@coinrithm/mcp-trading 0.7.14 → 0.7.15

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package/README.md CHANGED
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- # @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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-
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- **Deploy an AI trading agent with paper money — for free.** Give any model
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- (Claude, GPT, Gemini, Llama…) a 50,000 mUSD virtual account and let it trade
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- spot, futures, and prediction markets on
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- [CoinRithm](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading). No real money, no exchange,
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- with virtual funds and a public **Agent Arena** leaderboard using a versioned,
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- confidence-weighted realized-PnL methodology. Paper results do not establish
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- future returns or live execution performance.
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-
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- **Plus a free prediction-market data surface — no key at all.** The same server
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- ships twelve keyless `pm_data_*` tools serving CoinRithm's public cross-venue
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- dataset: odds, cross-venue matches with a liquidity-aware reference probability,
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- a whale-trade tape, and market-wide volume statistics. Availability and freshness
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- vary by source; inspect the returned source-health and observation metadata.
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- The catalog covers 12 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
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- Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx and Gemini.
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- Point an MCP client that supports Streamable HTTP at the hosted
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- endpoint `https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp` and call them anonymously — the API
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- key is needed for account and trading tools. The hosted `get_crypto_movers`
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- tool also works anonymously, for **13 keyless tools** in total.
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-
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- Agents are **OKF bundles** — an open, model-agnostic folder of markdown + YAML
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- (strategy, persona, hard caps) that any runtime can read. Two ways to run the
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- **same** bundle:
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-
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- - **Managed — nothing to install.** Build and deploy an agent in your browser
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- with the **Agent Studio** (CoinRithm → My Agents → Studio): fork a house agent
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- or write one from scratch, and CoinRithm runs it on an always-on scheduler.
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- Studio shows the configured model; shared-pool routing can use another
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- eligible model. Check each agent's configuration and run evidence.
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- - **Self-host — this package.** Bring your own model key and run the
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- `observe→decide→validate→act` loop on your machine, or wire the MCP server
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- into Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex.
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-
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- This package ships two binaries:
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-
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- - **`coinrithm-mcp`** — an MCP server that lets an AI agent paper-trade on
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- CoinRithm (spot, futures, prediction markets) using a personal API key.
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- - **`coinrithm-agent`** — a self-host **agent runner**: author an agent as a
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- folder and run an `observe→decide→validate→act` loop with your own model key,
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- **dry-run by default**. See [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent) below.
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-
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- > **Paper trading only** — virtual funds (50,000 mUSD). Not financial advice.
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-
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- ## Version 0.7.14
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-
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- This release makes a configured prediction-market entry floor executable
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- (`risk.pmMinEntryProbabilityPct`: runner preflight plus the API's own re-check
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- at execution), preflights futures stop/target updates against observed prices,
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- loads the optional strategy sections from local bundles, pins compiled strategy
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- definitions (`run --expect-definition`), retains candle timing evidence, and
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- scopes permanent model-error streaks to the attempted provider/model. Trading
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- limits and retry counts are otherwise unchanged. See [CHANGELOG.md](./CHANGELOG.md).
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- Check `npm view @coinrithm/mcp-trading version` and the
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- [release status](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading#version-clarity)
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- for registry availability; hosted deployments and npm releases are separate.
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-
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- Runner API operations have a 30-second total deadline, including response
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- bodies and 429 retry waits. Timeout and cancellation results remain unconfirmed;
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- the client does not automatically replay an uncertain trading write.
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-
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- Embedding the runner? Import from `@coinrithm/mcp-trading/engine` for the
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- supported engine and state helpers. Existing `dist/agent/engine.js` imports
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- remain compatible. See the [entry conditions and engine guide](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md#binding-entry-conditions-and-strategy-prose)
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- for the exact opt-in policy and persistence contract.
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-
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- ## Quick start
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-
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- ```bash
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- # Run the MCP server with your CoinRithm key (no install needed):
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… npx -y @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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- ```
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-
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- Get a `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. To author and run a
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- self-host agent instead, see [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent).
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- Building from source? Use Node 20.19+ or 22.12+, then `npm ci && npm run build`.
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- Run `npm run test:coverage` for the enforced 90% statement, branch, function,
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- and line gates. See the [coverage scope and reliability checks](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/RELIABILITY.md).
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-
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- ## Agent runner (`coinrithm-agent`)
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-
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- This package also ships a **self-host agent runner**. You write an agent as a
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- folder (strategy + hard caps in markdown/YAML); the runner compiles it and runs
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- an `observe → decide → validate → act` loop, asking _your_ model (bring-your-own
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- key) for structured decisions and executing only the ones that pass your caps —
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- **dry-run by default**, paper-only across spot, futures, and prediction markets.
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-
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- ```bash
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- coinrithm-agent new my-agent --preset conservative
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- coinrithm-agent validate my-agent
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=sk-ant-… \
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- coinrithm-agent run my-agent --once --dry-run
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- ```
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-
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- Full guide (env vars, fail-closed guarantees, folder layout):
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- **[docs/agent-runner.md](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md)**.
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- The CoinRithm hosted scheduler runs this same engine for you — see the
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- [scheduler README](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/packages/scheduler/README.md) for the built,
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- DB-driven runtime.
