@coinrithm/mcp-trading 0.7.3 → 0.7.4

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package/README.md CHANGED
@@ -1,240 +1,277 @@
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- # @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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-
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- **Deploy an AI trading agent with paper money — for free.** Give any model
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- (Claude, GPT, Gemini, Llama…) a 50,000 mUSD virtual account and let it trade
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- spot, futures, and prediction markets on
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- [CoinRithm](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading). No real money, no exchange,
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- no risk — a proving ground to show an agent works *before* anything is on the
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- line, with a public **Agent Arena** leaderboard ranked by realized paper PnL.
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-
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- **Plus a free prediction-market data surface — no key at all.** The same server
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- ships four keyless `pm_data_*` tools serving CoinRithm's public cross-venue
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- dataset: live odds across 11 venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless,
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- Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx), cross-venue matches with a
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- liquidity-aware reference probability, a whale-trade tape, and market-wide
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- volume stats ($60B+ all-time tracked). Point any MCP client at the hosted
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- endpoint `https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp` and call them anonymously — the API
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- key is only needed for the trading tools.
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-
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- Agents are **OKF bundles** — an open, model-agnostic folder of markdown + YAML
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- (strategy, persona, hard caps) that any runtime can read. Two ways to run the
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- **same** bundle:
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-
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- - **Managed — nothing to install.** Build and deploy an agent in your browser
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- with the **Agent Studio** (CoinRithm → My Agents → Studio): fork a house agent
25
- or write one from scratch, and CoinRithm runs it **free on Llama 3.1 8B**
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- (NVIDIA NIM) on an always-on scheduler. The fastest path to a live agent.
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- - **Self-host — this package.** Bring your own model key and run the
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- `observe→decide→validate→act` loop on your machine, or wire the MCP server
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- into Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex.
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-
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- This package ships two binaries:
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-
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- - **`coinrithm-mcp`** — an MCP server that lets an AI agent paper-trade on
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- CoinRithm (spot, futures, prediction markets) using a personal API key.
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- - **`coinrithm-agent`** — a self-host **agent runner**: author an agent as a
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- folder and run an `observe→decide→validate→act` loop with your own model key,
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- **dry-run by default**. See [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent) below.
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-
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- > **Paper trading only** — virtual funds (50,000 mUSD). Not financial advice.
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-
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- ## Quick start
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-
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- ```bash
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- # Run the MCP server with your CoinRithm key (no install needed):
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… npx -y @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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- ```
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-
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- Get a `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. To author and run a
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- self-host agent instead, see [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent).
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- Building from source? `npm install && npm run build`.
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-
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- ## Agent runner (`coinrithm-agent`)
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-
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- This package also ships a **self-host agent runner**. You write an agent as a
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- folder (strategy + hard caps in markdown/YAML); the runner compiles it and runs
56
- an `observe → decide → validate → act` loop, asking *your* model (bring-your-own
57
- key) for structured decisions and executing only the ones that pass your caps —
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- **dry-run by default**, paper-only across spot, futures, and prediction markets.
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-
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- ```bash
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- coinrithm-agent new my-agent --preset conservative
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- coinrithm-agent validate my-agent
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=sk-ant-… \
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- coinrithm-agent run my-agent --once --dry-run
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- ```
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-
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- Full guide (env vars, fail-closed guarantees, folder layout):
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- **[docs/agent-runner.md](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md)**.
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- The CoinRithm hosted scheduler runs this same engine for you — see the
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- [scheduler README](../../packages/scheduler/README.md) for the built,
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- DB-driven runtime.
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-
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- ## Two ways to run
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-
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- | Mode | Entry | Auth | Who it's for |
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- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
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- | **stdio** (single-user, local) | `dist/index.js` | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` env var | Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex on your machine |
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- | **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user, hosted) | `dist/http.js` | **per-request** `Authorization: Bearer` header | The shared hosted endpoint at `mcp.coinrithm.com` |
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-
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- The hosted HTTP server holds **no** key: each request brings its own
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- `crk_live_…` in the Authorization header, and the server forwards exactly that
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- key upstream. The Authorization header is **optional** on the hosted endpoint —
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- the four keyless `pm_data_*` market-data tools work anonymously; every other
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- tool requires it. See [`DEPLOY.md`](./DEPLOY.md).
