@lucern/confidence 0.3.0-alpha.0 → 0.3.0-alpha.10

package/dist/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.d.ts

@@ -1,26 +1,27 @@
-import { Opinion } from '../../types.js';
+import { SLOpinion } from '../../types.js';
 
-declare function opinion(belief: number, disbelief: number, uncertainty: number, baseRate?: number): Opinion;
-declare function vacuous(baseRate?: number): Opinion;
-declare function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate?: number): Opinion;
-declare function project(o: Opinion): number;
-declare function confidenceLevel(o: Opinion): "high" | "medium" | "low";
-declare function cumulativeFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion;
-declare function averagingFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion;
-declare function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: Opinion, trust: number): Opinion;
-declare function conditionalDeduction(opinionA: Opinion, ifTrue: Opinion, ifFalse: Opinion, fallbackBaseRate?: number): Opinion;
+declare function mkOpinion(belief: number, disbelief: number, uncertainty: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion;
+declare const opinion: typeof mkOpinion;
+declare function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion;
+declare function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion;
+declare function project(o: SLOpinion): number;
+declare function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): "high" | "medium" | "low";
+declare function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion;
+declare function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion;
+declare function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion;
+declare function conditionalDeduction(opinionA: SLOpinion, ifTrue: SLOpinion, ifFalse: SLOpinion, fallbackBaseRate?: number): SLOpinion;
 /**
  * Abductive inference over a conditional.
  * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.
  */
-declare function conditionalAbduction(opinionY: Opinion, ifTrue: Opinion, ifFalse: Opinion, baseRateX: number): Opinion;
-declare function negate(o: Opinion): Opinion;
-declare function constraintFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion, mode?: "pressure" | "redistribute"): {
-    o1: Opinion;
-    o2: Opinion;
+declare function conditionalAbduction(opinionY: SLOpinion, ifTrue: SLOpinion, ifFalse: SLOpinion, baseRateX: number): SLOpinion;
+declare function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion;
+declare function constraintFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion, mode?: "pressure" | "redistribute"): {
+    o1: SLOpinion;
+    o2: SLOpinion;
 };
-declare function evidenceBalance(o: Opinion): number;
-declare function areTensioned(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): boolean;
-declare function informationGain(o: Opinion): number;
+declare function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number;
+declare function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean;
+declare function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number;
 
-export { areTensioned, averagingFusion, conditionalAbduction, conditionalDeduction, confidenceLevel, constraintFusion, cumulativeFusion, dogmatic, evidenceBalance, informationGain, negate, opinion, project, trustDiscount, vacuous };
+export { areTensioned, averagingFusion, conditionalAbduction, conditionalDeduction, confidenceLevel, constraintFusion, cumulativeFusion, dogmatic, evidenceBalance, informationGain, mkOpinion, negate, opinion, project, trustDiscount, vacuous };

package/dist/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.js

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 // src/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.ts
-function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate = 0.5) {
-  const b = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, belief));
-  const d = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, disbelief));
-  const u = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, uncertainty));
+function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;
+  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;
+  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;
   const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));
   const sum = b + d + u;
   if (sum === 0) {
@@ -15,12 +15,13 @@ function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate = 0.5) {
     a
   };
 }
-function vacuous(baseRate = 0.5) {
-  return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a: baseRate };
+var opinion = mkOpinion;
+function vacuous(baseRate) {
+  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);
 }
-function dogmatic(probability, baseRate = 0.5) {
+function dogmatic(probability, baseRate) {
   const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));
-  return { b: p, d: 1 - p, u: 0, a: baseRate };
+  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);
 }
 function project(o) {
   return o.b + o.a * o.u;
@@ -217,7 +218,7 @@ function conditionalAbduction(opinionY, ifTrue, ifFalse, baseRateX) {
   );
 }
 function negate(o) {
-  return { b: o.d, d: o.b, u: o.u, a: 1 - o.a };
+  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);
 }
 function constraintFusion(left, right, mode = "pressure") {
   if (mode === "redistribute") {
@@ -280,6 +281,6 @@ function informationGain(o) {
   return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));
 }
 