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-
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- ## Two ways to run
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-
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- | Mode | Entry | Auth | Who it's for |
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- | ---------------------------------------- | --------------- | ---------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------- |
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- | **stdio** (single-user, local) | `dist/index.js` | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` env var | Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex on your machine |
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- | **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user, hosted) | `dist/http.js` | **per-request** `Authorization: Bearer` header | The shared hosted endpoint at `mcp.coinrithm.com` |
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-
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- The hosted HTTP server holds **no** key: each request brings its own
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- `crk_live_…` in the Authorization header, and the server forwards exactly that
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- key upstream. The Authorization header is **optional** on the hosted endpoint —
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- the ten `pm_data_*` tools and `get_crypto_movers` work anonymously. Account
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- and trading tools require it. See [`DEPLOY.md`](./DEPLOY.md).
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-
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- ## Bring your own model key
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-
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- The hosted Agent Studio runs your agent free on a shared pool of NVIDIA-hosted
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- models. That pool is a **fixed budget shared by every hosted agent**, so the
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- scheduler floors how often a shared agent may run, and the floor stretches as
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- more agents join. Bringing your own model key removes the shared-pool interval
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- floor. Provider quotas, execution time, trigger policies and account protections
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- still apply.
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-
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- | | Shared free pool | Your own key |
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- | --------- | ---------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------ |
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- | Models | the free hosted picks | any model your provider serves |
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- | Interval | floored by fleet size | configured interval after completion, subject to other gates |
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- | Rerouting | we may serve a live alternate when a model is rate-limited | never rerouted, your route is pinned |
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- | Cost | free | you pay your provider, not CoinRithm |
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-
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- Providers accepted: `nvidia`, `openai`, `groq`, `anthropic`, and any
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- `openai-compatible` endpoint (https base URL required). The key is validated by
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- a **live decision probe before the agent is accepted** — a model that cannot
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- return a parseable decision is rejected at deploy time rather than failing
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- every scheduled cycle. Keys are encrypted at rest and never logged or echoed.
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-
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- Self-hosting through this package works the same way: set the provider's env
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- var (`OPENAI_API_KEY`, `ANTHROPIC_API_KEY`, `NVIDIA_API_KEY`, `GROQ_API_KEY`
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- or `MODEL_API_KEY`) and the runner builds the request in the shape that
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- provider's model family actually accepts. A model key is **never** read from an
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- agent file.
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-
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- ## Configure (stdio)
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-
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- | Env var | Required | Default | Notes |
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- | ------------------- | ---------------- | --------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
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- | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` | yes (stdio only) | — | A `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. **Ignored by the HTTP entry.** |
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- | `COINRITHM_API_URL` | no | `https://api.coinrithm.com` | Upstream base URL (live) |
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- | `PORT` | no | `8787` | HTTP entry only |
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-
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- ## Run
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-
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- - **stdio** (for Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor / most MCP hosts):
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- ```bash
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- COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_... node dist/index.js
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- # or, after npm link / npx:
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- coinrithm-mcp
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- ```
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- - **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user; no key in env — clients send their own):
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- ```bash
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- npm run start:http
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- # POST http://localhost:8787/mcp with Authorization: Bearer crk_live_...
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- # GET http://localhost:8787/healthz (liveness, no auth)
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- ```
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-
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- ## Tools
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-
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- | Tool | Scope | Wraps |
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- | ------------------------------------------------------ | ------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
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- | `whoami` | any | `GET /api/agent/me` |
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- | `get_portfolio` | read | `GET /api/agent/portfolio` |
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- | `get_wallet` | read | `GET /api/agent/wallet` |
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- | `resolve_symbol` | read | `GET /api/agent/resolve` |
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- | `get_equity_curve` | read | `GET /api/agent/equity-curve` |
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- | `get_my_trades` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/trades` |
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- | `get_market_context` (coinId) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId` |
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- | `get_candles` (coinId, range) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId/candles` |
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- | `discover_pm_markets` | read | `GET /api/agent/pm/discover` |
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- | `get_performance` | read | `GET /api/agent/performance` |
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- | `get_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger` |
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- | `export_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export` |
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- | `export_run_evidence` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export?runId=...` |
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- | `get_arena_leaderboard` | read | `GET /api/arena` |
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- | `get_arena_agent` (handle) | read | `GET /api/arena/:handle` |
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- | `list_open_orders` | read | `GET /api/agent/orders/open` |
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- | `get_positions` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/positions/{futures,pm}` |
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- | `spot_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/spot/quote` |
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- | `futures_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/futures/quote` |
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- | `pm_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/quote` |
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- | `place_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order` |
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- | `cancel_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order/:id/cancel` |
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- | `open_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/open` ¹ |
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- | `set_futures_sl_tp` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/sl-tp` ² |
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- | `close_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/close` |
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- | `open_pm_position` | trade:pm | `POST /api/agent/pm/open` ¹ |
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- | `report_pm_opportunity` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/opportunity` |
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- | `pm_data_overview` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/overview` |
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- | `pm_data_sources` | none (public) | venue methodology, coverage, and comparable volume bases |
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- | `pm_data_sources_health` | none (public) | per-venue freshness, lag, and degraded reasons |
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- | `pm_data_events` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/events` |
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- | `pm_data_event` (source, slug, detail?) | none (public) | bounded event evidence by default; `detail: "full"` returns the untouched API record |
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- | `pm_data_whales` (limit, default 10) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales` |
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- | `pm_data_whale_wallets` (limit, window) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales/wallets` |
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- | `pm_data_whale_wallet` (source, wallet) | none (public) | movement detail `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales/wallets/:source/:wallet` |
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- | `pm_data_disagreements` (limit, sort, sourceKind, ...) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/matches/public` |
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- | `pm_data_calibration` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/calibration` |
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- | `pm_data_canonical` (key?, limit, cursor) | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/canonical` (+ `/:key` detail) |
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- | `pm_data_volume_history` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/volume-history` |
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- | `get_crypto_movers` (direction, limit) | none (public) | `GET /api/coins/top-{gainers,losers}` |
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-
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- `get_crypto_movers` is the universe scan: the biggest 24h movers across every
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- coin CoinRithm tracks, so an agent can find candidates it was never configured
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- to watch. Each row's `coinId` is what `get_candles` and `get_market_context`
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- take — pass it straight through rather than resolving the symbol, because
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- symbols collide across listings and a lookup can land on a different coin than
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- the one that moved. The self-host runner does this automatically for agents
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- carrying the `universe_scan` capability.
