@its-not-rocket-science/ananke 0.1.40 → 0.1.42

package/CHANGELOG.md

@@ -6,6 +6,58 @@ Versioning follows [Semantic Versioning](https://semver.org/).
 
 ---
 
+## [0.1.42] — 2026-03-26
+
+### Added
+
+- **Phase 97 · Famine Relief & Rationing** (`src/famine.ts`)
+  - `FaminePhase`: `"none" | "shortage" | "famine" | "catastrophe"` — graduated severity above Phase-87 Granary's binary famine flag.
+  - `RationingPolicy`: `"none" | "tight" | "emergency" | "starvation_rations"` — active polity response.
+  - `FamineState { polityId, phase, daysInPhase, cumulativeSeverity_Q }` — per-polity mutable tracker stored externally.
+  - `FaminePressures { deathBonus_Q, migrationPush_Q, unrestPressure_Q }` — advisory bundle; callers pass fields into Phases 86/81/90.
+  - Phase thresholds: shortage < q(0.50), famine < q(0.20), catastrophe < q(0.05) of `computeFoodSupply_Q`.
+  - `FAMINE_PHASE_DEATH_Q`: +1%/year (shortage) → +3%/year (famine) → +7%/year (catastrophe); stacks with Phase-86 base famine death.
+  - `FAMINE_PHASE_MIGRATION_Q`: q(0.08) → q(0.25) → q(0.50) — feeds Phase-81.
+  - `RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q`: tight 20%, emergency 40%, starvation_rations 60% consumption cut.
+  - `RATIONING_UNREST_Q`: q(0.04) → q(0.12) → q(0.25) — rationing itself generates unrest.
+  - `SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY`: none −5 (decay), shortage +2, famine +10, catastrophe +25 per day; `cumulativeSeverity_Q` models long-term famine damage.
+  - `createFamineState(polityId)` — factory.
+  - `computeFaminePhase(foodSupply_Q)` — classifies severity from granary output.
+  - `computeFaminePressures(state, policy?)` — combined famine + rationing advisory pressures.
+  - `stepFamine(state, foodSupply_Q, elapsedDays)` → `boolean` — advances state; returns `true` when phase changes.
+  - `computeRationedConsumption(polity, policy, elapsedDays)` — rationed su demand.
+  - `stepRationedGranary(polity, granary, policy, elapsedDays)` — replaces Phase-87 `stepGranaryConsumption` when rationing is active.
+  - `computeReliefImport(polity, granary, budget_cu, capacityCap_su)` — converts treasury into grain; mutates both in-place; capped by treasury, budget, and granary space.
+  - `isFamineActive(state)` / `isCatastrophicFamine(state)` — convenience predicates.
+  - Added `./famine` subpath export to `package.json`.
+  - 60 new tests; 5,082 total. Coverage: 100% statements/branches/functions/lines on `famine.ts`.
+
+---
+
+## [0.1.41] — 2026-03-26
+
+### Added
+
+- **Phase 96 · Climate Events & Natural Disasters** (`src/climate.ts`)
+  - `ClimateEventType`: `"drought" | "flood" | "harsh_winter" | "earthquake" | "plague_season" | "locust_swarm"`.
+  - `ClimateEvent { eventId, type, severity_Q, durationDays }` — immutable descriptor.
+  - `ActiveClimateEvent { event, remainingDays, elapsedDays }` — mutable progress tracker stored externally by host.
+  - `ClimateEffects { deathPressure_Q, harvestYieldPenalty_Q, epidemicGrowthBonus_Q, infrastructureDamage_Q, unrestPressure_Q, marchPenalty_Q }` — advisory bundle passed to Phases 86–93.
+  - `BASE_EFFECTS: Record<ClimateEventType, ClimateEffects>` — full-severity baselines: locust_swarm has highest harvest penalty (q(0.80)), plague_season highest epidemic growth (q(0.40)), earthquake highest infrastructure damage (q(0.20)), harsh_winter highest march penalty (q(0.40)).
+  - `EVENT_DAILY_PROBABILITY_Q: Record<ClimateEventType, number>` — direct daily integer probabilities out of SCALE.Q=10000: harsh_winter 50, flood 40, drought 30, plague_season 20, locust_swarm 10, earthquake 5.
+  - `EVENT_DURATION_RANGE: Record<ClimateEventType, [number, number]>` — duration ranges in days: drought 60–180, plague_season 30–120, harsh_winter 30–90, flood 7–30, locust_swarm 7–21, earthquake 1–3.
+  - `createClimateEvent(eventId, type, severity_Q, durationDays)` — factory; clamps severity and enforces minimum duration of 1.