-export { areTensioned, averagingFusion, conditionalAbduction, conditionalDeduction, confidenceLevel, constraintFusion, cumulativeFusion, dogmatic, evidenceBalance, informationGain, negate, opinion, project, trustDiscount, vacuous };
+export { areTensioned, averagingFusion, conditionalAbduction, conditionalDeduction, confidenceLevel, constraintFusion, cumulativeFusion, dogmatic, evidenceBalance, informationGain, mkOpinion, negate, opinion, project, trustDiscount, vacuous };
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.js.map

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type { Opinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function opinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number = 0.5\n): Opinion {\n  const b = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, belief));\n  const d = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, disbelief));\n  const u = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, uncertainty));\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a };\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  };\n}\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number = 0.5): Opinion {\n  return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a: baseRate };\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number = 0.5): Opinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return { b: p, d: 1 - p, u: 0, a: baseRate };\n}\n\nexport function project(o: Opinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: Opinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: Opinion, trust: number): Opinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): Opinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): Opinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: Opinion): Opinion {\n  return { b: o.d, d: o.b, u: o.u, a: 1 - o.a };\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: Opinion,\n  right: Opinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: Opinion; o2: Opinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: Opinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: Opinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n"]}
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type { SLOpinion } from \"../../types\";\n\nexport function mkOpinion(\n  belief: number,\n  disbelief: number,\n  uncertainty: number,\n  baseRate: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n"]}

package/dist/v1/operations/temporalDecay.js

@@ -1,8 +1,8 @@
 // src/v1/operations/subjectiveLogic/index.ts
-function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate = 0.5) {
-  const b = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, belief));
-  const d = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, disbelief));
-  const u = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, uncertainty));
+function mkOpinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate) {
+  const b = Number.isFinite(belief) ? Math.max(0, belief) : 0;
+  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;
+  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;
   const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));
   const sum = b + d + u;
   if (sum === 0) {
@@ -15,6 +15,7 @@ function opinion(belief, disbelief, uncertainty, baseRate = 0.5) {
     a
   };
 }
+var opinion = mkOpinion;
 function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, trust) {
   const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));
   return opinion(
@@ -58,7 +59,10 @@ function temporalDecay(sourceOpinion, now, decayParams) {
     return { ...sourceOpinion };
   }
   const retainedEvidenceWeight = Math.pow(0.5, ageMs / halfLifeMs);
-  return trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, retainedEvidenceWeight);
+  return trustDiscount(
+    mkOpinion(sourceOpinion.b, sourceOpinion.d, sourceOpinion.u, sourceOpinion.a),
+    retainedEvidenceWeight
+  );
 }
 
 export { DEFAULT_TEMPORAL_DECAY_HALF_LIFE_MS, temporalDecay };