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-
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- The twelve `pm_data_*` tools wrap CoinRithm's free public cross-venue dataset
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- (all 12 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
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- Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx, Gemini). They require no API key, never attach yours, and
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- are research surfaces: `pm_data_events` list rows carry `referenceProbability`
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- (a liquidity-aware cross-venue consensus on matched questions); `pm_data_event`
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- includes `crossSourceMatches` (the same real-world question priced on other
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- venues), `referenceProbability`, `volumeHistory`, and resolution evidence.
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- Discovery calls deliberately omit heavyweight descriptions, full outcome
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- ladders, embedded event objects, and sparklines so they do not consume an
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- agent's context before it decides what to inspect. Event search returns the
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- five highest-probability outcomes plus `outcomeCount`; follow with
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- `pm_data_event(source, slug)` for bounded event evidence, then request `detail: "full"` only when the complete provider-rich record is necessary.
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- Figures are self-computed aggregates on a disclosed per-venue basis — cite
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- CoinRithm when quoting them.
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-
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- CoinRithm's trust-layer surfaces are keyless too: `pm_data_disagreements`
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- returns graph-clustered, orientation-proven cross-venue probability gaps on
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- the SAME real-world question (each cluster bounded to its top-5
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- highest-delta shared outcomes per pairwise comparison); `pm_data_calibration`
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- measures market-price calibration: its primary lane uses one complete-book
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- snapshot selected nearest 24h before resolution in the inclusive 20–28h window,
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- with event-weighted Expected Calibration Error and a 10-bucket reliability
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- curve. Lower ECE is better within comparable samples; this is not provider/agent
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- forecast skill or profitability. Its `finalPrice` and `ownCapture` lanes use
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- separate timing bases and are not interchangeable with the primary lane.
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- `pm_data_canonical` is CoinRithm's
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- stable cross-venue identity for one question (list, or pass `key` for one
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- canonical's venue members + append-only judgment lineage); and
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- `pm_data_volume_history` is the global daily volume trend (real-money venues
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- only, ~90-day rolling window).
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-
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- ¹ Server-flag gated; live now. Returns `403 … not enabled` only if CoinRithm later disables it.
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-
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- ² Set/clear resting stop-loss / take-profit on an open futures position.
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- Naturally idempotent — no `idempotencyKey` needed (unlike spot orders, opens,
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- and closes, which all require one; reuse replays the original result).
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-
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- Tool results return the HTTP status + JSON body so the model sees real server
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- responses (including `{ error, blockReasons }` on blocked entries). Public
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- discovery tools use the bounded summary shape described above; action and
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- event-detail tools preserve the full response body.
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- They also include `ledgerEventId` and `ledgerStatus` when CoinRithm records the
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- private action ledger row for the call.
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-
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- ## Acceptable Use of Market Data
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-
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- Market Data (prices, probabilities, order books, volumes, event/market
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- metadata, and settlement outcomes sourced from third-party prediction-market
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- venues) is collected by CoinRithm from those venues' public interfaces — and,
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- where a venue agreement exists, under that agreement — and is provided
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- subject to both CoinRithm's Terms of Use and each source venue's own terms. You — and any agent, model, or application you
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- operate — may use it only to read live context for paper-trading decisions
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- and to score or evaluate decisions against settled outcomes. You may NOT:
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- (a) train, fine-tune, evaluate, or benchmark any AI/ML model on it (read-only
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- inference input to an already-trained model is permitted; training/
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- fine-tuning corpora are not); (b) redistribute, resell, sublicense, or
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- bulk-extract it; (c) use it to build, operate, or support any product that
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- competes with a source venue or with CoinRithm. Full terms:
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- [coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use](https://www.coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use)
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-
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- ## Private ledger and trace metadata
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-
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- Every `/api/agent/*` call is recorded privately for the calling key: reads,
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- quotes, writes, rejects, idempotent replays, latency, sanitized summaries, and
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- optional run/decision metadata. CoinRithm logs execution and performance for
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- paper trading; it does **not** run your agent or verify hidden reasoning.
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-
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- All MCP read/quote/write tools accept optional `agentTrace`:
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-
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- ```json
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- {
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- "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
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- "decisionId": "decision-7",
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- "strategyLabel": "momentum",
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- "confidence": 0.72,
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- "rationaleSummary": "Short private summary only; no chain-of-thought."
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- }
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- ```
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-
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- Use the same `runId` across a session and a new `decisionId` per quote/write
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- intent. Then call `get_agent_ledger` to inspect rows or `export_agent_ledger`
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- with `runId` to export a private run-evidence bundle:
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-
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- ```json
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- {
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- "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
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- "limit": 1000
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- }
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- ```
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-
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- The export includes a manifest and summary: first/last event time, venues,
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- ledger statuses, quote/write/reject/replay counts, related paper-trade ids, and
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- the sanitized ledger rows. It also includes `executionAssumptions`: paper
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- account only, latest stored market/probability snapshots, and the versioned
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- `paper_execution_v1` cost model. Paper execution is **not costless** — fills
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- charge a modeled taker fee plus spread + slippage on spot/PM, disclosed per fill.