+  - `activateClimateEvent(event)` → `ActiveClimateEvent` with `remainingDays = durationDays`, `elapsedDays = 0`.
+  - `computeClimateEffects(active)` → `ClimateEffects`; each field = `round(base × severity / SCALE.Q)`; returns zero bundle when expired.
+  - `stepClimateEvent(active, elapsedDays)` — decrements `remainingDays` (floor 0), increments `elapsedDays`; returns `true` when event expires.
+  - `isClimateEventExpired(active)` → `remainingDays <= 0`.
+  - `generateClimateEvent(polityHash, worldSeed, tick)` → `ClimateEvent | undefined` — deterministic random generation via `eventSeed`; rolls each type independently; severity ∈ [q(0.20), q(0.90)]; duration interpolated within type range.
+  - `aggregateClimateEffects(actives)` → combined `ClimateEffects` — sums per-field across all active events and clamps to SCALE.Q; expired events contribute zero.
+  - Added `./climate` subpath export to `package.json`.
+  - 41 new tests; 5,022 total. Coverage: 100% statements/branches/functions/lines on `climate.ts`.
+
+---
+
 ## [0.1.40] — 2026-03-26
 
 ### Added

package/dist/src/climate.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,108 @@
+import type { Q } from "./units.js";
+/** Classification of climate event. */
+export type ClimateEventType = "drought" | "flood" | "harsh_winter" | "earthquake" | "plague_season" | "locust_swarm";
+/** Immutable descriptor for a climate event. */
+export interface ClimateEvent {
+    eventId: string;
+    type: ClimateEventType;
+    /**
+     * Severity [0, SCALE.Q].  Scales all effect magnitudes.
+     * q(0.30) = minor; q(0.60) = severe; q(0.90) = catastrophic.
+     */
+    severity_Q: Q;
+    /**
+     * Total duration in simulated days.
+     * Remaining days tracked in `ActiveClimateEvent.remainingDays`.
+     */
+    durationDays: number;
+}
+/** Mutable tracking state for an ongoing climate event. */
+export interface ActiveClimateEvent {
+    event: ClimateEvent;
+    remainingDays: number;
+    /** Total days this event has been active on this polity. */
+    elapsedDays: number;
+}
+/**
+ * Advisory effect bundle derived from a climate event.
+ * Pass individual fields into the relevant downstream phase calls.
+ * All fields are [0, SCALE.Q] unless noted.
+ */
+export interface ClimateEffects {
+    /** Extra famine death pressure for Phase-86 `deathPressure_Q`. */
+    deathPressure_Q: Q;
+    /** Harvest yield penalty for Phase-87 `deriveHarvestYieldFactor`. */
+    harvestYieldPenalty_Q: Q;
+    /** Epidemic growth bonus for Phase-88 `stepEpidemic` health capacity. */
+    epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: Q;
+    /**
+     * Infrastructure damage fraction per day for Phase-89.
+     * Hosts subtract `investedCost × damage / SCALE.Q` from project progress.
+     */
+    infrastructureDamage_Q: Q;
+    /** Extra unrest pressure for Phase-90 `computeUnrestLevel`. */
+    unrestPressure_Q: Q;
+    /** March rate penalty for Phase-93 `stepCampaignMarch` road bonus reduction. */
+    marchPenalty_Q: Q;
+}
+/**
+ * Base effect magnitudes at full severity (q(1.0)) for each event type.
+ * Actual effects = base × severity_Q / SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export declare const BASE_EFFECTS: Record<ClimateEventType, ClimateEffects>;
+/**
+ * Typical duration ranges in days [min, max] for each event type.
+ * Used by `generateClimateEvent` to set `durationDays`.
+ */
+export declare const EVENT_DURATION_RANGE: Record<ClimateEventType, [number, number]>;
+/**
+ * Daily probability of each event type triggering [Q].
+ * Roll = `eventSeed(...) % SCALE.Q`; triggers when roll < dailyProb.
+ *
+ * These correspond to rough annual frequencies:
+ *   harsh_winter: q(0.005) ≈ 0.5%/day ≈ ~50% chance within a year
+ *   flood:        q(0.004) ≈ 0.4%/day ≈ ~40% within a year
+ *   drought:      q(0.003) ≈ 0.3%/day
+ *   plague_season:q(0.002) ≈ 0.2%/day
+ *   locust_swarm: q(0.001) ≈ 0.1%/day
+ *   earthquake:   q(0.0005)≈ 0.05%/day (rare)
+ */
+export declare const EVENT_DAILY_PROBABILITY_Q: Record<ClimateEventType, number>;
+/** Create a `ClimateEvent` with explicit parameters. */
+export declare function createClimateEvent(eventId: string, type: ClimateEventType, severity_Q: Q, durationDays: number): ClimateEvent;
+/** Start tracking an active climate event. */
+export declare function activateClimateEvent(event: ClimateEvent): ActiveClimateEvent;
+/**
+ * Compute the `ClimateEffects` bundle for a given event at its current severity.