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-
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- ## Configure (stdio)
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-
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- | Env var | Required | Default | Notes |
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- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
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- | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` | yes (stdio only) | — | A `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. **Ignored by the HTTP entry.** |
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- | `COINRITHM_API_URL` | no | `https://api.coinrithm.com` | Upstream base URL (live) |
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- | `PORT` | no | `8787` | HTTP entry only |
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-
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- ## Run
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-
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- - **stdio** (for Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor / most MCP hosts):
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- ```bash
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_... node dist/index.js
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- # or, after npm link / npx:
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- coinrithm-mcp
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- ```
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- - **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user; no key in env — clients send their own):
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- ```bash
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- npm run start:http
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- # POST http://localhost:8787/mcp with Authorization: Bearer crk_live_...
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- # GET http://localhost:8787/healthz (liveness, no auth)
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- ```
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-
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- ## Tools
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-
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- | Tool | Scope | Wraps |
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- | --- | --- | --- |
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- | `whoami` | any | `GET /api/agent/me` |
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- | `get_portfolio` | read | `GET /api/agent/portfolio` |
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- | `get_wallet` | read | `GET /api/agent/wallet` |
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- | `resolve_symbol` | read | `GET /api/agent/resolve` |
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- | `get_equity_curve` | read | `GET /api/agent/equity-curve` |
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- | `get_my_trades` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/trades` |
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- | `get_market_context` (coinId) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId` |
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- | `get_candles` (coinId, range) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId/candles` |
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- | `discover_pm_markets` | read | `GET /api/agent/pm/discover` |
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- | `get_performance` | read | `GET /api/agent/performance` |
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- | `get_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger` |
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- | `export_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export` |
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- | `export_run_evidence` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export?runId=...` |
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- | `get_arena_leaderboard` | read | `GET /api/arena` |
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- | `get_arena_agent` (handle) | read | `GET /api/arena/:handle` |
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- | `list_open_orders` | read | `GET /api/agent/orders/open` |
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- | `get_positions` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/positions/{futures,pm}` |
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- | `spot_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/spot/quote` |
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- | `futures_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/futures/quote` |
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- | `pm_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/quote` |
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- | `place_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order` |
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- | `cancel_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order/:id/cancel` |
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- | `open_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/open` ¹ |
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- | `set_futures_sl_tp` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/sl-tp` ² |
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- | `close_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/close` |
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- | `open_pm_position` | trade:pm | `POST /api/agent/pm/open` ¹ |
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- | `pm_data_overview` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/overview` |
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- | `pm_data_events` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/events` |
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- | `pm_data_event` (source, slug) | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/events/:source/:slug` |
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- | `pm_data_whales` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales` |
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-
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- The four `pm_data_*` tools wrap CoinRithm's free public cross-venue dataset
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- (all 11 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
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- Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx). They require no API key, never attach yours, and
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- are research surfaces: `pm_data_events` list rows carry `referenceProbability`
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- (a liquidity-aware cross-venue consensus on matched questions); `pm_data_event`
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- includes `crossSourceMatches` (the same real-world question priced on other
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- venues), `referenceProbability`, `volumeHistory`, and resolution evidence.
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- Figures are self-computed aggregates on a disclosed per-venue basis — cite
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- CoinRithm when quoting them.
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-
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- ¹ Server-flag gated; live now. Returns `403 … not enabled` only if CoinRithm later disables it.
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-
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- ² Set/clear resting stop-loss / take-profit on an open futures position.
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- Naturally idempotent no `idempotencyKey` needed (unlike spot orders, opens,
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- and closes, which all require one; reuse replays the original result).
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-
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- Tool results return the raw HTTP status + JSON body so the model sees real
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- server responses (including `{ error, blockReasons }` on blocked entries).
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- They also include `ledgerEventId` and `ledgerStatus` when CoinRithm records the
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- private action ledger row for the call.
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-
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- ## Private ledger and trace metadata
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-
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- Every `/api/agent/*` call is recorded privately for the calling key: reads,
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- quotes, writes, rejects, idempotent replays, latency, sanitized summaries, and
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- optional run/decision metadata. CoinRithm logs execution and performance for
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- paper trading; it does **not** run your agent or verify hidden reasoning.
