@cleocode/core 2026.4.9 → 2026.4.11

package/dist/intelligence/prediction.js

@@ -0,0 +1,499 @@
+/**
+ * Quality Prediction module for the CLEO Intelligence dimension.
+ *
+ * Provides risk scoring for tasks based on complexity, historical patterns,
+ * and blocking analysis. Also predicts lifecycle gate validation outcomes
+ * using brain_patterns and brain_learnings data.
+ *
+ * Uses the existing BrainDataAccessor and DataAccessor — no new tables.
+ *
+ * @task Wave3A
+ * @epic T5149
+ */
+// ============================================================================
+// Constants
+// ============================================================================
+/** Risk factor weights — tuned to prioritize blocking risk and complexity. */
+const RISK_WEIGHTS = {
+    complexity: 0.25,
+    historicalFailure: 0.25,
+    blockingRisk: 0.3,
+    dependencyDepth: 0.2,
+};
+/** Thresholds for risk level recommendations. */
+const RISK_THRESHOLDS = {
+    low: 0.3,
+    medium: 0.6,
+    high: 0.8,
+};
+/** Size-to-complexity mapping (0-1 scale). */
+const SIZE_COMPLEXITY = {
+    small: 0.2,
+    medium: 0.5,
+    large: 0.8,
+};
+// ============================================================================
+// Risk Scoring
+// ============================================================================
+/**
+ * Calculate the risk score for a task based on multiple contributing factors.
+ *
+ * Factors considered:
+ * - Task complexity (size, dependency count, hierarchy depth)
+ * - Historical patterns (similar tasks' failure rates from brain_patterns)
+ * - Blocking risk (does this task block others?)
+ * - Dependency depth (how deep in the dependency chain)
+ *
+ * @param taskId - The task to assess
+ * @param taskAccessor - DataAccessor for tasks.db
+ * @param brainAccessor - BrainDataAccessor for brain.db
+ * @returns A complete risk assessment with score, confidence, factors, and recommendation
+ */
+export async function calculateTaskRisk(taskId, taskAccessor, brainAccessor) {
+    const task = await taskAccessor.loadSingleTask(taskId);
+    if (!task) {
+        return {
+            taskId,
+            riskScore: 0,
+            confidence: 0,
+            factors: [],
+            recommendation: `Task ${taskId} not found — cannot assess risk.`,
+        };
+    }
+    const factors = [];
+    let dataPoints = 0;
+    // Factor 1: Complexity (size + dependency count + child count)
+    const complexityFactor = await computeComplexityFactor(task, taskAccessor);
+    factors.push(complexityFactor);
+    dataPoints += 1;
+    // Factor 2: Historical failure patterns from brain_patterns
+    const historicalFactor = await computeHistoricalFailureFactor(task, brainAccessor);
+    factors.push(historicalFactor);
+    if (historicalFactor.value > 0)
+        dataPoints += 1;
+    // Factor 3: Blocking risk (how many tasks does this block?)
+    const blockingFactor = await computeBlockingFactor(task, taskAccessor);
+    factors.push(blockingFactor);
+    dataPoints += 1;
+    // Factor 4: Dependency depth
+    const depthFactor = await computeDependencyDepthFactor(task, taskAccessor);
+    factors.push(depthFactor);
+    dataPoints += 1;
+    // Compute weighted aggregate score
+    const riskScore = computeWeightedScore(factors);
+    // Confidence scales with available data (0.25 base, up to 1.0)
+    const confidence = Math.min(1.0, 0.25 + (dataPoints / 4) * 0.75);
+    const recommendation = generateRecommendation(riskScore, factors);
+    return {
+        taskId,
+        riskScore: Math.round(riskScore * 1000) / 1000,
+        confidence: Math.round(confidence * 1000) / 1000,
+        factors,
+        recommendation,
+    };
+}
+// ============================================================================
+// Validation Outcome Prediction
+// ============================================================================
+/**
+ * Predict the likelihood of a task passing a lifecycle validation gate.
