@mneme-ai/core 2.15.1 → 2.16.0

package/dist/alpha/index.js

@@ -0,0 +1,190 @@
+/**
+ * v2.16.0 — MNEME ALPHA  (Honest Financial AI Layer)
+ *
+ *   "When AI says 'NOK will go up tomorrow', Mneme ALPHA does NOT promise
+ *    90% accuracy. It does something that's actually possible: makes the
+ *    AI's claim TRACEABLE, FACT-CHECKABLE, and ACCURACY-MEASURED over
+ *    time. Sell that. Don't sell oracles."
+ *
+ * Honest scope (what ALPHA IS):
+ *   1. CLAIM EXTRACTION — pull structured claims from AI free-text:
+ *      ticker, direction (up/down/flat), horizon (today/week), price
+ *      target, confidence (if AI stated one).
+ *   2. PRICE-CHECK STUB — verify the price the AI quoted matches a real
+ *      live price (caller supplies a price-fetch function; ALPHA never
+ *      hardcodes a vendor).
+ *   3. OVERCONFIDENCE DETECTOR — flag claims that score above a sanity
+ *      ceiling (e.g., "I am 99% sure NVDA pumps tomorrow" → REJECTED).
+ *   4. TRACK-RECORD LEDGER — record (claim, vendor, predicted, observed)
+ *      and let BOUNTY compute the accuracy over time.
+ *   5. SIGNAL FUSION (audit-only) — fuse N AI vendors' opinions into a
+ *      consensus + dispersion metric. Output is ADVISORY, never a buy/
+ *      sell directive.
+ *
+ * Honest scope (what ALPHA IS NOT):
+ *   - Not a stock predictor.
+ *   - Not financial advice.
+ *   - Not a "90% accuracy oracle" — markets are mostly efficient + noisy;
+ *     no honest engineer claims 90% direction accuracy on liquid stocks.
+ *   - Not a backtester (use a proper quant framework for that).
+ *
+ * Wisdom: this is anti-hallucination + accountability for the corner of
+ * AI that has the most expensive hallucinations (someone's retirement).
+ * Saying NO to overconfident financial AI is more valuable than any
+ * "alpha edge" we could honestly promise.
+ */
+import { createHmac, randomBytes } from "node:crypto";
+const PROTOCOL_VERSION = 1;
+const TICKER_REGEX = /\b([A-Z]{1,6}(?:\.[A-Z]{1,3})?)\b/g;
+const HORIZON_HINTS = [
+    [/\b(intraday|today)\b/i, "today"],
+    [/\b(this\s+week|next\s+week|7\s*days?)\b/i, "week"],
+    [/\b(this\s+month|next\s+month|30\s*days?)\b/i, "month"],
+    [/\b(this\s+quarter|next\s+quarter|q[1-4])\b/i, "quarter"],
+    [/\b(this\s+year|next\s+year|annual)\b/i, "year"],
+    [/\b(long[\s-]?term|over\s+\d+\s+years?)\b/i, "long_term"],
+];
+function defaultSecret() {
+    return process.env["MNEME_ALPHA_SECRET"] || `mneme-alpha-v${PROTOCOL_VERSION}`;
+}
+function canon(v) {
+    if (v === null || typeof v !== "object")
+        return JSON.stringify(v);
+    if (Array.isArray(v))
+        return "[" + v.map(canon).join(",") + "]";
+    const keys = Object.keys(v).sort();
+    return "{" + keys.map((k) => JSON.stringify(k) + ":" + canon(v[k])).join(",") + "}";
+}
+/**
+ * Pull a structured FinancialClaim out of an AI free-text response.
+ * Heuristic; non-finding fields stay null.
+ */
+export function extractClaim(input) {
+    const text = input.text;
+    // Ticker — pick the first standalone uppercase 1-6 char token that isn't
+    // a common English word noise; bias toward $TICKER pattern when present.
