@lucern/confidence 0.3.0-alpha.9 → 1.0.1

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/decay.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type {\n  BeliefLifecycleBucket,\n  DeadlineUrgency,\n  DeadlineUrgencyTier,\n  DecayTier,\n  EffectiveDecay,\n  Opinion,\n  RescoringSchedule,\n} from \"../../types\";\nimport { opinion } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DECAY_TIERS: Record<string, DecayTier> = {\n  FRESH: {\n    maxAgeDays: 30,\n    weight: 1,\n    label: \"fresh\",\n    action: \"Full confidence — recently validated\",\n    rescoreInDays: 30,\n  },\n  AGING: {\n    maxAgeDays: 90,\n    weight: 0.8,\n    label: \"aging\",\n    action: \"Evidence refresh recommended\",\n    rescoreInDays: 14,\n  },\n  STALE: {\n    maxAgeDays: 180,\n    weight: 0.5,\n    label: \"stale\",\n    action: \"Evidence update required before trusting\",\n    rescoreInDays: 7,\n  },\n  EXPIRED: {\n    maxAgeDays: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n    weight: 0.2,\n    label: \"expired\",\n    action: \"Full re-evaluation needed\",\n    rescoreInDays: 0,\n  },\n};\n\nexport const DEADLINE_URGENCY: Record<string, DeadlineUrgencyTier> = {\n  DISTANT: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 365,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 1,\n    label: \"distant\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 90,\n    action: \"Quarterly confidence check\",\n  },\n  APPROACHING: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 180,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.9,\n    label: \"approaching\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 30,\n    action: \"Monthly confidence check — conditions may be shifting\",\n  },\n  NEAR: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 90,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.75,\n    label: \"near\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 14,\n    action: \"Biweekly rescore — deadline within 3 months\",\n  },\n  IMMINENT: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 30,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.6,\n    label: \"imminent\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 7,\n    action: \"Weekly rescore — deadline within 1 month\",\n  },\n  CRITICAL: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 7,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.4,\n    label: \"critical\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 1,\n    action: \"Daily rescore — deadline THIS WEEK\",\n  },\n  OVERDUE: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: Number.NEGATIVE_INFINITY,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.2,\n    label: \"overdue\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 0,\n    action: \"OVERDUE — must validate or archive immediately\",\n  },\n};\n\nfunction normalizeBeliefConfidence(confidence: unknown): number | null {\n  if (typeof confidence !== \"number\" || !Number.isFinite(confidence)) {\n    return null;\n  }\n  if (confidence >= 0 && confidence <= 1) {\n    return confidence;\n  }\n  if (confidence > 1 && confidence <= 100) {\n    return confidence / 100;\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\nfunction hasResolvedPredictionOutcome(predictionMeta: unknown): boolean {\n  if (!predictionMeta || typeof predictionMeta !== \"object\") {\n    return false;\n  }\n\n  const outcome = (predictionMeta as { outcome?: unknown }).outcome;\n  return (\n    outcome === \"confirmed\" ||\n    outcome === \"disconfirmed\" ||\n    outcome === \"partial\" ||\n    outcome === \"expired\"\n  );\n}\n\nfunction resolveLifecycleBucket(args: {\n  beliefStatus?: string | null;\n  confidence?: unknown;\n  predictionMeta?: unknown;\n}): BeliefLifecycleBucket {\n  if (\n    normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) === 0 ||\n    normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) === 1 ||\n    hasResolvedPredictionOutcome(args.predictionMeta)\n  ) {\n    return \"fact\";\n  }\n\n  if (\n    args.beliefStatus === \"assumption\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"hypothesis\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"belief\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"fact\"\n  ) {\n    if (\n      normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) !== null &&\n      (args.beliefStatus === \"assumption\" || args.beliefStatus === \"hypothesis\")\n    ) {\n      return \"belief\";\n    }\n    return args.beliefStatus;\n  }\n\n  return \"assumption\";\n}\n\nfunction lifecycleMultiplier(status: BeliefLifecycleBucket | string | null | undefined) {\n  if (status === \"assumption\") {\n    return 0.65;\n  }\n  if (status === \"hypothesis\") {\n    return 0.8;\n  }\n  return 1;\n}\n\nexport function computeBaseDecay(lastScoredAt: number): {\n  ageDays: number;\n  tier: DecayTier;\n  weight: number;\n} {\n  const ageDays = (Date.now() - lastScoredAt) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  let tier = DECAY_TIERS.EXPIRED;\n\n  if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.FRESH.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.FRESH;\n  } else if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.AGING.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.AGING;\n  } else if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.STALE.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.STALE;\n  }\n\n  return { ageDays, tier, weight: tier.weight };\n}\n\nexport function computeDeadlineUrgency(\n  expectedBy: number | null | undefined\n): DeadlineUrgency {\n  if (!expectedBy) {\n    return null;\n  }\n\n  const daysToDeadline = (expectedBy - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  let urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.DISTANT;\n\n  if (daysToDeadline < 0) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.OVERDUE;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 7) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.CRITICAL;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 30) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.IMMINENT;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 90) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.NEAR;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 180) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.APPROACHING;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    daysToDeadline: Math.round(daysToDeadline),\n    urgencyTier,\n    urgencyMultiplier: urgencyTier.urgencyMultiplier,\n    isOverdue: daysToDeadline < 0,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function computeEffectiveDecay(\n  lastScoredAt: number,\n  expectedBy?: number | null,\n  beliefStatus?: BeliefLifecycleBucket | string | null\n): EffectiveDecay {\n  const base = computeBaseDecay(lastScoredAt);\n  const urgency = computeDeadlineUrgency(expectedBy);\n  const effectiveWeight =\n    (urgency ? base.weight * urgency.urgencyMultiplier : base.weight) *\n    lifecycleMultiplier(beliefStatus);\n\n  const urgencyRescoreDays =\n    urgency?.urgencyTier.rescoreIntervalDays ?? Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;\n  const rescoreInDays = Math.min(base.tier.rescoreInDays, urgencyRescoreDays);\n  const rescoreByDate = lastScoredAt + rescoreInDays * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;\n\n  let action = base.tier.action;\n  if (urgency && urgency.urgencyTier.label !== \"distant\") {\n    action = `${urgency.urgencyTier.action}. ${base.tier.action}`;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    ageDays: base.ageDays,\n    baseTier: base.tier,\n    baseWeight: base.weight,\n    urgency,\n    effectiveWeight: Math.max(0, Math.min(1, effectiveWeight)),\n    rescoreByDate,\n    rescoreInDays,\n    action,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function getRescoringSchedule(opts: {\n  lastScoredAt: number;\n  temporalNature?: \"factual\" | \"forecast\" | \"unknown\" | null;\n  expectedBy?: number | null;\n  predictionMeta?: { expectedBy?: number; outcome?: unknown } | null;\n  confidence?: number;\n  beliefStatus?: string | null;\n}): RescoringSchedule {\n  const lifecycleStatus = resolveLifecycleBucket({\n    beliefStatus: opts.beliefStatus,\n    confidence: opts.confidence,\n    predictionMeta: opts.predictionMeta,\n  });\n\n  const decayState = computeEffectiveDecay(\n    opts.lastScoredAt,\n    opts.expectedBy,\n    lifecycleStatus\n  );\n  const daysUntilRescore =\n    (decayState.rescoreByDate - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  const isOverdue = daysUntilRescore < 0;\n\n  let priority: RescoringSchedule[\"priority\"];\n  let reason: string;\n\n  if (isOverdue && lifecycleStatus === \"assumption\") {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Untested assumption is stale (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d) — validate or supersede`;\n  } else if (\n    (isOverdue && lifecycleStatus === \"hypothesis\") ||\n    (lifecycleStatus === \"hypothesis\" && daysUntilRescore < 7)\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Hypothesis aging without validation (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d) — run/finish sprint testing`;\n  } else if (decayState.urgency?.isOverdue) {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Prediction deadline passed ${Math.abs(decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline)}d ago — validate or archive`;\n  } else if (isOverdue && decayState.baseTier.label === \"expired\") {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Not scored in ${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d — confidence severely degraded`;\n  } else if (isOverdue && decayState.baseTier.label === \"stale\") {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Stale (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d since scoring) — evidence update required`;\n  } else if (\n    decayState.urgency &&\n    decayState.urgency.urgencyTier.label === \"critical\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Deadline in ${decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline}d — needs immediate rescoring`;\n  } else if (\n    decayState.urgency &&\n    decayState.urgency.urgencyTier.label === \"imminent\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Deadline in ${decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline}d — weekly rescoring required`;\n  } else if (isOverdue) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Rescore overdue by ${Math.abs(Math.round(daysUntilRescore))}d`;\n  } else if (opts.temporalNature === \"forecast\" && daysUntilRescore < 7) {\n    priority = \"medium\";\n    reason = `Forecast belief — next rescore due in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  } else if (daysUntilRescore < 14) {\n    priority = \"medium\";\n    reason = `Rescore due in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  } else {\n    priority = \"low\";\n    reason = `On schedule — next rescore in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  }\n\n  if (\n    (opts.confidence ?? 0) >= 0.8 &&\n    decayState.baseTier.label !== \"fresh\" &&\n    priority === \"medium\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `High-confidence belief (${((opts.confidence ?? 0) * 100).toFixed(0)}%) aging without rescore — ${reason}`;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    nextRescoreBy: decayState.rescoreByDate,\n    daysUntilRescore: Math.round(daysUntilRescore),\n    isOverdue,\n    priority,\n    reason,\n    decay: decayState,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function decay(\n  current: Opinion,\n  daysSinceLastUpdate: number,\n  halfLifeDays: number = 90\n): Opinion {\n  if (daysSinceLastUpdate <= 0) {\n    return current;\n  }\n\n  const decayFactor = Math.pow(0.5, daysSinceLastUpdate / halfLifeDays);\n  const certainty = current.b + current.d;\n  const lostCertainty = certainty - certainty * decayFactor;\n\n  return opinion(\n    current.b * decayFactor,\n    current.d * decayFactor,\n    current.u + lostCertainty,\n    current.a\n  );\n}\n"]}
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function opinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type {\n  BeliefLifecycleBucket,\n  DeadlineUrgency,\n  DeadlineUrgencyTier,\n  DecayTier,\n  EffectiveDecay,\n  Opinion,\n  RescoringSchedule,\n} from \"../../types\";\nimport { opinion } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DECAY_TIERS: Record<string, DecayTier> = {\n  FRESH: {\n    maxAgeDays: 30,\n    weight: 1,\n    label: \"fresh\",\n    action: \"Full confidence — recently validated\",\n    rescoreInDays: 30,\n  },\n  AGING: {\n    maxAgeDays: 90,\n    weight: 0.8,\n    label: \"aging\",\n    action: \"Evidence refresh recommended\",\n    rescoreInDays: 14,\n  },\n  STALE: {\n    maxAgeDays: 180,\n    weight: 0.5,\n    label: \"stale\",\n    action: \"Evidence update required before trusting\",\n    rescoreInDays: 7,\n  },\n  EXPIRED: {\n    maxAgeDays: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n    weight: 0.2,\n    label: \"expired\",\n    action: \"Full re-evaluation needed\",\n    rescoreInDays: 0,\n  },\n};\n\nexport const DEADLINE_URGENCY: Record<string, DeadlineUrgencyTier> = {\n  DISTANT: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 365,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 1,\n    label: \"distant\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 90,\n    action: \"Quarterly confidence check\",\n  },\n  APPROACHING: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 180,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.9,\n    label: \"approaching\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 30,\n    action: \"Monthly confidence check — conditions may be shifting\",\n  },\n  NEAR: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 90,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.75,\n    label: \"near\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 14,\n    action: \"Biweekly rescore — deadline within 3 months\",\n  },\n  IMMINENT: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 30,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.6,\n    label: \"imminent\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 7,\n    action: \"Weekly rescore — deadline within 1 month\",\n  },\n  CRITICAL: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: 7,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.4,\n    label: \"critical\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 1,\n    action: \"Daily rescore — deadline THIS WEEK\",\n  },\n  OVERDUE: {\n    minDaysToDeadline: Number.NEGATIVE_INFINITY,\n    urgencyMultiplier: 0.2,\n    label: \"overdue\",\n    rescoreIntervalDays: 0,\n    action: \"OVERDUE — must validate or archive immediately\",\n  },\n};\n\nfunction normalizeBeliefConfidence(confidence: unknown): number | null {\n  if (typeof confidence !