+ *
+ * Combines:
+ * - Historical gate results for similar tasks (from brain_patterns)
+ * - Current task completion state
+ * - Applicable learnings from brain_learnings
+ *
+ * @param taskId - The task to evaluate
+ * @param stage - The lifecycle stage (e.g., "specification", "implementation")
+ * @param taskAccessor - DataAccessor for tasks.db
+ * @param brainAccessor - BrainDataAccessor for brain.db
+ * @returns Prediction with pass likelihood, blockers, and suggestions
+ */
+export async function predictValidationOutcome(taskId, stage, taskAccessor, brainAccessor) {
+    const task = await taskAccessor.loadSingleTask(taskId);
+    if (!task) {
+        return {
+            taskId,
+            stage,
+            passLikelihood: 0,
+            blockers: [`Task ${taskId} not found`],
+            suggestions: [],
+        };
+    }
+    const blockers = [];
+    const suggestions = [];
+    let passSignals = 0;
+    let failSignals = 0;
+    let totalSignals = 0;
+    // Signal 1: Task status assessment
+    const statusResult = assessTaskStatus(task, stage);
+    passSignals += statusResult.pass;
+    failSignals += statusResult.fail;
+    totalSignals += statusResult.total;
+    blockers.push(...statusResult.blockers);
+    suggestions.push(...statusResult.suggestions);
+    // Signal 2: Acceptance criteria completeness
+    const criteriaResult = assessAcceptanceCriteria(task);
+    passSignals += criteriaResult.pass;
+    failSignals += criteriaResult.fail;
+    totalSignals += criteriaResult.total;
+    blockers.push(...criteriaResult.blockers);
+    suggestions.push(...criteriaResult.suggestions);
+    // Signal 3: Historical success patterns from brain_patterns
+    const patternResult = await assessHistoricalPatterns(task, stage, brainAccessor);
+    passSignals += patternResult.pass;
+    failSignals += patternResult.fail;
+    totalSignals += patternResult.total;
+    suggestions.push(...patternResult.suggestions);
+    // Signal 4: Applicable learnings from brain_learnings
+    const learningContext = await gatherLearningContext(task, brainAccessor);
+    if (learningContext.actionableCount > 0) {
+        passSignals += learningContext.averageConfidence;
+        totalSignals += 1;
+    }
+    // Compute pass likelihood
+    const passLikelihood = totalSignals > 0
+        ? Math.round((passSignals / (passSignals + failSignals || 1)) * 1000) / 1000
+        : 0.5;
+    return {
+        taskId,
+        stage,
+        passLikelihood: Math.max(0, Math.min(1, passLikelihood)),
+        blockers,
+        suggestions,
+    };
+}
+// ============================================================================
+// Internal: Risk Factor Computation
+// ============================================================================
+async function computeComplexityFactor(task, accessor) {
+    const depCount = task.depends?.length ?? 0;
+    let childCount = 0;
+    try {
+        childCount = await accessor.countChildren(task.id);
+    }
+    catch {
+        // countChildren may fail for leaf tasks; default to 0
+    }
+    const sizeValue = SIZE_COMPLEXITY[task.size ?? 'medium'] ?? 0.5;
+    const depNormalized = Math.min(depCount / 10, 1.0);
+    const childNormalized = Math.min(childCount / 20, 1.0);
+    const value = sizeValue * 0.4 + depNormalized * 0.3 + childNormalized * 0.3;
+    const parts = [];
+    if (task.size)
+        parts.push(`size=${task.size}`);
+    if (depCount > 0)
+        parts.push(`${depCount} dependencies`);
+    if (childCount > 0)
+        parts.push(`${childCount} children`);
+    return {
+        name: 'complexity',
+        weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.complexity,
+        value: Math.round(value * 1000) / 1000,
+        description: parts.length > 0
+            ? `Task complexity based on ${parts.join(', ')}`
+            : 'Default complexity (no size/deps/children data)',
+    };
+}
+async function computeHistoricalFailureFactor(task, brainAccessor) {
+    // Look for failure and blocker patterns in brain_patterns
+    const failurePatterns = await brainAccessor.findPatterns({ type: 'failure', limit: 50 });
+    const blockerPatterns = await brainAccessor.findPatterns({ type: 'blocker', limit: 50 });
+    const allNegativePatterns = [...failurePatterns, ...blockerPatterns];
+    if (allNegativePatterns.length === 0) {
+        return {
+            name: 'historical_failure',
