@cyanheads/noaa-spaceweather-mcp-server 0.1.13 → 0.2.0

package/dist/mcp-server/tools/definitions/get-aurora-forecast.tool.js

@@ -4,34 +4,44 @@
  */
 import { tool, z } from '@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core';
 import { JsonRpcErrorCode } from '@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core/errors';
-import { getSpaceWeatherService } from '../../../services/space-weather/space-weather-service.js';
-/** Minimum Kp thresholds by geomagnetic latitude band for aurora visibility. */
-function minKpForLatitude(geomLat) {
-    if (geomLat >= 65)
-        return 0;
-    if (geomLat >= 60)
-        return 2;
-    if (geomLat >= 55)
-        return 4;
-    if (geomLat >= 50)
-        return 5;
-    if (geomLat >= 45)
-        return 6;
-    if (geomLat >= 40)
-        return 7;
-    return 9;
+import { auroraBandForGeomagneticLatitude, getSpaceWeatherService, } from '../../../services/space-weather/space-weather-service.js';
+/**
+ * North geomagnetic pole for IGRF-14 epoch 2025.0, derived from the model's
+ * degree-1 Gauss coefficients (g₁⁰ = −29350.0, g₁¹ = −1410.3, h₁¹ = 4545.5). The
+ * pole drifts slowly enough that one epoch is ample for 5°-wide bands.
+ */
+const GEOMAGNETIC_POLE_LATITUDE = 80.789;
+const GEOMAGNETIC_POLE_LONGITUDE = -72.763;
+const DEG_TO_RAD = Math.PI / 180;
+/**
+ * Convert geographic (WGS84) coordinates to centered-dipole geomagnetic latitude.
+ *
+ * The dipole is tilted 9.21° from the rotation axis, so geographic and geomagnetic
+ * latitude differ by up to ±9.2° and the sign of the difference changes with
+ * longitude. Aurora bands are geomagnetic, so feeding them a geographic latitude
+ * mis-bands a location by as much as two bands in either direction.
+ */
+function toGeomagneticLatitude(latitude, longitude) {
+    const lat = latitude * DEG_TO_RAD;
+    const poleLat = GEOMAGNETIC_POLE_LATITUDE * DEG_TO_RAD;
+    const deltaLon = (longitude - GEOMAGNETIC_POLE_LONGITUDE) * DEG_TO_RAD;
+    const sinGeomagnetic = Math.sin(lat) * Math.sin(poleLat) + Math.cos(lat) * Math.cos(poleLat) * Math.cos(deltaLon);
+    // Clamp against float drift past ±1 at the poles, where asin is undefined.
+    return Math.asin(Math.min(1, Math.max(-1, sinGeomagnetic))) / DEG_TO_RAD;
+}
+/** Signed angular separation between two longitudes, in degrees: [−180, 180). */
+function longitudeDelta(a, b) {
+    return ((((a - b + 180) % 360) + 360) % 360) - 180;
 }
 /** Find the nearest grid point (1° resolution) and return its aurora probability. */
 function lookupGridPoint(grid, lat, lon) {
-    if (grid.length === 0)
-        return null;
-    // Normalize longitude to -180..179
-    const normLon = ((((lon + 180) % 360) + 360) % 360) - 180;
     let best = null;
     let bestDist = Infinity;
     for (const pt of grid) {
         const dLat = pt.latitude - lat;
-        const dLon = pt.longitude - normLon;
+        // The normalized grid runs −179..180 — a +180 column and no −180 one — so a
+        // request within ~1° of the antimeridian lands a cell off on a raw difference.
+        const dLon = longitudeDelta(pt.longitude, lon);
         const dist = dLat * dLat + dLon * dLon;
         if (dist < bestDist) {
             bestDist = dist;
@@ -42,13 +52,24 @@ function lookupGridPoint(grid, lat, lon) {
         ? { auroraPercent: best.auroraPercent, gridLat: best.latitude, gridLon: best.longitude }
         : null;
 }
+/**
+ * Aurora probability at which a grid point below the 40° geomagnetic edge is read
+ * as real signal rather than model noise. #9 pinned an 8% artifact at (0, 0), and
+ * the live oval reads 10–17% where it is genuinely present, so the floor sits above
+ * the artifact and at the bottom of the real range.
+ */
+const OVAL_OVERRIDE_PERCENT = 10;
+/** Kp reported where no NOAA storm level reaches — the top of the scale. */
+const UNREACHABLE_MIN_KP = 9;
 export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
     title: 'Get Aurora Forecast',
     description: 'OVATION model aurora forecast for the next ~30–60 min: global grid of aurora probability ' +
         'percentages by latitude/longitude (1° resolution). With optional coordinates, returns the local ' +
-        'aurora probability at the nearest grid point, the minimum Kp needed for aurora at that latitude, ' +
-        'and a plain-language go/no-go verdict. Without coordinates, returns only global metadata. ' +
-        'Data updates every ~5 minutes. Coordinates are geographic (WGS84), not geomagnetic.',
+        'aurora probability at the nearest grid point, the geomagnetic latitude those coordinates convert ' +
+        'to, the minimum Kp and G level needed for aurora at that geomagnetic latitude, and a ' +
+        'plain-language go/no-go verdict. Without coordinates, returns only global metadata. ' +
+        'Data updates every ~5 minutes. Supply coordinates as geographic (WGS84); aurora bands are ' +
+        'geomagnetic, and the tool converts between them.',
     annotations: { readOnlyHint: true, openWorldHint: true, idempotentHint: true },
     input: z.object({
         latitude: z
@@ -75,6 +96,9 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