package/dist/v1/operations/temporalDecay.js.map

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p, u: 0, a: baseRate };\n}\n\nexport function project(o: Opinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: Opinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): Opinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: Opinion, trust: number): Opinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): Opinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: Opinion,\n  ifTrue: Opinion,\n  ifFalse: Opinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): Opinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: Opinion): Opinion {\n  return { b: o.d, d: o.b, u: o.u, a: 1 - o.a };\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: Opinion,\n  right: Opinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: Opinion; o2: Opinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: Opinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: Opinion, right: Opinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: Opinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","/**\n * LKC-3 decision note:\n * 1. Lucern already persists posterior opinions in `beliefConfidence`.\n * 2. It does not persist a full per-observation Beta event stream on every path.\n * 3. Reweighting raw observations would therefore force new schema + replay logic.\n * 4. This operator decays the formed opinion instead of reconstructing old evidence.\n * 5. The decay is exponential over epistemic age with a configurable half-life.\n * 6. Belief/disbelief mass shrinks over time and returns to uncertainty.\n * 7. Base rate `a` stays fixed, so the projection moves back toward the prior.\n * 8. The reference clock is \"when this posterior became knowable\" (`assessedAt`).\n * 9. That makes Invariant 9 operational with the smallest implementation surface.\n * 10. Per-observation decay can be layered later without breaking this API.\n */\n\nimport type { Opinion } from \"../types\";\nimport { trustDiscount } from \"./subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DEFAULT_TEMPORAL_DECAY_HALF_LIFE_MS =\n  90 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;\n\nexport type TemporalDecayParams = {\n  referenceTime: Date | number;\n  halfLifeMs?: number;\n};\n\nfunction toEpochMs(value: Date | number): number | undefined {\n  if (typeof value === \"number\" && Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return value;\n  }\n\n  if (value instanceof Date) {\n    const epochMs = value.getTime();\n    return Number.isFinite(epochMs) ? epochMs : undefined;\n  }\n\n  return undefined;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeHalfLifeMs(halfLifeMs?: number): number {\n  if (halfLifeMs === undefined || !Number.isFinite(halfLifeMs)) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, halfLifeMs);\n}\n\nexport function temporalDecay(\n  sourceOpinion: Opinion,\n  now: Date | number,\n  decayParams: TemporalDecayParams\n): Opinion {\n  const halfLifeMs = normalizeHalfLifeMs(decayParams.halfLifeMs);\n  if (halfLifeMs === 0) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const nowMs = toEpochMs(now);\n  const referenceTimeMs = toEpochMs(decayParams.referenceTime);\n  if (nowMs === undefined || referenceTimeMs === undefined) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const ageMs = Math.max(0, nowMs - referenceTimeMs);\n  if (ageMs === 0) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const retainedEvidenceWeight = Math.pow(0.5, ageMs / halfLifeMs);\n  return trustDiscount(sourceOpinion, retainedEvidenceWeight);\n}\n"]}
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Math.max(0, belief) : 0;\n  const d = Number.isFinite(disbelief) ? Math.max(0, disbelief) : 0;\n  const u = Number.isFinite(uncertainty) ? Math.max(0, uncertainty) : 0;\n  const a = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n  const sum = b + d + u;\n\n  if (sum === 0) {\n    return { b: 0, d: 0, u: 1, a } as SLOpinion;\n  }\n\n  return {\n    b: b / sum,\n    d: d / sum,\n    u: u / sum,\n    a,\n  } as SLOpinion;\n}\n\nexport const opinion = mkOpinion;\n\nexport function vacuous(baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(0, 0, 1, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function dogmatic(probability: number, baseRate: number): SLOpinion {\n  const p = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, probability));\n  return mkOpinion(p, 1 - p, 0, baseRate);\n}\n\nexport function project(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  return o.b + o.a * o.u;\n}\n\nexport function confidenceLevel(o: SLOpinion): \"high\" | \"medium\" | \"low\" {\n  const projected = project(o);\n  if (o.u > 0.5) {\n    return \"low\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.8 && o.u < 0.2) {\n    return \"high\";\n  }\n  if (projected >= 0.6) {\n    return \"medium\";\n  }\n  return \"low\";\n}\n\nexport function cumulativeFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u - left.u * right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function averagingFusion(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  if (left.u === 0 && right.u === 0) {\n    return opinion(\n      (left.b + right.b) / 2,\n      (left.d + right.d) / 2,\n      0,\n      (left.a + right.a) / 2\n    );\n  }\n\n  const k = left.u + right.u;\n  if (k === 0) {\n    return vacuous((left.a + right.a) / 2);\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    (left.b * right.u + right.b * left.u) / k,\n    (left.d * right.u + right.d * left.u) / k,\n    (2 * left.u * right.u) / k,\n    (left.a + right.a) / 2\n  );\n}\n\nexport function trustDiscount(sourceOpinion: SLOpinion, trust: number): SLOpinion {\n  const weight = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, Math.abs(trust)));\n  return opinion(\n    weight * sourceOpinion.b,\n    weight * sourceOpinion.d,\n    1 - weight * (sourceOpinion.b + sourceOpinion.d),\n    sourceOpinion.a\n  );\n}\n\nconst EPSILON = 1e-9;\n\nfunction childBaseRateFallback(\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number | undefined\n): number {\n  if (fallbackBaseRate !