@mcptoolshop/sovereign 1.0.0

package/release/balance-evidence/README.txt

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+Balance Evidence (v0.10 evidence pass)
+=======================================
+
+Five deterministic batch runs plus a cross-config summary. All seeds are
+fixed (2026 + 1 increment per game) so the entire pass is reproducible.
+
+
+HTML reports (open these in a browser)
+--------------------------------------
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-summary.html             Cross-config aggregate.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical.html           Treasury x Merchant x Mfg, 100 games.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical-400.html       Same lineup, 400-game reinforcement.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-tf-mirror.html           3 x Treasury / Finance mirror, 100 games.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-mc-mirror.html           3 x Merchant / Infrastructure mirror, 100.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-mfg-mirror.html          3 x Manufacturer / Industry mirror, 100.
+  sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical-slot-swap.html Diagnostic control: Mfg in slot 0,
+                                                 Charter disabled. Isolates slot effect
+                                                 from charter effect.
+
+
+Raw data
+--------
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical.json            Per-game JSON breakdown.
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical-400.json        ditto, 400 games.
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-tf-mirror.json            etc.
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-mc-mirror.json
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-mfg-mirror.json
+  raw-data/sovereign-batch-v0.10-canonical-slot-swap.json
+
+Each JSON contains per-game: seed, profile triplet, winner, all-three-influences,
+final cash, total rent, route count, asset breakdown by system, lap reached,
+Default / Rebellion / Bankruptcy occurrence, and the full Phase 6.1-corrected
+scoring decomposition.
+
+
+How to read the canonical numbers
+---------------------------------
+CANONICAL is the load-bearing batch: 1 Treasury + 1 Merchant + 1 Manufacturer,
+100 games on seeds 2026-2125. Reinforced by a 400-game pass (seeds 2026-2425).
+
+  Treasury / Finance wins         59 / 100   (61.0% over 400)   target 45-65 PASS
+  Merchant / Infrastructure wins  25 / 100                      target 15-35 PASS
+  Manufacturer / Industry wins    16 / 100                      target 10-25 PASS
+  Median winning margin           3 IP                          target >= 2 PASS
+  Route 4+ frequency              8 / 100                       target low  PASS
+
+Treasury is intentionally strongest within the target band. The Hamilton thesis
+is that public credit + federal finance are the dominant economic lever; the
+balance work was about preventing collapse-to-Treasury, not parity.
+
+
+Mirrors as control
+------------------
+The three mirror runs (TF, MC, MFG) measure how each profile fares against
+itself. Useful as a sanity check and to surface turn-order edge:
+
+  TF-MIRROR slot wins: 47 / 33 / 20 (slot 0 advantage real but bounded).
+  MC-MIRROR slot wins: 51 / 32 / 17.
+  MFG-MIRROR slot wins: 45 / 34 / 21 (charter goes to slot 0 in mirror).
+
+
+Slot-swap diagnostic
+--------------------
+CANONICAL-SLOT-SWAP reseats Manufacturer in slot 0 and disables the Industrial
+Charter. It isolates whether the v0.8 charter or the slot position was the
+load-bearing fix. Result: roughly interchangeable; both bring Manufacturer
+into the target band. The charter is kept as the cleaner product mechanic.
+
+
+How to regenerate these
+-----------------------
+Open ../digital-mode/sovereign-solo.html in a browser, click the Batch button,
+and set:
+
+  Game count:       100
+  Seed source:      auto-increment from 2026
+  Profile slots:    per config (see report titles)
+  Charter:          Enabled (default), or Disabled for slot-swap diagnostic
+
+The HTML and JSON exports will be byte-identical to the ones in this folder
+because the simulator is deterministic on seed + profile triplet.