+ *
+ * Each field = `round(BASE_EFFECTS[type][field] × severity_Q / SCALE.Q)`.
+ * Returns a zero bundle if `active.remainingDays <= 0`.
+ */
+export declare function computeClimateEffects(active: ActiveClimateEvent): ClimateEffects;
+/**
+ * Advance an active climate event by `elapsedDays`.
+ * Decrements `remainingDays` (floor at 0) and increments `elapsedDays`.
+ * Returns `true` if the event has expired this step.
+ */
+export declare function stepClimateEvent(active: ActiveClimateEvent, elapsedDays: number): boolean;
+/** Return true if the event has run its full duration. */
+export declare function isClimateEventExpired(active: ActiveClimateEvent): boolean;
+/**
+ * Attempt to generate a random climate event for a polity on the given tick.
+ *
+ * Each event type is rolled independently.  Returns the first event whose
+ * annual probability roll succeeds, or `undefined` if none trigger.
+ *
+ * Roll: `eventSeed(worldSeed, tick, polityHash, 0, typeSalt) % SCALE.Q`
+ * vs daily probability = `round(annualProb / 365)`.
+ *
+ * @param polityHash  `hashString(polity.id)` from Phase-61.
+ * @param worldSeed   World-level seed.
+ * @param tick        Current simulation tick (day).
+ */
+export declare function generateClimateEvent(polityHash: number, worldSeed: number, tick: number): ClimateEvent | undefined;
+/**
+ * Combine effects from multiple simultaneous active events (e.g. drought + locust).
+ * Each field is summed and clamped to SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export declare function aggregateClimateEffects(actives: ActiveClimateEvent[]): ClimateEffects;

package/dist/src/climate.js

@@ -0,0 +1,240 @@
+// src/climate.ts — Phase 96: Climate Events & Natural Disasters
+//
+// Multi-day climate events affect polity populations, granaries, infrastructure,
+// epidemic spread, and military campaigns.  This is distinct from Phase-51
+// (tactical weather): Phase 96 operates at the polity/campaign timescale —
+// weeks to seasons — rather than the second-to-second combat tick.
+//
+// Design:
+//   - Pure data layer — no Entity fields, no kernel changes.
+//   - `ClimateEvent` is an immutable descriptor; `ActiveClimateEvent` tracks progress.
+//   - `computeClimateEffects` returns an advisory `ClimateEffects` bundle;
+//     callers pass individual fields to Phase-86/87/88/89/90/93 as needed.
+//   - `generateClimateEvent` uses `eventSeed` for deterministic random occurrence.
+//   - Severity and duration determine effect magnitude; effects scale linearly with
+//     severity via mulDiv.
+//
+// Integration:
+//   Phase 86 (Demography):  deathPressure_Q elevated by drought/harsh_winter.
+//   Phase 87 (Granary):     harvestYieldPenalty_Q reduces harvest output.
+//   Phase 88 (Epidemic):    epidemicGrowthBonus_Q accelerates disease spread.
+//   Phase 89 (Infra):       infrastructureDamage_Q models flood/earthquake damage.
+//   Phase 90 (Unrest):      unrestPressure_Q adds to computeUnrestLevel factors.
+//   Phase 93 (Campaign):    marchPenalty_Q reduces daily march progress.
+import { eventSeed } from "./sim/seeds.js";
+import { q, SCALE, clampQ } from "./units.js";
+// ── Constants ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Base effect magnitudes at full severity (q(1.0)) for each event type.
+ * Actual effects = base × severity_Q / SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export const BASE_EFFECTS = {
+    drought: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.10),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.60), // major crop loss
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: q(0.10),
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: 0,
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.15),
+        marchPenalty_Q: 0,
+    },
+    flood: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.08),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.40),
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: q(0.20), // waterborne disease
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: q(0.05), // per day
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.10),
+        marchPenalty_Q: q(0.30), // mud impedes armies
+    },
+    harsh_winter: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.08),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.20),
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: q(0.15), // respiratory illness
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: q(0.01),
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.08),
+        marchPenalty_Q: q(0.40), // historical winter campaign penalty
+    },
+    earthquake: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.15), // immediate casualties
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.10),
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: q(0.10),
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: q(0.20), // heavy structural damage
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.20),
+        marchPenalty_Q: q(0.10),
+    },
+    plague_season: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.20), // epidemic peak
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.15), // insufficient labour
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: q(0.40), // primary driver
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: 0,
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.18),
+        marchPenalty_Q: q(0.15), // sick soldiers
+    },
+    locust_swarm: {
+        deathPressure_Q: q(0.05),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: q(0.80), // near-total crop destruction
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: 0,
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: 0,
+        unrestPressure_Q: q(0.20),
+        marchPenalty_Q: 0,
+    },
+};
+/**
+ * Typical duration ranges in days [min, max] for each event type.
