@fectivnfy112358/minimax-code-web 0.1.0-preview.0 → 0.1.0-preview.3

This diff represents the content of publicly available package versions that have been released to one of the supported registries. The information contained in this diff is provided for informational purposes only and reflects changes between package versions as they appear in their respective public registries.
Files changed (656) hide show
  1. package/bin/mcode-webui.mjs +6 -2
  2. package/package.json +1 -1
  3. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-all.md +121 -0
  4. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-all.md.hbs +255 -0
  5. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-windows.md +6 -0
  6. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-windows.md.hbs +6 -0
  7. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-worker.md +12 -0
  8. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-base-worker.md.hbs +27 -0
  9. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-session-branch.md +3 -0
  10. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-session-branch.md.hbs +30 -0
  11. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-session-root.md +4 -0
  12. package/server/assets/agents/_default/prompt-session-root.md.hbs +32 -0
  13. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/README.md +20 -0
  14. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/coder/PERSONA-zh.md +10 -0
  15. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/coder/PERSONA.md +11 -0
  16. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/coder/system-prompt.md.hbs +42 -0
  17. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/general/PERSONA-zh.md +11 -0
  18. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/general/PERSONA.md +11 -0
  19. package/server/assets/agents/_migration/general/system-prompt.md.hbs +49 -0
  20. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/AGENT_CONTEXT.md.hbs +222 -0
  21. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/coding/SYSTEM.md.hbs +161 -0
  22. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/explore.md.hbs +38 -0
  23. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/tui/SYSTEM.md.hbs +147 -0
  24. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/verifier.md.hbs +32 -0
  25. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/work/SYSTEM.md.hbs +173 -0
  26. package/server/assets/agents/_v2/worker.md.hbs +27 -0
  27. package/server/assets/agents/builtin-agents.json +1 -0
  28. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/archive-title/system-en.md +1 -0
  29. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/archive-title/system-zh.md +1 -0
  30. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/checkpoint/system.md +15 -0
  31. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/output-revision/system.md +1 -0
  32. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/retry/continuation.md +4 -0
  33. package/server/assets/agents/desktop-task/session-title/system.md +41 -0
  34. package/server/assets/agents/explore/PERSONA-zh.md +8 -0
  35. package/server/assets/agents/explore/PERSONA.md +8 -0
  36. package/server/assets/agents/explore/agent.md +14 -0
  37. package/server/assets/agents/explore/system-prompt.md.hbs +35 -0
  38. package/server/assets/agents/greeting-zh.md +61 -0
  39. package/server/assets/agents/greeting.md +61 -0
  40. package/server/assets/agents/managed-prompts.json +54 -0
  41. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/PERSONA-zh.md +7 -0
  42. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/PERSONA.md +7 -0
  43. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/cron.md.hbs +23 -0
  44. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/delegation.md.hbs +56 -0
  45. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/memory.md.hbs +61 -0
  46. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/recoverable-deletion.md.hbs +10 -0
  47. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/task-management.md.hbs +11 -0
  48. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/features/web-search.md.hbs +11 -0
  49. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/coding/online/PERSONA-zh.md.hbs +20 -0
  50. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/coding/online/PERSONA.md.hbs +20 -0
  51. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/coding/online/SYSTEM.md.hbs +159 -0
  52. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/work/online/PERSONA-zh.md.hbs +20 -0
  53. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/work/online/PERSONA.md.hbs +20 -0
  54. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/modes/work/online/SYSTEM.md.hbs +161 -0
  55. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/prompt-session-root.md +4 -0
  56. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/prompt-session-root.md.hbs +4 -0
  57. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/control-in-app-browser/SKILL.md +491 -0
  58. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/minimax-code-product/SKILL.md +114 -0
  59. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/minimax-code-product/references/account-models.md +32 -0
  60. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/minimax-code-product/references/agents.md +25 -0
  61. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/minimax-code-product/references/extensions.md +33 -0
  62. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/skills/minimax-code-product/references/workflows.md +30 -0
  63. package/server/assets/agents/mavis/system-prompt.md.hbs +97 -0
  64. package/server/assets/agents/prompt-exemptions.json +38 -0
  65. package/server/assets/agents/verifier/PERSONA-zh.md +8 -0
  66. package/server/assets/agents/verifier/PERSONA.md +8 -0
  67. package/server/assets/agents/verifier/agent.md +17 -0
  68. package/server/assets/agents/verifier/system-prompt.md.hbs +28 -0
  69. package/server/assets/agents/worker/PERSONA-zh.md +8 -0
  70. package/server/assets/agents/worker/PERSONA.md +8 -0
  71. package/server/assets/agents/worker/agent.md +18 -0
  72. package/server/assets/agents/worker/system-prompt.md.hbs +22 -0
  73. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/code-review/review-candidates.md +120 -0
  74. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/code-review/reviewer-system.md +75 -0
  75. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/budget-limit.md +16 -0
  76. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/continuation.md +62 -0