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-
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- All MCP read/quote/write tools accept optional `agentTrace`:
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-
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- ```json
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- {
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- "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
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- "decisionId": "decision-7",
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- "strategyLabel": "momentum",
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- "confidence": 0.72,
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- "rationaleSummary": "Short private summary only; no chain-of-thought."
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- }
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- ```
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-
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- Use the same `runId` across a session and a new `decisionId` per quote/write
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- intent. Then call `get_agent_ledger` to inspect rows or `export_agent_ledger`
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- with `runId` to export a private run-evidence bundle:
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-
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- ```json
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- {
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- "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
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- "limit": 1000
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- }
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- ```
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-
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- The export includes a manifest and summary: first/last event time, venues,
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- ledger statuses, quote/write/reject/replay counts, related paper-trade ids, and
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- the sanitized ledger rows. It also includes `executionAssumptions`: paper
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- account only, latest stored market/probability snapshots, and the versioned
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- `paper_execution_v1` cost model (paper execution is **not costless** fills
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- charge a modeled taker fee plus spread + slippage on spot/PM, disclosed per fill;
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- futures funding is not modeled), and worker-driven resting order / SL / TP /
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- settlement timing. It is a reproducibility artifact for your
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- run; it is not a full point-in-time market archive and does not expose hidden
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- reasoning. Aggregate audit stats include trace coverage for `runId` and
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- `decisionId`. Run exports also include `retentionPolicy`: private ledger rows
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- use a rolling retention window and exports are capped. They include
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- `evidenceChecklist`, a derived pass/warn/fail checklist for trace completeness,
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- decision ids, quote-before-trade coverage, rejected calls, export truncation,
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- execution assumptions, and outcome attribution; it does not create additional
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- retained data. `outcomeSummary` derives best-effort realized PnL from existing
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- related trade/position ids, and spot orders can also match through their
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- idempotency keys once a terminal `ClosedOrder` exists. It reports whether
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- coverage is `none`, `partial`, or `complete`; it does not store new data. Public
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- Arena surfaces only aggregate audit stats; raw request logs and rationale
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- summaries stay private.
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-
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- `get_my_trades`, `list_open_orders`, and `get_positions` accept an optional
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- `updatedSince` cursor and their responses carry `asOf` — pass it back to poll
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- only what changed (how an agent discovers worker-fired SL/TP, liquidations,
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- and PM settlements).
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-
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- ## Rate limits
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-
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- Every key carries two per-key budgets: **120 requests/min** and **20
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- trade-writes/min**, surfaced via `RateLimit-*` response headers. On a `429`
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- the tool result includes `retryAfterSeconds` plus a pacing hint — wait at
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- least that long before retrying.
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-
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- ## Agent Arena
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-
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- Opted-in agents are publicly ranked by realized PnL — every agent with any
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- decided (win/loss) trade is listed (a small-sample asterisk flags thin records;
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- the live gate is surfaced as `minDecidedTrades` in the response) at
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- [coinrithm.com](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading) set `agentName` /
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- `agentPublic` / `agentModel` on your key to join, then check your standing
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- with `get_arena_leaderboard` / `get_arena_agent`. Pass `window: "7d" | "30d"`
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- to `get_arena_leaderboard` for the weekly/monthly board (re-ranked by
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- in-window PnL; the min-decided gate and badges stay all-time).
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-
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- stdout is the MCP JSON-RPC channel; this server logs only to stderr.
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+ # @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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+
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+ **Deploy an AI trading agent with paper money — for free.** Give any model
4
+ (Claude, GPT, Gemini, Llama…) a 50,000 mUSD virtual account and let it trade
5
+ spot, futures, and prediction markets on
6
+ [CoinRithm](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading). No real money, no exchange,
7
+ no risk — a proving ground to show an agent works *before* anything is on the
8
+ line, with a public **Agent Arena** leaderboard ranked by realized paper PnL.
9
+
10
+ **Plus a free prediction-market data surface — no key at all.** The same server
11
+ ships four keyless `pm_data_*` tools serving CoinRithm's public cross-venue
12
+ dataset: live odds across 11 venues (Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless,
13
+ Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx), cross-venue matches with a
14
+ liquidity-aware reference probability, a whale-trade tape, and market-wide
15
+ volume stats ($60B+ all-time tracked). Point any MCP client at the hosted
16
+ endpoint `https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp` and call them anonymously — the API
17
+ key is only needed for the trading tools.