             requestedLongitude: z
                 .number()
                 .describe('Geographic longitude supplied in the request (degrees, −180 to 180).'),
+            geomagneticLatitude: z
+                .number()
+                .describe('Centered-dipole geomagnetic latitude the requested coordinates convert to (degrees, −90 to 90). Aurora bands are geomagnetic, so this — not the geographic latitude — is what minKpRequired and the verdict are derived from. It can differ from the geographic latitude by up to ±9.2° in either direction.'),
             gridLatitude: z.number().describe('Nearest OVATION grid latitude.'),
             gridLongitude: z.number().describe('Nearest OVATION grid longitude.'),
             auroraPercent: z
@@ -82,10 +106,14 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
                 .describe('Aurora probability at the nearest grid point (0–100%).'),
             minKpRequired: z
                 .number()
-                .describe('Minimum Kp threshold for aurora visibility at this latitude.'),
+                .describe('Minimum Kp for aurora at this geomagnetic latitude — the floor of the band, in SWPC thirds (4.67, 5.67, 6.67, 7.67, 9.00), or 0 inside the quiet-time auroral oval above 65°. Reported as 9 where no storm level reaches, which minGScale=null distinguishes from a genuine G5 threshold. The 60° G1 band is this server’s interpolation between the oval edge and NOAA’s G2 figure; the rest are the NOAA scales page figures.'),
+            minGScale: z
+                .number()
+                .nullable()
+                .describe('NOAA G level matching minKpRequired (1–5), 0 inside the quiet-time auroral oval where no storm is needed, and null below 40° geomagnetic where no storm level reaches.'),
             verdict: z
                 .string()
-                .describe('Plain-language visibility verdict, e.g. "Good aurora chance (42%) — Kp≥6 needed at this latitude."'),
+                .describe('Plain-language visibility verdict at this geomagnetic latitude, e.g. "Good aurora chance (42%) — Kp≥6.67 (G3) needed at 51.2° geomagnetic latitude."'),
         })
             .nullable()
             .describe('Local aurora lookup result. Null when no coordinates were provided.'),
@@ -101,10 +129,17 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
         {
             reason: 'feed_unavailable',
             code: JsonRpcErrorCode.ServiceUnavailable,
-            when: 'SWPC endpoint returns non-OK status or times out after retries.',
+            when: 'SWPC feed returns 5xx or 429, times out, or answers with a body that is not parseable JSON. Retried before failing.',
             retryable: true,
             recovery: 'Retry in 30–60 seconds; SWPC feeds occasionally lag during high-activity events.',
         },
+        {
+            reason: 'feed_moved',
+            code: JsonRpcErrorCode.ServiceUnavailable,
+            when: 'SWPC feed path returns a permanent 4xx (404, 410, 401, 403). Fails in one attempt.',
+            retryable: false,
+            recovery: 'Retrying will not help — the SWPC feed path no longer resolves or no longer has the expected shape; the feed URL needs updating against SWPC current inventory.',
+        },
         {
             reason: 'invalid_coordinates',
             code: JsonRpcErrorCode.ValidationError,
@@ -113,18 +148,14 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
         },
     ],
     async handler(input, ctx) {
-        // Validate: if one coordinate is provided, the other must be too
-        const hasLat = input.latitude != null;
-        const hasLon = input.longitude != null;
-        if ((hasLat && !hasLon) || (!hasLat && hasLon)) {
+        // A local lookup needs the pair; one coordinate alone has nothing to look up.
+        const { latitude: lat, longitude: lon } = input;
+        if ((lat == null) !== (lon == null)) {
             throw ctx.fail('invalid_coordinates', 'Provide both latitude and longitude, or neither.', {
                 ...ctx.recoveryFor('invalid_coordinates'),
             });
         }
-        ctx.log.info('Fetching aurora forecast', {
-            latitude: input.latitude,
-            longitude: input.longitude,
-        });
+        ctx.log.info('Fetching aurora forecast', { latitude: lat, longitude: lon });
         const svc = getSpaceWeatherService();
         const aurora = await svc.getAuroraForecast(ctx);
         const grid = aurora.grid;
@@ -142,48 +173,55 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
             : 'Unknown';
         // Local lookup
         let localLookup = null;
-        if (hasLat && hasLon) {
-            // biome-ignore lint/style/noNonNullAssertion: guarded by hasLat && hasLon checks above
-            const lat = input.latitude;
-            // biome-ignore lint/style/noNonNullAssertion: guarded by hasLat && hasLon checks above
-            const lon = input.longitude;
+        if (lat != null && lon != null) {
             const nearest = lookupGridPoint(grid, lat, lon);
             if (nearest) {
-                const minKp = minKpForLatitude(Math.abs(lat));