  77. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/objective-updated.md +16 -0
  78. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/recovery-terminal-audit.md +12 -0
  79. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/recovery.md +11 -0
  80. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/goal/terminal-audit.md +9 -0
  81. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/plan-mode/agent-entry.md +72 -0
  82. package/server/assets/agents/workflow/prompt-hook/system.md +0 -0
  83. package/server/assets/models-dev-catalog.json.gz +0 -0
  84. package/server/assets/prompts/code-review/review-candidates.md +120 -0
  85. package/server/assets/prompts/code-review/reviewer-system.md +75 -0
  86. package/server/assets/skills/code-review/SKILL.md +51 -0
  87. package/server/assets/skills/cu-desktop/SKILL.md +257 -0
  88. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/SKILL.md +219 -0
  89. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/scripts/render_plan.py +33 -0
  90. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/steps/1_background.md +65 -0
  91. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/steps/2_judgment.md +66 -0
  92. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/steps/3_analysis.md +114 -0
  93. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/steps/4_research.md +161 -0
  94. package/server/assets/skills/deep-research/steps/5_writing.md +358 -0
  95. package/server/assets/skills/deploy-website/SKILL.md +55 -0
  96. package/server/assets/skills/docx/LICENSE +21 -0
  97. package/server/assets/skills/docx/SKILL.md +261 -0
  98. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/styles/academic_styles.xml +250 -0
  99. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/styles/corporate_styles.xml +284 -0
  100. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/styles/default_styles.xml +449 -0
  101. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/xsd/aesthetic-rules.xsd +470 -0
  102. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/xsd/business-rules.xsd +130 -0
  103. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/xsd/common-types.xsd +159 -0
  104. package/server/assets/skills/docx/assets/xsd/wml-subset.xsd +589 -0
  105. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/acceptance-checklists/create.md +7 -0
  106. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/acceptance-checklists/edit.md +6 -0
  107. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/acceptance-checklists/layout-repair.md +7 -0
  108. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/acceptance-checklists/template.md +6 -0
  109. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/acceptance.md +139 -0
  110. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/anti-patterns.md +14 -0
  111. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/backends.md +116 -0
  112. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/evidence.md +73 -0
  113. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/failure-taxonomy.md +71 -0
  114. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/index.md +50 -0
  115. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/rendered-delivery.md +125 -0
  116. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/router.md +122 -0
  117. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/tables-and-numbering.md +27 -0
  118. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-apply-template.md +141 -0
  119. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-compare-two-docx.md +48 -0
  120. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-create.md +124 -0
  121. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-edit-fill.md +69 -0
  122. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-read-content.md +148 -0
  123. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-read-rendered.md +78 -0
  124. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-read-structure.md +93 -0
  125. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/task-repair-layout.md +70 -0
  126. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/template-dsl.md +32 -0
  127. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/track-changes.md +15 -0
  128. package/server/assets/skills/docx/docs/xml-patch-dsl.md +33 -0
  129. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/cjk_typography.md +357 -0
  130. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/cjk_university_template_guide.md +184 -0
  131. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/comments_guide.md +191 -0
  132. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/design_good_bad_examples.md +829 -0
  133. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/design_principles.md +819 -0
  134. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_element_order.md +308 -0
  135. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_encyclopedia_part1.md +4061 -0
  136. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_encyclopedia_part2.md +2820 -0
  137. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_encyclopedia_part3.md +3381 -0
  138. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_namespaces.md +82 -0
  139. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/openxml_units.md +72 -0
  140. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/sample-patch-plans.json +22 -0
  141. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/sample-task-intents.json +5 -0
  142. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/sample-template-manifests.json +21 -0
  143. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/scenario_a_create.md +284 -0
  144. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/scenario_b_edit_content.md +295 -0
  145. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/scenario_c_apply_template.md +456 -0
  146. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/track_changes_guide.md +200 -0
  147. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/troubleshooting.md +506 -0
  148. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/typography_guide.md +294 -0
  149. package/server/assets/skills/docx/references/xsd_validation_guide.md +158 -0
  150. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/build_patch_plan.py +29 -0
  151. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/diff_docx_structure.py +61 -0
  152. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/doc_to_docx.ps1 +85 -0
  153. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/doc_to_docx.sh +40 -0
