@elaraai/east-py-datascience 1.0.19 → 1.0.20

package/dist/src/causal/causal.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/src/causal/causal.js

@@ -56,6 +56,20 @@ export const CausalTargetUnitsType = VariantType({
     /** Average treatment effect on the controls */
     atc: NullType,
 });
+/**
+ * A directional prior on the effect — the sign a domain expert expects. Used by
+ * {@link causal_experiment}'s `expected_sign` guard: a material, CI-clear effect
+ * pointing the *other* way is flagged (a reverse-causation / reactive-assignment
+ * signal a backdoor adjustment cannot catch).
+ *
+ * twin: e3-ui/src/experiment/types.ts `SignType`
+ */
+export const CausalSignType = VariantType({
+    /** The effect is expected to increase the outcome. */
+    positive: NullType,
+    /** The effect is expected to decrease the outcome. */
+    negative: NullType,
+});
 /**
  * Bootstrap confidence interval configuration.
  *
@@ -120,6 +134,18 @@ export const CausalExperimentConfigType = StructType({
     bootstrap: OptionType(CausalBootstrapConfigType),
     /** Random seed. */
     random_state: OptionType(IntegerType),
+    /** Graded-overlap threshold — common support below this keeps `causal` from the
+     *  top tier (verdict `modest`, `overlap.support_strength = thin`); default 0.55. */
+    strong_overlap: OptionType(FloatType),
+    /** Robustness floor — when set, a `causal` verdict whose E-value
+     *  (`refutation.robustness_value`, risk-ratio scale) is below this is downgraded to
+     *  `modest`. Off by default. The E-value is a monotone transform of the standardized
+     *  effect, so this acts as a stricter materiality bar, not an independent check. */
+    evalue_floor: OptionType(FloatType),
+    /** Directional prior — when set, a material, CI-clear effect of the opposite sign is
+     *  flagged (`refutation.expected_sign_ok = some(false)`, verdict `adjustment_insufficient`).
+     *  Off by default. Catches reverse causation / reactive assignment the refuters can't. */
+    expected_sign: OptionType(CausalSignType),
 });
 /** One confounder's before-adjustment imbalance (categoricals → one row per level). */
 export const BalanceRowType = StructType({
@@ -132,6 +158,24 @@ export const BalanceRowType = StructType({
     /** Standardized mean difference, (mt-mc)/sqrt((vt+vc)/2). */
     std_diff: FloatType,
 });
+/**
+ * Graded common-support tier — the honest three-state reading of overlap a
+ * consumer can switch on without re-deriving thresholds:
+ * `refused` (below `min_overlap`, the engine refuses), `thin` (clears the refuse
+ * gate but below `strong_overlap` — fragile), `strong` (≥ `strong_overlap`). With
+ * no confounders (or a degenerate arm) there is nothing to separate on, so the tier
+ * is vacuously `strong`.
+ *
+ * twin: e3-ui/src/experiment/types.ts `SupportStrengthType`
+ */
+export const SupportStrengthType = VariantType({
+    /** Below `min_overlap` — no like-for-like comparison (engine refuses). */
+    refused: NullType,
+    /** Clears the refuse gate but below `strong_overlap` — fragile support. */
+    thin: NullType,
+    /** Common support ≥ `strong_overlap` — solid. */
+    strong: NullType,
+});
 /** Positivity / common-support diagnostic (binary treatment). */
 export const OverlapDiagnosticType = StructType({
     /** Propensity histogram (20 bins over [0,1]) for the treated arm. */
@@ -140,8 +184,14 @@ export const OverlapDiagnosticType = StructType({
     control_propensity: VectorType(FloatType),
     /** Fraction of rows inside the treated/control common support. */
     common_support_frac: FloatType,
-    /** Whether common support clears `min_overlap`. */
+    /** Whether common support clears the **refuse** gate `min_overlap` — i.e. an
+     *  adjusted estimate is attempted at all. NOT a quality signal: `true` at the
+     *  default gate (0.10) still means barely-overlapping. Read `support_strength`
+     *  for the graded tier. */
     positivity_ok: BooleanType,
+    /** Graded common-support tier (`refused` / `thin` / `strong` vs `strong_overlap`).