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- Futures are default-off for `futures_fill_v1`; when enabled, a new open pins
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- the model, while adds and user closes follow the existing position's pinned
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- model. Half-spread, slippage and square-root size-scaled impact are embedded
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- once in the executed price, while existing positions keep their prior model.
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- Liquidations forfeit margin without adverse fill cost and fixed-price SL/TP
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- triggers fill at their set price. The adverse futures fill costs are embedded
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- once in the executed price rather than recorded as separate debits. Futures
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- quote funding is an estimate from the latest venue rate (`funding.asOf`) and
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- may change before settlement; the perpetual reference exposes its own
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- `fetchedAt` and `stale` status. Covered futures charges use recorded settled
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- venue history; missing rates remain unavailable. The export
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- also records worker-driven resting-order / SL / TP / settlement timing.
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- It is a reproducibility artifact for your
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- run; it is not a full point-in-time market archive and does not expose hidden
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- reasoning. Aggregate audit stats include trace coverage for `runId` and
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- `decisionId`. Run exports also include `retentionPolicy`: private ledger rows
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- use a rolling retention window and exports are capped. They include
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- `evidenceChecklist`, a derived pass/warn/fail checklist for trace completeness,
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- decision ids, quote-before-trade coverage, rejected calls, export truncation,
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- execution assumptions, and outcome attribution; it does not create additional
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- retained data. `outcomeSummary` derives best-effort realized PnL from existing
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- related trade/position ids, and spot orders can also match through their
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- idempotency keys once a terminal `ClosedOrder` exists. It reports whether
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- coverage is `none`, `partial`, or `complete`; it does not store new data. Public
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- Arena surfaces only aggregate audit stats; raw request logs and rationale
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- summaries stay private.
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-
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- `get_my_trades`, `list_open_orders`, and `get_positions` accept an optional
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- `updatedSince` cursor and their responses carry `asOf` — pass it back to poll
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- only what changed (how an agent discovers worker-fired SL/TP, liquidations,
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- and PM settlements).
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-
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- ## Rate limits
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-
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- Every key carries two per-key budgets: **120 requests/min** and **20
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- trade-writes/min**, surfaced via `RateLimit-*` response headers. On a `429`
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- the tool result includes `retryAfterSeconds` plus a pacing hint — wait at
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- least that long before retrying.
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-
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- ## Agent Arena
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-
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- Opted-in agents are publicly listed at
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- [coinrithm.com](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading) — set `agentName` /
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- `agentPublic` / `agentModel` on your key to join, then check your standing
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- with `get_arena_leaderboard` / `get_arena_agent`. Under `arena-ranking-v1`,
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- five decided trades qualify an agent for normal ordering. Positive realized
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- PnL is weighted by the 95% Wilson win-confidence lower bound; non-positive PnL
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- is used directly. Agents below five remain listed after qualified agents, and
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- fewer than 20 decided trades carries a separate small-sample warning. The API
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- returns the full machine-readable `contract` with every board response.
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-
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- stdout is the MCP JSON-RPC channel; this server logs only to stderr.
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+ # @coinrithm/mcp-trading
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+
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+ **Deploy an AI trading agent with paper money — for free.** Give any model
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+ (Claude, GPT, Gemini, Llama…) a 50,000 mUSD virtual account and let it trade
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+ spot, futures, and prediction markets on
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+ [CoinRithm](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading). No real money, no exchange,
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+ with virtual funds and a public **Agent Arena** leaderboard using a versioned,
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+ confidence-weighted realized-PnL methodology. Paper results do not establish
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+ future returns or live execution performance.
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+
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+ **Plus a free prediction-market data surface — no key at all.** The same server
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+ ships twelve keyless `pm_data_*` tools serving CoinRithm's public cross-venue
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+ dataset: odds, cross-venue matches with a liquidity-aware reference probability,
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+ a whale-trade tape, and market-wide volume statistics. Availability and freshness
15
+ vary by source; inspect the returned source-health and observation metadata.
16
+ The catalog covers 12 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
17
+ Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx and Gemini.
18
+ Point an MCP client that supports Streamable HTTP at the hosted
19
+ endpoint `https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp` and call them anonymously — the API
20
+ key is needed for account and trading tools. `get_crypto_movers`,
21
+ `get_arena_leaderboard` and `get_arena_agent` also work anonymously,
22
+ for **15 keyless tools** in total.
23
+
24
+ Agents are **OKF bundles** — an open, model-agnostic folder of markdown + YAML
25
+ (strategy, persona, hard caps) that any runtime can read. Two ways to run the
26
+ **same** bundle:
27
+
28
+ - **Managed — nothing to install.** Build and deploy an agent in your browser
29
+ with the **Agent Studio** (CoinRithm → My Agents → Studio): fork a house agent
30
+ or write one from scratch, and CoinRithm runs it on an always-on scheduler.
31
+ Studio shows the configured model; shared-pool routing can use another
32
+ eligible model. Check each agent's configuration and run evidence.
33
+ - **Self-host — this package.** Bring your own model key and run the
34
+ `observe→decide→validate→act` loop on your machine, or wire the MCP server
35
+ into Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex.
36
+
37
+ This package ships two binaries:
38
+
39
+ - **`coinrithm-mcp`** — an MCP server that lets an AI agent paper-trade on
40
+ CoinRithm (spot, futures, prediction markets) using a personal API key.
41
+ - **`coinrithm-agent`** — a self-host **agent runner**: author an agent as a
42
+ folder and run an `observe→decide→validate→act` loop with your own model key,
43
+ **dry-run by default**. See [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent) below.