  154. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/docx_preview.ps1 +76 -0
  155. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/docx_preview.sh +37 -0
  156. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/docx_to_pdf.py +87 -0
  157. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Cli/MiniMaxAIDocx.Cli.csproj +19 -0
  158. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Cli/Program.cs +18 -0
  159. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/AnalyzeCommand.cs +147 -0
  160. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/ApplyTemplateCommand.cs +322 -0
  161. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/CreateCommand.cs +324 -0
  162. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/DiffCommand.cs +155 -0
  163. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/EditContentCommand.cs +487 -0
  164. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/FixOrderCommand.cs +108 -0
  165. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/MergeRunsCommand.cs +122 -0
  166. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Commands/ValidateCommand.cs +107 -0
  167. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core.csproj +15 -0
  168. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/CommentSynchronizer.cs +169 -0
  169. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/ElementOrder.cs +80 -0
  170. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/NamespaceConstants.cs +42 -0
  171. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/RunMerger.cs +81 -0
  172. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/StyleAnalyzer.cs +81 -0
  173. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/TrackChangesHelper.cs +99 -0
  174. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/OpenXml/UnitConverter.cs +23 -0
  175. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/AestheticRecipeSamples.cs +1832 -0
  176. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/AestheticRecipeSamples_Batch1.cs +910 -0
  177. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/AestheticRecipeSamples_Batch2.cs +999 -0
  178. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/AestheticRecipeSamples_Batch3.cs +1048 -0
  179. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/AestheticRecipeSamples_Batch4.cs +1038 -0
  180. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/CharacterFormattingSamples.cs +1020 -0
  181. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/DocumentCreationSamples.cs +1121 -0
  182. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/FieldAndTocSamples.cs +624 -0
  183. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/FootnoteAndCommentSamples.cs +675 -0
  184. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/HeaderFooterSamples.cs +838 -0
  185. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/ImageSamples.cs +917 -0
  186. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/ListAndNumberingSamples.cs +826 -0
  187. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/ParagraphFormattingSamples.cs +1199 -0
  188. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/StyleSystemSamples.cs +1487 -0
  189. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/TableSamples.cs +1163 -0
  190. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Samples/TrackChangesSamples.cs +595 -0
  191. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Typography/CjkHelper.cs +39 -0
  192. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Typography/FontDefaults.cs +24 -0
  193. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Typography/PageSizes.cs +20 -0
  194. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Validation/BusinessRuleValidator.cs +224 -0
  195. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Validation/GateCheckValidator.cs +148 -0
  196. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Validation/ValidationResult.cs +23 -0
  197. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.Core/Validation/XsdValidator.cs +69 -0
  198. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/dotnet/MiniMaxAIDocx.slnx +4 -0
  199. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/env_check.ps1 +327 -0
  200. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/env_check.sh +340 -0
  201. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/extract_docx_text.py +1075 -0
  202. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/pack_docx.py +31 -0
  203. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/read_docx_structure.py +1032 -0
  204. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/render_docx_pages.py +147 -0
  205. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/rendered_report.py +609 -0
  206. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/setup.ps1 +542 -0
  207. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/setup.sh +537 -0
  208. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/unpack_docx.py +29 -0
  209. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/validate_template_manifest.py +60 -0
  210. package/server/assets/skills/docx/scripts/verify_anchor_atomicity.py +87 -0
  211. package/server/assets/skills/edit-deployed-website/SKILL.md +27 -0
  212. package/server/assets/skills/init/SKILL.md +137 -0
  213. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/SKILL.md +321 -0
  214. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-approval/SKILL.md +48 -0
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  216. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/SKILL.md +372 -0
  217. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/references/dashboard-block-data-config.md +350 -0
  218. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/references/examples.md +130 -0
  219. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/references/formula-field-guide.md +735 -0
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  237. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/references/lark-base-data-query.md +375 -0
  238. package/server/assets/skills/lark-tools/cli-skills/lark-base/references/lark-base-field-create.md +104 -0
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+ img { max-width: 100% !important; height: auto !important; }
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+ figure, img { page-break-inside: avoid; }
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+ a { color: #446EA6; }