+            weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.historicalFailure,
+            value: 0,
+            description: 'No historical failure patterns found in brain.db',
+        };
+    }
+    // Score based on average failure rate of matching patterns
+    let matchCount = 0;
+    let totalFailureRate = 0;
+    const taskLabels = new Set((task.labels ?? []).map((l) => l.toLowerCase()));
+    const taskTitle = task.title.toLowerCase();
+    const taskDesc = (task.description ?? '').toLowerCase();
+    for (const p of allNegativePatterns) {
+        const patternText = p.pattern.toLowerCase();
+        const contextText = p.context.toLowerCase();
+        // Check for textual overlap between pattern and task
+        const hasLabelMatch = taskLabels.size > 0 &&
+            [...taskLabels].some((l) => patternText.includes(l) || contextText.includes(l));
+        const hasTitleMatch = patternText.includes(taskTitle) || taskTitle.includes(patternText.slice(0, 20));
+        const hasDescMatch = taskDesc.length > 10 &&
+            (patternText.includes(taskDesc.slice(0, 30)) || taskDesc.includes(patternText.slice(0, 30)));
+        if (hasLabelMatch || hasTitleMatch || hasDescMatch) {
+            matchCount++;
+            // successRate close to 0 means high failure rate
+            const failureRate = p.successRate !== null ? 1 - p.successRate : 0.5;
+            totalFailureRate += failureRate;
+        }
+    }
+    if (matchCount === 0) {
+        return {
+            name: 'historical_failure',
+            weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.historicalFailure,
+            value: 0,
+            description: 'No matching historical failure patterns for this task',
+        };
+    }
+    const avgFailureRate = totalFailureRate / matchCount;
+    return {
+        name: 'historical_failure',
+        weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.historicalFailure,
+        value: Math.round(avgFailureRate * 1000) / 1000,
+        description: `${matchCount} matching failure/blocker pattern(s) with avg failure rate ${Math.round(avgFailureRate * 100)}%`,
+    };
+}
+async function computeBlockingFactor(task, accessor) {
+    // Count how many other tasks depend on this task (i.e., this task blocks them)
+    let blockedCount = 0;
+    try {
+        // Query all non-done tasks to find those that depend on this task
+        const { tasks: allTasks } = await accessor.queryTasks({
+            status: ['pending', 'active', 'blocked'],
+        });
+        for (const t of allTasks) {
+            if (t.depends?.includes(task.id)) {
+                blockedCount++;
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    catch {
+        // Best-effort: if query fails, treat as unknown
+    }
+    // Normalize: 0 blocked = 0, 5+ blocked = 1.0
+    const value = Math.min(blockedCount / 5, 1.0);
+    return {
+        name: 'blocking_risk',
+        weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.blockingRisk,
+        value: Math.round(value * 1000) / 1000,
+        description: blockedCount > 0
+            ? `This task blocks ${blockedCount} other task(s)`
+            : 'This task does not block any other tasks',
+    };
+}
+async function computeDependencyDepthFactor(task, accessor) {
+    // Walk the dependency chain to measure depth
+    let depth = 0;
+    const visited = new Set();
+    let current = task;
+    while (current.depends && current.depends.length > 0 && depth < 10) {
+        const firstDep = current.depends[0];
+        if (visited.has(firstDep))
+            break; // cycle guard
+        visited.add(firstDep);
+        const depTask = await accessor.loadSingleTask(firstDep);
+        if (!depTask)
+            break;
+        depth++;
+        current = depTask;
+    }
+    // Also count parent depth (hierarchy)
+    let hierarchyDepth = 0;
+    let parentId = task.parentId;
+    const visitedParents = new Set();
+    while (parentId && hierarchyDepth < 10) {
+        if (visitedParents.has(parentId))
+            break;
+        visitedParents.add(parentId);
+        const parent = await accessor.loadSingleTask(parentId);
+        if (!parent)
+            break;
+        hierarchyDepth++;
+        parentId = parent.parentId;
+    }
+    const totalDepth = depth + hierarchyDepth;
+    // Normalize: depth 0 = 0, depth 8+ = 1.0
+    const value = Math.min(totalDepth / 8, 1.0);
+    return {
+        name: 'dependency_depth',
