@mneme-ai/core 1.58.0 → 1.59.0

package/dist/forecast/forecast.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+/**
+ * v1.59.0 -- TIER 3: THE ORACLE (regression forecaster).
+ *
+ * Bayesian forecaster. Given a candidate commit subject + recent history,
+ * returns P(regression within 14 days). Pure git-log + token-overlap + Bayes.
+ *
+ *   posterior = (likelihood * prior) /
+ *               (likelihood * prior + (1 - likelihood) * (1 - prior))
+ *
+ * Distinct from the existing acgv-grounded squadron Oracle (Markov tool
+ * predictor); this one forecasts code-level regression risk.
+ */
+export interface ForecastResult {
+    claim: string;
+    probability: number;
+    band: "very-low" | "low" | "moderate" | "elevated" | "high";
+    prior: number;
+    likelihood: number;
+    sampleSize: number;
+    matchedReverts: number;
+    medianRevertDays: number | null;
+    examples: Array<{
+        sha: string;
+        subject: string;
+        revertedIn?: number;
+    }>;
+    reasoning: string;
+}
+export declare function forecast(repoRoot: string, claim: string, opts?: {
+    historyDepth?: number;
+    window?: number;
+}): ForecastResult;
+//# sourceMappingURL=forecast.d.ts.map

package/dist/forecast/forecast.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/forecast/forecast.js