+ * Used by `generateClimateEvent` to set `durationDays`.
+ */
+export const EVENT_DURATION_RANGE = {
+    drought: [60, 180],
+    flood: [7, 30],
+    harsh_winter: [30, 90],
+    earthquake: [1, 3],
+    plague_season: [30, 120],
+    locust_swarm: [7, 21],
+};
+/**
+ * Daily probability of each event type triggering [Q].
+ * Roll = `eventSeed(...) % SCALE.Q`; triggers when roll < dailyProb.
+ *
+ * These correspond to rough annual frequencies:
+ *   harsh_winter: q(0.005) ≈ 0.5%/day ≈ ~50% chance within a year
+ *   flood:        q(0.004) ≈ 0.4%/day ≈ ~40% within a year
+ *   drought:      q(0.003) ≈ 0.3%/day
+ *   plague_season:q(0.002) ≈ 0.2%/day
+ *   locust_swarm: q(0.001) ≈ 0.1%/day
+ *   earthquake:   q(0.0005)≈ 0.05%/day (rare)
+ */
+export const EVENT_DAILY_PROBABILITY_Q = {
+    harsh_winter: 50, // 50/10000 = 0.5% per day
+    flood: 40,
+    drought: 30,
+    plague_season: 20,
+    locust_swarm: 10,
+    earthquake: 5,
+};
+// ── Factory ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/** Create a `ClimateEvent` with explicit parameters. */
+export function createClimateEvent(eventId, type, severity_Q, durationDays) {
+    return {
+        eventId,
+        type,
+        severity_Q: clampQ(severity_Q, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        durationDays: Math.max(1, durationDays),
+    };
+}
+/** Start tracking an active climate event. */
+export function activateClimateEvent(event) {
+    return { event, remainingDays: event.durationDays, elapsedDays: 0 };
+}
+// ── Effect computation ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Compute the `ClimateEffects` bundle for a given event at its current severity.
+ *
+ * Each field = `round(BASE_EFFECTS[type][field] × severity_Q / SCALE.Q)`.
+ * Returns a zero bundle if `active.remainingDays <= 0`.
+ */
+export function computeClimateEffects(active) {
+    if (active.remainingDays <= 0) {
+        return zeroEffects();
+    }
+    const base = BASE_EFFECTS[active.event.type];
+    const sev = active.event.severity_Q;
+    return {
+        deathPressure_Q: scale(base.deathPressure_Q, sev),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: scale(base.harvestYieldPenalty_Q, sev),
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: scale(base.epidemicGrowthBonus_Q, sev),
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: scale(base.infrastructureDamage_Q, sev),
+        unrestPressure_Q: scale(base.unrestPressure_Q, sev),
+        marchPenalty_Q: scale(base.marchPenalty_Q, sev),
+    };
+}
+function scale(base, severity_Q) {
+    return clampQ(Math.round(base * severity_Q / SCALE.Q), 0, SCALE.Q);
+}
+function zeroEffects() {
+    return {
+        deathPressure_Q: 0,
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: 0,
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: 0,
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: 0,
+        unrestPressure_Q: 0,
+        marchPenalty_Q: 0,
+    };
+}
+// ── Event step ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Advance an active climate event by `elapsedDays`.
+ * Decrements `remainingDays` (floor at 0) and increments `elapsedDays`.
+ * Returns `true` if the event has expired this step.
+ */
+export function stepClimateEvent(active, elapsedDays) {
+    active.elapsedDays += elapsedDays;
+    active.remainingDays = Math.max(0, active.remainingDays - elapsedDays);
+    return active.remainingDays === 0;
+}
+/** Return true if the event has run its full duration. */
+export function isClimateEventExpired(active) {
+    return active.remainingDays <= 0;
+}
+// ── Random event generation ───────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Attempt to generate a random climate event for a polity on the given tick.
+ *
+ * Each event type is rolled independently.  Returns the first event whose
+ * annual probability roll succeeds, or `undefined` if none trigger.
+ *
+ * Roll: `eventSeed(worldSeed, tick, polityHash, 0, typeSalt) % SCALE.Q`
+ * vs daily probability = `round(annualProb / 365)`.