+                // Aurora bands are geomagnetic; the caller supplies geographic coordinates.
+                const geomLat = toGeomagneticLatitude(lat, lon);
+                const geomText = geomLat.toFixed(1);
+                const band = auroraBandForGeomagneticLatitude(geomLat);
+                const minKp = band?.minKp ?? UNREACHABLE_MIN_KP;
                 const pct = nearest.auroraPercent;
-                const kpClause = minKp > 0 ? ` Kp≥${minKp} needed at this latitude.` : '';
+                const kpClause = band && band.minKp > 0
+                    ? ` Kp≥${band.minKp} (G${band.gScale}) needed at ${geomText}° geomagnetic.`
+                    : '';
                 let verdict;
-                // Guard: when minKp===9 the location is below the minimum aurora latitude (~40° geographic).
-                // Even a G5 extreme storm (Kp 9) reaches only ~40° geomagnetic — implying aurora is
-                // "possible with Kp≥9" at equatorial latitudes is misleading.
-                if (minKp === 9) {
-                    verdict = `Aurora not visible at this latitude — even G5 extreme storms (Kp 9) do not reach below ~40° geographic latitude. Travel to latitudes above 40° to see aurora.`;
+                // Below the G5 band's 40° edge no storm level reaches, so the ladder's
+                // "possible with Kp≥9" framing would mislead (#9) — unless the grid point
+                // itself reads high enough to be signal rather than model noise.
+                if (!band) {
+                    verdict =
+                        pct >= OVAL_OVERRIDE_PERCENT
+                            ? `Aurora is normally not seen at ${geomText}° geomagnetic latitude, but the nearest grid point reads ${pct}% — an exceptional reading; only G5-class (Kp 9) storms push the oval this far equatorward.`
+                            : `Aurora not visible at ${geomText}° geomagnetic latitude (${lat}° geographic) — even G5 extreme storms (Kp 9) do not reach below 40° geomagnetic latitude. Travel toward higher geomagnetic latitudes to see aurora.`;
                 }
                 else if (pct >= 30) {
                     verdict =
                         minKp === 0
-                            ? `Good aurora chance (${pct}%) at this latitude — no Kp minimum required, aurora possible now.`
+                            ? `Good aurora chance (${pct}%) at ${geomText}° geomagnetic latitude — inside the auroral oval, no Kp minimum required, aurora possible now.`
                             : `Good aurora chance (${pct}%) —${kpClause}`;
                 }
                 else if (pct >= 5) {
                     verdict =
                         minKp === 0
-                            ? `Low aurora chance (${pct}%) at this location — aurora activity is low despite the favorable latitude.`
+                            ? `Low aurora chance (${pct}%) at this location — aurora activity is low despite the favorable geomagnetic latitude of ${geomText}°.`
                             : `Low aurora chance (${pct}%) — conditions marginal.${kpClause}`;
                 }
                 else if (minKp === 0) {
-                    verdict = `Very low aurora probability (${pct}%) despite favorable latitude — wait for elevated solar activity and higher Kp.`;
+                    verdict = `Very low aurora probability (${pct}%) despite a favorable geomagnetic latitude of ${geomText}° — wait for elevated solar activity and higher Kp.`;
                 }
                 else {
-                    verdict = `Very low aurora probability (${pct}%) at this location. Kp≥${minKp} needed — travel to higher latitudes or wait for elevated Kp.`;
+                    verdict = `Very low aurora probability (${pct}%) at this location.${kpClause} Travel toward higher geomagnetic latitudes or wait for elevated Kp.`;
                 }
                 localLookup = {
                     requestedLatitude: lat,
                     requestedLongitude: lon,
+                    geomagneticLatitude: Number(geomLat.toFixed(2)),
                     gridLatitude: nearest.gridLat,
                     gridLongitude: nearest.gridLon,
                     auroraPercent: pct,
                     minKpRequired: minKp,
+                    minGScale: band?.gScale ?? null,
                     verdict,
                 };
             }
@@ -209,8 +247,9 @@ export const getAuroraForecast = tool('noaa_spaceweather_get_aurora_forecast', {
             lines.push('');
             lines.push('### Local Forecast');
             lines.push(`**Location:** ${l.requestedLatitude}°, ${l.requestedLongitude}° → nearest grid (${l.gridLatitude}°, ${l.gridLongitude}°)`);
+            lines.push(`**Geomagnetic Latitude:** ${l.geomagneticLatitude}°`);
             lines.push(`**Aurora Probability:** ${l.auroraPercent}%`);
-            lines.push(`**Min Kp Required:** ${l.minKpRequired}`);
+            lines.push(`**Min Kp Required:** ${l.minKpRequired} (${l.minGScale === null ? 'not reachable by any storm level' : `G${l.minGScale}`})`);
             lines.push(`**Verdict:** ${l.verdict}`);
         }
         return [{ type: 'text', text: lines.join('\n') }];