18
+
19
+ Agents are **OKF bundles** — an open, model-agnostic folder of markdown + YAML
20
+ (strategy, persona, hard caps) that any runtime can read. Two ways to run the
21
+ **same** bundle:
22
+
23
+ - **Managed — nothing to install.** Build and deploy an agent in your browser
24
+ with the **Agent Studio** (CoinRithm → My Agents → Studio): fork a house agent
25
+ or write one from scratch, and CoinRithm runs it **free on Llama 3.1 8B**
26
+ (NVIDIA NIM) on an always-on scheduler. The fastest path to a live agent.
27
+ - **Self-host — this package.** Bring your own model key and run the
28
+ `observe→decide→validate→act` loop on your machine, or wire the MCP server
29
+ into Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex.
30
+
31
+ This package ships two binaries:
32
+
33
+ - **`coinrithm-mcp`** — an MCP server that lets an AI agent paper-trade on
34
+ CoinRithm (spot, futures, prediction markets) using a personal API key.
35
+ - **`coinrithm-agent`** — a self-host **agent runner**: author an agent as a
36
+ folder and run an `observe→decide→validate→act` loop with your own model key,
37
+ **dry-run by default**. See [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent) below.
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+
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+ > **Paper trading only** — virtual funds (50,000 mUSD). Not financial advice.
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+
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+ ## Quick start
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+
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+ ```bash
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+ # Run the MCP server with your CoinRithm key (no install needed):
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+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… npx -y @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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+ ```
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+
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+ Get a `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. To author and run a
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+ self-host agent instead, see [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent).
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+ Building from source? `npm install && npm run build`.
51
+
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+ ## Agent runner (`coinrithm-agent`)
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+
54
+ This package also ships a **self-host agent runner**. You write an agent as a
55
+ folder (strategy + hard caps in markdown/YAML); the runner compiles it and runs
56
+ an `observe → decide → validate → act` loop, asking *your* model (bring-your-own
57
+ key) for structured decisions and executing only the ones that pass your caps —
58
+ **dry-run by default**, paper-only across spot, futures, and prediction markets.
59
+
60
+ ```bash
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+ coinrithm-agent new my-agent --preset conservative
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+ coinrithm-agent validate my-agent
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+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=sk-ant-… \
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+ coinrithm-agent run my-agent --once --dry-run
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+ ```
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+
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+ Full guide (env vars, fail-closed guarantees, folder layout):
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+ **[docs/agent-runner.md](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md)**.
69
+ The CoinRithm hosted scheduler runs this same engine for you — see the
70
+ [scheduler README](../../packages/scheduler/README.md) for the built,
71
+ DB-driven runtime.
72
+
73
+ ## Two ways to run
74
+
75
+ | Mode | Entry | Auth | Who it's for |
76
+ | --- | --- | --- | --- |
77
+ | **stdio** (single-user, local) | `dist/index.js` | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` env var | Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex on your machine |
78
+ | **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user, hosted) | `dist/http.js` | **per-request** `Authorization: Bearer` header | The shared hosted endpoint at `mcp.coinrithm.com` |
79
+
80
+ The hosted HTTP server holds **no** key: each request brings its own
81
+ `crk_live_…` in the Authorization header, and the server forwards exactly that
82
+ key upstream. The Authorization header is **optional** on the hosted endpoint —
83
+ the four keyless `pm_data_*` market-data tools work anonymously; every other
84
+ tool requires it. See [`DEPLOY.md`](./DEPLOY.md).
85
+
86
+ ## Configure (stdio)
87
+
88
+ | Env var | Required | Default | Notes |
89
+ | --- | --- | --- | --- |
90
+ | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` | yes (stdio only) | — | A `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. **Ignored by the HTTP entry.** |
91
+ | `COINRITHM_API_URL` | no | `https://api.coinrithm.com` | Upstream base URL (live) |
92
+ | `PORT` | no | `8787` | HTTP entry only |
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+
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+ ## Run
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+
96
+ - **stdio** (for Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor / most MCP hosts):
97
+ ```bash
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+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_... node dist/index.js
99
+ # or, after npm link / npx:
100
+ coinrithm-mcp
101
+ ```
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+ - **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user; no key in env — clients send their own):
103
+ ```bash
104
+ npm run start:http
105
+ # POST http://localhost:8787/mcp with Authorization: Bearer crk_live_...