+        weight: RISK_WEIGHTS.dependencyDepth,
+        value: Math.round(value * 1000) / 1000,
+        description: `Dependency chain depth: ${depth}, hierarchy depth: ${hierarchyDepth}`,
+    };
+}
+function assessTaskStatus(task, stage) {
+    const blockers = [];
+    const suggestions = [];
+    let pass = 0;
+    let fail = 0;
+    if (task.status === 'blocked') {
+        fail += 1;
+        blockers.push(`Task is currently blocked${task.blockedBy ? `: ${task.blockedBy}` : ''}`);
+        suggestions.push('Resolve blocking issues before attempting gate validation');
+    }
+    else if (task.status === 'cancelled') {
+        fail += 1;
+        blockers.push('Task is cancelled');
+    }
+    else if (task.status === 'done') {
+        pass += 1;
+    }
+    else if (task.status === 'active') {
+        // For early stages, active is fine; for late stages, may need completion
+        if (stage === 'verification' || stage === 'release') {
+            fail += 0.5;
+            suggestions.push(`Task should be completed before ${stage} gate`);
+        }
+        else {
+            pass += 0.5;
+        }
+    }
+    else {
+        // todo status
+        if (stage === 'specification') {
+            pass += 0.3;
+        }
+        else {
+            fail += 0.5;
+            suggestions.push(`Task is still in "${task.status}" status — work should begin before ${stage} gate`);
+        }
+    }
+    return { pass, fail, total: 1, blockers, suggestions };
+}
+function assessAcceptanceCriteria(task) {
+    const blockers = [];
+    const suggestions = [];
+    const criteria = task.acceptance ?? [];
+    if (criteria.length === 0) {
+        return {
+            pass: 0.3,
+            fail: 0.2,
+            total: 1,
+            blockers: [],
+            suggestions: ['Add acceptance criteria to improve validation confidence'],
+        };
+    }
+    // Having acceptance criteria is a positive signal
+    return {
+        pass: 0.7,
+        fail: 0,
+        total: 1,
+        blockers,
+        suggestions,
+    };
+}
+async function assessHistoricalPatterns(task, stage, brainAccessor) {
+    const suggestions = [];
+    let pass = 0;
+    let fail = 0;
+    let total = 0;
+    const taskLabels = new Set((task.labels ?? []).map((l) => l.toLowerCase()));
+    const taskTitle = task.title.toLowerCase();
+    // Look for success patterns related to this stage or matching task attributes
+    const successPatterns = await brainAccessor.findPatterns({ type: 'success', limit: 30 });
+    for (const p of successPatterns) {
+        const ctx = p.context.toLowerCase();
+        const pat = p.pattern.toLowerCase();
+        const stageMatch = ctx.includes(stage.toLowerCase());
+        const labelMatch = [...taskLabels].some((l) => pat.includes(l) || ctx.includes(l));
+        const titleMatch = taskTitle
+            .split(/\s+/)
+            .filter((w) => w.length > 3)
+            .some((w) => pat.includes(w));
+        if (stageMatch || labelMatch || titleMatch) {
+            total++;
+            if (p.successRate !== null && p.successRate >= 0.7) {
+                pass += p.successRate;
+            }
+            else {
+                pass += 0.5;
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    // Look for failure patterns related to this stage or matching task attributes
+    const failurePatterns = await brainAccessor.findPatterns({ type: 'failure', limit: 30 });
+    for (const p of failurePatterns) {
+        const ctx = p.context.toLowerCase();
+        const pat = p.pattern.toLowerCase();
+        const stageMatch = ctx.includes(stage.toLowerCase());
+        const labelMatch = [...taskLabels].some((l) => pat.includes(l) || ctx.includes(l));
+        const titleMatch = taskTitle
+            .split(/\s+/)
+            .filter((w) => w.length > 3)
+            .some((w) => pat.includes(w));
+        if (stageMatch || labelMatch || titleMatch) {
+            total++;
+            fail += p.successRate !== null ? 1 - p.successRate : 0.5;
+            if (p.mitigation) {
+                suggestions.push(`Historical pattern suggests: ${p.mitigation}`);
+            }
+        }
+    }
+    if (total === 0) {
+        return { pass: 0, fail: 0, total: 0, blockers: [], suggestions };
+    }
+    return { pass, fail, total, blockers: [], suggestions };
+}
+/**
+ * Gather applicable learnings for a task from brain_learnings.