+     *  twin: e3-ui OverlapDiagnosticType.support_strength */
+    support_strength: SupportStrengthType,
 });
 /** The robustness summary the verdict + Trust tab consume. */
 export const RefutationType = StructType({
@@ -155,13 +205,22 @@ export const RefutationType = StructType({
     data_subset_effect: OptionType(FloatType),
     /** Std of the effect across data subsamples. */
     data_subset_std: OptionType(FloatType),
-    /** Closed-form E-value — confounder strength needed to explain the effect away. */
+    /** Closed-form E-value (risk-ratio scale) — the confounder strength needed to
+     *  explain the effect away. A monotone transform of the standardized effect, so
+     *  it is NOT independent of the effect size; read it as "how easily overturned",
+     *  not as a separate confounding measure. */
     robustness_value: OptionType(FloatType),
     /** Unobserved-confounder sensitivity (tipping) curve: effect at each simulated strength. */
     sensitivity: OptionType(StructType({
         strengths: VectorType(FloatType),
         effects: VectorType(FloatType),
     })),
+    /** Sign-prior check (when `config.expected_sign` is set): `some(true)` if a
+     *  material effect matches the expected direction, `some(false)` if it points the
+     *  other way (→ verdict `adjustment_insufficient`). `none` when no prior is given
+     *  or the effect is near-zero (its sign is undefined).
+     *  twin: e3-ui RefutationType.expected_sign_ok */
+    expected_sign_ok: OptionType(BooleanType),
 });
 /** A dose-response (ALE) curve of a continuous feature on the outcome. */
 export const DoseResponseType = StructType({
@@ -178,7 +237,10 @@ export const DoseResponseType = StructType({
  * Only `not_estimable` carries a (human-readable) reason.
  */
 export const ExperimentVerdictType = VariantType({
-    /** A real, robust, material effect. */
+    /** A real, robust, material effect — robust to the **observed** backdoor set + the
+     *  refuters that were run. It does NOT mean correctly-signed, free of reverse
+     *  causation, or free of unobserved confounding: read `refutation.robustness_value`
+     *  (E-value) and `refutation.expected_sign_ok` alongside it. */
     causal: NullType,
     /** A small but real effect, or no clear effect after adjustment. */
     modest: NullType,
@@ -324,12 +386,14 @@ export const CausalTypes = {
     CausalWeightingSchemeType,
     CausalEstimatorType,
     CausalTargetUnitsType,
+    CausalSignType,
     CausalBootstrapConfigType,
     CiType,
     // Experiment contract
     RefuteSpecType,
     CausalExperimentConfigType,
     BalanceRowType,
+    SupportStrengthType,
     OverlapDiagnosticType,
     RefutationType,
     DoseResponseType,
@@ -352,6 +416,14 @@ export const CausalTypes = {
  * / `not_estimable`). It refuses (`adjusted = none`) when the data can't support
  * an estimate. DoWhy / EconML / PyALE are internal implementation it composes.
  *
+ * `causal` means robust to the **observed** backdoor set + the refuters that ran —
+ * NOT correctly-signed, free of reverse causation, or free of unobserved confounding.
+ * The graded `overlap.support_strength` (`refused`/`thin`/`strong`) tempers a thin-support
+ * result to `modest`; an opt-in `evalue_floor` folds a weak E-value into `modest`; an
+ * opt-in `expected_sign` prior flags an implausibly-signed effect (`adjustment_insufficient`,
+ * `refutation.expected_sign_ok = some(false)`). A reactively-assigned treatment needs a
+ * design-based strategy (IV / within-unit pre-period) — see `designValidation`.