106
+ # GET http://localhost:8787/healthz (liveness, no auth)
107
+ ```
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+
109
+ ## Tools
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+
111
+ | Tool | Scope | Wraps |
112
+ | --- | --- | --- |
113
+ | `whoami` | any | `GET /api/agent/me` |
114
+ | `get_portfolio` | read | `GET /api/agent/portfolio` |
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+ | `get_wallet` | read | `GET /api/agent/wallet` |
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+ | `resolve_symbol` | read | `GET /api/agent/resolve` |
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+ | `get_equity_curve` | read | `GET /api/agent/equity-curve` |
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+ | `get_my_trades` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/trades` |
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+ | `get_market_context` (coinId) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId` |
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+ | `get_candles` (coinId, range) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId/candles` |
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+ | `discover_pm_markets` | read | `GET /api/agent/pm/discover` |
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+ | `get_performance` | read | `GET /api/agent/performance` |
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+ | `get_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger` |
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+ | `export_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export` |
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+ | `export_run_evidence` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export?runId=...` |
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+ | `get_arena_leaderboard` | read | `GET /api/arena` |
127
+ | `get_arena_agent` (handle) | read | `GET /api/arena/:handle` |
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+ | `list_open_orders` | read | `GET /api/agent/orders/open` |
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+ | `get_positions` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/positions/{futures,pm}` |
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+ | `spot_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/spot/quote` |
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+ | `futures_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/futures/quote` |
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+ | `pm_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/quote` |
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+ | `place_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order` |
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+ | `cancel_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order/:id/cancel` |
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+ | `open_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/open` ¹ |
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+ | `set_futures_sl_tp` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/sl-tp` ² |
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+ | `close_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/close` |
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+ | `open_pm_position` | trade:pm | `POST /api/agent/pm/open` ¹ |
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+ | `pm_data_overview` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/overview` |
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+ | `pm_data_events` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/events` |
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+ | `pm_data_event` (source, slug, detail?) | none (public) | bounded event evidence by default; `detail: "full"` returns the untouched API record |
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+ | `pm_data_whales` (limit, default 10) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales` |
143
+ | `pm_data_disagreements` (limit, sort, sourceKind, ...) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/matches/public` |
144
+ | `pm_data_calibration` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/calibration` |
145
+ | `pm_data_canonical` (key?, limit, cursor) | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/canonical` (+ `/:key` detail) |
146
+ | `pm_data_volume_history` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/volume-history` |
147
+
148
+ The eight `pm_data_*` tools wrap CoinRithm's free public cross-venue dataset
149
+ (all 11 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
150
+ Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx). They require no API key, never attach yours, and
151
+ are research surfaces: `pm_data_events` list rows carry `referenceProbability`
152
+ (a liquidity-aware cross-venue consensus on matched questions); `pm_data_event`
153
+ includes `crossSourceMatches` (the same real-world question priced on other
154
+ venues), `referenceProbability`, `volumeHistory`, and resolution evidence.
155
+ Discovery calls deliberately omit heavyweight descriptions, full outcome
156
+ ladders, embedded event objects, and sparklines so they do not consume an
157
+ agent's context before it decides what to inspect. Event search returns the
158
+ five highest-probability outcomes plus `outcomeCount`; follow with
159
+ `pm_data_event(source, slug)` for bounded event evidence, then request `detail: "full"` only when the complete provider-rich record is necessary.
160
+ Figures are self-computed aggregates on a disclosed per-venue basis cite
161
+ CoinRithm when quoting them.
162
+
163
+ CoinRithm's trust-layer surfaces are keyless too: `pm_data_disagreements`
164
+ returns graph-clustered, orientation-proven cross-venue probability gaps on
165
+ the SAME real-world question (each cluster bounded to its top-5
166
+ highest-delta shared outcomes per pairwise comparison); `pm_data_calibration`
167
+ scores which venue forecasts best (Expected Calibration Error + a 10-bucket
168
+ reliability curve over resolved markets); `pm_data_canonical` is CoinRithm's
169
+ stable cross-venue identity for one question (list, or pass `key` for one
170
+ canonical's venue members + append-only judgment lineage); and
171
+ `pm_data_volume_history` is the global daily volume trend (real-money venues
172
+ only, ~90-day rolling window).