+ */
+export async function gatherLearningContext(task, brainAccessor) {
+    const learnings = await brainAccessor.findLearnings({ limit: 100 });
+    const taskLabels = new Set((task.labels ?? []).map((l) => l.toLowerCase()));
+    const taskTitle = task.title.toLowerCase();
+    const applicable = learnings.filter((l) => {
+        const insight = l.insight.toLowerCase();
+        const source = l.source.toLowerCase();
+        // Match by task ID reference
+        if (insight.includes(task.id.toLowerCase()) || source.includes(task.id.toLowerCase())) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        // Match by label overlap
+        if (taskLabels.size > 0 && [...taskLabels].some((label) => insight.includes(label))) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        // Match by applicable types
+        const applicableTypes = JSON.parse(l.applicableTypesJson || '[]');
+        if (task.type && applicableTypes.includes(task.type)) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        // Match by title keyword overlap (at least 2 words matching)
+        const titleWords = taskTitle.split(/\s+/).filter((w) => w.length > 3);
+        const matchingWords = titleWords.filter((w) => insight.includes(w));
+        if (matchingWords.length >= 2) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        return false;
+    });
+    const totalConfidence = applicable.reduce((sum, l) => sum + l.confidence, 0);
+    const averageConfidence = applicable.length > 0 ? totalConfidence / applicable.length : 0;
+    const actionableCount = applicable.filter((l) => l.actionable).length;
+    return {
+        applicable,
+        averageConfidence: Math.round(averageConfidence * 1000) / 1000,
+        actionableCount,
+    };
+}
+// ============================================================================
+// Internal: Score Computation
+// ============================================================================
+function computeWeightedScore(factors) {
+    let totalWeight = 0;
+    let weightedSum = 0;
+    for (const f of factors) {
+        weightedSum += f.weight * f.value;
+        totalWeight += f.weight;
+    }
+    return totalWeight > 0 ? weightedSum / totalWeight : 0;
+}
+function generateRecommendation(score, factors) {
+    if (score <= RISK_THRESHOLDS.low) {
+        return 'Low risk. Proceed with normal workflow.';
+    }
+    if (score <= RISK_THRESHOLDS.medium) {
+        const topFactors = factors
+            .filter((f) => f.value > 0.4)
+            .sort((a, b) => b.value * b.weight - a.value * a.weight)
+            .slice(0, 2);
+        const factorNames = topFactors.map((f) => f.name).join(', ');
+        return `Moderate risk (${factorNames}). Consider extra review or decomposition.`;
+    }
+    if (score <= RISK_THRESHOLDS.high) {
+        return 'High risk. Recommend decomposition, additional testing, or pair review before proceeding.';
+    }
+    return 'Critical risk. Strongly recommend breaking this task into smaller units and addressing blockers first.';
+}
+//# sourceMappingURL=prediction.js.map

package/dist/intelligence/prediction.js.map

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package/dist/intelligence/types.js

@@ -0,0 +1,13 @@
+/**
+ * Type definitions for the CLEO Intelligence dimension.
+ *
+ * Covers quality prediction (risk scoring, validation outcome prediction),
+ * pattern extraction (automatic detection, matching, storage), and
+ * impact analysis (blast radius, change prediction).