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+ @media screen { html { background:#d0d0d0; } body { margin:0; padding:20px 0; } #templateContainer { background:#fff; box-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,.18); } }
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+ </style></head>
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+ <tr>
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+ <td style="font-size: 1px;" width="10"> </td>
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+ <td align="center"><font class="headerLineDivider" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: none; color: #446EA6;font-weight: normal; font-family:'GS Sans','Arial Narrow', Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif; white-space:nowrap;"> | </font></td>
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+ <tr height="12">
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+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
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+ <tr>
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+ <td height="10" style="font-size: 1px;"> </td>
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+ <tr>
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+ <td>
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+ <div>
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+ <span style="font-family: 'GS Sans Condensed',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 24px; line-height:28px; border-collapse: collapse;color: #000000f2;display: inline; letter-spacing: normal; margin-right: 0px;margin-top: 0px;text-align: left;text-decoration: none;"> 中国： </span>
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+ <span style="font-family: 'GS Sans Condensed',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 24px; line-height:28px; border-collapse: collapse;color: #000000f2;display: inline; letter-spacing: normal; margin-right: 0px;margin-top: 0px;text-align: left;text-decoration: none;"> 地方“两会”指向今年全国增长目标低于去年 </span>
982
+ </div> </td>
983
+ </tr>
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+ </tbody>
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+ </table> </td>
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+ </tr>
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+ <td height="8" style="height: 16px; font-size:1px; margin: 0; padding: 0;" width="100%"></td>
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+ </tr>
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+ <tr>
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+ <td width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;; font-weight:normal; font-size: 13px; color: #7f7f7f; text-align: left; margin: 0"> 2026年2月3日 | HKT 下午6:29 | 研究 | 经济学 </font> </td>
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+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
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+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p><b>要点：</b></p> </font> </td>
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+ <tr>
1050
+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p>截至今日（2月3日），中国大陆31个省份中已有29个在其地方“两会”期间正式公布2026年增长目标。在这29个省份中，19个下调了2026年增长目标。鉴于近期政策沟通、媒体报道以及地方“两会”释放的信号，我们目前预计政策制定者将把今年全国实际GDP增长目标从去年的“5%左右”下调至“4.5-5.0%”。对于将在3月全国“两会”上公布的其他目标和财政预算，我们预计大多与去年相同，包括通胀目标为2%（实践中为上限）、官方财政赤字率为GDP的4.0%、地方政府专项债（LGSB）发行额度RMB4.6tn（若计入10月批准的新增地方政府专项债（LGSB）额度，则与2025年持平），以及中央政府特别债（CGSB）发行额度RMB1.8tn。我们认为，如有必要，政策制定者可能为今年晚些时候的预算外融资安排留下空间，并 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQKaHF2rUcRXOCwT_9bN9x7VZhIwiRC_aTsuzG60jFPd6sgJl2RdAACwBz-QtYNWRohf_Ek7nkpYseHSG-xBQtrwwKoJkiASr4uQf1r2AmfagwdGYuMVlqZXxj_Tz2eXkJjkYmNI9-hAjFBCAs4BNpR8eE1ol_uFTwNbiKMgGjTH257uY4EI8-KxJAoH-NvqA2fFpgZC3AdarqNhUbjNKeUrM-AAVAgjkqWuTRItwm82EFk9GFaZcmn5mLnZFOZyqhyiYpFnbXh5cN46ol8VgbRIsVUUuSSMS2s*%26id=cd133c91-02d6-4e8b-9bd6-436272df59bf%26utm_medium=pa/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/Ud_z-IzzbAgQY43UcmfVVE3IufCCrCxWcmzplvUnhuI=442">预计</a> 我们专有的广义财政赤字（AFD）指标今年将扩大GDP的1个百分点。</p> </font> </td>
1051
+ </tr>
1052
+ </tbody>
1053
+ </table> </td>
1054
+ </tr>
1055
+ </tbody>
1056
+ </table>
1057
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1058
+ <tbody>
1059
+ <tr>
1060
+ <td>
1061
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1062
+ <tbody>
1063
+ <tr>
1064
+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p><b>主要观点：</b></p> </font> </td>
1065
+ </tr>
1066
+ </tbody>
1067
+ </table> </td>
1068
+ </tr>
1069
+ </tbody>
1070
+ </table>
1071
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1072
+ <tbody>
1073
+ <tr>
1074
+ <td>
1075
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1076
+ <tbody>
1077
+ <tr>
1078
+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p>1. 尽管1月-2月通常被视为 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQJlA9O2zWxROKxzG2l7U5GynDdwGxAAQB-Oxj5iJu3snyMo1G1dAACwEzxQqlkHW74NW1YteLgTSCqBMTHPGE7CYKj3ZNbkku3GzlNwR3-WbCiLiK9k-th3ewXu16R33MLaUsA-ZOQPZ5-3xW4z4UH-y8WfPqd_x72rli6N7HDrB7woAKfjFADmFFsS3u7qQ3f4-3VJv70MjYx60u5ZAcVpn6FJeFqMhTjoNX5-sNiCv6Zk_ho1JiwT6FrwGouHyxR_FL_KcAumsU7NVxjOo0Pfpxgkeo1oMxU*%26id=a01f97a8-4cb3-45da-b92e-2ecdb039b1e3%26utm_medium=pa/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/9ihtFymmsfIMjTiwSOFLU-DBx_jisRu5MypJKf-NhzU=442">12月中央经济工作会议</a> （CEWC）与3月全国“两会”之间的政策会议真空期，但这一窗口期内的省级“两会”有助于阐明全国经济目标和政策重点，因为最高政策制定者通常会在中央经济工作会议上将这些关键目标传达给地方政府。今年，截至今日（2月3日），中国大陆31个省份中已有29个召开地方“两会”，其余省份将在未来数日跟进。我们将主要观察总结如下：</p> </font> </td>
1079
+ </tr>
1080
+ </tbody>
1081
+ </table> </td>
1082
+ </tr>
1083
+ </tbody>
1084
+ </table>
1085
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1086
+ <tbody>
1087
+ <tr>
1088
+ <td>
1089
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1090
+ <tbody>
1091
+ <tr>
1092
+ <td>
1093
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1094
+ <tbody>
1095
+ <tr>
1096
+ <td class="copybody" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;font-family: Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro'; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19px; color: #222; text-align: left;" width="100%">
1097
+ <table>
1098
+ <tbody>
1099
+ <tr>
1100
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1101
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>2025年地方GDP增长结果：根据我们的估算，31个省份中有17个（占总数55%）实现了其2025年地方GDP增长目标，14个未达标（45%），相比之下2024年为13个达标、18个未达标。2025年31省加权平均（按名义GDP加权）实际GDP增长率较2024年持平于5.1%，略低于2025年5.3%的加权平均增长目标。海南和辽宁的未达标幅度最大，而上海和北京的超额完成幅度最大。在较发达的东部和南部沿海省份中，广东和海南再次未能实现其2025年增长目标（类似于2024年的模式），因为它们受到持续房地产下行的冲击可能比其他省份更大。 </p> </font> </td>
1102
+ </tr>
1103
+ <tr>
1104
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1105