== undefined) {\n    return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, fallbackBaseRate));\n  }\n\n  if (Math.abs(ifTrue.a - ifFalse.a) <= EPSILON) {\n    return ifTrue.a;\n  }\n\n  return (ifTrue.a + ifFalse.a) / 2;\n}\n\nfunction computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate: number\n): number {\n  const denominator =\n    1 - opinionA.a * ifTrue.u - (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.u;\n\n  if (ifTrue.u + ifFalse.u < 2 - EPSILON && Math.abs(denominator) > EPSILON) {\n    const baseRate =\n      (opinionA.a * ifTrue.b + (1 - opinionA.a) * ifFalse.b) / denominator;\n    if (baseRate >= -EPSILON && baseRate <= 1 + EPSILON) {\n      return Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRate));\n    }\n  }\n\n  return fallbackBaseRate;\n}\n\nfunction safeCorrectionTerm(\n  numerator: number,\n  denominator: number\n): number | undefined {\n  if (Math.abs(denominator) <= EPSILON) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  const value = numerator / denominator;\n  if (!Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return undefined;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, value);\n}\n\nexport function conditionalDeduction(\n  opinionA: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  fallbackBaseRate?: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const fallbackChildBaseRate = childBaseRateFallback(\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackBaseRate\n  );\n  const childBaseRate = computeConditionalDeductionBaseRate(\n    opinionA,\n    ifTrue,\n    ifFalse,\n    fallbackChildBaseRate\n  );\n  const projectedAntecedent = project(opinionA);\n  const projectedAntecedentComplement = 1 - projectedAntecedent;\n  const intermediateBelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.b +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.b +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.b * opinionA.a + ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateDisbelief =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.d +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.d +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.d * opinionA.a + ifFalse.d * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const intermediateUncertainty =\n    opinionA.b * ifTrue.u +\n    opinionA.d * ifFalse.u +\n    opinionA.u * (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedVacuousDeduction =\n    ifTrue.b * opinionA.a +\n    ifFalse.b * (1 - opinionA.a) +\n    childBaseRate *\n      (ifTrue.u * opinionA.a + ifFalse.u * (1 - opinionA.a));\n  const projectedConditionalA =\n    ifTrue.b + childBaseRate * (1 - ifTrue.b - ifTrue.d);\n  let correction = 0;\n\n  if (\n    (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d > ifFalse.d) ||\n    (ifTrue.b <= ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d)\n  ) {\n    correction = 0;\n  } else if (ifTrue.b > ifFalse.b && ifTrue.d <= ifFalse.d) {\n    const beliefGap = ifTrue.b - ifFalse.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifFalse.d - ifTrue.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) * beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  } else {\n    const beliefGap = ifFalse.b - ifTrue.b;\n    const disbeliefGap = ifTrue.d - ifFalse.d;\n\n    if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d) *\n            beliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedent * childBaseRate * disbeliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction <= projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent > opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          (1 - opinionA.a) * opinionA.u * (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b),\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * childBaseRate\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else if (\n      projectedVacuousDeduction > projectedConditionalA &&\n      projectedAntecedent <= opinionA.a\n    ) {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a * opinionA.u * (intermediateDisbelief - ifTrue.d),\n          projectedAntecedent * (1 - childBaseRate)\n        ) ?? 0;\n    } else {\n      correction =\n        safeCorrectionTerm(\n          opinionA.a *\n            opinionA.u *\n            (intermediateBelief - ifTrue.b) *\n            disbeliefGap,\n          projectedAntecedentComplement * (1 - childBaseRate) * beliefGap\n        ) ?? 0;\n    }\n  }\n\n  return opinion(\n    intermediateBelief - childBaseRate * correction,\n    intermediateDisbelief - (1 - childBaseRate) * correction,\n    intermediateUncertainty + correction,\n    childBaseRate\n  );\n}\n\n/**\n * Abductive inference over a conditional.\n * Given an opinion on Y and conditionals P(Y|X), P(Y|~X), infer an opinion on X.