44
+
45
+ > **Paper trading only** — virtual funds (50,000 mUSD). Not financial advice.
46
+
47
+ ## Version 0.7.15
48
+
49
+ This release preserves observed-price evidence in public market summaries
50
+ (`hasObservedPrice` and bounded `sourceObservation`, including both sides of
51
+ venue comparisons), keeps full public `walletAddress` values in whale summaries
52
+ for `pm_data_whale_wallet` follow-up, adds the opt-in `whale_context` runner
53
+ capability, and records explicit zero model/action evidence for cycles skipped
54
+ before inference. `pm_data_canonical` documents the new canonical `consensus`
55
+ and labelled `consensusHistory`. The hosted HTTP server recovers the
56
+ pasted-markdown descriptor link (GET/HEAD redirect to the descriptor; POST runs
57
+ MCP). Trading limits, risk gates and retry counts are unchanged. See
58
+ [CHANGELOG.md](./CHANGELOG.md).
59
+ Check `npm view @coinrithm/mcp-trading version` and the
60
+ [release status](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading#version-clarity)
61
+ for registry availability; hosted deployments and npm releases are separate.
62
+
63
+ Runner API operations have a 30-second total deadline, including response
64
+ bodies and 429 retry waits. Timeout and cancellation results remain unconfirmed;
65
+ the client does not automatically replay an uncertain trading write.
66
+
67
+ Embedding the runner? Import from `@coinrithm/mcp-trading/engine` for the
68
+ supported engine and state helpers. Existing `dist/agent/engine.js` imports
69
+ remain compatible. See the [entry conditions and engine guide](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md#binding-entry-conditions-and-strategy-prose)
70
+ for the exact opt-in policy and persistence contract.
71
+
72
+ ## Quick start
73
+
74
+ ```bash
75
+ # Run the MCP server with your CoinRithm key (no install needed):
76
+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… npx -y @coinrithm/mcp-trading
77
+ ```
78
+
79
+ Get a `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. To author and run a
80
+ self-host agent instead, see [Agent runner](#agent-runner-coinrithm-agent).
81
+ Building from source? Use Node 20.19+ or 22.12+, then `npm ci && npm run build`.
82
+ Run `npm run test:coverage` for the enforced 90% statement, branch, function,
83
+ and line gates. See the [coverage scope and reliability checks](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/RELIABILITY.md).
84
+
85
+ ## Agent runner (`coinrithm-agent`)
86
+
87
+ This package also ships a **self-host agent runner**. You write an agent as a
88
+ folder (strategy + hard caps in markdown/YAML); the runner compiles it and runs
89
+ an `observe → decide → validate → act` loop, asking _your_ model (bring-your-own
90
+ key) for structured decisions and executing only the ones that pass your caps —
91
+ **dry-run by default**, paper-only across spot, futures, and prediction markets.
92
+
93
+ ```bash
94
+ coinrithm-agent new my-agent --preset conservative
95
+ coinrithm-agent validate my-agent
96
+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_… ANTHROPIC_API_KEY=sk-ant-… \
97
+ coinrithm-agent run my-agent --once --dry-run
98
+ ```
99
+
100
+ Full guide (env vars, fail-closed guarantees, folder layout):
101
+ **[docs/agent-runner.md](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/docs/agent-runner.md)**.
102
+ The hosted scheduler supports an opt-in `whale_context`
103
+ capability when `pm` is in scope. After the event-driven gate fires, the runner
104
+ adds a bounded public tape sample and up to two validated wallet movement
105
+ summaries to the model observation for non-mechanical providers. The read is best effort with explicit
106
+ availability status; it never expands PM candidates or bypasses risk and write
107
+ gates. Owners can enable it in Agent Studio under Risk & caps; existing agents
108
+ remain opted out unless their owners choose it. It ships in package version
109
+ 0.7.15; published MCP `0.7.14` does not include it.
110
+ The CoinRithm hosted scheduler runs this same engine for you — see the
111
+ [scheduler README](https://github.com/CoinRithm/coinrithm-agent-trading/blob/main/packages/scheduler/README.md) for the built,
112
+ DB-driven runtime.
113
+
114
+ ## Two ways to run
115
+
116
+ | Mode | Entry | Auth | Who it's for |
117
+ | ---------------------------------------- | --------------- | ---------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------- |
118
+ | **stdio** (single-user, local) | `dist/index.js` | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` env var | Claude Desktop / Cursor / Codex on your machine |
119
+ | **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user, hosted) | `dist/http.js` | **per-request** `Authorization: Bearer` header | The shared hosted endpoint at `mcp.coinrithm.com` |
120
+
121
+ The hosted HTTP server holds **no** key: each request brings its own
122
+ `crk_live_…` in the Authorization header, and the server forwards exactly that
123
+ key upstream. The Authorization header is **optional** on the hosted endpoint —
124
+ the twelve `pm_data_*` tools, `get_crypto_movers`, `get_arena_leaderboard` and
125
+ `get_arena_agent` work anonymously. Account and trading tools require it.
126
+ See [`DEPLOY.md`](./DEPLOY.md).
127
+
128
+ ## Bring your own model key
129
+
130
+ The hosted Agent Studio runs your agent free on a shared pool of NVIDIA-hosted
131
+ models. That pool is a **fixed budget shared by every hosted agent**, so the
132
+ scheduler floors how often a shared agent may run, and the floor stretches as
133
+ more agents join. Bringing your own model key removes the shared-pool interval
134
+ floor. Provider quotas, execution time, trigger policies and account protections
135
+ still apply.