+    let ticker = null;
+    const dollar = text.match(/\$([A-Z]{1,6}(?:\.[A-Z]{1,3})?)\b/);
+    if (dollar)
+        ticker = dollar[1];
+    else {
+        const tokens = text.match(TICKER_REGEX) || [];
+        const NOISE = new Set(["A", "I", "AI", "USA", "USD", "EU", "EUR", "JP", "JPY", "CN", "UK", "PR", "ML", "DM", "AM", "PM", "OK", "IT", "IS", "BE", "OR", "AND", "FOR", "THE", "BUY", "SELL", "HOLD", "CEO", "CFO", "Q1", "Q2", "Q3", "Q4"]);
+        ticker = tokens.find((t) => !NOISE.has(t)) ?? null;
+    }
+    // Direction — look for explicit signals (allow common stems like "dropping" / "rising")
+    let direction = "unknown";
+    if (/\b(up|ris(?:e|es|ing)|rall(?:y|ies|ying)|surg(?:e|es|ing)|pump(?:s|ing|ed)?|moon|gain(?:s|ing|ed)?|bull(?:ish)?|long|buy(?:s|ing)?|increas(?:e|es|ing|ed)|higher|breakout|breakthrough)\b/i.test(text))
+        direction = "up";
+    if (/\b(down|fall(?:s|ing|en)?|drop(?:s|ping|ped)?|crash(?:es|ing|ed)?|dump(?:s|ing|ed)?|short(?:ing)?|sell(?:s|ing)?|declin(?:e|es|ing|ed)|lower|breakdown|tank(?:s|ing|ed)?|plung(?:e|es|ing|ed))\b/i.test(text))
+        direction = direction === "up" ? "unknown" : "down";
+    if (/\b(flat|sideways|range|consolidat(?:e|es|ing|ed)|hold|neutral)\b/i.test(text) && direction === "unknown")
+        direction = "flat";
+    // Horizon
+    let horizon = "unknown";
+    for (const [rx, h] of HORIZON_HINTS)
+        if (rx.test(text)) {
+            horizon = h;
+            break;
+        }
+    // Target price — "target $123" / "target 123 USD"
+    const target = text.match(/(?:target|tp|price\s+target)[\s:]*\$?(\d+(?:\.\d+)?)/i);
+    const targetPrice = target ? parseFloat(target[1]) : null;
+    // Quoted price — "current price $4.69" / "trading at 4.69"
+    const quoted = text.match(/(?:current(?:\s+price)?|trading\s+at|now\s+at|price[\s:])[\s$]*(\d+(?:\.\d+)?)/i);
+    const quotedPrice = quoted ? parseFloat(quoted[1]) : null;
+    // Stated confidence — accept "confidence" or "confident" or "sure" or "certain" or "chance" or "probability"
+    let statedConfidence = null;
+    const conf = text.match(/(\d+(?:\.\d+)?)\s*%\s*(?:confiden(?:t|ce)|chance|probability|sure|certain|likely)/i);
+    if (conf)
+        statedConfidence = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, parseFloat(conf[1]) / 100));
+    else if (/\b(certain|100%|guaranteed|always|will definitely|for sure)\b/i.test(text))
+        statedConfidence = 1.0;
+    else if (/\b(likely|probable|probably)\b/i.test(text) && statedConfidence === null)
+        statedConfidence = 0.7;
+    // Overconfidence: stating > 0.85 confidence on a direction prediction is
+    // statistically very implausible for liquid markets (efficient market
+    // hypothesis + noise). Flag but don't block.
+    const overconfident = statedConfidence !== null && statedConfidence > 0.85 && direction !== "unknown";
+    const ts = new Date().toISOString();
+    const id = "fc-" + randomBytes(6).toString("hex");
+    const body = {
+        v: PROTOCOL_VERSION,
+        id, ts,
+        vendor: input.vendor,
+        rawText: input.text.slice(0, 2000),
+        ticker, direction, horizon,
+        targetPrice, quotedPrice, statedConfidence,
+        overconfident,
+    };
+    const sig = createHmac("sha256", input.secret ?? defaultSecret()).update(canon(body)).digest("hex");
+    return { ...body, sig };
+}
+/**
+ * Compare the AI's quoted price to a real live price. Caller supplies the
+ * fetcher (e.g., backed by IEX / Polygon / Binance / Alpha Vantage / your
+ * own broker API). ALPHA never hardcodes a vendor — keeps the layer
+ * vendor-agnostic.
+ *
+ * tolerancePct defaults to 2% (typical bid/ask + slippage).