== \"number\" || !Number.isFinite(confidence)) {\n    return null;\n  }\n  if (confidence >= 0 && confidence <= 1) {\n    return confidence;\n  }\n  if (confidence > 1 && confidence <= 100) {\n    return confidence / 100;\n  }\n  return null;\n}\n\nfunction hasResolvedPredictionOutcome(predictionMeta: unknown): boolean {\n  if (!predictionMeta || typeof predictionMeta !== \"object\") {\n    return false;\n  }\n\n  const outcome = (predictionMeta as { outcome?: unknown }).outcome;\n  return (\n    outcome === \"confirmed\" ||\n    outcome === \"disconfirmed\" ||\n    outcome === \"partial\" ||\n    outcome === \"expired\"\n  );\n}\n\nfunction resolveLifecycleBucket(args: {\n  beliefStatus?: string | null;\n  confidence?: unknown;\n  predictionMeta?: unknown;\n}): BeliefLifecycleBucket {\n  if (\n    normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) === 0 ||\n    normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) === 1 ||\n    hasResolvedPredictionOutcome(args.predictionMeta)\n  ) {\n    return \"fact\";\n  }\n\n  if (\n    args.beliefStatus === \"assumption\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"hypothesis\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"belief\" ||\n    args.beliefStatus === \"fact\"\n  ) {\n    if (\n      normalizeBeliefConfidence(args.confidence) !== null &&\n      (args.beliefStatus === \"assumption\" || args.beliefStatus === \"hypothesis\")\n    ) {\n      return \"belief\";\n    }\n    return args.beliefStatus;\n  }\n\n  return \"assumption\";\n}\n\nfunction lifecycleMultiplier(status: BeliefLifecycleBucket | string | null | undefined) {\n  if (status === \"assumption\") {\n    return 0.65;\n  }\n  if (status === \"hypothesis\") {\n    return 0.8;\n  }\n  return 1;\n}\n\nexport function computeBaseDecay(lastScoredAt: number): {\n  ageDays: number;\n  tier: DecayTier;\n  weight: number;\n} {\n  const ageDays = (Date.now() - lastScoredAt) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  let tier = DECAY_TIERS.EXPIRED;\n\n  if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.FRESH.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.FRESH;\n  } else if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.AGING.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.AGING;\n  } else if (ageDays <= DECAY_TIERS.STALE.maxAgeDays) {\n    tier = DECAY_TIERS.STALE;\n  }\n\n  return { ageDays, tier, weight: tier.weight };\n}\n\nexport function computeDeadlineUrgency(\n  expectedBy: number | null | undefined\n): DeadlineUrgency {\n  if (!expectedBy) {\n    return null;\n  }\n\n  const daysToDeadline = (expectedBy - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  let urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.DISTANT;\n\n  if (daysToDeadline < 0) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.OVERDUE;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 7) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.CRITICAL;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 30) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.IMMINENT;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 90) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.NEAR;\n  } else if (daysToDeadline <= 180) {\n    urgencyTier = DEADLINE_URGENCY.APPROACHING;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    daysToDeadline: Math.round(daysToDeadline),\n    urgencyTier,\n    urgencyMultiplier: urgencyTier.urgencyMultiplier,\n    isOverdue: daysToDeadline < 0,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function computeEffectiveDecay(\n  lastScoredAt: number,\n  expectedBy?: number | null,\n  beliefStatus?: BeliefLifecycleBucket | string | null\n): EffectiveDecay {\n  const base = computeBaseDecay(lastScoredAt);\n  const urgency = computeDeadlineUrgency(expectedBy);\n  const effectiveWeight =\n    (urgency ? base.weight * urgency.urgencyMultiplier : base.weight) *\n    lifecycleMultiplier(beliefStatus);\n\n  const urgencyRescoreDays =\n    urgency?.urgencyTier.rescoreIntervalDays ?? Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY;\n  const rescoreInDays = Math.min(base.tier.rescoreInDays, urgencyRescoreDays);\n  const rescoreByDate = lastScoredAt + rescoreInDays * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;\n\n  let action = base.tier.action;\n  if (urgency && urgency.urgencyTier.label !== \"distant\") {\n    action = `${urgency.urgencyTier.action}. ${base.tier.action}`;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    ageDays: base.ageDays,\n    baseTier: base.tier,\n    baseWeight: base.weight,\n    urgency,\n    effectiveWeight: Math.max(0, Math.min(1, effectiveWeight)),\n    rescoreByDate,\n    rescoreInDays,\n    action,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function getRescoringSchedule(opts: {\n  lastScoredAt: number;\n  temporalNature?: \"factual\" | \"forecast\" | \"unknown\" | null;\n  expectedBy?: number | null;\n  predictionMeta?: { expectedBy?: number; outcome?: unknown } | null;\n  confidence?: number;\n  beliefStatus?: string | null;\n}): RescoringSchedule {\n  const lifecycleStatus = resolveLifecycleBucket({\n    beliefStatus: opts.beliefStatus,\n    confidence: opts.confidence,\n    predictionMeta: opts.predictionMeta,\n  });\n\n  const decayState = computeEffectiveDecay(\n    opts.lastScoredAt,\n    opts.expectedBy,\n    lifecycleStatus\n  );\n  const daysUntilRescore =\n    (decayState.rescoreByDate - Date.now()) / (1000 * 60 * 60 * 24);\n  const isOverdue = daysUntilRescore < 0;\n\n  let priority: RescoringSchedule[\"priority\"];\n  let reason: string;\n\n  if (isOverdue && lifecycleStatus === \"assumption\") {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Untested assumption is stale (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d) — validate or supersede`;\n  } else if (\n    (isOverdue && lifecycleStatus === \"hypothesis\") ||\n    (lifecycleStatus === \"hypothesis\" && daysUntilRescore < 7)\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Hypothesis aging without validation (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d) — run/finish sprint testing`;\n  } else if (decayState.urgency?.isOverdue) {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Prediction deadline passed ${Math.abs(decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline)}d ago — validate or archive`;\n  } else if (isOverdue && decayState.baseTier.label === \"expired\") {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Not scored in ${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d — confidence severely degraded`;\n  } else if (isOverdue && decayState.baseTier.label === \"stale\") {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Stale (${Math.round(decayState.ageDays)}d since scoring) — evidence update required`;\n  } else if (\n    decayState.urgency &&\n    decayState.urgency.urgencyTier.label === \"critical\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"critical\";\n    reason = `Deadline in ${decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline}d — needs immediate rescoring`;\n  } else if (\n    decayState.urgency &&\n    decayState.urgency.urgencyTier.label === \"imminent\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Deadline in ${decayState.urgency.daysToDeadline}d — weekly rescoring required`;\n  } else if (isOverdue) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `Rescore overdue by ${Math.abs(Math.round(daysUntilRescore))}d`;\n  } else if (opts.temporalNature === \"forecast\" && daysUntilRescore < 7) {\n    priority = \"medium\";\n    reason = `Forecast belief — next rescore due in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  } else if (daysUntilRescore < 14) {\n    priority = \"medium\";\n    reason = `Rescore due in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  } else {\n    priority = \"low\";\n    reason = `On schedule — next rescore in ${Math.round(daysUntilRescore)}d`;\n  }\n\n  if (\n    (opts.confidence ?? 0) >= 0.8 &&\n    decayState.baseTier.label !== \"fresh\" &&\n    priority === \"medium\"\n  ) {\n    priority = \"high\";\n    reason = `High-confidence belief (${((opts.confidence ?? 0) * 100).toFixed(0)}%) aging without rescore — ${reason}`;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    nextRescoreBy: decayState.rescoreByDate,\n    daysUntilRescore: Math.round(daysUntilRescore),\n    isOverdue,\n    priority,\n    reason,\n    decay: decayState,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function decay(\n  current: Opinion,\n  daysSinceLastUpdate: number,\n  halfLifeDays: number = 90\n): Opinion {\n  if (daysSinceLastUpdate <= 0) {\n    return current;\n  }\n\n  const decayFactor = Math.pow(0.5, daysSinceLastUpdate / halfLifeDays);\n  const certainty = current.b + current.d;\n  const lostCertainty = certainty - certainty * decayFactor;\n\n  return opinion(\n    current.b * decayFactor,\n    current.d * decayFactor,\n    current.u + lostCertainty,\n    current.a\n  );\n}\n"]}

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/defeat.js

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 // src/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.ts
-function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
   const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;
   const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;
   const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;
@@ -15,7 +15,9 @@ function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
     a
   };
 }
-var opinion = mkOpinion;
+function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);
+}
 function vacuous(baseRate) {
   return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);
 }

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/defeat.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { EdgeMetadata, Opinion, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  constraintFusion,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  negate,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function applyNegativeSupport(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  if (metadata.constraint === \"xor\") {\n    const result = constraintFusion(\n      sourceOpinion,\n      targetOpinion,\n      metadata.normalization ?? \"pressure\"\n    );\n    return {\n      opinion: result.o2,\n      operator: \"constraint_fusion\",\n      rationale: `XOR constraint: source belief at ${project(\n        sourceOpinion\n      ).toFixed(2)} pressures target`,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n      2\n    )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function applyNegativeEvidence(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n  };\n}\n"]}
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function opinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { EdgeMetadata, Opinion, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  constraintFusion,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  negate,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function applyNegativeSupport(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  if (metadata.constraint === \"xor\") {\n    const result = constraintFusion(\n      sourceOpinion,\n      targetOpinion,\n      metadata.normalization ?? \"pressure\"\n    );\n    return {\n      opinion: result.o2,\n      operator: \"constraint_fusion\",\n      rationale: `XOR constraint: source belief at ${project(\n        sourceOpinion\n      ).toFixed(2)} pressures target`,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n      2\n    )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function applyNegativeEvidence(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n  };\n}\n"]}

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/propagation.js

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 // src/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.ts
-function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
   const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;
   const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;
   const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;
@@ -15,7 +15,9 @@ function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
     a
   };
 }
-var opinion = mkOpinion;
+function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);
+}
 function vacuous(baseRate) {
   return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);
 }

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/propagation.js.map

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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { Opinion, PropagationMode, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport { mkOpinion, opinion, project } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function dampedDependencyOpinion(\n  dependencyOpinion: Opinion,\n  beliefOpinion: Opinion,\n  mode: PropagationMode = \"continuous\",\n  threshold: number = 0.3\n): Opinion {\n  const dependencyProjection = project(\n    mkOpinion(\n      dependencyOpinion.b,\n      dependencyOpinion.d,\n      dependencyOpinion.u,\n      dependencyOpinion.a\n    )\n  );\n\n  if (mode === \"threshold\") {\n    if (dependencyProjection < threshold) {\n      return opinion(\n        0,\n        beliefOpinion.d + beliefOpinion.b * 0.5,\n        0.5,\n        beliefOpinion.a\n      );\n    }\n    return beliefOpinion;\n  }\n\n  const dampingFactor = Math.pow(dependencyProjection, 0.5);\n  return opinion(\n    beliefOpinion.b * dampingFactor,\n    beliefOpinion.d + beliefOpinion.b * (1 - dampingFactor) * 0.3,\n    beliefOpinion.u + beliefOpinion.b * (1 - dampingFactor) * 0.7,\n    beliefOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nexport function dampedDependencyCascade(\n  dependencyOpinion: Opinion,\n  beliefOpinion: Opinion,\n  mode: PropagationMode = \"continuous\"\n): PropagationResult {\n  return {\n    opinion: dampedDependencyOpinion(dependencyOpinion, beliefOpinion, mode),\n    operator: \"dependency_cascade\",\n    rationale: `Damped dependency cascade (${mode}): prerequisite at ${project(\n      mkOpinion(\n        dependencyOpinion.b,\n        dependencyOpinion.d,\n        dependencyOpinion.u,\n        dependencyOpinion.a\n      )\n    ).