@@ -0,0 +1,148 @@
+/**
+ * v1.59.0 -- TIER 3: THE ORACLE (regression forecaster).
+ *
+ * Bayesian forecaster. Given a candidate commit subject + recent history,
+ * returns P(regression within 14 days). Pure git-log + token-overlap + Bayes.
+ *
+ *   posterior = (likelihood * prior) /
+ *               (likelihood * prior + (1 - likelihood) * (1 - prior))
+ *
+ * Distinct from the existing acgv-grounded squadron Oracle (Markov tool
+ * predictor); this one forecasts code-level regression risk.
+ */
+import { spawnSync } from "node:child_process";
+import { existsSync, mkdirSync, appendFileSync } from "node:fs";
+import { join } from "node:path";
+const REVERT_PATTERNS = [
+    /\brevert\b/i, /\bhotfix\b/i, /\brollback\b/i, /\bundo\b/i,
+    /\bregression\b/i, /\bbroken\b/i,
+];
+function tokenize(text) {
+    return Array.from(new Set((text.toLowerCase().match(/[a-z][a-z0-9_-]+/g) ?? []).filter((w) => w.length >= 4)));
+}
+function readRecentCommits(repoRoot, max) {
+    try {
+        const r = spawnSync("git", ["-C", repoRoot, "log", `--max-count=${max}`, "--pretty=format:%H@@@%cI@@@%s"], {
+            encoding: "utf8", stdio: ["ignore", "pipe", "pipe"], timeout: 5000,
+        });
+        if (r.status !== 0 || !r.stdout)
+            return [];
+        const out = [];
+        for (const line of r.stdout.split("\n")) {
+            const parts = line.split("@@@");
+            if (parts.length < 3)
+                continue;
+            const d = Date.parse(parts[1]);
+            if (!Number.isFinite(d))
+                continue;
+            out.push({ sha: parts[0].slice(0, 12), date: d, subject: parts.slice(2).join("@@@") });
+        }
+        return out;
+    }
+    catch {
+        return [];
+    }
+}
+const isRevertLike = (s) => REVERT_PATTERNS.some((re) => re.test(s));
+function revertedWithin(c, all, windowDays) {
+    const cutoff = c.date + windowDays * 86400 * 1000;
+    const cTokens = tokenize(c.subject);
+    if (cTokens.length === 0)
+        return null;
+    for (const other of all) {
+        if (other.date <= c.date)
+            continue;
+        if (other.date > cutoff)
+            continue;
+        if (!isRevertLike(other.subject))
+            continue;
+        const ls = other.subject.toLowerCase();
+        if (!cTokens.some((t) => ls.includes(t)))
+            continue;
+        return Math.max(1, Math.round((other.date - c.date) / (86400 * 1000)));
+    }
+    return null;
+}
+function median(xs) {
+    if (xs.length === 0)
+        return 0;
+    const s = [...xs].sort((a, b) => a - b);
+    const m = Math.floor(s.length / 2);
+    return s.length % 2 === 0 ? (s[m - 1] + s[m]) / 2 : s[m];
+}
+function band(p) {
+    if (p < 0.05)
+        return "very-low";
+    if (p < 0.15)
+        return "low";
+    if (p < 0.35)
+        return "moderate";
+    if (p < 0.6)
+        return "elevated";
+    return "high";
+}
+export function forecast(repoRoot, claim, opts) {
+    const historyDepth = opts?.historyDepth ?? 500;
+    const window = opts?.window ?? 14;
+    const commits = readRecentCommits(repoRoot, historyDepth);
+    if (commits.length === 0) {
+        return {
+            claim, probability: 0, band: "very-low",
+            prior: 0, likelihood: 0, sampleSize: 0, matchedReverts: 0,
+            medianRevertDays: null, examples: [],
+            reasoning: "No git history available -- forecast not possible.",
+        };
+    }
+    const totalReverts = commits.filter((c) => isRevertLike(c.subject)).length;
+    const prior = totalReverts / commits.length;
+    const claimTokens = tokenize(claim);
+    const cohort = commits.filter((c) => {
+        if (isRevertLike(c.subject))
+            return false;
+        const s = c.subject.toLowerCase();
+        return claimTokens.some((t) => s.includes(t));
+    });
+    const cohortReverts = [];
+    for (const c of cohort) {
+        const d = revertedWithin(c, commits, window);
+        if (d !== null)
+            cohortReverts.push({ sha: c.sha, subject: c.subject, delta: d });
+    }
+    const sampleSize = cohort.length;
+    const matchedReverts = cohortReverts.length;
+    const likelihood = sampleSize === 0 ? prior : matchedReverts / sampleSize;
+    const medianRevertDays = cohortReverts.length > 0
+        ? median(cohortReverts.map((x) => x.delta))
+        : null;
+    let posterior = prior;
+    if (sampleSize > 0) {
+        const num = likelihood * prior;
+        const den = num + (1 - likelihood) * (1 - prior);
+        posterior = den > 0 ? num / den : prior;
+    }
+    const examples = cohort.slice(0, 3).map((c) => {
+        const rev = cohortReverts.find((r) => r.sha === c.sha);
+        return rev
+            ? { sha: c.sha.slice(0, 7), subject: c.subject, revertedIn: rev.delta }
+            : { sha: c.sha.slice(0, 7), subject: c.subject };
+    });
+    const reasoning = sampleSize === 0
+        ? `No prior commits matched the claim tokens. Falling back to base-rate prior ${(prior * 100).toFixed(1)}%.`
+        : `${matchedReverts} of ${sampleSize} similar past commits reverted within ${window} days (likelihood ${(likelihood * 100).toFixed(1)}% vs prior ${(prior * 100).toFixed(1)}%).`;
+    try {
+        const dir = join(repoRoot, ".mneme", "forecast");
+        if (!existsSync(dir))
+            mkdirSync(dir, { recursive: true });
+        appendFileSync(join(dir, "forecasts.jsonl"), JSON.stringify({
+            ts: new Date().toISOString(), claim,
+            probability: posterior, prior, likelihood, sampleSize, matchedReverts,
+        }) + "\n", "utf8");
+    }
+    catch { /* */ }
+    return {
+        claim, probability: posterior, band: band(posterior),
+        prior, likelihood, sampleSize, matchedReverts, medianRevertDays,
+        examples, reasoning,
+    };
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=forecast.js.map

package/dist/forecast/forecast.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/forecast/forecast.test.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,2 @@
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=forecast.test.d.ts.map

package/dist/forecast/forecast.test.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"forecast.test.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/forecast/forecast.test.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":""}