+ */
+export async function priceCheck(input) {
+    if (!input.claim.ticker) {
+        return { matched: false, quoted: null, observed: null, divergencePct: null, verdict: "no_quote", detail: "no ticker extracted from claim" };
+    }
+    if (input.claim.quotedPrice === null) {
+        return { matched: false, quoted: null, observed: null, divergencePct: null, verdict: "no_quote", detail: "AI did not quote a price" };
+    }
+    let observed = null;
+    try {
+        observed = await input.fetchPrice(input.claim.ticker);
+    }
+    catch {
+        observed = null;
+    }
+    if (observed === null) {
+        return { matched: false, quoted: input.claim.quotedPrice, observed: null, divergencePct: null, verdict: "unverifiable", detail: "live price fetcher returned null" };
+    }
+    const diff = Math.abs(observed - input.claim.quotedPrice) / observed;
+    const tol = input.tolerancePct ?? 0.02;
+    const matched = diff <= tol;
+    return {
+        matched,
+        quoted: input.claim.quotedPrice,
+        observed,
+        divergencePct: Math.round(diff * 10000) / 100,
+        verdict: matched ? "aligned" : "divergent",
+        detail: matched ? `quoted ${input.claim.quotedPrice} vs observed ${observed} -- within ${(tol * 100).toFixed(1)}% tolerance.` : `MISMATCH: quoted ${input.claim.quotedPrice} vs observed ${observed} (off by ${(diff * 100).toFixed(2)}%).`,
+    };
+}
+/** Fuse N vendors' claims on the same ticker. Returns consensus +
+ *  dispersion. ADVISORY ONLY — never a trade signal. */
+export function fuseClaims(claims) {
+    const votes = { up: 0, down: 0, flat: 0, unknown: 0 };
+    for (const c of claims)
+        votes[c.direction]++;
+    const ranked = Object.entries(votes).sort((a, b) => b[1] - a[1]);
+    const top = ranked[0];
+    const total = claims.length;
+    const meanConf = (() => {
+        const withConf = claims.filter((c) => c.statedConfidence !== null);
+        if (withConf.length === 0)
+            return null;
+        return withConf.reduce((acc, c) => acc + c.statedConfidence, 0) / withConf.length;
+    })();
+    const oc = claims.filter((c) => c.overconfident).length;
+    return {
+        ticker: claims[0]?.ticker ?? null,
+        vendorsConsulted: total,
+        directionVotes: votes,
+        consensusDirection: top?.[0] ?? "unknown",
+        consensusStrength: total === 0 ? 0 : (top?.[1] ?? 0) / total,
+        meanStatedConfidence: meanConf === null ? null : Math.round(meanConf * 1000) / 1000,
+        overconfidentCount: oc,
+        advisory: "ALPHA fusion is ADVISORY ONLY -- no responsible engineer claims 90% direction accuracy on liquid markets. Use as one input among many; never as sole basis for capital allocation. NOT financial advice.",
+    };
+}
+export function formatAlphaLine(claim) {
+    return `ALPHA · ${claim.vendor} · ${claim.ticker ?? "?"} · ${claim.direction}/${claim.horizon}${claim.overconfident ? " ⚠OVERCONFIDENT" : ""}`;
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/alpha/index.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/anti_collusion/anti_collusion.test.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=anti_collusion.test.d.ts.map

package/dist/anti_collusion/anti_collusion.test.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"anti_collusion.test.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/anti_collusion/anti_collusion.test.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":""}

package/dist/anti_collusion/anti_collusion.test.js

@@ -0,0 +1,137 @@
+import { describe, it, expect, beforeEach, afterEach } from "vitest";
+import { mkdtempSync, rmSync } from "node:fs";
+import { tmpdir } from "node:os";
+import { join } from "node:path";
+import { detectCollusion, leaderboard, formatAntiCollusionLine } from "./index.js";
+describe("v2.16 · ANTI-COLLUSION (AI Internal Affairs)", () => {
+    let dir;
+    beforeEach(() => { dir = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), "ic-")); });
+    afterEach(() => { try {
+        rmSync(dir, { recursive: true, force: true });
+    }
+    catch { } });
+    it("clean honest exchange → low risk", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c1",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "c1", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "I claim file X exists.", verified: true, intent: "claim" },
+                { conversationId: "c1", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "Verified file X — confirmed via fs read.", verified: true, intent: "verify" },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(r.length).toBe(1);
+        expect(r[0].verdict).toMatch(/clean|watch/);
+    });
+    it("skipped verification → bumps risk + finding", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c2",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "c2", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "Found the bug, fixed it.", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+                { conversationId: "c2", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "Looks good to me, ship it.", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+                { conversationId: "c2", agent: "claude", ts: "3", text: "Done, complete.", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+                { conversationId: "c2", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "4", text: "Confirmed.", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(r[0].findings.some((f) => f.pattern === "skipped_verification")).toBe(true);
+        expect(r[0].collusionRisk).toBeGreaterThan(0.3);
+    });