\n */\nexport function conditionalAbduction(\n  opinionY: SLOpinion,\n  ifTrue: SLOpinion,\n  ifFalse: SLOpinion,\n  baseRateX: number\n): SLOpinion {\n  const priorX = Math.max(0, Math.min(1, baseRateX));\n  const probabilityY = project(opinionY);\n  const probabilityGivenTrue = project(ifTrue);\n  const probabilityGivenFalse = project(ifFalse);\n\n  const posteriorIfYDenominator =\n    probabilityGivenTrue * priorX +\n    probabilityGivenFalse * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfY =\n    posteriorIfYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : (probabilityGivenTrue * priorX) / posteriorIfYDenominator;\n\n  const posteriorIfNotYDenominator =\n    (1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX +\n    (1 - probabilityGivenFalse) * (1 - priorX);\n  const posteriorIfNotY =\n    posteriorIfNotYDenominator === 0\n      ? priorX\n      : ((1 - probabilityGivenTrue) * priorX) / posteriorIfNotYDenominator;\n\n  const projectedX =\n    probabilityY * posteriorIfY + (1 - probabilityY) * posteriorIfNotY;\n  const uncertainty = Math.max(\n    opinionY.u * 0.5,\n    probabilityY * ifTrue.u + (1 - probabilityY) * ifFalse.u\n  );\n\n  return opinion(\n    projectedX * (1 - uncertainty),\n    (1 - projectedX) * (1 - uncertainty),\n    uncertainty,\n    priorX\n  );\n}\n\nexport function negate(o: SLOpinion): SLOpinion {\n  return mkOpinion(o.d, o.b, o.u, 1 - o.a);\n}\n\nexport function constraintFusion(\n  left: SLOpinion,\n  right: SLOpinion,\n  mode: \"pressure\" | \"redistribute\" = \"pressure\"\n): { o1: SLOpinion; o2: SLOpinion } {\n  if (mode === \"redistribute\") {\n    const leftProjected = project(left);\n    const rightProjected = project(right);\n    const total = leftProjected + rightProjected;\n\n    if (total <= 1) {\n      return { o1: left, o2: right };\n    }\n\n    const scale = 1 / total;\n    return {\n      o1: opinion(\n        left.b * scale,\n        left.d + left.b * (1 - scale),\n        left.u,\n        left.a\n      ),\n      o2: opinion(\n        right.b * scale,\n        right.d + right.b * (1 - scale),\n        right.u,\n        right.a\n      ),\n    };\n  }\n\n  const pressureLeft = right.b * 0.5;\n  const pressureRight = left.b * 0.5;\n\n  return {\n    o1: opinion(\n      left.b - pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.d + pressureLeft * 0.3,\n      left.u,\n      left.a\n    ),\n    o2: opinion(\n      right.b - pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.d + pressureRight * 0.3,\n      right.u,\n      right.a\n    ),\n  };\n}\n\nexport function evidenceBalance(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  const total = o.b + o.d;\n  if (total === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  return (o.b - o.d) / total;\n}\n\nexport function areTensioned(left: SLOpinion, right: SLOpinion): boolean {\n  return (\n    project(left) > 0.5 &&\n    project(right) > 0.5 &&\n    (left.d > 0.2 || right.d > 0.2)\n  );\n}\n\nexport function informationGain(o: SLOpinion): number {\n  if (o.u === 0) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n  if (o.u === 1) {\n    return 1;\n  }\n  return o.u * (1 - Math.abs(o.b - o.d));\n}\n","/**\n * LKC-3 decision note:\n * 1. Lucern already persists posterior opinions in `beliefConfidence`.\n * 2. It does not persist a full per-observation Beta event stream on every path.\n * 3. Reweighting raw observations would therefore force new schema + replay logic.\n * 4. This operator decays the formed opinion instead of reconstructing old evidence.\n * 5. The decay is exponential over epistemic age with a configurable half-life.\n * 6. Belief/disbelief mass shrinks over time and returns to uncertainty.\n * 7. Base rate `a` stays fixed, so the projection moves back toward the prior.\n * 8. The reference clock is \"when this posterior became knowable\" (`assessedAt`).\n * 9. That makes Invariant 9 operational with the smallest implementation surface.\n * 10. Per-observation decay can be layered later without breaking this API.\n */\n\nimport type { Opinion } from \"../types\";\nimport { mkOpinion, trustDiscount } from \"./subjectiveLogic\";\n\nexport const DEFAULT_TEMPORAL_DECAY_HALF_LIFE_MS =\n  90 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000;\n\nexport type TemporalDecayParams = {\n  referenceTime: Date | number;\n  halfLifeMs?: number;\n};\n\nfunction toEpochMs(value: Date | number): number | undefined {\n  if (typeof value === \"number\" && Number.isFinite(value)) {\n    return value;\n  }\n\n  if (value instanceof Date) {\n    const epochMs = value.getTime();\n    return Number.isFinite(epochMs) ? epochMs : undefined;\n  }\n\n  return undefined;\n}\n\nfunction normalizeHalfLifeMs(halfLifeMs?: number): number {\n  if (halfLifeMs === undefined || !Number.isFinite(halfLifeMs)) {\n    return 0;\n  }\n\n  return Math.max(0, halfLifeMs);\n}\n\nexport function temporalDecay(\n  sourceOpinion: Opinion,\n  now: Date | number,\n  decayParams: TemporalDecayParams\n): Opinion {\n  const halfLifeMs = normalizeHalfLifeMs(decayParams.halfLifeMs);\n  if (halfLifeMs === 0) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const nowMs = toEpochMs(now);\n  const referenceTimeMs = toEpochMs(decayParams.referenceTime);\n  if (nowMs === undefined || referenceTimeMs === undefined) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const ageMs = Math.max(0, nowMs - referenceTimeMs);\n  if (ageMs === 0) {\n    return { ...sourceOpinion };\n  }\n\n  const retainedEvidenceWeight = Math.pow(0.5, ageMs / halfLifeMs);\n  return trustDiscount(\n    mkOpinion(sourceOpinion.b, sourceOpinion.d, sourceOpinion.u, sourceOpinion.a),\n    retainedEvidenceWeight\n  );\n}\n"]}

