n  },\n  buenos_aires: {\n    default: \"SAEZ\",\n  },\n  chicago: {\n    default: \"KORD\",\n    high: \"KORD\",\n    low: \"KORD\",\n  },\n  copenhagen: {\n    default: \"EKCH\",\n  },\n  dallas: {\n    default: \"KDFW\",\n  },\n  delhi: {\n    default: \"VIDP\",\n  },\n  denver: {\n    default: \"KDEN\",\n  },\n  detroit: {\n    default: \"KDTW\",\n  },\n  doha: {\n    default: \"OTHH\",\n  },\n  dubai: {\n    default: \"OMDB\",\n  },\n  frankfurt: {\n    default: \"EDDF\",\n  },\n  helsinki: {\n    default: \"EFHK\",\n  },\n  hong_kong: {\n    default: \"VHHH\",\n    high: \"VHHH\",\n    low: \"VHHH\",\n  },\n  houston: {\n    default: \"KIAH\",\n  },\n  london: {\n    default: \"EGLL\",\n  },\n  london_gatwick: {\n    default: \"EGKK\",\n  },\n  los_angeles: {\n    default: \"KLAX\",\n    high: \"KLAX\",\n    low: \"KLAX\",\n  },\n  madrid: {\n    default: \"LEMD\",\n  },\n  melbourne: {\n    default: \"YMML\",\n  },\n  miami: {\n    default: \"KMIA\",\n  },\n  milan: {\n    default: \"LIMC\",\n  },\n  minneapolis: {\n    default: \"KMSP\",\n  },\n  moscow: {\n    default: \"UUEE\",\n  },\n  mumbai: {\n    default: \"VABB\",\n  },\n  munich: {\n    default: \"EDDM\",\n  },\n  nyc: {\n    default: \"KLGA\",\n    high: \"KLGA\",\n    low: \"KLGA\",\n  },\n  paris: {\n    default: \"LFPG\",\n    high: \"LFPG\",\n    low: \"LFPB\",\n  },\n  paris_orly: {\n    default: \"LFPO\",\n  },\n  philadelphia: {\n    default: \"KPHL\",\n  },\n  phoenix: {\n    default: \"KPHX\",\n  },\n  riyadh: {\n    default: \"OERK\",\n  },\n  rome: {\n    default: \"LIRF\",\n  },\n  san_francisco: {\n    default: \"KSFO\",\n  },\n  sao_paulo: {\n    default: \"SBGR\",\n  },\n  seattle: {\n    default: \"KSEA\",\n  },\n  seoul: {\n    default: \"RKSI\",\n  },\n  shanghai: {\n    default: \"ZSPD\",\n  },\n  singapore: {\n    default: \"WSSS\",\n  },\n  stockholm: {\n    default: \"ESSA\",\n  },\n  sydney: {\n    default: \"YSSY\",\n  },\n  taipei: {\n    default: \"RCTP\",\n  },\n  tokyo: {\n    default: \"RJTT\",\n    high: \"RJTT\",\n    low: \"RJTT\",\n  },\n  tokyo_narita: {\n    default: \"RJAA\",\n  },\n  vienna: {\n    default: \"LOWW\",\n  },\n  warsaw: {\n    default: \"EPWA\",\n  },\n  washington_dc: {\n    default: \"KDCA\",\n  },\n  wellington: {\n    default: \"NZWN\",\n  },\n  zurich: {\n    default: \"LSZH\",\n  },\n} as const;\n","// Phase 8 — per-issuer denylist. Hand-paired with Python\n// `mostlyright.markets.polymarket.KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS` (NOT codegen;\n// see .planning/phases/08-.../PLAN.md §\"TS Parity\" for rationale —\n// the constant is small enough that exporter wiring would cost more\n// than it saves, and the alphabetized JSON exporter side-effect would\n// conflate it with the cities map).\n//\n// Per-city Map (not flat set) because Polymarket's catalog is multi-city\n// and the \"wrong\" station depends on which city the event is for.\n// Symmetric in spirit to Kalshi's KALSHI_KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS flat set:\n// Polymarket's per-city granularity is required because (e.g.) KLGA is\n// correct for NYC but wrong for Chicago (where Polymarket uses KORD).\n\nexport const POLYMARKET_KNOWN_WRONG_STATIONS: Readonly<Record<string, ReadonlySet<string>>> =\n  Object.freeze({\n    // NYC: Polymarket uses KLGA. KNYC/KJFK/KEWR are common wrong answers.\n    nyc: new Set([\"KNYC\", \"KJFK\", \"KEWR\"]),\n    // Chicago: Polymarket uses KORD. KMDW is the common wrong answer.\n    chicago: new Set([\"KMDW\"]),\n    // Houston: Polymarket uses KIAH. KHOU is the common wrong answer.