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>2026年地方GDP增长目标：与2025年相比，在迄今已正式公布2026年地方增长目标的29个省份中，19个下调了2026年增长目标，9个保持不变，仅1个上调目标（江西， <a href="#_13fcc364-25d1-4000-a8dd-11196b3f2000">图表1</a>）。此外，北京、上海和广东的GDP增长目标在历史上与全国目标高度相关（Covid年份除外），而这些地区今年呈现出不同模式——北京和上海将增长目标维持在“5%左右”不变，而广东将目标从去年的“5%左右”下调至“4.5-5.0%”（<a href="#_ce9311bd-6cb1-4000-a676-e992522d9000">图表2</a>）。根据我们的估算，所有省份加权平均GDP增长目标在2026年可能放缓0.2个百分点至5.1%（相比2025年的5.3%），不过当其余省份在未来数日公布其地方增长目标时，这一数字可能会有小幅变化（<a href="#_acd8c3b9-180f-4000-aa9f-7ae0372a2000">图表3</a>). </p> </font> </td>
1106
+ </tr>
1107
+ <tr>
1108
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1109
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>2026年地方CPI通胀目标：若设定目标，几乎所有省份均将其CPI通胀目标维持在去年“2%左右”不变。 </p> </font> </td>
1110
+ </tr>
1111
+ </tbody>
1112
+ </table> </td>
1113
+ </tr>
1114
+ </tbody>
1115
+ </table> </td>
1116
+ </tr>
1117
+ </tbody>
1118
+ </table> </td>
1119
+ </tr>
1120
+ </tbody>
1121
+ </table>
1122
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1123
+ <tbody>
1124
+ <tr>
1125
+ <td>
1126
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1127
+ <tbody>
1128
+ <tr>
1129
+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p>2. 中国2026年全国“两会”——中国人民政治协商会议（CPPCC）和全国人民代表大会（NPC）——计划分别于3月4日和3月5日开幕，通常持续约一周。李总理将在3月5日上午随政府工作报告发布，宣布今年各项经济目标，包括GDP增长、通胀、财政赤字和就业。随后将发布2026年财政预算完整草案，以提供有关财政安排和支出的更多细节。不同于往年，此次政策制定者还将发布“十五五”规划完整报告，其中将公布2026-30年的部分量化目标，广泛涵盖经济发展、科技创新、民生、绿色转型和社会保障。 </p> </font> </td>
1130
+ </tr>
1131
+ </tbody>
1132
+ </table> </td>
1133
+ </tr>
1134
+ </tbody>
1135
+ </table>
1136
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1137
+ <tbody>
1138
+ <tr>
1139
+ <td>
1140
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1141
+ <tbody>
1142
+ <tr>
1143
+ <td class="copybody" style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; color: #000000f2; text-align: left;" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; font-size: 14px;"> <p>3. 我们对3月全国“两会”的简要前瞻如下： </p> </font> </td>
1144
+ </tr>
1145
+ </tbody>
1146
+ </table> </td>
1147
+ </tr>
1148
+ </tbody>
1149
+ </table>
1150
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1151
+ <tbody>
1152
+ <tr>
1153
+ <td>
1154
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1155
+ <tbody>
1156
+ <tr>
1157
+ <td>
1158
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1159
+ <tbody>
1160
+ <tr>
1161
+ <td class="copybody" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;font-family: Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro'; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19px; color: #222; text-align: left;" width="100%">
1162
+ <table>
1163
+ <tbody>
1164
+ <tr>
1165
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1166
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>关于 <b>增长</b>，鉴于 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpaper.people.com.cn%2Frmrb%2Fpc%2Fcontent%2F202512%2F14%2Fcontent_30120285.html/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/v-pSKa1aLYezKOWmww-stGjrWzd7b0MhT-Sjj_rNQ_c=442">近期评论</a> 来自高层官员、 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fwww.scmp.com%2Feconomy%2Feconomic-indicators%2Farticle%2F3340889%2Fchina-set-gdp-growth-range-providing-policy-flexibility-2026-sources/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/nkDNRrtChn2XMgfXv0lYIRc8kQWSIF087JHikAdhGKw=442">媒体报道</a>以及地方“两会”释放的信号（<a href="#_ee4b6a70-47b6-4000-a346-4ad4c63d5000">图表4</a>），我们目前预计政策制定者将把今年官方实际GDP增长目标从去年的“5%左右”下调至“4.5-5.0%”。不过，我们认为“4.5-5%”并不意味着政策制定者瞄准4.5%的增长。作为背景，过去三年的增长目标均为“5%左右”，实际GDP增长在2023年为5.4%，2024年和2025年均为5.0%。较低的“4.5-5%”目标将允许实际GDP增长略低于5%，与 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQK_Gx08-hipW5Em-xk5vnY-5551zhDT6SBxewFqJkixF0dzfpY4AACwchcfggCpzv83t1V_TtcNTzl11zJyN9dwX_Pv3yNZPcDat6p-NtucgGmqdZLI73mpddSDjQQNMr0QDGnqrv267vEQjfk5xE5nuIo6HjD5Ou4624zl6vcGj63u9_aksE9Vx2zWlTqzXxQqwgPZSPOwkjZYI6erEzQNfLzSpvsj-Scm6HRhL7DV4e8bpiZXvtdGxD2CLxi4SDYLqkQXzdbp6GYFOM5us6jfnj4KD8QNOj8*%26id=9e31ec36-2753-4946-a1b4-a906dea8630e%26utm_medium=pa/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/aeAHOp0Y0QZ_5hOZKzH5Yf8KEv5MmRX8YZT3bAXXnPk=442">我们的预测</a> 4.8%一致。若出现重大负面冲击，这也为政策制定者提供了灵活性；鉴于当前地缘政治不确定性，这可能是政策制定者的一个担忧。 </p> </font> </td>
1167
+ </tr>
1168
+ <tr>
1169
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1170
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>关于 <b>通胀</b>，我们预计今年官方CPI通胀目标将维持在去年“2%左右”不变，尽管这一目标被广泛认为在实践中是上限，而非约束性目标。我们维持预测，即CPI通胀年均值将从2025年的0%升至2026年的0.6%。 </p> </font> </td>
1171
+ </tr>
1172
+ <tr>
1173
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1174
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>关于 <b>关键预算参数</b>, <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQKaHF2rUcRXOCwT_9bN9x7VZhIwiRC_aTsuzG60jFPd6sgJl2RdAACwBz-QtYNWRohf_Ek7nkpYseHSG-xBQtrwwKoJkiASr4uQf1r2AmfagwdGYuMVlqZXxj_Tz2eXkJjkYmNI9-hAjFBCAs4BNpR8eE1ol_uFTwNbiKMgGjTH257uY4EI8-KxJAoH-NvqA2fFpgZC3AdarqNhUbjNKeUrM-AAVAgjkqWuTRItwm82EFk9GFaZcmn5mLnZFOZyqhyiYpFnbXh5cN46ol8VgbRIsVUUuSSMS2s*%26id=cd133c91-02d6-4e8b-9bd6-436272df59bf%26utm_medium=pa/2/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/syjk-J6WKA2vDOEh7c-WXSAkBW1ucFzmbf8SyUo1t1c=442">我们预计</a> 政策制定者将把官方财政赤字率和中央政府特别债（CGSB）发行额度分别维持在去年的“GDP的4%”和RMB1.8tn不变，并将地方政府专项债（LGSB）发行额度从去年的RMB4.4tn小幅上调至RMB4.6tn（注意，如果计入10月批准的新增RMB200bn地方政府专项债（LGSB）发行额度，2025年全年实际结果将为RMB4.6tn）。相应地，2026年政府债券净发行额度总额将约为RMB12.3tn，高于2025年预算公布的RMB11.9tn额度。我们认为，鉴于不确定性仍然较高，在当前“反应式”（而非“预防式”）宽松模式下，如有必要，政策制定者可能会为今年晚些时候的预算外融资安排留下空间。 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQKaHF2rUcRXOCwT_9bN9x7VZhIwiRC_aTsuzG60jFPd6sgJl2RdAACwBz-QtYNWRohf_Ek7nkpYseHSG-xBQtrwwKoJkiASr4uQf1r2AmfagwdGYuMVlqZXxj_Tz2eXkJjkYmNI9-hAjFBCAs4BNpR8eE1ol_uFTwNbiKMgGjTH257uY4EI8-KxJAoH-NvqA2fFpgZC3AdarqNhUbjNKeUrM-AAVAgjkqWuTRItwm82EFk9GFaZcmn5mLnZFOZyqhyiYpFnbXh5cN46ol8VgbRIsVUUuSSMS2s*%26id=cd133c91-02d6-4e8b-9bd6-436272df59bf%26utm_medium=pa/3/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/fU409wzwlwvyQWBESTb7uYgCpBk3raFS0chngTWYBS4=442">我们预计</a> 我们专有的广义财政赤字（AFD）指标将在2026年扩大GDP的1.0个百分点至12.0%（相比2025年的11.0%），主要受益于央行 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQLbCUBy28ermd8YuqDZDnjNUzsDUBA6fOYbFiwZBEi2_ejMG2dMAACw5aLpgGjlSGayBoCHsvhb845t_ty0R0JqZBtznrkmMMVz-8rN_MF6fW8w0QFucTzcgly9nyWn5I_XEFgEA0ZLXy9yHTMv0vBP3w1QkY53WtDl0TvUXreYTP4RgCXZgJZ2KYUODVHoOJO0RlvvxQA2Aw5d-7oxZjTRZZ6LmywGsSrFTBRUEfJ9c2-bMrRMQPWSu4O8YGyBdRo1rvgGYbomCgFj2sLepU_NF-q1rMnZvWY*%26id=50f3443d-432d-4fee-996d-fcad5cdb8459%26utm_medium=pa/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/xdRTHdIo3_5ZmuAyCyEIH-lNuqaJFHTbXDFfIw4byG4=442">抵押补充贷款（PSL）</a> 工具提供更多支持。这意味着财政政策在2026年可能仍将对增长形成支撑。</p> </font> </td>