+ *
+ * @param polityHash  `hashString(polity.id)` from Phase-61.
+ * @param worldSeed   World-level seed.
+ * @param tick        Current simulation tick (day).
+ */
+export function generateClimateEvent(polityHash, worldSeed, tick) {
+    const types = [
+        "harsh_winter", "flood", "drought", "plague_season", "locust_swarm", "earthquake",
+    ];
+    for (let i = 0; i < types.length; i++) {
+        const type = types[i];
+        const dailyProb = EVENT_DAILY_PROBABILITY_Q[type];
+        const seed = eventSeed(worldSeed, tick, polityHash, 0, i + 1);
+        const roll = seed % SCALE.Q;
+        if (roll < dailyProb) {
+            // Determine severity: another seed roll, maps to q(0.20)–q(0.90)
+            const sevSeed = eventSeed(worldSeed, tick, polityHash, i + 1, 42);
+            const sevRoll = sevSeed % SCALE.Q;
+            const severity_Q = clampQ(q(0.20) + Math.round(sevRoll * q(0.70) / SCALE.Q), 0, SCALE.Q);
+            // Duration: interpolate within the type's range
+            const [minDays, maxDays] = EVENT_DURATION_RANGE[type];
+            const durSeed = eventSeed(worldSeed, tick, polityHash, i + 2, 7);
+            const durRange = maxDays - minDays;
+            const durationDays = minDays + (durSeed % (durRange + 1));
+            const eventId = `${type}_${tick}_${polityHash % 10000}`;
+            return createClimateEvent(eventId, type, severity_Q, durationDays);
+        }
+    }
+    return undefined;
+}
+// ── Aggregate helpers ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Combine effects from multiple simultaneous active events (e.g. drought + locust).
+ * Each field is summed and clamped to SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export function aggregateClimateEffects(actives) {
+    let death = 0, harvest = 0, epidemic = 0, infra = 0, unrest = 0, march = 0;
+    for (const active of actives) {
+        const fx = computeClimateEffects(active);
+        death += fx.deathPressure_Q;
+        harvest += fx.harvestYieldPenalty_Q;
+        epidemic += fx.epidemicGrowthBonus_Q;
+        infra += fx.infrastructureDamage_Q;
+        unrest += fx.unrestPressure_Q;
+        march += fx.marchPenalty_Q;
+    }
+    return {
+        deathPressure_Q: clampQ(death, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        harvestYieldPenalty_Q: clampQ(harvest, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        epidemicGrowthBonus_Q: clampQ(epidemic, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        infrastructureDamage_Q: clampQ(infra, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        unrestPressure_Q: clampQ(unrest, 0, SCALE.Q),
+        marchPenalty_Q: clampQ(march, 0, SCALE.Q),
+    };
+}

package/dist/src/famine.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,120 @@
+import type { Q } from "./units.js";
+import type { Polity } from "./polity.js";
+import type { GranaryState } from "./granary.js";
+/** Graduated severity of a food crisis. */
+export type FaminePhase = "none" | "shortage" | "famine" | "catastrophe";
+/** Polity policy for reducing per-capita food consumption below normal demand. */
+export type RationingPolicy = "none" | "tight" | "emergency" | "starvation_rations";
+/**
+ * Per-polity famine tracking state.
+ * Attach one to each polity; store externally (e.g. `Map<string, FamineState>`).
+ */
+export interface FamineState {
+    polityId: string;
+    phase: FaminePhase;
+    /** Days spent continuously in the current phase. Resets when phase changes. */
+    daysInPhase: number;
+    /**
+     * Long-term famine damage [0, SCALE.Q].
+     * Accrues during famine/catastrophe (depleted seed grain, dead workers, trauma).
+     * Decays slowly once food supply recovers to "none".
+     */
+    cumulativeSeverity_Q: Q;
+}
+/**
+ * Advisory pressure bundle for downstream phases.
+ * All fields [0, SCALE.Q] unless noted.
+ */
+export interface FaminePressures {
+    /** Additional annual death rate. Supplement Phase-86 `deathPressure_Q`. */
+    deathBonus_Q: Q;
+    /** Migration push. Pass to Phase-81 `computePushPressure`. */
+    migrationPush_Q: Q;
+    /** Combined famine + rationing unrest. Pass to Phase-90 `computeUnrestLevel`. */
+    unrestPressure_Q: Q;
+}
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → shortage phase. */
+export declare const SHORTAGE_THRESHOLD_Q: Q;
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → famine phase. */
+export declare const FAMINE_THRESHOLD_Q: Q;
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → catastrophe phase. */
+export declare const CATASTROPHE_THRESHOLD_Q: Q;
+/**
+ * Additional annual death rate by famine phase [Q].