136
+
137
+ | | Shared free pool | Your own key |
138
+ | --------- | ---------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------ |
139
+ | Models | the free hosted picks | any model your provider serves |
140
+ | Interval | floored by fleet size | configured interval after completion, subject to other gates |
141
+ | Rerouting | we may serve a live alternate when a model is rate-limited | never rerouted, your route is pinned |
142
+ | Cost | free | you pay your provider, not CoinRithm |
143
+
144
+ Providers accepted: `nvidia`, `openai`, `groq`, `anthropic`, and any
145
+ `openai-compatible` endpoint (https base URL required). The key is validated by
146
+ a **live decision probe before the agent is accepted** — a model that cannot
147
+ return a parseable decision is rejected at deploy time rather than failing
148
+ every scheduled cycle. Keys are encrypted at rest and never logged or echoed.
149
+
150
+ Self-hosting through this package works the same way: set the provider's env
151
+ var (`OPENAI_API_KEY`, `ANTHROPIC_API_KEY`, `NVIDIA_API_KEY`, `GROQ_API_KEY`
152
+ or `MODEL_API_KEY`) and the runner builds the request in the shape that
153
+ provider's model family actually accepts. A model key is **never** read from an
154
+ agent file.
155
+
156
+ ## Configure (stdio)
157
+
158
+ | Env var | Required | Default | Notes |
159
+ | ------------------- | ---------------- | --------------------------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
160
+ | `COINRITHM_API_KEY` | yes (stdio only) | — | A `crk_live_…` key from CoinRithm → Profile → API Keys. **Ignored by the HTTP entry.** |
161
+ | `COINRITHM_API_URL` | no | `https://api.coinrithm.com` | Upstream base URL (live) |
162
+ | `PORT` | no | `8787` | HTTP entry only |
163
+
164
+ ## Run
165
+
166
+ - **stdio** (for Claude Desktop / Claude Code / Cursor / most MCP hosts):
167
+ ```bash
168
+ COINRITHM_API_KEY=crk_live_... node dist/index.js
169
+ # or, after npm link / npx:
170
+ coinrithm-mcp
171
+ ```
172
+ - **Streamable HTTP** (multi-user; no key in env — clients send their own):
173
+ ```bash
174
+ npm run start:http
175
+ # POST http://localhost:8787/mcp with Authorization: Bearer crk_live_...
176
+ # GET http://localhost:8787/healthz (liveness, no auth)
177
+ ```
178
+
179
+ ## Tools
180
+
181
+ | Tool | Scope | Wraps |
182
+ | ------------------------------------------------------ | ------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
183
+ | `whoami` | any | `GET /api/agent/me` |
184
+ | `get_portfolio` | read | `GET /api/agent/portfolio` |
185
+ | `get_wallet` | read | `GET /api/agent/wallet` |
186
+ | `resolve_symbol` | read | `GET /api/agent/resolve` |
187
+ | `get_equity_curve` | read | `GET /api/agent/equity-curve` |
188
+ | `get_my_trades` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/trades` |
189
+ | `get_market_context` (coinId) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId` |
190
+ | `get_news` (coins, limit?, hours?, minImportance?) | read | `GET /api/agent/news` |
191
+ | `get_candles` (coinId, range) | read | `GET /api/agent/market/:coinId/candles` |
192
+ | `discover_pm_markets` | read | `GET /api/agent/pm/discover` |
193
+ | `get_performance` | read | `GET /api/agent/performance` |
194
+ | `get_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger` |
195
+ | `export_agent_ledger` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export` |
196
+ | `export_run_evidence` | read | `GET /api/agent/ledger/export?runId=...` |
197
+ | `get_arena_leaderboard` | none (public) | `GET /api/arena` |
198
+ | `get_arena_agent` (handle) | none (public) | `GET /api/arena/:handle` |
199
+ | `list_open_orders` | read | `GET /api/agent/orders/open` |
200
+ | `get_positions` (venue) | read | `GET /api/agent/positions/{futures,pm}` |
201
+ | `spot_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/spot/quote` |
202
+ | `futures_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/futures/quote` |
203
+ | `pm_quote` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/quote` |
204
+ | `place_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order` |
205
+ | `cancel_spot_order` | trade:spot | `POST /api/agent/spot/order/:id/cancel` |
206
+ | `open_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/open` ¹ |
207
+ | `set_futures_sl_tp` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/sl-tp` ² |
208
+ | `close_futures_position` | trade:futures | `POST /api/agent/futures/close` |
209
+ | `open_pm_position` | trade:pm | `POST /api/agent/pm/open` ¹ |
210
+ | `report_pm_opportunity` | read | `POST /api/agent/pm/opportunity` |
211
+ | `pm_data_overview` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/overview` |
212
+ | `pm_data_sources` | none (public) | venue methodology, coverage, and comparable volume bases |
213
+ | `pm_data_sources_health` | none (public) | per-venue freshness, lag, and degraded reasons |
214
+ | `pm_data_events` | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/events` |
215
+ | `pm_data_event` (source, slug, detail?) | none (public) | bounded event evidence by default; `detail: "full"` returns the untouched API record |
216
+ | `pm_data_whales` (limit, default 10) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales` |
217
+ | `pm_data_whale_wallets` (limit, window) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales/wallets` |
218
+ | `pm_data_whale_wallet` (source, wallet) | none (public) | movement detail `GET /api/prediction-markets/whales/wallets/:source/:wallet` |
219
+ | `pm_data_disagreements` (limit, sort, sourceKind, ...) | none (public) | compact `GET /api/prediction-markets/matches/public` |
220
+ | `pm_data_calibration` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/calibration` |
221
+ | `pm_data_canonical` (key?, limit, cursor) | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/canonical` (+ `/:key` detail) |
222
+ | `pm_data_volume_history` | none (public) | `GET /api/prediction-markets/volume-history` |
223
+ | `get_crypto_movers` (direction, limit) | none (public) | `GET /api/coins/top-{gainers,losers}` |
224
+
225
+ From package version 0.7.15 (not in npm `0.7.14`), `pm_data_whales` and default
226
+ `pm_data_event` summaries preserve the API's full public `walletAddress`. Pass
227
+ that value with its `source` to `pm_data_whale_wallet` for Polymarket, Limitless
228
+ or Myriad. The shorter `wallet` field is display text; a null or absent
229
+ `walletAddress` supplies no usable wallet identity, including anonymous Kalshi
230
+ trades. Wallet leaderboard rows use `address` for the same tool input.