\n    houston: new Set([\"KHOU\"]),\n    // Dallas: Polymarket uses KDFW. KDAL is the common wrong answer.\n    dallas: new Set([\"KDAL\"]),\n    // SF: Polymarket uses KSFO. KOAK is the common wrong answer.\n    san_francisco: new Set([\"KOAK\"]),\n    // DC: Polymarket uses KDCA. KIAD/KBWI are common wrong answers.\n    washington_dc: new Set([\"KIAD\", \"KBWI\"]),\n  });\n","// TS-W5 Wave 4 — polymarketSettle().\n//\n// Settlement engine that consumes internationalDailyExtremes() from\n// @mostlyrightmd/core/discovery (TS-W6) as the resolution source, applies\n// the security/validation gates (event-id regex, 16 KB description cap,\n// netloc allowlist), and gates on the per-source publication-delay\n// window via TooEarlyToSettleError.\n//\n// Returns `{ icao, measure, resolvedValue, resolutionSourceType, settlementDate, dataQualityAlert }`.\n//\n// Threshold-bucket parsing (Python computes win/lose buckets from\n// description text) is deferred to v0.2 — for v0.1.0 we return the raw\n// resolved value (the daily extreme) and the caller picks the bucket.\n// This matches the contract the plan documents: \"ports the resolution\n// path, not the bucket-parser\".\n\nimport { STATIONS } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core\";\nimport { type InternationalRow, internationalDailyExtremes } from \"@mostlyrightmd/core/discovery\";\n\nimport { type PolymarketEventRaw, fetchEventById } from \"./client.js\";\nimport { extractResolutionSourceType, validateDescription } from \"./description.js\";\nimport {\n  PolymarketEventError,\n  PolymarketSettlementError,\n  TooEarlyToSettleError,\n} from \"./errors.js\";\nimport { detectMarketMeasure, resolveStationForEvent, settlementDateFromSlug } from \"./resolver.js\";\nimport {\n  EVENT_ID_RE,\n  type PolymarketResolutionSourceType,\n  type PolymarketSettleOptions,\n  type PolymarketSettlementResult,\n  SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS,\n} from \"./types.js\";\n\n/**\n * Loader contract for the resolution-source observation rows. Defaults to\n * a no-op stub so the security/validation gates can be unit-tested without\n * pulling live cache data; production callers wire the cache reader here.\n *\n * Returning an empty array signals \"no rows available for this date\" and\n * surfaces as PolymarketSettlementError downstream.\n */\nexport type ObservationLoader = (args: {\n  icao: string;\n  fromDate: string;\n  toDate: string;\n}) => Promise<ReadonlyArray<InternationalRow>>;\n\nexport interface PolymarketSettleArgs extends PolymarketSettleOptions {\n  /**\n   * The raw Gamma event payload. Required because the settle engine reads\n   * `slug` (for the resolution date), `description` (for the resolution\n   * source), and `title/slug/name` (for the measure). Callers can fetch\n   * via `fetchEventById` if they only have an id.\n   */\n  readonly event: PolymarketEventRaw;\n  /**\n   * Loader that returns observation rows for `[fromDate, toDate]`. Defaults\n   * to an in-memory empty loader so callers MUST wire this for production.\n   */\n  readonly loader?: ObservationLoader;\n}\n\nfunction tzForStation(icao: string): string | null {\n  for (const s of STATIONS) {\n    if (s.icao === icao) return s.tz;\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\nfunction safeUuidIsh(eventId: string): boolean {\n  return typeof eventId === \"string\" && EVENT_ID_RE.test(eventId);\n}\n\n/**\n * Settle a single Polymarket event.