+ *
  * @example
  * ```ts
  * import { East, ArrayType, StructType, FloatType, BooleanType, variant } from "@elaraai/east";

package/dist/src/causal/causal.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/src/index.d.ts

@@ -32,4 +32,5 @@ export { GoogleOr, GoogleOrTypes, google_or_cpsat_solve, google_or_cpsat_solve_a
 export { Simulation, simulation_run, SimulationTypes, SimulationConfigType, SimulationResultType, } from "./simulation/simulation.js";
 export { Causal, causal_experiment, CausalTypes, CausalWeightingSchemeType, CausalEstimatorType, CausalTargetUnitsType, CausalBootstrapConfigType, CiType, RefuteSpecType, CausalExperimentConfigType, BalanceRowType, OverlapDiagnosticType, RefutationType, ExperimentVerdictType, CausalExperimentResultType, } from "./causal/causal.js";
 export { VectorType as SharedVectorType, MatrixType as SharedMatrixType, ScalarObjectiveType as SharedScalarObjectiveType, VectorObjectiveType, } from "./types.js";
+export { ModelBlobType, } from "./model_blob.js";
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.d.ts.map

package/dist/src/index.d.ts.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/src/index.js

@@ -56,4 +56,6 @@ export { Simulation, simulation_run, SimulationTypes, SimulationConfigType, Simu
 export { Causal, causal_experiment, CausalTypes, CausalWeightingSchemeType, CausalEstimatorType, CausalTargetUnitsType, CausalBootstrapConfigType, CiType, RefuteSpecType, CausalExperimentConfigType, BalanceRowType, OverlapDiagnosticType, RefutationType, ExperimentVerdictType, CausalExperimentResultType, } from "./causal/causal.js";
 // Shared types
 export { VectorType as SharedVectorType, MatrixType as SharedMatrixType, ScalarObjectiveType as SharedScalarObjectiveType, VectorObjectiveType, } from "./types.js";
+// Canonical combined model-blob union (single-sourced from the per-library unions)
+export { ModelBlobType, } from "./model_blob.js";
 //# sourceMappingURL=index.js.map

package/dist/src/index.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/src/model_blob.d.ts

@@ -0,0 +1,146 @@
+/**
+ * Copyright (c) 2025 Elara AI Pty Ltd
+ * Dual-licensed under AGPL-3.0 and commercial license. See LICENSE for details.
+ */
+/**
+ * Canonical combined model-blob union.
+ *
+ * @packageDocumentation
+ */
+import { VariantType } from "@elaraai/east";
+/**
+ * The canonical union of every serializable model artifact across the package,
+ * matching the Python `east_py_datascience.types.ModelBlobType`. Declare it for
+ * any field or platform-function signature that carries an arbitrary trained
+ * model (the project-owned platform-module pattern), instead of re-spelling a
+ * 20-case variant in each consumer.
+ *
+ * Single-sourced from the per-library blob unions ({@link XGBoostModelBlobType},
+ * {@link SklearnModelBlobType}, …) so it cannot drift from them; variant cases
+ * are order-normalized, so composition order is free.
+ *
+ * Distinct from {@link AnyModelBlobType}, which is the SHAP-kernel-explainer
+ * input union (it adds `mapie_*` cases and omits the scaler/encoder/scipy/
+ * lightning/shap cases) — that one is not a substitute for this canonical union.
+ *
+ * The structural type is identical across the TS and Python (east-c) runtimes
+ * and validates by case name at the runtime boundary. The beast2 type-descriptor
+ * bytes currently differ between the runtimes for the XGBoost cases (each repeats
+ * an `Option<Vector<Integer>>` field) because east-c does not yet intern
+ * structurally-equal composite sub-types the way the TS reference does
+ * (elaraai/east-workspace#83); the TS value here is the canonical one.