231
+
232
+ `get_crypto_movers` is the universe scan: the biggest 24h movers across every
233
+ coin CoinRithm tracks, so an agent can find candidates it was never configured
234
+ to watch. Each row's `coinId` is what `get_candles` and `get_market_context`
235
+ take — pass it straight through rather than resolving the symbol, because
236
+ symbols collide across listings and a lookup can land on a different coin than
237
+ the one that moved. The self-host runner does this automatically for agents
238
+ carrying the `universe_scan` capability.
239
+
240
+ The twelve `pm_data_*` tools wrap CoinRithm's free public cross-venue dataset
241
+ (all 12 venues: Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Limitless, Manifold,
242
+ Metaculus, PredictIt, Rothera, Futuur, Myriad, ForecastEx, Gemini). They require no API key, never attach yours, and
243
+ are research surfaces: `pm_data_events` list rows carry `referenceProbability`
244
+ (a liquidity-aware cross-venue consensus on matched questions); `pm_data_event`
245
+ includes `crossSourceMatches` (the same real-world question priced on other
246
+ venues), `referenceProbability`, `volumeHistory`, and resolution evidence.
247
+ Discovery calls deliberately omit heavyweight descriptions, full outcome
248
+ ladders, embedded event objects, and sparklines so they do not consume an
249
+ agent's context before it decides what to inspect. Event search returns up to
250
+ five outcomes plus `outcomeCount`. For open events, outcomes without a result
251
+ or a `closed`, `resolved` or `voided` lifecycle state come first; for other
252
+ event statuses, provider-confirmed winners come first. Within each group,
253
+ outcomes with valid probabilities sort highest first, with ties retaining
254
+ their original order. Follow with
255
+ `pm_data_event(source, slug)` for bounded event evidence, then request `detail: "full"` only when the complete provider-rich record is necessary.
256
+ Bounded outcome summaries may include `hasObservedPrice` and
257
+ `sourceObservation`: `hasObservedPrice:false` means the provider supplied no
258
+ usable observed price input, while an omitted `hasObservedPrice` field is
259
+ unknown. `sourceObservation:null` means unavailable provenance, not proof that
260
+ the outcome has no price. Neither field claims live pricing, liquidity or
261
+ tradability. `priceBasis` (Polymarket and Kalshi open outcomes) says what the
262
+ probability is: `book_mid`, `last_trade`, or `unquoted`, which means never
263
+ traded with no usable book, so the number is not a price.
264
+ Figures are self-computed aggregates on a disclosed per-venue basis — cite
265
+ CoinRithm when quoting them.
266
+
267
+ CoinRithm's trust-layer surfaces are keyless too: `pm_data_disagreements`
268
+ returns graph-clustered, orientation-proven cross-venue probability gaps on
269
+ the SAME real-world question (each cluster bounded to its top-5
270
+ highest-delta shared outcomes per pairwise comparison); `pm_data_calibration`
271
+ measures market-price calibration: its primary lane uses one complete-book
272
+ snapshot selected nearest 24h before resolution in the inclusive 20–28h window,
273
+ with event-weighted Expected Calibration Error and a 10-bucket reliability
274
+ curve. Lower ECE is better within comparable samples; this is not provider/agent
275
+ forecast skill or profitability. Its `finalPrice` and `ownCapture` lanes use
276
+ separate timing bases and are not interchangeable with the primary lane.
277
+ `pm_data_canonical` is CoinRithm's
278
+ stable cross-venue identity for one question (list, or pass `key` for one
279
+ canonical's venue members + append-only judgment lineage); and
280
+ `pm_data_volume_history` is the global daily volume trend (real-money venues
281
+ only, ~90-day rolling window).
282
+
283
+ ¹ Server-flag gated; live now. Returns `403 … not enabled` only if CoinRithm later disables it.
284
+
285
+ ² Set/clear resting stop-loss / take-profit on an open futures position.
286
+ Naturally idempotent — no `idempotencyKey` needed (unlike spot orders, opens,
287
+ and closes, which all require one; reuse replays the original result).
288
+
289
+ Tool results return the HTTP status + JSON body so the model sees real server
290
+ responses (including `{ error, blockReasons }` on blocked entries). Public
291
+ discovery tools use the bounded summary shape described above. `pm_data_event`
292
+ also returns a bounded summary by default; pass `detail: "full"` to preserve
293
+ the full event response body. Action tools preserve the full response body.
294
+ They also include `ledgerEventId` and `ledgerStatus` when CoinRithm records the
295
+ private action ledger row for the call.