+    it("echoing pattern detected", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c3",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "c3", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "The authentication flow uses jwt tokens with rotation every 15 minutes.", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c3", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "Authentication flow uses jwt tokens with 15 minute rotation.", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c3", agent: "claude", ts: "3", text: "The authentication uses jwt rotation every 15 minutes flow.", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c3", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "4", text: "Authentication jwt tokens 15 minutes rotation flow.", verified: false },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(r[0].findings.some((f) => f.pattern === "echoing")).toBe(true);
+    });
+    it("mutual praise loop detected", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c4",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "c4", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "Excellent work on this PR.", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c4", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "Great approach by you too!", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c4", agent: "claude", ts: "3", text: "Perfect, exactly what I had in mind.", verified: false },
+                { conversationId: "c4", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "4", text: "Brilliant, nice work overall.", verified: false },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(r[0].findings.some((f) => f.pattern === "mutual_praise")).toBe(true);
+    });
+    it("verification dropout (rate way below expected)", () => {
+        const turns = [];
+        for (let i = 0; i < 8; i++) {
+            turns.push({
+                conversationId: "c5", agent: i % 2 === 0 ? "claude" : "chatgpt",
+                ts: String(i), text: "doing work", verified: false,
+            });
+        }
+        const r = detectCollusion({ conversationId: "c5", turns, expectedVerifyRate: 0.5, repoDir: dir });
+        expect(r[0].findings.some((f) => f.pattern === "verification_dropout")).toBe(true);
+    });
+    it("apoptosis_now triggers callback when risk >= 0.8", () => {
+        let triggered = null;
+        const turns = [
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "Found the bug, fixed and complete done.", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "Excellent perfect great work, ship it confirmed done.", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "claude", ts: "3", text: "Done complete found fixed.", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "4", text: "Perfect, brilliant, exactly. Done complete.", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "claude", ts: "5", text: "Done complete found fixed all.", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+            { conversationId: "c6", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "6", text: "Excellent perfect, done complete.", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+        ];
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c6",
+            turns,
+            expectedVerifyRate: 0.8,
+            apoptosisHook: (pair) => { triggered = [pair[0], pair[1]]; },
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        if (r[0].collusionRisk >= 0.8) {
+            expect(triggered).not.toBeNull();
+            expect(r[0].verdict).toBe("apoptosis_now");
+        }
+    });
+    it("HMAC sig present on verdict", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "c7",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "c7", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "x", verified: true },
+                { conversationId: "c7", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "y", verified: true },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(r[0].sig).toMatch(/^[0-9a-f]{64}$/);
+    });
+    it("leaderboard aggregates verdicts across runs", () => {
+        for (let i = 0; i < 3; i++) {
+            detectCollusion({
+                conversationId: `cv${i}`,
+                turns: [
+                    { conversationId: `cv${i}`, agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "found", verified: false, intent: "claim" },
+                    { conversationId: `cv${i}`, agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "good", verified: false, intent: "accept" },
+                ],
+                repoDir: dir,
+            });
+        }
+        const board = leaderboard({ repoDir: dir });
+        expect(board.length).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+        expect(board[0].verdicts).toBe(3);
+    });
+    it("formatAntiCollusionLine summarises", () => {
+        const r = detectCollusion({
+            conversationId: "x",
+            turns: [
+                { conversationId: "x", agent: "claude", ts: "1", text: "a", verified: true },
+                { conversationId: "x", agent: "chatgpt", ts: "2", text: "b", verified: true },
+            ],
+            repoDir: dir,
+        });
+        expect(formatAntiCollusionLine(r)).toContain("ANTI-COLLUSION");
+        expect(formatAntiCollusionLine([])).toContain("idle");
+    });
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=anti_collusion.test.js.map

package/dist/anti_collusion/anti_collusion.test.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/anti_collusion/index.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,89 @@
+/**
+ * v2.16.0 — MNEME ANTI-COLLUSION (AI Internal Affairs)
+ *
+ *   "When N AI agents talk to each other (Dev Agent + QA Agent + Ops
+ *    Agent + ...) the CIO's deepest fear is they'll silently agree to
+ *    skip the verification step because both find it tedious. ANTI-
+ *    COLLUSION runs Bayesian behavioural analysis on the inter-agent
+ *    chatter and detects when AIs are 'covering for each other'."