+ * Phase-86 already applies `FAMINE_DEATH_ANNUAL_Q = q(0.030)` at famine threshold;
+ * these bonuses are additive on top for graduated severity.
+ */
+export declare const FAMINE_PHASE_DEATH_Q: Record<FaminePhase, Q>;
+/** Migration push pressure by famine phase [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export declare const FAMINE_PHASE_MIGRATION_Q: Record<FaminePhase, Q>;
+/** Base unrest pressure by famine phase [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export declare const FAMINE_PHASE_UNREST_Q: Record<FaminePhase, Q>;
+/**
+ * Consumption reduction fraction per rationing policy [0, SCALE.Q].
+ * Applied to `polity.population × elapsedDays` to give actual su demand.
+ */
+export declare const RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q: Record<RationingPolicy, Q>;
+/** Unrest pressure added by rationing policy itself [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export declare const RATIONING_UNREST_Q: Record<RationingPolicy, Q>;
+/** Treasury cost in cu per supply unit of emergency food import (1 su = 1 person-day). */
+export declare const RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU = 2;
+/**
+ * Cumulative severity change per day by famine phase [out of SCALE.Q].
+ * Negative values → decay; positive values → accrual.
+ */
+export declare const SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY: Record<FaminePhase, number>;
+/** Create a fresh `FamineState` for a polity (no active famine, zero severity). */
+export declare function createFamineState(polityId: string): FamineState;
+/**
+ * Classify the current famine phase from the granary food supply fraction.
+ *
+ * Obtain `foodSupply_Q` from Phase-87 `computeFoodSupply_Q(polity, granary)`.
+ */
+export declare function computeFaminePhase(foodSupply_Q: Q): FaminePhase;
+/**
+ * Compute the advisory pressure bundle for the current famine state and rationing policy.
+ *
+ * `unrestPressure_Q` sums famine unrest with rationing unrest, clamped to SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export declare function computeFaminePressures(state: FamineState, policy?: RationingPolicy): FaminePressures;
+/**
+ * Advance famine state by `elapsedDays`.
+ *
+ * - Reclassifies `phase` from the current `foodSupply_Q`.
+ * - Resets `daysInPhase` to 0 on phase change; otherwise increments.
+ * - Accrues or decays `cumulativeSeverity_Q` at `SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY`.
+ *
+ * Returns `true` if the famine phase changed this step.
+ */
+export declare function stepFamine(state: FamineState, foodSupply_Q: Q, elapsedDays: number): boolean;
+/**
+ * Compute food demand in supply units after applying the rationing reduction.
+ *
+ * Normal demand = `polity.population × elapsedDays` su.
+ * `RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q[policy]` fraction is subtracted before multiplication.
+ */
+export declare function computeRationedConsumption(polity: Polity, policy: RationingPolicy, elapsedDays: number): number;
+/**
+ * Drain rationed consumption from a granary.
+ *
+ * Use in place of Phase-87 `stepGranaryConsumption` when a rationing policy is
+ * active.  Grain is clamped to 0; returns the actual supply units consumed.
+ */
+export declare function stepRationedGranary(polity: Polity, granary: GranaryState, policy: RationingPolicy, elapsedDays: number): number;
+/**
+ * Spend treasury to import emergency food.
+ *
+ * Converts up to `budget_cu` of `polity.treasury_cu` into grain at
+ * `RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU` cu/su, limited by remaining granary space.
+ *
+ * Mutates `polity.treasury_cu` and `granary.grain_su`.
+ * Returns the actual supply units added.
+ *
+ * @param budget_cu       Max treasury to spend (e.g. pass `polity.treasury_cu` for all-in).
+ * @param capacityCap_su  Max granary capacity; derive via Phase-87 `computeCapacity(polity)`.
+ */
+export declare function computeReliefImport(polity: Polity, granary: GranaryState, budget_cu: number, capacityCap_su: number): number;
+/** Return `true` when the polity is in any active famine phase. */
+export declare function isFamineActive(state: FamineState): boolean;
+/** Return `true` when the polity has reached the most severe famine phase. */
+export declare function isCatastrophicFamine(state: FamineState): boolean;

package/dist/src/famine.js

@@ -0,0 +1,201 @@
+// src/famine.ts — Phase 97: Famine Relief & Rationing
+//
+// Graduated famine severity tracking, rationing policies, and emergency food
+// relief for polities.  Sits above Phase-87 (Granary) as the active response layer.
+//
+// Design:
+//   - Pure data layer — no Entity fields, no kernel changes.