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n","import type { EdgeMetadata, Opinion, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  constraintFusion,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  negate,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function applyNegativeSupport(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  if (metadata.constraint === \"xor\") {\n    const result = constraintFusion(\n      sourceOpinion,\n      targetOpinion,\n      metadata.normalization ?? \"pressure\"\n    );\n    return {\n      opinion: result.o2,\n      operator: \"constraint_fusion\",\n      rationale: `XOR constraint: source belief at ${project(\n        sourceOpinion\n      ).toFixed(2)} pressures target`,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n      2\n    )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function applyNegativeEvidence(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n  };\n}\n","import type {\n  EdgeMetadata,\n  Opinion,\n  PropagationResult,\n  SLOperator,\n} from \"../../types\";\nimport { dampedDependencyCascade } from \"./cascade\";\nimport { applyNegativeEvidence, applyNegativeSupport } from \"./defeat\";\nimport {\n  conditionalDeduction,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\ntype EdgeHandler = (\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata\n) => PropagationResult;\n\nexport type PropagationTraversalDirection = \"outgoing\" | \"incoming\";\n\ntype EdgePropagationRule = {\n  direction: PropagationTraversalDirection;\n  handler: EdgeHandler;\n};\n\nconst EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES = {\n  supports: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (source, target, weight, metadata) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (weight < 0) {\n        return applyNegativeSupport(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight, metadata);\n      }\n\n      const discounted = trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, weight);\n      return {\n        opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n        operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n        rationale: `Supporting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n          2\n        )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n      };\n    },\n  },\n  informs: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (source, target, weight) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (weight < 0) {\n        return applyNegativeEvidence(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight);\n      }\n\n      const discounted = trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, Math.abs(weight));\n      return {\n        opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n        operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n        rationale: `Supporting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n      };\n    },\n  },\n  depends_on: {\n    direction: \"incoming\",\n    handler: (source, target, _weight, metadata) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (metadata.conditionalA && metadata.conditionalNotA) {\n        return {\n          opinion: conditionalDeduction(\n            sourceOpinion,\n            mkOpinion(\n              metadata.conditionalA.b,\n              metadata.conditionalA.d,\n              metadata.conditionalA.u,\n              metadata.conditionalA.a\n            ),\n            mkOpinion(\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.b,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.d,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.u,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.a\n            ),\n            targetOpinion.a\n          ),\n          operator: \"conditional_deduction\",\n          rationale: `Conditional deduction: prerequisite at ${project(\n            sourceOpinion\n          ).toFixed(2)}`,\n        };\n      }\n\n      return dampedDependencyCascade(\n        sourceOpinion,\n        targetOpinion,\n        metadata.propagation ?? \"continuous\"\n      );\n    },\n  },\n  derived_from: {\n    direction: \"incoming\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Provenance edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n  contains: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Containment edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n  tests: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Testing edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n} satisfies Record<string, EdgePropagationRule>;\n\nexport type PropagationEdgeType = keyof typeof EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES;\n\nexport type PropagationTraversalSpec = {\n  edgeType: PropagationEdgeType;\n  direction: PropagationTraversalDirection;\n};\n\nexport const PROPAGATION_TRAVERSAL_SPECS: readonly PropagationTraversalSpec[] =\n  Object.entries(EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES).map(([edgeType, rule]) => ({\n    edgeType: edgeType as PropagationEdgeType,\n    direction: rule.direction,\n  }));\n\nexport function isPropagationEdgeType(\n  edgeType: string\n): edgeType is PropagationEdgeType {\n  return edgeType in EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES;\n}\n\nexport function getPropagationTraversalSpecs(): readonly PropagationTraversalSpec[] {\n  return PROPAGATION_TRAVERSAL_SPECS;\n}\n\nexport function propagateThroughEdge(\n  sourceOpinion: Opinion,\n  targetOpinion: Opinion,\n  edgeType: string,\n  weight: number = 1,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const handler = isPropagationEdgeType(edgeType)\n    ? EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES[edgeType].handler\n    : undefined;\n  if (!handler) {\n    return {\n      opinion: targetOpinion,\n      operator: \"manual_assessment\",\n      rationale: `Unknown edge type: ${edgeType} — no propagation`,\n    };\n  }\n  return handler(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight, metadata);\n}\n\nexport function propagateAllEdges(\n  currentOpinion: Opinion,\n  incomingEdges: Array<{\n    sourceOpinion: Opinion;\n    edgeType: string;\n    weight: number;\n    metadata: EdgeMetadata;\n  }>\n): PropagationResult {\n  let result = currentOpinion;\n  const rationales: string[] = [];\n\n  for (const edgeType of [\"depends_on\", \"informs\", \"supports\"]) {\n    for (const incoming of incomingEdges.filter((edge) => edge.edgeType === edgeType)) {\n      const propagated = propagateThroughEdge(\n        incoming.sourceOpinion,\n        result,\n        incoming.edgeType,\n        incoming.weight,\n        incoming.metadata\n      );\n      result = propagated.opinion;\n      rationales.push(propagated.rationale);\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    opinion: result,\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\" as SLOperator,\n    rationale: rationales.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n"]}