\n *\n * Validates the event id, description (16 KB cap, netloc allowlist),\n * resolves the station via the city catalog, parses the resolution date\n * from the slug, enforces the per-source publication-delay window, and\n * pulls the daily extreme via `internationalDailyExtremes`.\n *\n * @throws PolymarketEventError on bad id / bad description / unsupported station.\n * @throws PolymarketSettlementError when no rows resolve for the station/date.\n * @throws TooEarlyToSettleError when the publication delay hasn't elapsed.\n */\nexport async function polymarketSettle(\n  args: PolymarketSettleArgs,\n): Promise<PolymarketSettlementResult> {\n  const event = args.event;\n  const eventId = typeof event.id === \"string\" ? event.id : \"\";\n  if (!safeUuidIsh(eventId)) {\n    throw new PolymarketEventError(\n      `event id ${JSON.stringify(eventId)} does not match ${EVENT_ID_RE.source}`,\n    );\n  }\n  const slug = typeof event.slug === \"string\" ? event.slug : \"\";\n  if (slug.length === 0) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\"event.slug is required for settlement (carries the date)\");\n  }\n  const description =\n    args.description ?? (typeof event.description === \"string\" ? event.description : \"\");\n  validateDescription(description);\n  const resolutionSourceType: PolymarketResolutionSourceType =\n    description.length > 0 ? extractResolutionSourceType(description) : \"other\";\n\n  const marketMeasure = detectMarketMeasure(event);\n  const resolved = resolveStationForEvent(event, marketMeasure);\n  if (resolved === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `unable to resolve station for slug=${JSON.stringify(slug)} — no matching city in catalog`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  const settlementDate = settlementDateFromSlug(slug);\n  const now = args.now ?? new Date();\n\n  // Finalization-delay gate. We compare `now` to the station-local end of\n  // day (23:59:59 in the station's tz) so the delay doesn't fire too early\n  // for stations east of UTC.\n  const tz = tzForStation(resolved.icao) ?? \"UTC\";\n  const localEodMs = stationLocalEodUtcMs(settlementDate, tz);\n  const delayHours = SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS[resolutionSourceType] ?? SETTLE_DELAY_HOURS.other ?? 24;\n  const delayMs = delayHours * 3600 * 1000;\n  const earliestSettleMs = localEodMs + delayMs;\n  if (now.getTime() < earliestSettleMs) {\n    const waitMs = earliestSettleMs - now.getTime();\n    throw new TooEarlyToSettleError(\n      `settlement for ${resolved.icao} on ${settlementDate} (source=${resolutionSourceType}) requires another ${(\n        waitMs / 3600 / 1000\n      ).toFixed(2)} h`,\n      { waitHours: waitMs / 3600 / 1000, resolutionSourceType },\n    );\n  }\n\n  const loader = args.loader ?? defaultEmptyLoader;\n  const rows = await loader({\n    icao: resolved.icao,\n    fromDate: settlementDate,\n    toDate: settlementDate,\n  });\n  if (rows.length === 0) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no observation rows for station=${resolved.icao} date=${settlementDate} — warm the cache first`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  const extremes = internationalDailyExtremes(rows, { stationTz: tz });\n  const day = extremes.find((r) => r.localDate === settlementDate);\n  if (day === undefined) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `no daily extreme for station=${resolved.icao} on local date ${settlementDate}`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  // Pick the value per the market measure. Codex iter-1 P2: ambiguous\n  // markets (default measure — title has both/neither high+low keywords)\n  // are NOT settled blind; refuse and force the caller to disambiguate.