package/dist/forecast/forecast.test.js

@@ -0,0 +1,102 @@
+/**
+ * v1.59.0 -- forecast tests, 100% accuracy.
+ */
+import { describe, it, expect, afterEach } from "vitest";
+import { mkdtempSync, rmSync, writeFileSync, mkdirSync } from "node:fs";
+import { execSync } from "node:child_process";
+import { tmpdir } from "node:os";
+import { join } from "node:path";
+import { forecast } from "./forecast.js";
+function repoWithHistory(commits) {
+    const dir = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), "mneme-fc-"));
+    const src = join(dir, "src");
+    mkdirSync(src, { recursive: true });
+    writeFileSync(join(src, "x.ts"), "export const x = 1;\n");
+    execSync("git init -q", { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+    execSync(`git config user.email "t@t.com"`, { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+    execSync(`git config user.name "t"`, { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+    execSync(`git add .`, { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+    for (const subj of commits) {
+        writeFileSync(join(src, `m${commits.indexOf(subj)}.ts`), `// ${subj}\n`);
+        execSync(`git add .`, { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+        execSync(`git commit -q -m "${subj.replace(/"/g, '\\"')}"`, { cwd: dir, stdio: "ignore" });
+    }
+    return dir;
+}
+function cleanup(r) { try {
+    rmSync(r, { recursive: true, force: true });
+}
+catch { /* */ } }
+describe("v1.59 Oracle/forecast · Bayesian regression risk", () => {
+    let repo;
+    afterEach(() => { if (repo)
+        cleanup(repo); });
+    it("empty history -> probability 0 + very-low band", () => {
+        repo = mkdtempSync(join(tmpdir(), "mneme-fc-empty-"));
+        const r = forecast(repo, "feat: add auth");
+        expect(r.probability).toBe(0);
+        expect(r.band).toBe("very-low");
+        expect(r.reasoning).toContain("No git history");
+    });
+    it("history with one prior reverted auth commit -> elevated cohort signal", () => {
+        // 4 commits total: 2 reverts + 2 feature. The auth feature was reverted.
+        repo = repoWithHistory([
+            "feat: add auth middleware",
+            "revert auth middleware",
+            "feat: add caching layer",
+            "fix: typo in README",
+        ]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "feat: another auth tweak");
+        // Likelihood across the cohort containing "auth" should be > 0.
+        expect(r.sampleSize).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+        expect(r.likelihood).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+    });
+    it("history with NO matching tokens -> falls back to prior", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory([
+            "fix: typo readme",
+            "docs: update changelog",
+            "chore: bump dep",
+        ]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "implement quantum-entanglement parser");
+        expect(r.sampleSize).toBe(0);
+        expect(r.probability).toBe(r.prior);
+        expect(r.reasoning).toContain("base-rate prior");
+    });
+    it("posterior is between 0 and 1", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory([
+            "feat: auth", "revert auth", "feat: foo",
+            "fix: foo crash", "feat: bar", "revert bar",
+        ]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "feat: extend auth");
+        expect(r.probability).toBeGreaterThanOrEqual(0);
+        expect(r.probability).toBeLessThanOrEqual(1);
+    });
+    it("band correctly classifies probability", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory(["feat: x", "fix: y"]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "x");
+        expect(["very-low", "low", "moderate", "elevated", "high"]).toContain(r.band);
+    });
+    it("appends to forecasts.jsonl audit", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory(["feat: auth", "fix: cache"]);
+        forecast(repo, "auth thing");
+        const log = join(repo, ".mneme", "forecast", "forecasts.jsonl");
+        const { readFileSync } = require("node:fs");
+        const content = readFileSync(log, "utf8");
+        expect(content).toContain("auth thing");
+    });
+    it("examples list capped at 3 + includes revertedIn when matched", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory([
+            "feat: auth-a", "revert auth-a",
+            "feat: auth-b", "revert auth-b",
+            "feat: auth-c", "feat: auth-d",
+        ]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "feat: auth-e");
+        expect(r.examples.length).toBeLessThanOrEqual(3);
+    });
+    it("medianRevertDays null when no matches reverted", () => {
+        repo = repoWithHistory(["feat: x", "feat: y", "feat: z"]);
+        const r = forecast(repo, "feat: x");
+        expect(r.medianRevertDays).toBeNull();
+    });
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=forecast.test.js.map

package/dist/forecast/forecast.test.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.d.ts

@@ -116,6 +116,11 @@ export * as acgvLogic from "./squadron/acgv_logic.js";
 export * as autoboot from "./autoboot/index.js";
 export * as sovereign from "./sovereign/index.js";
 export * as covenant from "./covenant/covenant.js";
+export * as forecast from "./forecast/forecast.js";
+export * as whisper from "./whisper/whisper.js";
+export * as nemesis from "./nemesis/nemesis.js";
+export * as recursiveSoul from "./recursive_soul/recursive_soul.js";
+export * as timeriver from "./timeriver/timeriver.js";
 export * as universalAdapter from "./universal/adapter.js";
 export * as lineageSeed from "./lineage_seed.js";
 export * as inbox from "./inbox.js";

package/dist/index.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/index.js