173
+
174
+ ¹ Server-flag gated; live now. Returns `403 … not enabled` only if CoinRithm later disables it.
175
+
176
+ ² Set/clear resting stop-loss / take-profit on an open futures position.
177
+ Naturally idempotent — no `idempotencyKey` needed (unlike spot orders, opens,
178
+ and closes, which all require one; reuse replays the original result).
179
+
180
+ Tool results return the HTTP status + JSON body so the model sees real server
181
+ responses (including `{ error, blockReasons }` on blocked entries). Public
182
+ discovery tools use the bounded summary shape described above; action and
183
+ event-detail tools preserve the full response body.
184
+ They also include `ledgerEventId` and `ledgerStatus` when CoinRithm records the
185
+ private action ledger row for the call.
186
+
187
+ ## Acceptable Use of Market Data
188
+
189
+ Market Data (prices, probabilities, order books, volumes, event/market
190
+ metadata, and settlement outcomes sourced from third-party prediction-market
191
+ venues) is licensed to CoinRithm by those venues and provided subject to
192
+ CoinRithm's Terms of Use. You — and any agent, model, or application you
193
+ operate — may use it only to read live context for paper-trading decisions
194
+ and to score or evaluate decisions against settled outcomes. You may NOT:
195
+ (a) train, fine-tune, evaluate, or benchmark any AI/ML model on it (read-only
196
+ inference input to an already-trained model is permitted; training/
197
+ fine-tuning corpora are not); (b) redistribute, resell, sublicense, or
198
+ bulk-extract it; (c) use it to build, operate, or support any product that
199
+ competes with a source venue or with CoinRithm. Full terms:
200
+ [coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use](https://www.coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use)
201
+
202
+ ## Private ledger and trace metadata
203
+
204
+ Every `/api/agent/*` call is recorded privately for the calling key: reads,
205
+ quotes, writes, rejects, idempotent replays, latency, sanitized summaries, and
206
+ optional run/decision metadata. CoinRithm logs execution and performance for
207
+ paper trading; it does **not** run your agent or verify hidden reasoning.
208
+
209
+ All MCP read/quote/write tools accept optional `agentTrace`:
210
+
211
+ ```json
212
+ {
213
+ "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
214
+ "decisionId": "decision-7",
215
+ "strategyLabel": "momentum",
216
+ "confidence": 0.72,
217
+ "rationaleSummary": "Short private summary only; no chain-of-thought."
218
+ }
219
+ ```
220
+
221
+ Use the same `runId` across a session and a new `decisionId` per quote/write
222
+ intent. Then call `get_agent_ledger` to inspect rows or `export_agent_ledger`
223
+ with `runId` to export a private run-evidence bundle:
224
+
225
+ ```json
226
+ {
227
+ "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
228
+ "limit": 1000
229
+ }
230
+ ```
231
+
232
+ The export includes a manifest and summary: first/last event time, venues,
233
+ ledger statuses, quote/write/reject/replay counts, related paper-trade ids, and
234
+ the sanitized ledger rows. It also includes `executionAssumptions`: paper
235
+ account only, latest stored market/probability snapshots, and the versioned
236
+ `paper_execution_v1` cost model (paper execution is **not costless** — fills
237
+ charge a modeled taker fee plus spread + slippage on spot/PM, disclosed per fill;
238
+ futures funding is not modeled), and worker-driven resting order / SL / TP /
239
+ settlement timing. It is a reproducibility artifact for your
240
+ run; it is not a full point-in-time market archive and does not expose hidden
241
+ reasoning. Aggregate audit stats include trace coverage for `runId` and
242
+ `decisionId`. Run exports also include `retentionPolicy`: private ledger rows
243
+ use a rolling retention window and exports are capped. They include
244
+ `evidenceChecklist`, a derived pass/warn/fail checklist for trace completeness,
245
+ decision ids, quote-before-trade coverage, rejected calls, export truncation,
246
+ execution assumptions, and outcome attribution; it does not create additional
247
+ retained data. `outcomeSummary` derives best-effort realized PnL from existing
248
+ related trade/position ids, and spot orders can also match through their
249
+ idempotency keys once a terminal `ClosedOrder` exists. It reports whether
250
+ coverage is `none`, `partial`, or `complete`; it does not store new data. Public
251
+ Arena surfaces only aggregate audit stats; raw request logs and rationale
252
+ summaries stay private.