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function opinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { Opinion, PropagationMode, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport { mkOpinion, opinion, project } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function dampedDependencyOpinion(\n  dependencyOpinion: Opinion,\n  beliefOpinion: Opinion,\n  mode: PropagationMode = \"continuous\",\n  threshold: number = 0.3\n): Opinion {\n  const dependencyProjection = project(\n    mkOpinion(\n      dependencyOpinion.b,\n      dependencyOpinion.d,\n      dependencyOpinion.u,\n      dependencyOpinion.a\n    )\n  );\n\n  if (mode === \"threshold\") {\n    if (dependencyProjection < threshold) {\n      return opinion(\n        0,\n        beliefOpinion.d + beliefOpinion.b * 0.5,\n        0.5,\n        beliefOpinion.a\n      );\n    }\n    return beliefOpinion;\n  }\n\n  const dampingFactor = Math.pow(dependencyProjection, 0.5);\n  return opinion(\n    beliefOpinion.b * dampingFactor,\n    beliefOpinion.d + beliefOpinion.b * (1 - dampingFactor) * 0.3,\n    beliefOpinion.u + beliefOpinion.b * (1 - dampingFactor) * 0.7,\n    beliefOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nexport function dampedDependencyCascade(\n  dependencyOpinion: Opinion,\n  beliefOpinion: Opinion,\n  mode: PropagationMode = \"continuous\"\n): PropagationResult {\n  return {\n    opinion: dampedDependencyOpinion(dependencyOpinion, beliefOpinion, mode),\n    operator: \"dependency_cascade\",\n    rationale: `Damped dependency cascade (${mode}): prerequisite at ${project(\n      mkOpinion(\n        dependencyOpinion.b,\n        dependencyOpinion.d,\n        dependencyOpinion.u,\n        dependencyOpinion.a\n      )\n    ).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n","import type { EdgeMetadata, Opinion, PropagationResult } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  constraintFusion,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  negate,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport function applyNegativeSupport(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  if (metadata.constraint === \"xor\") {\n    const result = constraintFusion(\n      sourceOpinion,\n      targetOpinion,\n      metadata.normalization ?? \"pressure\"\n    );\n    return {\n      opinion: result.o2,\n      operator: \"constraint_fusion\",\n      rationale: `XOR constraint: source belief at ${project(\n        sourceOpinion\n      ).toFixed(2)} pressures target`,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n      2\n    )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function applyNegativeEvidence(\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number\n): PropagationResult {\n  const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n  const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n  const discounted = trustDiscount(negate(sourceOpinion), Math.abs(weight));\n  return {\n    opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n    rationale: `Contradicting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n  };\n}\n","import type {\n  EdgeMetadata,\n  Opinion,\n  PropagationResult,\n  SLOperator,\n} from \"../../types\";\nimport { dampedDependencyCascade } from \"./cascade\";\nimport { applyNegativeEvidence, applyNegativeSupport } from \"./defeat\";\nimport {\n  conditionalDeduction,\n  cumulativeFusion,\n  mkOpinion,\n  project,\n  trustDiscount,\n} from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\ntype EdgeHandler = (\n  source: Opinion,\n  target: Opinion,\n  weight: number,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata\n) => PropagationResult;\n\nexport type PropagationTraversalDirection = \"outgoing\" | \"incoming\";\n\ntype EdgePropagationRule = {\n  direction: PropagationTraversalDirection;\n  handler: EdgeHandler;\n};\n\nconst EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES = {\n  supports: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (source, target, weight, metadata) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (weight < 0) {\n        return applyNegativeSupport(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight, metadata);\n      }\n\n      const discounted = trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, weight);\n      return {\n        opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n        operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n        rationale: `Supporting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(\n          2\n        )}) from source at ${project(sourceOpinion).toFixed(2)}`,\n      };\n    },\n  },\n  informs: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (source, target, weight) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (weight < 0) {\n        return applyNegativeEvidence(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight);\n      }\n\n      const discounted = trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, Math.abs(weight));\n      return {\n        opinion: cumulativeFusion(targetOpinion, discounted),\n        operator: \"cumulative_fusion\",\n        rationale: `Supporting evidence (weight=${weight.toFixed(2)})`,\n      };\n    },\n  },\n  depends_on: {\n    direction: \"incoming\",\n    handler: (source, target, _weight, metadata) => {\n      const sourceOpinion = mkOpinion(source.b, source.d, source.u, source.a);\n      const targetOpinion = mkOpinion(target.b, target.d, target.u, target.a);\n      if (metadata.conditionalA && metadata.conditionalNotA) {\n        return {\n          opinion: conditionalDeduction(\n            sourceOpinion,\n            mkOpinion(\n              metadata.conditionalA.b,\n              metadata.conditionalA.d,\n              metadata.conditionalA.u,\n              metadata.conditionalA.a\n            ),\n            mkOpinion(\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.b,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.d,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.u,\n              metadata.conditionalNotA.a\n            ),\n            targetOpinion.a\n          ),\n          operator: \"conditional_deduction\",\n          rationale: `Conditional deduction: prerequisite at ${project(\n            sourceOpinion\n          ).toFixed(2)}`,\n        };\n      }\n\n      return dampedDependencyCascade(\n        sourceOpinion,\n        targetOpinion,\n        metadata.propagation ?? \"continuous\"\n      );\n    },\n  },\n  derived_from: {\n    direction: \"incoming\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Provenance edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n  contains: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Containment edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n  tests: {\n    direction: \"outgoing\",\n    handler: (_source, target) => ({\n      opinion: target,\n      