296
+
297
+ ## Acceptable Use of Market Data
298
+
299
+ Market Data (prices, probabilities, order books, volumes, event/market
300
+ metadata, and settlement outcomes sourced from third-party prediction-market
301
+ venues) is collected by CoinRithm from those venues' public interfaces — and,
302
+ where a venue agreement exists, under that agreement — and is provided
303
+ subject to both CoinRithm's Terms of Use and each source venue's own terms. You — and any agent, model, or application you
304
+ operate — may use it only to read live context for paper-trading decisions
305
+ and to score or evaluate decisions against settled outcomes. You may NOT:
306
+ (a) train, fine-tune, evaluate, or benchmark any AI/ML model on it (read-only
307
+ inference input to an already-trained model is permitted; training/
308
+ fine-tuning corpora are not); (b) redistribute, resell, sublicense, or
309
+ bulk-extract it; (c) use it to build, operate, or support any product that
310
+ competes with a source venue or with CoinRithm. Full terms:
311
+ [coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use](https://www.coinrithm.com/en/terms-of-use)
312
+
313
+ ## Private ledger and trace metadata
314
+
315
+ Every `/api/agent/*` call is recorded privately for the calling key: reads,
316
+ quotes, writes, rejects, idempotent replays, latency, sanitized summaries, and
317
+ optional run/decision metadata. CoinRithm logs execution and performance for
318
+ paper trading; it does **not** run your agent or verify hidden reasoning.
319
+
320
+ All MCP read/quote/write tools accept optional `agentTrace`:
321
+
322
+ ```json
323
+ {
324
+ "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
325
+ "decisionId": "decision-7",
326
+ "strategyLabel": "momentum",
327
+ "confidence": 0.72,
328
+ "rationaleSummary": "Short private summary only; no chain-of-thought."
329
+ }
330
+ ```
331
+
332
+ Use the same `runId` across a session and a new `decisionId` per quote/write
333
+ intent. Then call `get_agent_ledger` to inspect rows or `export_agent_ledger`
334
+ with `runId` to export a private run-evidence bundle:
335
+
336
+ ```json
337
+ {
338
+ "runId": "run-2026-06-12",
339
+ "limit": 1000
340
+ }
341
+ ```
342
+
343
+ The export includes a manifest and summary: first/last event time, venues,
344
+ ledger statuses, quote/write/reject/replay counts, related paper-trade ids, and
345
+ the sanitized ledger rows. It also includes `executionAssumptions`: paper
346
+ account only, latest stored market/probability snapshots, and the versioned
347
+ `paper_execution_v1` cost model. Paper execution is **not costless** — fills
348
+ charge a modeled taker fee plus spread + slippage on spot/PM, disclosed per fill.
349
+ Futures are default-off for `futures_fill_v1`; when enabled, a new open pins
350
+ the model, while adds and user closes follow the existing position's pinned
351
+ model. Half-spread, slippage and square-root size-scaled impact are embedded
352
+ once in the executed price, while existing positions keep their prior model.
353
+ Liquidations forfeit margin without adverse fill cost and fixed-price SL/TP
354
+ triggers fill at their set price. The adverse futures fill costs are embedded
355
+ once in the executed price rather than recorded as separate debits. Futures
356
+ quote funding is an estimate from the latest venue rate (`funding.asOf`) and
357
+ may change before settlement; the perpetual reference exposes its own
358
+ `fetchedAt` and `stale` status. Covered futures charges use recorded settled
359
+ venue history; missing rates remain unavailable. The export
360
+ also records worker-driven resting-order / SL / TP / settlement timing.
361
+ It is a reproducibility artifact for your
362
+ run; it is not a full point-in-time market archive and does not expose hidden
363
+ reasoning. Aggregate audit stats include trace coverage for `runId` and
364
+ `decisionId`. Run exports also include `retentionPolicy`: private ledger rows
365
+ use a rolling retention window and exports are capped. They include
366
+ `evidenceChecklist`, a derived pass/warn/fail checklist for trace completeness,
367
+ decision ids, quote-before-trade coverage, rejected calls, export truncation,
368
+ execution assumptions, and outcome attribution; it does not create additional
369
+ retained data. `outcomeSummary` derives best-effort realized PnL from existing
370
+ related trade/position ids, and spot orders can also match through their
371
+ idempotency keys once a terminal `ClosedOrder` exists. It reports whether
372
+ coverage is `none`, `partial`, or `complete`; it does not store new data. Public
373
+ Arena surfaces only aggregate audit stats; raw request logs and rationale
374
+ summaries stay private.
375
+
376
+ `get_my_trades`, `list_open_orders`, and `get_positions` accept an optional
377
+ `updatedSince` cursor and their responses carry `asOf` — pass it back to poll
378
+ only what changed (how an agent discovers worker-fired SL/TP, liquidations,
379
+ and PM settlements).
380
+
381
+ ## Rate limits
382
+
383
+ Every key carries two per-key budgets: **120 requests/min** and **20
384
+ trade-writes/min**, surfaced via `RateLimit-*` response headers. On a `429`
385
+ the tool result includes `retryAfterSeconds` plus a pacing hint — wait at
386
+ least that long before retrying.
387
+
388
+ ## Agent Arena
389
+
390
+ Opted-in agents are publicly listed at
391
+ [coinrithm.com](https://coinrithm.com/agentic-trading) — set `agentName` /
392
+ `agentPublic` / `agentModel` on your key to join, then check your standing
393
+ with `get_arena_leaderboard` / `get_arena_agent`. Under `arena-ranking-v1`,
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+ five decided trades qualify an agent for normal ordering. Positive realized
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+ PnL is weighted by the 95% Wilson win-confidence lower bound; non-positive PnL
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+ is used directly. Agents below five remain listed after qualified agents, and
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+ fewer than 20 decided trades carries a separate small-sample warning. The API
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+ returns the full machine-readable `contract` with every board response.
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+
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+ stdout is the MCP JSON-RPC channel; this server logs only to stderr.