+ *
+ * @task Wave3A
+ * @epic T5149
+ * @module intelligence
+ */
+export {};
+//# sourceMappingURL=types.js.map

package/dist/intelligence/types.js.map

@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"version":3,"file":"types.js","sourceRoot":"","sources":["../../src/intelligence/types.ts"],"names":[],"mappings":"AAAA;;;;;;;;;;GAUG"}

package/dist/internal.d.ts

@@ -74,7 +74,7 @@ export { getUnblockOpportunities } from './orchestration/unblock.js';
 export { validateSpawnReadiness } from './orchestration/validate-spawn.js';
 export { getEnrichedWaves } from './orchestration/waves.js';
 export { clearOtelData, getOtelSessions, getOtelSpawns, getOtelSummary, getRealTokenUsage, } from './otel/index.js';
-export { getAgentOutputsAbsolute, getAgentsHome } from './paths.js';
+export { getAgentOutputsAbsolute, getAgentsHome, getProjectRoot } from './paths.js';
 export type { CriticalPathResult as DepsCriticalPathResult } from './phases/deps.js';
 export { getCriticalPath as depsCriticalPath } from './phases/deps.js';
 export type { ListPhasesResult } from './phases/index.js';
@@ -123,11 +123,15 @@ export { listStickies, purgeSticky } from './sticky/index.js';
 export type { CreateStickyParams, ListStickiesParams, StickyNote } from './sticky/types.js';
 export { createBackup, listBackups, restoreFromBackup } from './store/backup.js';
 export { getBrainDb, getBrainNativeDb } from './store/brain-sqlite.js';
+export type { LegacyCleanupResult, StrayNexusCleanupResult } from './store/cleanup-legacy.js';
+export { detectAndRemoveLegacyGlobalFiles, detectAndRemoveStrayProjectNexus, } from './store/cleanup-legacy.js';
 export { gitCheckpoint, gitCheckpointStatus, isCleoGitInitialized, } from './store/git-checkpoint.js';
 export { computeChecksum, readJson } from './store/json.js';
 export { createSession, getActiveSession } from './store/session-store.js';
 export { checkSignaldockDbHealth, ensureSignaldockDb, getSignaldockDbPath, SIGNALDOCK_SCHEMA_VERSION, } from './store/signaldock-sqlite.js';
 export { getDb, getNativeDb } from './store/sqlite.js';
+export type { BackupScope, GlobalBackupEntry } from './store/sqlite-backup.js';
+export { listBrainBackups, listGlobalSqliteBackups, listSqliteBackups, listSqliteBackupsAll, vacuumIntoBackup, vacuumIntoBackupAll, vacuumIntoGlobalBackup, } from './store/sqlite-backup.js';
 export { createTask, getTask } from './store/task-store.js';
 export { auditLog, externalTaskLinks, releaseManifests, taskDependencies, tasks, } from './store/tasks-schema.js';
 export { AuditLogInsertSchema } from './store/validation-schemas.js';
@@ -220,12 +224,13 @@ export { analyzeDependencies as orchestrationAnalyzeDependencies } from './orche
 export { getCriticalPath as orchestrationGetCriticalPath } from './orchestration/critical-path.js';
 export type { TaskReadiness } from './orchestration/index.js';
 export { getNextTask as orchestrationGetNextTask, getReadyTasks as orchestrationGetReadyTasks, } from './orchestration/index.js';
-export { getBackupDir, getTaskPath } from './paths.js';
+export { getBackupDir, getCleoHome, getConfigPath, getTaskPath } from './paths.js';
 export { ensureContributorMcp, ensureGlobalTemplates, ensureProjectContext } from './scaffold.js';
 export { checkSequence, showSequence } from './sequence/index.js';
 export { gradeSession, readGrades } from './sessions/session-grade.js';
 export { determineInstallationTargets, getSkillsMapWithPrecedence, resolveSkillPathsForProvider, } from './skills/precedence-integration.js';
 export { initializeDefaultAdapters, spawnRegistry } from './spawn/adapter-registry.js';
+export { getNexusDbPath } from './store/nexus-sqlite.js';
 export { createBackup as systemCreateBackup } from './system/backup.js';
 export type { DoctorReport, FixResult } from './system/health.js';
 export { coreDoctorReport, runDoctorFixes } from './system/health.js';