1175
+ </tr>
1176
+ <tr>
1177
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1178
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>关于 <b>劳动力市场</b>，我们预计政策制定者将把2026年目标维持在2025年水平不变，包括城镇新增就业“1200万以上”和调查失业率“5.5%左右”。劳动力市场稳定一直是政策制定者的“底线”，过去几年就业目标在各项经济目标中的重要性上升。然而，由于这些指标的设计——例如，“城镇新增就业”为总量口径而非净额口径，调查失业率未涵盖返乡农民工——这些就业目标通常可以实现，且在实践中并不构成约束。注意，“1200万以上”城镇新增就业目标与今年高校毕业生人数大体一致（根据 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fwww.news.cn%2F20251120%2Fead0f25dff2948dfa7f01fa78f207882%2Fc.html%23:~:text=%25E6%2596%25B0%25E5%258D%258E%25E7%25A4%25BE%25E5%258C%2597%25E4%25BA%25AC11%25E6%259C%2588,%25E5%2590%258C%25E6%25AF%2594%25E5%25A2%259E%25E5%258A%25A048%25E4%25B8%2587%25E4%25BA%25BA%25E3%2580%2582/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/VMlKJHYjyGuorDf5V0DsLIWgESV6hgvvtbdBGhizhb0=442">教育部估算</a>).</p> </font> </td>
1179
+ </tr>
1180
+ </tbody>
1181
+ </table> </td>
1182
+ </tr>
1183
+ </tbody>
1184
+ </table> </td>
1185
+ </tr>
1186
+ </tbody>
1187
+ </table> </td>
1188
+ </tr>
1189
+ </tbody>
1190
+ </table>
1191
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1192
+ <tbody>
1193
+ <tr>
1194
+ <td>
1195
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1196
+ <tbody>
1197
+ <tr>
1198
+ <td>
1199
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1200
+ <tbody>
1201
+ <tr>
1202
+ <td class="copybody" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;font-family: Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro'; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19px; color: #222; text-align: left;" width="100%">
1203
+ <table>
1204
+ <tbody>
1205
+ <tr>
1206
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; width: 20px"> <p style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; margin:0; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px;">●</p> </td>
1207
+ <td style="vertical-align: top; margin: 0; padding: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; margin:0; margin-bottom: 10px; vertical-align: top;"> <p>关于 <b>“十五五”规划</b>：根据 <a href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQIQ3oWFhpfZqyk1h2sNdax-zE8XvxAc3hmvwiem2IPaWfVhnYhJAACwyuP6ruAR3mkAtml6nuVY5KQ3no0PBRuJuikCerckqTmmSXNJK9Vw3vlrV6QPAQV1lBn3ilZXIU3yEFdprDkvWZDjhWM_HItNISh00o0F_Az5mD5EB6z_uhX2j1hpPaD-OddGCU3TLsaHNGpYtyxlfjv178ROhQS1qxw8o0gk_KdrrEaNOhapTXBPu8g7yFq0e5Jw4peK1M08Ztk5Rp0Y9LfVOP7_yi-hIlGs5L8VoP8*%26id=a68db52a-a8c1-40cd-bd62-d609410f452d%26utm_medium=pa/1/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/dnz8W2MCUzPAVRLkDub1TRdyRtwjuXFU8GQ6iPs5Vp4=442">四中全会</a>的表述，我们认为科技、安全和民生是中国2026-30年发展战略的最高优先事项，反映出政策制定者对“高质量增长”和“高水平安全”的长期追求。关于中期增长，我们的基准情形意味着中国实际GDP增长在2026-30年期间将平均为4.5%，我们认为这是实现中国到2035年人均收入达到“中等发达经济体”水平目标所必需的。</p> </font> </td>
1208
+ </tr>
1209
+ </tbody>
1210
+ </table> </td>
1211
+ </tr>
1212
+ </tbody>
1213
+ </table> </td>
1214
+ </tr>
1215
+ </tbody>
1216
+ </table> </td>
1217
+ </tr>
1218
+ </tbody>
1219
+ </table>
1220
+ <div class="exhibitGroup parsys">
1221
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1222
+ <tbody>
1223
+ <tr>
1224
+ <td>
1225
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1226
+ <tbody>
1227
+ <tr>
1228
+ <td>
1229
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%">
1230
+ <tbody>
1231
+ <tr>
1232
+ <td height="10" style="font-size: 1px;" width="20"> </td>
1233
+ </tr>
1234
+ <tr>
1235
+ <td style="vertical-align: top"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px; color: #29323A; font-weight: bold; text-align: left;"> <span>图表1</span><span>: </span><span>已正式公布2026年增长目标的29个省份中，有19个较2025年下调目标</span> </font> </td>
1236
+ </tr>
1237
+ <tr>
1238
+ <td> <img alt="Exhibit" src="image_1.png" style="max-width: 100%;" width="700"/> </td>
1239
+ </tr>
1240
+ <tr>
1241
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1242
+ </tr>
1243
+ <tr>
1244
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> “31省”指31个省份GDP增长目标的加权平均值（按名义GDP加权）。对于“&gt;x%”格式的目标，我们按(x+0.25)%录入。2026年的“31省”仅涵盖截至本报告撰写时已正式公布增长目标的省份。 </font> </td>
1245
+ </tr>
1246
+ <tr>
1247
+ <td height="5px" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1248
+ </tr>
1249
+ <tr>
1250
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1251
+ </tr>
1252
+ <tr>
1253
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> 资料来源：政府网站、Wind、Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research整理的数据 </font> </td>
1254
+ </tr>
1255
+ <tr>
1256
+ <td height="25" style="font-size: 1px; height: 25px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1257
+ </tr>
1258
+ </tbody>
1259
+ </table> </td>
1260
+ </tr>
1261
+ </tbody>
1262
+ </table> </td>
1263
+ </tr>
1264
+ </tbody>
1265
+ </table>
1266
+ </div>
1267
+ <div class="exhibitGroup parsys">
1268
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1269
+ <tbody>
1270
+ <tr>
1271
+ <td>
1272
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1273
+ <tbody>
1274
+ <tr>
1275
+ <td>
1276
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%">
1277
+ <tbody>
1278
+ <tr>
1279
+ <td height="10" style="font-size: 1px;" width="20"> </td>
1280
+ </tr>
1281
+ <tr>
1282
+ <td style="vertical-align: top"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px; color: #29323A; font-weight: bold; text-align: left;"> <span>图表2</span><span>: </span><span>北京和上海将2026年增长目标维持在2025年的“5%左右”不变，而广东将其目标下调至“4.5-5.0%”</span> </font> </td>
1283
+ </tr>
1284
+ <tr>
1285
+ <td> <img alt="Exhibit" src="image_2.png" style="max-width: 100%;" width="512"/> </td>
1286
+ </tr>
1287
+ <tr>
1288
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1289
+ </tr>
1290
+ <tr>
1291
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> 资料来源：政府网站、Wind、Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research整理的数据 </font> </td>
1292
+ </tr>
1293
+ <tr>
1294
+ <td height="25" style="font-size: 1px; height: 25px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1295
+ </tr>
1296
+ </tbody>
1297
+ </table> </td>
1298
+ </tr>
1299
+ </tbody>
1300
+ </table> </td>
1301
+ </tr>
1302
+ </tbody>
1303
+ </table>
1304
+ </div>
1305
+ <div class="exhibitGroup parsys">
1306
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1307
+ <tbody>
1308
+ <tr>
1309
+ <td>
1310
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1311
+ <tbody>
1312
+ <tr>
1313
+ <td>
1314
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%">
1315
+ <tbody>
1316
+ <tr>
1317
+ <td height="10" style="font-size: 1px;" width="20"> </td>
1318
+ </tr>
1319
+ <tr>
1320
