@merittdev/horus 0.5.0 → 0.6.0

package/dist/index.cjs

@@ -62439,7 +62439,7 @@ init_cjs_shims();
 
 // ../../packages/core/src/version.ts
 init_cjs_shims();
-var HORUS_VERSION = true ? "0.5.0" : "dev";
+var HORUS_VERSION = true ? "0.6.0" : "dev";
 var PINNED_SOURCE_VERSION = "1.0.7";
 
 // ../../packages/core/src/evidence.ts
@@ -82986,15 +82986,20 @@ function looksExplanatory(hint) {
   }
   return false;
 }
-function formatRegressionCitation(recentChanges, changes) {
-  const commits = (recentChanges?.commits ?? []).slice(0, 2);
+function formatRegressionCitation(recentChanges, changes, seedFile) {
+  const matchesSeed = (f) => seedFile === void 0 || f === seedFile || seedFile.endsWith(f) || f.endsWith(seedFile);
+  const all = recentChanges?.commits ?? [];
+  const seedCommits = seedFile ? all.filter((c) => c.files.some(matchesSeed)) : all;
+  const commits = seedCommits.slice(0, 2);
   const commitParts = commits.map((c) => {
     const sha = c.shortSha || c.sha.slice(0, 7);
     const subject = (c.subject ?? "").replace(/\s+/g, " ").trim();
     return subject ? `${sha} "${subject.slice(0, 50)}"` : sha;
   });
   const commitClause = commitParts.length > 0 ? ` (${commitParts.join(", ")})` : "";
-  const modified = changes?.modified ?? [];
+  const modified = (changes?.modified ?? []).filter(
+    (m) => matchesSeed((m.after ?? m.before).filePath ?? "")
+  );
   const symbolNames = [];
   for (const m of modified) {
     const name = m.after?.name ?? m.before?.name;
@@ -83878,13 +83883,15 @@ async function investigate(input, deps) {
     const gitChangedFiles = recentChanges?.changedFiles ?? [];
     const seedFile = top?.filePath;
     const seedInChanges = seedFile !== void 0 && gitChangedFiles.length > 0 && gitChangedFiles.some((f) => f === seedFile || seedFile.endsWith(f) || f.endsWith(seedFile));
-    const citation = formatRegressionCitation(recentChanges, changes);
+    const citation = formatRegressionCitation(recentChanges, changes, seedFile);
+    const regressionTitle = top && seedInChanges ? `Recent change${citation.commitClause} to ${top.name}${citation.symbolClause} in ${input.since}..HEAD may have introduced the regression` : top ? `Changes shipped in ${input.since}..HEAD but none touched ${top.name} \u2014 a regression here is unlikely to be a code change to the seed itself (check upstream deps, data, or config)` : `Recent change${citation.commitClause}${citation.symbolClause} in ${input.since}..HEAD may have introduced the regression`;
     causeInputs.push({
       id: "cause:deployment-regression",
-      title: top ? `Recent change${citation.commitClause} to ${top.name}${citation.symbolClause} in ${input.since}..HEAD may have introduced the regression` : `Recent change${citation.commitClause}${citation.symbolClause} in ${input.since}..HEAD may have introduced the regression`,
+      title: regressionTitle,
       category: "deployment-regression",
       sourceEvidenceIds: [changeEvId, ...seedEv ? [seedEv.id] : []],
-      baseScore: clamp015((seedInChanges ? 0.45 : 0.25) + (queueHits.length > 0 ? 0.05 : 0)),
+      // A regression NOT backed by a seed-touching commit must not score like one that is.
+      baseScore: clamp015((seedInChanges ? 0.45 : 0.18) + (queueHits.length > 0 ? 0.05 : 0)),
       metadata: { blastRadius }
     });
   }
@@ -83997,14 +84004,25 @@ async function investigate(input, deps) {
     ambientLogEvIds.length > 0 ? new Set(ambientLogEvIds) : void 0
   );
   const seedResolved = seeds.length === 0 ? 0 : seedIsLowConfidence ? 0.3 : 1;
-  const confidence = clamp015(0.5 * evidenceConfidence + 0.5 * seedResolved);
+  let confidence = clamp015(0.5 * evidenceConfidence + 0.5 * seedResolved);
   const area = ctx?.community?.name ?? top?.filePath ?? (input.service ?? "runtime evidence");
   const topCause = rankedCauses[0];
-  const headlineCause = topCause && topCause.finalScore >= 0.2 ? topCause : void 0;
+  const seedLinkedEvIds = /* @__PURE__ */ new Set([