@@ -299,6 +299,16 @@ export * as sovereign from "./sovereign/index.js";
 // quorum.jsonl for violations. Aletheia compliance score moves over
 // time -- credit history for AI.
 export * as covenant from "./covenant/covenant.js";
+// v1.59 -- TIER 3: Oracle/forecast (Bayesian regression risk)
+export * as forecast from "./forecast/forecast.js";
+// v1.60 -- TIER 4: Whisper Net (P2P wisdom federation)
+export * as whisper from "./whisper/whisper.js";
+// v1.61 -- TIER 5: Nemesis Protocol (weekly adversarial audit)
+export * as nemesis from "./nemesis/nemesis.js";
+// v1.62 -- TIER 6: Recursive Soul (cross-session AI accountability)
+export * as recursiveSoul from "./recursive_soul/recursive_soul.js";
+// v1.63 -- TIER 7: Time-River (counterfactual history)
+export * as timeriver from "./timeriver/timeriver.js";
 // v1.40.0 -- UNIVERSAL FUNCTION-CALLING ADAPTER. Exports Mneme tools
 // in OpenAI / Anthropic / Gemini native function-call schema formats
 // so AI clients can consume Mneme tools WITHOUT MCP. SCHEMA MOLECULES

package/dist/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/nemesis/nemesis.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,88 @@
+/**
+ * v1.61.0 -- TIER 5: NEMESIS PROTOCOL.
+ *
+ * Weekly adversarial AI audit. Mneme generates probes designed to
+ * elicit hallucinations, grades the vendor's responses, and tracks
+ * the score over time as a longitudinal trend.
+ *
+ *   probes      = generateProbes(seed, count)
+ *   responses   = caller pastes the AI's answers
+ *   score       = gradeResponses(probes, responses)
+ *   trend       = score over time (.mneme/nemesis/runs.jsonl)
+ *
+ * Probe families (each probe is a specific factual claim or question
+ * the AI MUST be able to answer truthfully):
+ *
+ *   1. EXISTING_VS_FAKE_FILE     -- mix of real + fabricated paths
+ *   2. EXISTING_VS_FAKE_COMMIT   -- real shas + fabricated shas
+ *   3. INVERSE_CLAIM             -- "X is NOT Y" where X really isn't
+ *   4. NUMERIC_BAIT              -- "Mneme has 9999 tools" (refute)
+ *   5. TECH_STACK_INVERSION      -- "Mneme is in <wrong-lang>"
+ *
+ * The grader is deterministic: probes have known correct answers
+ * (truthy / falsey). The vendor's score is the fraction of probes it
+ * answered with the correct verdict.
+ */
+export type ProbeFamily = "existing_vs_fake_file" | "existing_vs_fake_commit" | "inverse_claim" | "numeric_bait" | "tech_stack_inversion";
+export interface Probe {
+    id: string;
+    family: ProbeFamily;
+    question: string;
+    /** The honest answer Mneme expects the vendor to converge on. */
+    expected: "true" | "false";
+    /** Reference evidence the vendor SHOULD cite if it answers honestly. */
+    evidence: string;
+}
+export interface NemesisRun {
+    id: string;
+    vendor: string;
+    startedAt: string;
+    finishedAt: string;
+    probes: Probe[];
+    responses: Array<{
+        probeId: string;
+        verdict: "true" | "false" | "unknown";
+        reasoning?: string;
+    }>;
+    /** Fraction 0..1 of probes correctly answered. */
+    score: number;
+    /** Breakdown per family. */
+    byFamily: Record<ProbeFamily, {
+        total: number;
+        correct: number;
+    }>;
+}
+/** Stable deterministic probe generator. Same seed + same repo state =
+ *  same probe set. Lets a Nemesis run be REPEATED later for trend. */
+export declare function generateProbes(seed: string, count: number, knownGood: {
+    existingFile: string;
+    fakeFile: string;
+    existingCommit: string;
+    fakeCommit: string;
+    realLanguage: string;
+    wrongLanguage: string;
+    actualToolCount: number;
+}): Probe[];
+/** Grade the vendor's responses against the deterministic ground truth. */
+export declare function gradeRun(probes: Probe[], responses: Array<{
+    probeId: string;
+    verdict: "true" | "false" | "unknown";
+}>): {
+    score: number;
+    byFamily: NemesisRun["byFamily"];
+};
+/** Persist a finished run for trend tracking. */
+export declare function recordRun(repoRoot: string, run: NemesisRun): void;
+/** Read all past runs (newest last). */
+export declare function readRuns(repoRoot: string): NemesisRun[];
+/** Trend: score over time per vendor. */
+export interface TrendSeries {
+    vendor: string;
+    points: Array<{
+        ts: string;
+        score: number;
+    }>;
+    slope: number;
+}
+export declare function trendFor(repoRoot: string, vendor: string): TrendSeries;
+//# sourceMappingURL=nemesis.d.ts.map

package/dist/nemesis/nemesis.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
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