+ */
+export declare const ModelBlobType: VariantType<{
+    readonly lightning: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly output_dim: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly architecture_type: import("@elaraai/east").StringType;
+        readonly output_type: import("@elaraai/east").StringType;
+        readonly latent_dim: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>;
+    }>;
+    readonly gp_regressor: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly kernel_type: import("@elaraai/east").StringType;
+    }>;
+    readonly torch_mlp: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly hidden_layers: import("@elaraai/east").ArrayType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>;
+        readonly output_dim: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly shap_tree_explainer: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly shap_kernel_explainer: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly ngboost_regressor: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly distribution: VariantType<{
+            readonly normal: import("@elaraai/east").NullType;
+            readonly lognormal: import("@elaraai/east").NullType;
+        }>;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly lightgbm_regressor: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly lightgbm_classifier: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly n_classes: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly xgboost_regressor: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly categorical_features: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+        readonly categorical_n: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+    }>;
+    readonly xgboost_classifier: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly n_classes: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly categorical_features: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+        readonly categorical_n: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+    }>;
+    readonly xgboost_quantile: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly quantiles: import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").FloatType>;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly categorical_features: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+        readonly categorical_n: import("@elaraai/east").OptionType<import("@elaraai/east").VectorType<import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType>>;
+    }>;
+    readonly scipy_interp_1d: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly kind: VariantType<{
+            readonly linear: import("@elaraai/east").NullType;
+            readonly cubic: import("@elaraai/east").NullType;
+            readonly quadratic: import("@elaraai/east").NullType;
+        }>;
+    }>;
+    readonly scipy_kde: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly metadata: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+            readonly bandwidth: import("@elaraai/east").FloatType;
+            readonly data_min: import("@elaraai/east").FloatType;
+            readonly data_max: import("@elaraai/east").FloatType;
+        }>;
+    }>;
+    readonly standard_scaler: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly onnx: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly min_max_scaler: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly onnx: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly robust_scaler: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly onnx: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly label_encoder: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_classes: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly ordinal_encoder: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+    readonly regressor_chain: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly n_targets: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly base_estimator_type: import("@elaraai/east").StringType;
+    }>;
+    readonly gaussian_mixture: import("@elaraai/east").StructType<{
+        readonly data: import("@elaraai/east").BlobType;
+        readonly n_features: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+        readonly n_components: import("@elaraai/east").IntegerType;
+    }>;
+}>;
+//# sourceMappingURL=model_blob.d.ts.map

package/dist/src/model_blob.d.ts.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"model_blob.d.ts","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/model_blob.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;GAGG;AAEH;;;;GAIG;AAEH,OAAO,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,eAAe,CAAC;AAW5C;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;GAqBG;AACH,eAAO,MAAM,aAAa;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;EAUxB,CAAC"}

package/dist/src/model_blob.js

@@ -0,0 +1,53 @@
+/**
+ * Copyright (c) 2025 Elara AI Pty Ltd
+ * Dual-licensed under AGPL-3.0 and commercial license. See LICENSE for details.
+ */
+/**
+ * Canonical combined model-blob union.
+ *
+ * @packageDocumentation
+ */
+import { VariantType } from "@elaraai/east";
+import { SklearnModelBlobType } from "./sklearn/sklearn.js";
+import { ScipyModelBlobType } from "./scipy/scipy.js";
+import { XGBoostModelBlobType } from "./xgboost/xgboost.js";
+import { LightGBMModelBlobType } from "./lightgbm/lightgbm.js";
+import { NGBoostModelBlobType } from "./ngboost/ngboost.js";
+import { ShapModelBlobType } from "./shap/shap.js";
+import { TorchModelBlobType } from "./torch/torch.js";
+import { GPModelBlobType } from "./gp/gp.js";
+import { LightningModelBlobType } from "./lightning/lightning.js";
+/**
+ * The canonical union of every serializable model artifact across the package,
+ * matching the Python `east_py_datascience.types.ModelBlobType`. Declare it for
+ * any field or platform-function signature that carries an arbitrary trained
+ * model (the project-owned platform-module pattern), instead of re-spelling a
+ * 20-case variant in each consumer.