+    ...directLogEvIds,
+    ...seedEv ? [seedEv.id] : [],
+    ...impactEv ? [impactEv.id] : []
+  ]);
+  const isLinkedToSeed = (ids2) => ids2.some((id) => seedLinkedEvIds.has(id));
+  const topLinkedCause = rankedCauses.find(
+    (c) => c.finalScore >= 0.2 && isLinkedToSeed(c.sourceEvidenceIds)
+  );
+  const headlineCause = topLinkedCause ?? (topCause && topCause.finalScore >= 0.2 ? topCause : void 0);
+  const headlineLinked = headlineCause !== void 0 && isLinkedToSeed(headlineCause.sourceEvidenceIds);
+  if (headlineCause && !headlineLinked) confidence = Math.min(confidence, 0.6);
   const banner2 = degradedNoSource ? "Runtime-only (source intelligence unavailable). " : "";
   const scope = top ? `resolved to ${label} (${area})` : `over runtime evidence (${area})`;
   const seedDisclaimer = seedIsLowConfidence && top ? `\u26A0 No symbol closely matched "${hint}" \u2014 "${top.name}" is a low-confidence closest match (semantic). Refine with an exact symbol or error code to target precisely. ` : "";
-  let summary = headlineCause ? `${seedDisclaimer}${banner2}Investigation of "${hint}" ${scope}. Top suspected cause: ${headlineCause.title}.` : `${seedDisclaimer}${banner2}Investigation of "${hint}" ${scope}. No dominant suspected cause emerged from the available ${degradedNoSource ? "runtime" : "structural"} evidence.`;
+  let summary = headlineCause ? headlineLinked ? `${seedDisclaimer}${banner2}Investigation of "${hint}" ${scope}. Top suspected cause: ${headlineCause.title}.` : `${seedDisclaimer}${banner2}Investigation of "${hint}" ${scope}. No cause is structurally linked to the seed; the strongest co-occurring signal (a lead to verify, not a diagnosis) is: ${headlineCause.title}.` : `${seedDisclaimer}${banner2}Investigation of "${hint}" ${scope}. No dominant suspected cause emerged from the available ${degradedNoSource ? "runtime" : "structural"} evidence.`;
   const hasIncidentSignal = directLogEvIds.length > 0 || latencyMetricEvIds.length > 0 || queueMetricEvIds.length > 0 || dataAnomalyEvIds.length > 0 || queueFailureSignals.length > 0 || findings2.some((f) => f.kind === "anomaly") || headlineCause !== void 0;
   const explanatoryHint = looksExplanatory(hint) && !hasIncidentSignal;
   if (explanatoryHint) {
@@ -85133,8 +85151,7 @@ function scoreInvestigation(r) {
   const total = r.hypotheses.length;
   const resolved = r.hypotheses.filter((h) => h.verdict !== "unconfirmed").length;
   const discriminationValue = total > 0 ? resolved / total : 0;
-  const supported = r.hypotheses.filter((h) => h.verdict === "supported");
-  const rootCauseValue = supported.length > 0 ? Math.max(...supported.map((h) => h.confidence)) : 0;
+  const rootCauseValue = r.confidence;
   const completenessValue = 1 - Math.min(1, r.gapAnalysis.gaps.length / 6);
   const actionabilityValue = r.nextActions.length > 0 ? 1 : 0;
   const components = [
@@ -85151,10 +85168,10 @@ function scoreInvestigation(r) {
       note: "fraction of hypotheses ruled in or out (vs left unconfirmed)"
     },
     {
-      dimension: "root-cause confidence",
+      dimension: "diagnostic calibration",
       value: rootCauseValue,
       weight: 0.25,
-      note: "confidence in a supported root-cause candidate"
+      note: "calibrated confidence in the diagnosis \u2014 a seed-linked cause scores high; honest uncertainty is not punished"
     },
     {
       dimension: "evidence completeness",
@@ -100810,6 +100827,8 @@ Ask a follow-up:  horus ask ${report.id} "<question>"`));
     } finally {
       await sql2.end();
       if (mongo) await mongo.close();
+      if (postgres2) await postgres2.close();
+      if (redisState) await redisState.close();
       if (queue) await queue.close();
     }
     return 0;

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@merittdev/horus",
-  "version": "0.5.0",
+  "version": "0.6.0",
   "description": "Local-first, source-aware production-incident investigation engine",
   "type": "module",
   "bin": {