package/dist/mcp-server/tools/definitions/get-aurora-forecast.tool.js.map

@@ -1 +1 @@
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package/dist/mcp-server/tools/definitions/get-conditions.tool.d.ts

@@ -4,7 +4,9 @@
  */
 import { z } from '@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core';
 import { JsonRpcErrorCode } from '@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core/errors';
-export declare const getConditions: import("@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core").ToolDefinition<z.ZodObject<{}, z.core.$strip>, z.ZodObject<{
+export declare const getConditions: import("@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core").ToolDefinition<z.ZodObject<{
+    include_discussion: z.ZodDefault<z.ZodBoolean>;
+}, z.core.$strip>, z.ZodObject<{
     observedAt: z.ZodString;
     currentKp: z.ZodNumber;
     currentGScale: z.ZodNumber;
@@ -34,22 +36,39 @@ export declare const getConditions: import("@cyanheads/mcp-ts-core").ToolDefinit
             label: z.ZodString;
         }, z.core.$strip>;
         R: z.ZodObject<{
-            scale: z.ZodNumber;
-            text: z.ZodString;
-            label: z.ZodString;
+            scale: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodNumber>;
+            text: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+            label: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+            minorProbPercent: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodNumber>;
+            majorProbPercent: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodNumber>;
         }, z.core.$strip>;
         S: z.ZodObject<{
-            scale: z.ZodNumber;
-            text: z.ZodString;
-            label: z.ZodString;
+            scale: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodNumber>;
+            text: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+            label: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+            probPercent: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodNumber>;
         }, z.core.$strip>;
     }, z.core.$strip>>;
     summary: z.ZodString;
+    discussion: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodObject<{
+        issued: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+        sections: z.ZodArray<z.ZodObject<{
+            topic: z.ZodString;
+            summary: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+            forecast: z.ZodNullable<z.ZodString>;
+        }, z.core.$strip>>;
+    }, z.core.$strip>>;
 }, z.core.$strip>, readonly [{
     readonly reason: "feed_unavailable";
     readonly code: JsonRpcErrorCode.ServiceUnavailable;
-    readonly when: "SWPC endpoint returns non-OK status or times out after retries.";
+    readonly when: "SWPC feed returns 5xx or 429, times out, or answers with a body that is not parseable JSON. Retried before failing.";
     readonly retryable: true;
     readonly recovery: "Retry in 30–60 seconds; SWPC feeds occasionally lag during high-activity events.";
+}, {
+    readonly reason: "feed_moved";
+    readonly code: JsonRpcErrorCode.ServiceUnavailable;
+    readonly when: "SWPC feed path returns a permanent 4xx (404, 410, 401, 403), or a feed answers without the shape it is documented to have — the scales feed no longer carrying its \"0\" (today) period, or the forecast discussion carrying no topic section. Fails in one attempt.";
+    readonly retryable: false;
+    readonly recovery: "Retrying will not help — the SWPC feed path no longer resolves or no longer has the expected shape; the feed URL needs updating against SWPC current inventory.";
 }], undefined>;
 //# sourceMappingURL=get-conditions.tool.d.ts.map

package/dist/mcp-server/tools/definitions/get-conditions.tool.d.ts.map

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