\n  // Mirrors Python's stricter behavior on average / non-extreme wordings.\n  let resolvedValueC: number | null = null;\n  let resolvedValueF: number | null = null;\n  if (marketMeasure === \"low\") {\n    resolvedValueC = day.tempMinC;\n    resolvedValueF = day.tempMinF;\n  } else if (marketMeasure === \"high\") {\n    resolvedValueC = day.tempMaxC;\n    resolvedValueF = day.tempMaxF;\n  } else {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `event ${JSON.stringify(eventId)} (slug=${JSON.stringify(slug)}) has ambiguous measure (\"default\" — title carries neither high nor low keyword); refusing to settle silently. Disambiguate at the caller.`,\n    );\n  }\n  if (resolvedValueC === null || resolvedValueF === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `daily extreme for ${resolved.icao} on ${settlementDate} has null ${marketMeasure} (low coverage)`,\n    );\n  }\n\n  // Codex iter-3 P2: native unit selection. International Polymarket markets\n  // publish in whole-°C; US Kalshi markets publish in °F. Default unit follows\n  // the station's country (US → F, else C); caller can override with the\n  // `unit` option. dataQualityAlert compares in the SAME unit as the\n  // resolved/published values.\n  const isUsStation = STATIONS.find((s) => s.icao === resolved.icao)?.country === \"US\";\n  const unit = args.unit ?? (isUsStation ? \"fahrenheit\" : \"celsius\");\n  const resolvedValue = unit === \"celsius\" ? resolvedValueC : resolvedValueF;\n\n  let dataQualityAlert: string | null = null;\n  if (typeof args.polymarketPublishedValue === \"number\") {\n    const diff = Math.abs(resolvedValue - args.polymarketPublishedValue);\n    const threshold = unit === \"celsius\" ? 0.6 : 1;\n    const unitSym = unit === \"celsius\" ? \"°C\" : \"°F\";\n    if (diff > threshold) {\n      dataQualityAlert = `mostlyright resolved ${resolvedValue}${unitSym} but Polymarket published ${args.polymarketPublishedValue}${unitSym} (Δ=${diff.toFixed(2)}${unitSym} > ${threshold}${unitSym} threshold)`;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return Object.freeze({\n    eventId,\n    settlementDate,\n    icao: resolved.icao,\n    measure: marketMeasure,\n    resolvedValue,\n    resolvedValueC,\n    resolvedValueF,\n    unit,\n    resolutionSourceType,\n    dataQualityAlert,\n  });\n}\n\n/**\n * Settle by event id alone. Fetches the event from Gamma first, then\n * delegates to `polymarketSettle`. Useful when a caller only has the id\n * (e.g. from a Kalshi-side cross-reference).\n */\nexport async function polymarketSettleById(\n  eventId: string,\n  args: Omit<PolymarketSettleArgs, \"event\">,\n): Promise<PolymarketSettlementResult> {\n  if (!safeUuidIsh(eventId)) {\n    throw new PolymarketEventError(\n      `event id ${JSON.stringify(eventId)} does not match ${EVENT_ID_RE.source}`,\n    );\n  }\n  const event = await fetchEventById(eventId);\n  if (event === null) {\n    throw new PolymarketSettlementError(\n      `Gamma returned 404 for event id ${JSON.stringify(eventId)}`,\n    );\n  }\n  return polymarketSettle({ ...args, event });\n}\n\nasync function defaultEmptyLoader(): Promise<ReadonlyArray<InternationalRow>> {\n  return [];\n}\n\n/**\n * Compute the UTC ms instant of station-local 23:59:59 for the given date.\n * Used by the publication-delay gate so the delay doesn't fire too early\n * for stations east of UTC (architect iter-1 HIGH-1 in the Python port).\n */\nfunction stationLocalEodUtcMs(localDate: string, tz: string): number {\n  // Step 1: pick a UTC instant guaranteed inside the local day (noon UTC\n  // gets us inside the local day for every tz on Earth).