+ <td style="vertical-align: top"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px; color: #29323A; font-weight: bold; text-align: left;"> <span>图表3</span><span>: </span><span>我们估计，所有省份加权平均GDP增长目标在2026年可能放缓0.2个百分点至5.1%</span> </font> </td>
1321
+ </tr>
1322
+ <tr>
1323
+ <td> <img alt="Exhibit" src="image_3.png" style="max-width: 100%;" width="700"/> </td>
1324
+ </tr>
1325
+ <tr>
1326
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1327
+ </tr>
1328
+ <tr>
1329
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> 对于将GDP增长目标设定为“&gt;x%”的省份，我们也将实际结果正好为“x%”视为大体实现目标。2026年的“31省合计”仅包括截至本报告撰写时已正式公布增长目标的省份。 </font> </td>
1330
+ </tr>
1331
+ <tr>
1332
+ <td height="5px" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1333
+ </tr>
1334
+ <tr>
1335
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1336
+ </tr>
1337
+ <tr>
1338
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> 资料来源：政府网站、Wind、Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research整理的数据 </font> </td>
1339
+ </tr>
1340
+ <tr>
1341
+ <td height="25" style="font-size: 1px; height: 25px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1342
+ </tr>
1343
+ </tbody>
1344
+ </table> </td>
1345
+ </tr>
1346
+ </tbody>
1347
+ </table> </td>
1348
+ </tr>
1349
+ </tbody>
1350
+ </table>
1351
+ </div>
1352
+ <div class="exhibitGroup parsys">
1353
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1354
+ <tbody>
1355
+ <tr>
1356
+ <td>
1357
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1358
+ <tbody>
1359
+ <tr>
1360
+ <td>
1361
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%">
1362
+ <tbody>
1363
+ <tr>
1364
+ <td height="10" style="font-size: 1px;" width="20"> </td>
1365
+ </tr>
1366
+ <tr>
1367
+ <td style="vertical-align: top"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px; color: #29323A; font-weight: bold; text-align: left;"> <span>图表4</span><span>: </span><span>Goldman Sachs对即将召开的3月全国“两会”的预期摘要</span> </font> </td>
1368
+ </tr>
1369
+ <tr>
1370
+ <td> <img alt="Exhibit" src="image_4.png" style="max-width: 100%;" width="595"/> </td>
1371
+ </tr>
1372
+ <tr>
1373
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1374
+ </tr>
1375
+ <tr>
1376
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> *在财政赤字率的“实际结果”列中，括号外和括号内的数字分别指官方和有效预算内财政赤字率。 </font> </td>
1377
+ </tr>
1378
+ <tr>
1379
+ <td height="5px" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1380
+ </tr>
1381
+ <tr>
1382
+ <td height="5" style="font-size: 1px; height: 5px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1383
+ </tr>
1384
+ <tr>
1385
+ <td style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 12px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; color: #29323A; font-weight: normal; text-align: left; padding: 0; margin: 0;"> 资料来源：政府网站、Wind、Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research </font> </td>
1386
+ </tr>
1387
+ <tr>
1388
+ <td height="25" style="font-size: 1px; height: 25px; padding: 0;"> </td>
1389
+ </tr>
1390
+ </tbody>
1391
+ </table> </td>
1392
+ </tr>
1393
+ </tbody>
1394
+ </table> </td>
1395
+ </tr>
1396
+ </tbody>
1397
+ </table>
1398
+ </div> </td>
1399
+ </tr>
1400
+ </tbody>
1401
+ </table>
1402
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns" width="100%">
1403
+ <tbody>
1404
+ <tr>
1405
+ <td align="center" class="six sub-columns" height="45" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt; text-align: center;vertical-align: middle; padding: 10px 0 0 0; " valign="middle" width="100%">
1406
+ <table align="left" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns cta-button" height="45" style="margin-left:0;margin-right:auto;" width="100%">
1407
+ <tbody>
1408
+ <tr height="45">
1409
+ <td height="45" width="146">
1410
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="twelve columns report-button" style="border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1411
+ <tbody>
1412
+ <tr>
1413
+ <td>
1414
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="portalAlertButton" style="border:1px solid #0D0D0D; border-collapse: collapse; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1415
+ <tbody>
1416
+ <tr>
1417
+ <td bgcolor="#ffffff" style="width: 146px; height: 40px; text-align: center; vertical-align: middle; font-size: 1px;" width="146"> <a height="45" href="https://publishing.gs.com/CL0/https:%2F%2Fpublishing.gs.com%2FtrustedLink%3Fopentoken=T1RLAQK69TE0n__X-wuLU2dkrE4piRto1RAQQ7LD7kpe7QPQ9wbxAGL4AACwHeKXKV1hdaJfxQ99xpbNPANrzHbUoF63dQ7SYTaX7l2ufRvGCr0o7w-ZUU29GfZEX_EQRx_C82gYJMpBmrx1rt7JymrbThY9Ntl0pL6zCeXr9un9oo4fZOc82wB9yJ1FnvW7l-1o-X5EUbDa5vq8p16J9E8S0rfHEx4nshlBvBBaPWlHs8KcQO7K7NCw4my4DEtGcjQunVpMRgfbeLzDM90CGLtIi02wdj0enDISC-w*%26id=3239e520-f891-4299-8e2b-3e361f901142%26utm_medium=pa/2/0100019c231335f3-1b91eab6-c55a-4015-b12c-9ea4364bae4a-000000/VvgdFREwEMzv7DUo4NIIgD3_SYFB5z3TRh3fiO3yGcI=442" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;border-collapse: collapse;color: #0D0D0D; cursor: auto;font-family: 'GS Sans',Arial, Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro', sans-serif;font-size: 16px; height: auto;mso-line-height-rule: exactly;line-height: 20px; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; width: auto; width: 100%; height: 45px;" width="100%"> 阅读完整报告 </a> </td>
1418
+ </tr>
1419
+ </tbody>
1420
+ </table> </td>
1421
+ </tr>
1422
+ </tbody>
1423
+ </table> </td>
1424
+ <td class="edges" height="45" width="398"></td>
1425
+ </tr>
1426
+ </tbody>
1427
+ </table> </td>
1428
+ </tr>
1429
+ <tr>
1430
+ <td height="20" style="font-size: 1px;"> </td>
1431
+ </tr>
1432
+ </tbody>
1433
+ </table>
1434
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1435
+ <tbody>
1436
+ <tr>
1437
+ <td>
1438
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1439
+ <tbody>
1440
+ <tr>
1441
+ <td>
1442
+ <table class="row" width="100%">
1443
+ <tbody>
1444
+ <tr>
1445
+ <td>
1446
+ <table style="mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1447
+ <tbody>
1448
+ <tr>
1449
+ <td>
1450
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;" width="100%">
1451
+ <tbody>
1452
+ <tr>
1453
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:14px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;;font-weight:700;"> Lisheng Wang </span> </h3>
1454
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1455
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852 3966-4004 | </span>
1456
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Lisheng Wang" href="mailto:lisheng.wang@gs.com?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> lisheng.wang@gs.com | </a> </span>