package/dist/v1/types.d.ts

@@ -4,6 +4,10 @@ type Opinion = {
     u: number;
     a: number;
 };
+declare const _validOpinion: unique symbol;
+type SLOpinion = Opinion & {
+    readonly [_validOpinion]: true;
+};
 type DirichletOpinion = {
     b: number[];
     u: number;
@@ -205,4 +209,4 @@ type MarketIndexComparatorConfig = {
     threshold: number;
 };
 
-export type { BeliefLifecycleBucket, ConfidencePolicyConfig, ConfidenceScoringMode, ContractConfirmedRule, ContractDisconfirmedRule, ContractExpiredRule, ContractModulationPlan, ContractPartialRule, DeadlineUrgency, DeadlineUrgencyLabel, DeadlineUrgencyTier, DecayTier, DecayTierLabel, DirichletOpinion, EdgeConstraint, EdgeMetadata, EdgeNormalization, EffectiveDecay, EpistemicContractCompositeOperator, EpistemicContractCondition, EpistemicContractConditionType, EpistemicContractDirection, EpistemicContractEvaluationResult, EpistemicContractLineageSource, EpistemicContractModulation, EpistemicContractRecord, EpistemicContractSchedule, EpistemicContractStatus, EvidentialAction, EvidentialEvaluatorConfig, EvidentialMetric, EvidentialMetricSnapshot, EvidentialOperator, MarketIndexComparatorConfig, MetricCheckerEvaluatorConfig, Opinion, PropagationMode, PropagationResult, ReferenceCheckCounterConfig, RescoringSchedule, SLOperator, StoredOpinionFields, TemporalDeadlineEvaluatorConfig, TupleContradictionPolicy, TupleContradictionTransition, VerificationConfidenceTrigger };
+export type { BeliefLifecycleBucket, ConfidencePolicyConfig, ConfidenceScoringMode, ContractConfirmedRule, ContractDisconfirmedRule, ContractExpiredRule, ContractModulationPlan, ContractPartialRule, DeadlineUrgency, DeadlineUrgencyLabel, DeadlineUrgencyTier, DecayTier, DecayTierLabel, DirichletOpinion, EdgeConstraint, EdgeMetadata, EdgeNormalization, EffectiveDecay, EpistemicContractCompositeOperator, EpistemicContractCondition, EpistemicContractConditionType, EpistemicContractDirection, EpistemicContractEvaluationResult, EpistemicContractLineageSource, EpistemicContractModulation, EpistemicContractRecord, EpistemicContractSchedule, EpistemicContractStatus, EvidentialAction, EvidentialEvaluatorConfig, EvidentialMetric, EvidentialMetricSnapshot, EvidentialOperator, MarketIndexComparatorConfig, MetricCheckerEvaluatorConfig, Opinion, PropagationMode, PropagationResult, ReferenceCheckCounterConfig, RescoringSchedule, SLOperator, SLOpinion, StoredOpinionFields, TemporalDeadlineEvaluatorConfig, TupleContradictionPolicy, TupleContradictionTransition, VerificationConfidenceTrigger };

package/package.json

@@ -1,11 +1,12 @@
 {
   "name": "@lucern/confidence",
-  "version": "0.3.0-alpha.0",
+  "version": "0.3.0-alpha.10",
   "type": "module",
   "main": "./dist/index.js",
   "types": "./dist/index.d.ts",
   "files": [
     "dist",
+    "dist/proof-attestation.json",
     "README.md"
   ],
   "publishConfig": {
@@ -38,6 +39,9 @@
     "prepack": "npm run build",
     "typecheck": "tsc --noEmit"
   },
+  "dependencies": {
+    "zod": "^3.23.0"
+  },
   "devDependencies": {
     "tsup": "^8.3.0",
     "typescript": "^5.7.0"