+ *
+ * Single-sourced from the per-library blob unions ({@link XGBoostModelBlobType},
+ * {@link SklearnModelBlobType}, …) so it cannot drift from them; variant cases
+ * are order-normalized, so composition order is free.
+ *
+ * Distinct from {@link AnyModelBlobType}, which is the SHAP-kernel-explainer
+ * input union (it adds `mapie_*` cases and omits the scaler/encoder/scipy/
+ * lightning/shap cases) — that one is not a substitute for this canonical union.
+ *
+ * The structural type is identical across the TS and Python (east-c) runtimes
+ * and validates by case name at the runtime boundary. The beast2 type-descriptor
+ * bytes currently differ between the runtimes for the XGBoost cases (each repeats
+ * an `Option<Vector<Integer>>` field) because east-c does not yet intern
+ * structurally-equal composite sub-types the way the TS reference does
+ * (elaraai/east-workspace#83); the TS value here is the canonical one.
+ */
+export const ModelBlobType = VariantType({
+    ...SklearnModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...ScipyModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...XGBoostModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...LightGBMModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...NGBoostModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...ShapModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...TorchModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...GPModelBlobType.cases,
+    ...LightningModelBlobType.cases,
+});
+//# sourceMappingURL=model_blob.js.map

package/dist/src/model_blob.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"model_blob.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/model_blob.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;GAGG;AAEH;;;;GAIG;AAEH,OAAO,EAAE,WAAW,EAAE,MAAM,eAAe,CAAC;AAC5C,OAAO,EAAE,oBAAoB,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAC5D,OAAO,EAAE,kBAAkB,EAAE,MAAM,kBAAkB,CAAC;AACtD,OAAO,EAAE,oBAAoB,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAC5D,OAAO,EAAE,qBAAqB,EAAE,MAAM,wBAAwB,CAAC;AAC/D,OAAO,EAAE,oBAAoB,EAAE,MAAM,sBAAsB,CAAC;AAC5D,OAAO,EAAE,iBAAiB,EAAE,MAAM,gBAAgB,CAAC;AACnD,OAAO,EAAE,kBAAkB,EAAE,MAAM,kBAAkB,CAAC;AACtD,OAAO,EAAE,eAAe,EAAE,MAAM,YAAY,CAAC;AAC7C,OAAO,EAAE,sBAAsB,EAAE,MAAM,0BAA0B,CAAC;AAElE;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;GAqBG;AACH,MAAM,CAAC,MAAM,aAAa,GAAG,WAAW,CAAC;IACrC,GAAG,oBAAoB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC7B,GAAG,kBAAkB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC3B,GAAG,oBAAoB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC7B,GAAG,qBAAqB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC9B,GAAG,oBAAoB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC7B,GAAG,iBAAiB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC1B,GAAG,kBAAkB,CAAC,KAAK;IAC3B,GAAG,eAAe,CAAC,KAAK;IACxB,GAAG,sBAAsB,CAAC,KAAK;CAClC,CAAC,CAAC"}

package/package.json

@@ -1,6 +1,6 @@
 {
   "name": "@elaraai/east-py-datascience",
-  "version": "1.0.19",
+  "version": "1.0.20",
   "description": "East Data Science - ML/optimization platform functions for East (TypeScript definitions)",
   "main": "dist/src/index.js",
   "types": "dist/src/index.d.ts",
@@ -47,8 +47,8 @@
     "typescript": "~5.9.2"
   },
   "peerDependencies": {
-    "@elaraai/east": "1.0.19",
-    "@elaraai/east-node-std": "1.0.19"
+    "@elaraai/east": "1.0.20",
+    "@elaraai/east-node-std": "1.0.20"
   },
   "scripts": {
     "build": "tsc",