1457
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1458
+ </div> </td>
1459
+ </tr>
1460
+ </tbody>
1461
+ </table> </td>
1462
+ </tr>
1463
+ </tbody>
1464
+ </table> </td>
1465
+ </tr>
1466
+ </tbody>
1467
+ </table> </td>
1468
+ </tr>
1469
+ </tbody>
1470
+ </table> </td>
1471
+ </tr>
1472
+ </tbody>
1473
+ </table>
1474
+ <table border="0" class="row" style="padding-bottom:15px" width="100%">
1475
+ <tbody>
1476
+ <tr>
1477
+ <td style="background-color: #f7f7fa; padding: 15px">
1478
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style=";mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;" width="100%">
1479
+ <tbody>
1480
+ <tr>
1481
+ <td style="padding: 0px 10px 10px 0px; border-bottom: 1px solid #bfbfbf" width="100%"> <font style="font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: 500; line-height: 18px; color: #00355F; text-align: left; margin: 0; "> 中国经济团队 </font> </td>
1482
+ </tr>
1483
+ <tr>
1484
+ <td style="padding-top: 10px"></td>
1485
+ </tr>
1486
+ <tr>
1487
+ <td>
1488
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;" width="100%">
1489
+ <tbody>
1490
+ <tr>
1491
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;font-weight:700;"> Andrew Tilton </span> </h3>
1492
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1493
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-2978-1802 | </span>
1494
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Andrew Tilton" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> andrew.tilton@gs.com | </a> </span>
1495
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1496
+ </div> </td>
1497
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;;font-weight:700;"> Hui Shan </span> </h3>
1498
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1499
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-2978-6634 | </span>
1500
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Hui Shan" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> hui.shan@gs.com | </a> </span>
1501
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1502
+ </div> </td>
1503
+ </tr>
1504
+ <tr>
1505
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;font-weight:700;"> Lisheng Wang </span> </h3>
1506
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1507
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-3966-4004 | </span>
1508
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Lisheng Wang" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> lisheng.wang@gs.com | </a> </span>
1509
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1510
+ </div> </td>
1511
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;;font-weight:700;"> Xinquan Chen </span> </h3>
1512
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1513
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-2978-2418 | </span>
1514
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Xinquan Chen" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> xinquan.chen@gs.com | </a> </span>
1515
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1516
+ </div> </td>
1517
+ </tr>
1518
+ <tr>
1519
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;font-weight:700;"> Yuting Yang </span> </h3>
1520
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1521
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-2978-7283 | </span>
1522
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Yuting Yang" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> yuting.y.yang@gs.com | </a> </span>
1523
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1524
+ </div> </td>
1525
+ <td style="padding-right:2%;padding-bottom:10px;width:50%;vertical-align: top" valign="top" width="50%"> <h3 class="author-name" style="margin:0;padding:0;"> <span style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:13px;line-height:18px;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;text-align:-webkit-left;;font-weight:700;"> Chelsea Song </span> </h3>
1526
+ <div style="margin-top:5px;">
1527
+ <span class="author-phone" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> +852-2978-0106 | </span>
1528
+ <span class="author-email" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-size:13px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:18px;text-align:-webkit-left;width:auto;"> <a alt="Email Chelsea Song" href="mailto:?Subject=" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%;-ms-text-size-adjust:100%;border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;cursor:auto;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;" target="_blank"> chelsea.song@gs.com | </a> </span>
1529
+ <span class="author-company" style="border-collapse:collapse;color:#0D0D0D;font-family:'GS Sans',Arial,Helvetica,'MS PGothic','Hiragino Mincho Pro',sans-serif;font-size:12px;height:auto;mso-line-height-rule:exactly;line-height:16px;text-align:-webkit-left;"> Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. </span>
1530
+ </div> </td>
1531
+ </tr>
1532
+ </tbody>
1533
+ </table> </td>
1534
+ </tr>
1535
+ </tbody>
1536
+ </table> </td>
1537
+ </tr>
1538
+ </tbody>
1539
+ </table> </td>
1540
+ </tr>
1541
+ </tbody>
1542
+ </table> </td>
1543
+ </tr>
1544
+ </tbody>
1545
+ </table>
1546
+ <!-- // END BODY --> </td>
1547
+ </tr>
1548
+ <tr>
1549
+ <td style="padding-bottom:10px;"></td>
1550
+ </tr>
1551
+ <tr>
1552
+ <td style="padding-bottom:10px;border-top: 1px solid #bfbfbf"></td>
1553
+ </tr>
1554
+ <tr>
1555
+ <td align="center" valign="top">
1556
+ <!-- BEGIN FOOTER // -->
1557
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1558
+ <tbody>
1559
+ <tr>
1560
+ <td>
1561
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1562
+ <tbody>
1563
+ <tr>
1564
+ <td> </td>
1565
+ </tr>
1566
+ </tbody>
1567
+ </table> </td>
1568
+ </tr>
1569
+ </tbody>
1570
+ </table>
1571
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" width="100%">
1572
+ <tbody>
1573
+ <tr>
1574
+ <td>
1575
+ <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="body" width="100%">
1576
+ <tbody>
1577
+ <tr>
1578
+ <td>
1579
+ <table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="row footer" id="footer" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;" width="100%">
1580
+ <tbody>
1581
+ <tr>
1582
+ <td class="footer_legal twelve" style="-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;-ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;mso-table-lspace: 0pt;mso-table-rspace: 0pt;">
1583
+ <div id="unsubscribe_footer_message">
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