\n  const noon = new Date(`${localDate}T12:00:00Z`);\n  // Step 2: extract the local-tz year/month/day for that instant via\n  // Intl.DateTimeFormat (matches the discovery/international.ts trick).\n  const fmt = new Intl.DateTimeFormat(\"en-US\", {\n    timeZone: tz,\n    year: \"numeric\",\n    month: \"2-digit\",\n    day: \"2-digit\",\n  });\n  const parts = fmt.formatToParts(noon);\n  let y = \"\";\n  let m = \"\";\n  let d = \"\";\n  for (const p of parts) {\n    if (p.type === \"year\") y = p.value;\n    else if (p.type === \"month\") m = p.value;\n    else if (p.type === \"day\") d = p.value;\n  }\n  // Step 3: find the UTC instant that is the local-midnight of the day\n  // AFTER `localDate`. Iterate from the canonical UTC midnight of nextDay\n  // outward in 15-minute steps (the finest IANA offset granularity in\n  // common use — Nepal Asia/Kathmandu is +5:45). Codex iter-1 P3: a\n  // 1-hour step missed Asia/Kolkata (+5:30), Asia/Kathmandu (+5:45) and\n  // similar half/quarter-hour zones, returning end-of-day 30 min late.\n  const nextDay = new Date(`${localDate}T00:00:00Z`);\n  nextDay.setUTCDate(nextDay.getUTCDate() + 1);\n  const expectedDate = nextDayDate(localDate);\n  const minuteFmt = new Intl.DateTimeFormat(\"en-US\", {\n    timeZone: tz,\n    hour: \"2-digit\",\n    minute: \"2-digit\",\n    hour12: false,\n  });\n  // Step size: 15 min. Range: ±15 hours of UTC for max IANA offset spread.\n  const STEP_MIN = 15;\n  const RANGE_MIN = 15 * 60;\n  for (let offsetMin = -RANGE_MIN; offsetMin <= RANGE_MIN; offsetMin += STEP_MIN) {\n    const candidate = new Date(nextDay.getTime() + offsetMin * 60 * 1000);\n    const cParts = fmt.formatToParts(candidate);\n    let cy = \"\";\n    let cm = \"\";\n    let cd = \"\";\n    for (const p of cParts) {\n      if (p.type === \"year\") cy = p.value;\n      else if (p.type === \"month\") cm = p.value;\n      else if (p.type === \"day\") cd = p.value;\n    }\n    if (`${cy}-${cm}-${cd}` !== expectedDate) continue;\n    const tParts = minuteFmt.formatToParts(candidate);\n    const hourStr = tParts.find((p) => p.type === \"hour\")?.value ?? \"00\";\n    const minStr = tParts.find((p) => p.type === \"minute\")?.value ?? \"00\";\n    const hour = hourStr === \"24\" ? 0 : Number(hourStr);\n    const minute = Number(minStr);\n    if (hour === 0 && minute === 0) {\n      return candidate.getTime() - 1000;\n    }\n  }\n  // Fallback: assume UTC if we can't resolve.\n  return new Date(`${localDate}T23:59:59Z`).getTime();\n}\n\nfunction nextDayDate(localDate: string): string {\n  const d = new Date(`${localDate}T00:00:00Z`);\n  d.setUTCDate(d.getUTCDate() + 1);\n  return d.toISOString().slice(0, 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package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@mostlyrightmd/markets",
-  "version": "1.2.0",
+  "version": "1.4.0",
   "description": "Prediction-market data for TypeScript / Node — Kalshi NHIGH/NLOW weather-contract resolvers, Polymarket discovery + settlement, and Kalshi + Polymarket trade history. For quants, backtesting, and ML training pipelines.",
   "keywords": [
     "kalshi",
@@ -55,13 +55,13 @@
     "dist"
   ],
   "peerDependencies": {
-    "@mostlyrightmd/core": "^1.2.0"
+    "@mostlyrightmd/core": "^1.4.0"
   },
   "devDependencies": {
     "tsup": "8.3.5",
     "typescript": "5.6.3",
     "vitest": "2.1.9",
-    "@mostlyrightmd/core": "1.2.0"
+    "@mostlyrightmd/core": "1.4.0"
   },
   "publishConfig": {
     "access": "public"