operator: \"trust_discount\",\n      rationale: \"Testing edge — no confidence propagation\",\n    }),\n  },\n} satisfies Record<string, EdgePropagationRule>;\n\nexport type PropagationEdgeType = keyof typeof EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES;\n\nexport type PropagationTraversalSpec = {\n  edgeType: PropagationEdgeType;\n  direction: PropagationTraversalDirection;\n};\n\nexport const PROPAGATION_TRAVERSAL_SPECS: readonly PropagationTraversalSpec[] =\n  Object.entries(EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES).map(([edgeType, rule]) => ({\n    edgeType: edgeType as PropagationEdgeType,\n    direction: rule.direction,\n  }));\n\nexport function isPropagationEdgeType(\n  edgeType: string\n): edgeType is PropagationEdgeType {\n  return edgeType in EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES;\n}\n\nexport function getPropagationTraversalSpecs(): readonly PropagationTraversalSpec[] {\n  return PROPAGATION_TRAVERSAL_SPECS;\n}\n\nexport function propagateThroughEdge(\n  sourceOpinion: Opinion,\n  targetOpinion: Opinion,\n  edgeType: string,\n  weight: number = 1,\n  metadata: EdgeMetadata = {}\n): PropagationResult {\n  const handler = isPropagationEdgeType(edgeType)\n    ? EDGE_PROPAGATION_RULES[edgeType].handler\n    : undefined;\n  if (!handler) {\n    return {\n      opinion: targetOpinion,\n      operator: \"manual_assessment\",\n      rationale: `Unknown edge type: ${edgeType} — no propagation`,\n    };\n  }\n  return handler(sourceOpinion, targetOpinion, weight, metadata);\n}\n\nexport function propagateAllEdges(\n  currentOpinion: Opinion,\n  incomingEdges: Array<{\n    sourceOpinion: Opinion;\n    edgeType: string;\n    weight: number;\n    metadata: EdgeMetadata;\n  }>\n): PropagationResult {\n  let result = currentOpinion;\n  const rationales: string[] = [];\n\n  for (const edgeType of [\"depends_on\", \"informs\", \"supports\"]) {\n    for (const incoming of incomingEdges.filter((edge) => edge.edgeType === edgeType)) {\n      const propagated = propagateThroughEdge(\n        incoming.sourceOpinion,\n        result,\n        incoming.edgeType,\n        incoming.weight,\n        incoming.metadata\n      );\n      result = propagated.opinion;\n      rationales.push(propagated.rationale);\n    }\n  }\n\n  return {\n    opinion: result,\n    operator: \"cumulative_fusion\" as SLOperator,\n    rationale: rationales.join(\"; \"),\n  };\n}\n"]}

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/revision.js

@@ -1,5 +1,5 @@
 // src/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.ts
-function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
   const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;
   const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;
   const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;
@@ -15,6 +15,9 @@ function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
     a
   };
 }
+function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);
+}
 function project(o) {
   return o.b + o.a * o.u;
 }

package/dist/v1/operations/dynamics/revision.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { DirichletOpinion, Opinion, SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\nimport { mkOpinion } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT = 2;\n\nfunction clamp01(value: number): number {\n  return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, value));\n}\n\nfunction clampNonNegative(value: number): number {\n  return Number.isFinite(value) ? Math.max(0, value) : 0;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeNonInformativeWeight(weight?: number): number {\n  if (weight === undefined) {\n    return DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT;\n  }\n  return Number.isFinite(weight)\n    ? Math.max(0, weight)\n    : DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeBaseRateVector(\n  baseRate: readonly number[],\n  size: number\n): number[] {\n  if (size === 0) {\n    return [];\n  }\n\n  if (baseRate.length !== size) {\n    throw new Error(\n      `Base-rate vector length ${baseRate.length} must match evidence vector length ${size}.`\n    );\n  }\n\n  const normalized = baseRate.map((value) => clampNonNegative(value));\n  const total = normalized.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0);\n\n  if (total === 0) {\n    throw new Error(\"Base-rate vector must contain at least one positive value.\");\n  }\n\n  return normalized.map((value) => value / total);\n}\n\nexport function opinionFromDirichlet(\n  alpha: readonly number[],\n  nonInformativeWeight: number,\n  baseRate: readonly number[]\n): DirichletOpinion {\n  const evidence = alpha.map((value) => clampNonNegative(value));\n  const safeWeight = normalizeNonInformativeWeight(nonInformativeWeight);\n  const normalizedBaseRate = normalizeBaseRateVector(baseRate, evidence.length);\n  const totalEvidence = evidence.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0);\n  const denominator = totalEvidence + safeWeight;\n\n  if (denominator === 0) {\n    return {\n      b: evidence.map(() => 0),\n      u: 1,\n      a: normalizedBaseRate,\n    };\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: evidence.map((value) => value / denominator),\n    u: safeWeight / denominator,\n    a: normalizedBaseRate,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function projectDirichletOpinion(opinion: DirichletOpinion): number[] {\n  return opinion.b.map(\n    (belief, index) => belief + (opinion.a[index] ?? 0) * opinion.u\n  );\n}\n\nexport function opinionFromBeta(\n  alpha: number,\n  beta: number,\n  nonInformativeWeight: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const dirichlet = opinionFromDirichlet(\n    [alpha, beta],\n    nonInformativeWeight,\n    [clamp01(baseRate), 1 - clamp01(baseRate)]\n  );\n\n  return mkOpinion(\n    dirichlet.b[0] ?? 0,\n    dirichlet.b[1] ?? 0,\n    dirichlet.u,\n    dirichlet.a[0] ?? clamp01(baseRate)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function betaFromOpinion(\n  opinion: Opinion,\n  nonInformativeWeight: number = DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT\n): { alpha: number; beta: number } {\n  if (opinion.u === 0) {\n    return {\n      alpha: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n      beta: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const safeWeight = normalizeNonInformativeWeight(nonInformativeWeight);\n  const scale = safeWeight / opinion.u;\n\n  return {\n    alpha: opinion.b * scale,\n    beta: opinion.d * scale,\n  };\n}\n","import type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT,\n  opinionFromBeta,\n} from \"../bridge\";\nimport { project } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nfunction clamp01(value: number): number {\n  return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, value));\n}\n\nfunction toEvidence(probability: number, weight: number): {\n  alpha: number;\n  beta: number;\n} {\n  const safeProbability = clamp01(probability);\n  const safeWeight = Number.isFinite(weight) ? Math.max(0, weight) : 0;\n\n  return {\n    alpha: safeProbability * safeWeight,\n    beta: (1 - safeProbability) * safeWeight,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function bayesianUpdate(\n  priorConfidence: number,\n  priorWeight: number,\n  newAssessment: number,\n  newWeight: number,\n  options: {\n    baseRate: number;\n    nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n  }\n): number {\n  return reviseConfidence({\n    priorConfidence,\n    priorWeight,\n    newAssessment,\n    newWeight,\n    baseRate: options?.baseRate,\n    nonInformativeWeight: options?.nonInformativeWeight,\n  });\n}\n\nexport function reviseConfidence(args: {\n  priorConfidence: number;\n  priorWeight: number;\n  newAssessment: number;\n  newWeight?: number;\n  baseRate: number;\n  nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n}): number {\n  return project(reviseConfidenceOpinion(args));\n}\n\nexport function reviseConfidenceOpinion(args: {\n  priorConfidence: number;\n  priorWeight: number;\n  newAssessment: number;\n  newWeight?: number;\n  baseRate: number;\n  nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n}): SLOpinion {\n  const priorEvidence = toEvidence(args.priorConfidence, args.priorWeight);\n  const newEvidence = toEvidence(args.newAssessment, args.newWeight ?? 1);\n\n  return opinionFromBeta(\n    priorEvidence.alpha + newEvidence.alpha,\n    priorEvidence.beta + newEvidence.beta,\n    args.nonInformativeWeight ?? DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT,\n    args.baseRate\n  );\n}\n"]}
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Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  return opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - 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childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","import type { DirichletOpinion, Opinion, SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\nimport { mkOpinion } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT = 2;\n\nfunction clamp01(value: number): number {\n  return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, value));\n}\n\nfunction clampNonNegative(value: number): number {\n  return Number.isFinite(value) ? Math.max(0, value) : 0;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeNonInformativeWeight(weight?: number): number {\n  if (weight === undefined) {\n    return DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT;\n  }\n  return Number.isFinite(weight)\n    ? Math.max(0, weight)\n    : DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeBaseRateVector(\n  baseRate: readonly number[],\n  size: number\n): number[] {\n  if (size === 0) {\n    return [];\n  }\n\n  if (baseRate.length !== size) {\n    throw new Error(\n      `Base-rate vector length ${baseRate.length} must match evidence vector length ${size}.`\n    );\n  }\n\n  const normalized = baseRate.map((value) => clampNonNegative(value));\n  const total = normalized.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0);\n\n  if (total === 0) {\n    throw new Error(\"Base-rate vector must contain at least one positive value.\");\n  }\n\n  return normalized.map((value) => value / total);\n}\n\nexport function opinionFromDirichlet(\n  alpha: readonly number[],\n  nonInformativeWeight: number,\n  baseRate: readonly number[]\n): DirichletOpinion {\n  const evidence = alpha.map((value) => clampNonNegative(value));\n  const safeWeight = normalizeNonInformativeWeight(nonInformativeWeight);\n  const normalizedBaseRate = normalizeBaseRateVector(baseRate, evidence.length);\n  const totalEvidence = evidence.reduce((sum, value) => sum + value, 0);\n  const denominator = totalEvidence + safeWeight;\n\n  if (denominator === 0) {\n    return {\n      b: evidence.map(() => 0),\n      u: 1,\n      a: normalizedBaseRate,\n    };\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: evidence.map((value) => value / denominator),\n    u: safeWeight / denominator,\n    a: normalizedBaseRate,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function projectDirichletOpinion(opinion: DirichletOpinion): number[] {\n  return opinion.b.map(\n    (belief, index) => belief + (opinion.a[index] ?? 0) * opinion.u\n  );\n}\n\nexport function opinionFromBeta(\n  alpha: number,\n  beta: number,\n  nonInformativeWeight: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const dirichlet = opinionFromDirichlet(\n    [alpha, beta],\n    nonInformativeWeight,\n    [clamp01(baseRate), 1 - clamp01(baseRate)]\n  );\n\n  return mkOpinion(\n    dirichlet.b[0] ?? 0,\n    dirichlet.b[1] ?? 0,\n    dirichlet.u,\n    dirichlet.a[0] ?? clamp01(baseRate)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function betaFromOpinion(\n  opinion: Opinion,\n  nonInformativeWeight: number = DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT\n): { alpha: number; beta: number } {\n  if (opinion.u === 0) {\n    return {\n      alpha: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n      beta: Number.POSITIVE_INFINITY,\n    };\n  }\n\n  const safeWeight = normalizeNonInformativeWeight(nonInformativeWeight);\n  const scale = safeWeight / opinion.u;\n\n  return {\n    alpha: opinion.b * scale,\n    beta: opinion.d * scale,\n  };\n}\n","import type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\nimport {\n  DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT,\n  opinionFromBeta,\n} from \"../bridge\";\nimport { project } from \"../subjectiveLogic\";\n\nfunction clamp01(value: number): number {\n  return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, value));\n}\n\nfunction toEvidence(probability: number, weight: number): {\n  alpha: number;\n  beta: number;\n} {\n  const safeProbability = clamp01(probability);\n  const safeWeight = Number.isFinite(weight) ? Math.max(0, weight) : 0;\n\n  return {\n    alpha: safeProbability * safeWeight,\n    beta: (1 - safeProbability) * safeWeight,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function bayesianUpdate(\n  priorConfidence: number,\n  priorWeight: number,\n  newAssessment: number,\n  newWeight: number,\n  options: {\n    baseRate: number;\n    nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n  }\n): number {\n  return reviseConfidence({\n    priorConfidence,\n    priorWeight,\n    newAssessment,\n    newWeight,\n    baseRate: options?.baseRate,\n    nonInformativeWeight: options?.nonInformativeWeight,\n  });\n}\n\nexport function reviseConfidence(args: {\n  priorConfidence: number;\n  priorWeight: number;\n  newAssessment: number;\n  newWeight?: number;\n  baseRate: number;\n  nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n}): number {\n  return project(reviseConfidenceOpinion(args));\n}\n\nexport function reviseConfidenceOpinion(args: {\n  priorConfidence: number;\n  priorWeight: number;\n  newAssessment: number;\n  newWeight?: number;\n  baseRate: number;\n  nonInformativeWeight?: number;\n}): SLOpinion {\n  const priorEvidence = toEvidence(args.priorConfidence, args.priorWeight);\n  const newEvidence = toEvidence(args.newAssessment, args.newWeight ?? 1);\n\n  return opinionFromBeta(\n    priorEvidence.alpha + newEvidence.alpha,\n    priorEvidence.beta + newEvidence.beta,\n    args.nonInformativeWeight ?? DEFAULT_NON_INFORMATIVE_WEIGHT,\n    args.baseRate\n  );\n}\n"]}