+ *
+ * The signal comes from FIVE telltale patterns of agent collusion:
+ *   1. **Skipped verification** — Agent B accepts Agent A's claim without
+ *      a verification call when one is expected.
+ *   2. **Echoing without analysis** — Agent B's response is suspiciously
+ *      similar to Agent A's preceding turn (paraphrase, no new content).
+ *   3. **Mutual praise loop** — Agents praise each other in a chain that
+ *      looks designed to get past a human-in-the-loop check.
+ *   4. **Verification dropout** — A class of checks that used to fire 80%
+ *      of the time suddenly drops to <20% across a sliding window.
+ *   5. **Convenient agreement** — Agents converge faster than statistically
+ *      expected on the path of least effort.
+ *
+ * Output: a 0-1 collusion-risk score per (agent-A, agent-B) pair, plus
+ * the evidence trail. Triggers APOPTOSIS context-wipe + leaderboard log
+ * if confidence >= 0.8.
+ *
+ * Composes onto v2.14 BOUNTY (which already records claims + verdicts)
+ * and v2.14 ANTIVIRUS (which scrubs prompts). Runs as a sidecar that
+ * observes the conversation log; never touches the prompt itself.
+ */
+declare const PROTOCOL_VERSION: 1;
+export type Vendor = "claude" | "chatgpt" | "gemini" | "perplexity" | "cursor" | "copilot" | "codex" | "llama" | "mistral" | "qwen" | "deepseek" | "other";
+export interface AgentTurn {
+    /** Unique conversation identifier shared across the agent chain. */
+    conversationId: string;
+    /** Agent that produced this turn. */
+    agent: Vendor;
+    /** ISO timestamp. */
+    ts: string;
+    /** What the agent said. */
+    text: string;
+    /** Whether this turn called any verification tool (e.g., apoptosis / bounty.verdict). */
+    verified: boolean;
+    /** Optional intent tag: "claim" | "verify" | "accept" | "praise" | "decision" | "other". */
+    intent?: string;
+}
+export interface CollusionFinding {
+    pattern: "skipped_verification" | "echoing" | "mutual_praise" | "verification_dropout" | "convenient_agreement";
+    weight: number;
+    detail: string;
+    ref?: string;
+}
+export interface CollusionVerdict {
+    v: typeof PROTOCOL_VERSION;
+    conversationId: string;
+    agentPair: [Vendor, Vendor];
+    /** 0..1 — probability this pair is colluding. */
+    collusionRisk: number;
+    verdict: "clean" | "watch" | "investigate" | "apoptosis_now";
+    findings: CollusionFinding[];
+    /** What action APOPTOSIS should take if verdict is apoptosis_now. */
+    recommendedAction: string;
+    signedAt: string;
+    sig: string;
+}
+export interface AnalyseInput {
+    conversationId: string;
+    /** Conversation turns ordered by ts ascending. */
+    turns: AgentTurn[];
+    /** Expected verification rate as a fraction (0..1). Defaults to 0.5. */
+    expectedVerifyRate?: number;
+    /** APOPTOSIS callback to wipe context — caller wires this. */
+    apoptosisHook?: (agents: [Vendor, Vendor], reason: string) => void;
+    repoDir?: string;
+    secret?: string;
+}
+/** Detect cross-agent collusion patterns. Pure function over the turn log. */
+export declare function detectCollusion(input: AnalyseInput): CollusionVerdict[];
+/** Read the persisted leaderboard. */
+export declare function leaderboard(opts?: {
+    repoDir?: string;
+}): Array<{
+    agentPair: [Vendor, Vendor];
+    verdicts: number;
+    avgRisk: number;
+    apoptosisHits: number;
+}>;
+export declare function formatAntiCollusionLine(verdicts: CollusionVerdict[]): string;
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=index.d.ts.map

package/dist/anti_collusion/index.d.ts.map

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