+//   - `FamineState` tracks famine phase, days in phase, and cumulative severity.
+//     Store one per polity externally; pass to step functions each tick.
+//   - `computeFaminePressures` returns an advisory bundle; callers pass fields into
+//     Phase-86 (deathBonus), Phase-81 (migrationPush), and Phase-90 (unrest).
+//   - `stepRationedGranary` replaces Phase-87 `stepGranaryConsumption` when a
+//     rationing policy is active.
+//   - `computeReliefImport` converts `treasury_cu` to grain — treasury and granary
+//     are mutated in-place; caller supplies granary capacity.
+//
+// Integration:
+//   Phase 86 (Demography):  deathBonus_Q supplements Phase-86 FAMINE_DEATH_ANNUAL_Q.
+//   Phase 87 (Granary):     computeFoodSupply_Q → foodSupply_Q; stepRationedGranary.
+//   Phase 81 (Migration):   migrationPush_Q passed to computePushPressure.
+//   Phase 90 (Unrest):      unrestPressure_Q passed to computeUnrestLevel.
+//   Phase 96 (Climate):     harvestYieldPenalty worsens foodSupply_Q that drives here.
+import { q, SCALE, clampQ } from "./units.js";
+// ── Constants ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → shortage phase. */
+export const SHORTAGE_THRESHOLD_Q = q(0.50);
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → famine phase. */
+export const FAMINE_THRESHOLD_Q = q(0.20);
+/** `foodSupply_Q` below this → catastrophe phase. */
+export const CATASTROPHE_THRESHOLD_Q = q(0.05);
+/**
+ * Additional annual death rate by famine phase [Q].
+ * Phase-86 already applies `FAMINE_DEATH_ANNUAL_Q = q(0.030)` at famine threshold;
+ * these bonuses are additive on top for graduated severity.
+ */
+export const FAMINE_PHASE_DEATH_Q = {
+    none: 0,
+    shortage: q(0.010), // +1%/year
+    famine: q(0.030), // +3%/year (stacks with Ph-86 +3%)
+    catastrophe: q(0.070), // +7%/year
+};
+/** Migration push pressure by famine phase [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export const FAMINE_PHASE_MIGRATION_Q = {
+    none: 0,
+    shortage: q(0.08),
+    famine: q(0.25),
+    catastrophe: q(0.50),
+};
+/** Base unrest pressure by famine phase [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export const FAMINE_PHASE_UNREST_Q = {
+    none: 0,
+    shortage: q(0.05),
+    famine: q(0.15),
+    catastrophe: q(0.30),
+};
+/**
+ * Consumption reduction fraction per rationing policy [0, SCALE.Q].
+ * Applied to `polity.population × elapsedDays` to give actual su demand.
+ */
+export const RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q = {
+    none: 0,
+    tight: q(0.20),
+    emergency: q(0.40),
+    starvation_rations: q(0.60),
+};
+/** Unrest pressure added by rationing policy itself [0, SCALE.Q]. */
+export const RATIONING_UNREST_Q = {
+    none: 0,
+    tight: q(0.04),
+    emergency: q(0.12),
+    starvation_rations: q(0.25),
+};
+/** Treasury cost in cu per supply unit of emergency food import (1 su = 1 person-day). */
+export const RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU = 2;
+/**
+ * Cumulative severity change per day by famine phase [out of SCALE.Q].
+ * Negative values → decay; positive values → accrual.
+ */
+export const SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY = {
+    none: -5,
+    shortage: 2,
+    famine: 10,
+    catastrophe: 25,
+};
+// ── Factory ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/** Create a fresh `FamineState` for a polity (no active famine, zero severity). */
+export function createFamineState(polityId) {
+    return {
+        polityId,
+        phase: "none",
+        daysInPhase: 0,
+        cumulativeSeverity_Q: 0,
+    };
+}
+// ── Phase classification ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Classify the current famine phase from the granary food supply fraction.
+ *
+ * Obtain `foodSupply_Q` from Phase-87 `computeFoodSupply_Q(polity, granary)`.
+ */
+export function computeFaminePhase(foodSupply_Q) {
+    if (foodSupply_Q < CATASTROPHE_THRESHOLD_Q)
+        return "catastrophe";
+    if (foodSupply_Q < FAMINE_THRESHOLD_Q)
+        return "famine";
+    if (foodSupply_Q < SHORTAGE_THRESHOLD_Q)
+        return "shortage";
+    return "none";
+}
+// ── Pressure computation ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Compute the advisory pressure bundle for the current famine state and rationing policy.
+ *
+ * `unrestPressure_Q` sums famine unrest with rationing unrest, clamped to SCALE.Q.