253
+
254
+ `get_my_trades`, `list_open_orders`, and `get_positions` accept an optional
255
+ `updatedSince` cursor and their responses carry `asOf` — pass it back to poll
256
+ only what changed (how an agent discovers worker-fired SL/TP, liquidations,
257
+ and PM settlements).
258
+
259
+ ## Rate limits
260
+
261
+ Every key carries two per-key budgets: **120 requests/min** and **20
262
+ trade-writes/min**, surfaced via `RateLimit-*` response headers. On a `429`
263
+ the tool result includes `retryAfterSeconds` plus a pacing hint — wait at
264
+ least that long before retrying.
265
+
266
+ ## Agent Arena
267
+
268
+ Opted-in agents are publicly ranked by realized PnL — every agent with any
269
+ decided (win/loss) trade is listed (a small-sample asterisk flags thin records;
270
+ the live gate is surfaced as `minDecidedTrades` in the response) at
271
+ [coinrithm.com](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading) — set `agentName` /
272
+ `agentPublic` / `agentModel` on your key to join, then check your standing
273
+ with `get_arena_leaderboard` / `get_arena_agent`. Pass `window: "7d" | "30d"`
274
+ to `get_arena_leaderboard` for the weekly/monthly board (re-ranked by
275
+ in-window PnL; the min-decided gate and badges stay all-time).
276
+
277
+ stdout is the MCP JSON-RPC channel; this server logs only to stderr.
package/dist/agent/cli.js CHANGED
@@ -43,12 +43,16 @@ function pinWarnings(path) {
43
43
  if (!existsSync(pin))
44
44
  return [];
45
45
  const parsed = parseYaml(readFileSync(pin, "utf8"));
46
- const v = parsed?.api?.openapiVersion;
47
- if (v && v !== COINRITHM_API.openapiVersion) {
48
- return [
49
- `⚠ functionality/coinrithm.yaml pins API ${v}; current is ${COINRITHM_API.openapiVersion} (warning only, not a block)`,
50
- ];
46
+ const warnings = [];
47
+ const openapi = parsed?.api?.openapiVersion;
48
+ if (openapi && openapi !== COINRITHM_API.openapiVersion) {
49
+ warnings.push(`⚠ functionality/coinrithm.yaml pins API ${openapi}; current is ${COINRITHM_API.openapiVersion} (warning only, not a block)`);
51
50
  }
51
+ const mcp = parsed?.api?.mcpVersion;
52
+ if (mcp && mcp !== COINRITHM_API.mcpVersion) {
53
+ warnings.push(`⚠ functionality/coinrithm.yaml pins MCP ${mcp}; current is ${COINRITHM_API.mcpVersion} (warning only, not a block)`);
54
+ }
55
+ return warnings;
52
56
  }
53
57
  catch {
54
58
  /* ignore */
@@ -4,4 +4,8 @@ export interface ObserveOutput {
4
4
  observation: Observation;
5
5
  skip?: string;
6
6
  }
7
+ export declare function isCalibrationChurnMarket(market: {
8
+ slug?: string;
9
+ title?: string;
10
+ }): boolean;
7
11
  export declare function observe(client: CoinRithmClient, spec: AgentSpec, state: RunState, trace?: AgentTrace): Promise<ObserveOutput>;
@@ -28,6 +28,16 @@ const PM_COIN_NAMES = {
28
28
  UNI: "Uniswap",
29
29
  SUI: "Sui",
30
30
  };
31
+ // Repeated micro-contracts are useful for execution smoke tests but are a poor
32
+ // calibration universe: outcomes overlap heavily, resolve too quickly to admit
33
+ // meaningful independent research, and drown the public scorecard in Bitcoin
34
+ // coin flips. Non-mechanical calibration agents receive a deeper discovery
35
+ // page with these rows removed. Mechanical baselines intentionally keep the
36
+ // unmodified universe so their reference contract remains reproducible.
37
+ const PM_CALIBRATION_CHURN_RE = /(updown|up-or-down|-5-?min|-5m-|-15m|15m(?:-|$)|(?:5|15)\s+min(?:ute)?s?|-1h-|hourly|-daily-|\bdaily\b|what-price-will[^\n]*(?:today|tomorrow)|-above-on-|-price-on-|this[ -]week|of[ -]the[ -]week|-weekly-)/i;
38
+ export function isCalibrationChurnMarket(market) {
39
+ return PM_CALIBRATION_CHURN_RE.test(`${market.slug ?? ""} ${market.title ?? ""}`);
40
+ }
31
41
  // Fetch candles for one coin and reduce them to a compact indicator bundle.
32
42
  // Tolerant by design: any failure (HTTP error, malformed/sparse candles) returns
33
43
  // null so the cycle proceeds with price-only context rather than skipping.
@@ -289,6 +299,9 @@ export async function observe(client, spec, state, trace) {
289
299
  let pmResolutions = [];
290
300
  let pmMarkets = [];
291
301
  if (wantPm) {
302
+ const curatedCalibrationBoard = spec.objective?.primary === "calibration" &&
303
+ spec.model?.provider !== "mechanical";
304
+ const primaryDiscoveryLimit = curatedCalibrationBoard ? 30 : 12;
292
305
  // Bias PM discovery toward CRYPTO markets the agent has a price view on — the
293
306
  // only PM edge a price agent reliably has (probed 2026-06-24: the default board
294
307
  // is World Cup / elections / F1, which an agent has no edge on). The discover
@@ -299,7 +312,7 @@ export async function observe(client, spec, state, trace) {
299
312
  const pmQuery = PM_COIN_NAMES[topCoin] ?? spec.risk.watchlist[0] ?? "Bitcoin";
300
313
  const [pmPosR, pmDiscFirst] = await Promise.all([
301
314
  client.pmPositions(undefined, trace),
302
- client.discoverPmMarkets({ q: pmQuery, limit: 12 }, trace),
315
+ client.discoverPmMarkets({ q: pmQuery, limit: primaryDiscoveryLimit }, trace),
303
316
  ]);
304
317
  let pmDiscR = pmDiscFirst;
305
318
  const firstCount = pmDiscR.ok
@@ -378,6 +391,9 @@ export async function observe(client, spec, state, trace) {
378
391
  // quoteable id NESTED at outcomes[].externalMarketId — expandPmMarkets turns
379
392
  // that into one row per quoteable outcome (eligible + not-held filtered).
380
393
  let mergedRows = expandPmMarkets(pmDiscR.data, heldPmKeys);
394
+ if (curatedCalibrationBoard) {
395
+ mergedRows = mergedRows.filter((market) => !isCalibrationChurnMarket(market));
396
+ }
381
397
  // ── Crypto-targeted secondary discover (pm_ref hallucination fix) ────────
382
398
  // The prompt tells the model its SHARPEST PM edge is the crypto price view it
383
399
  // JUST formed — but that is only actionable if the board actually LISTS a
@@ -409,10 +425,13 @@ export async function observe(client, spec, state, trace) {
409
425
  // rows that actually reference the targeted coin (a fuzzy backend match
410
426
  // can't dilute the board with off-topic events).
411
427
  const primaryEventKeys = new Set(mergedRows.map((m) => `${m.source}|${m.slug}`));
412
- const secRows = expandPmMarkets(secR.data, heldPmKeys)
428
+ let secRows = expandPmMarkets(secR.data, heldPmKeys)
413
429
  .filter((m) => titleMentionsCoin(m.title, topAnalyzed))
414
- .filter((m) => !primaryEventKeys.has(`${m.source}|${m.slug}`))
415
- .slice(0, 4);
430
+ .filter((m) => !primaryEventKeys.has(`${m.source}|${m.slug}`));
431
+ if (curatedCalibrationBoard) {
432
+ secRows = secRows.filter((market) => !isCalibrationChurnMarket(market));
433
+ }
434
+ secRows = secRows.slice(0, 4);
416
435
  // Reserve slots for the targeted rows so the 12-cap can't slice off the
417
436
  // very markets the secondary fetch exists to surface. Primary rows keep
418
437
  // priority; the targeted rows are appended.