+ */
+export function computeFaminePressures(state, policy = "none") {
+    const phase = state.phase;
+    const unrest = clampQ(FAMINE_PHASE_UNREST_Q[phase] + RATIONING_UNREST_Q[policy], 0, SCALE.Q);
+    return {
+        deathBonus_Q: FAMINE_PHASE_DEATH_Q[phase],
+        migrationPush_Q: FAMINE_PHASE_MIGRATION_Q[phase],
+        unrestPressure_Q: unrest,
+    };
+}
+// ── State step ────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Advance famine state by `elapsedDays`.
+ *
+ * - Reclassifies `phase` from the current `foodSupply_Q`.
+ * - Resets `daysInPhase` to 0 on phase change; otherwise increments.
+ * - Accrues or decays `cumulativeSeverity_Q` at `SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY`.
+ *
+ * Returns `true` if the famine phase changed this step.
+ */
+export function stepFamine(state, foodSupply_Q, elapsedDays) {
+    const newPhase = computeFaminePhase(foodSupply_Q);
+    const phaseChanged = newPhase !== state.phase;
+    if (phaseChanged) {
+        state.phase = newPhase;
+        state.daysInPhase = 0;
+    }
+    state.daysInPhase += elapsedDays;
+    const delta = SEVERITY_DELTA_PER_DAY[state.phase] * elapsedDays;
+    state.cumulativeSeverity_Q = clampQ(state.cumulativeSeverity_Q + delta, 0, SCALE.Q);
+    return phaseChanged;
+}
+// ── Rationing ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Compute food demand in supply units after applying the rationing reduction.
+ *
+ * Normal demand = `polity.population × elapsedDays` su.
+ * `RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q[policy]` fraction is subtracted before multiplication.
+ */
+export function computeRationedConsumption(polity, policy, elapsedDays) {
+    const reduction = RATIONING_REDUCTION_Q[policy];
+    const factor = SCALE.Q - reduction;
+    const dailyDemand = Math.round(polity.population * factor / SCALE.Q);
+    return dailyDemand * elapsedDays;
+}
+/**
+ * Drain rationed consumption from a granary.
+ *
+ * Use in place of Phase-87 `stepGranaryConsumption` when a rationing policy is
+ * active.  Grain is clamped to 0; returns the actual supply units consumed.
+ */
+export function stepRationedGranary(polity, granary, policy, elapsedDays) {
+    const demand = computeRationedConsumption(polity, policy, elapsedDays);
+    const consumed = Math.min(demand, granary.grain_su);
+    granary.grain_su = Math.max(0, granary.grain_su - demand);
+    return consumed;
+}
+// ── Relief imports ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/**
+ * Spend treasury to import emergency food.
+ *
+ * Converts up to `budget_cu` of `polity.treasury_cu` into grain at
+ * `RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU` cu/su, limited by remaining granary space.
+ *
+ * Mutates `polity.treasury_cu` and `granary.grain_su`.
+ * Returns the actual supply units added.
+ *
+ * @param budget_cu       Max treasury to spend (e.g. pass `polity.treasury_cu` for all-in).
+ * @param capacityCap_su  Max granary capacity; derive via Phase-87 `computeCapacity(polity)`.
+ */
+export function computeReliefImport(polity, granary, budget_cu, capacityCap_su) {
+    const affordable = Math.floor(Math.min(budget_cu, polity.treasury_cu) / RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU);
+    const space = Math.max(0, capacityCap_su - granary.grain_su);
+    const added = Math.min(affordable, space);
+    granary.grain_su += added;
+    polity.treasury_cu -= added * RELIEF_IMPORT_COST_CU_PER_SU;
+    return added;
+}
+// ── Helpers ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
+/** Return `true` when the polity is in any active famine phase. */
+export function isFamineActive(state) {
+    return state.phase !== "none";
+}
+/** Return `true` when the polity has reached the most severe famine phase. */
+export function isCatastrophicFamine(state) {
+    return state.phase === "catastrophe";
+}

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@its-not-rocket-science/ananke",
-  "version": "0.1.40",
+  "version": "0.1.42",
   "type": "module",
   "description": "Deterministic lockstep-friendly SI-units RPG/physics core (fixed-point TS)",
   "license": "MIT",
@@ -146,6 +146,14 @@
     "./resources": {
       "import": "./dist/src/resources.js",
       "types": "./dist/src/resources.d.ts"
+    },
+    "./climate": {
+      "import": "./dist/src/climate.js",
+      "types": "./dist/src/climate.d.ts"
+    },
+    "./famine": {
+      "import": "./dist/src/famine.js",
+      "types": "./dist/src/famine.d.ts"
     }
   },
   "files": [